Use of evidence-based guidelines reduces radioactive iodine treatment in patients with low-risk differentiated thyroid cancer

A Deep Learning Survival Model for Evaluating the Survival Prognosis of Papillary Thyroid Cancer: A Population-Based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Deep learning can assess the individual survival prognosis in sizeable datasets with intricate underlying processes. However, studies exploring the performance of deep learning survival in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) are lacking. This study aimed to construct a deep learning model based on clinical risk factors for survival prediction in patients with PTC.

METHODS

A Cox proportional hazards deep neural network (DeepSurv) was developed and validated by using consecutive patients with PTC from 17 US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) cancer registries (2000-2020). The performance of the DeepSurv model was further validated on two external test datasets from the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center (MDACC) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Using the survival risk scores at 10 years predicted by the DeepSurv model, we classified patients with PTC into low-risk and high-risk groups and explored their overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

The concordance index of the DeepSurv model for predicting OS was 0.798 in the SEER test dataset, 0.893 in the MDACC dataset, and 0.848 in the TCGA dataset. The DeepSurv model was capable of classifying patients with PTC into low-risk and high-risk groups according to the survival risk scores at 10 years. Patients in the high-risk group had significantly worse OS than patients in the low-risk group in all three test datasets (all P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The DeepSurv model was capable of classifying patients with PTC into low-risk and high-risk groups, which may provide important prognostic information for personalized treatment in patients with PTC.

Radioactive iodine in low- to intermediate-risk papillary thyroid cancer

It remains controversial whether papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients with low- to intermediate-risk disease should receive radioactive iodine (RAI) after total thyroidectomy (TT). We aim to identify those who might benefit from RAI treatment in PTC patients with cervical nodal metastasis after TT. Patients were divided into TT and TT+RAI groups from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2004-2018). Overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were compared, and propensity score matching (PSM) was performed between groups. A total of 15,179 patients were enrolled, including 3,387 (22.3%) who underwent TT and 11,792 (77.7%) who received TT+RAI. The following characteristics were more likely to present in the TT+RAI group: multifocality, capsular extension, T3, N1b, and more metastatic cervical lymph nodes. RAI was associated with better OS in low- to intermediate-risk PTC patients in the multivariate Cox regression model. The subgroup analysis showed that RAI predicted better OS in patients ≥55 years, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage II, and capsular extension with a hazard ratio (HR) (95% CI) of 0.57 (0.45-0.72), 0.57 (0.45-0.72), and 0.68 (0.51-0.91), respectively. However, RAI failed to improve the prognoses of patients with age <55 years, AJCC stage I, PTC ≤1 cm, and capsular invasion. In the PSM cohort with 3,385 paired patients, TT+RAI treatment predicted better OS compared with TT alone. In addition, TT+RAI predicted better OS in patients with metastatic cervical lymph nodes ≥2, multifocality, extracapsular extension, and American Thyroid Association (ATA) intermediate risk. In conclusion, RAI was associated with better OS in low- to intermediate-risk PTC patients with age ≥55 years, multifocality, extrathyroidal extension, and ATA intermediate risk. However, the survival benefit from RAI may be limited in patients with AJCC stage I, PTC ≤1 cm, unifocality, capsular invasion, and ATA low-risk diseases; these patients even showed pathological cervical lymph node metastasis.

What Promotes Surgeon Practice Change? A Scoping Review of Innovation Adoption in Surgical Practice

OBJECTIVE

The goal of this scoping review was to summarize the literature on facilitators and barriers to surgical practice change. This information can inform research to implement best practices and evaluate new surgical innovations.

BACKGROUND

In an era of accelerated innovations, surgeons face the difficult decision to either acknowledge and implement or forgo new advances. Although changing surgical practice to align with evidence is an imperative of health systems, evidence-based guidelines have not translated into consistent change. The literature on practice change is limited and has largely focused on synthesizing information on methods and trials to evaluate innovative surgical interventions. No reviews to date have grounded their analysis within an implementation science framework.

METHODS

A systematic review of the literature on surgical practice change was performed. Abstracts and full-text articles were reviewed for relevance using inclusion and exclusion criteria and data were extracted from each article. Cited facilitators and barriers were then mapped across domains within the implementation science Theoretical Domains Framework and expanded to the Capability, Opportunity, Motivation, and Behavior model.

