Surgery Combined with Radiotherapy Improved Survival in Metastatic Esophageal Cancer in a Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results Population-based Study

Comparison of Efficacy and Safety of Combined Chemoimmunotherapy With or Without Radiation Therapy for Stage IVB Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Multicenter Propensity Score Matching Analysis

PURPOSE

This study aimed to compare the efficacy and safety of combining first-line chemoimmunotherapy with radiation therapy versus chemoimmunotherapy alone in patients with stage IVB esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

We retrospectively examined 409 patients with stage IVB ESCC who received first-line chemotherapy and anti-PD-1 antibody, with or without radiation therapy of ≥40 Gy radiation dose to primary lesion, from 4 academic cancer centers between October 2018 and December 2022. Propensity score matching was conducted to minimize the potential confounding effects.

RESULTS

In the overall cohort of 409 patients, the group that received additional radiation therapy had superior overall survival (OS) (hazard ratio [HR], 0.51; 95% CI, 0.39-0.66; P < .001) and progression-free survival (PFS) (HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.40-0.66; P < .001) compared to the group that received chemoimmunotherapy alone. After 1:1 propensity score matching, matching age, tumor location, and metastatic sites, a total of 250 patients were selected for further analysis. The results remained consistent and showed that the addition of radiation therapy significantly improved OS and PFS (median OS, 24.9 vs 14.6 months; P = .003; median PFS, 14.2 vs 10.6 months; P = .002). Multivariate Cox analysis including tumor location, T stage, metastatic sites, and treatment modality, revealed that radiation therapy was an independent prognostic factor for both OS (HR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.41-0.81) and PFS (HR, 0.63, 95% CI, 0.47-0.86). Subgroup analyses revealed significant OS prolongation in patients with nonregional lymph node metastases only who received radiation therapy (HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.34-0.70). No OS survival benefit was observed in those with distant organ metastases (HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.46-1.13). Regarding safety, the group receiving additional radiation therapy had higher incidences of grade 3 to 4 lymphopenia (74.4% vs 17.7%, P < .001) and esophagitis (11.2% vs 2.4%, P = .006).

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of radiation therapy to chemoimmunotherapy improved the survival of stage IVB ESCC patients with nonregional lymph node metastasis.

Prediction of Early Mortality in Esophageal Cancer Patients with Liver Metastasis Using Machine Learning Approaches

Patients with esophageal cancer liver metastasis face a high risk of early mortality, making accurate prediction crucial for guiding clinical decisions. However, effective predictive tools are currently limited. In this study, we used clinicopathological data from 1897 patients diagnosed with esophageal cancer liver metastasis between 2010 and 2020, which were sourced from the SEER database. Prognostic factors were identified using univariate and multivariate logistic regression, and seven machine learning models, including extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and support vector machine (SVM), were developed to predict early mortality. The models were evaluated using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), and F1 scores. Results showed that 40% of patients experienced all-cause early mortality and 38% had cancer-specific early mortality. Key predictors of early mortality included age, location, chemotherapy, and lung metastasis. Among the models, XGBoost performed best in predicting all-cause early mortality, while SVM excelled in predicting cancer-specific early mortality. These findings demonstrate that machine learning models, particularly XGBoost and SVM, can serve as valuable tools for predicting early mortality in patients with esophageal cancer liver metastasis, aiding clinical decision making.

Surgical and multimodal treatment of metastatic oesophageal cancer: retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

In contrast to the well-established multimodal therapy for localized oesophageal cancer, the metastatic stage is commonly treated only with systemic therapy as current international guidelines recommend. However, evidence suggesting that multimodal therapy including surgery could benefit selected patients with metastasized oesophageal cancer is increasing. The aim of this study was to investigate the survival of patients diagnosed with metastatic oesophageal cancer after different treatment regimens.

METHODS

This was a retrospective single-centre study of patients with adenocarcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma of the oesophagus with synchronous or metachronous metastases who underwent Ivor Lewis oesophagectomy between 2010 and 2021. Each patient received an individual treatment for their metastatic burden based on an interdisciplinary tumour board conference. Survival differences between different treatments were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method, as well as univariable and multivariable Cox regression models.

RESULTS

Out of 1791 patients undergoing Ivor Lewis oesophagectomy, 235 patients diagnosed with metastases were included. Of all of the included patients, 42 (17.9%) only underwent surgical resection of their metastatic disease, 37 (15.7%) underwent multimodal therapy including surgery, 78 (33.2%) received chemotherapy alone, 49 (20.9%) received other therapies, and 29 (12.3%) received best supportive care. Patients who underwent resection or multimodal therapy including surgery of their metastatic burden showed superior overall survival compared with chemotherapy alone (median overall survival of 19.0, 18.0, and 11.0 months respectively) (P < 0.001). This was confirmed in subcohorts of patients with metachronous solid-organ metastases and with a single metastasis. In multivariable analyses, resection with or without multimodal therapy was an independent factor for favourable survival.

CONCLUSION

Surgical resection could be a feasible treatment option for metastasized oesophageal cancer, improving survival in selected patients. Further prospective randomized studies are needed to confirm these findings and define reliable selection criteria.

The effect of liver metastases on clinical efficacy of first-line programmed death-1 inhibitor plus chemotherapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: A post hoc analysis of ASTRUM-007 and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To explore the efficacy of serplulimab plus chemotherapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients with liver metastases.

