Associations of 4AT with mobility, length of stay and mortality in hospital and discharge destination among patients admitted with hip fractures

Mortality Risk Following Delirium in Older Inpatients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

The onset of delirium in older inpatients is associated with worse outcomes, including longer length of hospital stay, loss of functionality, loss of cognitive function, sleep disorders, increased polypharmacy, higher rates of adverse effects, and mortality. Previous studies have analyzed mortality after delirium, but without discriminating between settings, time, or critical conditions.

AIMS

To assess the pooled incidence of delirium and risk of mortality at different times after hospital admission in older people and its association with mortality and length of stay in hospitalized people aged 65 years or older.

METHODS

This systematic review and meta-analysis included studies analyzing the incidence of delirium and mortality. MEDLINE, Scopus, and the Web of Science were searched from inception to December 2023. PRISMA guidelines were followed. Inclusion criteria were original peer-reviewed studies in medical hospital areas using validated screening or diagnostic methods and quantifying mortality at admission or after excluding surgical patients. Exclusion criteria were studies that included only participants with a single condition at baseline, such as cancer, pneumonia, or frailty, or who were admitted to a specific unit such as the intensive care unit, as well as studies that assessed delirium in surgical areas. Study quality was assessed with Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal tools. The statistical analysis was performed in RevMan v5.4.0 (Cochrane Collaboration, Oxford, UK), using a random-effects model to calculate incidence, mortality, and length of hospital stay along with their 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The PROSPERO registration number for the review was CRD42023491604.

RESULTS

In the 32 included studies, the pooled cumulative incidence of delirium was 28.79% (95% confidence interval [CI] 24.06%, 33.51%). The mortality risk was higher in patients who had delirium during admission (odds ratio [OR] 5.23, 95% CI [3.45, 7.93]). This varied by time point: 1 month, OR 3.80 (95% CI 2.40, 6.00); 6 months, OR 3.48 (95% CI [2.01, 6.01]); 12 months, OR 2.73 (95% CI [2.07, 3.60]); 2 years, OR 2.09 (95% CI [1.57, 2.78]); and 5 years, OR 3.34 (95% CI [2.40, 4.64]). In the pooled analysis, mean length of hospital stay was 2.26 days (95% CI [0.54, 3.99]) longer in patients with delirium.

LINKING EVIDENCE TO ACTION

This study shows the markedly increased risk of mortality in older people with delirium during hospital admission and over the first month, in addition to an increased length of stay. The onset of delirium leads to increased use of healthcare resources. These data help to quantify the impact that delirium has on the health of older people, with implications for health system management. The evidence highlights the need to implement preventive pharmacological treatment or multicomponent strategies that minimize the onset of delirium in the older population.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The PROSPERO registration number for the review was: CRD42023491604, available at: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=491604.

Delirium on presentation with a hip fracture is associated with adverse outcomes : a multicentre observational study of 18,040 patients using national clinical registry data

Aims

Delirium is common in hip fracture patients, but large-scale routine data studies examining the prevalence and associations of delirium at the time of initial presentation with a hip fracture are rare. This study aimed to describe the prevalence and outcomes of delirium on initial presentation with a hip fracture in a large national population sample.

Methods

This study analyzed routinely collected national clinical registry data for all people in Scotland aged 50 years and over presenting with a hip fracture between 1 July 2019 and 31 December 2021. Delirium was assessed prospectively by clinicians as part of routine care using the 4AT, a validated two-minute assessment tool. Associations of 4AT score with mortality and return home within 30 days were analyzed using logistic regression models, adjusted for confounders.

Results

Of 18,040 patients (mean age 80 years (SD 10); 70% female (n = 12,594)), 16,476 (91%) had a 4AT assessment on presentation and of these, 3,386 (21%) had a score ≥ 4, suggestive of delirium. Patients with delirium were older, more likely residing in care homes, and had higher American Society of Anesthesiologists grades (all p < 0.001). Delirium was independently associated with a twofold increased risk of inpatient mortality (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.26 (95% CI 1.79 to 2.84)) and one-year mortality (aOR 2.05 (95% CI 1.83 to 2.29)), and a lower likelihood of returning home within 30 days (aOR 0.27 (95% CI 0.24 to 0.30)).

