Quantitative modelling of hip fracture trends in 14 European countries: testing variations of a shared reversal over time

Increasing incidences of acetabular, pelvic, and proximal femur fractures in The Netherlands

PURPOSE

This study aims to investigate incidence rates of acetabular, pelvic, and proximal femur fractures in The Netherlands over a 10-year period (2012-2022). With an aging population, understanding trends in these osteoporotic fractures is essential for improving patient outcomes and guiding healthcare strategies.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted using data from two national databases, forming a 'hospitalised' and an 'all patients' cohort. The study population included patients diagnosed with acetabular, pelvic, and proximal femur fractures in The Netherlands during the study period. Incidence rates were calculated per 100,000 person-years and linear regression was used to assess temporal trends. Age-adjustments were performed using Dutch population data from the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS). Comparative analyses between the two cohorts were conducted to identify discrepancies.

RESULTS

A total of 283,991 patients were identified (12,020 acetabular, 70,595 pelvic and 201,376 proximal femur fractures). Of these patients, 159,563 were hospitalised (7123 acetabular, 24,192 pelvic, and 128,252 proximal femur fractures). Incidence rates of acetabular fractures increased by 26 % (hospitalised) and 98 % (all patients), while pelvic fractures showed stagnation in hospitalised patients (-0.13 %) but a 44 % rise in all patients. Proximal femur fractures increased by 5 % (hospitalised) and 15 % (all patients). Significant differences between the databases were noted across all fracture types.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of acetabular, pelvic, and proximal femur fractures has significantly increased in the last decade, most notably in acetabular and pelvic fractures. Furthermore, a shift toward out-patient treatment of acetabular and pelvic fractures was found. These findings highlight the need for improved fracture prevention and out-patient management strategies, while also underscoring the need for a nationwide registration for these injuries.

Majority of hip fragility fractures among older people can be predicted by a DXA examination: an updated analysis of literature results and empirical Chinese data with a focus on the validation of the newly proposed osteofrailia criterion for men

Background

How different gender-specific bone mineral density cutpoint T-scores are associated with different hip fragility fracture (FFx) prediction sensitivity has not been well studied. This article presents an updated analysis of hip FFx prediction among older people by a dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) measure, using literature results and our own Chinese data.

Methods

We systematically searched literature reports on DXA T-score results measured at the timepoint of a hip FFx. With osteoporotic fractures in women (MsOS) and in men (MrOS) Hong Kong studies, at baseline 2,000 Chinese women (mean: 72.5 years) and 2,000 Chinese men (mean: 72.3 years) were recruited. Female participants were followed up for 8.8±1.5 years, and 69 FFx were recorded. Male participants were followed up for 9.9±2.8 years, and 63 hip FFx were recorded.

Results

Ten articles published femoral neck (FN) and/or total hip (TH) T-score at the timepoint of a hip FFx with separated females' or males' T-score data. We estimated that, if a DXA exam were taken shortly before the FFx accident, females' FN, females' TH, males' FN, or males' TH T-scores on average predicted 66.9%, 70.4%, 66.5%, and 67.8% of the hip FFx. For the MsOS and MrOS Hong Kong studies, a combination of baseline FN and TH T-score predicted >50% of the cases with a follow-up hip FFx. A combination of baseline FN T-score, TH T-score, lumbar spine T-score, and spine fracture-like deformity assessment predicted 68.1% of the female cases with a follow-up hip FFx, and 63.4% of the male cases with a follow-up hip FFx.

Conclusions

If a DXA scan is regularly performed, approximately 70% of the hip FFx incidents can be predicted for older women and men.

Lower osteoporotic-like vertebral fractural deformity (OLVF) prevalence and severity among older Thais and Indonesians than among older Chinese

Background

Chinese are known to have a lower vertebral fragility fracture risk than Caucasians. This study evaluates radiographic osteoporotic-like vertebral fractural deformity (OLVF) prevalence and severity among Chinese, Thai, Indonesian women and men.

