Risk factors of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after liver transplantation: accuracy of the alpha-fetoprotein model in a single-center experience

Prediction of early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation based on computed tomography radiomics nomogram

BACKGROUND

Early recurrence results in poor prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver transplantation (LT). This study aimed to explore the value of computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics nomogram in predicting early recurrence of patients with HCC after LT.

METHODS

A cohort of 151 patients with HCC who underwent LT between December 2013 and July 2019 were retrospectively enrolled. A total of 1218 features were extracted from enhanced CT images. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm (LASSO) logistic regression was used for dimension reduction and radiomics signature building. The clinical model was constructed after the analysis of clinical factors, and the nomogram was constructed by introducing the radiomics signature into the clinical model. The predictive performance and clinical usefulness of the three models were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA), respectively. Calibration curves were plotted to assess the calibration of the nomogram.

RESULTS

There were significant differences in radiomics signature among early recurrence patients and non-early recurrence patients in the training cohort (P < 0.001) and validation cohort (P < 0.001). The nomogram showed the best predictive performance, with the largest area under the ROC curve in the training (0.882) and validation (0.917) cohorts. Hosmer-Lemeshow testing confirmed that the nomogram showed good calibration in the training (P = 0.138) and validation (P = 0.396) cohorts. DCA showed if the threshold probability is within 0.06-1, the nomogram had better clinical usefulness than the clinical model.

CONCLUSIONS

Our CT-based radiomics nomogram can preoperatively predict the risk of early recurrence in patients with HCC after LT.

Predictors of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Early Recurrence in Patients Treated with Surgical Resection or Ablation Treatment: A Single-Center Experience

Introduction: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the sixth most diagnosed malignancy and the fourth leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide, with poor overall survival despite available curative treatments. One of the most crucial factors influencing survival in HCC is recurrence. The current study aims to determine factors associated with early recurrence of HCC in patients with BCLC Stage 0 or Stage A treated with surgical resection or local ablation. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 58 consecutive patients diagnosed with HCC within BCLC Stage 0 or Stage A and treated either by surgical resection or local ablation with maximum nodule diameter < 50 mm. In the first year of follow-up after treatment, imaging was performed regularly one month after treatment and then every three months. Each case was discussed collectively by the Liver Multidisciplinary Group to decide diagnosis, treatment, follow-up, and disease recurrence. Variables resulting in statistically significant difference were then studied by Cox regression analysis; univariately and then multivariately based on forward stepwise Cox regression. Results are represented in hazard ratio (H.R.) with 95% confidence interval (C.I.). Results: There was no statistically significant difference in recurrence rates (34.8 vs. 45.7%, log-rank test, p = 0.274) between patients undergoing surgical resection and local ablation, respectively. Early recurrence was associated with male gender (HR 2.5, 95% C.I. 1.9−3.1), nodule diameter > 20 mm (HR 4.5, 95% C.I. 3.9−5.1), platelet count < 125 × 103 cell/mm3 (HR 1.6, 95% C.I. 1.2−1.9), platelet-lymphocyte ratio < 95 (HR 2.1, 95% C.I. 1.7−2.6), lymphocyte-monocyte ratio < 2.5 (HR 1.9, 95% C.I. 1.4−2.5), and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio > 2 (HR 2.7, 95% C.I. 2.2−3.3). Discussion and Conclusions: Our results are in line with the current literature. Male gender and tumor nodule dimension are the main risk factors associated with early HCC recurrence. Platelet count and other combined scores can be used as predictive tools for early HCC recurrence, although more studies are needed to define cut-offs.

Different Models to Predict the Risk of Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the Setting of Liver Transplantation

Simple Summary

Liver transplantation is considered the first-choice curative therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma in the early phase of the disease, when surgical resection is not possible. Even when implementing restrictive criteria to select patients for liver transplantation, there is a risk of recurrence in the transplanted liver, influencing the long-term outcome and prognosis. As it is challenging to predict the individual risk of recurrence, there is a need for validated and predictive scoring systems to use to stratify patients before and/or after liver transplantation. Most of the proposed scorings include biological markers for tumour behavior, in addition to the number and size of tumoral nodules. In this review, we discuss different published models to assess the risk of recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma after transplantation. Our aim is to refine clinical decisions about prioritization and listing for liver transplantation, to better inform patients and provide an appropriate surveillance strategy to influence their prognosis.

Abstract

Liver transplantation is the preferred therapeutic option for non-resectable hepatocellular carcinoma in early-stage disease. Taking into account the limited number of donor organs, liver transplantation is restricted to candidates with long-term outcomes comparable to benign indications on the waiting list. Introducing the morphometric Milan criteria as the gold standard for transplant eligibility reduced the recurrence rate. Even with strict patient selection, there is a risk of recurrence of between 8 and 20% in the transplanted liver, and this is of even greater importance when using more expanded criteria and downstaging protocols. Currently, it remains challenging to predict the risk of recurrence and the related prognosis for individual patients. In this review, the recurrence-risk-assessment scores proposed in the literature are discussed. Currently there is no consensus on the optimal model or the implications of risk stratification in clinical practice. The most recent scorings include additional biological markers for tumour behavior, such as alfa-foetoprotein, and the response to locoregional therapies, in addition to the number and diameter of tumoral nodules. The refinement of the prediction of recurrence is important to better inform patients, guide decisions about prioritization and listing and implement individualized surveillance strategies. In the future, this might also provide indications for tailored immunosuppressive therapy or inclusion in trials for adjuvant treatment.

