Does progesterone to oocyte index have a predictive value for IVF outcome? A retrospective cohort and review of the literature

The late-follicular-phase progesterone to retrieved oocytes ratio in normal ovarian responders treated with an antagonist protocol can be used as an index for selecting an embryo transfer strategy and predicting the success rate: a retrospective large-scale study

Objective

To determine whether the late-follicular-phase progesterone to retrieved oocytes (P/O) ratio during in vitro fertilization (IVF)/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) impacts pregnancy outcomes.

Design

12,874 cycles were retrospectively categorized into four groups according to the P/O ratio percentile, with divisions at the 25th, 50th and 75th percentiles.

Results

The clinical pregnancy and live birth rates of fresh cycle embryos in Group D were significantly lower than those in the other three groups (45.1% and 39.0%, 43.2% and 37.2%, 39.6% and 33.5%, 33.4% and 28.2% in Group A, B, C, D, respectively; both P < 0.008). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed a significant negative correlation between the P/O ratio and live birth, particularly when the P/O ratio was ≥0.22 (OR = 0.862, 95% CI [0.774-0.959], P = 0.006).

Conclusions

The P/O ratio has certain predictive value for IVF/ICSI pregnancy outcomes and can be used for decision-making decision regarding fresh embryo transfer.

Plasma-derived from human umbilical cord blood restores ovarian function and improves serum reproductive hormones levels in mice with premature ovarian insufficiency (POI) through cytokines and growth factors

Premature ovarian insufficiency (POI) patients experience a decline in ovarian function and a reduction in serum reproductive hormones, leading to a significant impact on the outcomes of assisted reproductive technology. Despite the absence of an effective clinical treatment to restore fertility in POI patients, recent research has indicated that cord blood plasma (CBP) derived from human umbilical cord blood (hUCB) may offer therapeutic benefits for various degenerative diseases. The primary aim of this study is to explore approaches for enhancing ovarian function and serum reproductive hormones through the administration of CBP in a murine model. Initially, hUCB was utilized to obtain CBP (CBP), which was subsequently analyzed for cytokine and growth factor profiles in comparison to adult blood plasma (ABP) by use of flow cytometry. Subsequently, POI mouse models were established through the induction of 4-vinylcyclohexene diepoxide, followed by the injection of CBP into the tail. At 7, 14, and 21 days posttreatment, mouse ovaries and blood were collected, and their estrus cycle, body weight, and ovarian weights were evaluated using precise electronic balance. Finally, ovarian morphology and follicle number were assessed through HE staining, while serum levels of anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH), estradiol (E2) and follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH) were determined by ELISA. Our study revealed that individuals with CBP exhibited significantly lower concentrations of proinflammatory cytokines, including IL-β (p < 0.01) and IL-2 (p < 0.05), while displaying elevated levels of anti-inflammatory cytokines and chemokines, such as IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-8, IL-12P70, IL-17A, IP-10, interferon-γ, and tumor necrosis factor-α (p < 0.01). Furthermore, CBP demonstrated remarkably higher levels of growth factors, including transforming growth factor-β1, vascular endothelial growth factor, and insulin-like growth factor-1 (p < 0.01) than ABP. Notably, our investigation also revealed that CBP restored the content of serum reproductive hormones, such as AMH, E2, and FSH (p < 0.05), and increased the number of primordial and primary follicles (p < 0.01) and decreased the number of luteal and atretic follicles (p < 0.01) in vivo. Our findings suggested that CBP-secreted cytokines and growth factors could be restored POI ovarian function, enhanced serum reproductive hormones and rescued follicular development in vivo. These findings further support the potential of CBP as a promising strategy in clinical applications for POI related infertility.

Effect of serum progesterone on human chorionic gonadotropin trigger day / metaphase II oocyte ratio on pregnancy and neonatal outcomes in women undergoing ICSI cycle

BACKGROUND

The serum progesterone on human chorionic gonadotropin trigger day / metaphase II oocyte (P/MII) ratio might be a more predictable indicator of pregnancy and neonatal outcomes as compare to P/estradiol (E2) or P alone. Hence, we conducted a larger population study to compare the pregnancy and neonatal outcomes in the low and high P/MII ratio.

METHODS

A retrospective, single-center, larger population cohort study between January 2015 and August 2021. Calculate the threshold effect of P/MII ratio on clinical pregnancy rate according to the construct smooth curve fitting. Divide data into two groups by threshold for comparison.

RESULTS

3566 fresh ICSI-ET cycles were included, in which 929 singleton delivery and 676 twin deliveries. Compare to P/MII ≤ 0.367 group, it indicated that the P/MII > 0.367 group had a lower clinical pregnancy rate and live birth rate, furthermore, a significantly higher rate of LBW and SGA were observed in the singleton and twin deliveries. No deleterious impact of high P/MII ratio on embryo quality and undesirable pregnancy outcomes was shown.

CONCLUSIONS

When P/MII is higher than 0.367, may have adverse impacts on pregnancy and neonatal outcomes for ICSI cycle.

