Severe hyponatremia is a better predictor of mortality than MELDNa in patients with cirrhosis and refractory ascites

Ascites complications risk factors of decompensated cirrhosis patients: logistic regression and prediction model

OBJECTIVE

The study mainly aim at exploring the ascites risk factors among decompensated cirrhosis patients via constructing the prediction model of ascites incidence.

METHODS

Here, we recruited 148 decompensated cirrhosis patients for analysis, their laboratory tests and complications recorded. T-test, chi-square test, single-factor logistic regression, multi-factor logistic regression, and nomogram model were used to investigate the ascites occurred factors in decompensated cirrhosis patients with ascites. To validate the data analysis results, we applied the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) to evaluate the discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness of the prediction model, respectively.

RESULTS

Serum creatinine levels were higher in the cirrhotic ascites group than in the non-ascites group. The ascites group had lower albumin and serum sodium levels, as well as a lower incidence of variceal bleeding and varicose veins compared to the non-ascites group.

CONCLUSION

Varicose veins, variceal bleeding, and serum sodium levels are significant factors contributing to ascites development in cirrhosis. Furthermore, decreased serum albumin and elevated creatinine levels are important indicators of poor prognosis. Nomograms can improve clinicians' informed decision-making for patients with decompensated cirrhosis, ultimately reducing ascites risk.

Gender-Equity Model for Liver Allocation Using Artificial Intelligence (GEMA-AI) for Waiting List Liver Transplant Prioritization

BACKGROUND & AIMS

We aimed to develop and validate an artificial intelligence score (gender-equity model for liver allocation using artificial intelligence [GEMA-AI]) to predict liver transplantation (LT) waiting list outcomes using the same input variables contained in existing models.

METHODS

This was a cohort study including adult LT candidates enlisted in the United Kingdom (2010-2020) for model training and internal validation and in Australia (1998-2020) for external validation. GEMA-AI combined international normalized ratio, bilirubin, sodium, and the Royal Free Hospital glomerular filtration rate in an explainable artificial neural network. GEMA-AI was compared with gender-equity model for liver allocation corrected by serum sodium (GEMA-Na), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease 3.0, and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease corrected by serum sodium for waiting list prioritization.

RESULTS

The study included 9320 patients: 5762 in the training cohort, 1920 in the internal validation cohort, and 1638 in the external validation cohort. The prevalence of 90-day mortality or delisting for sickness ranged from 5.3% to 6% across different cohorts. GEMA-AI showed better discrimination than GEMA-Na, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease corrected by serum sodium, and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease 3.0 in the internal and external validation cohorts, with a more pronounced benefit in women and in patients showing at least 1 extreme analytical value. Accounting for identical input variables, the transition from a linear to a nonlinear score (from GEMA-Na to GEMA-AI) resulted in a differential prioritization of 6.4% of patients within the first 90 days and would potentially save 1 in 59 deaths overall, and 1 in 13 deaths among women. Results did not substantially change when ascites was not included in the models.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of explainable machine learning models may be preferred over conventional regression-based models for waiting list prioritization in LT. GEMA-AI made more accurate predictions of waiting list outcomes, particularly for the sickest patients.

First consensus document of waiting list prioritization for liver transplantation by the Spanish Society of Liver Transplantation (SETH)

Spain is worldwide leader in deceased donation rates per million habitants and count on a strong network of twenty-five liver transplant institutions. Although the access to liver transplantation is higher than in other countries, approximately 10% of patients qualifying for liver transplantation in Spain will die in the waiting list or would be excluded due to clinical deterioration. A robust waiting list prioritization system is paramount to grant the sickest patients with the first positions in the waiting list for an earlier access to transplant. In addition, the allocation policy may not create or perpetuate inequities, particularly in a public and universal healthcare system. Hitherto, Spain lacks a unique national allocation system for elective liver transplantation. Most institutions establish their own rules for liver allocation and only two autonomous regions, namely Andalucía and Cataluña, share part of their waiting list within their territory to provide regional priority to patients requiring more urgent transplantation. This heterogeneity is further aggravated by the recently described sex-based disparities for accessing liver transplantation in Spain, and by the expansion of liver transplant indications, mainly for oncological indications, in absence of clear guidance on the optimal prioritization policy. The present document contains the recommendations from the first consensus of waiting list prioritization for liver transplantation issued by the Spanish Society of Liver Transplantation (SETH). The document was supported by all liver transplant institutions in Spain and by the Organización Nacional de Trasplantes (ONT). Its implementation will allow to homogenize practices and to improve equity and outcomes among patients with end-stage liver disease.

Optimization of Kidney Health in Liver Transplant Candidates: Pretransplant Considerations and Modalities

Patients with decompensated end-stage liver disease (ESLD) are at increased risk for mortality, and only liver transplantation (LT) offers meaningful hope for survival. These patients are at risk for kidney dysfunction through the continuum of care for ESLD including LT. We discuss the role of accurate estimation and measurement of baseline glomerular filtration rate in assessment of kidney dysfunction among those with ESLD. Optimizing kidney function is a vital goal in the management of these patients before LT. In this review, we summarize salient aspects of assessing and optimizing kidney function in this patient population. Precipitating factors and different causes of acute kidney injury are discussed, including hepatorenal syndrome. We further review treatment options for acute kidney injury including volume management. The role of vasopressor therapy, renal replacement therapy, and transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunting are discussed.

Effectiveness of albumin infusion for the management of hyponatremia in decompensated cirrhosis: a systematic review

Background

Hyponatremia portends a poor prognosis in decompensated cirrhosis and is an independent predictor of mortality. Multiple modalities have been evaluated in the management of hyponatremia, including albumin infusion. However, the effect of albumin infusion on the resolution of hyponatremia is unclear. We conducted a systematic review to explore the available literature on the use of albumin infusion in hyponatremia.

Methods

We performed a comprehensive search up to 31st December 2022 using MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Scopus for studies reporting the effectiveness of albumin infusion in the resolution of hyponatremia. The impact of albumin infusion of any dose, administration frequency, and duration of therapy was recorded. The study protocol was prospectively registered (CRD42021245914).

Results

The literature search yielded 1322 references after duplicate removal. Only seven studies (three randomized trials, three cohort studies, and one case series) satisfied the predefined selection criteria after a full-text review. While hyponatremia was clearly defined as serum sodium < 130 meEq/L in all studies, two studies explicitly defined hyponatremia resolution (serum sodium > 135 mEq/L). No differentiation was made between the types of hyponatremia. The strength of the albumin infusion used was 5% and 20%. All but one study reported significant improvement in hyponatremia with albumin infusion. A subgroup analysis showed albumin infusion improved 30-day survival (odds ratio 0.43, 95% CI 0.25–0.74, I2 = 0.) No studies reported adverse events or the impact of concomitant associations (diuretic withdrawal, lactulose use, sepsis).

Conclusion

Despite available literature on the use of albumin infusion for the resolution of hyponatremia, the level of evidence remains low. Large prospective studies with pre-defined selection criteria and endpoints are required to generate the evidence.

Predictors of 30-day mortality in patients diagnosed with hepatic encephalopathy on admission to the emergency department

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study is to compare the laboratory findings and disease severity scores of patients diagnosed with hepatic encephalopathy (HE) in the emergency department (ED) to predict 30-day mortality.

METHOD

The patients over 18 years old and diagnosed HE in the ED of a tertiary hospital were included in the study. Demographic and clinical characteristics, laboratory parameters, predisposing causes and outcomes of the patients included in the study were recorded in the data form. Severity of liver disease was assessed by Child Pugh Score (CPS), End-stage liver disease model (MELD), MELD-Na and MELD-Lactate scores.

