Tolerance of uncertainty: Conceptual analysis, integrative model, and implications for healthcare

'I was uncertain, but I was acting on it': A longitudinal qualitative study of medical students' responses to uncertainty

PURPOSE

Uncertainty is ubiquitous within medical practice. Accordingly, how individuals respond to uncertainty, termed uncertainty tolerance (UT), is increasingly considered a medical graduate competency. Despite this, aspects of the UT construct are debated, which may relate to research focused on measuring UT, rather than understanding students' experiences. Therefore, we asked (1) how do medical students describe their responses to uncertainty, (2) how (if at all) do described responses change over time and (3) how do described responses contribute to understanding the UT construct.

METHODS

Engaging an interpretivist worldview, we conducted a longitudinal qualitative study throughout 2020 with 41 clinical medical students at an Australian medical school. Participants completed reflective diary entries across six in-semester time-points (n = 41, 40, 39, 38, 37 and 35) and semi-structured interviews at the end of both semesters (n = 20 per semester). We analysed data using framework analysis.

RESULTS

Although participants communicated accepting health care uncertainties, described cognitive appraisals of uncertainty ranged from threatening (e.g. challenging credibility) to opportunistic (e.g. for learning and growth). Emotions in response to uncertainty were predominately described in negative terms, including worry and anxiety. Participants described a range of maladaptive and adaptive behavioural responses, including avoiding versus actively engaging with uncertainty. Despite describing typically negative emotions across time, participants' cognitive and behavioural response descriptions shifted from self-doubt and avoidance, towards acceptance of, and engagement despite uncertainty.

CONCLUSIONS

Students' descriptions of responses to uncertainty suggest existing UT conceptualisations may not holistically reflect medical students' experiences of what it means to be uncertainty 'tolerant', especially pertaining to conceptualisations of 'tolerance' centred on emotions (e.g. stress) rather than how uncertainty is ultimately managed. Extending from this study, the field could consider redefining characteristics of uncertainty 'tolerance' to focus on adaptive cognitive and behavioural responses, rather than emotional responses as key indicators of 'tolerance'.

Uncertainty tolerance among primary care physicians: Relationship to shared decision making-related perceptions, practices, and physician characteristics

OBJECTIVE

Understand how physicians' uncertainty tolerance (UT) in clinical care relates to their personal characteristics, perceptions and practices regarding shared decision making (SDM).

METHODS

As part of a trial of SDM training about colorectal cancer screening, primary care physicians (n = 67) completed measures of their uncertainty tolerance in medical practice (Anxiety subscale of the Physician's Reactions to Uncertainty Scale, PRUS-A), and their SDM self-efficacy (confidence in SDM skills). Patients (N = 466) completed measures of SDM (SDM Process scale) after a clinical visit. Bivariate regression analyses and multilevel regression analyses examined relationships.

RESULTS

Higher UT was associated with greater physician age (p = .01) and years in practice (p = 0.015), but not sex or race. Higher UT was associated with greater SDM self-efficacy (p < 0.001), but not patient-reported SDM.

CONCLUSION

Greater age and practice experience predict greater physician UT, suggesting that UT might be improved through training, while UT is associated with greater confidence in SDM, suggesting that improving UT might improve SDM. However, UT was unassociated with patient-reported SDM, raising the need for further studies of these relationships.

PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS

Developing and implementing training interventions aimed at increasing physician UT may be a promising way to promote SDM in clinical care.

"A Certainty for you Does Not Mean That it is a Certainty for Science": A Phenomenological Analysis of Experiences of Uncertainty in Clinical Reasoning of Nurses in the Postanesthesia Care Unit

PURPOSE

To explore the experiences of uncertainty in the clinical reasoning of nurses in the postanesthesia care unit (PACU).

DESIGN

A phenomenological descriptive design, following Colaizzi's analysis.

METHODS

Semistructured interviews were conducted with 14 nurses from a PACU on their experience of uncertainty in clinical reasoning. The interviews were digitally audio-recorded and transcribed verbatim. Two researchers conducted data analysis independently and followed seven phases: (re)reading the transcripts, extracting significant statements, formulating meanings from significant statements, aggregating formulated meanings into themes, developing a description of the phenomenon's essential structure, generating of the fundamental structure of the phenomenon, validating of the findings through participant feedback. The process employed MAXQDA analytics Pro 2022 software. Consolidated Criteria for Reporting A Qualitative Research checklist was used for reporting.

FINDINGS

From uncertainty experiences in nurses' clinical reasoning, 10 themes emerged: ambiguity and decision latitude, communication, work ethic, difficulty interpreting and predicting outcomes, cognitive performance impairment, incivility, core competence vagueness of postanesthesia nurses, high-tech care, (in)security and risk, and occupational stress.

CONCLUSIONS

The experiences of uncertainty in clinical reasoning of nurses in postanesthesia care units are highly focused on patient safety. Exploring these experiences has made uncertainty more tangible and explicit, which will enable nurses in postanesthesia care units to prepare for adaptive responses to deal with uncertainty when it occurs in clinical practice.

Tolerance for Ambiguity: Correlations With Medical and Physical Therapy Student Traits and Experiences Within the Learning Environment

PURPOSE

Health care professions trainees and clinicians who perceive ambiguous situations as sources of threat (low tolerance for ambiguity [TFA]) experience greater risk for mental health disorders and professional burnout. Physical therapists likely encounter substantial ambiguity because of the biopsychosocial nature of their main therapeutic strategies. The purpose of this study was to identify student traits and experiences within the learning environment that differentiate students with high and low TFA for medicine and physical therapy (PT), and to identify areas of interprofessional overlap and distinction.

METHOD

Graduation Questionnaire survey data from graduating PT (n = 2,727) and medical students (n = 33,159) from the 2019-2020 and 2020-2021 academic years were sorted according to student TFA score, and respondents in the highest and lowest TFA quartiles were retained for analysis. Difference-in-differences analysis was used to reduce the number of potential explanatory factors to a parimonious subset that was put into linear regression models. Inferential statistics were applied to all significant factors identified from the linear regression models.

RESULTS

For both professions, higher TFA was generally associated with more positive ratings of the learning environment (student-faculty interactions, faculty professionalism, satisfaction with career choice), lower experiences of exhaustion and disengagement (the 2 axes of academic burnout), and higher scores for the empathy domain of perspective taking. Uniquely for medical students, low TFA was associated with lower empathy scores and a lower degree of interest in working with underserved individuals.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings suggest that for both professions, high TFA corresponded with better ratings of the educational experience and with traits that are advantageous for patient-centered practice and occupational resilience. Interventions to cultivate TFA among health care trainees may be an important way to meet the growing demand for humanistic health care professionals who are prepared to meet society's complex needs.

Systematic Search and Scoping Review of Physicians' Intolerance of Uncertainty and Medical Decision-Making Uncertainties During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Summary of the Literature and Directions for Future Research

Pandemic-related uncertainties and intolerance of uncertainty (IU) could negatively affect physicians' well-being and functioning, being associated with experiences of distress and problematic decision-making processes. To summarize the available quantitative and qualitative evidence of physicians' IU and decisional uncertainty during COVID-19 and problems associated with it, a systematic search was conducted to identify all relevant articles describing physician uncertainty with regard to medical decision making and well-being in COVID-19 pandemic conditions. Medical, psychological, and preprint databases were searched. Ten articles met all eligibility criteria, with eight describing quantitative and two describing qualitative research outcomes, assessed primarily in European regions and via online surveys. Associations between IU and symptoms of poor mental health and mental health risk factors were widespread, but inconsistencies emerged. Qualitative studies emphasized decisional uncertainty as a stressor for physicians, and quantitative studies suggest it may have fostered more unproven treatment choices. While the prevalence and impact of physician uncertainty under COVID-19 conditions requires further investigation, sighting available literature indicates that IU coincided with experiences of poor mental health and, at least towards the beginning of the pandemic, with willingness to endorse unproven treatments. Efforts to reduce uncertainty-related problems for physicians seem warranted, for example, through normalizing experiences of uncertainty or reducing avoidable uncertainty through maintaining open and timely communication channels.

