Lipid levels, apolipoproteins, and risk of incident atrial fibrillation in men: A report from the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study (KIHD)

Association Between Remnant Cholesterol and Risk of Incident Atrial Fibrillation: Population-Based Evidence From a Large-Scale Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Evidence for the relationship between remnant cholesterol (RC) and incident atrial fibrillation (AF) risk remains sparse and limited.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Participants were enrolled between 2006 and 2010 and followed up to 2021. The multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the relationship between RC quartiles and risk of incident AF. Subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses were performed to explore the potential modification of the association and the robustness of the main findings. A total of 422 316 participants (mean age, 56 years; 54% women) were included for analyses. During a median follow-up of 11.9 years (first quartile-third quartile, 11.6-13.2 years), there were 24 774 AF events documented with an incidence of 4.92 events per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 4.86-4.98). Participants in higher RC quartiles had a lower risk of incident AF than those in the lowest quartile (first quartile): hazard ratio (HR)=0.96 (95% CI, 0.91-1.00) for second quartile; HR=0.92 (95% CI, 0.88-0.96) for third quartile; and HR=0.85 (95% CI, 0.81-0.89) for fourth quartile (P for trend <0.001). The association between RC quartiles and risk of incident AF was stronger in participants aged ≥65 years, in men, and in participants without history of diabetes when compared with control groups (P<0.001 for interaction).

CONCLUSIONS

On the basis of data from this large-scale prospective cohort study, elevated RC was associated with a lower risk of incident AF.

Meta-analysis of the Current Research on the Relationship Between Blood Lipid Levels and the Occurrence of Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

There is still debate in the literature about the relationship between lipid profile and the occurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF). In order to assess the association between blood lipid profiles and incidence of AF, this review was conducted to perform a meta-analysis of all available studies.

METHODS

This review analysed all studies up to 28 February 2023 in PubMed, Google Scholar, and the Cochrane Library that included data regarding blood lipid levels and incidence of AF. For the purpose of calculating pooled estimates, the hazard ratios were extracted from all studies.

RESULTS

Fourteen studies including 19 cohorts with 3,990,484 patients were included in this meta-analysis. An elevation of one standard deviation in total cholesterol (TC) level was associated with an 8% reduction (HR=0.92, 0.88-0.96; p<0.01) in the risk of developing AF. Although increased low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels were associated with a 7% reduction in the development of AF (HR=0.93, 0.87-1.00; p=0.04), there was high heterogeneity in the random effects model (I2=92%). Changes in high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and triglyceride levels were not found to be associated with AF risk in the pooled analysis. Dose-response meta-analysis showed that TC was inversely linearly associated with the risk of AF (p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher TC levels were shown to be independently attributed to an increased risk of AF in individuals without cardiovascular disease. There was no association between the incidence of AF and triglyceride, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, or low-density lipoprotein cholesterol blood levels.