Prognosis of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma who failed first-line systemic therapy

Carry-over effect of immunotherapy in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Combination immunotherapy is the current standard for treating advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The response elicited by upfront immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) might influence the efficacy of salvage therapy, a phenomenon known as the carry-over effect. This effect is thought to stem from immune memory and sustained immune activation, providing extended protection against tumor progression and resulting in a durable response even after discontinuation of ICI. This study aimed to investigate the carry-over effect of first-line ICI therapy in patients with advanced HCC.

METHODS

Patients who received first-line ICI therapy for advanced HCC from December 2017 to December 2021 were included if they exhibited disease progression and received second-line systemic therapy. We analyzed the associations between clinical benefit (classified as complete, partial response and stable disease) of first-line ICI therapy, post-progression survival (PPS) and second-line progression-free survival (PFS). We used a historical cohort of patients receiving first-line multikinase inhibitor (MKI) for comparison.

RESULTS

A total of 137 patients were analyzed. We included 60 patients who received first-line ICI therapy, of which clinical benefit was detected in 46 (76.7%). Compared with patients without clinical benefit of first-line ICI therapy, patients with clinical benefit exhibited significantly longer PPS (median: 14.6 vs. 4.9 months, P = 0.024) and second-line PFS (median: 3.6 vs. 1.6 months, P = 0.027). In multivariate analysis, clinical benefit of first-line ICI therapy remained an independent predictor of PPS [hazard ratio (HR): 0.295, P = 0.005] and second-line PFS (HR: 0.484, P = 0.047). Conversely, clinical benefit was not associated with PPS among patients receiving first-line MKI therapy in both univariate and multivariate analysis in historical MKI cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical benefit of first-line ICI therapy was associated with PPS and second-line PFS in patients with advanced HCC, suggestive of the carry-over effect of ICI.

Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors Affect Post-Progression Survival of Specific Patient Subgroups With Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Study Cohorts' Analysis

OBJECTIVES

Immunotherapy-based regimens (IMBs), compared with tyrosine-kinase inhibitors (TKIs), improve the overall survival (OS) of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC). The aim of the study was to explore the interaction of prognostic factors with survival in study cohorts receiving IMB or TKI.

METHODS

A systematic search was performed and single arms of phase III trials including IMB or TKI were selected. Analysis of IMB and TKI cohorts was performed, and the relationship between progression-free survival (PFS) with OS was assessed. Finally, 13 variables were extracted, and their relationships with survival in the two groups were evaluated.

RESULTS

Thirty-three study cohorts were selected. Longer OS and post-progression survival (PPS) were evident in the group of IMB, while the relationship of PFS with OS was significant only in the TKI cohorts (β = 0.527, p = 0.007). Prognostic factors in the IMB cohorts did not report any significant relationship with OS, while among patients receiving TKIs, longer OS was documented with elder age (β = 0.577, p = 0.003) and good performance status (β = 0.500, p = 0.011). Conversely, in the IMB cohorts, PPS increased with hepatitis B virus (HBV) (β = 0.756, p = 0.030) and Barcelona Clinic Liver Classification (BCLC) stage (β = 0.898, p = 0.002).

CONCLUSION

In contrast to TKIs, IMBs improved the outcome of patients with aHCC by increasing PPS, particularly in patients with BCLC stage C and HBV-related hepatopathy, but the outcome improvement was lost in patients with hepatitis C virus-related liver disease.

Clinicopathological Findings and Treatment Outcomes of Patients with Primary Hepatobiliary Neuroendocrine Neoplasms: A Retrospective Single-institution Analysis

Objective Primary hepatobiliary neuroendocrine neoplasms (NENs) are rare tumors exhibiting several morphological and behavioral characteristics. Considering the lack of relevant data on this topic, we evaluated the clinicopathological features and treatment outcomes of patients with primary hepatobiliary NENs. Methods/Patients We examined 43 consecutive patients treated at the National Cancer Center Hospital with pathological diagnoses of primary hepatobiliary NEN between 1980 and 2016. Results Nine patients were diagnosed with neuroendocrine tumor (NET) G1, 9 with NET G2, and 25 with neuroendocrine carcinoma (NEC) based on the World Health Organization 2019 classification. Patients with NEC had primary sites across the hepatobiliary organs, although sites in patients with NET G1 and NET G2 only included the liver and ampulla of Vater. Patients with primary extrahepatic bile duct or ampulla of Vater NENs tended to be diagnosed earlier than patients with primary gallbladder NENs. The median survival times in the NET G1, NET G2, and NEC groups were 167.9, 97.4, and 11.1 months, respectively. A good performance status, absence of distant metastases, and low tumor grade were identified as independent predictors of a favorable prognosis. Conclusion The NET-to-NEC ratio and tumor stage distribution at the diagnosis differed depending on the primary site. Patients with G1 and G2 NETs who underwent surgical resection had good prognoses, whereas those with NEC exhibited more advanced disease and poorer prognoses. The performance status, staging classification, and tumor grade are important factors to consider when devising an appropriate treatment strategy and predicting the prognoses of patients with primary hepatobiliary NEN.

Efficacy and safety of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab versus lenvatinib for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and lenvatinib are the current first-line systematic therapy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). However, the selection of initial treatment among the two therapies are controversial. This meta-analysis aims to compare efficacy and safety between atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and lenvatinib.

METHODS

We systematically searched for studies on atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and lenvatinib in the online databases PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane Library. The outcome data including overall survival (OS), progression free survival (PFS), tumor response and adverse events (AEs), were independently extracted by two authors in a standardized way.

RESULTS

Eight retrospective cohort studies with 3690 patients (atezolizumab plus bevacizumab: 1680, lenvatinib: 2010) were included in the meta-analysis. The atezolizumab plus bevacizumab group had significant longer PFS [hazard ratio (HR) 0.76, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 0.65-0.88; I squared statistic (I2) = 0.0%, p = 0.590], compared with lenvatinib group but no significant difference in OS (HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.75-1.01; I2 = 0.0%, p = 0.597), objective response rate (ORR) [risk ratio (RR) 0.89, 95% CI 0.79-1.02; I2 = 19.3%, p = 0.283] and disease control rate (DCR) (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.98-1.09; I2 = 0.0%, p = 0.467) among them. Moreover, patients receiving atezolizumab plus bevacizumab exhibited lower incidences of grade 3/4 AEs than those receiving lenvatinib (RR 0.65, 95% CI 0.51-0.83; I2 = 69.3%, p = 0.003). However, in non-viral patients group, lenvatinib delivered favorable outcomes in OS (HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.04-1.67; I2 = 0.0%, p = 0.380) compared with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab.