Methods

In an epidemiological study with community subjects, spine radiographs (T4-L5) were sampled for 195 Thai women (mean: 73.6 years), 202 Thai men (mean: 73.7 years), 236 Indonesian women (mean: 70.4 years), and 174 Indonesian men (mean: 70.2 years). Spine radiographs of age-matched subjects were also sampled for Chinese. OLVF classification included no OLVF (grade 0), and OLVFs with <20% (grade 0.5, minimal grade), ≥20-25% (grade 1, mild grade), ≥25%-1/3 (grade 1.5, moderate grade), ≥1/3-40% (grade 2, marked grade), ≥40%-2/3 (grade 2.5, severe grade), and ≥2/3 height loss (grade 3, collapsed grade). OLVF sum score (OLVFss) was calculated with each vertebra assigned a score of 0, -0.5, -1, -1.5, -2, -2.5, and -3 for no OLVF or OLVF grades 0.5-3. Osteoporosis prevalences were estimated based on OLVFss. For a woman, OLVFss ≤-1.0 and OLVFss ≤-1.5 were the thresholds to classify the case being osteoporotic according to the lowest T-score or femoral neck T-score respectively. For men, these thresholds were OLVFss ≤-2.5 and OLVFss ≤-3.0.

Results

Compared with Southeast Asians, Chinese had overall higher prevalences of all-inclusive OLVF, apparent OLVF, and OLVF among Chinese were more likely to be multiple. A trend was noted that Chinese women were more likely to have severe and collapsed grades OLVFs than Southeast Asian women, while such a trend was not noted for Chinese men vs. Southeast Asian men comparison. For men, the Chinese vs. Southeast Asians difference was that Chinese had a higher prevalence of milder OLVFs. For the Thais vs. Indonesians comparison, OLVFss (mean ± standard deviation) was -0.62±1.43 for Thai men, -0.47±0.98 for Indonesian men, -0.82±2.39 for Thai women, and -0.76±2.18 for Indonesian women. The lowest T-score based osteoporosis prevalence and femoral neck T-score based osteoporosis prevalence was 9.4% and 6.9% respectively for Thai men, and 6.9% and 2.9% for respectively Indonesian men; 19.5% and 14.9% respectively for Thai women, 18.9% and 14.5% respectively for Indonesian women.

Conclusions

The prevalence and severity of radiographic OLVF show a weak trend of 'Chinese > Thais > Indonesians', both for older women and for older men. The results of the current study support the notion that 'populations from a warmer climate have better spine health'.

Fewer spine degenerations among Southeast Asians than among Southern Chinese suggests populations from a warmer climate have inherently better spine health

Background

Compared with older Caucasians, older Chinese have remarkably lower prevalence and lower severity of spine degenerative changes. There have been few studies on Southeast East populations. This study aims to compare radiographic spine degeneration features among older Hong Kong (HK) Chinese, older Thais, and older Indonesians.

Methods

This study included 195 Thai women (mean: 73.6 years), 202 Thai men (mean: 73.7 years), 227 Indonesian women (mean: 70.5 years), and 174 Indonesian men (mean: 70.2 years), as well as same number of gender- and age-matched HK Chinese. The recruitment plan was that the participants would represent the general older population of their respective communities. With spine radiograph, spine hyper-kyphosis, osteoarthritic wedging (OAw), acquired short vertebrae (SVa), general osteophyte formation, lumbar disc space narrowing, and lumbar spondylolisthesis were assessed.

Results

Compared with Southeast Asians (Thais and Indonesian data together), Chinese women and men had a higher prevalence of hyper-kyphosis (24.9% vs. 16.4%), OAw (2.4% vs. 0.9%), general osteophyte formation (15.3% vs. 10.5%), lumber disc space narrowing (27.6% vs. 20.3%), and lumbar spondylolisthesis (20.7% vs. 15.3%). The trends were also consistent for sub-group data analyses. An even lower prevalence was noted among Indonesian women and men than among Thais in general osteophyte formation (5.9% vs. 14.1%), lumbar disc space narrowing (18.3% vs. 24.1%), and lumbar spondylolisthesis (11.4% vs. 19.3%).

