Discordance in categorization of acute-on-chronic liver failure in the United Network for Organ Sharing database

The Association of Age and Liver Transplant Outcomes in Patients With Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure

INTRODUCTION

To explore the role of age at listing on outcomes for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) awaiting liver transplantation (LT).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We assessed adult candidates listed for LT in the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients database from January 1, 2007 to June 30, 2018. Patients were divided into four groups based on age at listing: I (≤34), II (35-49), III (50-64), and IV (≥65). The ACLF grade was estimated (est-ACLF), and intent-to-treat survival, overall survival (OS), as well as potential predictors for OS was evaluated.

RESULTS

Est-ACLF-3 was associated with a higher 30-d cumulative dropout rate and inferior intent-to-treat survival across age groups. No difference was observed in OS among ACLF grades in group I, but significantly inferior OS was observed in higher ACLF grades in groups II-IV. Multivariate analysis showed age (P < 0.001, ref. group I; hazard ratio 0.995 for group II, P = 0.936; 1.196 for group III, P = 0.002; 1.651 for group IV, P < 0.001) and est-ACLF grade (P < 0.001, ref. est-ACLF-0; 1.214 for est-ACLF-1, P < 0.001; 1.246 for est-ACLF-2, P < 0.001; 1.578 for est-ACLF-3, P < 0.001) were independent predictors for OS. Generalized additive model showed different association between age and OS among different ACLF grades.

CONCLUSIONS

Young patients with high ACLF grades could achieve similar OS compared with those with low grades. Elderly patients with higher ACLF grades were associated with inferior outcomes after LT.

Reduced short-term survival following liver transplant in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure: Reevaluating OPTN data

BACKGROUND

Prior studies show severe acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) at liver transplantation (LT) negatively impacts short-term, but not long-term, post-LT outcomes. However, not accounting for ACLF's time-varying effect on the waitlist may underappreciate its dynamic nature. Moreover, excluding those who died or dropped off the waitlist raises concerns about selection bias.

METHODS

This US nationwide retrospective cohort study estimated the effect of severe ACLF (grade 3) (ACLF-3) on post-LT outcomes, including adult, first-time deceased donor LT candidates listed from June 2013 to May 2023. A marginal structural model (MSM) to address selection bias and time-varying exposure (ACLF-3) was applied, with extended Cox proportional hazard models using a Heaviside step function to assess the hazard of death after LT.

RESULTS

Among 31,267 eligible candidates for LT (baseline cohort), 11.3% (n = 3518) had ACLF-3 at listing; 13.6% (n = 4243) died or dropped out while on the LT waitlist. Of the 27,024 patients who received LT (transplanted cohort), 12.3% (n = 3333) had ACLF-3 at LT. ACLF-3 at LT (but not at waitlisting) was associated with a higher hazard of death, with the hazard ratio of 1.80 (95% CI: 1.09-2.97) within 1 year after LT but not thereafter. This marginal structural model effect size was 9% higher than conventional multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. Sensitivity analyses corroborated these findings.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to previous studies, ACLF-3 at LT in our marginal structural model was associated with a discernible increase in short-term mortality after transplant, presumably due to our addressing of selection bias, while long-term survival was similar to those without severe ACLF at LT. However, potential vulnerability to posttransplant complications warrants further investigation.

Organ dysfunction and failure in liver disease

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a complex syndrome defined by the existence of different organ failures (OFs) in patients with chronic liver disease, mainly cirrhosis. Several definitions have been proposed to define the syndrome, varying in the grade of the subjacent liver disease, the type of precipitants and the organs considered in the definition. Liver, coagulation, brain, kidney, circulatory and pulmonary are the six types of OFs proposed in the different classifications, with different prevalence worldwide. Irrespective of the definition used, patients who develop ACLF present a hyperactive immune system, profound haemodynamic disturbances and several metabolic alterations that finally lead to organ dysfunction. These disturbances are triggered by different factors such as bacterial infections, alcoholic hepatitis, gastrointestinal bleeding or hepatitis B virus flare, among others. Because patients with ACLF present high short-term mortality, a prompt recognition is needed to start treatment of the trigger event and specific organ support. Liver transplantation is also feasible in carefully selected patients and should be evaluated.