CONCLUSION

Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab provides potential advantage in efficacy and better safety than lenvatinib in the treatment of uHCC. Lenvatinib is an appropriate effective alternative to atezolizumab plus bevacizumab in patients without viral infecting.

Alkaline phosphatase combined with γ-glutamyl transferase is an independent predictor of prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma patients receiving programmed death-1 inhibitors

Background

Immunotherapy plays an increasingly critical role in the systemic treatment of HCC. This current study aimed to establish a novel prognostic predictor of Programmed death 1 (PD-1) inhibitor therapy in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) independent of Child-Pugh grade.

Methods

Our study screened patients with HCC who received PD-1 inhibitors at Tongji Hospital Affiliated to Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science and Technology from January 2018 to December 2020. ALG grade was determined by the patient's serum ALP and GGT levels before the initiation of PD-1 inhibitors. The endpoints of our study were overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS). Follow-up ended at May 31, 2022.

Results

Eighty- five patients (77 with Child-Pugh grade A, 8 with Child-Pugh grade B at baseline) were enrolled according to the inclusion criteria. Patients with Child-Pugh grade A achieved longer PFS and OS than those with Child-Pugh grade B. Patients with ALG grade 3 at baseline showed worse tumor response and poorer survival, and ALG grade could stratify patients with Child-Pugh grade A into subgroups with significantly different prognosis.

Conclusions

ALG grade, combining ALP and GGT, is a novel and readily available prognostic marker and the predictive effect of ALG grade on patient prognosis is independent of Child-Pugh grade.

Determinants of Treatment Benefit and Post-Treatment Survival for Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Enrolled in Second-Line Trials after the Failure of Sorafenib Treatment

Second-line treatments are standard care for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with preserved liver function who are intolerant of or progress on first-line therapy. However, determinants of treatment benefit and post-treatment survival (PTS) remain unknown. HCC patients previously treated with sorafenib and enrolled in second-line clinical trials were pooled according to the investigational treatment received and the subsequent regulatory approval: approved targeted agents and immune checkpoint inhibitors (AT) or other agents (OT) not subsequently approved. Univariate and multivariate analyses using Cox proportional hazards models established relationships among treatments received, clinical variables, and overall survival (OS) or PTS. For 174 patients (80 AT; 94 OT) analyzed, baseline factors for longer OS in multivariate analysis were second-line AT, absence of both portal vein thrombosis and extrahepatic spread (EHS). Treatment with AT (versus OT) was associated with significantly longer OS among patients with EHS (pinteraction = 0.005) and patients with low neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR; pinteraction = 0.032). Median PTS was 4.0 months (95% CI 2.8−5.3). At second-line treatment discontinuation, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels <400 ng/dl, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 1, and enrolment onto subsequent trials independently predicted longer PTS. Treatment with AT, PVT, and EHS were prognostic factors for OS, while AFP, ALBI grade and enrolment onto a third-line trial were prognostic for PTS. Presence of EHS and low NLR were predictors of greater OS benefit from AT.

Bevacizumab and atezolizumab as first-line therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: A Taiwanese subgroup analysis on efficacy and safety

BACKGROUND

The combination of bevacizumab and atezolizumab has been established as a standard first-line systemic treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We examined the treatment outcomes of patients in Taiwan who received the combination in 2 pivotal clinical trials.

METHODS

All patients who resided in Taiwan, were enrolled in the IMbrave150 and GO30140 studies, and received bevacizumab and atezolizumab as the first-line systemic therapy for unresectable HCC were included. We extracted and pooled anonymous raw data from the study records.

RESULTS

We enrolled 40 patients, with the median age of 62.5 years; 36 (90%) had Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C disease. The response rate was 37.5%, including 3 (7.5%) complete responses. The disease control rate was 85%. The median duration of response was 21.4 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 16.6-not estimable). The median progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were 8.6 (95% CI, 5.6-18.6) and 24.9 months (95% CI, 14.2-not estimable), respectively. The most common adverse events of all grades were proteinuria (50%) and hypertension (37.5%), the median onset of which were 157 and 127 days, respectively. Bevacizumab and atezolizumab treatment had to be interrupted in 20 (50%) and 13 (32.5%) patients, respectively. Among patients whose treatment duration was ≥6 months, 50% of them had to skip bevacizumab, but no signal of poorer PFS or OS was observed.

CONCLUSION

In Taiwanese patients with advanced HCC, the efficacy and safety outcomes of bevacizumab and atezolizumab treatment were generally consistent with the global intent-to-treat populations.

Nucleolar protein 6 promotes cell proliferation and acts as a potential novel prognostic marker for hepatocellular carcinoma

Background:

Nucleolar protein 6 (NOL6) is a nucleolar RNA-associated protein that is highly conserved between species. It has been proved to be associated with the prognosis of liver cancer. However, the underlying mechanism has not been fully established. This study aimed to assess the relationship between NOL6 and liver cancer prognosis.

Methods:

We constructed an NOL6-short hairpin RNA (shRNA)-expressing lentivirus. Through viral transfection, cell growth assay and fluorescence-activated cell sorting, we evaluated the effect of shRNA-mediated NOL6 knockdown on the proliferation, colony formation, and apoptosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cells. The relationship between NOL6 expression and HCC patient survival has been established through bioinformatics analysis. We also explored the downstream molecular regulatory network of NOL6 in HCC by performing an Ingenuity Pathway Analysis in the database.

Results:

Increased NOL6 expression was detected in HCC cells compared to normal controls; HCC patients with high NOL6 expression had poorer prognoses than those with low expression. NOL6 knockdown inhibited HCC cell proliferation, apoptosis, and colony formation. Also, MAPK8, CEBPA, and FOSL1 were selected as potential downstream genes of NOL6.

Conclusions:

NOL6 up-regulates HCC cell proliferation and affects downstream expression of related genes. Moreover, NOL6 is considered to be associated with poor prognosis in HCC patients.