Uncertain world: How children's curiosity and intolerance of uncertainty relate to their behaviour and emotion under uncertainty

Curiosity and intolerance of uncertainty (IU) are both thought to drive information seeking but may have different affective profiles; curiosity is often associated with positive affective responses to uncertainty and improved learning outcomes, whereas IU is associated with negative affective responses and anxiety. Curiosity and IU have not previously been examined together in children but may both play an important role in understanding how children respond to uncertainty. Our research aimed to examine how individual differences in parent-reported curiosity and IU were associated with behavioural and emotional responses to uncertainty. Children aged 8 to 12 (n = 133) completed a game in which they were presented with an array of buttons on the screen that, when clicked, played neutral or aversive sounds. Children pressed buttons (information seeking) and rated their emotions and worry under conditions of high and low uncertainty. Facial expressions were also monitored for affective responses. Analyses revealed that children sought more information under high uncertainty than low uncertainty trials and that more curious children reported feeling happier. Contrary to expectations, IU and curiosity were not related to the number of buttons children pressed, nor to their self-reported emotion or worry. However, exploratory analyses suggest that children who are high in IU may engage in more information seeking that reflects checking or safety-seeking than those who are low in IU. In addition, our findings suggest that there may be age-related change in the effects of IU on worry, with IU more strongly related to worry in uncertain situations for older children than younger children.

Intolerance of uncertainty and negative emotions among high school art students during COVID-19 pandemic: a moderated mediation analysis

Objectives

A number of high school art students experience negative emotions during their preparation for the art college entrance examination, characterized by worries and fear of uncertainty. Therefore, how individual difference factors, such as intolerance of uncertainty, affect the negative emotions of students needs to be examined. Inspired by the integrative model of uncertainty tolerance, the current study seeks to explain the association between intolerance of uncertainty and negative emotions by testing the potential mediating role of psychological capital and the moderating role of family functioning.

Patients and methods

A total of 919 Chinese high school art students (Mage = 18.50 years, range = 16-22) participated from November 2022 to December 2022. Convenience sampling strategies were used. The participants were asked to complete the measures of intolerance of uncertainty scale, psychological capital questionnaire, depression anxiety stress scale, and family adaptability and cohesion evaluation scale. The data were analyzed using Pearson's r correlations and moderated mediation analysis.

Results

Results showed that intolerance of uncertainty was positively associated with negative emotions but negatively associated with psychological capital, which in turn, was negatively associated with negative emotions. Psychological capital mediated the indirect link of intolerance of uncertainty with negative emotions. Family functioning buffered the impact of psychological capital on negative emotions.

Conclusion

This study can enhance our understanding of the intolerance of uncertainty on negative emotions and provide insights on interventions for high school art students' negative emotions for educators. The interventions targeting intolerance of uncertainty, psychological capital and family functioning may be beneficial in reducing the effect of intolerance of uncertainty on negative emotions faced by high school art students.

Residents' willingness towards first-contact with primary health care under uncertainty in healthcare: a cross-sectional study in rural China

OBJECTIVE

To estimate Chinese rural residents' willingness degree of initially contacting primary healthcare (PHC) under uncertainty in healthcare and to explore its influencing factors.

SETTING

This study collected primary data from rural residents in Dangyang, Hubei Province in China.

PARTICIPANTS

The study investigated 782 residents and 701 finished the survey. The response rate was 89.64%. A further 27 residents failed the internal consistency test, so the effective sample size was 674.

DESIGN

In this cross-sectional study, residents' willingness was reflected by the threshold of disease severity for PHC (TDSP), the individual maximal disease scope for considering PHC based on residents' decision-making framework. TDSP was measured through scenario tests. Univariate analysis and unordered multiple logistic regression were used to explore the influencing factors of three-level TDSP: low, general, and high.

RESULTS

Only 28.2% of respondents had high TDSP and high willingness towards PHC. Compared with general TDSP, respondents who were younger than 40 (OR 7.344, 95% CI 2.463 to 21.894), rich (OR 1.913, 95% CI 1.083 to 3.379), highly risk-averse (OR 1.958, 95% CI 1.016 to 3.774), had substitute medical decision-maker (OR value of parent/child was 2.738, 95% CI 1.386 to 5.411) and had no visits to PHC in the last 6 months (OR 2.098, 95% CI 1.316 to 3.346) tended to have low TDSP and low willingness towards PHC. Compared with general TDSP, no factors were found to significantly influence respondents' high TDSP.

CONCLUSIONS

TDSP can be a good indicator of residents' willingness. TDSP results demonstrate rural residents' generally low willingness towards first-contact with PHC that some residents refuse to consider PHC even for mild diseases. This study provides practical significance for elaborating the underutilisation of PHC from resident decision-making and offers advice to policymakers and researchers for future modifications.

Using MCQ response certainty to determine how aspects of self-monitoring develop through a medical course

INTRODUCTION

Self-monitoring of clinical-decision-making is essential for health care professional practice. Using certainty in responses to assessment items could allow self-monitoring of clinical-decision-making by medical students to be tracked over time. This research introduces how aspects of insightfulness, safety and efficiency could be based on certainty in, and correctness of, multiple-choice question (MCQ) responses. We also show how these measures change over time.

METHODS

With each answer on twice yearly MCQ progress tests, medical students provided their certainty of correctness. An insightful student would be more likely to be correct for those answers given with increasing certainty. A safe student would be expected to have a high probability of being correct for answers given with a high certainty. An efficient student would be expected to have a sufficiently low probability of being correct when they have no certainty. The system was developed using first principles and data from one cohort of students. A dataset from a second cohort was then used as an independent validation sample.

RESULTS

The patterns of aspects of self-monitoring were similar for both cohorts. Almost all the students met the criteria for insightfulness on all tests. Most students had an undetermined outcome for the safety aspect. When a definitive result for safety was obtained, absence of safety was most prevalent in the middle of the course, while the presence of safety increased later. Most of the students met the criteria for efficiency, with the highest prevalence mid-course, but efficiency was more likely to be absent later.

DISCUSSION

Throughout the course, students showed reassuring levels of insightfulness. The results suggest that students may balance safety with efficiency. This may be explained by students learning the positive implications of decisions before the negative implications, making them initially more efficient, but later being more cautious and safer.

Nurses' Anxiety Mediates the Relationship between Clinical Tolerance to Uncertainty and Antibiotic Initiation Decisions in Residential Aged-Care Facilities

HIGHLIGHTS

The impact of non-clinical factors (e.g., resident and family preferences) on prescribing is well-established. There is a gap in the literature regarding the mechanisms through which these preferences are experienced as pressure by prescribers within the unique context of residential aged-care facilities (RACFs).A significant relationship was found between nurses' anxiety, clinical tolerance of uncertainty, and the perceived need for antibiotics and assessment.As such, there is a need to expand stewardship beyond education alone to include interventions that help nurses manage uncertainty and anxiety and include other stakeholders (e.g., family members) when making clinical decisions in the RACF setting.

What influences antibiotic initiation? Developing a scale to measure nursing behaviour in residential aged-care facilities

AIM

The purpose of the current study was to develop and assess the psychometric properties of a measure that captures nursing behaviours that have the potential to influence the initiation of antibiotics in residential aged-care facilities.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional online survey.

METHOD

One hundred and fifty-seven nurses completed an online survey. The survey consisted of two clinical vignettes and measures of tolerance of uncertainty and anxiety. The vignettes consisted of the most common presentations (urinary tract infections and upper respiratory tract infections) of two hypothetical residents in aged-care facilities. The vignettes provided participants with incremental information with varying levels of symptoms, input from other people and availability of test results. Both vignettes were subjected to exploratory factor analysis.

RESULTS

The results focus on the 16 items in the second vignette which resulted in the extraction of three factors. The derived factors were labelled as follows: (i) Noting and Calling GP, (ii) Consult a Colleague and (iii) Immediate Assessment and Antibiotics. Reliability analysis revealed excellent to satisfactory reliability. All three scales were significantly correlated with measures of clinical tolerance of uncertainty, and the 'noting and calling GP' scale was also negatively correlated with measures of anxiety and general tolerance of uncertainty. The measure showed satisfactory reliability and validity for capturing nursing behaviours that have the potential to influence decisions regarding antibiotics. As such, the current study provides a first step towards addressing the lack of ecologically valid measures that capture the complex and nuanced context of nurses' behaviours in RACF that have the potential to inform future stewardship interventions.