Conclusions

This study showed a lower prevalence of spine degeneration changes among older Thais and older Indonesians than among older Chinese. Indonesians, who inhabit an even warmer climate, show even fewer spine degeneration changes than Thais.

[Result of the update of the clinical pathway for hip fracture in the elderly at a university hospital in Madrid]

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Orthogeriatric management with clinical pathways (CP) in hip fracture (HF) has been shown to be superior to other models. We studied whether updating the CP, through prioritization of admission and surgery, improvement in the prevention and treatment of delirium, management of anticoagulants and antiplatelet agents and the use of perioperative peripheral nerve block, modifies surgical delay, stay, readmissions, mortality, suffering delirium and functional status at discharge.

MATERIAL AND METHOD

A retrospective observational study of unicenter cohorts of 468 patients with HF, 220 from 2016 (old VC) and 248 from 2019 (new VC). The variables are: intervention in the first 48hours, surgical delay (hours), stay (days), stay less than 15 days, delirium, functional loss at discharge (Barthel prefracture scale less Barthel scale at discharge), readmission at one month, and mortality at admission, month and year.

RESULTS

Median age: 87.0 [interquartile range 8.0], mostly women (76.7%). Significantly, with the new VC, there was a greater number of patients operated on in the first 48hours (27,7% vs 36,8% p=0.036), less surgical delay (72.5 [47,5-110,5] vs 64.0 [42,0-88,0] p<0.001), shorter stay (10,0 [7,0-13,0] vs 8,0 [6,0-11,0] p<0.001), greater number of discharges in 15 days (78,2% vs 91,5% p<0.001), lower delirium (54,1% vs 43,5% p=0.023). No significant changes in readmissions, functional loss at discharge, mortality at admission, 3 months or year.

CONCLUSIONS

Updating the VC brings benefits to the patient (less surgical delay, equal functional status at discharge with fewer days of admission) and benefits in management (lower admission) without modifying mortality.

Indicators of Improvement in Performing Activities of Daily Living Among Older Patients Undergoing Rehabilitation Following Hip Fractures

This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between improvement in activities of daily living (ADL) and cognitive status during rehabilitation and assess factors associated with ADL improvement among older patients undergoing rehabilitation after hip fractures. This retrospective cohort study comprised 306 patients aged ≥80 years who underwent hip fracture rehabilitation. The functional independence measure gain during rehabilitation was significantly lower in the group with abnormal cognition than in the group with normal cognition. Mini-Mental State Examination, Charlson Comorbidity Index, daily duration of rehabilitation, and length of hospitalization for rehabilitation were independent factors associated with functional independence measure gain during rehabilitation in the multivariate regression analysis. Although older patients with cognitive impairment had lower ADL improvements during hip fracture rehabilitation, such patients may be able to improve their ADL by undergoing intensive and long rehabilitation programs. They should not refrain from such rehabilitation programs due to older age, fracture, and cognitive impairment.

Factors associated with actual skeletal muscle mass increase during hip fracture rehabilitation of persons aged 80 and older

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to evaluate actual skeletal muscle mass change and factors associated with its increase in patients aged ≥80 years undergoing hip fracture rehabilitation.

METHODS

This case-control study was conducted in the rehabilitation hospital. Participants were 368 patients aged ≥80 years undergoing hip fracture rehabilitation. Patients were divided into two groups based on the change of skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) during hospitalization: two groups with increased SMI and without increased SMI, after evaluation of skeletal muscle mass changes. Analysis between two groups and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed to evaluate the factors associated with SMI increases.