Eg5 as a Prognostic Biomarker and Potential Therapeutic Target for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The kinesin Eg5, a mitosis-associated protein, is overexpressed in many cancers. Here we explored the clinical significance of Eg5 in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

HCC tissues from surgical resection were collected. Total RNA was prepared from tumorous and nontumorous parts. Eg5 expression levels were correlated with overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). In vitro efficacy of LGI-147, a specific Eg5 inhibitor, was tested in HCC cell lines. In vivo efficacy of Eg5 inhibition was investigated in a xenograft model.

RESULTS

A total of 108 HCC samples were included. The patients were divided into three tertile groups with high, medium, and low Eg5 expression levels. OS of patients with low Eg5 expression was better than that of patients with medium and high Eg5 expression (median, 155.6 vs. 75.3 vs. 57.7 months, p = 0.002). DFS of patients with low Eg5 expression was also better than that of patients with medium and high Eg5 expression (median, 126.3 vs. 46.2 vs. 39.4 months, p = 0.001). In multivariate analyses, the associations between Eg5 expression and OS (p < 0.001) or DFS remained (p < 0.001). LGI-147 reduced cell growth via cell cycle arrest and apoptosis and induced accumulation of abnormal mitotic cells. In the xenograft model, the tumor growth rate under LGI-147 treatment was significantly slower than under the control.

CONCLUSION

High Eg5 expression was associated with poor HCC prognosis. In vitro and in vivo evidence suggests that Eg5 may be a reasonable therapeutic target for HCC.

Prognostic value of the albumin-bilirubin grade in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and other liver diseases

One of the most commonly used systems for grading liver function in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients is the Child-Pugh (CP) score. However, the CP scoring system is not without its shortcomings: for example, the cut-off values for the parameters are calculated arbitrarily and the assessment of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy is subjective. More recently, an alternative to traditional CP grade has emerged in the form of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade. The predictive value provided for HCC patients by the ALBI grade is comparable to that of the CP grade; however, it can also surpass CP grade by greatly reducing subjectivity and further subdividing CP A patients into several different groups, thus improving the prognosis judgment and helping to inform clinicians’ optimal decision-making. The application of the ALBI grade into currently used HCC staging systems such as the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system, the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) staging system, and the Japan Integrated Staging (JIS) score, etc., as well as newly produced systems like the ALBI-PLT grade, the ALBI and progression disease (ALBI-PD) grade and Modified Intermediate Stage of Liver Cancer (MICAN) criteria, greatly elevates prognostic power.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes of candidates for second-line therapy, including regorafenib and ramucirumab, for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma after sorafenib treatment

AIM

This study aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics and outcomes of candidates for second-line therapy, including regorafenib and ramucirumab, for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after sorafenib treatment.

METHODS

Of 122 patients, 103 were radiologically confirmed as progressive disease (PD) (sorafenib-refractory group), and 19 discontinued sorafenib therapy due to adverse events prior to radiologic PD (sorafenib-intolerant group). Patients in the sorafenib-refractory group were divided into two subgroups each, according to their eligibility for second-line treatment (second-line-in and -out group), regorafenib (RESORCE-in and -out group), or ramucirumab (REACH-2-in and -out group).

RESULTS

Patients included in the non-candidate group were those with α-fetoprotein level <400 ng/mL (n = 51, 49.5%), daily sorafenib dose <400 mg (n = 44, 42.7%), Child-Pugh B or C (n = 40, 38.8%), and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status score ≥2 (n = 24, 23.3%). The percentages of candidates were 57.3% for second-line, 35.0% for regorafenib, and 23.3% for ramucirumab. The median post-progression survival (PPS) was significantly longer for the second-line-in and the RESORCE-in groups than in the non-candidate groups (12.6 and 11.0 months vs. 3.0 and 6.1 months, respectively). The PPS was not significantly different between the REACH-2-in and -out groups. A significant predictor of candidates for second-line treatment at sorafenib initiation was a Child-Pugh score of 5 (A5).

CONCLUSIONS

Not all patients refractory to sorafenib were candidates for second-line therapy. A Child-Pugh score of A5 at sorafenib initiation was an important and favorable factor related to eligibility for second-line therapy and good outcomes.

Considerations of heterogeneity in clinical trials for hepatocellular carcinoma

Introduction: Clinical trials in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) exhibit a high degree of heterogeneity. These heterogeneities may lead to unexpected results among clinical trials. Area covered: In this review, we address the heterogeneity noted in early phase HCC trials, trials involving transarterial chemoembolization, and advanced HCC trials. Furthermore, we discuss possible methods to attenuate the detrimental effects of heterogeneity when conducting clinical trials. Expert opinion: Clinical trials in HCC exhibit an inherently high degree of heterogeneity because of various reasons: tumor heterogeneity, different cirrhotic backgrounds, various etiologies of cirrhosis, and geographical differences in practice and expertise. Such heterogeneity may cause imbalance among the enrolled patient population, premature withdrawal from the clinical trial, and variable response to the treatment. In addition, methodological heterogeneity also exists in designing trial protocol and response evaluation. All these factors may eventually lead to conflicting results among clinical trials. Accounting for these heterogeneities is important to foster the success of future trials. In recent years, significant progress with molecular targeted agents and immune checkpoint inhibitors was made in advanced HCC. These new agents are also being tested in clinical trials involving earlier stage HCC and will also face the challenge of these issues.

Current options and future possibilities for the systemic treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma

Most hepatocellular carcinoma patients could not benefit from or experience disease recurrence after curative treatments. In 2007 sorafenib demonstrated efficacy in first line treatment of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. After a decade of negative trials, in early 2019 we now have another tyrosine kinase inhibitor available in first line, lenvatinib, three other targeted therapies in second line post-sorafenib (regorafenib, cabozantinib and ramucirumab) and promising data from two immunotherapies (nivolumab and pembrolizumab). Unfortunately, no biomarkers have been identified to help guide our choice. In this short review we summarize the results of these different therapies and propose a therapeutic algorithm based on subgroup analysis. It is most likely that we will not have head-to-head comparisons in second line trials.