METHODS

A post hoc exploratory analysis of ASTRUM-007 study was performed, focusing on the association between the liver metastases status and the clinical outcomes. A systematic literature search of electronic databases was conducted to identify eligible randomized controlled trials for the meta-analysis. Study-level pooled analyses of hazard ratios (HRs) for PFS according to liver metastases were performed.

RESULTS

The post hoc analysis of ASTRUM-007 showed that although patients with liver metastases had a worse prognosis comparing with the non-liver metastases patients in both treatment arms (serplulimab plus chemotherapy arm: median PFS, 5.7 vs. 6.6 months, HR 1.57 [95% CI, 1.15-2.13]; median OS, 13.7 vs. 15.3 months, HR 1.48 [95% CI, 1.09-1.98]; placebo plus chemotherapy arm: median PFS, 4.3 vs. 5.5 months, HR 1.58 [95% CI, 1.01-2.39]; median OS, 10.3 vs. 11.2 months, HR 1.32 [95% CI, 0.84-2.00]), OS and PFS benefits derived from serplulimab plus chemotherapy versus placebo plus chemotherapy in this study were observed in both patients with liver metastases (HR of PFS: 0.60; 95% CI, 0.37-0.97; HR of OS: 0.68; 95% CI, 0.43-1.11) and the non-liver metastases patients (HR of PFS: 0.62; 95% CI, 0.49-0.80; HR of OS: 0.69; 95% CI, 0.55-0.87) with similar magnitude. Three randomized controlled trials were included in the meta-analysis. Pooled HRs demonstrated that the addition of anti-PD-1 antibodies significantly improved PFS compared to chemotherapy alone regardless of liver metastases status.

CONCLUSIONS

This study reveals that the presence of liver metastases is a poor prognostic factor but does not affect the improvements in both PFS and OS brought by adding PD-1 blockade to chemotherapy in ESCC patients. Predictive biomarkers for survival in these patients warrant further investigation.

Nomograms for Predicting Risk and Survival of Esophageal Cancer Lung Metastases: a SEER Analysis

Background: The overall survival rate is notably low for esophageal cancer patients with lung metastases (LM), presenting significant challenges in their treatment. Methods: Through the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program, individuals diagnosed with esophageal cancer between 2010 and 2015 were enrolled. Based on whether esophageal cancer metastasized to the lungs, we used propensity score matching (PSM) to balance correlated variables. Propensity score matching was a critical step in our study that helped to minimize the impact of possible confounders on the study results. We balanced variables related to lung metastases using the PSM method to ensure more accurate comparisons between the study and control groups. Specifically, we performed PSM in the following steps. First, we performed a univariate logistic regression analysis to screen for variables associated with lung metastasis. For each patient, we calculated their propensity scores using a logistic regression model, taking into account several factors, including gender, T-stage, N-stage, surgical history, radiotherapy history, chemotherapy history, and bone/brain/liver metastases. We used a 1:1 matching ratio based on the propensity score to ensure more balanced baseline characteristics between the study and control groups after matching. After matching, we validated the balance of baseline characteristics to ensure that the effect of confounders was minimized. We used logistic regression to identify risk variables for LM, while Cox regression was used to find independent prognostic factors. We then created nomograms and assessed their accuracy using the calibration curve, receiver operating curves (ROC), and C index. Results: In the post-PSM cohort, individuals diagnosed with LM experienced a median overall survival (OS) of 5.0 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 4.3-5.7), which was significantly lower than those without LM (P<0.001). LM has been associated to sex, T stage, N stage, surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, and bone/brain/liver metastases. LM survival was affected by radiation, chemotherapy, and bone/liver metastases. The nomograms' predictive power was proved using the ROC curve, C-index, and validation curve. Conclusion: Patients with LM have a worse chance of surviving esophageal cancer. The nomograms can effectively predict the risk and prognosis of lung metastases from esophageal cancer.

Cost Effectiveness of Adding Pembrolizumab to Platinum and Fluoropyrimidine-Based Chemotherapy as First-Line Treatment for Advanced Esophageal Cancer: A US Healthcare Payer's Perspective

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Pembrolizumab plus cisplatin and fluorouracil demonstrated superior efficacy and comparable safety compared with fluorouracil and cisplatin (FP) as first-line treatment for locally advanced unresectable or metastatic carcinoma of the esophagus and gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma in a phase III trial (KEYNOTE-590). This study evaluated the cost effectiveness of pembrolizumab plus FP versus FP and versus a blended chemotherapy comparator including FP, carboplatin plus paclitaxel, FOLFOX, FOLFIRI, docetaxel plus FP, trastuzumab plus FP, and trastuzumab plus FOLFOX from a US healthcare payer's perspective.

METHODS

A partitioned survival model was developed with three health states (progression-free, progressive disease, and death). Overall survival, progression-free survival, time on treatment, and adverse events were informed by patient-level data from KEYNOTE-590. The blended chemotherapy comparator reflected the current US treatment landscape and was assumed to have similar efficacy and safety as FP. Health utilities were estimated using linear mixed-effects models based on EQ-5D-5L data from the trial. Resource use and cost inputs (2020 US dollars) were based on US standard sources and literature. Costs, life-years, and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) discounted at 3.0% per year and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio were outcomes in the model. Sensitivity and scenario analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of base-case results.

