Emergency departments, Medicaid costs, and access to primary care--understanding the link

Concordance in Medical Urgency Classification of Discharge Diagnoses and Reasons for Visit

Importance

Current policies to divert emergency department (ED) visits for less medically urgent conditions to more cost-effective settings rely on retrospective adjudication of discharge diagnoses. However, patients present to the ED with concerns, making it challenging for clinicians.

Objective

To characterize ED visits based on the medical urgency of the presenting reasons for visit and to explore the concordance between discharge diagnoses and reasons for visit.

Design, Setting, and Participants

In this retrospective, cross-sectional study, a nationwide sample of ED visits by adults (aged ≥18 years) in the US from the 2018 and 2019 calendar years' ED data of the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey was used. An algorithm to probabilistically assign ED visits into medical urgency categories based on the presenting reason for visit was developed. A 3-step, look-back method was applied using an updated version of the New York University ED algorithm, and a map of all possible discharge diagnoses to the same reasons for visit was developed. Analyses were conducted in July and August 2023.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The main outcome was probabilistic medical urgency classification of reasons for visits and discharge diagnoses and their concordance.

Results

We analyzed 27 068 ED visits (mean age, 48.2% years [95% CI, 47.5%-48.9% years]) representing 190.7 million visits nationwide. Women (mean, 57.0% [95% CI, 55.9%-58.1%]) and patients with public health insurance coverage, including Medicare (mean, 24.9% [95% CI, 21.9%-28.0%]) and Medicaid (mean, 25.1% [95% CI, 21.0%-29.2%]), accounted for the largest share of ED visits, and a mean of 13.2% (95% CI, 11.4%-15.0%) of all visits resulted in a hospital admission. Overall, about 38.5% and 53.9% of all ED visits were classified with 100% and 75% probabilities, respectively, as injury related, emergency care needed, emergent but primary care treatable, nonemergent, or mental health or substance use disorders related based on discharge diagnosis compared with 0.4% and 12.4%, respectively, of all encounters based on patients' reason for visit. Among discharge diagnoses assigned with high certainty to only 1 urgency category using the New York University ED algorithm, between 38.0% (95% CI, 36.3%-39.6%) and 57.4% (95% CI, 56.0%-58.8%) aligned with the probabilistic categorical assignments of their corresponding reasons for visit.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cross-sectional study of 190.7 million ED visits among adults aged 18 years or older, a smaller percentage of reasons for visit could be prospectively categorized with high accuracy to a specific medical urgency category compared with all visits based on discharge diagnoses, and a limited concordance between reasons for visit and discharge diagnoses was found. Alternative methods are needed to identify the medical necessity of ED encounters more accurately.

System Failure: The Geographic Distribution of Sepsis-Associated Death in the USA and Factors Contributing to the Mortality Burden of Black Communities

Sepsis is deadly and costly to health care systems, but these costs are disproportionately born by Black patients. Little empirical work has established the geographic patterning of sepsis or its area-level correlates. This study illustrates the geography of sepsis-associated death and racial composition of US counties with area socioeconomic indicators, health care access, and population health. Cartographic and spatially explicit analyses utilize mortality data from the National Cancer Institute and county data from the American Community Survey, Area Health Resource File, and County Health Rankings. Death rates are highest in the South, Southeast, and Appalachia. Counties disproportionately populated by Black people have higher death rates and associated risk indicators including poor air quality and vaccination coverage, socioeconomic distress, and impaired access to high-quality health care. Spatial Durbin error models suggest that conditions in nearby counties may also influence death rates within focal counties. Racial disparities in sepsis-associated death can be narrowed with improved health care equity-including immunization coverage-and by reducing socioeconomic distress in Black communities. Policy options for achieving these ends are discussed.

Risk Factors for Preventable Emergency Department Use After Outpatient Hand Surgery

PURPOSE

Emergency department (ED) visits for postoperative concerns that could be safely addressed in outpatient clinics have an impact on cost, quality measures, and care workflows. Patient-reported data (PRD) may give unique insights into individual-level factors that predict overuse of health care resources, and guide opportunities for intervention and prevention. We investigated the relationship between preoperative PRD and preventable ED use after outpatient hand surgery to determine whether the preoperative PRD can be used to identify patients at higher odds of having preventable ED visits.

METHODS

All adult patients undergoing outpatient surgery at our hand center between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2019, were included. Questionnaires, including the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) upper extremity (UE) and pain interference (PI) scales, were completed before surgery. We used our regional health information exchange to identify ED visits within 90 days of surgery.

RESULTS

Our cohort included 2,819 patients. Within 90 days after surgery, 106 (3.8%) had preventable ED visits. Race, insurance status, and transportation issues increased odds of a preventable ED visit. Multivariable models found that each 1-point increase in the preoperative PROMIS UE score was associated with 4% decreased odds of ED presentation (odds ratio, 0.96; 95% confidence interval, 0.94-0.99), and each 1-point increase in the preoperative PROMIS PI score was associated with 4% increased odds of ED presentation (odds ratio, 1.04; 95% confidence interval, 1.0-1.1). Any PROMIS UE or PI scores ≥1SDs worse than population norms increased the probability of a preventable ED visit, independent of other factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Worse preoperative PROMIS UE and PI scores were associated with increased odds of preventable ED visits. Preoperative PRD may allow for identification of outliers at higher risk for preventable ED use, and facilitate preventative interventions.

TYPE OF STUDY/LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic IV.

There is little association between prehospital delay, persistent symptoms, and post-discharge healthcare utilization in patients evaluated for acute coronary syndrome

AIMS

Test for an association between prehospital delay for symptoms suggestive of acute coronary syndrome (ACS), persistent symptoms, and healthcare utilization (HCU) 30-days and 6-months post hospital discharge.

BACKGROUND

Delayed treatment for ACS increases patient morbidity and mortality. Prehospital delay is the largest factor in delayed treatment for ACS.

METHODS

Secondary analysis of data collected from a multi-center prospective study. Included were 722 patients presenting to the Emergency Department (ED) with symptoms that triggered a cardiac evaluation. Symptoms and HCU were measured using the 13-item ACS Symptom Checklist and the Froelicher's Health Services Utilization Questionnaire-Revised instrument. Logistic regression models were used to examine hypothesized associations.

RESULTS

For patients with ACS (n = 325), longer prehospital delay was associated with fewer MD/NP visits (OR, 0.986) at 30 days. Longer prehospital delay was associated with higher odds of calling 911 for any reason (OR, 1.015), and calling 911 for chest related symptoms (OR, 1.016) 6 months following discharge. For non-ACS patients (n = 397), longer prehospital delay was associated with higher odds of experiencing chest pressure (OR, 1.009) and chest discomfort (OR, 1.008) at 30 days. At 6 months, longer prehospital delay was associated with higher odds of upper back pain (OR, 1.013), palpitations (OR 1.014), indigestion (OR, 1.010), and calls to the MD/NP for chest symptoms (OR, 1.014).

CONCLUSIONS

There were few associations between prehospital delay and HCU for patients evaluated for ACS in the ED. Associations between prolonged delay and persistent symptoms may lead to increased HCU for those without ACS.

Algorithms Identifying Low Acuity Emergency Department Visits: A Review and Validation Study

OBJECTIVE

To characterize and validate the landscape of algorithms that use International Classification of Disease (ICD) codes to identify low acuity emergency department (ED) visits.

DATA SOURCES

Publicly available ED data from the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS).

STUDY DESIGN

We systematically searched for studies that specify algorithms consisting of ICD codes that identify preventable or low acuity ED visits. We classified ED visits in NHAMCS according to these algorithms and compared agreement using the Jaccard index. We then evaluated the performance of each algorithm using positive predictive value (PPV) and sensitivity, with the reference group specified using low acuity composite (LAC) criteria consisting of both triage and clinical components. In sensitivity analyses, we repeated our primary analysis using only triage or only clinical criteria for reference.

DATA COLLECTION

We used 2011-2017 NHAMCS data, totaling 163,576 observations before survey weighting and after dropping observations missing a primary diagnosis. We translated ICD-9 codes (years 2011-2015) to ICD-10 using a standard crosswalk.

PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

We identified 15 papers with an original list of ICD codes used to identify preventable or low acuity ED presentations. These papers were published between 1992 and 2020, cited an average of 310 (SD 360) times, and included 968 (SD 1175) codes. Pairwise Jaccard similarity indices (0 = no overlap, 1 = perfect congruence) ranged from 0.01 to 0.82, with mean 0.20 (SD 0.13). When validated against the LAC reference group, the algorithms had an average PPV of 0.308 (95% CI [0.253, 0.364]) and sensitivity of 0.183 (95% CI [0.111, 0.256]). Overall, 2.1% of visits identified as low acuity by the algorithms died prehospital or in the ED, or needed surgery, critical care, or cardiac catheterization.

CONCLUSIONS

Existing algorithms that identify low acuity ED visits lack congruence and are imperfect predictors of visit acuity.

Emergency Department Patient Navigator Program Demonstrates Reduction in Emergency Department Return Visits and Increase in Follow-up Appointment Adherence

BACKGROUND

An estimated 56% of emergency department (ED) visits are avoidable. One motivation for return visits is patients' perception of poor access to timely outpatient care. Efforts to facilitate access may help reduce preventable ED visits. We aimed to analyze whether an ED patient navigator (PN) program improved adherence with outpatient appointments and reduced ED return visits.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of patients evaluated and discharged from two EDs from October 2016 to December 2019. Using propensity score matching, an intervention case group was matched against two control groups - patients similar to the case group who presented either (1) pre-PN intervention or (2) post-PN intervention and did not receive intervention. The four outcomes included 72-h return ED visits, 30-day return ED visits, overall ED utilization, as well as the intervention group's adherence rates to PN-scheduled outpatient appointments. From 482,896 charts, propensity matching led to a total of 14,295 patients in each group.

RESULTS

PN intervention decreased both acute and subacute ED return visits. Compared to both pre-PN and post-PN controls, navigated patients had a decrease in 72-h and 30-day return visits from 2% to 1% and 7% to 4% (p < 0.001) respectively. Navigated patients also had outpatient appointment adherence rates of 74-80% compared to the estimated national average of 25-56%. While there was no difference in mean ED utilization between the intervention group and pre-PN control group, mean ED utilization was found to be higher in the intervention group compared to the post-PN control group with 0.62 visits compared to 0.38 mean visits (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

By facilitating access to post-ED care, PNs may reduce avoidable ED utilization and improve outpatient follow-up adherence. While overall ED utilization did not change, this may be due to the overall vulnerability of the navigated group which is the goal PN intervention group.

Crowd-Out and Emergency Department Utilization

When consumers gain Medicaid, their cost of healthcare changes. The direction of this change determines how utilization changes. The previously uninsured see a stark decrease in the price of primary care after gaining public insurance. Due to charity care, they may face an increase in the price of emergency department care. The previously insured see a reduction in emergency department prices and decreased access to primary care. We examine the impact of the prior insurance status of the newly publicly insured on substitution between healthcare. We base our identification on California's LIHP and ACA Medicaid expansions. One challenge we face is estimating crowd-out. We use machine learning techniques to predict prior insurance status based on observable covariates in cross-sectional data. We find an increase in emergency department utilization caused entirely by those crowded-out whose access to primary care has decreased. We find the opposite utilization patterns for the previously uninsured.

Mitigating Risk Selection in Healthcare Entitlement Programs: A Beneficiary-Level Competitive Bidding Approach

Many developed countries rely, to varying degrees, on competition among private health plans to obtain affordable and high-quality health insurance for their residents. Incorporating beneficiary-level competitive bidding into these healthcare systems can better align the incentives of these health plans, increase their willingness to enroll, and serve the sickest and most vulnerable patients while keeping costs manageable. We identify two digitally enabled program designs that allow private insurance plans to competitively bid to enroll individual beneficiaries. Compared with those used in existing entitlement programs, these designs always make a larger share of the beneficiary population profitable to enroll, thereby increasing willingness of the plans to enroll the most costly beneficiaries and improving access to care. On simulating the conditions of existing real-word healthcare entitlement programs, we found that these new designs actually tend to lower the tax burden in up to 83% of simulations. The research findings suggest that these new designs hold great promise in achieving the dual aim of improved access and lower costs. We believe that findings from this research can guide policymakers implement policies that will enroll more beneficiaries and cost the taxpayers less.

Emergency Department Utilization in the U.S. Military Health System

INTRODUCTION

Emergency department (ED) utilization represents an expensive and growing means of accessing care for a variety of conditions. Prior studies have characterized ED utilization in the general population. We aim to identify the clinical conditions that drive ED utilization in a universally insured population and the impacts of care setting on ED use and admissions in the U.S. Military Health System.

METHODS

We queried TRICARE claims data from October 1, 2012, to September 30, 2015, to identify all ED visits for adult patients (age 18-64). The primary presenting diagnoses of all ED visits and those leading to admission are presented with descriptive statistics. Logistic regression was used to identify clinical and sociodemographic factors associated with admission from the ED.

RESULTS

A total of 4,687,205 ED visits were identified, of which 46% took place in the DoD healthcare facilities (direct care). The most common diagnoses across all ED visits were abdominal pain, chest pain, headache, nausea and vomiting, and urinary tract infection. A total of 270,127 (5.8%) ED visits led to inpatient admission. The most common diagnoses leading to admission were chest pain, abdominal pain, depression, conditions relating to acute psychological stress, and pneumonia. For patients presenting with 1 of the 10 most common ED diagnoses, those who were seen at a civilian ED were significantly less likely to be admitted (3.4%) compared to direct care facilities (4.1%) in an adjusted logistic regression model (Adjusted Odds Ratio 0.40 [95% CI: 0.40-0.41], P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Ultimately, we show that abdominal pain and chest pain are the most common reasons for presentation to the ED in the Military Health System and the most common presenting diagnoses for admission from the ED. Among patients presenting with the most common ED conditions, direct care EDs were significantly more likely to admit patients than civilian facilities.

Not Breathing Easy: "Disarticulated Homework" in Asthma Management

Recent health policy in the United States encourages an outsourcing of labor from professional practice into domestic spaces, where in theory, medical professionals supply the training, technologies, and guidance needed to discharge responsibility for care to patients or caregivers. Mattingly et al. (2011) term this labor "chronic homework," describing the relationship between the assigning and undertaking of medical care at the borders of professional and domestic domains. This is a system predicated on relationships between professional and caregiver. However, in our research with families and providers in two U.S. sites, we observed a "disarticulation" of asthma care from professional medicine. Caregivers may undertake routine asthma management with little physician oversight, transforming chronic homework into what we term "disarticulated homework." We argue that expanding the concept of chronic homework to theorize disarticulation processes can help elucidate how health disparities are reproduced in the gap between medical systems and domestic life. [asthma, self-management, caregiving pharmaceuticalization, health disparities].

The impact of nurse practitioner and physician assistant workforce supply on Medicaid-related emergency department visits and hospitalizations

BACKGROUND

New York State (NYS) has approximately 4.7 million Medicaid beneficiaries with 75% having at least one or more chronic conditions. An estimated 10% of Medicaid beneficiaries seek emergency department (ED) services for nonurgent matters. It is unclear if an increased supply of nurse practitioners (NPs) and physician assistants (PAs) impact utilization of ED and subsequent hospitalizations for chronic conditions.

PURPOSE

To investigate the relationship between NYS workforce supply (physicians, NPs, and PAs) and 1) ED use and 2) in-patient hospitalizations for chronically ill Medicaid beneficiaries.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study design was employed by calculating total workforce supply per NYS county and the proportion of physicians, NPs, and PAs per total number of Medicaid beneficiaries. We extracted the frequencies of all NYS Medicaid beneficiary chronic condition-related ED visits and in-patient admissions. Medicaid beneficiaries were considered to have a chronic condition if there was a claim indicating that the beneficiary received a service or treatment for this specific condition. We calculated the proportion of ED visits/beneficiary for each chronic disease category and the proportion of category-specific in-patient hospitalizations per the number of beneficiaries with that diagnosis.

