The natural history of untreated multiple sclerosis in Iceland. A total population-based 50 year prospective study

Mortality of multiple sclerosis in Iceland population-based mortality of MS in incidence and prevalence cohorts

Introduction

Mortality is an important feature of the natural history of multiple sclerosis (MS). We report the mortality of all individuals with MS in Iceland, identified in a nationwide population-based study.

Patients and Methods

The results are based on a prevalence cohort and an incidence cohort. The prevalence cohort consisted of all patients with MS (n = 526) living in Iceland on the 31 December 2007. The incidence cohort consisted of all residents of Iceland (n = 222) diagnosed with MS during 2002 to 2007. Mortality was determined by following both the incidence cohort (from diagnosis) and the prevalence cohort (from the prevalence day) until death or 31 December 2020. The mortality, associated with MS, was compared with that expected in the Icelandic population (standardized mortality ratio (SMR)).

Results

(a) Prevalence cohort (n = 526). The mean follow up was 12.0 years (range 0.3-13.0). The SMR was 1.6 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.3-2.0). (b) Incidence cohort (n = 222). The mean follow up was 15.4 years (range 3.7-18.5). The SMR was 1.2 (95% CI 0.6-2.2).

Conclusion

During the follow-up period, there was a substantial increase in mortality among the patients with MS, compared with the general population. There was no increase in mortality among the incidence cohort, when followed for up to 18.5 years following diagnosis.

FutureMS cohort profile: a Scottish multicentre inception cohort study of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis

PURPOSE

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an immune-mediated, neuroinflammatory disease of the central nervous system and in industrialised countries is the most common cause of progressive neurological disability in working age persons. While treatable, there is substantial interindividual heterogeneity in disease activity and response to treatment. Currently, the ability to predict at diagnosis who will have a benign, intermediate or aggressive disease course is very limited. There is, therefore, a need for integrated predictive tools to inform individualised treatment decision making.

PARTICIPANTS

Established with the aim of addressing this need for individualised predictive tools, FutureMS is a nationally representative, prospective observational cohort study of 440 adults with a new diagnosis of relapsing-remitting MS living in Scotland at the time of diagnosis between May 2016 and March 2019.

FINDINGS TO DATE

The study aims to explore the pathobiology and determinants of disease heterogeneity in MS and combines detailed clinical phenotyping with imaging, genetic and biomarker metrics of disease activity and progression. Recruitment, baseline assessment and follow-up at year 1 is complete. Here, we describe the cohort design and present a profile of the participants at baseline and 1 year of follow-up.

FUTURE PLANS

A third follow-up wave for the cohort has recently begun at 5 years after first visit and a further wave of follow-up is funded for year 10. Longer-term follow-up is anticipated thereafter.

Fourteen sequence variants that associate with multiple sclerosis discovered by meta-analysis informed by genetic correlations

A meta-analysis of publicly available summary statistics on multiple sclerosis combined with three Nordic multiple sclerosis cohorts (21,079 cases, 371,198 controls) revealed seven sequence variants associating with multiple sclerosis, not reported previously. Using polygenic risk scores based on public summary statistics of variants outside the major histocompatibility complex region we quantified genetic overlap between common autoimmune diseases in Icelanders and identified disease clusters characterized by autoantibody presence/absence. As multiple sclerosis-polygenic risk scores captures the risk of primary biliary cirrhosis and vice versa (P = 1.6 × 10⁻⁷, 4.3 × 10⁻⁹) we used primary biliary cirrhosis as a proxy-phenotype for multiple sclerosis, the idea being that variants conferring risk of primary biliary cirrhosis have a prior probability of conferring risk of multiple sclerosis. We tested 255 variants forming the primary biliary cirrhosis-polygenic risk score and found seven multiple sclerosis-associating variants not correlated with any previously established multiple sclerosis variants. Most of the variants discovered are close to or within immune-related genes. One is a low-frequency missense variant in TYK2, another is a missense variant in MTHFR that reduces the function of the encoded enzyme affecting methionine metabolism, reported to be dysregulated in multiple sclerosis brain.

Combining studies and comparing across diseases turned up 14 novel gene variants linked to multiple sclerosis (MS). A team led by Kári Stefánsson and Ingileif Jónsdóttir from deCODE genetics in Reykjavík, Iceland, amalgamated data from a large international study of MS with three smaller ones from Sweden, Norway and Iceland. They conducted a meta-analysis on the combined data set — which encompassed around 21,000 MS patients and 372,000 population controls — and uncovered seven new genetic risk variants linked to MS. The researchers then compared the genetic overlap between various autoimmune diseases in the Icelandic cohort, and documented a close relationship between MS and primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC). They looked more closely at variants linked to PBC, and found that seven also increased the risk for MS, bringing the tally of novel gene variants up to fourteen.