RESULTS

The SMI at discharge was significantly increased (5.20 kg/m²) compared to baseline (5.00 kg/m²; p <0.001). The significant differences were observed in SMI on admission, length of hospital stay, duration of exercise therapy and BMI gain between two groups. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that hospital stay and period of exercise therapy were significantly associated with increased SMI (OR: 1.020, and 1.010 respectively; and 95% CIs: 1.010-1.030, and 1.000-1.030, respectively). Moreover, BMI and SMI on admission, and BMI gain were significantly associated with increased SMI.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated that old patients with hip fractures achieved significantly increased skeletal muscle mass during rehabilitation and that BMI and SMI on admission, BMI gain, length of hospital stay, and duration of exercise therapy were factors independently associated with increased SMI. Even older patients should take exercise to acquire skeletal muscle, rather than refraining from exercising due to old age or hip fractures.

Challenges of translating epidemiologic research: An application to rheumatic and musculoskeletal disorders

Translation of research into public health policy is featured in common definitions of epidemiology, as an end result of scientific discovery on disease occurrence and causes. This dual nature of epidemiology, which brings together discovery and its use, seems to imply two main dimensions by which to judge epidemiologic research: technical or field-specific quality and societal value. This paper uses our research on the epidemiology of rheumatic and musculoskeletal disorders as a starting point to discuss the interface between these dimensions, exploring a number of conceptual, practical and ethical challenges that epidemiologists increasingly need to address when aiming for research translation. Those include not only the appraisal of the technical quality of research, which is familiar to researchers, but also the judgement on the usefulness and actual use of knowledge, as well as the assessment of the legitimacy of research based on translation potential. Several challenges lie ahead, but interdisciplinary conceptual and technical developments have the potential to guide future epidemiologic research of consequence. Approaches that recognize complexity and formalize the involvement of stakeholders in the research process within transparent frameworks open promising avenues for an effective translation of epidemiologic research projected into the future.

Epidemiology and mortality of pelvic and femur fractures-a nationwide register study of 417,840 fractures in Sweden across 16 years: diverging trends for potentially lethal fractures

Background and purpose - Fractures of the pelvis and femur are serious and potentially lethal injuries affecting primarily older, but also younger individuals. Long-term trends on incidence rates and mortality might diverge for these fractures, and few studies compare trends within a complete adult population. We investigated and compared incidence and mortality rates of pelvic, hip, femur shaft, and distal femur fractures in the Swedish adult population.Patients and methods - We analyzed data on all adult patients ≥ 18 years in Sweden with a pelvic, hip, femur shaft, or distal femur fracture, through the Swedish National Patient Register. The studied variables were fracture type, age, sex, and 1-year mortality.Results - While incidence rates for hip fracture decreased by 18% (from 280 to 229 per 105 person-years) from 2001 to 2016, incidence rates for pelvic fracture increased by 25% (from 64 to 80 per 105 person-years). Incidence rates for femur shaft and distal femur fracture remained stable at rates of 15 and 13 per 105 person-years respectively. 1-year mortality after hip fracture was 25%, i.e., higher than for pelvic, femur shaft, and distal femur fracture where mortality rates were 20-21%. Females had an almost 30% lower risk of death within 1 year after hip fracture compared with males.Interpretation - Trends on fracture incidence for pelvic and femur fractures diverged considerably in Sweden between 2001 and 2016. While incidence rates for femur fractures (hip, femur shaft, and distal femur) decreased or remained constant during the studied years, pelvic fracture incidence increased. Mortality rates were different between the fractures, with the highest mortality among patients with hip fracture.