Improvement in Survival After Transplantation for Critically Ill Patients With Cirrhosis in the United States

INTRODUCTION

There is considerable debate over the indication of liver transplantation (LT) for critically ill patients with cirrhosis, in part due to their potentially poor post-LT prognosis. We analyzed the epidemiology and outcome of LT for critically ill patients with cirrhosis over 4 time periods of 4 years.

METHODS

We included adult patients who underwent liver transplant alone between 2005 and 2020 using the United Network for Organ Sharing registry database. We defined critically ill patients with cirrhosis as being in the intensive care unit with 1 or more of the following characteristics at the time of LT: (i) grade III/IV hepatic encephalopathy, (ii) mechanical ventilation, (iii) dialysis, and (iv) vasopressors.

RESULTS

A total of 85,594 LT recipients were included, 5,827 (6.8%) of whom were classified as being critically ill with cirrhosis at the time of LT. The number and percentage of critically ill LT recipients with cirrhosis increased over the study period: 819 (4.3%) in 2005-2008 vs 2,067 (7.9%) in 2017-2020, P < 0.001. There was a 17% absolute increase in 1-year survival after LT: 72.5% in 2005-2008 vs 89.5% in 2017-2020, P < 0.001. The 1-year post-LT survival gap between critically ill and noncritically ill patients with cirrhosis narrowed over the study period: 16.7 percentage points in 2005-2008 vs 4.6 percentage points in 2017-2020. The year of LT was independently associated with lower 1-year post-LT mortality (hazard ratio 0.92, 95% confidence interval 0.91-0.93, P < 0.001).

DISCUSSION

The absolute number and relative percentage of LT recipients who were critically ill increased over time, as did 1-year post-LT survival. Meanwhile, the gap in survival between this group of patients and noncritically ill patients with cirrhosis decreased but persisted. Cautious access to selected LT candidates who are critically ill may be warranted, provided the gap in survival with noncritically ill patients remains as small as possible.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF): the ‘Kyoto Consensus’—steps from Asia

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a condition associated with high mortality in the absence of liver transplantation. There have been various definitions proposed worldwide. The first consensus report of the working party of the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) set in 2004 on ACLF was published in 2009, and the “APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC)” was formed in 2012. The AARC database has prospectively collected nearly 10,500 cases of ACLF from various countries in the Asia–Pacific region. This database has been instrumental in developing the AARC score and grade of ACLF, the concept of the ‘Golden Therapeutic Window’, the ‘transplant window’, and plasmapheresis as a treatment modality. Also, the data has been key to identifying pediatric ACLF. The European Association for the Study of Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL CLIF) and the North American Association for the Study of the End Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) from the West added the concepts of organ failure and infection as precipitants for the development of ACLF and CLIF-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and NACSELD scores for prognostication. The Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B (COSSH) added COSSH-ACLF criteria to manage hepatitis b virus-ACLF with and without cirrhosis. The literature supports these definitions to be equally effective in their respective cohorts in identifying patients with high mortality. To overcome the differences and to develop a global consensus, APASL took the initiative and invited the global stakeholders, including opinion leaders from Asia, EASL and AASLD, and other researchers in the field of ACLF to identify the key issues and develop an evidence-based consensus document. The consensus document was presented in a hybrid format at the APASL annual meeting in Kyoto in March 2024. The ‘Kyoto APASL Consensus’ presented below carries the final recommendations along with the relevant background information and areas requiring future studies.

The impact of sex and body mass index in liver transplantation for acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

There have been no studies evaluating how body mass index (BMI) impacts on waitlist and post-liver transplant (LT) mortality in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) by sex. We aimed to determine these impacts using the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database.

METHODS

Adults listed for LT with estimated ACLF (Est-ACLF) (2005-2023) were identified and subdivided by sex and BMI (high/middle/low). Competing-risk analyses evaluated impacts on waitlist mortality. Kaplan-Meier analyses assessed post-LT survival. Multivariable Cox regression identified risk factors.