Conclusion

Delirium affects around 20% of patients presenting with a hip fracture, and is associated with important adverse outcomes. Integrating delirium assessment into the initial clinical assessment of hip fracture patients is feasible at national scale, and should be considered as part of care for all hip fracture patients.

Nurse-led ultrasound-guided femoral nerve block: A randomised controlled trial of two different patient flow systems in an emergency department

INTRODUCTION

Elderly with hip fractures present complex challenges. Effective pain management is crucial for recovery and quality of life. However, pain control can be difficult and requires customized care.

METHODS

We conducted an unblinded, randomised controlled trial investigating the effects of ultrasound-guided femoral nerve block in patients with hip fracture performed by specially trained nurses (Group Nurse) compared to anaesthesiologists (Group Anaesthesiologist). The hypothesis was that a single shot ultrasound-guided femoral nerve block would result in a total summarized lower dynamic numeric rating scale score for pain intensity during the first 120 min after admission for patients in Group Nurse compared to Group Anaesthesiologist measured in five timepoints. The primary outcome was measured by a cumulative numeric rating scale score for dynamic pain (with flexion of the hip until maximum 30° from bed surface) during the first 120 min after admission to the emergency department.

RESULTS

From February 2020 to June 2021, 263 patients were screened, of which 42 (16.0%) consented and were randomly allocated; 21 in each arm. The primary outcome was not different between groups (p = 0.24), and displayed no substantial superiority of specially trained nurses over anaesthesiologist. No complications or adverse effects were observed in either group. The use of systemic analgesics and the development of delirium was similar between the two groups. In the Nurse Group, patients were administered their ultrasound-guided femoral nerve block earlier.

CONCLUSION

Our study did not demonstrate a statistically significant beneficial effect of specially trained nurses over anaesthesiologist on cumulative pain in performing ultrasound-guided femoral nerve blocks, while no side-effects/complications or adverse effects were observed in either group.

CLINICALTRIAL

The trial was registered on October 31, 2019 at Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04145752).

Effect of a Multicomponent Intervention with Tele-Rehabilitation and the Vivifrail© Exercise Programme on Functional Capacity after Hip Fracture: Study Protocol for the ActiveFLS Randomized Controlled Trial

INTRODUCTION

Hip fractures are the most common fracture leading to hospitalization and are associated with high costs, mortality rates and functional decline. Although several guidelines exist for preventing new fractures and promoting functional recovery, they tend to focus on osteoporosis treatment and do not take into account the complexity of frailty in older adults and geriatric syndromes, which are important factors in individuals at risk of suffering from frailty fractures. Moreover, most health systems are fragmented and are incapable of providing appropriate management for frail and vulnerable individuals who are at risk of experiencing fragility fractures. Multicomponent interventions and physical exercise using tele-rehabilitation could play a role in the management of hip fracture recovery. However, the effectiveness of exercise prescription and its combination with a comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) is still unclear.

METHODS

This randomized clinical trial will be conducted at the Hospital Universitario de Navarra (Pamplona, Spain). A total of 174 older adults who have suffered a hip fracture and fulfil the criteria for inclusion will be randomly allocated to either the intervention group or the control group. The intervention group will receive a multicomponent intervention consisting of individualized home-based exercise using the @ctive hip app for three months, followed by nine months of exercise using Vivifrail. Additionally, the intervention group will receive nutrition intervention, osteoporosis treatment, polypharmacy adjustment and evaluation of patient mood, cognitive impairment and fear of falling. The control group will receive standard outpatient care according to local guidelines. This research aims to evaluate the impact of the intervention on primary outcome measures, which include changes in functional status during the study period based on the Short Physical Performance Battery.

DISCUSSION

The findings of this study will offer valuable insights into the efficacy of a comprehensive approach that considers the complexity of frailty in older adults and geriatric syndromes, which are important factors in individuals at risk of suffering from frailty fractures. This study's findings will contribute to the creation of more effective strategies tailored to the requirements of these at-risk groups.

