R3-AFP score is a new composite tool to refine prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after liver transplantation

Development and Validation of a Pre-Transplant Risk Score (LT-MVI Score) to Predict Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Candidates for Liver Transplantation

Background/Objectives: MVI is a relevant prognostic factor among patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) receiving liver transplantation (LT). The preoperative assessment of the risk for MVI is relevant to pre-LT patient management and selection. The objective of this study was to create and validate a model to predict microvascular invasion (MVI) based on preoperative variables in the LT setting. Methods: A total of 2170 patients from 11 collaborative centers in Europe, Asia, and the US, who received transplants between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2017, were enrolled in the study. The entire cohort was split into a training and a validation set (70/30% of the initial cohort, respectively) using random selection. Results: MVI was reported in 586 (27.0%) explanted specimens. Using the training set data, multivariable logistic regression identified three preoperative parameters associated with MVI: α-fetoprotein (lnAFP; odds ratio [OR] = 1.19; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.13-1.27), imaging tumor burden score (lnTBS; OR = 1.66; 95%CI = 1.39-1.99), and a fast-track approach before LT due to the availability of a live donation (OR = 1.99; 95%CI = 1.56-2.53). In the validation set, the LT-MVI c-index was 0.74, versus 0.69 for the MVI score proposed by Endo et al. (Brier Skill Score +75%). The new score had a relevant net reclassification index (overall value = 0.61). Stratifying the validation set into three risk categories (0-50th, 51st-75th, and >75th score percentiles), a very good stratification was observed in terms of disease-free (5-year: 89.3, 75.5, and 50.7%, respectively) and overall survival (5-year: 79.5, 72.6, and 53.7%, respectively). Conclusions: The preoperative assessment of MVI using the proposed score demonstrated very good accuracy in predicting MVI after LT.

Safety and Therapeutic Outcomes of Adjuvant Immunotherapy With Autologous Cytokine-induced Killer Cells for Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Beyond Milan Criteria After Liver Transplantation

BACKGROUND

Adjuvant immunotherapy with autologous cytokine-induced killer (CIK) cells for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains understudied in liver transplant patients because of potential risks of acute rejection and diminished efficacy by immunosuppression.

METHODS

This study examined the safety and effectiveness of CIK therapy in patients with HCC exceeding the Milan criteria, treated at 2 Korean hospitals between 2019 and 2021. We analyzed clinical outcomes of 16 patients who underwent CIK therapy compared with 44 propensity-matched controls who did not receive CIK therapy. CIK cells were administered in 6 escalating doses, either 3 or 6 times over the course of weeks 4, 5, 6, 8, 10, and 12 posttransplantation.

RESULTS

CIK therapy was well-tolerated without significant treatment-related adverse reactions. Maximal tolerated dose of CIK cells was 10 × 109, which had been repeated 6 times. The CIK group exhibited higher 2-y HCC recurrence-free (87.5% versus 62.9%, P = 0.027) and patient survival (100% versus 81.5%, P = 0.002) rates, with no significant difference in rejection-free survival rates (92.9% versus 95.0%, P = 0.926) compared with the no-CIK group. Subgroup analysis showed that the CIK group in patients with high retreat scores, elevated R3-α-fetoprotein scores, and those beyond the University of California San Francisco criteria had improved HCC recurrence-free survival. Immunological evaluation showed elevated CD8+ T cells and polymorphonuclear myeloid-derived suppressor cells with transient increases in granzyme B and tumor necrosis factor-α levels in the CIK group.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings advocate CIK therapy as a safe and effective, potential adjuvant treatment for HCC beyond Milan criteria after transplantation, supporting further validation trials.