RESULTS

As the NP/beneficiary proportion increased, ED visits for dual and nondual eligible beneficiaries decreased (p = .007; β = -2.218; 95% confidence interval [CI]: -3.79 to -0.644 and p = .04; β = -2.698; 95% CI: -5.268 to -0.127, respectively).

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

Counties with a higher proportion of NPs and PAs had significantly lower numbers of ED visits and hospitalizations for Medicaid beneficiaries.

Medicaid managed care and preventable emergency department visits in the United States

Objectives

In the United States the percentage of Medicaid enrollees in some form of Medicaid managed care has increased more than seven-fold since 1990, e.g., up from 11% in 1991 to 82% in 2017. Yet little is known about whether and how this major change in Medicaid insurance affects how recipients use hospital emergency rooms. This study compares the performance of Medicaid health maintenance organizations (HMOs) and fee-for-service (FFS) Medicaid regarding the occurrence of potentially preventable emergency department (ED) use.

Methods

Using data from the 2003–2015 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS), a nationally representative survey of the non-institutionalized US population, we estimated multivariable logistic regression models to examine the relationship between Medicaid HMO status and potentially preventable ED use. To accommodate the composition of the Medicaid population, we conducted separate repeated cross-sectional analyses for recipients insured through both Medicaid and Medicare (dual eligibles) and for those insured through Medicaid only (non-duals). We explicitly addressed the possibility of selection bias into HMOs in our models using propensity score weighting.

Results

We found that the type of Medicaid held by a recipient, i.e., whether an HMO or FFS coverage, was unrelated to the probability that an ED visit was potentially preventable. This finding emerged both among dual eligibles and among non-duals, and it occurred irrespective of the adopted analytical strategy.

Conclusions

Within the U.S. Medicaid program, Medicaid HMO and FFS enrollees are indistinguishable in terms of the occurrence of potentially preventable ED use. Policymakers should consider this finding when evaluating the pros and cons of adopting Medicaid managed care.

Primary Care Office Visits For Acute Care Dropped Sharply In 2002-15, While ED Visits Increased Modestly

The traditional model of primary care practices as the main provider of care for acute illnesses is rapidly changing. Over the past two decades the growth in emergency department (ED) visits has spurred efforts to reduce "inappropriate" ED use. We examined a nationally representative sample of office and ED visits in the period 2002-15. We found a 12 percent increase in ED use (from 385 to 430 visits per 1,000 population), which was dwarfed by a decrease of nearly one-third in the rate of acute care visits to primary care practices (from 938 to 637 visits per 1,000 population). The decrease in primary care acute visits was also present among two vulnerable populations: Medicaid beneficiaries and adults ages sixty-five and older, either in Medicare or privately insured. As acute care delivery shifts away from primary care practices, there is a growing need for integration and coordination across an increasingly diverse spectrum of venues where patients seek care for acute illnesses.

Medicaid Expansion Reduced Emergency Department Visits by Low-income Adults Due to Barriers to Outpatient Care

BACKGROUND

Prior studies have found conflicting effects of Medicaid expansion on emergency department (ED) utilization but have not studied the reasons patients go to EDs.

OBJECTIVES

Examine the changes in reasons for ED use associated with Medicaid expansion.

RESEARCH DESIGN

Difference-in-difference analysis.

SUBJECTS

We included sample adults from the 2012 to 2017 National Health Interview Survey who were US citizens and reported a total family income below 138% federal poverty level (n=30,259).

MEASURES

We examined changes in the proportion of study subjects reporting: (1) any ED visits; (2) ED visits due to perceived illness severity; (3) office not open; and (4) barriers to outpatient care, comparing expansion and nonexpansion states.

RESULTS

Overall, 30.6% of low-income adults reported ED use in the past year, of which 74.1% reported illness acuity, 12.4% reported office not open, 9.5% reported access barriers, and 4.0% did not report any reason. Medicaid expansion was not associated with statistically significant changes in overall ED use [-2.2% (95% confidence interval-CI), -5.5% to 1.2%), P=0.21], ED visits due to perceived illness severity [0.5% (95% CI, -2.4% to 3.5%), P=0.73], or office not open [-0.9% (95% CI, -2.3% to 0.5%); P=0.22], but was associated with significant decrease in ED visits due to access barriers [-1.4% (95% CI, -2.6% to -0.2%), P=0.022].

CONCLUSIONS

Medicaid expansion was associated with a decrease in low-income adults who reported outpatient care barriers as reasons for ED visits. There were no significant changes in overall ED utilization, likely because the majority of respondent reported ED use due to concerns with illness severity or outpatient office was closed.

A Cost-Benefit Analysis of A Community Free Clinic

Uninsured patients lacking access to primary and preventive care continues to be an issue. The purpose of this analysis is to describe operating costs surrounding a nurse-driven freestanding community clinic and to calculate quality of life benefits using clinically preventable burden scores. A retrospective records review of patients (n = 200) receiving care at a free clinic were used. Annual costs were $387,252. The benefit gained in quality-adjusted life years is estimated to be 57.47-203.94 yielding a return on investment ranging from $1,200,264-$8,948,184. Free clinics have sustained cost savings over time. Policies addressing this form of care are imperative.

The Association of Nurse Practitioner Scope-of-Practice Laws With Emergency Department Use: Evidence From Medicaid Expansion

BACKGROUND

Overuse and inappropriate use of emergency departments (EDs) remains an important issue in health policy. After implementation of Medicaid expansion, many states experienced an increase in ED use, but the magnitude varied. Differential access to primary care might explain such variation.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether the increase in ED use among Medicaid enrollees following Medicaid expansion was smaller in states that allowed greater access to primary care providers by permitting nurse practitioners (NPs) to practice without physician oversight.

RESEARCH DESIGN

Examining data on ED use by Medicaid beneficiaries, we estimated random effects models to examine changes in ED visits. Models for 8 different clinical conditions were estimated, with each model including a linear time trend, indicators for Medicaid expansion and for the absence of physician oversight requirements, and an interaction between these 2 indicators.

RESULTS

States requiring physician oversight of NPs had a 28% increase in ED visits relative to the preexpansion period, while states allowing NP practice without physician oversight had only a 7% increase. The increase in the share of visits covered by Medicaid in no-oversight states was 40% of the size of the increase in oversight states.

CONCLUSIONS

Allowing NPs to practice without physician oversight was associated with a reduction in the magnitude of increase in ED use following Medicaid expansion. States that restrict NP practice should weigh the costs of maintaining these restrictions against the potential benefits of lower ED use. States considering Medicaid expansion should also consider relaxing NP scope-of-practice laws.

Impact of the 2015 Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Outbreak on Emergency Care Utilization and Mortality in South Korea

PURPOSE

In May 2015, South Korea experienced an epidemic of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS). This study investigated the impacts of MERS epidemic on emergency care utilization and mortality in South Korea.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A natural experimental study was conducted using healthcare utilization and mortality data of the entire Korean population. The number of monthly emergency room (ER) visits was investigated to identify changes in emergency care utilization during the MERS epidemic; these trends were also examined according to patients' demographic factors, disease severity, and region. Deaths within 7 days after visiting an ER were analyzed to evaluate the impact of the reduction in ER visits on mortality.

RESULTS

The number of ER visits during the peak of the MERS epidemic (June 2015) decreased by 33.1% compared to the average figures from June 2014 and June 2016. The decrease was observed in all age, sex, and income groups, and was more pronounced for low-acuity diseases (acute otitis media: 53.0%; upper respiratory infections: 45.2%) than for high-acuity diseases (myocardial infarctions: 14.0%; ischemic stroke: 16.6%). No substantial changes were detected for the highest-acuity diseases, with increases of 3.5% for cardiac arrest and 2.4% for hemorrhagic stroke. The number of deaths within 7 days of an ER visit did not change significantly.

CONCLUSION

During the MERS epidemic, the number of ER visits decreased in all age, sex, and socioeconomic groups, and decreased most sharply for low-acuity diseases. Nonetheless, there was no significant change in deaths after emergency care.