RESULTS

Of 37 251 Est-ACLF patients, 14 534 (39.0%) were female. Females had higher 90-day waitlist mortality than males (subhazard ratio [sHR]: 1.20, p < .01). High/low BMI patients had higher mortality than middle (sHR: 1.08/1.11, p < .01). In females, high BMI was associated with higher mortality than low (sHR: 1.10, p = .02); in males, low BMI was associated with higher mortality than high/middle (sHR: 1.16/1.16 vs. high/middle, p < .01). Multivariable analyses showed in females, high BMI was a significant risk factor for waitlist mortality (sHR:1.21, p < .01), while low was not; in males, high/low BMI was significant, with low having higher sHR (1.17) than high (1.09). Post-LT survival showed no significant difference in females; in males, low BMI showed worse post-3-/5-year-LT survival (p < .01). Multivariable Cox regression showed for females, neither low nor high BMI was significant for post-LT survival; for males, low BMI was significant for 1-/3-/5-year-LT survival (HR: 1.30/1.30/1.22, p < .01).

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis of BMI's impact on LT outcomes in ACLF by sex enables risk stratification and provides a basis for adjusting BMI.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF): the 'Kyoto Consensus'-steps from Asia

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a condition associated with high mortality in the absence of liver transplantation. There have been various definitions proposed worldwide. The first consensus report of the working party of the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) set in 2004 on ACLF was published in 2009, and the "APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC)" was formed in 2012. The AARC database has prospectively collected nearly 10,500 cases of ACLF from various countries in the Asia-Pacific region. This database has been instrumental in developing the AARC score and grade of ACLF, the concept of the 'Golden Therapeutic Window', the 'transplant window', and plasmapheresis as a treatment modality. Also, the data has been key to identifying pediatric ACLF. The European Association for the Study of Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL CLIF) and the North American Association for the Study of the End Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) from the West added the concepts of organ failure and infection as precipitants for the development of ACLF and CLIF-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and NACSELD scores for prognostication. The Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B (COSSH) added COSSH-ACLF criteria to manage hepatitis b virus-ACLF with and without cirrhosis. The literature supports these definitions to be equally effective in their respective cohorts in identifying patients with high mortality. To overcome the differences and to develop a global consensus, APASL took the initiative and invited the global stakeholders, including opinion leaders from Asia, EASL and AASLD, and other researchers in the field of ACLF to identify the key issues and develop an evidence-based consensus document. The consensus document was presented in a hybrid format at the APASL annual meeting in Kyoto in March 2024. The 'Kyoto APASL Consensus' presented below carries the final recommendations along with the relevant background information and areas requiring future studies.

Long-term outcome following liver transplantation of patients with ACLF grade 3

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Utility, a major principle for allocation in the context of transplantation, is questioned in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure grade 3 (ACLF-3) who undergo liver transplantation (LT). We aimed to explore long-term outcomes of patients included in a three-centre retrospective French study published in 2017.

METHOD

All patients with ACLF-3 (n = 73), as well as their transplanted matched controls with ACLF-2 (n = 145), 1 (n = 119) and no ACLF (n = 292), who participated in the Princeps study published in 2017 were included. We explored 5- and 10-year patient and graft survival rates, causes of death and their predictive factors.

RESULTS

Median follow-up of patients with ACLF-3 was 7.5 years. At LT, median MELD was 40. In patients with ACLF-3, 2, 1 and no ACLF, 5-year patient survival rates were 72.6% vs. 69.7% vs. 76.4% vs. 77.0%, respectively (p = 0.31). Ten-year patient survival for ACLF-3 was 56.8% and was not different to other groups (p = 0.37). Leading causes of death in patients with ACLF-3 were infections (33.3%) and cardiovascular events (23.3%). After exclusion of early death, UCLA futility risk score, age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index and CLIF-C ACLF score were independently associated with 10-year patient survival. Long-term graft survival rates were not different across the groups. Clinical frailty scale and WHO performance status improved over time in patients alive after 5 years.

