Inter-endoscopist variation in polyp and neoplasia pick-up rates in flexible sigmoidoscopy screening for colorectal cancer

Impact of inadequate bowel cleansing in sigmoidoscopy screening

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS

Long-time follow-up of sigmoidoscopy screening trials has shown reduced incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer (CRC), but inadequate bowel cleansing may hamper efficacy. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of bowel cleansing quality in sigmoidoscopy screening.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Individuals 50 to 74 years old who had a screening sigmoidoscopy in a population-based Norwegian, randomized trial between 2012 and 2019, were included in this cross-sectional study. The bowel cleansing quality was categorised as excellent, good, partly poor, or poor. The effect of bowel cleansing quality on adenoma detection rate (ADR) and referral to colonoscopy was evaluated by fitting multivariable logistic regression models.

RESULTS

35,710 individuals were included. The bowel cleansing at sigmoidoscopy was excellent in 20,934 (58.6%) individuals, good in 6580 (18.4%), partly poor in 7097 (19.9%) and poor in 1099 (3.1%). The corresponding ADRs were 17.0%, 16.6%, 14.5%, and 13.0%. Compared to participants with excellent bowel cleansing, those with poor bowel cleansing had an odds ratio for adenoma detection of 0.66 (95% confidence interval 0.55-0.79). We found substantial differences in the assessment of bowel cleansing quality among endoscopists.

CONCLUSIONS

Inadequate bowel cleansing reduces the efficacy of sigmoidoscopy screening, by lowering ADR. A validated rating scale and improved bowel preparation are needed to make sigmoidoscopy an appropriate screening method.

Trial registration Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT01538550).

Impact of a scalable training program on the quality of colonoscopy performance and risk of postcolonoscopy colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Endoscopist adenoma detection rates (ADRs) vary widely and are associated with patients' risk of postcolonoscopy colorectal cancers (PCCRCs). However, few scalable physician-directed interventions demonstrably both improve ADR and reduce PCCRC risk.

METHODS

Among patients undergoing colonoscopy, we evaluated the influence of a scalable online training on individual-level ADRs and PCCRC risk. The intervention was a 30-minute, interactive, online training, developed using behavior change theory, to address factors that potentially impede detection of adenomas. Analyses included interrupted time series analyses for pretraining versus posttraining individual-physician ADR changes (adjusted for temporal trends) and Cox regression for associations between ADR changes and patients' PCCRC risk.

RESULTS

Across 21 endoscopy centers and all 86 eligible endoscopists, ADRs increased immediately by an absolute 3.13% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.31-4.94) in the 3-month quarter after training compared with .58% per quarter (95% CI, .40-.77) and 0.33% per quarter (95% CI, .16-.49) in the 3-year pretraining and posttraining periods, respectively. Posttraining ADR increases were higher among endoscopists with pretraining ADRs below the median. Among 146,786 posttraining colonoscopies (all indications), each 1% absolute increase in screening ADR posttraining was associated with a 4% decrease in their patients' PCCRC risk (hazard ratio, .96; 95% CI, .93-.99). An ADR increase of ≥10% versus <1% was associated with a 55% reduced risk of PCCRC (hazard ratio, .45; 95% CI, .24-.82).

CONCLUSIONS

A scalable, online behavior change training intervention focused on modifiable factors was associated with significant and sustained improvements in ADR, particularly among endoscopists with lower ADRs. These ADR changes were associated with substantial reductions in their patients' risk of PCCRC.

Colonoscopy quality improvement after initial training: A cross-sectional study of intensive short-term training