RESULTS

Components of the Capability, Opportunity, Motivation, and Behavior model were represented across the Theoretical Domains Framework domains and acted as both facilitators and barriers to practice change depending on the circumstances. Domains that most affected surgical practice change, in order, were: opportunity (environmental context and resources and social influences), capability (knowledge and skills), and motivation (beliefs about consequences and reinforcement).

CONCLUSIONS

Practice change is predicated on a conducive environment with adequate resources, but once that is established, the surgeon's individual characteristics, including skills, motivation, and reinforcement determine the likelihood of successful change. Deficiencies in the literature underscore the need for further study of resource interventions and the role of surgical team dynamics in the adoption of innovation. A better understanding of these areas is needed to optimize our ability to disseminate and implement best practices in surgery.

Changes in Population-Level and Institutional-Level Prescribing Habits of Radioiodine Therapy for Papillary Thyroid Cancer

Background: In the past two decades, new evidence and guidelines have emerged to refine recommendations for the use of radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy after thyroidectomy for cancer. We aim to describe national trends in RAI utilization, assess the impact of individual hospitals on RAI utilization, and examine whether variation in prescribing habits has declined over time. Methods: The National Cancer Database (NCDB) was queried from 2004 to 2016 for patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) who received total thyroidectomy. Trends were analyzed using Joinpoint analysis. Hospital-specific effects and variation in prescribing habits were assessed through a hierarchical, mixed regression model. Results: RAI utilization declined from 61.0% in 2004 to 43.9% in 2016. RAI use declined most profoundly in patients with T1a, N0/X, M0 PTC without extrathyroidal extension (34.8% in 2004 to 9.5% in 2015), but continues to be used commonly in patients with advanced disease for whom it is routinely recommended (73.4% in 2004 to 72.0% in 2015). Furthermore, ∼80% of hospitals in 2016 utilized at or below the median utilization rate in 2006. Variation in RAI utilization across hospitals decreased by ∼50% from 2004 to 2016 (Levene's test p < 0.001), with a significant decline (p = 0.002) in the variation after 2012 (confidence interval: 2010 to 2014). Conclusions: Recommendations for whom to prescribe RAI appear to have impacted both the number of patients receiving RAI and the variation in prescribing habits across hospitals. Hospital selection has contributed less to the probability of receiving RAI over time.

Treatment of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer and Recurrent Laryngeal Nerve Function with 131 Iodine Based on Positron Emission Tomography/Computed Tomography Image Segmentation Algorithm

BACKGROUND

Based on the positron emission tomography (PET) computed tomography (CT) image segmentation algorithm, this article explores the application of PET/CT in the recurrence and metastasis of thyroid cancer after differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC).

METHODS

In this study, 132 patients with DTC combined with ¹³¹I treatment underwent PET/CT whole-body imaging and ¹³¹I whole-body scan (¹³¹I-WBS), and the serum thyroglobulin (Tg) level was measured at the same time.

RESULTS

Among 54 Tg-positive patients, 49 were positive for ¹³¹I-WBS and 32 were positive for PET/CT imaging. Of the 15 Tg-negative patients, ¹³¹I-WBS and PET/CT imaging were negative. Three patients with ¹³¹I-WBS suggesting residual thyroid tumors were all positive in PET/CT examinations; 7 patients with ¹³¹I-WBS suggesting lymph node metastasis were all positive in PET/CT examinations, and in ¹³¹I, PET/CT imaging in WBS-negative patients showed 6 lung metastases and 3 bone metastases.

CONCLUSIONS

PET/CT and ¹³¹I scans are similar in the diagnosis of residual thyroid and lymph node metastasis, but PET/CT has more advantages than does the ¹³¹I scan in the diagnosis of bone metastasis and lung metastasis. PET/CT can still find other benign and malignant lesions, which is of great value in the restaging of DTC. The imaging effect of WBS lung lesions in older patients is not good. The presence of stripe, calcification, and patch shadows in the lungs is not conducive to the imaging of WBS lung metastases. Lung strips and calcification affect the WBS lung main factors for imaging of metastases.