RESULTS

Two hundred fifty-four patients diagnosed with HE were included in the study. 59.1% of the patients were male. The mean age of the patients was 65.2 ± 12.6 years. The mortality rate of the patients was 47.2%. When the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, which determines the predictive properties of laboratory parameters and disease severity scores, was examined, the area under curve value of the MELD-Lactate score (0.858 95% CI 0.812-0.904, P  < 0.001) was the highest. Binary logistic regression analysis for the estimation of patients' 30-day mortality showed that CPS and MELD-Lactate scores and blood ammonia and B-type natriuretic peptide levels were independent predictors of mortality.

CONCLUSION

According to the study data, MELD-Lactate and BNP levels in patients diagnosed with HE in the ED may help the clinician in the prediction of 30-day mortality in the early period.

Severe Hyponatremia Correction, Mortality, and Central Pontine Myelinolysis

BACKGROUND: In clinical practice, sodium correction rates are frequently limited in patients with severe hyponatremia to prevent neurologic complications. The implications of correction rates on overall mortality and length of hospital stay are unclear. METHODS: In this multicenter observational study, we evaluated the association of sodium correction rates with mortality, length of stay, and central pontine myelinolysis (CPM) in patients hospitalized with severe hyponatremia (admission serum sodium level less than 120 mEq/l). RESULTS: The cohort included 3274 patients. A correction rate of less than 6 mEq/l/24 hours was observed in 38%, 6 to 10 mEq/l/24 hours was observed in 29%, and greater than 10 mEq/l/24 hours was observed in 33%. Compared with 6 to 10 mEq/l/24 hours, a correction rate of less than 6 mEq/l/24 hours exhibited higher in-hospital mortality in multivariable-adjusted and propensity score–weighted analyses. Compared with 6 to 10 mEq/l/24 hours, a correction rate of greater than 10 mEq/l/24 hours was associated with lower in-hospital mortality and shorter length of stay in multivariable analyses. Seven patients with CPM were identified, with five of seven developing CPM despite a sodium correction rate of less than or equal to 8 mEq/l/24 hours. Six of seven patients who developed CPM had alcohol use disorder, malnutrition, hypokalemia, or hypophosphatemia. CONCLUSIONS: Limiting the sodium correction rate was associated with higher mortality and longer length of stay. Whether the sodium correction rate influences neurologic complications needs further evaluation.

Prognosis value of serum chloride on 1-year mortality in cirrhotic patients receiving transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Emerging researches have regarded serum chloride as a capable predictor of mortality in liver cirrhosis. We aim to investigate the clinical role of admission chloride in cirrhotic patients with esophagogastric varices receiving transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS), which is unclear.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data of cirrhotic patients with esophagogastric varices undergoing TIPS in Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University. Mortality outcome was obtained by following up for 1-year after TIPS. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were used to identify independent predictors of 1-year mortality post-TIPS. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were adopted to assess the predictive ability of the predictors. In addition, log-rank test and Kaplan-Meier (KM) analyses were employed to evaluate the prognostic value of predictors in the survival probability.

RESULTS

A total of 182 patients were included ultimately. Age, fever symptom, platelet-to lymphocyte-ratio (PLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), total bilirubin, serum sodium, chloride, and Child-Pugh score were related to 1-year follow-up mortality. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, serum chloride (HR = 0.823, 95%CI = 0.757-0.894, p < 0.001) and Child-Pugh score (HR = 1.401, 95%CI = 1.151-1.704, p = 0.001) were identified as independent predictors of 1-year mortality. Patients with serum chloride <107.35 mmol/L showed worse survival probability than those with serum chloride ≥107.35 mmol/L no matter with or without ascites (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Admission hypochloremia and increasing Child-Pugh score are independent predictors of 1-year mortality in cirrhotic patients with esophagogastric varices receiving TIPS.

Exploration of sodium homeostasis and pharmacokinetics in bile duct-ligated rats treated by anti-cirrhosis herbal formula plus spironolactone

Renal sodium retention is an essential indicator that is used for the prognosis of cirrhosis with ascites that requires diuretic treatment to restore sodium homeostasis. The diuretic effects of Yin-Chen-Hao-Tang (YCHT) alone or in combination with diuretics for sodium retention in patients with cirrhosis have not been investigated. This study aimed to investigate the diuretic effects and sodium retention caused by YCHT with spironolactone, from both the pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic perspective, in bile duct-ligated rats. The HPLC method was validated and utilized for the pharmacokinetic analysis of rat urine. Urine samples were collected and analyzed every 4 hours for 32 h after oral administration of YCHT at 1 or 3 g/kg daily for 5 days in bile duct-ligated rats. A dose of 20 mg/kg spironolactone was also administered to pretreat the YCHT 1 g/kg or the 3 g/kg group on the 5th day to explore the interaction of the two treatments. Urine sodium, potassium, weight, volume, and spironolactone and canrenone levels were measured to investigate fluid homeostasis after the coadministration. The linearity, precision, and accuracy of the HPLC method were suitable for subsequent urinary pharmacokinetic analyses. The pharmacokinetic parameters in the 1 g/kg YCHT with spironolactone group revealed that the elimination half-life of the spironolactone metabolite, canrenone, was prolonged. In addition, the cumulative excretion amount, the area under the rate curve (AURC), and the maximum rate of excretion (Rmax) were significantly decreased when the spironolactone group was pretreated with 3 g/kg YCHT. Urinary sodium excretion elicited by spironolactone was suppressed by pretreatment with 1 or 3 g/kg YCHT. The 32-hour urine output was not altered by the administration of YCHT alone, but it was significantly decreased by 64.9% after the coadministration of YCHT with spironolactone. The interaction of spironolactone and YCHT was found to decrease urine sodium-potassium and water excretion, and this change was attributed to the decreased level of spironolactone metabolites and possibly the regulation of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system by obstructed cirrhosis. The dose adjustment of YCHT or diuresis monitoring should be noted when co-administering YCHT and spironolactone to treat hepatic diseases clinically.

Effects of Short-Term Human Albumin Infusion for the Prevention and Treatment of Hyponatremia in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis

Background: Human albumin (HA) infusion is potentially effective for the management of hyponatremia in liver cirrhosis, but the current evidence is very limited. Methods: In this retrospective study, 2414 cirrhotic patients who were consecutively admitted to our hospital between January 2010 and June 2014 were included in the Hospitalization outcome cohort, and 339 cirrhotic patients without malignancy who were consecutively admitted to our department between December 2014 and April 2021 were included in the Long-term outcome cohort. The development and improvement of hyponatremia were compared between patients who received HA infusion during hospitalizations and did not. Logistic and Cox regression analyses were performed to evaluate the association of development and improvement of hyponatremia during hospitalizations with the outcomes. Odds ratios (ORs) and hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated. Results: In the two cohorts, HA infusion significantly decreased the incidence of hyponatremia and increased the rate of improvement of hyponatremia in cirrhotic patients during hospitalizations. In the Hospitalization outcome cohort, the development of hyponatremia during hospitalizations was significantly associated with increased in-hospital mortality (OR = 2.493, p < 0.001), and the improvement of hyponatremia during hospitalizations was significantly associated with decreased in-hospital mortality (OR = 0.599, p = 0.014). In the Long-term outcome cohort, the development of hyponatremia during hospitalizations was significantly associated with decreased long-term survival (HR = 0.400, p < 0.001), and the improvement of hyponatremia during hospitalizations was not significantly associated with long-term survival (HR = 1.085, p = 0.813). Conclusions: HA infusion can effectively prevent the development of hyponatremia and improve hyponatremia in cirrhotic patients during hospitalizations, which may influence the patients’ outcomes.