Learning to navigate uncertainty in primary care: a scoping literature review

BACKGROUND

Clinical practice occurs in the context of uncertainty. Primary care is a clinical environment that accepts and works with uncertainty differently from secondary care. Recent literature reviews have contributed to understanding how clinical uncertainty is taught in educational settings and navigated in secondary care, and, to a lesser extent, by experienced GPs. We do not know how medical students and doctors in training learn to navigate uncertainty in primary care.

AIM

To explore what is known about primary care as an opportunity for learning to navigate uncertainty.

DESIGN & SETTING

Scoping review of articles written in English.

METHOD

Using a scoping review methodology, Embase, MEDLINE, and Web of Science databases were searched, with additional articles obtained through citation searching. Studies were included in this review if they: (a) were based within populations of medical students and/or doctors in training; and (b) considered clinical uncertainty or ambiguity in primary care or a simulated primary care setting. Study findings were analysed thematically.

RESULTS

Thirty-six studies were included from which the following three major themes were developed: uncertainty contributes to professional identity formation (PIF); adaptive responses; and maladaptive behaviours. Relational and social factors that influence PIF were identified. Adaptive responses included adjusting epistemic expectations and shared decision making (SDM).

CONCLUSION

Educators can play a key role in helping learners navigate uncertainty through socialisation, discussing primary care epistemology, recognising maladaptive behaviours, and fostering a culture of constructive responses to uncertainty.

Navigating Uncertainty in Clinical Practice: A Structured Approach

The practice of clinical medicine is imbued with uncertainty. The ways in which clinicians and patients think about, communicate about, and act within situations of heightened uncertainty can have significant implications for the therapeutic alliance and for the trajectory and outcomes of clinical care. Despite this, there is limited guidance about the best methods for physicians to recognize, acknowledge, communicate about, and manage uncertainty in clinical settings. In this paper, we propose a structured approach for discussing and managing uncertainty within the context of a clinician-patient relationship. The approach involves four steps: Recognize, Acknowledge, Partner, and Seek Support (i.e., the RAPS framework). The approach is guided by existing literature on uncertainty as well as our own experience as clinicians working at different stages of career. We define each component of the approach and present sample language and actions for how to implement it in practice. Our aim is to empower clinicians to regard situations of high uncertainty as an opportunity to deepen the therapeutic alliance with the patient, and simultaneously to grow and learn as practitioners.

Association between tolerance for ambiguity specific to the clinical context and empathy in medical trainees: A multicenter cross-sectional study in Japan

PURPOSE

Physicians' empathy and ambiguity tolerance have recently become a focus of medical education. However, the association between the two concepts remains unclear. This study examined the association between empathy and ambiguity tolerance in the clinical context among medical trainees.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter cross-sectional study in 12 institutions: 2 universities for medical students and 10 hospitals for residents. We assessed ambiguity tolerance using the Japanese version of the Tolerance of Ambiguity in Medical Students and Doctors scale. The outcome variable was empathy, measured using the Japanese translation of the Jefferson Scales of Empathy (JSE).

RESULTS

Data from 100 medical students and 135 residents were analyzed. After adjustment for possible confounders, the factor scores of 'tolerance for things that are not black or white in medicine' showed a dose-dependent association with the JSE. There was no clear trend in the association between the total scores or other factor scores and empathy.

CONCLUSION

This nationwide multicenter study showed that the factor scores of 'tolerance for things that are not black or white in medicine' were associated with empathy among medical trainees. Our findings may be helpful for developing interventions in the field of medical education to nurture empathy.

Exploring Norwegian homecare healthcare professionals' perceptions of risk and the link to high-quality care: a qualitative multiple case study

OBJECTIVES

Homecare is a critical component of the ongoing restructuring of healthcare worldwide, given the shift from institution- to home-based care. The homecare evidence base still contains significant gaps: There is a lack of knowledge regarding quality and safety work and interventions. This study explores how home healthcare professionals perceive and use the concept of risk to guide them in providing high-quality healthcare while maintaining resilience.

DESIGN

The study design is a qualitative multiple case study. The phenomena explored were risk perception, sensemaking and adaptations of care delivered to patients in their homes. Inductive content analysis was conducted.

SETTING

The study was conducted in three Norwegian municipalities. Each municipality was defined as a single case.

PARTICIPANTS

Interviews with healthcare professionals were performed both individually and in focus groups of three to five persons. 19 interviews with 35 informants were conducted: 11 individual semistructured interviews and 8 focus groups.

RESULTS

Four themes were identified: 'professionalism is constantly prioritising and aligning care based on here-and-now observations' 'teamwork feels safe and enhances quality' 'taking responsibility for system risk' and 'reluctantly accepting the extended expectations from society'.

CONCLUSIONS

To make sense of risk when aspiring for high-quality care in everyday work, the healthcare professionals in this sample mainly used their clinical gaze, gut feeling and experience to detect subtle changes in the patients' condition. Assessing risk information, not only individually but also as a team, was reportedly crucial for high-quality care. Healthcare professionals emphasised the well-being, safety and soundness of the patients when acting on risk information. They felt obliged to act on their gut feeling, moral compass and clinical understanding of quality.

The culture of doubt: Do medical students really experience clinical uncertainty when they should?

Uncertainty is a fundamental aspect of medical practice, necessitating incorporation into undergraduate medical training. The integrative model of uncertainty tolerance (UT) developed by Hillen and Han serves as a comprehensive framework for exploring clinical uncertainty. While studies have extensively examined UT dimensions, including sources, responses, and moderators, the factors influencing the perception of uncertainty stimuli remain underexplored. However, students' ability to perceive uncertainty and their approach to uncertain stimuli play a crucial role in enabling them to develop adaptive responses to uncertainty, necessary for their comfort in these situations. Defining uncertainty as a metacognitive state suggests significant variability in its perception among individuals and within an individual over time. Moreover, several studies have demonstrated the substantial influence of various individual and contextual factors on how individuals perceive and respond to uncertainty. In this paper, the authors present multiple hypotheses to address the question of whether students genuinely perceive uncertainty stimuli when they should. The authors argue that students' personal relationship with their knowledge is essential in their ability to identify clinical uncertainty, particularly concerning the limits of medical knowledge. Therefore, they propose that an academic culture fostering doubt, through exposing students to a variety of perspectives, would enhance their ability to identify uncertainty zones in a clinical situation at an early stage. Drawing on Dewey's situational theory, the authors emphasize the importance of better understanding, in a work setting, the influence of contextual and situational characteristics on individual perceptions of uncertainty. In line with this idea, ethnographic studies would offer valuable insights into identifying the relationship between the students, their work environment, and their perception of clinical uncertainty.

Artificial intelligence and clinical anatomical education: Promises and perils

Anatomy educators are often at the forefront of adopting innovative and advanced technologies for teaching, such as artificial intelligence (AI). While AI offers potential new opportunities for anatomical education, hard lessons learned from the deployment of AI tools in other domains (e.g., criminal justice, healthcare, and finance) suggest that these opportunities are likely to be tempered by disadvantages for at least some learners and within certain educational contexts. From the perspectives of an anatomy educator, public health researcher, medical ethicist, and an educational technology expert, this article examines five tensions between the promises and the perils of integrating AI into anatomy education. These tensions highlight the ways in which AI is currently ill-suited for incorporating the uncertainties intrinsic to anatomy education in the areas of (1) human variations, (2) healthcare practice, (3) diversity and social justice, (4) student support, and (5) student learning. Practical recommendations for a considered approach to working alongside AI in the contemporary (and future) anatomy education learning environment are provided, including enhanced transparency about how AI is integrated, AI developer diversity, inclusion of uncertainty and anatomical variations within deployed AI, provisions made for educator awareness of AI benefits and limitations, building in curricular "AI-free" time, and engaging AI to extend human capacities. These recommendations serve as a guiding framework for how the clinical anatomy discipline, and anatomy educators, can work alongside AI, and develop a more nuanced and considered approach to the role of AI in healthcare education.

