Tolerance of uncertainty: A systematic review of health and healthcare-related outcomes

Evaluation and Comparison of Tolerance of Ambiguity in Veterinary Pathology Professionals and Trainees

Ambiguity is ubiquitous in veterinary medicine, including in clinical and anatomic pathology. Tolerance of ambiguity (TOA) relates to how individuals navigate uncertainty. It is associated with psychological well-being in health professionals yet has been little investigated in veterinarians or veterinary pathologists. In this study, we used the Tolerance of Ambiguity of Veterinary Students (TAVS) scale and eight previously evaluated items specific to clinical pathology to evaluate and compare TOA in pathology professionals and trainees. We hypothesized that scores would be higher (reflecting greater TOA) for professionals than for trainees, that scores would increase with years of diagnostic experience for professionals and year of study for trainees, and that scores would be higher for clinical than anatomic pathologists due to the frequent ambiguity of clinical pathology practice. One hundred eighty one pathology professionals and trainees participated. TAVS scores were significantly higher for professionals than for trainees, and scores increased significantly with year of experience for professionals but not with year of study for trainees. When comparing disciplines, TAVS scores for all clinical pathologists were significantly lower than scores for all anatomic pathologists. Scores for clinical pathology-specific items showed similar trends to TAVS scores, except when comparing disciplines (clinical pathologists tended to have higher scores for these items). Results suggest pathology professionals become more tolerant of ambiguity throughout their careers, independent of increasing TOA with age, and that navigating ambiguity might be more difficult for trainees than for professionals. Educational interventions might help trainees learn to successfully navigate ambiguity, which could impact psychological well-being.

Uncertainty experienced by newly qualified doctors during the transition to internship

INTRODUCTION

Uncertainty is an inherent feature of medical practice. Uncertainty Tolerance (UT) describes how individuals experience and respond to uncertainty, with lower UT associated with negative outcomes, including burnout. Periods of career transition can be particularly uncertain, but there is little research into newly qualified doctors' uncertain experiences during their transition to internship (TTI). Early career doctors have a high incidence of burnout; therefore, understanding how new doctors experience uncertainty could be valuable. We explored the sources of, responses to and moderators of uncertainty during the TTI to inform support of this group.

METHODS

Engaging social constructionism, we conducted a cross-sectional qualitative study with 13 intern doctors who graduated from a single Australian medical school during their TTI. Participants completed a semi-structured interview within five months of commencing practice in 2021. Data were analysed using framework analysis, informed by the integrative UT model.

RESULTS

Although participants described clinical uncertainty during the TTI (i.e. unknown aspects of patient care due to ambiguity, complexity or probability), dominant sources of uncertainty related to novel scenarios (e.g. tasks and responsibilities experienced for the first time) and their professional role (e.g. boundaries and expectations). Participants described responding to uncertainty by asking for help from senior colleagues and reported feelings of stress. Key factors that moderated responses to uncertainty included support, time and perceived stakes.

DISCUSSION

Our results suggest that educators, supervisors and employers should aim to reduce the extraneous uncertainties associated with the TTI. Approaches to achieve this could include orientation programmes that appropriately familiarise interns with workplace environments and systems, reducing role ambiguity by setting clear expectations and facilitating regular feedback, and creating psychologically safe working environments with adequate senior support. These approaches may allow newly qualified doctors the capacity to explore clinical uncertainties and develop their UT through methods such as critical reflection.

Exploring burnout and uncertainty in healthcare professionals: a path analysis within the context of rare diseases

Burnout among physicians has gained increasing attention in recent years. This issue arises not only from stressful working conditions and individual factors but also from the correlation between burnout and physicians' tolerance of uncertainty. This association could be particularly important in the context of rare diseases, which inherently present greater uncertainty. To date, no studies have explored this topic. Our exploratory study aimed to investigate the associations between uncertainty and burnout scores among physicians while considering secondary factors associated with rare diseases and COVID-related stress. Although not the primary focus, we included COVID-related stress due to its impact during the ongoing pandemic. We conducted an online survey using the Physicians' Reaction to Uncertainty Scale (PRU) and the Oldenburg Burnout Inventory (OLBI). Experience with rare diseases was quantified by assessing the weekly working hours devoted to patients with such conditions. We conducted a path analysis, initially using a fully recursive model and subsequently eliminating non-significant paths. 128 physicians (n = 73 female) participated in the survey, with 31% of them displaying significant burnout scores. Notably, significant associations were found between the PRU subscale anxiety and both dimensions of burnout, as well as between the PRU subscale disclosure to patients and the burnout dimension of exhaustion. COVID-related stress was also significantly associated with exhaustion, while experience with rare diseases was significantly associated with disengagement. No correlation was observed between experience with rare diseases and uncertainty scores. The model demonstrated an excellent fit (RMSEA = 0.055). Our results show that physician burnout is a pressing issue and confirm the association between anxiety due to uncertainty and increased burnout scores.

Mapping Educational uncertainty stimuli to support health professions educators' in developing learner uncertainty tolerance

Uncertainty is a feature of healthcare practice. In recognition of this, multiple health profession governing bodies identify uncertainty tolerance as a healthcare graduate attribute and evaluate uncertainty tolerance within new graduate cohorts. While it is clear that uncertainty tolerance development for healthcare learners is valued, gaps remain for practically addressing this within healthcare curricula. Guiding frameworks for practical approaches supporting uncertainty tolerance development in healthcare learners remains sparse, particularly outside of medicine and in certain geographical locations. As uncertainty tolerance is increasingly recognised as being, at least in part, state-based (e.g. contextually changeable)- a broader understanding of teaching practices supporting uncertainty tolerance development in diverse health professions is warranted. This study explored educators' teaching practices for purposefully stimulating learners' uncertainty tolerance. Semi-structured interviews investigated how academics at a single institution, from diverse fields and health professions, stimulate uncertainty across multiple learning contexts. Framework analysis identified three themes for stimulating uncertainty: Purposeful questioning, Forecasting uncertainty, and Placing learners in unfamiliar environments, with characterisation of these themes (and related subthemes) also described. Many of the identified themes align with aspects of existing learning theories suggesting that curricular frameworks supporting learner uncertainty tolerance development may be informed by theories beyond the boundaries of health professions education research.

Digital Mindfulness Training for Burnout Reduction in Physicians: Clinician-Driven Approach

BACKGROUND

Physician burnout is widespread in health care systems, with harmful consequences on physicians, patients, and health care organizations. Mindfulness training (MT) has proven effective in reducing burnout; however, its time-consuming requirements often pose challenges for physicians who are already struggling with their busy schedules.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to design a short and pragmatic digital MT program with input from clinicians specifically to address burnout and to test its efficacy in physicians.

METHODS

Two separate nonrandomized pilot studies were conducted. In the first study, 27 physicians received the digital MT in a podcast format, while in the second study, 29 physicians and nurse practitioners accessed the same training through a free app-based platform. The main outcome measure was cynicism, one dimension of burnout. The secondary outcome measures were emotional exhaustion (the second dimension of burnout), anxiety, depression, intolerance of uncertainty, empathy (personal distress, perspective taking, and empathic concern subscales), self-compassion, and mindfulness (nonreactivity and nonjudgment subscales). In the second study, worry, sleep disturbances, and difficulties in emotion regulation were also measured. Changes in outcomes were assessed using self-report questionnaires administered before and after the treatment and 1 month later as follow-up.

RESULTS

Both studies showed that MT decreased cynicism (posttreatment: 33% reduction; P≤.04; r≥0.41 and follow-up: 33% reduction; P≤.04; r≥0.45), while improvements in emotional exhaustion were observed solely in the first study (25% reduction, P=.02, r=.50 at posttreatment; 25% reduction, P=.008, r=.62 at follow-up). There were also significant reductions in anxiety (P≤.01, r≥0.49 at posttreatment; P≤.01, r≥0.54 at follow-up), intolerance of uncertainty (P≤.03, r≥.57 at posttreatment; P<.001, r≥0.66 at follow-up), and personal distress (P=.03, r=0.43 at posttreatment; P=.03, r=0.46 at follow-up), while increases in self-compassion (P≤.02, r≥0.50 at posttreatment; P≤.006, r≥0.59 at follow-up) and mindfulness (nonreactivity: P≤.001, r≥0.69 at posttreatment; P≤.004, r≥0.58 at follow-up; nonjudgment: P≤.009, r≥0.50 at posttreatment; P≤.03, r≥0.60 at follow-up). In addition, the second study reported significant decreases in worry (P=.04, r=0.40 at posttreatment; P=.006, r=0.58 at follow-up), sleep disturbances (P=.04, r=0.42 at posttreatment; P=.01, r=0.53 at follow-up), and difficulties in emotion regulation (P=.005, r=0.54 at posttreatment; P<.001, r=0.70 at follow-up). However, no changes were observed over time for depression or perspective taking and empathic concern. Finally, both studies revealed significant positive correlations between burnout and anxiety (cynicism: r≥0.38; P≤.04; emotional exhaustion: r≥0.58; P≤.001).

CONCLUSIONS

To our knowledge, this research is the first where clinicians were involved in designing an intervention targeting burnout. These findings suggest that this digital MT serves as a viable and effective tool for alleviating burnout and anxiety among physicians.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT06145425; https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06145425.

