Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

BACKGROUND

Regular, detailed reporting on population health by underlying cause of death is fundamental for public health decision making. Cause-specific estimates of mortality and the subsequent effects on life expectancy worldwide are valuable metrics to gauge progress in reducing mortality rates. These estimates are particularly important following large-scale mortality spikes, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. When systematically analysed, mortality rates and life expectancy allow comparisons of the consequences of causes of death globally and over time, providing a nuanced understanding of the effect of these causes on global populations.

METHODS

The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 cause-of-death analysis estimated mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) from 288 causes of death by age-sex-location-year in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations for each year from 1990 until 2021. The analysis used 56 604 data sources, including data from vital registration and verbal autopsy as well as surveys, censuses, surveillance systems, and cancer registries, among others. As with previous GBD rounds, cause-specific death rates for most causes were estimated using the Cause of Death Ensemble model-a modelling tool developed for GBD to assess the out-of-sample predictive validity of different statistical models and covariate permutations and combine those results to produce cause-specific mortality estimates-with alternative strategies adapted to model causes with insufficient data, substantial changes in reporting over the study period, or unusual epidemiology. YLLs were computed as the product of the number of deaths for each cause-age-sex-location-year and the standard life expectancy at each age. As part of the modelling process, uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated using the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles from a 1000-draw distribution for each metric. We decomposed life expectancy by cause of death, location, and year to show cause-specific effects on life expectancy from 1990 to 2021. We also used the coefficient of variation and the fraction of population affected by 90% of deaths to highlight concentrations of mortality. Findings are reported in counts and age-standardised rates. Methodological improvements for cause-of-death estimates in GBD 2021 include the expansion of under-5-years age group to include four new age groups, enhanced methods to account for stochastic variation of sparse data, and the inclusion of COVID-19 and other pandemic-related mortality-which includes excess mortality associated with the pandemic, excluding COVID-19, lower respiratory infections, measles, malaria, and pertussis. For this analysis, 199 new country-years of vital registration cause-of-death data, 5 country-years of surveillance data, 21 country-years of verbal autopsy data, and 94 country-years of other data types were added to those used in previous GBD rounds.

FINDINGS

The leading causes of age-standardised deaths globally were the same in 2019 as they were in 1990; in descending order, these were, ischaemic heart disease, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and lower respiratory infections. In 2021, however, COVID-19 replaced stroke as the second-leading age-standardised cause of death, with 94·0 deaths (95% UI 89·2-100·0) per 100 000 population. The COVID-19 pandemic shifted the rankings of the leading five causes, lowering stroke to the third-leading and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease to the fourth-leading position. In 2021, the highest age-standardised death rates from COVID-19 occurred in sub-Saharan Africa (271·0 deaths [250·1-290·7] per 100 000 population) and Latin America and the Caribbean (195·4 deaths [182·1-211·4] per 100 000 population). The lowest age-standardised death rates from COVID-19 were in the high-income super-region (48·1 deaths [47·4-48·8] per 100 000 population) and southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania (23·2 deaths [16·3-37·2] per 100 000 population). Globally, life expectancy steadily improved between 1990 and 2019 for 18 of the 22 investigated causes. Decomposition of global and regional life expectancy showed the positive effect that reductions in deaths from enteric infections, lower respiratory infections, stroke, and neonatal deaths, among others have contributed to improved survival over the study period. However, a net reduction of 1·6 years occurred in global life expectancy between 2019 and 2021, primarily due to increased death rates from COVID-19 and other pandemic-related mortality. Life expectancy was highly variable between super-regions over the study period, with southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania gaining 8·3 years (6·7-9·9) overall, while having the smallest reduction in life expectancy due to COVID-19 (0·4 years). The largest reduction in life expectancy due to COVID-19 occurred in Latin America and the Caribbean (3·6 years). Additionally, 53 of the 288 causes of death were highly concentrated in locations with less than 50% of the global population as of 2021, and these causes of death became progressively more concentrated since 1990, when only 44 causes showed this pattern. The concentration phenomenon is discussed heuristically with respect to enteric and lower respiratory infections, malaria, HIV/AIDS, neonatal disorders, tuberculosis, and measles.

INTERPRETATION

Long-standing gains in life expectancy and reductions in many of the leading causes of death have been disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic, the adverse effects of which were spread unevenly among populations. Despite the pandemic, there has been continued progress in combatting several notable causes of death, leading to improved global life expectancy over the study period. Each of the seven GBD super-regions showed an overall improvement from 1990 and 2021, obscuring the negative effect in the years of the pandemic. Additionally, our findings regarding regional variation in causes of death driving increases in life expectancy hold clear policy utility. Analyses of shifting mortality trends reveal that several causes, once widespread globally, are now increasingly concentrated geographically. These changes in mortality concentration, alongside further investigation of changing risks, interventions, and relevant policy, present an important opportunity to deepen our understanding of mortality-reduction strategies. Examining patterns in mortality concentration might reveal areas where successful public health interventions have been implemented. Translating these successes to locations where certain causes of death remain entrenched can inform policies that work to improve life expectancy for people everywhere.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950-2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

BACKGROUND

Estimates of demographic metrics are crucial to assess levels and trends of population health outcomes. The profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on populations worldwide has underscored the need for timely estimates to understand this unprecedented event within the context of long-term population health trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides new demographic estimates for 204 countries and territories and 811 additional subnational locations from 1950 to 2021, with a particular emphasis on changes in mortality and life expectancy that occurred during the 2020-21 COVID-19 pandemic period.

METHODS

22 223 data sources from vital registration, sample registration, surveys, censuses, and other sources were used to estimate mortality, with a subset of these sources used exclusively to estimate excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic. 2026 data sources were used for population estimation. Additional sources were used to estimate migration; the effects of the HIV epidemic; and demographic discontinuities due to conflicts, famines, natural disasters, and pandemics, which are used as inputs for estimating mortality and population. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression (ST-GPR) was used to generate under-5 mortality rates, which synthesised 30 763 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 1365 surveys and censuses, and 80 other sources. ST-GPR was also used to estimate adult mortality (between ages 15 and 59 years) based on information from 31 642 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 355 surveys and censuses, and 24 other sources. Estimates of child and adult mortality rates were then used to generate life tables with a relational model life table system. For countries with large HIV epidemics, life tables were adjusted using independent estimates of HIV-specific mortality generated via an epidemiological analysis of HIV prevalence surveys, antenatal clinic serosurveillance, and other data sources. Excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021 was determined by subtracting observed all-cause mortality (adjusted for late registration and mortality anomalies) from the mortality expected in the absence of the pandemic. Expected mortality was calculated based on historical trends using an ensemble of models. In location-years where all-cause mortality data were unavailable, we estimated excess mortality rates using a regression model with covariates pertaining to the pandemic. Population size was computed using a Bayesian hierarchical cohort component model. Life expectancy was calculated using age-specific mortality rates and standard demographic methods. Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were calculated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered values from a 1000-draw posterior distribution.

FINDINGS

Global all-cause mortality followed two distinct patterns over the study period: age-standardised mortality rates declined between 1950 and 2019 (a 62·8% [95% UI 60·5-65·1] decline), and increased during the COVID-19 pandemic period (2020-21; 5·1% [0·9-9·6] increase). In contrast with the overall reverse in mortality trends during the pandemic period, child mortality continued to decline, with 4·66 million (3·98-5·50) global deaths in children younger than 5 years in 2021 compared with 5·21 million (4·50-6·01) in 2019. An estimated 131 million (126-137) people died globally from all causes in 2020 and 2021 combined, of which 15·9 million (14·7-17·2) were due to the COVID-19 pandemic (measured by excess mortality, which includes deaths directly due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and those indirectly due to other social, economic, or behavioural changes associated with the pandemic). Excess mortality rates exceeded 150 deaths per 100 000 population during at least one year of the pandemic in 80 countries and territories, whereas 20 nations had a negative excess mortality rate in 2020 or 2021, indicating that all-cause mortality in these countries was lower during the pandemic than expected based on historical trends. Between 1950 and 2021, global life expectancy at birth increased by 22·7 years (20·8-24·8), from 49·0 years (46·7-51·3) to 71·7 years (70·9-72·5). Global life expectancy at birth declined by 1·6 years (1·0-2·2) between 2019 and 2021, reversing historical trends. An increase in life expectancy was only observed in 32 (15·7%) of 204 countries and territories between 2019 and 2021. The global population reached 7·89 billion (7·67-8·13) people in 2021, by which time 56 of 204 countries and territories had peaked and subsequently populations have declined. The largest proportion of population growth between 2020 and 2021 was in sub-Saharan Africa (39·5% [28·4-52·7]) and south Asia (26·3% [9·0-44·7]). From 2000 to 2021, the ratio of the population aged 65 years and older to the population aged younger than 15 years increased in 188 (92·2%) of 204 nations.

INTERPRETATION

Global adult mortality rates markedly increased during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021, reversing past decreasing trends, while child mortality rates continued to decline, albeit more slowly than in earlier years. Although COVID-19 had a substantial impact on many demographic indicators during the first 2 years of the pandemic, overall global health progress over the 72 years evaluated has been profound, with considerable improvements in mortality and life expectancy. Additionally, we observed a deceleration of global population growth since 2017, despite steady or increasing growth in lower-income countries, combined with a continued global shift of population age structures towards older ages. These demographic changes will likely present future challenges to health systems, economies, and societies. The comprehensive demographic estimates reported here will enable researchers, policy makers, health practitioners, and other key stakeholders to better understand and address the profound changes that have occurred in the global health landscape following the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, and longer-term trends beyond the pandemic.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Sofosbuvir/Velpatasvir/Voxilaprevir for Hepatitis C Virus Retreatment in Difficult-to-treat Patients: A Real-life Observational Study from India

Background and aim

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment fails to achieve sustained virological response at 12 weeks (SVR12) in 5-10 % and requires retreatment with second-line drugs. We report our experience of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir/voxilaprevir use for HCV retreatment in a small cohort of difficult-to-treat Indian patients.

