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Liczbińska G, Antosik S, Brabec M, Tomczyk AM. Ambient temperature-related sex ratio at birth in historical urban populations: the example of the city of Poznań, 1848-1900. Sci Rep 2024; 14:14001. [PMID: 38890431 PMCID: PMC11189407 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-64799-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/14/2024] [Accepted: 06/13/2024] [Indexed: 06/20/2024] Open
Abstract
This study examines whether exposure to ambient temperature in nineteenth-century urban space affected the ratio of boys to girls at birth. Furthermore, we investigate the details of temperature effects timing upon sex ratio at birth. The research included 66,009 individual births, aggregated in subsequent months of births for the years 1847-1900, i.e. 33,922 boys and 32,087 girls. The statistical modelling of the probability of a girl being born is based on logistic GAM with penalized splines and automatically selected complexity. Our research emphasizes the significant effect of temperature in the year of conception: the higher the temperature was, the smaller probability of a girl being born was observed. There were also several significant temperature lags before conception and during pregnancy. Our findings indicate that in the past, ambient temperature, similar to psychological stress, hunger, malnutrition, and social and economic factors, influenced the viability of a foetus. Research on the effects of climate on the sex ratio in historical populations may allow for a better understanding of the relationship between environmental factors and reproduction, especially concerning historical populations since due to some cultural limitations, they were more prone to stronger environmental stressors than currently.
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Affiliation(s)
- Grażyna Liczbińska
- Institute of Human Biology and Evolution, Faculty of Biology, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznań, Poland.
| | - Szymon Antosik
- Doctoral School of Humanities, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznań, Poland
| | - Marek Brabec
- Department of Statistical Modelling, Institute of Computer Science, The Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic
- Department of Biostatistics, National Institute of Public Health, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Arkadiusz M Tomczyk
- Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Faculty of Geographic and Geological Sciences, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznań, Poland
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Sánchez-Barricarte JJ. Factors influencing the sex ratio at birth in the United States from a historical perspective. J Biosoc Sci 2023; 55:1015-1038. [PMID: 36645016 DOI: 10.1017/s0021932022000554] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/17/2023]
Abstract
Many of the studies on the sex ratio at birth (SRB) are based on a small number of cases over a short period of time. Taking a multivariate approach to a dataset consisting of nearly 199 million birth records in the United States from 1968 to 2019, we present a detailed analysis of several possible factors that might affect the sex ratio at birth (SRB) and its patterns of variation. We found that race/ethnicity is the variable with the strongest influence on this index. Parental age, birth order and solar radiation also have a bearing on the SRB, albeit only to a moderate degree. The historical evolution of the SRB among Black and American Indian and Alaska Native populations remains unexplained.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jesús J Sánchez-Barricarte
- Department of Social Analysis, Carlos III University of Madrid, Calle Madrid, 126; 28903 Getafe, Madrid, Spain
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Groeger J, Opler M, Kleinhaus K, Perrin MC, Calderon-Margalit R, Manor O, Paltiel O, Conley D, Harlap S, Malaspina D. Live birth sex ratios and father's geographic origins in Jerusalem, 1964-1976. Am J Hum Biol 2017; 29. [PMID: 27901293 DOI: 10.1002/ajhb.22945] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2016] [Revised: 08/15/2016] [Accepted: 11/06/2016] [Indexed: 11/06/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To examine whether ancestry influenced sex ratios of offspring in a birth cohort before parental antenatal sex selection influenced offspring sex. METHODS We measured the sex ratio as the percent of males according to countries of birth of paternal and maternal grandfathers in 91,459 live births from 1964 to 1976 in the Jerusalem Perinatal Study. Confidence limits (CI) were computed based on an expected sex ratio of 1.05, which is 51.4% male. RESULTS Of all live births recorded, 51.4% were male. Relative to Jewish ancestry (51.4% males), significantly more males (1,761) were born to Muslim ancestry (54.5, 95% CI = 52.1-56.8, P = 0.01). Among the