Comparative evaluation for recycling waste power batteries with different collection modes based on Stackelberg game

Strategies for promoting consumer participation in the collection of retired electric vehicle batteries

As leading countries in the battery market implement regulations on electric vehicle battery recycling and reuse, value chains for these processes are being developed. In particular, the operation of recycling and reuse businesses begins with the collection of electric vehicle batteries, which is currently left to the free market. This study explored the design of electric vehicle battery collection programs, focusing on the growing number of retired electric vehicle batteries. A choice experiment was conducted to analyze consumer preferences for six program attributes: return method, program operator, obligatory contract, information provision, battery usage period, and reward. This study found that consumers have a strong preference for programs that provide a pickup service and information regarding the programs and emissions reduction from recycling and reusing electric vehicle batteries. Notably, respondents were willing to accept lower rewards for a pickup service (USD 0.571/kWh) and for information provision (USD 0.649/kWh). This study offers practical implications for companies seeking to develop profitable battery collection programs. The findings also provide valuable insights for designing such programs and enhancing consumer participation in the battery collection.

The secrets to high-level green technology innovation of China's waste power battery recycling enterprises

Green technology innovation (GTI) in China's waste power battery recycling (WPBR) sector is a key driver for sustainable resource management, environmental protection, and economic prosperity. Using the PSR-BN-GPT-4 model and multi-source data, this study explores China's WPBRenterprises' high-level GTI mechanism. The research concludes that (1) Compared to traditional expert knowledge, the Bayesian network model based on GPT-4 exhibits superior causal reasoning capability. (2) The current level of GTI in China's WPBR industry is relatively low, with the probability of high-level GTI being only 19%. (3) Key factors identified include incentives like R&D investment, bottlenecks such as green finance policy tools, and hindrances like government procurement policy tools. (4) "Supporting Infrastructure Policy Tools - Recycling Outlets Number - Market Potential -Green Technology Innovation" and "Green Finance Policy Tools - R&D Investment - Green Technology Innovation" are two critical paths for enhancing the high-level development of GTI in WPBR enterprises. The study offers valuable insights for governmental, industrial, and corporate decision-making regarding GTI in battery recycling.

Research on accelerating the recycling efficiency of waste batteries for new energy vehicles based on a stochastic evolutionary game model

Although the rapid development of new energy vehicles (NEV) has contributed greatly to China's carbon emission reduction, it has also brought about a problem that needs to be solved, namely the effective recycling of waste batteries. Existing recycling of waste batteries is plagued by a series of problems such as a single recycling channel, inconsistent recycling standards, lack of recycling technology, rampant irregular recycling enterprises, and low consumer participation. Meanwhile, due to the immaturity of the recycling market, the lack of clarity of existing regulations, and the lack of supervision and management, the above problems are becoming more and more serious. Therefore, to solve these problems, this paper constructs a four-party stochastic evolutionary game model including government regulators, NEV enterprises, third-party recycling enterprises, and consumers. Focus on analyzing the impact of relevant parameters on the choice of strategies by participants, and put forward proposed countermeasures to promote the effective recycling of waste batteries based on the conclusions.

Comparative evaluation of different recycling modes for decommissioned photovoltaic products based on stackelberg game

China is the photovoltaic (PV) leader worldwide and will be confronted with significant challenges stemming from the scrap tide of PV products. Constructing an effective recycling system is essential for retired PV product management. Using the Stackelberg game theory, this study establishes and compares three recycling modes including manufacturer recycling, third-party recycling, and producer responsibility organization (PRO) recycling for decommissioned PV products. Afterward, the effects of module processing costs, echelon utilization rates, and collection subsidies on the transfer prices, collection quantities, supply chain profits, and carbon emissions of the various recycling modes are simulated and analyzed. The results reveal that: (1) The manufacturer recycling realizes optimal supply chain profits; (2) Compared to the PRO recycling mode, the third-party recycling experiences superior performances when retired module processing costs are lower than a specific threshold; (3) Uplifting echelon utilization rates and collection subsidies while reducing module processing costs could supplement the overall economic and environmental benefits within the PV closed-loop supply chain (CLSC); (4) Environmental performances of the different recycling modes are associated with the carbon emission reduction efficiency. Accordingly, valuable insights are provided for manufacturers, recyclers, and governments to develop a sustainable retired PV product recycling system.

