New Guidelines for Statistical Reporting in the Journal

Outcomes by sex in the International Study of Comparative Health Effectiveness With Medical and Invasive Approaches (ISCHEMIA) trial

BACKGROUND

In the International Study of Comparative Health Effectiveness With Medical and Invasive Approaches (ISCHEMIA) trial, among participants with stable coronary artery disease, the risk of cardiac events was similar between an invasive (INV) strategy of angiography and coronary revascularisation and a conservative (CON) strategy of initial medical therapy alone. Outcomes according to participant sex were not reported.

AIMS

We aimed to analyse the outcomes of ISCHEMIA by participant sex.

METHODS

We evaluated 1) the association between participant sex and the likelihood of undergoing revascularisation for participants randomised to the INV arm; 2) the risk of the ISCHEMIA primary composite outcome (cardiovascular death, any myocardial infarction [MI] or rehospitalisation for unstable angina, heart failure or resuscitated cardiac arrest) by participant sex; and 3) the contribution of the individual primary outcome components to the composite outcome by participant sex.

RESULTS

Of 5,179 randomised participants, 1,168 (22.6%) were women. Female sex was independently associated with a lower likelihood of revascularisation when assigned to the INV arm (adjusted odds ratio 0.75, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.57-0.99; p=0.04). The INV versus CON effect on the primary composite outcome was similar between sexes (women: hazard ratio [HR] 0.96, 95% CI: 0.70-1.33; men: HR 0.90, 95% CI: 0.76-1.07; pinteraction=0.71). The contribution of the individual components to the composite outcome was similar between sexes except for procedural MI, which was significantly lower in women (9/151 [5.9%]) than men (67/519 [12.9%]; p=0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

In ISCHEMIA, women assigned to the INV arm were less likely to undergo revascularisation than men. The effect of an INV versus CON strategy was consistent by sex, but women had a significantly lower contribution of procedural MI to the primary outcome.

How to Use and Report on p-values

The use of the p-value in quantitative research, particularly its threshold of "P < 0.05" for determining "statistical significance," has long been a cornerstone of statistical analysis in research. However, this standard has been increasingly scrutinized for its potential to mislead findings, especially when the practical significance, the number of comparisons, or the suitability of statistical tests are not properly considered. In response to controversy around use of p-values, the American Statistical Association published a statement in 2016 that challenged the research community to abandon the term "statistically significant". This stance has been echoed by leading scientific journals to urge a significant reduction or complete elimination in the reliance on p-values when reporting results. To provide guidance to researchers in health professions education, this paper provides a succinct overview of the ongoing debate regarding the use of p-values and the definition of p-values. It reflects on the controversy by highlighting the common pitfalls associated with p-value interpretation and usage, such as misinterpretation, overemphasis, and false dichotomization between "significant" and "non-significant" results. This paper also outlines specific recommendations for the effective use of p-values in statistical reporting including the importance of reporting effect sizes, confidence intervals, the null hypothesis, and conducting sensitivity analyses for appropriate interpretation. These considerations aim to guide researchers toward a more nuanced and informative use of p-values.

Differential Treatment Effects of Subgroup Analyses in Phase 3 Oncology Trials From 2004 to 2020

Importance

Subgroup analyses are often performed in oncology to investigate differential treatment effects and may even constitute the basis for regulatory approvals. Current understanding of the features, results, and quality of subgroup analyses is limited.

Objective

To evaluate forest plot interpretability and credibility of differential treatment effect claims among oncology trials.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cross-sectional study included randomized phase 3 clinical oncology trials published prior to 2021. Trials were screened from ClinicalTrials.gov.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Missing visual elements in forest plots were defined as a missing point estimate or use of a linear x-axis scale for hazard and odds ratios. Multiplicity of testing control was recorded. Differential treatment effect claims were rated using the Instrument for Assessing the Credibility of Effect Modification Analyses. Linear and logistic regressions evaluated associations with outcomes.

Results

Among 785 trials, 379 studies (48%) enrolling 331 653 patients reported a subgroup analysis. The forest plots of 43% of trials (156 of 363) were missing visual elements impeding interpretability. While 4148 subgroup effects were evaluated, only 1 trial (0.3%) controlled for multiple testing. On average, trials that did not meet the primary end point conducted 2 more subgroup effect tests compared with trials meeting the primary end point (95% CI, 0.59-3.43 tests; P = .006). A total of 101 differential treatment effects were claimed across 15% of trials (55 of 379). Interaction testing was missing in 53% of trials (29 of 55) claiming differential treatment effects. Trials not meeting the primary end point were associated with greater odds of no interaction testing (odds ratio, 4.47; 95% CI, 1.42-15.55, P = .01). The credibility of differential treatment effect claims was rated as low or very low in 93% of cases (94 of 101).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cross-sectional study of phase 3 oncology trials, nearly half of trials presented a subgroup analysis in their primary publication. However, forest plots of these subgroup analyses largely lacked essential features for interpretation, and most differential treatment effect claims were not supported. Oncology subgroup analyses should be interpreted with caution, and improvements to the quality of subgroup analyses are needed.

Do pelvic floor muscle function parameters differ in women according to continence status? A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Current literature highlights the difficulty in identifying which pelvic floor muscle (PFM) functions are correlated with urinary incontinence (UI).

AIM

In this study, we compared parameters of PFM function (strength, endurance, tone, control, reaction, and/or coordination) according to continence status in women (presence or absence, type and/or severity of urinary incontinence).

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

A systematic review was conducted following the 2020 PRISMA guidelines. Three databases (Pubmed, Web of Science, and LiSSa) were searched from inception to December 31, 2021. Assessment of risk of bias was performed using the Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal checklist.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

The initial research yielded 4733 studies. Forty-two studies met the inclusion criteria, including 4015 participants. No statistical association was found between PFM function and the presence or absence of UI, the different type of UI or the different levels of severity of UI. The heterogeneity in methodologies and analyzes of the results only with the P-value are important limitations of this review.

CONCLUSION

It appears that muscle function is not always associated with presence or absence of UI. No association is found between PFM function and type or severity of UI. These results reinforce the need to carry out a bio-psycho-social evaluation of UI that does not only focus on PFM functions. As such, the results reported herein can be considered a resource for more specific research.

Impact of timing of antihypertensive treatment on mortality: an observational study from the Spanish Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring Registry

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Whether bedtime versus morning administration of antihypertensive therapy is beneficial on outcomes is controversial. We evaluated the risk of total and cardiovascular mortality in a very large observational cohort of treated hypertensive patients, according to the timing of their usual treatment administration (morning versus evening).

METHODS

Vital status and cause of death were obtained from death certificates of 28 406 treated hypertensive patients (mean age 62 years, 53% male individuals), enrolled in the Spanish Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring (ABPM) Registry between 2004 and 2014. Among the 28 406 patients, most (86%) received their medication exclusively in the morning; whilst 13% were treated exclusively in the evening or at bedtime. Follow-up was for a median of 9.7 years and 4345 deaths occurred, of which 1478 were cardiovascular deaths.

RESULTS

Using Cox-models adjusted for clinical confounders and 24-h SBP, and compared with patients treated in the morning (reference group), all-cause mortality [hazard ratio 1.01; 95% CI 0.93-1.09) and cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio 1.04; 95% CI 0.91-1.19) was not significantly different in those receiving evening medication dosing. The results were consistent in all the subgroups of patients analysed.

CONCLUSION

In this very large observational study, morning versus bedtime dosing of antihypertensive medication made no difference to the subsequent risk of all-cause or cardiovascular mortality. These findings are in accordance with results from a recent randomized controlled trial and do not support the hypothesis of a specific beneficial effect of night-time antihypertensive treatment dosing on risk of all-cause or cardiovascular death.

Peer review of clinical and translational research manuscripts: Perspectives from statistical collaborators

Research articles in the clinical and translational science literature commonly use quantitative data to inform evaluation of interventions, learn about the etiology of disease, or develop methods for diagnostic testing or risk prediction of future events. The peer review process must evaluate the methodology used therein, including use of quantitative statistical methods. In this manuscript, we provide guidance for peer reviewers tasked with assessing quantitative methodology, intended to complement guidelines and recommendations that exist for manuscript authors. We describe components of clinical and translational science research manuscripts that require assessment including study design and hypothesis evaluation, sampling and data acquisition, interventions (for studies that include an intervention), measurement of data, statistical analysis methods, presentation of the study results, and interpretation of the study results. For each component, we describe what reviewers should look for and assess; how reviewers should provide helpful comments for fixable errors or omissions; and how reviewers should communicate uncorrectable and irreparable errors. We then discuss the critical concepts of transparency and acceptance/revision guidelines when communicating with responsible journal editors.

Associations between prenatal exposure to per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances and wheezing and asthma symptoms in 4-year-old children: The Japan Environment and Children's Study

The effects of early-life exposure to per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) on the onset of asthma in children have been unclear. We examined the association between prenatal PFAS exposure and wheezing and asthma symptoms among 4-year-old children in a total of 17,856 mother-child pairs from the Japan Environment and Children's Study. Maternal first-trimester serum concentrations of six PFAS were used for the exposure assessment. We defined "wheeze ever," "current wheeze," "current symptoms of severe asthma," and "asthma ever" at the age of 4 years by the responses to the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) questionnaire, and "doctor-diagnosed asthma" by the response to a corresponding question. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to examine exposure-outcome associations. Our findings revealed that doubling of the PFOA concentration was associated with a reduced occurrence of "wheeze ever," yielding an adjusted odds ratio of 0.94 (95% CI: 0.90-0.98). Also, doubling in the concentrations of PFOA and PFHxS was associated with a decreased prevalence of "asthma ever," with adjusted odds ratios of 0.94 (95% CI: 0.88-1.00) and 0.95 (95% CI: 0.90-0.99), respectively. However, these associations were not significant after applying the Bonferroni correction. The estimated exposure-response curves were nearly linear with a subtle or flat slope. When stratified by the child's sex or the mother's history of asthma, most of the estimated confidence intervals were overlapped between each pair of strata. Regional stratification analysis indicated low-to-moderate heterogeneity in 12 exposure-outcome pairs and moderate-to-high heterogeneity in 9 out of the 30 examined pairs. This study found no clear associations between prenatal PFAS exposure and the prevalence of wheezing and asthma among children at the age of 4 years.