Background and study aims High-quality is crucial for the effectiveness of colonoscopy and can be achieved by high-quality training and verified with assessment of key performance indicators (KPIs) for colonoscopy such as cecum intubation rate (CIR), adenoma detection rate (ADR) and adequate polyp resection. Typically, trainees achieve adequate CIR after 275 procedures, but little is known about learning curves for KPIs after initial training. Methods This cross-sectional study includes work-up colonoscopies after a positive screening test with fecal occult blood testing (FIT) or sigmoidoscopy, performed by either trainees after 300 training colonoscopies or by consultants. Outcome measures were KPIs. We assessed inter-endoscopist variation in trainees and learning curves for trainees as a group. We also compared KPIs for trainees and consultants as a group.  Results Data from 6,655 colonoscopies performed by 21 trainees and 921 colonoscopies performed by 17 consultants were included. Most trainees achieved target standards for main KPIs. With time, trainees shortened cecum intubation time and withdrawal time without decreasing their ADR, reduced the proportion of painful colonoscopies, and increased the adequate polyp resection rate (all P  < 0.01). Compared to consultants, trainees had higher CIR (97.7 % vs. 96.3 %, P  = 0.02), ADR after positive FIT (57.6 % vs. 50.3 %, P  < 0.01), and proximal ADR after sigmoidoscopy screening (41.1 % vs. 29.8 %; P  < 0.01), higher adequate polyp resection rate (94.9 % vs. 93.1 %, P  = 0.01) and fewer serious adverse events (0.65 % vs. 1.41 %, P  = 0.02). Conclusions Trainees performed high-quality colonoscopies and achieved international target standards. Several KPIs continuously improved after initial training. Trainees outperformed consultants on several KPIs.

The Risk of Colorectal Adenoma in Nonalcoholic or Metabolic-Associated Fatty Liver Disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common cause of liver disease associated with various metabolic disorders. Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) emphasizes metabolic dysfunction in NAFLD. Although the relationship between NAFLD and colorectal adenomas has been suggested, the effect of MAFLD on colorectal adenoma has yet to be investigated. In this study, we examined the relationship between NAFLD/MAFLD and colorectal adenoma in comparison with other metabolic factors.

METHODS

Examinees who underwent colonoscopy and abdominal ultrasonography on the same day from January 2012 to December 2012 were included. NAFLD was diagnosed according to the findings of ultrasonography. The Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index was used as a surrogate marker for advanced hepatic fibrosis. A logistic regression model was used to analyze the risk of NAFLD/MAFLD for colorectal adenoma.

RESULTS

The prevalence of NAFLD and MAFLD was 37.5% and 32.8%, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, male sex, older age, diabetes, and smoking increased the risk of colorectal adenoma. NAFLD and MAFLD were the most important risk factors for colorectal adenoma only in females [adjusted odds ratio (OR) 1.43 and 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-2.03, and OR 1.55, 95% CI 1.09-2.20, respectively]. NAFLD and MAFLD with an advanced fibrosis index were significantly associated with an increased risk of colorectal adenoma. (NAFLD: OR 1.38, 95% CI, 1.04-1.83, p = 0.027; MAFLD: OR 1.45, 95% CI, 1.13-1.96, p = 0.004, respectively).

CONCLUSION

NAFLD and MAFLD were significantly associated with a higher risk of colorectal adenomas, especially in females. NAFLD and MAFLD with advanced fibrosis were associated with an increased risk of colorectal adenoma. Colonoscopic examinations may be emphasized for patients with NAFLD/MAFLD, for women, or patients with the presence of hepatic fibrosis.

Gastrointestinal cancer screening: screening may release new research funding to improve health service also in routine clinics

We are far from having seen the ideal method of screening for colorectal cancer (CRC) and the downsides of screening have not been fully addressed. Funding of adequately sized screening trials with a 10-15-year perspective for endpoints CRC mortality and incidence is difficult to get. Also, with such time horizons, there will always be an ongoing study to be awaited before feeling obliged to invest in the next. New, promising screening methods may, however, emerge far more often than every 10th year, and the knowledge gap may easily widen unless research is made a key responsibility for any ongoing cancer screening program. Previous lost battles on screening research may be won if accepting that scientific evidence may be obtained within the framework of screening programs - provided that they are designed as platforms for Comparative Effectiveness Research (CER). Accepting that CER-based screening programs should be preferred to non-CER programs and seriously compete for their funding sources, then CER screening programs may not be considered so much as contenders for ordinary clinical research funds. Also, CER within a screening framework may benefit patients in routine clinics as shown by screening research in Nordic countries. The Nordic countries have been early contributors to research on CRC screening, but slow in implementing screening programs.