Definition, prevalence and predictive factors of benign multiple sclerosis

Background

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is characterized by a great inter-individual variability in disease course and severity. Some patients experience a rather mild course, controversially called 'benign MS' (BMS). The usefulness of this entity in clinical practice remains unclear.

Methods

We performed a literature search in PubMed, Web of Science and Cochrane Library databases from November 1980 to December 2015, using the following key words: benign multiple sclerosis, diagnosis, imaging, prognosis, predictive, natural history and predefined inclusion criteria.

Results

Our search yielded 26 publications. Most definitions were based on the Expanded Disease Status Scale (EDSS), which is heavily weighted towards physical disability. Between 30 and 80% of relapsing-remitting MS patients have EDSS < 3 or 4 at 10 years after onset. Having only one relapse in the first 5 years and EDSS ≤ 2 at 5 years or EDSS ≤ 3 at 10 years appears to be predictive for a prolonged benign disease course, without protecting against disease progression at a later stage. Evidence on the predictive value of MRI parameters remains limited.

Conclusions

Current BMS definitions have some predictive value for future physical disability, but do not take into account the age at EDSS and the potentially disrupting effects of non-EDSS symptoms and cognitive impairment. It appears to correspond to mild RRMS in the first decades and its prevalence varies. Since early and accurate prediction of BMS is not yet possible, the clinical relevance is limited. Research approaches are suggested.

Survival, and time to an advanced disease state or progression, of untreated patients with moderately severe multiple sclerosis in a multicenter observational database: relevance for design of a clinical trial for high dose immunosuppressive therapy with autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation

Despite prolonged survival, patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) experience considerable morbidity, which adversely impacts quality of life. To assess the risk-benefit of a clinical trial of high dose immunosuppressive therapy with autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation for MS, we sought to determine the natural history of the disease in a comparison group of untreated patients. We identified 285 individuals with 2132 combined observation years (median: 5.6 years; 5th to 95th percentile: 1-21 years), with Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores of 3.0-5.5 at baseline observation. Disease-related mortality was zero at five years, 5.4% at 10 years, and 22% at 15 years (40 patients contributing to the data point; 95% confidence interval: 4-32%). Risk for progression to advanced disability, defined as an EDSS score of 8, was very low for the subgroup with a baseline EDSS score of 3-3.5; however, for those with a baseline EDSS score of 4-5.5, 3% had advanced disability after two years, 5% after three years, 6% after four years, 12% after five years, and 40% after 10 years. The estimated probability of disease progression, defined as an increase in EDSS score by ≥ 1.0 sustained for at least 180 days, was 5% after one year, 14% after two years, 22% after three years, 38% after five years, 57% after 10 years, and-80% after 20 years of observation. The relevance of these features to the design of the clinical trial is discussed.

Disability and Survival of Multiple Sclerosis in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan

Background:

A population-based prevalent group of 150 clinical definite patients ascertained on 1 January 1977, in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, was followed for 30 years.

Objectives:

To outline the clinical characteristics, determine the levels of disability at 15, 25, 35, 40, and 45 years after onset, to estimate the survival after onset and life expectancy.

Methods:

Clinical records were maintained, and the cohort reviewed each decade for 30 years. The disability levels according to the Kurtzke Extended Disability Status Scale were recorded and survival times were estimated. SPSS and Kaplan-Meier methods were used for analysis.

Results:

On prevalence day, 1 January 1977, there were 48(32%) men and 102(68%) women, with an average age of onset of 32.2±10 years and 28.4±8.6 years. The average duration of disease was 15.7 years. On 1 January 2007, 39(26%) patients were living, 105(70%) deceased, and 6(4%) were missing The disability levels recorded in 1977 and 2007, at 15 and 45 years after onset, were mild (EDSS≤2.5), 33.3% and 8.0%; moderate (EDSS3-5.5), 17.3% and 2.7%; severe (EDSS6-7.5), 6.6% and 4.7%; maximum (EDSS8-9.5), 22.7% and 10.7%. The median survival time after onset was 33 (95% CI: 27.3-38.6) years for men and 38 (95% CI: 34.1-41.9) years for women. The median duration of life was 68.9 years for men and 69.5 years for women, and a decreased life expectancy of 7.7 and 12.8 years.

Conclusions:

Multiple sclerosis is a progressive neurological disorder and long-term survival is associated with moderate to severe disability and decreased life expectancy.

Is it time for a new global classification of multiple sclerosis?

BACKGROUND

The geographic distribution of multiple sclerosis (MS) is classically divided into three zones based on frequency that were established by Kurtzke in the early 1970s. In recent years, an increasing number of epidemiological studies have shown significantly higher MS prevalence and incidence rates.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to review and update the geographic distribution of MS using incidence, prevalence and disease duration from the latest epidemiology surveys.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review of articles on MS epidemiology published between January 1, 1990 and December 31, 2012.

