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For: Keeling MJ, Dyson L, Tildesley MJ, Hill EM, Moore S. Comparison of the 2021 COVID-19 roadmap projections against public health data in England. Nat Commun 2022;13:4924. [PMID: 35995764 PMCID: PMC9395530 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-31991-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/18/2022] [Accepted: 07/13/2022] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]  Open
Number Cited by Other Article(s)
1
Schnyder SK, Molina JJ, Yamamoto R, Turner MS. Understanding Nash epidemics. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2025;122:e2409362122. [PMID: 40014574 PMCID: PMC11892628 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2409362122] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2024] [Accepted: 01/17/2025] [Indexed: 03/01/2025]  Open
2
Rysava K, Thompson RN. Projections of health outcomes in the USA in 2050. Lancet 2024;404:2246-2247. [PMID: 39645373 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(24)02428-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/09/2024] [Accepted: 10/31/2024] [Indexed: 12/09/2024]
3
Goenka A, Liu L. Economic Epidemiology: A Framework to Study Interactions of Epidemics and the Economy. APPLIED HEALTH ECONOMICS AND HEALTH POLICY 2024;22:767-769. [PMID: 39141026 DOI: 10.1007/s40258-024-00907-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 07/29/2024] [Indexed: 08/15/2024]
4
d'Onofrio A, Iannelli M, Marinoschi G, Manfredi P. Multiple pandemic waves vs multi-period/multi-phasic epidemics: Global shape of the COVID-19 pandemic. J Theor Biol 2024;593:111881. [PMID: 38972568 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2024.111881] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/14/2023] [Revised: 09/29/2023] [Accepted: 06/14/2024] [Indexed: 07/09/2024]
5
Keeling MJ, Dyson L. A retrospective assessment of forecasting the peak of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1 wave in England. PLoS Comput Biol 2024;20:e1012452. [PMID: 39312582 PMCID: PMC11449292 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012452] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2024] [Revised: 10/03/2024] [Accepted: 09/03/2024] [Indexed: 09/25/2024]  Open
6
Lees JA, Russell TW, Shaw LP, Hellewell J. Recent approaches in computational modelling for controlling pathogen threats. Life Sci Alliance 2024;7:e202402666. [PMID: 38906676 PMCID: PMC11192964 DOI: 10.26508/lsa.202402666] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/19/2024] [Revised: 06/11/2024] [Accepted: 06/13/2024] [Indexed: 06/23/2024]  Open
7
Cori A, Kucharski A. Inference of epidemic dynamics in the COVID-19 era and beyond. Epidemics 2024;48:100784. [PMID: 39167954 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2024.100784] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/22/2024] [Revised: 06/25/2024] [Accepted: 07/11/2024] [Indexed: 08/23/2024]  Open
8
Bouros I, Hill EM, Keeling MJ, Moore S, Thompson RN. Prioritising older individuals for COVID-19 booster vaccination leads to optimal public health outcomes in a range of socio-economic settings. PLoS Comput Biol 2024;20:e1012309. [PMID: 39116038 PMCID: PMC11309497 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012309] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/08/2024] [Accepted: 07/09/2024] [Indexed: 08/10/2024]  Open
9
Holm RH, Rempala GA, Choi B, Brick JM, Amraotkar AR, Keith RJ, Rouchka EC, Chariker JH, Palmer KE, Smith T, Bhatnagar A. Dynamic SARS-CoV-2 surveillance model combining seroprevalence and wastewater concentrations for post-vaccine disease burden estimates. COMMUNICATIONS MEDICINE 2024;4:70. [PMID: 38594350 PMCID: PMC11004132 DOI: 10.1038/s43856-024-00494-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/13/2023] [Accepted: 03/28/2024] [Indexed: 04/11/2024]  Open
10
Loo SL, Howerton E, Contamin L, Smith CP, Borchering RK, Mullany LC, Bents S, Carcelen E, Jung SM, Bogich T, van Panhuis WG, Kerr J, Espino J, Yan K, Hochheiser H, Runge MC, Shea K, Lessler J, Viboud C, Truelove S. The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: Delivering long-term projections to guide policy. Epidemics 2024;46:100738. [PMID: 38184954 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2023.100738] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/18/2023] [Revised: 10/02/2023] [Accepted: 12/18/2023] [Indexed: 01/09/2024]  Open
11
Miyazawa S, Wong TS, Ito G, Iwamoto R, Watanabe K, van Boven M, Wallinga J, Miura F. Wastewater-based reproduction numbers and projections of COVID-19 cases in three areas in Japan, November 2021 to December 2022. Euro Surveill 2024;29:2300277. [PMID: 38390648 PMCID: PMC10899819 DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.es.2024.29.8.2300277] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/22/2023] [Accepted: 12/20/2023] [Indexed: 02/24/2024]  Open
12