former, sex ratios were not significantly associated with paternal or maternal age, education, or offspring's birth order. Consistent with a preference for male offspring, the sex ratio decreased despite increasing numbers of births over the 13-year period. Sex ratios were not affected by maternal or paternal origins in North Africa or Europe. However, the offspring whose paternal grandfathers were born in Western Asia included fewer males than expected (50.7, 50.1-51.3, P = 0.02), whether the father was born abroad (50.7) or in Israel (50.8). This was observed for descendents of paternal grandfathers born in Lebanon (47.6), Turkey (49.9), Yemen & Aden (50.2), Iraq (50.5), Afghanistan (50.5), Syria (50.6), and Cyprus (50.7); but not for those from India (51.5) or Iran (51.9). The West Asian group showed the strongest decline in sex ratios with increasing paternal family size. CONCLUSIONS A decreased sex ratio associated with ancestry in Western Asia is consistent with reduced ability to bear sons by a subset of Jewish men in the Jerusalem cohort. Lower sex ratios may be because of pregnancy stress, which may be higher in this subgroup. Alternatively, a degrading Y chromosome haplogroup or other genetic or epigenetic differences on male germ lines could affect birth ratios, such as differential exposure to an environmental agent, dietary differences, or stress. Differential stopping behaviors that favor additional pregnancies following the birth of a daughter might exacerbate these lower sex ratios.
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Affiliation(s)
- J Groeger
- College of Medicine, SUNY Downstate, Brooklyn, New York, 11203
| | - M Opler
- Department of Psychiatry, New York University School of Medicine, 1 Park Avenue, Floor 8, New York, New York, 10016, USA.,Prophase, 3 Park Avenue, New York, New York, 10016
| | - K Kleinhaus
- Department of Psychiatry, New York University School of Medicine, 1 Park Avenue, Floor 8, New York, New York, 10016, USA
| | - M C Perrin
- Department of Psychiatry, New York University School of Medicine, 1 Park Avenue, Floor 8, New York, New York, 10016, USA
| | - R Calderon-Margalit
- Braun School of Public Health, Hebrew University-Hadassah School of Public Health, Jerusalem, 91120, Israel.,Department of Sociology, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, 08544
| | - O Manor
- Braun School of Public Health, Hebrew University-Hadassah School of Public Health, Jerusalem, 91120, Israel.,Department of Sociology, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, 08544
| | - O Paltiel
- Braun School of Public Health, Hebrew University-Hadassah School of Public Health, Jerusalem, 91120, Israel.,Department of Sociology, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, 08544
| | - D Conley
- Department of Sociology, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, 08544
| | - S Harlap
- Department of Psychiatry, New York University School of Medicine, 1 Park Avenue, Floor 8, New York, New York, 10016, USA
| | - D Malaspina
- Department of Psychiatry, New York University School of Medicine, 1 Park Avenue, Floor 8, New York, New York, 10016, USA
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The association between season of pregnancy and birth-sex among Chinese. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2014; 11:8166-74. [PMID: 25116636 PMCID: PMC4143855 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph110808166] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2014] [Revised: 07/28/2014] [Accepted: 07/29/2014] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
Objective: although numerous studies have reported the association between birth season and sex ratio, few studies have been conducted in subtropical regions in a non-Western setting. The present study assessed the effects of pregnancy season on birth sex ratio in China. Methods: We conducted a national population-based retrospective study from 2006–2008 with 3175 children-parents pairs enrolled in the Northeast regions of China. Demographics and data relating to pregnancy and birth were collected and analyzed. A multiple logistical regression model was fitted to estimate the regression coefficient and 95% confidence interval (CI) of refractive error for mother pregnancy season, adjusting for potential confounders. Results: After adjusting for parental age (cut-off point was 30 years), region, nationality, mother education level, and mother miscarriage history, there is a significant statistical different mother pregnancy season on birth-sex. Compared with mothers who were pregnant in spring, those pregnant in summer or winter had a high probability of delivering girls (p < 0.05). The birth-sex ratio varied with months. Conclusions: Our results suggested that mothers pregnant in summer and winter were more likely to deliver girls, compared with those pregnant in spring. Pregnancy season may play an important role in the birth-sex.