Adjusting for patient demographics has minimal effects on rates of adenoma detection in a large, community-based setting

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Reliable estimates of adenoma detection rates (ADRs) are needed to inform colonoscopy quality standards, yet little is known about the contributions of patient demographics to variation in ADRs. We evaluated the effects of adjusting for patient age, race/ethnicity, and family history of colorectal cancer on variations in ADRs and the relative rank order of physicians.

METHODS

In a retrospective cohort study, we collected data from Kaiser Permanente Northern California members who were ≥ 50 years old who received colonoscopies from 2006 through 2008. We evaluated ADRs (before and after adjustment for age, sex, race/ethnicity, and family history of colorectal cancer) for 102 endoscopists who performed 108,662 total colonoscopies and 20,792 screening colonoscopies. Adenomas were identified from the pathology database, and cancers were detected by using the Kaiser Permanente Northern California cancer registry.

RESULTS

About two-thirds of examiners had unadjusted ADRs for screening exams that met gastroenterology society guidelines (>25% for men and >15% for women), although rates of detection varied widely (7.7%-61.5% for male patients and 1.7%-45.6% for female patients). Adjusting for case mix reduced the variation in detection rates (from 8-fold to 3-fold for male patients and from 27-fold to 5-fold for female patients), but the median change in physician order by detection rate was just 2 ranks, and few physicians changed quartiles of detection. For example, only 3 of 102 endoscopists moved into and 3 out of the lowest quartile of ADR.

CONCLUSIONS

In a community-based setting, most endoscopists met the ADR standards, although there was wide variation in ADRs, which was similar to that reported from academic and referral settings. Case-mix adjustment reduced variability but had only small effects on differences in ADRs between physicians, and only a small percentage of physicians changed quartiles of detection. Adjustments to ADRs are therefore likely only needed in settings in which physicians have very different patient demographics, such as in sex or age. Moderate differences in patient demographics between physicians are unlikely to substantially change rates of adenoma detection.

Adenoma detection rate and risk of colorectal cancer and death

BACKGROUND

The proportion of screening colonoscopic examinations performed by a physician that detect one or more adenomas (the adenoma detection rate) is a recommended quality measure. However, little is known about the association between this rate and patients' risks of a subsequent colorectal cancer (interval cancer) and death.

METHODS

Using data from an integrated health care delivery organization, we evaluated the associations between the adenoma detection rate and the risks of colorectal cancer diagnosed 6 months to 10 years after colonoscopy and of cancer-related death. With the use of Cox regression, our estimates of attributable risk were adjusted for the demographic characteristics of the patients, indications for colonoscopy, and coexisting conditions.

RESULTS

We evaluated 314,872 colonoscopies performed by 136 gastroenterologists; the adenoma detection rates ranged from 7.4 to 52.5%. During the follow-up period, we identified 712 interval colorectal adenocarcinomas, including 255 advanced-stage cancers, and 147 deaths from interval colorectal cancer. The unadjusted risks of interval cancer according to quintiles of adenoma detection rates, from lowest to highest, were 9.8, 8.6, 8.0, 7.0, and 4.8 cases per 10,000 person-years of follow-up, respectively. Among patients of physicians with adenoma detection rates in the highest quintile, as compared with patients of physicians with detection rates in the lowest quintile, the adjusted hazard ratio for any interval cancer was 0.52 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.39 to 0.69), for advanced-stage interval cancer, 0.43 (95% CI, 0.29 to 0.64), and for fatal interval cancer, 0.38 (95% CI, 0.22 to 0.65). Each 1.0% increase in the adenoma detection rate was associated with a 3.0% decrease in the risk of cancer (hazard ratio, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.96 to 0.98).

CONCLUSIONS

The adenoma detection rate was inversely associated with the risks of interval colorectal cancer, advanced-stage interval cancer, and fatal interval cancer. (Funded by the Kaiser Permanente Community Benefit program and the National Cancer Institute.).

