Obstruction predicts worse long-term outcomes in stage III colon cancer: A secondary analysis of the N0147 trial

Prognostic value of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and CA 19-9 levels in patients with obstructive colorectal cancer treated with a self-expandable metallic stent and curative surgery

PURPOSE

The importance of tumor markers is well established; yet little is known about their prognostic value for patients with obstructive colorectal cancer (OCRC). We investigated the clinical significance of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and CA 19-9 levels in patients with non-metastatic OCRC, who underwent insertion of a self-expandable metallic stent and curative surgery.

METHODS

Clinical data on 91 patients with OCRC were analyzed retrospectively to evaluate the associations of preoperative serum values of tumor makers with short- and long-term outcomes.

RESULTS

The 91 patients comprised 53 men and 38 women, with a median age of 71 years. Twelve patients had an elevated preoperative CA 19-9 level. Multivariate analyses revealed that an elevated CA 19-9 level was independently associated with poor disease-free survival (DFS) [hazard ratio (HR) = 4.57, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.06-10.14, P < 0.001] and overall survival (HR = 4.06, 95% CI 1.46-11.24, P = 0.007). A CEA level > 5 ng/ml had no prognostic value, whereas a CEA level > 10.8 ng/ml was significantly associated with worse DFS (P = 0.032).

CONCLUSION

Measuring the CA 19-9 level concomitantly with the CEA level for patients with advanced CRC, including OCRC, may provide a valuable means to improve prognostication.

New scoring system for the evaluation obstructive degrees based on computed tomography for obstructive colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

The degree of obstruction plays an important role in decision-making for obstructive colorectal cancer (OCRC). The existing assessment still relies on the colorectal obstruction scoring system (CROSS) which is based on a comprehensive analysis of patients' complaints and eating conditions. The data collection relies on subjective descriptions and lacks objective parameters. Therefore, a scoring system for the evaluation of computed tomography-based obstructive degree (CTOD) is urgently required for OCRC.

AIM

To explore the relationship between CTOD and CROSS and to determine whether CTOD could affect the short-term and long-term prognosis.

METHODS

Of 173 patients were enrolled. CTOD was obtained using k-means, the ratio of proximal to distal obstruction, and the proportion of nonparenchymal areas at the site of obstruction. CTOD was integrated with the CROSS to analyze the effect of emergency intervention on complications. Short-term and long-term outcomes were compared between the groups.

RESULTS

CTOD severe obstruction (CTOD grade 3) was an independent risk factor [odds ratio (OR) = 3.390, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.340-8.570, P = 0.010] via multivariate analysis of short-term outcomes, while CROSS grade was not. In the CTOD-CROSS grade system, for the non-severe obstructive (CTOD 1-2 to CROSS 1-4) group, the complication rate of emergency interventions was significantly higher than that of non-emergency interventions (71.4% vs 41.8%, P = 0.040). The postoperative pneumonia rate was higher in the emergency intervention group than in the non-severe obstructive group (35.7% vs 8.9%, P = 0.020). However, CTOD grade was not an independent risk factor of overall survival and progression-free survival.

CONCLUSION

CTOD was useful in preoperative decision-making to avoid unnecessary emergency interventions and complications.

Long-term outcomes after postponing surgery to optimise patients with acute right-sided obstructing colon cancer

AIM

To retrospectively analyse the short- and long-term oncological, morbidity and mortality outcomes in patients diagnosed with acute right-sided obstructing colon cancer. Patients who underwent pre-optimisation prior to the oncological resection were compared to patients who did not undergo pre-optimisation.

METHODS

All consecutive patients with right-sided obstructing colon cancer, either with a high clinical suspicion or confirmed diagnosis by histological analysis, who underwent curative-intent treatment between March 2013 and December 2020 were included. Patients were divided into two groups: an optimised group and a non-optimised group. Preoperative optimisation included additional nutrition, physiotherapy, and, if needed, bowel decompression. Data about disease-free survival and mortality were collected up to three years after surgery.

RESULTS

Sixty-two patients were included. Thirty patients underwent the optimisation protocol before postponed surgery, and 32 patients received emergency surgery, without optimisation (surgery performed with a median of 9.6 days versus 22 h after admission). The postoperative complication rate was significantly lower in the optimisation group (50 % vs 78 %, p = 0.033). No significant differences were found in the 90-day mortality rate (7 % vs 13 %, p = 0.672) and three-year overall survival rate (43 % vs 56 %, p = 0.49). After three years, sixteen (53 %) patients in the optimised group and twenty (63 %) in the non-optimised were deceased (p = 0.672).

CONCLUSION

Postponing the surgery with preoperative optimisation in patients with obstructing right-sided colon cancer results in a significantly lower 90-day complication rate and suggests no negative effect on survival rates compared to an acute resection. Although, further research with a larger sample size is needed.

Impact of a novel-covered colonic stent in obstructive colon cancer

BACKGROUND

Although the short-term outcomes of bridge-to-surgery (BTS) procedures using self-expandable metal stents are favorable, concerns remain regarding worsened prognosis due to tissue injury in the tumor area. Herein, we describe a newly developed covered stent, the Kawasumi Jabara colonic stent™, designed to reduce tissue damage/injury associated with stent-related complications in BTS procedures. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of the Kawasumi Jabara colonic stent as a BTS for obstructive colorectal cancer (OCC).