RESULTS

Compared with FP, pembrolizumab plus FP produced a mean gain of 0.86 life-year and 0.77 QALY with additional costs of $112,630 over 37.6 years, yielding an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $147,097 per QALY. Results were similar when the intervention was pembrolizumab plus alternative chemotherapies or when blended chemotherapy became the comparator. Results were most sensitive to different overall survival extrapolation approaches.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis suggests that pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy extended life-years and QALYs and is cost effective compared with chemotherapy alone as a first-line treatment for advanced esophageal cancer in the USA given a willingness-to-pay threshold of $150,000 per QALY.

The risk and prognostic factors for liver metastases in esophageal cancer patients: A large-cohort based study

BACKGROUND

This retrospective study aimed to explore risk factors for liver metastases (LiM) in patients with esophageal cancer (EC) and to identify prognostic factors in patients initially diagnosed with LiM.

METHODS

A total of 28 654 EC patients were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database from 2010 to 2018. A multivariate logistic regression model was utilized to identify risk factors for LiM. A Cox regression model was used to identify prognostic factors for patients with LiM.

RESULTS

Of 28 654 EC patients, 4062 (14.2%) had LiM at diagnosis. The median overall survival (OS) for patients with and without LiM was 6.00 (95% CI: 5.70-6.30) months and 15.00 (95% CI: 14.64-15.36) months, respectively. Variables significantly associated with LiM included gender, age, tumor site, histology, tumor grade, tumor size, clinical T stage, clinical N stage, bone metastases (BoM), brain metastases (BrM) and lung metastases (LuM). Variables independently predicting survival for EC patients with LiM were age, histology, tumor grade, BoM, BrM, LuM, and chemotherapy. A risk prediction model and two survival prediction models were then constructed revealing satisfactory predictive accuracy.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on the largest known cohort of EC, independent predictors of LiM and prognostic indicators of survival for patients with LiM were identified. Two models for predicting survival as well as a risk prediction model were developed with robust predictive accuracy.

Survival after Multimodal Treatment Including Surgery for Metastatic Esophageal Cancer: A Systematic Review

(1) Background: The management of metastatic esophageal cancer is more often limited to palliative chemotherapy. Limited data are available regarding the role of surgery that remains controversial. The aim of this systematic review is to assess the survival outcome of surgically treated metastatic esophageal cancer patients. (2) Methods: The present systematic review is designed using the PRISMA guidelines and has been registered with PROSPERO (CRD42019140306). Two reviewers independently searched and identified studies dealing with surgery for stage IV esophageal cancer in the Medline and Google Scholar databases between January 2008 and December 2019. (3) Results: Seven retrospective nonrandomized studies, totaling 1756 patients with stage IV esophageal cancer who underwent curative surgery, were included. Our analysis demonstrates a three-year overall survival rate of 23% (CI 95% 17–31) among patients undergoing surgery. Because only two comparative studies were identified, data compilation and relative risk evaluation through meta-analysis were not possible. (4) Conclusions: Multimodality treatment, including surgery in curative intent, seems associated with a significant chance of three-year overall survival. A prospective evaluation of this approach and validation of adequate selection criteria are needed.

A machine learning model predicting candidates for surgical treatment modality in patients with distant metastatic esophageal adenocarcinoma: A propensity score-matched analysis

Objective

To explore the role of surgical treatment modality on prognosis of metastatic esophageal adenocarcinoma (mEAC), as well as to construct a machine learning model to predict suitable candidates.

Method

All mEAC patients pathologically diagnosed between January 2010 and December 2018 were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. A 1:4 propensity score-matched analysis and a multivariate Cox analysis were performed to verify the prognostic value of surgical treatment modality. To identify suitable candidates, a machine learning model, classification and regression tree (CART), was constructed, and its predictive performance was evaluated by the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

Results

Of 4520 mEAC patients, 2901 (64.2%) were aged over 60 years and 4012 (88.8%) were males. There were 411 (9.1%) patients receiving surgical treatment modality. In the propensity score-matched analysis, surgical treatment modality was significantly associated with a decreased risk of death (HR: 0.47, 95% CI: 0.40-0.55); surgical patients had almost twice as much median survival time (MST) as those without resection (MST with 95% CI: 23 [17-27] months vs. 11 [11-12] months, P &lt;0.0001). The similar association was also observed in the multivariate Cox analysis (HR: 0.47, 95% CI: 0.41-0.53). Then, a CART was constructed to identify suitable candidates for surgical treatment modality, with a relatively good discrimination ability (AUC with 95% CI: 0.710 [0.648-0.771]).

Conclusion

Surgical treatment modality may be a promising strategy to prolong survival of mEAC patients. The CART in our study could serve as a useful tool to predict suitable candidates for surgical treatment modality. Further creditable studies are warranted to confirm our findings.

Treatment paradigms and survival outcomes in esophageal adenocarcinoma with liver metastasis: a retrospective cohort study using the SEER database

Background

Esophageal adenocarcinoma with liver metastasis (EACLM) at the time of diagnosis has a poor prognosis and few therapeutic options. The best treatment options and prognostic factors for EACLM patients are unclear. The present study sought to explore the optimal treatment modalities for and the prognosis of these patients.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with EACLM at the time of diagnosis were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database between 2010 and 2015. The last follow-up date was December 31, 2018. Treatment patterns were divided into four groups: local therapy (surgery/radiation), systemic therapy [chemotherapy (CT)], combination therapy (surgery/radiation + CT), and no treatment. The Kaplan-Meier (K-M) method and log-rank test were used for overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS). Univariable and multivariable Cox regression were performed to identify the prognostic factors. Propensity score-matching (PSM) analyses were performed for sensitive analyses.