Methods

We reviewed our HCV databases to identify the patients who had failed to achieve SVR12 after treatment with sofosbuvir in combination with either daclatasvir, ledipasvir, or velpatasvir with/without ribavirin on one or more occasions. Participants were excluded if they had (i) decompensated cirrhosis, (ii) HIV coinfection or (iii) chronic kidney disease, or (iv) prior organ transplantation. All the participants were treated with sofosbuvir/velpatasvir/voxilaprevir plus ribavirin for 12 weeks. Treatment outcome was categorized as successful or failure if HCV RNA was undetectable or detectable at SVR12, respectively.

Results

Fifteen patients (male 67 %; genotype-3 80 %) were included in the analysis. Ten (67 %) had cirrhosis. Five, eight, and two participants had previously failed one, two, and three courses of pegylated-interferon free, sofosbuvir containing direct acting antiviral (DAA) regimens respectively. Fourteen participants had failed to at least one course of the sofosbuvir/velpatasvir combination. Fourteen patients achieved SVR12, and one patient was lost to follow-up. Treatment was successful in 100 % and 93.3 % of per-protocol (PP) and intention to treat (ITT) analyses, respectively.

Conclusion

Sofosbuvir/velpatasvir/voxilaprevir combination is an effective second-line therapy in India for difficult-to-treat HCV patients.

Humoral and cellular immune response in patients of liver cirrhosis and immunocompetent recipient of ChAdOx1nCoV-19 Vaccine (Covishield)

Despite the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination in reducing the severity of the disease, the demand for booster is increasing in vulnerable populations like elderly and immunocompromised individuals especially with each new wave of COVID-19 in different countries. There is limited data on the sustained immunity against COVID-19 in patients with liver cirrhosis. The study was aimed to compare the T cell and humoral immune response after 1 year of ChAdOx1nCoV-19 Vaccine in patients with liver cirrhosis and healthy health care workers (HCW). This was a prospective observational study including 36 HCW, 19 liver cirrhosis patients and 10 unvaccinated individuals. Anti-SARS-CoV-2S antibody, neutralizing antibody and memory T cell subsets were evaluated by ELISA and flow cytometry, respectively, in all three groups after 1 year of initial vaccination. Compared to HCW and unvaccinated individuals, liver cirrhosis patients had significantly depleted T cells, although CD4:CD8 + T cell ratio was normal. Both cirrhotic patients and HCW developed memory T cell subset [effector memory RA (P = 0.141, P < 0.001), effector memory (P < 0.001, P < 0.001), central memory (P < 0.001, P < 0.01), stem cell memory (P = 0.009, P = 0.08) and naïve (P < 0.001, P = 0.02)] compared to unvaccinated unexposed individuals of CD4 + T and CD8 + T, respectively. However, among HCW and cirrhotic group no difference was noted on central memory and stem cell memory cells on T cells. Patients with liver cirrhosis developed comparable memory T cells after vaccination which can evoke sustainable immune response on reinfection. Therefore, additional vaccine doses may not be necessary for cirrhosis patients.

The metabolic fingerprint of chronic hepatitis C progression: Metabolome shifts and cutting-edge diagnostic options

Hepatitis C virus infection causes chronic diseases such as cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Metabolomics research has been shown to be linked to pathophysiologic pathways in liver illnesses. The aim of this study was to investigate the serum metabolic profile of patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) infection and to identify underlying mechanisms as well as potential biomarkers associated with the disease. Nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) was used to evaluate the sera of 83 patients with CHC virus and 52 healthy control volunteers (NMR). Then, multivariate statistical analysis was used to find distinguishing metabolites between the two groups. Sixteen out of 40 metabolites including include 3-HB, betaine, carnitine, creatinine, fucose, glutamine, glycerol, isopropanol, lysine, mannose, methanol, methionine, ornithine, proline, serine, and valine-were shown to be significantly different between the CHC and normal control (NC) groups (variable importance in projection >1 and p < 0.05). All the metabolic perturbations in this disease are associated with pathways of Glycine, serine, and threonine metabolism, glycerolipid metabolism, arginine and proline metabolism, aminoacyl-tRNA biosynthesis, cysteine and methionine metabolism, alanine, aspartate, and glutamate metabolism. Multivariate statistical analysis constructed using these expressed metabolites showed CHC patients can be discriminated from NCs with high sensitivity (90%) and specificity (99%). The metabolomics approach may expand the diagnostic armamentarium for patients with CHC while contributing to a comprehensive understanding of disease mechanisms.

Cell-type specific role of autophagy in the liver and its implications in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Autophagy, a cellular degradative process, has emerged as a key regulator of cellular energy production and stress mitigation. Dysregulated autophagy is a common phenomenon observed in several human diseases, and its restoration offers curative advantage. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), more recently renamed metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, is a major metabolic liver disease affecting almost 30% of the world population. Unfortunately, NAFLD has no pharmacological therapies available to date. Autophagy regulates several hepatic processes including lipid metabolism, inflammation, cellular integrity and cellular plasticity in both parenchymal (hepatocytes) and non-parenchymal cells (Kupffer cells, hepatic stellate cells and sinusoidal endothelial cells) with a profound impact on NAFLD progression. Understanding cell type-specific autophagy in the liver is essential in order to develop targeted treatments for liver diseases such as NAFLD. Modulating autophagy in specific cell types can have varying effects on liver function and pathology, making it a promising area of research for liver-related disorders. This review aims to summarize our present understanding of cell-type specific effects of autophagy and their implications in developing autophagy centric therapies for NAFLD.

Dysregulated metabolites and lipids in serum of patients with acute hepatitis E: A longitudinal study

Hepatitis E is a disease associated with acute inflammation of the liver. It is related to several dysregulated metabolic pathways and alterations in the concentration of several metabolites. However, longitudinal analysis of the alterations in metabolites and lipids is generally lacking. This study investigated the changes in levels of metabolites and lipids over time in sera from men with acute hepatitis E compared to healthy controls similar in age and gender. Untargeted measurement of levels of various metabolites and lipids was done using mass spectrometry on 65 sera sequentially sampled from 14 patients with acute hepatitis E and 25 serum samples from five controls. Temporal changes in intensities of metabolites and lipids were determined over different times at 3-day periods for the hepatitis E virus (HEV) group. In carbohydrate metabolism, glucose levels, fructose 1-6-bisphosphate and ribulose-5-phosphate were increased in the HEV-infected persons compared to the healthy controls. HEV infection is significantly associated with decreased levels of inosine, guanosine, adenosine and urate in purine metabolism and thymine, uracil and β-aminoisobutyrate in pyrimidine metabolism. Glutamate, alanine and valine levels were significantly lower in the HEV group than in healthy individuals. Homogentisate of tyrosine metabolism and cystathionine of serine metabolism were increased, whereas kynurenate of tryptophan metabolism decreased in the HEV group. Metabolites of the bile acid biosynthesis, urea cycle (arginine and citrulline) and ammonia recycling (urocanate) were significantly altered. Co-enzymes, pantothenate and pyridoxal, and co-factors, lipoamide and FAD, were elevated in the HEV group. The acylcarnitines, sphingomyelins, phosphatidylcholine (PC), phosphatidylethanolamine (PE), lysoPC and lysoPE tended to be lower in the HEV group. In conclusion, acute hepatitis E is associated with altered metabolite and lipid profiles, significantly increased catabolism of carbohydrates, purines/pyrimidines and amino acids, and decreased levels of several glycerophospholipids.

Antibody response to ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (Covishield®) vaccine in people on maintenance hemodialysis

INTRODUCTION

People on renal replacement therapy (RRT) have a high risk of COVID-19 infection and subsequent death. COVID-19 vaccination is strongly recommended for those on RRT. Data are limited on the immune response of the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19/AZD1222 (Covishield®) vaccine in patients on RRT.

METHODS

A prospective cohort of adult (age > 18 years), on RRT in the form of hemodialysis were included and received two intramuscular doses of Covishield®. A blood specimen of 5.0 mL was collected at two time points, within a few days before administering the first dose of the vaccine and at 4-16 weeks after the second dose. According to their prior COVID-19 infection status, the participants were grouped as (i) prior symptomatic COVID-19 infection, (ii) prior asymptomatic COVID-19 infection, and (iii) no prior COVID-19 infection.

RESULTS

A large proportion (81%) of participants had anti-spike antibodies (ASAb) before vaccination, and a reasonable proportion (30%) also had neutralizing antibodies (NAb). The titer of ASAb was relatively low (207 U/mL) before vaccination. The ASAb titer (9405 [1635-25,000] U/mL) and percentage of NAb (96.4% [59.6-98.1%]) were markedly increased following the administration of two doses of the vaccine. The participants' prior COVID-19 exposure status did not influence the rise in ASAb titer and NAb percentage. Further, administering two doses of the Covishield vaccine helps them achieve a high ASAb titer.

CONCLUSION

Two doses of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19/AZD1222 (Covishield®) vaccine, given 12 weeks apart, achieve a high titer of ASAb and a high percentage of NAb in people on hemodialysis.

