Mortality Trends in Patients Diagnosed With First Atrial Fibrillation

The Atrial FibriLlatiOn Registry (FLOW-AF): Patient Characteristics, Treatment Patterns, and Outcomes in Egypt

INTRODUCTION

Real-world data on atrial fibrillation (AF) in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, including Egypt, are sparse. The aim of the FLOW-AF registry was to evaluate the characteristics, treatment patterns, and clinical and economic outcomes of newly diagnosed non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients within the MENA region, including Egypt.

METHODS

This multicenter, prospective, observational registry enrolled newly diagnosed patients with NVAF from January 2020 to December 2022 at eight private-sector healthcare centers in Egypt. Data were collected at enrollment (baseline), and then at 6-month and 12-month follow-up. Baseline data included demographics, AF characteristics, medical history, and antithrombotic treatment patterns. Follow-up data included clinical events, healthcare resource utilization, and related costs.

RESULTS

A total of 723 patients were enrolled. Overall, 51.87% were females, and the mean age was 61.9 years. All patients attended the private health sector. The mean (standard deviation) CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED risk scores were 2.37 (1.55) and 1.46 (1.18), respectively. Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (62.52%), vitamin K antagonists (22.28%), and antiplatelet therapy (9.85%) were among the prescribed treatments. Rates of transient ischemic attack and all-cause mortality were 2.64% and 0.83%, respectively; all other outcomes (stroke, bleeding, myocardial infarction, systemic embolism) occurred at a rate of ≤ 0.41%. Antithrombotic medications were the major contributors to per-patient total yearly cost (USD 381.2).

CONCLUSIONS

The FLOW-AF study showed that patients with NVAF in Egypt are younger and exhibit lower mean baseline CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores compared to Western and other Eastern regions. Additional research, including a broader study population with a longer follow-up, is essential to comprehensively assess the characteristics and outcomes of the NVAF population in Egypt.

Contemporary trends in incident ischaemic stroke, intracranial haemorrhage, and mortality in individuals with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The prognosis for atrial fibrillation (AF) patients is based on data that is decades old. Given evolving standards of clinical practice, we sought to evaluate temporal trends in clinically important outcomes among patients with AF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

California's Department of Health Care Access and Information databases were used to identify adults aged ≥18 years with AF receiving hospital-based care in California. We compared three time-periods: 2005-2009, 2010-2014, and 2015-2019. International Classification of Diseases codes were used to identify chronic diseases and acute events. The outcomes were incident ischaemic stroke, intracranial haemorrhage, and overall mortality. We included 2 009 832 patients with AF (52.7% males, 70.7% Whites, and mean age of 75.0 years), divided in three cohorts: 2005-2009 (n = 738 954), 2010-2014 (n = 609 447), and 2015-2019 (n = 661 431). Each outcome became substantially less common with time: compared with 2005-2009, AF patients diagnosed in 2015-2019 experienced a 34% (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.66, 95% confidence interval 0.64-0.69), 22% (HR 0.78, 0.75-0.82), and 24% (HR 0.76, 0.75-0.77) reduction in risk of incident ischaemic stroke, intracranial haemorrhage, and mortality, respectively. Between 2005-2009 and 2015-2019, patients aged ≥65 years experienced more reductions in each outcome compared with younger patients (P < 0.001 for all), and declines in each outcome were significantly lower for Hispanics and Blacks compared with white patients.

CONCLUSION

The risks of stroke, intracranial haemorrhage, and death have significantly declined among AF patients, although differences in the magnitude of improvement of these outcomes by demographic groups were observed. Commonly described estimates of the prognosis for AF patients should be updated to reflect contemporary care.

Efficacy and safety of oral anticoagulants in patients with atrial fibrillation and acute myocardial infarction: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The optimal antithrombotic therapy strategies for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) remain uncertain. We aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of oral anticoagulants (OAC) among patients with AF and AMI.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were searched from inception till 5 February 2025. The primary outcome was any stroke.

RESULTS

Eleven studies with 83 549 patients were included. OAC therapy was associated with lower risks of any stroke (odds ratio [OR]: 0.68; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.60-0.77; P < .001), ischemic stroke (OR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.57-0.73; P < .001), and all-cause mortality (OR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.74-0.89; P < .001). Additionally, OAC therapy was associated with a higher risk of any bleeding (OR: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.06-1.46; P = .009), but not for major bleeding (OR: 1.28; 95% CI: 0.87-1.90; P = .21).

CONCLUSIONS

OAC therapy is effective for patients with AF and AMI, but should be administered cautiously in those at high bleeding risk.

Predicting survival in atrial fibrillation: results from SAGE-AF

Background

Using Systematic Assessment of Geriatric Elements in Atrial Fibrillation (SAGE-AF) data, determine how well the rich mix of demographic, clinical history, geriatric assessments, and clinically adjudicated events can predict two-year survival.

Methods

Subjects were recruited from participating outpatient practices if they had non-valvular AF, were 65 or over with CHA2DS2-VASc scores of at least 2, and were candidates for anticoagulation. Demographics, clinical history, and geriatric qualities of life were assessed by interview and medical records review using standardized protocols and repeated at one and two years. Events identified were abstracted and submitted for adjudication using standard definitions of events and categories. Non-mortality event categories included hospitalizations (cardiovascular, bleeding, other), bleeding (major, clinically relevant non-major, minor), and seven major adverse cardiovascular events.

Results

The 1245 subjects experienced 1960 events, primarily hospitalizations (935) and/or bleeding (817); 114 subjects (9.2%) died during two years of follow-up. Events initially abstracted to more than one category (172) were combined, resulting in 1788 unique incidents. Most subjects had zero or one event (69%) and fewer than 7% had more than 3 types. Most variables were significant in bivariate analysis. Using multiple logistic regression with two-year survival as the outcome variable, the best-fit model included event number and type, number of unique incidents, and number of bleeding events (R2 = 0.511, C = 93.1) with sensitivity = 97.9% and specificity = 44.7%.

Conclusions

Two-year survival was high. This model, if validated, could have major implications for treatment of patients with AF. Patients in the large group with no or one event are at very low risk of death (under 2%). The small group with high risk for further complications, including death, deserve reassessment to determine if this trajectory can be altered.

Cardiovascular health and risks of atrial fibrillation and its prognosis

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia around the world with an increased risk of a broad spectrum of adverse comorbidities and death. Whether cardiovascular health (CVH) is associated with AF development remains unclear.

Methods

238,420 participants without cardiovascular disease at baseline were selected from the UK Biobank study cohort from 2006 to 2010. CVH was defined based on "Life's Essential 8″ scores. Sex-specific multi-state Markov and flexible parametric survival models were used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95 % confidence intervals (95 % CI) for the associations of CVH with incident AF and its prognosis.

Results

In fully-adjusted models, CVH is significantly associated with a reduced risk of incident AF among both men and women, after accounting for the potential impact of death. Among AF patients without other evaluated diseases, a higher CVH score was generally linked with a reduced risk of death in both sexes. Among AF patients with incident prognostic diseases, only CVH associated with death following heart failure (0.78, 0.63-0.97) was observed among men, whereas CVH was significantly associated with death following coronary heart disease (0.80, 0.69-0.93), stroke (0.73, 0.61-0.89) and dementia (0.79, 0.71-1.03) among women.

Conclusions

We found significant associations between CVH and the risk reduction of incident AF and its prognostic outcomes, with these associations being more pronounced among women. Findings suggest a potential of screening CVH for both primary prevention of new-onset AF and the secondary prevention to improve AF prognosis.

A Review of Racial Differences and Disparities in ECG

The electrocardiogram (ECG) is a widely used, non-invasive tool for diagnosing a range of cardiovascular conditions, including arrhythmia and heart disease-related structural changes. Despite its critical role in clinical care, racial and ethnic differences in ECG readings are often underexplored or inadequately addressed in research. Variations in key ECG parameters, such as PR interval, QRS duration, QT interval, and T-wave morphology, have been noted across different racial groups. However, the limited research in this area has hindered the development of diagnostic criteria that account for these differences, potentially contributing to healthcare disparities, as ECG interpretation algorithms largely developed from major population data may lead to misdiagnoses or inappropriate treatments for minority groups. This review aims to help cardiac researchers and cardiovascular specialists better understand, explore, and address the impact of racial and ethnic differences in ECG readings. By identifying potential causes-ranging from genetic factors to environmental influences-and exploring the resulting disparities in healthcare outcomes, we propose strategies such as the development of race-specific ECG norms, the application of artificial intelligence (AI) to improve diagnostic accuracy, and the diversification of ECG databases. Through these efforts, the medical community can advance toward more personalized and equitable cardiovascular care.