The Landscape Of Alpha Fetoprotein In Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Where Are We?

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver cancer and has been acknowledged as a leading cause of death among cirrhosis patients. Difficulties in early diagnosis and heterogeneity are obstacles to effective treatment, especially for advanced HCC. Liver transplantation (LT) is considered the best therapy for HCC. Although many biomarkers are being proposed, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), which was identified over 60 years ago, remains the most utilized. Recently, much hope has been placed in the immunogenicity of AFP to develop novel therapies, such as AFP vaccines and AFP-specific adoptive T-cell transfer (ACT). This review summarizes the performance of AFP as a biomarker for HCC diagnosis and prognosis, as well as its correlation with molecular classes. In addition, the role of AFP in LT is also described. Finally, we highlight the mechanism and application prospects of two immune therapies (AFP vaccine and ACT) for HCC. In general, our review points out the prevalence of AFP in HCC, accompanied by some controversies and novel directions for future research.

Liver Transplantation in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma beyond the Milan Criteria: A Comprehensive Review

The Milan criteria (MC) were developed more than 20 years ago and are still considered the benchmark for liver transplantation (LT) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the strict application of MC might exclude some patients who may receive a clinical benefit of LT. Several expanded criteria have been proposed. Some of these consider pretransplant morphological and biological variables of the tumor, others consider post-LT variables such as the histology of the tumor, and others combine pre- and post-LT variables. More recently, the HCC response to locoregional treatments before transplantation emerged as a surrogate marker of the biological aggressiveness of the tumor to be used as a better selection criterion for LT in patients beyond the MC at presentation. This essential review aims to present the current data on the pretransplant selection criteria for LT in patients with HCC exceeding the MC at presentation based on morphological and histological characteristics of the tumor and to critically discuss those that have been validated in clinical practice. Moreover, the role of HCC biological markers and the tumor response to downstaging procedures as new tools for selecting patients with a tumor burden outside of the MC for LT is evaluated.

Can primary hepatocellular carcinoma histomorphology predict extrahepatic metastasis?

Studies comparing the histomorphologic features and phenotypic heterogeneity between primary and its corresponding metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are lacking. The aim of this study was to assess and compare the histomorphologic features and heterogeneity between primary and metastatic HCC. A total of 39 cases with both primary and metastatic tissues were identified from pathology archives (2000-2019). The common sites of metastasis included lung (28.21%), abdominal cavity (25.64%), lymph nodes (20.51%), bone (17.95%), soft tissue (15.38%), and adrenal gland (10.26%). Both the primary and metastatic tumors showed heterogeneity in intratumoral histologic patterns (87.18% and 76.92%, respectively). The most common histologic pattern was solid in both primary (61.54%) and metastases (56.41%), followed by macrotrabecular in primary (17.95%) and metastases (10.26%). Among HCC-subtypes, macrotrabecular-massive HCC was the most common subtype in both primary and metastases (28.21% each). Primary tumors in noncirrhotic livers were more likely to have larger size and microvascular invasion than those in cirrhotic livers. The histomorphology (histologic pattern, subtype, and grade) between the primary and metastases was discordant in about 50% cases (48.72%, 48.72%, and 51.28%, respectively). Our findings exhibit significant intratumoral heterogeneity and histomorphologic discordance between primary and metastatic HCCs. The solid and macrotrabecular histologic patterns and the macrotrabecular-massive subtype were the most common histomorphologic features seen in primary tumors associated with metastasis. Further studies to identify and explore different pathways that promote HCC metastasis and to compare the differences between primary and metastatic tumors on a larger cohort are needed to better understand the pathogenesis of metastasis.

Number of hepatocellular carcinoma nodules in patients listed for liver transplantation within alpha-fetoprotein score: a new prognostic risk factor

In France, the listing for liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) requires an AFP score ≤2. This study evaluates whether the number of nodules assessed immediately before LT has a prognostic value among patients already listed within AFP score. Among 143 recipients transplanted with an AFP score ≤2 between 2013 and 2017 in our center, the number of nodules was considered at listing on the waiting list and at last imaging before LT. We compared the overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) post-LT of patients with ≤3 and >3 nodules (current classification), and aimed to propose a new criteria to exclude patients on list at high risk of recurrence. The 3-year OS of patients with ≤3 HCC vs. >3 HCC at listing was of 90.3% vs. 67.3%, respectively (P = 0.04). At last imaging, eight listed patients presented ≥5 HCC nodules and had a significantly lower OS than <5 nodules patients (5-year OS: 24.4% vs. 78.1%; P = 0.01). Although the current AFP score offers satisfactory outcomes, we highlight the poorer outcomes when ≥5 nodules persist or appear after listing. A modification of the AFP score is mandatory to consider exclusion of high-risk patients already listed for LT program.

A 2020 update on liver transplant for hepatocellular carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Hepatocellular carcinoma is the most frequent liver tumor and is associated with chronic liver disease in 90% of cases. In selected cases, liver transplantation represents an effective therapy with excellent overall survival.

AREA COVERED

Since the introduction of Milan criteria in 1996, numerous alternative selection systems to LT for HCC patients have been proposed. Debate remains about how best to select HCC patients for transplant and how to prioritize them on the waiting list.

EXPERT OPINION

The selection of the best scoring system to propose in the context of LT for HCC is far to be identified. In this review, we analyze and categorize the various selection systems, assessing their roles in the different decisional phases.