New Scenarios in Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Despite liver transplantation (LT) is considered the optimal treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), particularly in patients with impaired liver function, the shortage of donors has forced the application of very restrictive criteria for selecting ideal candidates for whom LT can offer the best outcome. With the evolving LT landscape due to the advent of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) and the steady increase in donors, major efforts have been made to expand the transplant eligibility criteria for HCC. In addition, the emergence of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) for the treatment of HCC, with demonstrated efficacy in earlier stages, has revolutionized the therapeutic approach for these patients, and their integration in the setting of LT is challenging. Management of immunological compromise from ICIs, including the wash-out period before LT and post-LT immunosuppression adjustments, is crucial to balance the risk of graft rejection against HCC recurrence. Additionally, the effects of increased immunosuppression on non-hepatic complications must be understood to prevent them from becoming obstacles to long-term OS.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this review, we will evaluate the emerging evidence and its implications for the future of LT in HCC. Addressing these novel challenges and opportunities, while integrating the current clinical evidence with predictive algorithms, would ensure a fair balance between individual patient needs and the overall population benefit in the LT system.

Hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after liver transplant: An Australian single-centre study

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. Liver transplantation (LT) offers the most effective treatment. HCC recurrence is the strongest risk factor that decreases post-LT survival in patients transplanted for HCC. The rate of HCC recurrence is generally reported as 8%-20% in the literature. Many predictors of HCC have already been researched, however, to our knowledge there are no published studies on this topic using Australian data.

AIM

To determine the rate and identify predictors of HCC recurrence in a contemporary Western Australian LT cohort.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of all liver transplants in patients with HCC at Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital between 2006 and 2021. Data was collected from various health record databases and included recipient demographics, serum biochemistry, radiology, operation notes, explant histopathology and details of recurrence. Overall survival of HCC patients post-LT, stratified for recurrence, was calculated by Kaplan Meier analysis. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression was used to determine predictors of HCC recurrence post-LT.

RESULTS

Between 1/1/2006 and 12/31/2021, 119 patients were transplanted with HCC. 8.4% of subjects developed recurrent HCC after LT with median follow-up time of 5.4 years. The median time to recurrence was 2.9 years ± 0.75 years. When comparing baseline characteristics, a greater proportion of subjects with recurrence had common characteristics on explant histopathology, including > 3 viable nodules (P = 0.001), vascular invasion (P = 0.003) and poorly differentiated HCC (P = 0.03). Unadjusted survival curves showed lower 1-year, 3-year, 5-year and 10-year survival rates in subjects with HCC recurrence compared to those without HCC recurrence (90% vs 92%, 70% vs 88%, 42% vs 80%, 14% vs 76%, respectively; log rank P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

HCC recurrence was low at 8.4% in this contemporary Australian cohort, however it significantly impacted post-LT survival. Further studies are required to confirm predictors of recurrence and improve recipient outcomes.

A prospective multicenter validation of RETREAT for posttransplantation HCC recurrence prediction

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The RETREAT(Risk Estimation of Tumor REcurrence After Transplant) score is a simple risk stratification tool for postliver transplantation (LT) HCC recurrence that has been validated in retrospective cohort studies. A prospective, multicenter study is needed to further demonstrate accuracy especially given the evolving clinical demographics and HCC transplant practice. Our aim is to validate and compare the RETREAT score to other post-LT HCC recurrence risk scores in a contemporary, prospective cohort of patients.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We prospectively enrolled patients with HCC who underwent LT from 8 centers between 2018 and 2022. The primary outcome was post-LT recurrence-free survival. Secondary outcomes included post-LT and post-recurrence survival. Model performance, determined using the concordance index, Akaike information criterion, integrated Brier score, and calibration, was compared to that of other established risk scores.We included 1166 patients with HCC who underwent LT, of which 78 (6.7%) had post-LT HCC recurrence after a median follow-up time of 2.2 years (IQR 1.2-3.2). The median RETREAT score was 4 (IQR 3-5) in patients with post-LT HCC recurrence and 1 (IQR 1 - 2) in patients without. Those with a RETREAT score of 0, 3, and 5+ had a 99.4%, 84.1%, and 55.6% recurrence-free survival, respectively, at 3 years post-LT. The RETREAT score was also able to stratify post-LT overall and postrecurrence survival. The RETREAT score's concordance index was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.77-0.85) and outperformed the MORAL and RELAPSE scores across multiple metrics.