Association of Vulnerability Screening on Hospital Admission with Discharge to Rehabilitation-Oriented Care after Acute Hospital Stay

BACKGROUND

We assessed the vulnerability of patients aged ≥70 years during hospital admission based on the Short Dutch Safety Management Screening (DSMS). Screening of four geriatric domains aims to prevent adverse outcomes and may support targeted discharge planning for post-acute care. We explored whether the DSMS criteria for acutely admitted patients were associated with rehabilitation-oriented care needs.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included community-dwelling patients aged ≥70 years acutely admitted to a tertiary hospital. We recorded patient demographics, morbidity, functional status, malnutrition, fall risk, and delirium and used descriptive analysis to calculate the risks by comparing the discharge destination groups.

RESULTS

Among 491 hospital discharges, 349 patients (71.1%) returned home, 60 (12.2%) were referred for geriatric rehabilitation, and 82 (16.7%) to other inpatient post-acute care. Non-home referrals increased with age from 21% (70-80 years) to 61% (>90 years). A surgical diagnosis (odds ratio [OR]=4.92; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.03-11.95), functional decline represented by Katz-activities of daily living positive screening (OR=3.79; 95% CI, 1.76-8.14), and positive fall risk (OR=2.87; 95% CI, 1.31-6.30) were associated with non-home discharge. The Charlson Comorbidity Index did not differ significantly between the groups.

CONCLUSION

Admission diagnosis and vulnerability screening outcomes were associated with discharge to rehabilitation-oriented care in patients >70 years of age. The usual care data from DSMS vulnerability screening can raise awareness of discharge complexity and provide opportunities to support timely and personalized transitional care.

Association between intraoperative mean arterial pressure variability and postoperative delirium after hip fracture surgery: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Postoperative delirium (POD) is a common complication in elderly patients after hip fracture surgery. Our study was to investigate whether intraoperative mean arterial pressure variability (MAPV) was associated with POD in elderly patients after hip fracture surgery.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, patients aged 65 years and older undergoing hip fracture surgery were included. The correlation between MAPV and POD was investigated using univariate and multivariate logistic regression. Covariate-related confounding effects were eliminated with propensity score matching (PSM) analysis. Then, a subgroup analysis was conducted to further examine the associations between MAPV and POD.

RESULTS

Nine hundred sixty-three patients with a median age of 80 years (IQR: 73-84) were enrolled. POD occurred in 115/963 (11.9%) patients within 7 days after surgery. According to multivariate regression analysis, MAPV > 2.17 was associated with an increased risk of POD (OR: 2.379, 95% CI: 1.496-3.771, P < 0.001). All covariates between the two groups were well balanced after PSM adjustment. A significant correlation between MAPV and POD was found in the PSM analysis (OR: 2.851, 95% CI: 1.710-4.746, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

An increased intraoperative MAPV may be a predictor for POD.

Association between postoperative delirium and adverse outcomes in older surgical patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

STUDY OBJECTIVE

To assess the incidence of postoperative delirium and its outcomes in older non-cardiac surgical patients.

DESIGN

A systematic review and meta-analysis with multiple databases searched from inception to February 22, 2022.

SETTING

Postoperative assessments.

PATIENTS

Non-cardiac and non-neurological surgical patients aged ≥60 years with and without postoperative delirium. Included studies must report ≥1 postoperative outcome. Studies with a small sample size (N < 100 subjects) were excluded.

MEASUREMENTS

Outcomes comprised the pooled incidence of postoperative delirium and its postoperative outcomes, including mortality, complications, unplanned intensive care unit admissions, length of stay, and non-home discharge. For dichotomous and continuous outcomes, OR and difference in means were computed, respectively, with a 95% CI.

MAIN RESULTS

Fifty-four studies (20,988 patients, 31 elective studies, 23 emergency studies) were included. The pooled incidence of postoperative delirium was 19% (95% CI: 16%, 23%) after elective surgery and 32% (95% CI: 25%, 39%) after emergency surgery. In elective surgery, postoperative delirium was associated with increased mortality at 1-month (OR: 6.60; 95% CI: 1.58, 27.66), 6-month (OR: 5.69; 95% CI: 2.33, 13.88), and 1-year (OR: 2.87; 95% CI: 1.63, 5.06). The odds of postoperative complications, unplanned intensive care unit admissions, prolonged length of hospital stay, and non-home discharge were also higher in delirium cases. In emergency surgery, patients with postoperative delirium had greater odds of mortality at 1-month (OR: 3.56; 95% CI: 1.77, 7.15), 6-month (OR: 2.60; 95% CI: 1.88, 3.61), and 1-year (OR: 2.30; 95% CI: 1.77, 3.00).