Clinical outcomes of Asian patients with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation and previously diagnosed atrial fibrillation: Insights from the CODE-AF Registry

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) may have different clinical features in its early phase.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to compare the characteristics and clinical outcomes of early-phase AF with later-phase AF using a large multicenter prospective registry (CODE-AF [COmparison study of Drugs for symptom control and complication prEvention of Atrial Fibrillation]).

METHODS

Patients enrolled between June 2016 and March 2021 were divided into 2 groups based on AF duration: (1) newly diagnosed (AF duration ≤90 days); and (2) previously diagnosed (AF duration >90 days). Baseline characteristics and clinical outcomes were compared.

RESULTS

Among the 10,001 study participants (mean age 67.0 ± 14.5 years; 64% men), 22% were defined as newly diagnosed and 78% as previously diagnosed. Newly diagnosed patients had fewer comorbidities and more unhealthy social behaviors. Despite lower prescription rates of oral anticoagulant, direct oral anticoagulants were more frequently used. The newly diagnosed group also had a higher composite clinical outcome risk within 90 days (adjusted hazard ratio 1.81, 95% confidence interval 1.30-2.53, P <.001) and revealed a higher risk of all bleeding and heart failure admission within 90 days. No significant differences remained between the groups over 36-month follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Patients with early-stage AF were younger and had fewer comorbidities. Although there was a higher risk of heart failure admissions and minor bleeding, the risks of death, stroke, and major bleeding were not significantly increased. Structured monitoring and management during the initial months are essential to address these risks.

Association Between Atrial Fibrillation and Long-term Mortality in Acute MI Patients

Background

AF is a common complication of an acute MI (AMI) and goes along with adverse events. Nevertheless, the therapeutical guidelines and pharmacological possibilities have improved over the past years. Therefore, this contemporary study aimed to clarify the effect of AF on long-term mortality in patients with incident AMI.

Methods

This study included 2,313 patients aged 25-84 years with initial AMI that occurred from 2009 until 2017, documented within the population-based Augsburg Myocardial Infarction Registry. Patients were monitored from hospital admission, with a median follow-up duration of 4.5 years (interquartile range 4.4 years). Survival analysis and multivariable Cox regression analysis were conducted to explore the relationship between AF and long-term all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality.

Results

Altogether, 156 individuals had AF on their admission ECG, while the remaining 2,157 presented with sinus rhythm (SR). Patients with AF were significantly older, more frequently had arterial hypertension, non-ST-segment elevation MI, worse kidney function, smaller AMIs, and were more often former and non-smokers. An increased long-term all-cause mortality was observed among the AF group. (AF patients 39.1%, SR group 16.7%), Upon multivariable adjustment, a HR of 1.40 (95% CI [1.05-1.87]; p=0.023) was calculated when comparing the AF with SR patients.

Conclusion

An independently increased risk of long-term mortality for patients with AF compared with patients with SR in case of incident AMI was identified. Therefore, AF should be considered as a serious risk factor in AMI patients, and must be treated aggressively to reduce mortality risk.

Delay and Pay? Healthcare Costs Associated with Late Oral Anti-coagulant Prescribing in People with Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased morbidity and mortality and exerts an increasingly significant burden on global healthcare resources, with its prevalence rising with an ageing population. Despite a substantial thromboembolic risk, particularly in the period immediately following diagnosis, oral anti-coagulation is frequently not initiated or is delayed. The aim of this study was to evaluate healthcare costs in people with AF, comparing those who were commenced on oral anti-coagulation in the immediate period following the index diagnosis date with those in whom initiation was late and those who never started anti-coagulation.

METHODS

This retrospective cost analysis used linked Scottish health data to identify adults newly diagnosed with AF between January 1st 2012 and April 30th 2019 with a baseline CHA2DS2-VASc score of ≥ 2. This AF population was sub-divided according to timing of the first prescription of oral anti-coagulant (OAC) during a 2-year follow-up period: never started (OAC never initiated), immediate OAC (OAC prescribed within 60 days of incident AF diagnosis), and delayed OAC (OAC prescribed more than 60 days after incident AF diagnosis). A two-part model was developed, adjusted for key covariates, including age, sex, and frailty, to estimate costs for inpatient admissions, outpatient care, prescriptions, and care home admissions, and overall costs.

RESULTS

Of an overall AF population of 54,385, 26,805 (49.3%) never commenced OAC, 7654 (14.1%) initiated an OAC late, and 19,926 (36.6%) were prescribed anti-coagulation immediately. The mean adjusted cost for the overall AF population was £7807 per person per year (unadjusted: £8491). Delayed OAC initiation was associated with the greatest adjusted estimated mean annual cost (unadjusted: £13,983; adjusted: £9763), compared to those that never started (unadjusted: £10,433; adjusted: £7981) and those that received an immediate OAC prescription (unadjusted: £3976; adjusted: £6621). Increasing frailty, mortality, and female sex were associated with greater healthcare costs.

CONCLUSION

AF is associated with significant healthcare resource utilisation and costs, particularly in the context of delayed or non-initiation of anti-coagulation. Indeed, there exists substantial opportunity to improve the utilisation and prompt initiation in people newly diagnosed with AF in Scotland. Interventions to mitigate against the growing economic burden of AF should focus on reducing admissions to hospitals and care homes, which are the principal drivers of costs; prescriptions and outpatient appointments account for a relatively small proportion of overall costs for AF.

Addressing racial differences in the management of atrial fibrillation: Focus on black patients

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia, affecting between 3 and 6 million people in the United States. It is associated with a reduced quality of life and increased risk of stroke, cognitive decline, heart failure and death. Black patients have a lower prevalence of AF than White patients but are more likely to suffer worse outcomes with the disease. It is important that stakeholders understand the disproportionate burden of disease and management gaps that exists among Black patients living with AF. Appropriate treatments, including aggressive risk factor control, early referral to cardiovascular specialists and improving healthcare access may bridge some of the gaps in management and improve outcomes.

Use of the CHA2DS2-VASc score to predict subsequent myocardial infarction in atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The risk of subsequent myocardial infarction (MI) varies widely in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). No convenient scoring system currently exists to identify MI in AF. While each element of the CHA2DS2-VASc (congestive heart failure; hypertension; age ≥75 years [doubled]; type 2 diabetes; previous stroke or thromboembolism [doubled]; vascular disease; age 65-75 years; and sex category) score can increase the likelihood of MI, this retrospective longitudinal study aimed to determine the accuracy of the CHA2DS2-VASc score in predicting subsequent MI risk in AF.

METHODS

A total of 29,341 patients with AF were enrolled and followed up from January 2010 until the first occurrence of MI or until December 2020. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of subsequent MI.

RESULTS

The average age of the study population was 71 years, and 43.2% were male. The mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was found to be higher in patients with AF who had experienced an MI than in those who had not (3.56 ± 1.92 vs. 3.32 ± 1.81, p < 0.001). During the long-term follow-up, the risk of subsequent MI increased by 22% with every one-point increase in the CHA2DS2-VASc score (hazard ratio 1.22, 95% confidence interval 1.19-1.25; p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that high CHA2DS2-VASc scores were more likely to experience an MI than those with low CHA2DS2-VASc scores (log-rank p < 0.001). Furthermore, the CHA2DS2-VASc score was a significant predictor of MI in multivariate regression analysis.

CONCLUSION

The CHA2DS2-VASc score is a valuable predictor of subsequent MI risk in patients with AF.

Long-term outcomes after hospitalization for atrial fibrillation or flutter

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and flutter are common causes of hospitalizations but contemporary long-term outcomes following these episodes are uncertain. This study assessed outcomes up to 10 years after an acute AF or flutter hospitalization.