CONCLUSION

5- and 10-year patient and graft survival rates were not different in patients with ACLF-3 compared to matched controls. 5-year patient survival is higher than the 50%-70% threshold defining the utility of a liver graft. Efforts should focus on candidate selection based on comorbidities, as well as the prevention of infection and cardiovascular events.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

While short-term outcomes following liver transplantation in the most severely ill patients with cirrhosis (acute-on-chronic liver failure grade 3 [ACLF-3]) are known, long-term data are limited, raising questions about the utility of graft allocation in the context of scarce medical resources. This study provides a favourable long-term update, confirming no differences in 5- and 10-year patient and graft survival following liver transplantation in patients with ACLF-3 compared to matched patients with ACLF-2, ACLF-1, and no-ACLF. The study highlights the risk of dying from infection and cardiovascular causes in the long-term and identifies scores including comorbidity evaluation, such as the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index, as independently associated with long-term survival. Therefore, physicians should consider the cumulative burden of comorbidities when deciding whether to transplant these patients. Additionally, after transplantation, the study encourages mitigating infectious risk with tailored immunosuppressive regimens and tightly managing cardiovascular risk over time.

Common definitions and variables are needed for the United States to join the conversation on acute-on-chronic liver failure

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a variably defined syndrome characterized by acute decompensation of cirrhosis with organ failures. At least 13 different definitions and diagnostic criteria for ACLF have been proposed, and there is increasing recognition that patients with ACLF may face disadvantages in the current United States liver allocation system. There is a need, therefore, for more standardized data collection and consensus to improve study design and outcome assessment in ACLF. In this article, we discuss the current landscape of transplantation for patients with ACLF, strategies to optimize organ utility, and data opportunities based on emerging technologies to facilitate improved data collection.

Comprehensive analysis of miRNAs-lncRNAs-mRNAs modules and ceRNA network in acute liver failure: Hsa-miR3175 and C-reactive protein determination

Acute liver failure (ALF), also known as fulminant hepatitis, coagulation disorders, and worsening mental status. It has a poor prognosis and high mortality rate. Among these, the top 10 upregulated genes included GKA-DPA1, IGLL5, PLA2G7, CCL5, IGLJ, GUSBP11, RHOBT1, IGLL3P, CCL18, and ADRBK2. On the other hand, the top 10 downregulated genes were SLC6A1, PID1, AVPR1A, PP1R1A, ST3GAL6, TPST, ERO1LB, SLCO4C1, and KLF15. Furthermore, the DEGs were found to be enriched in processes related to LIAO metastasis and creighton endocrine therapy resistance. To explore the interactions among the DEGs, we constructed a PPI network. This network revealed 16 hub genes that play crucial roles in ALF pathogenesis. Within this network, hsa-mir-375 and hsa-mir-650 were identified as central nodes, indicating their potential importance in ALF. By identifying and analyzing the transcriptional-level ceRNA network, we have provided valuable insights into the etiology of ALF.

Liver transplantation for acute-on-chronic liver failure

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) occurs in the context of advanced liver disease and is associated with hepatic and extrahepatic organ failure, eventually leading to a major risk of short-term mortality. To date, there are very few effective therapeutic options for ACLF. In many cases, liver transplantation is the only life-saving treatment that has acceptable outcomes in carefully selected recipients. This Review addresses key aspects of the use of liver transplantation for patients with ACLF, providing an in-depth discussion of existing evidence regarding candidate selection, the optimal window for transplantation, potential prioritisation of liver grafts for this indication, and the global management of ACLF to bridge patients to liver transplantation.

Older Patients With Acute on Chronic Liver Failure Have a Higher Waitlist Mortality, but Acceptable Post Liver Transplantation Survival When Compared to Younger Patients

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There is a paucity of studies on older patients (≥65 years) who develop acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF). The objectives of our study were to determine clinical characteristics and outcomes of older patients listed for liver transplantation (LT).