Effect size and inferential statistical techniques coupled with machine learning for assessing the association between prolactin concentration and metabolic homeostasis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Recent guidelines classify low prolactin levels as low as <7 ng/mL and high levels as >25 ng/mL, while the "Homeostatically Functionally Increased Transient Prolactinemia" (HomeoFIT-PRL) range (25-100 ng/mL) suggests that a temporary increase in prolactin could be metabolically beneficial if no related health issues are present. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between mean prolactin concentrations and disturbances in glycidic and lipidic metabolism and to identify the gray zone associated with prolactin inflection points that correlate with these metabolic changes.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study involved 65,795 adults who underwent HOMA-IR, glucose, insulin, total cholesterol, HDL-c, LDL-c, and triglyceride tests. Data was categorized into 106 partitions based on prolactin results. Employing an approach referred to in this study as "Hierarchical Multicriteria Analysis of Differences Between Groups - Statistical and Effect Size Approach" (HiMADiG-SESA) comparing the mean concentrations of metabolic tests across prolactin ranges. A machine learning model was utilized to determine inflection points and their corresponding confidence intervals (CIs). These CIs helped establish gray zones in mean prolactin results related to metabolic changes.

RESULTS

Statistically and clinically, metabolic test means differed for prolactin <7 ng/mL, except insulin. In the HomeoFIT-PRL range, means were lower except for HDL-c. The gray zones of the mean prolactin results associated with changes in glycidic and lipidic metabolism were 9.58-12.87 ng/mL and 13.81-18.73 ng/mL, respectively.

CONCLUSION

A strong correlation was identified between mean prolactin concentrations and the results of metabolism tests below the gray zones associated with inflection points, indicating the potential role of prolactin in the appearance of metabolic disorders. Mean prolactin results can provide deeper insight into metabolic balance.

Integrity of randomized clinical trials: Performance of integrity tests and checklists requires assessment

The integrity of randomized clinical trials (RCT) has become a concern owing to a recent rise in the number of retractions and the repercussions this has for evidence-based patient care. However, there is little research on the subject of RCT integrity assessment. Recent literature reviews have revealed that journals' authors' instructions concerning integrity and their investigation policies concerning allegations of misconduct are heterogeneous. The judicious use of integrity tests applied to RCT manuscripts is hampered by an absence of data concerning misconduct prevalence (pre-test probability), a failure to evaluate test performance (validity) and a lack of consensus over a gold standard (against which test accuracy can be evaluated). These deficiencies hinder the post-publication correction of RCT records, the integrity evaluations in systematic reviews of RCTs and the prospective application of preventive solutions in RCT peer-review and preprint assessment. Dealing with the current controversy about trustworthiness of RCT evidence requires a strong investment in research, reform and education concerning research integrity. The purpose of this review article is to highlight the current limitations in dealing with trial integrity-related concerns and to propose solutions to some of these issues.

Statistical significance and publication reporting bias in abstracts of reproductive medicine studies

STUDY QUESTION

What were the frequency and temporal trends of reporting P-values and effect measures in the abstracts of reproductive medicine studies in 1990-2022, how were reported P-values distributed, and what proportion of articles that present with statistical inference reported statistically significant results, i.e. 'positive' results?

SUMMARY ANSWER

Around one in six abstracts reported P-values alone without effect measures, while the prevalence of effect measures, whether reported alone or accompanied by P-values, has been increasing, especially in meta-analyses and randomized controlled trials (RCTs); the reported P-values were frequently observed around certain cut-off values, notably at 0.001, 0.01, or 0.05, and among abstracts present with statistical inference (i.e. P-value, CIs, or significant terms), a large majority (77%) reported at least one statistically significant finding.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

Publishing or reporting only results that show a 'positive' finding causes bias in evaluating interventions and risk factors and may incur adverse health outcomes for patients.

Despite efforts to minimize publication reporting bias in medical research, it remains unclear whether the magnitude and patterns of the bias have changed over time.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

We studied abstracts of reproductive medicine studies from 1990 to 2022. The reproductive medicine studies were published in 23 first-quartile journals under the category of Obstetrics and Gynaecology and Reproductive Biology in Journal Citation Reports and 5 high-impact general medical journals (The Journal of the American Medical Association, The Lancet, The BMJ, The New England Journal of Medicine, and PLoS Medicine). Articles without abstracts, animal studies, and non-research articles, such as case reports or guidelines, were excluded.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

Automated text-mining was used to extract three types of statistical significance reporting, including P-values, CIs, and text description. Meanwhile, abstracts were text-mined for the presence of effect size metrics and Bayes factors. Five hundred abstracts were randomly selected and manually checked for the accuracy of automatic text extraction. The extracted statistical significance information was then analysed for temporal trends and distribution in general as well as in subgroups of study designs and journals.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

A total of 24 907 eligible reproductive medicine articles were identified from 170 739 screened articles published in 28 journals. The proportion of abstracts not reporting any statistical significance inference halved from 81% (95% CI, 76-84%) in 1990 to 40% (95% CI, 38-44%) in 2021, while reporting P-values alone remained relatively stable, at 15% (95% CI, 12-18%) in 1990 and 19% (95% CI, 16-22%) in 2021. By contrast, the proportion of abstracts reporting effect measures alone increased considerably from 4.1% (95% CI, 2.6-6.3%) in 1990 to 26% (95% CI, 23-29%) in 2021. Similarly, the proportion of abstracts reporting effect measures together with P-values showed substantial growth from 0.8% (95% CI, 0.3-2.2%) to 14% (95% CI, 12-17%) during the same timeframe. Of 30 182 statistical significance inferences, 56% (n = 17 077) conveyed statistical inferences via P-values alone, 30% (n = 8945) via text description alone such as significant or non-significant, 9.3% (n = 2820) via CIs alone, and 4.7% (n = 1340) via both CI and P-values. The reported P-values (n = 18 417), including both a continuum of P-values and dichotomized P-values, were frequently observed around common cut-off values such as 0.001 (20%), 0.05 (16%), and 0.01 (10%). Of the 13 200 reproductive medicine abstracts containing at least one statistical inference, 77% of abstracts made at least one statistically significant statement. Among articles that reported statistical inference, a decline in the proportion of making at least one statistically significant inference was only seen in RCTs, dropping from 71% (95% CI, 48-88%) in 1990 to 59% (95% CI, 42-73%) in 2021, whereas the proportion in the rest of study types remained almost constant over the years. Of abstracts that reported P-value, 87% (95% CI, 86-88%) reported at least one statistically significant P-value; it was 92% (95% CI, 82-97%) in 1990 and reached its peak at 97% (95% CI, 93-99%) in 2001 before declining to 81% (95% CI, 76-85%) in 2021.

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

First, our analysis focused solely on reporting patterns in abstracts but not full-text papers; however, in principle, abstracts should include condensed impartial information and avoid selective reporting. Second, while we attempted to identify all types of statistical significance reporting, our text mining was not flawless. However, the manual assessment showed that inaccuracies were not frequent.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

There is a welcome trend that effect measures are increasingly reported in the abstracts of reproductive medicine studies, specifically in RCTs and meta-analyses. Publication reporting bias remains a major concern. Inflated estimates of interventions and risk factors could harm decisions built upon biased evidence, including clinical recommendations and planning of future research.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S)

No funding was received for this study. B.W.M. is supported by an NHMRC Investigator grant (GNT1176437); B.W.M. reports research grants and travel support from Merck and consultancy from Merch and ObsEva. W.L. is supported by an NHMRC Investigator Grant (GNT2016729). Q.F. reports receiving a PhD scholarship from Merck. The other author has no conflict of interest to declare.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

N/A.

Association Between User Interaction and Treatment Response of a Voice-Based Coach for Treating Depression and Anxiety: Secondary Analysis of a Pilot Randomized Controlled Trial

BACKGROUND

The quality of user interaction with therapeutic tools has been positively associated with treatment response; however, no studies have investigated these relationships for voice-based digital tools.

OBJECTIVE

This study evaluated the relationships between objective and subjective user interaction measures as well as treatment response on Lumen, a novel voice-based coach, delivering problem-solving treatment to patients with mild to moderate depression or anxiety or both.

METHODS

In a pilot trial, 42 adults with clinically significant depression (Patient Health Questionnaire-9 [PHQ-9]) or anxiety (7-item Generalized Anxiety Disorder Scale [GAD-7]) symptoms or both received Lumen, a voice-based coach delivering 8 problem-solving treatment sessions. Objective (number of conversational breakdowns, ie, instances where a participant's voice input could not be interpreted by Lumen) and subjective user interaction measures (task-related workload, user experience, and treatment alliance) were obtained for each session. Changes in PHQ-9 and GAD-7 scores at each ensuing session after session 1 measured the treatment response.