Increased Expression of Programmed Death-Ligand 1 in Infiltrating Immune Cells in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Tissues after Sorafenib Treatment

OBJECTIVE

Programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression in the tumor microenvironment (TME) has been reported to be related to prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy. The impact of sorafenib on PD-L1 expression in the TME of advanced HCC is unclear.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with HCC who received sorafenib for advanced disease at National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan, and who had paired HCC tissues obtained before and after sorafenib treatment were included in the study group. HCC patients not treated with sorafenib who had paired primary and recurrent or metastatic tissues were identified as the reference group. The membrane PD-L1 staining, detected by immunohistochemistry (IHC) using SP142 antibody, was semiquantitatively scored in tumor cells (TCs) or tumor-infiltrating immune cells (ICs). Additional IHC assays were employed to characterize the PD-L1-expressing ICs.

RESULTS

Twenty-three advanced HCC patients with pre- and post-sorafenib paired HCC tissues were included in the study group. The median duration of sorafenib treatment was 4.3 months (range: 1.3-18.7). PD-L1 expression in ICs was significantly higher in post-sorafenib HCC tissues than in pre-sorafenib HCC tissues (pre-sorafenib vs. post-sorafenib IHC 0/1/2/3: 11/5/5/2 vs. 5/5/2/11, p = 0.016). However, PD-L1 expression in TCs was not significantly different between pre- and post-sorafenib tissues (IHC 0/1/2/3: 19/2/0/2 vs. 14/5/0/4, p = 0.094). In the reference group of 44 patients not treated with sorafenib, PD-L1 expression in ICs and TCs was not significantly different between the paired primary and metastatic HCC tissues. By performing IHC double staining with PD-L1 and CD68, we found the PD-L1-expressing ICs were mainly CD68-positive macrophages. PD-L1 expression levels of pre- and post-sorafenib tissues were not associated with patients' overall survival or duration of sorafenib treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

PD-L1 expression in ICs was significantly increased in post-sorafenib HCC tissues. The mechanisms and clinical significance of this observation warrants further investigation.

Hepatic arterial infusion of oxaliplatin plus fluorouracil/leucovorin vs. sorafenib for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

To compare the overall survival (OS) and disease progression free survival (PFS) in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (Ad-HCC) who are undergoing hepatic arterial infusion (HAI) of oxaliplatin, fluorouracil/leucovorin (FOLFOX) treatment vs. sorafenib.

METHODS

This retrospective study was approved by the ethical review committee, and informed consent was obtained from all patients before treatment. HAI of FOLFOX (HAIF) was recommended as an alternative treatment option for patients who refused sorafenib. Of the 412 patients with Ad-HCC (376 men and 36 women) between Jan 2012 to Dec 2015, 232 patients were treated with sorafenib; 180 patients were given HAIF therapy. The median age was 51 years (range, 16-82 years). Propensity-score matched estimates were used to reduce bias when evaluating survival. Survival curves were calculated by performing the Kaplan-Meier method and compared by using the log-rank test and Cox regression models.

RESULTS

The median PFS and OS in the HAIF group were significantly longer than those in the sorafenib group (PFS 7.1 vs. 3.3 months [RECIST]/7.4 vs. 3.6 months [mRECIST], respectively; OS 14.5 vs. 7.0 months; p <0.001 for each). In the propensity-score matched cohorts (147 pairs), both PFS and OS in the HAIF group were longer than those in the sorafenib group (p <0.001). At multivariate analysis, HAIF treatment was an independent factor for PFS (hazard ratio [HR] 0.389 [RECIST]/0.402 [mRECIST]; p <0.001 for each) and OS (HR 0.129; p <0.001).

CONCLUSION

HAIF therapy may improve survival compared to sorafenib in patients with Ad-HCC. A prospective randomized trial is ongoing to confirm this finding.

LAY SUMMARY

We compared the hepatic arterial infusion of FOLFOX (a combination chemotherapy) with sorafenib (a tyrosine kinase inhibitor) in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma, retrospectively. It was found that hepatic arterial infusion of FOLFOX therapy may improve both progression free and overall survival in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma.

Prognostic Factors Associated with Postprogression Survival in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Treated with Sorafenib Not Eligible for Second-Line Regorafenib Treatment

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic factors associated with postprogression survival (PPS) in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with sorafenib, who were not eligible for second-line treatment with regorafenib.

METHODS

A total of 103 patients with radiological confirmation of progressive disease (PD) were enrolled.

RESULTS

The median PPS (n = 67) was 6.1 months. Significant and independent prognostic factors at initial radiological PD associated with good PPS were an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG-PS) score of 0, the absence of macrovascular invasion (MVI), and time to progression (TTP) ≥4 months. Upon scoring these three variables as good PPS factors, the median PPS in the good PPS score of 3 or 2 group (n = 38) was significantly longer than that in the good PPS score of 1 or 0 group (n = 29) (16.6 vs. 2.9 months; p < 0.0001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

An ECOG-PS score of 0, the absence of MVI, and TTP ≥4 months at first radiological confirmation of PD may be useful for predicting good PPS in patients with advanced HCC who do not meet the eligibility criteria for the RESORCE trial.

Rap1b enhances the invasion and migration of hepatocellular carcinoma cells by up-regulating Twist 1

Rap1b was found be dysregulated in several types of cancers. Previously, we have demonstrated that Rap1b affects proliferation, migration and invasion of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cells. However, the definite function of Rap1b in HCC remains unknown. Here, we reported that Rap1b was significantly up-regulated in HCC tissues compared with the non-tumoral liver tissues. Overexpression of Rap1b promoted tumor growth and migration in vitro and tumor formation in vivo. Oppositely, inhibition of Rap1b suppressed the proliferation and migration of HCC cells. Mechanism study revealed that Rap1b could up-regulate Twist 1 expression by enhancing its promoter activity. We concluded that Rap1b increased Twist 1 expression by targeting its promoter activity to induce proliferation and migration of HCC cells.

Validation of the albumin-bilirubin grade-based integrated model as a predictor for sorafenib-failed hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Sorafenib is the standard treatment for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) but is challenging after treatment failure. Appropriate criteria for enrolling patients into second-line trials are still limited. In this study, we aimed to establish more objective criteria based on Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) grade to select patients with better post-progression survival (PPS) for second-line treatment.

METHODS

Consecutive 404 advanced HCC patients receiving sorafenib were retrospectively enrolled. All patients were in Child-Pugh class A and BCLC stage C with either portal vein invasion or extrahepatic metastasis at the beginning of sorafenib treatment. Radiological evaluation based on mRECIST criteria and clinical assessments with compliance were performed on schedule.