Development and validation of the Cirrhotic Ascites Severity model-A patient-reported outcome-based model to predict 1-year mortality

Ascites formation is a sign of decompensation of cirrhosis and heralds a poor prognosis. The widely used standard binary classification of ascites as diuretic-responsive or refractory does not cover the spectrum of ascites and has limited prognostic information. We developed the Cirrhotic Ascites Severity (CIRAS) model to predict 1-year mortality among 465 patients randomized to placebo in the satavaptan trials investigating treatment of cirrhotic ascites. We used multivariable logistic regression to derive the CIRAS model based on these variables: ascites discomfort score (≤50 or >50), plasma sodium (≥140, 133-139, 125-132, or <125 mmoL/L), and a composite of ascites accumulation and diuretic treatment. We validated the prediction model in 697 trial participants randomized to satavaptan treatment. The 1-year all-cause mortality was 19.6%. The area under the receiver operator curve was higher for the CIRAS model than for the standard ascites classification into refractory and diuretic-responsive in both the development cohort (0.68 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.62-0.75] vs. 0.62 [0.57-0.68]), and the validation cohort (0.68 [0.64-0.72] vs. 0.55 [0.51-0.60]). The CIRAS model had similar discrimination to the Child-Pugh score and nearly as good as the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), MELD-Na, and MELD 3.0. Conclusions: The CIRAS model based on simple ascites-relevant data is an easily applicable and patient-centered way to describe the severity and prognosis of all ascites grades. It carries more prognostic information than today's label of "refractory ascites" and forms the basis for earlier and better clinical decisions related to ascites management.

Use of Human Albumin Administration for the Prevention and Treatment of Hyponatremia in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Hyponatremia is a common complication of liver cirrhosis and aggravates patients' outcomes. It may be corrected by human albumin (HA) infusion. Herein, we have conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the efficacy of intravenous HA administration for the prevention and treatment of hyponatremia in liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

Literature was searched in the PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases. If possible, a meta-analysis would be conducted. Incidence of hyponatremia, rate of resolution of hyponatremia, and serum sodium level were compared between cirrhotic patients who received and did not receive HA infusion. Odds ratios (ORs) or mean differences (MDs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. The quality of evidence was assessed by the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) system.

RESULTS

Initially, 3231 papers were identified. Among them, 30 studies, including 25 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and 5 cohort studies, were eligible. Among cirrhotic patients without hyponatremia, the HA infusion group had significantly lower incidence of hyponatremia (OR = 0.55, 95%CI = 0.38-0.80, p = 0.001) and higher serum sodium level (MD = 0.95, 95%CI = 0.47-1.43, p = 0.0001) as compared to the control group. Among cirrhotic patients with hyponatremia, the HA infusion group had a significantly higher rate of resolution of hyponatremia (OR = 1.50, 95%CI = 1.17-1.92, p = 0.001) as compared to the control group. Generally, the quality of available evidence is low.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on the current evidence, HA may be considered for preventing the development of hyponatremia in liver cirrhosis, especially in those undergoing LVP, and treating hyponatremia. Well-designed studies are required to clarify the effects of HA infusion on hyponatremia in liver cirrhosis.

A comprehensive review of prognostic scoring systems to predict survival after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement

Patient prognosis after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement is relatively poor and highly heterogeneous; therefore, a prognostic scoring system is essential for survival prediction and risk stratification. Conventional scores include the Child–Turcotte–Pugh (CTP) and model for end‐stage liver disease (MELD) scores. The CTP score was created empirically and displayed a high correlation with post‐TIPS survival. However, the inclusion of subjective parameters and the use of discrete cut‐offs limit its utility. The advantages of the MELD score include its statistical validation and objective and readily available predictors that contribute to its broad application in clinical practice to predict post‐TIPS outcomes. In addition, multiple modifications of the MELD score, by incorporating additional predictors (e.g., MELD‐Sodium and MELD‐Sarcopenia scores), adjusting coefficients (recalibrated MELD score), or combined (MELD 3.0), have been proposed to improve the prognostic ability of the standard MELD score. Despite several updates to conventional scores, a prognostic score has been proposed (based on contemporary data) specifically for outcome prediction after TIPS placement. However, this novel score (the Freiburg index of post‐TIPS survival, FIPS) exhibited inconsistent discrimination in external validation studies, and its superiority over conventional scores remains undetermined. Additionally, several tools display potential for application in specific TIPS indications (e.g., bilirubin‐platelet grade for refractory ascites), and biomarkers of systemic inflammation, nutritional status, liver disease progression, and cardiac decompensation may provide additional value, but require further validation. Future studies should consider the effect of TIPS placement when exploring predictors, as TIPS is a pathophysiological approach that substantially alters systemic hemodynamics and ameliorates bacterial translocation and malnutrition.

Microcirculatory changes in the liver of patients with refractory ascites and their relationship with diabetes and alcohol

OBJECTIVES

The determinants of refractory ascites have not been fully characterized. The aims of this study were to assess liver histopathological alterations associated with refractory ascites and their relationship with comorbidities.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with cirrhosis who underwent liver transplantation were retrospectively included. Patients' characteristics at the time of listing were analysed. The native livers were reviewed and lesions associated with refractory ascites were examined.

RESULTS

Out of the 89 patients included, 30 had refractory ascites and 59 did not (including 35 without ascites and 24 with diuretic-sensitive ascites). Patients with and without refractory ascites had a similar amount of fibrous tissue and features of fatty liver disease. By contrast, microvascular changes, namely sinusoidal dilatation (P < 0.001), diffuse perisinusoidal fibrosis (P = 0.001), hepatic venous thromboses (P = 0.004) and vascular proliferation (P = 0.01) were more frequently observed in the livers of patients with refractory ascites. Diabetes (57% vs. 31%, P = 0.02) and alcohol as a causal factor for cirrhosis (80% vs. 42%, P = 0.001) were more frequent in patients with refractory ascites than in those without. By multivariate analysis, refractory ascites was independently associated with diabetes mellitus [odds ratio (OR) (95% confidence interval, CI) 6.15 (1.47-25.71); P = 0.01], alcohol as a causal factor for cirrhosis [OR (95% CI) 4.63 (1.07-20.02); P = 0.04], higher Model For End Stage Liver Diseases [OR (95% CI) 1.21 (1.05-1.38); P = 0.008] and lower serum sodium [OR (95% CI) 0.87 (0.78-0.98); P = 0.03].

CONCLUSION

Liver microcirculatory changes are associated with refractory ascites. Diabetes and alcohol may explain refractory ascites by causing microangiopathy.

Long-term survival prediction for transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in severe cirrhotic ascites: assessment of ten prognostic models

OBJECTIVES

Patients with severe cirrhotic ascites have poor prognosis, yet individual patient survival varies greatly. Therefore, suitable prognostic models can be helpful in clinical decision making. The aim of this study was to evaluate and compare the performance of 10 scores in predicting transplant-free survival (TFS) after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) in severe cirrhotic ascites.

METHODS

Two hundred eighty consecutive cirrhotic patients with severe ascites undergoing TIPS between March 2006 and December 2017 were retrospectively screened and included from nine tertiary Chinese centers, consisting of 123 patients with refractory ascites and 157 with recurrent ascites. Discriminatory ability of these models was further assessed in the whole cohort and subgroups.

RESULTS

TFS rates of all 280 patients were 75.4, 65.7, and 53.6% at 6-month, 1-year, and 2-year follow-up, respectively. Compared with other prognostic systems, the integrated model for end-stage liver disease (iMELD, incorporating serum sodium and age) showed optimal performance in predicting 6-month, 1-year, and 2-year TFS. Cutoffs were determined according to c-index and were used to stratify patients into three strata presenting significantly different TFS for short-term and long-term: iMELD < 32, ≥32 but <38 and ≥38 (log-rank P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The iMELD score proved to be the best prognostic model in predicting TFS in patients with severe cirrhotic ascites receiving TIPS. Meanwhile, the model could stratify patients in three strata to help guiding clinical practice.

Prevention of Variceal Bleeding and Rebleeding by Nonselective Beta-Blockers: A Tailored Approach

Nonselective beta-blockers represent the mainstay of medical therapy in the prophylaxis of variceal bleeding and rebleeding in patients with portal hypertension. Their efficacy has been demonstrated by numerous trials; however, there exist safety concerns in advanced disease, such as in patients with refractory ascites. Importantly, nonselective beta-blockers also exert nonhemodynamic beneficial effects that may contribute to a prolonged decompensation-free survival, as recently shown in the PREDESCI trial. This review summarizes the current evidence on nonselective beta-blocker therapy and proposes a tailored, patient-centered approach for the use of nonselective beta-blockers in patients with portal hypertension.