RESULTS

Participants were 38.9 (SD 12.9) years old, 28 (67%) were women, 8 (19%) were Black, 12 (29%) were Latino, 5 (12%) were Asian, and 28 (67%) had a high school or college education. Mean (SD) across sessions showed breakdowns (mean 6.5, SD 4.4 to mean 2.3, SD 1.8) decreasing over sessions, favorable task-related workload (mean 14.5, SD 5.6 to mean 17.6, SD 5.6) decreasing over sessions, neutral-to-positive user experience (mean 0.5, SD 1.4 to mean 1.1, SD 1.3), and high treatment alliance (mean 5.0, SD 1.4 to mean 5.3, SD 0.9). PHQ-9 (Ptrend=.001) and GAD-7 scores (Ptrend=.01) improved significantly over sessions. Treatment alliance correlated with improvements in PHQ-9 (Pearson r=-0.02 to -0.46) and GAD-7 (r=0.03 to -0.57) scores across sessions, whereas breakdowns and task-related workload did not. Mixed models showed that participants with higher individual mean treatment alliance had greater improvements in PHQ-9 (β=-1.13, 95% CI -2.16 to -0.10) and GAD-7 (β=-1.17, 95% CI -2.13 to -0.20) scores.

CONCLUSIONS

The participants had fewer conversational breakdowns and largely favorable user interactions with Lumen across sessions. Conversational breakdowns were not associated with subjective user interaction measures or treatment responses, highlighting how participants adapted and effectively used Lumen. Individuals experiencing higher treatment alliance had greater improvements in depression and anxiety. Understanding treatment alliance can provide insights on improving treatment response for this new delivery modality, which provides accessibility, flexibility, comfort with disclosure, and cost-related advantages compared to conventional psychotherapy.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04524104; https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04524104.

The MoXFo initiative - study design: Considerations related to study design and methodology in exercise research for people with multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Exercise as a subset of physical activity is a cornerstone in the management of multiple sclerosis (MS) based on its pleiotropic effects, but continued progression of the field requires better future designs and methodologies.

OBJECTIVES

This paper outlines the work of the 'Study design and methodology' group of the MoXFo (moving exercise research forward) initiative, and addresses critical aspects and future directions when defining the research question of interest, and subsequently, designing the study and exercise intervention in MS patients.

METHODS

The work is based on the formation of an international expert panel formed within the MoXFo initiative. We provide a structured and concise synthesis of exercise-specific MS research challenges and considerations when designing randomized controlled trials (RCTs).

RESULTS

Challenges and considerations are presented using the Patient population, Intervention, Comparator, Outcomes, Timing, Setting (PICOTS) framework, thereby forming a new and specific MS exercise PICOTS framework.

CONCLUSION

We propose that researchers should carefully consider and align all elements of this MS exercise PICOTS framework when developing future research questions and study designs, ultimately improving the quality of new exercise studies in people with MS.

Association between neutrophil-to-albumin ratio and long-term mortality of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

The prognosis of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) survivors is concerning. The goal of this study was to investigate and demonstrate the relationship between the neutrophil-to-albumin ratio (NAR) and long-term mortality of aSAH survivors.

METHODS

A retrospective observational cohort study was conducted at Sichuan University West China Hospital between January 2009 and June 2019. The investigation of relationship between NAR and long-term mortality was conducted using univariable and multivariable Cox regression models. To demonstrate the predictive performance of different biomarkers over time, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA) were created.

RESULTS

In total, 3173 aSAH patients were included in this study. There was a strong and continuous relationship between NAR levels and long-term mortality (HR 3.23 95% CI 2.75-3.79, p < 0.001). After adjustment, the result was still significant (adjusted HR 1.78 95% CI 1.49-2.12). Compared with patients with the lowest quartile (< 0.15) of NAR levels, the risk of long-term mortality in the other groups was higher (0.15-0.20: adjusted HR 1.30 95% CI 0.97-1.73; 0.20-0.28: adjusted HR 1.37 95% CI 1.03-1.82; >0.28: adjusted HR 1.74 95% CI 1.30-2.32). Results in survivors were found to be still robust. Moreover, out of all the inflammatory markers studied, NAR demonstrated the highest correlation with long-term mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

A high level of NAR was associated with increased long-term mortality among patients with aSAH. NAR was a promising inflammatory marker for long-term mortality of aSAH.

The relationship between admission hyperglycaemia and urinary tract infections in geriatric patients with hip fractures

PURPOSE

This study investigated the association of admission hyperglycaemia with catheter-associated urinary tract infections (CAUTIs) and catheter-unassociated urinary tract infections (CUUTIs) in elderly patients with hip fractures.

METHODS

In an observational cohort study of elderly patients with hip fractures, glucose values were collected within 24 h of admission. Urinary tract infections were classified as CAUTIs and CUUTIs. Multivariate logistic regression analysis and propensity score matching obtained adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for urinary tract infections. Subgroup analyses were further explored to investigate the relationship between admission hyperglycemia and urinary tract infections.

RESULTS

The study included 1279 elderly patients with hip fractures, 298 (23.3%) of whom had urinary tract infections upon hospitalization (including 182 CAUTIs and 116 CUUTIs). Propensity score matching indicated that patients with glucose levels exceeding 10.00 mmol/L had significantly higher odds of developing CAUTIs (OR 3.10, 95% CI 1.65-5.82) than those with glucose levels between 4.00-6.09 mmol/L. It is worth noting that patients with blood glucose levels greater than 10.00 mmol/L have a higher susceptibility for CUUTIs (OR 4.42, 95% CI 2.09-9.33) than CAUTIs. The subgroup analyses observed significant interactions between diabetes and CAUTIs (p for interaction = 0.01) and between bedridden time and CUUTIs (p for interaction = 0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

Elderly hip fracture patients with admission hyperglycaemia have an independent association with CAUTIs and CUUTIs. The association is stronger with CUUTIs and necessitates clinician intervention if blood glucose levels at admission exceed 10 mmol/L.

Interpreting Randomized Controlled Trials

This article describes rationales and limitations for making inferences based on data from randomized controlled trials (RCTs). We argue that obtaining a representative random sample from a patient population is impossible for a clinical trial because patients are accrued sequentially over time and thus comprise a convenience sample, subject only to protocol entry criteria. Consequently, the trial's sample is unlikely to represent a definable patient population. We use causal diagrams to illustrate the difference between random allocation of interventions within a clinical trial sample and true simple or stratified random sampling, as executed in surveys. We argue that group-specific statistics, such as a median survival time estimate for a treatment arm in an RCT, have limited meaning as estimates of larger patient population parameters. In contrast, random allocation between interventions facilitates comparative causal inferences about between-treatment effects, such as hazard ratios or differences between probabilities of response. Comparative inferences also require the assumption of transportability from a clinical trial's convenience sample to a targeted patient population. We focus on the consequences and limitations of randomization procedures in order to clarify the distinctions between pairs of complementary concepts of fundamental importance to data science and RCT interpretation. These include internal and external validity, generalizability and transportability, uncertainty and variability, representativeness and inclusiveness, blocking and stratification, relevance and robustness, forward and reverse causal inference, intention to treat and per protocol analyses, and potential outcomes and counterfactuals.

Effectiveness of an Enhanced Community Doula Intervention in a Safety Net Setting: A Randomized Controlled Trial

Background

Racial inequities in maternal health outcomes, the result of systemic racism and social determinants of health, require maternity care systems to implement interventions that reduce disparities. One such approach may be support from a community doula, a health worker who provides emotional support, peer education, navigation, and advocacy for pregnant, birthing, and postpartum people who share similar racial identities, cultural backgrounds, and/or lived experiences. While community support during birth has a long tradition within communities of Black Indigenous and People of Color (BIPOC), the reframing of community doula support as a social intervention that reduces disparities in clinical outcomes is recent.

Methods

We conducted a pragmatic randomized trial at an urban safety net hospital, comparing standard maternity care with standard care plus enhanced community doula support. We tested the effectiveness of a community doula program embedded in a safety net hospital in improving birth outcomes and explored the association between community doula support and health equity. Participants were nulliparous, insured by publicly funded health plans, and had lower risk pregnancies. The primary outcome was cesarean birth. Secondary outcomes included preterm birth and breastfeeding outcomes. Exploratory subgroup analysis was conducted by race-ethnicity.

Results

Three hundred sixty-seven participants were included in the primary analysis. In the intent-to-treat analysis, outcomes were similar between groups. There was a trend toward increased breastfeeding initiation (p=0.08). There was a statistically nonsignificant 12% absolute reduction in cesarean birth and 11.5% increase in exclusive breastfeeding during delivery hospitalization among Black non-Hispanic participants.

Discussion

While outcomes for the study sample were similar between randomization groups, health outcomes were improved for Black birthing people in cesarean and breastfeeding rates.

Conclusion

This study demonstrates the need for larger studies of community doula support for Black birthing people. Clinicaltrials.gov ID: NCT02550730.

Association between admission hyperglycemia and postoperative pneumonia in geriatric patients with hip fractures

BACKGROUND

Admission hyperglycemia is a common phenomenon in the early stages of injury. This study aimed to determine the relationship between admission hyperglycemia and postoperative pneumonia in geriatric patients with hip fractures.

METHODS

A total of 600 geriatric patients admitted to Dandong Central Hospital with hip fractures were included. Patients were divided into four groups based on quartiles of admission blood glucose levels: Q1- Q4. Multivariable logistic regression and propensity score-matched analyses were conducted to calculate adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for postoperative pneumonia. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to determine the cut-off value of admission hyperglycemia for predicting postoperative pneumonia.

RESULTS

The incidence of postoperative pneumonia was significantly higher among hyperglycemic patients than those with normal glucose levels (OR = 2.090, 95% CI: 1.135-3.846, p = 0.016). Admission hyperglycemia showed moderate predictive power, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.803. Furthermore, propensity score-matched analyses demonstrated that patients in the Q3 (OR = 4.250, 95% CI: 1.361-13.272, p = 0.013) and Q4 (OR = 4.667, 95% CI: 1.251-17.405, p = 0.022) quartiles had a significantly higher risk of postoperative pneumonia compared to patients in the Q1 quartile.