Power battery modular innovation investment strategies with government subsidy policies

This paper investigates the closed-loop supply chain decisions of battery manufacturers considering innovation investments and different subsidy methods provided by the government. The analysis encompasses four scenarios: whether battery manufacturers engage in innovation investments and whether the government opts for technology R&D subsidies or production subsidies. The study finds that innovation investments by battery manufacturers can enhance the modularization level of batteries. The reward or penalty measures for recycling quality imposed on automobile manufacturers elevate the quality of battery recycling, and also increase the wholesale price of batteries and the retail price of automobiles. After implementing R&D and production subsidies, both the modularization level of batteries and the profits of supply chain members exceed those without subsidies, though these subsidies do not affect the quality of battery recycling. R&D subsidies more effectively promote innovation capacity and product quality among battery manufacturers, whereas production subsidies more significantly boost the profits of both battery manufacturers and automobile manufacturers. Therefore, subsidy measures should be tailored according to different stages of the power battery industry's development. Regardless of whether battery manufacturers invest in innovation or whether the government provides subsidies, collaboration between battery manufacturers and automobile manufacturers is essential to coordinate the closed-loop supply chain. The research findings offer valuable guidance for formulating subsidy policies in the new energy vehicle industry across different periods, and also provide theoretical insights for decision-making behaviors among related enterprises.

Multiple benefits of new-energy vehicle power battery recycling strategies based on the theory of planned behavior and stimulus organism response

With the yearly increasing market penetration of new-energy vehicles in China, the retirement of power batteries has gradually become a scale, and most of the waste batteries have entered informal recycling channels, which has induced a series of environmental problems. Considering this issue, we introduced the system dynamics (SD), stimulus organism response (SOR), and the theory of planned behavior (TPB) in behavioral economics to establish the environmental economic benefit evaluation model of power battery recycling strategies, and we performed a dynamic simulation analysis on the effect of government subsidy policy, policy advocacy, and other recycling strategies. The results show that: (1) the recovery subsidy policy can improve the formal recycling quantity and economic benefits of recovery, but the effect on the degree of environmental pollution is limited. (2) The combination of environmental awareness promotion strategy and subsidy policy can overcome the shortcomings of subsidy policy and has significant environmental and economic performance. (3) Compared with the benchmark scenario, the formal recycling quantity, the CO2 emission reduction, and the economic benefits of recovery in scenario 4 (high subsidy-high policy propaganda strategy) increased by approximately 112 %, 208 %, and 223 %, respectively, and the degree of environmental pollution decreased by approximately 65 %.

Sustainability of new energy vehicles from a battery recycling perspective: A bibliometric analysis

In recent years, new energy vehicles (NEVs) have taken the world by storm. A large number of NEV batteries have been scrapped, and research on NEV battery recycling is important for promoting the sustainable development of NEVs. Battery recycling is an important aspect of the sustainable development of NEVs. In this study, we conducted an in-depth analysis of the current status of research on NEV battery recycling from a new perspective using bibliometric methods and visualization software. This study shows that research targeting the recycling of NEV batteries is growing rapidly, and collaborative networks exist among researchers from different countries, institutions, and fields. The focus of research has shifted from lead-acid batteries to lithium batteries, and the supply chain and circular economy related to NEV battery recycling is an emerging research hotspot. Based on our analysis, we propose that the government should establish policies to improve the recycling networks at the collection stage and provide subsidies to attract consumers. Enterprises should develop low-cobalt and cobalt-free technologies, utilize green solvents, and develop new battery swap modes. The establishment of an information platform is conducive to the further development of collaborative networks.

Blockchain technology embedded in the power battery for echelon recycling selection under the mechanism of traceability

This paper examines the use of blockchain technology in power battery echelon recycling. The technology helps to improve battery capacity identification and market transaction trust. The study focuses on power battery manufacturers and recycling participants. Two recycling modes are constructed using the Stackelberg game method, and the optimal decision-making of the participating subjects in the two modes of power battery echelon recycling under the embedding of blockchain technology is compared. The influence of each parameter on the optimal decision-making is analyzed. The research findings indicate that the degree of blockchain technology integration rises as the preference coefficient for traceability information increases. When recycling competition is intense and the sensitivity of recycling prices is low, the optimal recycling model for the number of spent power batteries (SPBs) to be recycled is the model in which echelon utilizers do not participate in recycling if the level of cost optimization coefficient embedded in blockchain technology is high, otherwise, it is the model in which echelon utilizers participate in recycling. The profit of power battery manufacturers and echelon utilizers decreases with the increase of the intensity of power battery recycling competition, the cost optimization coefficient of echelon utilizers and the cost optimization coefficient of manufacturers.