RESULTS

During the median follow-up period of 5.8 months, 310 patients developed progressive disease (PD) and 350 deaths occurred. The PD patients were randomized into derivation and validation cohorts by a 1:1 ratio. The independent predictors of poor PPS in derivation cohort were ALBI grade 3 at PD (hazard ratio [HR]=3.24, P = .002), new extrahepatic lesions (NEH) (HR=1.75, P = .011), and early PD within 4 months (HR=1.88, P = .037). ALBI-PD criteria were proposed by incorporating these three risk factors. In the validation cohort, PPS could be independently predicted by presence of early PD, NEH as well as ALBI grade 3 at PD. Patients within ALBI-PD criteria had significant longer median PPS than those beyond it even in Child-Pugh A (9.7 vs 4.9 months, P = .005) subpopulations.

CONCLUSIONS

The ALBI-PD criteria can differentiate PPS and stratify the patients with advanced HCC for the second-line trials or salvage therapy.

Metronomic capecitabine as second-line treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma after sorafenib discontinuation

PURPOSE

Metronomic capecitabine (MC) is a well-tolerated systemic treatment showing promising results in one retrospective study, as second-line therapy after sorafenib failure, in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

117 patients undergoing MC were compared to 112 patients, eligible for this treatment, but undergoing best supportive care (BSC) after sorafenib discontinuation for toxicity or HCC progression. The two groups were compared for demographic and clinical features. A multivariate regression analysis was conducted to detect independent prognostic factors. To balance confounding factors between the two groups, a propensity score model based on independent prognosticators (performance status, neoplastic thrombosis, causes of sorafenib discontinuation and pre-sorafenib treatment) was performed.

RESULTS

Patients undergoing MC showed better performance status, lower tumor burden, lower prevalence of portal vein thrombosis, and better cancer stage. Median (95% CI) post-sorafenib survival (PSS) was longer in MC than in BSC patients [9.5 (7.5-11.6) vs 5.0 (4.2-5.7) months (p < 0.001)]. Neoplastic thrombosis, cause of sorafenib discontinuation, pre-sorafenib treatment and MC were independent prognosticators. The benefit of capecitabine was confirmed in patients after matching with propensity score [PSS: 9.9 (6.8-12.9) vs. 5.8 (4.8-6.8) months, (p = 0.001)]. MC lowered the mortality risk by about 40%. MC achieved better results in patients who stopped sorafenib for adverse events than in those who progressed during it [PSS: 17.3 (10.5-24.1) vs. 7.8 (5.2-10.1) months, (p = 0.035)]. Treatment toxicity was low and easily manageable with dose modulation.

CONCLUSIONS

MC may be an efficient and safe second-line systemic therapy for HCC patients who discontinued sorafenib for toxicity or tumor progression.

Management consensus guideline for hepatocellular carcinoma: 2016 updated by the Taiwan Liver Cancer Association and the Gastroenterological Society of Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading causes of cancer-related mortality in Taiwan. To help clinical physicians to manage patients with HCC, the Taiwan Liver Cancer Association and the Gastroenterological Society of Taiwan produced the management consensus guideline for HCC.

METHODS

The recommendations focus on nine important issues on management of HCC, including surveillance, diagnosis, staging, surgery, local ablation, transarterial chemoembolization/transarterial radioembolization/hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy, systemic therapy, radiotherapy, and prevention.

RESULTS

The consensus statements were discussed, debated and got consensus in each expert team. And then the statements were sent to all of the experts for further discussion and refinement. Finally, all of the experts were invited to vote for the statements, including the level of evidence and recommendation.

CONCLUSION

With the development of the management consensus guideline, HCC patients could benefit from the optimal therapeutic modality.

Lenalidomide as second-line therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: exploration of biomarkers for treatment efficacy

BACKGROUND

Lenalidomide has immunomodulatory and anti-angiogenic effects and showed moderate anti-tumour efficacy in patients with. advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) AIM: To explore potential biomarkers of lenalidomide efficacy as second-line therapy for HCC.

METHODS

Eligible patients were diagnosed with advanced HCC, documented progression on sorafenib, and Child-Pugh class A liver function. Patients received 25 mg/day lenalidomide orally on days 1-21 every 4 weeks. The primary endpoint was 6 month progression-free survival rate. Early α-fetoprotein response was defined as a > 20% decline of α-fetoprotein levels from baseline within the first 4 weeks of treatment. Vascular response, evaluated using dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging, was defined as a > 40% decline in K^trans after 2 weeks of treatment. The percentage of peripheral blood lymphocyte subsets were also analysed.

RESULTS

Fifty-five patients were enrolled. The response rate was 13%, and the disease-control rate was 53%. The 6 month progression-free survival rate was 9.1%. The median progression-free and overall survival was 1.8 months and 8.9 months respectively. Early α-fetoprotein response was significantly associated with higher disease-control rate (76% vs 22%, P = .001) and longer progression-free survival (P = .020). Vascular response was not associated with any treatment outcomes. Patients with a high pre-treatment B cell percentage were more likely to have disease control (70% vs 36%, P = .010) and exhibited longer progression-free survival (P < .001) and overall survival (P = .042).

CONCLUSIONS

Lenalidomide exhibited moderate activity as second-line therapy for advanced HCC. Its immunomodulatory effects should be further explored (www.clinicaltrials.gov NCT01545804).

Survival Estimates after Stopping Sorafenib in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma: NEXT Score Development and Validation

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Limited information is available regarding patient survival after sorafenib discontinuation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Thus, we developed and validated a novel survival prediction model.

METHODS

Clinical data from 409 patients with HCC who stopped taking sorafenib between September 2008 and February 2015 were reviewed.

RESULTS

In the training cohort, four factors were independent negative predictors of survival (p<0.05). Based on the β regression coefficient of each factor, we established the NEXT score (Survival after Stopping Nexavar Treatment), allocating 1 point each for an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group score ≥2, Child-Pugh class B or C, serum sodium ≤135 mEq/L, and α-fetoprotein 〉400 ng/mL. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values to predict 1-, 3-, and 6-month survival rates were 0.805, 0.809, and 0.774, respectively, in the training cohort and 0.783, 0.728, and 0.673, respectively, in the validation cohort (n=137). When the training and validation cohorts were stratified into three risk groups (NEXT score 0 [low-risk] vs 1 to 2 [intermediate-risk] vs 3 to 4 [high-risk]), survival differed significantly between the groups (p＜0.05, log-rank test).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with HCC, survival after stopping sorafenib is poor. However, risk estimates based on a new "NEXT score" may help predict survival and prognosis even in patients who discontinue sorafenib treatment.