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective observational study included 44 OCC patients who underwent BTS with stents at four facilities between September 2020 and November 2022. The groups of patients receiving the Kawasumi Jabara and non-covered colonic stents were designated Groups C and NC, respectively. Treatment outcomes related to stent placement and surgery were compared using propensity score matching (PSM) analysis.

RESULTS

Groups NC and C (n = 34 and 10, respectively) showed no significant differences in sex, age, tumor location, histological type, Colorectal Obstruction Scoring System (CROSS) score, or cStage; however, the stent placement duration was shorter in Group C. No significant differences were found in terms of the technical and clinical success rates for stent placement. Stent dislocation was observed in 0 and 2 cases in Groups C and NC, respectively. PSM analysis between eight cases, each from Groups C and NC, revealed no significant differences in stent-related or surgical outcomes between the groups. However, regarding the gross injury score in the resected specimens, Group C had a lower score than Group NC (1.8 vs. 5.5), and the proportion of pathological tissue injury involving deeper layers was also lower in Group C (37.5% vs. 100%).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to conventional non-covered stents, the Kawasumi Jabara colonic stent™ demonstrated favorable safety during stent insertion, retention, and surgery, with only mild tissue injury.

Clinical significance of the modified Naples prognostic score in patients with stage II-III colon cancer undergoing curative resection: a retrospective study from the real world

Background

The Naples prognostic score (NPS) determined by the nutritional and inflammatory condition of an individual is attracting growing attention for predicting postoperative outcomes in a variety of malignancies. The study aimed to assess the clinical significance of a modified NPS (M-NPS) and establish and validate nomograms incorporating M-NPS in curative stage II-III colon cancer patients.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 328 stage II-III colon cancer patients receiving radical surgical resection at our hospital from January 2011 to December 2016. Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival analysis and Cox regression analysis were executed for overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). Independent predictive indicators were applied to develop nomograms. The model's performance was evaluated using many different methods.

Results

Of a total of 328 cases, 153 cases were in group 0, 145 in group 1, and 30 in group 2. In terms of OS or CSS, there were obvious differences between groups 0 and 1, and between groups 0 and 2. Age, obstruction, N stage, gross tumor type, and M-NPS group were independent prognostic indicators for OS, while obstruction, gross tumor type, M-NPS group, and N stage were independent predictive parameters for CSS. Furthermore, the training and validation sets were randomly allocated among a cohort of 328 patients. OS and CSS prediction nomograms were developed. In the training and validation cohort, the C-index and ROC analysis showed good discrimination, calibration curves exhibited an excellent level of consistency between model-predicted survival and actual survival outcomes, and DCA curves demonstrated good clinical performance.

Conclusion

M-NPS is a reliable survival predictor in patients with curative stage II-III colon cancer. Nomograms incorporating M-NPS for OS and CSS have good predictive performance and clinical utility.

Emergency Resection for Colonic Cancer Has an Independent and Unfavorable Effect on Long-Term Oncologic Outcome

BACKGROUND

Long-term outcomes in patients undergoing emergency versus elective resection for colorectal cancer (CRC) remain controversial. This study aims to assess short- and long-term outcomes of emergency versus elective CRC surgery.

METHODS

In this single-center retrospective cohort study, patients undergoing emergency or elective colonic resections for CRC from January 2013 to December 2017 were included. Primary outcome was long-term survival. As secondary outcomes, we sought to analyze potential differences on postoperative morbidity and concerning the oncological standard of surgical resection. The Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazard model were used to compare survival between the groups.

RESULTS

Overall, 225 CRC patients were included. Of these 192 (85.3%) had an elective and 33 (14.7%) an emergency operation. Emergency indications were due to obstruction, perforation, or bleeding. Patients in the emergency group had higher ASA score (p = 0.023), higher Charlsson comorbidity index (CCI, p = 0.012), and were older than those in the elective group, with median age 70 (IQR 63-79) years and 78 (IQR 68-83) years, for elective and emergency, respectively (p = 0.020). No other preoperative differences were observed. Patients in the emergency group experienced significantly more major complications (12.1% vs. 3.6%, p = 0.037), more anastomotic leakage (12.1% vs. 1.6%, p = 0.001), need for reoperation (12.1% vs. 3.1%, p = 0.021), and postoperative mortality (2 patients vs. 0, p < 0.001). No differences in terms of final pathological stage, nor in accuracy of lymphadenectomy were observed. Overall survival was significantly worse in case of emergency operation, with estimated median 41 months vs. not reached in elective cases (p < 0.001). At the multivariate analysis, emergency operation was confirmed as independent unfavorable determinant of survival (with hazard rate HR = 1.97, p = 0.028), together with age (HR = 1.05, p < 0.001), postoperative major morbidity (HR = 3.18, p = 0.012), advanced stage (HR = 5.85, p < 0.001), and need for transfusion (HR = 2.10, p = 0.049).

CONCLUSION

Postoperative morbidity and mortality were increased in emergency versus elective CRC resections. Despite no significant differences in terms of accuracy of resection and pathological stages, overall survival was significantly worse in patients who underwent emergency procedure, and independent of other determinants of survival.