Results

A total of 925 patients diagnosed with EACLM were included in the study. The median OS was 12, 10, 3, and 2 months for combination therapy, systemic therapy, local therapy, and no treatment, respectively (P<0.001). After PSM, the patients who received systemic treatment had a better OS (median 9 vs. 2 months; P<0.001) and DSS (median 9 vs. 3 months; P<0.001) than those who received no treatment. Compared to systemic therapy, combination therapy did not increase patients' OS (median 13 vs. 12 months, P=0.069) but did improve their DSS (median 19 vs. 13 months, P=0.048).

Conclusions

EACLM patients might benefit the most from systemic therapy and combination therapy. For patients who are well-tolerated, combination therapy should be considered as a preferable option.

Modified Glasgow prognostic score predicts the prognosis of patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: A propensity score-matched analysis

Objective

The aim of this study is to evaluate the prognostic value of the modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) in advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) patients.

Methods

The study enrolled 311 patients with advanced esophageal SCC from January 2012 to December 2018. Univariate and multivariate analyses were calculated by the Cox proportional hazards regression model in advanced esophageal SCC patients. The Kaplan–Meier method was used to evaluate the ability of the mGPS for survival rates. Propensity score‐matched (PSM) analysis was carried out to balance imbalanced variables.

Results

The Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that factors including M stage, ECOG, mGPS group, and sex were identified as independent predictors. The mGPS presented a good level of overall survival (OS) prediction with a risk‐adopted classification for advanced esophageal SCC patients. The survival rates in advanced esophageal SCC patients with mGPS 0, 1, and 2 were 18.8%, 8.4%, and 4.2%, respectively (p < 0.001). Moreover, before and after PSM, the mGPS was associated with 3‐year survival rates of advanced esophageal SCC patients in the Kaplan–Meier survival analysis. In addition, the mGPS for OS prediction demonstrated better performance than sex and ECOG score. The area under curve (AUC) of the mGPS combined with M stage for the prognosis of advanced esophageal SCC was 0.677 (0.592–0.763).

Conclusion

The mGPS is a cost‐effective, accessible tool capable of prognosticating in this cohort. It could be a useful surveillance system of prognosis in advanced esophageal SCC patients.

Profile of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma mutations in Brazilian patients

Esophageal cancer is an aggressive tumor that has a high rate of incidence and mortality worldwide. It is the 10th most frequent type in Brazil, being squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) the predominant subtype. There is currently an incessant search to identify the frequently altered genes associated with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma biology that could be druggable. This study aimed to analyze the somatic mutation profile of a large panel of cancer-related genes in Brazilian ESCC. In a series of 46 ESCC diagnoses at Barretos Cancer Hospital, DNA isolated from paired fresh-frozen and blood tissue, a panel of 150 cancer-related genes was analyzed by next-generation sequencing. The genes with the highest frequency of mutations were TP53 (39/46, 84.8%), followed by NOTCH1 (7/46, 15.2%), NFE2L2 (5/46, 10.8%), RB1 (3/46, 6.5%), PTEN (3/46, 6.5%), CDKN2A (3/46, 6.5%), PTCH1 (2/46, 4.3%) and PIK3CA (2/46, 4.3%). There was no significant association between molecular and patients' clinicopathological features. Applying an evolutionary action score of p53 (EAp53), we observed that 14 (35.9%) TP53 mutations were classified as high-risk, yet no association with overall survival was observed. Concluding, this the largest mutation profile of Brazilian ESCC patients, which helps in the elucidation of the major cancer-related genes in this population.

Short-course compared to long-course palliative radiotherapy for oesophageal cancer: a single centre observational cohort study

Background

Common symptoms of oesophageal cancer are dysphagia, pain, and bleeding. These symptoms can be relieved with palliative radiotherapy. The aim of this study was to analyse the outcome of two different palliative radiotherapy schedules.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study on palliative radiotherapy for oesophageal cancer given at Karolinska University Hospital. Patients included were treated with either short-course (20 Gy in 4 Gy fractions daily, 5 consecutive workdays) or long-course (30–39 Gy in 3 Gy fractions, 10–13 consecutive workdays) palliative external beam radiotherapy between January 2009 and December 2013. The primary endpoint was dysphagia relief and secondary endpoints were adverse events, re-interventions, and overall survival. Cox regression analyses were used to estimate the effect of treatment schedule on survival.

Results

A total of 128 patients received external beam radiotherapy under the study period, of these 75 (58.6%) received short-course radiotherapy and 53 (41.4%) long-course radiotherapy. Sixteen (30.8%) patients experienced dysphagia relief after short-course radiotherapy and 9 (22.0%) patients after long-course radiotherapy (p = 0.341). Acute toxicity was less frequent after short-course radiotherapy than after long-course radiotherapy, particularly oesophagitis (35.4% vs. 56.0%, p = 0.027) and nausea/emesis (18.5% vs. 36.0% p = 0.034). Re-interventions tended to be more common after short-course radiotherapy (32.0%) than after long-course radiotherapy (18.9%) (p = 0.098). There was no difference in overall survival between the two groups.

Conclusions

Short- and long-course palliative radiotherapy for oesophageal cancer were equally effective to relieve dysphagia and no difference was seen in overall survival. Acute toxicity was, however, more frequent and more severe after long-course radiotherapy. Our results suggest that short-course radiotherapy is better tolerated with equal palliative effects as long-course radiotherapy.