Adenoma detection rate and risk of colorectal cancer and death

BACKGROUND

The proportion of screening colonoscopic examinations performed by a physician that detect one or more adenomas (the adenoma detection rate) is a recommended quality measure. However, little is known about the association between this rate and patients' risks of a subsequent colorectal cancer (interval cancer) and death.

METHODS

Using data from an integrated health care delivery organization, we evaluated the associations between the adenoma detection rate and the risks of colorectal cancer diagnosed 6 months to 10 years after colonoscopy and of cancer-related death. With the use of Cox regression, our estimates of attributable risk were adjusted for the demographic characteristics of the patients, indications for colonoscopy, and coexisting conditions.

RESULTS

We evaluated 314,872 colonoscopies performed by 136 gastroenterologists; the adenoma detection rates ranged from 7.4 to 52.5%. During the follow-up period, we identified 712 interval colorectal adenocarcinomas, including 255 advanced-stage cancers, and 147 deaths from interval colorectal cancer. The unadjusted risks of interval cancer according to quintiles of adenoma detection rates, from lowest to highest, were 9.8, 8.6, 8.0, 7.0, and 4.8 cases per 10,000 person-years of follow-up, respectively. Among patients of physicians with adenoma detection rates in the highest quintile, as compared with patients of physicians with detection rates in the lowest quintile, the adjusted hazard ratio for any interval cancer was 0.52 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.39 to 0.69), for advanced-stage interval cancer, 0.43 (95% CI, 0.29 to 0.64), and for fatal interval cancer, 0.38 (95% CI, 0.22 to 0.65). Each 1.0% increase in the adenoma detection rate was associated with a 3.0% decrease in the risk of cancer (hazard ratio, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.96 to 0.98).

CONCLUSIONS

The adenoma detection rate was inversely associated with the risks of interval colorectal cancer, advanced-stage interval cancer, and fatal interval cancer. (Funded by the Kaiser Permanente Community Benefit program and the National Cancer Institute.).

Colonoscopy quality: metrics and implementation

Colonoscopy is an excellent area for quality improvement because it is high volume, has significant associated risk and expense, and there is evidence that variability in its performance affects outcomes. The best end point for validation of quality metrics in colonoscopy is colorectal cancer incidence and mortality, but a more readily accessible metric is the adenoma detection rate. Fourteen quality metrics were proposed in 2006, and these are described in this article. Implementation of quality improvement initiatives involves rapid assessments and changes on an iterative basis, and can be done at the individual, group, or facility level.

Concerns and challenges in flexible sigmoidoscopy screening

In 1992, two well-conducted case-control studies used data from two different health maintenance organizations and demonstrated a 59-79% reduction in mortality from colorectal cancer (CRC) following exposure to sigmoidoscopy. These studies highlight the possibility of reducing mortality from CRC using population-based endoscopic screening. The development of fiber optics improved the technology, and the ease of performing flexible sigmoidoscopy (FS) with widespread adoption of this screening modality. To date, FS is the only endoscopic screening modality that has been shown to reduce mortality in randomized clinical trials. This article reviews the development of sigmoidoscopy, its use in CRC screening and the current reduced role of this proven screening modality, and explores new frontiers for population-based FS screening.

Contribution of screening and survival differences to racial disparities in colorectal cancer rates

BACKGROUND

Considerable disparities exist in colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality rates between blacks and whites in the United States. We estimated how much of these disparities could be explained by differences in CRC screening and stage-specific relative CRC survival.

METHODS

We used the MISCAN-Colon microsimulation model to estimate CRC incidence and mortality rates in blacks, aged 50 years and older, from 1975 to 2007 assuming they had: (i) the same trends in screening rates as whites instead of observed screening rates (incidence and mortality); (ii) the same trends in stage-specific relative CRC survival rates as whites instead of observed (mortality only); and (iii) a combination of both. The racial disparities in CRC incidence and mortality rates attributable to differences in screening and/or stage-specific relative CRC survival were then calculated by comparing rates from these scenarios to the observed black rates.

RESULTS

Differences in screening accounted for 42% of disparity in CRC incidence and 19% of disparity in CRC mortality between blacks and whites. Thirty-six percent of the disparity in CRC mortality could be attributed to differences in stage-specific relative CRC survival. Together screening and survival explained a little more than 50% of the disparity in CRC mortality between blacks and whites.