Emergency Department and Primary Care Use in Massachusetts 5 Years After Health Reform

OBJECTIVE

Conceptually, access to primary care (through insurance) should reduce emergency department (ED) visits for primary care sensitive (PCS) conditions. We sought to identify characteristics of insured Massachusetts residents associated with PCS ED use, and compare such use for public versus private insurees.

POPULATION AND SETTING

People under age 65 in the Massachusetts All-Payer Claims Data, 2011-2012.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective, observational analysis of PCS ED use with nonurgent, urgent/primary care treatable, and urgent/potentially avoidable visits being considered PCS. We predicted utilization in 2012 using multivariable regression models and data available in 2011 administrative records.

PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

Among 2,269,475 nonelderly Massachusetts residents, 40% had public insurance. Among public insurees, PCS ED use was higher than for private (mean, 36.5 vs. 9.0 per 100 persons; adjusted risk ratio, 2.53; 95% confidence limits, 2.49-2.56), while having any primary care visit was less common (70% vs. 83%), as was having any visit to one's own (attributed) primary care provider (38% vs. 44%).

CONCLUSIONS

Public insurance was associated with less access to primary care and more PCS ED use; statewide labor shortages and low reimbursement rates from public insurance may have provided inadequate access to care that might otherwise have helped reduce PCS ED use.

Disparities in Emergency Department Visits Among Collocated Racial/Ethnic Medicare Enrollees

STUDY OBJECTIVE

We estimate emergency department (ED) use differences across Medicare enrollees of different race/ethnicity who are residing in the same zip codes.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, we stratified all Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged 66 years and older (2006 to 2012) by residence zip code and identified zip codes with racial/ethnic diversity, defined as containing at least 1 enrollee from each of 3 racial/ethnic groups: Hispanics, (non-Hispanic) blacks, and (non-Hispanic) whites. Our primary study population consisted of a stratified random sample of approximately equal number of each racial/ethnic group from each zip code with racial/ethnic diversity (N=1,563,631). We identified ED visits, comorbidities, primary-care-treatable status, and patient disposition. We characterized socioeconomic status by zip code poverty rate. The main outcome measure was the ratio of ED visit rate (number of visits/100 person-years) between each minority group and whites.

RESULTS

Of 38,423 zip codes nationally, 41% met the racial/ethnic diversity criterion; these zip codes contained 85% of the Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries. Among enrollees from zip codes with racial/ethnic diversity, the ED visit rate among whites was 45.4 (95% confidence interval 45.1 to 45.6), and the ED visit rate ratio was 1.34 (95% confidence interval 1.33 to 1.36) among blacks and 1.23 (95% confidence interval 1.22 to 1.24) among Hispanics. ED visit rate ratios for both minority groups were greater than 1.00 among all subgroups by age, comorbidity, zip code poverty rate, urban/rural area, and primary-care-treatable and disposition status.

CONCLUSION

Among Medicare enrollees, blacks and Hispanics had higher ED use rates than whites overall and among subgroups by demographics and socioeconomic status.

Trends in the utilisation of emergency departments in California, 2005-2015: a retrospective analysis

OBJECTIVE

To examine current trends in the characteristics of patients visiting California emergency departments (EDs) in order to better direct the allocation of acute care resources.

DESIGN

A retrospective study.

SETTING

We analysed ED utilisation trends between 2005 and 2015 in California using non-public patient data from California's Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development.

PARTICIPANTS

We included all ED visits in California from 2005 to 2015.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

We analysed ED visits and visit rates by age, sex, race/ethnicity, payer and urban/rural trends. We further examined age, sex, race/ethnicity and urban/rural trends within each payer group for a more granular picture of the patient population. Additionally, we looked at the proportion of patients admitted from the ED and distribution of diagnoses.

RESULTS

Between 2005 and 2015, the annual number of ED visits increased from 10.2 to 14.2 million in California. ED visit rates increased by 27.8% (p<0.001), with the greatest increases among patients aged 5-19 (37.4%, p<0.001) and 45-64 years (41.1%, p<0.001), non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic patients (56.8% and 48.8%, p<0.001), the uninsured and Medicaid-insured (36.1%, p=0.002; 28.6%, p<0.001) and urban residents (28.3%, p<0.001). The proportion of ED visits resulting in hospitalisation decreased by 18.3%, with decreases across all payer groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings reveal an increasing demand for emergency care and may reflect current limitations in accessing care in other parts of the healthcare system. Policymakers may need to recognise the increasingly vital role that EDs are playing in the provision of care and consider ways to incorporate this changing reality into the delivery of health services.

Emergency Department Utilization Among the Uninsured During Insurance Expansion in Maryland

STUDY OBJECTIVE

We analyzed the effect of insurance expansion on emergency department (ED) utilization among the uninsured in Maryland, which expanded Medicaid eligibility and created health insurance exchanges in 2014.

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of statewide administrative claims for July 2012 to December 2015. We used coarsened exact matching to pair uninsured and insured (Medicaid, Medicare, commercial, and other) adult Maryland residents who visited an ED or were hospitalized at baseline (July 2012 to December 2013). We compared ED utilization between these groups after insurance expansion (January 2014 to December 2015), using a difference-in-differences quasi-experimental design. Nonreturning patients from the baseline period were included in the post-insurance expansion rates as having zero visits.

RESULTS

Matching yielded 178,381 pairs. In the 12 months before insurance expansion, the baseline uninsured group visited the ED at a rate of 26.1 per 100 patient-quarters versus 28.2 among the insured group (relative rate=0.93). In the 24 months after insurance expansion, 45% of the baseline uninsured returned to an ED, of whom 33% returned uninsured, 40% returned with Medicaid, and 21% returned with commercial insurance. After insurance expansion, with 55% of patients in each group not returning, the ED visit rate for both the baseline uninsured and insured groups was 15.9 per 100 patient-quarters (relative rate=1.00). This 8% relative increase from baseline in ED visits among the uninsured group was driven primarily by increases in higher-acuity visits. Uninsured patients from high-poverty zip codes (N=34,964 pairs) increased their ED utilization by 15% after insurance expansion, whereas baseline uninsured patients with no comorbidities (N=94,330 pairs) showed a 3% decrease.

CONCLUSION

Insurance expansion in Maryland was associated with a modest relative increase in ED visits among the uninsured, driven by increases in higher-acuity visits. It remains unclear whether insurance coverage helped the uninsured address their unmet medical needs.

Medicaid Managed Care in Florida and Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Preventable Emergency Department Visits

BACKGROUND

In an effort to address health care spending growth, coordinate care, and improve access to primary care in the Medicaid program, Florida implemented the Statewide Mandatory Managed Care (SMMC) program in May of 2014.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study is to investigate the impact of implementation of mandatory managed care in Medicaid on the preventable emergency department (ED) utilizations, with a focus on racial/ethnic minorities.

RESEARCH DESIGN

The primary data source is the universe of Florida ED visit and inpatient discharge data from 2010 to 2015, maintained by the Florida Agency for Health Care Administration. We adopt the New York University Billing's ED Classification Algorithm to create measures for preventable ED visits. Using difference-in-differences estimation, we examine preventable ED visits for Florida residents aged 18-64 with a primary payer of Medicaid (treatment group) and private health insurance (control group) pre-SMMC and post-SMMC reform.

RESULTS

Our findings show that SMMC is statistically significantly associated with more reductions in preventable ED visits among non-Hispanic African American (incidence rate ratio=0.81; 95% confidence interval, 0.70-0.94) and Hispanic (incidence rate ratio=0.72; 95% CI, 0.60-0.87) Medicaid enrollees relative to their white counterparts. We also find significant reduction of racial/ethnic disparities only in counties with above median preimplementation Medicaid managed care penetration rate.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that implementation of Medicaid mandatory managed care in Florida is associated with reduced racial/ethnic disparities in preventable ED visits.

Variation in outpatient emergency department utilization in Texas Medicaid: a state-level framework for finding "superutilizers"

BACKGROUND

Very frequent outpatient emergency department (ED) use-so called "superutilization"-at the state level is not well-studied. To address this gap, we examined frequent ED utilization in the largest state Medicaid population to date.