Perioperative Mortality and Periprosthetic Fracture: A Single-Center Experience of 857 Uncemented Hemiarthroplasties for Displaced Femoral Neck Fractures

BACKGROUND

Uncemented hemiarthroplasty (UHA) for displaced femoral neck fracture (FNF) is favored by some surgeons because of the reduced rate of perioperative mortality and operative time. However higher rates of intraoperative and postoperative periprosthetic fractures (PPFs) have been reported. The aim of the study was to review day-0, day-1, day-2, day-30, and one-year mortality as well as intraoperative and postoperative PPF after UHA for displaced FNF and compare this with cemented hemiarthroplasties (CHAs) performed. Secondary objectives were to assess whether femoral stem geometry and alignment were associated with PPF in UHA.

METHODS

A retrospective observational study was conducted of patients treated with a hemiarthroplasty for a displaced FNF over an eleven-year period. Radiographic analysis was conducted of femoral geometry and stem alignment.

RESULTS

Over the 11-year study period, 857 UHAs and 247 CHAs were performed. There were no on-table, day-0, day-1, or day-2 deaths in UHA. Intraoperative PPF occurred in 3.6% UHA and 2% CHA and postoperative PPF in 2.4% UHA and 4.8% CHA. Intraoperative PPF was not associated with increased mortality (P = .15), postoperative PPF, or all-cause revision in UHA. Valgus stem alignment was a risk factor for a postoperative PPF and additional surgery in UHA (P = .004).

CONCLUSION

UHA was associated with no perioperative deaths and a 30-day mortality rate of 5% in this series. It can be considered in patients with multiple medical comorbidities. Careful surgical planning and technique is important to optimize stem alignment particularly in Dorr C type femurs.

Trends in Hip Fracture Incidence, Recurrence, and Survival by Education and Comorbidity: A Swedish Register-based Study

BACKGROUND

Hip fractures are common and severe conditions among older individuals, associated with high mortality, and the Nordic countries have the highest incidence rates globally. With this study, we aim to present a comprehensive picture of trends in hip fracture incidence and survival in the older Swedish population stratified by education, birth country, and comorbidity level.

METHODS

This study is based on a linkage of several population registers and included the entire population over the age of 60 living in Sweden. We calculated age-standardized incidence rates for first and recurrent hip fractures as well as age-standardized proportions of patients surviving 30 and 365 days through the time period 1998 to 2017. We calculated all outcomes for men and women in the total population and in each population stratum.

RESULTS

Altogether, we observed 289,603 first hip fractures during the study period. Age-standardized incidence rates of first and recurrent fractures declined among men and women in the total population and in each educational-, birth country-, and comorbidity group. Declines in incidence were more pronounced for recurrent than for first fractures. Approximately 20% of women and 30% of men died within 1 year of their first hip fracture. Overall, survival proportions remained constant throughout the study period but improved when taking into account comorbidity level.

CONCLUSIONS

Hip fracture incidence has declined across the Swedish population, but mortality after hip fracture remained high, especially among men. Hip fracture patients constitute a vulnerable population group with increasing comorbidity burden and high mortality risk.

Cognitive Impairment Level and Elderly Hip Fracture: Implications in Rehabilitation Nursing

PURPOSE

The aim of the study was to determine the cognitive impairment level influence in descriptive characteristics, comorbidities, complications, and pharmacological features of older adults with hip fracture.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

METHOD

Five hundred fifty-seven older adults with hip fracture were recruited and divided into cognitive impairment levels (severe/moderate, mild, no impairment). Descriptive characteristics, comorbidities, complications, and pharmacological data were collected.

FINDINGS

Significant differences (p < .05, R = .012-.475) between cognitive impairment levels were shown. Shorter presurgery hospital length of stay and lower depression and Parkinson comorbidities; delirium complication; and antidepressants, antiparkinsonians, and neuroleptics use were shown for the no-impairment group. With regard to the cognitive impairment groups, lower presence of cardiopathy and hypertension; higher presence of dementia; antihypertensives, antiplatelets, and antidementia medication; infection/respiratory insufficiency complications; and lower constipation complications were shown.

CONCLUSION

Cognitive impairment levels may determine the characteristics, comorbidities, pharmacology, and complications of older adults with hip fracture.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE

Cognitive impairment level may impact rehabilitation nursing practice, education, and care coordination.