Fresh-Frozen Plasma as a Low-Cost Replacement of Intravenous Immunoglobulin for the Treatment of Symptomatic Hypogammaglobulinemia

Hypogammaglobulinemia commonly presents with chronic diarrhea. Unfortunately, these patients require intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) transfusions of 400-800 mg/kg every 3-4 weeks as a standard treatment for hypogammaglobulinemia. Repeated transfusion of IVIG is costly, and many patients may not be able to afford it. We report the case of a young male with chronic small intestinal diarrhea who was later diagnosed with hypogammaglobulinemia. We treated the patient with fresh-frozen plasma (FFP) and the patient responded favorably. FFP transfusion may be an affordable alternative to IVIG in the treatment of hypogammaglobulinemia.

Acute myocardial infarction complicating acute ulcerative colitis: A clinical conundrum

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is an immune-mediated multisystem inflammatory disease that primarily affects the gastrointestinal tract, but it also has various extraintestinal manifestations like cardiovascular, dermatological, musculoskeletal, or hepatobiliary tract involvement. Herein, we describe a case of a 46-year-old female, who presented with acute coronary syndrome on the background of acute relapse of ulcerative colitis (UC), requiring a pragmatic clinical approach due to a labile balance between hemorrhagic and ischemic risk.

Impact of body mass index on disease progression and outcomes in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

The relationship between body mass index (BMI) and outcomes in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is not well defined. This study aimed to assess the presentations, outcomes, and development of liver-related events (LREs) and non-LREs in patients with NAFLD stratified by BMI.

METHODS

Records of NAFLD patients from 2000-2022 were reviewed. Patients were categorized as lean (18.5-22.9 kg/m2), overweight (23-24.9 kg/m2), and obese (>25 kg/m2) based on BMI. Stage of steatosis, fibrosis, and NAFLD activity score were noted in the patients undergoing liver biopsy in each group.

RESULTS

Out of 1051 NAFLD patients, 127 (12.1%) had normal BMI, 177 (16.8%) and 747 (71.1%) were overweight and obese, respectively. Median [interquartile range] BMI was 21.9 [20.6-22.5], 24.2 [23.7-24.6], and 28.3 [26.6-30.6] kg/m2 in each group, respectively. Prevalence of metabolic syndrome and dyslipidemia were significantly higher in the obese. Obese patients had significantly higher median [interquartile range] liver stiffness (6.4 [4.9-9.4] kPa) than overweight and lean subjects. A higher proportion of obese patients had significant and advanced liver fibrosis. At follow-up, there were no significant differences in the progression of liver disease, new LREs, coronary artery disease, or hypertension across the BMI groups. Overweight and obese patients were more likely to develop new-onset diabetes by follow-up. The mortality rates in the three groups were comparable (0.47, 0.68, and 0.49 per 100 person-years, respectively), with similar causes of death (liver-related vs non-liver-related).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with lean NAFLD have similar disease severity and rates of progression as the obese. BMI is not a reliable determinant of outcomes in NAFLD patients.

KEY MESSAGES

Hepatitis C Retreatment With First-Line Direct Acting Antiviral Drugs

Background and Aims

Sofosbuvir (S), daclatasvir (D), ledipasvir, or velpatasvir (V) containing first-line hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment regimens fail to cure viremia in 5-10%. We report our experience of HCV retreatment using these first-line drugs, in a setting where second-line anti-HCV drugs are not available.

Methods

Adults, who had relapsed after first complete course of a sofosbuvir-containing first-line, pegylated interferon free, anti-HCV treatment regimen with or without ribavirin (Riba) were included. Retreatment regimen, tailored to the failed anti-HCV regimen, was based on principle of using first-line drugs for 24 weeks with ribavirin and swapping between pangenotypic and genotype-specific regimens. Retreatment outcome was categorized as successful (achieved undetectable HCV RNA at the end of treatment [ETR] and sustained viral response at week 12 [SVR12]), non-responder (failed to achieve ETR), or relapse (achieved ETR but not achieved SVR12).

Results

Twelve patients (9 male; 7 cirrhosis; all genotype 3) who had relapsed to prior anti-HCV treatment (4 SD12, 4 SD24, 1 SDRiba12, 1 SDRiba24, 2 SV12) were included. Following retreatment (2 SDRiba24, 10 SVRiba24), all achieved ETR but only 9 (75%) achieved SVR12. Two among three, in whom retreatment failed, achieved SVR12 following another course of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir/ribavirin for 24 weeks. Overall, 11/12 (92%) patients achieved SVR12 following retreatment with the first-line anti-HCV drugs.

Conclusion

HCV retreatment could be a treatment option if second-line anti-HCV drugs are not available. Successful retreatment could be achieved, in a large proportion, with the use of first-line drugs for 24 weeks with ribavirin and swapping of pangenotypic/genotype-specific regimens (NCT03483987).

Hepatic Venous Pressure Gradient Predicts Further Decompensation in Cirrhosis Patients with Acute Esophageal Variceal Bleeding

BACKGROUND

The role of hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) in predicting further decompensation in cirrhosis patients with acute variceal bleeding (AVB) is not known. We aimed to evaluate the role of HVPG in predicting further decompensation in cirrhosis patients with AVB Methods: In this prospective study, 145 patients with cirrhosis with esophageal or gastric AVB were included. HVPG was measured on the day of the AVB. Decompensating events occurring after 42-days of AVB were considered further decompensation.

RESULTS

The median age of the study cohort was 44 years; 88.3% males. The predominant etiology of cirrhosis was alcohol (46.2%). Overall, 40 (27.6%) patients developed further decompensation during median follow-up of 296 days following AVB. Gastro intestinal bleeding n = 27 (18.6%) and new-onset/worsening ascites n = 20 (13.8%) were the most common decompensating events. According to the multivariate model, HVPG was an independent predictor of any further decompensation in esophageal AVB patients but not in gastric variceal bleeding patients. HVPG cut-off of ≥16 mmHg predicted further decompensation in the esophageal AVB. However, HVPG was not an independent predictor of mortality.

CONCLUSION

HVPG measured during an episode of acute variceal hemorrhage from esophageal varices predicts further decompensating events in cirrhosis patients.

KGHeBTA (King George's Medical University Hepatitis B Therapeutic Algorithm): A New Diagnostic and Therapeutic Algorithm and Clinico-epidemiological Spectrum of Hepatitis B

Background

Diagnostic and therapeutic algorithms given by various societies for hepatitis B are fragmented and complex. The clinico-epidemiologic spectrum of hepatitis B is not studied with large-scale data from our region. We aimed to develop a comprehensive algorithm for the treatment of hepatitis B and study its clinico-epidemiological spectrum.

Methods

From 2014-2019, the clinico-laboratory data of hepatitis B surface antigen (HbsAg)-positive patients were prospectively recorded. King George's Medical University hepatitis B therapeutic algorithm (KGHeBTA) was developed on the basis of the standard existing guidelines. The prevalence of different clinical stages of HBsAg-positive patients was calculated and their treatment records reviewed. Testing circumstances and risk factors were noted.

Results

Among 1,508 data record sheets, 421 were complete. According to the KGHeBTA algorithm, 221 had detectable hepatitis B virus DNA. 21% were cirrhotic and 79% non-cirrhotic. 72% were incidentally detected asymptomatic hepatitis B, 7% were hepatitis B with acute symptoms, 0.7% were acute hepatitis B, and 22% were chronic hepatitis B. 20% patients were eligible for antivirals and 80% patients were not eligible. 32% patients were actually treated with antivirals due to the inclusion of some special indications as pregnancy and family history. Screening during various medical illnesses (40%) was the most common and during health camps (0.2%), the least common testing approach. Road-side shaving (52%) was the most common and intravenous drug abuse (0.2%) and the least common risk factor for the detection of hepatitis B in our data pool.

Conclusions

HBsAg-positive patients can be easily worked up and treated based on the proposed algorithm (KGHeBTA). About one fourth to one fifth of all HBsAg-positive patients were eligible and treated with oral antivirals. Most of the patients were incidentally detected asymptomatic hepatitis B screened during medical illnesses. Roadside shaving and intravenous drug abuse were the most and the least common risk factors.

Comparison between presepsin, procalcitonin, and CRP as biomarkers to diagnose sepsis in critically ill patients

Background and Aims

Mortality associated with sepsis continues to remain high. Early diagnosis and aggressive management may improve outcomes. Biomarkers may help in early diagnosis, but the search for an ideal biomarker continues. Presepsin has been introduced as a new biomarker, however, it still needs validation before its use becomes routine. In this study, we aimed to compare the efficacy of various biomarkers in patients with suspected sepsis.

Material and Methods

A retrospective analysis of 100 patients with suspected infection, admitted in the medical intensive care unit (ICU) was conducted. Diagnosis of sepsis was made on the basis of the current surviving sepsis guidelines criteria.

Results

Out of 100 patients, 70 were diagnosed to have sepsis, and overall ICU mortality was 22%. Overall, C-reactive protein (CRP) was positive in 98, procalcitonin in 75, and presepsin in 64 patients. For diagnosis of sepsis the sensitivity, specificity, and AUC, respectively, for CRP was 98.6%, 3.3%, and 0.725. For procalcitonin (>0.5 ng/ml) it was 87.1%, 53.3%, and 0.776, and for procalcitonin (>1 ng/ml) 70%, 70%, and 0.816, respectively. For presepsin sensitivity, specificity, and AUC, respectively, for diagnosis of sepsis was 77.1%, 66.7%, and 0.734. For ICU mortality, sensitivity and specificity for CRP was 95.5% and 1.3%, for procalcitonin (>0.5) 72.7% and 24.4.%, for procalcitonin (>1) 59.1% and 42.3%, and for presepsin 61.5% and 27.3%, respectively.

Conclusion

Inflammatory markers may be raised in a large proportion of ICU patients, even in those without sepsis. Procalcitnonin and presepsin had similar efficacy in diagnosing sepsis. However, none of the three biomarkers studied were accurate in predicting ICU mortality.