RESULTS

MS studies were grouped by continent: the Americas, Europe, Asia, Australia/New Zealand, and Africa. A total of 101 studies were identified according to the inclusion criteria, and 58 reported incidence estimates. Globally, the median estimated incidence of MS was 5.2 (range: 0.5-20.6) per 100,000 p-yrs, the median estimated prevalence of MS was 112.0 (with a range of 5.2-335) per 100,000 p-yrs, and the average disease duration was 20.2 years (range: 7.6-36.2).

CONCLUSION

In the past few decades, the global prevalence and incidence patterns of MS have changed dramatically. Regardless of the reason of increasing prevalence and incidence rate, we suggest the need for a novel classification system based on global MS disease burden. Adopting such a system would improve economic efficiency and prioritization in health policy planning for MS.

Novel immunomodulatory approaches for the management of multiple sclerosis

We provide a focused review of novel immunomodulatory approaches for the treatment of multiple sclerosis, the most common acquired inflammatory demyelinating disease of humans. The requirement for such a review was stimulated by the emerging application of novel oral medications and the need for the practicing physician to place these within the treatment paradigm. We provide a conceptual diagram of our current view of the pathogenesis of demyelination and remyelination in this disorder. In addition, we include a working template on how to use a tier 1 and tier 2 approach to medications as the disease worsens in the individual. We emphasize the approach of treatment based on "individualized medicine," tailored to the specific needs of each patient. In the future, we envision new drugs to enhance remyelination and protect neurons and axons from death in order to promote central nervous system regeneration and repair.

Incidence and prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Europe: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is the most common cause of neurological disability in young adults worldwide and approximately half of those affected are in Europe. The assessment of differential incidence and prevalence across populations can reveal spatial, temporal and demographic patterns which are important for identifying genetic and environmental factors contributing to MS. However, study methodologies vary and the quality of the methods can influence the estimates. This study aimed to systematically review European studies of incidence and prevalence of MS and to provide a quantitative assessment of their methodological quality.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was performed to obtain all original population-based studies of MS incidence and prevalence in European populations conducted and published between January 1985 and January 2011. Only peer-reviewed full-text articles published in English or French were included. All abstracts were screened for eligibility and two trained reviewers abstracted the data and graded the quality of each study using a tool specifically designed for this study.

RESULTS

There were 123 studies that met the inclusion criteria. The study estimates were highly heterogeneous, even within regions or countries. Quality was generally higher in the more recent studies, which also tended to use current diagnostic criteria. Prevalence and incidence estimates tended to be higher in the more recent studies and were higher in the Nordic countries and in northern regions of the British Isles. With rare exceptions, prevalence and incidence estimates were higher in women with ratios as high as 3:1. Few studies examined ethnicity. Epidemiological data at the national level was uncommon and there were marked geographical disparities in available data, with large areas of Europe unrepresented and other regions well-represented in the literature. Only 37% of the studies provided standardized estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the breadth of the literature on the epidemiology of MS in Europe, inter-study comparisons are hampered by the lack of standardization. Further research should focus on regions not yet studied and the evaluation of ethnic differences in MS prevalence and incidence. National-level studies using current diagnostic criteria, validated case definitions and similar age- and sex-standardization would allow better geographical comparisons.

Meta-analysis of prevalence

Meta-analysis is a method to obtain a weighted average of results from various studies. In addition to pooling effect sizes, meta-analysis can also be used to estimate disease frequencies, such as incidence and prevalence. In this article we present methods for the meta-analysis of prevalence. We discuss the logit and double arcsine transformations to stabilise the variance. We note the special situation of multiple category prevalence, and propose solutions to the problems that arise. We describe the implementation of these methods in the MetaXL software, and present a simulation study and the example of multiple sclerosis from the Global Burden of Disease 2010 project. We conclude that the double arcsine transformation is preferred over the logit, and that the MetaXL implementation of multiple category prevalence is an improvement in the methodology of the meta-analysis of prevalence.

A Sardinian map for multiple sclerosis

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a complex autoimmune disease of the CNS. At present, MS etiology remains unknown, but it is believed to be caused by environmental factors acting on a genetic predisposition. Several studies suggest that different microorganisms could play a role in triggering autoimmunity, through immunological cross-reactivity or molecular mimicry. An overview of the knowledge regarding the bacteria involved in MS is given, placing emphasis on the newest candidate proposed: Mycobacterium avium subsp. paratuberculosis. This review will focus on discussing several arguments that might support a causal role for Mycobacterium avium subsp. paratuberculosis as an etiologic agent in MS. Additionally, a possible mechanism is postulated attempting to explain how the bacteria could initiate autoimmunity.

