Cost-effectiveness of using a molecular diagnostic test to improve preoperative diagnosis of thyroid cancer

The Unappreciated Value of a Cheap, 'Good Enough' Method of Detecting Thyroid Cancer

The advent of advanced molecular diagnostic techniques has revealed plenty of information about signaling pathways and gene regulation in cancer, as well as new inputs for the classification of cancer subtypes, diagnosis, prognosis, and prediction of response to therapy. However, in most cases we do not have single biomarkers yet and, therefore, the final diagnosis is often rendered by the combination of multiple results by means of complex algorithms, eventually leading to an increase in their costs. The problem of the costs of such tests is particularly relevant in the case of thyroid cancer (TC), because of the observed increase in the number of patients affected by thyroid nodules (TN)s, in what is considered a global pandemic. High-income countries can afford the cost of the advanced molecular tests for such a multitude of TNs, since they are covered by private insurances. People living in upper-middle, lower-middle, and especially in low-income countries, where the costs for these advanced molecular tests are supported by general taxation and out-of-pocket payments, are exposed as a personal financial burden. Immunohistochemistry in cancer management represents an extremely cost-effective method in different clinical scenarios. In the preoperative recognition of TC, the use of such method, based on Galectin-3 and others protein markers, such as HMBE1, proved to be effective in diagnosing TC in TNs indeterminate at conventional cytology (Bethesda classification III or IV), with an extremely low cost. Moreover, Galectin-3 fulfills one of the major criteria of an ideal marker, being involved in the thyroid cell transformation. Despite this evidence, Galectin-3 ThyroTest is not considered and not even mentioned in many reviews, focused on the appropriate identification of TC, as well as in studies where the cost-effectiveness of the different approaches is comparatively evaluated. The aim of this review is to emphasize the value of the Galectin-3 based immunohistochemistry as a cheap and "good enough" method in the preoperative diagnosis of TC especially in, but not limited to, low-middle income countries.

A Scoping Review of Patient Health-Related Quality of Life Following Surgery or Molecular Testing for Individuals with Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules

BACKGROUND

Molecular testing can reduce the need for diagnostic thyroidectomy in cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules. However, the health-related quality of life in patients managed with molecular testing is not well studied.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this scoping review was to identify and analyze the health-related quality of life outcomes in patients with indeterminate thyroid nodules who are expected to undergo or have undergone surgery or molecular testing.

METHODS

A comprehensive search was conducted on PubMed, Scopus, PsychINFO, and Embase to identify relevant studies. The search terms included "thyroid neoplasms" or "thyroid nodule" and "molecular testing" or "surgery" and "quality of life". The included articles were analyzed for their main study objective, study design, participant characteristics, and main results.

RESULTS

Eight studies were included in this scoping review. Four evaluated the quality-adjusted life years for patients with indeterminate thyroid nodules. Three of these studies found that molecular testing slightly improved quality-adjusted life years compared to surgery, while one study found no difference. Two studies assessed surgical health-related quality of life outcomes and reported that patients with indeterminate thyroid nodules who were expected to undergo surgery favored surgical procedures, while those who underwent surgery experienced impaired health-related quality of life. Two studies evaluated molecular testing in patients with indeterminate thyroid nodules and found that the final molecular test result significantly impacted health-related quality of life outcomes. Patients with suspicious/positive molecular test results had worse symptoms of goiter, anxiety, and depression, while those with benign results had preserved health-related quality of life scores. Patients with benign results from molecular testing experience better health-related quality of life within the first year compared to those with benign surgical outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

This scoping review highlights the importance of considering health-related quality of life outcomes in the management of patients with indeterminate thyroid nodules. Benign molecular testing results yield better quality of life than benign surgical outcomes within the first year, suggesting molecular testing as a preferable option. Further research comparing the impact of surgery and molecular testing on health-related quality of life is needed to improve shared decision-making and patient outcomes.