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Dixson BJ, Haywood J, Lester PJ, Ormsby DK. Feeling the Heat? Substantial Variation in Temperatures Does Not Affect the Proportion of Males Born in Australia. Hum Biol 2013; 85:757-68. [DOI: 10.3378/027.085.0506] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 07/30/2013] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
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Dixson BJ, Haywood J, Lester PJ, Ormsby DK. Ambient temperature variation does not influence regional proportion of human male births in New Zealand. J R Soc N Z 2013. [DOI: 10.1080/03036758.2011.615846] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/14/2022]
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Dixson BJ, Haywood J, Lester PJ, Ormsby DK. Whatever the weather: ambient temperature does not influence the proportion of males born in New Zealand. PLoS One 2011; 6:e25064. [PMID: 21957476 PMCID: PMC3177861 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0025064] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2011] [Accepted: 08/26/2011] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The proportion of male births has been shown to be over 50% in temperate climates around the world. Given that fluctuations in ambient temperature have previously been shown to affect sex allocation in humans, we examined the hypothesis that ambient temperature predicts fluctuations in the proportion of male births in New Zealand. Methodology/Principal Findings We tested three main hypotheses using time series analyses. Firstly, we used historical annual data in New Zealand spanning 1876–2009 to test for a positive effect of ambient temperature on the proportion of male births. The proportion of males born ranged by 3.17%, from 0.504 to 0.520, but no significant relationship was observed between male birth rates and mean annual temperature in the concurrent or previous years. Secondly, we examined whether changes in annual ambient temperature were negatively related to the proportion of male stillbirths from 1929–2009 and whether the proportion of male stillbirths negatively affected the proportion of male live births. We found no evidence that fewer male stillbirths occurred during warmer concurrent or previous years, though a declining trend in the proportion of male stillbirths was observed throughout the data. Thirdly, we tested whether seasonal ambient temperatures, or deviations from those seasonal patterns, were positively related to the proportion of male births using monthly data from 1980–2009. Patterns of male and female births are seasonal, but very similar throughout the year, resulting in a non-seasonal proportion of male births. However, no cross correlations between proportion of male births and lags of temperature were significant. Conclusions Results showed, across all hypotheses under examination, that ambient temperatures were not related to the proportion of male births or the proportion of male stillbirths in New Zealand. While there is evidence that temperature may influence human sex allocation elsewhere, such effects of temperature are not universal.
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Affiliation(s)
- Barnaby J Dixson
- School of Biological Sciences, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.
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Helle S, Helama S, Jokela J. Temperature-related birth sex ratio bias in historical Sami: warm years bring more sons. Biol Lett 2008; 4:60-2. [PMID: 18042510 DOI: 10.1098/rsbl.2007.0482] [Citation(s) in RCA: 50] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
The birth sex ratio of vertebrates with chromosomal sex determination has been shown to respond to environmental variability, such as temperature. However, in humans the few previous studies on environmental temperature and birth sex ratios have produced mixed results. We examined whether reconstructed annual mean temperatures were associated with annual offspring sex ratio at birth in the eighteenth to nineteenth century Sami from northern Finland. We found that warm years correlated with a male-biased sex ratio, whereas a warm previous year skewed sex ratio towards females. The net effect of one degree Celsius increase in mean temperature during these 2 years corresponded to approximately 1% more sons born annually. Although the physiological and ecological mechanisms mediating these effects and their evolutionary consequences on parental fitness remain unknown, our results show that environmental temperature may affect human birth sex ratio.
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Affiliation(s)
- Samuli Helle
- Section of Ecology, Department of Biology, University of Turku, 20014 Turku, Finland.