The Role of Definitive Radiation and Surgery in Metastatic Esophageal Cancer: An NCDB Investigation

BACKGROUND

Approximately 40% of patients with esophageal cancer present with metastatic disease. Survival with palliative treatment is poor, and the benefit of aggressive focal therapies is unclear. This study aimed to identify a subset of patients with metastatic esophageal cancer with favorable outcomes after curative doses of radiation therapy, esophagectomy, or both.

METHODS

Between 2004 and 2015, the study investigators found 28,101 patients with metastatic esophageal cancer in the National Cancer Database and identified those who underwent chemotherapy and definitive radiation therapy with or without surgery over the study period. The study compared the estimated median overall survival (OS) of all patients with metastatic esophageal cancer with the estimated median OS of patients with metastatic esophageal cancer who underwent radiation therapy with or without surgery. Multivariable analysis was used to examine clinical and pathologic factors associated with OS.

RESULTS

At a median follow-up of 11.1 months, 3219 patients with a median age of 64 years and a radiation dose of 50.4 Gy were identified. Only 202 (6.2%) patients undergoing definitive-dose radiation therapy underwent esophagectomy, with a median age of 60 years. The median OS durations for all patients, for patients treated with radiation, and for patients treated with radiation therapy in combination with esophagectomy were 6.6, 11.5, and 30.2 months, respectively. Among patients undergoing surgery, median OS after surgery was 23.7 months. Patients with lung, liver, or bone metastases were less likely to undergo esophagectomy. On multivariable analysis, esophagectomy and low tumor grade were associated with higher OS, whereas liver and bone metastases at diagnosis were associated with worse OS.

CONCLUSIONS

This analysis suggests that select subsets of patients with primarily nonvisceral, nonosseous metastatic esophageal cancer have favorable survival and may potentially benefit from aggressive local therapies.

Metastatic Esophageal Carcinoma: Prognostic Factors and Survival

BACKGROUND

Worldwide, esophageal cancer is the eighth most common cancer and the sixth leading cause of cancer-related death. At initial diagnosis, about 50% of esophageal cancer patients present with metastasis. The prognosis of metastatic esophageal cancer is poor with 5-year survival rate of less than 5%.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study of stage IV esophageal cancer patients registered at Clinical Oncology and Nuclear Medicine department and Oncology Center Mansoura University in the period from 2009 to 2018 inclusive. Eligibility criteria were all pathologically proven stage IV esophageal cancer patients. The medical files of patients were reviewed.

RESULTS

Most patients were ≥ 50 years (67.8%) with male predominance (76.7%). Middle third was the most common site of primary tumor (38.9%). Squamous cell carcinoma was more common with incidence of grade 3 (40%). T3-4 lesion was recorded in 61.1% and node positive in 66.7%. As regards metastasis; liver was the most common one (45.5%) followed by lung (30%). One-year survival rate was 25.6% with median survival time of 8 months. Multivariate analysis indicated that age (p = 0.03), site (p = 0.04), grade of primary tumor (p = 0.049), T classification (p = 0.0038), ECOG PS (p = 0.046), site (p = 0.026), and number of metastasis (p = 0.04) significantly affect prognosis while sex (p = 0.74) and histologic type (p = 0.94) do not.

CONCLUSION

Metastatic esophageal carcinoma is a disease of poor prognosis especially in patients with the following criteria: old age, lower third location, high grade and large tumors, poor performance status, multiple sites of metastasis and presence of bone secondaries.

Lung Metastases in Newly Diagnosed Esophageal Cancer: A Population-Based Study

Background

Esophageal cancer is one of the most common cancer types, with its most common distant metastatic site being the lung. Currently, population-based data regarding the proportion and prognosis of patients with esophageal cancer with lung metastases (ECLM) at the time of diagnosis is insufficient. Therefore, we aimed to determine the proportion of patients with ECLM at diagnosis, as well as to investigate the prognostic parameters of ECLM.

Methods

This population-based observational study obtained data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database registered between 2010 and 2016. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify predictors of the presence of ECLM at diagnosis. Multivariable Cox regression and competing risk analysis were used to assess prognostic factors in patients with ECLM. Median survival was estimated using Kaplan–Meier curves.

Results

Of 10,965 patients diagnosed with esophageal cancer between 2010 and 2016, 713 (6.50%) presented with initial lung metastasis at diagnosis. Lung metastasis represented 27.15% of all cases with metastatic disease to any distant site. Considering all patients with esophageal cancer, multivariable logistic regression indicated that pathology grade, pathology type, T staging, N staging, race, and number of extrapulmonary metastatic sites were predictive factors for the occurrence of lung metastases at diagnosis. The median survival time of patients with ECLM was 4.0 months. Patients receiving chemotherapy or chemoradiotherapy had the longest median overall survival, 7.0 months. Multivariable Cox regression indicated that age, histology type, T2 staging, number of extrapulmonary metastatic sites, and treatment (chemotherapy, radiotherapy, or chemoradiotherapy) were independent predictors for overall survival (OS). Multivariable competing risk analysis determined that age, number of extrapulmonary metastatic sites, and treatment were independent predictors for esophageal cancer-specific survival (CSS).

Conclusion

The findings of this study may provide important information for the early diagnosis of ECLM, as well as aid physicians in choosing appropriate treatment regimens for these patients.