Cost-Effectiveness of the ACR TIRADS Compared to the ATA 2015 Risk Stratification Systems in the Evaluation of Incidental Thyroid Nodules

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

Thyroid nodules are a common incidental imaging finding and prone to overdiagnosis. Several risk stratification systems have been developed to reduce unnecessary work-up, with two of the most utilized including the American Thyroid Association 2015 (ATA2015) and the newer American College of Radiology Thyroid Imaging, Reporting and Data System (TIRADS) guidelines. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the ATA2015 versus the TIRADS guidelines in the management of incidental thyroid nodules.

METHODS

A cost-utility analysis was conducted using decision tree modeling, evaluating adult patients with incidental thyroid nodules < 4 cm. Model inputs were populated using published literature, observational data, and expert opinion. Single-payer perspective, Canadian dollar currency, five-year time horizon, willingness to pay (WTP) threshold of $50,000, and discount rate of 1.5% per annum were utilized. Scenario, deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) expressed as incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained.

RESULTS

For the base case scenario, TIRADS dominated the ATA2015 strategy by a slim margin, producing 0.005 more QALYs at $25 less cost. Results were sensitive to the malignancy rate of biopsy and the utilities of a patient with a benign nodule/subclinical malignancy or under surveillance. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that TIRADS was the more cost-effective option 79.7% of the time.

CONCLUSION

The TIRADS guidelines may be the more cost-effective strategy by a small margin compared to ATA2015 in most scenarios when used to risk stratify incidental thyroid nodules.

Cost analyses for malaria molecular diagnosis for research planners in India and beyond

BACKGROUND

Malaria elimination mandates early and accurate diagnosis of infection. Although malaria diagnosis is programmatically dependent on microscopy/RDTs, molecular diagnosis has much better diagnostic accuracy. Higher cost of molecular diagnoses is a recognized challenge for use at the point of care. Because funding is always a recognized constraint, we performed financial cost-analyses of available molecular platforms for better utilization of available budget.

METHODS

Two strategies were applied to deduce the cost per sample. Strategy 1 included recurring components (RC) in minimum pack size, and biologist's time whereas strategy 2 included only RC and non-recurring components and costs are calculated for sample sizes (1-1,000,000) to infer the sample size effect.

RESULTS

Spin column-based manual DNA extraction (US$ 3.93 per sample) is the lowest-cost method, followed by magnetic bead-based automated, semi-automated, and PCI-based manual method. Further, DNA extraction cost per sample via spin column-based manual method and semi-automated method decreases with an increase in sample size up to 10,000. Real-time PCRs are ~ 2-fold more economical than conventional PCR, regardless of sample size.

CONCLUSIONS

This study is the first for malaria to estimate systematic molecular diagnosis financial costs. Kit-based and automated methods may replace conventional DNA extraction and amplification methods for a frugal high-throughput diagnosis.

Diagnostic Performance of Afirma and Interpace Diagnostics Genetic Testing in Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules: A Single Center Study

Indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITN) represent 20–30% of biopsied nodules, with a 10–60% risk of malignancy. Molecular testing can stratify the risk of malignancy among ITNs, and subsequently reduce the need for unnecessary diagnostic surgery. We aimed to assess the performance of these molecular tests at a single institution. Patients with Bethesda III, IV, and V nodules with Afirma and Interpace Diagnostics genetic testing data from November 2013 to November 2021 were included. Three cohorts were formed, including GSC + XA, ThyGeNEXT + ThyraMIR, and GSC + GEC. Statistical analysis determined the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and accuracy of each type of testing. The PPV of nodules undergoing genetic testing by ThyGeNEXT + ThyraMIR (45.00%, 95%CI: 28.28–62.93%, p = 0.032) and GSC + XA (57.14%, 95%CI: 29.32–81.08%, p < 0.001) were superior to that of GEC + GSC (30.72%, 95%CI: 26.83–34.90%). The NPV was above 85% in all cohorts, suggesting overall suitable rule-out tests. The Afirma platform (GSC + XA) had the highest NPV at 96.97%. The overall accuracy for nodules undergoing ThyGeNEXT + ThyraMIR was 81.42% (95%CI: 73.01–88.11%, p < 0.001). A total of 230 patients underwent thyroidectomy, including less than 60% of each of the ThyGeNEXT + ThyraMIR and GSC + XA cohorts. Specifically, only 25% of patients in the GSC + XA cohort underwent surgery, considerably decreasing the rate of unnecessary surgical intervention. Sub-group analysis, including only patients with surgical pathology, found that PPV tended to be higher in the GSC + XA cohort, at 66.67% (95%CI: 37.28–87.06%), as compared to the ThyGeNEXT + ThyraMIR cohort, at 52.94% (95%CI: 35.25–69.92%). The Afirma genetic testing platform GSC + XA outperformed the other platforms with regards to both PPV and NPV and decreased the rate of surgery in patients with ITNs by 75%, significantly preventing unnecessary surgical intervention.