Prediction of Postoperative Outcomes Following Hip Fracture Surgery: Independent Validation and Recalibration of the Nottingham Hip Fracture Score

OBJECTIVES

Independent validation of risk scores after hip fracture is uncommon, particularly for evaluation of outcomes other than death. We aimed to assess the Nottingham Hip Fracture Score (NHFS) for prediction of mortality, physical function, length of stay, and postoperative complications.

DESIGN

Analysis of routinely collected prospective data partly collected by follow-up interviews.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Consecutive hip fracture patients were identified from the Northumbria hip fracture database between 2014 and 2018. Patients were excluded if they were not surgically managed or if scores for predictive variables were missing.

METHODS

C statistics were calculated to test the discriminant ability of the NHFS, Abbreviated Mental Test Score (AMTS), and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) grade for in-hospital, 30-day, and 120-day mortality; functional independence at discharge, 30 days, and 120 days; length of stay; and postoperative complications.

RESULTS

We analyzed data from 3208 individuals, mean age 82.6 (standard deviation 8.6). 2192 (70.9%) were female. 194 (6.3%) died during the first 30 days, 1686 (54.5%) were discharged to their own home, 211 (6.8%) had no mobility at 120 days, 141 (4.6%) experienced a postoperative complication. The median length of stay was 18 days (interquartile range 8-28). For mortality, C statistics for the NHFS ranged from 0.68 to 0.69, similar to ASA and AMTS. For postoperative mobility, the C statistics for the NHFS ranged from 0.74 to 0.83, similar to AMTS (0.61-0.82) and better than the ASA grade (0.68-0.71). Length of stay was significantly correlated with each score (P < .001 by Jonckheere-Terpstra test); NHFS and AMTS showed inverted U-shaped relationships with length of stay. For postoperative complications, C statistics for NHFS (0.54-0.59) were similar to ASA grade (0.53-0.61) and AMTS (0.50-0.58).

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

The NHFS performed consistently well in predicting functional outcomes, moderately in predicting mortality, but less well in predicting length of stay and complications. There remains room for improvement by adding further predictors such as measures of physical performance in future analyses.

Age at hip fracture and life expectancy in Denmark - Secular trends over two decades

BACKGROUND

Recent improvements in the health of the oldest old coexist with a decline in hip fracture rates, in particular in women. We speculated that increased longevity with decreasing hip fracture rates would result in a delay in hip fracture. We conducted an analysis of time trends in the age at hip fracture, by type and gender, for the past two decades using national data.

STUDY POPULATION AND METHODS

We used data from the Danish Hospital Discharge Register (1996-2017) to analyse the age distribution of femoral neck (FN) and pertrochanteric fractures (PT), allowing only the first fracture at each of these two sites to contribute to the analysis in each calendar year. Demographics for the background population at risk including life expectancy tabulations, were also obtained.

RESULTS

The average age at FN fracture in women increased slowly but significantly by 0.035years - or 12.8 days - per calendar year [0.035, 95% CI (0.016; 0.054), p<0.001], resulting in an increase from 79.6 to 80.4 years. There were no significant changes in the age at FN fracture in men or the age at PT fracture in women and men. Further, increases in life expectancy were considerably faster than any change observed in the age at hip fracture. In 1996, the average age at FN or PT fracture exceeded the average life expectancy in both men and women whereas the opposite was the case from 2009 and onwards in men and 2015 and onwards in women.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates a significant change in the demographics of hip fractures in Denmark over the past two decades. We observed a significant increase in the age at FN fracture in women but not in men, with no significant increase in the age at IT fracture and PT fracture. This developed much more slowly, however, than the increase in life expectancy in both sexes observed over the same period of time. Taken together, these changes resulted in a large decrease in the female to male incidence rate ratio from 2.6 and 2.5 (FN and PT, respectively) to 1.9 and 1.7.Additional effort is required to prevent hip fractures to ensure that the increasing life expectancy is matched by a similar increase in hip-fracture free life expectancy.