Risk of Bowel Obstruction in Patients Undergoing Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for High-risk Colon Cancer: A Nested Case-control-matched Analysis of an International, Multicenter, Randomized Controlled Trial (FOxTROT)

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to identify risk criteria available before the point of treatment initiation that can be used to stratify the risk of obstruction in patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) for high-risk colon cancer.

BACKGROUND

Global implementation of NAC for colon cancer, informed by the FOxTROT trial, may increase the risk of bowel obstruction.

METHODS

A case-control study, nested within an international randomized controlled trial (FOxTROT; ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT00647530). Patients with high-risk operable colon cancer (radiologically staged T3-4 N0-2 M0) that were randomized to NAC and developed large bowel obstruction were identified. First, clinical outcomes were compared between patients receiving NAC in FOxTROT who did and did not develop obstruction. Second, obstructed patients (cases) were age-matched and sex-matched with patients who did not develop obstruction (controls) in a 1:3 ratio using random sampling. Bayesian conditional mixed-effects logistic regression modeling was used to explore clinical, radiologic, and pathologic features associated with obstruction. The absolute risk of obstruction based on the presence or absence of risk criteria was estimated for all patients receiving NAC.

RESULTS

Of 1053 patients randomized in FOxTROT, 699 received NAC, of whom 30 (4.3%) developed obstruction. Patients underwent care in European hospitals including 88 UK, 7 Danish, and 3 Swedish centers. There was more open surgery (65.4% vs 38.0%, P =0.01) and a higher pR1 rate in obstructed patients (12.0% vs 3.8%, P =0.004), but otherwise comparable postoperative outcomes. In the case-control-matched Bayesian model, 2 independent risk criteria were identified: (1) obstructing disease on endoscopy and/or being unable to pass through the tumor [adjusted odds ratio: 9.09, 95% credible interval: 2.34-39.66] and stricturing disease on radiology or endoscopy (odds ratio: 7.18, 95% CI: 1.84-32.34). Three risk groups were defined according to the presence or absence of these criteria: 63.4% (443/698) of patients were at very low risk (<1%), 30.7% (214/698) at low risk (<10%), and 5.9% (41/698) at high risk (>10%).

CONCLUSIONS

Safe selection for NAC for colon cancer can be informed by using 2 features that are available before treatment initiation and identifying a small number of patients with a high risk of preoperative obstruction.

Emergency and Elective Colorectal Cancer-Relationship between Clinical Factors, Tumor Topography and Surgical Strategies: A Cohort Study

Background and Objectives: The purpose of the study was to analyze the relationships among several clinical factors and also the tumor topography and surgical strategies used in patients with colorectal cancer. Materials and Methods: We designed an analytical, observational, retrospective study that included patients admitted to our emergency surgical department and diagnosed with colorectal cancer. The study group inclusion criteria were: patients admitted during 2020-2022; patients diagnosed with colorectal cancer (including the ileocecal valve); patients who benefited from a surgical procedure, either emergency or elective. Results: In our study group, consisting of 153 patients, we accounted for 56.9% male patients and 43.1% female patients. The most common clinical manifestations were pain (73.2% of the study group), followed by abdominal distension (69.3% of the study group) and absence of intestinal transit (38.6% of the study group). A total of 69 patients had emergency surgery (45.1%), while 84 patients (54.9%) benefited from elective surgery. The most frequent topography of the tumor was the sigmoid colon, with 19.60% of the patients, followed by the colorectal junction, with 15.68% of the patients, and superior rectum and inferior rectum, with 11.11% of the patients in each subcategory. The most frequent type of procedure was right hemicolectomy (21.6% of the study group), followed by rectosigmoid resection (20.9% of the study group). The surgical procedure was finished by performing an anastomosis in 49% of the patients, and an ostomy in 43.1% of the patients, while for 7.8% of the patients, a tumoral biopsy was performed. Conclusions: Colorectal cancer remains one of the most frequent cancers in the world, with a heavy burden that involves high mortality, alterations in the quality of life of patients and their families, and also the financial costs of the medical systems.

An evaluation of the replicability of analyses using synthetic health data

Synthetic data generation is being increasingly used as a privacy preserving approach for sharing health data. In addition to protecting privacy, it is important to ensure that generated data has high utility. A common way to assess utility is the ability of synthetic data to replicate results from the real data. Replicability has been defined using two criteria: (a) replicate the results of the analyses on real data, and (b) ensure valid population inferences from the synthetic data. A simulation study using three heterogeneous real-world datasets evaluated the replicability of logistic regression workloads. Eight replicability metrics were evaluated: decision agreement, estimate agreement, standardized difference, confidence interval overlap, bias, confidence interval coverage, statistical power, and precision (empirical SE). The analysis of synthetic data used a multiple imputation approach whereby up to 20 datasets were generated and the fitted logistic regression models were combined using combining rules for fully synthetic datasets. The effects of synthetic data amplification were evaluated, and two types of generative models were used: sequential synthesis using boosted decision trees and a generative adversarial network (GAN). Privacy risk was evaluated using a membership disclosure metric. For sequential synthesis, adjusted model parameters after combining at least ten synthetic datasets gave high decision and estimate agreement, low standardized difference, as well as high confidence interval overlap, low bias, the confidence interval had nominal coverage, and power close to the nominal level. Amplification had only a marginal benefit. Confidence interval coverage from a single synthetic dataset without applying combining rules were erroneous, and statistical power, as expected, was artificially inflated when amplification was used. Sequential synthesis performed considerably better than the GAN across multiple datasets. Membership disclosure risk was low for all datasets and models. For replicable results, the statistical analysis of fully synthetic data should be based on at least ten generated datasets of the same size as the original whose analyses results are combined. Analysis results from synthetic data without applying combining rules can be misleading. Replicability results are dependent on the type of generative model used, with our study suggesting that sequential synthesis has good replicability characteristics for common health research workloads.

