The 22/11 risk prediction model: a validated model for predicting 30-day mortality in patients with cirrhosis and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis

Type-I interferon shapes peritoneal immunity in cirrhosis and drives caspase-5-mediated progranulin release upon infection

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Gut bacterial translocation contributes to immune dysfunction and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) in cirrhosis. We hypothesized that exposure of peritoneal macrophages (PMs) to bacterial DNA results in type-I interferon (IFN) production, shaping subsequent immune responses, inflammasome activation, and the release of damage-associated molecular patterns (DAMPs).

METHODS

PMs from patients with cirrhosis were stimulated with E. coli single-stranded DNA (ssDNA), lipopolysaccharide and IFN, or infected with E. coli, S. aureus, and Group B streptococcus in vitro. Cytokine release, inflammasome activation, and DAMP release were quantified by quantitative-PCR, ELISA, western blots, and reporter cells employing primary PMs, monocytes, and caspase-deficient THP-1 macrophages. Serum progranulin concentration was correlated with transplant-free survival in 77 patients with SBP.

RESULTS

E. coli ssDNA induced strong type-I IFN activity in PMs and monocytes, priming them for enhanced lipopolysaccharide-mediated tumor necrosis factor production without inducing toll-like receptor 4 tolerance. During in vitro macrophage bacterial infection, type-I IFN release aligned with upregulated expression of IFN-regulatory factors (IRF)1/2 and guanylate binding proteins (GBP)2/5. PMs upregulated inflammasome-associated proteins and type-I IFN upon E. coli ssDNA exposure and released interleukin-1β upon bacterial infection. Proteomic screening in mouse macrophages revealed progranulin release as being caspase-11-dependent during E. coli infection. PMs and THP-1 macrophages released significant amounts of progranulin when infected with S. aureus or E. coli via gasdermin D in a type-I IFN- and caspase-5-dependent manner. During SBP, PMs upregulated IRF1, GBP2/5 and caspase-5 and higher serum progranulin concentrations were indicative of lower 90-day transplant-free survival after SBP.

CONCLUSIONS

Type-I IFN shapes peritoneal immune responses and regulates caspase-5-mediated progranulin release during SBP.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Patients with cirrhosis exhibit impaired immune responses and increased susceptibility to bacterial infections. This study reveals that type-I interferon responses, triggered by pathogen-associated molecular patterns, are crucial in regulating macrophage activation and priming them for inflammatory responses. Additionally, we elucidate the mechanisms by which type-I interferons promote the release of progranulin from macrophages during spontaneous bacterial peritonitis. Our findings enhance understanding of how bacterial translocation affects immune responses, identify novel biomarkers for inflammasome activation during infections, and point to potential therapeutic targets.

LINAS-Score: prognostic model for mortality assessment in patients with cirrhotic liver and infected ascites

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Patients with liver cirrhosis often face a grave threat from infected ascites (IA). However, a well-established prognostic model for this complication has not been established in routine clinical practice. Therefore, we aimed to assess mortality risk in patients with liver cirrhosis and IA.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study across three tertiary hospitals, enrolling 534 adult patients with cirrhotic liver and IA, comprising 465 with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP), 34 with bacterascites (BA), and 35 with secondary peritonitis (SP). To determine the attributable mortality risk linked to IA, these patients were matched with 122 patients with hydropic decompensated liver cirrhosis but without IA. Clinical, laboratory, and microbiological parameters were assessed for their relation to mortality using univariable analyses and a multivariable random forest model (RFM). Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) regression model was used to establish an easy-to-use mortality prediction score.

RESULTS

The in-hospital mortality risk was highest for SP (39.0%), followed by SBP (26.0%) and BA (25.0%). Besides illness severity markers, microbiological parameters, such as Candida spp., were identified as the most significant indicators for mortality. The Lasso model determined 15 parameters with corresponding scores, yielding good discriminatory power (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve = 0.89). Counting from 0 to 83, scores of 20, 40, 60, and 80 corresponded to in-hospital mortalities of 3.3%, 30.8%, 85.2%, and 98.7%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

We developed a promising mortality prediction score for IA, highlighting the importance of microbiological parameters in conjunction with illness severity for assessing patient outcomes.

Emergency medicine updates: Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis

INTRODUCTION

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a common infection in patients with cirrhosis and ascites and is associated with significant risk of mortality. Therefore, it is important for emergency medicine clinicians to be aware of the current evidence regarding the diagnosis and management of this condition.

OBJECTIVE

This paper evaluates key evidence-based updates concerning SBP for the emergency clinician.

DISCUSSION

SBP is commonly due to Gram-negative bacteria, but infections due to Gram-positive bacteria and multidrug resistant bacteria are increasing. The typical presentation of SBP includes abdominal pain, worsening ascites, fever, or altered mental status in a patient with known liver disease; however, some patients may be asymptomatic or present with only mild symptoms. Paracentesis is the diagnostic modality of choice and should be performed in any patient with ascites and concern for SBP or upper gastrointestinal bleeding, or in those being admitted for a complication of cirrhosis. Ultrasound should be used to optimize the procedure. An ascites absolute neutrophil count (ANC) ≥ 250 cells/mm³ is diagnostic of SBP. Ascitic fluid should be placed in blood culture bottles to improve the culture yield. Leukocyte esterase reagent strips can be used for rapid diagnosis if available. While many patients will demonstrate coagulation panel abnormalities, routine transfusion is not recommended. Management traditionally includes a third-generation cephalosporin, but specific patient populations may require more broad-spectrum coverage with a carbapenem or piperacillin-tazobactam. Albumin infusion is associated with reduced risk of renal impairment and mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

An understanding of literature updates can improve the care of patients with suspected SBP.

Initial treatment response and short-term mortality of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

This study aimed to investigate the initial treatment response and short-term mortality of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) in cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) compared with those without HCC. A total of 245 patients with liver cirrhosis diagnosed with SBP between January 2004 and December 2020 were included. Of these, 107 (43.7%) were diagnosed with HCC. Overall, the rates of initial treatment failure, 7-day and 30-day mortality were 91 (37.1%), 42 (17.1%), and 89 (36.3%), respectively. While the baseline CTP score, MELD score, culture-positive rate, and rates of antibiotic resistance did not differ between both groups, patients with HCC had a higher rate of initial treatment failure than those without HCC patients (52.3% vs. 25.4%, P < 0.001). Similarly, 30-day mortality was also significantly higher in patients with HCC (53.3% vs. 23.2%, P < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, HCC, renal impairment, CTP grade C, and antibiotic resistance were independent factors for initial treatment failure. Furthermore, HCC, hepatic encephalopathy, MELD score, and initial treatment failure were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality, with statistically significant poor survival outcomes in patients with HCC (P < 0.001). In conclusion, HCC is an independent risk factor for initial treatment failure and high short-term mortality in patients with cirrhosis with SBP. It has been suggested that more attentive therapeutic strategies are required to improve the prognosis of patients with HCC and SBP.