Is There a Role for Molecular Testing for Low-Risk Differentiated Thyroid Cancer? A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

Molecular testing for thyroid nodules has been rapidly developed in recent years, aiming to predict the presence of malignancy and aggressive features. While commonly utilized to predict malignancy, its role in guiding the management approach is still developing. The high cost of genetic tests and long-term sequences of thyroid cancer is limiting to real-life studies. Objective: To evaluate the cost effectiveness of molecular testing for low-risk differentiated thyroid cancer (lrDTC). Methods: We developed a Markovian decision tree model of a simulated lrDTC cohort, comparing two management strategies: (I) Conducting genetic tests (GT)-patients are stratified into three risk groups for distant metastasis by the identified molecular markers: low-, intermediate- and high-risk molecular profile; followed by management accordingly: patients with low-risk will undergo hemithyroidectomy (HT), patients with intermediate-risk will undergo total thyroidectomy (TT), and high-risk patients will undergo TT with central neck dissection; (II) Without genetic tests (wGT)-all patients will undergo HT according to the ATA recommendations for lrDTC. Outcomes were measured as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs of each strategy. Results: GT was found as cost effective, leading to a gain of 1.7 QALYs with an additional cost of $327 per patient compared to wGT strategy. This yielded an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $190 per QALY. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated robust results across the variables' ranges. The most impactful variable was the benefit from performing TT rather than HT for intermediate to high-risk patients. Conclusions: Our model found that molecular testing for lrDTC is cost-effective, allowing tailored management according to the patient's personal risk level reflected in the genetic profile, hence improving outcomes.

DIAGNOSIS OF ENDOCRINE DISEASE: Usefulness of genetic testing of fine-needle aspirations for diagnosis of thyroid cancer

OBJECTIVE

Genetic testing is increasingly used to diagnose or rule out thyroid cancer in indeterminate fine-needle aspirations. This review evaluates the usefulness of these methods with considerations of advantages and limitations.

DESIGN

Given the diagnostic problem associated with the increasing incidental detection of indeterminate thyroid nodules in the context of thyroid cancer overtreatment, we consider the conditions and respective necessary settings for the role of genetic testing to improve presurgical malignancy risk stratification.

METHODS

We review diagnostic pathway requirements and commercially available molecular tests with their respective advantages and disadvantages and discuss the prerequisites required for local application and implementation including quality assurance for local ultrasound and cytopathology practices.

RESULTS

Recent improvements in available molecular diagnostic tests have brought high sensitivity and specificity in initial validation studies, but whether these promising results translate to other clinical settings depends on the quality of the local thyroid nodule diagnostic pathway.

CONCLUSIONS

Genetic testing can meaningfully improve presurgical malignancy risk assessment, but more work is needed to implement and use genetic testing effectively in local settings.