Dynamic optimization of battery recycling e-platforms under non-equalizing supply and demand: Recycling price and service commissions

With the rapid advancement of electric vehicles (EVs), the burgeoning increase in used power batteries necessitates the development of efficient battery recycling e-platforms. A key challenge in this field is the mismatch between supply and demand. In response, a dynamic optimization model is proposed to capture the non-equalizing supply-demand relationship and its linkage over continuous periods to enable dynamic simulations and predictions of transaction volume changes. Meanwhile, pricing and commission-setting strategies are optimized based on the objectives of maximizing social welfare and platform revenue. The result shows that due to the lower recycling volumes that result, increasing the recycling price usually increases platform revenues, exacerbates environmental costs, and leads to lower social welfare. Moreover, platform revenues are more sensitive to commission rates than social welfare, which is more vulnerable to recycling prices. Furthermore, prioritizing social welfare leads to a higher recycling volume compared to prioritizing revenue, but it also creates an imbalance between supply and demand, destabilizing the recycling market. With the dynamic pricing and commission strategies, this study enriches the literature in the third-party recycling mode for power batteries, offering a novel perspective that is more aligned with real-world operational conditions. Our findings help platforms clarify the impact of pricing and commission decisions on platform revenue and social welfare and thereby provide support for their decision optimization.

The optimization of an EV decommissioned battery recycling network: A third-party approach

In this paper, we solve the urgent problem to construct a recycling network of decommissioned batteries of Electric Vehicles (EVs) and clarify the recycling entities that will be responsible for its reverse logistics (RL) process. We consider the third-party recycling entities to develop a recycling network and conduct a case-study of Xi'an, a key industry of EVs in China to provide a reference for the government and enterprises to develop recycling plans. We scientifically optimize our recycling network, which will have a significant impact on the environmental and economic benefits of electric vehicles (EVs) in Xi'an in the future. Specifically, we consider the costs of transportation, construction, operation, recycling, packaging, and emission, as well as the profits achieved through sales revenue and subsidy offerings. We collect the actual data of potential facility locations in Xi'an, predict the quantity of decommissioned batteries in the future, and develop a fuzzy-based model to solve the optimal results of battery traveling path and distribution in the recycling process network. Our results show that with the rapid growth of the number of decommissioned batteries, third-party revenues will reach about 53.08 billion by 2035. When the facilities split the recycling process load appropriately, the network has increase in revenue while the utilization rate of facilities will decrease. We expect that splitting will be a major trend in the future development of recycling network in Xi'an. Finally, a sensitivity analysis finds that with the environmentally conscious and safe operation of recycling, the negative impact on the third-party enterprises' revenue will be small. Our proposed methodology can serve as a critical framework for other cities and governments to plan their recycling networks and formulate regulations, reflecting on the realistic projection of the scale of decommissioned batteries of EVs and the potential siting and sizing of the recycling facilities.

Recycling technologies, policies, prospects, and challenges for spent batteries

The recycling of spent batteries is an important concern in resource conservation and environmental protection, while it is facing challenges such as insufficient recycling channels, high costs, and technical difficulties. To address these issues, a review of the recycling of spent batteries, emphasizing the importance and potential value of recycling is conducted. Besides, the recycling policies and strategies implemented in representative countries are summarized, providing legal and policy support for the recycling industry. Moreover, a comprehensive classification and comparison of recycling technologies identify the characteristics and current status of different approaches. The integrated recycling technology provides a better recycling performance with zero-pollution recycling of spent battery. Biorecycling technology is expected to gain a broad development prospect in the future owing to the superiority of energy-saving and environmental protection, high recycling efficiency, via microbial degradation, enzymatic degradation, etc. Consequently, as for the existing recycling challenges of waste batteries, developing new recycling technology and perfecting its recycling system is an indispensable guarantee for the sustainable development of waste battery. Meanwhile, theoretical support is offered for the recycling of spent batteries.