Examining psychological correlates of vaccine hesitancy: a comparative study between the US and Israel

It is important to identify psychological correlates of vaccine hesitancy, including among people not from the United States (U.S.). College students were recruited between March-June 2023 in the US (n = 330, M age = 20.21, 79.5% female) and in Israel (n = 204, M age = 23.45, 92.6% female) to complete a cross-sectional survey on vaccine attitudes, emotions, and behavior. A 2 (Nation: US, Israel) × 2 (Vaccine Status: Vaccinated, Unvaccinated) factorial design was used. Individual ANCOVAS controlling for sociodemographic factors were conducted to test main effects of nation and vaccine status, and their interaction, across various psychological correlates of health behavior. Consistent with hypotheses, unvaccinated (vs. vaccinated) individuals reported higher perceived ambiguity, reactance, and anger as well as perceived lower susceptibility, severity, worry, positive emotion, and intentions to vaccinate. Contrary to hypotheses, unvaccinated individuals reported greater fear. Israeli (vs. American) participants reported higher perceived ambiguity, worry, fear, and anger, as well as lower perceived susceptibility. Vaccinated Americans reported higher intentions to vaccinate again in the future (M = 2.89, SE = 0.08) compared to vaccinated Israelis (M = 2.36, SE = 0.08). However, unvaccinated Americans reported lower intentions to vaccinate (M = 1.80, SE = 0.15) than unvaccinated Israelis (M = 1.95, SE = 0.21). Findings provide insight into correlates to target for vaccine promotion and emphasize the need for cultural tailoring.

"With Great Responsibility Comes Great Uncertainty"

BACKGROUND

Uncertainty is inherent in medicine, and trainees are particularly exposed to the adverse effects of uncertainty. Previous work suggested that junior residents seek to leverage the support of supervisors to regulate the uncertainty encountered in clinical placements. However, a broader conceptual framework addressing uncertainty experience, from the sources of uncertainty to residents' responses, is still needed.

OBJECTIVE

To capture the spectrum of uncertainty experiences in medical residents, providing an integrative framework that considers the influence of specialties and training stages on their experience with clinical uncertainty.

DESIGN

We used Hillen's uncertainty tolerance framework to conduct a thematic template analysis of individual and focus group interviews, identifying themes and subthemes reflecting residents' experience of clinical uncertainty.

PARTICIPANTS

Medical residents from diverse medical specialty training programs, across five French medical schools.

APPROACH

Qualitative study driven by an interpretivist research paradigm.

RESULTS

Twenty residents from all years of medical residency and diverse medical specialties were interviewed during three focus groups and five individual interviews. They described managing treatments, making ethical decisions, and communicating uncertainty, as their major sources of uncertainty. We identified residents' delayed response to uncertainty as a key theme, fostering the development of experiential learnings. Prior clinical experience was a key determinant of uncertainty tolerance in medical residents. Entrusting residents with responsibilities in patient management promoted their perception of self-efficacy, although situations of loneliness resulted in stress and anxiety.

CONCLUSION

Residents face significant uncertainty in managing treatments, ethical decisions, and communication due to limited clinical experience and growing responsibilities. Scaffolding their responsibilities and clearly defining their roles can improve their comfort with uncertainty. To that extent, effective supervision and debriefing are crucial for managing emotional impacts and fostering reflection to learn from their uncertain experiences.

"What's Going to Happen?": Internal Medicine Resident Experiences of Uncertainty in the Care of Older Adults

PURPOSE

Internal medicine residents care for clinically complex older adults and may experience increased moral distress due to knowledge gaps, time constraints, and institutional barriers. We conducted a phenomenological study to explore residents' experiences and challenges through the lens of uncertainty.

METHODS

Between January and March 2022, six focus groups were conducted comprising a total of 13 internal medicine residents in postgraduate years 2 and 3, who had completed a required 2-week geriatrics rotation. Applying the Beresford taxonomy of uncertainty as a conceptual model, data were analyzed using the framework method.

RESULTS

All challenging experiences described by residents caring for older adults were linked to uncertainty. Sources of uncertainty were categorized and mapped to the Beresford taxonomy: (1) lack of geriatrics knowledge or clinical guidelines (technical); (2) difficulty applying knowledge to complex older adults (conceptual); and (3) lack of longitudinal relationship with the older patient (personal). Residents identified capacity evaluation and discharge planning as two major geriatric knowledge areas linked with uncertainty. While the majority of residents reacted to uncertainty with some degree of distress, several reported positive coping strategies.

CONCLUSIONS

Internal medicine residents face uncertainty when caring for older adults, particularly related to technical and conceptual factors. Strategies for mitigating uncertainty in the care of older adults are needed given links with moral distress and trainee well-being.

Simulation-based education's impact on medical students' tolerance of uncertainty: A grounded theory study

The purpose of this grounded study was to explore how medical students encountered and managed uncertainty during a high-fidelity simulation. We interviewed 15 fourth year medical students as they progressed through the scenario and used constant comparative analysis to analyze our interview data. Three themes emerged from our data, which informed our theoretical framework: 1) Uncontrollable circumstances were the root of uncertainty; 2) uncertainty drove unhelpful responses evident in self and team; and 3) enhanced tolerance of uncertainty developed through cognitive restructuring and collaboration. Understanding how medical students successfully manage uncertainty during a high-fidelity simulation provides valuable insights for medical educators aiming to intentionally support and enhance students' uncertainty tolerance. Encouraging students to employ techniques such as cognitive restructuring and fostering social support during simulation can be valuable strategies for preparing them for the challenges of uncertainty in their future medical careers.

A "rotating menu" of medical uncertainty for families affected by telomere biology disorders: A qualitative interview study

Background

Medical uncertainty may cause distress and challenge medical decision-making for patients with rare diseases and their caregivers. Few studies have examined the experience and management of medical uncertainty in rare disease and the dynamics of multiple medical uncertainty sources, issues, and management strategies.

Objective

We explored the experience and management of uncertainty in individuals with telomere biology disorders (TBDs), a set of rare cancer-prone bone marrow failure syndromes, and their caregivers.

Design

Participants (N=32) in this qualitative-descriptive study were individuals with a TBD (n=17) and/or their caregivers (n=15). We thematically analyzed transcripts to describe the presence and dynamics of medical uncertainty in TBDs using categories from a previously published taxonomy.

Results

Individuals with TBDs and caregivers described medical uncertainty as a chronic burden embodied amidst a range of interrelated sources and issues. Scientific uncertainty included diagnostic and prognostic ambiguity. Practical uncertainty focused on logistical challenges of building and maintaining medical care teams. Personal uncertainty included difficulty realigning self-identity, goals, and relationship expectations post-diagnosis. Scientific, practical, and personal uncertainty issues were entangled. The rarity of TBDs resulted in limited scientific knowledge, which gave rise to practical and personal uncertainties affecting medical decision-making and relationship formation (e.g., creating trusted care teams where patient knowledge of TBDs may exceed that of clinicians). Participants used multiple strategies for uncertainty management, particularly information-seeking and community-building. However, these management strategies could intensify, rather than resolve, participants' medical uncertainty.

Conclusion

In TBDs, medical uncertainty manifests as a network of multiple, interrelated, sources and issues, which require evolving management strategies. Researchers must be mindful that complex, synergistic uncertainty networks contribute to psychosocial challenges in TBDs. Additional research is warranted to address scientific uncertainty in TBDs, including clinical manifestations and underlying biology, and to develop psychosocial interventions that recognize and anticipate evolving uncertainty.

Is emergency doctors' tolerance of clinical uncertainty on a novel measure associated with doctor well-being, healthcare resource use and patient outcomes?

INTRODUCTION

Emergency doctors routinely face uncertainty-they work with limited patient information, under tight time constraints and receive minimal post-discharge feedback. While higher uncertainty tolerance (UT) among staff is linked with reduced resource use and improved well-being in various specialties, its impact in emergency settings is underexplored. We aimed to develop a UT measure and assess associations with doctor-related factors (eg, experience), patient outcomes (eg, reattendance) and resource use (eg, episode costs).

METHODS

From May 2021 to February 2022, emergency doctors (specialty trainee 3 and above) from five Yorkshire (UK) departments completed an online questionnaire. This included a novel UT measure-an adapted Physicians' Reaction to Uncertainty scale collaboratively modified within our team according to Hillen et al's (2017) UT model. The questionnaire also included well-being-related measures (eg, Brief Resilience Scale) and assessed factors like doctors' seniority. Patient encounters involving prespecified 'uncertainty-inducing' problems (eg, headache) were analysed. Multilevel regression explored associations between doctor-level factors, resource use and patient outcomes.

RESULTS

39 doctors were matched with 384 patients. The UT measure demonstrated high reliability (Cronbach's α=0.92) and higher UT was significantly associated with better psychological well-being including greater resilience (Pearson's r=0.56; 95% CI=0.30 to 0.74) and lower burnout (eg, Cohen's d=-2.98; -4.62 to -1.33; mean UT difference for 'no' vs 'moderate/high' burnout). UT was not significantly associated with resource use (eg, episode costs: β=-0.07; -0.32 to 0.18) or patient outcomes including 30-day readmission (eg, OR=0.82; 0.28 to 2.35).

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a reliable UT measure for emergency medicine. While higher UT was linked to doctor well-being, its impact on resource use and patient outcomes remains unclear. Further measure validation and additional research including intervention trials are necessary to confirm these findings and explore the implications of UT in emergency practice.