A population-based predictive model predicting candidate for primary tumor surgery in patients with metastatic esophageal cancer

Background

The survival benefit of primary tumor surgery for metastatic esophageal cancer (mEC) patients has been observed, but methods for discriminating which individual patients would benefit from surgery have been poorly defined. Herein, a predictive model was developed to test the hypothesis that only certain metastatic patients would gain a survival benefit from primary tumor surgery.

Methods

Clinical data for patients with mEC were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database [2004-2016] and then divided into surgery and no-surgery groups according to whether surgery was performed on the primary tumor. Propensity-score-matching (PSM) was performed to balance the confounding factors. We hypothesized that the patients who had undergone surgery and lived longer than the median cancer-specific-survival (CSS) of the no-surgery group could benefit from surgery. We constructed a nomogram to predict surgery benefit potential based on multivariable logistic-regression analysis using preoperative factors. The predictive performance of the nomogram was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) and calibration curves. The clinical application value of the nomogram was estimated with decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

A total of 5,250 eligible patients with mEC were identified, and 9.4% [492] received primary tumor surgery. After PSM, CSS for the surgery group was significantly longer [median: 19 vs. 9 months; hazard ratio (HR) 0.52, P<0.001] compared with the no-surgery group. Among the surgery group, 69.3% [327] survived >9 months (surgery-beneficial group). The prediction nomogram showed good discrimination both in training and validation sets (AUC: 0.72 and 0.70, respectively), and the calibration curves indicated a good consistency. DCA demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically useful. According to this nomogram, surgery patients were classified into two groups: no-benefit-candidate and benefit-candidate. The benefit-candidate group was associated with longer survival than the no-benefit-candidate group (median CSS: 19 vs. 6.5 months, P<0.001). Additionally, there was no difference in survival between the no-benefit-candidate and no-surgery groups (median CSS: 6.5 vs. 9 months, P=0.070).

Conclusions

A predictive model was created for the selection of candidates for surgical treatment among mEC patients. This predictive model might be used to select patients who may benefit from primary tumor surgery.

Surgery to the primary tumor is associated with improved survival of patients with metastatic esophageal cancer: propensity score-matched analyses of a large retrospective cohort

The survival advantage of surgery to the primary tumor for patients with distant metastatic esophageal cancer has not been adequately evaluated. This study aims to investigate the role of surgery to the primary tumor in distant metastatic esophageal cancer and to evaluate possible different effects of surgery on survival of esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). This study included a cohort of 4,367 metastatic esophageal cancer patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, registered from January 2004 to December 2014. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazardous models were used to evaluate the overall survival (OS) and corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to adjust for potential baseline confounding. Both EAC (median OS for surgery group vs. no-surgery group-14.0 vs. 9.0 months, P < 0.001) and ESCC (median OS for surgery vs. no-surgery group-11.0 vs. 7.0 months, P = 0.002) experienced survival benefits from surgery. We found that surgery to the primary tumor, when combined with chemotherapy, was associated with improved survival for patients with M1b disease, both EAC and ESCC, with a greater benefit observed in younger patients, and those with EAC. While the present data indicate a potential survival benefit from surgery for some patients with metastatic esophageal cancer, it is possible that performance status and metastatic disease burden impacted patient selection, influencing these results. Further studies are needed to determine the role of surgery for patients with metastatic esophageal cancer.

Metastatic incidence of (PET)CT positive lung hilar and retroperitoneal lymph nodes in esophageal cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Extra-regional lymph node metastases strongly determine treatment options in patients with esophageal cancer. Staging modalities such as (FDG-PET) CT scanning frequently show activity in retroperitoneal and lung hilar lymph nodes. This study evaluated the incidence of histologically confirmed metastases, treatment approach and recurrence patterns in patients with (FDG-PET) CT positivity in these regions.

METHODS

All patients with (FDG-PET-) CT positive hilar and/or retroperitoneal lymph nodes at primary staging or restaging discussed at a multidisciplinary tumor board meeting for staging of esophageal cancer between January 2012-December 2017 were included. Biopsies and follow-up were evaluated to determine the presence of metastases and progression rates.

RESULTS

From 2012 to 2017, 65 of 857 patients (7.6%) were selected with positive retroperitoneal and/or hilar lymph nodes. A total of 47/65 (72.3%) patients had positive retroperitoneal lymph nodes, which contained metastases in 19 (29.2%). When no biopsy was performed and curative treatment was given (n = 14), 9 patients had progression or locoregional and distant recurrence. Positive hilar lymph nodes were identified in 21 (32.3%) patients; 4 were biopsied and none contained metastases. In these patients no recurrence of disease was seen during follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

The majority of biopsied (PET)CT-positive retroperitoneal lymph nodes at staging contained metastases, while biopsied (PET)CT-positive hilar nodes did not. Histological evaluation of (PET)CT -positive retroperitoneal lymph nodes at staging imaging is recommended, while based on this small series, (PET)CT-positive hilar lymph nodes most likely represent reactive lymphadenopathy.