Tumor Stiffness Measurements on MR Elastography for Single Nodular Hepatocellular Carcinomas Can Predict Tumor Recurrence After Hepatic Resection

BACKGROUND

Tumor stiffness (TS), measured by magnetic resonance elastography (MRE), could be associated with tumor mechanical properties and tumor grade.

PURPOSE

To determine whether TS obtained using MRE is associated with survival in patients with single nodular hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatic resection (HR).

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

In all, 95 patients with pathologically confirmed HCCs.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

1.5T/3D spin-echo echo-planar imaging MRE.

ASSESSMENT

TS values of the whole tumor (TS-WT) and of a solid portion of the tumor (TS-SP) after excluding the necrotic area were measured on stiffness maps. Known imaging prognostic factors of HCC were also analyzed. After surgery, pathologic findings were evaluated from resected pathology specimens.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Fisher's exact test and the Mann-Whitney U-test were performed to determine the significance of differences according to the tumor grade. Overall survival (OS) / recurrence-free survival (RFS) analyses were performed using Kaplan-Meier analyses and Cox multivariable models.

RESULTS

The average TS-WT was 2.14 ± 0.74 kPa, and the average TS-SP was 2.51 ± 1.07 kPa. The cumulative incidence of RFS was 73.1%, 63.1%, and 57.3% at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. The TS-WT, TS-SP, and tumor size (≥5 cm) were significant prognostic factors for RFS (P < 0.001; P < 0.001; P = 0.017, respectively). The estimated overall 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates were 95.7%, 86.9%, and 80.8%, respectively. The alpha-fetoprotein changes, platelets, tumor size (≥5 cm), and vascular invasion in pathology were significant predictive factors for overall survival (all P < 0.05). Tumor necrosis, TS-WT, TS-SP, and vascular invasion in pathology were significantly correlated with poorly differentiated HCC (all P < 0.05).

DATA CONCLUSION

The TS-WT, TW-SP, and tumor size (≥5 cm) were significant predictive factors of RFS after HR in patients with HCC. Level of Evidence Technical Efficacy Stage 5 J. MAGN. RESON. IMAGING 2021;53:587-596.

Milan criteria in the MELD era-is it justifiable to extend the limits for orthotopic liver transplantation?

Background

The Milan criteria (MC) are widely used for the indication of liver transplantation (LTx) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Good long-term results have also been reported following LTx for patients exceeding the MC. In this article, we compare the overall and recurrence-free survival of our patients fulfilling and exceeding the MC according to the post-transplant histopathological results.

Patients and methods

Data from 120 patients with HCC (22 females and 98 males) were analyzed. The median patient age was 61 years (Q1, Q3 54.7, 65.4), and the median MELD score was 11 (Q1, Q3 8, 15). The median follow-up period was 53 months (Q1, Q3 16.6, 78). Patients were categorized into established criteria (MC, up-to-seven (UTS), Asan criteria, AFP score), and the outcome of the individual groups was compared.

Results

Seventy-four of 120 patients fulfilled the MC, 86 patients met the UTS criteria, 85 patients fulfilled the Asan criteria, and 79 patients had an AFP score less than or equal to 2. The 1- and 5-year survival rates of all patients were 76.7% and 55.6%, respectively. In total, 14.2% of all patients (5.4% of patients who met the MC, 7% of patients who met the UTS criteria, 5.9% of patients who met the Asan criteria, and 6.3% of patients who had an AFP score less than 2) experienced recurrence.

Conclusions

The outcomes of the patients were comparable to those reported in the current literature. In our population, similar recurrence and survival rates of the patients were noted for patients fulfilling the UTS criteria irrespective of fulfilling or exceeding the MC. Consequently, we consider using UTS criteria as the extended criterion for LTx indication.

Reduction of FoxP3+ Tregs by an immunosuppressive protocol of rapamycin plus Thymalfasin and Huaier extract predicts positive survival benefits in a rat model of hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Investigate immunoregulation and anti-tumor immunity of FoxP3⁺Tregs after treatment with rapamycin (RAPA/SRL) plus thymalfasin (Zadaxin) and Huaier extract (PS-T) in a hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) rat model simulating HCC relapse after liver transplant (LT).

Methods

We successfully established a rat model simulating HCC relapse after LT using an optimized chemical induction method with TACROLIMUS, methylprednisolone, and diethylnitrosamine as identified by visible liver nodules and hematoxylin-eosin staining. The model rats were then treated with RAPA, Zadaxin, and PS-T. Immune status changes were analyzed by flow cytometry, and protein expression of Akt and mTOR was determined by western blotting. Cytokines were measured by ELISAs.

Results

Combined therapy by RAPA plus Zadaxin and PS-T obviously alleviated hepatic pathological changes and significantly decreased the levels of FoxP3⁺Tregs in peripheral blood, the spleen, and the liver (P<0.05) and expression of mTOR protein (P<0.01) in the liver, obviously improved survival time (P=0.02). Moreover, the levels of CD8⁺T cells were increased significantly to almost normal levels (P<0.05) in comparison with no SRL monotherapy protocols. Inhibitory cytokines were also decreased in accordance with FoxP3⁺Tregs. Significant decreases of IL-10 and TGF-β were observed after SRL-based therapy (P<0.01) in comparison with the other groups. Serum alpha fetoprotein (AFP) and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) levels were also decreased significantly (P<0.05). FoxP3⁺Tregs showed a negative correlation with CD8⁺ and CD4⁺/CD8⁺T cells and a positive correlation with AFP, and VEGF (P<0.05).