METHODS

Patients hospitalized acutely with a primary diagnosis of AF or flutter from 2008-17 from all public and most private hospitals in Australia and New Zealand were included. Kaplan-Meier methods and flexible parametric survival modelling were used to estimate survival and loss in life expectancy, respectively. Competing risk model accounting for death was used when estimating incidence of non-fatal outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 260 492 adults (mean age 70.5 ± 14.4 years, 49.6% female) were followed up for 1 068 009 person-years (PY), during which 69 167 died (incidence rate 6.5/100 PY) with 91.2% survival at 1 year, 72.7% at 5 years, and 55.2% at 10 years. Estimated loss in life expectancy was 2.6 years, or 16.8% of expected life expectancy. Re-hospitalizations for heart failure (2.9/100 PY), stroke (1.7/100 PY), and myocardial infarction (1.1/100 PY) were common with respective cumulative incidences of 16.8%, 11.0%, and 7.1% by 10 years. Re-hospitalization for AF or flutter occurred in 21.3% by 1 year, 35.3% by 5 years, and 41.2% by 10 years (11.6/100 PY). The cumulative incidence of patients undergoing catheter ablation of AF was 6.5% at 10 years (1.2/100 PY).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients hospitalized for AF or flutter had high death rates with an average 2.6-year loss in life expectancy. Moreover, re-hospitalizations for AF or flutter and related outcomes such as heart failure and stroke were common with catheter ablation used infrequently for treatment, which warrant further actions.

Weight reduction interventions for the management of atrial fibrillation in overweight and obese people

OBJECTIVES

This is a protocol for a Cochrane Review (intervention). The objectives are as follows: To evaluate the efficacy of weight loss interventions as adjunctive treatment for reducing atrial fibrillation burden.

Annihilation dynamics during spiral defect chaos revealed by particle models

Pair-annihilation events are ubiquitous in a variety of spatially extended systems and are often studied using computationally expensive simulations. Here, we develop an approach in which we simulate the pair-annihilation of spiral wave tips in cardiac models using a computationally efficient particle model. Spiral wave tips are represented as particles with dynamics governed by diffusive behavior and short-ranged attraction. The parameters for diffusion and attraction are obtained by comparing particle motion to the trajectories of spiral wave tips in cardiac models during spiral defect chaos. The particle model reproduces the annihilation rates of the cardiac models and can determine the statistics of spiral wave dynamics, including its mean termination time. We show that increasing the attraction coefficient sharply decreases the mean termination time, making it a possible target for pharmaceutical intervention.

Wireless Battery-free and Fully Implantable Organ Interfaces

Advances in soft materials, miniaturized electronics, sensors, stimulators, radios, and battery-free power supplies are resulting in a new generation of fully implantable organ interfaces that leverage volumetric reduction and soft mechanics by eliminating electrochemical power storage. This device class offers the ability to provide high-fidelity readouts of physiological processes, enables stimulation, and allows control over organs to realize new therapeutic and diagnostic paradigms. Driven by seamless integration with connected infrastructure, these devices enable personalized digital medicine. Key to advances are carefully designed material, electrophysical, electrochemical, and electromagnetic systems that form implantables with mechanical properties closely matched to the target organ to deliver functionality that supports high-fidelity sensors and stimulators. The elimination of electrochemical power supplies enables control over device operation, anywhere from acute, to lifetimes matching the target subject with physical dimensions that supports imperceptible operation. This review provides a comprehensive overview of the basic building blocks of battery-free organ interfaces and related topics such as implantation, delivery, sterilization, and user acceptance. State of the art examples categorized by organ system and an outlook of interconnection and advanced strategies for computation leveraging the consistent power influx to elevate functionality of this device class over current battery-powered strategies is highlighted.

Optimizing the management of electrophysiology labs in Chinese hospitals using a discrete event simulation tool

BACKGROUND

The growing demand for electrophysiology (EP) treatment in China presents a challenge for current EP care delivery systems. This study constructed a discrete event simulation (DES) model of an inpatient EP care delivery process, simulating a generalized inpatient journey of EP patients from admission to discharge in the cardiology department of a tertiary hospital in China. The model shows how many more patients the system can serve under different resource constraints by optimizing various phases of the care delivery process.

METHODS

Model inputs were based on and validated using real-world data, simulating the scheduling of limited resources among competing demands from different patient types. The patient stay consists of three stages, namely: the pre-operative stay, the EP procedure, and the post-operative stay. The model outcome was the total number of discharges during the simulation period. The scenario analysis presented in this paper covers two capacity-limiting scenarios (CLS): (1) fully occupied ward beds and (2) fully occupied electrophysiology laboratories (EP labs). Within each CLS, we investigated potential throughput when the length of stay or operative time was reduced by 10%, 20%, and 30%. The reductions were applied to patients with atrial fibrillation, the most common indication accounting for almost 30% of patients.

RESULTS

Model validation showed simulation results approximated actual data (137.2 discharges calculated vs. 137 observed). With fully occupied wards, reducing pre- and/or post-operative stay time resulted in a 1-7% increased throughput. With fully occupied EP labs, reduced operative time increased throughput by 3-12%.

CONCLUSIONS

Model validation and scenario analyses demonstrated that the DES model reliably reflects the EP care delivery process. Simulations identified which phases of the process should be optimized under different resource constraints, and the expected increases in patients served.

Heart failure in older patients with atrial fibrillation: incidence and risk factors

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is linked to heart failure (HF). However, little has been published on the factors that may precipitate the onset of HF in AF patients. We aimed to determine the incidence, predictors, and prognosis of incident HF in older patients with AF with no prior history of HF.

METHODS

Patients with AF older than 80 years and without prior HF were identified between 2014 and 2018.

RESULTS

A total of 5794 patients (mean age, 85.2±3.8 years; 63.2% women) were followed up for 3.7 years. Incident HF, predominantly with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction, developed in 33.3% (incidence rate, 11.5-100 people-year). Multivariate analysis identified 11 clinical risk factors for incident HF, irrespective of HF subtype: significant valvular heart disease (HR, 1.99; 95%CI, 1.73-2.28), reduced baseline left ventricular ejection fraction (HR, 1.92; 95%CI, 1.68-2.19), chronic pulmonary obstructive disease (HR, 1.59; 95%CI, 1.40-1.82), enlarged left atrium (HR 1.47, 95%CI 1.33-1.62), renal dysfunction (HR 1.36, 95%CI 1.24-1.49), malnutrition (HR, 1.33; 95%CI, 1.21-1.46), anemia (HR, 1.30; 95%CI, 1.17-1.44), permanent AF (HR, 1.15; 95%CI, 1.03-1.28), diabetes mellitus (HR, 1.13; 95%CI, 1.01-1.27), age per year (HR, 1.04; 95%CI, 1.02-1.05), and high body mass index for each kg/m2 (HR, 1.03; 95%CI, 1.02-1.04). The presence of incident HF nearly doubled the mortality risk (HR, 1.67; 95%CI, 1.53-1.81).

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of HF in this cohort was relatively frequent and nearly doubled the mortality risk. Eleven risk factors for HF were identified, expanding the scope for primary prevention among elderly patients with AF.

New-onset atrial fibrillation among COVID-19 patients: A narrative review

Over the last three years, research has focused on examining cardiac issues arising from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection, including the emergence of new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF). Still, no clinical study was conducted on the persistence of this arrhythmia after COVID-19 recovery. Our objective was to compose a narrative review that investigates COVID-19-associated NOAF, emphasizing the evolving pathophysiological mechanisms akin to those suggested for sustaining AF. Given the distinct strategies involved in the persistence of atrial AF and the crucial burden of persistent AF, we aim to underscore the importance of extended follow-up for COVID-19-associated NOAF. A comprehensive search was conducted for articles published between December 2019 and February 11, 2023, focusing on similarities in the pathophysiology of NOAF after COVID-19 and those persisting AF. Also, the latest data on incidence, morbidity-mortality, and management of NOAF in COVID-19 were investigated. Considerable overlaps between the mechanisms of emerging NOAF after COVID-19 infection and persistent AF were observed, mostly involving reactive oxygen pathways. With potential atrial remodeling associated with NOAF in COVID-19 patients, this group of patients might benefit from long-term follow-up and different management. Future cohort studies could help determine long-term outcomes of NOAF after COVID-19.

Atrial fibrillation and stroke prevention: 25 years of research at EP Europace journal

Stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is one pillar of the management of this common arrhythmia. Substantial advances in the epidemiology and associated pathophysiology underlying AF-related stroke and thrombo-embolism are evident. Furthermore, the introduction of the non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (also called direct oral anticoagulants) has clearly changed our approach to stroke prevention in AF, such that the default should be to offer oral anticoagulation for stroke prevention, unless the patient is at low risk. A strategy of early rhythm control is also beneficial in reducing strokes in selected patients with recent onset AF, when compared to rate control. Cardiovascular risk factor management, with optimization of comorbidities and attention to lifestyle factors, and the patient's psychological morbidity are also essential. Finally, in selected patients with absolute contraindications to long-term oral anticoagulation, left atrial appendage occlusion or exclusion may be considered. The aim of this state-of-the-art review article is to provide an overview of the current status of AF-related stroke and prevention strategies. A holistic or integrated care approach to AF management is recommended to minimize the risk of stroke in patients with AF, based on the evidence-based Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway, as follows: A: Avoid stroke with Anticoagulation; B: Better patient-centred, symptom-directed decisions on rate or rhythm control; C: Cardiovascular risk factor and comorbidity optimization, including lifestyle changes.