Hypoperfusion context as a predictor of 28-d all-cause mortality in septic shock patients: A comparative observational study

BACKGROUND

As per the latest Surviving Sepsis Campaign guidelines, fluid resuscitation should be guided by repeated measurements of blood lactate levels until normalization. Nevertheless, raised lactate levels should be interpreted in the clinical context, as there may be other causes of elevated lactate levels. Thus, it may not be the best tool for real-time assessment of the effect of hemodynamic resuscitation, and exploring alternative resuscitation targets should be an essential research priority in sepsis.

AIM

To compare the 28-d mortality in two clinical patterns of septic shock: hyperlactatemic patients with hypoperfusion context and hyperlactatemic patients without hypoperfusion context.

METHODS

This prospective comparative observational study carried out on 135 adult patients with septic shock that met Sepsis-3 definitions compared patients with hyperlactatemia in a hypoperfusion context (Group 1, n = 95) and patients with hyperlactatemia in a non-hypoperfusion context (Group 2, n = 40). Hypoperfusion context was defined by a central venous saturation less than 70%, central venous-arterial PCO₂ gradient [P(cv-a)CO₂] ≥ 6 mmHg, and capillary refilling time (CRT) ≥ 4 s. The patients were observed for various macro and micro hemodynamic parameters at regular intervals of 0 h, 3 h, and 6 h. All-cause 28-d mortality and all other secondary objective parameters were observed at specified intervals. Nominal categorical data were compared using the χ² or Fisher’s exact test. Non-normally distributed continuous variables were compared using the Mann-Whitney U test. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis with the Youden index determined the cutoff values of lactate, CRT, and metabolic perfusion parameters to predict the 28-d all-cause mortality. A P value of < 0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

Patient demographics, comorbidities, baseline laboratory, vital parameters, source of infection, baseline lactate levels, and lactate clearance at 3 h and 6 h, Sequential Organ Failure scores, need for invasive mechanical ventilation, days on mechanical ventilation, and renal replacement therapy-free days within 28 d, duration of intensive care unit stay, and hospital stay were comparable between the two groups. The stratification of patients into hypoperfusion and non-hypoperfusion context did not result in a significantly different 28-d mortality (24% vs 15%, respectively; P = 0.234). However, the patients within the hypoperfusion context with high P(cv-a)CO₂ and CRT (P = 0.022) at baseline had significantly higher mortality than Group 2. The norepinephrine dose was higher in Group 1 but did not achieve statistical significance with a P > 0.05 at all measured intervals. Group 1 had a higher proportion of patients requiring vasopressin and the mean vasopressor-free days out of the total 28 d were lower in patients with hypoperfusion (18.88 ± 9.04 vs 21.08 ± 8.76; P = 0.011). The mean lactate levels and lactate clearance at 3 h and 6 h, CRT, P(cv-a)CO₂ at 0 h, 3 h, and 6 h were found to be associated with 28-d mortality in patients with septic shock, with lactate levels at 6 h having the best predictive value (area under the curve lactate at 6 h: 0.845).

CONCLUSION

Septic shock patients fulfilling the hypoperfusion and non-hypoperfusion context exhibited similar 28-d all-cause hospital mortality, although patients with hypoperfusion displayed a more severe circulatory dysfunction. Lactate levels at 6 h had a better predictive value in predicting 28-d mortality than other parameters. Persistently high P(cv-a)CO₂ (> 6 mmHg) or increased CRT (> 4 s) at 3 h and 6 h during early resuscitation can be a valuable additional aid for prognostication of septic shock patients.

Endoscopic ultrasound-guided liver biopsy using a single-pass, slow-pull technique with a 19-G Franseen tip fine-needle biopsy needle: A prospective study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Endoscopic ultrasound-guided liver biopsy (EUS-LB) is considered to be safe and effective. Commonly a 19-G fine-needle aspiration or biopsy needle is used. But, the results vary with different techniques that are used. Herein, we report the results of liver biopsy with a single-pass, three actuations (1:3) using the slow-pull technique.

METHODS

In this prospective study, 50 consecutive patients with indications for liver biopsy underwent EUS-LB with a 19-gauge fine-needle biopsy (FNB) needle from both right and left lobes. The primary outcome was the adequacy of the specimen for histological diagnosis. Total specimen length (TSL), longest specimen length (LSL), complete portal tracts (CPTs) and comparison of these outcomes between the left lobe and right lobe specimens were secondary outcomes. Adverse events (AEs) were also measured during this study.

RESULTS

Adequate tissue for histological diagnosis was obtained in all 50 patients (100%). The median number of CPTs was 32.5 (range, 11-58), while the median of TSL was 58 mm (range, 35-190) and the median LSL was 15 mm (range, 5-40). There was no significant difference in CPTs, TSL and LSL between left and right lobe biopsies. There was no major complication; one of the patients (2%) had bleed from the duodenal puncture site, which was managed endoscopically without the need for blood transfusion.

CONCLUSIONS

Endoscopic ultrasound-guided liver biopsy using a 19-gauge Franseen tip needle with a single pass, three actuation (1:3) and slow-pull technique provides adequate tissue yield and has a good safety profile.

Pharmacological inhibition of CFTR attenuates nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) progression in mice

Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is considered a pivotal stage in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) progression and increases the risk of end-stage liver diseases such as fibrosis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The etiology of NASH is multifactorial and identifying reliable molecular players has proven difficult. Presently, there are no approved drugs for NASH treatment, which has become a leading cause of liver transplants worldwide. Here, using public human transcriptomic NAFLD dataset, we uncover Cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance receptor (CFTR) as a differentially expressed gene in the livers of human NASH patients. Similarly, murine Cftr expression was also found to be upregulated in two mouse models of diet-induced NASH. Furthermore, the pharmacological inhibition of CFTR significantly reduced NASH progression in mice and its overexpression aggravated lipotoxicity in human hepatic cells. These results, thus, underscore the involvement of murine Cftr in the pathogenesis of NASH and raise the intriguing possibility of its pharmacological inhibition in human NASH.

Nasojejunal tube-assisted endoscopic ultrasound-guided gastrojejunostomy for the management of gastric outlet obstruction is safe and effective

Background and aims

Endoscopic ultrasound-guided gastrojejunostomy (EUS-GJ) is a therapeutic option for patients with gastric outlet obstruction (GOO), which provides long-term luminal patency without the risk of tumor ingrowth and/or overgrowth and avoids surgical morbidity. The goal of this study was to assess technical success, clinical success, and adverse events associated with a nasojejunal tube-assisted EUS- GJ technique.

Methods

This was a retrospective study conducted at a single tertiary care center. The nasojejunal tube (14F) was used to perform the EUS-GJ (device-assisted method). During the study period, consecutive GOO patients who underwent EUS-GJ between August 2018 and December 2021 were included. Technical success was defined as adequate positioning and deployment of the stent. The patient's ability to tolerate a normal oral diet without vomiting was defined as clinical success.

Results

Thirty patients underwent EUS-GJ during this study period. Twenty-six patients had malignant GOO, while four had a benign obstruction. EUS-GJ was successfully performed in 29 patients, and technical success was 96.67% (29/30). Nasojejunal tube-assisted EUS-GJ technique was used in all patients. Clinical success was achieved in all patients who had technical success (29/29, 100%). The adverse events rate was 6.6%. During the procedure, the median procedure time was 25 min (interquartile range 15-42.5), and the average hospitalization was 4.4 days. Normal meals were tolerated by all patients. After 210 days of median follow-up (range 5-880 days), no recurrence of symptoms was observed.

Conclusion

The nasojejunal tube-assisted EUS-GJ is a safe and effective technique to treat GOO symptoms.

Role of cerebrospinal fluid lactate in diagnosing meningitis in critically ill patients

BACKGROUND

Meningitis is a life-threatening clinical condition associated with high mortality and morbidity. Early diagnosis and specific treatment may improve outcomes. Lack of specific clinical signs or tests make the diagnosis challenging.

AIM

To assess the efficacy of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) lactate in diagnosing meningitis in critically ill patients.

METHODS

A prospective, observational cohort study was carried out in a neuro-medical intensive care unit (ICU) over a 22 mo period. Adult patients, with suspected meningitis admitted in ICU, were serially recruited. Patients who refused consent, those with peripheral sensorineural deficit, or with any contraindication to lumber puncture were excluded. CSF cytology, bio-chemistry, lactates, culture and polymerase chain reaction based meningo-encephalitis panel were evaluated. Patients were divided in two groups based on clinical diagnosis of meningitis. The efficacy of CSF lactate in diagnosing meningitis was evaluated and compared with other tests.

RESULTS

Seventy-one patients were included and 23 were diagnosed with meningitis. The mean values of CSF total leucocyte count (TLC), proteins and lactates were significantly higher in meningitis group. There was a significant correlation of CSF lactate levels with CSF cultures and meningo-encephalitis panel. CSF lactate (> 2.72 mmol/L) showed good accuracy in diagnosing meningitis with an area under the curve of 0.81 (95% confidence interval: 0.69-0.93), sensitivity of 82.6%, and specificity 72.9%. These values were comparable to those of CSF TLC and protein. Twelve patients with bacterial meningitis had significantly higher CSF lactate (8.9 ± 4.7 mmol/L) than those with non-bacterial meningitis (4.2 ± 3.8 mmol/L), P = 0.006.

CONCLUSION

CSF lactate may be used to aid in our diagnosis of meningitis in ICU patients. CSF lactate (> 2.72 mmol/L) showed good accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity in diagnosing meningitis and may also help to differentiate between bacterial and non-bacterial meningitis.