Uncertainty Profiles and Treatment Preferences for Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms

INTRODUCTION

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are pancreatic premalignant lesions frequently detected incidentally. Choosing between surgery and surveillance for IPMNs is rooted in uncertainty. We characterized patient preferences in IPMN management, and examined associations with patients' uncertainty profiles (risk perception, risk attitude, and uncertainty tolerance).

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional survey drawn from a national opt-in panel. We simulated an encounter following an incidental computed tomography scan finding of an IPMN with a 5% cancer risk. We elicited participants' preferred treatment (surgery versus surveillance). Participant cancer risk perception, risk attitude (risk seeking versus risk averse), and uncertainty tolerance (comfort with the unknown) were determined using validated measures. Multivariate regression models assessed for independent predictors of treatment preference and risk perception.

RESULTS

The sample included 520 participants, ages 40-70, racially representative of the US population. Participants preferred surveillance (n = 331, 64%) over surgery (n = 189, 36%). Patients were significantly more likely to prefer surgery as their cancer risk perception increased (absolute difference = 12% from 1.0 standard deviation below to 1.0 standard deviation above the mean, 95% CI 3.5-20.2). Treatment preference was not significantly associated with risk attitude (P = 0.068) or uncertainty tolerance (P = 0.755). However, initial cancer risk perception was significantly associated with both uncertainty tolerance (P = 0.013) and baseline cancer anxiety (risk perception 16.4% versus 65%, not worried at all versus extremely worried, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Patient preference varies widely for IPMN and is significantly associated with cancer risk perception, which is, in turn, significantly associated with uncertainty tolerance and cancer anxiety. These findings argue for the preference-sensitive nature of IPMN treatment decisions.

How Do Paediatricians Manage Comfort with Uncertainty in Clinical Decision-Making

Background

While healthcare practice is inherently characterised by uncertainty, there is a paucity of formal curricular training to support comfort with uncertainty (CWU) in postgraduate training. Indeed, some evidence suggests medical training inherently conflicts with CWU in emphasizing pedagogies focussing on "fixing" the problem. While referral patterns increase significantly, dealing with uncertainty has direct implications for patient referral rates and use of valuable healthcare resources.

Methods

Paediatricians in Ireland were invited to participate. Face-to-face interviews were conducted after participants watched videos of varied clinician-patient interactions.. Two researchers independently analysed the collected data using thematic analysis. Triangulation and member checking was performed to ensure validity of findings. A reflection journal documented the research journey.

Results

Thirty four paediatricians participated. Five themes were identified: the interplay between quality of information, uncertainty and decision-making, confidence in clinical assessment and first-hand patient evaluation, anxiety and fear experienced by medical professionals when dealing with complex and serious conditions, strategies employed by medical professionals in managing their own uncertainty and the impact of societal and parental expectations on medical decision-making. These are moderated by a number of factors, most significantly the child's caregivers' comfort with doctors reassurance (CDR). Enacted management will diverge from the consultant's clinical plan when the caregiver's CDR cannot be satisfactorily supported.

Discussion

Clinician CWU in the paediatric context is inextricably linked to caregiver CDR. The complexities and central importance of social context in understanding CWU has important implications for how we develop educational activities to support clinician CWU and patient/care-giver CDR. This may translate to efficient use of limited resources in healthcare settings.

General practice trainee, supervisor and educator perspectives on the transitions in postgraduate training: a scoping review

Transitions are a period and a process, through which there is a longitudinal adaptation in response to changing circumstances in clinical practice and responsibilities. While the experience of the transition in medical student learning and in hospital-based specialty training programmes are well described and researched, the experience of the transition in community-based postgraduate general practitioner (GP) training has not been described comprehensively.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to identify, and categorise, the formative experiences of transitions in GP training and their impacts on personal and professional development.

DESIGN

We adopted Levac et al's scoping review methodology. Of 1543 retrieved records, 76 were selected for data extraction. Based on a combined model of the socioecological and multiple and multi-dimensional theories of transitions, data relating to the experiences of transitions were organised into contextual themes: being physical, psychosocial, organisational culture and chronological.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Empirical studies focused on general practice trainees or training, that discussed the transitions experienced in general practice training and that were published in English were included.

INFORMATION SOURCES

PubMed, MEDLINE and Web of Science databases were searched in January 2024 with no date limits for empirical studies on the transition experiences of GP into, and through, training.

RESULTS

Our findings describe context-dependent formative experiences which advance, or impede, learning and development. Time is a significant modulator of the factors contributing to more negative experiences, with some initially adverse experiences becoming more positive. Identification of the inflection point that represents a shift from initially adverse to more positive experiences of transitions may help moderate expectations for learning and performance at different stages of training.

CONCLUSION

Challenges in training can either advance development and contribute positively to professional identity formation and clinical competency, or detract from learning and potentially contribute to burnout and attrition from training programmes. These findings will assist future research in identifying predictive factors of positive and adverse experiences of transitions and may strengthen existing and nascent GP training programmes. The findings are transferable to other community-based specialty training programmes.

Residents' Communication With Attendings About Uncertainty: A Single-Site Longitudinal Survey

OBJECTIVE

Managing uncertainty is a core competency of pediatric residents. However, discussing uncertainty with attending physicians can be challenging. Research is needed to understand residents' goals when communicating about uncertainty with attending physicians and how residents' perceptions of communication change during residency. Therefore, we assessed changes in residents' perceptions of their own ability to communicate uncertainty and their perceptions of attending physicians' willingness to discuss uncertainty effectively. We also identify residents' goals and challenges communicating uncertainty.

METHODS

We conducted a 3-year (2018-2021) survey with 2 cohorts of residents at a US children's hospital. Of the 106 eligible residents, 100 enrolled and completed Phase I (94% response rate), 61 of the enrolled residents completed Phase II (61% response rate), and 53 completed Phase III (53% response rate). We employed hierarchical linear modeling to account for clustering of the data (Phases within residents) and to assess changes in communication efficacy and target efficacy over time. We coded open-ended responses to identify residents' communication goals and challenges.

RESULTS

Communication efficacy and target efficacy significantly increased over time. Open-ended responses indicated that residents managed multiple task, identity, and relational goals. Residents described persistent challenges related to wanting to appear competent and working with attending physicians who were unwilling to discuss uncertainty.

CONCLUSIONS

Although residents may grow more confident communicating uncertainty, such conversations are complex and can present challenges throughout residency. Our results support the value of training on communication about uncertainty, not only for residents, but also attending physicians.

Finding Themselves, Their Place, Their Way: Uncertainties Identified by Medical Students

Phenomenon: Navigating uncertainty is a core skill when practicing medicine. Increasingly, the need to better prepare medical students for uncertainty has been recognized. Our current understanding of medical students' perspectives on uncertainty is primarily based on quantitative studies with limited qualitative research having been performed to date. We need to know from where and how sources of uncertainty can arise so that educators can better support medical students learning to respond to uncertainty. This research's aim was to describe the sources of uncertainty that medical students identify in their education. Approach: Informed by our previously published framework of clinical uncertainty, we designed and distributed a survey to second, fourth-, and sixth-year medical students at the University of Otago, Aotearoa New Zealand. Between February and May 2019, 716 medical students were invited to identify sources of uncertainty encountered in their education to date. We used reflexive thematic analysis to analyze responses. Findings: Four-hundred-sixty-five participants completed the survey (65% response rate). We identified three major sources of uncertainty: insecurities, role confusion, and navigating learning environments. Insecurities related to students' doubts about knowledge and capabilities, which were magnified by comparing themselves to peers. Role confusion impacted upon students' ability to learn, meet the expectations of others, and contribute to patient care. Navigating the educational, social, and cultural features of clinical and non-clinical learning environments resulted in uncertainty as students faced new environments, hierarchies, and identified challenges with speaking up. Insights: This study provides an in-depth understanding of the wide range of sources of medical students' uncertainties, encompassing how they see themselves, their roles, and their interactions with their learning environments. These results enhance our theoretical understanding of the complexity of uncertainty in medical education. Insights from this research can be applied by educators to better support students develop the skills to respond to a core element of medical practice.

Twelve tips for developing healthcare learners' uncertainty tolerance

BACKGROUND

Uncertainty is pervasive throughout healthcare practice. Uncertainty tolerance (i.e. adaptively responding to perceived uncertainty) is considered to benefit practitioner wellbeing, encourage person-centred care, and support judicious healthcare resource utilisation. Accordingly, uncertainty tolerance development is increasingly referenced within training frameworks. Practical approaches to support healthcare learners' uncertainty tolerance development, however, are lacking.

AIMS

Drawing on findings across the literature, and the authors' educational experiences, twelve tips for promoting healthcare learners' uncertainty tolerance were developed.

RESULTS

Tips are divided into 1. Tips for Learners, 2. Tips for Educators and Supervisors, and 3. Tips for Healthcare Education Institutions and Systems. Each tip summarises relevant research findings, alongside applications to educational practice.

CONCLUSIONS

Approaches to developing uncertainty tolerance balance factors supporting learners through uncertain experiences, with introducing challenges for learners to further develop uncertainty tolerance. These tips can reassure healthcare education stakeholders that developing learner uncertainty tolerance, alongside core knowledge, is achievable.