Adverse Tumour and Host Biology May Explain the Poorer Outcomes Seen in Emergency Presentations of Colon Cancer

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association between tumor/host factors (including the systemic inflammatory response), mode of presentation, and short/long-term outcomes in patients undergoing curative resectional surgery for TNM I to III colon cancer.

BACKGROUND

Emergency presentations of colon cancer are associated with worse long-term outcomes than elective presentations despite adjustment for TNM stage. A number of differences in tumor and host factors have been identified between elective and emergency presentations and it may be these factors that are associated with adverse outcomes.

METHODS

Patients undergoing curative surgery for TNM I to III colon cancer in the West of Scotland from 2011 to 2014 were identified. Tumor/host factors independently associated with the emergency presentation were identified and entered into a subsequent survival model to determine those that were independently associated with overall survival/cancer-specific survival (OS/CSS).

RESULTS

A total of 2705 patients were identified. The emergency presentation was associated with a worse 3-year OS and CSS compared with elective presentations (70% vs 86% and 91% vs 75%). T stage, age, systemic inflammatory grade, anemia (all P < 0.001), N stage ( P = 0.077), extramural venous invasion ( P = 0.003), body mass index ( P = 0.001), and American Society of Anesthesiologists Classification classification ( P = 0.021) were independently associated with emergency presentation. Of these, body mass index [hazard ratio (HR), 0.82], American Society of Anesthesiologists Classification (HR, 1.45), anemia (HR, 1.29), systemic inflammatory grade (HR. 1.11), T stage (HR, 1.57), N stage (HR, 1.80), and adjuvant chemotherapy (HR, 0.47) were independently associated with OS. Similar results were observed for CSS.

CONCLUSIONS

Within patients undergoing curative surgery for colon cancer, the emergency presentation was not independently associated with worse OS/CSS. Rather, a combination of tumor and host factors account for the worse outcomes observed.

Surgical treatment and overall survival in patients with right-sided obstructing colon cancer-a nationwide retrospective cohort study

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to compare baseline characteristics, 90-day mortality and overall survival (OS) between patients with obstructing and non-obstructing right-sided colon cancer at a national level.

METHODS

All patients who underwent resection for right-sided colon cancer between January 2015 and December 2016 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry and stratified for obstruction. Primary outcome was 5-year OS after excluding 90-day mortality as assessed by the Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 525 patients (7%) with obstructing and 6891 patients (93%) with non-obstructing right-sided colon cancer were included. Patients with right-sided obstructing colon cancer (OCC) were older and had more often transverse tumour location, and the pathological T and N stage was more advanced than in those without obstruction (p < 0.001). The 90-day mortality in patients with right-sided OCC was higher compared to that in patients with non-obstructing colon cancer: 10% versus 3%, respectively (p < 0.001). The 5-year OS of those surviving 90 days postoperatively was 42% in patients with OCC versus 73% in patients with non-obstructing colon cancer, respectively (p < 0.001). Worse 5-year OS was found in patients with right-sided OCC for all stages. Obstruction was an independent risk factor for decreased OS in right-sided colon cancer (HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.57-2.03).

CONCLUSION

In addition to increased risk of postoperative mortality, a stage-independent worse 5-year OS after excluding 90-day mortality was found in patients with right-sided OCC compared to patients without obstruction.

The impact of primary tumor resection for asymptomatic colorectal cancer patients with unresectable metastases: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Whether patients with asymptomatic primary tumors and unresectable metastases of colorectal cancer (CRC) should undergo primary tumor resection (PTR) remains controversial. This study aims to determine the appropriateness of PTR for these individuals by evaluating a number of outcome measures.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was performed. Outcome measures included overall survival, emergency surgery rates, incidence of postoperative complications, time to initiate chemotherapy, conversion rates, and chemotherapy-related toxicities.

RESULTS

Patients who received PTR in addition to chemotherapy had a better overall survival rate than those who only received chemotherapy (HR = 0.62, 95%CI, 0.50-0.78, I2 = 84%, p < 0.00001). In the RCT subgroup, there were no significant differences with a HR of 0.72 (95%CI, 0.45-1.13, I2 = 17%, p = 0.15). More patients in the chemotherapy alone group could be converted to resectable status (OR = 0.47, 95%CI, 0.27-0.82, I2 = 0%, p = 0.008), but the incidence of emergency surgery was 23% (95%CI, 17-29%, I2 = 14%). The risk of chemotherapy-related toxicity was not significantly higher in the PTR group (OR = 1.5, 95%CI, 0.94-2.43, p = 0.09, I2 = 0%), with a 7% incidence of postoperative complications (95%CI, 0-14%, p = 0.05, I2 = 0%). The time to initiate chemotherapy after PTR was approximately 33.06 days (95%CI, 25.55-40.58, I2 = 0%).