Bedside ultrasonography of optic nerve sheath diameter for detection of raised intracranial pressure in nontraumatic neuro-critically ill patients

BACKGROUND

Delay in treatment of raised intracranial pressure (ICP) leads to poor clinical outcomes. Optic nerve sheath diameter (ONSD) by ultrasonography (US-ONSD) has shown good accuracy in traumatic brain injury and neurosurgical patients to diagnose raised ICP. However, there is a dearth of data in neuro-medical intensive care unit (ICU) where the spectrum of disease is different.

AIM

To validate the diagnostic accuracy of ONSD in non-traumatic neuro-critically ill patients.

METHODS

We prospectively enrolled 114 patients who had clinically suspected raised ICP due to non-traumatic causes admitted in neuro-medical ICU. US-ONSD was performed according to ALARA principles. A cut-off more than 5.7 mm was taken as significantly raised. Raised ONSD was corelated with raised ICP on radiological imaging. Clinical history, general and systemic examination findings, SOFA and APACHE 2 score and patient outcomes were recorded.

RESULTS

There was significant association between raised ONSD and raised ICP on imaging (P < 0.001). The sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value at this cut-off was 77.55%, 89.06%, 84.44% and 83.82% respectively. The positive and negative likelihood ratio was 7.09 and 0.25. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves was 0.844. Using Youden’s index the best cut off value for ONSD was 5.75 mm. Raised ONSD was associated with lower age (P = 0.007), poorer Glasgow Coma Scale (P = 0.009) and greater need for surgical intervention (P = 0.006) whereas no statistically significant association was found between raised ONSD and SOFA score, APACHE II score or ICU mortality. Our limitations were that it was a single centre study and we did not perform serial measurements or ONSD pre- and post-treatment or procedures for raised ICP.

CONCLUSION

ONSD can be used as a screening a test to detect raised ICP in a medical ICU and as a trigger to initiate further management of raised ICP. ONSD can be beneficial in ruling out a diagnosis in a low-prevalence population and rule in a diagnosis in a high-prevalence population.

Eight versus twelve weeks of sofosbuvir-velpatasvir in treatment-naïve non-cirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection: Study protocol for a multicentric, open labelled, randomized, non-inferiority trial (RESOLVE trial)

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a common cause of liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Globally, nearly 71 million people have chronic HCV infection, and approximately 399,000 dies annually. In patients without cirrhosis, HCV infection is treated with 12 weeks of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir combination. Results from available small, single-centre observational studies suggest that the sofosbuvir/velpatasvir combination given for 8 weeks may be as effective as the standard 12 weeks of treatment. We propose to compare the treatment response of 12 weeks versus 8 weeks of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir in non-cirrhotic people with chronic HCV infection.

METHODS

This multicentric, randomized, open-label, non-inferiority trial will include 880 (2 arms x 440) treatment naïve, viraemic (HCV RNA >10,000 IU/mL), non-cirrhotic adults (age >18 years) with chronic hepatitis C. People who are at high-risk for HCV reinfection such as haemophiliacs, people who inject drugs, those on maintenance hemodialysis or having HIV will be excluded. The presence or absence of cirrhosis will be determined with a combination of history, examination, ultrasound, liver stiffness measured with transient elastography, APRI, FIB-4, and esophagogastroduodenoscopy. Participants will be randomized to receive either 8- or 12-week sofosbuvir/velpatasvir treatment. A blood specimen will be collected before starting the treatment (to determine the HCV genotype), after 4 weeks of treatment (for early virological response), and at 12 weeks after treatment discontinuation for SVR12.

DISCUSSION

The study will provide data on the efficacy of 8 weeks of treatment as compared to the standard of care (12 weeks) in non-cirrhotic patients with chronic HCV infection. Treatment for a shorter duration may improve treatment compliance, reduce the cost of treatment, and ease the treatment implementation from a public health perspective.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Registered with Clinical Trial Registry of India (http://ctri.nic.in) Registration No. CTRI/2022/03/041368 [Registered on: 24/03/2022]-Trial Registered Prospectively.

LncRNA NEAT1 regulates HCV-induced Hepatocellular carcinoma by modulating the miR-9-BGH3 axis

Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a leading cause of end-stage liver diseases, such as fibrosis, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Several cellular entities, including paraspeckles and their related components, are involved in viral pathogenesis and cancer progression. NEAT1 lncRNA is a major component of paraspeckles that has been linked to several malignancies. In this study, analysis of the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database and validation in HCV-induced HCC tissue and serum samples showed significantly high expression of NEAT1 in patients with liver cancer. Moreover, we found that NEAT1 levels increased upon HCV infection. To further understand the mechanism of NEAT1-induced HCC progression, we selected one of its targets, miR-9-5 p, which regulates BGH3 mRNA levels. Interestingly, miR-9-5 p levels were downregulated upon HCV infection, whereas BGH3 levels were upregulated. Additionally, partial NEAT1 knockdown increased miR-9-5 p levels and decreased BGH3 levels, corroborating our initial results. BGH3 levels were also upregulated in HCV-induced HCC and TCGA tissue samples, which could be directly correlated with NEAT1 levels. As a known oncogene, BGH3 is directly linked to HCC progression mediated by NEAT1. We also found that NEAT1 levels remained upregulated in serum samples from patients treated with direct-acting antivirals (DAA), indicating that NEAT1 might be a molecular trigger that promotes HCC development. Collectively, these findings provide molecular insights into HCV-induced HCC progression via the NEAT1-miR-9-BGH3 axis.

Scoring systems in critically ill: Which one to use in cancer patients?

BACKGROUND

Scoring systems have not been evaluated in oncology patients. We aimed to assess the performance of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, APACHE III, APACHE IV, Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II, SAPS III, Mortality Probability Model (MPM) II₀ and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score in critically ill oncology patients.

AIM

To compare the efficacy of seven commonly employed scoring systems to predict outcomes of critically ill cancer patients.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of 400 consecutive cancer patients admitted in the medical intensive care unit over a two-year period. Primary outcome was hospital mortality and the secondary outcome measure was comparison of various scoring systems in predicting hospital mortality.

RESULTS

In our study, the overall intensive care unit and hospital mortality was 43.5% and 57.8%, respectively. All of the seven tested scores underestimated mortality. The mortality as predicted by MPM II₀ predicted death rate (PDR) was nearest to the actual mortality followed by that predicted by APACHE II, with a standardized mortality rate (SMR) of 1.305 and 1.547, respectively. The best calibration was shown by the APACHE III score (χ² = 4.704, P = 0.788). On the other hand, SOFA score (χ² = 15.966, P = 0.025) had the worst calibration, although the difference was not statistically significant. All of the seven scores had acceptable discrimination with good efficacy however, SAPS III PDR and MPM II₀ PDR (AUROC = 0.762), had a better performance as compared to others. The correlation between the different scoring systems was significant (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

All the severity scores were tested under-predicted mortality in the present study. As the difference in efficacy and performance was not statistically significant, the choice of scoring system used may depend on the ease of use and local preferences.

Effect of post-activation potentiation using core activation on isometric core strength and countermovement jump variables in university male recreational athletes

Core strengthening exercises have been integrated into the conditioning regimens of sportsmen of all levels. Despite a wealth of evidence, the question of what influence core stability exercises have on jump performance remains unsolved. Only a small percentage of studies have explored effects of standalone core training. The objective of this research was to explore acute changes in countermovement jump (CMJ) performance caused by post-activation potentiation (PAP) adopting core activation exercises. 25 male recreational athletes were recruited as participants. They visited on three occasions-first for familiarisation, following for baseline data using a conventional warmup, and final for repeat data upon inducing PAP. Isometric dynamometer was used to quantify core isometric strength and CMJ variables were evaluated using a Portable performance analysis system with MARS Software. Paired t-test and multivariate analysis were carried out. All core strength metrics reported marked increase at P<0.001 from conventional to PAP warmup. Following CMJ metrics varied significantly: jump height from take-off (P<0.001), jump height from flight (P<0.01), flight time (P<0.01,) and force at free-fall (P<0.001). Core training with PAP is a form of neuromuscular training that has the potential to improve power, agility, and speed by modifying force absorption, active joint stabilisation, and improved movement patterns. These alterations are ascribed to changes in cerebral drive, as well as enhanced motor-unit activation and firing frequency at the muscle level. Before a competition, a core activation warm-up can offer a unique training stimulus and increase performance via an ergogenic response. The core is essential for optimal athletic performance and should not be overlooked.

A Systematic Review of Risk Factors for Hepatitis C Virus Infection Among Low-Risk Population in India

Background

Identification of risk factors for hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission will help in targeted screening of people who are at risk for HCV.

Method

Indian studies, published between January 1989 and June 2020, were systematically reviewed to identify the relevant studies. We searched electronic databases including PubMed/Medline, Embase, Scopus, and Google scholar to identify the original data published in English language. The full-text studies, published in any form, which reported data on risk factors for HCV transmission among low-risk population were selected. The studies which exclusively included high-risk groups were excluded.

Results

Data were extracted from 31,176 participants included in 25 studies (median [range] 40 [7-20,113). The participants were HCV infected patients who visited the hospital (n = 10), community population (n = 6), pregnant women (n = 5), blood donors (n = 2), people with diabetes mellitus (n = 1), army recruits (n = 1), or slum dwellers (n = 1). These studies provided data on blood transfusion, use of unsafe injections, minor or major surgery, unsafe dental procedures, tattooing, body piercing, obstetrical procedures, unsafe shaving, intravenous drug use, and unsafe sexual practices as risk factors for HCV transmission.

Conclusion

Unsafe injections, body piercing, unsafe dental procedure, unsafe shaving, and tattooing were identified as major risk factors for reported by HCV population participants.More data are needed to identify the risk factors for HCV in Indian population. Risk-factor-targeted screening may increase the yield and reduce the cost of HCV screening in India.