A model to predict inhospital mortality in patients with cirrhosis, ascites and hyponatremia

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Hypervolemic hyponatremia is a late complication of portal hypertension. Hyponatremia is associated with a higher mortality in hospitalized patients. In this study, we evaluated the risk factors for inhospital mortality and developed a mortality prediction model in patients with cirrhosis and hyponatremia.

METHODS

Using the national inpatient sample data for years 2016 and 2017, we identified cirrhotic patients hospitalized with ascites and hyponatremia (n = 9153). We identified independent risk factors of inhospital mortality and developed a prediction model in a training group and assessed its accuracy in a validation group. To enhance the clinical utility, we further stratified patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk mortality risk groups using cutoff points selected by decision tree analysis.

RESULTS

The inhospital mortality in our cohort was 10.2% (n = 846). Multivariable analysis showed that age at least 65 years, variceal bleeding, sepsis, coagulopathy, and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF defined as two or more organ failures) were independent risk factors for mortality. The prediction model using these five risk factors had an AUROC of 0.80 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.78-0.82] for the training data and 0.83 (95% CI, 0.80-0.86) for the validation data. The mortality risks in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups were 4% (95% CI, 3-4), 29% (95% CI, 28-33), and 43% (95% CI, 37-50), respectively.

CONCLUSION

We have developed a clinically meaningful inhospital prognostic model with excellent discrimination that will enable clinicians to risk stratify hospitalized patients with hyponatremia, ascites, and cirrhosis.

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis: a prospective Greek multicenter study of its epidemiology, microbiology, and outcomes

Background

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is an ominous complication of decompensated cirrhosis. This study aimed to assess several epidemiological, clinical, microbiological and outcome characteristics in Greek patients with SBP, as no solid representative nationwide data of this type was available.

Methods

During a 3-year period, 77 consecutive patients with SBP (61 male; median age: 67 years; model for end-stage liver disease [MELD] score: 20), diagnosed and followed in 5 tertiary liver units, were prospectively recruited and studied. Various prognostic factors for disease outcome were studied.

Results

Thirty-eight patients had alcohol-related cirrhosis, 17 viral hepatitis, 6 non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, 6 autoimmune liver diseases, and 10 cryptogenic cirrhosis. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was present in 23 (29.9%), whereas 10 (13%) had portal vein thrombosis. The first SBP episode at baseline was community-acquired in 53 (68.8%), while in 24 (31.1%) was hospital-acquired, with predominant symptoms abdominal pain and encephalopathy. A positive ascitic culture was documented in 36% of patients in the initial episode, with almost equal gram (+) and gram (-) pathogens, including 3 multidrug-resistant pathogens. Significant factors for 6-month survival were: higher MELD score, previous b-blocker use, lower serum albumin, higher lactate on admission and need for vasopressors, while factors for 12-month survival were MELD score and lactate. For overall survival, higher MELD score and lactate along with HCC presence were negative predictive factors.

Conclusions

MELD score, lactate, albumin, HCC and treatment with vasopressors were predictive of survival in SBP patients. In hospital-acquired SBP the prevalence of difficult-to-treat pathogens was higher.

Development and Validation of a Prognostic Model for One-year Survival of Cirrhosis Patients with First-ever Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is one of the leading causes of death in patients with liver cirrhosis. We aimed to establish a prognostic model to evaluate the 1-year survival of cirrhosis patients after the first episode of SBP.

METHODS

A prognostic model was developed based on a retrospective derivation cohort of 309 cirrhosis patients with first-ever SBP and was validated in a separate validation cohort of 141 patients. We used Uno's concordance, calibration curve, and decision curve (DCA) analysis to evaluate the discrimination, calibration, and clinical net benefit of the model.

RESULTS

A total of 59 (19.1%) patients in the derivation cohort and 42 (29.8%) patients in the validation cohort died over the course of 1 year. A prognostic model in nomogram form was developed with predictors including age [hazard ratio (HR): 1.25; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.92-1.71], total serum bilirubin (HR: 1.66; 95% CI: 1.28-2.14), serum sodium (HR: 0.94; 95% CI: 0.90-0.98), history of hypertension (HR: 2.52; 95% CI: 1.44-4.41) and hepatic encephalopathy (HR: 2.06; 95% CI: 1.13-3.73). The nomogram had a higher concordance (0.79) compared with the model end-stage liver disease (0.67) or Child-Turcotte-Pugh (0.71) score. The nomogram also showed acceptable calibration (calibration slope, 1.12; Bier score, 0.15±0.21) and optimal clinical net benefit in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

This prediction model developed based on characteristics of first-ever SBP patients may benefit the prediction of patients' 1-year survival.

Timing of paracentesis and outcomes in hospitalized patients with decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Ascites is one of the most common complications of cirrhosis, placing a significant burden on the healthcare system. Data regarding the optimal time of paracentesis and outcomes among patients with cirrhosis and ascites are scarce.

AIM

To assess the outcomes of patients who underwent paracentesis within 12 h after admission compared to patients who underwent paracentesis later than 12 h.

METHODS

The study included 185 patients with cirrhosis and ascites who underwent paracentesis. The early paracentesis group was defined as paracentesis performed < 12 h after admission (65 patients) and the delayed paracentesis group was defined as paracentesis performed > 12 h after admission (120 patients). New-onset complications of cirrhosis, length of hospital stay, weekday or weekend admission, in-hospital mortality rate, and 90-d readmission rates were assessed and compared between the groups.