CONCLUSIONS

The RETREAT score retains high accuracy for predicting post-LT HCC recurrence, further supporting RETREAT-guided post-LT HCC surveillance and care.

Validation of the R3-AFP model for risk prediction of HCC recurrence after liver transplantation in the SiLVER randomized clinical trial

Explant-based models for assessing HCC recurrence after liver transplantation serve as the gold standard, guiding post-liver transplantation screening and immunosuppression adjustment. Incorporating alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels into these models, such as the novel R3-AFP score, has notably enhanced risk stratification. However, validation of these models in high-evidence data is mandatory. Therefore, the aim of the present research was to validate the R3-AFP score in a randomized clinical trial. We analyzed the intention-to-treat population from the 2-arm SiLVER trial (NCT00355862), comparing calcineurin-based ([calcineurin inhibitors]-Group A) versus mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitors-based (sirolimus-Group B) immunosuppression for post-liver transplantation HCC recurrence. Competing risk analysis estimated sub-hazard ratios, with testing of discriminant function and calibration. Overall, 508 patients from the intention-to-treat analysis were included (Group A, n = 256; Group B, n = 252). The R3-AFP score distribution was as follows: 42.6% low-risk (n = 216), 35.7% intermediate-risk (n = 181), 19.5% high-risk (n = 99), and 2.2% very-high-risk (n = 11) groups. The R3-AFP score effectively stratified HCC recurrence risk, with increasing risk for each stratum. Calibration of the R3-AFP model significantly outperformed other explant-based models (Milan, Up-to-7, and RETREAT), whereas discrimination power (0.75 [95% CI: 0.69; 0.81]) surpassed these models, except for the RETREAT model ( p = 0.49). Subgroup analysis showed lower discrimination power in the mammalian target of rapamycin group versus the calcineurin inhibitors group ( p = 0.048). In conclusion, the R3-AFP score accurately predicted HCC recurrence using high-quality evidence-based data, exhibiting reduced performance under mammalian target of rapamycin immunosuppression. This highlights the need for further research to evaluate surveillance schedules and adjuvant regimens.

[Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)]

Primary liver cancers are tumors that develop from different liver cells. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), which develops from hepatocytes, accounts for approximately 75-85% of primary liver cancers.HCC is the 6th leading cause of cancer worldwide and the 3rd leading cause of cancer-related death. Its incidence is low in northern Europe, but high in sub-Saharan Africa and the Far East, where both hepatotropic viruses and exposure to mycotoxins are. It complicates cirrhosis in over 90% of cases and is predominantly male.The prevalence of HCC is increasing due to improved diagnostic techniques and criteria, but also to the persistence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections in adults. A worldwide increase in the incidence of steatopathy makes it the leading cause of liver disease worldwide, associated with alcohol abuse and/or steatohepatitis associated with metabolic dysfunction (MASH), including type 2 diabetes.Chronic hepatotropic viral infections, cirrhosis and chemical carcinogens combine to produce an annual incidence of 2-5% of hepatocellular carcinoma arising from cirrhosis. This justifies biannual surveillance of known cirrhosis, without which late diagnosis limits therapeutic options.Major advances have been made in curative treatment (liver transplantation, surgery, radiodestruction) and palliative treatment (chemo- or radioembolization, sorafenib chemotherapy or immunotherapy), depending on how early HCC is diagnosed (size, number of hepatic or extrahepatic lesions) and the severity of underlying liver disease and associated comorbidities.

Predicting Microvascular Invasion in Liver Transplant Recipients for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Among primary liver tumors, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is considered the most common hepatic tumor. Liver transplantation is one of the curative treatment options for HCC. However, the risk of HCC recurrence after liver transplantation varies and is influenced by various factors. Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a major factor associated with HCC recurrence after a liver transplant (LT). The study assessed the pre-transplant factors to predict MVI on explant liver specimens.

METHODS

The retrospective study included adult LT recipients with HCC on explant specimens to identify pre-transplant predictors of MVI. Univariate analyses, including Mann-Whitney U tests and chi-square tests, were conducted to assess associations between variables and MVI. Logistic regression was employed for multivariate analysis, including variables significant in univariate analysis. Pearson or Spearman correlation coefficients were calculated to examine correlations between continuous variables. Cohen's kappa coefficient was used to measure inter-rater reliability.