Clinical features and prognostic factors in patients with esophageal cancer with bone metastasis

There have been few reports on bone metastases (BMs) from esophageal cancer (EC). The aim of the present study was to investigate the clinicopathological features and prognostic factors in patients with EC with BMs. The present study retrospectively collected data from 58 patients with BMs from EC who were treated at our institution between 2007 and 2016. Patient, tumor and BM-associated characteristics were analyzed. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were constructed and analyzed using the univariate log-rank test. Multivariate analyses were conducted using the Cox proportional hazards model. The median patient age was 67 years (range, 39–84 years). Multiple BMs were detected in 38 patients (65.5%) and 52 patients (89.7%) exhibited osteolytic BMs. Skeletal-related events (SREs) occurred in 53 patients (91.4%). The one-year overall survival (OS) was 25.3%, and the median OS was 5 months (range, 0–54). Univariate analyses revealed that performance status, visceral or brain metastasis, serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), C-reactive protein, albumin level, and receipt of chemotherapy following BM diagnosis were significantly associated with OS. Multivariate analyses of these factors demonstrated that higher serum CEA levels and no chemotherapy were significant risk factors for poor OS. Multiple osteolytic BMs are frequently observed in patients with EC with BMs, and SREs commonly occur. The prognoses of patients with EC with BMs are poor, but chemotherapy administration following the BM diagnosis should confer a survival benefit.

Primary impact of Gli1 on radioresistance in esophageal cancer

Radioresistance is the primary cause for the low efficacy of radiotherapy in the treatment of esophageal cancer (EC). Increasing evidence has demonstrated that the Sonic Hedgehog (Shh) signaling pathway may be involved in the pathology of various tumors, including EC. The present study aimed to examine the association between radioresistance in EC and the Sonic Hedgehog pathway, and to determine whether a downstream transcription factor of the Shh pathway, glioma-associated oncogene family zinc finger 1 (Gli1), serves a primary role in radioresistance. The radiation-resistant cell line Eca109R was established by repeated low dose (cumulative dose 60 Gy) irradiation of the human EC cell line Eca109. The level of cell radiosensitivity was determined by colony formation assay, and the localization of Gli1 was detected using immunofluorescence. Western blotting was used to determine the protein expression levels of Gli1, Shh, patched 1 (Ptch) and smoothened frizzled class receptor (Smo) in the two cell lines. Significantly higher levels of Gli1 were identified in the Eca109R cell line compared with those inEca109 cells (P<0.05). Additionally, western blotting analysis demonstrated an increased expression level of the Gli1, Shh, Ptch and Smo proteins in Eca109R, compared with Eca109 cells (P<0.05). Overexpression of Gli1 in the parental cell line led to decreased levels of radiosensitivity and radiosensitivity of the radioresistant cell line was restored through knockdown of Gli1. The present study demonstrated that Gli1 may be associated with the development of radioresistance in EC.

Nomogram predicting cancer-specific mortality in patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma: a competing risk analysis

Background

Many factors are reported to be related to the prognosis of patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), but few reliable and straightforward tools for clinicians to estimate individual mortalities have been developed. This study aimed to evaluate the probability of cancer-specific death for patients with EAC and to build nomograms for predicting long-term cancer-specific mortality and overall mortality for EAC patients.

Methods

Between 2004 and 2013, a total of 20,623 patients were identified from the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) database and randomly divided into training (N=14,436) and validation (N=6,187) cohorts. The cumulative incidence functions (CIFs) of EAC-specific death and other causes were evaluated at the 1st, 3rd, and 5th year after diagnosis. We integrated the significant prognostic factors to construct nomograms and subjected them to internal and external validation.

Results

The CIFs of EAC-specific survival at 1, 3, and 5 years after diagnosis were 60.9%, 37.1%, and 31.3%, respectively. Predictors for cancer-specific mortality for EAC comprised tumor grade, tumor extension, the involvement of lymph nodes, distant metastasis, surgery of primary site, insurance recode, and marital status. For overall mortality, it also included the predictor of age at diagnosis. The nomograms were well-calibrated and had good discriminative ability with concordance indexes (c-indexes) of 0.733, 0.728, and 0.728 for 1-, 3- and 5-year prognosis prediction of EAC-specific mortality respectively, and 0.726, 0.720, 0.719 for 1-, 3-, and 5-year prognosis prediction of overall mortality respectively.

Conclusions

We proposed and validated the effective and convenient nomograms to predict cancer-specific mortality and the overall mortality for patients with EAC, which only require the basic information available in clinical practice.

Radiotherapy improves the survival of patients with metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a propensity score matched analysis of Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database

The survival advantage of radiotherapy (RT) for patients with metastatic esophagus cancer has not been adequately evaluated. This study aims to find out the role of RT for metastatic esophagus cancer and to find the different effect for RT to esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). This study included 5,970 metastatic esophagus cancer patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, registered from January 2004 to December 2013. Propensity score (PS) analysis with 1:1 nearest neighbor matching method was used to ensure well-balanced characteristics of all comparison groups by histological types. The Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazardous models were used to evaluate the overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), and corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). Generally speaking, EAC did not get survival benefit from RT (median OS for RT group vs. no-RT group-8.0, 7.6-8.4 vs. 9.0, 8.5-9.5, P = 0.073), whereas RT for metastatic ESCC did significantly improve OS (median OS for RT group vs. no-RT group-8.0, 7.4-8.6 vs. 7.0, 6.4-7.6, P = 0.044). Therefore, compared with adenocarcinoma, ESCC could get more survival benefit from RT.

Sites of metastasis and overall survival in esophageal cancer: a population-based study

Background

There are few population-based studies of the sites of distant metastasis (DM) and survival from esophageal cancer (EC). The aim of this study was to assess the patterns and survival outcomes for site-specific DM from EC using a population-based approach.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with de novo stage IV EC between 2010 and 2014 were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program database. Overall survival (OS) was compared according to the site of DM.