Impact of acute kidney injury on prognosis and the effect of tolvaptan in patients with hepatic ascites

BACKGROUND

In hepatic cirrhosis, ascites and acute kidney injury (AKI) portend poor prognosis. We examined the incidence and characteristics of AKI in patients with hepatic ascites and the impact of diuretics on AKI onset.

METHODS

This study included 337 patients with hepatic ascites treated with oral diuretics during September 2013-June 2019. Incidence of AKI, cumulative survival by AKI status, and prognostic factors were investigated. Patients were divided into those treated with tolvaptan (TLV) [TLV group (n = 244)] and those not treated with TLV [control group (n = 93)]. After propensity score matching, the incidence of AKI and changes in renal function and doses of diuretics were compared.

RESULTS

The incidence of AKI overall was 35% (n = 118). Patients with AKI had a significantly worse survival than those without AKI (P = 0.001), indicating that AKI is an independent prognostic factor for hepatic ascites (P = 0.025). After adjustment for background factors in the two groups (n = 77 each), the TLV group had a significantly lower incidence of AKI (27.6% vs. 44.7%, P = 0.028). While renal function worsened with higher natriuretic agent doses in the control group, no significant change was observed in the TLV group, suggesting that TLV is an independent prognostic factor for AKI onset.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that concomitant AKI significantly worsens survival in Japanese patients with hepatic ascites, and TLV and natriuretic agent combination therapy might lead to an excellent synergistic therapeutic effect of hepatic ascites and inhibition of AKI onset.

Guidelines on the management of ascites in cirrhosis

The British Society of Gastroenterology in collaboration with British Association for the Study of the Liver has prepared this document. The aim of this guideline is to review and summarise the evidence that guides clinical diagnosis and management of ascites in patients with cirrhosis. Substantial advances have been made in this area since the publication of the last guideline in 2007. These guidelines are based on a comprehensive literature search and comprise systematic reviews in the key areas, including the diagnostic tests, diuretic use, therapeutic paracentesis, use of albumin, transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic stent shunt, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and beta-blockers in patients with ascites. Where recent systematic reviews and meta-analysis are available, these have been updated with additional studies. In addition, the results of prospective and retrospective studies, evidence obtained from expert committee reports and, in some instances, reports from case series have been included. Where possible, judgement has been made on the quality of information used to generate the guidelines and the specific recommendations have been made according to the 'Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE)' system. These guidelines are intended to inform practising clinicians, and it is expected that these guidelines will be revised in 3 years' time.

The Prognosis Analysis of Liver Cirrhosis with Acute Variceal Bleeding and Validation of Current Prognostic Models: A Large Scale Retrospective Cohort Study

Background

Acute variceal bleeding is a major cause of death in liver cirrhosis. This large scale retrospective cohort study aims to analyze the prognosis of patients with cirrhosis and acute variceal bleeding and to validate the current prognostic models.

Methods

Patients with cirrhosis and acute variceal bleeding were enrolled from Jan 2019 to March 2020. The independent prognostic factors for in-hospital death were identified by logistic regression analyses. Area under curves (AUCs) was compared among Child-Pugh, cirrhosis acute gastrointestinal bleeding (CAGIB) score, and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) scores.

Results

Overall, 379 patients with liver cirrhosis and acute variceal bleeding were consecutively evaluated. The majority of the patients were males (59.1%) and the mean age of all patients were 53.7 ± 1.3 years (range 14-89). Hepatitis B virus (HBV) was the most common underlying cause of liver cirrhosis (54.1%). 72 (19%) patients had hepatocellular carcinoma. Multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that age, HCC, WBC, total serum bilirubin, serum creatinine, and ALT were independently associated with in-hospital death. And the odds ratios (ORs) for in-hospital death were 1.066 (95% CI 1.017-1.118, P = 0.008), 7.19 (95% CI 2.077-24.893, P = 0.001), 1.123 (95% CI 1.051-1.201, P = 0.001), 1.014 (95% CI 1.005-1.023, P = 0.003), 1.012 (95% CI 1.004-1.021, P = 0.006), and 1.005 (95% CI 1.000-1.009, P = 0.036), respectively. In the whole cohort with HCC patients, the AUCs of Child-Pugh, CAGIB, MELD and NLR scores were 0.842 (95% CI 0.801-0.878), 0.840 (95% CI 0.799-0.876), 0.798 (95% CI 0.754-0.838), and 0.688 (95% CI 0.639-0.735), respectively. The differences were statistically significant between Child-Pugh and NLR scores (P = 0.0118), and between CAGIB and NLR scores (P = 0.0354).

Conclusion

Child-Pugh and CAGIB scores showed better predictive performance for prognosis of patients with cirrhosis and acute variceal bleeding than NLR scores.

Development of hyponatremia after terlipressin in cirrhotic patients with acute gastrointestinal bleeding: a retrospective multicenter observational study

Background: Terlipressin can effectively control acute gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) in cirrhotic patients by acting on the V1 receptors, but may lead to the development of dilutional hyponatremia by acting on the V2 receptors.Research design and methods: This retrospective multicenter study enrolled 674 cirrhotic patients with acute GIB in whom serum sodium concentrations were tested before and during the use of terlipressin. ΔSodium reduction ≥5 mmol/L, hyponatremia (sodium <130 mmol/L), and severe hyponatremia (sodium <125 mmol/L) during the use of terlipressin were evaluated. Logistic regression analyses were employed to identify the risk factors.Results: The incidence of Δsodium reduction ≥5 mmol/L, hyponatremia, and severe hyponatremia was 37.1%, 26.3%, and 13.0%, respectively. All of them were not significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (p = 0.973; p = 0.789; p = 0.887). In multivariate logistic regression analyses, the independent risk factors of Δsodium reduction ≥5 mmol/L were higher baseline sodium concentration, lower serum creatinine and prothrombin time, and larger dosage of terlipressin; those of hyponatremia were lower baseline sodium concentration and longer duration of terlipressin; those of severe hyponatremia were lower baseline sodium concentration and prothrombin time and longer duration of terlipressin.Conclusions: Hyponatremia was common in cirrhotic patients with acute GIB treated with terlipressin, but might not significantly increase the in-hospital mortality.

Pathophysiological-based treatments of complications of cirrhosis

Detailed knowledge and understanding of the pathophysiological mechanisms and changes in hepatic and splanchnic function leading to the development of haemodynamic changes and portal hypertension in patients with cirrhosis are essential since it guides the search for targets to ameliorate liver-related abnormalities. Recent research has focused on the gut-liver axis, changes in intestinal permeability, translocation of bacterial products, and inflammation as important drivers of haemodynamic alterations and thereby targets for treatment. Additionally, treatment strategies should focus on microbiotic modulation, antiangiogenics, anti-inflammatory strategies, and modulation of bile acid metabolism. This paper aims to review contemporary pathophysiological-based treatment principles of the major complications of cirrhosis and portal hypertension and future targets for treatment.

Assessing the Prognostic Performance of the Child-Pugh, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, and Albumin-Bilirubin Scores in Patients with Decompensated Cirrhosis: A Large Asian Cohort from Gastroenterology Department

Background and Aim. Various methods, including the Child-Pugh score, the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, the MELD combined with serum sodium concentration (MELD-Na) score, the integrated MELD (iMELD) score, and the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score, have been widely used for predicting the survival of decompensated cirrhosis (DeCi) patients. In this study, we defined and compared the prognostic value of these scores to predict mortality in DeCi patients.

Impact of Vaptans on Clinical Outcomes in Cirrhosis Patients: A Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

Background: Vaptans have been confirmed to mobilize ascites and improve hyponatremia in cirrhosis patients. However, the effects of vaptans on all-cause mortality, ascites-related complications, and adverse events in cirrhosis patients have not been fully determined.