CONCLUSION

Differences in screening and relative CRC survival are responsible for a considerable proportion of the observed disparities in CRC incidence and mortality rates between blacks and whites.

IMPACT

Enabling blacks to achieve equal access to care as whites could substantially reduce the racial disparities in CRC burden.

Progress and challenges in colorectal cancer screening

Although faecal and endoscopic tests appear to be effective in reducing colorectal cancer incidence and mortality, further technological and organizational advances are expected to improve the performance and acceptability of these tests. Several attempts to improve endoscopic technology have been made in order to improve the detection rate of neoplasia, especially in the proximal colon. Based on the latest evidence on the long-term efficacy of screening tests, new strategies including endoscopic and faecal modalities have also been proposed in order to improve participation and the diagnostic yield of programmatic screening. Overall, several factors in terms of both efficacy and costs of screening strategies, including the high cost of biological therapy for advanced colorectal cancer, are likely to affect the cost-effectiveness of CRC screening in the future.

Measurement of adenoma detection and discrimination during colonoscopy in routine practice: an exploratory study

BACKGROUND

Measuring neoplasia yield is a priority in the quality improvement process for colonoscopy. However, neither the most appropriate quality indicator nor the standard threshold has been established.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the most appropriate quality indicators to assess the yield of routine colonoscopy.

DESIGN

Retrospective.

SETTING

Population-based colorectal cancer screening program in 3 French administrative areas.

SUBJECTS

One hundred gastroenterologists and their average-risk asymptomatic patients aged 50 to 74 years undergoing colonoscopy for positive guaiac-based fecal occult blood test results.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS

Comparison of several indicators, mainly the adenoma detection rate (ADR) and polyp detection rate (PDR), the mean number of adenomas per colonoscopy (MNA) and mean number of polyps (MNP) and the proportion of adenomas among polyps (PAP).

RESULTS

Correlations were good between the ADR and PDR (Pearson coefficient r = 0.88 [95% CI, 0.78-0.94]) and between MNA and MNP (r = 0.89 [95% CI, 0.79-0.94]) (P < .0001 for both). Gastroenterologists were classified as higher or lower detectors in comparison with the lower limit of the 95% confidence interval of the median value for each indicator. The MNP (MNA) provided better discrimination than the PDR (ADR). Concordance between classifications of gastroenterologists according to their MNA and MNP was excellent (κ = 0.89). PAP varied dramatically from 38% to 95% between gastroenterologists and was very poorly correlated with the ADR (r = -0.27 [95% CI, -0.54 to 0.07; P = .11]) and the MNA (r = 0.03 [95% CI, -0.29 to 0.36; P = .88]).

LIMITATIONS

Some factors influencing the neoplasia yield were not taken into account.

CONCLUSIONS

The MNP could replace the ADR for the assessment of adenoma detection in routine practice. A separate indicator, PAP, would be necessary to assess adenoma discrimination ability.

Colorectal cancer screening

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cause of cancer death worldwide and a major health problem. In this review, the different approaches for CRC screening will be outlined with emphasis on evidence-based medicine. Evidence from randomized trials on the effectiveness of CRC screening is summarized. Several screening tools for CRC are available. They can be categorized according to their mode of action: early detection tools such as the faecal occult blood test (FOBT) and cancer prevention tools such as flexible sigmoidoscopy and colonoscopy. Meta-analyses of randomized trials show that FOBT screening reduces CRC mortality by 16% (risk ratio 0.84; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.78-0.9) compared with 30% (risk ratio 0.7; 95% CI 0.6-0.81) for flexible sigmoidoscopy screening. FOBT screening is cheap and noninvasive, but results in large numbers of false-positive tests and needs to be repeated frequently. Flexible sigmoidoscopy is more invasive, but is effective for once-only screening. Although colonoscopy screening is used in some countries, no randomized trials have been conducted to estimate its benefit, and therefore, it should not be recommended at the present time. Faecal occult blood test and flexible sigmoidoscopy are the two CRC screening tools that can be recommended as they have been proven to reduce CRC mortality. Colonoscopy has the potential to be superior to FOBT and flexible sigmoidoscopy, but needs to be evaluated in randomized trials before any recommendation can be provided.