CONCLUSION

PTR plus chemotherapy may be associated with improved survival in asymptomatic CRC patients with unresectable metastases. However, PTR did not provide a significant survival benefit in the subgroup of RCTs. Additionally, PTR did not result in a significantly increased risk of chemotherapy-related toxicity, with a postoperative complication rate of approximately 7%, and chemotherapy could be initiated at approximately 33.06 days after PTR. Compared with the PTR plus chemotherapy, chemotherapy alone could result in a significantly higher conversion rate. However, about 23% of patients receiving chemotherapy alone required emergency surgery for primary tumor-related symptoms. The above results needed to be validated in future larger prospective randomized trials.

Acute left-sided malignant colonic obstruction: Is there a role for endoscopic stenting?

The therapy of left-sided malignant colonic obstruction continues to be one of the largest problems in clinical practice. Numerous studies on colonic stenting for neoplastic colonic obstruction have been reported in the last decades. Thereby the role of self-expandable metal stents (SEMS) in the treatment of malignant colonic obstruction has become better defined. However, numerous prospective and retrospective investigations have highlighted serious concerns about a possible worse outcome after endoscopic colorectal stenting as a bridge to surgery, particularly in case of perforation. This review analyzes the most recent evidence in order to highlight pros and cons of SEMS placement in left-sided malignant colonic obstruction.

Preoperative computed tomography assessment of circumferential resection margin in retroperitonealized colon cancer predicts disease-free survival

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this retrospective study was to predict circumferential resection margin (CRM) involvement on preoperative CT, and prognostic impact of CRM assessment by CT (ctCRM) in patients with retroperitonealized colon cancer.

METHODS

This study included patients who underwent resection for ascending or descending colon cancer between July 2010 and February 2013. Positive ctCRM was defined as tumor distance to the retromesenteric plane of ≤ 1 mm. The origin of positive CRM was divided into primary tumor or other tumor components including lymph nodes, tumor deposits, or extramural venous invasions. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify preoperative factors to predict pathologic CRM (pCRM). A Cox proportional hazards model was used in multivariable analysis to determine the preoperative factors affecting disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

A total of 274 patients (mean age, 64.0 years ± 11.0 [standard deviation]; 157 men) with retroperitonealized colon cancer were evaluated. Of 274 patients, 67 patients (24.5%) had positive CRM on surgical pathology. The accuracy of preoperative CT in predicting pCRM was 79.6% (218/274). Among preoperative factors, only CRM assessment on CT was independently associated with pCRM (p < 0.001). Positive ctCRM by primary tumor was an independent factor for DFS (HR, 3.362 [1.714-6.593]) and systemic recurrence (HR, 3.715 [1.787-7.724], but not for local recurrence on multivariable analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative CT can accurately predict pCRM, and positive ctCRM by primary tumor is an independent risk factor for DFS and systemic recurrence, but not for local recurrence in retroperitonealized colon cancer.

KEY POINTS

• Preoperative CT can predict pathologic circumferential resection margin (CRM) with approximately 80% of accuracy in patients with retroperitonealized colon cancer. • Positive CRM by a primary tumor on preoperative CT is a poor prognostic factor for disease-free survival and systemic recurrence in patients with retroperitonealized colon cancer. • CRM involvement on CT was not associated with local recurrence in patients with retroperitonealized colon cancer.

A decreased preoperative platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, systemic immune-inflammation index, and pan-immune-inflammation value are associated with the poorer survival of patients with a stent inserted as a bridge to curative surgery for obstructive colorectal cancer

PURPOSE

Inflammation is one of the hallmarks of cancer, and inflammation-based markers that are calculated easily from laboratory results have shown predictive abilities. We investigated the prognostic values of the preoperative platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV) in patients with non-metastatic obstructive colorectal cancer (OCRC) and a self-expandable metallic stent inserted as a bridge to curative surgery.

METHODS

The subjects of this retrospective study were 86 patients with pathological stage I to III OCRC. We examined the associations of these biomarkers with short- and long-term outcomes.

RESULTS

Multivariate analyses revealed that a preoperative PLR < 149, SII < 597, and PIV < 209 were independently associated with poorer relapse-free survival (RFS) (P = 0.007, P < 0.001, and P = 0.002, respectively) and that a PIV < 209 was independently associated with poorer cancer-specific survival (P = 0.030). A platelet count < 240 was significantly associated with worse RFS, whereas the lymphocyte count was not. Pre-stenting PLR < 221 was an independent poor prognostic factor for RFS (P = 0.045).

CONCLUSION

This study showed that decreased preoperative PLR, SII, PIV, and pre-stenting PLR were associated with poorer RFS, contrary to the findings of most previous studies. Our results suggest that platelets and obstruction contributed primarily to the opposite relationships, which might provide new insight into the possible pathophysiology of platelet-tumor interactions generated in the OCRC environment.

Are Thyroid Functions Affected in Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children?