METHODS

Adults listed for LT with estimated ACLF (Est-ACLF) between 2005 and 2021 were identified using the United Network for Organ Sharing database and subdivided into older and younger age (18-64 years) groups. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were used to evaluate survival, and a competing-risk model (Fine-Gray) was used to evaluate risk factors for survival on the waitlist. Logistic regression was done to evaluate risk factors.

RESULTS

A total of 4313 older (14%) and 26,628 younger (86%) patients were listed for LT, and 2142 (49.6%) and 16,931 (63.5%) were transplanted, respectively. Older patients had a higher 30-day waitlist mortality than younger patients (20.4% vs 16.7%; P < .0001); this was more pronounced in Est-ACLF-2 (23.7% vs 14.8%; P < .0001) and Est-ACLF-3 (43.3% vs 29.9%; P < .0001). One-year post-LT, patient survival in older patients with Est-ACLF grades 1, 2, and 3 were 86.4%, 85.5%, and 77% respectively; younger patients had better survival across all Est-ACLF grades. When adjusted for transplant eras, respiratory failure was the only independent risk factor for increased 1-year post-LT mortality in older patients.

CONCLUSION

Older patients with Est-CLF had significantly higher waitlist mortality than younger patients, but had acceptable 1-year post-LT survival including those with Est-ACLF-3; therefore, age alone should not be considered as a contraindication for LT. Older patients with respiratory failure should be carefully selected for LT.

Rates, patterns, and predictors of specialty palliative care consultation among patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

Background & Aims

There is growing acceptance that principles of palliative care should be integrated into the management of serious illnesses affecting the liver, such as acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). However, rates, patterns, and predictors of specialty palliative care consultation among patients with ACLF have not been well-described.

Methods

We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients hospitalized with ACLF between 1/1/2008 and 12/31/2018 using the VOCAL cohort. Patients were followed until 6/2021. We used mixed-effects regression analyses to identify significant patient and facility factors associated with palliative care consultation. We examined timing of consultation, the influence of ACLF characteristics, and facility-level variation on receipt of palliative care consultation.

Results

We identified 21,987 patients hospitalized with ACLF, of whom 30.5% received specialty palliative care consultation. Higher ACLF grade (ACLF-2 [odds ratio (OR) 1.82, 95% CI 1.67-1.99], ACLF-3 [OR 3.06, 95% CI 2.76-3.40]), prior specialty palliative care consultation (OR 2.62, 95% CI 2.36-2.91), and hepatocellular carcinoma (OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.89-2.33) were associated with consultation. Consultation occurred latest and closest to the time of death for patients with ACLF-3 compared to ACLF-1 and ACLF-2. Significant facility-level variation in consultation persisted among patients with ACLF-3, despite adjusting for multiple patient and facility factors.

Conclusion

In this large cohort of hospitalized patients with ACLF, specialty palliative care consultation was rare, more common in patients with higher grade ACLF, and tended to occur closer to the time of death for the sickest patients. Greater attention should be placed on earlier integration of palliative care during acute hospitalizations in patients with ACLF.

Impact and implications

Though palliative care consultation is recommended for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure, there is no data demonstrating how often this occurs during hospitalizations, on a population level. We found that consultation occurs in only 30.5% of patients and occurs later for patients with grade 3 acute-on-chronic liver failure. Our data should provoke clinicians to urgently consider quality improvement efforts to integrate palliative care into the management of these seriously ill patients.

Neutrophilia is more predictive than increased white blood cell counts for short-term mortality after liver transplantation in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a life-threatening disease that requires urgent liver transplantation (LT). Accurate identification of high-risk patients is essential for predicting post-LT survival. The chronic liver failure consortium ACLF score is a widely accepted risk-stratification score that includes total white blood cell (WBC) counts as a component. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of total and differential WBC counts for short-term mortality following LT in patients with ACLF.

METHODS

A total of 685 patients with ACLF who underwent LT between January 2008 and February 2019 were analyzed. Total and differential WBC counts were examined as a function of the model for end-stage liver disease for sodium (MELD-Na) score. The association between total and differential WBC counts and 90-day post-LT mortality was assessed using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis.