The impact of radioactive iodine treatment on survival among papillary thyroid cancer patients according to the 7th and 8th editions of the AJCC/TNM staging system: a SEER-based study

Papillary thyroid cancer is a very common endocrine malignancy. The 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer/Union for International Cancer Control (AJCC/UICC) staging system introduced major changes. We conducted this retrospective cohort analysis to assess the benefits of radioactive iodine (RAI) according to different stratification of patients. The source of the data was the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. From 2006 to 2015, patients with papillary thyroid cancer were included in our study. The interactions between different variables and RAI treatment were tested by multivariate Cox regression models to compare the survival differences according to RAI treatment between the patients assessed with the 7th and 8th edition of the AJCC/TNM staging system. The results of the interaction analysis and group comparisons indicated that the effects of RAI treatment on patients staged with the 7th and 8th editions were similar. Patients with early Stage, early T stage, N0 and subtotal or near total thyroidectomy benefited greatly from RAI treatment. Patients with Stage III according to the 8th edition benefited less from RAI than patients with Stage III according to the 7th edition. Patients with T1a benefited from RAI but benefited less than patients with other T stages. Patients with T3a benefited more from RAI than those with T3b. According to the 8th edition, Stage III/IV more accurately differentiates patients with advanced stage disease. These patients benefitted less from RAI treatment, which may be due to the relatively weaker iodine uptake by tumor cells. T1a patients benefitted less than patients with other T stages. The difference in RAI benefit between patients with T3a and T3b is a novel finding in our study.

Looking under the hood of "the Cadillac of cancers:" radioactive iodine-related craniofacial side effects among patients with thyroid cancer

PURPOSE

Despite having a generally favorable prognosis, differentiated thyroid cancer is known to have a significant, long-term impact on the quality of life of survivors. We wished to investigate short- and long-term effects among thyroid cancer survivors following radioactive iodine therapy.

METHODS

We conducted eight focus groups (N = 47) to understand patients' experiences of short- and long-term effects after radioactive iodine treatment and the impact these treatment-related side effects had on patients' quality of life. We elicited responses regarding experiences with side effects following radioactive iodine treatment, particularly salivary, lacrimal, and nasal symptoms. We transcribed audiotapes and conducted qualitative analyses to identify codes and themes.

RESULTS

We identified eight broad themes from the qualitative analyses. Themes reflecting physical symptoms included dry mouth, salivary gland dysfunction, altered taste, eye symptoms such as tearing or dryness, and epistaxis. Psychosocial themes included lack of knowledge and preparation for treatment, regret of treatment, and distress that thyroid cancer is labeled as a "good cancer."

CONCLUSIONS

Thyroid cancer survivors reported a wide range of radioactive iodine treatment-related effects and psychosocial concerns that appear to reduce quality of life. The psychosocial concerns reported by participants underscore the significant unmet information and support needs prior to and following RAI treatment among individuals diagnosed with thyroid cancer.

IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS

Future research is needed to help both patients and physicians understand the effect of radioactive iodine on quality of life, and to better assess the benefits versus the risks of radioactive iodine therapy.

Radioactive iodine in differentiated thyroid cancer: a national database perspective

Radioactive iodine (RAI) is a key component in the treatment of differentiated thyroid cancer. RAI has been recommended more selectively in recent years as guidelines evolve to reflect risks and utility in certain patient subsets. In this study we sought to evaluate the survival impact of radioactive iodine in specific thyroid cancer subgroups. Nationwide retrospective cohort study of patients using the National Cancer Database (NCDB) from 2004 to 2012 and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 1992 to 2009 examining patients with differentiated thyroid cancer treated with or without RAI. Primary outcomes included all-cause mortality (NCDB and SEER), and cancer-specific mortality (SEER). Cox multivariate survival analyses were applied to each dataset, and in 135 patient subgroups based on clinical and non-clinical parameters. A total of 199,371 NCDB and 77,187 SEER patients were identified. RAI was associated with improved all-cause mortality (NCDB: RAI hazard ratio (HR) 0.55, P < 0.001; SEER: HR 0.64, P < 0.001); and cancer-specific mortality (SEER: HR 0.82, P = 0.029). Iodine therapy showed varied efficacy within each subgroup. Patients with high-risk disease experienced the greatest benefit in all-cause mortality, followed by intermediate-risk, then low-risk subgroups. Regarding cancer-specific mortality, radioactive iodine therapy was protective in high-risk patients, but did not achieve statistical significance in most intermediate-risk subgroups. Low-risk T1a subgroups demonstrated an increased likelihood of cancer-specific mortality with iodine therapy. The efficacy of RAI in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer varies by disease severity. A negative cancer-specific survival association was identified in patients with T1a disease. These findings warrant further evaluation with prospective studies.