Independent value of PMOI on hCG day in predicting pregnancy outcomes in IVF/ICSI cycles

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to determine whether, on the day of human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) injection, the progesterone to number of mature oocytes index (PMOI) can be used alone or together with other parameters in a fresh embryo transfer in vitro fertilization (IVF)/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI) cycle to predict pregnancy outcome.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of all couples who underwent a clinical pregnancy and received a fresh IVE/ICSI cycle at a single large reproductive medical center between June 2019 and March 2022. The study involved a total of 1239 cycles. To analyze risk factors associated with pregnancy outcomes on the day of HCG injection, univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used. The area under the curve (AUC) was determined, and PMOI and other factors were compared using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

The clinical pregnancy rate was significantly higher in group A (60.76%) than in the other groups (Group B: 52.92% and Group C:47.88%, respectively, p =0.0306). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression revealed that PMOI levels were significantly correlated with the probability of pregnancy outcome, independent of other risk factors. More importantly, PMOI levels independently predict the occurrence of pregnancy outcome, comparable to the model combining age. The optimal serum PMOI cutoff value for pregnancy outcome was 0.063 ug/L.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that PMOI levels have an independent predictive value for pregnancy outcome in fresh IVF/ICSI cycles.

Letrozole Supplementation and the Increased Risk of Elevated Progesterone Levels on Trigger Day

Although using letrozole (LE) during in vitro fertilisation and intracytoplasmic sperm injection (IVF/ICSI) has many advantages, it remains unclear whether LE induces an increase in progestogen during the late follicular phase. The objective of this study was to investigate whether progesterone levels increased under antagonist protocols supplemented with LE on the trigger day using a retrospective cohort study. The study included 1,133 women who underwent IVF/ICSI cycles from January 2018 to June 2020. After propensity score matching (PSM) for baseline characteristics, 266 patients with gonadotropin-releasing hormone-antagonist (GnRH-ant) were matched to 266 patients with letrozole + GnRH-ant (LE GnRH-ant) (PSM 1 cohort), and 283 patients with gonadotropin-releasing hormone-agonist (GnRH-a) were matched to 283 patients with LE GnRH-ant (PSM 2 cohort). In the PSM 1 cohort, patients in the LE GnRH-a group presented higher progesterone levels (1.22 ± 0.95 ng/mL vs 0.86 ± 0.60 ng/mL, P < 0.001), with a higher proportion of patients with progesterone level > 1.5 ng/mL (24.81% vs 7.52%, P < 0.001). In PSM 2 cohort, patients in the LE GnRH-a group presented higher progesterone levels on trigger day (1.23 ± 0.91 ng/mL vs 0.98 ± 0.61 ng/mL, P < 0.001), with a higher proportion of patients with progesterone level > 1.5 ng/mL (25.45% vs 12.70%, P < 0.001). In the PSM 1 cohort, progesterone levels on the trigger day increased by 0.05 ng/mL, with an increase in every retrieved oocyte in the LE GnRH-ant group (β 0.05 ng/mL [95% CI 0.04, 0.06], P < 0.001), whereas an increase of 0.02 ng/mL was observed in the GnRH-ant group (β 0.02 ng/mL [95% CI 0.01, 0.03], P < 0.001), with P for interaction being 0.0018. In the PSM 2 cohort, progesterone levels on the trigger day increased by 0.05 ng/mL with an increase in every retrieved oocyte in the LE GnRH-ant group (β 0.05 ng/mL [95% CI 0.04, 0.06], P < 0.001), whereas an increase of 0.02 ng/mL was observed in the GnRH-a group (β 0.02 ng/mL [95% CI 0.01, 0.03], P < 0.001), with P for interaction being 0.0002. LE supplementation on the antagonist protocols may increase progesterone levels in the late follicular stage.

The efficiency of progesterone/estradiol and progesterone/follicle ratio without elevated trigger-day progesterone levels on the reproductive outcomes of GnRH antagonist IVF/ICSI cycles

AIM

To assess the predictive value of serum progesterone/estradiol (P/E₂) and serum progesterone/follicle (P/F) ratios on the reproductive outcomes of women without elevated trigger-day progesterone levels undergoing GnRH-antagonist IVF (in vitro fertilization)/ICSI (intracytoplasmic sperm injection) cycles.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study in a university teaching hospital conducted between January 2017 and December 2019. Couples who underwent assisted reproduction cycles were evaluated. Initially, 978 cycles were evaluated and only GnRH antagonist cycles (n = 505) without elevated trigger-day progesterone levels were analyzed after respecting exclusion criteria.

RESULTS

A total of 505 cycles were analyzed after the exclusion criteria were met. The clinical pregnancy rate, ongoing pregnancy rate, and live birth rate were 45.5%, 30.9%, and 27.8%, respectively. Cutoff values of P/E₂ and P/F ratios that were discriminative for achieving or not achieving clinical pregnancy were 0.36 and 0.17, respectively. The clinical pregnancy rates were found to be significantly different between below and above P/E₂ cutoff values (49.8% vs. 40.1%, respectively, p = .031), while there were no significant differences between below and above P/F cutoff values regarding the pregnancy outcomes.