Liver Stiffness is Reduced to Normal After Successful Renal Transplantation: A Prospective Cohort Study

Background

Liver stiffness (LS) may be falsely elevated in patients on maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) due to fluid overload. We measured LS change by transient elastography (TE) in MHD patients before and after successful renal transplantation.

Method

Adults on ≥2 years of MHD, without additional risk factors for liver fibrosis or fluid overload, and planned for renal transplantation were prospectively recruited. LS was measured on two occasions, i.e., within two weeks before transplantation (pre-Tx LS) and after ≥ 3 months after successful transplantation (post-Tx LS). The participants with pre-Tx LS ≤ 7.0 KPa and >7.0 KPa were classified as "Group I" and "Group II," respectively. Categorical and numerical data are expressed as ratio/proportions and mean (SD), respectively.

Results

Paired data from 43 participants (males 42 [97.7%]; age 32 [11] years) were analyzed. The pre-Tx and post-Tx LS of the entire cohort, measured at 307 (198) days of interval, were 8.5 (7.3) KPa and 6.7 (3.1) KPa, respectively. Before transplantation, 21 (49%) participants belonged to Group II and 22 (51%) to Group I. Among the Group II participants, 12 (57%) showed LS normalization after 312 (182) days of transplantation. Of the 22 participants in Group I, three (13.6%) showed LS elevation to >7.0 KPa after 303 (217) days of transplantation. The mean LS changes among the overall cohort, Group II, and Group I were -1.8 KPa, -4.1 KPa, and +0.2 KPa, respectively.

Conclusion

LS in people on MHD may be falsely elevated, which is likely to normalize after successful renal transplantation.

Antibody Response to ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (AZD1222) Vaccine in Kidney Transplant Recipients

Kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) are at a much higher risk of complications and death following COVID-19 and are poor vaccine responders. The data are limited on the immune response to Covishield® in KTRs. We prospectively recruited a cohort of 67 KTRs aged >18 between April 2021 and December 2021. Each participant was given two intramuscular doses of Covishield®, each of 0.5 mL, at an interval of 12 weeks. A blood specimen of 5.0 mL was collected from each participant at two points within a few days before administering the first dose of the vaccine and at any time between 4−12 weeks after administering the second dose. The sera were tested for anti-RBD antibody (ARAb) titre and neutralising antibody (NAb). An ACE2 competition assay was used as a proxy for virus neutralization. According to the prior COVID-19 infection, participants were grouped as (i) group A: prior symptomatic COVID-19 infection, (ii) group B: prior asymptomatic COVID-19 infection as evidenced by detectable ARAb in the prevaccination specimen, (iii) Group C: no prior infection with COVID-19, (iv) group D: Unclassified, i.e., participants had no symptoms suggestive of COVID-19, but their prevaccination specimen was not available for ARAb testing before vaccination. Fifty of sixty-seven participants (74.6%) provided paired specimens (group A 14, group B 27, and group C 9) and 17 participants (25.4%) provided only postvaccination specimens (group D). In the overall cohort (n = 67), 91% and 77.6% of participants developed ARAb and NAb, respectively. Their ARAb titre and NAb proportion were 2927 (520−7124) U/mL and 87.9 (24.4−93.2) %, respectively. Their median ARAb titre increased 65.6 folds, from 38.2 U/mL to 3137 U/mL. Similarly, the proportion of participants with NAb increased from 56% to 86%, and the NAb proportion raised 2.7 folds, from 23% to 91%. A comparison of vaccine response between the study groups showed that all those with or without prior COVID-19 infection showed a significant rise in ARAb titre (p < 0.05) and NAb proportion (p < 0.05) after the two doses of vaccine administration. The median value of folds rise in anti-RBD and NAb between groups A and B were comparable. Hence, ARAb is present in more than 3/4th of KTRs before the ChAdOx1 vaccine in India. The titer of ARAb and the proportion of NAb significantly increased after the two doses of the ChAdOx1 vaccine in KTRs.

Exosome-associated microRNA-375 induces cell proliferation by regulating IGFBP4 upon Hepatitis C Virus infection

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is one of the most common causes of liver cancer. HCV infection causes chronic disease followed by cirrhosis, which often leads to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In this study, we investigated the roles of exosome-associated miRNAs in HCV-induced disease pathology. Small RNA sequencing was performed to identify miRNAs that are differentially regulated in exosomes isolated from patient sera at two different stages of HCV infection: cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Among the differentially expressed miRNAs, miR-375 was found to be significantly upregulated in exosomes isolated from patients with cirrhosis and HCC. A similar upregulation was observed in intracellular and extracellular/exosomal levels of miR-375 in HCV-JFH1 infected Huh7.5 cells. The depletion of miR-375 in infected cells inhibited HCV-induced cell migration and proliferation, suggesting a supportive role for miR-375 in HCV pathogenesis. miR-375, secreted through exosomes derived from HCV-infected cells, could also be transferred to naïve Huh7.5 cells, resulting in an increase in cell proliferation and migration in the recipient cells. Furthermore, we identified Insulin growth factor binding protein 4 (IGFBP4), a gene involved in cell growth and malignancy, as a novel target of miR-375. Our results demonstrate the critical involvement of exosome-associated miR-375 in HCV-induced disease progression.

Trends in outcomes, complications and readmission rates in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation: a nationwide analysis from 2012 to 2019

Background

Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) has evolved over the years from a procedure requiring surgical vascular access and general anesthesia, to one that can be completed entirely percutaneously with conscious sedation. Advancement in procedural techniques and operator experience has resulted in better outcomes for patients undergoing TAVI.

Purpose

The purpose of our study was to analyze the trends over the years in outcomes, complications and unplanned readmission rate in patients undergoing TAVI.

Methods

The United States Nationwide Readmission Database for the years 2012 to 2019 was queried to identify all adult patients who underwent elective TAVI. The primary outcome of the study was inpatient mortality during TAVI hospitalization. Secondary outcomes included periprocedural complications (like acute kidney injury, bleeding requiring transfusion, need for permanent pacemaker implantation, stroke), length of stay, hospitalization cost, and unplanned 30-day readmission rate. Appropriate International Classification of Diseases (ICD-9 and ICD-10) codes were used to identify comorbidities and complications.

Results

A total of 283,409 patients who underwent TAVI were included in the study. The baseline characteristics of these patients are shown in picture 1. The inpatient mortality during TAVI admission declined steadily and significantly from 5.3% in the year 2012 to 0.0% in the year 2019 (p value for trend &lt;0.001). There was a significant reduction in peri-TAVI occurrence of acute kidney injury (from 18.1% in 2012 to 8.7% in 2019), bleeding requiring transfusion (from 28.0% in 2012 to 4.3% in 2019), and stroke (from 1.8% in 2012 to 0.1% in 2019) (p value for trend &lt;0.001 for all). Periprocedural conduction abnormalities requiring permanent pacemaker implantation increased from 7.4% in 2012 to 12.1% in 2015, before coming down to 8.9% in 2019 (p value for trend &lt;0.001). The mean length of hospital stay and inflation-adjusted costs during admission for TAVI decreased from 9.6 days and $64,695 in the year 2012, to 3.6 days and $49,710 in the year 2019, respectively (p value for both &lt;0.001). The unplanned 30-day all-cause readmission rate after TAVI also reduced steadily and significantly from 18.2% in 2012 to 11.5% in 2019 (p value &lt;0.001).

Conclusion

Over the years, there has been a significant reduction in inpatient mortality, periprocedural complications (such as acute kidney injury, need for blood transfusion, stroke), length of hospital stay, and inflation-adjusted hospital costs in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation. Furthermore, there has been a significant decline in the 30-day unplanned readmission rate after transcatheter aortic valve implantation.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Incidence of in-hospital all-cause mortality, resource utilization and complications in patients with adult congenital heart disease undergoing TAVR-a national inpatient sample study

Background

The prevalence of congenital heart disease (CHD) in adults in the United States is approximately 1.4 million. (1) With the advancement in diagnostic modalities and advanced treatments, including minimally invasive techniques, the life expectancy of individuals with CHD has greatly improved. (2) As these patients enter the 8th decade of their lives, the risk of calcification and aortic stenosis increases like the population without CHD. Current evidence supports transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) over surgical aortic valve replacement in individuals with moderate to high surgical risk. (3) Adults with acyanotic CHD (ACHD) with a higher risk for surgical complications are candidates for consideration of TAVR. There are sparse data about the cardiovascular outcome in these patients.

Purpose

With this National inpatient sample (NIS) study, the authors have shown the incidence of in-hospital all-cause mortality, resource utilization, and complications in adult patients with ACHD undergoing TAVR.

Methods

NIS 2016–2018 were utilized to conduct the study. Analyses were performed using STATA, version 16.0. Using appropriate ICD-10-PCS codes, authors identified adult patients with ACHD undergoing TAVR. The primary outcome of the study is to identify the impact of ACHD on all-cause in-hospital mortality and complications. Secondary outcomes of interest were resource utilization.