Objectives: To systematically evaluate the impact of vaptans on the clinical outcomes in patients with cirrhosis.

Materials and Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed. The PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane’s Library electronic databases were systematically searched for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating the clinical efficacy of vaptans in cirrhosis patients. The results were pooled with a random-effect model.

Results: Eighteen RCTs containing 3,059 cirrhosis patients with ascites and/or hyponatremia were included. Meta-analysis showed that vaptans did not significantly affect the risk of all-cause mortality (RR: 1.02, 95% CI: 0.87 to 1.08, p = 0.83; I² = 2%), consistent with studies with short-term (< 26 weeks) and long-term (≥ 26 weeks) follow-up durations. Additionally, vaptans did not affect the incidence of variceal bleeding (RR: 0.96, p = 0.86), showed a trend of reduced incidence of hepatic encephalopathy (RR: 0.86, p = 0.09), significantly reduced the incidence of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (RR: 0.75, p = 0.03), but did not significantly affect the risk of hepatorenal syndrome or renal failure (RR: 1.09, p = 0.36). Vaptans did not affect the incidence of adverse events in cirrhosis patients.

Discussion: Treatment with vaptans is not associated with improved survival in cirrhosis patients, although it may reduce the risk of hepatic encephalopathy and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in these patients. The limitations of the current study include limited number of available studies, small sample sizes of the included studies, variations of baseline patient characteristics, and differences in the dose and duration of vaptans.

Approach and management of dysnatremias in cirrhosis

Hypervolemic (dilutional) hyponatremia is the most common dysnatremia in cirrhosis, with a prevalence close to 50% in patients with ascites, while hypovolemic hyponatremia occurs in a minority of cases. Hyponatremia carries a poor prognosis, being associated with increased mortality and reduced survival after liver transplantation. Hypernatremia is rarer and is also associated with an adverse prognosis. Increased non-osmotic secretion of arginine vasopressin and altered renal tubular sodium handling due to impaired free water generation are the mechanisms leading to hypervolemic hyponatremia, while diuretic-induced fluid loss is the main cause of hypovolemic hyponatremia. Hypernatremia usually follows hypotonic fluid losses due to osmotic diuresis (glycosuria) or lactulose-induced diarrhea. The main clinical manifestations of dysnatremias are due to their effects on the central nervous system: astroglial cell hyperhydration follows hyponatremia-an abnormality that exacerbates ammonia neurotoxicity-while the opposite abnormality occurs with hypernatremia. Asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic hypervolemic hyponatremia is mainly managed by correcting of precipitating factors and non-osmotic fluid restriction. Severe, life-threatening hyponatremia requires hypertonic saline infusion, avoiding rapid and complete correction of serum sodium concentration to prevent neurological sequelae such as osmotic demyelination. V₂ receptor blockade by vaptans may be considered in patients with sustained hyponatremia waitlisted for liver transplantation. Diuretic withdrawal and plasma volume expansion are required in hypovolemic hypernatremia. Prompt recognition, removal of the precipitating factor(s) and non-osmotic fluid administration represent the mainstays of hypernatremia management. Rapid correction of long-standing hypernatremia can lead to cerebral edema and has to be avoided.

Impact of Acute Kidney Injury on Mortality of Patients Hospitalized for Complications of Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The mortality of hospitalized patients for complications of cirrhosis is very high. We examined the independent predictors of mortality, particularly the impact of increments in creatinine, in 339 consecutive patients (636 admissions) who were admitted for complications of cirrhosis.

METHODS

Clinical characteristics, biochemical parameters including serum creatinine levels at various time intervals, and mortality data were recorded for all admissions. Data were analyzed for initial as well for all repeated admissions to identify independent predictors of mortality.

RESULTS

The in-hospital mortality, 30-day, 90-day, 180 days, and 365 days mortality were 6%, 15%, 23%, 30%, and 41% respectively. Those admitted with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis had the worst survival. Increase in creatinine was noted in 29% of patients and they had lower 30-day (78% vs.91%) and 90-day (73% vs. 82%) survival than those without increase in creatinine. Any increment in serum creatinine (≥0.1 mg/dL) within 48 h after admission (peak 48 h - admission) was associated with a step-wise increase in mortality, but only if peak creatinine reached above 1.2 mg/dL. If peak creatinine levels were below 1.2 mg/dL, increases in serum creatinine had no impact on survival. Cox regression analysis showed that increments in serum creatinine of 0.3 mg/dL or higher had the worst outcome (HR 2.51, CI 1.65-3.81). Etiology of cirrhosis or the use of PPI, beta blockers or rifaxamin did not predict mortality. Other independent predictors of mortality were age, reason for admission, hyponatremia, and INR.

CONCLUSION

In patients with cirrhosis, any increment in serum creatinine within 48 h from hospitalization is associated with a higher mortality provided the peak serum creatinine within 48 h is above 1.2 mg/dL.

Mid-infrared spectroscopy of serum, a promising non-invasive method to assess prognosis in patients with ascites and cirrhosis

Background & aims

Prognostic tests are critical in the management of patients with cirrhosis and ascites. Biological tests or scores perform poorly in that situation. Mid-infrared fibre evanescent wave spectroscopy (MIR-FEWS) which allows for global serum metabolic profiling may provide more relevant information by measuring a wider range of metabolic parameters in serum. Here we present the accuracy of a MIR-FEWS based predictive model for the prognosis of 6 months survival in patients with ascites and cirrhosis.

Methods

Patients with ascites were prospectively included and followed up for 6 months. MIR-FEWS spectra were measured in serum samples. The most informative spectral variables obtained by MIR-FEWS were selected by FADA algorithm and then used to build the MIR model. Accuracy of this model was assessed by ROC curves and 90%/10% Monte Carlo cross-validation. MIR model accuracy for 6 months survival was compared to that of the Child-Pugh and MELD scores.

Results

119 patients were included. The mean age was 57.36±13.70, the MELD score was 16.32±6.26, and the Child-Pugh score was 9.5±1.83. During follow-up, 23 patients died (20%). The MIR model had an AUROC for 6 months mortality of 0.90 (CI95: 0.88–0.91), the MELD 0.77 (CI95: 0.66–0.89) and Child-Pugh 0.76 (CI95: 0.66–0.88). MELD and Child-Pugh AUROCs were significantly lower than that of the MIR model (p = 0.02 and p = 0.02 respectively). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that MELD (p<0.05, OR:0.86;CI95:0.76–0.97), Beta blockers (p = 0.036;OR:0.20;CI95:0.04–0.90), and the MIR model (p<0.001; OR:0.50; CI95:0.37–0.66), were significantly associated with 6 months mortality.

Conclusions

In this pilot study MIR-FEWS more accurately assess the 6-month prognosis of patients with ascites and cirrhosis than the MELD or Child-Pugh scores. These promising results, if confirmed by a larger study, suggest that mid infrared spectroscopy could be helpful in the management of these patients.

Electrolyte and Acid-Base Disturbances in End-Stage Liver Disease: A Physiopathological Approach

Electrolyte and acid-base disturbances are frequent in patients with end-stage liver disease; the underlying physiopathological mechanisms are often complex and represent a diagnostic and therapeutic challenge to the physician. Usually, these disorders do not develop in compensated cirrhotic patients, but with the onset of the classic complications of cirrhosis such as ascites, renal failure, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and variceal bleeding, multiple electrolyte, and acid-base disturbances emerge. Hyponatremia parallels ascites formation and is a well-known trigger of hepatic encephalopathy; its management in this particular population poses a risky challenge due to the high susceptibility of cirrhotic patients to osmotic demyelination. Hypokalemia is common in the setting of cirrhosis: multiple potassium wasting mechanisms both inherent to the disease and resulting from its management make these patients particularly susceptible to potassium depletion even in the setting of normokalemia. Acid-base disturbances range from classical respiratory alkalosis to high anion gap metabolic acidosis, almost comprising the full acid-base spectrum. Because most electrolyte and acid-base disturbances are managed in terms of their underlying trigger factors, a systematic physiopathological approach to their diagnosis and treatment is required.