RESULTS

Significantly more patients in the delayed paracentesis group than in the early paracentesis group developed hepatic encephalopathy (45% vs 21.5%, P < 0.01), hepato-renal syndrome (21.6% vs 9.2%, P = 0.03) and infections (25% vs 10.7%, P = 0.02) during hospitalization. There were no statistically significant differences in the occurrence of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and upper gastrointestinal bleeding between the two groups. Length of stay was shorter in the early paracentesis group than in the delayed paracentesis group (6.7 d vs 12.2 d) and in-hospital mortality was lower among patients in the early paracentesis group. Patients in the delayed paracentesis group had a higher risk of developing complications during hospitalization.

CONCLUSION

Early paracentesis (within 12 h after admission) could be a new inpatient quality metric among patients hospitalized with cirrhosis and ascites as it is associated with fewer complications of cirrhosis, lower in-hospital mortality and shorter length of stay.

Patients with cirrhosis and SBP: Increase in multidrug-resistant organisms and complications

BACKGROUND

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a serious complication in patients with liver cirrhosis. In recent years, it has been postulated that the rate of multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) is increasing, especially in nosocomial SBP patients. Aim of the present work was to investigate this hypothesis and its possible clinical consequences.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

One hundred and three culture-positive patients between 2007 and 2014 were compared with 81 patients between 2015 and 2017, to study the change of microbiological profiles and their clinical consequences. The cirrhosis patients with bacterascites requiring treatment were included as well.

RESULTS

The most prevalent Gram-negative bacteria isolated from ascites were Enterobacterales (31.6%) and in Gram-positive pathogens Staphylococci (22.8%). There was a significant increase in MDROs (22.3% ICU 40.7%, P = .048), accompanied by an increased incidence of sepsis (from 21.4% to 37.0%, P = .021), hepatorenal syndrome (from 40.8% to 58.0%, P = .007) and the need of catecholamine therapy (from 21.4% to 38.8%, P = .036). Nosocomial origin correlated with higher MDRO proportion, more complications and lower antimicrobial susceptibility rates in 12 commonly used antibiotics. MDROs were confirmed as an isolated predictor for inpatient mortality and complications in multivariable logistic regression.

CONCLUSIONS

The feeling in clinical practice that MDROs have increased in the last 11 years could be confirmed in our study in Munich, Germany. Nosocomial SBP correlated with significantly higher MDRO rates (nearly 50%) and complication rates. In our opinion, an antibiotic combination with comprehensive effect should be taken into account in nosocomial SBP patients in this region.

Risk factors, clinical features, and short-term prognosis of spontaneous fungal peritonitis in cirrhosis: A matched case-control study

BACKGROUND

Spontaneous peritonitis is one of the most common infectious complications in cirrhotic patients with ascites. Spontaneous fungal peritonitis (SFP) is a type of spontaneous peritonitis that is a less recognized but devastating complication in end-stage cirrhosis. Although high mortality was previously noted, scant data are available to fully define the factors responsible for the occurrence of SFP and its mortality.

AIM

To illustrate the differences between SFP and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) and discuss the risk factors for the occurrence of SFP and its short-term mortality.

METHODS

We performed a matched case-control study between January 1, 2007 and December 30, 2018. Patients with SFP were included in a case group. Sex-, age-, and time-matched patients with SBP were included in a control group and were further divided into control-1 group (positive bacterial culture) and control-2 group (negative bacterial culture). The clinical features and laboratory parameters, severity models, and prognosis were compared between the case and control groups. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine the risk factors for occurrence, and the Cox regression model was used to identify the predictive factors for short-term mortality of SFP.

RESULTS

Patients with SFP exhibited more severe systemic inflammation, higher ascites albumin and polymorphonuclear neutrophils, and a worsened 15-d mortality than patients in the control groups. Antibiotic administration (case vs control-1: OR = 1.063, 95%CI: 1.012-1.115, P = 0.014; case vs control-2: OR = 1.054, 95%CI: 1.014-1.095, P = 0.008) remarkably increased the occurrence of SFP or fungiascites. Hepatorenal syndrome (HR = 5.328, 95%CI: 1.050-18.900) and total bilirubin (μmol/L; HR = 1.005, 95%CI: 1.002-1.008) represented independent predictors of SFP-related early mortality.

CONCLUSION

Long-term antibiotic administration increases the incidence of SFP, and hepatorenal syndrome and total bilirubin are closely related to short-term mortality.

Evaluating the best empirical antibiotic therapy in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a life-threatening complication of advanced cirrhosis. By studying the susceptibility of isolated organisms and analyzing empirical antibiotic therapy combined with clinical outcomes, we aimed to find an improved empirical antibiotic therapy by considering the individual acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) grade for patients with or without sepsis.

METHODS

Clinical outcomes of 182 patients were assessed retrospectively with multivariable regression analysis. Each of the 223 isolates was individually evaluated regarding susceptibility results and intrinsic resistances.

RESULTS

Piperacillin/tazobactam had the highest antimicrobial susceptibility among monotherapies/fixed combinations, which was significantly lower than combination therapies such as meropenem-linezolid (75.3% vs. 98.5%, P < 0.001). The sensitivity of pathogens to empirical antibiotic therapy correlated with significantly lower inpatient mortality (18.9% vs. 37.0%, P = 0.018), shorter inpatient stay (16.3 ± 10.2 vs. 26.4 ± 21.0 days, P = 0.053) and shorter intensive care treatment (2.1 ± 4.5 vs. 7.9 ± 15.4 days, P = 0.016). The largest difference of mortality was observed in patients with ACLF grade 3 (54.5% vs. 73.1% [sensitive vs. non-sensitive]).

CONCLUSION

All SBP patients benefited from efficient empirical antibiotic therapy, regarding the reduced inpatient mortality and complications. For SBP patients with ACLF grade 3 without sepsis, the combination therapy with meropenem-linezolid may be suitable considering the susceptibility results and the concentration in the peritoneal cavity.