Forecasting of secondary lead recovery from motorcycle batteries in Brazil: a contribution to waste management

This study aims to predict the potential for secondary lead recovery from motorcycle batteries in Brazil, since this is considered the second largest category of automobiles in the country. To achieve this objective, a forecasting model based on the ARIMA methodology was applied, with input data taken from Brazilian sectorial platforms. Furthermore, an analysis of the data, of the residuals, autocorrelation tests, as well as Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Dickey-Fuller tests, were performed. The SARIMA model (3,1,0) (2,0,0)12 presented a better adaptation to the behavior of the series. The results showed that the amount of secondary lead obtained based on the forecast model will be 89,972,842.08 million tons between 2021 and 2030 (14 million tons of lead originated only from motorcycle LABs in 2021). These results show a possible insufficiency of the installed capacity to supply the amount of lead to be processed in the country, not to mention the LABs from other vehicles (light and heavy) and other emerging battery technologies from electric vehicles. In addition, an analysis was conducted on the importance of secondary lead for the economy and the dangers of illegal recycling in Brazil. In general, this study contributes to the understanding of the importance of secondary production of lead in Brazil, an important asset for a country that does not have sufficient primary production for its domestic demand. The findings may assist in several alternatives for the proper planning and management of the collection, disposal and recycling of lead, providing the Brazilian government with directions for the development of new policies related to lead recycling.

Carbon reduction behavior of waste power battery recycling enterprises considering learning effects

The carbon reduction behavior of waste power battery recycling (WPBR) enterprises is essential for promoting resource conservation and environmental protection. Introducing the learning effects of carbon reduction research and development (R&D) investment, this study constructs an evolutionary game model between local governments and WPBR enterprises to study the behavior choice of carbon reduction. The paper explores the evolutionary process and factors affecting carbon reduction behavior choices of WPBR enterprises from internal R&D motivation and external regulation perspectives. The critical results reveal that the existence of learning effects significantly reduces the probability of environmental regulation by local governments while effectively increasing the probability of WPBR enterprises implementing carbon reduction. The learning rate index positively correlates with the likelihood of enterprises implementing carbon emissions reduction. In addition, carbon reduction subsidies considerably maintain considerably negative relation with the probability of enterprise carbon reduction behavior. The following conclusions are drawn: (1) The learning effect of carbon reduction R&D investment is the intrinsic driving force for WPBR enterprises' carbon reduction behavior, which can promote enterprises to proactively implement carbon reduction under fewer constraints of government environmental regulation; (2) Pollution fines and carbon trade prices in environmental regulation can promote enterprises carbon reduction, while carbon reduction subsidies inhibit their reduction behavior; (3) There exists an evolutionarily stable strategy between government-enterprise game only under the dynamic mechanism. The research provides insights for decision-making on enterprises' carbon reduction R&D investment and local government environmental regulation policy under carbon reduction targets.

Can the new energy vehicles (NEVs) and power battery industry help China to meet the carbon neutrality goal before 2060?

China is working to boost the manufacture, market share, sales, and use of NEVs to replace fuel vehicles in transportation sector to get carbon reduction target by 2060. In this research, using Simapro life cycle assessment software and Eco-invent database, the market share, carbon footprint, and life cycle analysis of fuel vehicles, NEVs, and batteries were calculated from the last five years to next 25 years, with a focus on the sustainable development. Results indicate globally, China had 293.98 m vehicles and 45.22% worldwide highest market share, followed by Germany with 224.97 m and 42.22% shares. Annually China's NEVs production rate is 50%, and sales account for 35%, while the carbon footprint will account for 5.2 E+07 to 4.89 E+07 kgCO2e by 2021-2035. The power battery production 219.7 GWh reaches 150%-163.4%, whereas carbon footprint values in production and use stage of 1 kWh of LFP 44.0 kgCO₂eq, NCM-146.8 kgCO₂eq, and NCA-370 kgCO₂eq. The single carbon footprint of LFP is smallest at about 5.52 E+09, while NCM is highest at 1.84 E+10. Thus, using NEVs, and LFP batteries will reduce carbon emissions by 56.33%-103.14% and 56.33% or 0.64 Gt to 0.006 Gt by 2060. LCA analysis of NEVs and batteries at manufacturing and using stages quantified the environmental impact ranked from highest to lowest as ADP > AP > GWP > EP > POCP > ODP. ADP(e) and ADP(f) at manufacturing stage account for 14.7%, while other components account for 83.3% during the use stage. Conclusive findings are higher sales and use of NEVs, LFP, and reduction in coal-fired power generation from 70.92% to 50%, and increase in renewable energy sources in electricity generation expectedly will reduce carbon footprint by 31% and environmental impact on acid rain, ozone depletion, and photochemical smog. Finally, to achieve carbon neutrality in China, the NEVs industry must be supported by incentive policies, financial aid, technological improvements, and research and development. This would improve NEV's supply, demand, and environmental impact.