Women's Metaphors About BRCA Gene Testing and How They Can Inform Health Communication Theory and Practice

Genetic testing can detect whether an individual carries a harmful variant in the BRCA1 or BRCA2 (Breast Cancer 1 or 2) gene which, if present, drastically increases a woman's risk for breast and ovarian cancer. The experience of BRCA gene testing can be an emotionally laden process yielding significant uncertainty. In this study, we examined women's experiences of BRCA gene testing by exploring how participants communicatively framed and made sense of this process through the use of metaphors. Comparing uncertain and unfamiliar experiences to familiar references through metaphor can help people in challenging health-related situations with sense-making and communicating complex emotions. Furthermore, metaphors can be employed as a therapeutic tool by health care professionals, but their use has not often been studied regarding experiences of genetic testing, including BRCA gene testing. We conducted in-depth interviews with 42 women who have undergone BRCA gene testing (regardless of results), and analyzed data using constant comparative techniques. Eight categories of metaphors that women used surrounding BRCA gene testing were evident in the data, including those related to (a) knowledge is power; (b) gambling; (c) a journey; (d) a rollercoaster; (e) battle, disaster, or wreckage; (f) Pandora's box or a can of worms; (g) doom and gloom; and (h) the release or placing of a weight. Results enhance our understanding of women's experiences related to the uncertainty-inducing process of BRCA gene testing and lead to valuable theoretical implications and practical recommendations, including regarding the potential use of metaphors in patient-provider communication about BRCA genetic risk.

Bearing witness poetically in a pandemic: documenting suffering and care in conditions of physical isolation and uncertainty

The COVID-19 crisis is still affecting millions of people worldwide. However, government and mass media attention to the continuing loss of life, severe illness and prolonged effects of COVID-19 has subsided, rendering the suffering of those who have become ill or disabled, or who have lost loved ones to the disease, largely hidden from view. In this article, we employ autoethnographic poetic inquiry from the perspective of a mother/carer whose young adult daughter became critically ill and hospitalised after becoming infected while the mother herself was isolating at home due to her own COVID-19 diagnosis. The first author created a poem from notes she had made in a journal from telephone conversations and messages with the healthcare providers caring for her daughter. The second author responded to the poem, identifying the feelings and meanings it surfaced. Together, the authors draw on scholarship discussing concepts of uncertainty, liminality, moral distress, bearing witness and illness narratives to reflect on how autoethnographic poetic inquiry can document and make visible COVID-19-related suffering.

How do residents respond to uncertainty with peers and supervisors in multidisciplinary teams? Insights from simulations with epistemic fidelity

BACKGROUND

Residents struggle to express clinical uncertainty, often exhibiting negative cognitive, behavioral, and emotional responses to uncertainty when engaging with patients or supervisors. However, the Integrative Model of Uncertainty Tolerance posits that individuals may have positive or negative responses to perceived uncertainty. Situational characteristics, such as interactions with other health professionals, can impact whether the response is positive or negative. The team context in which residents interact with resident peers and supervisors could represent varying situational characteristics that enable a spectrum of responses to uncertainty. Understanding the situational characteristics of multidisciplinary teams that allow residents to display positive responses to perceived uncertainty could inform strategies to foster positive responses to uncertainty in other contexts. We explored resident responses to perceived uncertainty in a simulated multidisciplinary team context.

METHODS

A simulation-primed qualitative inquiry approach was used. Fourteen residents from Cardiology and Obstetrics and Gynecology participated in simulation scenarios involving pregnant patients with heart disease. We incorporated epistemic fidelity through the deliberate inclusion of ambiguity and complexity to prompt uncertainty. Audio recordings of debriefing sessions were analyzed using directed content analysis.

RESULTS

Residents recognized that uncertainty is unavoidable, and positive responses to uncertainty are crucial to team dynamics and patient safety. While residents had positive responses to expressing uncertainty to peers, they had predominantly negative responses to expressing uncertainty to supervisors. Predominant negative response to supervisors related to judgement from supervisors, and impacts on perceived trustworthiness or independence. Although residents recognized expressing uncertainty to a supervisor could identify opportunities for learning and resolve their uncertainty, the negative responses overshadowed the positive responses. Residents highly valued instances in which supervisors were forthcoming about their own uncertainty.

CONCLUSIONS

Through participation in simulations with epistemic fidelity, residents reflected on how they perceive and respond to uncertainty in multidisciplinary teams. Our findings emphasize the role of situational characteristics, particularly peers and supervisors, in moderating responses to perceived uncertainty. The productive discussions around responses to uncertainty in debriefing sessions suggest further studies of multidisciplinary simulations could enhance our understanding of how uncertainty is expressed, and potentially be used as an instructional intervention to promote positive responses to uncertainty.

Past as Prologue: Predicting Potential Psychosocial-Ethical Burdens of Positive Newborn Screens as Conditions Propagate

We look to the past as prologue for guidance in predicting and circumventing potential psychosocial-ethical challenges, including those that may influence the attachment process for some parents. We consider the evolution of bioethics and developmental psychology as they intersect with newborn screening while exploring potential implications of positive findings, be they false positives, true positives, or secondary as well as incidental findings. We reflect on navigating the complex landscape that may be significantly impacted by variable phenotypes, the age of onset, and uncertain prognoses, mindful of the diagnostic odyssey continuum. We explore select facets of ethical and psychological challenges encountered with positive newborn screening findings by highlighting enduring debates to improve the policy process in public health and medicine. We believe substantive empirical research is needed, including long-term follow-up, routine prenatal assessment of tolerance for uncertainties, and especially innovative methodologies to better evaluate potential psychological distress that may be present in some at-risk individuals during the perinatal period preceding and following reports of positive findings. Mitigation strategies building on lessons learned from NBS and clinical follow-up should be implemented and studied. We conclude by pondering why we remain far afield from providing these services. Research directed towards understanding the implications of positive NBS findings will further reduce the burdens on families and care providers alike and should lead to improved communication.

Exploring uncertainties regarding unsolicited findings in genetic testing

OBJECTIVES

Non-normative uncertainty (uncertainty about empirical facts) and normative uncertainty (uncertainty about moral values or beliefs) regarding unsolicited findings (UFs) might play an important role in clinical genetics. Identifying normative uncertainty is of special interest since it might guide towards novel directions for counseling practice. This study aims to gain insight into the role of non-normative and normative uncertainty regarding UFs, as expressed by counselees and counselors.

METHODS

We performed a secondary qualitative analysis of interviews with counselees (n = 20) and counselors (n = 20) who had been confronted with UFs. Following a deductive approach, we used Han et al.'s existing theoretical framework of uncertainty, in which we additionally incorporated normative uncertainty.

RESULTS

Major issues of non-normative uncertainty were practical and personal for counselees, whilst counselors' uncertainty pertained mainly to scientific issues. Normative uncertainty was a major theme throughout the interviews. We encountered the moral conflicts of autonomy vs. beneficence and non-maleficence and of autonomy vs. truthfulness.

CONCLUSION

Non-normative uncertainty regarding UFs highlights the need to gain more insight in their penetrance and clinical utility. This study suggests moral conflicts are a major source of feelings of uncertainty in clinical genetics.

PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS

Exploring counselees' non-normative uncertainties and normative conflicts seems a prerequisite to optimize genetic counseling.

Study on the Relationship Between Uncertainty Tolerance and Positive Acceptance in Postoperative Patients With Cervical Cancer

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study is to clarify the correlation between uncertainty tolerance (UT) and positive acceptance (PA) in patients with cervical cancer (CC) after surgical treatment.

METHODS

A total of 233 patients with CC who had undergone surgery were included and were scored on the UT Scale and Positive Acceptance Scale. In addition, patients were classified according to the length of stay ≥1 week and length of stay <1 week, and the UT score and satisfaction and enterprising score of the two groups were compared. This was performed in order to analyze the effect of length of hospital stay on UT and PA.