[Three-dimensional reconstruction of cervical CT vs ultrasound for estimating residual thyroid volume]

OBJECTIVE

To compare the accuracy of three-dimensional reconstruction of cervical CT and ultrasound for estimating residual thyroid volume.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of 17 patients with 21 residual thyroid glands undergoing thyroidectomy surgery between February, 2017 and March, 2018 in our department. We compared the residual thyroid volume in preoperative ultrasound with the intraoperative measurement and the volume measured using threedimensional CT reconstruction before surgery.

RESULTS

The maximum vertical and anterioposterior diameters of the residual thyroid measured by preoperative ultrasound differed significantly from the volume data measured intraoperatively (P < 0.05), but the difference in the maximum left-right diameters was not statistically significant (P>0.05). The maximum vertical, leftright, and anteroposterior diameters estimated by three-dimensional reconstruction of cervical CT was all similar with those measured intraoperatively (P>0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with ultrasound examination, three-dimensional reconstruction of neck CT is more accurate for estimating the residual thyroid volume and provides more reliable evidence for clinical calculation of postoperative I131 dose for thyroid cancer.

Medication overuse in oncology: current trends and future implications for patients and society

The high cost of cancer care worldwide is largely attributable to rising drugs prices. Despite their high costs and potential toxic effects, anticancer treatments could be subject to overuse, which is defined as the provision of medical services that are more likely to harm than to benefit a patient. We found 30 studies documenting medication overuse in cancer, which included 16 examples of supportive medication overuse and 17 examples of antineoplastic medication overuse in oncology. Few specific agents have been assessed, and no studies investigated overuse of the most toxic or expensive medications currently used in cancer treatment. Although financial, psychological, or physical harms of medication overuse in cancer could be substantial, there is little published evidence addressing these harms, so their magnitude is unclear. Further research is needed to better quantify medication overuse, understand its implications, and help protect patients and the health-care system from overuse.

Overuse of Health Care Services in the Management of Cancer: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Overuse, the provision of health services for which harms outweigh the benefits, results in suboptimal patient care and may contribute to the rising costs of cancer care. We performed a systematic review of the evidence on overuse in oncology.

METHODS

We searched Medline, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, Web of Science, SCOPUS databases, and 2 grey literature sources, for articles published between December 1, 2011 and March 10, 2017. We included publications from December 2011 to evaluate the literature since the inception of the ABIM Foundation's Choosing Wisely initiative in 2012. We included original research articles quantifying overuse of any medical service in patients with a cancer diagnosis when utilizing an acceptable standard to define care appropriateness, excluding studies of cancer screening. One of 4 investigator reviewed titles and abstracts and 2 of 4 reviewed each full-text article and extracted data. Methodology used PRISMA guidelines.

RESULTS

We identified 59 articles measuring overuse of 154 services related to imaging, procedures, and therapeutics in cancer management. The majority of studies addressed adult or geriatric patients (98%) and focused on US populations (76%); the most studied services were diagnostic imaging in low-risk prostate and breast cancer. Few studies evaluated active cancer therapeutics or interventions aimed at reducing overuse. Rates of overuse varied widely among services and among studies of the same service.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite recent attention to overuse in cancer, evidence identifying areas of overuse remains limited. Broader investigation, including assessment of active cancer treatment, is critical for identifying improvement targets to optimize value in cancer care.

Pilot Study of a Web-based Decision Tool on Post-operative Use of Radioactive Iodine

Background: The Thyroid Cancer Care Collaborative developed a web-based clinical decision-making module (CDMM) to inform risk-adjusted decisions on post-thyroidectomy radioactive iodine (RAI) use in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC). Methods: In a pilot study, we evaluated the CDMM in 19 PTC cases representing low- (five), intermediate- (seven) and high-risk (seven) disease. Two PTC experts and 10 PTC physicians reviewed cases and assigned risk level and RAI recommendation. The experts used a standard approach while the others used the CDMM. We assessed agreement between responses using a weighted Kappa. Results: Between experts, risk-assignment was concordant in 100%, 57% and 86% of low-, intermediate- and high-risk cases, respectively. Between CDMM users, risk-assignment was concordant in 100%, 29% and 14% in low-, intermediate- and high-risk cases, respectively (p=0.01). CDMM-assigned risk agreed with the expert-assigned risk in 100%, 25% and 0% of low-, intermediate- and high-risk cases, respectively (Kappa=0.69). For RAI use, the experts agreed in 15 cases while CDMM users agreed in eight. On further analysis, interpretation of extrathyroidal extension and lymph node staging led to discrepancies with the CDMM. Conclusions: For a web-based CDMM to accurately inform appropriate use of RAI in PTC, standard pathological and surgical reports are necessary.