RESULTS

Out of 523 LT recipients, 136 (26%) were diagnosed with HCC based on pre-transplant imaging and histopathological analysis of the explanted liver. Descriptive data showed an average age of 54.06 ± 8.16 years (range: 15-70), with a majority being male (76.47%). Hepatitis C (HCV) was the leading etiology (72.8%). Most patients had moderately differentiated grade-II tumors (75.7%) and met the Milan criteria (74.3%). Mean pre-operative alpha-fetoprotein (pre-op AFP) levels were 104.42 ± 308.38 ng/ml. 74.3% were within the Milan criteria. MVI was present in 28.7%. The frequency of MVI among HCCs within vs. outside Milan criteria was not statistically significant (26.73% vs. 34.28% (p = 0.395)). Univariate analysis revealed that pre-op AFP levels (p = 0.001), Child-Turcotte Pugh class (p=0.05), and body mass index (p=0.02) were significantly associated with MVI. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that pre-op AFP was the only independent predictor of MVI (OR: 1.006, 95% CI: 1.003-1.008, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

This study not only reinforces the clinical significance of pre-op AFP levels as a simple pre-transplant predictor of MVI in patients with HCC but also advocates for the safety of liver transplantation beyond conventional Milan criteria, promoting extended LT protocols.

Response to Bridging Therapy as a Prognostic Indicator of Post-Transplantation Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence and Survival: A Systematic Review

Liver transplantation (LT) is one of the most effective treatments for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in cirrhotic livers. Neoadjuvant bridging treatment in patients qualifying and listed for LT is advised but is still debatable owing to the low level of evidence. The aim of this study was to perform a systematic review to assess the prognostic value of bridging therapy, in terms of radiological and histopathological examination outcomes, for survival after LT. The systematic review was performed according to the PRISMA 2020 guidelines. The MEDLINE and Web of Science databases were searched. In total, five studies were included. An evaluation with the ROBINS-I resulted in studies classified as the following: moderate risk of bias (n = 1) and serious risk of bias (n = 4). The results of the analysis indicated that favorable LT outcomes were most common with complete response or partial radiological response. Poor radiological response or progressive disease during bridging treatment was generally associated with worse overall LT survival. There were not enough data to support the use of this approach to achieve a complete pathologic response. Radiological, pathological, histological, cellular, and molecular tumor features should be included in future LT qualification models.

Recurrence risk prediction models for hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation

Liver transplantation (LT) is an effective method for curing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However postoperative tumor recurrence can lead to higher mortality rates. To select suitable candidates for LT, the Milan Criteria (MC) were first proposed based on tumor morphological characteristics. For those patients who meet the MC, the MC can effectively reduce the postoperative tumor recurrence rate and improve the prognosis of patients undergoing LT. It has always been internationally recognized as the gold standard for selecting candidates for LT, marking a milestone in the history of LT for HCC. However, its strict conditions exclude some HCC patients who could benefit from LT. Therefore, comprehension consideration criteria, including serum biomarkers, tumor histology, and other factor, have been continuously proposed in addition to tumor morphology. This article summaries the prediction model for HCC recurrence after LT from five aspects: tumor morphology, serum markers, histopathology, cellular inflammatory factors and downstaging treatment before transplantation. The aim is to assist clinicians in accurately assessing HCC status, selecting appropriate liver transplant candidates, maximize graft and patients' survival, and optimizing the utilization of social health resources.

Liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma: a proposal for including preoperative serological indicators improves the Milan criteria expanded

Background

Liver transplantation (LT) is the most effective and radical treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Most LT criteria are based on the morphological characteristics of tumors, which are not enough to predict the risk of tumor recurrence. It is found that some serological biomarkers can predict tumor recurrence and may be a good indicator for selecting suitable HCC patients for LT. This article aims to evaluate the predictive effect of preoperative serological indicators on long-term overall survival (OS) and tumor recurrence-free survival (TFS) of patients with HCC after LT, and to explore its significance for expanding the Milan criteria.