RESULTS

The mean UT score of 233 patients was 3.74±0.34 and the mean PA score was 1.96±0.20, with a negative correlation and a significant correlation coefficient (r=-0.342, P 0.05). The UT score of post-operative CC patients with length of stay ≥1 week was significantly higher than that of patients with length of stay <1 week, P<0.05. The score of PA in patients with post-operative CC whose hospital stay was ≥1 week was significantly lower than for patients with hospital stays <1 week (P<0.05). UT was negatively correlated with PA in patients with hospital stays < 1 week (r=-0.358, P<0.05). There was a significant negative correlation between UT and PA in patients with hospital stay ≥1 week (r =-0.493, P<0.05). Increased hospitalization time correlated with increased scores of UT, with reductions in scores of PA.

CONCLUSION

Post-operative patients with CC had higher scores of UT and lower scores of PA, which were negatively correlated. Increased hospitalization time was linked to a detriment in patient UT and reduced PA. Targeted interventions to improve the level of UT and PA within postoperative CC cases should be developed.

Twelve tips for developing healthcare learners' uncertainty tolerance

BACKGROUND

Uncertainty is pervasive throughout healthcare practice. Uncertainty tolerance (i.e. adaptively responding to perceived uncertainty) is considered to benefit practitioner wellbeing, encourage person-centred care, and support judicious healthcare resource utilisation. Accordingly, uncertainty tolerance development is increasingly referenced within training frameworks. Practical approaches to support healthcare learners' uncertainty tolerance development, however, are lacking.

AIMS

Drawing on findings across the literature, and the authors' educational experiences, twelve tips for promoting healthcare learners' uncertainty tolerance were developed.

RESULTS

Tips are divided into 1. Tips for Learners, 2. Tips for Educators and Supervisors, and 3. Tips for Healthcare Education Institutions and Systems. Each tip summarises relevant research findings, alongside applications to educational practice.

CONCLUSIONS

Approaches to developing uncertainty tolerance balance factors supporting learners through uncertain experiences, with introducing challenges for learners to further develop uncertainty tolerance. These tips can reassure healthcare education stakeholders that developing learner uncertainty tolerance, alongside core knowledge, is achievable.

Introducing Entropy into Organizational Psychology: An Entropy-Based Proactive Control Model

This paper provides a systematic review of the transfer and quantification of the concept of entropy in multidisciplinary fields and delves into its future applications and research directions in organizational management psychology based on its core characteristics. We first comprehensively reviewed the conceptual evolution of entropy in disciplines such as physics, information theory, and psychology, revealing its complexity and diversity as an interdisciplinary concept. Subsequently, we analyzed the quantification methods of entropy in a multidisciplinary context and pointed out that their calculation methods have both specificity and commonality across different disciplines. Subsequently, the paper reviewed the research on how individuals cope with uncertainty in entropy increase, redefined psychological entropy from the perspective of organizational management psychology, and proposed an "entropy-based proactive control model" at the individual level. This model is built around the core connotation of entropy, covering four dimensions: learning orientation, goal orientation, change orientation, and risk taking. We believe that psychological entropy, as a meta structure of individuals, can simulate, explain, and predict the process of how individuals manage and control "entropy" in an organizational environment from a dynamic perspective. This understanding enables psychological entropy to integrate a series of positive psychological constructs (e.g., lean spirit), providing extensive predictive and explanatory power for various behaviors of individuals in organizations. This paper provides a new direction for the application of the concept of entropy in psychology, especially for theoretical development and practical application in the field of organizational management.

The Effect of Uncertainty Training on the Improvement of Diagnostic Ability in Chinese Medical Students

Objective

To evaluate the effect of the uncertainty training on improvement of students' diagnostic ability.

Methods

Data were collected on 70 fifth-year medical students enrolled in the Case Discussion courses on Obstetrics and Gynecology in the spring of 2020. Of these students, 36 were in the uncertainty training group and 34 in the control group. The effect of training was evaluated by cognitively diagnostic assessment which mapped exam questions to 4 attributes assessing clinical reasoning and basic science knowledge.

Results

Uncertainty training was able to improve students' ability to use basic science concepts for inference and problem solving, and the ability to integrate complex clinical information to arrive at a diagnosis. But it could not improve students' ability on the basic recall of foundational concepts and the ability to use basic science concepts in clinical reasoning. Medical students could do well in integrating complex clinical information although they didn't recall basic science knowledge well.

Conclusion

Uncertainty training could be used as an effective teaching method in Case Discussion course on Obstetrics and Gynecology. However, students still need to improve their basic knowledge besides the training.

The Experience of Uncertainty in Individuals With High Risk for Pancreatic Cancer

BACKGROUND

Individuals with a strong family history of pancreatic cancer or a known hereditary cancer syndrome that is associated with pancreatic cancer are considered at high risk for developing pancreatic cancer. Living with a high risk for often fatal cancer is accompanied by high levels of uncertainty. Uncertainty is also independently associated with negative health outcomes. By understanding issues, sources, and responses to uncertainty, targeted supportive care strategies can be provided.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to examine how uncertainty manifests in the experience of being at high risk to develop pancreatic cancer and to describe issues, sources of, and responses to uncertainty.

METHODS

In this secondary qualitative descriptive study, we analyzed 19 interviews with persons living with inherited pancreatic cancer risk. Analysis was guided by a conceptual framework of uncertainty and responses to uncertainty.

RESULTS

Participants described multiple personal, practical, and scientific issues of uncertainty, centering on what to expect for their future health. Participants also expressed positive and negative cognitive, emotional, and behavioral responses to uncertainty, including engaging in surveillance. Uncertainty sources were both individual experiences as well as perceptions of healthcare provider uncertainty with managing pancreatic cancer risk.

CONCLUSION

Pancreatic cancer risk includes issues of uncertainty related to personal mortality, defining and managing risk, and experiencing surveillance. Positive and negative responses to this uncertainty could be targeted through interventions.

IMPLICATION FOR PRACTICE

The oncology nurse should assess for sources of and responses to uncertainty in persons at risk for pancreatic cancer and offer psychosocial and educational support.

Predictors of young people's anti-vaccine attitudes in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic

The objective of this research was to explore how attitudes to science and scientists may be related to anti-vax positions and whether the psychological trait known as Need for Closure may influence the relationship between any or all of these attitudes. A questionnaire was administered to a sample of 1128 young people aged 18-25 living in Italy during the COVID-19 health crisis. Based on the results of exploratory and confirmatory factor analyses, which allowed the extraction of a three-factor solution (scepticism about science, unrealistic expectations about science and anti-vax postures), we tested our hypotheses by means of a structural equation model. We found that anti-vax positions are strongly correlated with sceptical views of science, while unrealistic expectations about science affect attitudes to vaccination only indirectly. Either way, Need for Closure emerged as a key variable in our model, as it significantly moderates the effect of both factors on anti-vax positions.

How should uncertainty about upcoming painful procedures be communicated? An experimental study into highly uncertain pain predictions

OBJECTIVE

Uncertainty is unavoidable in the context of painful medical procedures. It is important to investigate the impact of different ways of communicating uncertainty on upcoming pain.

METHODS

In our exploratory study, healthy participants (n = 30) were repeatedly presented with three highly uncertain pain predictions communicated by a hypothetical doctor. A direct statement of high uncertainty ("I don't know") was compared to more indirect predictions (social prediction: "It varies widely among people"; range prediction: "… not painful at all to very highly painful"), followed by individually calibrated electrical stimuli of non-, moderately, or very highly painful intensity.

RESULTS

The direct expression of uncertainty led to the most intense pain sensation (for moderately painful stimuli only), lowest and most certain pain expectations, lowest trust in the hypothetical doctor, and lowest feeling of being well-informed, especially as compared to the social prediction. No differential effects on anxiety were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Expressing high uncertainty indirectly, with reference to the common experiences of others, may be beneficial for optimizing pain experiences and enhancing patients' trust in a medical professional.

PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS

Our findings inform on how high uncertainty about upcoming pain may impact patient and health outcomes, pointing to some advantages of indirect communication.

Unlocking the learning potential of simulation-based education

Simulation is ubiquitous in the training of hospital-based doctors worldwide, often focusing on an individual level in traditional 'skills and drills'-based training. However, there has been an expansion in the use of simulation in healthcare practice and training. Simulation is being adopted into many disciplines that traditionally have not used this form of experiential learning. Moreover, simulation is increasingly being harnessed to enhance team and organisational learning in hospital-based practice. This article shares some insights into simulation-based education and makes the 'familiar unfamiliar' about this important method of learning. The aim is to broaden readers' outlook about what simulation has to offer beyond the classic notion of skills and drills-based training.