Is papillary thyroid microcarcinoma an indolent tumor?: A retrospective study on 280 cases treated with radioiodine

The increasing detection of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) has created management dilemmas. To clarify the clinical significance of postsurgery stimulated thyroglobulin (ps-Tg) in PTMC who undergo thyroidectomy and radioactive iodine (RAI), we retrospectively reviewed the 358 PTMC patients who were treated with RAI and followed up in our hospital. Those with an excessive anti-Tg antibody, ultrasound-detected residual were excluded, thereby resulting in the inclusion of 280 cases. Their clinical and histopathological information and clinical outcomes were collected and summarized. Tumor stages were classified according to the tumor, node, metastasis (TNM) staging system and the consensus of the European Thyroid Association (ETA) risk stratification system, respectively. Kaplan-Meier curves were constructed to compare the disease-free survival (DFS) rates of different risk-staging systems. By the end of follow-up, none of the patients died of the disease or relapsed. The 8-year DFS rate was 76.9%. Kaplan-Meier curves showed different DFS rates in TNM stages I versus IV, III versus IV, very low risk versus high risk, low risk versus high risk, respectively (P < 0.05), while they were not significantly different in stage I versus stage III, very low risk versus low risk (P > 0.05). Finally, 40 (14.3%) cases got a persistent disease. Five variables (male sex, nonconcurrent benign pathology, initial tumor size >5 mm, lymph node metastasis, and ps-Tg ≥ 10 μg/L) were associated with disease persistence by univariate regression analysis. Ps-Tg ≥ 10 μg/L was the only independent prognostic variable that predicted disease persistence by multivariate regression analysis (odds ratio: 36.057, P = 0.000). Therefore, PTMC with a small size of ≤1 cm does not always act as an indolent tumor. In conclusion, ps-Tg ≥ 10 μg/L is associated with increased odds of disease persistence. ETA risk stratification is more effective in predicting disease persistence than the TNM classification system.

Re-ablation I-131 activity does not predict treatment success in low- and intermediate-risk patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma

The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of different radioactive iodine (I-131) activities used for re-ablation, to compare various combinations of treatment activities, and to identify predictors of re-ablation failure in low- and intermediate-risk differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) patients. The study included 128 consecutive low- and intermediate-risk patients with DTC with ablation failure after total thyroidectomy. Patient characteristics, T status, tumor size, lymph node involvement, postoperative remnant size on whole-body scintigraphy, serum thyroglobulin (Tg), thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH), anti-Tg antibody (TgAb), and Tg/TSH ratio were analyzed as potential predictors of the re-ablation success. Re-ablation was successful in 113 out of 128 patients (88.3 %). Mean first I-131 activity was 2868 ± 914 MBq (77.5 ± 24.7 mCi) and mean second I-131 activity 3004 ± 699 MBq (81.2 ± 18.9 mCi). There was no association between the first, second, and cumulative activity with re-ablation treatment outcome. Treatment failure was associated with higher Tg levels prior to re-ablation (Tg2) (OR 1.16, 95 % CI 1.05-1.29, P = 0.003) and N1a status (OR 3.89, 95 % CI 1.13-13.41, P = 0.032). After excluding patients with positive-to-negative TgAb conversion, Tg2 level of 3.7 ng/mL predicted treatment failure with a sensitivity of 75.0 %, specificity of 80.5 %, and a negative predictive value of 97.1 %. Patients with positive-to-negative TgAb conversion had higher failure rates (OR 2.96, 95 % CI 0.94-9.29). Re-ablation success was high in all subgroups of patients and I-131 activity did not influence treatment outcome. Tg may serve as a good predictor of re-ablation failure. Patients with positive-to-negative TgAb conversion represent a specific group, in whom Tg level should not be used as a predictive marker of treatment outcome.

Value-based healthcare: implications for thyroid cancer

Today's delivery of care to thyroid cancer patients is complex, and costly, with uneven outcomes that can be improved. The incidence of thyroid cancer is rising and requires coordinated, multidisciplinary care with high volume centers that is not always available in our current fragmented healthcare system. To address the needs of patients, providers and payers, we believe that thyroid cancer care needs to be reexamined from the perspective of value for the patient, which is defined as the outcomes that matter to patients relative to the cost of delivering them. This paper provides recommendations based on the key principles of the value-based approach to transform the delivery of thyroid cancer care.