CONCLUSIONS

Admission hyperglycemia in elderly hip fracture patients increases the risk of postoperative pneumonia. This biomarker can aid clinical assessment and perioperative management.

An analysis of randomized controlled trials on anal fistula conducted between 2000 and 2020 based on the Fragility Index and Reverse Fragility Index

AIM

The aim of this work was to evaluate the robustness of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on anal fistula management using the news tools of Fragility Index (FI), Reverse Fragility Index (RFI) and their corresponding fragility quotients.

METHOD

A systematic search was conducted based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analysis (PRISMA) guidelines which utilized MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Library and Web of Science databases. Inclusion criteria included RCTs related to the management of anal fistula published from 2000 to 2022 with dichotomous outcomes measures and 1:1 allocation. Calculation of FI and RFI was performed by creating 2 × 2 contingency tables by successively changing one nonevent to an event for each outcome measure until the result was made nonsignificant or significant, respectively. The Fragility Quotients were calculated by dividing the FI or RFI by the total sample size. Fragile results were defined as those with a FI or RFI equal to or less than the number of patients lost to follow-up. Additionally, those with a FI or RFI less than 3 were also considered fragile. Studies were considered extremely fragile if FI was ≤1 or FQ was ≤0.01.

RESULTS

There were 36 RCTs that met our criteria, with 3223 patients. Among these, 19 (53%) were positive RCTs (p < 0.005) and 17 (47%) were negative RCTs (p > 0.05). The median FI was 2 (0-5). The analysis by categorical subgroup showed a strong correlation between FI and the p-value (p = 0.000) and the number of events (p = 0.011). The median RFI was 5 (3.5-9.5) and the subgroup analysis showed a strong correlation between RFI and the p-value (p = 0.000), sample size (0.021) and number needed to treat/number needed to harm (0.000). We considered 63.2% of positive RCTs to be fragile and 35.3% of negative RCTs.

CONCLUSIONS

In the present study we demonstrated the lack of robustness of study findings in published RCTs in the field of anal fistula.

Interatrial Block Association With Adverse Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients Without a History of Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Interatrial block (IAB) is associated with thromboembolism and atrial arrhythmias. However, prior studies included small patient cohorts so it remains unclear whether IAB predicts adverse outcomes particularly in context of atrial fibrillation (AF)/atrial flutter (AFL).

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to determine whether IAB portends increased stroke risk in a large cohort in the presence or absence of AFAF/AFL.

METHODS

We performed a 5-center retrospective analysis of 4,837,989 electrocardiograms (ECGs) from 1,228,291 patients. IAB was defined as P-wave duration ≥120 ms in leads II, III, or aVF. Measurements were extracted as .XML files. After excluding patients with prior AF/AFL, 1,825,958 ECGs from 458,994 patients remained. Outcomes were analyzed using restricted mean survival time analysis and restricted mean time lost.

RESULTS

There were 86,317 patients with IAB and 355,032 patients without IAB. IAB prevalence in the cohort was 19.6% and was most common in Black (26.1%), White (20.9%), and Hispanic (18.5%) patients and least prevalent in Native Americans (9.2%). IAB was independently associated with increased stroke probability (restricted mean time lost ratio coefficient [RMTLRC]: 1.43; 95% CI: 1.35-1.51; tau = 1,895), mortality (RMTLRC: 1.14; 95% CI: 1.07-1.21; tau = 1,924), heart failure (RMTLRC: 1.94; 95% CI: 1.83-2.04; tau = 1,921), systemic thromboembolism (RMTLRC: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.53-1.71; tau = 1,897), and incident AF/AFL (RMTLRC: 1.16; 95% CI: 1.10-1.22; tau = 1,888). IAB was not associated with stroke in patients with pre-existing AF/AFL.

CONCLUSIONS

IAB is independently associated with stroke in patients with no history of AF/AFL even after adjustment for incident AF/AFL and CHA2DS2-VASc score. Patients are at increased risk of stroke even when AF/AFL is not identified.

The effects of the DASH dietary pattern on clinical outcomes and quality of life in adults with uncontrolled asthma: Design and methods of the ALOHA Trial

BACKGROUND

Poor diet quality is an important risk factor for increased asthma prevalence and poor asthma control. To address the question of whether adults with asthma can benefit from following a healthy diet, this trial will test the efficacy and mechanisms of action of a behavioral intervention promoting the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) dietary pattern with sodium reduction among patients with uncontrolled asthma.

METHODS

In this 2-arm randomized clinical trial, 320 racially/ethnically and socioeconomically diverse adults with uncontrolled asthma on standard controller therapy will be randomized to either a control or an intervention group and assessed at baseline, 3, 6 and 12 months. Control and intervention participants will receive education on lung health, asthma, and other general health topics; additionally, the intervention group will receive DASH behavioral counseling over 12 months. The primary hypothesis is that the DASH behavioral intervention, compared with the education-only control, will lead to significantly more participants with minimum clinically important improvement (responders) in asthma-specific quality of life at 12 months. Secondary hypotheses will test the intervention effects on other asthma (e.g., asthma control, lung function) and non-asthma outcomes (e.g., quality of life). Additionally, therapeutic (e.g., short chain fatty acids, cytokines) and nutritional biomarkers (e.g., dietary inflammatory index, carotenoids) will be assessed to understand the mechanisms of the intervention effect.

CONCLUSION

This trial can substantially advance asthma care by providing rigorous evidence on the benefits of a behavioral dietary intervention and mechanistic insights into the role of diet quality in asthma.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov #: NCT05251402.

The Association of Oxaliplatin-Containing Adjuvant Chemotherapy Duration with Overall and Cancer-Specific Mortality in Individuals with Stage III Colon Cancer: A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study

PURPOSE

Few studies have examined the relationship between duration of oxaliplatin-containing adjuvant chemotherapy for stage III colon cancer and mortality in routine practice. We examined the association between treatment with 50% versus >85% of a maximal course of adjuvant therapy (eight cycles of CAPOX, twelve cycles of FOLFOX) and mortality in stage III colon cancer.

METHODS

Using linked databases, we identified Ontarians aged ≥18 years at diagnosis of stage III colon cancer between 2007 and 2019. In the primary comparison, we compared patients who received 50% or >85% of a maximal course of adjuvant therapy; in a secondary comparison, we evaluated a dose effect across patients who received FOLFOX in one-cycle increments from six to ten cycles against >85% (more than ten cycles) of a maximal course of FOLFOX. The main outcomes were overall and cancer-specific mortality. Follow-up began 270 days after adjuvant treatment initiation and terminated at the first of the outcome of interest, loss of eligibility for Ontario's Health Insurance Program, or study end. Overlap propensity score weights accounted for baseline between-group differences. We determined the hazard ratio, estimating the association between mortality and treatment. Non-inferiority was concluded in the primary comparison for either outcome if the upper limit of the two-sided 95% CI was ≤1.11, which is the margin used in the International Duration Evaluation of Adjuvant Chemotherapy Collaboration.

RESULTS

We included 3546 patients in the analysis of overall mortality; 486 (13.7%) received 50% and 3060 (86.3%) received >85% of a maximal course of therapy. Median follow-up was 5.4 years, and total follow-up was 20,510 person-years. There were 833 deaths. Treatment with 50% of a maximal course of adjuvant therapy was associated with a hazard ratio of 1.13 (95% CI 0.88 to 1.47) for overall mortality and a subdistribution hazard ratio of 1.31 (95% CI 0.91 to 1.87) for cancer-specific mortality versus >85% of a maximal course of therapy. In the secondary comparison, there was a trend toward higher overall mortality in patients treated with shorter durations of therapy, though confidence intervals overlapped considerably.

CONCLUSION

We could not conclude that treatment with 50% of a maximal course is non-inferior to >85% of a maximal course of adjuvant therapy for mortality in stage III colon cancer. Clinicians and patients engaging in decision-making around treatment duration in this context should carefully consider the trade-off between treatment effectiveness and adverse effects of treatment.

The Incidence and Risk Factors for Emergency Department Imaging in Acute Renal Colic

Objective: To determine the incidence of and risk factors for imaging in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with renal colic. Subject/Patients and Methods: We conducted a population-based cohort study in the province of Ontario, utilizing linked administrative health data. Patients who presented to an ED with renal colic between April 1, 2010, and June 30, 2020, were included. The rate of initial imaging (CT scans and ultrasound [U/S]) and repeat imaging within 30 days was determined. Generalized linear models were utilized to evaluate patient and institutional-level characteristics associated with imaging, and specifically CT vs U/S. Results: There were 397,491 index renal colic events, of which 67% underwent imaging (CT 68%, U/S 27%, and CT+U/S same day 5%). Repeat imaging was performed in 21% of events (U/S in 12.5%, CT in 8.4%) at a median of 10 days. Of those with an initial U/S, 28% had repeat imaging compared with 18.5% for those with an initial CT. Undergoing an initial CT was associated with being male, urban residence, later year of cohort entry, history of diabetes mellitus and inflammatory bowel disease, and presentation to nonacademic hospitals of larger size, or with a higher volume of ED visits. Conclusion: Two-thirds of renal colic patients underwent imaging, and CT was the most utilized modality. Patients undergoing an initial CT had a lower likelihood of repeat imaging within 30 days. The utilization of CT increased over time and was more common in males and those presenting to nonacademic hospitals of larger size, or with higher ED volumes. Our study highlights the patient- and institution-level factors that need to be targeted with prevention strategies to reduce the utilization of CT scans, when possible, for cost reduction and to minimize patient exposure to ionizing radiation.

