Elevated perioperative transaminase level predicts intrahepatic recurrence in hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma after curative hepatectomy. Asian J Surg. 2008;31:41-49. [PMID: 18490213 DOI: 10.1016/s1015-9584(08)60056-1]

Gamma-glutamyl transferase to aspartate aminotransferase ratio (GSR) predicts prognoses in patients with colorectal cancer with liver metastasis after microwave ablation

BACKGROUND

Microwave ablation (MWA) is widely used to eliminate colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). However, the risk of tumor recurrence is difficult to predict due to lack of reliable clinical and biological markers. Elevation of gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) and aspartate transaminase (AST) provides signals for liver inflammation and cancer progression. The present study evaluated the association between pre-ablation GGT to AST ratio index (GSR) and hepatic recurrence in patients with CRLM after MWA.

METHODS

A retrospectively analyzed 192 CRLM patients who underwent MWA from January 2013 to December 2017. Pre-ablation GSR was classified into high (≤ 2.34) or low (> 2.34) using the upper quartile value. The prognostic value of GSR and other risk factors for liver progression-free survival (LPFS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

High GSR was significantly associated with males (P = 0.041), the presence of cholelithiasis (P = 0.012), but not pre-ablation chemotherapy (P = 0.355), which caused significantly increased levels of GGT (P = 0.015) and AST (P = 0.008). GSR showed a significant association with LPFS and CSS through univariate analysis (P = 0.002 and 0.006) and multivariate analysis (P = 0.043 and 0.037). The subgroup analysis demonstrated no interaction between GSR and all variables except for distribution in the sub-analysis of LPFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that the pre-ablation GSR can be considered as a promising prognostic indicator for poor prognosis of patients with CRLM underwent MWA.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Not applicable.

Predictive models and early postoperative recurrence evaluation for hepatocellular carcinoma based on gadoxetic acid-enhanced MR imaging

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is still poor largely due to the high incidence of recurrence. We aimed to develop and validate predictive models of early postoperative recurrence for HCC using clinical and gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance (MR) imaging-based findings.

METHODS

In this retrospective case-control study, 209 HCC patients, who underwent gadoxetic acid-enhanced MR imaging before curative-intent resection, were enrolled. Boruta algorithm and backward stepwise selection with Akaike information criterion (AIC) were used for variables selection Random forest, Gradient-Boosted decision tree and logistic regression model analysis were used for model development. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate model's performance.

RESULTS

One random forest model with Boruta algorithm (RF-Boruta) was developed consisting of preoperative serum ALT and AFP levels and six MRI findings, while preoperative serum AST and AFP levels and four MRI findings were included in one logistic regression model with backward stepwise selection method (Logistic-AIC).The two predictive models demonstrated good discrimination performance in both the training set (RF-Boruta: AUC, 0.820; Logistic-AIC: AUC, 0.853), internal validation set (RF-Boruta: AUC, 0.857, Logistic-AIC: AUC, 0.812) and external validation set(RF-Boruta: AUC, 0.805, Logistic-AIC: AUC, 0.789). Besides, in both the internal validation and external validation sets, the RF-Boruta model outperformed Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The RF-Boruta and Logistic-AIC models with good prediction performance for early postoperative recurrence may lead to optimal and comprehensive treatment approaches, and further improve the prognosis of HCC after resection.

Serum alanine aminotransferase to hemoglobin ratio and radiological features predict the prognosis of postoperative adjuvant TACE in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Objective

To explore the prognostic value of radiological features and serum indicators in patients treated with postoperative adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization (PA-TACE) and develop a prognostic model to predict the overall survival (OS) of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with PA-TACE.

Method

We enrolled 112 patients (75 in the training cohort and 37 in the validation cohort) with HCC treated with PA-TACE after surgical resection at the Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University between January 2012 and June 2015. The independent OS predictors were determined using univariate and multivariate regression analyses. Decision curve analyses and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to verify the prognostic performance of the different models; the best model was selected to establish a multi-dimensional nomogram for predicting the OS of HCC patients treated with PA-TACE.

Result

Multivariate regression analyses indicated that rim-like arterial phase enhancement (IRE), peritumor capsule (PTC), and alanine aminotransferase to hemoglobin ratio (AHR) were independent predictors of OS after PA-TACE. The combination of AHR had the best clinical net benefit and we constructed a prognostic nomogram based on IRE, PTC, and AHR. The calibration curve showed good fit between the predicted nomogram’s curve and the observed curve.

Conclusion

Our preliminary study confirmed the prognostic value of AHR, PTC, and IRE and established a nomogram that can predict the OS after PA-TACE treatment in patients with HCC.

Elevated serum CA19-9 indicates severe liver inflammation and worse survival after curative resection in hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma

We explored the prognostic value of preoperative CA19-9 in α-fetoprotein (AFP)-positive and -negative HCC with hepatitis B virus (HBV) background (HBV-HCC), and explored the underlying mechanism. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed in HBV-HCC patients who underwent curative resection (Cohort 1). Immunohistochemical staining of CA19-9 in HCC and liver parenchyma were quantified in another cohort of 216 patients with resected HCC (Cohort 2). Immunohistochemical staining of CA19-9 and serum CA19-9 level was also compared between patients with HCC and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) (Cohort 3). In Cohort 1, CA19-9 ≥ 39 U/mL was an independent risk factor for RFS (HR = 1.507, 95% CI = 1.087-2.091, p = 0.014) and OS (HR = 1.646, 95% CI = 1.146-2.366, p = 0.007). CA19-9 ≥ 39 U/mL was also associated with significantly higher incidence of macrovascular invasion (MaVI) compared with CA19-9 < 39 U/mL (23.0% vs. 7.2%, p = 0.002), and elevated aminotransferase and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), and lower albumin. Immunohistochemical staining of CA19-9 revealed that CA19-9 expression was found exclusively in the background liver but not in HCC tumor cells. In contrast, tumor tissue was the main source of CA19-9 in ICC patients. CA19-9 ≥ 39 U/mL was associated with worse OS and RFS in both AFP-positive and negative HCC patients. CA19-9 indicated more severe inflammation and cirrhosis in the liver of HCC patients.