Polypharmacy and injurious falls in older adults: a nationwide nested case-control study

Objective

To determine whether or not the exposure to multiple drugs (polypharmacy) increases the risk of fall-related injury among older adults, beyond the effect of fall-risk increasing drugs and chronic multimorbidity.

Methods

Nested case-control study using linked register data with national coverage in Sweden. We defined cases as older adults (≥70 years) who had an incident non-elective admission due to a fall between 1 January and 31 December 2013. Cases were matched 1:1 on sex, age and index date to randomly selected controls from the general population. The number of prescription drugs during the 7 days preceding the index date was the main exposure.

Results

A total of 49,609 cases were included and matched to an equal number of controls. The number of prescription drugs was higher among cases than among controls (mean difference 1.2, 95% CI 1.16–1.26). While adjusting for potential confounders, we found that the risk of injurious falls increased in a nearly linear fashion for each additional drug (OR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01–1.03). When using a cut-off value of ≥4 drugs to define polypharmacy, the population attributable fraction for injurious falls was 5.2% (95% CI 2.8–7.6).

Conclusion

This study shows a monotonic dose-response relationship between the number of drugs and the risk of injurious falls. However, after comprehensive adjustment for known confounders (including fall-risk increasing drugs and chronic multimorbidity), this association is substantially weaker than previously reported. Moreover, even if the relationship between polypharmacy and injurious falls is really causal, the population attributable risk fraction is low.

Long term time trends in use of medications associated with risk of developing osteoporosis: Nationwide data for Denmark from 1999 to 2016

PURPOSE

To evaluate the development in the use of medications associated with an increased risk of developing osteoporosis over the time period from 1999 to 2016.

METHODS

We extracted data on total sale, sales rate and usage rate for the medications of interest from www.medstat.dk, which is an online, open-source database reporting the monthly sale of both over-the-counter and prescription-based medications in Denmark. The dataset covers both the primary and secondary health sectors.

RESULTS

Most medications exhibited an increasing use from 1999 to 2016, though some had stable (e.g. glucocorticoids) or declining use. Notably, some medications showed widespread and increasing use, including proton pump inhibitors (PPI), selective serotonine reuptake inhibitors (SSRI) and venlafaxine. For PPI, sales rates increased by 461% from 1999 to 2016, with 9% of men and 11.4% of women filling at least one prescription in 2016. The use of SSRI and venlafaxine increased by 114% and 613%, respectively. This was more pronounced in women and for SSRI also in the elderly (80+ years). The sale of aromatase inhibitors was moderate (1-10 DDD per 1000 capita per day) in 2016, yet grew by 2400% from 1999, almost exclusively in women aged 80 years or older.

CONCLUSION

We found a trend of increasing use from 1999 to 2016 of most medications with a potential for causing osteoporosis, often most pronounced in fracture risk groups (postmenopausal women and/or in the elderly). This may play a clinically relevant role in both current and future causality of osteoporosis.

Hip fracture rates and time trends in use of anti-osteoporosis medications in Denmark for the period 2005 to 2015: Missed opportunities in fracture prevention

BACKGROUND

Declining use of bisphosphonates (BP) in the United States and Europe may lead to a widening of the treatment gap for osteoporosis and an increase in fracture rates. However, a shift to non-bisphosphonates and to hospital administered i.v. BPs could lead to overestimation of the treatment gap if analyses are based exclusively on BP prescriptions. When a healthcare system successfully narrows the treatment gap by making appropriate use of anti-osteoporosis drugs, we would expect to see declining rates of osteoporotic fractures with much of the decrease being statistically attributable to medication uptake. We analysed a best-case scenario where all use of BPs, denosumab, raloxifene and PTH analogues - including the oncology area - was contrasted with the trend in hip fracture rates. This scenario also considered users of raloxifene and teriparatide as covered by osteoporosis drugs though the primary RCT for raloxifene showed no risk reduction in nonvertebral fractures and the RCT for teriparatide risk reductions for non-vertebral fractures but not hip fracture specifically. Sensitivity analyses were also done.