OBJECTIVE

Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C), associated with Coronavirus disease-2019, is defined as the presence of documented fever, inflammation, and at least two signs of multisystem involvement and lack of an alternative microbial diagnosis in children who have recent or current Severe acute respiratory syndrome-Coronavirus-2 infection or exposure. In this study, we evaluated thyroid function tests in pediatric cases with MIS-C in order to understand how the hypothalamus-pituitary-thyroid axis was affected and to examine the relationship between disease severity and thyroid function.

METHODS

This case-control study was conducted between January 2021 and September 2021. The patient group consisted of 36 MIS-C cases, the control group included 72 healthy children. Demographic features, clinical findings, inflammatory markers, thyroid function tests, and thyroid antibody levels in cases of MIS-C were recorded. Thyroid function tests were recorded in the healthy control group.

RESULTS

When MIS-C and healthy control groups were compared, free triiodothyronine (fT3) level was lower in MIS-C cases, while free thyroxine (fT4) level was found to be lower in the healthy group (p<0.001, p=0.001, respectively). Although the fT4 level was significantly lower in controls, no significant difference was found compared with the age-appropriate reference intervals (p=0.318). When MIS-C cases were stratified by intensive care requirement, fT3 levels were also lower in those admitted to intensive care and also in those who received steroid treatment (p=0.043, p<0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Since the endocrine system critically coordinates and regulates important metabolic and biochemical pathways, investigation of endocrine function in MIS-C may be beneficial. These results show an association between low fT3 levels and both diagnosis of MIS-C and requirement for intensive care. Further studies are needed to predict the prognosis and develop a long-term follow-up management plan.

Validating a membership disclosure metric for synthetic health data

BACKGROUND

One of the increasingly accepted methods to evaluate the privacy of synthetic data is by measuring the risk of membership disclosure. This is a measure of the F1 accuracy that an adversary would correctly ascertain that a target individual from the same population as the real data is in the dataset used to train the generative model, and is commonly estimated using a data partitioning methodology with a 0.5 partitioning parameter.

OBJECTIVE

Validate the membership disclosure F1 score, evaluate and improve the parametrization of the partitioning method, and provide a benchmark for its interpretation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed a simulated membership disclosure attack on 4 population datasets: an Ontario COVID-19 dataset, a state hospital discharge dataset, a national health survey, and an international COVID-19 behavioral survey. Two generative methods were evaluated: sequential synthesis and a generative adversarial network. A theoretical analysis and a simulation were used to determine the correct partitioning parameter that would give the same F1 score as a ground truth simulated membership disclosure attack.

RESULTS

The default 0.5 parameter can give quite inaccurate membership disclosure values. The proportion of records from the training dataset in the attack dataset must be equal to the sampling fraction of the real dataset from the population. The approach is demonstrated on 7 clinical trial datasets.

CONCLUSIONS

Our proposed parameterization, as well as interpretation and generative model training guidance provide a theoretically and empirically grounded basis for evaluating and managing membership disclosure risk for synthetic data.

Comparison of Oncologic Outcomes Between Incomplete Obstructive Colon Cancer and Non-Obstructive Colon Cancer by Tumor Location

Introduction

Obstruction in colon cancer is a well-known risk factor for worse oncologic outcomes. However, studies on differences in survival of patients with incomplete obstructive colon cancer (IOCC) by tumor location are insufficient. Thus, the aim of this study was to compare oncologic outcomes between IOCC and non-obstructive colon cancer (NOCC) according to tumor location.

Methods

From January 2010 to December 2015, a total of 2,004 patients diagnosed with stage II or stage III colon adenocarcinoma who underwent elective colectomy were included (IOCC, n = 405; NOCC, n = 1,599). Incomplete obstruction was defined as a state in which colonoscopy could not pass through the cancer lesion but did not require emergent surgery, stent insertion, or stoma formation because the patient was asymptomatic without problem in bowel preparation. Kaplan–Meier method and log-rank tests were used to compare survival between IOCC and NOCC. Multivariable analysis was performed to determine which factors affected survivals.

Results

Stage III IOCC patients showed significantly lower overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS). Stage II IOCC patients and stage III NOCC patients had similar survival curves. IOCC patients with tumors on the right side showed worse OS than other patients. In multivariable analysis, incomplete obstruction was an independent risk factor for worse OS and RFS in all stages. Tumor located at the right side in stage III was an independent risk factor for RFS (HR: 1.40, p = 0.030).

Conclusions

Patients with IOCC showed significantly worse survival outcomes than those with NOCC. Stage II IOCC patients and stage III NOCC patients showed similar survival. Patients with stage III IOCC located at the right side showed significantly worse oncologic outcomes than those located at the left side. These results confirm that prognosis is different depending on the presence of incomplete obstruction and the location of the tumor, even in the same stage.

Oncologic outcome of colon cancer with perforation and obstruction

Purpose

Perforation and obstruction in colorectal cancer are poor prognostic factors. We aimed to evaluate the oncological outcomes of patients with colon cancer presenting with perforation or obstruction.

Methods

A total of 260 patients underwent surgery for colon cancer between January 2015 and December 2017. Among them, 54 patients who underwent emergency surgery for perforated (n = 32) or obstructive (n = 22) colon cancer were included.