Serum GGT/ALT ratio predicts vascular invasion in HBV-related HCC

BACKGROUND

The gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) to alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio has been reported as an effective predictor of the severity of hepatitis and HCC. The purpose of this study was to determine the role of the GGT/ALT ratio in the prediction of vascular invasion and survival outcomes in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

The risk factors for vascular invasion were determined by univariate/multivariate logistic analysis. The cut-off value of GGT/ALT in predicting vascular invasion was calculated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The prognostic value of GGT/ALT was examined by Cox analysis and Kaplan-Meier curves. Sensitivity analysis, such as subgroup analysis and propensity score matching (PSM), was performed to reduce potential confounding bias.

RESULTS

A high GGT/ALT ratio was identified as an independent risk factor for vascular invasion (P = 0.03). The correlation analysis suggested that higher GGT/ALT was associated with more severe tumour burdens, including vascular invasion (P < 0.001), tumour volume > 5 cm (P < 0.001), poor pathological differentiation (P = 0.042), more severe BCLC (P < 0.001) and ALBI grade (P = 0.007). In the survival analysis, a high GGT/ALT ratio was associated with poor overall survival (OS) (HR: 1.38; 95% CI 1.03, 1.87; P < 0.0001) and disease-free survival (DFS) (HR: 1.32; 95% CI 1.03, 1.87; P < 0.0001). In the subgroup analysis, similar results were consistently observed across most subgroups. In PSM analysis, GGT/ALT remained independently associated with vascular invasion (OR, 186; 95% CI 1.23, 3.33).

CONCLUSION

The GGT/ALT ratio was a potential effective factor in the prediction of vascular invasion and prognosis in patients with HBV-related HCC.

Impact of Postoperative Complications on Long-Term Survival After Resection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Controversy exists over the relationship between postoperative complications (POCs) and long-term survival for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of POCs on overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) for HCC after liver resection.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases were used to search for eligible studies published through 18 April 2020, and studies comparing the long-term outcomes between HCC patients with and without POCs after hepatectomy were included. A random-effects model was used to calculate the pooled hazard ratio (HR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI). Subgroup analysis and meta-regression were performed to assess the potential influence of study-, patient-, and tumor-related factors on the relationship between POCs and oncologic outcomes and to adjust their effect. This study was registered at the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (CRD42019136109).

RESULTS

Thirty-seven studies, including 14,096 patients, were deemed eligible and included in this study. Compared with those without POCs, patients who developed POCs had a significant reduction in OS (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.28-1.50, P < 0.001; prediction interval 1.04-1.85) and tended to have worse DFS (HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.16-1.35, P < 0.001; prediction interval 0.98-1.60). Contour-enhanced funnel plots suggested a risk of publication bias. Subgroup analysis and meta-regression showed that POCs remained a threat to OS and DFS regardless of the influence of clinicopathological factors.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated that POCs had an adverse impact on OS and DFS in HCC patients after liver resection.

A nomogram based on combining systemic and hepatic inflammation markers for predicting microscopic bile duct tumour thrombus in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Bile duct invasion is a relatively rare event and is not well characterised in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). It remains very difficult to diagnose HCC with bile duct tumour thrombus (BDTT) before surgery. Increasing evidence has revealed that inflammation plays a critical role in tumorigenesis. This study aimed to develop nomograms based on systemic and hepatic inflammation markers to predict microscopic BDTT (micro-BDTT) before surgery in HCC.

METHODS

A total of 723 HCC patients who underwent hepatectomy as initial therapy between January 2012 and June 2020 were included in the study. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors for micro-BDTT. The nomograms were constructed using significant predictors, including α-fetoprotein (AFP), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), direct bilirubin (DB), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), and γ-glutamyl transferase (γ-GT)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT). The prediction accuracies of the nomograms were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

AFP, ALP, DB, PNI, and γ-GT/ALT were independent risk factors for predicting micro-BDTT (P = 0.036, P = 0.004, P = 0.013, P = 0.012, and P = 0.006, respectively), which were assembled into the nomograms. The area under the ROC curve of the nomograms combining PNI and γ-GT/ALT for predicting micro-BDTT was 0.804 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.730-0.878). The sensitivity and specificity values when used in predicting micro-BDTT before surgery were 0.739 (95% CI: 0.612-0.866) and 0.781 (95% CI: 0.750-0.813), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram based on combining systemic and hepatic inflammation markers is suitable for predicting micro-BDTT before surgery in HCC patients, leading to a rational therapeutic choice for HCC.

Hepatocellular carcinoma risk in patients with HBV-related liver disease receiving antiviral therapy

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is a major health problem worldwide, with approximatively 240 million people living with a chronic HBV infection. HBV chronic infection remains the major cause of hepatocellular carcinoma worldwide, with more than half of HCC patients being chronic HBV carriers, even if underlying mechanisms of tumorigenesis are not totally understood. HBV-related HCC can be prevented by reducing the exposure to HBV by vaccination or by treatment of CHB infection. Current treatment of CHB are Peg-IFN alpha and oral NUCs. Treating HBV infection, either with IFN or NUCs, substantially reduces the risk of HCC development, even if antiviral therapy fails to completely eliminate HCC risk. Among treated patients, cirrhosis, HBeAg negative at baseline and failure to remain in virological remission were associated with an increased risk of HCC. The reduction of the risk of developing HCC during antiviral therapy is largely dependent upon the maintenance of virological remission, since viral load is found to be the most important factor leading to cirrhosis and its complications, including liver cancer development. The question whether Peg-IFN-alpha is superior to NUCs and whether there is a superior agent among NUCs is still controversial. Several studies demonstrated that antiviral therapy with NUCs could reduce the risk of HCC recurrence after curative treatment of HBV-related HCC.