Improvement in patient-reported outcomes and work productivity following 3-year ustekinumab or tumour necrosis factor inhibitor treatment in patients with psoriatic arthritis: results from the PsABio real-world study

BACKGROUND

To evaluate the real-world effect of the IL-12/23 inhibitor ustekinumab or of a tumour necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi) on patient-reported outcomes (PRO) and their association with effectiveness endpoints in psoriatic arthritis (PsA) patients over 3 years.

METHODS

In PsABio (NCT02627768), a prospective, observational study, patients with PsA that were prescribed first- to third-line ustekinumab or a TNFi, and remained on that drug for 3 years, were analysed for change in baseline in PROs (EuroQol-5 dimensions health state VAS [EQ-5D VAS], 12-item Psoriatic Arthritis Impact of Disease questionnaire [PsAID-12; range 0-10], Work Productivity and Activity Impairment for Psoriatic Arthritis questionnaire [WPAI; results expressed as a percentage for each domain]), and the association between PROs and WPAI with effectiveness endpoints, clinical disease activity index for psoriatic arthritis (cDAPSA), low disease activity (LDA)/remission, minimal disease activity (MDA) and very low disease activity (VLDA).

RESULTS

In 437 patients (mean age 49.1 years, 47.8% female), at 3 years, ustekinumab and TNFi treatment led to comparable improvements in EQ-5D VAS; mean change from baseline (95% confidence intervals [CI]) was 11.0 (6.5; 15.4) and 18.9 (14.0; 23.9), respectively. Both groups improved PsAID-12 after 3 years; mean change from baseline (95% CI) was -2.9 (-3.2; -2.5) and -3.5 (-3.9; -3.2), respectively. At baseline, due to their PsA, TNFi-treated patients had lower work productivity compared to ustekinumab-treated patients; mean productivity reduction (95% CI) was 58.8 [52.4; 65.2] and 43.3 [35.6; 51.1]. Over 3 years, TNFi-treated patients had a greater improvement in work productivity compared to ustekinumab-treated patients, ultimately leaving work productivity to be comparable between groups; mean improvement (95% CI) was 44.5% (38.4; 50.6) and 24.9% (15.8; 34.0), respectively. A similar trend was observed in activity impairment. Patients in both treatment groups who achieved effectiveness endpoints, cDAPSA LDA/remission, MDA, and VLDA had greater improvement in PROs and WPAI than patients who did not achieve these endpoints.

CONCLUSIONS

At 3 years, improvements in PROs following ustekinumab or TNFi treatment were generally comparable; however, TNFi-treated patients achieved a greater improvement in work productivity, although this group started from a lower baseline. Achievement of effectiveness endpoints, independent of treatment group, also improved PROs.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02627768. Registered on 11 December 2015.

Variation in Kidney Transplant Referral Across Chronic Kidney Disease Programs in Ontario, Canada

Background

Eligible patients with kidney failure should have equal access to kidney transplantation. Transplant referral is the first crucial step toward receiving a kidney transplant; however, studies suggest substantial variation in the rate of kidney transplant referral across regions. The province of Ontario, Canada, has a public, single-payer health care system with 27 regional chronic kidney disease (CKD) programs. The probability of being referred for kidney transplant may not be equal across CKD programs.

Objective

To determine whether there is variability in kidney transplant referral rates across Ontario's CKD programs.

Design

Population-based cohort study using linked administrative health care databases from January 1, 2013, to November 1, 2016.

Setting

Twenty-seven regional CKD programs in the province of Ontario, Canada.

Patients

Patients approaching the need for dialysis (advanced CKD) and patients receiving maintenance dialysis (maximum follow-up: November 1, 2017).

Measurements

Kidney transplant referral.

Methods

We calculated the 1-year unadjusted cumulative probability of kidney transplant referral for Ontario's 27 CKD programs using the complement of Kaplan-Meier estimator. We calculated standardized referral ratios (SRRs) for each CKD program, using expected referrals from a 2-staged Cox proportional hazards model, adjusting for patient characteristics in the first stage. Standardized referral ratios with a value less than 1 were below the provincial average (maximum possible follow-up of 4 years 10 months). In an additional analysis, we grouped CKD programs according to 5 geographic regions.

Results

Among 8641 patients with advanced CKD, the 1-year cumulative probability of kidney transplant referral ranged from 0.9% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.2%-3.7%) to 21.0% (95% CI: 17.5%-25.2%) across the 27 CKD programs. The adjusted SRR ranged from 0.2 (95% CI: 0.1-0.4) to 4.2 (95% CI: 2.1-7.5). Among 6852 patients receiving maintenance dialysis, the 1-year cumulative probability of transplant referral ranged from 6.4% (95% CI: 4.0%-10.2%) to 34.5% (95% CI: 29.5%-40.1%) across CKD programs. The adjusted SRR ranged from 0.2 (95% CI: 0.1-0.3) to 1.8 (95% CI: 1.6-2.1). When we grouped CKD programs according to geographic region, we found that patients residing in Northern regions had a substantially lower 1-year cumulative probability of transplant referral.

Limitations

Our cumulative probability estimates only captured referrals within the first year of advanced CKD or maintenance dialysis initiation.

Conclusions

There is marked variability in the probability of kidney transplant referral across CKD programs operating in a publicly funded health care system.

Experience of a single healthcare system with screening mammography before and after COVID-19 shutdown

PURPOSE

To evaluate COVID-19's longitudinal impact on screening mammography volume trends.

METHODS

HIPAA-compliant, IRB-approved, single institution, retrospective study of screening mammogram volumes before (10/21/2016-3/16/2020) and greater than two years after (6/17/2020-11/30/2022) a state-mandated COVID-19 shutdown (3/17/2020-6/16/2020) were reviewed. A segmented quasi-poisson linear regression model adjusting for seasonality and network and regional population growth compared volume trends before and after the shutdown of each variable: age, race, language, financial source, risk factor for severe COVID-19, and examination location.

RESULTS

Adjusted model demonstrated an overall increase of 65 screening mammograms per month before versus a persistent decrease of 5 mammograms per month for >2 years after the shutdown (p < 0.0001). In subgroup analysis, downward volume trends were noted in all age groups <70 years (age < 50: +9/month before vs. -7/month after shutdown; age 50-60: +17 vs. -7; and age 60-70: +21 vs. -2; all p < 0.001), those identifying as White (+55 vs. -8, p < 0.0001) and Black (+4 vs. +1, p = 0.009), all financial sources (Medicare: +22 vs. -3, p < 0.0001; Medicaid: +5 vs. +2, p = 0.006; private insurance/self-pay: +38 vs. -4, p < 0.0001), women with at least one risk factor for severe COVID-19 (+30 vs. -48, p < 0.0001), and screening mammograms performed at a hospital-based location (+48 vs. -14, p = 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

The screening mammogram volume trend more than two years after the COVID-19 shutdown has continued to decline for most patient populations. Findings highlight the need to identify additional areas for education and outreach.

The shared genetic architecture of smoking behaviours and psychiatric disorders: evidence from a population-based longitudinal study in England

BACKGROUND

Considering the co-morbidity of major psychiatric disorders and intelligence with smoking, to increase our understanding of why some people take up smoking or continue to smoke, while others stop smoking without progressing to nicotine dependence, we investigated the genetic propensities to psychiatric disorders and intelligence as determinants of smoking initiation, heaviness of smoking and smoking cessation in older adults from the general population.

RESULTS

Having utilised data from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA), our results showed that one standard deviation increase in MDD-PGS was associated with increased odds of being a moderate-heavy smoker (odds ratio [OR] = 1.11, SE = 0.04, 95%CI = 1.00-1.24, p = 0.028). There were no other significant associations between SZ-PGS, BD-PGS, or IQ-PGS and smoking initiation, heaviness of smoking and smoking cessation in older adults from the general population in the UK.

CONCLUSIONS

Smoking is a behaviour that does not appear to share common genetic ground with schizophrenia, bipolar disorders, and intelligence in older adults, which may suggest that it is more likely to be modifiable by smoking cessation interventions. Once started to smoke, older adults with a higher polygenic predisposition to major depressive disorders are more likely to be moderate to heavy smokers, implying that these adults may require targeted smoking cessation services.

The Bayesian lens and Bayesian blinkers

I discuss the benefits of looking through the 'Bayesian lens' (seeking a Bayesian interpretation of ostensibly non-Bayesian methods), and the dangers of wearing 'Bayesian blinkers' (eschewing non-Bayesian methods as a matter of philosophical principle). I hope that the ideas may be useful to scientists trying to understand widely used statistical methods (including confidence intervals and [Formula: see text]-values), as well as teachers of statistics and practitioners who wish to avoid the mistake of overemphasizing philosophy at the expense of practical matters. This article is part of the theme issue 'Bayesian inference: challenges, perspectives, and prospects'.

Effects of a virtual voice-based coach delivering problem-solving treatment on emotional distress and brain function: a pilot RCT in depression and anxiety

Consumer-based voice assistants have the ability to deliver evidence-based treatment, but their therapeutic potential is largely unknown. In a pilot trial of a virtual voice-based coach, Lumen, delivering problem-solving treatment, adults with mild-to-moderate depression and/or anxiety were randomized to the Lumen intervention (n = 42) or waitlist control (n = 21). The main outcomes included changes in neural measures of emotional reactivity and cognitive control, and Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale [HADS] symptom scores over 16 weeks. Participants were 37.8 years (SD = 12.4), 68% women, 25% Black, 24% Latino, and 11% Asian. Activation of the right dlPFC (neural region of interest in cognitive control) decreased in the intervention group but increased in the control group, with an effect size meeting the prespecified threshold for a meaningful effect (Cohen's d = 0.3). Between-group differences in the change in activation of the left dlPFC and bilateral amygdala were observed, but were of smaller magnitude (d = 0.2). Change in right dlPFC activation was also meaningfully associated (r ≥ 0.4) with changes in self-reported problem-solving ability and avoidance in the intervention. Lumen intervention also led to decreased HADS depression, anxiety, and overall psychological distress scores, with medium effect sizes (Cohen's d = 0.49, 0.51, and 0.55, respectively), compared with the waitlist control group. This pilot trial showed promising effects of a novel digital mental health intervention on cognitive control using neuroimaging and depression and anxiety symptoms, providing foundational evidence for a future confirmatory study.