Screening for colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the most common cancer in the Nordic countries after breast and prostate cancer. About 15,000 new cancers are diagnosed and more than 7000 patients will die from CRC in 2005. CRC fulfils most of the criteria for applying screening; the natural history is well known compared with many other cancers. CRC may be cured by detection at an early stage and even prevented by removal of possible precursors like adenomas. Faecal occult blood test is the only CRC screening modality that has been subjected to adequately sized randomised controlled trials (RCT) with long-term follow-up results, using Hemoccult-II. Sensitivity for strictly asymptomatic CRC is less than 30% for a single screening round, but programme sensitivity has been estimated to be more. Biennial screening with un-rehydrated Hemoccult-II slides has shown a CRC mortality reduction of 15-18% after approximately 10 years of follow-up in those targeted for screening. For those attending, the mortality reduction has been estimated at 23%. Denmark has decided to do feasibility studies to try to evaluate whether a population-based screening run by the community will have the same effect as has been demonstrated in the randomised trials. In Norway the government has accepted no formal population-based screening. In Finland, the Ministry of Social Affairs and Health made a recommendation in 2003 to the municipalities to run a randomised feasibility study with FOBT screening for colorectal cancer as a public health policy that is repeated every second year. In 2004 the first municipalities started. It has been claimed that today Sweden cannot afford CRC screening despite the potential mortality benefit. There is sufficient evidence for the efficacy of screening for colorectal cancer with fecal occult blood test every second year. There is, however, only little evidence on the effectiveness of screening when run as a public health service and there is insufficient knowledge of harmful effects and costs, even in RCTs.

Does trainee participation during colonoscopy affect adenoma detection rates?

INTRODUCTION

Training future endoscopists is essential to meeting the increasing demands for colonoscopy. It remains unknown whether adenoma detection rates are adversely affected by trainee participation.

METHODS

This is a single-center, prospective study. The primary aim of this study was to investigate whether adenoma detection rates differed between procedures with or without trainee involvement. A total of 368 consecutive patients entered the analysis (181 with trainee participation and 187 without).

RESULTS

Adenomas were detected in 19.3% of experienced physician-only procedures and in 14.9% of procedures with trainee participation. Advanced adenomas were detected in 8.6% of experienced physicians' procedures vs. 4.9% of trainee procedures. Polyp detection was nearly identical in both groups (32% for experienced physicians; 33% for trainees). Trainee participation delayed the procedure by a mean of seven minutes.

CONCLUSION

Adenoma detection rates did not differ significantly, whether there was trainee involvement or not. A trend toward finding more adenomas or advanced adenomas in the absence of a trainee was observed, but it was lower than previously reported interobserver variability among experienced physicians. The small difference in adenoma detection was not observed for polyp detection, which may be explained by the more frequent removal of hyperplastic polyps by trainees.

Screening for colorectal cancer

Although there are several methods available for colon cancer screening, none is optimal. This article reviews methods for screening, including fecal occult blood tests, flexible sigmoidoscopy, colonoscopy, CT colonography, capsule endoscopy, and double contrast barium enema. A simple, inexpensive, noninvasive, and relatively sensitive screening test is needed to identify people at risk for developing advanced adenomas or colorectal cancer who would benefit from colonoscopy. It is hoped that new markers will be identified that perform better. Until then we fortunately have a variety of screening strategies that do work.