METHODS

Using Texas Medicaid (the third largest in the USA) claims data, we examined the variability in expenditures, sociodemographics, comorbidities, and persistence across seven levels of ED utilization/year (i.e., 1, 2, 3-4, 5-6, 7-9, 10-14, and ≥ 15 visits). We classified visits into emergent and non-emergent categories using the most recent New York University algorithm.

RESULTS

Thirty-one percent (n = 346,651) of Texas Medicaid adult enrollees visited the ED at least once in 2014. Enrollees with ≥ 3 ED visits accounted for 8.5% of all adult patients, 60.4% of the total ED visits, and 62.1% of the total ED expenditures. Extremely frequent ED users (≥ 10 ED visits) represented < 1% of all users but accounted for 15.5% of all ED visits and 17.4% of the total ED costs. The proportions of ED visits classified as non-emergent or emergent, but primary care treatable varied little as ED visits increased. Overall, approximately 13% of ED visits were considered not preventable or avoidable.

CONCLUSIONS

The Texas Medicaid population has a substantial burden of chronic disease with only modest increases in substance use and mental health diagnoses as annual visits increase. Understanding the characteristics that lead to frequent ED use is vital to developing strategies and Medicaid policy to reduce high utilization.

The Uninsured Do Not Use The Emergency Department More-They Use Other Care Less

There is a popular perception that insurance coverage will reduce overuse of the emergency department (ED). Both opponents and advocates of expanding insurance coverage under the Affordable Care Act (ACA) have made statements to the effect that EDs have been jammed with the uninsured and that paying for the uninsured population's emergency care has burdened the health care system as a result of the expense of that care. It has therefore been surprising to many to encounter evidence that insurance coverage increases ED use instead of decreasing it. Two facts may help explain this unexpected finding. First, there is a common misperception that the uninsured use the ED more than the insured. In fact, insured and uninsured adults use the ED at very similar rates and in very similar circumstances-and the uninsured use the ED substantially less than the Medicaid population. Second, while the uninsured do not use the ED more than the insured, they do use other types of care much less than the insured.

Trends in the Contribution of Emergency Departments to the Provision of Hospital-Associated Health Care in the USA

Traditional approaches to assessing the health of populations focus on the use of primary care and the delivery of care through patient-centered homes, managed care resources, and accountable care organizations. The use of emergency departments (EDs) has largely not been given consideration in these models. Our study aimed to determine the contribution of EDs to the health care received by Americans between 1996 and 2010 and to compare it with the contribution of outpatient and inpatient services using National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey and National Hospital Discharge Survey databases. We found that EDs contributed an average of 47.7% of the hospital-associated medical care delivered in the United States, and this percentage increased steadily over the 14-year study period. EDs are a major source of medical care in the United States, especially for vulnerable populations, and this contribution increased throughout the study period. Including emergency care within health reform and population health efforts would prove valuable to supporting the health of the nation.

Emergency Department Use across 88 Small Areas after Affordable Care Act Implementation in Illinois

Introduction

This study analyzes changes in hospital emergency department (ED) visit rates before and after the 2014 Affordable Care Act (ACA) insurance expansions in Illinois. We compare the association between population insurance status change and ED visit rate change between a 24-month (2012–2013) pre-ACA period and a 24-month post-ACA (2014–2015) period across 88 socioeconomically diverse areas of Illinois.

Methods

We used annual American Community Survey estimates for 2012–2015 to obtain insurance status changes for uninsured, private, Medicaid, and Medicare (disability) populations of 88 Illinois Public Use Micro Areas (PUMAs), areas with a mean of about 90,000 age 18–64 residents. Over 12 million ED visits to 201 non-federal Illinois hospitals were used to calculate visit rates by residents of each PUMA, using population-based mapping weights to allocate visits from zip codes to PUMAs. We then estimated n=88 correlations between population insurance-status changes and changes in ED visit rates per 1,000 residents comparing the two years before and after ACA implementation.

Results

The baseline PUMA uninsurance rate ranged from 6.7% to 41.1% and there was 4.6-fold variation in baseline PUMA ED visit rates. The top quartile of PUMAs had >21,000 reductions in uninsured residents; 16 PUMAs had at least a 15,000 person increase in Medicaid enrollment. Compared to 2012–2013, 2014–2015 average monthly ED visits by the uninsured dropped 42%, but increased 42% for Medicaid and 10% for the privately insured. Areas with the largest increases in Medicaid enrollment experienced the largest growth in ED use; change in Medicaid enrollment was the only significant correlate of area change in total ED visits and explained a third of variation across the 88 PUMAs.

Conclusion

ACA implementation in Illinois accelerated existing trends towards greater use of hospital ED care. It remains to be seen whether providing better access to primary and preventive care to the formerly uninsured will reduce ED use over time, or whether ACA insurance expansion is a part of continued, long-term growth. Monitoring ED use at the local level is critical to the success of new home- and community-based care coordination initiatives.

The Impact of Emergency Department Census on the Decision to Admit

OBJECTIVE

We evaluated the effect of emergency department (ED) census on disposition decisions made by ED physicians.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis using 18 months of all adult patient encounters seen in the main ED at an academic tertiary care center. Patient census information was calculated at the time of physician assignment for each individual patient and included the number of patients in the waiting room (waiting room census) and number of patients being managed by the patient's attending (physician load census). A multiple logistic regression model was created to assess the association between these census variables and the disposition decision, controlling for potential confounders including Emergency Severity Index acuity, patient demographics, arrival hour, arrival mode, and chief complaint.

RESULTS

A total of 49,487 patient visits were included in this analysis, of whom 37% were admitted to the hospital. Both census measures were significantly associated with increased chance of admission; the odds ratio (OR) per patient increase for waiting room census was 1.011 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.001 to 1.020), and the OR for physician load census was 1.010 (95% CI = 1.002 to 1.019). To put this in practical terms, this translated to a modeled rise from 35.3% to 40.1% when shifting from an empty waiting room and zero patient load to a 12-patient wait and 16-patient load for a given physician.

CONCLUSION

Waiting room census and physician load census at time of physician assignment were positively associated with the likelihood that a patient would be admitted, controlling for potential confounders. Our data suggest that disposition decisions in the ED are influenced not only by objective measures of a patient's disease state, but also by workflow-related concerns.

DECLINE IN HOSPITALIZATION TREND FOR CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES SENSITIVE TO PRIMARY HEALTHCARE

ABSTRACT Objective: was to analyze the trend of hospitalizations for cardiovascular conditions sensitive to primary healthcare from 2000 to 2011. Method: an ecological study of the tendency of hospitalization rates for cardiovascular diseases by residence, aged between 35 and 74 years, according to the main diagnoses of hospitalization, gender and age, with data from the Hospital Information System of the Brazilian National Unified Health System (Sistema de Informações Hospitalares do Sistema Único de Saúde) and using polynomial regression models. Results: an average annual decline of 5.6 per 10,000 inhabitants ( r2 =0.9; p<0.001) of hospitalization rates by cardiovascular diseases was observed. Decreasing trends for hypertension, heart failure and cerebrovascular diseases were also identified, while hospitalization rates by angina remained stable. The decrease in admission rates due to cardiovascular conditions was similar between both genders, although these rates were higher for men aged 55 to 74 years. Conclusion: the decline in hospitalization rates for primary care-sensitive cardiovascular diseases indicates, in addition to other factors, improved access and quality of primary healthcare actions, especially for residents aged 55-74 years, and also for women whose decline was more pronounced. The health team should implement actions to prevent chronic disease complications, and consequently hospitalizations for men and for angina, in order to eliminate health disparities.

Longitudinal Patterns of Emergency Department Visits: A Multistate Analysis of Medicaid Beneficiaries

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to examine the longitudinal patterns of emergency department (ED) visits among adult fee-for-service Medicaid.

DATA SOURCES

Data were obtained from the Medicaid analytic eXtract files, Area Health Resource File, and County Health Rankings.