The economic and environmental impacts of shared collection service systems for retired electric vehicle batteries

One of the impending consequences of the rapid penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) is that a substantial amount of expired EV batteries will present an increasing waste collection and management problem, particularly in the urban context. Motivated by a lack of research on this issue, this paper comprehensively evaluates the relative benefits of shared versus non-shared collection systems, where the service outlets are not exclusive to specified automakers. Using a mixed-integer optimization model, the analysis features spatiotemporal and multiple stakeholder complexities. Based on the historical monthly EV sales data from 2016 to 2021, a representative case study of Beijing, China is conducted, including 16 district centers, 32 major automobile manufacturers, 153 collection service outlets and 4 disposal centers. The results show that a shared collection service system leads to higher profitability, higher collection rates, increased environmental benefits and improved facility utilization. Consequently, this research contributes to supply chain liberalization to foster the efficient waste management of EV batteries. With a further model extension, it can also provide decision support for the policy-making of more countries.

Performance evaluation of regulatory schemes for retired electric vehicle battery recycling within dual-recycle channels

As electric vehicles (EVs) are developing at a rapid pace, the foreseeable "scrap tide" of EV batteries poses a severe challenge to ecological protection. This article investigates a dual-recycle channel closed-loop supply chain and provides regulatory solutions to retired EV batteries' recycling. Specifically, we construct four supervision scenarios: S1 no policy intervention, S2 reward-penalty scheme, S3 deposit-refund scheme, and S4 dual scheme combining S2 and S3. Based on the Stackelberg game and empirical data, all scenarios' recycling performance is evaluated and compared with a view to "society, economy, and environment". The results revealed: (1) Compared with S1, the recycling rate and carbon reduction rate in S2∼S4 increase by 2.6049%/0.0092%, 4.0379%/0.0285%, and 6.6660%/0.0379%, respectively; (2) The difference between S2 and S3 in recycling performance depends on regulatory intensities, yet the latter places greater burdens on consumers and firms. The S4 presents optimal environmental performance but at the expense of socioeconomic development; (3) As regulatory intensity increases, social welfare rises driven by environmental benefits, then falls due to overburdened supply chain profits, consumer surplus, and policy expenditures; (4) Carbon trading prices and EVs' potential market sizes affect regulatory schemes' operations. Our results contribute to policy-making and managerial practices for EV battery recycling.

Literature Review on Power Battery Echelon Reuse and Recycling from a Circular Economy Perspective

Developing new energy vehicles (NEVs) is necessary to grow the low-carbon vehicle industry. Many concentrated end-of-life (EoL) power batteries will cause large-scale environmental pollution and safety accidents when the time comes to replace the first generation of batteries if improper recycling and disposal methods are utilized. Significant negative externalities will result for the environment and other economic entities. When recycling EoL power batteries, some countries need to solve problems about lower recycling rates, unclear division of echelon utilization scenarios, and incomplete recycling systems. Therefore, this paper first analyzes representative countries' power battery recycling policies and finds out the reasons for the low recycling rate in some countries. It is also found that echelon utilization is the critical link to EoL power battery recycling. Secondly, this paper summarizes the existing recycling models and systems to form a complete closed-loop recycling process from the two stages of consumer recycling and corporate disposal of batteries. The policies and recycling technologies are highly concerned with echelon utilization, but few studies focus on analyzing application scenarios of echelon utilization. Therefore, this paper combines cases to delineate the echelon utilization scenarios clearly. Based on this, the 4R EoL power battery recycling system is proposed, which improves the existing recycling system and can recycle EoL power batteries efficiently. Finally, this paper analyzes the existing policy problems and existing technical challenges. Based on the actual situation and future development trends, we propose development suggestions from the government, enterprises, and consumers to achieve the maximum reused of EoL power batteries.