A Monotonous Population of Elongated Cells (MPECs) in Colorectal Adenoma Indicates a High Risk of Metachronous Cancer

Accurate predictors for metachronous colorectal cancer (CRC) development after polypectomy are lacking. We evaluated the prognostic value of classical clinicopathologic features and a monotonous population of elongated cells (MPECs) in colorectal adenomas from 171 consecutively selected population-based patients with long-term follow-up. Quantitative image analysis, and univariate and multivariate regression analysis were applied. Ten of 171 adenomas (5.8%) developed metachronous CRC (defined as >24 mo interval and >5 cm from the index adenoma to the cancer). Median follow-up of adenomas with metachronous CRC was 68.4 and without cancer 149.7 months (range: 25 to 192 and 25 to 256, respectively). The most prognostic classical features were the localization of the marker adenoma as proximal (ie, in the cecum through transverse colon) versus distal from the transverse colon [P=0.0003, hazard ratio (HR)=8] and the number of polyps found during colonoscopy (<or=2 vs.>2, P=0.002, HR=6). Quantitative features of the MPECs included the longest nuclear axis and variance of the number of nuclei with 2 neighbors (higher and lower in cancer cases, respectively). Of the 171 adenomas, 50 (29%) had MPECs, of which 9 (18%) patients developed metachronous CRC at follow-up, contrasting 1/121 (0.8%) without MPECs (P=0.0003, HR=23). MPECs occurred in both low-grade and high-grade dysplasia, and in tubular and (tubulo) villous adenomas. MPECs had the strongest predictive value for metachronous CRC development. Adenomas proximally located had additional value but only if they were MPEC positive (which only occurred in 5 adenomas, 3 of which (60%) developed cancer). Having more than 2 polyps also had additional prognostic value but only in MPEC-negative adenomas [10 cases; 1 (10%) developed cancer]. Dysplasia grade and histologic growth pattern had no additional value. Thus, colorectal adenomas with subsequent metachronous cancer development can be identified more accurately with MPECs than with classical prognostic factors.

Flexible sigmoidoscopy in the PLCO cancer screening trial: results from the baseline screening examination of a randomized trial

BACKGROUND

The Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian (PLCO) cancer screening trial is a randomized clinical trial to test the effectiveness of cancer screening, including the effect of flexible sigmoidoscopy screening on colorectal cancer mortality. Here we report findings from the baseline screening flexible sigmoidoscopy examination.

METHODS

Analyses included 77,465 men and women aged 55-74 years who were enrolled at 10 screening centers. The trial administered baseline risk factor questionnaires, offered 60-cm flexible sigmoidoscopy examinations, referred patients with screen-detected colorectal polyps or masses to personal physicians, and tracked subjects with polyps or masses to determine results from diagnostic follow-up. Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel statistics and logistic regression were used to test for differences in proportions according to sex and age.

RESULTS

A total of 64 658 subjects (83.5%) underwent screening flexible sigmoidoscopy, and at least one polyp or mass was identified in 15,150 subjects (23.4%). Of these, 74.2% received follow-up lower endoscopic procedures. Follow-up lower endoscopy was more frequent in subjects with at least one larger (> or = 0.5 cm) polyp or mass (86.0% [95% confidence interval {CI} = 84.6% to 87.4%] and 81.0% [95% CI = 79.8% to 82.2%] in women and men, respectively) than in those with a smaller (< 0.5 cm) polyp or mass (69.1% [95% CI = 67.5% to 70.6%] and 65.4% [95% CI = 64.1% to 66.7%] in women and men, respectively). The yields per 1000 screened, depending on 5-year age group, were as follows: for colorectal cancer, 1.1-2.5 in women and 2.4-5.6 in men; for advanced adenoma, 18.0-30.4 in women and 36.1-49.1 in men; and for colorectal cancer or any adenoma, 50.6-79.6 in women and 101.9-128.6 in men. Approximately 77% (130/169) of the colorectal adenocarcinoma patients were stage I or II at diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Acceptance of screening flexible sigmoidoscopy was high. Diagnostic follow-up varied according to polyp size, yet cancer or adenoma detection rates met expectations.

Screening of patients at average risk for colon cancer

Both the incidence and the mortality from colorectal cancer can be substantially reduced by primary and secondary prevention. There are many screening tests for colorectal cancer, and any test should result in a reduction in colorectal cancer incidence and mortality. If the age-eligible population undergoes these screening tests, the burden of colorectal cancer should be substantially reduced. The scientific evidence related to secondary prevention, specifically screening of individuals at average risk for colorectal cancer, is presently reviewed.