Significant Differences and Experimental Designs Do Not Necessarily Imply Clinical Relevance: Effect Sizes and Causality Claims in Antidepressant Treatments

Clinical trials are the backbone of medical scientific research. However, this experimental strategy has some drawbacks. We focused on two issues: (a) The internal validity ensured by clinical trial procedures does not necessarily allow for generalization of efficacy results to causal claims about effectiveness in the population. (b) Statistical significance does not imply clinical or practical significance; p-values should be supplemented with effect size (ES) estimators and an interpretation of the magnitude of the effects found. We conducted a systematic review (from 2000 to 2020) on Scopus, PubMed, and four ProQuest databases, including PsycINFO. We searched for experimental studies with significant effects of pharmacological treatments on depressive symptoms, measured with a specific scale for depression. We assessed the claims of effectiveness, and reporting and interpreting of effect sizes in a small, unbiased sample of clinical trials (n = 10). Only 30% of the studies acknowledged that efficacy does not necessarily translate to effectiveness. Only 20% reported ES indices, and only 40% interpreted the magnitude of their findings. We encourage reflection on the applicability of results derived from clinical trials about the efficacy of antidepressant treatments, which often influence daily clinical decision-making. Comparing experimental results of antidepressants with supplementary observational studies can provide clinicians with greater flexibility in prescribing medication based on patient characteristics. Furthermore, the ES of a treatment should be considered, as treatments with a small effect may be worthwhile in certain circumstances, while treatments with a large effect may be justified despite additional costs or complications. Therefore, researchers are encouraged to report and interpret ES and explicitly discuss the suitability of their sample for the clinical population to which the antidepressant treatment will be applied.

Long-term effectiveness and persistence of ustekinumab and TNF inhibitors in patients with psoriatic arthritis: final 3-year results from the PsABio real-world study

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate real-world persistence and effectiveness of the IL-12/23 inhibitor, ustekinumab or a tumour necrosis factor inhibitor (TNFi) for psoriatic arthritis over 3 years.

METHODS

PsABio (NCT02627768), a prospective, observational study, followed patients with PsA prescribed first-line to third-line ustekinumab or a TNFi. Persistence and effectiveness (achievement of clinical Disease Activity for PSA (cDAPSA) low disease activity (LDA)/remission and minimal disease activity/very LDA (MDA/VLDA)) were assessed every 6 months. Safety data were collected over 3 years. Analyses to compare the modes of action were adjusted on baseline differences by propensity scores (PS).

RESULTS

In 895 patients (mean age 49.8 years, 44.7% males), at 3 years, the proportion of patients still on their initial treatments was similar with ustekinumab (49.9%) and TNFi (47.8%). No difference was seen in the risk of stopping/switching; PS-adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) for stopping/switching ustekinumab versus TNFi was 0.87 (0.68 to 1.11). In the overall population, cDAPSA LDA/remission was achieved in 58.6%/31.4% ustekinumab-treated and 69.8%/45.0% TNFi-treated patients; PS-adjusted ORs (95% CI) were 0.89 (0.63 to 1.26) for cDAPSA LDA; 0.72 (0.50 to 1.05) for remission. MDA/VLDA was achieved in 41.4%/19.2% of ustekinumab-treated and 54.2%/26.9% of TNFi-treated patients with overlapping PS-adjusted ORs. A greater percentage of TNFi-treated patients achieved effectiveness outcomes. Both treatments exhibited good long-term safety profiles, although ustekinumab-treated patients had a lower rate of adverse events (AEs) versus TNFi.

CONCLUSION

At 3 years, there was generally comparable persistence after ustekinumab or TNFi treatment, but AE rates were lower with ustekinumab.

Therapeutic Drug Monitoring and Population Pharmacokinetic Analysis of Teicoplanin among Chinese Patients with Gram-Positive Infections in a Tertiary Hospital

Background. To explore the use of teicoplanin among Chinese patients with Gram-positive infections in a tertiary hospital. Methods. The medical records of patients, who were monitored for teicoplanin plasma concentration (TPC) from December 2017 to February 2019, were collected. By combining the therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) and nonlinear mixed-effects model, a population pharmacokinetic (PPK) model of teicoplanin was established. Results. The proportions of TPCs lower and higher than 10 mg/L were nearly the same (102 vs. 108 cases). A two-compartment model of teicoplanin PPK in Chinese patients was established. Compared with 400 mg, the 600 mg regimen was more able to reach the target concentration (10 mg/L), especially for high-weight patients. Conclusions. The standard regimen of teicoplanin, 400 mg, failed to reach the target value in the present population. Moreover, the 600 mg regimen was feasible for high-weight patients based on TDM and individualized pharmacokinetic dosing adjustment.

FDA analysis of ineligibility for acute myeloid leukemia clinical trials by race and ethnicity

BACKGROUND

Patients of certain racial and ethnic groups have been underrepresented in clinical trials for treatment of malignancy. One potential barrier to participation is entry requirements that lead to patients in various racial and ethnic groups not meeting eligibility criteria for studies (ie, "screen failure"). The objective of this study was to analyze the rates and reasons for trial ineligibility by race and ethnicity in trials of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) submitted to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) between 2016 and 2019.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Multicenter, global clinical trials submitted to the FDA to support AML drugs and biologics. We examined the rate of ineligibility among participants screened for studies of AML therapies submitted to the FDA from 2016 to 2019. Data were extracted from 13 trials used in approval evaluations, including race, screen status, and reason for ineligibility.

RESULTS

Overall, patients in historically underrepresented racial and ethnic groups were less likely to meet entry criteria for studies compared to White patients, with 26.7% of White patients, 29.4% of Black patients, and 35.9% of Asian patients not meeting entry criteria. Lack of relevant disease mutation was the reason for ineligibility more frequently among Black and Asian patients. The findings were limited by the small number of underrepresented patients screened for participation.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that entry requirements for studies may put underrepresented patients at a disadvantage, leading to less eligible patients and thus lower participation in clinical trials.

Standard patient training versus Vik-Asthme chatbot-guided training: 'AsthmaTrain' - a protocol for a randomised controlled trial for patients with asthma

INTRODUCTION

Therapeutic education for patients with asthma has been shown to reduce asthma morbidity. The high availability of smart phones provides the opportunity to furnish patient training via specifically designed chatbot applications. The goal of this protocol is to perform a first pilot comparison of traditional face to face versus chatbot-guided patient therapeutic education programmes for patients with asthma.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

Eighty adult patients with a physician-confirmed diagnosis of asthma will be enrolled in a two-parallel-arm, randomised (1:1) controlled pilot trial. A single-Zelen consent procedure is deployed to first enrol all participants in the comparator arm, that is, the standard patient therapeutic education programme at the University Hospitals of Montpellier, France. This means of patient therapeutic education is based on reoccurring interviews and discussion with qualified nursing staff as per usual care. Following baseline data acquisition, randomisation will be performed. Those patients randomised to the comparator arm will not be informed of the second arm. Those patients randomised to the experimental arm will be proposed access to a specifically designed chatbot (Vik-Asthme) as the second tested means of patient training (refusals continue with standard training, though analysed as intention to treat). The primary outcome is change in the total Asthma Quality of Life Questionnaire score at the end of follow-up (6 months). Secondary outcomes cover asthma control, spirometry, general health status, programme adherence and burden for medical staff, exacerbations and medical resource use (medications, consults, emergency visits, hospitalisation and intensive care).

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study ('AsthmaTrain' protocol version 4-20220330) has been approved by the Committee for the Protection of Persons Ile-de-France VII on 28 March 2022 (reference number 21.03617.000059). Enrolment began on 24 May 2022. Results will be published in international peer-reviewed journals.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT05248126.

Quantifying the robustness of causal inferences: Sensitivity analysis for pragmatic social science

Social scientists seeking to inform policy or public action must carefully consider how to identify effects and express inferences because actions based on invalid inferences may not yield the intended results. Recognizing the complexities and uncertainties of social science, we seek to inform inevitable debates about causal inferences by quantifying the conditions necessary to change an inference. Specifically, we review existing sensitivity analyses within the omitted variables and potential outcomes frameworks. We then present the Impact Threshold for a Confounding Variable (ITCV) based on omitted variables in the linear model and the Robustness of Inference to Replacement (RIR) based on the potential outcomes framework. We extend each approach to include benchmarks and to fully account for sampling variability represented by standard errors as well as bias. We exhort social scientists wishing to inform policy and practice to quantify the robustness of their inferences after utilizing the best available data and methods to draw an initial causal inference.

Rate and Predictors of Patients with Chronic Pain Establishing Care with Pain Psychology Following Pain Physician Referral

OBJECTIVE

To determine, among patients with chronic pain who had received pain physician referral to pain psychology, the rate of establishing care and factors related to establishing care with pain psychology.

DESIGN

Retrospective study.

SETTING

Academic tertiary care center.

SUBJECTS

Patients from the University of California, San Diego (UCSD) Center for Pain Medicine.

METHODS

This was an institutional review board-approved, retrospective study of 150 consecutive referrals of unique patients from UCSD Pain Medicine to UCSD Pain Psychology.