Conclusions

SRL-based therapy reduces FoxP3⁺Tregs to decrease secreted inhibitory cytokines which may enhancement the viability and number of CD8⁺T cells to exert anti-tumor effects that are mainly mediated through the AKT-mTOR signaling pathway.

Systematic review: risk prediction models for recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation

Recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver transplantation (LT) is a significant clinical problem associated with poor surgical outcomes. This study aims to summarize the current evidence on risk prediction models of HCC recurrence after LT. PubMed and EMBASE were searched to May 25, 2019, for relevant articles. Studies originally designed to develop or validate a risk prediction model for HCC recurrence after LT were included. Two independent authors summarized the study characteristics and evaluated the risk of bias and applicability concerns in the included studies. From 26 included studies, 18 original risk prediction models were determined, but only five models were externally validated. The average number of predictors involved in the construction of risk models was three. The most frequently employed predictors were alpha-fetoprotein, tumor size, vascular invasion, tumor number, tumor differentiation, and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio. Most studies showed good discriminatory performance (AUC >0.75). The overall quality of the included studies was generally low. Most of the original models lacked the highly recommended external and prospective validation in diverse populations. The AFP model was the well-validated preoperative risk model that can stratify patients into high- and low-risk groups.

High serum caspase-3 levels in hepatocellular carcinoma prior to liver transplantation and high mortality risk during the first year after liver transplantation

Background: Higher liver caspase-3 activity has been found in patients with different liver diseases. However, there is no published data about circulating caspase-3 levels in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who underwent liver transplantation (LT). Therefore, our objective in this study was to determine whether an association between circulating caspase-3 levels in HCC patients prior to LT and one-year mortality after LT exists. Methods: In this observational and retrospective study, we included HCC patients who underwent LT. We measured serum levels of caspase-3 (as the main executor of apoptosis) and caspase-cleaved cytokeratin (CCCK)-18 (to estimate apoptosis degree) before LT. Results: One-year surviving LT patients (n = 129) showed lower serum levels of caspase-3 (p = 0.004) and CCCK-18 (p = 0.001) than non-surviving LT patients (n = 16). Logistic regression analysis showed that serum caspase-3 levels prior to LT were associated with one-year after LT mortality (Odds Ratio = 2.612; 95% CI = 1.519-4.493; p = 0.001). We found a positive association between serum levels of caspase-3 and CCCK-18 (rho = 0.26; p = 0.002). Conclusions: Our study is the first one reporting data of circulating caspase-3 levels prior to LT for HCC, and an association between high serum caspase-3 levels previously to LT and survival at first year after LT.

Serum biomarkers and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after liver transplantation

Liver transplantation (LT) is the only potentially curative treatment for selected patients with cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who are not candidates for resection. When the Milan criteria are strictly applied, 75% to 85%of 3- to 4-year actuarial survival rates are achieved, but up to 20% of the patients experience HCC recurrence after transplantation. The Milan criteria are based on the preoperative tumor macromorphology, tumor size and number on computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging that neither correlate well with posttransplant histological study of the liver explant nor accurately predict HCC recurrence after LT, since they do not include objective measures of tumor biology. Preoperative biological markers, including alpha-fetoprotein, des-gamma-carboxiprothrombin or neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, can predict the risk for HCC recurrence after transplantation. These biomarkers have been proposed as surrogate markers of tumor differentiation and vascular invasion, with varied risk magnitudes depending on the defined cutoffs. Different studies have shown that the combination of one or several biomarkers integrated into prognostic models predict the risk of HCC recurrence after LT more accurately than Milan criteria alone. In this review, we focus on the potential utility of these serum biological markers to improve the performance of Milan criteria to identify patients at high risk of tumoral recurrence after LT.

Analysis of prognostic factors of more/equal to10 years of survival for liver cancer patients after liver transplantation

OBJECTIVE

To investigate prognostic factors of  more than 10 years of survival for liver cancer patients after liver transplantation.

METHODS

From May 2000 to May 2007, a total of 134 liver cancer patients who underwent liver transplantation in the Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Peking University People's Hospital, were continuously and retrospectively enrolled. The patients included 120 males and 14 females. There were 124 cases (92.5%) of primary hepatocellular carcinoma, 9 cases (6.7%) of cholangiocarcinoma, and 1 case of mixed hepatocellular carcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma. Patients with perioperative death were excluded. Follow-up was performed until May 31st, 2017 or the time of death. According to the data on postoperative survival time, patients were divided into a < 10 years group (81 cases) and a ≥ 10 years group (53 cases). Patients' clinical data were recorded and analyzed, including alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level (≥ 400 µg/L or < 400 µg/L), number of tumor lesions (< 3 or ≥ 3), tumor size (≤ 5 cm or > 5 cm), vascular tumor thrombus (large blood vessel or non-large blood vessel), and histological differentiation degree. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate survival rates. The log-rank method was used to compare the differences between survival curves. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to perform multivariate analyses of possibly influential factors.