Development of a predictive nomogram for early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients undergoing liver transplantation

Background

An individual prognostic model that includes inflammation caused by the delayed recovery of liver function after surgery for the early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following liver transplantation (LT) has not been well determined. Our aim was to develop a nomogram model for predicting individual survival and early recurrence following LT for patients.

Methods

Retrospective data, including clinical pathology and follow-up data, on HCC patients were collected between October 2016 and October 2019 at Huashan Hospital Affiliated to Fudan University. A nomogram estimating recurrence post-transplantation was constructed using multivariate Cox regression analysis.

Results

A total of 210 patients were included in the present study. The multivariate estimators of recurrence consisted of age, maximum tumor diameter, tumor thrombus, microvascular invasion (MVI), alanine aminotransferase and alpha-fetoprotein on postoperative day 7. Nomogram of recurrence-free survival was developed. The calibration and discrimination of the novel model were assessed with the calibration curves and concordance index (C-index). Its reliability and advantages were evaluated by comparing it with the conventional American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition staging system using integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and net reclassification improvement (NRI). In comparison to the AJCC 8th edition staging system, the C-index (development set: 0.796 vs. 0.643, validation set: 0.741 vs. 0.563), the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the validation set (1-year AUC: 0.732 vs. 0.586, 2-year AUC: 0.705 vs. 0.504), the development set (1-year AUC: 0.799 vs. 0.551, 2-year AUC: 0.801 vs. 0.512), and this model’s calibration plots all showed improved performance. In addition, NRI and IDI verified that the nomogram is an accurate prognostic tool. Subsequently, a web calculator was generated to assess the risk of tumor recurrence post-LT.

Conclusions

The nomogram, based on clinical and pathological factors, showed good accuracy in estimating prognostic recurrence and can be used to guide individual patient follow-up and treatment.

The comparison of different antiviral therapies on the prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma after curative treatments: A network meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of different nucleos(t)ide analogues in the prognosis of HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after curative treatment by network meta-analysis.

METHODS

Literature retrieval was conducted in globally recognized databases, namely, PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library databases, and Science Citation Index Expanded, to address relative studies investigating nucleot(s)ide analogues for HBV-related HCC patients after curative resection. Relative parametric data, including 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rate and 1-, 3-, and 5-year recurrence-free survival rate were quantitatively pooled and estimated. The inconsistency factor, the cumulative ranking curve, and the publication bias were evaluated.

RESULTS

Fourteen observational studies of 2481 adults performed between 2000 and 2019 were eligible. In terms of overall survival, ADV (Adefovir dipivoxil) (Odds ratio (OR): 2.35, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.17-4.73), Lamivudine (OR: 2.08, 95% CI: 1.78-5.58), and Entecavir (OR: 2.14, 95% CI: 1.59-2.88) were found to be more beneficial than control group while ADV has the highest probability of having the most efficacious treatment (SCURA values 66.3) for 5-year overall survival. In late recurrence-free survival, ADV (OR = 1.88, 95% CI: 1.77-4.60), Entecavir (OR = 1.96, 95% CI: 1.36-2.55), and Lamivudine (OR = 1.73, 95% CI: 1.06-2.82) all had better significant prognosis than patients without antiviral therapy postoperatively and patients with ADV as postoperative antiviral therapy has significantly recurrence-free survival benefit at 5-year follow-up compared to those undertaking Entecavir (OR = 1.96, 95% CI: 1.52-7.38) and Lamivudine (OR = 1.39, 95% CI: 1.09-3.01). Moreover, the application of ADV possessed the highest possibility of having the best clinical effects on 1- (surface under the cumulative ranking probabilities (SUCRA), 64.7), 3- (SUCRA, 64.7), and 5-year (SUCRA, 70.4) recurrence survival rate for HBV-related HCC patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with postoperative nucleos(t)ide analogues antiviral therapy had better survival benefit than those without antiviral therapy for HBV-related HCC patients after curative treatment. Additionally, nucleotide analogues like ADV and Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate has better impact on early and late recurrence-free survival of patients after curative treatment than those undertaking nucleoside analogues.

A novel prognostic score model based on combining systemic and hepatic inflammation markers in the prognosis of HBV-associated hepatocellular carcinoma patients

Objectives: The study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of systemic inflammation markers [neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI)] and hepatic inflammation markers [aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), γ-glutamyl transferase (γ-GT)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT)] in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and further to develop a novel prognostic score model. Methods: A total of 401 cases with HBV-associated HCC who underwent hepatectomy as initial therapy were included in the analysis. Kaplan-Meier was performed to construct survival curves and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to detect the optimal cut-off value of markers. The prognostic score model was constructed using significant inflammation markers in the Cox model. Each factor was given a score of 1 and patients were stratified according to the scores. Results: In the Cox model, α-fetoprotein (AFP), ALT, tumour differentiation, maximum size of tumours, TNM stage, PNI and γ-GT/ALT were independently prognostic factors. We established a preoperative inflammation-based prognostic scoring model combining PNI and γ-GT/ALT. The novel preoperative inflammation-based prognostic score was superior (area under the curve [AUC], 0.659) to 7^th tumour-node-metastasis (TNM) stage (AUC, 0.600) despite no statistical significance (p = .1036). Conclusion: PNI and γ-GT/ALT are independent predictors for prognosis. The novel prognostic score model based on systemic and hepatic inflammation markers is suitable for the prognosis evaluation in patients with HBV-associated HCC.