RESULTS

Of 150 patients referred to pain psychology, 74 (49.3%) established care with pain psychology. Of 98 patients who had previously seen mental health services, 58 established care with pain psychology (59.2%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 49% to 69%), whereas of 52 patients who had not previously seen mental health services, 16 established care with pain psychology (30.8%; 95% CI: 18% to 43%) (odds ratio [OR] 3.26; 95% CI: 1.60 to 6.66). In the patient subset with depression and/or anxiety, of 82 patients who had previously seen mental health services, 47 established care with pain psychology (57.3%; 95% CI: 47% to 68%), whereas of 20 patients who had not previously seen mental health services, three established care with pain psychology (15%; 95% CI: -1% to 31%) (OR 7.61; 95% CI: 2.07 to 28.01). Of 96 patients referred for general pain psychology evaluations, 43 established care (45%; 95% CI: 35% to 55%), whereas of 38 patients referred for preprocedural evaluation for an implantable device, 24 established care (63%; 95% CI: 48% to 78%).

CONCLUSION

Patients are significantly more likely to establish care with pain psychology if they have previously seen a mental health professional. This was even more marked among the patient subset with a history of depression and/or anxiety who had engaged in mental health services than among those with a history of depression and/or anxiety who had not engaged in mental health services. Whether referral was for general psychological evaluation or preprocedural evaluation for an implantable device did not significantly influence whether patients established care. Targeted interventions are needed to improve the likelihood of patients engaging with pain psychology services.

Differences in the cross-sectional area along the ankle tendons with both age and sex

Increasing age appears to influence several morphologic changes in major tendons. However, the effects of aging on the cross-sectional area (CSA) of different ankle tendons are much less understood. Furthermore, potential differences in specific tendon regions along the length of the tendons have not been investigated in detail. Sixty healthy adult participants categorized by age as young (n = 20; mean ± SD age = 22.5 ± 4.5 years), middle-age (n = 20; age = 40.6 ± 8. 0 years), or old (n = 20; age = 69.9 ± 9.1 years), from both sexes, were included. The tendon CSA of tibialis anterior (TA), tibialis posterior (TP), fibularis (FT), and Achilles (AT) was measured from T1-weighted 1.5 T MR images in incremental intervals of 10% along its length (from proximal insertion) and compared between different age groups and sexes. The mean CSA of the AT was greater in the middle-age group than both young and old participants (p < 0.01) and large effect sizes were observed for these differences (Cohen's d > 1). Furthermore, there was a significant difference in CSA in all three groups along the length of the different tendons. Region-specific differences between groups were observed in the distal portion (90% and 100% of the length), in which the FT presented greater CSA comparing middle-age to young and old (p < 0.05). In conclusion, (1) great magnitude of morpho-structural differences was discovered in the AT; (2) there are region-specific differences in the CSA of ankle tendons within the three groups and between them; and (3) there were no differences in tendon CSA between sexes.

Results and insights from a phase I clinical trial of Lomecel-B for Alzheimer's disease

HYPOTHESIS

We hypothesized that Lomecel-B, an allogeneic medicinal signaling cell (MSC) therapeutic candidate for Alzheimer's disease (AD), is safe and potentially disease-modifying via pleiotropic mechanisms of action.

KEY PREDICTIONS

We prospectively tested the predictions that Lomecel-B administration to mild AD patients is safe (primary endpoint) and would provide multiple exploratory indications of potential efficacy in clinical and biomarker domains (prespecified secondary/exploratory endpoints).

STRATEGY AND KEY RESULTS

Mild AD patient received a single infusion of low- or high-dose Lomecel-B, or placebo, in a double-blind, randomized, phase I trial. The primary safety endpoint was met. Fluid-based and imaging biomarkers indicated significant improvement in the Lomecel-B arms versus placebo. The low-dose Lomecel-B arm showed significant improvements versus placebo on neurocognitive and other assessments.

INTERPRETATION

Our results support the safety of Lomecel-B for AD, suggest clinical potential, and provide mechanistic insights. This early-stage study provides important exploratory information for larger efficacy-powered clinical trials.

Palliative care referrals in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension: The Pulmonary Hypertension Association Registry

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is a life limiting disease with substantial symptom burden and healthcare utilization. Palliative care alleviates physical and emotional symptoms for patients with serious illness, and has been underutilized for these patients.

OBJECTIVE

To characterize patients with PAH referred to palliative care and identify predictors of referral.

METHODS

We conducted an observational study of adult patients enrolled in the Pulmonary Hypertension Association Registry from January 2015 through June 2021, performing descriptive statistics on patient characteristics at baseline for all patients and the subset referred to palliative care. These characteristics were modeled in a backwards elimination Cox regression with time to referral to palliative care as the primary outcome.

RESULTS

92 of 1,578 patients were referred to palliative care (5.8%); 43% were referred at their last visit prior to death. Referrals were associated with increasing age per decade (hazard ratio 1.35 [95% confidence interval 1.16-1.58]), lower body mass index (hazard ratio 0.97 [95% confidence interval 0.94-0.998]), supplemental oxygen use (hazard ratio 2.01 [95% confidence interval 1.28-3.16]), parenteral prostanoid use (hazard ratio 2.88 [95% confidence interval 1.84-4.51]), and worse quality of life, measured via lower physical (hazard ratio 0.97 [95% confidence interval 0.95-0.99]) and mental (hazard ratio 0.98 [95% confidence interval 0.96-0.995]) scores on the 12-item Short Form Health Survey.

CONCLUSION

Patients with PAH are infrequently referred to palliative care, even at centers of excellence. Referrals occur in sicker patients with lower quality of life scores, often close to the end of life.

Association of an Acute Kidney Injury Follow-up Clinic With Patient Outcomes and Care Processes: A Cohort Study

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

To determine whether attendance at an acute kidney injury (AKI) follow-up clinic is associated with reduced major adverse kidney events.

STUDY DESIGN

Propensity-matched cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Patients hospitalized with AKI in Ontario, Canada, from February 1, 2013, through September 30, 2017, at a single clinical center, who were not receiving dialysis when discharged.

EXPOSURE

Standardized assessment by a nephrologist.

OUTCOMES

Time to a major adverse kidney event, defined as death, initiation of maintenance dialysis, or incident/progressive chronic kidney disease.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Propensity scores were used to match each patient who attended an AKI follow-up clinic to 4 patients who received standard care. Cox proportional hazards models were fit to assess the association between the care within an AKI follow-up clinic and outcomes. To avoid immortal time bias, we randomly assigned index dates to the comparator group.

RESULTS

We matched 164 patients from the AKI follow-up clinic to 656 patients who received standard care. During a mean follow-up of 2.2±1.3 (SD) years, care in the AKI follow-up clinic was not associated with a reduction in major adverse kidney events relative to standard care (22.1 vs 24.7 events per 100 patient-years; HR, 0.91 [95% CI, 0.75-1.11]). The AKI follow-up clinic was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.55-0.91]). Patients aged at least 66 years who attended the AKI follow-up clinic were more likely to receive β-blockers (HR, 1.34 [95% CI, 1.02-1.77]) and statins (HR, 1.35 [95% CI, 1.05-1.74]), but not angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers (HR, 1.21 [95% CI, 0.94-1.56]).

LIMITATIONS

Single-center study and residual confounding.

CONCLUSIONS

Specialized postdischarge follow-up for AKI survivors was not associated with a lower risk of major adverse kidney events but was associated with a lower risk of death and increased prescriptions for some cardioprotective medications.

Survey of quality and clarity of methods and results reporting in 1 year of intervention studies published in high-impact medical and psychiatric journals

OBJECTIVE

We assessed how well articles in major medical and psychiatric journals followed best reporting practices in presenting results of intervention studies.

METHOD

Standardised data collection was used to review studies in high-impact and widely read medical (JAMA, Lancet and New England Journal of Medicine) and psychiatric (American Journal of Psychiatry, JAMA Psychiatry, Journal of Clinical Psychiatry and Lancet Psychiatry) journals, published between 1 September 2018 and 31 August 2019. Two team members independently reviewed each article.

MEASURES

The primary outcome measure was proportion of papers reporting consensus elements required to understand and evaluate the results of the intervention. The secondary outcome measure was comparison of complete and accessible reporting in the major medical versus the major psychiatric journals.

RESULTS

One hundred twenty-seven articles were identified for inclusion. At least 90% of articles in both medical and psychiatric journals included sample size, statistical significance, randomisation method, elements of study flow, and age, sex, and illness severity by randomisation group. Selected elements less frequently reported by either journal type were confidence intervals in the abstract, reported in 93% (95% CI 84% to 97%) of medical journal articles and 58% (95% CI 45% to 69%) of psychiatric journal articles, and sample size method (93%, 95% CI 84% to 97% medical; 69%, 95% CI 57% to 80% psychiatric), race and ethnicity by randomisation group (51%, 95% CI 40% to 63% medical; 73%, 95% CI 60% to 83% psychiatric), and adverse events (94%; 95% CI 86% to 98% medical; 80%, 95% CI 68% to 88% psychiatric) in the main text. CIs were included less often in psychiatric than medical journals (p<0.004 abstract, p=0.04 main text, after multiple-testing correction).

CONCLUSIONS

Recommendations include standard inclusion of a table specifying the outcome(s) designated as primary, and the sample size, effect size(s), CI(s) and p value(s) corresponding to the primary test(s) for efficacy.

Pragmatic Clinical Trial to Improve Patient Experience Among Adults During Transitions from Hospital to Home: the PArTNER study

INTRODUCTION

Minority-serving hospitals (MSHs) need evidence-based strategies tailored to the populations they serve to improve patient-centered outcomes after hospitalization.