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Helle S, Helama S. Climatic variability and the population dynamics of historical hunter-gatherers: the case of Sami of Northern Finland. Am J Hum Biol 2008; 19:844-53. [PMID: 17696129 DOI: 10.1002/ajhb.20650] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Our current knowledge on climate-mediated effects on human population dynamics is based on preindustrial agrarian societies where climate-induced crop failures had a major impact on fertility and mortality rates. However, because most of the human evolutionary history has been shaped by hunter-gatherer lifestyle relying on diverse plant and animal food sources, it is also important to understand how climate affected the population dynamics of hunter-gatherers. We thus studied whether climate, measured as a reconstructed annual mean temperature, had concurrent or delayed effects on the key components of population dynamics, annual births and deaths, in three historical (1722-1850) Sami populations of Northern Finland that depended mainly on fishing, hunting, and reindeer herding for their livelihood. We found only weak concurrent effects of mean temperature on annual births and deaths, although in general warm years correlated with increased birth and reduced mortality rates. Likewise, temperature-mediated delayed effects were mainly absent: in one population only, a warm previous year tended to reduce the number of births. By contrast, annual numbers of births and deaths were more closely associated, as indicated by negative correlations between births and deaths up to three previous years. To summarize, in contrast to historical agrarian societies, the population dynamics of historical Sami seemed to be only weakly associated with annual mean temperature, which may indicate that these populations, probably due to their dietary breadth, were rather unaffected by climatic variation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Samuli Helle
- Section of Ecology, Department of Biology, University of Turku, FI-20014 Turku, Finland.
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BRAÑA FLORENTINO, JI XIANG. The selective basis for increased egg retention: early incubation temperature determines hatchling phenotype in wall lizards (Podarcis muralis). Biol J Linn Soc Lond 2007. [DOI: 10.1111/j.1095-8312.2007.00871.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
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Cools M, Boter M, van Gurp R, Stoop H, Poddighe P, Lau YFC, Drop SLS, Wolffenbuttel KP, Looijenga LHJ. Impact of the Y-containing cell line on histological differentiation patterns in dysgenetic gonads. Clin Endocrinol (Oxf) 2007; 67:184-92. [PMID: 17547684 DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2265.2007.02859.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Gonadal karyotyping is considered a tool for increasing our knowledge of disturbed gonadal development in patients with gonadal dysgenesis and for estimating more accurately the risk for gonadoblastoma formation. The objective was to gain insight into the role of Y chromosome distribution in the histological heterogeneity of gonads of patients with gonadal dysgenesis. DESIGN Investigation of the possible relationship between peripheral blood karyotype, gonadal karyotype, morphological differentiation patterns of dysgenetic gonads and tumour formation. PATIENTS In total 22 gonadal samples from 19 patients with gonadal dysgenesis (45,X/46,XY and variants n = 14; 46,XY: n = 3; 46,XX: n = 2) were examined. MEASUREMENTS Morphological examination and immunohistochemical staining for testis specific protein, Y encoded (TSPY) and fluorescent and nonfluorescent in situ hybridization directly on gonadal tissue. RESULTS No correlation was observed between peripheral blood karyotype and gonadal karyotype or between gonadal karyotype and the corresponding differentiation pattern. A Y-containing cell line in Sertoli cells was encountered no more frequently than were other cell types. CONCLUSIONS The distribution of the Y-containing cell line in peripheral blood is not a suitable indicator for predicting the histological differentiation pattern found in the gonads of patients with gonadal dysgenesis. The analysis of Y-containing cell lines in the gonads of such patients could be informative with regard to the specific characteristics of gonadal development in humans as compared to chimeric mouse models. Moreover, it is essential to understand the mechanisms underlying disturbed gonadogenesis in these patients. As the gonadal karyotype is not related to the encountered gonadal differentiation pattern, it does not allow prediction of the risk for gonadoblastoma formation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Martine Cools
- Department of Pathology, Erasmus MC-University Medical Center Rotterdam, Josephine Nefkens Institute, 3000 DR Rotterdam, The Netherlnads