Methods

Clinical data of 253 patients after LT in HCC were collected retrospectively. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to calculate the best cut-off value. χ2 test was used to analyze the correlation between preoperative serological indicators and tumor pathological features. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to analyze the risk factors affecting the OS and TFS rates and the predictive values of different LT criteria were compared. Nomogram model was used to predict the OS and TFS rates of patients exceeding Milan criteria.

Results

Independent risk factors for poor OS and TFS rates were alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) >200 ng/mL, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) >80 IU/L, total tumor diameter (TTD) >8 cm and microsatellite lesions. Nomogram model showed patients beyond Milan criteria had better survival when AFP ≤200 ng/mL and GGT ≤80 IU/L or AFP >200 ng/mL, GGT ≤80 IU/L and TTD ≤8 cm. According to Milan criteria, AFP, GGT and TTD, Milan-AFP-GGT-TTD (M-AGT) criteria was established. There was no significant difference in OS and TFS rates among patients in M-AGT, Milan, Hangzhou, Malaya and the University of California at San Francisco (UCSF) criteria.

Conclusions

Preoperative serological indicators AFP and GGT can effectively predict long-term OS and TFS in HCC patients after LT. Establishing M-AGT criteria based on serological indicators is helpful to supplement the Milan criteria.

Liver Transplantation for Hepatocarcinoma: Results over Two Decades of a Transplantation Programme and Analysis of Factors Associated with Recurrence

BACKGROUND

In recent years, many studies have attempted to develop models to predict the recurrence of hepatocarcinoma after liver transplantation.

METHOD

A single-centre, retrospective cohort study analysed patients receiving transplants due to hepatocarcinoma during the 20 years of the transplant programme. We analysed patient survival, hepatocarcinoma recurrence and the influence of the different factors described in the literature as related to hepatocarcinoma recurrence. We compared the results of previous items between the first and second decades of the transplantation programme (1995-2010 and 2010-2020).

RESULTS

Of 265 patients, the patient survival rate was 68% at 5 years, 58% at 10 years, 45% at 15 years and 34% at 20 years. The overall recurrence rate of hepatocarcinoma was 14.5%, without differences between periods. Of these, 54% of recurrences occurred early, in the first two years after transplantation. Of the parameters analysed, an alpha-fetoprotein level of >16 ng/mL, the type of immunosuppression used and the characteristics of the pathological anatomy of the explant were significant. A trend towards statistical significance was identified for the number of nodules and the size of the largest nodule. Logistic regression analysis was used to develop a model with a sensitivity of 85.7% and a specificity of 35.7% to predict recurrences in our cohort. Regarding the comparison between periods, the survival and recurrence rates of hepatocarcinoma were similar. The impact of the factors analysed in both decades was similar.

CONCLUSIONS

Most recurrences occur during the first two years post-transplantation, so closer follow-ups should be performed during this period, especially in those patients where the model predicts a high risk of recurrence. The detection of patients at higher risk of recurrence allows for closer follow-up and may, in the future, make them candidates for adjuvant or neoadjuvant systemic therapies to transplantation.

Alpha-fetoprotein: Past, present, and future

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is a glycoprotein that plays an important role in immune regulation with critical involvement in early human development and maintaining the immune balance during pregnancy. Postfetal development, the regulatory mechanisms controlling AFP undergo a shift and AFP gene transcription is suppressed. Instead, these enhancers refocus their activity to maintain albumin gene transcription throughout adulthood. During the postnatal period, AFP expression can increase in the setting of hepatocyte injury, regeneration, and malignant transformation. It is the first oncoprotein discovered and is routinely used as part of a screening strategy for HCC. AFP has been shown to be a powerful prognostic biomarker, and multiple HCC prognosis models confirmed the independent prognostic utility of AFP. AFP is also a useful predictive biomarker for monitoring the treatment response of HCC. In addition to its role as a biomarker, AFP plays important roles in immune modulation to promote tumorigenesis and thus has been investigated as a therapeutic target in HCC. In this review article, we aim to provide an overview of AFP, encompassing the discovery, biological role, and utility as an HCC biomarker in combination with other biomarkers and how it impacts clinical practice and future direction.