RESULTS

The total WBC counts and neutrophil ratio were higher in patients with ACLF than in those without ACLF. The neutrophil ratio was significantly associated with 90-day post-LT mortality after adjustment (hazard ratio [HR], 1.04; P = 0.001), whereas total WBC counts were not significantly associated with 90-day post-LT mortality in either univariate or multivariate Cox analyses. The neutrophil ratio demonstrated a relatively linear trend with an increasing MELD-Na score and HR for 90-day post-LT mortality, whereas the total WBC counts exhibited a plateaued pattern.

CONCLUSIONS

Neutrophilia, rather than total WBC counts, is a better prognostic indicator for short-term post-LT mortality in patients with ACLF.

The novel SALT-M score predicts 1-year post-transplant mortality in patients with severe acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Twenty-eight-day mortality ranges from 30-90% in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure grades 2/3 (severe ACLF). Though liver transplantation (LT) has demonstrated a survival benefit, the scarcity of donor organs and uncertainty regarding post-LT mortality among patients with severe ACLF may cause hesitancy. We developed and externally validated a model to predict 1-year post-LT mortality in severe ACLF, called the Sundaram ACLF-LT-Mortality (SALT-M) score, and estimated the median length of stay (LoS) after LT (ACLF-LT-LoS).

METHODS

In 15 LT centers in the US, we retrospectively identified a cohort of patients with severe ACLF transplanted between 2014-2019, followed up to Jan'2022. Candidate predictors included demographics, clinical and laboratory values, and organ failures. We selected predictors in the final model using clinical criteria and externally validated them in two French cohorts. We provided measures of overall performance, discrimination, and calibration. We used multivariable median regression to estimate LoS after adjusting for clinically relevant factors.

RESULTS

We included 735 patients, of whom 521 (70.8%) had severe ACLF (120 ACLF-3, external cohort). The median age was 55 years, and 104 with severe ACLF (19.9%) died within 1-year post-LT. Our final model included age >50 years, use of 1/≥2 inotropes, presence of respiratory failure, diabetes mellitus, and BMI (continuous). The c-statistic was 0.72 (derivation) and 0.80 (validation), indicating adequate discrimination and calibration based on the observed/expected probability plots. Age, respiratory failure, BMI, and presence of infection independently predicted median LoS.

CONCLUSIONS

The SALT-M score predicts mortality within 1-year after LT in patients with ACLF. The ACLF-LT-LoS score predicted median post-LT stay. Future studies using these scores could assist in determining transplant benefits.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Liver transplantation (LT) may be the only life-saving procedure available to patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), but clinically instability can augment the perceived risk of post-transplant mortality at 1 year. We developed a parsimonious score with clinically and readily available parameters to objectively assess 1-year post-LT survival and predict median length of stay after LT. We developed and externally validated a clinical model called the Sundaram ACLF-LT-Mortality score in 521 US patients with ACLF with 2 or ≥3 organ failure(s) and 120 French patients with ACLF grade 3. The c-statistic was 0.72 in the development cohort and 0.80 in the validation cohort. We also provided an estimation of the median length of stay after LT in these patients. Our models can be used in discussions on the risks/benefits of LT in patients listed with severe ACLF. Nevertheless, the score is far from perfect and other factors, such as patient's preference and center-specific factors, need to be considered when using these tools.

Liver Transplantation in Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

In recent years there has been a significant increase in the incidence of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). This syndrome is characterized by infections, organ failures, and high short-term mortality. Although progress in the management of these sick patients has been evident, liver transplantation (LT) remains the best treatment modality to date. Several studies have reported LT as a feasible option, despite organ failures. The outcomes following LT are inversely related to the grade of ACLF. This review discusses the current literature on the feasibility, futility, timing, and outcomes of LT in patients with ACLF.

Should patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure grade 3 receive higher priority for liver transplantation?