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Kemkes A. Secondary sex ratio variation during stressful times: the impact of the French revolutionary wars on a German parish (1787-1802). Am J Hum Biol 2007; 18:806-21. [PMID: 17039472 DOI: 10.1002/ajhb.20562] [Citation(s) in RCA: 32] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Abstract
The observation that declines in the human secondary sex ratio (SSR) may be linked to stressful periconceptional periods has received considerable attention (Catalano [2003] Hum Reprod 18:1972-1975; Catalano et al. [2005] Int J Epidemiol 34:944-948, [2005] Hum Reprod 20:1221-1227, [2005] Paediatr Perinat Epidemiol 19:413-420). For the purpose of testing the external validity of this phenomenon, birth records from four German village genealogies (N = 1,048) were analyzed to study the impact of the French Revolutionary Wars (1787-1802) on the proportion of male births. All births were subdivided into three cohorts (prewar, 1787-1792; war, 1792-1797; and postwar, 1797-1802). Differences in SSR between cohorts achieved statistical significance (chi2= 7.695; df = 2; P = 0.021). In addition, changes in SSR before, during, and after the wars were monitored by risk analysis. Using the SSR of the prewar period as a control, the results of the war cohort failed to achieve statistical significance (regression coefficient, -0.257; ExpB= 0.773; P = 0.118), while the odds reduction of 32.3% in the postwar period proved to be statistically significant (regression coefficient, -0.390; ExpB= 0.677; P = 0.006). It is hypothesized that the experience of postwar economic hardship (attributable to lowered food availability paired with dietary changes) represents the most likely proximate cause. The study also finds evidence of a parental sex ratio manipulation strategy meant to offset the female-biased SSR after the wars. It is argued that from an evolutionary perspective both the decline in SSR in response to stress as well as parental manipulation of the tertiary sex ratio convey reproductive advantages.
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Mittwoch U. The elusive action of sex-determining genes: mitochondria to the rescue? J Theor Biol 2004; 228:359-65. [PMID: 15135034 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2004.02.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 45] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/17/2003] [Revised: 01/21/2004] [Accepted: 02/04/2004] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
Abstract
According to the accepted dogma of mammalian sex determination, the Y-linked gene SRY initiates male development by inducing hitherto uncommitted somatic cells of the fetal gonad to develop into Sertoli cells. However, it has become evident that the correct functioning of an increasing number of genes on other chromosomes is required for testicular organogenesis. They include the SRY-related gene, SOX9, which plays important roles in both sex determination and chondrogenesis, as well as genes responsible for the production of growth factors, i.e. fibroblast growth factor 9, platelet derived growth factor A, and the members of the insulin-receptor family of genes. It is known, moreover, that differences between the sexes begin to develop long before the differentiation of Sertoli cells, including an increase in gonadal size and cell proliferation, and accelerated development of XY embryos at early pre-implantation stages. There is also evidence of transcription of Y-linked, and of X-linked, genes and of an enhanced metabolic rate in XY embryos. Furthermore, the condition of true hermaphroditism does not fit into a simple genotype/phenotype relationship. The proposal that "testis-determining" genes act by increasing metabolic rates rather than directly determining Sertoli cell differentiation can account for a number of observations that do not fit the current model, including pregonadal sex differences, the activity of the same gene in different organ systems, and the frequent co-existence of sexual and somatic abnormalities. It also sheds light on the pervasive differences between metabolic rates of mammalian males and females, while the facts of true hermaphroditism can be viewed as remnants of temperature-dependent sex determination in ectothermic vertebrates. Growing interest in mitochondria, which play a central role in the provision of energy to eukaryotic cells, makes a shift of paradigm from gonadal histology to energy metabolism timely, particularly since new techniques have become available for testing the hypothesis, and for widening the experimental approach to sex determination. If the hypothesis is correct, it would mean that male sex is determined by nuclear genes inherited from the father regulating the activity of maternally derived mitochondria.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ursula Mittwoch
- Galton Laboratory, Department of Biology, University College London, Wolfson House, 4 Stephenson Way, London NW1 2HE, UK.
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Whitfield J. Heat could flip sex switch. Nature 2003. [DOI: 10.1038/news030421-10] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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