Machine Learning-Assisted Diagnostic System for Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules

To develop an ultrasound-based machine learning classifier to diagnose benignity within indeterminate thyroid nodules (ITNs) by fine-needle aspiration, 180 patients with 194 ITNs (Bethesda classes III, IV and V) undergoing surgery over a 5-y study period were analyzed. The data set was randomly divided into training and testing data sets with 155 and 39 ITNs, respectively. All nodules were evaluated by ultrasound using the American College of Radiology Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System by manually scoring composition, echogenicity, shape, margin and echogenic foci. Nodule size, participant age and patient sex were recorded. A support vector machine (SVM) model with a cost-sensitive approach was developed using the aforementioned eight parameters with surgical histopathology as the reference standard. Surgical pathology determined 90 (46.4%) ITNs were malignant and 104 (53.6%) were benign. The SVM model classified 14 nodules as benign in the testing data set, of which 13 were correct (sensitivity = 93.8%, specificity = 56.5%). Considering malignancy prevalence by Bethesda group, the negative predictive values of this model for Bethesda III and IV categories were 93.9% and 93. 8%, respectively. The high negative predictive value of the SVM ultrasound-based model suggests a pathway by which surgical excision of Bethesda III and IV ITNs classified as benign may be avoided.

ThyroSeq v2 Testing: Impact on Cytologic Diagnosis, Management, and Cost of Care in Patients with Thyroid Nodule

Background: Novel molecular tests (MTs), such as ThyroSeq, may improve the management of thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytologic diagnoses; however, the impact of these tests on cost and outcome of management is unknown. Here, we evaluated the impact of ThyroSeq testing on the cytopathologic diagnosis, management, and cost of care in patients with thyroid nodules. Methods: In a retrospective study, using actual patient cohorts, the outcome and cost of management of patients with thyroid nodules seen before the introduction of ThyroSeq v2 at our institution (standard of care [StC] cohort) were compared with those seen after the introduction of this test (MT cohort). Results: A total of 773 consecutive patients entered the study (393 StC, 380 MT). The incidence of cytologically benign nodules decreased from 71.0% (StC) to 53.2% (MT) and those of atypia of undetermined significance/follicular lesion of undetermined significance (AUS/FLUS) and follicular neoplasm/suspicious for follicular neoplasm (FN/SFN) increased from 8.9% (StC) to 21.3% (MT) and from 3.1% (StC) to 6.3% (MT), respectively. The overall rate of surgery did not change significantly (23.4% in StC vs. 23.2% in MT). Among patients who underwent surgery, the rate of overtreatment (surgeries performed on histologic benign nodules without clinical indication: compressive symptoms, hyperthyroidism resistant to medication, and nodule size >4 cm) slightly decreased from 18.8% (StC) to 16.7% (MT). The rate of malignancy decreased from 45.5% (StC) to 37.9% (MT) in AUS/FLUS and increased from 40.0% to 53.8% in FN/SFN. However, the overall rate of malignancy remained equal (47.8% in StC vs. 47.7% in MT). The average cost of care per patient in the AUS/FLUS and FN/SFN categories increased from $6,566 (StC) to $8,444 (MT) and from $9,313 (StC) to $10,253 (MT), respectively. Similarly, the overall average cost of care of a patient who underwent thyroid fine-needle aspiration increased from $3,088 (StC) to $4,282 (MT). Finally, the average cost per thyroid cancer detected increased from $26,312 (StC) to $38,746 (MT). Conclusions: Introduction of ThyroSeq v2 resulted in a shift toward indeterminate cytology results. The institutional rate of surgery, overtreatment, and malignancy did not change significantly. Lack of decrease in the rate of surgery along with the additional cost of ThyroSeq v2 increased the overall cost of care of patients including those with indeterminate cytology results.

Thyroid Nodule Molecular Testing: Is It Ready for Prime Time?

Cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules remain a diagnostic and clinical challenge, and molecular testing has been advocated and advanced as a diagnostic modality to help guide treatment. While studies have expounded on the improved diagnostic certainty with these tests, data demonstrating meaningful clinical impact and supporting their routine use is still limited at best. In this review, we discuss the limitations regarding diagnostic accuracy, impact on surgical decision-making and outcomes, and cost-effectiveness of molecular testing. By highlighting the limitations of these tests, we aim to promote more thoughtful utilization of these tools in the management of thyroid nodules going forward.