Identifying Strategies to Improve Shared Decision Making for Pregnant Patients' Decisions about Prenatal Genetic Screens and Diagnostic Tests

PURPOSE

Prenatal genetic screens and diagnostic tests are vital components of prenatal care. The first prenatal visit is a critical time in the decision-making process when patients decide whether to use these tests in addition to address a series of other essential prenatal care aspects. We conducted this study to examine the role of a shared decision-making (SDM) instrument to support these discussions.

METHODS

We conducted a cluster randomized controlled trial of patients allocated to an SDM tool or usual care at their first prenatal visit. Participants completed a baseline survey to measure decision-making needs and preferences. Direct observation was conducted and analyzed using the OPTION scale to measure SDM during prenatal genetic testing discussions.

RESULTS

Levels of SDM were similar across groups (P = 0.081). The highest levels of SDM were observed during screening test discussions (NEST 2.4 ± 0.9 v. control 2.6 ± 1.0). Lowest levels were observed in discussions about patients' preference for risk versus diagnostic information (NEST 1.0 ± 1.1 v. control 1.2 ± 1.3).

CONCLUSION

Study findings demonstrate the need for targeted patient-focused and provider-focused efforts to improve SDM to enhance patients' informed decision making about these options. Importantly, patients' baseline knowledge and attitudes need to be considered given that patients with less knowledge may need more carefully crafted communication.

HIGHLIGHTS

Choices about whether, when, and how to use prenatal genetic tests are highly preference-based decisions, with patients' baseline attitudes about these options as a major driver in health care discussions.The decision-making process is also shaped by patient preferences regarding a shared or informed decision-making process for medical decisions that are highly personal and have significant ramifications for obstetric outcomes.There is a need to develop targeted efforts to improve decision making and enhance patients' ability to make informed decisions about prenatal genetic tests in early pregnancy.

'I was uncertain, but I was acting on it': A longitudinal qualitative study of medical students' responses to uncertainty

PURPOSE

Uncertainty is ubiquitous within medical practice. Accordingly, how individuals respond to uncertainty, termed uncertainty tolerance (UT), is increasingly considered a medical graduate competency. Despite this, aspects of the UT construct are debated, which may relate to research focused on measuring UT, rather than understanding students' experiences. Therefore, we asked (1) how do medical students describe their responses to uncertainty, (2) how (if at all) do described responses change over time and (3) how do described responses contribute to understanding the UT construct.

METHODS

Engaging an interpretivist worldview, we conducted a longitudinal qualitative study throughout 2020 with 41 clinical medical students at an Australian medical school. Participants completed reflective diary entries across six in-semester time-points (n = 41, 40, 39, 38, 37 and 35) and semi-structured interviews at the end of both semesters (n = 20 per semester). We analysed data using framework analysis.

RESULTS

Although participants communicated accepting health care uncertainties, described cognitive appraisals of uncertainty ranged from threatening (e.g. challenging credibility) to opportunistic (e.g. for learning and growth). Emotions in response to uncertainty were predominately described in negative terms, including worry and anxiety. Participants described a range of maladaptive and adaptive behavioural responses, including avoiding versus actively engaging with uncertainty. Despite describing typically negative emotions across time, participants' cognitive and behavioural response descriptions shifted from self-doubt and avoidance, towards acceptance of, and engagement despite uncertainty.

CONCLUSIONS

Students' descriptions of responses to uncertainty suggest existing UT conceptualisations may not holistically reflect medical students' experiences of what it means to be uncertainty 'tolerant', especially pertaining to conceptualisations of 'tolerance' centred on emotions (e.g. stress) rather than how uncertainty is ultimately managed. Extending from this study, the field could consider redefining characteristics of uncertainty 'tolerance' to focus on adaptive cognitive and behavioural responses, rather than emotional responses as key indicators of 'tolerance'.

Uncertainty tolerance among primary care physicians: Relationship to shared decision making-related perceptions, practices, and physician characteristics

OBJECTIVE

Understand how physicians' uncertainty tolerance (UT) in clinical care relates to their personal characteristics, perceptions and practices regarding shared decision making (SDM).

METHODS

As part of a trial of SDM training about colorectal cancer screening, primary care physicians (n = 67) completed measures of their uncertainty tolerance in medical practice (Anxiety subscale of the Physician's Reactions to Uncertainty Scale, PRUS-A), and their SDM self-efficacy (confidence in SDM skills). Patients (N = 466) completed measures of SDM (SDM Process scale) after a clinical visit. Bivariate regression analyses and multilevel regression analyses examined relationships.

RESULTS

Higher UT was associated with greater physician age (p = .01) and years in practice (p = 0.015), but not sex or race. Higher UT was associated with greater SDM self-efficacy (p < 0.001), but not patient-reported SDM.

CONCLUSION

Greater age and practice experience predict greater physician UT, suggesting that UT might be improved through training, while UT is associated with greater confidence in SDM, suggesting that improving UT might improve SDM. However, UT was unassociated with patient-reported SDM, raising the need for further studies of these relationships.

PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS

Developing and implementing training interventions aimed at increasing physician UT may be a promising way to promote SDM in clinical care.

Systematic Search and Scoping Review of Physicians' Intolerance of Uncertainty and Medical Decision-Making Uncertainties During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Summary of the Literature and Directions for Future Research

Pandemic-related uncertainties and intolerance of uncertainty (IU) could negatively affect physicians' well-being and functioning, being associated with experiences of distress and problematic decision-making processes. To summarize the available quantitative and qualitative evidence of physicians' IU and decisional uncertainty during COVID-19 and problems associated with it, a systematic search was conducted to identify all relevant articles describing physician uncertainty with regard to medical decision making and well-being in COVID-19 pandemic conditions. Medical, psychological, and preprint databases were searched. Ten articles met all eligibility criteria, with eight describing quantitative and two describing qualitative research outcomes, assessed primarily in European regions and via online surveys. Associations between IU and symptoms of poor mental health and mental health risk factors were widespread, but inconsistencies emerged. Qualitative studies emphasized decisional uncertainty as a stressor for physicians, and quantitative studies suggest it may have fostered more unproven treatment choices. While the prevalence and impact of physician uncertainty under COVID-19 conditions requires further investigation, sighting available literature indicates that IU coincided with experiences of poor mental health and, at least towards the beginning of the pandemic, with willingness to endorse unproven treatments. Efforts to reduce uncertainty-related problems for physicians seem warranted, for example, through normalizing experiences of uncertainty or reducing avoidable uncertainty through maintaining open and timely communication channels.

What influences antibiotic initiation? Developing a scale to measure nursing behaviour in residential aged-care facilities

AIM

The purpose of the current study was to develop and assess the psychometric properties of a measure that captures nursing behaviours that have the potential to influence the initiation of antibiotics in residential aged-care facilities.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional online survey.

METHOD

One hundred and fifty-seven nurses completed an online survey. The survey consisted of two clinical vignettes and measures of tolerance of uncertainty and anxiety. The vignettes consisted of the most common presentations (urinary tract infections and upper respiratory tract infections) of two hypothetical residents in aged-care facilities. The vignettes provided participants with incremental information with varying levels of symptoms, input from other people and availability of test results. Both vignettes were subjected to exploratory factor analysis.

RESULTS

The results focus on the 16 items in the second vignette which resulted in the extraction of three factors. The derived factors were labelled as follows: (i) Noting and Calling GP, (ii) Consult a Colleague and (iii) Immediate Assessment and Antibiotics. Reliability analysis revealed excellent to satisfactory reliability. All three scales were significantly correlated with measures of clinical tolerance of uncertainty, and the 'noting and calling GP' scale was also negatively correlated with measures of anxiety and general tolerance of uncertainty. The measure showed satisfactory reliability and validity for capturing nursing behaviours that have the potential to influence decisions regarding antibiotics. As such, the current study provides a first step towards addressing the lack of ecologically valid measures that capture the complex and nuanced context of nurses' behaviours in RACF that have the potential to inform future stewardship interventions.

Exploring adaptive expertise in residency: the (missed) opportunity of uncertainty

Preparing novice physicians for an unknown clinical future in healthcare is challenging. This is especially true for emergency departments (EDs) where the framework of adaptive expertise has gained traction. When medical graduates start residency in the ED, they must be supported in becoming adaptive experts. However, little is known about how residents can be supported in developing this adaptive expertise. This was a cognitive ethnographic study conducted at two Danish EDs. The data comprised 80 h of observations of 27 residents treating 32 geriatric patients. The purpose of this cognitive ethnographic study was to describe contextual factors that mediate how residents engage in adaptive practices when treating geriatric patients in the ED. Results showed that all residents fluidly engaged in both adaptive and routine practices, but they were challenged when engaging in adaptive practices in the face of uncertainty. Uncertainty was often observed when residents' workflows were disrupted. Furthermore, results highlighted how residents construed professional identity and how this affected their ability to shift between routine and adaptive practices. Residents reported that they thought that they were expected to perform on par with their more experienced physician colleagues. This negatively impacted their ability to tolerate uncertainty and hindered the performance of adaptive practices. Thus, aligning clinical uncertainty with the premises of clinical work, is imperative for residents to develop adaptive expertise.