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective longitudinal study design, with four observations for each individual was used. The study population consisted of 33,393 Medicaid beneficiaries who met inclusion criteria. ED visits were time-lagged and time-varying patient-level factors were measured for each year. Time-invariant characteristics (gender and race/ethnicity) were measured in 2006. Multivariable hurdle models with logistic (ED use versus no ED use) and negative binomial regressions (ED visits among ED users) were used to analyze the ED visits over time. To account for correlation due to repeated observations, mixed effect models with robust standard errors were performed.

PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

In both unadjusted and adjusted analysis, the likelihood of ED use did not change from year to year (AOR = 1.00, 95 percent CI: 0.99, 1.01). Among ED users, the estimated number of ED visits increased over time (IRR = 1.01, 95 percent CI: 1.01, 1.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Primary care resources should be a major focus to reduce the increased burden on the EDs.

San Francisco children living in redeveloped public housing used acute services less than children in older public housing

Understanding the links between housing and health is increasingly important. Poor housing quality is a predictor of poor health and developmental problems in low-income children. We examined associations between public housing type and recurrent pediatric emergency and urgent care hospital visits. Children ages 0-18 with public insurance who sought emergency care from any of three large medical systems in San Francisco were categorized by whether they lived in public housing redeveloped through the federal HOPE VI program, nonredeveloped public housing, or nonpublic housing in a census tract that also contained public housing. After we adjusted for potential confounding characteristics, we found that children living in nonredeveloped public housing were 39 percent more likely to have one or more repeat visits within one year for acute health care services unrelated to the initial visit, compared to children who lived in redeveloped HOPE VI housing. We observed no differences in repeat visits between children in redeveloped HOPE VI housing and those in nonpublic housing. These findings support the continued redevelopment of public housing as a means of both improving the health of vulnerable high-risk children from low-income neighborhoods and reducing health care costs.

Short-term Outcomes for Medicare Beneficiaries After Low-acuity Visits to Emergency Departments and Clinics

BACKGROUND

There is substantial interest in identifying low-acuity visits to emergency departments (EDs) that could be treated more appropriately in other settings. Systematic differences in illness severity between ED patients and comparable patients elsewhere could make such strategies unsafe, but little evidence exists to guide policy makers.

OBJECTIVE

To compare illness severity between patients visiting EDs and outpatient clinics, by comparing short-term mortality and hospitalization, controlling for patient demographics, comorbidity, and visit acuity.

RESEARCH DESIGN

Cross-sectional study of outcomes after medical encounters.

SUBJECTS

Nationally representative 20% sample of Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries discharged home from ED or clinic visit in 2011, and enrolled continuously for 1 year before the visit.

MEASURES

All-cause mortality and hospitalization in the 8, 15, and 30 days after discharge home from ED or clinic visits.

RESULTS

After risk-adjusting for patient demographic, comorbidity, disability, and dual-eligibility status, as well as visit acuity as measured by a commonly used algorithm, we found that ED patients were more likely to die (risk-adjusted odds ratio=2.75; 95% confidence interval, 2.56-2.96) or be hospitalized (odds ratio=1.97; 95% confidence interval, 1.95-2.00) after discharge than clinic patients. Differences in short-term outcomes were observed even when comparing patients with the same discharge diagnoses after risk adjustment.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients presenting to EDs have worse risk-adjusted short-term outcomes than those presenting to outpatient clinics, even after controlling for acuity level of visit or discharge diagnosis. Existing measures of acuity using administrative data may not adequately capture severity of illness, making judgments of the appropriate setting for care difficult.

Validation of an algorithm to determine the primary care treatability of emergency department visits

OBJECTIVES

We propose a new claims-computable measure of the primary care treatability of emergency department (ED) visits and validate it using a nationally representative sample of Medicare data.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

This is a validation study using 2011-2012 Medicare claims data for a nationally representative 5% sample of fee-for-service beneficiaries to compare the new measure's performance to the Ballard variant of the Billings algorithm in predicting hospitalisation and death following an ED visit.

OUTCOMES

Hospitalisation within 1 day or 1 week of an ED visit; death within 1 week or 1 month of an ED visit.

RESULTS

The Minnesota algorithm is a strong predictor of hospitalisations and deaths, with performance similar to or better than the most commonly used existing algorithm to assess the severity of ED visits. The Billings/Ballard algorithm is a better predictor of death within 1 week of an ED visit; this finding is entirely driven by a small number of ED visits where patients appear to have been dead on arrival.

CONCLUSIONS

The procedure-based approach of the Minnesota algorithm allows researchers to use the clinical judgement of the ED physician, who saw the patient to determine the likely severity of each visit. The Minnesota algorithm may thus provide a useful tool for investigating ED use in Medicare beneficiaries.

Access is Not Enough: Characteristics of Physicians Who Treat Medicaid Patients

BACKGROUND

Access to physicians is a major concern for Medicaid programs. However, little is known about relationships between physician participation in Medicaid and the individual-level and practice-level characteristics of physicians.

METHODS

We used the 2011 Massachusetts All Payer Claims Database, containing all commercial and Medicaid claims; we linked with data on physician characteristics. We measured Medicaid participation intensity (fraction of the physician's patient panel with Medicaid) for primary care physicians (PCPs) and medical specialists. We measured influence of physicians within a patient referral network using eigenvector centrality. We used regression models to associate Medicaid intensity with physician individual-level and practice-level characteristics.

FINDINGS

About 92.6% of physicians treated at least 1 Medicaid patient, but the median physician's panel contained only 5.7% Medicaid patients. Medicaid intensity was associated with physician training and influence for PCPs and specialists. For medical specialists, a 1 percentage point increase in Medicaid intensity was associated with a lower probability of being board certified (-0.22 percentage points; 95% CI, -0.30, -0.14), lower probability of attending a domestic medical school (-0.14 percentage points; 95% CI, -0.22, -0.05), having attended a less well-ranked domestic medical school (0.23 ranks; 95% CI, 0.15, 0.30), and having slightly less influence in the referral network. PCPs displayed similar results but high Medicaid intensity physicians had substantially less influence in the referral network.

CONCLUSIONS

Medicaid participation intensity shows substantial variation across physicians, indicating limits of binary participation measures. Physicians with more Medicaid patients had characteristics often perceived by patients to be of lower quality.

Presentation to Emergency Departments for Acute Rhinosinusitis

Objective

Medicaid and self-pay insurance statuses and race are associated with emergency department (ED) presentation for uncomplicated acute rhinosinusitis (ARS). We investigated whether ARS symptomatology could explain this disproportionate ED use.

Study Design

2006-2010 National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Surveys.

Setting

EDs in the United States.

Subjects and Methods

The data comprise 1,632,826 adult visits for uncomplicated ARS at hospital EDs. Patient-reported reasons for presentation included constitutional symptoms, facial pain or headache, sinonasal symptoms, head cold or flu-like symptoms, cough or sputum production, and sore throat. Patient-reported pain level was also included. Symptoms were assessed for associations with insurance status and race after controlling for clinical, demographic, and socioeconomic characteristics.

Results

Medicaid patients had similar symptomatology and levels of pain when compared with privately insured patients. Self-pay patients reported higher pain levels ( P = .033) and were less likely to report head cold or flu-like symptoms ( P = .018) but were equally likely to report other symptomatology. Relative to white patients, Hispanic patients were more likely to complain of facial pain and headaches ( P = .033) and less likely to complain of other classical ARS symptoms, such as cough or sputum production ( P = .013), sinonasal symptoms ( P = .019), or head cold or flu-like symptoms ( P = .019). Black patients were also less likely to complain of sinonasal symptoms ( P = .038).

Conclusion

Symptomatology does not explain disproportionate ED use for ARS by Medicaid patients, while higher self-reported pain levels may explain self-pay patients’ disproportionate ED utilization. Likewise, ED presentation for ARS among Hispanic patients may be related to symptomatology that is less specific for ARS, such as headache and facial pain.