RESULTS

(1) Follow-up was conducted with all 134 liver cancer patients after liver transplantation. The follow-up periods were 1-201 months, with a median of 18 (8.75, 132.5) months. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis results showed that the 1-year, 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year cumulative survival rates were 70.3%, 48.6%, 46.8%, and 46.8%, respectively. (2) The differences in the age of patients, the incidence rate of AFP ≥ 400 µg/L, tumor histological differentiation, vascular tumor thrombi, tumor lesion size, and number of tumor lesions between two groups were all statistically significant (all P < 0.01). (3) The cumulative survival rates were different in AFP (log-rank χ2 = 13.428), histopathologic differentiation (log-rank χ2 = 33.592), large blood vessel tumor thrombi (log-rank χ2 = 36.470), tumor lesion size (log-rank χ2 = 39.835), and number of tumor lesions (log-rank χ2 = 47.016), and there were statistically significant differences between groups (all P < 0.01). (4) Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses showed that ≥ 3 tumor lesions [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.879, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.566-5.422], tumor lesion size > 5 cm (HR = 2.682, 95% CI 1.382-5.366), large blood vessel tumor thrombi (HR = 1.831, 95% CI 1.010-3.341), and poor histological differentiation (HR = 2.150, 95% CI 1.372-3.394), were risk factors affecting the 10-year survival of liver cancer patients after liver transplantation (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Tumor size, tumor number, large blood vessel tumor thrombi, and low tumor differentiation were all found to be independent risk factors affecting the 10-year survival rate after liver transplantation in liver cancer patients.

Advances in predicting the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma recipients after liver transplantation

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most prevalent malignant tumors worldwide. Liver transplantation (LT) is known as a curative and therapeutic modality. However, the survival rates of recipients after LT are still not good enough because of tumor recurrence. To improve the survival rates of recipients after LT, identifying predictive factors for prognosis after LT and establishing a model assessing prognosis are very important to HCC patients. There has recently been a lot of clinical and basic research on recurrence and prognosis after LT. Progress has been made, especially in selection criteria for LT recipients and risk factors for predicting prognosis after LT. Hangzhou criteria, in line with China's high current incidence rate of primary liver, are first proposed by Chinese scholars of LT, and are accepted world-wide, and make an important contribution to the development of LT.

Serum total antioxidant capacity prior to liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma is associated with 1-year liver transplantation survival

Objective

To determine whether there was an association between serum total antioxidant capacity (TAC) levels prior to in liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and 1-year LT mortality.

Methods

This observational retrospective single-centre study of patients with LT for HCC measured serum levels of TAC and malondialdehyde (as a biomarker of lipid peroxidation) before LT. The study endpoint was 1-year LT mortality.

Results

This study included 142 patients who underwent LT for HCC. Patients who survived the first year (n = 127) had significantly lower aged liver donors, significantly higher serum TAC levels, and significantly lower serum malondialdehyde levels compared with the non-survivors (n = 15). Logistic regression analysis found that serum TAC levels (odds ratio [OR] 0.275; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.135, 0.562) and the age of the LT donor (OR 1.050; 95% CI 1.009, 1.094) were associated with 1-year LT mortality. There was an inverse association between serum levels of TAC and malondialdehyde levels (rho = –0.22).

Conclusions

There was an association between low serum TAC levels prior to LT for HCC and mortality during the first year after LT. There was an inverse association between serum TAC levels and lipid peroxidation as measured by malondialdehyde levels.

Alpha fetoprotein antagonises benzyl isothiocyanate inhibition of the malignant behaviors of hepatocellular carcinoma cells

Benzyl isothiocyanate (BITC) is a dietary isothiocyanate derived from cruciferous vegetables. Recent studies showed that BITC inhibited the growth of many cancer cells, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cells. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is a important molecule for promoting progression of HCC, in the present investigation, we explore the influence of AFP on the role of BITC in the malignant behaviours of HCC cells, and the potential underlying mechanisms. We found thatBITC inhibited viability, migration, invasion and induced apoptosis of human liver cancer cell lines, Bel 7402(AFP producer) and HLE(non-AFP producer) cells in vitro. The role of BITC involve in promoting actived-caspase-3 and PARP-1 expression, and enhancing caspase-3 activity but decreasing MMP-2/9, survivin and CXCR4 expression. AFP antagonized the effect of BITC. This study suggests that BITC induced significant reductions in the viability of HCC cell lines. BITC may activate caspase-3 signal and inhibit the expression of growth- and metastasis-related proteins; AFP is an pivotal molecule for the HCC chemo-resistance of BITC.

High serum soluble CD40L levels previously to liver transplantation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma are associated with mortality at one year

PURPOSE

CD40L and its soluble form (sCD40L) are proteins of the tumor necrosis factor superfamily (TNFSF) that exhibit prothrombotic and proinflammatory properties when binding to CD40, which is a cell surface receptor of the tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily (TNFRSF). High circulating levels of sCD40L have been associated with poor prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, it is unknown whether there is an association between circulating sCD40L levels and survival in patients with HCC underwent to liver transplantation (LT), and this was the objective of that study.

METHODS

Serum sCD40L levels were measured in a total of 139 patients before LT (124 survivors at 1year of LT and 15 non-survivors). The end-point study was 1year survival after liver LT.

RESULTS

We found that 1-year non-surviving patients showed higher serum sCD40L levels than survivor patients (p=0.02). We found in logistic regression analysis that serum sCD40L levels higher than 321pg/mL (Odds Ratio=6.86; 95% confidence interval=2.06-22.76; p=0.002) and age of LT deceased donor were associated with death at 1year.

CONCLUSIONS

The new finding of our study was that high serum sCD40L levels previously to LT in patients with HCC are associated with higher mortality at one year.