The different effects of adefovir dipivoxil and telbivudine on the prognosis of hepatitis b virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma patients after curative resection

Numerous studies suggested that antiviral therapy could reduce the recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after hepatectomy. The impact of nucleotide and nucleoside analogues on prognosis of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) related HCC remains to be explored. We aimed to investigate the role of the telbivudine and adefovir dipivoxil on the prognosis of CHB-related HCC patients after hepatectomy.One hundred eighty-eight CHB-related patients who received hepatectomy from February 2010 to February 2017 were divided into telbivudine (LdT) and adefovir dipivoxil (ADV) groups. The characteristics and survival information of both groups were retrospectively compared and analyzed.One hundred eleven and 77 patients received telbivudine and adefovir dipivoxil monotherapy, respectively. Alanine aminotransferase (ALT), total bilirubin level, status of hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg), serum HBV-DNA level were compared between groups. OS and DFS in ADV-treatment group were significantly better than it in LdT-treatment group (P < .05). In the subgroups analysis, we found that ADV treatment was significantly associated with better DFS and OS among patients with cirrhosis, HBeAg-negative patients, or those with detectable HBV-DNA.CHB-related HCC patients receiving long-term ADV-treatment had a better OS and DFS than patients receiving LdT-treatment after hepatectomy.

Impact of Preoperative Hepatitis B Virus Levels on Prognosis After Primary and Repeat Hepatectomies for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients-a Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Chronic HBV plays an important role in hepatocellular carcinoma pathogenesis. Previously, most studies have been focusing on HBV DNA levels before the primary curative hepatectomy. However, the association of virus level before repeat hepatectomy with the degrees of inflammation and fibrosis on histopathology and prognosis has not been surveyed.

METHODS

From January 2002 to December 2009, all patients who were seropositive for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) were enrolled and assigned into four groups based on their HBV DNA levels before the primary and repeat hepatectomies. The cancer prognoses of these four groups of patients after the first and second operations were assessed and compared. The disease-free survival and overall survival were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify risk factors for the primary and repeat hepatectomies.

RESULTS

For the 385 patients in this study, a low level of serum HBV DNA before repeat hepatectomy, but not primary hepatectomy, was significantly associated with improvement in prognosis, in terms of tumor recurrence, liver fibrosis, and liver-related mortality.

CONCLUSION

The levels of HBV DNA before hepatectomies were crucial prognostic risk factors of HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma patients. Surveillance of serum HBV DNA levels at multiple time points, rather than at a single time point, and antiviral therapy to suppress the virus to a low level had beneficial effects for these patients.

Downregulation and pro-apoptotic effect of hypoxia-inducible factor 2 alpha in hepatocellular carcinoma

The role of HIF-2α in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is unclear. The aim of the present study was to investigate the expression pattern and role of HIF-2α in HCC patients. Immunohistochemical staining and western blotting analyses were applied to detect the protein level of HIF-2α in 206 paired HCC and peritumoral tissues. Kaplan-Meier survival and Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors for overall survival and recurrence-free survival in these patients. The function of HIF-2α was studied in HCC cells and in vivo models. We found that the protein levels of HIF-2α in HCC tissues were lower than in peritumoral tissues, and were negatively correlated with tumor size (P < 0.05). Kaplan-Meier survival and univariate analysis revealed that HCC patients with high HIF-2α protein levels had longer overall survival (P < 0.05). Over-expression of HIF-2α induced apoptosis in HCC cells and increased the levels of pro-apoptotic proteins, Bak, ZBP-89 and PDCD4, whereas the inhibition of HIF-2α expression achieved opposite results. The findings were confirmed in a mouse HCC xenograft model. In conclusion, our study revealed that HIF-2α was decreased and played an anti-tumorigenic role in HCC.

TMED3 promotes hepatocellular carcinoma progression via IL-11/STAT3 signaling

Transmembrane p24 trafficking protein 3(TMED3) is a metastatic suppressor in colon cancer, but its function in the progression of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is unknown. Here, we report that TMED3 was up-regulated in HCC and portal vein tumor thrombus. TMED3 up-regulation in HCC was significantly correlated with aggressive characteristics and predicted poor prognosis in HCC patients. TMED3 overexpression in HCC cell lines promoted cell migration and invasion. In contrast, TMED3 knockdown suppressed HCC metastasis both in vitro and in vivo. Gene microarray analysis revealed decreased IL-11 expression in TMED3-knockdown cells. We propose that TMED3 promotes HCC metastasis through IL-11/STAT3 signaling. Taken together, these findings demonstrate that TMED3 promotes HCC metastasis and is a potential prognostic biomarker in HCC.

Distinguished prognosis after hepatectomy of HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma with or without cirrhosis: a long-term follow-up analysis

BACKGROUND

Conflicting results have often been observed for the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, but few studies have attempted to explore the reasons for the conflicting results. We aimed to distinguish the prognosis of patients with HCC with cirrhosis (HCC-C) and that of patients with HCC without cirrhosis (HCC-NC).

METHODS

Patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated HCC treated by curative liver resection at a single institution between 1995 and 2013 were retrospectively evaluated. Kaplan-Meier and multivariate analyses were performed to identify risk factors, including tumor-related factors, hypoxia-inducible factor 1α expression, HBV X protein (HBx) expression, and HBx double mutations for overall survival and recurrence-free survival in these patients.