Simple Inclusion of Complex Diagnostic Algorithms in Infectious Disease Models for Economic Evaluation

INTRODUCTION

Cost-effectiveness models for infectious disease interventions often require transmission models that capture the indirect benefits from averted subsequent infections. Compartmental models based on ordinary differential equations are commonly used in this context. Decision trees are frequently used in cost-effectiveness modeling and are well suited to describing diagnostic algorithms. However, complex decision trees are laborious to specify as compartmental models and cumbersome to adapt, limiting the detail of algorithms typically included in transmission models.

METHODS

We consider an approximation replacing a decision tree with a single holding state for systems where the time scale of the diagnostic algorithm is shorter than time scales associated with disease progression or transmission. We describe recursive algorithms for calculating the outcomes and mean costs and delays associated with decision trees, as well as design strategies for computational implementation. We assess the performance of the approximation in a simple model of transmission/diagnosis and its role in simplifying a model of tuberculosis diagnostics.

RESULTS

When diagnostic delays were short relative to recovery rates, our approximation provided a good account of infection dynamics and the cumulative costs of diagnosis and treatment. Proportional errors were below 5% so long as the longest delay in our 2-step algorithm was under 20% of the recovery time scale. Specifying new diagnostic algorithms in our tuberculosis model was reduced from several tens to just a few lines of code.

DISCUSSION

For conditions characterized by a diagnostic process that is neither instantaneous nor protracted (relative to transmission dynamics), this novel approach retains the advantages of decision trees while embedding them in more complex models of disease transmission. Concise specification and code reuse increase transparency and reduce potential for error.

Expression of Gp78/Autocrine Motility Factor Receptor and Endocytosis of Autocrine Motility Factor in Human Thyroid Cancer Cells

Gp78/autocrine motility factor receptor (Gp78/AMFR) is a cancer-associated endoplasmic reticulum-localized E3 ubiquitin ligase and also the cell surface receptor for autocrine motility factor (AMF). The study objective was to determine the association between Gp78/AMFR and AMF endocytosis in thyroid cancer cells. Gp78/AMFR expression and AMF internalization were measured in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) and anaplastic thyroid cancer (ATC) cell lines and in freshly resected human papillary thyroid cancers (PTC) relative to benign thyroid tissue. Spheroid-like aggregates generated from explants of cancer, goiter, and collateral thyroid tissue were assessed for expression of cancer stem cell markers, surface Gp78/AMFR and AMF endocytosis. DTC cell lines showed elevated total and surface Gp78/AMFR and AMF internalization relative to ATC lines. Gp78/AMFR, Oct-4 and Sox-2 protein expression, Gp78/AMFR surface expression and AMF internalization were elevated in PTC-derived aggregates relative to fibroblasts. Elevated levels of Gp78/AMFR expression and AMF internalization in PTC were associated with expression of cancer stem cell markers. Gp78/AMFR expression and AMF uptake are more closely associated with DTC compared to benign thyroid lesions or ATC and with PTC-derived cancer stem-like cells.

Early cost-effectiveness modeling for better decisions in public research investment of personalized medicine technologies

Millions of dollars are spent on the development of new personalized medicine technologies. While these research costs are often supported by public research funds, many diagnostic tests and biomarkers are not adopted by the healthcare system due to lack of evidence on their cost-effectiveness. We describe a stepwise approach to conducting cost-effectiveness analyses that are performed early in the technology's development process and can help mitigate the potential risks of investment. Decision analytic modeling can identify the key drivers of cost effectiveness and provide minimum criteria that the technology needs to meet for adoption by public and private healthcare systems. A value of information analysis can quantify the added value of conducting more research to provide further evidence for policy decisions. These steps will allow public research funders to make better decisions on their investments to maximize the health benefits and to minimize the number of suboptimal technologies.