Validity of eleven prognostic scores with respect to intra- and extrahepatic recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation

INTRODUCTION

Tumor recurrence is the most frequent cause of death after liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma. We selected ten other prognostic classifications to evaluate their potential to predict the risk of recurrence after LT for HCC as compared to the Milan classification. All of the other scores have not been compared with one another in a single cohort.

METHODS

Data of 147 consecutive patients transplanted at our department between 1996 and 2014 were analyzed and staged for morphological and functional scores of underlying liver disease. For long-term follow-up, we analyzed intrahepatic (within the liver ± distant metastases) and extrahepatic (distant metastases only) recurrence separately.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

The median survival time for all patients was 106 months. The 5- and 10-year observed survival rates were 61 and 43%, respectively. The observed cumulative 5- and 10-year recurrence rates were 37 and 39%, respectively, 10-year intrahepatic and extrahepatic recurrence rates were 12 and 27%, respectively. Median survival time after diagnosis of first recurrence was 7.5 (0-120) months; 2 and 18 months for all, intra- and extrahepatic recurrence, respectively. UCSF-, up to seven-, Shanghai Fudan- or Duvoux classifications can identify patients with a cumulative 10-year recurrence rate below 20%. The pre-therapeutic AFP level should be considered in addition to the geometry of the intrahepatic lesions.

Expression and Significances of G-Protein-Coupled Receptor Kinase 3 in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Objective: To investigate expression, clinical, pathologic and prognostic significances of G-protein-coupled receptor kinase 3 (GRK3) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Materials and Methods: Expression of GRK3 was detected using Western blotting and tissue microarray-based immunohistochemical staining in 8 and 395 patients (training set: n=164; validation set: n=231) with HCC underwent hepatectomy, respectively. GRK3 expression and its associations with cliniopathologic variables and tumor-specific survival were evaluated. Results: Expression of GRK3 was lower in tumor than in non-tumor tissues from 4 out of 8 patients. In the training set, the H-score of tumoral GRK3 staining was much lower than that in adjacent non-tumor liver tissues. In addition, GRK3 was associated with tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage and serum α-fetoprotein (AFP) level. Patients with high GRK3 tumors were found to carry significantly better tumor-specific survival, compared with those with low GRK3 ones. Furthermore, GRK3 was identified as one of independent predictors of favorable prognosis, adjusted for clinicopathologic parameters. Importantly, these results were further validated in the independent validation set. In all patients and 7 out of 10 subgroups, GRK3 was also revealed to be prognostic. Conclusions: GRK3 is down-regulated and predicts good prognosis in HCC. Therefore, GRK3 might function as a tumor suppressor gene in HCC.

Late recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation

AIMS

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third leading cause of cancer deaths worldwide and liver transplant (LT) prolongs survival. However, 15-20% will experience recurrent HCC, most occurring within 2 years of LT. HCC patients with late recurrences (>5 years after LT) may have distinctive clinical/biological characteristics.

METHODS

A retrospective review was conducted of 88 patients who underwent LT for HCC between 1993-2015, analyzing demographics, clinical factors, explant pathology, and outcome.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 6.4 years. HCC recurred in 15 (17.0%) patients with mean time to recurrence of 3.96 +/- 3.99 years. Five patients recurred >5 years post-LT. All late recurrences involved males in their 50s, recurring at 8.5 years on average. Recurrences occurred in chest wall (2), liver (2), lung (2), bone (1) and pelvis (1), with multifocal involvement in 2 patients. Four patients died within 18 months of late recurrence. The fifth patient is alive after ablation of liver recurrence and treatment with sorafenib and everolimus.

CONCLUSIONS

One-third of post-LT patients with recurrent HCC experienced late recurrence. Although the sample size makes it difficult to identify significant risk factors, this study highlights the importance of long-term follow up and need for biomarkers to identify patients at risk for late recurrences.

Impact of pathological features of primary hepatocellular carcinoma on the outcomes of intrahepatic recurrence management: single center experience from Southern Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Currently, there is no definitive management for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) intrahepatic recurrence (IHR) after primary resection (PR). The aim of this study was to analyze the outcomes of three modalities for patients who received curative PR and had IHR within the University of California San Francisco (UCSF) criteria.

METHODS

Between 2003 and 2010, patients with IHR after PR were treated with salvage liver transplantation (SLT), re-resection (RR) or local ablation (LA). Clinico-pathological features of primary tumor and recurrent HCC were analyzed to determine the risk factors that adversely affected overall survival (OS) and disease free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

The study included 130 patients with subgroups of SLT (n = 25), RR (n = 31) and LA (n = 74). The 5-year DFS and OS were 75%, 31% and 17% and 80%, 60% and 58% respectively for each subgroup. SLT had a significantly better DFS than other modalities (p < 0.001). There was no difference in OS. In multivariate analysis, two variables adversely affected DFS: microvascular invasion in PR and not treating patients with SLT.

CONCLUSIONS

SLT provides better DFS for patients with IHR within the UCSF criteria. However, SLT failed to show the same advantage in OS.