Results

The perforation (PG, n = 32) and obstruction groups (OG, n = 22) did not differ significantly in age (p = 0.486), sex (p = 0.821), tumor stage (p = 0.221), tumor location (p = 0.895), histologic grade (p = 0.173), or 3-year overall survival rate (55.6% vs. 50.0%, p = 0.784). However, the PG had a higher postoperative complication rate (44% vs. 17%, p = 0.025), longer intensive care unit stay (4.8 days vs. 0.8 days, p = 0.047), and lower 3-year recurrence-free survival (42.4% vs. 78.8%, p = 0.025) than the OG. In the multivariate analysis, perforation was significantly increased risk of recurrence (hazard ratio = 3.67, 95% confidence interval: 1.049–12.839, p = 0.042).

Conclusion

Patients with colon cancer initially presenting with perforation had poorer recurrence-free survival, higher postoperative complication rates, and longer ICU stays than those who had obstruction.

Comparison of two-stage and three-stage surgery for obstructing left-sided colon cancer

BACKGROUND

Whether the timing of stoma reversal after emergency diversion for obstructive left-sided colon cancer affects patient outcomes is unknown. Our study compared the short- and long-term outcomes of two- and three-stage operations for obstructive left-sided colon cancer.

METHODS

Patients with obstructive left-sided colon cancer who underwent staged resection at a referral hospital between January 2002 and December 2015 were retrospectively identified. Patient demographics and outcomes were analysed and compared between the two groups. Statistical significance was set as p < 0.05.

RESULTS

A total of 191 patients were reviewed. The overall complication rate was higher for two-stage surgery than for three-stage surgery (57.1% versus 36.0%, p < 0.01). Surgical site infection and/or wound dehiscence were the most common complications. Other complications, including anastomotic leakage, ileus, and bowel obstruction, were not significantly different between the two groups. The five-year overall survival and disease-free survival in stage II and III patients were comparable.

CONCLUSION

Among patients with obstructive left-sided colon cancer who underwent staged resection, two-stage surgery was associated with a higher complication rate, especially for surgical site infection and/or wound dehiscence, which could be managed by local treatment. The timing of stoma reversal was not associated with survival differences in patients with stage II and III disease. However, issues such as the location of the tumour and diverting stoma, along with the need to resect other upper abdominal organs, should all be considered when deciding between two- and three-stage surgeries.

Management of obstructive colon cancer: Current status, obstacles, and future directions

Approximately 10%–18% of patients with colon cancer present with obstruction at the initial diagnosis. Despite active screening efforts, the incidence of obstructive colon cancer remains stable. Traditionally, emergency surgery has been indicated to treat patients with obstructive colon cancer. However, compared to patients undergoing elective surgery, the morbidity and mortality rates of patients requiring emergency surgery for obstructive colon cancer are high. With the advancement of colonoscopic techniques and equipment, a self-expandable metal stent (SEMS) was introduced to relieve obstructive symptoms, allowing the patient’s general condition to be restored and for them undergo elective surgery. As the use of SEMS placement is growing, controversies about its application in potentially curable diseases have been raised. In this review, the short- and long-term outcomes of different treatment strategies, particularly emergency surgery vs SEMS placement followed by elective surgery in resectable, locally advanced obstructive colon cancer, are described based on the location of the obstructive cancer lesion. Controversies regarding each treatment strategy are discussed. To overcome current obstacles, a potential diagnostic method using circulating tumor DNA and further research directions incorporating neoadjuvant chemotherapy are introduced.

A nomogram model for predicting prognosis of obstructive colorectal cancer

Background

The prognosis of obstructive colorectal cancer (oCRC) is worse than that of nonobstructive colorectal cancer. However, no previous study has established an individualized prediction model for the prognosis of patients with oCRC. We aimed to screen the factors that affect the prognosis of oCRC and to use these findings to establish a nomogram model that predicts the individual prognosis of patients with oCRC.

Methods

This retrospective study collected data of 181 patients with oCRC from three medical hospitals between February 2012 and December 2017. Among them, 129 patients from one hospital were used as the training cohort. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used in this training cohort to select independent risk factors that affect the prognosis of oCRC, and a nomogram model was established. The other 52 patients from two additional hospitals were used as the validation cohort to verify the model.

Results

Multivariate analysis showed that carcinoembryonic antigen level (p = 0.037, hazard ratio [HR] = 2.872 [1.065–7.740]), N stage (N1 vs. N0, p = 0.028, HR = 3.187 [1.137–8.938]; N2 vs. N0, p = 0.010, HR = 4.098 [1.393–12.051]), and surgical procedures (p = 0.002, HR = 0.299 [0.139–0.643]) were independent prognostic factors of overall survival in patients with oCRC. These factors were used to construct the nomogram model, which showed good concordance and accuracy.

Conclusion

Carcinoembryonic antigen, N stage, and surgical method are independent prognostic factors for overall survival in patients with oCRC, and the nomogram model can visually display these results.

Recurrence and colon cancer-specific death in patients with large bowel obstruction requiring urgent operation: a competing risks analysis

AIM

Clinical presentation with large bowel obstruction has been proposed as a predictor of poor long-term oncological outcomes after resection for colorectal cancer. This study examines the association between obstruction and recurrence and cancer-specific death after resection for colon cancer.