RESULTS

The long-term prognosis of HCC-NC patients is better than that of HCC-C patients. Male sex, poor differentiation, preoperative serum alanine aminotransferase level greater than 80 IU/L, and α-fetoprotein level greater than 400 ng/mL were risk factors for overall survival among HCC-NC patients but not among HCC-C patients, and age greater than 50 years was associated with poor overall survival only in cirrhotic patients. HCC-C patients benefit more from antiviral therapy following curative hepatectomy than do HCC-NC patients. The clinical value of the biomarkers hypoxia-inducible factor 1α, HBx, and HBx double mutations for predicting HCC prognosis was significantly different between these two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

There were differences in tumor-related prognostic factors, effectiveness of the antiviral therapy after hepatectomy, and biomarkers between HCC-C and HCC-NC patients, indicating that subgroup analysis of the prognostic factors may result in better management of HCC and that HCC patients, especially those with liver cirrhosis, should be given antiviral therapy.

Preoperative serum α-fetoprotein and prognosis after hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

While the majority of studies report that a raised serum α-fetoprotein (AFP) level before operation is associated with a high risk of recurrence and death in patients who undergo hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), results are conflicting. The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of AFP.

Methods

Serum AFP levels were measured in patients with hepatitis-associated HCC who underwent hepatectomy between 1995 and 2012. Kaplan–Meier and multivariable analyses were performed to identify risk factors for overall and disease-free survival. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate the predictive value of AFP. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated to identify the AFP level that had the highest accuracy in discriminating between survivors and non-survivors.

Results

Some 376 patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated HCC were included in the study. The overall survival rate was 58·8 per cent in patients with an AFP level of 400 ng/ml or less compared with 40·4 per cent for those with a level exceeding 400 ng/ml (P = 0·001). AFP concentration above 400 ng/ml was an independent risk factor for shorter disease-free and overall survival after surgery. ROC analysis indicated that the optimal cut-off values for AFP varied for different subtypes of HCC. The sensitivity and specificity were lower with areas under the ROC curve of less than 0·600. An AFP level greater than 400 ng/ml was not sensitive enough to predict the prognosis in patients with an HCC diameter smaller than 3 cm.

Conclusion

A serum AFP level above 400 ng/ml predicts poor overall and recurrence-free survival after hepatectomy in patients with HBV-associated HCC. AFP is not a strong prognostic marker given its poor discriminatory power, with low sensitivity and specificity.

Nucleos(t)ide analogs in the prevention of hepatitis B virus related hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is among the most common cancer types and causes of cancer related mortality worldwide. Almost 50% of all HCC cases globally are attributable to chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. The incidence rates of HCC in untreated Asian subjects with HBV infection was estimated to be 0.2% in inactive carriers, 0.6% for those with chronic hepatitis without cirrhosis, and 3.7% for those with compensated cirrhosis. In Western populations, HCC incidences are reported to be 0.02% in inactive carriers, 0.3% in subjects with chronic hepatitis without cirrhosis, and 2.2% in subjects with compensated cirrhosis. Despite effective antiviral treatment options which are able to transform chronic hepatitis into an inactive carrier state, the risk of HCC cannot be fully ruled out to exclude those patients from surveillance. Newer nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) as entecavir and tenofovir are very potent in terms of sustained virological suppression which leads to improved liver histology. However, they do not have any influence on the cccDNA or integrated DNA of HBV in the liver. Nonetheless, viral replication is the only modifiable component among the established risk factors for HBV-related HCC with the current treatment options. In this review, it was aimed to summarize cumulative evidence behind the concept of prevention of HBV related HCC by NAs, and to discuss remaining obstacles to eliminate the risk of HCC.

Hepatitis B virus mutation may play a role in hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence: A systematic review and meta-regression analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

A number of studies have confirmed that antiviral therapy with nucleotide analogs (NAs) can improve the prognosis of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative therapy. However, what factors affected the prognosis of HBV-HCC after removal of the primary tumor and inhibition of HBV replication? A meta-regression analysis was conducted to explore the prognostic factor for this subgroup of patients.

METHODS

MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, and Cochrane library were searched from January 1995 to February 2014 for clinical trials evaluating the effect of NAs on the prognosis of HBV-HCC after curative therapy. Data were extracted for host, viral, and intervention information. Single-arm meta-analysis was performed to assess overall survival (OS) rates and HCC recurrence. Meta-regression analysis was carried out to explore risk factors for 1-year OS rate and HCC recurrence for HBV-HCC patients after curative therapy and antiviral therapy.

RESULTS

Fourteen observational studies with 1284 patients met the inclusion criteria. Influential factors for prognosis of HCC were mainly baseline HBeAg positivity, cirrhotic stage, advanced Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) stage, macrovascular invasion, and antiviral agent type. The 1-year OS rate decreased by more than four times (coefficient -4.45, P<0.001) and the 1-year HCC recurrence increased by more than one time (coefficient 1.20, P=0.003) when lamivudine was chosen for HCC after curative therapy, relative to entecavir for HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

HBV mutation may play a role in HCC recurrence. Entecavir or tenofovir, a high genetic barrier to resistance, should be recommended for HBV-HCC patients.

Adjuvant and chemopreventive therapies for resectable hepatocellular carcinoma: a literature review

The recurrence rate of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after potentially curative hepatic resection (HR) is very high. Many clinical trials have explored the efficacy of several treatment modalities to prevent recurrence, including adjuvant and chemopreventive therapy, but they have often reported contradictory findings. As a result, most liver guidelines and liver seminars do not unequivocally endorse adjuvant or chemopreventive therapy for HCC patients after potentially curative HR. To examine the available evidence on this question, we comprehensively searched PubMed for controlled studies that included a supportive care or placebo control arm, and we used the GRADE system to classify and assess the results.