Incidence of multiple sclerosis among European Economic Area populations, 1985-2009: the framework for monitoring

Background

A debate surrounding multiple sclerosis epidemiology has centred on time-related incidence increases and the need of monitoring. The purpose of this study is to reassess multiple sclerosis incidence in the European Economic Area.

Methods

We conducted a systematic review of literature from 1965 onwards and integrated elements of original research, including requested or completed data by surveys authors and specific analyses.

Results

The review of 5323 documents yielded ten studies for age- and sex-specific analyses, and 21 studies for time-trend analysis of single data sets. After 1985, the incidence of multiple sclerosis ranged from 1.12 to 6.96 per 100,000 population, was higher in females, tripled with latitude, and doubled with study midpoint year. The north registered increasing trends from the 1960s and 1970s, with a historic drop in the Faroe Islands, and fairly stable data in the period 1980-2000; incidence rose in Italian and French populations in the period 1970-2000, in Evros (Greece) in the 1980s, and in the French West Indies in around 2000.

Conclusions

We conclude that the increase in multiple sclerosis incidence is only apparent, and that it is not specific to women. Monitoring of multiple sclerosis incidence might be appropriate for the European Economic Area.

Benign multiple sclerosis: does it exist?

Although the definition of benign multiple sclerosis (BMS) remains controversial, it is generally applied to a subgroup of MS patients showing little disease progression, with minimal disability decades after disease onset, and is based mainly on changes in motor function. Recent studies, however, reveal that deterioration of cognitive function, fatigue, pain, and depression also occur in BMS patients, causing negative impact on work and social activities, despite complete preservation of motor function. Using conventional MRI techniques, lesion load observed in BMS is similar to levels in other disease subtypes; however, newer quantitative MRI techniques show less tissue damage, as well as greater repair and compensatory efficiency following MS injury. Currently accepted criteria for BMS diagnosis may cause overestimation of true prevalence, underscoring the need for routine monitoring of nonmotor symptoms and imaging studies. Clearly, the definition of BMS currently applied in clinical practice requires reassessment.

Predictors of Conversion to Multiple Sclerosis in Patients with Clinical Isolated Syndrome Using the 2010 Revised McDonald Criteria

Background. Clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) is the first neurologic episode of multiple sclerosis (MS). Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and clinical features are used to predict risk of conversion to MS. Objectives. The aim of this prospective study is to evaluate predictors of conversion of CIS to McDonald MS. Method. 97 patients with CIS have been followed for 2 years. Age of onset, gender, initial clinical presentation, and MRI brain and spine were assessed. The 2010 revised McDonald criteria were applied. Results. Fifty-nine patients (60.8%) with CIS converted to McDonald MS after 10.1 + 4.2 months. Thirty-seven (38.1%) of the convertors satisfied the diagnostic criteria based on the radiological parameters, while 21.7% sustained their second clinical events. A multivariate regression analysis revealed that high number of lesions in MRI (P = 0.001) and earlier age of onset (P = 0.043) predicted the conversion of CIS to McDonald MS. Gender (P = 0.5) and initial clinical presentation (optic pathway (P = 0.4), supratentorial (P = 0.91), brain stem/ cerebellum (P = 0.97), and spinal (P = 0.76)) were not statistically significant. Conclusion. Age of onset and MRI parameters can be used as predictors of CIS conversion to McDonald MS. Application of the 2010 revised McDonald criteria allows an earlier MS diagnosis.

Cost of disorders of the brain in Europe 2010

BACKGROUND

The spectrum of disorders of the brain is large, covering hundreds of disorders that are listed in either the mental or neurological disorder chapters of the established international diagnostic classification systems. These disorders have a high prevalence as well as short- and long-term impairments and disabilities. Therefore they are an emotional, financial and social burden to the patients, their families and their social network. In a 2005 landmark study, we estimated for the first time the annual cost of 12 major groups of disorders of the brain in Europe and gave a conservative estimate of €386 billion for the year 2004. This estimate was limited in scope and conservative due to the lack of sufficiently comprehensive epidemiological and/or economic data on several important diagnostic groups. We are now in a position to substantially improve and revise the 2004 estimates. In the present report we cover 19 major groups of disorders, 7 more than previously, of an increased range of age groups and more cost items. We therefore present much improved cost estimates. Our revised estimates also now include the new EU member states, and hence a population of 514 million people.

AIMS

To estimate the number of persons with defined disorders of the brain in Europe in 2010, the total cost per person related to each disease in terms of direct and indirect costs, and an estimate of the total cost per disorder and country.