The Roles of Chronic Disease Complexity, Health System Integration, and Care Management in Post-Discharge Healthcare Utilization in a Low-Income Population

Economically disadvantaged individuals with chronic disease have high rates of in-patient (IP) readmission and emergency department (ED) utilization following initial hospitalization. The purpose of this study was to explore the relationships between chronic disease complexity, health system integration (admission to accountable care organization [ACO] hospital), availability of care management interventions (membership in managed care organization [MCO]), and 90-day post-discharge healthcare utilization. We used de-identified Medicaid claims data from two counties in western New York. The study population was 114,295 individuals who met inclusion criteria, of whom 7,179 had index hospital admissions in the first 9 months of 2013. Individuals were assigned to three disease complexity segments based on presence of 12 prevalent conditions. The 30-day inpatient (IP) readmission rates ranged from 6% in the non-chronic segment to 12% in the chronic disease complexity segment and 21% in the organ system failure complexity segment. Rehospitalization rates (both inpatient and emergency department [ED]) were lower for patients in MCOs and ACOs than for those in fee-for-service care. Complexity of chronic disease, initial hospitalization in a facility that was part of an ACO, MCO membership, female gender, and longer length of stay were associated with a significantly longer time to readmission in the first 90 days, that is, fewer readmissions. Our results add to evidence that high-value post-discharge utilization (fewer IP or ED rehospitalizations and early outpatient follow-up) require population-based transitional care strategies that improve continuity between settings and take into account the illness complexity of the Medicaid population. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

The association between office-based provider visits and emergency department utilization among Medicaid beneficiaries

The purpose of our study was to describe the relationship between office-based provider visits and emergency department (ED) utilization by adult Medicaid beneficiaries. Data were extracted from the publicly-available Medical Expenditure Panel Survey, a nationally representative sample of the civilian non-institutionalized population in the United States. The sample included 1,497 respondents who had full year Medicaid coverage in 2009. Study variables included insurance coverage type, usual source of care, chronic illnesses, and beneficiary demographics. Multivariate analyses were conducted to describe associations between individual characteristics and (a) likelihood of any ED utilization, and (b) number of ED visits by those who utilized the ED at least once in the study year. The analysis was adjusted for demographic characteristics and chronic health conditions. A greater number of office-based provider visits was associated with a higher likelihood of ED utilization. Among those with at least one ED visit, a greater number of office-based visits was associated with a higher number of ED visits. A respondent's age, history of hypertension or myocardial infarction, and Hispanic/Latino ethnicity were associated with having one or more ED visits; age and Hispanic/Latino ethnicity were associated with total number of ED visits among those with at least one. In this representative sample of adult Medicaid beneficiaries, there was no evidence that office-based provider visits reduced ED utilization. Office visits were associated with higher ED utilization, as were certain chronic conditions, older age, and Hispanic/Latino ethnicity. Findings do not support efforts to reduce ED utilization by increasing office-based visits alone.

Primary Care Experiences of Emergency Department Patients With Limited Health Literacy

It is unclear why patients with limited health literacy have fewer visits with a personal doctor and more emergency department (ED) visits than patients with adequate health literacy. We identified significant differences in perceived access to a personal doctor and high-quality provider interactions among adults with limited compared to adequate health literacy presenting for emergency treatment. Practice and provider strategies to ensure that patients have timely access to care and high-quality provider interactions may address some of the reasons patients with limited health literacy use more emergency department-based and less preventive care than those with adequate health literacy.

Predicting cost of care using self-reported health status data

Background

Methods

Results

Discussion

Conclusions

Travel distances, socioeconomic characteristics, and health disparities in nonurgent and frequent use of Hospital Emergency Departments in South Carolina: a population-based observational study

BACKGROUND

Nonurgent use of hospital emergency departments (ED) is a controversial topic. It is thought to increase healthcare costs and reduce quality, but is also considered a symptom of unequal access to health care. In this article, we investigate whether convenience (as proxied by travel distances to the hospital ED and to the closest federally qualified health center) is associated with nonurgent ED use, and whether evidence of health disparities exist in the way vulnerable populations use the hospital ED for medical care in South Carolina.

METHODS

Our data includes 6,592,501 ED visits in South Carolina between 2005 and 2010 from the South Carolina Budget Control Board and Office of Research and Statistics. All ED visits by South Carolina residents with unmasked variables and nonmissing urgency measures, or approximately 76% of all ED visits, are used in the analysis. We perform multivariable linear regressions to estimate correlations between (1) travel distances and observable sociodemographic characteristics and (2) measures of nonurgent ED use or frequent nonurgent ED use, as defined by the New York University ED Algorithm.

RESULTS

Patients with commercial private insurance, self-pay patients, and patients with other payment sources have lower measures of nonurgent ED use the further away the ED facility is from the patients' home address. Vulnerable populations, particularly African American and Medicaid patients, have higher measures of nonurgent ED scores, and are more frequent users of the ED for both nonurgent and urgent reasons in South Carolina. At the same time, African Americans visit the hospital ED for medical conditions with higher primary care-preventable scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Contrary to popular belief, convenient access (in terms of travel distances) to hospital ED is correlated with less-urgent ED use among privately insured patients and self-pay patients in South Carolina, but not publicly insured patients. Unequal access to primary care appears to exist, as suggested by African American patients' use of the hospital ED for primary care-treatable conditions while experiencing more frequent and more severe primary care-preventable conditions.

Association between general practice characteristics and use of out-of-hours GP cooperatives

Background

The use of out-of-hours healthcare services for non-urgent health problems is believed to be related to the organisation of daytime primary care but insight into underlying mechanisms is limited. Our objective was to examine the association between daytime general practice characteristics and the use of out-of-hours care GP cooperatives.

Methods

A cross-sectional observational study in 100 general practices in the Netherlands, connected to five GP cooperatives. In each GP cooperative, we took a purposeful sample of the 10 general practices with the highest use of out-of-hours care and the 10 practices with the lowest use.

Practice and population characteristics were obtained by questionnaires, interviews, data extraction from patient registration systems and telephone accessibility measurements. To examine which aspects of practice organisation were associated with patients’ use of out-of-hours care, we performed logistic regression analyses (low versus high out-of-hours care use), correcting for population characteristics.

Results

The mean out-of-hours care use in the high use group of general practices was 1.8 times higher than in the low use group. Day time primary care practices with more young children and foreigners in their patient populations and with a shorter distance to the GP cooperative had higher out-of-hours primary care use. In addition, longer telephone waiting times and lower personal availability for palliative patients in daily practice were associated with higher use of out-of-hours care. Moreover, out-of-hours care use was higher when practices performed more diagnostic tests and therapeutic procedures and had more assistant employment hours per 1000 patients.

Several other aspects of practice management showed some non-significant trends: high utilising general practices tended to have longer waiting times for non-urgent appointments, lower availability of a telephone consulting hour, lower availability for consultations after 5 p.m., and less frequent holiday openings.

Conclusions

Besides patient population characteristics, organisational characteristics of general practices are associated with lower use of out-of-hours care. Improving accessibility and availability of day time primary day care might be a potential effective way to improve the efficient use of out-of-hours care services.

The US emergency care system: meeting everyday acute care needs while being ready for disasters

The emergency care system is an essential part of the US health care system. In addition to providing acute resuscitation and life- and limb-saving care, the emergency care system provides considerable support to physicians outside the emergency department and serves as an important safety-net provider. In times of disaster, the emergency care system must be able to surge rapidly to accommodate a massive influx of patients, sometimes with little or no notice. Extreme daily demands on the system can promote innovations and adaptations that are invaluable in responding to disasters. However, excessive and inappropriate utilization is wasteful and can diminish "surge capacity" when it is most needed. Certain features of the US health care system have imposed strains on the emergency care system. We explore policy issues related to moving toward an emergency care system that can more effectively meet both individuals' needs for acute care and the broader needs of the community in times of disaster. Strategies for the redesign of the emergency care system must include the active engagement of both patients and the community and a close look at how to align incentives to reward quality and efficiency throughout the health care system.

Dispelling an urban legend: frequent emergency department users have substantial burden of disease

Urban legend has often characterized frequent emergency department (ED) patients as mentally ill substance users who are a costly drain on the health care system and who contribute to ED overcrowding because of unnecessary visits for conditions that could be treated more efficiently elsewhere. This study of Medicaid ED users in New York City shows that behavioral health conditions are responsible for a small share of ED visits by frequent users, and that ED use accounts for a small portion of these patients' total Medicaid costs. Frequent ED users have a substantial burden of disease, and they have high rates of primary and specialty care use. They also have linkages to outpatient care that are comparable to those of other ED patients. It is possible to use predictive modeling to identify who will become a repeat ED user and thus to help target interventions. However, policy makers should view reducing frequent ED use as only one element of more-comprehensive intervention strategies for frequent health system users.