Management of Atrial Fibrillation Post Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common complication in patients who underwent transcatheter aortic valve implantation. Some of these patients have preexisting AF as well. The management of these patients is complex, especially after the procedure, when there is a sudden change in hemodynamics. There are no established guidelines about the management of the patients who underwent transcatheter aortic valve replacement with preexisting or new-onset AF. This review article discusses the management of these patients with rate and rhythm control strategies with medications. This article also highlights the role of newer oral anticoagulation medications and left atrial occlusion devices to prevent stroke after the procedure. We will also discuss new advances in the care of this patient population to prevent the occurrence of AF after transcatheter aortic valve implantation. In conclusion, this article is a synopsis of both pharmacologic and device interventions for the management of AF in patients who underwent transcatheter aortic valve replacement.

Atrial epicardial adipose tissue abundantly secretes myeloperoxidase and activates atrial fibroblasts in patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) secretome induces fibrosis. Fibrosis, primarily extracellular matrix (ECM) produced by fibroblasts, creates a substrate for atrial fibrillation (AF). Whether the EAT secretome from patients with AF activates human atrial fibroblasts and through which components, remains unexplored.

RESEARCH AIMS

(a) To investigate if the EAT secretome from patients with versus without AF increases ECM production in atrial fibroblasts. (b) To identify profibrotic proteins and processes in the EAT secretome and EAT from patients with, who will develop (future onset), and without AF.

METHODS

Atrial EAT was obtainded during thoracoscopic ablation (AF, n = 20), or open-heart surgery (future onset and non-AF, n = 35). ECM gene expression of human atrial fibroblasts exposed to the EAT secretome and the proteomes of EAT secretome and EAT were assessed in patients with and without AF. Myeloperoxidase and neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs) were assessed immunohistochemically in patients with paroxysmal, persistent, future onset, and those who remain free of AF (non-AF).

RESULTS

The expression of COL1A1 and FN1 in fibroblasts exposed to secretome from patients with AF was 3.7 and 4.7 times higher than in patients without AF (p < 0.05). Myeloperoxidase was the most increased protein in the EAT secretome and EAT from patients with versus without AF (FC 18.07 and 21.57, p < 0.005), as was the gene-set neutrophil degranulation. Immunohistochemically, myeloperoxidase was highest in persistent (FC 13.3, p < 0.0001) and increased in future onset AF (FC 2.4, p = 0.02) versus non-AF. Myeloperoxidase aggregated subepicardially and around fibrofatty infiltrates. NETs were increased in patients with persistent versus non-AF (p = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

In AF, the EAT secretome induces ECM gene expression in atrial fibroblasts and contains abundant myeloperoxidase. EAT myeloperoxidase was increased prior to AF onset, and both myeloperoxidase and NETs were highest in persistent AF, highlighting the role of EAT neutrophils in the pathophysiology of AF.

Preterm Birth, Small for Gestational Age, and Large for Gestational Age and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation Up to Middle Age

Importance

Adverse birth outcomes, including preterm birth, small for gestational age (SGA), and large for gestational age (LGA) are associated with increased risks of hypertension, ischemic heart disease, stroke, and heart failure, but knowledge regarding their associations with atrial fibrillation (AF) is limited and inconsistent.

Objective

To investigate whether preterm birth, SGA, or LGA are associated with increased risks of AF later in life.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This multinational cohort study included Danish, Swedish, and Finnish national health registries. Live singleton births in Denmark from 1978 through 2016, in Sweden from 1973 through 2014, and in Finland from 1987 through 2014, who were followed up until December 31, 2016, in Denmark, December 31, 2021, in Sweden, and December 31, 2014, in Finland were included. Data analyses were performed between January 2021 and August 2022.

Exposures

Preterm birth (less than 37 gestational weeks), SGA (less than 10th percentile birth weight for gestational age), and LGA (more than 90th percentile birth weight for gestational age) identified from medical birth registers.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Diagnosis of AF obtained from nationwide inpatient and outpatient registers. The study team ran multivariable Cox proportional hazard models and flexible parametric survival models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for AF according to preterm birth, SGA, and LGA. Sibling analyses were conducted to control for unmeasured familial factors.

Results

The cohort included 8 012 433 study participants (maximum age, 49 years; median age, 21 years; male, 51.3%). In 174.4 million person-years of follow-up, 11 464 participants had a diagnosis of AF (0.14%; median age, 29.3 years). Preterm birth and LGA were associated with increased AF risk in both the full population cohort and in the sibling analyses; the multivariate HRs from the cohort analyses were 1.30 (95% CI, 1.18-1.42) and 1.55 (95% CI, 1.46-1.63), respectively. Preterm birth was more strongly associated with AF in childhood than in adulthood. Children born SGA had an increased risk of AF in the first 18 years of life but not afterwards.

Conclusions and Relevance

Preterm births and LGA births were associated with increased risks of AF up to middle age independently of familial confounding factors. Individuals born SGA had an increased AF risk only during childhood.

H2ARDD score as a feasible predictor of heart failure events in patients with atrial fibrillation: a validation study

It was reported that the H₂ARDD score (organic heart diseases = 2 points, anemia = 1 point, renal dysfunction = 1 point, diabetes = 1 point, and diuretic use = 1point; range 0 to 6 points) may help identify patients with AF at high risk for HF events. However, this score has not been externally validated. The objective of this study was to evaluate the usefulness of H₂ARDD score in predicting HF events in patients with AF. We used a prospective database of patients with AF, and Cox-proportional hazards models were used to assess the risk of HF events. The outcome of interest was defined as HF events including new-onset HF and death from HF. Of 562 AF patients, 518 (mean 69.7 ± 9.7 years-old, 64.9% men) met study criteria, and 84 (16.2%) developed HF events during a mean follow-up of 54 ± 42 months. In multivariable analyses, H₂ARDD score was shown as a significant predictor for HF events [hazard ratio (HR): 1.56, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.36-1.79], independent of age (per 10 years, HR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.03-1.78). In the Kaplan-Meier analyses stratified by H₂ARDD score categories (0-2, 3-4, 5-6), the patients with higher H₂ARDD scores had significantly worse HF event-free survival (log-rank P < 0.0001). The area under the ROC curve was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.65-0.77, P < 0.0001). The sensitivity and specificity at a cut-off score of ≥ 3 were 60% and 71%, respectively. In conclusion, the H₂ARDD score may be feasible for HF risk stratification in patients with AF.

Transcatheter aortic valve implantation vs. surgical aortic valve replacement for aortic stenosis in Taiwan: A population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Aortic stenosis (AS) is a heart valve disease characterized by left ventricular outflow fixed obstruction. It can be managed by surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) or transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). However, real-world evidence for TAVI or SAVR outcomes is lacking in Taiwan. This study aimed to compare the clinical outcomes of TAVI and SAVR for treating of AS in Taiwan.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The National Health Insurance Research Database is a nationally representative cohort that contains detailed registry and claims data from all 23 million residents of Taiwan. This retrospective cohort study used this database to compare patients who underwent SAVR (bioprosthetic valves) or TAVI from 2017 to 2019. Survival outcomes and length of hospital stay (LOS) and intensive care unit (ICU) stay between TAVI and SAVR in the matched cohort. A Cox proportional hazards model was performed to identify the effect of treatment type on survival rates while controlling variables including age, gender, and comorbidities.

RESULTS

We identified 475 and 1605 patients who underwent TAVI and SAVR with a bioprosthetic valve, respectively. Patients who underwent TAVI were older (82.19 vs. 68.75 y/o) and more likely to be female (55.79% vs. 42.31%) compared with patients who underwent SAVR. Propensity score matching (PSM) on age, gender, and Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (ECI) score revealed that 375 patients who underwent TAVI were matched with patients who underwent SAVR. A significant difference was found in survival rates between TAVI and SAVR. The 1-year mortality rate was 11.44% with TAVI and 17.55% with SAVR. Both the mean total LOS (19.86 vs. 28.24 days) and mean ICU stay (6.47 vs. 11.12 days) for patients who underwent TAVI were shorter than those who underwent SAVR.

CONCLUSION

Patients who had undergone TAVI had better survival outcomes and shorter LOS compared with patients who had undergone SAVR in Taiwan.