A 10-Gene Classifier for Indeterminate Thyroid Nodules: Development and Multicenter Accuracy Study

BACKGROUND

In most of the world, diagnostic surgery remains the most frequent approach for indeterminate thyroid cytology. Although several molecular tests are available for testing in centralized commercial laboratories in the United States, there are no available kits for local laboratory testing. The aim of this study was to develop a prototype in vitro diagnostic (IVD) gene classifier for the further characterization of nodules with an indeterminate thyroid cytology.

METHODS

In a first stage, the expression of 18 genes was determined by quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) in a broad histopathological spectrum of 114 fresh-tissue biopsies. Expression data were used to train several classifiers by supervised machine learning approaches. Classifiers were tested in an independent set of 139 samples. In a second stage, the best classifier was chosen as a model to develop a multiplexed-qPCR IVD prototype assay, which was tested in a prospective multicenter cohort of fine-needle aspiration biopsies.

RESULTS

In tissue biopsies, the best classifier, using only 10 genes, reached an optimal and consistent performance in the ninefold cross-validated testing set (sensitivity 93% and specificity 81%). In the multicenter cohort of fine-needle aspiration biopsy samples, the 10-gene signature, built into a multiplexed-qPCR IVD prototype, showed an area under the curve of 0.97, a positive predictive value of 78%, and a negative predictive value of 98%. By Bayes' theorem, the IVD prototype is expected to achieve a positive predictive value of 64-82% and a negative predictive value of 97-99% in patients with a cancer prevalence range of 20-40%.

CONCLUSIONS

A new multiplexed-qPCR IVD prototype is reported that accurately classifies thyroid nodules and may provide a future solution suitable for local reference laboratory testing.

Molecular profiling of thyroid nodule fine-needle aspiration cytology

The differential diagnosis and malignancy risk stratification of thyroid nodules requires multidisciplinary expertise and knowledge of both local ultrasonography practices and the local malignancy rates for a given fine-needle aspiration (FNA) result. Even in such a multidisciplinary setting, FNA cytology has the inherent limitation that indeterminate cytology results cannot distinguish between follicular adenomas, follicular thyroid carcinomas or follicular variant papillary thyroid carcinomas. Accumulating evidence suggests that this limitation can be overcome by using molecular diagnostic approaches. In this Review, we present the advantages and disadvantages of the different molecular diagnostic methodologies, which can be divided into two approaches: those that 'rule out' malignancy (to reduce the overtreatment of benign nodules) and those that 'rule in' malignancy (to optimize surgical planning). We identify microRNA classifiers as potential additional markers for use in a two-step diagnostic approach, consider the potential implications of the reclassification of noninvasive encapsulated follicular variant papillary thyroid carcinomas to noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasms with papillary-like nuclear features and discuss the cost-effectiveness of molecular testing. Molecular FNA diagnostics is an important complementary addition to FNA cytology that could substantially reduce unnecessary surgery and better define the need for appropriate surgery in patients who have thyroid nodules with indeterminate FNA cytology.

Cost-Effectiveness of Diagnostic Lobectomy Versus Observation for Thyroid Nodules >4 cm

BACKGROUND

The management of thyroid nodules >4 cm with benign cytology after fine-needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB) is controversial. FNAB is associated with a high false-negative rate in this setting, and may result in a delayed diagnosis and management of thyroid cancer. However, the majority of these nodules are benign. Therefore, the objective of this study was to determine the cost-utility of observation versus surgical management for thyroid nodules >4 cm with benign cytology after FNAB.

METHODS

A microsimulation model comparing routine thyroid lobectomy with observation for low-risk patients with >4 cm thyroid nodules with benign FNAB cytology was constructed. Costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and life-years gained were calculated over a lifetime time horizon from a U.S. Medicare perspective.