What is Effective in Massage Therapy? Well, "It Depends…": a Qualitative Study of Experienced Orthopaedic Massage Therapists

Background

Massage has been used as a treatment for musculoskeletal pain throughout history and across cultures, and yet most meta-analyses have only shown weak support for the efficacy of massage. There is a recognised need for more research in foundational questions including: how massage treatments are constructed; what therapists actually do within a treatment, including their clinical reasoning; and what role therapists play in determining the effectiveness of a massage treatment.

Purpose

The aim of this study was to explore what experienced orthopaedic massage therapists consider to be the aspects of their work that contribute to effectiveness.

Setting and Participants

Semi-structured interviews were conducted via Zoom with six experienced orthopaedic massage therapists in Australia.

Research Design

The interviews were analysed using inductive thematic analysis, seeking insights that might be practically applied, rather than theory-driven interpretations.

Results

The participants focused on the underlying differences between clients, between therapists, and between treatments, and clearly indicated that this concept of "difference" was foundational to their view of their work and was the underlying context for the comments they made. Within that frame of "difference", three key themes were interpreted from the data: (1) "Everyone is different so every treatment is different": how they individualised treatment based on these differences; (2) "How therapists cope with difference": how they managed the challenges of working in this context; and (3) "What makes a difference": the problem-solving processes they used to target each treatment to meeting the client's needs.

Conclusions

Participants did not identify specific techniques or modalities as "effective" or not. Rather, a therapist's ability to provide effective treatment was based on an iterative process of treatment and assessment that allowed them to focus on the individual needs of the client. In this case "effectiveness" could be considered a process rather than a specific massage technique.

Artificial intelligence and clinical anatomical education: Promises and perils

Anatomy educators are often at the forefront of adopting innovative and advanced technologies for teaching, such as artificial intelligence (AI). While AI offers potential new opportunities for anatomical education, hard lessons learned from the deployment of AI tools in other domains (e.g., criminal justice, healthcare, and finance) suggest that these opportunities are likely to be tempered by disadvantages for at least some learners and within certain educational contexts. From the perspectives of an anatomy educator, public health researcher, medical ethicist, and an educational technology expert, this article examines five tensions between the promises and the perils of integrating AI into anatomy education. These tensions highlight the ways in which AI is currently ill-suited for incorporating the uncertainties intrinsic to anatomy education in the areas of (1) human variations, (2) healthcare practice, (3) diversity and social justice, (4) student support, and (5) student learning. Practical recommendations for a considered approach to working alongside AI in the contemporary (and future) anatomy education learning environment are provided, including enhanced transparency about how AI is integrated, AI developer diversity, inclusion of uncertainty and anatomical variations within deployed AI, provisions made for educator awareness of AI benefits and limitations, building in curricular "AI-free" time, and engaging AI to extend human capacities. These recommendations serve as a guiding framework for how the clinical anatomy discipline, and anatomy educators, can work alongside AI, and develop a more nuanced and considered approach to the role of AI in healthcare education.

Study on the Relationship Between Uncertainty Tolerance and Positive Acceptance in Postoperative Patients With Cervical Cancer

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study is to clarify the correlation between uncertainty tolerance (UT) and positive acceptance (PA) in patients with cervical cancer (CC) after surgical treatment.

METHODS

A total of 233 patients with CC who had undergone surgery were included and were scored on the UT Scale and Positive Acceptance Scale. In addition, patients were classified according to the length of stay ≥1 week and length of stay <1 week, and the UT score and satisfaction and enterprising score of the two groups were compared. This was performed in order to analyze the effect of length of hospital stay on UT and PA.

RESULTS

The mean UT score of 233 patients was 3.74±0.34 and the mean PA score was 1.96±0.20, with a negative correlation and a significant correlation coefficient (r=-0.342, P 0.05). The UT score of post-operative CC patients with length of stay ≥1 week was significantly higher than that of patients with length of stay <1 week, P<0.05. The score of PA in patients with post-operative CC whose hospital stay was ≥1 week was significantly lower than for patients with hospital stays <1 week (P<0.05). UT was negatively correlated with PA in patients with hospital stays < 1 week (r=-0.358, P<0.05). There was a significant negative correlation between UT and PA in patients with hospital stay ≥1 week (r =-0.493, P<0.05). Increased hospitalization time correlated with increased scores of UT, with reductions in scores of PA.

CONCLUSION

Post-operative patients with CC had higher scores of UT and lower scores of PA, which were negatively correlated. Increased hospitalization time was linked to a detriment in patient UT and reduced PA. Targeted interventions to improve the level of UT and PA within postoperative CC cases should be developed.

"We are just not sure what that means or if it's relevant": Uncertainty when gathering family history information in South African prenatal genetic counseling consultations

Uncertainty impacts the process of health communication. The management and tolerance of uncertainty during healthcare discussions have gained renewed focus due to the growing challenge of obtaining and delivering complex health information, and the offer of health services in diverse contexts. Prenatal genetic counseling (GC) provides education, support and testing options for patients and couples facing a genetic or congenital diagnosis or risk during pregnancy. Gathering detailed and accurate family history information is essential to determine a patient's genetic risk. In South Africa, contextual factors such as patient literacy, language diversity, limited written patient health records, and a lack of familiarity with GC services may increase the potential for misunderstandings during GC consultations. This study uses a qualitative sociolinguistic approach to analyse 9 video-recorded South African prenatal GC consultations to understand the impact of uncertainty on the process of gathering family history information. The findings reveal uncertainty is introduced in different ways during family history taking. This includes when patients have no knowledge about their family history; when they have some knowledge but the details are unclear; or when patients have knowledge but the details are confusing. Uncertainty can lead to interactional trouble in the form of knowledge asymmetries, interrogative questioning, reversals in epistemic authority, and the potential for mistrust. Suggestions are made for how genetic specialists can manage uncertainty in GC family history taking. These include recognizing contextual sources of uncertainty, understanding how patients may respond to uncertainty and being aware of personal responses to moments of discomfort. Specific communication training recommendations and video-based sociolinguistic methods to enhance reflection and communication practice are highlighted. These approaches may enhance the effectiveness of GC communication and strengthen patient-specialist relationships, especially in diverse settings.

The effectiveness of pretreatment video-based psychoeducation for patients with breast cancer

OBJECTIVES

This study confirms the effectiveness of pretreatment video-based psychoeducation on stress management and relaxation in reducing depression, anxiety, and uncertainty among patients with breast cancer.

METHODS

We conducted a nonrandomized trial with 86 pretreatment patients with breast cancer who were divided equally into intervention and control groups, and stratified according to cancer stages and patient ages. Omitting the excluded participants, 35 intervention group and 36 control group participants were asked to complete the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale and Universal Uncertainty in Illness Scale (UUIS) before the psychoeducational intervention (baseline, hereafter "BL ") as well as 1 and 3 months later. Then, a 2 group (intervention and control groups) × 3 time points (BL and 1 and 3 months post-intervention) mixed models repeated measures (MMRM) analysis was implemented.

RESULTS

Analysis confirmed interaction between 2 group × 3 time points for depression, anxiety, and UUIS. Multiple comparisons revealed that each score in the intervention group was significantly lower 1 and 3 months post-intervention compared to BL. Meanwhile, in the control group, the depression score was significantly higher at 3 months post-intervention compared to pre-intervention. The anxiety scores and UUIS of the same group were not significantly different between 1 and 3 months post-intervention. The effect size values 3 months post-intervention were -0.57 for depression, -0.25 for anxiety, and 0.05 for uncertainty.

SIGNIFICANCE OF RESULTS

Pretreatment psychoeducation reduced depression, anxiety, and uncertainty in the intervention group of patients with breast cancer compared to the control group. The effect sizes at 3 months post-intervention were moderate for depression and small for anxiety. These results suggest the effectiveness of psychoeducation for patients with breast cancer, using videos on stress management and relaxation, early at the pretreatment stage.

Reflective Skills, Empathy, Wellbeing, and Resilience in Cognitive-Behavior Therapy Trainees Participating in Mindfulness-Based Self-Practice/Self-Reflection

Self-Practice/Self-Reflection (SP/SR) is an aspect of therapist training and professional development aimed at enhancing therapy skills, empathy, wellbeing, and resilience in the ultimate furtherance of client outcomes. For many decades, intensive SP/SR has been a required part of therapist training in many countries but relatively little is known about the effect of SP/SR. Studies have found cognitive-behavior therapy (CBT) therapists trained under a Beckian CBT paradigm benefitted from more time limited Beckian SP/SR. Mindfulness-based CBT is a more recent third-wave CBT paradigm with psychological process aims similar to those of SP/SR. While training in mindfulness-based CBT often has prominent SP/SR aspects, and mindfulness practice has been shown to benefit health care providers personally and professionally, to date no evaluations have been reported specifically of effects of participation of CBT trainees in stand-alone mindfulness-based SP/SR that meets regulatory requirements for more intensive SP/SR. A study on SP/SR training meeting German requirements is reported here. Post-graduate CBT trainees (N = 95) were assigned to delayed or immediate SP/SR with those in the delayed SP/SR condition crossing-over into SP/SR training after two baseline evaluations on a variety of reflective skill, wellbeing, and resilience measures spaced six to 9 months apart before participating in 120-150 hours of stand-alone mindfulness-based SP/SR followed by a third reevaluation on all study measures. Participants assigned to the immediate SP/SR condition underwent identical SP/SR training with pre/post assessments. Results indicate participation in intensive stand-alone mindfulness-based SP/SR resulted in favorable changes in measures operationalizing all variables. Findings are discussed in terms of their implications for training and professional development of CBT therapists.