Ganglionic Plexus Ablation: A Step-by-step Guide for Electrophysiologists and Review of Modalities for Neuromodulation for the Management of Atrial Fibrillation

As the most common sustained arrhythmia, AF is a complex clinical entity which remains a difficult condition to durably treat in the majority of patients. Over the past few decades, the management of AF has focused mainly on pulmonary vein triggers for its initiation and perpetuation. It is well known that the autonomic nervous system (ANS) has a significant role in the milieu predisposing to the triggers, perpetuators and substrate for AF. Neuromodulation of ANS - ganglionated plexus ablation, vein of Marshall ethanol infusion, transcutaneous tragal stimulation, renal nerve denervation, stellate ganglion block and baroreceptor stimulation - constitute an emerging therapeutic approach for AF. The purpose of this review is to summarise and critically appraise the currently available evidence for neuromodulation modalities in AF.

Incidence and Burden of Tricuspid Regurgitation in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is considered a risk factor for isolated tricuspid valve regurgitation (TR) in the absence of other known etiologies.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to identify the incidence of clinically significant isolated TR and its impact in patients with AF.

METHODS

A population-based record linkage system was used to identify adult patients with new-onset AF. Patients with evidence of moderate or greater tricuspid valve disease, left-sided valve disease, pulmonary hypertension, prior cardiac surgery, impaired left ventricular systolic/diastolic function at baseline were excluded. The remaining patients (n = 691) were followed over time to identify development of moderate or greater TR and assess its impact on subsequent survival.

RESULTS

A total of 232 patients (33.6%) developed moderate or greater TR. Among these, 73 patients (10.6%) had isolated TR without significant underlying structural heart disease. Incidence rate of any moderate or greater TR was 3.9 cases and that of isolated TR was 1.3 cases per 100 person-years. Permanent/persistent AF and female sex were associated with increased risk of developing TR, whereas rhythm control was associated with lower risk of TR. Over a median clinical follow-up of 13.3 years (IQR: 10.0-15.9 years), development of any moderate or greater TR (HR: 2.92; 95% CI: 2.29-3.73; P < 0.001) and isolated significant TR (HR: 1.51; 95% CI: 1.03-2.22; P = 0.03) were associated with an adjusted increased risk of subsequent mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

In this population-based cohort of patients with AF, nearly one-third developed moderate or greater TR over time. Incident significant TR and incident isolated significant TR portend a worse survival in patients with AF.

Association between leucocyte telomere length and the risk of atrial fibrillation: An updated systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Advancing age is the most important risk factor of atrial fibrillation (AF). The shortening of telomere length is a biomarker of biologic aging. There is an increasing body of evidence that leucocyte telomere length (LTL) is associated with the risk of AF development. However, the results in these studies were controversial. The current systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted to examine the role of LTL in predicting the incidence of AF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Observational studies reporting the association between LTL and the risk of AF were retrieved through 25th June, 2022 from PubMed and Embase. A total of twelve studies including 18,293 patients were included in the present analysis. Leucocyte telomere shortening was found to be an independent predictor of AF as a continuous variable in both univariate [OR:2.14; 95%CI(1.48,3.10); P < 0.0001] and multivariate analyses [OR:1.41;95%CI(1.11,1.79); P = 0.005], as well as categorical variable in multivariate analysis [OR:1.53; 95%CI(1.04,2.27); P = 0.03]. Furthermore, leucocyte telomere shortening was significantly associated with recurrent AF [OR:4.32;95%CI(2.42,7.69); P < 0.00001] but not new-onset AF [OR:1.14; 95%CI(0.90,1.45); P = 0.29]. Leucocyte telomere shortening was also associated with an increased risk of persistent AF [OR:14.73;95%CI (3.16,68.67); P = 0.0006] and paroxysmal AF [OR:2.74;95%CI(1.45,5.18); P = 0.002]. Besides, LTL was an independent predictor for progression from paroxysmal AF to persistent AF [OR:3.2;95%CI(1.66,6.18); P = 0.0005]. Differences between males [OR:1.99; 95%CI(1.29,3.06); P = 0.002] and females [OR:0.86; 95%CI (0.29,2.56);P = 0.79] were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Leucocyte telomere shortening predicts the risk of AF, especially recurrent AF. The predictive value is more prominent in males than in females. Shortening in LTL can predict the progression from paroxysmal to persistent AF.

Association of Depression, Antidepressants With Atrial Fibrillation Risk: A Systemic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Depression is a possible influence factor for the increased risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF). Although several investigations have assessed their association, the results are still controversial. Therefore, we conducted a meta-analysis to evaluate the association between depression or using antidepressants and AF.

METHODS

We systemically performed the literature retrieval from two electronic databases PubMed and EMBASE until March 2022 to extract relevant data. The hazard ratios (HRs) and odds ratios (OR) from included studies with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were adjusted into the risk ratio (RR) and pooled by using the random-effects model.

RESULTS

Totally 9 studies about the associations between depression or antidepressants and incident AF risk were included in this meta-analysis. Among them, 5 studies specifically analyzed the impact of antidepressants on the risk of AF. The outcomes of our analysis indicated that depression or depressive symptoms could increase AF risk (RR = 1.15, 95% CI, 1.03-1.27, P < 0.01). In addition, the use of antidepressants can also increase AF risk (RR = 1.16, 95% CI, 1.07-1.25, P < 0.001). These results remained unchanged when we remove the source of heterogeneity or adjust the analysis model into the fixed-effects model.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on existing investigations, both depression and the use of antidepressants are closely related to the increase of incident AF risk.

Clinical effects of off-label reduced doses of Direct Oral Anticoagulants: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGOUND

Atrial Fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent cardiac arrhythmia among older patients, associated with thromboembolic events. Direct Oral Anticoagulants (DOAC) are the treatment of choice for most patients, but its use may have risks on standard dose. However, it is still unclear the effects related with the use of a lower dose off labelled DOAC.

OBJECTIVES

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the effects of off-label underdose use of DOAC in patients with AF.

METHODS

MEDLINE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, PsycINFO databases and EMBASE were searched for observational longitudinal studies evaluating the outcomes on off label underdosed patients compared with standard dosed patients with AF. We performed a random-effects meta-analysis to estimate the pooled Hazard Ratios (HR) with 95%Cis.

RESULTS

Eighteen cohort studies evaluating 237,533 patients with AF were included. Off-label underdose DOAC use is associated with higher risk of all-cause mortality [HR = 1.27 (95%CI 1.09-1.48)] and cardiovascular composite outcomes [HR = 1.32 (95%CI 1.08-1.62)], when compared with standard dose DOAC use. The effects in thromboembolic events [HR = 1.14 (95%CI 1.00-1.31)], major bleeding [HR = 1.02 (95%CI 0.91-1.15)], and composite of ischemic and bleeding events [HR = 1.22 (95%CI 0.79-1.88)] were not statistically significant. The certainty in the evidence was low or very low.

CONCLUSIONS

Off label underdose DOAC use is associated with higher risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular composite outcomes, compared with standard dose.

Effect of Mailing Educational Material to Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Their Clinicians on Use of Oral Anticoagulants: A Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE

Only about half of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who are at increased risk for stroke are treated with an oral anticoagulant (OAC), despite guideline recommendations for their use. Educating patients with AF about prevention of stroke with OACs may enable them as agents of change to initiate OAC treatment.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether an educational intervention directed to patients and their clinicians stimulates the use of OACs in patients with AF who are not receiving OACs.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

The Implementation of a Randomized Controlled Trial to Improve Treatment With Oral Anticoagulants in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation (IMPACT-AFib) trial was a prospective, multicenter, open-label, pragmatic randomized clinical trial conducted from September 25, 2017, to May 1, 2019, embedded in health plans that participate in the US Food and Drug Administration's Sentinel System. It used the distributed database comprising health plan members to identify eligible patients, their clinicians, and outcomes. IMPACT-AFib enrolled patients with AF, a CHA2DS2-VASc (cardiac failure or dysfunction, hypertension, age 65-74 [1 point] or ≥75 years [2 points], diabetes, and stroke, transient ischemic attack or thromboembolism [2 points]-vascular disease, and sex category [female]) score of 2 or more, no evidence of OAC prescription dispensing in the preceding 12 months, and no hospitalization-related bleeding event within the prior 6 months.

INTERVENTIONS

Randomization to a single mailing of patient and/or clinician educational materials vs control.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Analysis was performed on a modified intention-to-treat basis. The primary end point was the proportion of patients with at least 1 OAC prescription dispensed or at least 4 international normalized ratio test results within 1 year of the intervention.