Calibrating variant curation by clinical context based on factors that influence patients' tolerance of uncertainty

PURPOSE

Shared decision making manages genomic uncertainty by integrating molecular and clinical uncertainties with patient values to craft a person-centered management plan. Laboratories seek genomic report consistency, agnostic to clinical context. Molecular reports often mask laboratory-managed uncertainties from clinical decision making. Better integration of these uncertainty management strategies requires a nuanced understanding of patients' perceptions and reactions to test uncertainties. We explored patients' tolerance to variant uncertainty in 3 parameters: (1) relative causal significance, (2) risk accuracy, and (3) classification validity.

METHOD

Deliberative forums were undertaken with 18 patients with predictive testing experience. Uncertainty deliberations were elicited for each parameter. A thematic framework was first developed, and then mapped to whether they justified tolerance to more or less parameter-specific uncertainty.

RESULTS

Six identified themes mapped to clinical and personal domains. These domains generated opposing forces when calibrating uncertainty. Personal themes justified tolerance of higher uncertainty and clinical themes lower uncertainty. Decision making in uncertainty focused on reducing management regret. Open communication increased tolerance of classification validity and risk accuracy uncertainty. Using these data, we have developed a nascent clinical algorithm integrating molecular uncertainty with clinical context through a targeted communication framework.

CONCLUSION

Maximizing test utility necessitates context-specific recalibration of uncertainty management and communication.

Measurement of uncertainty tolerance revisited

INTRODUCTION

Uncertainty tolerance (UT) is attracting increasing attention in medical education due to the numerous challenges associated with uncertainty in professional life. Inconsistencies in analysing the relationship between UT and moderators may arise from inadequate measurement methods. Most instruments were formulated before the most widely accepted framework was published. Our aim was to investigate the validity of an UT scale using an actual framework to corroborate with better and accurate instruments.

METHODS

A total of 1052 students were invited. Various psychometric methods were used to explore validity of the TAMSAD scale in light of actual framework. Classic exploratory factor analysis (EFA) and confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) were performed. Secondly, content item classification was triangulated with exploratory graph analysis (EGA), and the new EFA, CFA, and cognitive diagnostic modelling (CDM) analysis were conducted. The reliability was calculated using Cronbach's alpha and McDonald's omega.

RESULTS

A total of 694 students (65.9%) responded to the questionnaire. The reliability of the TAMSAD scale was 0.782. The initial EFA revealed no clear interpretable dimensions. The TAMSAD scale items can be classified into sources of uncertainty. The EGA has three dimensions, and the new EFA led to a 17-item TAMSAD scale with the following three dimensions: ambiguity, complexity, and probability. These dimensions lead to better adjustment fit indices in the new CFA and CDM analyses.

CONCLUSION

We found evidence that the TAMSAD scale can be considered a multidimensional scale, organised in terms of sources of uncertainty.

Overcoming uncertainty: A framework to guide the implementation of Australian radiation therapy advanced practitioners

INTRODUCTION

The implementation of radiation therapy advanced practice in Australia has not yet been broadly realised. With anticipated growing demands on cancer services, it is imperative to understand why this is the case, and to strategise a way forward. As a result, we explored the factors influencing the implementation of advanced practitioner radiation therapists (APRT) in Australia. The research outcome was a complex process of Navigating Uncertainty, which described the contextual, social and personal factors surrounding implementation successes and challenges. Further synthesis of the findings was undertaken to highlight the fundamental features influencing this process, with the intention to provide a useful understanding for practitioners seeking APRT implementation.

METHODS

Data were collected through national online focus groups and case studies with 53 participants. Analysis identified a constructivist grounded theory process of Navigating Uncertainty. Further analysis of the categories and properties of the process was undertaken to synthesise findings at a higher level of abstraction.

RESULTS

Four overarching and intertwined factors were influencing the implementation of APRT. Uncertainty occurred when practitioners attempted to conceptualise and assimilate the new role into the workplace. Power was apparent in the advocacy and legitimisation of the APRT by centre leaders. Value was vital to achieving purposeful outcomes. Identity was evident in the personal transition of the APRT, and in the boundary work with others.

CONCLUSION

Recognising and negotiating uncertainty, power, value and identity is essential for APRT implementation strategies to succeed. A framework to guide practitioners towards the implementation of APRT has been described that embodies these factors.

Understanding how shared decision-making approaches and patient aids influence patients with advanced cancer when deciding on palliative treatments and care: A realist review

BACKGROUND

Patients with advanced incurable cancer face difficult decisions about palliative treatment options towards their end of life. However, they are often not provided with the appropriate information and support that is needed to make informed decisions. This review aimed to identify contexts and mechanisms associated with communication tools, patient decision-aids and shared decision-making (SDM) approaches that influence patient outcomes.

METHODS

We used a realist review method to search for published studies of patients (adults > 18) with advanced cancer who were expected to make a decision about palliative treatment and/or supportive care in consultation with healthcare practitioners. We appraised and synthesised literature describing the contexts of (when and how) decision aids and SDM approaches are used, and how these contexts interact with mechanisms (resources and reasoning) which impact patient outcomes. Stakeholders including academics, palliative healthcare professionals (HCPs) and people with lived experience of supporting people with advanced incurable cancer contributed to identifying explanatory accounts. These accounts were documented, analysed and consolidated to contribute to the development of a programme theory.

RESULTS

From the 33 included papers, we consolidated findings into 20 explanatory accounts to develop a programme theory that explains key contexts and mechanisms that influence patient and SDM. Contexts include underlying patients' and HCPs' attitudes and approaches. These need to be understood in relation to key mechanisms, including presenting information in multiple formats and providing adequate time and opportunities to prepare for and revisit decisions. Contexts influenced mechanisms which then influence the levels of patient decisional satisfaction, conflict and regret.

CONCLUSIONS

Our programme theory highlights mechanisms that are important in supporting shared treatment decisions for advanced noncurative cancer. The findings are informative for developing and evaluating interventions to improve understanding and involvement in SDM for patients with advanced incurable cancer.

PATIENT AND PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION

We included patient and public involvement (PPI) representatives in four stakeholder meetings. PPI helped to define the scope of the review, identify their unique experiences and perspectives, synthesise their perspectives with our review findings, make decisions about which theories we included in our programme theory and develop recommendations for policy and practice and future research.

Moderators uncertainty tolerance (UT) in healthcare: a systematic review

Uncertainty tolerance (UT) is integral to healthcare. Providers' responses to medical uncertainty has ramifications on the healthcare system, the healthcare provider and the patient. Understanding healthcare providers' UT, is important for improving patient-care outcomes. Understanding whether and to what extent it is possible to modulate individuals' perceptions and responses to medical uncertainty, can provide insights into mechanisms for support for training and education. The objectives of this review were to further characterize moderators of healthcare UT and explore moderator influences on the perceptions and responses to uncertainty experienced by healthcare professionals. Framework analysis of qualitative primary literature was conducted on 17 articles, focusing on the impacts of UT on healthcare providers. Three domains of moderators were identified and characterized relating to the healthcare provider's personal attributes, patient-derived uncertainty and the healthcare system. These domains were further categorized into themes and subthemes. Results suggest these moderators influence perceptions and responses to healthcare uncertainty across a spectrum ranging from positive to negative to uncertain. In this way, UT could be a state-based construct within healthcare settings and is contextually determined. Our findings further characterize the integrative model of uncertainty tolerance (IMUT) (Hillen Social Science and Medicine 180, 62-75, 2017) and provide evidence for the relationship between moderators and their influences on cognitive, emotional and behavioral responses to uncertainty. These findings provide a foundation for understanding the complex nature of the UT construct, add to theory development, and provide groundwork for future research exploring appropriate support for training and education in healthcare fields.