NK Cells in Ascites From Liver Disease Patients Display a Particular Phenotype and Take Part in Antibacterial Immune Response

Background and Aims: Ascites and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) are frequent complications of liver cirrhosis. In spite of the clinical impact, knowledge about ascites as an immune cell compartment in liver disease is limited. Therefore, we analyzed NK cells in blood, ascites, and liver. Methods: Mononuclear cells from blood, ascites, and liver explants of patients with advanced liver disease were extracted by density gradient centrifugation. Phenotyping and analysis of functional responses were carried out using flow cytometry. Migratory potential was investigated with transwell chamber assays. NK cell metabolism was assessed by Seahorse technology. Results: NK cell frequency was increased in uninfected ascites compared to blood, but not to liver. Ascites NK cells were predominantly CD16positive. CD56bright ascites NK cells did not share the typical phenotype of their liver counterparts. In contrast to the inhibitory receptor NKG2A, expression of the activating receptor NKG2D was decreased on ascites and liver CD16positive NK cells. Ascites NK cells expressed higher levels of CXCR3 than blood or liver NK cells, corresponding to increased ascites levels of CXCL10. Blood NK cells migrated toward ascites. Stimulation of mononuclear cells with Escherichia coli led to downregulation of NKG2D expression and IL-12 and IL-18 mediated secretion of interferon-γ by ascites and liver, but not blood NK cells. In-vivo, ascites NK cells expressed higher levels of the activation marker CD69 and lower levels of NKG2D during SBP compared to uninfected ascites. Conclusion: Ascites NK cells display a particular phenotype and are implicated in local immune defense against translocating bacteria.

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in patients with cirrhosis: incidence, outcomes, and treatment strategies

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis is the most frequent bacterial infection in patients with cirrhosis. The reported incidence varies between 7% and 30% in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and ascites, representing one of their main complications. Outcomes in patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis are poor since acute kidney injury, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and death occur in as much as 54%, 60%, and 40% of the patients, respectively, at midterm. Early antibiotic treatment of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis is crucial. However, the landscape of microbiological resistance is continuously changing, with an increasing spread of multidrug-resistant organisms that make its current management more challenging. Thus, the selection of the empirical antibiotic treatment should be guided by the severity and location where the infection was acquired, the risk factors for multidrug-resistant organisms, and the available information on the local expected bacteriology. The use of albumin as a complementary therapy for selected high-risk patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis is recommended in addition to antibiotics. Even though antibiotic prophylaxis has proven to be effective to prevent spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, a careful selection of high-risk candidates is crucial to avoid antibiotic overuse. In this article we review the pathogenesis, risk factors, and prognosis of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, as well as the current evidence regarding its treatment and prophylaxis.

Prognosis of Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients

BACKGROUND

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a serious infectious complication in patients with liver cirrhosis. However, information about prognosis of SBP in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients is limited. We investigated the clinical course of SBP in HCC patients.

METHODS

This study enrolled patients diagnosed with SBP between 2005 and 2017. Medical records of patients were reviewed and clinical course was compared between the non-HCC and HCC groups.

RESULTS

In total, 123 SBP cases including 49 HCC cases were enrolled. Men were predominant (48/74, 64.9% vs. 34/49, 69.4%; P = 0.697); median age was 58 years in both non-HCC and HCC groups (P = 0.887). The most common etiology was alcohol (32/74, 43.2%) in non-HCC group and hepatitis B (30/49, 61.2%) in HCC group (P = 0.009). Antibiotic resistance rate was higher in non-HCC than in HCC group (29.7% vs. 12.2%; P = 0.028); in-hospital mortality did not differ between the groups (25/74, 33.8% vs. 13/49, 26.5%; P = 0.431). Development rate of hepatorenal syndrome did not differ between non-HCC and HCC group (14/74, 18.9% vs. 10/49, 20.4%; P = 1.000), but hepatic encephalopathy was less common in HCC group (26/74, 35.2% vs. 9/49, 18.3%; P = 0.008). The most important predictor of in-hospital mortality in patients with HCC was white blood cell count above 11,570 cells/mm3 (odds ratio, 6.629; 95% confidence interval, 1.652-26.590; P = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

Prognosis of SBP in HCC patients is relatively less severe. This result may be related with reduced antibiotics resistance and lower development rates of other complications, such as hepatic encephalopathy. Degree of systemic inflammation may be the most important factor for in-hospital mortality.

Bacterascites: A study of clinical features, microbiological findings, and clinical significance

BACKGROUND

Knowledge about bacterascites is limited and management guidelines are based on small patient series. The purpose of this study was to add further insight into the clinical characteristics, microbiological findings, and prognosis of patients diagnosed with bacterascites.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of patients with advanced chronic liver disease diagnosed with bacterascites and SBP between January 2003 and August 2016.

RESULTS

In this study, 123 patients were included with 142 episodes of bacterascites. The median MELD score was 20 and clinical symptoms of infection were present in 78%. Empiric antibiotic treatment was initiated in 68%. In 26 untreated patients undergoing repeated paracentesis, 42% were diagnosed with either ongoing bacterascites or SBP. The presence of signs or symptoms of infection was not an independent predictor for mortality or spontaneous resolution of infection. The 1-month and 1-year mortality rates of the 123 patients studied, were 32% and 60%, respectively; these results were in line with data pertaining to the prognosis of SBP.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with bacterascites and SBP are highly comparable with respect to severity of liver disease and overall prognosis. If left untreated, bacterascites is likely to persist or to evolve to SBP in a significant proportion of patients. The results of this study support current guidelines regarding the treatment of ascitic fluid infection, but could not confirm the prognostic relevance of symptomatic disease at the time of diagnosis. We suggest that the threshold to initiate antibiotic treatment, in particular in cases with severely advanced liver disease, should be low.

Role of Rifaximin in Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis Prevention

Cirrhosis affects millions of people around the world and is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a common complication of liver disease with cirrhosis and accounts for up to 30% of infections in patients with cirrhosis. Patients with a history of SBP and those deemed to be at high risk often are prescribed antibiotics to reduce the incidence of SBP. Fluoroquinolones and sulfamethoxazole-trimethoprim are commonly used antibiotics for long-term prevention for these specified populations; however, these antibiotics are associated with several adverse effects and interactions that may be harmful to patients. In addition, resistance development may decrease the efficacy of SBP treatment and prophylaxis. Given these limitations, rifaximin, a nonabsorbable, broad-spectrum antibiotic that is used for hepatic encephalopathy, may serve as a prophylactic alternative to conventional therapy. This review discusses guideline-recommended therapy and the evidence for using rifaximin for SBP prophylaxis.

Clinical and bacteriological features and prognosis of ascitic fluid infection in Chinese patients with cirrhosis

Background

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) and bacterascites (BA) represent frequent and serious complications in cirrhosis patients with ascites. However, few detailed data are available regarding the clinical and bacteriological feature of SBP or BA patients in China.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed bacteriological and clinical characteristics of patients with SBP and BA at Beijing 302 Hospital in China from January 2012 to December 2015.