METHOD

Consecutive patients who underwent resection for colon cancer between 1995 and 2014 were drawn from a prospectively recorded hospital database with all surviving patients followed for at least 5 years. The outcomes of tumour recurrence and colon cancer-specific death were assessed by competing risks multivariable techniques with adjustment for potential clinical and pathological confounding variables.

RESULTS

Recurrence occurred in 271 of 1485 patients who had a potentially curative resection. In bivariate analysis, obstruction was significantly associated with recurrence [hazard ratio (HR) 2.23, CI 1.52-3.26, p < 0.001] but this association became nonsignificant after adjustment for confounders (HR 1.53, CI 0.95-2.46, p = 0.080). Colon cancer-specific death occurred in 238 of 295 patients who had a noncurative resection. Obstruction was not significantly associated with cancer-specific death (HR 1.02, CI 0.72-1.45, p = 0.903). In patients who had a noncurative resection, the competing risks incidence of colon cancer-specific death was not significantly greater in obstructed than in unobstructed patients (HR 1.02, CI 0.72-1.45, p = 0.903).

CONCLUSION

Whilst the immediate clinical challenge of an individual patient presenting with large bowel obstruction must be addressed by the surgeon, the patient's long-term oncological outcomes are unrelated to obstruction per se.

Can synthetic data be a proxy for real clinical trial data? A validation study

OBJECTIVES

There are increasing requirements to make research data, especially clinical trial data, more broadly available for secondary analyses. However, data availability remains a challenge due to complex privacy requirements. This challenge can potentially be addressed using synthetic data.

SETTING

Replication of a published stage III colon cancer trial secondary analysis using synthetic data generated by a machine learning method.

PARTICIPANTS

There were 1543 patients in the control arm that were included in our analysis.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Analyses from a study published on the real dataset were replicated on synthetic data to investigate the relationship between bowel obstruction and event-free survival. Information theoretic metrics were used to compare the univariate distributions between real and synthetic data. Percentage CI overlap was used to assess the similarity in the size of the bivariate relationships, and similarly for the multivariate Cox models derived from the two datasets.

RESULTS

Analysis results were similar between the real and synthetic datasets. The univariate distributions were within 1% of difference on an information theoretic metric. All of the bivariate relationships had CI overlap on the tau statistic above 50%. The main conclusion from the published study, that lack of bowel obstruction has a strong impact on survival, was replicated directionally and the HR CI overlap between the real and synthetic data was 61% for overall survival (real data: HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.11 to 2.2; synthetic data: HR 2.03, 95% CI 1.44 to 2.87) and 86% for disease-free survival (real data: HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.18 to 1.95; synthetic data: HR 1.63, 95% CI 1.26 to 2.1).

CONCLUSIONS

The high concordance between the analytical results and conclusions from synthetic and real data suggests that synthetic data can be used as a reasonable proxy for real clinical trial datasets.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT00079274.

Association of Obesity With Survival Outcomes in Patients With Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Importance

Obesity, defined as a body mass index (BMI) greater than 30, is associated with a significant increase in the risk of many cancers and in overall mortality. However, various studies have suggested that patients with cancer and no obesity (ie, BMI 20-25) have worse outcomes than patients with obesity.

Objective

To assess the association between obesity and outcomes after a diagnosis of cancer.

Data Sources

PubMed, the Cochrane Library, and EMBASE were searched from inception to January 2020.

Study Selection

Studies reporting prognosis of patients with obesity using standard BMI categories and cancer were included. Studies that used nonstandard BMI categories, that were limited to children, or that were limited to patients with hematological malignant neoplasms were excluded. Screening was performed independently by multiple reviewers. Among 1892 retrieved studies, 203 (17%) met inclusion criteria for initial evaluation.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

The Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) and Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) reporting guidelines were reporting guideline was followed. Data were extracted by multiple independent reviewers. Risk of death, cancer-specific mortality, and recurrence were pooled to provide an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) with a 95% CI . A random-effects model was used for the retrospective nature of studies.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome of the study was overall survival (OS) in patients with cancer, with and without obesity. Secondary end points were cancer-specific survival (CSS) and progression-free survival (PFS) or disease-free survival (DFS). The risk of events was reported as HRs with 95% CIs, with an HR greater than 1 associated with a worse outcome among patients with obesity vs those without.

Results

A total of 203 studies with 6 320 365 participants evaluated the association of OS, CSS, and/or PFS or DFS with obesity in patients with cancer. Overall, obesity was associated with a reduced OS (HR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.09-1.19; P < .001) and CSS (HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.12-1.23; P < .001). Patients were also at increased risk of recurrence (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.07-1.19; P < .001). Conversely, patients with obesity and lung cancer, renal cell carcinoma, or melanoma had better survival outcomes compared with patients without obesity and the same cancer (lung: HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.76-0.98; P = .02; renal cell: HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.53-0.89; P = .02; melanoma: HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.57-0.96; P < .001).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this study, obesity was associated with greater mortality overall in patients with cancer. However, patients with obesity and lung cancer, renal cell carcinoma, and melanoma had a lower risk of death than patients with the same cancers without obesity. Weight-reducing strategies may represent effective measures for reducing mortality in these patients.