METHODS

The best available estimates of the prevalence and cost per person for 19 groups of disorders of the brain (covering well over 100 specific disorders) were identified via a systematic review of the published literature. Together with the twelve disorders included in 2004, the following range of mental and neurologic groups of disorders is covered: addictive disorders, affective disorders, anxiety disorders, brain tumor, childhood and adolescent disorders (developmental disorders), dementia, eating disorders, epilepsy, mental retardation, migraine, multiple sclerosis, neuromuscular disorders, Parkinson's disease, personality disorders, psychotic disorders, sleep disorders, somatoform disorders, stroke, and traumatic brain injury. Epidemiologic panels were charged to complete the literature review for each disorder in order to estimate the 12-month prevalence, and health economic panels were charged to estimate best cost-estimates. A cost model was developed to combine the epidemiologic and economic data and estimate the total cost of each disorder in each of 30 European countries (EU27+Iceland, Norway and Switzerland). The cost model was populated with national statistics from Eurostat to adjust all costs to 2010 values, converting all local currencies to Euro, imputing costs for countries where no data were available, and aggregating country estimates to purchasing power parity adjusted estimates for the total cost of disorders of the brain in Europe 2010.

RESULTS

The total cost of disorders of the brain was estimated at €798 billion in 2010. Direct costs constitute the majority of costs (37% direct healthcare costs and 23% direct non-medical costs) whereas the remaining 40% were indirect costs associated with patients' production losses. On average, the estimated cost per person with a disorder of the brain in Europe ranged between €285 for headache and €30,000 for neuromuscular disorders. The European per capita cost of disorders of the brain was €1550 on average but varied by country. The cost (in billion €PPP 2010) of the disorders of the brain included in this study was as follows: addiction: €65.7; anxiety disorders: €74.4; brain tumor: €5.2; child/adolescent disorders: €21.3; dementia: €105.2; eating disorders: €0.8; epilepsy: €13.8; headache: €43.5; mental retardation: €43.3; mood disorders: €113.4; multiple sclerosis: €14.6; neuromuscular disorders: €7.7; Parkinson's disease: €13.9; personality disorders: €27.3; psychotic disorders: €93.9; sleep disorders: €35.4; somatoform disorder: €21.2; stroke: €64.1; traumatic brain injury: €33.0. It should be noted that the revised estimate of those disorders included in the previous 2004 report constituted €477 billion, by and large confirming our previous study results after considering the inflation and population increase since 2004. Further, our results were consistent with administrative data on the health care expenditure in Europe, and comparable to previous studies on the cost of specific disorders in Europe. Our estimates were lower than comparable estimates from the US.

DISCUSSION

This study was based on the best currently available data in Europe and our model enabled extrapolation to countries where no data could be found. Still, the scarcity of data is an important source of uncertainty in our estimates and may imply over- or underestimations in some disorders and countries. Even though this review included many disorders, diagnoses, age groups and cost items that were omitted in 2004, there are still remaining disorders that could not be included due to limitations in the available data. We therefore consider our estimate of the total cost of the disorders of the brain in Europe to be conservative. In terms of the health economic burden outlined in this report, disorders of the brain likely constitute the number one economic challenge for European health care, now and in the future. Data presented in this report should be considered by all stakeholder groups, including policy makers, industry and patient advocacy groups, to reconsider the current science, research and public health agenda and define a coordinated plan of action of various levels to address the associated challenges.

RECOMMENDATIONS

Political action is required in light of the present high cost of disorders of the brain. Funding of brain research must be increased; care for patients with brain disorders as well as teaching at medical schools and other health related educations must be quantitatively and qualitatively improved, including psychological treatments. The current move of the pharmaceutical industry away from brain related indications must be halted and reversed. Continued research into the cost of the many disorders not included in the present study is warranted. It is essential that not only the EU but also the national governments forcefully support these initiatives.

Benign multiple sclerosis: a new definition of this entity is needed

Background: To study a cohort of benign multiple sclerosis (BMS) patients beyond physical disability, including the evaluation of cognitive and social function, as well as fatigue, pain and MRI studies.

Methods: A cohort of 342 patients was prospectively followed for 10.9 ± 0.71 years. Forty-three patients (12.5%) met the BMS diagnosis criteria [Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) < 3 after at least 10 years’ disease duration], undergoing full neurological examination every 6 months. Neuropsychological status, pain, fatigue, social functioning and work-related disability, as well as brain MRIs, were assessed yearly.

Results: By the end of follow-up, 20 of 43 BMS patients (47%) had suffered cognitive impairment and 23 (53.3%) referred depression. Furthermore, 21 (48.8%) reported significant changes in pain intensity, with fatigue and environmental severity scores significantly increasing over time in 33–35% of patients. Finally, 32 BMS patients (74%) showed significant increase in the number of new or enlarging T2 lesions, gadolinium-enhanced lesions, and persistent black holes, without changes in EDSS. Thirty-five of 43 patients (81%) fulfilling the BMS diagnostic criteria showed significant worsening of cognitive function, fatigue, pain or depression during the 10-year follow-up.

