Predicting survival in patients with 'non-high-risk' acute variceal bleeding receiving β-blockers+ligation to prevent re-bleeding

Post-TIPS Overt Hepatic Encephalopathy Increases Long-Term but Not Short-Term Mortality in Cirrhotic Patients With Variceal Bleeding: A Large-Scale, Multicenter Real-World Study

BACKGROUND

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is an established procedure for managing portal hypertension in cirrhotic patients, but the impact of post-TIPS overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE) on survival remains controversial. While its effect on short-term survival is well-documented, its long-term implications remain unclear.

AIMS

This study aims to investigate the long-term impact of post-TIPS OHE on mortality in cirrhotic patients for variceal bleeding, focusing on the timing and predictive value of OHE beyond the first year post-TIPS.

METHODS

A multicenter, retrospective cohort study was conducted involving 3262 cirrhotic patients who underwent TIPS for variceal bleeding at seven Chinese tertiary centers between January 2010 and June 2020. Clinical data, including demographics, procedure details, post-TIPS complications and survival outcomes, were collected. The primary endpoints were all-cause mortality and OHE, with follow-up until death, liver transplantation or 60 months. Propensity score matching minimised confounding effects, and multivariate Fine-Grey competing risk models identified independent mortality predictors.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 1077 days, 33.2% developed post-TIPS OHE, associated with higher MELD and Child-Pugh scores. Among these, 19.3% died, with a median time from OHE onset to death of 947 days. Post-TIPS OHE was not linked to early survival (within 12 months) but emerged as an independent predictor of long-term mortality beyond 24 months, consistent across various clinical scenarios.

CONCLUSION

Post-TIPS OHE does not affect short-term survival but significantly increases long-term mortality risk. These findings highlight the need for continuous monitoring and tailored interventions to improve long-term outcomes in post-TIPS patients.

Abbreviated Duration of Vasoactive Agents Has Similar Outcomes as Standard Duration of Therapy in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis and Variceal Bleeding: An Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

This two-stage individual patient data meta-analysis (IPD-MA) compared the efficacy of a shorter duration (≤ 2 days) of vasoactive (VA) drug therapy to standard duration (3-5 days) after acute variceal bleeding (AVB) in patients with liver cirrhosis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Randomized clinical trials on patients with cirrhosis and AVB undergoing endoscopic band ligation which compared a short duration versus the standard duration of VA therapy were included. The primary outcome was 5-day rebleeding rate. Secondary outcomes included 5-day and 42-day mortality, 42-day rebleeding rate, and length of hospital stay in patients receiving short duration of therapy as compared to those receiving standard duration. Aggregate data meta-analysis and IPD-MA of trials were performed for these outcomes and comparisons in patients with different severities of liver disease.

RESULTS

Out of 11 eligible trials, 542 IPD data sets were available from 6 trials. Two hundred and seventy-nine patients received short duration and 263 received standard duration VA therapy. Two-stage IPD-MA revealed no significant differences in the 5-day rebleeding rate (HR = 0.59, 95%CI: 0.19-1.81, p = 0.66), 5-day mortality (HR = 1.12, 95%CI: 0.18-6.63, p = 0.44), 42-day rebleeding rate (HR = 0.95, 95%CI: 0.47-1.90, p = 0.90) and 42-day mortality (HR = 1.05, 95% CI: 0.43-2.56, p = 0.34) between the two groups. One-stage IPD-MA revealed no significant differences in the outcomes across Child-Pugh classes, with shorter hospital stay in short duration group.

CONCLUSIONS

Short duration VA therapy has similar outcomes to standard duration in patients with liver cirrhosis presenting with AVB, irrespective of severity of liver disease.

Advances in intrahepatic and extrahepatic vascular dysregulations in cirrhotic portal hypertension

Cirrhotic portal hypertension, the most prevalent and clinically significant complication of liver cirrhosis, manifests as elevated portal venous pressure and is associated with severe complications. Although much research on the mechanisms of portal hypertension has focused on liver fibrosis, less attention has been given to the role of intrahepatic and extrahepatic vascular dysfunction, particularly with respect to extrahepatic vasculature. While the role of hepatic fibrosis in cirrhotic portal hypertension is undeniable, the underlying mechanisms involving intrahepatic and extrahepatic vasculature are highly complex. Sinusoidal capillarization and endothelial dysfunction contribute to increased intrahepatic vascular resistance. Hemodynamic changes in the extrahepatic circulation, including splanchnic vasodilation and hyperdynamic circulation, play a significant role in the development of portal hypertension. Additionally, therapeutic strategies targeting these vascular mechanisms are diverse, including improvement of sinusoidal microcirculation, therapies targeting hepatic stellate cells activation, and pharmacological modulation of systemic vascular tone. Therefore, in this review, we will discuss the vascular-related mechanisms and treatment progress of portal hypertension in cirrhosis to provide a new theoretical basis and practical guidance for clinical treatment.

Prognostic model for esophagogastric variceal rebleeding after endoscopic treatment in liver cirrhosis: A Chinese multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Rebleeding after recovery from esophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB) is a severe complication that is associated with high rates of both incidence and mortality. Despite its clinical importance, recognized prognostic models that can effectively predict esophagogastric variceal rebleeding in patients with liver cirrhosis are lacking.

AIM

To construct and externally validate a reliable prognostic model for predicting the occurrence of esophagogastric variceal rebleeding.