METHODS

We used aggregate statistics on hip fracture events and total use of the above medications estimating the number of persons potentially covered. The reduction in hip fracture rates attributable to treatment was estimated using the absolute risk reduction (ARR) found in real-world users of oral alendronate in Denmark with the ARR in the FIT primary prevention arm as an alternative scenario.

RESULTS

A plateau in use of osteoporosis medications occurred in 2014. Between 2005 and 2015, hip fracture rates declined by 30%. However, only up to 20% of the observed reduction in hip fracture rates was statistically attributable to treatment even in a best-case scenario. Sensitivity analyses where raloxifene and teriparatide were excluded did not impact on this finding.

DISCUSSION

Anti-osteoporosis treatment in Denmark reached a plateau in 2014 even in a best-case scenario where all dispensations were assumed to be for osteoporosis. Future studies may be able to distinguish between the oncology area and the osteoporosis indication as well as provide a delineation of age and gender demographics among users of hospital administered osteoporosis medications. About 80% of the decline in hip fracture rates appears to be due to factors other than osteoporosis medication. The plateau in use of osteoporosis treatment at a level that is too low to make a meaningful impact on societal fracture burden is problematic given the predicted increased age-specific hip fracture rates.

Continuously declining incidence of hip fracture in Finland: Analysis of nationwide database in 1970-2016

BACKGROUND

Hip fractures of older adults are a major public health issue.

METHODS

We determined the current trend in the number and incidence (per 100,000 persons) of hip fracture among older adults in Finland by taking into account all persons 50 years of age or older who were admitted to hospitals for primary treatment of such fracture between 1970 and 2016.

RESULTS

The number of hip fractures rose sharply till the end of 1990s (from 1857 in 1970 to 7122 in 1997), but since then, the rise has slowed down (7716 fractures in 2016). Similarly, the age-adjusted incidence of hip fracture increased until 1997 but declined thereafter. The decline was especially clear in women whose age-adjusted incidence was 537.9 (per 100,000 persons) in 1997 but only 344.1 in 2016. In men, the corresponding incidence was 256.5 in 1997 and 194.7 in 2016. With the current 2016 incidence rates, the number of hip fractures in Finland will increase by 44% by the year 2030 due to the sharp growth of the population at risk. The only way to limit the rise is to have a further decline in fracture incidence in 2016-2030.

CONCLUSIONS

The decline in the incidence of hip fracture in Finland has continued through the entire new millennium. Despite this we have to effectively continue implementation of the fracture prevention efforts, because our elderly population will grow rapidly in the near future.

Osteoinductive 3D scaffolds prepared by blend centrifugal spinning for long-term delivery of osteogenic supplements

Bone regeneration is a long-term process requiring proper scaffolding and drug delivery systems. The current study delivers a three-dimensional (3D) scaffold prepared by blend centrifugal spinning loaded with the osteogenic supplements (OS) β-glycerol phosphate, ascorbate-2-phosphate and dexamethasone. The OS were successfully encapsulated into a fibrous scaffold and showed sustained release for 30 days. Furthermore, biological testing showed the osteoinductive properties of the scaffolds on a model of human mesenchymal stem cells and stimulatory effect on a model of osteoblasts. The osteoinductive properties were further proved in vivo in critical size defects of rabbits. The amount of bone trabecules was bigger compared to control fibers without OS. The results indicate that due to its long-term drug releasing properties, single step fabrication process and 3D structure, the system shows ideal properties for use as a cell-free bone implant in tissue-engineering.

Bone regeneration is a long-term process requiring proper scaffolding and drug delivery systems.