Conclusions: Currently accepted criteria for BMS diagnosis may cause overestimation of true prevalence, underscoring the need for routine monitoring of non-motor symptoms and imaging studies, to help physicians improve diagnostic accuracy as well as therapeutic decision-making in this subgroup of MS patients.

Incidence of multiple sclerosis in Iceland, 2002-2007: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

We conducted a study to determine the incidence of multiple sclerosis (MS) among the whole Icelandic population during a 6-year period (2002-2007).

METHODS

We included all Icelandic residents diagnosed with MS during the study period. Cases were identified from records of the only neurology department in Iceland, plus the records of all practicing neurologists and all radiology departments. All patients had experienced at least two confirmed MS relapses (i.e. clinically definite MS) or had primary progressive MS as defined by the Poser criteria.

RESULTS

We identified 136 individuals who met the inclusion criteria, including 102 (75%) women. The mean age at diagnosis was 36.3 years (women 35.7 years, men 38.3 years). Average annual incidence was 7.6 per 100,000 population. All but one patient (99%) had an MRI study done at diagnosis and 61% of these (83/135) fulfilled the Barkhof criteria for diagnosis of MS; one had a normal MRI. A visual evoked potential test was done in 68% (93/136) at the time of diagnosis and 44% (41/93) were abnormal. Spinal fluid was obtained from 78% (106/136), and 75% (80/106) had oligoclonal bands.

CONCLUSION

A total population study is the most reliable method of determining the spectrum of clinical symptoms and the results of investigations in MS patients at diagnosis.

Benign multiple sclerosis: a need for a consensus

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the impact of different definitions on the frequency of benign multiple sclerosis (MS) in patients with a long follow-up, and to study the presence of non-motor symptoms and employment across the definitions.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All patients alive (n = 188) with disease onset during 1976-1986 in Hordaland County, Norway, were clinically examined including the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) in 2003. Non-motor symptoms which included depression, cognitive impairment, fatigue and pain, and employment status were also registered. Three definitions of benign MS were used based on the following EDSS cut-off values: 2.0, 3.0 and 4.0. Two additional definitions were added using an EDSS <or=4.0 and incorporating either full-time or full- and part-time employment status.

RESULTS

The frequency of benign MS increased from 14.5% for EDSS <or=2.0 to 40.8% for EDSS <or=4.0, but was only 12.3% for the definition based on full-time employment. Patients with an EDSS <or=2.0 had markedly less non-motor symptoms and lower unemployment rates than the other groups.

CONCLUSIONS

An EDSS score <or=2.0 with at least 10 years of disease duration seems to be the most appropriate criterion in identifying patients with benign MS.

Neuromyelitis optica-IgG in idiopathic inflammatory demyelinating disorders amongst Hong Kong Chinese

BACKGROUND

Idiopathic inflammatory demyelinating disorders (IIDD) affect the central nervous system. In classical multiple sclerosis (CMS), brain, optic nerves [optic neuritis (ON)] and spinal cord [acute transverse myelitis (ATM)] are affected. In neuromyelitis optica (NMO), optic nerves and spinal cord are predominantly affected. NMO-IgG, an autoantibody targeting aquaporin-4, is a marker for NMO. We studied the frequency and clinical relevance of NMO-IgG seropositivity in IIDD patients.

METHODS

Neuromyelitis optica-IgG was detected by indirect immunofluorescence using primate cerebellum.

RESULTS

Neuromyelitis optica-IgG was detected in six of 10 NMO patients (60%), six of 10 idiopathic relapsing transverse myelitis (IRTM) patients (60%), two of nine idiopathic relapsing ON patients (22%), one of 11 patients (9%) having single ON attack, one of 30 CMS patients (3%), and none of patients having single ATM attack or controls. Comparing NMO-IgG seropositive (n = 12) with NMO-IgG seronegative (n = 8) patients having NMO or IRTM, NMO-IgG seropositivity was associated with a higher relapse rate in first 2 years, 1.5 and 0.6 attacks/year for seropositive and seronegative groups respectively (P = 0.006), and non-significant trend towards more severe ON and myelitis with poorer clinical outcome.

CONCLUSION

Neuromyelitis optica -IgG facilitates diagnosis of NMO spectrum disorders. NMO-IgG seropositivity is associated with higher relapse rate in first 2 years.

Long-term follow-up of benign multiple sclerosis in Hordaland County, Western Norway

Objective

To study the frequency of benign multiple sclerosis (MS) after 20 years disease duration and identify early clinical and demographic prognostic factors of a benign course.

Methods

A population-based cohort including all 230 MS patients with clinical disease onset during 1976–1986 in Hordaland County, Western Norway was followed up with clinical examination in 1995 and 2003. Benign MS was defined as an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score ≤3.0, at least 10 years after disease onset.