Beta adrenergic blockade and decompensated cirrhosis

Non-selective betablockers (NSBBs) remain the cornerstone of medical treatment of portal hypertension. The evidence for their efficacy to prevent variceal bleeding is derived from prospective trials, which largely excluded patients with refractory ascites and renal failure. In parallel to the increasing knowledge on portal hypertension-induced changes in systemic hemodynamics, cardiac function, and renal perfusion, emerging studies have raised concerns about harmful effects of NSBBs. Clinicians are facing an ongoing controversy on the use of NSBBs in patients with advanced cirrhosis. On the one hand, NSBBs are effective in preventing variceal bleeding and might also have beneficial non-hemodynamic effects, however, they also potentially induce hypotension and limit the cardiac reserve. An individualized NSBB regimen tailored to the specific pathophysiological stage of cirrhosis might optimize patient management at this point. This article aims to give practical recommendations on the use of NSBBs in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

Predictors of Mortality in Long-Term Follow-Up of Patients with Terminal Alcoholic Cirrhosis: Is It Time to Accept Remodeled Scores?

OBJECTIVE

To identify the prognostic score that is the best predictor of outcome in patients hospitalized with decompensated liver cirrhosis.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

In this prospective study, 126 patients were enrolled and followed up for 29 months. For each patient, prognostic scores were calculated; these included the Child-Turcotte-Pugh score (CTP score), CTP creatinine-modified I score, CTP creatinine-modified II score, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD score), MELD model for end-stage liver disease sodium-modified score, Integrated MELD score, updated MELD score, United Kingdom MELD, and the MELD score remodeled by serum sodium index (MESO index). Cox regression analysis was used to assess the ability of each of the scores for predicting mortality in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis. Their discriminatory ability was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

RESULTS

The updated MELD score had the highest predictive value (3.29) among the tested scores (95% CI: 2.26-4.78). ROC curve analysis demonstrated that the MELD score of 22.50 (AUC = 0.914, 95% CI: 0.849-0.978; p < 0.001) had the best discriminative ability for identifying patients with a high risk of mortality; the next best was the MESO index of 16.00 (AUC = 0.912, 95% CI: 0.847-0.978; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The risk of mortality was highest in patients with the highest updated MELD score, and those with MELD scores >22.50 and a MESO index >16.00.

Utility and safety of tolvaptan in cirrhotic patients with hyponatremia: A prospective cohort study

Introduction and aim. Hyponatremia is common in patients with decompensated cirrhosis and is associated with increased mortality. Tolvaptan, a vasopressor V2 receptor antagonist, can increase free water excretion, but its efficacy and safety in cirrhotic patients remain unclear.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We studied the usage and safety of tolvaptan in cirrhotic patients in a real-life, non-randomized, multicenter prospective cohort study. Forty-nine cirrhotic patients with hyponatremia were treated with tolvaptan 15 mg daily, and 48 patients not treated with tolvaptan in the same period served as controls. Improvement in serum sodium level was defined as an increase in serum sodium from < 125 to ≥ 125 mmol/L or from 125-134 to ≥ 135 mmol/L on day 7.

RESULTS

Twenty-three (47%) patients in the tolvaptan group and 17 (35%) in the control group had normal serum sodium on day 7 (p = 0.25). Serum sodium improved in 30 (61%) patients in the tolvaptan group and 17 (35%) patients in the control group (p = 0.011). Adverse events occurred in 46-47% of patients in both groups, and tolvaptan was not associated with worsened liver function. No patient with normal serum sodium on day 7 died within 30 days of treatment, whereas 16% of those with persistent hyponatremia died (p = 0.0019).

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, short-term tolvaptan treatment is safe and can improve serum sodium level in cirrhotic patients with hyponatremia. Normalization of serum sodium level is associated with better survival.

Child-Pugh Versus MELD Score for the Assessment of Prognosis in Liver Cirrhosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies

Child-Pugh and MELD scores have been widely used for the assessment of prognosis in liver cirrhosis. A systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to compare the discriminative ability of Child-Pugh versus MELD score to assess the prognosis of cirrhotic patients.PubMed and EMBASE databases were searched. The statistical results were summarized from every individual study. The summary areas under receiver operating characteristic curves, sensitivities, specificities, positive and negative likelihood ratios, and diagnostic odds ratios were also calculated.Of the 1095 papers initially identified, 119 were eligible for the systematic review. Study population was heterogeneous among studies. They included 269 comparisons, of which 44 favored MELD score, 16 favored Child-Pugh score, 99 did not find any significant difference between them, and 110 did not report the statistical significance. Forty-two papers were further included in the meta-analysis. In patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure, Child-Pugh score had a higher sensitivity and a lower specificity than MELD score. In patients admitted to ICU, MELD score had a smaller negative likelihood ratio and a higher sensitivity than Child-Pugh score. In patients undergoing surgery, Child-Pugh score had a higher specificity than MELD score. In other subgroup analyses, Child-Pugh and MELD scores had statistically similar discriminative abilities or could not be compared due to the presence of significant diagnostic threshold effects.Although Child-Pugh and MELD scores had similar prognostic values in most of cases, their benefits might be heterogeneous in some specific conditions. The indications for Child-Pugh and MELD scores should be further identified.

Characterization of acute-on-chronic liver failure and prediction of mortality in Asian patients with active alcoholism

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Alcoholic liver diseases often evolve to acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), which increases the risk of (multi-)organ failure and death. We investigated the development and characteristics of alcohol-related ACLF and evaluated prognostic scores for prediction of mortality in Asian patients with active alcoholism.

METHODS

A total of 205 patients who were hospitalized with severe alcoholic liver disease were included in this retrospective cohort study, after excluding those with serious cardiovascular diseases, malignancy, or co-existing viral hepatitis. The Chronic Liver Failure (CLIF) Consortium Organ Failure score was used in the diagnosis and grading of ACLF, and the CLIF Consortium ACLF score (CLIF-C ACLFs) was used to predict mortality.

RESULTS

Patients with ACLF had higher Maddrey discriminant function, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), and MELD-sodium scores than those without ACLF. Infections were more frequently documented in patients with ACLF (33.3% vs 53.0%; P = 0.004). Predictive factors for ACLF development were systemic inflammatory response syndrome (odds ratio [OR], 2.239; P < 0.001), serum sodium level (OR, 0.939; P = 0.029), and neutrophil count (OR, 1.000; P = 0.021). For prediction of mortality at predefined time points (28-day and 90-day) in patients with ACLF, areas under the receiver-operating characteristic were significantly greater for the CLIF-C ACLFs than for Child-Pugh, MELD, and MELD-sodium scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Infection and systemic inflammatory response syndrome play an important role in the development of alcohol-related ACLF in Asian patients with active alcoholism. The CLIF-C ACLFs may be more useful for predicting mortality in ACLF cases than liver-specific scoring systems.

Prognostic Significance of Ascites and Serum Sodium in Patients with Low Meld Scores

OBJECTIVE

to determine ascites and serum sodium significance in short term mortality prediction in patients with advanced liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

a cohort of 115 cirrhotic patients referred to our Department were followed up for 6 months in non-transplant settings. The c index equivalent to the area under the receiver operating curve (ROC) was calculated and compared to estimate the short-term prognostic accuracy of the following parameters: ascites, serum sodium and MELD score.

RESULTS

in patients with a MELD score less than 21, ascites and low serum sodium (c index 0,687, p<0 0,001 and 0,748, p<0,001 respectively) showed better prognostic accuracy and were independent predictors of mortality. For MELD scores above 21, only MELD was an independent mortality prognostic factor (c index 0,710, p<0,001).

CONCLUSION

in our study, sample ascites and low serum sodium help identify patients with advanced liver disease who are at high risk of mortality despite low MELD scores. These parameters should be considered as additional prognostic parameters that could improve available treatment options and outcomes in this group of patients.