Sherratt K, Carnegie AC, Kucharski A, Cori A, Pearson CAB, Jarvis CI, Overton C, Weston D, Hill EM, Knock E, Fearon E, Nightingale E, Hellewell J, Edmunds WJ, Villabona Arenas J, Prem K, Pi L, Baguelin M, Kendall M, Ferguson N, Davies N, Eggo RM, van Elsland S, Russell T, Funk S, Liu Y, Abbott S. Improving modelling for epidemic responses: reflections from members of the UK infectious disease modelling community on their experiences during the COVID-19 pandemic. Wellcome Open Res 2024;9:12. [PMID: 38784437 PMCID: PMC11112301 DOI: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.19601.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 12/10/2023] [Indexed: 05/25/2024]  Open
13
Howerton E, Contamin L, Mullany LC, Qin M, Reich NG, Bents S, Borchering RK, Jung SM, Loo SL, Smith CP, Levander J, Kerr J, Espino J, van Panhuis WG, Hochheiser H, Galanti M, Yamana T, Pei S, Shaman J, Rainwater-Lovett K, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Shin L, Lemaitre JC, Kaminsky J, Hulse JD, Lee EC, McKee CD, Hill A, Karlen D, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Rosenstrom ET, Ivy JS, Mayorga ME, Swann JL, España G, Cavany S, Moore S, Perkins A, Hladish T, Pillai A, Ben Toh K, Longini I, Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Bouchnita A, Bi K, Lachmann M, Fox SJ, Meyers LA, Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Hurt B, Chen J, Mortveit H, Wilson A, Marathe M, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Cadwell BL, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Johansson MA, Biggerstaff M, Truelove S, Runge MC, Shea K, Viboud C, Lessler J. Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty. Nat Commun 2023;14:7260. [PMID: 37985664 PMCID: PMC10661184 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-42680-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/07/2023] [Accepted: 10/17/2023] [Indexed: 11/22/2023]  Open
14
Chapman LAC, Aubry M, Maset N, Russell TW, Knock ES, Lees JA, Mallet HP, Cao-Lormeau VM, Kucharski AJ. Impact of vaccinations, boosters and lockdowns on COVID-19 waves in French Polynesia. Nat Commun 2023;14:7330. [PMID: 37957160 PMCID: PMC10643399 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-43002-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2023] [Accepted: 10/27/2023] [Indexed: 11/15/2023]  Open
15
Cavallaro M, Dyson L, Tildesley MJ, Todkill D, Keeling MJ. Spatio-temporal surveillance and early detection of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern: a retrospective analysis. J R Soc Interface 2023;20:20230410. [PMID: 37963560 PMCID: PMC10645511 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2023.0410] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/19/2023] [Accepted: 10/20/2023] [Indexed: 11/16/2023]  Open
16
Brand SPC, Cavallaro M, Cumming F, Turner C, Florence I, Blomquist P, Hilton J, Guzman-Rincon LM, House T, Nokes DJ, Keeling MJ. The role of vaccination and public awareness in forecasts of Mpox incidence in the United Kingdom. Nat Commun 2023;14:4100. [PMID: 37433797 PMCID: PMC10336136 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-38816-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 38] [Impact Index Per Article: 19.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/28/2023] [Accepted: 05/15/2023] [Indexed: 07/13/2023]  Open
17
Kendall M, Tsallis D, Wymant C, Di Francia A, Balogun Y, Didelot X, Ferretti L, Fraser C. Epidemiological impacts of the NHS COVID-19 app in England and Wales throughout its first year. Nat Commun 2023;14:858. [PMID: 36813770 PMCID: PMC9947127 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-36495-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2022] [Accepted: 02/02/2023] [Indexed: 02/24/2023]  Open
18
The impacts of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine dose separation and targeting on the COVID-19 epidemic in England. Nat Commun 2023;14:740. [PMID: 36765050 PMCID: PMC9911946 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-35943-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/18/2022] [Accepted: 01/09/2023] [Indexed: 02/12/2023]  Open
19
Lustig A, Vattiato G, Maclaren O, Watson LM, Datta S, Plank MJ. Modelling the impact of the Omicron BA.5 subvariant in New Zealand. J R Soc Interface 2023;20:20220698. [PMID: 36722072 PMCID: PMC9890098 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2022.0698] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2022] [Accepted: 01/06/2023] [Indexed: 02/02/2023]  Open
20
Patterns of reported infection and reinfection of SARS-CoV-2 in England. J Theor Biol 2023;556:111299. [PMID: 36252843 PMCID: PMC9568275 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2022.111299] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/13/2022] [Revised: 09/27/2022] [Accepted: 09/30/2022] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
21
Plank MJ, Hendy SC, Binny RN, Vattiato G, Lustig A, Maclaren OJ. Using mechanistic model-based inference to understand and project epidemic dynamics with time-varying contact and vaccination rates. Sci Rep 2022;12:20451. [PMID: 36443439 PMCID: PMC9702885 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-25018-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/09/2022] [Accepted: 11/23/2022] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]  Open
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