Prognostic Value of Serum Caspase-Cleaved Cytokeratin-18 Levels before Liver Transplantation for One-Year Survival of Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Cytokeratin (CK)-18 is the major intermediate filament protein in the liver and during hepatocyte apoptosis is cleaved by the action of caspases; the resulting fragments are released into the blood as caspase-cleaved cytokeratin (CCCK)-18. Higher circulating levels of CCCK-18 have been found in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) than in healthy controls and than in cirrhotic patients. However, it is unknown whether serum CCCK-18 levels before liver transplantation (LT) in patients with HCC could be used as a prognostic biomarker of one-year survival, and this was the objective of our study with 135 patients. At one year after LT, non-survivors showed higher serum CCCK-18 levels than survivors (p = 0.001). On binary logistic regression analysis, serum CCCK-18 levels >384 U/L were associated with death at one year (odds ratio = 19.801; 95% confidence interval = 5.301–73.972; p < 0.001) after controlling for deceased donor age. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of serum CCCK-18 levels to predict death at one year was 77% (95% CI = 69%–84%; p < 0.001). The new finding of our study was that serum levels of CCCK-18 before LT in patients with HCC could be used as prognostic biomarker of survival.

The Warsaw Proposal for the Use of Extended Selection Criteria in Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Cancer

BACKGROUND

Combination of the University of California, San Francisco (UCSF) and the up-to-7 criteria with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) cutoff of 100 ng/ml was proposed as the Warsaw expansion of the Milan criteria in selection of hepatocellular cancer (HCC) patients for liver transplantation. The purpose of this retrospective study was to validate this proposal.

METHODS

A total of 240 HCC patients after liver transplantation were included. Recurrence-free survival and overall survival at 5 years were set as the primary and secondary outcome measures, respectively.

RESULTS

The Warsaw expansion increased transplant eligibility rate by 20.3 %. AFP >100 ng/ml significantly increased the recurrence risk in patients within the Milan criteria (p = 0.025) and in those beyond, yet within either the UCSF or the up-to-7 criteria (p < 0.001). Recurrence-free survival at 5 years was 90.8 % for patients within the Milan criteria, 100.0 % in patients within the Warsaw expansion, 54.9 % in patients beyond the Warsaw expansion but within either the UCSF or the up-to-7 criteria, and 45.1 % in patients beyond both the UCSF and the up-to-7 criteria (p < 0.001). The corresponding overall survival rates were 71.6, 82.4, 64.3, and 55.3 %, respectively (p = 0.027).

CONCLUSIONS

The Warsaw expansion of the Milan criteria substantially increases the recipient pool without compromising outcomes.

Contribution of alpha-fetoprotein in liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is the main tumor biomarker available for the management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Although it is neither a good screening test nor an accurate diagnostic tool for HCC, it seems to be a possible prognostic marker. However, its contribution in liver transplantation for HCC has not been fully determined, although its use to predict recurrence after liver transplantation has been underlined by international societies. In an era of organ shortages, it could also have a key role in the selection of patients eligible for liver transplantation. Yet unanswered questions remain. First, the cut-off value of serum AFP above which liver transplantation should not be performed is still a subject of debate. We show that a concentration of 1000 ng/mL could be an exclusion criterion, whereas values of < 15 ng/mL indicate patients with an excellent prognosis whatever the size and number of tumors. Monitoring the dynamics of AFP could also prove useful. However, evidence is lacking regarding the values that should be used. Today, the real input of AFP seems to be its integration into new criteria to select patients eligible for a liver transplantation. These recent tools have associated AFP values with morphological criteria, thus refining pre-existing criteria, such as Milan, University of California, San Francisco, or “up-to-seven”. We provide a review of the different criteria submitted within the past years. Finally, AFP can be used to monitor recurrence after transplantation, although there is little evidence to support this claim. Future challenges will be to draft new international guidelines to implement the use of AFP as a selection tool, and to determine a clear cut-off value above which liver transplantation should not be performed.

Association between Pre-Transplant Serum Malondialdehyde Levels and Survival One Year after Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Previous studies have found higher levels of serum malondialdehyde (MDA) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients compared to healthy controls and higher MDA concentrations in tumoral tissue of HCC patients than in non-tumoral tissue. However, the association between pre-transplant serum levels of MDA and survival in HCC patients after liver transplantation (LT) has not been described, and the aim of the present study was to determine whether such an association exists. In this observational study we measured serum MDA levels in 127 patients before LT. We found higher pre-LT serum MDA levels in 15 non-surviving than in 112 surviving patients one year after LT (p = 0.02). Exact binary logistic regression analysis revealed that pre-LT serum levels of MDA over 3.37 nmol/mL were associated with mortality after one year of LT (Odds ratio = 5.38; 95% confidence interval (CI) = from 1.580 to infinite; p = 0.007) adjusting for age of the deceased donor. The main finding of our study was that there is an association between serum MDA levels before LT for HCC and 1-year survival after LT.

Selection of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma for liver transplantation: Past and future