Mindfulness Fills in the Blank Spaces Left by Affective Uncertainty Uplifting Adaptive Behaviors

Drawing on the integrative model of uncertainty tolerance, we aimed to investigate whether uncertainty relates to adaptive performance, at the within-person level. We argue that daily uncertainty at work will trigger negative affective reactions that, in turn, will minimize adaptive performance. Moreover, we focus on socio-cognitive mindfulness as a cross-level moderator of the indirect relationship of uncertainty on adaptive performance via negative affect. To capture changes in daily life and test our model, we conducted two diary studies across 5-working days: One with a sample of telecommuters (n = 101*5 = 505), and the other with a sample of non-telecommuters (n = 253*5 = 1,265). Study 1 took place between February and March of 2021 (during the mandatory confinement), and Study 2 occurred between April and May 2021 (out of the mandatory confinement). Both studies were conducted in Portugal. The multilevel results showed that at the day-level of analysis, uncertainty decreased adaptive performance through the enhanced negative affect. Moreover, at the person-level of analysis mindfulness moderated (a) the direct relationship of uncertainty to adaptive performance, and (b) the indirect relationship of uncertainty to adaptive performance via negative affect, in such a way that it became weaker when mindfulness was higher (multilevel-mediated moderation effect). This relation was different between Studies 1 and 2; that is, in Study 1, teleworkers who were high on mindfulness engaged in more adaptive performance when negative affect was high. In Study 2, adaptive performance significantly decreased, when negative affect was higher, even though this effect was weaker for mindful of individuals. The findings show that mindfulness helps to fill in the spaces of the affective uncertainty attenuating its detrimental effects.

The chain mediating role of psychological resilience and neuroticism between intolerance of uncertainty and perceived stress among medical university students in Southwest China

BACKGROUND

Medical university students are confronted with unprecedented uncertainty and stress compared with their peers. Research has explored the effect of intolerance of uncertainty on perceived stress, but little attention was paid to investigate the mediating mechanisms behind this relationship, especially among medical university students. The aim of this study was to examine whether psychological resilience and neuroticism played a mediating role between medical university students' intolerance of uncertainty and perceived stress.

METHODS

A total of 717 medical university students from Chongqing in Southwest China were recruited to participate in our study and completed demographic information, Intolerance of Uncertainty Scale Short Version (IUS-12), Chinese Version of Perceived Stress Scale (CPSS), Connor-Davidson Resilience Scale-10 (CD-RISC-10) and Eysenck Personality Questionnaire (EPQ).

RESULTS

(1) Significant correlations between intolerance of uncertainty, perceived stress, psychological resilience and neuroticism were found. (2) Intolerance of uncertainty affected medical university students' perceived stress via three paths: the mediating effect of psychological resilience, the mediating effect of neuroticism, and the chain mediating effect of both psychological resilience and neuroticism.

CONCLUSIONS

Intolerance of uncertainty could directly affect the perceived stress of medical university students, and also affected perceived stress through the mediating roles of psychological resilience and neuroticism, as well as through the chain mediating role of these two variables.

Communicating scientific uncertainty in the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic: A message experiment

The World Health Organization (WHO) officially declared COVID-19 a pandemic on March 11, 2020. It was a time of significant uncertainty as experts were not yet certain whether social distancing behaviors were necessary to slow the spread of the virus. Some public communicators opted to acknowledge uncertainty based on the limited evidence, whereas others downplayed uncertainty. This situation provided researchers with an opportunity to advance theory by explicating and testing cognitive responses to message uncertainty. Immediately following the WHO declaration (March 13-19, 2020), U.S. adults (N = 1186) were randomly assigned to one of six conditions in a 2 (message uncertainty: low, high) × 3 (argument support: expert, threat, precedent) between-participants experiment. Overall, perceived uncertainty negatively mediated the impact of message uncertainty on intentions. However, participant education was a key moderator. For those with more than a high school education, uncertain messages were related to higher intentions to social distance through increased critical reflection. For those with a high school education or less, uncertain messages were related to lower intentions through decreased message credibility.

A Philosophical Discussion of the Support of Self-Regulated Learning in Medical Education: The Treasure Hunt Approach Versus the (Dutch) "Dropping" Approach

Issue: Many current educational approaches are intended to cultivate learners' full (learning) potential by fostering self-regulated learning (SRL), as it is expected that those learners with a high degree of SRL learn more effectively than those with a low degree of SRL. However, these attempts to foster SRL are not always successful. Evidence: We considered complexities related to fostering self-regulated learning by use of an analogy. This analogy was based on two (Dutch) children's games: the treasure hunt (children can find a "treasure" by following directions, completing assignments and/or answering questions) and the dropping (pre-teens are dropped in the woods at nighttime with the assignment to find their way back home). We formulated four interrelated philosophical questions. These questions were not formulated with the intention to provide clear-cut answers, but were instead meant to evoke contemplation about the SRL concept. During this contemplation, the implications of definitional issues regarding SRL were discussed by use of the first question: What are the consequences of the difficulties to explicate what is (not) SRL? The second question (How does SRL relate to autonomy?) touched upon the intricate relationship between SRL and autonomy, by discussing the role of social interaction and varying degrees of instruction when fostering SRL. Next, a related topic was addressed by the third question: How much risk are we willing and able to take when fostering SRL? And finally, the importance of and possibilities to assess SRL were discussed by the fourth question (Should SRL be assessed?). Implications: From our contemplations it has become clear that approaches to foster SRL are often insufficiently aligned with the experience and needs of learners. Instead these approaches are commonly defined by contextual factors, such as misconceptions about SRL and lack of leeway for learners. Consequently, we have used principles that apply to both treasure hunts and droppings, to provide guidelines on how to align one's approach to foster SRL with the educational context and experience and needs of learners.

Coping with academic stress: Ambiguity and uncertainty tolerance in college students

Stress is a barrier to academic success for college students and the unique resilience effects of ambiguity and uncertainty tolerance have yet to be explored. We hypothesized that tolerance of ambiguity and tolerance of uncertainty relate to academic stress differently.

We recruited 158 undergraduate participants from a medium-size public university in the Midwestern United States.

Participants completed measures of ambiguity tolerance, uncertainty tolerance, and academic stress coping strategies. Three separate regression analyses were conducted to predict approach coping, avoidance coping, and social support coping.

Results indicated that intolerance of ambiguity is a stronger predictor of approach and avoidance academic stress coping strategies compared to intolerance of uncertainty.

These findings will allow for a better understanding of the dynamics underlying coping with academic stress that will be helpful to consider in vocational as well as mental health counseling for college students.

"You may think that the consultants are great, and they know everything, but they don't": exploring how new emergency medicine consultants experience uncertainty

BACKGROUND

Uncertainty is particularly obvious in emergency medicine (EM) due to the characteristics of the patient cohort, time constraints, and busy environment. Periods of transition are thought to add to uncertainty. Managing uncertainty is recognised as a key ability for medical practice, but is often not addressed explicitly. This study explored how new consultants in EM experience uncertainty, with the aim of making explicit what is often hidden and potentially informing support for doctors to manage the uncertainty they face.

METHODS

This was a qualitative study using interpretive phenomenological analysis (IPA). Five consultants working in the UK within one year of achieving a certificate of completion of training were interviewed online during 2021, these were transcribed and analysed using IPA.

RESULTS

Three superordinate themes were identified: 'transition and performance as a source of uncertainty', 'uncertainty and decision-making in the context of the emergency department' and 'sharing uncertainty and asking for help'. The transition created uncertainty related to their professional identity that was compounded by a lack of useful feedback. There was tension between perceived expectations of certainty and the recognition of uncertainty in practice. EM doctors were seen as experts in managing uncertainty, with responses to uncertainty including gathering information, sharing uncertainty and seeking help. Expressing uncertainty was viewed as necessary for good patient care but could be risky to credibility, with psychological safety and role modelling behaviour making it easier for the participants to express uncertainty.

CONCLUSION

This study highlights the need for new consultants to have psychologically safe, reflective spaces to think through uncertainties with others. This appears to reduce uncertainty, and also act as a source of feedback. The study adds to the existing calls to address uncertainty more explicitly in training, and challenge the expectations of certainty that exist within medicine.