Results

A total of 600 patients with SBP (n = 408) or BA (n = 192) were enrolled. Patients with BA appeared to have a less severe clinical manifestation and lower mortality rate than patients with SBP. Gram-negative bacteria formed the majority of pathogens in SBP (73.9%) and BA (55.8%) cases. Higher ascitic fluid polymorphonuclear leucocytes (PMN) count and hepatocellular carcinoma were independent risk factors for BA episode progressing to SBP. The concentration of blood urea nitrogen (BUN) was independent risk factor for 30-day mortality of BA patients. For patients with SBP, the independent risk factors for 30-day mortality were age, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, septic shock and hepatocellular carcinoma. Patients with third-generation cephalosporin or carbapenems resistant infection had a significantly lower survival probability. There were significant differences in clinical characteristics and outcome among the major bacteria. Multivariate analysis showed that patients infected with Klebsiella spp. had higher hazard ratio of 30-day mortality.

Conclusion

Our study reported the bacteriological and clinical characteristics of patients with SBP and BA. Higher ascitic fluid PMN count and hepatocellular carcinoma were found to be independent risk factors for BA episode progressed to SBP. Outcome of ascitic fluid infection in patients with cirrhosis was influenced by the type of bacteria and antimicrobial susceptibility.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12879-018-3101-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Adding C-reactive protein and procalcitonin to the model of end-stage liver disease score improves mortality prediction in patients with complications of cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

This study aims to determine the performance of models adding C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) to the model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) score for mortality prediction in patients hospitalized with complications of cirrhosis.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study was carried out in consecutive cirrhotic patients admitted with complications of cirrhosis between September 2012 and December 2013 at Phramongkutklao Hospital, Bangkok, Thailand. All patients had venous CRP, PCT, and laboratory values for MELD score calculation measured at emergency room or admission. Cox regression analysis and the c-statistic were used to predict mortality. The MELD-CRP score was externally validated in 818 eligible patients from Mayo Clinic, Rochester, using data from 1288 cirrhotic patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2014.

RESULTS

A cohort of 177 patients with cirrhosis was admitted during the study period. Seventy-one patients were eligible for analysis. The MELD score was predictive of 90-day mortality odds ratio (OR) 1.19 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09-1.32). Adding CRP and/or PCT to the MELD score improved the predictive of 90-day mortality: MELD-CRP OR 2.71 (95% CI 1.66-4.99); MELD-PCT OR 2.72 (95% CI 1.66-4.99); MELD-CRP-PCT OR 2.71 (95% CI 1.67-4.92). The c-statistics for MELD, MELD-CRP, MELD-PCT, and MELD-CRP-PCT were 0.81, 0.83, 0.84, and 0.85, respectively. Adding CRP and/or PCT to the MELD score also improved 30-day mortality prediction. Similar results for the MELD-CRP score were obtained from the Mayo Clinic external validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

The MELD-CRP, MELD-PCT, and MELD-CRP-PCT scores may be superior to the MELD score alone in predicting mortality in patients hospitalized with complications of cirrhosis.

Spontaneous bacterial and fungal peritonitis in patients with liver cirrhosis: A literature review

Spontaneous bacterial (SBP) and spontaneous fungal peritonitis (SFP) can be a life-threatening infection in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC) and ascites. One of the possible mechanisms of developing SBP is bacterial translocation. Although the number of polymorphonuclear cells in the culture of ascitic fluid is diagnostic for SBP, secondary bacterial peritonitis is necessary to exclude. The severity of underlying liver dysfunction is predictive of developing SBP; moreover, renal impairment and infections caused by multidrug-resistant (MDR) organism are associated with a fatal prognosis of SBP. SBP is treated by antimicrobials, but initial empirical treatment may not succeed because of the presence of MDR organisms, particularly in nosocomial infections. Antibiotic prophylaxis is recommended for patients with LC at a high risk of developing SBP, gastrointestinal bleeding, or a previous episode of SBP, but the increase in the risk of developing an infection caused by MDR organisms is a serious concern globally. Less is known about SFP in patients with LC, but the severity of underlying liver dysfunction may increase the hospital mortality. SFP mortality has been reported to be higher than that of SBP partially because the difficulty of early differentiation between SFP and SBP induces delayed antifungal therapy for SFP.

Prognostic factors of liver cirrhosis mortality after a first episode of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis. A multicenter study

INTRODUCTION

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis is an infectious complication with a negative impact on survival of patients with cirrhosis.

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the short- and long-term survival after a first episode of bacterial peritonitis and the associated prognostic factors.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective, multicenter study of patients admitted to hospital for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis between 2008 and 2013. Independent variables related to mortality were analyzed by logistic regression. The prognostic power of the Child Pugh Score, the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and the Charlson index was analyzed by ROC curve.

RESULTS

A total of 159 patients were enrolled, 72% were males with a mean age of 63.5 years and a mean MELD score of 19 (SD ± 9.5). Mortality at 30 and 90 days and one and two years was 21%, 31%, 55% and 69%, respectively. Hepatic encephalopathy (p = 0.008, OR 3.5, 95% CI 1.4-8.8) and kidney function (p = 0.026, OR 2.7, 95% CI 1.13-16.7) were independent factors for short- and long-term mortality. MELD was a good marker of short- and long-term survival (area under the curve [AUC] 0.7: 95% CI 1.02-1.4). The Charlson index was related to long-term mortality (AUC 0.68: 95% CI 0.6-0.77).

CONCLUSIONS

Short- and long-term mortality of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis is still high. The main prognostic factors for mortality are impairment of liver and kidney function. MELD and the Charlson index are good markers of survival.

Relative Ascites Polymorphonuclear Cell Count Indicates Bacterascites and Risk of Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Absolute polymorphonuclear (PMN) counts in ascites define spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP), a severe form of bacterial infection in liver cirrhosis. Bacterascites, another form of ascites infection, can progress to SBP or may resolve spontaneously but is not reflected by absolute PMN counts. We investigated whether the relative ascites PMN count (the absolute PMN count divided by the absolute leukocyte count) provides additional information to detect bacterascites or predict SBP.

METHODS

Hospitalized patients with liver cirrhosis requiring paracentesis were stratified with respect to a diagnosis of bacterascites and SBP with a prospective follow-up for 1 year. Diagnostic power of relative PMN counts in ascites was evaluated by receiver operating characteristics curves.