Results

We included 3218 patients in this study; the most common site of DM was the liver, followed by distant lymph nodes, lung, bone and brain. Median OS for patients with liver, distant lymph node, lung, bone, and brain metastases was 5, 10, 6, 4, and 6 months, respectively (p<0.001). Site and number of distant metastases were independent prognostic factors for OS. In patients with a single site of DM, using liver metastases as reference, OS was lower for bone metastases (p=0.026) and higher for distant lymph node metastases (p=0.008), while brain (p=0.653) or lung (p=0.081) metastases had similar OS compared with liver metastases. Similar site-specific survival differences were observed in the subgroup with esophageal adenocarcinoma. However, distant lymph node metastases was associated with better survival (p=0.002) compared to liver, bone, or lung metastases in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Conclusion

Site of metastasis affects survival in metastatic EC; OS was worst for bone metastases and greatest for distant lymph node metastases.

Survival benefit evaluation of radiotherapy in esophageal cancer patients aged 80 and older

Purpose

To evaluate the survival benefit of radiotherapy (RT) in esophageal cancer (EC) patients aged ≥ 80.

Materials and Methods

Records for all EC patients aged ≥ 65 years were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Chi-square test compared the characteristic and treatment between patients aged ≥ 80 with those aged 65–79. Focusing on patients aged ≥ 80, we employed multivariable logistic regression to identify the association between selection of RT and patients’ characteristics. Survival curve was employed to visualize the survival rate and multivariable Cox proportional hazard model was established to quantify the effect of RT on overall survival (OS) and cancer special survival (CSS).

Results

Patients aged ≥ 80 were more likely to be white male and have localized EC (all P < 0.001). Selection of RT in patients aged ≥ 80 were associated with cancer histology (P < 0.001), grade (P = 0.024) and stage (P < 0.001). RT significantly improved the OS (hazard ratio(HR) = 0.717) and CSS (HR = 0.722) (all P < 0.001). Further stratified analysis found the improvement were only significant in the localized (OS HR = 0.662; CSS HR=0.652) and regional stage patients (OS HR = 0.571; CSS HR = 0.581) (all P < 0.001).

Conclusions

Our study suggested EC patients aged ≥ 80 benefit from RT only if the cancer is in localized/regional stage.

Improved Overall Survival with Aggressive Primary Tumor Radiotherapy for Patients with Metastatic Esophageal Cancer

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to characterize utilization and survival outcomes associated with primary tumor-directed radiotherapy (PTDRT) in patients with newly diagnosed metastatic esophageal cancer.

METHODS

We conducted an observational cohort study using the National Cancer Data Base to evaluate patients with newly diagnosed metastatic esophageal cancer between 2004 and 2012. Overall survival outcomes after treatment with chemotherapy plus conventional palliative dose radiotherapy (<5040 cGy), chemotherapy plus definitive dose radiotherapy (≥5040 cGy), or chemotherapy alone were compared by using Cox proportional hazards models with inverse probability of treatment weighting using the propensity score. Potential unmeasured confounding was assessed through sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

The final cohort consisted of 12,683 patients: 57% were treated with chemotherapy alone, 24% were treated with chemotherapy plus palliative dose radiotherapy, and 19% were treated with chemotherapy plus definitive dose radiotherapy. Compared with chemotherapy alone, chemotherapy plus definitive dose radiotherapy was associated with improved survival (median overall survival of 8.3 versus 11.3 months [hazard ratio = 0.72, 95% confidence interval: 0.70-0.74, p ≤ 0.001]), whereas chemotherapy plus palliative dose radiotherapy was associated with slightly inferior outcomes (median overall survival of 8.3 months versus 7.5 months (hazard ratio = 1.10, 95% confidence interval 1.07-1.13, p ≤ 0.001). These findings were robust to potential unmeasured confounding in sensitivity analyses. Additionally, landmark analyses confirmed these findings in patients surviving 12 months or longer.

CONCLUSIONS

Definitive dose, but not conventional palliative dose, PTDRT is associated with improved overall survival in metastatic esophageal cancer, suggesting that local control may be important to prognosis. These findings support integrating PTDRT into future clinical trials aimed at refining personalized treatment for patients with metastatic esophageal cancer.

The Management and Prognostic Prediction of Adenocarcinoma of Appendix

Malignant tumours of the appendix are quite rare, especially appendiceal adenocarcinomas, which may be difficult to detect preoperatively or intraoperatively. We collected data for 1404 patients with adenocarcinoma of the appendix from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) database to explore the potential associations between clinicopathological factors and overall survival. Furthermore, a novel nomogram for predicting prognosis was developed based on our analysis of the SEER data. The nomogram prediction model included seven prognostic factors derived based on different clinical estimates. When compared with the traditional tumour-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system, the nomogram prediction model showed superior discriminatory power (Harrell’s C-index, 0.741 vs. 0.686) and a greater degree of similarity to actual 5-year overall survival after calibration (Akaike Information Criterion index, 5270.781 vs. 5430.141). Finally, we provide recommendations for the management of patients with adenocarcinoma of the appendix. Notably, we found the depth of adenocarcinoma invasion may be used as an indicator to determine the optimal surgical approach. For mucinous adenocarcinomas of the appendix, because these tumours are characterized by unique biological behaviour, intraoperative hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) is recommended. However, whether systematic chemotherapy should be administered to patients with adenocarcinoma of the appendix requires further investigation.