Moderators uncertainty tolerance (UT) in healthcare: a systematic review

Uncertainty tolerance (UT) is integral to healthcare. Providers' responses to medical uncertainty has ramifications on the healthcare system, the healthcare provider and the patient. Understanding healthcare providers' UT, is important for improving patient-care outcomes. Understanding whether and to what extent it is possible to modulate individuals' perceptions and responses to medical uncertainty, can provide insights into mechanisms for support for training and education. The objectives of this review were to further characterize moderators of healthcare UT and explore moderator influences on the perceptions and responses to uncertainty experienced by healthcare professionals. Framework analysis of qualitative primary literature was conducted on 17 articles, focusing on the impacts of UT on healthcare providers. Three domains of moderators were identified and characterized relating to the healthcare provider's personal attributes, patient-derived uncertainty and the healthcare system. These domains were further categorized into themes and subthemes. Results suggest these moderators influence perceptions and responses to healthcare uncertainty across a spectrum ranging from positive to negative to uncertain. In this way, UT could be a state-based construct within healthcare settings and is contextually determined. Our findings further characterize the integrative model of uncertainty tolerance (IMUT) (Hillen Social Science and Medicine 180, 62-75, 2017) and provide evidence for the relationship between moderators and their influences on cognitive, emotional and behavioral responses to uncertainty. These findings provide a foundation for understanding the complex nature of the UT construct, add to theory development, and provide groundwork for future research exploring appropriate support for training and education in healthcare fields.

The chain mediating role of psychological resilience and neuroticism between intolerance of uncertainty and perceived stress among medical university students in Southwest China

BACKGROUND

Medical university students are confronted with unprecedented uncertainty and stress compared with their peers. Research has explored the effect of intolerance of uncertainty on perceived stress, but little attention was paid to investigate the mediating mechanisms behind this relationship, especially among medical university students. The aim of this study was to examine whether psychological resilience and neuroticism played a mediating role between medical university students' intolerance of uncertainty and perceived stress.

METHODS

A total of 717 medical university students from Chongqing in Southwest China were recruited to participate in our study and completed demographic information, Intolerance of Uncertainty Scale Short Version (IUS-12), Chinese Version of Perceived Stress Scale (CPSS), Connor-Davidson Resilience Scale-10 (CD-RISC-10) and Eysenck Personality Questionnaire (EPQ).

RESULTS

(1) Significant correlations between intolerance of uncertainty, perceived stress, psychological resilience and neuroticism were found. (2) Intolerance of uncertainty affected medical university students' perceived stress via three paths: the mediating effect of psychological resilience, the mediating effect of neuroticism, and the chain mediating effect of both psychological resilience and neuroticism.

CONCLUSIONS

Intolerance of uncertainty could directly affect the perceived stress of medical university students, and also affected perceived stress through the mediating roles of psychological resilience and neuroticism, as well as through the chain mediating role of these two variables.

HIV in MOTION: a community of practice on physical rehabilitation for and by people living with HIV and their allies

Background

This paper describes the design, implementation, and evaluation of a community of practice (CoP), HIV in MOTION (HIM), to advance physical activity rehabilitation interventions with adults living with HIV, clinicians, researchers, and representatives from community-based organizations. We attracted a diverse audience of geographically dispersed people living with HIV, clinicians, exercise personnel, and trainees to eight HIM community of practice events that featured the clinical, research, and lived experience of people living with HIV. HIV in MOTION had (a) a domain related to physical rehabilitation, exercise, and social participation for people living with HIV; (b) a community of diverse individuals; and (c) a practice, that is, a series of sustained interactions online and offline, synchronous, and asynchronous. Our team included six diverse people living with HIV, two coordinators, and three academic researchers who planned, prepared, implemented, and evaluated each online session. To evaluate the HIV in MOTION CoP, we employed an evaluation framework composed of five criteria: Goals and Scope, Context and Structure, Process and Activities, Outcomes, and Impact. We collected quantitative and qualitative evaluative data using online evaluation, audiovisual archiving, and participant observations during the debriefing with all members of our team.

Results

We widened the Goals and Scope of the HIV in MOTION CoP to include the HIV narrative of lived experiences, including autopathography, and participant storytelling. In matters of Context and Structure, we received explicit satisfaction with our governance and leadership. Also, being flexible to fit online formats was a productive strategy that made the HIV in MOTION CoP sessions agile and amenable to audiovisual archiving. Our indicators of success in Process, Activities, and Outcomes included participant retention online, elicited verbal interventions and comments in the chat room, and a rate of three repeat visits online. The indicators of success of Impact were the presence of voluntary and unscripted autopathography, the patient storytelling and how it reportedly caused changes in the participants, and the "legitimate peripheral participation" of emerging research and clinical students. In conclusion, we recommend our form of CoP for mixing the knowledge of diverse persons in this area. However, we recommend considering budget and burnout as serious challenges to sustainability.

A Philosophical Discussion of the Support of Self-Regulated Learning in Medical Education: The Treasure Hunt Approach Versus the (Dutch) "Dropping" Approach

Issue: Many current educational approaches are intended to cultivate learners' full (learning) potential by fostering self-regulated learning (SRL), as it is expected that those learners with a high degree of SRL learn more effectively than those with a low degree of SRL. However, these attempts to foster SRL are not always successful. Evidence: We considered complexities related to fostering self-regulated learning by use of an analogy. This analogy was based on two (Dutch) children's games: the treasure hunt (children can find a "treasure" by following directions, completing assignments and/or answering questions) and the dropping (pre-teens are dropped in the woods at nighttime with the assignment to find their way back home). We formulated four interrelated philosophical questions. These questions were not formulated with the intention to provide clear-cut answers, but were instead meant to evoke contemplation about the SRL concept. During this contemplation, the implications of definitional issues regarding SRL were discussed by use of the first question: What are the consequences of the difficulties to explicate what is (not) SRL? The second question (How does SRL relate to autonomy?) touched upon the intricate relationship between SRL and autonomy, by discussing the role of social interaction and varying degrees of instruction when fostering SRL. Next, a related topic was addressed by the third question: How much risk are we willing and able to take when fostering SRL? And finally, the importance of and possibilities to assess SRL were discussed by the fourth question (Should SRL be assessed?). Implications: From our contemplations it has become clear that approaches to foster SRL are often insufficiently aligned with the experience and needs of learners. Instead these approaches are commonly defined by contextual factors, such as misconceptions about SRL and lack of leeway for learners. Consequently, we have used principles that apply to both treasure hunts and droppings, to provide guidelines on how to align one's approach to foster SRL with the educational context and experience and needs of learners.

"You may think that the consultants are great, and they know everything, but they don't": exploring how new emergency medicine consultants experience uncertainty

BACKGROUND

Uncertainty is particularly obvious in emergency medicine (EM) due to the characteristics of the patient cohort, time constraints, and busy environment. Periods of transition are thought to add to uncertainty. Managing uncertainty is recognised as a key ability for medical practice, but is often not addressed explicitly. This study explored how new consultants in EM experience uncertainty, with the aim of making explicit what is often hidden and potentially informing support for doctors to manage the uncertainty they face.

METHODS

This was a qualitative study using interpretive phenomenological analysis (IPA). Five consultants working in the UK within one year of achieving a certificate of completion of training were interviewed online during 2021, these were transcribed and analysed using IPA.

RESULTS

Three superordinate themes were identified: 'transition and performance as a source of uncertainty', 'uncertainty and decision-making in the context of the emergency department' and 'sharing uncertainty and asking for help'. The transition created uncertainty related to their professional identity that was compounded by a lack of useful feedback. There was tension between perceived expectations of certainty and the recognition of uncertainty in practice. EM doctors were seen as experts in managing uncertainty, with responses to uncertainty including gathering information, sharing uncertainty and seeking help. Expressing uncertainty was viewed as necessary for good patient care but could be risky to credibility, with psychological safety and role modelling behaviour making it easier for the participants to express uncertainty.

CONCLUSION

This study highlights the need for new consultants to have psychologically safe, reflective spaces to think through uncertainties with others. This appears to reduce uncertainty, and also act as a source of feedback. The study adds to the existing calls to address uncertainty more explicitly in training, and challenge the expectations of certainty that exist within medicine.

Uncertainty tolerance scales: Weighing up the research

Patel and Hancock explore the uncertainty tolerance literature to determine how it ties in with quantitive scales developed to measure uncertainty tolerance.

What does shared decision making ask from doctors? Uncovering suppressed qualities that could improve person-centered care

OBJECTIVE

Shared decision making (SDM) is infrequently seen in clinical practice despite four decades of efforts. We propose a need to explore what SDM asks from doctors in terms of enabling competencies and necessary, underlying qualities, and how these can be nurtured or suppressed in medical training.

DISCUSSION

Key SDM tasks call for doctors to understand communication and decision mechanisms to carry them out well, including reflecting on what they know and do not know, considering what to say and how, and listening unprejudiced to patients. Different doctor qualities can support accomplishing these tasks; humility, flexibility, honesty, fairness, self-regulation, curiosity, compassion, judgment, creativity, and courage, all relevant to deliberation and decision making. Patient deference to doctors, lack of supervised training opportunities with professional feedback, and high demands in the work environment may all inflate the risk of only superficially involving patients.