RESULTS

The proportion of patients undergoing thyroid lobectomy for benign final pathology was 40% in the observation strategy versus 66% in the surgical strategy (p < 0.001). Overall, the surgical strategy was associated with higher lifetime costs compared with the observation strategy (incremental difference: + US$12,992 [confidence interval (CI) 13,042-13,524]), but also more QALYs (+0.12 QALYs [CI 0.02-0.24]) and longer life expectancy (+1.67 years [CI 1.00-2.41]). Incremental lifetime costs were lower for patients <55 years compared with those ≥55 years (+11,181 vs. +14,811, p < 0.001). The probability of cost-effectiveness of the surgical strategy was 49% at a $100k/QALY threshold or 65% at a $100k/life-year gained threshold.

CONCLUSIONS

Routine thyroid lobectomy is associated with improved outcomes at an acceptable cost compared with observation for thyroid nodules >4 cm with benign cytology after FNAB. Surgical resection may be a cost-effective strategy to rule out malignancy in these nodules.

Costs of genetic testing: Supporting Brazilian Public Policies for the incorporating of molecular diagnostic technologies

This study identifies and describes the operating costs associated with the molecular diagnosis of diseases, such as hereditary cancer. To approximate the costs associated with these tests, data informed by Standard Operating Procedures for various techniques was collected from hospital software and a survey of market prices. Costs were established for four scenarios of capacity utilization to represent the possibility of suboptimal use in research laboratories. Cost description was based on a single site. The results show that only one technique was not impacted by rising costs due to underutilized capacity. Several common techniques were considerably more expensive at 30% capacity, including polymerase chain reaction (180%), microsatellite instability analysis (181%), gene rearrangement analysis by multiplex ligation probe amplification (412%), non-labeled sequencing (173%), and quantitation of nucleic acids (169%). These findings should be relevant for the definition of public policies and suggest that investment of public funds in the establishment of centralized diagnostic research centers would reduce costs to the Public Health System.

Cost-effectiveness of molecular testing for thyroid nodules with atypia of undetermined significance cytology

CONTEXT

Novel molecular diagnostics, such as the gene expression classifier (GEC) and gene mutation panel (GMP) testing, may improve the management for thyroid nodules with atypia of undetermined significance (AUS) cytology. The cost-effectiveness of an approach combining both tests in different practice settings in North America is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to determine the cost-effectiveness of two diagnostic molecular tests, singly or in combination, for AUS thyroid nodules.

DESIGN AND SETTING

We constructed a microsimulation model to investigate cost-effectiveness from US (Medicare) and Canadian healthcare system perspectives.

PATIENTS

Low-risk patients with AUS thyroid nodules were simulated.

INTERVENTIONS

We examined five management strategies: 1) routine GEC; 2) routine GEC + selective GMP; 3) routine GMP; 4) routine GMP + selective GEC; and 5) standard management.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life-years were measured.

RESULTS

From the US perspective, the routine GEC + selective GMP strategy was the dominant strategy. From the Canadian perspective, routine GEC + selective GMP cost and additional CAN$24 030 per quality-adjusted life-year gained over standard management, and was dominant over the other strategies. Sensitivity analyses reported that the decisions from both perspectives were sensitive to variations in the probability of malignancy in the nodule and the costs of the GEC and GMP. The probability of cost-effectiveness for routine GEC + selective GMP was low.

CONCLUSIONS

In the US setting, the most cost-effective strategy was routine GEC + selective GMP. In the Canadian setting, standard management was most likely to be cost effective. The cost of these molecular diagnostics will need to be reduced to increase their cost-effectiveness for practice settings outside the United States.