Characteristics of patients with sorafenib-treated advanced hepatocellular carcinoma eligible for second-line treatment

Background Regorafenib has been investigated for its efficacy and safety as a second-line treatment in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We assessed the characteristics of patients with HCC treated with sorafenib who might be eligible for second-line treatment in general and regorafenib in particular. Methods Patients with HCC treated with sorafenib were retrospectively analyzed. We defined second-line candidate patients as maintaining Child-Pugh A and ECOG-PS ≤1 at the time of sorafenib failure. We also defined regorafenib candidate patients as follows: 1) continuing sorafenib at the time of radiological progression, 2) maintaining Child-Pugh A and ECOG-PS ≤ 1 at the time of sorafenib failure, and 3) continuing sorafenib 400 mg or more without intolerable adverse events at least 20 days of the last 28 days of treatment. Results Of 185 patients, 130 (70%) and 69 (37%) were candidates for second-line treatment and regorafenib. Child-Pugh score 6 and ECOG-PS 1 at the time of starting sorafenib were significantly lower in both second-line treatment and regorafenib candidate patients. Moreover, hand-foot skin reaction and liver failure during sorafenib treatment were associated with significantly low and high probabilities, respectively, of both Child-Pugh score > 6 and ECOG-PS > 1 at the time of sorafenib failure. Conclusion Regorafenib candidate patients after sorafenib failure are limited, and generally fewer than those who are candidates for second-line treatment. A lower Child-Pugh score and a better ECOG-PS were predictors of eligibility for second-line therapy and regorafenib treatment in sorafenib-treated patients with advanced HCC patients.

A model predicting survival of patients with recurrent or progressive hepatocellular carcinoma: the MORE score

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Most prognostic models for hepatocellular carcinoma are based on data at the time of diagnosis. However, the disease frequently recurs or progresses after initial treatment, with changes in tumor burden and clinical status. Therefore, we developed a risk score model to predict survival of hepatocellular carcinoma patients at the time of disease recurrence or progression.

METHODS

Of 1972 patients newly diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma at the National Cancer Center, Korea, between January 2004 and December 2009, 1301 with recurrent or progressive disease were enrolled. They were randomly classified into a development (75%, n = 976) and a validation cohort (25%, n = 325). A survival prediction method was established in the development cohort using the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, and its performance was evaluated on the validation cohort.

RESULTS

A model predicting survival of patients with recurrent or progressive hepatocellular carcinoma was developed using some known independent prognostic factors for overall survival: age, albumin, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score, tumor burden, serum alpha-fetoprotein level, and presence of ascites. In addition, initial treatment modality and best response after initial treatment were also independent prognostic factors and were incorporated in the model. The C-statistics and χ² statistics of this novel score for the validation cohort were 0.808 (95% CI: 0.781-0.834) and 4.408 for 3-year survival.

CONCLUSIONS

A new model to predict survival of patients with recurrent or progressive hepatocellular carcinoma was developed and validated. This model may be useful for planning subsequent treatments.

Metronomic capecitabine versus best supportive care as second-line treatment in hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective study

Preliminary studies suggest that capecitabine may be safe and effective in HCC patients. The aim of this study was to retrospectively evaluate the safety and efficacy of metronomic capecitabine as second-line treatment. This multicentric study retrospectively analyzed data of HCC patients unresponsive or intolerant to sorafenib treatment with metronomic capecitabine or best supportive care (BSC).Median progression free survival was 3.1 months in patients treated with capecitabine (95%CI: 2.7-3.5). Median overall survival was 12.0 months (95% CI: 10.7-15.8) in patients receiving capecitabine, while 9.0 months (95% CI: 6.5-13.9) in patients receiving BSC. The result of univariate unweighted Cox regression model shows a 46% reduction in death risk for patients on capecitabine (95%CI: 0.357-0.829; p  =0.005) compared to patients receiving BSC alone. After weighting for potential confounders, death risk remained essentially unaltered (45%; 95%CI: 0.354-0.883; p = 0.013). Metronomic capecitabine seems a safe second-line treatment for HCC patients in terms of management of adverse events, showing a potential anti-tumour activity which needs further evaluation in phase III studies.

How to assess the efficacy or failure of targeted therapy: Deciding when to stop sorafenib in hepatocellular carcinoma

Sorafenib is thus far the only systemic treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on the results of two randomized controlled trials performed in Western and in Eastern countries, despite a poor response rate (from 2% to 3.3%) following conventional evaluation criteria. It is now recognized that the criteria (European Association of the Study of the Liver criteria, modified response evaluation criteria in solid tumors) based on contrast enhanced techniques (computed tomography scan, magnetic resonance imaging) aimed to assess the evolution of the viable part of the tumor (hypervascularized on arterial phase) are of major interest to determine the efficacy of sorafenib and of most antiangiogenic drugs in patients with HCC. The role of alpha-fetoprotein serum levels remains unclear. In 2016, in accordance with the SHARP and the Asia-Pacific trials, sorafenib must be stopped when tolerance is poor despite dose adaptation or in cases of radiological and symptomatic progression. This approach will be different in cases of available second-line therapy trials. Some recent data (in renal cell carcinoma) revealed that despite progression in patients who received sorafenib, this drug can still decrease tumor progression compared to drug cessation. Then, before deciding to continue sorafenib post-progression or shift to another drug, knowing other parameters of post-progression survival (Child-Pugh class, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer, alpha-fetoprotein, post-progression patterns in particular, the development of extrahepatic metastases and of portal vein thrombosis) will be of major importance.

New chemical treatment options in second-line hepatocellular carcinoma: what to do when sorafenib fails?