RESULTS

Among 47 333 patients, there were 24 909 men (52.6%), the mean (SD) age was 77.9 (9.7) years, mean (SD) CHA2DS2-VASc score was 4.5 (1.7), 22 404 patients (47.3%) had an ATRIA (Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation) bleeding risk score of 5 or more, and 8890 patients (18.8%) had a history of hospitalization for bleeding. There were 2328 of 23 546 patients (9.9%) in the intervention group with initiation of OAC at 1 year compared with 2330 of 23 787 patients (9.8%) in the control group (adjusted OR, 1.01 [95% CI, 0.95-1.07]; P = .79).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among a large population with AF with a guideline indication for OACs for stroke prevention who were randomized to a mailed educational intervention or to usual care, there was no clinically meaningful, numerical, or statistically significant difference in rates of OAC initiation. More-intensive interventions are needed to try and address the public health issue of underuse of anticoagulation for stroke prevention among patients with AF.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03259373.

Cost-Effectiveness of Monitoring Patients Post-Stroke With Mobile ECG During the Hospital Stay

Background

The effectiveness of a nurse‐led in‐hospital monitoring protocol with mobile ECG (iECG) was investigated for detecting atrial fibrillation in patients post‐ischemic stroke or post‐transient ischemic attack. The study aimed to assess the cost‐effectiveness of using iECG during the initial hospital stay compared with standard 24‐hour Holter monitoring.

Methods and Results

A Markov microsimulation model was constructed to simulate the lifetime health outcomes and costs. The rate of atrial fibrillation detection in iECG and Holter monitoring during the in‐hospital phase and characteristics of modeled population (ie, age, sex, CHA2DS2‐VASc) were informed by patient‐level data. Costs related to recurrent stroke, stroke management, medications (new oral anticoagulants), and rehabilitation were included. The cost‐effectiveness analysis outcome was calculated as an incremental cost per quality‐adjusted life‐year gained. As results, monitoring patients with iECG post‐stroke during the index hospitalization was associated with marginally higher costs (A$31 196) and greater benefits (6.70 quality‐adjusted life‐years) compared with 24‐hour Holter surveillance (A$31 095 and 6.66 quality‐adjusted life‐years) over a 20‐year time horizon, with an incremental cost‐effectiveness ratio of $3013/ quality‐adjusted life‐years. Monitoring patients with iECG also contributed to lower recurrence of stroke and stroke‐related deaths (140 recurrent strokes and 20 deaths avoided per 10 000 patients). The probabilistic sensitivity analyses suggested iECG is highly likely to be a cost‐effective intervention (100% probability).

Conclusions

A nurse‐led iECG monitoring protocol during the acute hospital stay was found to improve the rate of atrial fibrillation detection and contributed to slightly increased costs and improved health outcomes. Using iECG to monitor patients post‐stroke during initial hospitalization is recommended to complement routine care.

Association of Sleep Duration, Midday Napping with Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Hypertension

Objective

This study aimed to assess the associations of sleep duration, midday napping and the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with hypertension.

Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional study enrolling 11,524 hypertensive participates from the Chinese Hypertension Registry Study. Information on sleep duration and midday napping were obtained by a self-administered questionnaire. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to estimate odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the risk of AF.

Results

Compared with sleeping 6 to ≤8 hours/night, those reporting shorter sleep duration (≤5 hours/night) had a greater risk of AF (OR 1.95; 95% CI 1.28–2.95) in the fully adjusted model, while longer sleep (≥9 hours/night) was not significantly associated with the risk of AF. Compared with nonhabitual nappers, nappers had a higher risk of AF (OR 1.28; 95% CI 1.03–1.60) in the fully adjusted model. Moreover, we observed significant joint effects of sleeping ≤5 hours/night and nap (OR 2.13; 95% CI 1.09–4.14) on the risk of AF after adjusting for confounding factors.

Conclusion

Short sleep duration and midday napping were independently and jointly associated with higher risks of AF in patients with hypertension.

Association Between Age and Outcomes of Catheter Ablation Versus Medical Therapy for Atrial Fibrillation: Results From the CABANA Trial

BACKGROUND

Observational data suggest that catheter ablation may be safe and effective to treat younger and older patients with atrial fibrillation. No large, randomized trial has examined this issue. This report describes outcomes according to age at entry in the CABANA trial (Catheter Ablation versus Antiarrhythmic Drug Therapy for Atrial Fibrillation).

METHODS

Patients with atrial fibrillation ≥65 years of age, or <65 with ≥1 risk factor for stroke, were randomly assigned to catheter ablation versus drug therapy. The primary outcome was a composite of death, disabling stroke, serious bleeding, or cardiac arrest. Secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality, the composite of mortality or cardiovascular hospitalization, and recurrence of atrial fibrillation. Treatment effect estimates were adjusted for baseline covariables using proportional hazards regression models.

RESULTS

Of 2204 patients randomly assigned in CABANA, 766 (34.8%) were <65 years of age, 1130 (51.3%) were 65 to 74 years of age, and 308 (14.0%) were ≥75 years of age. Catheter ablation was associated with a 43% reduction in the primary outcome for patients <65 years of age (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.57 [95% CI, 0.30-1.09]), a 21% reduction for 65 to 74 years of age (aHR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.54-1.16]), and an indeterminate effect for age ≥75 years of age (aHR, 1.39 [95% CI, 0.75-2.58]). Four-year event rates for ablation versus drug therapy across age groups, respectively, were 3.2% versus 7.8%, 7.8% versus 9.6%, and 14.8% versus 9.0%. For every 10-year increase in age, the primary outcome aHR increased (ie, less favorable to ablation) an average of 27% (interaction P value=0.215). A similar pattern was seen with all-cause mortality: for every 10-year increase in age, the aHR increased an average of 46% (interaction P value=0.111). Atrial fibrillation recurrence rates were lower with ablation than with drug therapy across age subgroups (aHR 0.47, 0.58, and 0.49, respectively). Treatment-related complications were infrequent for both arms (<3%) regardless of age.

CONCLUSIONS

We found age-based variations in clinical outcomes for catheter ablation compared with drug therapy, with the largest relative and absolute benefits of catheter ablation in younger patients. No prognostic benefits for ablation were seen in the oldest patients. No differences were found by age in treatment-related complications or in the relative effectiveness of catheter ablation in preventing recurrent atrial arrhythmias.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov; Unique identifier: NCT00911508.

SUPPORT-AF IV: Supporting use of AC through provider prompting about oral anticoagulation therapy for AF clinical trial study protocol

Background

Six million Americans suffer from atrial fibrillation (AF), a heart rhythm abnormality that significantly increases the risk of stroke. AF is responsible for 15% of ischemic strokes, which lead to permanent disability in 60% of cases and death in up to 20%. Anticoagulation (AC) is the mainstay for stroke prevention in patients with AF. Despite guidelines recommending AC for patients, up to half of eligible patients are not on AC. Clinical decision support tools in the electronic health record (EHR) can help bridge the disparity in AC prescription for patients with AF.

Objective

To enhance and assess the effectiveness of our previous rule-based alert on AC initiation and persistence in a diverse patient population from UMass-Memorial Medical Center and University of Florida at Jacksonville.

Methods/Results

Using the EHR, we will track AC initiation and persistence. We will interview both patients and providers to determine a measure of satisfaction with AC management. We will track digital crumbs to better understand the alert’s mechanism of effect and further add enhancements. These enhancements will be used to refine the alert and aid in developing an implementation toolkit to facilitate use of the alert at other health systems.

Conclusion

If the number of AC starts, the likelihood of persisting on AC, and the frequency alert use are found to be higher among intervention vs control providers, we believe such findings will confirm our hypothesis on the effectiveness of our alert.

Intermittent trapping of spiral waves in a cardiac model

Spiral waves are found in many excitable systems and are thought to play a role in the incoherent electrical activation that underlies cardiac arrhythmias. It is well-known that spiral waves can be permanently trapped by local heterogeneities. In this paper, we demonstrate that spiral waves can also be intermittently trapped by such heterogeneities. Using simulations of a cardiac model in two dimensions, we show that a tissue heterogeneity of sufficient strength or size can result in a spiral wave that is trapped for a few rotations, after which it dislodges and meanders away from the heterogeneity. We also show that these results can be captured by a particle model in which the particle represents the spiral wave tip. For both models, we construct a phase diagram which quantifies which parameter combinations of heterogeneity size and strength result in permanent, intermittent, or no trapping. Our results are consistent with clinical observations in patients with atrial fibrillation that showed that spiral wave reentry can be intermittent.