Determining the Relationship Between Intolerance of Uncertainty and Attitudes Toward Complementary and Alternative Medicine in Patients With Cancer

Disease-related uncertainty and the factors associated with uncertainty in patients with cancer have not been adequately investigated. This study aimed to determine the relationship between intolerance of uncertainty and attitudes toward complementary and alternative medicine (CAM) in patients with cancer. This cross-sectional descriptive study included 351 patients treated in the oncology clinic of a university hospital. All participants completed the Holistic Complementary and Alternative Medicine Questionnaire (HCAMQ) and the 12-item Intolerance of Uncertainty Scale (IUS-12). Most patients (84.3%) said that they had information about CAM, 39.7% reported obtaining this information from their social environment, 83.2% said that they believed that CAM methods are effective, and 76.0% reported not telling health care professionals about their CAM use. Mean IUS-12 and HCAMQ total scores were 46.53 ± 2.05 and 32.11 ± 2.32, respectively, and showed a weak negative correlation. The patients in our study showed high intolerance of uncertainty and a moderately positive attitude toward CAM, and most patients did not notify health care professionals of their CAM use. Therefore, we recommend assessing intolerance of uncertainty and CAM use in this patient group. By identifying patients experiencing uncertainty and seeking different treatment, nurses can support patients physiologically, psychologically, and socially, and can explain the effects of CAM use.

Uncertainty tolerance scales: Weighing up the research

Patel and Hancock explore the uncertainty tolerance literature to determine how it ties in with quantitive scales developed to measure uncertainty tolerance.

Identifying validity evidence for uncertainty tolerance scales: A systematic review

PURPOSE

Uncertainty tolerance (UT) is increasingly valued as a medical graduate attribute and broadly measured among medical student populations. However, the validity evidence underpinning UT scale implementation has not been summarised across studies. The present work evaluates UT scale validity evidence to better inform when, why and how UT scales ought to be used and to identify remaining validity evidence gaps.

METHODS

A literature search for psychometric studies of UT scales was completed in 2022. Records were included if they implemented one of the four most cited UT scales (i.e. Physicians' Reactions to Uncertainty scale 1990 [PRU1990] or 1995 [PRU1995], Tolerance for Ambiguity [TFA] scale or Tolerance of Ambiguity in Medical Students and Doctors scale [TAMSAD]) in a population of physicians and/or medial students and presented validity evidence according to the Standards for Educational and Psychological Testing framework. Included studies were rated and analysed according to evidence for test content, response processes, internal structure, relations to other variables and consequences of testing.

RESULTS

Among the investigated scales, 'relations to other variables' and 'internal structure' were the most commonly reported forms of validity evidence. No evidence of 'response processes' or 'consequences of testing' was identified. Overall, the PRU1990 and PRU1995 demonstrated the strongest validity evidence, although evidence primarily related to physician populations.

CONCLUSIONS

None of the studied scales demonstrated evidence for all five sources of validity. Future research would benefit from assessing validity evidence for 'response processes' and 'consequences of testing' among physicians and medical students at different training/career stages to better understand UT construct conceptualisation in these populations. Until further and stronger validity evidence for UT scales is established, we caution against implementing UT scales outside of research settings (e.g. for higher stakes decision making).

How do parents frame their engagement experience in early intervention? A grounded theory study

PURPOSE

Parent and therapist engagement and partnership are critical in early intervention physiotherapy and occupational therapy for infants with cerebral palsy to improve outcomes. The main aim of this study was to understand how parents perceive their engagement experience in early intervention over time.

METHODS

Grounded theory methodology was used. Twenty parents of diverse backgrounds participated in 22 interviews (including some repeated longitudinally) to reflect on their engagement experience within the context of early intervention community services provided in the UK NHS.

RESULTS

The findings highlight how parents' perspectives of their engagement in EI change according to critical circumstances, including their preceding neonatal trauma, the at-risk CP label, firmer diagnosis of CP and their child's response to intervention. We theorise that this disrupted transition experience to parenthood becomes part of parental framing (or sense-making) of their engagement in EI. Overlapping frames of uncertainty, pursuit and transformation capture and explain nuances in parents' engagement patterns within EI over time.

CONCLUSION

This theorising has implications for early intervention therapists in how they engage in the lives of families and partner with parents to support healthier parental transition, wellbeing and subsequent improved infant outcomes.

'Pawing' uncertainty! how dogs attenuate the impact of daily hassles at work on uncertainty

PURPOSE

This study relied on the integrative model of uncertainty tolerance to delineate an argument proposing that daily hassles trigger uncertainty, and this influences adaptive performance. Furthermore, relying on the "furr-recovery method" -where interactions with dogs allow dog owners to recover from negative situations or job demands - this study tested whether having a dog would moderate the relationship between daily hassles and uncertainty.

METHODOLOGY

To test this proposed model, daily data during ten working days was gathered with a sample of white-collar workers who were teleworking (N = 233 × 10 = 2,330).

FINDINGS

Multilevel results showed that daily hassles influenced adaptive performance via perceived uncertainty. However, the relationship between daily hassles and uncertainty was conditional on the ownership of a dog, in such a way that the relationship became weaker for those who had dogs. That is, those who did not have dogs had increased levels of uncertainty after daily hassles when compared to those who had dogs.

PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS

Managers may consider the adoption of pet-friendly work practices (for instance, telework - working from home allow employees to work nearby and interact with their dogs during worktime) as dogs appear to have a beneficial effect to help employees effectively cope with daily hassles and reduce their uncertain reactions.

ORIGINALITY

This study advances knowledge regarding the pawing-effect (the reduced uncertainty to daily hassles on dog owners) on employees' uncertainty to daily hassles and opens new venues for research regarding their role in work-related outcomes. Further, future research could examine how human-dog interactions or the quality of their relationship may benefit owners and explore the benefits of bringing dogs to work periodically.

Charismatic Leadership Is Not One Size Fits All: The Moderation Effect of Intolerance to Uncertainty and Furlough Status During the COVID-19 Pandemic

This study aims to examine the effect of charismatic leadership on followers' attitudinal, emotional, and well-being outcomes in a crisis setting. Combining leadership literature with Conservation of Resources and leader-follower distance theories, we propose that the effect of charismatic leadership on follower outcomes depends on the interplay between the follower's furlough status during the lockdown period and their Intolerance to Uncertainty (IU) dispositional characteristic. A cross-sectional study was conducted at two points in time: during the first lockdown (March-April 2020) and four months after the lockdown (August 2020). The final sample included 336 employees with data for both points in time (n = 199 continued to work during the lockdown, n = 137 were on furlough). The findings confirmed the study's hypotheses and revealed that charismatic leadership significantly contributed to employee outcomes only in the case of furloughed employees with low levels of IU and of continuously-employed employees with high levels of IU. It did not make a similar contribution in the edge cases-employees with low IU levels who continued to work during the lockdown or those with high levels of IU who were furloughed. This study provides novel insights into the relationship between charismatic leadership effectiveness and follower outcomes, and informs managers how to better adjust their leadership style to their followers in a crisis setting. The findings extend our knowledge about charismatic leadership by suggesting the mutual contribution of the distance dimension and employee dispositional characteristics as a boundary condition to charismatic leadership effectiveness.

Taking or creating control: A qualitative study of uncertainty among novice nurses in ambulance care

INTRODUCTION

In emergency nursing situations, uncertainty may lead to delays, or block a decision which can have devastating consequences for a patient. The ambulance service is a complex clinical environment that often challenges the decision-making capabilities of the professionals, especially novice nurses. Novice nurses' uncertainty may also lead to unhealthy transitions and turnover. To increase the understanding of how uncertainty affects novice nurses, this study explores novice nurses' uncertainty during the first year of professional practice in the ambulance service.

METHOD

A qualitative descriptive design was applied using qualitative content analysis of thirteen individual face-to-face semi-structured deep interviews.

RESULT

From nine subcategories, three generic categories were derived: Reflections on contextual understanding, Strategies to create control, and Actions to take control. These were combined to form the main category Understanding what and dealing with how, while becoming a confident professional.

CONCLUSION

Uncertainty is exacerbated by situations that demand rapid decisions or actions. This is especially true of newcomers to a profession. Preparing novices through study programs and encouraging continuous reflection in professional practice may increase resilience and tolerance of uncertainty, as well as benefiting professional development.