CONCLUSIONS

We have identified ten professional qualities and related competencies required for SDM, with each to be selected based on the specific situation. The competencies and qualities need to be preserved and nurtured during doctor identity building, to bridge the gap between knowledge, technical skills, and authentic efforts to achieve SDM.

Identifying validity evidence for uncertainty tolerance scales: A systematic review

PURPOSE

Uncertainty tolerance (UT) is increasingly valued as a medical graduate attribute and broadly measured among medical student populations. However, the validity evidence underpinning UT scale implementation has not been summarised across studies. The present work evaluates UT scale validity evidence to better inform when, why and how UT scales ought to be used and to identify remaining validity evidence gaps.

METHODS

A literature search for psychometric studies of UT scales was completed in 2022. Records were included if they implemented one of the four most cited UT scales (i.e. Physicians' Reactions to Uncertainty scale 1990 [PRU1990] or 1995 [PRU1995], Tolerance for Ambiguity [TFA] scale or Tolerance of Ambiguity in Medical Students and Doctors scale [TAMSAD]) in a population of physicians and/or medial students and presented validity evidence according to the Standards for Educational and Psychological Testing framework. Included studies were rated and analysed according to evidence for test content, response processes, internal structure, relations to other variables and consequences of testing.

RESULTS

Among the investigated scales, 'relations to other variables' and 'internal structure' were the most commonly reported forms of validity evidence. No evidence of 'response processes' or 'consequences of testing' was identified. Overall, the PRU1990 and PRU1995 demonstrated the strongest validity evidence, although evidence primarily related to physician populations.

CONCLUSIONS

None of the studied scales demonstrated evidence for all five sources of validity. Future research would benefit from assessing validity evidence for 'response processes' and 'consequences of testing' among physicians and medical students at different training/career stages to better understand UT construct conceptualisation in these populations. Until further and stronger validity evidence for UT scales is established, we caution against implementing UT scales outside of research settings (e.g. for higher stakes decision making).

'Pawing' uncertainty! how dogs attenuate the impact of daily hassles at work on uncertainty

PURPOSE

This study relied on the integrative model of uncertainty tolerance to delineate an argument proposing that daily hassles trigger uncertainty, and this influences adaptive performance. Furthermore, relying on the "furr-recovery method" -where interactions with dogs allow dog owners to recover from negative situations or job demands - this study tested whether having a dog would moderate the relationship between daily hassles and uncertainty.

METHODOLOGY

To test this proposed model, daily data during ten working days was gathered with a sample of white-collar workers who were teleworking (N = 233 × 10 = 2,330).

FINDINGS

Multilevel results showed that daily hassles influenced adaptive performance via perceived uncertainty. However, the relationship between daily hassles and uncertainty was conditional on the ownership of a dog, in such a way that the relationship became weaker for those who had dogs. That is, those who did not have dogs had increased levels of uncertainty after daily hassles when compared to those who had dogs.

PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS

Managers may consider the adoption of pet-friendly work practices (for instance, telework - working from home allow employees to work nearby and interact with their dogs during worktime) as dogs appear to have a beneficial effect to help employees effectively cope with daily hassles and reduce their uncertain reactions.

ORIGINALITY

This study advances knowledge regarding the pawing-effect (the reduced uncertainty to daily hassles on dog owners) on employees' uncertainty to daily hassles and opens new venues for research regarding their role in work-related outcomes. Further, future research could examine how human-dog interactions or the quality of their relationship may benefit owners and explore the benefits of bringing dogs to work periodically.

Communication about diagnosis, prognosis, and prevention in the memory clinic: perspectives of European memory clinic professionals

BACKGROUND

The paradigm shift towards earlier Alzheimer's disease (AD) stages and personalized medicine creates new challenges for clinician-patient communication. We conducted a survey among European memory clinic professionals to identify opinions on communication about (etiological) diagnosis, prognosis, and prevention, and inventory needs for augmenting communication skills.

METHODS

Memory clinic professionals (N = 160) from 21 European countries completed our online survey (59% female, 14 ± 10 years' experience, 73% working in an academic hospital). We inventoried (1) opinions on communication about (etiological) diagnosis, prognosis, and prevention using 11 statements; (2) current communication practices in response to five hypothetical cases (AD dementia, mild cognitive impairment (MCI), subjective cognitive decline (SCD), with ( +) or without ( -) abnormal AD biomarkers); and (3) needs for communication support regarding ten listed communication skills.

RESULTS

The majority of professionals agreed that communication on diagnosis, prognosis, and prevention should be personalized to the individual patient. In response to the hypothetical patient cases, disease stage influenced the inclination to communicate an etiological AD diagnosis: 97% would explicitly mention the presence of AD to the patient with AD dementia, 68% would do so in MCI + , and 29% in SCD + . Furthermore, 58% would explicitly rule out AD in case of MCI - when talking to patients, and 69% in case of SCD - . Almost all professionals (79-99%) indicated discussing prognosis and prevention with all patients, of which a substantial part (48-86%) would personalize their communication to patients' diagnostic test results (39-68%) or patients' anamnestic information (33-82%). The majority of clinicians (79%) would like to use online tools, training, or both to support them in communicating with patients. Topics for which professionals desired support most were: stimulating patients' understanding of information, and communicating uncertainty, dementia risk, remotely/online, and with patients not (fluently) speaking the language of the country of residence.

CONCLUSIONS

In a survey of European memory clinic professionals, we found a strong positive attitude towards communication with patients about (etiological) diagnosis, prognosis, and prevention, and personalization of communication to characteristics and needs of individual patients. In addition, professionals expressed a need for supporting tools and skills training to further improve their communication with patients.

Quality of life, mentalization, and perception of challenging patient encounters in dentistry: A cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE

This study investigated how exposure to challenging patient encounters influenced participants' self-reported quality of life, and how participants' mentalization capabilities affected the perceptions of challenging patients encounters among Norwegian dentists and dental students.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data was collected with an online questionnaire, and a total of 165 dentists (n = 126) and dental students (n = 39) responded.

RESULTS

Participants who reported higher total exposure of challenging encounters reported lower quality of life (QoL). Mentalization tendencies affected the perception of challenging encounters with specific types of patients; critical and anxious; as well as the estimation of the total exposure to challenging patient encounters. Participants that were overconfident with regards to the mental states of others found these patient types less challenging and they reported less overall exposure to challenging patients than underconfident participants. Also, overconfident participants reported higher QoL than underconfident participants.

CONCLUSIONS

Mentalization capabilities of dental practitioners interact with the perception of challenging encounters in dental practice, and how practitioners respond to these challenges. Measures should be undertaken to increase the awareness of metacognitive skills in dentistry with the dual goal of improving patient care as well as the quality of life of dental practitioners.

Pattern breaking: a complex systems approach to psychedelic medicine

Recent research has demonstrated the potential of psychedelic therapy for mental health care. However, the psychological experience underlying its therapeutic effects remains poorly understood. This paper proposes a framework that suggests psychedelics act as destabilizers, both psychologically and neurophysiologically. Drawing on the 'entropic brain' hypothesis and the 'RElaxed Beliefs Under pSychedelics' model, this paper focuses on the richness of psychological experience. Through a complex systems theory perspective, we suggest that psychedelics destabilize fixed points or attractors, breaking reinforced patterns of thinking and behaving. Our approach explains how psychedelic-induced increases in brain entropy destabilize neurophysiological set points and lead to new conceptualizations of psychedelic psychotherapy. These insights have important implications for risk mitigation and treatment optimization in psychedelic medicine, both during the peak psychedelic experience and during the subacute period of potential recovery.

Taking or creating control: A qualitative study of uncertainty among novice nurses in ambulance care

INTRODUCTION

In emergency nursing situations, uncertainty may lead to delays, or block a decision which can have devastating consequences for a patient. The ambulance service is a complex clinical environment that often challenges the decision-making capabilities of the professionals, especially novice nurses. Novice nurses' uncertainty may also lead to unhealthy transitions and turnover. To increase the understanding of how uncertainty affects novice nurses, this study explores novice nurses' uncertainty during the first year of professional practice in the ambulance service.

METHOD

A qualitative descriptive design was applied using qualitative content analysis of thirteen individual face-to-face semi-structured deep interviews.

RESULT

From nine subcategories, three generic categories were derived: Reflections on contextual understanding, Strategies to create control, and Actions to take control. These were combined to form the main category Understanding what and dealing with how, while becoming a confident professional.

CONCLUSION

Uncertainty is exacerbated by situations that demand rapid decisions or actions. This is especially true of newcomers to a profession. Preparing novices through study programs and encouraging continuous reflection in professional practice may increase resilience and tolerance of uncertainty, as well as benefiting professional development.

Medical students' responses to uncertainty: a cross-sectional study using a new self-efficacy questionnaire in Aotearoa New Zealand

OBJECTIVES

Responding well to clinical uncertainty is a crucial skill for any doctor. To better understand how medical students develop this skill, Social Cognitive Theory can be used to explore students' perceived capability to respond to situations of uncertainty. This study aimed to construct a self-efficacy questionnaire and use it to measure medical students' responses to clinical uncertainty.