Impact of Pre-Liver Transplant Treatments on the Imaging Accuracy of HCC Staging and Their Influence on Outcomes

The outcome of liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocarcinoma (HCC) is strongly influenced by HCC staging, which is based on radiological examinations in a pre-LT setting; concordance between pre-LT radiological and definitive pathological staging remains controversial. To address this issue, we retrospectively analyzed our LT series to assess concordance between radiology and pathology and to explore the factors associated with poor concordance and outcomes. We included all LTs with an HCC diagnosis performed between 2013 and 2018. Concordance (Co group) was defined as a comparable tumor burden in preoperative imaging and post-transplant pathology; otherwise, non-concordance was diagnosed (nCo group). Concordance between radiology and pathology was observed in 32/134 patients (Co group, 24%). The number and diameter of the nodules were higher when nCo was diagnosed, as was the number of pre-LT treatments. Although concordance did not affect survival, more than three pre-LT treatments led to a lower disease-free survival. Patients who met the Milan Criteria (Milan-in patients) were more likely to receive ≥three prior treatments, leading to a lower survival in multi-treated Milan-in patients than in other Milan-in patients. In conclusion, the concordance rate between the pre-LT imaging and histopathological results was low in patients with a high number of nodules. Multiple bridging therapies reduce the accuracy of pre-LT imaging in predicting HCC stages and negatively affect outcomes after LT.

Insights into the history and tendency of liver transplantation for liver cancer: a bibliometric-based visual analysis

Research on liver transplantation (LT) for liver cancer has gained increasing attention. This paper has comprehensively described the current status, hotspots and trends in this field. A total of 2991 relevant articles from 1 January 1963 to 28 February 2023 were obtained from the Web of Science Core Collection. VOSviewer and CiteSpace software were utilized as bibliometric tools to analyze and visualize knowledge mapping. Between 1963 and 2023, the number of papers in the area of LT for liver cancer increased continuously. A total of 70 countries/regions, 2303 institutions and 14 840 researchers have published research articles, with the United States and China being the two most productive countries. Our bibliometric-based visual analysis revealed the expansion of LT indications for liver cancer and the prevention/treatment of cancer recurrence as ongoing research hotspots over the past decades. Meanwhile, emerging studies also focus on downstaging/bridging treatments before LT and the long-term survival of LT recipient, in particular the precise application of immunosuppressants.

Imaging-Derived Biomarkers Integrated with Clinical and Laboratory Values Predict Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Liver Transplantation

Purpose

To investigate the prognostic value of computed tomography (CT) derived imaging biomarkers in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence after liver transplantation (LT) and develop a predictive nomogram model.

Patients and Methods

This retrospective study included 178 patients with histopathologically confirmed HCC who underwent liver transplantation between 2007 and 2021 at the two academic liver centers. We evaluated dedicated imaging features from baseline multiphase contrast-enhanced CT supplemented by several clinical findings and laboratory parameters. Time-to-recurrence was estimated by Kaplan-Meier analysis. Univariable Cox proportional hazard regression and multivariable Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression were used to assess independent prognostic factors for recurrence. A nomogram model was then built based on the independent factors selected through LASSO regression, to predict the probabilities of HCC recurrence at one, three, and five years.

Results

The rate of HCC recurrence after LT was 17.4% (31 of 178). The LASSO analysis revealed six independent predictors associated with an elevated risk of tumor recurrence. These predictors included the presence of peritumoral enhancement, the presence of over three tumor lesions, the largest tumor diameter greater than 3 cm, serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels exceeding 400 ng/mL, and the presence of a tumor capsule. Conversely, a history of bridging therapies was found to be correlated with a reduced risk of HCC recurrence. In addition, Kaplan-Meier curves showed patients with irregular margin, satellite nodules, or small lesions displayed shorter time-to-recurrence. Our nomogram demonstrated good performance, yielding a C-index of 0.835 and AUC values of 0.86, 0.88, and 0.85 for the predictions of 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year TTR, respectively.