CONCLUSIONS

Postoperative delirium was associated with higher odds of mortality, postoperative complications, unplanned intensive care unit admissions, length of hospital stay, and non-home discharge. Prevention and perioperative management of delirium may optimize surgical outcomes.

Tips from the shop floor: postgraduate doctors working in trauma and orthopaedics

Trauma and orthopaedics is a useful rotation for junior doctors to undertake. Experience in the specialty allows doctors to feel more confident in the diagnosis and treatment of conditions affecting the entire musculoskeletal system. Many junior doctors cover on-calls in trauma and orthopaedics departments, often with no prior specialist experience. This article provides junior doctors with up-to-date information about how to prepare for a placement in trauma and orthopaedics, as well as helpful resources for those interested in a career in trauma and orthopaedics.

Hip fractures in the older adult: orthopaedic and geriatric shared care model in Southland, New Zealand-a 5-year follow-up study

BACKGROUND

Neck of femur fractures are common with associated high morbidity and mortality rates. National standards include provision of orthogeriatric care to any patient with a hip fracture. This study assessed the outcomes at 5 years following implementation of a collaborative orthogeriatric service at Southland Hospital in 2012.

METHODS

Retrospective data were collected for patients aged 65 years and older admitted with a fragility hip fracture. Data were collated for 2011 (preimplementation) and 2017 (postimplementation). Demographic data and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) scores were recorded to ensure comparability of the patient groups. Length of stay, postoperative complications and 30-day and 1-year mortality were assessed.

RESULTS

74 admissions with mean age at surgery of 84.2 years in 2011 and 107 admissions with mean age of 82.6 years in 2017. There was a higher proportion of ASA 2 and ASA 3 patients in 2017 compared with 2011 (p=0.036). The median length of stay in the orthopaedic ward was unchanged in the two cohorts but there was a shorter median length of stay by 6.5 days and mean length of stay by 11 days in 2017 in the rehabilitation ward (p<0.001 for both median and mean). Through logistic regression controlling for age, sex and ASA score, there was a reduction in the odds of having a complication by 12% (p<0.001). The study was too small to undertake statistical testing to calculate significant difference in overall 30-day and 1-year mortality between the groups.

CONCLUSION

The orthogeriatric service has reduced the frequency of complications and length of stay on the rehabilitation ward 5 years following implementation.

Sex differences in clinical outcomes amongst 1105 patients admitted with hip fractures

Amongst hip fracture admissions, mortality is higher in men than in women. However, sex differences in other care-quality measures have not been well-documented. We aimed to examine sex differences in mortality as well as a wide range of underlying health indicators and clinical outcomes in adults ≥ 60 year of age admitted with hip fractures from their own homes to a single NHS hospital between April-2009 and June-2019. Sex differences in delirium, length of stay (LOS) and mortality in hospital, readmission, and discharge destination, were examined by logistic regression. There were 787 women and 318 men of similar mean age (± SD): 83.1 year (± 8.6) and 82.5 year (± 9.0), respectively (P = 0.269). There were no sex differences in history of dementia or diabetes, anticholinergic burden, pre-fracture physical function, American Society of Anesthesiologists grades, or surgical and medical management. Stroke and ischaemic heart disease, polypharmacy, and alcohol consumption were more common in men. After adjustment for these differences and age, men had greater risk of delirium (with or without cognitive impairment) within one day of surgery: OR = 1.75 (95%CI 1.14-2.68), LOS ≥ 3 weeks in hospital: OR = 1.52 (1.07-2.16), mortality in hospital: OR = 2.04 (1.14-3.64), and readmission once or more after 30 days of a discharge: OR = 1.53 (1.03-2.31). Men had a lower risk of a new discharge to residential/nursing care: OR = 0.46 (0.23-0.93). The present study revealed that, in addition to a greater risk of mortality than women, men also had many other adverse health outcomes. These findings, which have not been well-documented, serve to stimulate future targeted preventive strategies and research.