METHODS

This study included 477 EGVB patients across 2 cohorts: The derivation cohort (n = 322) and the validation cohort (n = 155). The primary outcome was rebleeding events within 1 year. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator was applied for predictor selection, and multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to construct the prognostic model. Internal validation was performed with bootstrap resampling. We assessed the discrimination, calibration and accuracy of the model, and performed patient risk stratification.

RESULTS

Six predictors, including albumin and aspartate aminotransferase concentrations, white blood cell count, and the presence of ascites, portal vein thrombosis, and bleeding signs, were selected for the rebleeding event prediction following endoscopic treatment (REPET) model. In predicting rebleeding within 1 year, the REPET model exhibited a concordance index of 0.775 and a Brier score of 0.143 in the derivation cohort, alongside 0.862 and 0.127 in the validation cohort. Furthermore, the REPET model revealed a significant difference in rebleeding rates (P < 0.01) between low-risk patients and intermediate- to high-risk patients in both cohorts.

CONCLUSION

We constructed and validated a new prognostic model for variceal rebleeding with excellent predictive performance, which will improve the clinical management of rebleeding in EGVB patients.

Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt (TIPS) for Treatment of Bleeding from Cardiofundal and Ectopic Varices in Cirrhosis

Acute variceal bleeding in cirrhosis represents a critical clinical event that significantly impacts patient prognosis, with mortality rates increasing further after a second episode. This underscores the need for immediate intervention and optimal prophylaxis. The creation of a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) has been proven to be highly effective for managing esophageal variceal bleeding. However, the use of TIPS for managing cardiofundal gastric varices and ectopic varices remains debated due to their unique vascular anatomy and the limited data available. These varices, although less prevalent than esophageal varices, are complex and heterogeneous vascular shunts between the splanchnic venous system and the systemic veins. Indeed, while endoscopic therapy with tissue adhesives is widely endorsed for achieving hemostasis in active hemorrhage, there is no consensus regarding the optimal approach for secondary prophylaxis. Recent research emphasizes the efficacy of endovascular techniques over endoscopic treatments, such as TIPS and endovascular variceal embolization techniques. This review examines the use of TIPS in managing acute variceal bleeding in patients with cirrhosis, focusing specifically on cardiofundal gastric varices and ectopic varices, discussing optimal patient care based on the latest evidence, aiming to improve outcomes for this challenging subset of patients.

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) with variceal embolization reduces rebleeding risk for patients with portal pressure gradient over 12 mmHg: A long-term follow-up study

OBJECTIVE

The consensus on whether Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) should be combined with variceal embolization in the treatment of portal hypertension-induced bleeding has not yet been reached. This study aimed to compare the difference in rebleeding incidence between TIPS and TIPS combined with variceal embolization and to analyze the optimal population for variceal embolization.

METHODS

Clinical data of 721 patients undergoing TIPS were retrospectively collected. Patients were divided into two groups: TIPS alone (n = 155) and TIPS with embolization (TIPS+E, n = 251). Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves were used to analyze prognostic differences between the two groups, and subgroup analysis was conducted based on post-TIPS portal pressure gradient (PPG) exceeding 12 mmHg.

RESULTS

After TIPS placement, the mean PPG significantly decreased for all patients. A total of 51 patients (12.6 %) experienced rebleeding, with 24 cases (15.9 %) in the TIPS group and 27 cases (10.6 %) in the TIPS+E group. There was no significant difference in cumulative rebleeding incidence between the TIPS+E and TIPS groups. In the subgroup with post-TIPS PPG greater than 12 mmHg, the cumulative rebleeding incidence was significantly lower in the TIPS+E group compared to the TIPS group (HR = 0.47, 95 %CI = 0.24-0.93, Log rank P = 0.026). No significant difference was found in patients with a post-TIPS PPG less than 12 mmHg.

CONCLUSION

For patients with post-TIPS PPG exceeding 12 mmHg, simultaneous variceal embolization with TIPS placement significantly reduces the risk of rebleeding.

Referral for liver transplant following acute variceal bleeding: a multicenter cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Referral for liver transplant (LT) following acute variceal bleeding (AVB) varies widely. We aimed to characterize and assess its impact on clinical outcomes.

METHODS

Observational retrospective cohort including cirrhosis patients with AVB from 3 hospitals in Lisbon, Portugal, from 2018 to 2019. Primary exposure was referral for LT and primary endpoint was all-cause mortality within 2 years of index hospital admission.

RESULTS

Among 143 patients, median (IQR) age was 59 (52-72) years and 90 (62.9%) were males. Median (IQR) MELDNa scores on hospital admission and discharge were 15 (11-21) and 13 (10-16), respectively. Overall, 30 (21.0%) patients were assessed for LT, 13 (9.1%) prior to and 17 (11.9%) within 2 years of hospital admission. Overall, 58 (40.6%) patients had at least one potential contra-indication for transplant. LT was performed in 3 (2.1%) patients (among 5 listed). Overall, 34 (23.8%) and 62 (43.4%) patients died at 6 weeks and 2 years post hospital admission, respectively. Following adjustment for confounders, referral for LT was associated with lower 2-year mortality (aHR (95% CI) = 0.20 (0.05-0.85)).

CONCLUSION

In a multicenter cohort of cirrhosis patients with AVB, less than a quarter underwent formal LT evaluation. Improved referral for LT following AVB may benefit cirrhosis patients' longer-term mortality.