RESULTS

At inclusion, we observed 28/269 (10%) and 43/269 (16%) episodes of BA and SBP, respectively. Unlike absolute PMN counts, relative PMN counts in ascites were significantly elevated in bacterascites (p = 0.001). During follow-up, 16 and 30 further episodes of BA and SBP were detected, respectively. Relative PMN counts increased significantly once patients developed BA (p = 0.001). At a threshold of 0.20 for the relative PMN count, sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values for bacterascites which required antibiotic treatment were 83, 75, 26 and 98%, respectively (p < 0.001). Furthermore, a relative PMN count in ascites ≥0.13 and MELD score >17 was independent factors associated with occurrence of SBP during follow-up.

CONCLUSION

The relative PMN count is a cheap immunological marker linked to bacterascites and future SBP, which may help to stratify patients according to their risk of infection.

A Real-World Evaluation of Repeat Paracentesis-guided Management of Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis

BACKGROUND

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a common infection in cirrhosis associated with high mortality. More than 20% of patients with SBP do not respond to initial antibiotics. Guidelines differ in recommendations to repeat paracentesis (retap) to confirm antibiotic efficacy. We aim to evaluate the effect of retap-guided management of SBP on antibiotic escalation and 30-day transplant-free survival.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Retrospective cohort study of cirrhotic patients with SBP admitted to a single transplant center from 2010 to 2014. Patients were divided into 2 groups: retap-guided management versus no retap. Prevalence of initial antibiotic treatment failure, defined as <25% decrease in ascitic polymorphonuclear cells, and factors associated with treatment failure, antibiotic escalation and 30-day transplant-free survival were evaluated.

RESULTS

Out of 210 patients, 146 (age 58, 74% male, mean model for end-stage liver disease score, 25) had retap and treatment failure was noted in 28 (22%). Gram-positive bacteria accounted for 44% of all positive cultures and third-generation cepahalosporin resistance was noted in 23%. Thirty-day transplant-free survival was 72% and 62% in retap and control groups, respectively (P=0.07). Treatment failure independently doubled the 30-day mortality rate (hazard ratio: 2.15, 1.03 to 4.50, P=0.04). After adjusting for age, model for end-stage liver disease and nosocomial infection, retap-guided management was not associated with improved survival (P=0.34).

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of initial treatment failure is high (22%) in patients with SBP and doubles the 30-day mortality risk, supporting recommendations to retap all patients with SBP.

Antibiotic resistance in healthcare-related and nosocomial spontaneous bacterial peritonitis

BACKGROUND

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) can be life threatening in patients with liver cirrhosis. In contrast to community-acquired SBP, no standard treatment has been established for healthcare-related and nosocomial SBP.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We prospectively collected healthcare-related and nosocomial SBP cases from March 2012 till February 2016 at the Department of Internal Medicine I of the University of Bonn and analysed the prevalence of antibiotic resistance among the isolated bacteria. SBP was diagnosed according to international guidelines. Ciprofloxacin, ceftriaxone and meropenem were used as reference substance for resistance to quinolones, third-generation cephalosporins and carbapenems, respectively.

RESULTS

Ninety-two SBP episodes in 86 patients were identified: 63 episodes (69%) were nosocomial. Escherichia coli, Klebsiella species, enterococci and streptococci were most frequently isolated. Frequencies of these microorganisms were comparable for healthcare-related and nosocomial SBP (14% vs. 11%, 14% vs. 8%, 14% vs. 5% and 10% vs. 6%, respectively). In general, antibiotic resistance was higher in isolates from nosocomial than from healthcare-related SBP (50% vs. 18% for quinolones, 30% vs. 11% for piperacillin-tazobactam; P > 0·05), but comparable concerning third-generation cephalosporins (30% vs. 33%). All microorganisms were sensitive to carbapenems apart from nosocomial infections with Enterococcus faecium (n = 3) and Candida albicans (n = 1) due to intrinsic resistance or lack of microbiological efficacy, respectively. No multidrug-resistant microorganisms were detected. Resistance to initial antibiotic treatment affected 30-day survival negatively (18% vs. 68%; P = 0·002).

CONCLUSION

Resistance to initial antibiotic treatment was associated with increased mortality. With resistance to cephalosporins being frequent, piperacillin-tazobactam or carbapenems might be preferred as treatment of SBP.

Clinical and microbiological characteristics associated with mortality in spontaneous bacterial peritonitis: a multicenter cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a prevalent and high mortality complication of cirrhosis. We aimed to describe these patients' clinical and microbiological characteristics and evaluate their impact on outcomes.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study including 139 consecutive patients with positive culture SBP from three Portuguese centers diagnosed between 2009 and 2014. Multivariate logistic regression was used to study associations with 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

The mean age of the patients was 62 years and 81% of patients were men. The mean model for end-stage liver disease score was 19. Hepatic encephalopathy, hepatorenal syndrome, and variceal bleeding developed in 47, 30, and 21% of patients, respectively. Gram-positive bacteria were isolated in the ascitic fluid of 42% of patients. Resistance to quinolones and multiresistance were found in 33 and 17% of patients, respectively. C-reactive protein level (adjusted odds ratio, 1.16 per 1 mg/l increment) and development of hepatorenal syndrome (adjusted odds ratio, 2.86) were associated independently with 30-day mortality (model's area under the curve, 0.78).

CONCLUSION

In this cohort, SBP portended high early mortality. Gram-positive bacteria, bacteria resistant to quinolones, and multiresistant bacteria were identified in considerable proportions of patients. In the setting of the high early mortality and changing microbiological profile, SBP management strategies need to be improved.

Predictive model of mortality in patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis

BACKGROUND

Hospital mortality in patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is high despite albumin treatment, particularly in those with worse liver and/or renal function.

AIM

To determine the independent predictive factors of in-hospital mortality and to create and validate a predictive model of mortality in patients with SBP.

METHODS

We analysed all cirrhotic patients with high-risk SBP (serum urea ≥11 mmol/L and/or serum bilirubin ≥68 μmol/L) between 2001 and 2011. We developed a predictive model of in-hospital mortality and validated this in a different cohort.