Geriatric conditions do not predict stroke or bleeding in long-term care residents with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Long-term care (LTC) providers prescribe anticoagulation (AC) less frequently in residents with atrial fibrillation (AF) and geriatric conditions independent of CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc stroke risk score. Geriatric conditions include recent fall, activities of daily living dependency, mobility impairment, cognitive impairment, low body mass index, and weight loss. Multiple publications have suggested that patients with geriatric conditions are at increased risk for stroke. Understanding better the risk of stroke and bleeding in residents with AF and geriatric conditions would be valuable to LTC providers for AC decision-making.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We measured the association of geriatric conditions with composite of stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA)/systemic embolism and bleeding in residents with AF and elevated stroke risk (CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score ≥ 2) living in American LTC facilities in 2015. After merging nursing home assessments (Minimum Data Set) with medication and hospital utilization records, we identified 209,413 eligible residents. Using generalized estimating equations, we found that the incidence of stroke/TIA/systemic embolism ranged from 0.13% to 0.26% over 30 days (1.43%-3.08%/year) in residents off AC with and without geriatric conditions adjusting for other resident characteristics including CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score and propensity to receive AC. Similarly, the monthly incidence of bleeding on AC ranged from 0.22% to 0.28% (2.61%-3.31%/year) without increased risk with geriatric conditions. Residents with a CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score of ≥7 had a 2.4-fold increased risk of stroke compared with those with score of 2-4 (0.30% vs. 0.12%/month).

CONCLUSION

Calculating a CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score can be helpful in AC decision-making for residents with and without geriatric conditions.

Usability and Perceived Usefulness of the AFib 2gether Mobile App in a Clinical Setting: Single-Arm Intervention Study

Background

Although the American Heart Association and other professional societies have recommended shared decision-making as a way for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) or atrial flutter to make informed decisions about using anticoagulation (AC), the best method for facilitating shared decision-making remains uncertain.

Objective

The aim of this study is to assess the AFib 2gether mobile app for usability, perceived usefulness, and the extent and nature of shared decision-making that occurred for clinical encounters between patients with AF and their cardiology providers in which the app was used.

Methods

We identified patients visiting a cardiology provider between October 2019 and May 2020. We measured usability from patients and providers using the Mobile App Rating Scale. From the 8 items of the Mobile App Rating Scale, we reported the average score (out of 5) for domains of functionality, esthetics, and overall quality. We administered a 3-item questionnaire to patients relating to their perceived usefulness of the app and a separate 3-item questionnaire to providers to measure their perceived usefulness of the app. We performed a chart review to track the occurrence of AC within 6 months of the index visit. We also audio recorded a subset of the encounters to identify evidence of shared decision-making.

Results

We facilitated shared decision-making visits for 37 patients visiting 13 providers. In terms of usability, patients’ average ratings of functionality, esthetics, and overall quality were 4.51 (SD 0.61), 4.26 (SD 0.51), and 4.24 (SD 0.89), respectively. In terms of usefulness, 41% (15/37) of patients agreed that the app improved their knowledge regarding AC, and 62% (23/37) agreed that the app helped clarify to their provider their preferences regarding AC. Among providers, 79% (27/34) agreed that the app helped clarify their patients’ preferences, 82% (28/34) agreed that the app saved them time, and 59% (20/34) agreed that the app helped their patients make decisions about AC. In addition, 32% (12/37) of patients started AC after their shared decision-making visits. We audio recorded 25 encounters. Of these, 84% (21/25) included the mention of AC for AF, 44% (11/25) included the discussion of multiple options for AC, 72% (18/25) included a provider recommendation for AC, and 48% (12/25) included the evidence of patient involvement in the discussion.

Conclusions

Patients and providers rated the app with high usability and perceived usefulness. Moreover, one-third of the patients began AC, and approximately 50% (12/25) of the encounters showed evidence of patient involvement in decision-making. In the future, we plan to study the effect of the app on a larger sample and with a controlled study design.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04118270; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04118270

International Registered Report Identifier (IRRID)

RR2-21986

Temporal trends in cause-specific mortality among individuals with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation in the Framingham Heart Study

BACKGROUND

All-cause mortality following atrial fibrillation (AF) has decreased over time. Data regarding temporal trends in causes of death among individuals with AF are scarce. The aim of our study was to analyze temporal trends in cause-specific mortality and predictors for cardiovascular (CVD) and non-CVD deaths among participants with incident AF in the Framingham Heart Study.

METHODS

We categorized all newly diagnosed AF cases according to age at AF diagnosis (< 70, 70 to < 80, and ≥ 80 years) and epoch of AF diagnosis (< 1990, 1990-2002, and ≥ 2003). We followed participants until death or the last follow-up. We categorized death causes into CVD, non-CVD, and unknown causes. For each age group, we tested for trends in the cumulative incidence of cause-specific death across epochs. We fit multivariable Fine-Gray models to assess subdistribution hazard ratios (HR) between clinical risk factors at AF diagnosis and cause-specific mortality.

RESULTS

We included 2125 newly diagnosed AF cases (mean age 75.5 years, 47.8% women). During a median follow-up of 4.8 years, 1657 individuals with AF died. There was evidence of decreasing CVD mortality among AF cases diagnosed < 70 years and 70 to < 80 years (ptrend < 0.001) but not ≥ 80 years (p = 0.76). Among the cases diagnosed < 70 years, the cumulative incidence of CVD death at 75 years was 67.7% in epoch 1 and 13.9% in epoch 3; among those 70 to < 80 years, the incidence at 85 years was 58.9% in epoch 1 and 18.9% in epoch 3. Advancing age (HR per 1 SD increase 6.33, 95% CI 5.44 to 7.37), prior heart failure (HR 1.49, 95% CI 1.14-1.94), and prior myocardial infarction (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.15-1.80) were associated with increased rate of CVD death.

CONCLUSIONS

In this community-based cohort, CVD mortality among AF cases decreased over time. Most deaths in individuals with AF are no longer CVD-related, regardless of age at AF diagnosis.

Persistent Atrial Fibrillation: The Role of Left Atrial Posterior Wall Isolation and Ablation Strategies

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a global disease with rapidly rising incidence and prevalence. It is associated with a higher risk of stroke, dementia, cognitive decline, sudden and cardiovascular death, heart failure and impairment in quality of life. The disease is a major burden on the healthcare system. Paroxysmal AF is typically managed with medications or endocardial catheter ablation to good effect. However, a large proportion of patients with AF have persistent or long-standing persistent AF, which are more complex forms of the condition and thus more difficult to treat. This is in part due to the progressive electro-anatomical changes that occur with AF persistence and the spread of arrhythmogenic triggers and substrates outside of the pulmonary veins. The posterior wall of the left atrium is a common site for these changes and has become a target of ablation strategies to treat these more resistant forms of AF. In this review, we discuss the role of the posterior left atrial wall in persistent and long-standing persistent AF, the limitations of current endocardial-focused treatment strategies, and future perspectives on hybrid epicardial-endocardial approaches to posterior wall isolation or ablation.

Relation Classification for Bleeding Events From Electronic Health Records Using Deep Learning Systems: An Empirical Study

BACKGROUND

Accurate detection of bleeding events from electronic health records (EHRs) is crucial for identifying and characterizing different common and serious medical problems. To extract such information from EHRs, it is essential to identify the relations between bleeding events and related clinical entities (eg, bleeding anatomic sites and lab tests). With the advent of natural language processing (NLP) and deep learning (DL)-based techniques, many studies have focused on their applicability for various clinical applications. However, no prior work has utilized DL to extract relations between bleeding events and relevant entities.

OBJECTIVE

In this study, we aimed to evaluate multiple DL systems on a novel EHR data set for bleeding event-related relation classification.

METHODS

We first expert annotated a new data set of 1046 deidentified EHR notes for bleeding events and their attributes. On this data set, we evaluated three state-of-the-art DL architectures for the bleeding event relation classification task, namely, convolutional neural network (CNN), attention-guided graph convolutional network (AGGCN), and Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT). We used three BERT-based models, namely, BERT pretrained on biomedical data (BioBERT), BioBERT pretrained on clinical text (Bio+Clinical BERT), and BioBERT pretrained on EHR notes (EhrBERT).