Results

A relapsing–remitting disease course at onset, female gender, and younger age at onset were significantly associated with a benign course, but could only explain 23.0% of the variation in the benign course. A low annual relapse rate was also associated with a benign course. When including this variable in the model, 42.3% of the variation could be explained. The number of benign MS cases decreased significantly from 37.6% in 1995 to 24.2% in 2003.

Conclusion

Benign MS is frequently a temporary condition. Only a small part of the variation in the long-term benign course could be explained by clinical data present in the early phase of the disease. With several new emerging therapies in MS, the need for more reliable prognostic factors is increasing, to improve and individualize patient treatment.

A follow-up study of Nordic multiple sclerosis candidate gene regions

In this study, the results from three Nordic linkage disequilibrium screens in multiple sclerosis (MS) were investigated, in a new sample set of 314 Nordic MS trios from Denmark, Norway, Sweden and Iceland. Among 30 non-HLA and two HLA microsatellite markers individually genotyped, eight markers displayed distorted transmission with uncorrected P-value <0.05, ranked in this order: D6S2443 (6p21.32, HLA class II) (P corrected =0.01), D2S2201 (2p24), D19S552 (19q13), D3S3584 (3q21), D17S975 (17q11), D1S2627 (1p22), D6S273 (6p21.33, HLA class III) and D12S1051 (12q23). These non-HLA regions need further investigation as possible MS candidate gene regions in our population. Multiple Sclerosis 2007; 13: 584-589. http://msj.sagepub.com

Phenotype and prognosis in African-Americans with multiple sclerosis: a retrospective chart review

CONTEXT

There is an emerging body of literature regarding multiple sclerosis (MS) in African-Americans (AA) that suggests more rapid progression and a worse prognosis in this group. A phenotype of opticospinal MS has been proposed by some publications.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether AA with MS have a different clinical phenotype, different distribution of clinical subtypes, and/or different levels of disability than Caucasians (CA) with MS. Specifically, is the disability attributable to severe cerebellar disease, which limits ambulation and function?

DESIGN

Retrospective chart analyses of a patient cohort from an academic MS center.

PATIENTS

A total of 86 AA were identified with MS, 79 were followed for > or = 5 years. The control group consisted of 80 randomly-selected CA with MS and similar follow-up.

OUTCOME MEASURES

EDSS at diagnosis, five-year follow-up, and last follow-up; time to walking assistance device; disease subtype; involved functional systems.

RESULTS

AA MS patients displayed more cerebellar dysfunction, and worse EDSS scores at diagnosis, at four to six years follow-up from diagnosis, and at last follow-up compared to the CA MS patients with similar length of follow-up. AA MS patients had earlier and more frequent gait difficulty requiring use of a cane or wheelchair. AA MS patients had a higher prevalence of primary progressive (PP) MS (22 versus 9%) and a lower rate of relapsing-remitting (RR) MS (30 versus 52%) compared to CA.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to CA patients, MS in AA is characterized by a higher incidence of cerebellar dysfunction and a more rapid accumulation of disabilities. In this cohort, AA patients had a relatively higher rate of the PPMS subtype. These data suggest the presence of fundamental differences in the clinical phenotype and the natural history of MS in AA.

A model for the comprehensive investigation of a chronic autoimmune disease: The multiple sclerosis CLIMB study

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic inflammatory disease of central nervous system (CNS) resulting in various disabilities including weakness and imbalance, visual abnormalities, changes in cognition, as well as bladder and sexual dysfunction. The majority of patients begin with a relapsing-remitting course of the disease until eventually there is a progressive decline in disability. With FDA-approved disease modifying therapy now given to the majority of MS patients early in the course of the disease, the advent of MRI imaging, as well as advances in immunology and genetics, the study of MS has entered into an exciting era. Natural history studies of untreated patients have provided a guide for disease prognosis based on the clinical features of the disease but have limited utility in this new era of MS. Major questions are unanswered, including how does treatment affect the long-term clinical course of the disease and are there major subcategories of the disease with different implications for treatment and outcome. Advances in our ability to clinically measure and monitor the disease through MRI imaging technology, immunology, and genetic analysis provide the opportunity to address these critical questions.

The epidemiology of multiple sclerosis in Europe

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic and potentially highly disabling disorder with considerable social impact and economic consequences. It is the major cause of non-traumatic disability in young adults. The social costs associated with MS are high because of its long duration, the early loss of productivity, the need for assistance in activities of daily living and the use of immunomodulatory treatments and multidisciplinary health care. Available MS epidemiological estimates are aimed at providing a measure of the disease burden in Europe. The total estimated prevalence rate of MS for the past three decades is 83 per 100,000 with higher rates in northern countries and a female:male ratio around 2.0. Prevalence rates are higher for women for all countries considered. The highest prevalence rates have been estimated for the age group 35-64 years for both sexes and for all countries. The estimated European mean annual MS incidence rate is 4.3 cases per 100,000. The mean distribution by disease course and by disability is also reported. Despite the wealth of epidemiological data on MS, comparing epidemiological indices among European countries is a hard task and often leads only to approximate estimates. This represents a major methodological concern when evaluating the MS burden in Europe and when implementing specific cost-of-illness studies.