Impact of antiviral therapy on post-hepatectomy outcome for hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma

The outcome after curative resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unsatisfactory due to the high recurrence rate after surgery. In patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related HCC, which is the majority of patients with HCC in Asia, a high viral load is a strong risk factor for HCC recurrence. It is logical to believe that antiviral therapy may improve the post-operative outcome by promoting viral clearance and hepatocyte regeneration, as well as improving residual liver volume in HCC patients with hepatitis B. However, the effect of antiviral therapy on clinical outcomes after liver resection in patients with HBV-related HCC remains to be established. There are two main groups of antiviral treatment for HBV-oral nucleos(t)ide analogues and interferon. Interferon treatment reduces the overall incidence of HBV-related HCC in sustained responders. However, side effects may limit its long-term clinical application. Nucleos(t)ide analogues carry fewer side effects and are potent in terms of viral suppression when compared to interferon and are typically implemented for patients with more advanced liver diseases. They may also improve the outcome after curative resection for HBV-related HCC. There are increasing evidence to suggest that antiviral therapy could suppress HBV, decrease the perioperative reactivation of viral replication, reduce liver injury, preserve the liver function before and after operation, and may lower the risk of HCC recurrence. After all, antiviral therapy may improve the survival after liver resection by reducing recurrence and delaying the liver damage by the virus, resulting in a higher chance of receiving aggressive salvage therapy during HCC recurrence.

Antiviral therapy for hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma after radical hepatectomy

OBJECTIVE

To assess the effect of antiviral therapy for hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after radical hepatectomy.

METHODS

A total of 478 HBV-related HCC patients treated by radical hepatectomy were retrospectively collected. Patients in the treatment group (n=141) received postoperative lamivudine treatment (100 mg/d), whereas patients in the control group (n=337) did not. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates, overall survival (OS) rates, treatments for recurrent HCC and cause of death were compared between the two groups. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was also conducted to reduce confounding bias between the two groups.

RESULTS

The 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS rates didn't significantly differ between the two groups (P=0.778); however, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates in the treatment group were significantly higher than those in the control group (P=0.002). Similar results were observed in the matched data. Subgroup analysis showed that antiviral treatment conferred a significant survival benefit for Barcelona Clinical Liver Cancer stage A/B patients. Following HCC recurrence, more people in the treatment group were able to choose curative treatments than those in the control group (P=0.031). For cause of death, fewer people in the treatment group died of liver failure than those in the control group (P=0.041).

CONCLUSION

Postoperative antiviral therapy increases chances of receiving curative treatments for recurrent HCC and prevents death because of liver failure, thereby significantly prolonging OS, especially in early- or intermedian-stage tumors.

Posthepatectomy HBV reactivation in hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma influences postoperative survival in patients with preoperative low HBV-DNA levels

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to clarify the incidence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation and its significance on long-term survival after partial hepatectomy in patients with HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), who had preoperative low HBV-DNA level of less than 2000 IU/mL.

BACKGROUND

HBV reactivation is a frequent complication of systemic chemotherapy in hepatitis B surface antigen-positive patients. Surgery and anesthesia result in a generalized state of immunosuppression in the immediate postoperative period. Data on HBV reactivation and its significance after partial hepatectomy are unclear.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Consecutive patients from January 2006 to December 2007 were retrospectively studied.

RESULTS

HBV reactivation happened in 19.1% of patients in 1 year. There were 28 patients whose HBV reactivation was detected after the diagnosis of HCC recurrence. On multivariate analysis, hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) positivity, preoperative HBV-DNA above the lower limit of quantification (≥200 IU/mL), Ishak inflammation score of greater than 3, preoperative transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), operation time of more than 180 minutes, blood transfusion, and without prophylactic antiviral therapy were significantly associated with an increased risk of HBV reactivation. HBV reactivation negatively influenced postoperative hepatic functions. The posthepatectomy liver failure rate in patients with HBV reactivation was significantly higher than in those without reactivation (11.8% vs 6.4%; P = 0.002). The 3-year disease-free survival (DFS) rate and overall survival (OS) rates after resection in patients with HBV reactivation were significantly lower than those without reactivation (34.1% vs 46.0%; P = 0.009, and 51.6% vs 67.2%; P < 0.001, respectively). HBeAg positivity, detectable preoperative HBV-DNA level, high Ishak inflammation score, preoperative TACE, long operation time, and blood transfusion were independent risk factors for HBV reactivation, whereas prophylactic antiviral therapy was a protective factor. HBV reactivation, HBeAg positivity, HBV-DNA level of 200 IU/mL or more, tumor diameter greater than 5 cm, presence of satellite nodules, presence of portal vein tumor thrombus, blood transfusion, and resection margin less than 1.0 cm were independent risk factors for DFS. A HBV-DNA level of 200 IU/mL or more, an Ishak fibrosis score of 4 or greater, a tumor diameter greater than 5 cm, the presence of satellite nodules, the presence of portal vein tumor thrombus, a resection margin less than 1.0 cm, no prophylactic antiviral therapy, and HBV reactivation were independent risk factors for OS.

CONCLUSIONS

HBV reactivation was common after partial hepatectomy for HBV-related HCC with a preoperative low HBV-DNA level of less than 2000 IU/mL. Routine prophylactic antiviral treatment should be given before partial hepatectomy.