DESIGN

A 29-item questionnaire was constructed. For each item, participants rated their confidence in responding to uncertain situations using a scale of 0-100. Data were analysed with descriptive and inferential statistics.

SETTING

Aotearoa New Zealand.

PARTICIPANTS

The questionnaire was distributed to 716 of 852 medical students in second, fourth and sixth year, at the three campuses of the Otago Medical School.

RESULTS

The Self-Efficacy to Respond to Clinical Uncertainty (SERCU) questionnaire was completed by 495 participants (69% response rate) and found to be highly reliable (α=0.93). Exploratory factor analysis confirmed a unidimensional scale. A multiple linear regression model predicted self-efficacy scores from year of study, age, mode of entry, gender and ethnicity, F(11,470) = 4.252, p<0.001 adj. R²=0.069. Male students and those admitted to the programme 3 years postdegree or with significant allied health experience were predicted to have significantly higher self-efficacy scores. Year of study was not a significant predictor of average efficacy scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Our research contributes a novel, highly reliable questionnaire that uses self-efficacy to measure medical student responses to uncertainty. The questionnaire revealed that students' confidence in responding to uncertainty may be more related to their background and life experience than to progression through the curriculum. Medical educators and researchers can use the SERCU questionnaire to obtain a new perspective on how their students respond to uncertainty, inform future research and tailor teaching about uncertainty.

The role of uncertainty intolerance in adjusting to long-term physical health conditions: A systematic review

Long-term physical health conditions (LTPHCs) are associated with poorer psychological well-being, quality of life, and longevity. Additionally, individuals with LTPHCs report uncertainty in terms of condition aetiology, course, treatment, and ability to engage in life. An individual's dispositional ability to tolerate uncertainty-or difficulty to endure the unknown-is termed intolerance of uncertainty (IU), and may play a pivotal role in their adjustment to a LTPHC. Consequently, the current review sought to investigate the relationship between IU and health-related outcomes, including physical symptoms, psychological ramifications, self-management, and treatment adherence in individuals with LTPHCs. A systematic search was conducted for papers published from inception until 27 May 2022 using the databases PsycINFO, PubMed (MEDLINE), CINAHL Plus, PsycARTICLES, and Web of Science. Thirty-one studies (N = 6,201) met the inclusion criteria. Results indicated that higher levels of IU were associated with worse psychological well-being outcomes and poorer quality of life, though impacts on self-management were less clear. With the exception of one study (which looked at IU in children), no differences in IU were observed between patients and healthy controls. Although findings highlight the importance of investigating IU related to LTPHCs, the heterogeneity and limitations of the existing literature preclude definite conclusions. Future longitudinal and experimental research is required to investigate how IU interacts with additional psychological constructs and disease variables to predict individuals' adjustment to living with a LTPHC.

A scoping review and behavioural analysis of factors underlying overuse of antimicrobials

Background

Overuse of antimicrobials is a challenging global issue that contributes to antimicrobial resistance. Despite widespread awareness of the problem among members of the medical community and various attempts to improve prescription practices, existing antimicrobial stewardship programmes are not always effective. In our view, this may reflect limited understanding of factors that influence prescription of antimicrobials as empirical therapy, implying a need to address the psychological mechanisms behind some of the specific behaviours involved.

Objectives

To identify factors that influence the antimicrobials prescription as empirical therapy, and to relate these factors to findings from behavioural science.

Methods

We conducted a scoping review of the literature on the factors underlying antimicrobial prescription decisions, following the protocol designed using PRISMA guidelines.

Results and conclusions

From a final sample of 90 sources, we identified ten factors important in antimicrobial prescription decisions. In the second stage of our analysis, we grouped them into five final categories: (1) nature of the decision, (2) social influences, (3) individual differences, (4) characteristics of the patient, (5) context. We analyse these categories using a behavioural science perspective.

Global Prevalence of Eating Disorders in Nutrition and Dietetic University Students: A Systematic Scoping Review

BACKGROUND

Nutrition and dietetics (ND) training encourages behaviors that can be considered risk factors for eating disorders or disordered eating. This paper aims to explore the prevalence of eating disorders (EDs) and predictors of eating disorders (/P-EDs) in ND students.

METHODS

A systematic scoping review of the literature was performed on PubMed, ERIC, PsychINFO, OVID Medline, and Scopus in October 2022.

RESULTS

A total of 2097 papers were retrieved from the search, of which 19 studies met the inclusion criteria. The resultant literature reported that 4-32% of ND students were at high risk of EDs (n = 6 studies), and 23-89% could be classified as having orthorexia nervosa (n = 7 studies). Further, 37-86% reported body image/fat dissatisfaction (n = 10 studies), and 100% of students reported weight dissatisfaction (n = 1 study).

CONCLUSIONS

This paper highlights the prevalence of EDs and P-EDs across ND students. Further research is warranted to explore the cause, context, and impact on ND students' wellbeing and professional identity and supporting diversity within the profession. Future studies should also consider curriculum approaches to address this occupational hazard.

"I Want Them to Still Trust Me with Their Child's Care": A Longitudinal Study of Pediatric Residents' Reactions to and Communication with Parents about Medical Uncertainty across Residency

Physicians in residency training experience high levels of medical uncertainty, yet they are often hesitant to discuss uncertainty with parents. Guided by the theory of motivated information management and a multiple goals perspective, this mixed-methods longitudinal study examines associations among residents' tolerance of and reactions to uncertainty, efficacy communicating about uncertainty, and perceptions of parents' trust in them as physicians. To contextualize these associations, we also examined residents' task, identity, and relational goals when communicating about uncertainty with parents. We surveyed 47 pediatric residents at the beginning of each year of their residency program. As they progressed through their training, residents' uncertainty-related anxiety and reluctance to communicate uncertainty to parents decreased, and their efficacy communicating uncertainty with parents increased. Residents' concerns about bad outcomes remained unchanged. Residents pursued multiple, often conflicting, conversational goals when communicating uncertainty with parents. Results reveal important considerations for addressing how residents can manage their uncertainty in productive ways.

Scientific uncertainty and perceived mammography benefits in women screened for breast cancer

PURPOSE

Personal aversion to scientific uncertainty may influence how women perceive the benefits of mammography, a breast cancer screening practice with conflicting scientific opinions and guidelines. Such associations may even exist among women who participate in screening.

METHODS

We evaluated the distribution of aversion to ambiguous medical information (AA-Med), using a 6-item scale capturing the level of agreement with statements about obtaining a cancer screening test with conflicting medical recommendations in 665 women (aged 40-60 years; 79.5% Hispanic) recruited during screening mammography appointments in New York City. We assessed the association of AA-Med with perceptions of benefits of mammography (breast cancer mortality reduction, worry reduction, early detection, treatment improvement) using multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

Over a quarter of participants expressed negative reactions to medical ambiguity about a cancer screening test (e.g., fear, lower trust in experts), but a majority endorsed intention to undergo screening. AA-Med was higher in women who were U.S.-born, non-Hispanic black, and had marginal to adequate health literacy, but there were no differences by clinical factors or screening experiences (e.g., family history, prior breast biopsy). Women with higher AA-Med were more likely to perceive treatment benefits from mammography (OR = 1.37, 95% CI = 0.99-1.90), but AA-Med was not associated with other perceived mammography benefits.

CONCLUSIONS

Aversion to uncertainty regarding cancer screening varies by sociodemographic characteristics but has limited associations with perceived mammography benefits in women who already participate in screening.

Provision of and trust in COVID-19 vaccines information: Perspectives of people who have had COVID-19

AIM

The aim of this study was to understand the provision and need, quality of and trust in COVID-19 vaccines information from the perspectives of people who have had COVID-19 infection.

METHOD

People who have had a COVID-19 infection were approached via their general practice and invited to participate in the Nivel Corona Cohort. They completed questionnaires at baseline (Q1), and at three months (Q2). Outcome measures were based on health information-seeking behaviour, as used in the Comprehensive Model of Information Seeking. Antecedents (i.e., gender, age, education level, health literacy) were used from Q1, and one's beliefs and experiences (i.e., trust in the information and healthcare system, how applicable the information is), information carrier factors (i.e., information quality perceptions and via which sources), health-information seeking actions (i.e., decision to vaccinate and information sufficiency) and vaccination status from Q2. Data were analysed using descriptive analyses, analysis of variance tests (F-tests) and χ² tests with the statistical software STATA.

RESULTS

Of the respondents (N = 314), 96% were vaccinated at least once, mostly after having had the virus. Most retrieved information about COVID-19 vaccines on the website of the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (79%), broader via the internet (56%), or from family and friends (35%). Almost all had trust in the information (89%) and healthcare system (94%). Most found the information applicable to their situation (67%). Moreover, most perceived the information as correct (71%) and did not perceive the information to be misleading (85%), while fewer people found the information reliable (59%) and clear (58%). Overall, the majority indicated that the information met their expectations to make a well-informed decision to vaccinate (89%).

CONCLUSION

Different characteristics of people who had COVID-19 and sought information were identified, which is important to offer tailored information. People who had COVID-19 in this study, mainly middle-aged, vaccinated and highly educated, were generally positive about the vaccines information, but overall the reliability and clarity could be improved. This is important for a high vaccination uptake, booster programs and coming pandemics.

PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION

The questionnaire was reviewed by patients who had COVID-19, one of whom is a health services researcher.