Circulating Elastin Fragments Are Not Affected by Hepatic, Renal and Hemodynamic Changes, But Reflect Survival in Cirrhosis with TIPS

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Progressive fibrosis increases hepatic resistance and causes portal hypertension with complications. During progressive fibrosis remodeling and deposition of collagens and elastin occur. Elastin remodeling is crucially involved in fibrosis progression in animal models and human data. This study investigated the association of circulating elastin with the clinical outcome in cirrhotic patients with severe portal hypertension receiving transjugular intrahepatic porto-systemic shunt (TIPS).

METHODS

We analyzed portal and hepatic venous samples of 110 cirrhotic patients obtained at TIPS insertion and 2 weeks later. The circulating levels of elastin fragments (ELM) were determined using specific monoclonal ELISA. The relationship of ELM with clinical short-time follow-up and long-term outcome was investigated.

RESULTS

Circulating levels of ELM showed a gradient across the liver before TIPS with higher levels in the hepatic vein. Interestingly, the circulating ELM levels remained unchanged after TIPS. The circulating levels of ELM in portal and hepatic veins correlated with platelet counts and inversely with serum sodium. Hepatic venous levels of ELM were higher in CHILD C compared to CHILD A and B and were associated with the presence of ascites. Patients with high levels of ELM in the hepatic veins before TIPS showed poorer survival. In multivariate analysis ELM levels in the hepatic veins and MELD were independent predictors of mortality in these patients.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated that circulating levels of ELM are not associated with hemodynamic changes, but might reflect fibrosis remodeling and predict survival in patients with severe portal hypertension receiving TIPS independently of MELD.

Serum sodium concentration is associated with increased risk of mortality in patients with compensated liver cirrhosis

AIM

Although hyponatremia is associated with a poor prognosis in liver cirrhosis, little is known about the clinical significance of serum sodium concentration in cirrhosis in Japan. This study investigated associations of mortality in Japanese cirrhosis patients taking conventional diuretics with serum sodium concentration and other clinical characteristics.

METHODS

A total of 171 consecutive patients with cirrhosis who were taking diuretic medication were enrolled retrospectively. We determined the prevalence of low serum sodium concentration and searched for associations with age, sex, etiology, complications of cirrhosis, liver function tests and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and MELD-Na scores. The predictive ability of sodium level on mortality was also investigated.

RESULTS

Median serum sodium concentration was 139 mEq/L (interquartile range, 137-141). Only eight of 171 (4.7%) patients had low serum sodium (<130 mEq/L). Median MELD-Na score was 10.5 (interquartile range, 8.0-14.3). Cumulative survival rates were significantly lower in patients with Na of less than 139 mEq/L or MELD-Na score of 10.5 or more (log-rank test, P = 0.017 and P = 0.0002, respectively). Several liver function tests, MELD and MELD-Na scores, and the incidence of ascites were all significantly associated with patients having Na of less than 139 mEq/L.

CONCLUSION

Serum sodium concentration below 139 mEq/L and MELD-Na score above 10.5 may be predictive markers for mortality in patients with cirrhosis despite being within normal ranges. These markers may help to better assess and manage the prognosis of patients with cirrhosis in Japan.

Management of patients with decompensated cirrhosis

During the assessment of a patient with liver disease, finding the patient has decompensated cirrhosis, as defined by the presence of jaundice, ascites, variceal haemorrhage or hepatic encephalopathy, has major implications regarding management and prevention of cirrhosis-related complications, as well as consideration for a referral for liver transplantation evaluation. Prognosis is markedly worse in patients with decompensated compared with compensated cirrhosis. In general, any patient with decompensated cirrhosis should receive evaluation and medical care by a hepatologist. Since patients frequently present with more than one facet of liver decompensation, such cases pose a complex management challenge requiring input from a multidisciplinary team and close liaison with a liver transplant centre.

Hyponatremia in Patients with Cirrhosis of the Liver

Hyponatremia is common in cirrhosis. It mostly occurs in an advanced stage of the disease and is associated with complications and increased mortality. Either hypovolemic or, more commonly, hypervolemic hyponatremia can be seen in cirrhosis. Impaired renal sodium handling due to renal hypoperfusion and increased arginine-vasopressin secretion secondary to reduced effective volemia due to peripheral arterial vasodilation represent the main mechanisms leading to dilutional hyponatremia in this setting. Patients with cirrhosis usually develop slowly progressing hyponatremia. In different clinical contexts, it is associated with neurological manifestations due to increased brain water content, where the intensity is often magnified by concomitant hyperammonemia leading to hepatic encephalopathy. Severe hyponatremia requiring hypertonic saline infusion is rare in cirrhosis. The management of asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic hyponatremia mainly rely on the identification and treatment of precipitating factors. However, sustained resolution of hyponatremia is often difficult to achieve. V2 receptor blockade by Vaptans is certainly effective, but their long-term safety, especially when associated to diuretics given to control ascites, has not been established as yet. As in other conditions, a rapid correction of long-standing hyponatremia can lead to irreversible brain damage. The liver transplant setting represents a condition at high risk for the occurrence of such complications.

Kidney injury in cirrhosis: pathophysiological and therapeutic aspects of hepatorenal syndromes

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is frequent in patients with cirrhosis. AKI and hyponatraemia are major determinants of the poor prognosis in advanced cirrhosis. The hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) denotes a functional and potential reversible impairment of renal function. Type 1 HRS, a special type of AKI, is a rapidly progressive AKI, whereas the renal function in type 2 HRS decreases more slowly. HRS is precipitated by factors such as sepsis that aggravate the effective hypovolaemia in decompensated cirrhosis, by lowering arterial pressure and cardiac output and enhanced sympathetic nervous activity. Therefore, attempts to prevent and treat HRS should seek to improve liver function and to ameliorate arterial hypotension, central hypovolaemia and cardiac output, and to reduce renal vasoconstriction. Ample treatment of HRS is important to prevent further progression and death, but as medical treatment only modestly improves long-term survival, these patients should always be considered for liver transplantation. Hyponatraemia, defined as serum sodium <130 mmol/L, is common in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. From a pathophysiological point of view, hyponatraemia is related to an impairment of renal solute-free water excretion most likely caused by an increased vasopressin secretion. Patients with cirrhosis mainly develop hypervolaemic hyponatraemia. Current evidence does not support routine use of vaptans in the management of hyponatraemia in cirrhosis.

Correlation between changes in bodyweight and changes in ascites volume in liver cirrhosis patients with hepatic edema in short-term diuretic therapy

AIM

Although it is an important treatment challenge to treat ascites with diuretic therapy, no objective markers have been established to assess improvement of ascites. However, change in bodyweight has been used as a marker of change in ascites volume. Thus, we evaluated the relationship between changes in bodyweight and changes in ascites volume in liver cirrhosis patients with ascites.

METHODS

We calculated ascites volume in patients using the simple 5-point method by conventional computed tomography and conducted a correlation analysis between changes in bodyweight and changes in ascites volume as a part of our double-blind phase 3 trial of tolvaptan.

RESULT

Change in bodyweight (x-axis) was correlated with change in ascites volume (y-axis) in all included patients (r = 0.52). A strong correlation were observed between the changes in patients without lower limb edema (r = 0.61). These correlations between the changes were expressed by the following linear regression equations: y = -0.102 + 0.206x or y = -0.033 + 0.292x, respectively. Proportions of change in ascites volume to change in bodyweight were estimated to be nearly 30%. Therefore, bodyweight reduction was confirmed to lead to improvement in ascites.

CONCLUSION

Change in bodyweight can be an objective marker to assess improvement of hepatic edema in the short-term diuretic therapy in everyday clinical practice. Decrease in ascites volume was estimated to account for nearly 30% of bodyweight reduction.

Prognostic value of muscle atrophy in cirrhosis using psoas muscle thickness on computed tomography

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Waiting-list mortality in patients with cirrhosis and a relatively low MELD score is a matter of concern. The aim of this study was to determine whether a marker of muscle waste could improve prognostication.