Antiviral therapy after curative resection for patients with hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma

Merits evaluation in the West

High HBV-DNA titer in surrounding liver rather than in hepatocellular carcinoma tissue predisposes to recurrence after curative surgical resection

GOALS

In this study the authors intended to investigate the relationship between intrahepatic hepatitis B virus (HBV)-DNA concentrations and posthepatectomy recurrence of HBV-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

BACKGROUND

High HBV-DNA level is strongly associated with HCC development in chronic HBV infection and considered to be a risk factor of HCC recurrence.

STUDY

A total of 109 patients with HBV-associated HCC who underwent curative surgical resection were followed up every 3 to 6 months for a median of 82 months. Intrahepatic total HBV-DNA titer was measured in HCC and surrounding liver tissues using a TaqMan probe-based real-time polymerase chain reaction method. HBV-DNA titers in HCC and surrounding liver were compared in accordance with patients' clinical, radiologic, and histopathological characteristics. The relationships between HBV-DNA titers in HCC or surrounding liver tissues and cumulative HCC recurrence rates were determined.

RESULTS

Of the 109 patients, 67 (62%) showed posthepatectomy recurrence of HCC. In all patients, total HBV-DNA titers were significantly higher in HCCs than in surrounding liver tissues (P=0.019). HCC recurred more frequently in patients with higher than those with lower HBV-DNA titers in surrounding liver tissues (P=0.009). In contrast, the HCC recurrence rates were similar in patients with higher and those with lower HBV-DNA titers in HCC specimens (P=0.301). Multivariate analysis showed that tumor size >5 cm (P=0.008), the presence of portal vein thrombus (P=0.001), and high HBV-DNA titer in surrounding liver tissues (P=0.002) were independent risk factors for posthepatectomy HCC recurrence in patients with HBV-associated HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with HBV-associated HCC, high HBV-DNA titer in surrounding liver rather than in the HCC itself is associated with posthepatectomy HCC recurrence after curative surgical resection.

Survival comparison between surgical resection and radiofrequency ablation for patients in BCLC very early/early stage hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

To compare the survival between surgical resection (SR) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) very early/early stage.

METHODS

Between 2002 and 2009, patients with newly diagnosed BCLC very early/early stage HCC who received SR or RFA were enrolled. Medical records were reviewed. The cumulative overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 605 patients, including 143 very early (SR: 52; RFA: 91) and 462 early stages (SR: 208; RFA: 254) were enrolled. For very early stage, the 3- and 5-year OS rates were 98% and 91.5% for SR, and 80.3% and 72% for RFA, respectively (p=0.073). The 3- and 5-year DFS rates were 62.1% and 40.7% for SR, and 39.8% and 29.3% for RFA, respectively (p=0.006). Either multiple adjustment by Cox model or match analysis based on propensity score showed no significant difference in OS between the two groups. For early stage, the 3- and 5-year OS rates were 87.8% and 77.2% for SR, and 73.5% and 57.4% for RFA, respectively (p=0.001). The 3- and 5-year DFS rates were 59.9% and 50.8% for SR, and 28.3% and 14.1% for RFA, respectively (p<0.001). After adjusting covariates, there was no significant difference in OS between the two groups. However, SR was superior to RFA in DFS.

CONCLUSIONS

For HCC patients in BCLC very early/early stage, there was no significant difference in OS between SR and RFA. However, SR yielded better DFS than RFA.

Relevance of gamma-glutamyltransferase--a marker for apoptotic balance--in predicting tumor stage and prognosis in cervical cancer

INTRODUCTION

Recent large epidemiologic population-based studies identified gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT) as a marker for increased cervical cancer incidence. Furthermore, high levels of GGT seem to increase the risk of progression of high-grade cervical dysplasia to invasive carcinoma. Therefore, we evaluated the association between pre-therapeutic serum GGT levels, tumor stage and prognosis in patients with cervical cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this multi-center trial, pre-therapeutic GGT levels were examined in 692 patients with cervical cancer. GGT levels were correlated with clinico-pathological parameters. Patients were assigned to previously described GGT risk groups and uni- and multivariable survival analyses were performed.

RESULTS

GGT serum levels were associated with FIGO stage (p<0.0001) and age (r=0.2, p<0.0001) but not with lymph node involvement (p=0.85), and histological type (p=0.98). High-risk GGT group affiliation (p=0.01 and p<0.0001) was associated with poor disease-free and overall survival in a univariate analysis, but not in a multivariable Cox-regression model (p=0.59 and p=0.171). We further investigated the association between prognosis and GGT and observed a linear correlation between GGT and prognosis. Therefore we were not able to identify a clear prognostic cut-off value for GGT in patients with cervical cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

High GGT--a marker for apoptosis and cervical cancer risk--is associated with advanced tumor stage in patients with cervical cancer.

Meta-analysis: the efficacy of anti-viral therapy in prevention of recurrence after curative treatment of chronic hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The role of anti-viral therapy in prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence is to be defined.

AIM

To investigate the role of anti-viral therapy in prevention of tumour recurrence after curative treatment of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related HCC.

METHODS

A systematic electronic search on keywords including HCC and different anti-viral therapies was performed through eight electronic databases, including Medline, EMBASE and Cochrane Databases. The primary outcome was HCC recurrence after curative treatment of HBV-related HCC. The secondary outcomes were mortality related to HCC, mortality related to liver failure and the overall mortality.