RESULTS

We included 118 high-risk SBP episodes treated with antibiotics and albumin. In-hospital mortality was 33/118 (28%). The independent predictive factors of in-hospital mortality at SBP diagnosis were serum urea, blood leucocyte count, Child-Pugh score and mean arterial pressure. A predictive model including these four variables showed a discrimination accuracy (AUC) of 0.850, 95% CI 0.777-0.922. A cut-off point of 0.245 showed a sensitivity of 0.85 and specificity of 0.75. The in-hospital mortality was 28/49 (57.1%) in patients with a model value ≥0.245, and 5/69 (7.2%) in patients with a model value <0.245 (P < 0.001). The validation series included 161 patients with an in-hospital mortality of 40/161 (24.8%), 30/77 (39.0%) in patients with a model value ≥0.245, and 10/84 (11.9%) in those with a model value <0.245 (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated a predictive model of mortality that includes serum urea, blood leucocyte count, Child-Pugh score and mean arterial pressure in high-risk patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis. These findings may help to identify patients who would benefit from additional therapeutic strategies.

A variant in the nuclear dot protein 52kDa gene increases the risk for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis is frequently a fatal infection in patients with liver cirrhosis. We investigated if nuclear dot protein 52kDa (NDP52), a negative regulator of toll-like receptor (TLR) signalling and autophagy adaptor protein, might be involved.

METHODS

Two cohorts comprising 152 (derivation cohort) and 198 patients (validation cohort) with decompensated liver cirrhosis and 168 healthy controls were genotyped for the rs2303015 polymorphism in the NDP52 gene and prospectively followed-up for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis.

RESULTS

Overall, 57 (38%) patients in the derivation cohort and 77 (39%) in the validation cohort had spontaneous bacterial peritonitis. Cirrhosis was due to alcohol abuse in 57% of the derivation and 66% of the validation cohort. In patients with alcoholic cirrhosis, patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis had an increased frequency of the NDP52 rs2303015 minor variant in the derivation (p=0.04) and in the validation cohort (p=0.01). Multivariate analysis confirmed this minor variant (odds ratio 4.7, p=0.002) and the TLR2 -16934 TT variant (odds ratio 2.5, p=0.008) as risk factors for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis. In addition, presence of the NDP52 minor variant affected survival negatively.

CONCLUSION

Presence of the NDP52 rs2303015 minor variant increases the risk for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis.

Factors Affecting Mortality and Morbidity of Patients With Cirrhosis Hospitalized for Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis

OBJECTIVES

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, unless originating from surgery or an intra-abdominal source, is an infection diagnosed by neutrophil counts greater than 250/mm³ in ascites. Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis is the most common infection among patients hospitalized with cirrhosis, with a prevalence of 9% and a risk of development among all patients with cirrhosis within 1 year of 10%. No valid parameters have been defined to predict the mortality related to spontaneous bacterial peritonitis. Unless it is treated, the mortality rate as a result of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis is 50%, and serious complications may arise.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Medical records from 29 patients on the deceased-donor transplant waiting list and receiving treatment at the Başkent University Hospital Gastroenterology Clinic for cirrhotic ascites infection between 1996 and 2013 were analyzed. Demographic information, paracentesis findings, clinical follow-up, and treatment results were reviewed and collected from patient medical records, with data recorded to the research form.

RESULTS

In our patient group, 72.4% were men and the average age was 46.6 years. Most of our patients were at advanced stage, with 55.2% having a Child-Pugh score of C and an average Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score of 17 ± 4.1. We found that 34.5% of the patients received prophylactic treatment for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, 72.4% received a proton pump inhibitor, and 82.8% had treatment with intravenous albumin support at the time of diagnosis. Albumin treatment showed no effect on mortality. Mortality rate among patients with Child-Pugh score of C was 81.3%.

CONCLUSIONS

Existence of chronic renal failure, liver graft surgery, and hepatocellular cancer did not seem to have a significant effect on patient mortality. The albumin treatment protocol showed no significant difference despite common belief among physicians.

Impact of acute kidney injury on prognosis of patients with liver cirrhosis and ascites: A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication in patients with liver cirrhosis, and its impact on the clinical course is increasingly recognized. Diagnostic classification systems for AKI in cirrhosis have been suggested. The prognostic significance of the respective AKI stages remains to be evaluated in decompensated cirrhosis with ascites.

METHODS

Data of consecutive patients with cirrhosis and ascites undergoing paracentesis at a tertiary care center were analyzed. AKI was defined as an increase in serum creatinine of ≥ 0.3 mg/dL or by ≥ 50% within 7 days after paracentesis, and classified according to (i) revised Acute Kidney Injury Network (AKIN) criteria and (ii) modified AKI criteria for cirrhosis (C-AKI). In contrast to AKIN, C-AKI stage A discriminates prognosis based on an absolute creatinine cut-off at < 1.5 mg/dL versus C-AKI stage B at ≥ 1.5 mg/dL.

RESULTS

The final study cohort included 239 patients. Median transplant-free survival was 768 days (95% confidence interval [CI]: 331-1205 days) without AKI, 198 (0-446) in AKI-1, 91 (0-225) in AKI-2, 19 (0-40) and in AKI-3, whereas it was 89 (20-158) days in C-AKI-A, 384 (0-1063) in C-AKI-B, and 22 (7-776) in C-AKI-C. Mild AKI was already associated with significantly increased 30-day mortality (AKI-1:26.4%, C-AKI-A:33.3%) as compared with patients without AKI (14.3%), even when serum creatinine remained within normal range (< 1.2 mg/dL) we observed a significant 30-day mortality.

CONCLUSION

AKIN criteria-considering small increases in serum creatinine rather than absolute thresholds-seem to be more accurate for estimating prognosis of AKI after paracentesis than C-AKI criteria. Even patients developing AKI-1 with "normal" serum creatinine are at increased risk for mortality.

Risk factors for development of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and subsequent mortality in cirrhotic patients with ascites

BACKGROUND

Patients with ascites are at risk for developing spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) - a severe complication associated with high mortality. We aimed to identify risk factors for SBP development and mortality to optimize stratification for primary prophylaxis and therapeutic strategies to improve survival.

METHODS

575 patients with cirrhosis and ascites undergoing paracentesis at a tertiary care hospital were included in this retrospective cohort study. Demographical, clinical and laboratory parameters were recorded at first paracentesis and during follow-up. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of SBP development and mortality.