In this debate, the authors consider whether patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure grade 3 (ACLF-3) should receive higher liver transplant priority, with reference to the following clinical case: a 62-year-old male with a history of decompensated alcohol-associated cirrhosis, with recurrent ascites and hepatic encephalopathy, and metabolic comorbidities (type 2 diabetes mellitus, arterial hypertension and a BMI of 31 kg/m²). A few days following evaluation for liver transplantation (LT), the patient was admitted to the intensive care unit and placed on mechanical ventilation for neurological failure, FiO₂ of 0.3 with a SpO₂ of 98%, and started on norepinephrine at 0.62 μg/kg/min. He had been abstinent since the diagnosis of cirrhosis a year prior. Laboratory results at admission were: leukocyte count 12.1 G/L, international normalised ratio 2.1, creatinine 2.4 mg/dl, sodium 133 mmol/L, total bilirubin 7 mg/dl, lactate 5.5 mmol/L, with a MELD-Na score of 31 and a CLIF-C ACLF score of 67. On the 7^th day after admission, the patient was placed on the LT waiting list. On the same day, he had massive variceal bleed with hypovolemic shock requiring terlipressin, transfusion of three red blood cell units, and endoscopic band ligation. On day 10, the patient was stabilised with a low dose of norepinephrine 0.03 μg/kg/min, with no new sepsis or bleeding. However, the patient was still intubated for grade 2 hepatic encephalopathy and on renal replacement therapy with a lactate level of 3.1 mmol/L. The patient is currently categorised as having ACLF-3, with five organ failures (liver, kidney, coagulation, circulation, and respiration). Based on the severity of his liver disease and multiorgan failure, the patient is at an exceedingly high risk of death without LT. Is it appropriate to perform LT in such a patient?

Global burden of Liver Disease: 2023 Update

Liver disease accounts for 2 million deaths and is responsible for 4% of all deaths (1 out of every 25 deaths worldwide); approximately 2/3 of all liver related deaths occur in men. Deaths are largely attributable to complications of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, with acute hepatitis accounting for a smaller proportion of deaths. The most common causes of cirrhosis worldwide are related to viral hepatitis, alcohol, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Hepatotropic viruses are the etiological factor in most cases of acute hepatitis, but drug-induced liver injury increasingly accounts for a significant proportion of cases. This iteration of the global burden of liver disease is an update of the 2019 version and focuses mainly on areas where significant new information is available like alcohol-associated liver disease, NAFLD, viral hepatitis, and HCC. We also devote a separate section to the burden of liver disease in Africa, an area of the world typically neglected in such documents.

Mortality in patients with end-stage liver disease above model for end-stage liver disease 3.0 of 40

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Since the implementation of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score to determine waitlist priority for liver transplant (LT) in 2002, the score has been capped at 40. Recently, the MELD 3.0 score was proposed to improve upon MELD-Na. Here, we examine waitlist mortality and LT outcomes in patients with MELD 3.0 ≥ 40 to assess the potential impact of uncapping the score.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Adult waitlist registrations for LT from January 2016 to December 2021 were identified in the registry data from the Organ Procurement and Transplant Network. All MELD 3.0 scores were calculated at registration and thereafter. Waitlist mortality for up to 30 days was calculated as well as post-LT survival. There were 54,060 new waitlist registrations during the study period, of whom 2820 (5.2%) had MELD 3.0 ≥ 40 at listing. The 30-day waitlist mortality was high in these patients, yet it increased further in proportion with MELD 3.0 up to a score of 55 with 30-day mortality of 58.3% for MELD 3.0 of 40-44 and 82.4% for ≥50. The multivariable hazard ratio was 1.13 for each point of MELD 3.0, adjusting for several variables including acute-on-chronic liver failure. The number of LT recipients with MELD 40 at transplant increased from 155 in 2002 to 752 in 2021. Posttransplant survival was comparable across MELD strata including MELD of 35-39.

CONCLUSION

MELD 3.0 scores beyond 40 are associated with increasing waitlist mortality without adversely affecting posttransplant outcome. Uncapping the MELD score in waitlist candidates may lead to greater survival benefit from LT.