Delirium in hip fracture patients admitted from home during the COVID-19 pandemic is associated with higher mortality, longer total length of stay, need for post-acute inpatient rehabilitation, and readmission to acute services

Aims

Delirium is associated with adverse outcomes following hip fracture, but the prevalence and significance of delirium for the prognosis and ongoing rehabilitation needs of patients admitted from home is less well studied. Here, we analyzed relationships between delirium in patients admitted from home with 1) mortality; 2) total length of hospital stay; 3) need for post-acute inpatient rehabilitation; and 4) hospital readmission within 180 days.

Methods

This observational study used routine clinical data in a consecutive sample of hip fracture patients aged ≥ 50 years admitted to a single large trauma centre during the COVID-19 pandemic between 1 March 2020 and 30 November 2021. Delirium was prospectively assessed as part of routine care by the 4 A's Test (4AT), with most assessments performed in the emergency department. Associations were determined using logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation quintile, COVID-19 infection within 30 days, and American Society of Anesthesiologists grade.

Results

A total of 1,821 patients were admitted, with 1,383 (mean age 79.5 years; 72.1% female) directly from home. Overall, 87 patients (4.8%) were excluded due to missing 4AT scores. Delirium prevalence in the whole cohort was 26.5% (460/1,734): 14.1% (189/1,340) in the subgroup of patients admitted from home, and 68.8% (271/394) in the remaining patients (comprising care home residents and inpatients when fracture occurred). In patients admitted from home, delirium was associated with a 20-day longer total length of stay (p < 0.001). In multivariable analyses, delirium was associated with higher mortality at 180 days (odds ratio (OR) 1.69 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13 to 2.54); p = 0.013), requirement for post-acute inpatient rehabilitation (OR 2.80 (95% CI 1.97 to 3.96); p < 0.001), and readmission to hospital within 180 days (OR 1.79 (95% CI 1.02 to 3.15); p = 0.041).

Conclusion

Delirium affects one in seven patients with a hip fracture admitted directly from home, and is associated with adverse outcomes in these patients. Delirium assessment and effective management should be a mandatory part of standard hip fracture care.

Caffeine, Postoperative Delirium And Change In Outcomes after Surgery (CAPACHINOS)-2: protocol for a randomised controlled trial

INTRODUCTION

Delirium is a major public health issue for surgical patients and their families because it is associated with increased mortality, cognitive and functional decline, prolonged hospital admission and increased healthcare expenditures. Based on preliminary data, this trial tests the hypothesis that intravenous caffeine, given postoperatively, will reduce the incidence of delirium in older adults after major non-cardiac surgery.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The CAffeine, Postoperative Delirium And CHange In Outcomes after Surgery-2 (CAPACHINOS-2) Trial is a single-centre, placebo-controlled, randomised clinical trial that will be conducted at Michigan Medicine. The trial will be quadruple-blinded, with clinicians, researchers, participants and analysts all masked to the intervention. The goal is to enrol 250 patients with a 1:1:1: allocation ratio: dextrose 5% in water placebo, caffeine 1.5 mg/kg and caffeine 3 mg/kg as a caffeine citrate infusion. The study drug will be administered intravenously during surgical closure and on the first two postoperative mornings. The primary outcome will be delirium, assessed via long-form Confusion Assessment Method. Secondary outcomes will include delirium severity, delirium duration, patient-reported outcomes and opioid consumption patterns. A substudy analysis will also be conducted with high-density electroencephalography (72-channel system) to identify neural abnormalities associated with delirium and Mild Cognitive Impairment at preoperative baseline.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study was approved by the University of Michigan Medical School Institutional Review Board (HUM00218290). An independent data and safety monitoring board has also been empanelled and has approved the clinical trial protocol and related documents. Trial methodology and results will be disseminated via clinical and scientific journals along with social and news media.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT05574400.

Risk Factors and 120-day Functional Outcomes of Delirium After Hip Fracture Surgery: A Prospective Cohort Study Using the UK National Hip Fracture Database (NHFD)

OBJECTIVES

To identify risk factors of postoperative delirium among patients with hip fracture with normal preoperative cognition, and examine associations with returning home or recovery of mobility.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

We used the National Hip Fracture Database (NHFD) to identify patients presenting with hip fracture in England (2018-2019), but excluded those with abnormal cognition (abbreviated mental test score [AMTS] < 8) on presentation.