CONCLUSION

The P/E₂ and P/F ratios were found to be more efficient and reliable markers than serum progesterone level alone in predicting the reproductive outcomes of assisted reproduction cycles without a premature rise in serum progesterone levels. A P/E₂ ratio ≤0.36 and a P/F ratio ≤0.17 significantly improved the cycle outcomes.

Prediction of ovarian response in IVF/ICSI cycles

Objective:

Our study aims to evaluate the various correlations between demographic, biochemical, ultrasound, and ovarian stimulation parameters with the percentage of mature oocytes in conventional stimulation for IVF/ICSI cycles in order to develop a predictive model to improve our understanding of the oocyte maturation process.

Methods:

This is a retrospective cohort study; patients underwent conventional antagonist ovarian stimulation protocols for fresh IVF/ICSI cycles. A total of 256 IVF/ICSI cycles were included. Age, antral follicle count (AFC), baseline serum follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH) levels, baseline serum luteinizing hormone (LH) levels, baseline serum estradiol (E2) levels, peak estradiol, P4 on hCG day, the body mass index (BMI), and stimulation length were measured. The variables were tested for correlations with the number of retrieved oocytes (#RO) and the number of mature oocytes (#MO). A backward stepwise regression was performed to identify the variables that correlated more strongly with percentage of mature oocytes (%MO).

Results:

A predictive equation was obtained with the variables that were not excluded in the model. % MO = 72.700 - 0.910 (Age) + 0.979 (BMI) + 1.209 (Baseline serum LH) - 0.647 (Progesterone on human Chorionic Gonadotropin day).

Conclusions:

We concluded that age, the BMI, baseline serum LH, and progesterone level on hCG day may predict %MO. Prospective studies are required to validate this predictive equation.

Progesterone levels on the human chorionic gonadotropin trigger day affect the pregnancy rates for embryos transferred at different stages of development in both general and selected IVF/ICSI populations

Background

Two meta-analyses have shown that pregnancy and birth rates are significantly higher after blastocyst transfer than after cleaved embryo transfer. Other studies have revealed that a serum progesterone level > 1.5 ng/ml on the trigger day is responsible for premature luteinization and is associated with a low pregnancy rate. The objectives of this retrospective study were to determine whether blastocyst transfer gave higher pregnancy rates than cleaved embryo transfer at day 3 in both the general and selected IVF/ICSI populations, and whether the serum progesterone level influenced the pregnancy rate.

Method

We studied IVF/ICSI cycles with GnRH antagonist - FSH/hMG protocols in a general population (n = 1210) and a selected “top cycle” population (n = 677), after blastocyst transfer on day 5 or cleaved embryo transfer on day 3. The selected couples had to meet the following criteria: female age < 35, first or second cycle, and one or two embryos transferred. We recorded predictive factors for pregnancy and calculated the progesterone to oocyte index (POI), the progesterone:estradiol ratio (P:E2 ratio), and the progesterone to follicle (> 14 mm) index (PFI).

Results

In the general population, the clinical pregnancy rate was significantly higher after blastocyst transfer (33.3%) than after cleaved embryo transfer (25.3%; p <  0.01); the same was true for the birth rate (32.1 and 22.8%, respectively, p <  0.01). The differences between blastocyst and embryo transfer groups were not significant in the selected population (respectively 35.7% vs. 35.8% for the clinical pregnancy rate, and 33.9 and 34.9% for the birth rate). The serum progesterone levels on the eve of the trigger day and on the day itself were significantly lower in the pregnant women (p <  0.01). We found a serum progesterone threshold of 0.9 ng/ml, as also reported by other researchers. The POI and the PFI appear to have predictive value for cleaved embryos transfers.

Conclusions

Blastocyst transfers were associated with higher clinical pregnancy and birth rates than cleaved embryo transfers in a general population but not in a selected population. The serum progesterone levels on the eve of the trigger day and on the day itself predicted the likelihood of pregnancy.

Revisiting debates of premature luteinization and its effect on assisted reproductive technology outcome

The impact of the prematurely elevated serum progesterone on the late follicular phase, commonly known as premature luteinization (PL), is a matter of continuing debate. Available evidence supports that serum progesterone ≥ 1.5 ng/ml on the day of ovulation triggering could reduce the pregnancy potential in fresh in vitro fertilization (IVF) cycles by jeopardizing endometrial receptivity. Causes of PL during ovarian stimulation are unclear. Recent studies point toward the daily follicle-stimulating hormone dosage, duration of controlled ovarian stimulation, number of oocytes retrieved, and peak estradiol level as factors affecting the incidence of PL. Emerging data show additional influence on embryo quality. The prevention of PL has been challenging. The key elements in preventing PL include individualization of ovarian stimulation according to patient's ovarian reserve, proper ovulation trigger timing, and use of medications such as corticosteroids and metformin. Embryo cryopreservation with deferred embryo transfer is the established strategy to overcome PL, yet it is an extra burden to the IVF laboratory and increased cost for patients. Herein, we review the up-to-date knowledge of this frequent IVF problem including causes, proposed diagnostic criteria, and its impact on endometrial receptivity, embryo quality, and pregnancy outcomes. The preventive measures and rescue strategies are also discussed.