Benign course in multiple sclerosis: a review

Since the 1950s, it has been recognized that a subgroup of multiple sclerosis (MS) patients exists that shows little or no progression in the severity of the disease over time. This group is referred to as 'benign' MS. Although a substantial amount of research in MS indicates a multifactorial background in disease severity, to date it is still difficult to predict whether the course will be benign at onset and it is difficult to find factors that influence the course of the disease over time. Maintaining or restoring neural conduction inside a central nervous system lesion seems to be the essence of staying 'benign'.

The spectrum of multiple sclerosis and treatment decisions

An increasing number of patients referred for neuroimaging studies unrelated to multiple sclerosis (MS) are found to have incidental lesions suggestive of MS in their nervous systems but many such patients do not develop clinical symptoms and signs and remain as "subclinical MS" (SCMS). MRI and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) studies in monozygotic twins and siblings of MS patients, as well as necropsy studies in asymptomatic persons also reveal findings consistent with SCMS. Clinically isolated syndromes (CIS), acute disseminated encephalomyelitis (ADEM), benign MS, relapsing-remitting MS, primary and secondary progressive MS, optico-spinal MS, Balo's and Marburg's diseases, are considered different forms of MS by many because of their heterogeneous clinical, imaging and pathological features. Studies of disease susceptibility, type, course and severity have given different results in different populations, consistent with "genetic heterogeneity". The various forms of the disease may change from one to another, and their clinical and imaging features became similar after a number of years. The current data support the concept that MS, whether it is a single disease or a group of disorders, is an immune-mediated disease of the CNS, with both inflammatory and degenerative features with available therapies being only partially and temporarily effective for the inflammatory phase of the disease. Making the diagnosis of MS may not be an absolute indication for early treatment with disease modifying agents. The use of new technology such as microarray and other techniques in diagnosing and understanding the MS spectrum may make it possible to recognize the different molecular subtypes of these diseases and develop better therapies.

Clinical characteristics of multiple sclerosis in Västerbotten County in northern Sweden

BACKGROUND

Most clinical data for multiple sclerosis are hospital based-that is, derived from patients referred to clinics specialising in the disease.

OBJECTIVES

To present data derived from two population based multiple sclerosis populations, an incidence cohort and a prevalence population, from Västerbotten County, northern Sweden.

METHODS

The two populations were identified from multiple sources, and case ascertainment was assured through a personal clinical review, including interviews and examination of the patients.

RESULTS

Characteristics at onset for the different clinical subtypes of multiple sclerosis are presented, including the clinical spectrum of the first attack, the anatomical correlation between the first and second attacks, sex distribution, and disability distribution.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on the comparison of present and earlier natural history data, multiple sclerosis appears to be a slightly more benign disease than previously recognised.

Incidence and prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Olmsted County, Minnesota, 1985-2000

BACKGROUND

Epidemiologic data for multiple sclerosis (MS) in Olmsted County, MN, have been recorded for almost 100 years and have indicated that the increasing prevalence rate was likely due in part to an increasing incidence rate.

METHODS

All cases of MS diagnosed from 1985 to 2000 were identified using the centralized diagnostic index at the Mayo Clinic and the Rochester Epidemiology Program Project, a shared database of all medical practitioners in the county. Patients were required to have established residency at least 1 year prior to diagnosis of MS. Results were also age- and sex-adjusted to control for shifts in the population structure.

RESULTS

The raw prevalence of MS was determined to be 177 per 100,000 on December 1, 2000, and the raw incidence rate was 7.5 per 100,000 person-years at risk from 1985 to 2000.

CONCLUSIONS

After age and sex adjustment to a common population, these prevalence and incidence rates of MS appear to have been stable rather than increasing over the past 20 years.

A whole genome association study in Icelandic multiple sclerosis patients with 4804 markers

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a demyelinating disorder of the central nervous system (CNS) with a complex genetic background. Here we use a genome-wide association strategy with 4804 microsatellite markers successfully typed in separately pooled DNA from 200 patients and 200 controls. A total of 91 markers showed evidence of association. When compared to our in-house physical map of the genome, six 2-Mb regions containing at least two of these markers were detected. Of those, three regions have one or more markers among the 20 most strongly associated: chromosomes 3q25, 6p21.3 (the MHC region) and 19q13.