INTRODUCTION

There have been no therapies available for patients who experience disease progression after sorafenib treatment. Regorafenib inhibits multiple kinases involved in tumor proliferation and neoangiogenesis, which has produced a survival benefit in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after sorafenib failure. Other active candidate agents are c-Met inhibitors and immune checkpoint inhibitors. Areas covered: This paper presents an updated summary of the preclinical and clinical experience with regorafenib, c-Met inhibitors (tivantinib, cabozantinib and tepotinib), and a checkpoint inhibitor (nivolumab, pembrolizumab) in HCC. The reported data were obtained from abstracts of international conferences and journal articles published up to August 2016 and found in a PubMed search. Expert opinion: Based on favorable data from preclinical and clinical trials, regorafenib, c-Met inhibitor, and checkpoint inhibitors are promising agents for HCC after sorafenib failure. However, further efforts to maximize the survival benefit and minimize adverse events of these drugs in the treatment of HCC are still necessary. Additionally, searching for predictors of good responders could allow these new drugs to be applied in personalized treatments of HCC.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Therapeutic Guidelines and Medical Treatment

Western and Eastern perspectives on therapeutic guidelines for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have many commonalities but may also differ in certain aspects, as described in this article. In view of the limited therapeutic options for advanced HCC, evidence-based therapies are few, and thus there is a dependence on consensus-based guidelines. This article focuses on the Italian Association for the Study of the Liver guidelines and the Japanese approaches to therapy, while drawing attention to certain controversies from other academic bodies where applicable and appropriate.

Modified CLIP with objective liver reserve assessment retains prognosis prediction for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) score is a commonly used staging system for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) helpful with predicting prognosis of advanced HCC. CLIP uses the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score to evaluate liver reserve. A new scoring system, the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, has been proposed as they objectively evaluate liver reserve. We examined whether the modification of CLIP with ALBI retained its prognosis prediction for patients with advanced HCC.

METHODS

We included patients who received first-line antiangiogenic therapy for advanced HCC. Liver reserve was assessed using CTP and ALBI scores, which were then incorporated into CLIP and ALBI-CLIP, respectively. To assess their efficacies of prognostic prediction, the Cox's proportional hazard model and concordance indexes were used.

RESULTS

A total of 142 patients were included; 137 of them were classified CTP A and 5 patients CTP B. Patients could be divided into four or five groups with different prognosis according to CLIP and ALBI-CLIP, respectively. Higher R(2) (0.249 vs 0.216) and lower Akaike information criterion (995.0 vs 1001.1) were observed for ALBI-CLIP than for CLIP in the Cox's model predicting overall survival. ALBI-CLIP remained an independent predictor for overall survival when CLIP and ALBI-CLIP were simultaneously incorporated in Cox's models allowing variable selection with adjustment for hepatitis etiology, treatment, and performance status. The concordance index was also higher for ALBI-CLIP than for CLIP (0.724 vs 0.703).

CONCLUSIONS

Modification of CLIP scoring with ALBI, which objectively assesses liver reserve, retains and might have improved prognosis prediction for advanced HCC.

Predictive biomarkers of sorafenib efficacy in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: Are we getting there?

Sorafenib is the current standard treatment for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but its efficacy is modest with low response rates and short response duration. Predictive biomarkers for sorafenib efficacy are necessary. However, efforts to determine biomarkers for sorafenib have led only to potential candidates rather than clinically useful predictors. Studies based on patient cohorts identified the potential of blood levels of angiopoietin-2, hepatocyte growth factor, insulin-like growth factor-1, and transforming growth factor-β1 for predicting sorafenib efficacy. Alpha-fetoprotein response, dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging, and treatment-related side effects may serve as early surrogate markers. Novel approaches based on super-responders or experimental mouse models may provide new directions in biomarker research. These studies identified tumor amplification of FGF3/FGF4 or VEGFA and tumor expression of phospho-Mapk14 and phospho-Atf2 as possible predictive markers that await validation. A group effort that considers various prognostic factors and proper collection of tumor tissues before treatment is imperative for the success of future biomarker research in advanced HCC.

Randomized phase II study of axitinib versus placebo plus best supportive care in second-line treatment of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The efficacy and safety of axitinib, a potent and selective vascular endothelial growth factor receptors 1-3 inhibitor, combined with best supportive care (BSC) was evaluated in a global, randomized, placebo-controlled phase II trial in patients with locally advanced or metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with HCC and Child-Pugh Class A who progressed on or were intolerant to one prior antiangiogenic therapy were stratified by tumour invasion (presence/absence of extrahepatic spread and/or vascular invasion) and region (Asian/non-Asian) and randomized (2:1) to axitinib/BSC (starting dose 5 mg twice-daily) or placebo/BSC. The primary end point was overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

The estimated hazard ratio for OS was 0.907 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.646-1.274; one-sided stratified P = 0.287] for axitinib/BSC (n = 134) versus placebo/BSC (n = 68), with the median (95% CI) of 12.7 (10.2-14.9) versus 9.7 (5.9-11.8) months, respectively. Results of prespecified subgroup analyses in Asian versus non-Asian patients or presence versus absence of tumour invasion were consistent with the overall population. Improvements favouring axitinib/BSC (P < 0.01) were observed in secondary efficacy end point analyses [progression-free survival (PFS), time to tumour progression (TTP), and clinical benefit rate (CBR)], and were retained among Asian patients in the prespecified subgroup analyses. Overall response rate did not differ significantly between treatments and patient-reported outcomes favoured placebo/BSC. Most common all-causality adverse events with axitinib/BSC were diarrhoea (54%), hypertension (54%), and decreased appetite (47%). Baseline serum analyses identified potential new prognostic (interleukin-6, E-selectin, interleukin-8, angiopoietin-2, migration inhibitory factor, and c-MET) or predictive (E-selectin and stromal-derived factor-1) factors for survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Axitinib/BSC did not improve OS over placebo/BSC in the overall population or in stratification subgroups. However, axitinib/BSC resulted in significantly longer PFS and TTP and higher CBR, with acceptable toxicity in patients with advanced HCC.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01210495.