Conclusion

Imaging parameters derived from baseline contrast-enhanced CT showing malignant behavior and aggressive growth patterns, along with serum AFP and history of bridging therapies, show potential as biomarkers for predicting HCC recurrence after transplantation.

Therapeutic Approach to Post-Transplant Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Certainties and Open Issues

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a growing indication for liver transplantation (LT). Careful candidate selection is a prerequisite to keep post-LT recurrence rates within acceptable percentages. In the pre-LT period, various types of locoregional treatments and/or systemic therapies can be used for bridging or downstaging purposes. In this context, one of the factors limiting the possibility of treatment is the degree of functional liver impairment. In the LT subject, no widely accepted indications are available to guide treatment of disease recurrence and heterogeneity exists between transplant centers. Improved liver function post LT makes multiple therapeutic strategies theoretically feasible, but patient management is complicated by the need to adjust immunosuppressive therapy and to assess potential toxicities and drug-drug interactions. Finally, there is controversy and uncertainty about the use of recently introduced immunotherapeutic drugs, mainly due to the risk of organ rejection. In this paper, we will review the most recent available literature on the management of post-transplant HCC recurrence, discussing evidence and controversies.

Current status and prospect of treatments for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma

Owing to its heterogeneous and highly aggressive nature, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has a high recurrence rate, which is a non-negligible problem despite the increasing number of available treatment options. Recent clinical trials have attempted to reduce the recurrence and develop innovative treatment options for patients with recurrent HCC. In the event of liver remnant recurrence, the currently available treatment options include repeat hepatectomy, salvage liver transplantation, tumor ablation, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, stereotactic body radiotherapy, systemic therapies, and combination therapy. In this review, we summarize the strategies to reduce the recurrence of high-risk tumors and aggressive therapies for recurrent HCC. Additionally, we discuss methods to prevent HCC recurrence and prognostic models constructed based on predictors of recurrence to develop an appropriate surveillance program.

Different Models to Predict the Risk of Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the Setting of Liver Transplantation

Simple Summary

Liver transplantation is considered the first-choice curative therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma in the early phase of the disease, when surgical resection is not possible. Even when implementing restrictive criteria to select patients for liver transplantation, there is a risk of recurrence in the transplanted liver, influencing the long-term outcome and prognosis. As it is challenging to predict the individual risk of recurrence, there is a need for validated and predictive scoring systems to use to stratify patients before and/or after liver transplantation. Most of the proposed scorings include biological markers for tumour behavior, in addition to the number and size of tumoral nodules. In this review, we discuss different published models to assess the risk of recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma after transplantation. Our aim is to refine clinical decisions about prioritization and listing for liver transplantation, to better inform patients and provide an appropriate surveillance strategy to influence their prognosis.

Abstract

Liver transplantation is the preferred therapeutic option for non-resectable hepatocellular carcinoma in early-stage disease. Taking into account the limited number of donor organs, liver transplantation is restricted to candidates with long-term outcomes comparable to benign indications on the waiting list. Introducing the morphometric Milan criteria as the gold standard for transplant eligibility reduced the recurrence rate. Even with strict patient selection, there is a risk of recurrence of between 8 and 20% in the transplanted liver, and this is of even greater importance when using more expanded criteria and downstaging protocols. Currently, it remains challenging to predict the risk of recurrence and the related prognosis for individual patients. In this review, the recurrence-risk-assessment scores proposed in the literature are discussed. Currently there is no consensus on the optimal model or the implications of risk stratification in clinical practice. The most recent scorings include additional biological markers for tumour behavior, such as alfa-foetoprotein, and the response to locoregional therapies, in addition to the number and diameter of tumoral nodules. The refinement of the prediction of recurrence is important to better inform patients, guide decisions about prioritization and listing and implement individualized surveillance strategies. In the future, this might also provide indications for tailored immunosuppressive therapy or inclusion in trials for adjuvant treatment.