The aim of liver transplantation (LT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is to ensure a rate of disease-free survival similar to that of patients transplanted due to benign disease. Therefore, we are forced to adopt strict criteria when selecting candidates for LT and prioritizing patients on the waiting list (WL), to have clarified indications for bridging therapy for groups at risk for progression or recurrence, and to establish certain limits for downstaging therapies. Although the Milan criteria (MC) remain the standard and most employed criteria for indication of HCC patients for LT by far, in the coming years, criteria will be consolidated that take into account not only data regarding the size/volume and number of tumors but also their biology. This criteria will mainly include the alpha fetoprotein (AFP) values and, in view of their wide variability, any of the published logarithmic models for the selection of candidates for LT. Bridging therapy is necessary for HCC patients on the WL who meet the MC and have the possibility of experiencing a delay for LT greater than 6 mo or any of the known risk factors for recurrence. It is difficult to define single AFP values that would indicate bridging therapy (200, 300 or 400 ng/mL); therefore, it is preferable to rely on the criteria of a French AFP model score > 2. Other single indications for bridging therapy include a tumor diameter greater than 3 cm, more than one tumor, and having an AFP slope greater than 15 ng/mL per month or > 50 ng/mL for three months during strict monitoring while on the WL. When considering the inclusion of patients on the WL who do not meet the MC, it is mandatory to determine their eligibility for downstaging therapy prior to inclusion. The upper limit for this therapy could be one lesion up to 8 cm, 2-3 lesions with a total tumor diameter up to 8 cm, or a total tumor volume of 115 cm³. Lastly, liver allocation and the prioritization of patients with HCC on the WL should take into account the recently described HCC model for end-stage liver disease, which considers hepatic function, HCC size and the number and the log of AFP values. This formula has been calibrated with the survival data of non-HCC patients and produces a dynamic and more accurate assessment model.

Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma biological behavior in patient selection for liver transplantation

Morphological criteria have always been considered the benchmark for selecting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients for liver transplantation (LT). These criteria, which are often inappropriate to express the tumor’s biological behavior and aggressiveness, offer only a static view of the disease burden and are frequently unable to correctly stratify the tumor recurrence risk after LT. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and its progression as well as AFP-mRNA, AFP-L3%, des-γ-carboxyprothrombin, inflammatory markers and other serological tests appear to be correlated with post-transplant outcomes. Several other markers for patient selection including functional imaging studies such as ¹⁸F-FDG-PET imaging, histological evaluation of tumor grade, tissue-specific biomarkers, and molecular signatures have been outlined in the literature. HCC growth rate and response to pre-transplant therapies can further contribute to the transplant evaluation process of HCC patients. While AFP, its progression, and HCC response to pre-transplant therapy have already been used as a part of an integrated prognostic model for selecting patients, the utility of other markers in the transplant setting is still under investigation. This article intends to review the data in the literature concerning predictors that could be included in an integrated LT selection model and to evaluate the importance of biological aggressiveness in the evaluation process of these patients.

Alpha-fetoprotein Level Predicts Recurrence After Transplantation in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading causes of liver transplantation. In an attempt to predict their recurrence after liver transplantation, evaluation of tumor number and size, degree of histologic differentiation, and the presence of vascular invasion already have their importance established. In this context, the role of biologic markers such as alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is still not clear. This retrospective cross-sectional study analyzed the AFP relationship with recurrence of HCC after orthotopic liver transplantation.The current study retrospectively analyzed data from 206 patients with a histopathologic confirmed HCC between 1997 and 2010.The overall survival rates at 1, 3, 5, and 14 years were 78.6%, 65.4%, 60.5%, and 38.7%, respectively. The frequency of recurrence was 15.5%, and recurrence was significantly associated with a lower survival rate (P < 0.001). No association was observed between survival and AFP level (P = 0.153). A correlation, however, was found between tumor recurrence and AFP level (P = 0.002). Univariate analysis of risk factors for recurrence revealed that an AFP level greater than 200 ng/mL, the number of tumors, the degree of cellular differentiation, and the presence of vascular invasion or satellite nodules were associated with relapse. By multivariate analysis, only an AFP level greater than 200 ng/mL remained as a risk factor.Although an elevated AFP level did not correlate with survival in HCC patients undergoing orthotopic liver transplantation, a high AFP level was associated with a 3.32-folds increase in the probability of HCC recurrence.

Liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma - factors influencing outcome and disease-free survival

Hepatocellular carcinoma is one of the leading causes of cancer-related death worldwide. Liver transplantation can be a curative treatment in selected patients. However, there are several factors that influence disease-free survival after transplantation. This review addresses the pre-, intra- and postoperative factors that influence the risk of tumor recurrence after liver transplantation.

Utility-based criteria for selecting patients with hepatocellular carcinoma for liver transplantation: A multicenter cohort study using the alpha-fetoprotein model as a survival predictor

The lifetime utility of liver transplantation (LT) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is still controversial. The aim of this study was to ascertain when LT is cost-effective for HCC patients, with a view to proposing new transplant selection criteria. The study involved a real cohort of potentially transplantable Italian HCC patients (n = 2419 selected from the Italian Liver Cancer group database) who received nontransplant therapies. A non-LT survival analysis was conducted, the direct costs of therapies were calculated, and a Markov model was used to compute the cost utility of LT over non-LT therapies in Italian and US cost scenarios. Post-LT survival was calculated using the alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) model on the basis of AFP values and radiological size and number of nodules. The primary endpoint was the net health benefit (NHB), defined as LT survival benefit in quality-adjusted life years minus incremental costs (US $)/willingness to pay. The calculated median cost of non-LT therapies per patient was US $53,042 in Italy and US $62,827 in the United States. On Monte Carlo simulation, the NHB of LT was always positive for AFP model values ≤ 3 and always negative for values > 7 in both countries. A multivariate model showed that nontumor variables (patient's age, Child-Turcotte-Pugh [CTP] class, and alternative therapies) had the potential to shift the AFP model threshold of LT cost-ineffectiveness from 3 to 7. LT proved always cost-effective for HCC patients with AFP model values ≤ 3, whereas the cost-ineffectiveness threshold ranged between 3 and 7 using nontumor variables.