Predictors of survival in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma who permanently discontinued sorafenib

Treatment with sorafenib of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma is challenged by anticipated discontinuation due to tumor progression, liver decompensation, or adverse effects. While postprogression survival is clearly determined by the pattern of tumor progression, understanding the factors that drive prognosis in patients who discontinued sorafenib for any reason may help to improve patient management and second-line trial design. Patients consecutively admitted to three referral centers who were receiving best supportive care following permanent discontinuation of sorafenib for any reason were included. Postsorafenib survival (PSS) was calculated from the last day of treatment to death or last visit available. Two hundred and sixty patients were included in this prospective study, aged 67 years, 60% with hepatitis C, 51% Child-Pugh A, 83% performance status (PS) ≥1, 41% with macroscopic vascular invasion, and 38% with extrahepatic tumor spread. Overall, median PSS was 4.1 (3.3-4.9) months, resulting from 4.6 (3.3-5.7) months for 123 progressors, 7.3 (6.0-10.0) months in 77 with adverse effects, and 1.8 (1.6-2.4) months in 60 decompensated patients (P < 0.001). Postsorafenib survival was independently predicted by PS, prothrombin time, extrahepatic tumor spread, macrovascular invasion, and reason for discontinuation. Two hundred patients potentially eligible for second-line therapy had a PSS of 5.3 (4.6-7.1) months, which was dependent on reasons of discontinuation (P = 0.004), PS (P < 0.001), macrovascular invasion (P < 0.001), and extrahepatic metastases (P < 0.002).

CONCLUSION

Discontinuation due to adverse effects in the absence of macrovascular invasion, extrahepatic metastases, and deteriorated PS predicts the best PSS in compensated patients, thereby setting the stage for both improved patient counseling and selection for second-line therapy.

Metronomic capecitabine as second-line treatment in hepatocellular carcinoma after sorafenib failure

BACKGROUND

No standard second-line treatments are available for hepatocellular carcinoma patients who fail sorafenib therapy. We assessed the safety and efficacy of metronomic capecitabine after first-line sorafenib failure.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of consecutive hepatocellular carcinoma patients receiving metronomic capecitabine between January 2012 and November 2014. The primary end-point was safety, secondary end-point was efficacy, including time-to-progression and overall survival.

RESULTS

Twenty-six patients (80% Child-Pugh A, 80% Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C) received metronomic capecitabine (500 mg/bid). Median treatment duration was 3.2 months (range 0.6-31). Fourteen (53%) patients experienced at least one adverse event. The most frequent drug-related adverse events were bilirubin elevation (23%), fatigue (15%), anaemia (11%), lymphoedema (11%), and hand-foot syndrome (7.6%). Treatment was interrupted in 19 (73%) for disease progression, in 4 (15%) for liver deterioration, and in 1 (3.8%) for adverse event. Disease control was achieved in 6 (23%) patients. Median time-to-progression was 4 months (95% confidence interval 3.2-4.7). Median overall survival was 8 months (95% confidence interval 3.7-12.3).

CONCLUSIONS

Metronomic capecitabine was well tolerated in hepatocellular carcinoma patients who had been treated with sorafenib. Preliminary data show potential anti-tumour activity with long-lasting disease control in a subgroup of patients that warrants further evaluation in a phase III study.

Determinants of survival after sorafenib failure in patients with BCLC-C hepatocellular carcinoma in real-world practice

Sorafenib may improve progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the survival benefit is short lived and survivals after progressive disease (PD) have not been well characterized. This study aimed to evaluate the survival predictors of OS and postprogression survival (PPS) in advanced HCC patients receiving sorafenib treatment. Consecutive 149 HCC patients receiving sorafenib under National Health Insurance were retrospectively enrolled. All patients fulfilled the reimbursement criteria: Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C HCC with macroscopic vascular invasion or extrahepatic metastasis (Mets), and Child-Pugh class A. Radiologic assessment was performed at a 2-month interval using modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors. Patients who maintained Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group ≤2 and Child-Pugh class A at PD were assumed to be candidates for second-line treatment. During the median follow-up period of 7.5 months (range, 1.1-18.5), PD developed in 120 (80.5%) patients and 96 (64.4%) deaths occurred. The median PFS, OS, and PPS were 2.5, 8.0, and 4.6 months, respectively. In general, patients with Mets only had better OS and PPS than those with portal vein invasion. Independent predictors of OS include baseline performance status (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.956), tumor size (HR = 1.597), alpha-fetoprotein (HR = 1.869), discontinuation of sorafenib due to liver function deterioration (LD) (HR = 6.142), or concurrent PD and LD (HR = 2.661) and PD within 4 months (HR = 5.164). Independent predictors of PPS include deteriorated performance status (HR = 7.680), deteriorated liver functions (HR = 5.603), bilirubin (HR = 2.114), early PD (HR = 6.109), and new extrahepatic lesion (HR = 1.804). In 46 candidates for second-line trials, development of new extrahepatic lesion independently predicts poorer PPS (HR = 3.669). In conclusion performance status, liver functions, early disease progression, and progression pattern are important determinants of survival after sorafenib failure. These factors should be considered in clinical practice and second-line trial designs for patients with sorafenib failure.

HCC therapies--lessons learned

The antiangiogenic multikinase inhibitor sorafenib was the first systemic agent to demonstrate a significant improvement in the overall survival of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), thereby introducing molecularly-targeted therapy in a therapeutic field of unmet needs. However, survival benefits for patients on sorafenib treatment are modest in clinical practice and advancing the field is far more challenging than initially anticipated. Molecular and clinical heterogeneity diminishes signals of potential activity in unselected populations, and underlying liver cirrhosis seals the fate of many novel targeted agents by causing relevant toxicity and mortality. The failure of subsequent randomized controlled phase III trials underscores the urgent need to identify the driver targets and to develop matched active agents with manageable toxicities in specific phase I studies in patients with cirrhosis. Refinement of phase II-III trial designs with a biomarker-enriched patient-selection process and stratification according to prognostic baseline factors is indispensable to prevent another 5-year vain endeavour in systemic therapy of HCC.

Systemic therapy of hepatocellular carcinoma: Current status and future perspectives

The management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has substantially changed in the past few decades, the introduction of novel therapies (such as sorafenib) have improved patient survival. Nevertheless, HCC remains the third most common cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. Decision-making largely relies on evidence-based criteria, as showed in the US and European clinical practice guidelines, which endorse five therapeutic recommendations:resection; transplantation; radiofrequency ablation; chemoembolization; and sorafenib. Many molecularly targeted agents that inhibit angiogenesis, epidermal growth factor receptor, and mammalian target of rapamycin are at different stages of clinical development in advanced HCC. Future research should continue to unravel the mechanism of hepatocarcinogenesis and to identify key relevant molecular targets for therapeutic intervention. Identification and validation of potential surrogate and predictive biomarkers hold promise to individualize patient’s treatment to maximize clinical benefit and minimize the toxicity and cost of targeted agents.