METHODS

We conducted a pragmatic randomized clinical trial (RCT) from October 2014 to January 2017 at a MSH comparing the effectiveness of a stakeholder-supported Navigator intervention vs. Usual care on post-hospital patient experience, outcomes, and healthcare utilization. Community health workers and peer coaches delivered the intervention which included (1) in-hospital visits to assess barriers to health/healthcare and to develop a personalized Discharge Patient Education Tool (DPET); (2) a home visit to review the DPET; and (3) telephone-based peer coaching. The co-primary outcomes were between-group comparisons of 30-day changes in Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) measures of anxiety and informational support (minimum important difference is 2 to 5 units change); a p-value <0.025 was considered significant using intention-to-treat analysis. Secondary outcomes included death, ED visits, or readmissions and measures of emotional, social, and physical health at 30 and 60 days.

RESULTS

We enrolled 1029 adults hospitalized with heart failure (28%), pneumonia (22%), MI (10%), COPD (11%), or sickle cell disease (29%). Over 80% were non-Hispanic Black. Overall, there were no significant between-group differences in the 30-day change in anxiety (adjusted difference: -1.6, 97.5% CI -3.3 to 0.1, p=0.03), informational support (adjusted difference: -0.01, 97.5% CI -2.0 to 1.9, p=0.99), or any secondary outcomes. Exploratory analyses suggested the Navigator intervention improved anxiety among participants with COPD, a primary care provider, a hospitalization in the past 12 months, or higher baseline anxiety; among participants without health insurance, the intervention improved informational support (all p-values <0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

In this pragmatic RCT at a MSH, the Navigator intervention did not improve post-hospital anxiety, informational support, or other outcomes compared to Usual care. Benefits observed in participant subgroups should be confirmed in future studies.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT02114515.

Detecting Health Care Disparities and the Problem With P <0.05

Detecting disparities in health care requires special statistical consideration to assess meaningful differences in exposure, process, or outcome between 2 or more groups on the basis of race, ethnicity, or language. Statistical tests with resulting P values need to be contextualized and thresholds of significance selected carefully before drawing conclusions.

Growth pattern in children with X-linked hypophosphatemia treated with burosumab and growth hormone

BACKGROUND

X-linked hypophosphatemia (XLH) is characterized by increased serum concentrations of fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23), hypophosphatemia and insufficient endogenous synthesis of calcitriol. Beside rickets, odonto- and osteomalacia, disproportionate short stature is seen in most affected individuals. Vitamin D analogs and phosphate supplements, i.e., conventional therapy, can improve growth especially when started early in life. Recombinant human growth hormone (rhGH) therapy in XLH children with short stature has positive effects, although few reports are available. Newly available treatment (burosumab) targeting increased FGF23 signaling leads to minimal improvement of growth in XLH children. So far, we lack data on the growth of XLH children treated with concomitant rhGH and burosumab therapies.

RESULTS

Thirty-six patients received burosumab for at least 1 year after switching from conventional therapy. Of these, 23 received burosumab alone, while the others continued rhGH therapy after switching to burosumab. Children treated with burosumab alone showed a minimal change in height SDS after 1 year (mean ± SD 0.0 ± 0.3 prepubertal vs. 0.1 ± 0.3 pubertal participants). In contrast, rhGH clearly improved height during the first year of treatment before initiating burosumab (mean ± SD of height gain 1.0 ± 0.4); patients continued to gain height during the year of combined burosumab and rhGH therapies (mean ± SD height gain 0.2 ± 0.1). As expected, phosphate serum levels normalized upon burosumab therapy. No change in serum calcium levels, urinary calcium excretion, or 25-OHD levels was seen, though 1,25-(OH)₂D increased dramatically under burosumab therapy.

CONCLUSION

To our knowledge, this is the first study on growth under concomitant rhGH and burosumab treatments. We did not observe any safety issue in this cohort of patients which is one of the largest in Europe. Our data suggest that continuing treatment with rhGH after switching from conventional therapy to burosumab, if the height prognosis is compromised, might be beneficial for the final height.

The Effect of Surgeon Referral and a Radiation Oncologist Productivity-Based Metric on Radiation Therapy Receipt Among Elderly Women With Early Stage Breast Cancer: Analysis From a Tertiary Cancer Network

Purpose

: Guidelines for early-stage breast cancer allow for radiation therapy (RT) omission after breast conserving surgery among older women, though high utilization of RT persists. This study explored surgeon referral and the effect of a productivity-based bonus metric for radiation oncologists in an academic institution with centralized quality assurance review.

Methods and materials

: We evaluated patients ≥70 years of age treated with breast conserving surgery for estrogen receptor (ER)+ pT1N0 breast cancer at a single tertiary cancer network between 2015 and 2018. The primary outcomes were radiation oncology referral and RT receipt. Covariables included patient and physician characteristics and treatment decisions before versus after productivity metric implementation. Univariable generalized linear effects models explored associations between these outcomes and covariables.

Results

: Of 703 patients included, 483 (69%) were referred to radiation oncology and 273 (39%) received RT (among those referred, 57% received RT). No difference in RT receipt pre- versus post-productivity metric implementation was observed (P = .57). RT receipt was associated with younger patient age (70-74 years; odds ratio [OR], 2.66; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.54-4.57) and higher grade (grade 3; OR, 7.75; 95% CI, 3.33-18.07). Initial referral was associated with younger age (70-74; OR, 5.64; 95% CI, 3.37-0.45) and higher performance status (Karnofsky performance status ≥90; OR, 5.34; 95% CI, 2.63-10.83).

Conclusions

: Nonreferral to radiation oncology accounted for half of RT omission but was based on age and Karnofsky performance status, in accordance with guidelines. Lack of radiation oncologist practice change in response to misaligned financial incentives is reassuring, potentially reflecting incentive design and/or centralized quality assurance review. Multi-institutional studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Association between hyperglycemia on admission and preoperative deep venous thrombosis in patients with femoral neck fractures

Background

Elevated blood glucose is the most frequent electrolyte disturbance in acutely ill patients. This study aimed to determine whether admission hyperglycemia is associated with the incidence of preoperative deep venous thrombosis (DVT) in patients with femoral neck fractures.

Methods

This retrospective study was conducted on consecutive patients with femoral neck fractures admitted to our institution from March 2018 to March 2022. Blood glucose levels were measured within 24 h of admission and categorized into quartiles (Q1 = 5.30; Q2 = 5.70; Q3 = 6.60). Patients were divided into four groups (Group1-4) based on the quartiles. Preoperative DVT was diagnosed using venous compression ultrasonography. Multivariable logistic regression models and propensity score matching analysis evaluated the association between blood glucose and preoperative DVT in patients.

Results

Of 217 patients included in this study, 21(9.7%) had preoperative DVT in hospital, and admission hyperglycemia was observed in 83 (38.2%). Preoperative DVT was higher in patients with hyperglycemia (n = 15) than patients without hyperglycemia (n = 6) in the multivariable logistic regression models (OR 3.03, 95% CI 0.77–11.87). Propensity scores matching analyses manifested that compared with patients with group 2 (5.30 – 5.70 mmol/L) of glucose levels, the odds of preoperative DVT were slightly higher (OR 1.94, 95% CI 0.31–12.12) in patients with group 3 (5.70 – 6.60 mmol/L), substantially higher (OR 6.89, 95% CI 1.42–33.44, P trend < 0.01) in patients with the group 4 (> 6.60 mmol/L) of glucose levels.

Conclusions

In patients hospitalized for femoral neck fracture, markedly elevated blood glucose is associated with increased preoperative DVT in patients. The development of this biomarker could help in guiding patient counseling, risk assessment, and future management decisions.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12891-022-05862-0.

Breaking new frontiers: Assessment and re-evaluation of clinical trial design for nutraceuticals

Despite sophisticated study designs and measurement tools, we have yet to create an innovative space for diet and dietary supplements in the health care system. The path is challenging due to current hierarchies of scientific evidence and regulatory affairs. The role of the randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial (RCT) as a research approach functions well to characterize the benefits and risks of drugs but lacks the sensitivity to capture the efficacy and safety of nutraceuticals. While some facets of RCTs can be relevant and useful when applied to nutraceuticals, other aspects are limiting and potentially misleading when taken in their entirety. A differentiation between guidelines for evidence-based medicine and the evidence required for nutrition spotlight the need to reconceptualize constituents of the RCT and their applicability with relevance to health promotion. This perspective identifies the limitations of the traditional RCT to capture the complexities of nutraceuticals and proposes the N-of-1 as Level 1 evidence better suited for the proof of efficacy of nutraceuticals.

Associations between symptom and neurocognitive dimensions in clinical high risk for psychosis

Introduction

Clinical high risk for psychosis (CHR) is associated with mild cognitive impairments. Symptoms are clustered into positive, negative and disorganization symptoms. The association between specific symptom dimensions and cognitive functions remains unclear. The aim of this study was to investigate the associations between cognitive functions and positive, negative, and disorganization symptoms.

Method

53 CHR subjects fulfilling criteria for attenuated psychotic syndrome in the Structural Interview for Prodromal Syndromes (SIPS) were assessed for cognitive function. Five cognitive domain z-scores were defined by contrasting with observed scores of a group of healthy controls (n = 40). Principal Components Analyses were performed to construct general cognitive composite scores; one using all subtests and one using the cognitive domains. Associations between cognitive functions and symptoms are presented as Spearman's rank correlations and partial Spearman's rank correlations adjusted for age and gender.

Results

Positive symptoms were negatively associated with executive functions and verbal memory, and disorganization symptoms with poorer verbal fluency. Negative symptoms were associated with better executive functioning. There were no significant associations between the general cognitive composites and any of the symptom domains, except for a trend for positive symptoms.

Conclusion

In line with previous research, data indicated associations between positive symptoms and poorer executive functioning. Negative symptoms may not be related to executive functions in CHR the same way as in psychosis. Our results could indicate that attenuated positive symptoms are more related to cognitive deficits in CHR than positive symptoms in schizophrenia and FEP.