Results

134,170 patients were identified who had TAVR done between 2016–2018. Patients aged ≤18 years were excluded (N=25). Out of 134,170 patients that underwent TAVR, 1,170 (0.87%) were noted to have ACHD. Using the greedy algorithm, 1,115 matched pairs were generated. The ACHD group had a higher burden of co-morbidities including atrial fibrillation (46.2% vs. 38.8%, p=0.016), pulmonary hypertension (27.4% vs. 17.5%, p&lt;0.001), metabolic syndrome (1.3% vs. 0.3%, p=0.005), peripheral vascular disease (29.5% vs. 24.1%, p=0.049), alcohol use disorder (3.0% vs. 1.3%, p=0.018), coagulation disorder (22.7% vs. 12.8%, p&lt;0.001), drug abuse (1.3% vs. 0.4%, p=0.043), liver disease (7.3% vs. 3.1%, p&lt;0.001) and electrolyte disturbances (20.5% vs. 14.9%, p=0.017). We also noted a possible trend towards higher complication odds (cardiac complications such as the need for pericardial drain or cardiac implantable electronic device and cardiac arrest) in patients with ACHD undergoing TAVR without statistical significance based on multivariate analysis. On propensity matching, no difference was found in the incidence of overall cardiac complications between patients with ACHD and patients without ACHD, except STEMI (OR 4.16, 95% CI, 1.08–16.00, p=0.038).

Conclusion(s)

The study points towards the possible safety of pursuing TAVR in ACHD patients provided adequate technical support and operator competency.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Same-day discharge following transcatheter aortic valve replacement: a propensity-matched analysis from national readmission database

Background

The length of hospital stay following transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) has decreased in recent years, and next-day discharge strategy is being increasingly adopted in some centers. Whether it is safe to further expedite discharge post-TAVR in selected patients by allowing discharge on the same day as the procedure remains unknown. In addition to potentially decreasing hospitalization costs, it could also limit the inpatient footprint and strain on healthcare resources.

Purpose

The purpose of our study was to compare the 30-day readmission rate in patients receiving TAVR who were discharged the same day (same-day discharge or SDD group) with those who were discharged on a different day (different-day discharge or DDD group). Additionally, we aimed to identify risk factors for readmission after TAVR.

Methods

We used the United States Nationwide Readmission Database to identify all adults who underwent elective TAVR in the years 2015–2019. The primary outcome of this study was all-cause 30-day readmission rate. The secondary outcomes were total hospital costs for the index admission, and risk factors for 30-day readmission. Propensity score matching was conducted to compare the SDD and DDD groups. Independent risk factors of 30-day readmission were identified using multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis of the unmatched cohort.

Results

Of the 196,618 patients who received TAVR (mean age 79.5±8.4 years, 45.0% females), 245 (0.12%) patients were discharged on the same day they received TAVR (SDD group), and the remaining 196,373 were discharged on a different day (DDD group). In the DDD group, the median length of hospital stay was 2 days (interquartile range 1–4 days). A 1:3 propensity score analysis generated a matched cohort including 245 and 889 patients in the SDD and DDD groups, respectively. The 30-day readmission rate was similar between the SDD and DDD groups (11.0% versus 10.8%, hazard ratio [HR] 1.01, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.59–1.71, p=0.989). Hospitalization costs were significantly lower in the SDD group than the DDD group ($37,811±18,029 versus $49,130±27,007, p&lt;0.001) (see Picture 1). Age, female gender, history of diabetes, chronic kidney disease, chronic pulmonary disease, oxygen use, prior stroke, peripheral vascular disease, anemia, liver disease, and cancer were found to be independent risk factors for 30-day readmission after TAVR (see Picture 2).

Conclusion

In this large nationwide database analysis, patients receiving uncomplicated TAVR who were discharged on the same day as the procedure had a similar all-cause 30-day readmission rate and significantly lower hospital costs compared to those discharged on a different day. These results indicate that same-day discharge after TAVR may be a safe and feasible option in carefully selected patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Meta-analysis comparing the efficacy of dobutamine versus milrinone in acute decompensated heart failure and cardiogenic shock

Objective

This study aims to evaluate the difference between dobutamine and milrinone in patients presenting with acute decompensated heart failure (AHF).

Background

Inotropes are indicated for treating AHF, especially in patients with concomitant hypoperfusion indicative of cardiogenic shock. However, previous studies have not identified the optimal inotrope. We sought to compare outcomes associated with milrinone versus dobutamine in patients with AHF.

Methods

A systematic literature search was performed to identify relevant trials from inception to August 2021. Our primary outcome of interest was mortality. Analysis was sub-categorized according to subpopulation, including AHF, AHF with cardiogenic shock (AHF-shock), AHF with a bridge to transplantation (AHF-BTT), and AHF with destination therapy (AHF-DT). Summary effects were calculated using a fixed-effects model as risk ratio or mean difference with 95% confidence intervals for all the clinical endpoints.

Results

Ten studies, including one randomized controlled trial with 21,106 patients, were included in the analysis (4918 patients were in the Milrinone group, while 15188 were in the Dobutamine group). Milrinone was associated with a lower risk of mortality in patients with AHF [relative risk (RR) 0.87; confidence interval (CI):0.79–0.97; p&lt;0.05, heterogeneity I2=0%] with event rates of 9.4% vs. 9.8% [number needed to treat (NNT) of 250]. Milrinone was also associated with improved mortality with RR 0.76 (0.79–0.95; p&lt;0.05) in patients with AHF-DT. There was a non-significant trend towards improved mortality in AHF-shock patients. However, AHF-BTT patients had a non-significant trend towards improved mortality with dobutamine. There was no difference between the two strategies for the outcomes of acute kidney injury, initiation of renal replacement therapy, mechanical ventilation, arrhythmias, symptomatic hypotension, and length of hospital stay (LOS) in the overall population. Intensive care unit (ICU) LOS was lower in AHF-shock patients in the milrinone group, whereas dobutamine was associated with a lower length of ICU stay in AHF patients.

Conclusion

The cumulative data comparing milrinone with dobutamine indicate an overall marginal benefit of milrinone compared to dobutamine in the totality of patients with AFH with or without cardiogenic shock, and whether or not they are bridged to transplantation or destination assist device. More appropriately powered prospective studies are needed to identify a conclusive benefit of one inotrope over another.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

The global burden of cancer attributable to risk factors, 2010-19: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

BACKGROUND

Understanding the magnitude of cancer burden attributable to potentially modifiable risk factors is crucial for development of effective prevention and mitigation strategies. We analysed results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 to inform cancer control planning efforts globally.

METHODS

The GBD 2019 comparative risk assessment framework was used to estimate cancer burden attributable to behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risk factors. A total of 82 risk-outcome pairs were included on the basis of the World Cancer Research Fund criteria. Estimated cancer deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) in 2019 and change in these measures between 2010 and 2019 are presented.

FINDINGS

Globally, in 2019, the risk factors included in this analysis accounted for 4·45 million (95% uncertainty interval 4·01-4·94) deaths and 105 million (95·0-116) DALYs for both sexes combined, representing 44·4% (41·3-48·4) of all cancer deaths and 42·0% (39·1-45·6) of all DALYs. There were 2·88 million (2·60-3·18) risk-attributable cancer deaths in males (50·6% [47·8-54·1] of all male cancer deaths) and 1·58 million (1·36-1·84) risk-attributable cancer deaths in females (36·3% [32·5-41·3] of all female cancer deaths). The leading risk factors at the most detailed level globally for risk-attributable cancer deaths and DALYs in 2019 for both sexes combined were smoking, followed by alcohol use and high BMI. Risk-attributable cancer burden varied by world region and Socio-demographic Index (SDI), with smoking, unsafe sex, and alcohol use being the three leading risk factors for risk-attributable cancer DALYs in low SDI locations in 2019, whereas DALYs in high SDI locations mirrored the top three global risk factor rankings. From 2010 to 2019, global risk-attributable cancer deaths increased by 20·4% (12·6-28·4) and DALYs by 16·8% (8·8-25·0), with the greatest percentage increase in metabolic risks (34·7% [27·9-42·8] and 33·3% [25·8-42·0]).

INTERPRETATION

The leading risk factors contributing to global cancer burden in 2019 were behavioural, whereas metabolic risk factors saw the largest increases between 2010 and 2019. Reducing exposure to these modifiable risk factors would decrease cancer mortality and DALY rates worldwide, and policies should be tailored appropriately to local cancer risk factor burden.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Population-level risks of alcohol consumption by amount, geography, age, sex, and year: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2020

BACKGROUND

The health risks associated with moderate alcohol consumption continue to be debated. Small amounts of alcohol might lower the risk of some health outcomes but increase the risk of others, suggesting that the overall risk depends, in part, on background disease rates, which vary by region, age, sex, and year.

METHODS

For this analysis, we constructed burden-weighted dose-response relative risk curves across 22 health outcomes to estimate the theoretical minimum risk exposure level (TMREL) and non-drinker equivalence (NDE), the consumption level at which the health risk is equivalent to that of a non-drinker, using disease rates from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2020 for 21 regions, including 204 countries and territories, by 5-year age group, sex, and year for individuals aged 15-95 years and older from 1990 to 2020. Based on the NDE, we quantified the population consuming harmful amounts of alcohol.

FINDINGS

The burden-weighted relative risk curves for alcohol use varied by region and age. Among individuals aged 15-39 years in 2020, the TMREL varied between 0 (95% uncertainty interval 0-0) and 0·603 (0·400-1·00) standard drinks per day, and the NDE varied between 0·002 (0-0) and 1·75 (0·698-4·30) standard drinks per day. Among individuals aged 40 years and older, the burden-weighted relative risk curve was J-shaped for all regions, with a 2020 TMREL that ranged from 0·114 (0-0·403) to 1·87 (0·500-3·30) standard drinks per day and an NDE that ranged between 0·193 (0-0·900) and 6·94 (3·40-8·30) standard drinks per day. Among individuals consuming harmful amounts of alcohol in 2020, 59·1% (54·3-65·4) were aged 15-39 years and 76·9% (73·0-81·3) were male.