Effect of carbon trading scheme and technological advancement on the decision-making of power battery closed-loop supply chain

Optimising the decision-making of a power battery closed-loop supply chain (CLSC) and establishing a well-organised recycling system of waste power batteries are key to avoiding environmental pollution and wastage of resources, as well as realising green and sustainable development of a power battery CLSC. Combined with game theory and system dynamics, we explore the impact of the carbon trading scheme (CTS) and technological advancements on the power battery CLSC model. The results show the following: 1). At the initial stage of introducing CTS, more free carbon quotas increase the production of power batteries and social welfare. However, recycling and echelon utilisation are impeded, and carbon emissions of power battery CLSC increase. Reduced free carbon quotas and the rise of carbon trading prices promote recycling and echelon utilisation of waste power batteries, and carbon emissions reduce, but the production of power batteries and social welfare suffer a lot. 2). Technological advancement is more effective than CTS to promote recycling and echelon utilisation and reduce carbon emissions. 3). When technology becomes mature, it is appropriate to introduce CTS. At that moment, the combination of CTS, mature technology, and moderate competition recycling market is the best way to optimise the decision-making of power battery CLSC.

Evolutionary game analysis of WEEE recycling tripartite stakeholders under variable subsidies and processing fees

The standardization of formal recycling and rational subsidy plays an important role in waste electrical and electronic equipment recycling. In order to explore the tripartite decision and evolution path of waste electrical and electronic equipment recycling in different time periods, a tripartite evolutionary game model consisting of recyclers, manufacturers, and government are presented. Moreover, the evolution stability strategies and conditions in each period are calculated by replicating the dynamic equation and Jacobian matrix. Numerical simulations on tripartite evolution stability strategies corresponding to different stages of industry development are used to verify the rationality of the model. The results indicate that there is existed an indirect effect between tripartite decisions, and the indirect effect can expand the slack of tripartite decisions' thresholds of waste electrical and electronic equipment recycling. The variable subsidy in waste electrical and electronic equipment recycling proposed in this paper is useful to incentive recyclers to choose a formal recycling strategy, and manufacturers also choose production with recycled materials as subsidy varies. Besides, the appropriate waste electrical and electronic equipment processing fee is a conducive indirect effect for the tripartite decision to the optimal evolutionary stability strategy in waste electrical and electronic equipment recycling and can promote manufacturers to produce with the recycled materials. The research can assist in benefit coordination and behavior adjustment of waste electrical and electronic equipment recycling members and provide a theoretical basis for the government to formulate appropriate recycling subsidies to promote the formal recycling of electronic waste recycling.

Vehicle Company's Decision-Making to Process Waste Batteries: A Game Research under the Influence of Different Government Subsidy Strategies

With the increase in the number of waste power batteries and the occurrence of related environmental problems, battery recycling is receiving extensive attention. Driven by economic benefits, many companies have begun to deploy the waste battery processing market and government subsidies also play an essential role in battery recycling. Considering the vehicle company outsources processing tasks or invests in research and development (R&D), this paper studies the optimal decision-making problem of the supply chain under government subsidy to the battery manufacturer or the battery manufacturer. The research finds that: (1) For the government, when the vehicle company outsources processing tasks, compared with subsidizing the vehicle company, the total recycling volume when subsidizing the battery manufacturer is higher. When the vehicle company invests in R&D, the total recycling volume under different government subsidy strategies is equal. (2) The vehicle company's decision is only related to its processing costs; when the unit processing cost is low, the vehicle company's profit under the strategy of investing in R&D is higher. However, when the unit processing cost is high, the profit of outsourcing processing tasks is higher. (3) With increase in unit subsidy and decrease in unit processing cost, the total recycling volume will increase. These findings can provide decision-making help for the government in formulating subsidy policies and the vehicle company in determining processing strategies in the future.