RESULTS

Child-Pugh stage C (OR: 3.323; P = 0.009), ascitic fluid polymorph-nuclear cell (PMN) count (OR: 1.544; P = 0.028) and low serum sodium (OR: 0.917; P = 0.029) emerged as independent risk factors for SBP development. SBP-naïve patients undergoing paracentesis and presenting with PMN-counts ≥100 cells/μl, or hyponatraemia <125 mM were at highest risk for developing SBP. Increases in MELD and CRP levels indicated SBP development, while no changes where observed in a matched control group with sterile ascites at multiple paracenteses. MELD score (OR: 1.565; P = 0.001) and CRP (OR: 1.067; P = 0.037) were identified as independent risk factors for 30-day mortality after SBP diagnosis. In particular SBP patients with MELD≥22, CRP ≥3.5 mg/dl and development of grade III/IV hepatic encephalopathy showed highest mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Low serum sodium levels, Child-Pugh stage C and elevated ascites PMN counts (≥100 cells/μl) indicate a significant risk for SBP development. SBP-related mortality is highest in patients with MELD≥22 and elevated CRP levels.

Long-term outcomes after hospitalization with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis

OBJECTIVE

To assess the determinants of long-term outcome in patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP).

METHODS

This study was conducted retrospectively. Kaplan-Meier (KM) and Cox proportional hazards survival analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Altogether, 93 patients with SBP were identified, with their mean age of 57.9 ± 12.9 years, Child-Pugh score 10.4 ± 1.9 and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score 20.2 ± 6.8. The etiology of chronic liver disease (CLD) was alcohol-related liver disease (ARLD) (n = 58) and viral hepatitis/non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (n = 28). SBP was the index presentation of cirrhosis in 26 (28.0%) patients. Overall mortality was 80.6%; among them 81.3% were liver-related, and 33 (35.5%) died during index hospitalization. In total, 70.0% of patients who survived index hospitalization died during follow-up, with a median survival of 12.5 months. Estimated survival at 3 months, 1 year and 5 years was 54.8%, 34.4% and 15.2%, respectively. Non-ARLD etiology for CLD was an independent predictor of overall mortality (HR 3.484, 95% CI 1.802-6.757, P < 0.001) and mortality in those surviving hospitalization (HR 2.319, 95% CI 1.210-4.444, P = 0.011). Hepatorenal syndrome did not predict outcomes. Two (3.3%) patients surviving hospitalization underwent liver transplantation (LT).

CONCLUSIONS

One-year survival after hospitalization with SBP remains poor (34.4%) with unacceptably low LT rates. Non-ARLD etiology for CLD is an independent predictor of both overall mortality and mortality after discharge. In view of the projected increase in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-related CLD, screening strategies for timely CLD diagnosis are warranted.

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis: The clinical challenge of a leaky gut and a cirrhotic liver

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a frequent, life-threatening bacterial infection in patients with liver cirrhosis and ascites. Portal hypertension leads to increased bacterial translocation from the intestine. Failure to eliminate invading pathogens due to immune defects associated with advanced liver disease on the background of genetic predisposition may result in SBP. The efficacy of antibiotic treatment and prophylaxis has declined due to the spread of multi-resistant bacteria. Patients with nosocomial SBP and with prior antibiotic treatment are at a particularly high risk for infection with resistant bacteria. Therefore, it is important to adapt empirical treatment to these risk factors and to the local resistance profile. Rifaximin, an oral, non-absorbable antibiotic, has been proposed to prevent SBP, but may be useful only in a subset of patients. Since novel antibiotic classes are lacking, we have to develop prophylactic strategies which do not induce bacterial resistance. Farnesoid X receptor agonists may be a candidate, but so far, clinical studies are not available. New diagnostic tests which can be carried out quickly at the patient’s site and provide additional prognostic information would be helpful. Furthermore, we need tools to predict antibiotic resistance in order to tailor first-line antibiotic treatment of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis to the individual patient and to reduce mortality.

Delayed paracentesis is associated with increased in-hospital mortality in patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis

OBJECTIVES

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is associated with high mortality. Early paracentesis (EP) is essential for rapid diagnosis and optimal treatment. The aim of the study is to compare the outcomes of patients with SBP who received EP vs. delayed paracentesis (DP).

METHODS

Consecutive patients who were diagnosed with SBP (ascites neutrophil count ≥250 cells/mm(3) and clinical evidence of cirrhosis) <72 h from the first physician encounter at two centers were identified. EP was defined by receiving paracentesis <12 h and DP 12-72 h from hospitalization. Primary outcome was in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

The mean age of 239 patients with SBP was 53±10 years; mean Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was 22±9. In all, 98 (41%) patients who received DP had a higher in-hospital mortality (27% vs. 13%, P=0.007) compared with 141 (59%) who received EP. Furthermore, DP group had longer intensive care days (4.0±9.5 vs. 1.3±4.1, P=0.008), hospital days (13.0±14.7 vs. 8.4±7.4, P=0.005), and higher 3-month mortality (28/76, 37% vs. 21/98, 21%; P=0.03) compared with the EP group. Adjusting for MELD score ≥22 (adjusted odds ratio (AOR)=5.7, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.8-18.5) and creatinine levels ≥1.5 mg/dl (AOR=3.2, 95% CI=1.4-7.2), DP was associated with increased in-hospital mortality (AOR=2.7, 95% CI=1.3-4.8). Each hour delay in paracentesis was associated with a 3.3% (95% CI=1.3-5.4%) increase in in-hospital mortality after adjusting for MELD score and creatinine levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Hospitalized patients with SBP who received DP had a 2.7-fold increased risk of mortality adjusting for MELD score and renal dysfunction. Diagnostic paracentesis performed <12 h from hospitalization in patients with cirrhosis and ascites may improve short-term survival.

Risk factors and outcome of bacterial infections in cirrhosis

Viable and non-viable pathological bacterial translocation promote a self-perpetuating circle of dysfunctional immune activation and systemic inflammation facilitating infections and organ failure in advanced cirrhosis. Bacterial infections and sepsis are now recognized as a distinct stage in the natural progression of chronic liver disease as they accelerate organ failure and contribute to the high mortality observed in decompensated cirrhosis. The increasing knowledge of structural, immunological and hemodynamic pathophysiology in advanced cirrhosis has not yet translated into significantly improved outcomes of bacterial infections over the last decades. Therefore, early identification of patients at the highest risk for developing infections and infection-related complications is required to tailor the currently available measures of surveillance, prophylaxis and therapy to the patients in need in order to improve the detrimental outcome of bacterial infections in cirrhosis.