RESULTS

Our experiments showed that the BERT-based models significantly outperformed the CNN and AGGCN models. Specifically, BioBERT achieved a macro F1 score of 0.842, outperforming both the AGGCN (macro F1 score, 0.828) and CNN models (macro F1 score, 0.763) by 1.4% (P<.001) and 7.9% (P<.001), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In this comprehensive study, we explored and compared different DL systems to classify relations between bleeding events and other medical concepts. On our corpus, BERT-based models outperformed other DL models for identifying the relations of bleeding-related entities. In addition to pretrained contextualized word representation, BERT-based models benefited from the use of target entity representation over traditional sequence representation.

Single-Incision Thoracoscopic Left Atrial Appendage Ligation: First Reported Experience

Atrial fibrillation is an increasingly prevalent entity faced by cardiac surgeons. While oral anticoagulation therapy aims to reduce the risk of thromboembolic events patients may desire to discontinue these medications or develop contraindications to their use. Left atrial appendage ligation permits stoppage of oral anticoagulation while also reducing the risk of cerebrovascular events. This manuscript describes the techniques employed in the first reported successful uniportal/single-incision, thoracoscopic epicardial left atrial appendage ligation.

Katheterablation bei asymptomatischem Vorhofflimmern – Wer profitiert?

Die Katheterablation von paroxysmalem oder persistierendem Vorhofflimmern hat sich in den letzten Jahren als überlegene Therapiebehandlung zur Rhythmusstabilisierung gegenüber Antiarrhythmika etabliert. Allerdings wird diese Behandlung nach den aktuellen Leitlinien nur bei symptomatischen Patienten empfohlen. Ein großer Teil der Vorhofflimmerpatienten bleibt jedoch asymptomatisch. Ältere Studien konnten keinen Vorteil bezüglich der Letalitäts- oder Apoplexreduktion durch Rhythmusstabilisierung nachweisen. Eine aktuelle randomisierte Studie zeigt erstmalig eine Reduktion der kardiovaskulären Ereignisse, aber nicht der Gesamtletalität. Ist nach aktueller Datenlage eine Katheterablation im Falle von asymptomatischen Patienten berechtigt und wer könnte davon profitieren?

Does Surgical Ablation of Atrial Fibrillation Benefit Patients Undergoing Bioprosthetic Valve Replacement?

The benefit of avoiding lifelong anticoagulation therapy in patients with bioprosthetic heart valve implantation may potentially be offset by atrial fibrillation (AF); however, clinical impact of surgical AF ablation in such patients remains controversial. We enrolled 426 patients (aged 72.0 ± 7.8 years) with AF who underwent left-side valve replacement with bioprostheses between 2001 and 2018. Of these, 297 underwent concomitant surgical ablation (ablation group) and 129 underwent valve replacement alone (non-ablation group). Clinical outcomes were compared, and mortality was considered as a competing risk factor against valve-related complications. Inverse-probability weighting (IPTW) was adopted to reduce selection bias. The ablation group had lower baseline risk profiles than the non-ablation group. In crude analysis, early mortality rates were 3.4% and 7.0% in the ablation and non-ablation groups, respectively (P = 0.104). During follow-up (1521.9 patient-years), the ablation group showed lower AF-recurrence (P < 0.001) and anticoagulant medication rate (P = 0.021), and lower overall mortality risk (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR], 0.63; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.42-0.94), but higher risk of permanent pacemaker implantation (SHR, 4.67; 95% CI, 1.36-16.05). No significant difference in the risk of stroke (SHR, 1.27; 95% CI, 0.55-2.95) was observed between the groups. After baseline IPTW-adjustment, findings of the clinical outcomes were analogous to those from crude analyses. In patients undergoing bioprosthetic valve replacement, the addition of surgical ablation was associated with improved rhythm outcomes and survival but at the expense of a higher risk of pacemaker implantation. The underlying mechanism of improved survival by AF ablation needs further investigation.

Low-Level Tragus Stimulation Modulates Atrial Alternans and Fibrillation Burden in Patients With Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation

Background

Low‐level tragus stimulation (LLTS) has been shown to significantly reduce atrial fibrillation (AF) burden in patients with paroxysmal AF. P‐wave alternans (PWA) is believed to be generated by the same substrate responsible for AF. Hence, PWA may serve as a marker in guiding LLTS therapy. We investigated the utility of PWA in guiding LLTS therapy in patients with AF.

Methods and Results

Twenty‐eight patients with AF were randomized to either active LLTS or sham (earlobe stimulation). LLTS was delivered through a transcutaneous electrical nerve stimulation device (pulse width 200 μs, frequency 20 Hz, amplitude 10–50 mA), for 1 hour daily over a 6‐month period. AF burden over 2‐week periods was assessed by noninvasive continuous ECG monitoring at baseline, 3 months, and 6 months. A 5‐minute control ECG for PWA analysis was recorded during all 3 follow‐up visits. Following the control ECG, an additional 5‐minute ECG was recorded during active LLTS in all patients. At baseline, acute LLTS led to a significant rise in PWA burden. However, active patients receiving chronic LLTS demonstrated a significant reduction in both PWA and AF burden after 6 months (P<0.05). Active patients who demonstrated an increase in PWA burden with acute LLTS showed a significant drop in AF burden after 6 months of chronic LLTS.

Conclusions

Chronic, intermittent LLTS resulted in lower PWA and AF burden than did sham control stimulation. Our results support the use of PWA as a potential marker for guiding LLTS treatment of paroxysmal AF.

Incidence and Mortality Trends of Atrial Fibrillation/Atrial Flutter in the United States 1990 to 2017

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and flutter (AFL) are the most common clinically significant arrhythmias in older adults with an increasing disease burden due to an aging population. However, up-to-date trends in disease burden and regional variation remain unknown. In an observational study utilizing the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database, age-standardized mortality and incidence rates for AF overall and for each state in the United States (US) from 1990 to 2017 were determined. All analyses were stratified by gender. The relative change in age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized death rate (ASDR) over the observation period were determined. Trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression analysis. The mean ASIR per 100,000 population for men was 92 (+/-8) and for women was 62 (+/-5) in the US in 2017. The mean ASDR per 100,000 population for men was 5.8 (+/-0.3) and for women was 4.4 (+/-0.4). There were progressive increases in ASIR and ASDR in all but 1 state. The states with the greatest percentage change in incidence were New Hampshire (+13.5%) and Idaho (+16.0%) for men and women, respectively. The greatest change regarding mortality was seen in Mississippi (+26.3%) for men and Oregon (+53.8%) for women. In conclusion these findings provide updated evidence of increasing AF and/or AFL incidence and mortality on a national and regional level in the US, with women experiencing greater increases in incidence and mortality rates. This study demonstrates that the public health burden related to AF in the United States is progressively worsening but disproportionately across states and among women.

Atrial fibrillation increases the risk of recurrent ventricular tachyarrhythmias in implantable cardioverter defibrillator recipients

BACKGROUND

Data regarding recurrences of ventricular tachyarrhythmias in implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) recipients according to atrial fibrillation is limited.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the prognostic impact of atrial fibrillation on recurrences of ventricular tachyarrhythmias in implantable cardioverter defibrillator recipients.

METHODS

A large retrospective registry was used, including all ICD recipients with episodes of ventricular tachycardia or fibrillation from 2002 to 2016. Patients with atrial fibrillation were compared to those without atrial fibrillation. The primary endpoint was first recurrence of ventricular tachyarrhythmias at 5 years. Secondary endpoints comprised recurrences of ICD-related therapies, first cardiac rehospitalization and all-cause mortality at 5 years. Cox regression, Kaplan-Meier and propensity score-matching analyses were applied.

RESULTS

A total of 592 consecutive ICD recipients were included (33% with atrial fibrillation). Atrial fibrillation was associated with reduced freedom from recurrent ventricular tachyarrhythmias (42% vs. 50%, log-rank P=0.004; hazard ratio 1.445, 95% confidence interval 1.124-1.858), mainly attributable to recurrent ventricular fibrillation in secondary-preventive ICD recipients. Accordingly, atrial fibrillation was associated with reduced freedom from first appropriate ICD therapies (31% vs. 42%, log-rank P=0.001; hazard ratio 1.598, 95% confidence interval 1.206-2.118). Notably, the primary endpoint of freedom from first episode of recurrent ventricular tachyarrhythmias was still reduced in those with atrial fibrillation compared to those without atrial fibrillation after propensity score matching. Regarding secondary endpoints, patients with atrial fibrillation still showed a trend towards reduced freedom from appropriate ICD therapies.

CONCLUSIONS

Atrial fibrillation was associated with increased rates of recurrent ventricular tachyarrhythmias and appropriate device therapies in ICD recipients with ventricular tachyarrhythmias.