Rapid follow-up for patients after psychiatric crisis

Patients in psychiatric crisis often lack connection to community resources and present to emergency departments (EDs) for care. A transitional psychiatry clinic (TPC) bridged patients after ED visit. These retrospective chart review data of 390 patients were analyzed by ANOVA, logistic regression and survival analysis. Predictors of ED return included psychosis, personality disorder and increased number of prior ED visits. Longer wait for the TPC was associated strongly with non-attendance. TPC appointment within 3 days was associated with significantly longer time in the community without ED presentation. Rapid follow-up after ED visits increased attendance at aftercare and lengthens community tenure.

Prevalence and predictors of return visits to pediatric emergency departments

OBJECTIVE

To determine the rate of return visits to pediatric emergency departments (EDs) and identify patient- and visit-level factors associated with return visits and hospitalization upon return.

DESIGN AND SETTING

Retrospective cohort study of visits to 23 pediatric EDs in 2012 using data from the Pediatric Health Information System.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients <18 years old discharged following an ED visit.

MEASURES

The primary outcomes were the rate of return visits within 72 hours of discharge from the ED and of return visits within 72 hours resulting in hospitalization.

RESULTS

1,415,721 of the 1,610,201 ED visits to study hospitals resulted in discharge. Of the discharges, 47,294 patients (3.3%) had a return visit. Of these revisits, 9295 (19.7%) resulted in hospitalization. In multivariate analyses, the odds of having a revisit were higher for patients with a chronic condition (odds ratio [OR]: 1.91, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.86-1.96), higher severity scores (OR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.40-1.45), and age <1 year (OR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.22-1.42). The odds of hospitalization on return were higher for patients with higher severity (OR: 3.42, 95% CI: 3.23-3.62), chronic conditions (OR: 2.92, 95% CI: 2.75-3.10), age <1 year (1.7-2.5 times the odds of other age groups), overnight arrival (OR: 1.84, 95% CI: 1.71-1.97), and private insurance (OR: 1.47, 95% CI: 1.39-1.56). Sickle cell disease and cancer patients had the highest rates of return at 10.7% and 7.3%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple patient- and visit-level factors are associated with revisits. These factors may provide insight in how to optimize care and decrease avoidable ED utilization.

Redesigning the regulatory framework for ambulatory care services in New York

Policy Points: The landscape of ambulatory care services in the United States is rapidly changing on account of payment reform, primary care transformation, and the rise of convenient care options such as retail clinics. New York State has undertaken a redesign of regulatory policy for ambulatory care rooted in the Triple Aim (better health, higher-quality care, lower costs)-with a particular emphasis on continuity of care for patients. Key tenets of the regulatory approach include defining and tracking the taxonomy of ambulatory care services as well as ensuring that convenient care options do not erode continuity of care for patients.

CONTEXT

While hospitals remain important centers of gravity in the health system, services are increasingly being delivered through ambulatory care. This shift to ambulatory care is giving rise to new delivery structures, such as retail clinics and urgent care centers, as well as reinventing existing ambulatory care capacity, as seen with the patient-centered medical home model and the movement toward team-based care. To protect the public's interests, oversight of ambulatory care services must keep pace with these rapid changes. With this purpose, in January 2013 the New York Public Health and Health Planning Council undertook a redesign of the regulatory framework for the state's ambulatory care services. This article describes the principles undergirding the framework as well as the regulatory recommendations themselves.

METHODS

We explored and analyzed the regulation of ambulatory care services in New York in accordance with the available gray and peer-reviewed literature and legislative documents. The deliberations of the Public Health and Health Planning Council informed our review.

FINDINGS

The vision of high-performing ambulatory care should be rooted in the Triple Aim (better health, higher-quality care, lower costs), with a particular emphasis on continuity of care for patients. There is a pressing need to better define the taxonomy of ambulatory care services. From the state government's perspective, this clarification requires better reporting from new health care entities (eg, retail clinics), connections with regional and state health information technology hubs, and coordination among state agencies. A uniform nomenclature also would improve consumers' understanding of rights and responsibilities. Finally, the regulatory mechanisms employed-from mandatory reporting to licensure to regional planning to the certificate of need-should remain flexible and match the degree of consensus regarding the appropriate regulatory path.

CONCLUSIONS

Few other states have embarked on a wide-ranging assessment of their regulation of ambulatory care services. By moving toward adopting the regulatory approach described here, New York aims to balance sound oversight with pluralism and innovation in health care delivery.

Association of Medicare and Medicaid insurance with increasing primary care-treatable emergency department visits in the United States

OBJECTIVES

Policymakers have increasingly focused on emergency department (ED) utilization for primary care-treatable conditions as a potentially avoidable source of rising health care costs. The objective was to determine the association of health insurance type and arrival time, as indicators of limited availability of primary care, with primary care-treatable classification of ED visits.

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of a nationally representative sample of 241,167 ED visits from the 1997 to 2009 National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Surveys (NHAMCS). Probabilities of ED visits being primary care-treatable were categorized based on the primary International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) code. The association of health insurance type and arrival time was determined with the average probability of the primary diagnosis being primary care-treatable using multivariable linear regression.

RESULTS

Compared to privately insured visits, Medicaid visits had a 1.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.2% to 2.2%) and uninsured visits a 2.4% (95% CI = 1.9% to 3.0%) higher probability of primary care-treatable classification, while Medicare visits had a 1.4% (95% CI = 0.7% to 2.0%) lower probability during the overall study period. Compared to business hours, weekend visits had a 1.5% (95% CI = 1.0% to 2.0%) higher probability of being primary care-treatable during the overall study period. From 1997 to 2009, the overall adjusted probability of ED visits being primary care-treatable increased by 0.19% (95% CI = 0.10 to 0.28) per year. This probability increased at a rate of 0.52% per year for Medicare visits (95% CI = 0.38% to 0.65%), more than double that of Medicaid visits (0.25% per year, 95% CI = 0.13% to 0.37%). By contrast, there was no significant change from 1997 to 2009 in the average probability of ED visits being primary care-treatable by privately insured (0.05% per year, 95% CI = -0.07 to 0.16) or uninsured (0.00% per year, 95% CI = -0.12 to 0.13) individuals.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings add to prior work that implicates insurance type and arrival time in the variation of primary care-treatable ED visits. Although primary care-treatable classification of ED visits was most associated with uninsured or Medicaid visits, this classification increased most rapidly among Medicare visits during the study period.

Assessing the burden of diabetes mellitus in emergency departments in the United States: the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS)

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the performance of three alternative methods to identify diabetes in patients visiting Emergency Departments (EDs), and to describe the characteristics of patients with diabetes who are not identified when the alternative methods are used.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We used data from the National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NHAMCS) 2009 and 2010. We assessed the sensitivity and specificity of using providers' diagnoses and diabetes medications (both excluding and including biguanides) to identify diabetes compared to using the checkbox for diabetes as the gold standard. We examined the characteristics of patients whose diabetes was missed using multivariate Poisson regression models.

RESULTS

The checkbox identified 5,567 ED visits by adult patients with diabetes. Compared to the checkbox, the sensitivity was 12.5% for providers' diagnoses alone, 20.5% for providers' diagnoses and diabetes medications excluding biguanides, and 21.5% for providers' diagnoses and diabetes medications including biguanides. The specificity of all three of the alternative methods was >99%. Older patients were more likely to have diabetes not identified. Patients with self-payment, those who had glucose measured or received IV fluids in the ED, and those with more diagnosis codes and medications, were more likely to have diabetes identified.

CONCLUSIONS

NHAMCS's providers' diagnosis codes and medication lists do not identify the majority of patients with diabetes visiting EDs. The newly introduced checkbox is helpful in measuring ED resource utilization by patients with diabetes.