RESULTS

Nine cohort studies were included with a total number of 551 patients: 204 patients with anti-viral treatment group and 347 patients without anti-viral treatment (control group). There was significant difference in the incidence of HCC recurrence in favour of the anti-viral treatment group (55% vs. 58%; odds risk (OR)=0.59, 95% CI 0.35-0.97, P=0.04). The risk of HCC was reduced by 41% in the anti-viral treatment group. There were also significant differences in favour of anti-viral treatment group in terms of liver-related mortality (0% vs. 8%; OR=0.13, 95% CI 0.02-0.69, P=0.02) and overall mortality (38% vs. 42%; OR=0.27, 95% CI 0.14-0.50, P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Anti-viral therapy has potential beneficial effects after the curative treatment of HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma in terms of tumour recurrence, liver-related mortality and overall survival. Anti-viral therapy should be considered after curative treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma.

mPGES-1 expression in non-cancerous liver tissue impacts on postoperative recurrence of HCC

AIM: To investigate whether microsomal prostaglandin E synthase-1 (mPGES-1) expression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and in non-cancerous liver affects HCC prognosis after hepatectomy.

METHODS: The relationship between patient clinical profiles, tumor factors, surgical determinants, and mPGES-1 expression and the recurrence-free survival rate were examined in 64 patients who underwent curative hepatectomy between March 2003 and December 2006.

RESULTS: The scores for mPGES-1 expression were higher in well differentiated and moderately differentiated HCC tissues than in poorly differentiated HCC tissues (well differentiated, 5.1 ± 2.7; moderately differentiated, 5.1 ± 1.7; poorly differentiated, 3.0 ± 1.8). In non-cancerous liver tissues, the mPGES-1 levels were higher in injured liver tissues than in normal tissues. Cirrhotic livers had higher mPGES-1 levels than livers with chronic hepatitis (normal livers, 3.3 ± 0.7; chronic hepatitic livers, 5.4 ± 1.9; cirrhotic livers, 6.4 ± 1.6). A univariate analysis revealed that the recurrence-free survival rate was significantly lower in patients with vascular invasion, a higher mPGES-1 level in non-cancerous liver tissue, a larger tumor diameter (≥ 5 cm), and a lower serum albumin level (≤ 3.7 g/dL). The mPGES-1 expression in HCC tissues did not correlate well with postoperative recurrence. A multivariate analysis demonstrated that the presence of vascular invasion and higher mPGES-1 levels were statistically significant independent predictors for early postoperative recurrence of HCC.

CONCLUSION: Increased mPGES-1 expression in non-cancerous liver tissues is closely associated with the early recurrence of HCC after curative resection.

Preoperative serum gamma-glutamyl transferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio is a convenient prognostic marker for Child-Pugh A hepatocellular carcinoma after operation

BACKGROUND

The ratio of serum gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) to alanine aminotransferase (ALT) is a parameter for assessing responses to antiviral therapies. The relationship between the prognosis of hepatitis B-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and preoperative GGT/ALT is studied in hepatectomized Child-Pugh A patients.

METHODS

Two hundred and nineteen patients with hepatitis B virus-related HCC were included. Serum ALT and GGT levels were examined preoperatively and the GGT/ALT ratios were calculated. Their prognostic capabilities were evaluated by Cox-regression model.

RESULTS

As dichotomized variables, GGT and ALT were distributed unequally (P < 0.001). Most patients had high levels of GGT (n = 110) but low levels of ALT (n = 185). ALT displayed no relation to recurrence or survival, while GGT was independently associated with survival (P = 0.002). The GGT/ALT ratio could predict survival precisely either in a continuous or dichotomized fashion (P < 0.001 and 0.001, respectively), and also related to recurrence when dichotomized (P = 0.002). Additionally, high GGT/ALT ratio was associated with high early recurrence rates, more recurrence-related deaths and various aggressive tumor characteristics such as larger tumor size, vascular invasion, poor encapsulation and advanced BCLC stage. In further stratified analyses, this ratio could discriminate the outcomes of patients with high- or low-alpha-fetoprotein level.

CONCLUSIONS

The elevated GGT/ALT ratio was a promising predictor for poor prognosis of Child-Pugh A HCC patients after operation mainly through its tight relevance to the primary tumor burden.

Evaluation of model for end stage liver disease (MELD)-based systems as prognostic index for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The Cancer of Liver Italian Program (CLIP) and Japan Integrated Scoring System (JIS) used the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score to evaluate the liver function.

AIM

We aimed to evaluate the performance of Model for End Stage Liver Disease (MELD) based CLIP and JIS to predict the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Consecutive patients with HCC who presented to our Hepatoma Clinic from January 2003 to April 2005 were studied. MELD-based CLIP and JIS were generated by replacing the original CTP score with MELD score at three categories (<10, 10-14 and >14).

RESULTS

Among 471 HCC patients (85.1% males; aged 58.8 +/- 12.2 years), 73% had chronic hepatitis B, 37.4% had >1 nodule, 84.1% had tumor size >2 cm, 55.0% had Child's B cirrhosis, 12.7% underwent tumor resection and 20.6% received locoregional therapy. The cumulative survival at 3 and 6 months were 67% and 55%, respectively. For 3-month survival, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) of MELD-CLIP (0.69) and MELD-JIS (0.69) were superior to the original systems (0.64, P = 0.004 and 0.64, P = 0.0018, respectively). For 6-month survival, AUC of MELD-CLIP (0.64) and MELD-JIS (0.62) were also superior to the original systems (0.54, P = 0.003 and 0.59, P = 0.002, respectively). The MELD-based systems performed best among patients who received locoregional therapy to HCC. Advanced cirrhosis (hypoalbuminemia, hyperbilirubinemia, ascites, coagulopathy and elevated creatinine), and cancer (portal vein thrombosis, elevated alpha-fetoprotein, large and multiple tumors) were associated with higher mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

MELD-based systems performed better than Child-Pugh based systems as prognostic indexes for HCC.