INTERPRETATION

There is strong evidence to support recommendations on alcohol consumption varying by age and location. Stronger interventions, particularly those tailored towards younger individuals, are needed to reduce the substantial global health loss attributable to alcohol.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Multifocal Small Bowel Angioectasias: Managed with Innovative, Nonresectional Surgical Procedure

Gastrointestinal (GI) angioectasias/angiodysplasias are the most frequent vascular lesions of GI tract, responsible for ∼5 to 6% of GI bleedings. It commonly involves the small bowel, making it difficult to diagnose and manage endoscopically. Though medical management has been used to prevent bleeding, it has only a limited role in acute severe hemorrhage. In such cases, surgical resection remains the only practical option. However, multiple lesions pose a unique challenge, as resection may not be advisable for long length of bowel involvement. Here, we report a case of recurrent GI bleeding due to multifocal small bowel angioectasias who was managed by a novel technique of full-thickness transmural sutures under intraoperative enteroscopic guidance. At 6 months follow-up, no new bleeding episodes were observed.

A preliminary experience of plasma exchange in liver failure

INTRODUCTION

Plasma exchange (PLEX) is one of the experimental modalities of treatment for liver failure. We report our experience of PLEX in patients with acute-(ALF) or acute-on-chronic (ACLF) liver failure.

METHODS

Hemodynamically stable adult patients with ALF or ACLF, encephalopathy, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score ≥ 15, and clinical worsening/no improvement after 72-h of inpatient care were included. PLEX cycles repeated every 48 h, each of 2.5-4.0 h duration with 1-1.5 times of estimated plasma volume, were given. PLEX cycle was repeated till either of the end-points were achieved (i) MELD < 20 for 48 h or reaches below the baseline, whichever is lower, (ii) completed three PLEX cycles, (iii) hemodynamic instability, (iv) or outcome achieved. Outcome of interest was categorized as favorable (discharged in stable condition) or unfavorable (death or discharge in moribund condition). Data are expressed as median (interquartile range).

RESULTS

Sixteen patients (age 35 [27-48] years; male 8; ALF 5, ACLF 11; MELD 33 [27-37]; CLIF-SOFA 10 [8.5-12]) were included. Participants received 2 (1-3) cycles of PLEX during 13 (11-25) days of hospitalization. Overall, serum bilirubin, INR, creatinine, MELD, and CLIF-SOFA scores were significantly improved after PLEX. Five patients (5/16, 31%) had complete resolution of HE. Eight patients (50%) had a favorable outcome. Those with favorable outcome had significant improvement in serum bilirubin, INR, and CLIF-SOFA scores as compared to those with unfavorable outcome.

CONCLUSION

PLEX may be effective in patients with ALF or ACLF. More data are needed to establish its role in the management of liver failure.

Seroprevalence and burden of hepatitis C virus infection in WHO South-East Asia Region: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

This systematic review was aimed to estimate hepatitis C virus (HCV) seroprevalence and burden in disease in WHO South East Asia Region (SEAR).

METHODS

Electronic databases (PubMed, Scopus, Embase, and Google Scholar) and websites of non-indexed national medical journals, government and international health agencies were searched to identify English language literature published between 1991 and June 2020. We selected the studies reporting HCV seroprevalence in asymptomatic general (low-risk) and high-risk adult populations, that is, persons living with HIV (PLHIV), persons who inject drugs (PWID), sex workers, persons on maintenance hemodialysis (MHD), people in prison, and men sex with men (MSM). Seroprevalence data were combined to estimate weighted pooled prevalence (95% confidence interval) in each group and in each country, using the random-effects model. Estimated pooled seroprevalences were multiplied with estimated populations at risk to estimate the overall HCV burden.

RESULTS

The analysis included 538 studies (35 Bangladesh, 6 Bhutan, 2 DPR Korea, 323 India, 43 Indonesia, 2 Maldives, 18 Myanmar, 29 Nepal, 11 Sri Lanka, 67 Thailand, and 2 Timor-Leste). In SEAR, the weighted pooled anti-HCV seroprevalence was estimated as 0.84% (0.56-1.12) in low-risk population and 13.67% (10.95-16.40) in PLHIV, 51.44% (43.67-59.20) in PWID, 25.80% (20.34-32.09) in MHD, 8.39% (5.84-11.51) in prison inmates, 2.69% (1.43-4.13) in people with high-risk sex behavior, and 11.43% (8.61-14.74) in MSM. The total HCV burden in low-risk and high-risk populations in SEAR countries was estimated as 12.45 million and 1.65 million, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our estimates of HCV seroprevalence and burden should help the respective countries in planning their HCV elimination strategies.

Global, regional, and national burden of hepatitis B, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Background

Combating viral hepatitis is part of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and WHO has put forth hepatitis B elimination targets in its Global Health Sector Strategy on Viral Hepatitis (WHO-GHSS) and Interim Guidance for Country Validation of Viral Hepatitis Elimination (WHO Interim Guidance). We estimated the global, regional, and national prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV), as well as mortality and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) due to HBV, as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019. This included estimates for 194 WHO member states, for which we compared our estimates to WHO elimination targets.

Methods

The primary data sources were population-based serosurveys, claims and hospital discharges, cancer registries, vital registration systems, and published case series. We estimated chronic HBV infection and the burden of HBV-related diseases, defined as an aggregate of cirrhosis due to hepatitis B, liver cancer due to hepatitis B, and acute hepatitis B. We used DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian mixed-effects meta-regression tool, to estimate the prevalence of chronic HBV infection, cirrhosis, and aetiological proportions of cirrhosis. We used mortality-to-incidence ratios modelled with spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression to estimate the incidence of liver cancer. We used the Cause of Death Ensemble modelling (CODEm) model, a tool that selects models and covariates on the basis of out-of-sample performance, to estimate mortality due to cirrhosis, liver cancer, and acute hepatitis B.

Findings

In 2019, the estimated global, all-age prevalence of chronic HBV infection was 4·1% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3·7 to 4·5), corresponding to 316 million (284 to 351) infected people. There was a 31·3% (29·0 to 33·9) decline in all-age prevalence between 1990 and 2019, with a more marked decline of 76·8% (76·2 to 77·5) in prevalence in children younger than 5 years. HBV-related diseases resulted in 555 000 global deaths (487 000 to 630 000) in 2019. The number of HBV-related deaths increased between 1990 and 2019 (by 5·9% [–5·6 to 19·2]) and between 2015 and 2019 (by 2·9% [–5·9 to 11·3]). By contrast, all-age and age-standardised death rates due to HBV-related diseases decreased during these periods. We compared estimates for 2019 in 194 WHO locations to WHO-GHSS 2020 targets, and found that four countries achieved a 10% reduction in deaths, 15 countries achieved a 30% reduction in new cases, and 147 countries achieved a 1% prevalence in children younger than 5 years. As of 2019, 68 of 194 countries had already achieved the 2030 target proposed in WHO Interim Guidance of an all-age HBV-related death rate of four per 100 000.

Interpretation

The prevalence of chronic HBV infection declined over time, particularly in children younger than 5 years, since the introduction of hepatitis B vaccination. HBV-related death rates also decreased, but HBV-related death counts increased as a result of population growth, ageing, and cohort effects. By 2019, many countries had met the interim seroprevalence target for children younger than 5 years, but few countries had met the WHO-GHSS interim targets for deaths and new cases. Progress according to all indicators must be accelerated to meet 2030 targets, and there are marked disparities in burden and progress across the world. HBV interventions, such as vaccination, testing, and treatment, must be strategically supported and scaled up to achieve elimination.

Funding

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Short course of low-dose pregabalin is effective for the treatment of restless leg syndrome in patients with cirrhosis: A pilot study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Restless leg syndrome (RLS) is common in patients with cirrhosis, but its treatment in such patients remains unclear. This pilot study assessed the clinical effectiveness of intravenous iron and a 6-week course of low-dose (75 mg/day) pregabalin for the treatment of RLS in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

It was a prospective, interventional study that included adult patients with cirrhosis and RLS. The participants underwent serum ferritin measurement. Patients with low serum ferritin (< 75 μg/dL) were treated with intravenous iron. Those with normal ferritin levels and those with low levels whose RLS symptoms failed to respond to iron replacement were treated with oral pregabalin, initially 75 mg/day for 6 weeks, followed by 150 mg/day for 6 weeks if there was no response. Recurrence of symptoms was assessed at 6-12 weeks after stopping pregabalin.

RESULTS

Of the 50 patients (male patients 52%; median age 48 [interquartile range: 21-65] years; median Child-Pugh-Turcotte score 8 [5-13] and median Model for End-Stage Liver disease score 17 [12-20]) studied, 29 (58%) had low ferritin; of them, 14 (48%) responded to intravenous iron alone. Eleven of 15 (38%) patients with low ferritin and nonresponse to iron, and 16 of 21 (76%) with normal ferritin levels had a response with low-dose pregabalin. Of the nine nonresponders who received 150 mg/day of pregabalin, four had to discontinue it because of adverse effects.

CONCLUSION

A short course of low-dose (75 mg/day) pregabalin was effective (82%) in alleviating RLS in patients with cirrhosis. (CTRI/2019/02/017642).

Use of Sofosbuvir/Velpatasvir/Voxilaprevir for Sofosbuvir Nonresponder Genotype 3 HCV Infection in India

In India, hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is treated with sofosbuvir in combination with NS5A inhibitor (Daclatasvir, Ledipasvir, or Velpatasvir). A small proportion of them fail to achieve sustained virological response at 12 weeks (SVR12) and need retreatment. Triple-drug combination (Sofosbuvir/Velpatasvir/Voxilaprevir) is one of the options for retreatment. Here we describe a patient with cirrhosis and genotype 3a infection who was successfully treated with a triple-drug combination after relapse with two courses of Sofosbuvir-containing regimens.