Ruling in or ruling out thyroid malignancy by molecular diagnostics of thyroid nodules

Routine morphologic cytology is the basis for any kind of (integrated) molecular FNA diagnostics. The rule out (gene expression classifier) approach requires confirmation by independent studies, whereas the rule in approach (detection of BRAF, NRAS, HRAS, and KRAS and PAX8/PPARG- and RET/PTC rearrangements) has been investigated by several groups with overall reproducible results. Moreover, molecular screening for point mutations and rearrangements is feasible in routine air-dried FNA smears, offering several advantages over obtaining additional fresh FNA material. The current panel of somatic mutations (rule in approach) for indeterminate FNAs clarifies only a subgroup of indeterminate FNAs. Therefore, further markers are urgently needed that can reliably identify the malignant, but mutation negative and especially the many benign nodules, among the indeterminate FNAs. miRNA markers and the targeted next generation sequencing (NGS) technology do have the potential to identify those nodules that are mutation negative by current approaches.

Differential expression of transforming growth factor-beta in benign vs. papillary thyroid cancer nodules; a potential diagnostic tool?

Background

Thyroid nodules are common, but only 5% of nodules are found to be malignant. In North America, the incidence of thyroid cancer is increasing. Fine needle aspirate (FNA) biopsy is the diagnostic test of choice. Unfortunately, up to 20% of FNAs are non-diagnostic. A specific molecular marker for thyroid cancer is desirable. Evidence suggests that cell signaling through transforming growth factor beta (TGF- β) is important in the development of thyroid cancer. We sought to compare the expression of TGF- β in malignant and benign thyroid nodules.

Methods

From 2008-present, thyroid nodule tissue from thyroidectomy specimens was prospectively collected and stored at −80°C. RNA extraction and reverse transcription was performed on 47 samples (24 papillary thyroid cancer and 23 benign nodules). Quantitative PCR using SYBR green was performed to detect TGF-β-1 and −2. Resulting C_T values were normalized against β-actin. Gene expression was calculated using the 2^-ΔC_T method.

Results

A significantly greater expression of TGF- β1 (p < 0.0001) was detected in the group of malignant thyroid nodules compared to benign nodules. There was no difference in the expression of TGF- β2 (p = 0.4735) between the two groups.

Conclusions

In this study, we demonstrated that expression of TGF- β1 but not TGF- β2 is significantly increased in papillary thyroid cancer compared to benign thyroid nodules. This may serve as a potential diagnostic marker for papillary thyroid cancer.

Preoperative diagnosis of thyroid nodules using the Bethesda System for Reporting Thyroid Cytopathology: a comprehensive review and meta-analysis

Fine-needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB) is the test of choice for the evaluation of nodules, arriving at a cancer diagnosis, and guiding surgical management. This review and meta-analysis aims to objectively evaluate the Bethesda System for Reporting Thyroid Cytopathology (BSRTC) based upon literature reports of histopathological outcomes following cytopathological diagnoses. Thirteen studies were reviewed and the risk of malignancy (ROM) for each of the BSRTC diagnostic categories were calculated as: Non-diagnostic 11-26%, Benign 4-9%, AUS/FLUS 19-38%, FN/SFN 27-40%, SFM 50-79%, and Malignant 98-100%. In typical clinical utilization, the sensitivity and specificity of thyroid FNAB diagnosis using the BSRTC were 96% and 46%, respectively. The BSRTC represents an important advance in standardizing thyroid FNAB cytopathological reporting. Close attention should be paid to the observation that the AUS-FLUS and FN-SFN DCs have overlapping ROMs, and the potential clinical implications of this finding on patient management.

Diagnostic biomarkers of differentiated thyroid cancer

The incidence of thyroid cancer has been increasing all around the world in the past decades. Early detection is one of the keys to reduce the mortality. Currently, fine-needle aspiration (FNA) guides the management of patients with a thyroid nodule. The use of FNA can reduce unnecessary thyroid surgery by twenty-five percent. However, the prevalence of non-diagnostic and indeterminate cytology from FNA is still high, approximately thirty percent. Many biomarkers were developed to differentiate between the benign and malignant thyroid nodule. This review summarizes each diagnostic biomarker of differentiated thyroid cancer. Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of individual cytological laboratory need to be considered before implementation of each biomarker. Moreover, follow-up is still mandatory in negative biomarker tests because all genomic and proteomic alterations in thyroid cancer are still unknown.