METHODS

A pre-MELD cohort (waiting time-based allocation; n=186) and a MELD-era cohort (n=376) were examined. At evaluation, transversal psoas muscle thickness (TPMT) was measured on a computed tomography (CT) image at the level of the umbilicus. In the pre-MELD cohort, TPMT/height (mm/m) and the MELD score were entered in univariate and multivariate models to predict mortality after registration. Applicability of pre-MELD findings was tested in the MELD-era.

RESULTS

In the pre-MELD cohort, the MELD score and TPMT/height were significantly associated with mortality. The discrimination of a score combining MELD and TPMT/height (MELD-psoas) was 0.84 (95% CI, 0.62-0.95). In the MELD-era, TPTM/height was significantly associated with mortality, independent of the MELD and MELD-Na scores. There was a 15% increase in mortality risk per unit decrease in TPMT/height. The discrimination of MELD-psoas score (0.82; 95% CI, 0.64-0.93) was superior to that of the MELD score and similar to that of the MELD-Na score. In patients with refractory ascites, mortality was significantly higher when TPMT/height was <16.8 mm/m (42% vs. 9%, p=0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

TPMP/height on CT at the level of the umbilicus, an objective marker of muscle waste, may be predictive of mortality in cirrhotic patients, independent of the MELD and MELD-Na scores. It may help to better assess the prognosis of patients with refractory ascites.

Hyponatraemia is an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality

BACKGROUND

Hyponatraemia increases morbidity and mortality, but the extent to which this condition influences mortality independently of other contributing factors is unclear.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All hyponatremic patients admitted to the internal medicine department during a six month period were included. Medical records were reviewed and patients' demographics, underlying disease, cause of hyponatremia and in-hospital deaths were noted. Control group consisted of patients with normonatremia admitted to the same department during the same period matched 1:1 by sex, age and underlying disease. Difference in in-hospital mortality rate between the study and control groups was tested by chi-square test. Baseline demographics, underlying diseases, cause of hyponatremia and state of hyponatremia correction as possible risk factors for mortality were tested in a multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

The baseline cohort of all admitted patients consisted of 2,171 patients. Hyponatraemia was found in 278 (13%) patients (160 females and 118 males). The three most common causes of hyponatremia included gastrointestinal loss (52 patients), decreased oral intake (47 patients), and dilution hyponatremia (45 patients). The in-hospital mortality rate in the hyponatremic group was significantly higher compared with the control group (22% vs 7%, respectively; OR 3.75, 95% CI 2.17-6.48, p<0.0001). In a multivariate analysis age above 65 years, dilution hyponatremia, decreased oral intake as etiologic factors of hyponatremia, and unsuccessful hyponatremia correction were independent factors associated with increased mortality.

CONCLUSION

Hyponatraemia represents independent factor associated with in-hospital mortality. Age above 65 years, failure to correct hyponatremia and some specific etiologic factors of hyponatremia are related to increased mortality.

Procalcitonin, and cytokines document a dynamic inflammatory state in non-infected cirrhotic patients with ascites

AIM: To quantitate the simultaneous serum and ascitic fluid levels of procalcitonin and inflammatory markers in cirrhotics with and without ascites.

METHODS: A total of 88 consecutive severe cirrhotic patients seen in a large city hospital liver clinic were studied and divided into two groups, those with and without ascites. Group 1 consisted of 41 cirrhotic patients with massive ascites, as demonstrated by necessity for therapeutic large-volume paracentesis. Group 2 consisted of 47 cirrhotic patients without any clinically documented ascites to include either a recent abdominal computed tomography scan or ultrasound study. Serum and ascitic fluid levels of an array of inflammatory markers, including procalcitonin, were measured and compared to each other and a normal plasma panel (NPP).

RESULTS: The values for inflammatory markers assayed in the serum of Groups 1 and 2, and ascitic fluid of the Group 1. The plasma levels of the inflammatory cytokines interleukin (IL)-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-8, interferon gamma (IFNγ) and epidermal growth factor (EGF) were all significantly greater in the serum of Group 1 as compared to that of the serum obtained from the Group 2 subjects (all P < 0.05). There were significantly greater serum levels of IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, tumor necrosis factor-α, vascular endothelial growth factor and EGF when comparing Group 2 to the NPP. There was no significant difference for IL-1A, IL-1B, IL-2, IL-4 and IFNγ levels between these two groups. Serum procalcitonin levels were increased in cirrhotics with ascites compared to cirrhotics without ascites, but serum levels were similar to ascites levels within the ascites group. Furthermore, many of these cytokines, but not procalcitonin, demonstrate an ascites-to-serum gradient. Serum procalcitonin does not demonstrate any significant difference segregated by liver etiology in the ascites group; but ascitic fluid procalcitonin is elevated significantly in cardiac cirrhosis/miscellaneous subgroup compared to the hepatitis C virus and alcoholic cirrhosis subgroups.

CONCLUSION: Procalcitonin in the ascitic fluid, but not in the serum, differentiates between cirrhotic subgroup reflecting the dynamic interplay of ascites, bacterial translocation and the peri-peritoneal cytokine.

The Refit model for end-stage liver disease-Na is not a better predictor of mortality than the Refit model for end-stage liver disease in patients with cirrhosis and ascites

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The modification of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scoring system (Refit MELD) and the modification of MELD-Na (Refit MELDNa), which optimized the MELD coefficients, were published in 2011. We aimed to validate the superiority of the Refit MELDNa over the Refit MELD for the prediction of 3-month mortality in Korean patients with cirrhosis and ascites.

METHODS

We reviewed the medical records of patients admitted with hepatic cirrhosis and ascites to the Konkuk University Hospital between January 2006 and December 2011. The Refit MELD and Refit MELDNa were compared using the predictive value of the 3-month mortality, as assessed by the Child-Pugh score.

RESULTS

In total, 530 patients were enrolled, 87 of whom died within 3 months. Alcohol was the most common etiology of their cirrhosis (n=271, 51.1%), and the most common cause of death was variceal bleeding (n=20, 23%). The areas under the receiver operating curve (AUROCs) for the Child-Pugh, Refit MELD, and Refit MELDNa scores were 0.754, 0.791, and 0.764 respectively; the corresponding values when the analysis was performed only in patients with persistent ascites (n=115) were 0.725, 0.804, and 0.796, respectively. The significant difference found among the Child-Pugh, Refit MELD, and Refit MELDNa scores was between the Child-Pugh score and Refit MELD in patients with persistent ascites (P=0.039).

CONCLUSIONS

Refit MELD and Refit MELDNa exhibited good predictability for 3-month mortality in patients with cirrhosis and ascites. However, Refit MELDNa was not found to be a better predictor than Refit MELD, despite the known relationship between hyponatremia and mortality in cirrhotic patients with ascites.

Management of hyponatremia in clinical hepatology practice

The burden of liver disease continues to increase in the United States, with the epidemics of hepatitis C, alcoholic liver disease, and the coming wave of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease patients all contributing to a high burden of individuals with end-stage liver disease. The complications of cirrhosis have been related to portal hypertension or synthetic dysfunction with variceal bleeding, ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, jaundice, hepatorenal syndrome, and the pulmonary complications of cirrhosis being described classically. Over the past decade, a body of evidence has now been assembled demonstrating that hyponatremia is also an important complication in patients with decompensated cirrhosis, with recent data demonstrating that hyponatremia is an important prognostic indicator in those with cirrhosis [1••]. Seminal research has demonstrated the pathophysiologic role of the hyperdynamic circulation and vasodilation in those with decompensated cirrhosis that leads to many of the complications, including hyponatremia [2•]. Moreover, a new class of drugs, the vaptans, have provided important insights into the pathophysiology and potential therapy of those with hyponatremia and possibly in those with hyponatremia and cirrhotic ascites [3]. However, there are safety concerns with some drugs in this class. In this article, the pathophysiology of hyponatremia, clinical relevance to patients with decompensated cirrhosis, and management options will be addressed.