METHODS

We examined the results of routine delirium screening performed using the 4 A's Test (4AT), to assess alertness, attention, acute change, and orientation in a 4-item mental test. Associations between 4AT score and return home or to outdoor mobility at 120 days were estimated, and risk factors identified for abnormal 4AT scores: (1) 4AT ≥4 suggesting delirium and (2) 4AT = 1-3 being an intermediate score not excluding delirium.

RESULTS

Overall, 63,502 patients (63%) had a preoperative AMTS ≥8, in whom a postoperative 4AT score ≥4 suggestive of delirium was seen in 4454 (7%). These patients were less likely to return home (odds ratio [OR], 0.46; 95% CI, 0.38-0.55) or regain outdoor mobility (OR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.53-0.75) by 120 days. Multiple factors including any deficit in preoperative AMTS and malnutrition were associated with higher risk of 4AT ≥4, while use of preoperative nerve blocks was associated with lower risk (OR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.81-0.95). Poorer outcomes were also seen in 12,042 (19%) patients with 4AT = 1-3; additional risk factors associated with this score included socioeconomic deprivation and surgical procedure types that were not compliant with National Institute of Health and Care Excellence guidance.

CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS

Delirium after hip fracture surgery significantly reduces the likelihood of returning home or to outdoor mobility. Our findings underline the importance of measures to prevent postoperative delirium, and aid the identification of high-risk patients for whom delirium prevention might potentially improve outcomes.

Anesthetic Practice Trends and Perceptions Toward Postoperative Delirium: A Mixed-Methods Analysis

BACKGROUND

Delirium is the most common postoperative complication in older adults, though anesthesiologist awareness of delirium prevention guidelines-and associated practice trends-remains unknown.

METHODS

This was a convergent mixed-methods study, which simultaneously analyzed quantitative and qualitative data to determine delirium guideline awareness among anesthesiologists and practice patterns based on guideline recommendations. Quantitative data were abstracted from the Multicenter Perioperative Outcomes Group database for noncardiac surgery patients (2009-2020) aged 65 years and older. Linear trends were reported for select guideline-based delirium prevention recommendations via regression modeling. Anesthesiologists (n = 40) from a major academic center without a structured delirium reduction program on hospital wards were then surveyed regarding knowledge and practices with respect to postoperative delirium. For qualitative data, 3 focus groups were held to further discuss guideline awareness and identify challenges with delirium prevention.

RESULTS

Quantitative results demonstrated a significant decline in the proportion of cases with midazolam between 2009 and 2020, with the largest decrease observed with urologic surgeries (-3.9%/y; 95% confidence interval [CI], -4.2 to -3.6; P < .001). Use of regional anesthesia increased over this period, particularly with gynecologic surgeries (+2.3%/y; 95% CI, 1.2-3.4; P = .001). Anesthesiologist survey results revealed variable guideline awareness, as 21 of 39 (54%) respondents reported being aware of guidelines for anesthetic management of older adults. Importantly, unawareness of delirium management guidelines was the most frequently cited challenge (17 of 37, 46%) when caring for older adults. Finally, focus group participants were largely unaware of postoperative delirium guidelines. However, participants conveyed key barriers to delirium identification and prevention, including the unclear pathophysiology, nonmodifiable risk factors, and system-based hospital challenges. Participants also expressed a desire for decision-support systems, integrated within the perioperative workflow, that provide evidence-based recommendations for reducing delirium risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Perioperative practice trends are indicative of an improving environment for postoperative delirium. However, delirium guideline awareness remains variable among anesthesiologists, and key barriers continue to exist for identifying and preventing postoperative delirium.

Predicting 30-day mortality after hip fracture: the G4A calibrated prognostic tool

INTRODUCTION

Proximal femoral fracture is common with a high mortality (7% mortality at 30 days). Accurate determination of mortality risk allows better consenting, clinical management and expectation management. Our study aim was to develop a prognostic tool to predict 30-day mortality after proximal femoral fracture, among patients treated within a dedicated hip fracture unit.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We collected data from our hospital concerning 2210 patients with 2287 proximal femoral fractures. The clinical parameters of 97 patients who died within 30 days of surgery were analysed. We used logistic regression to determine if the parameters' relationship with 30-day mortality was statistically significant or not. The statistically significant parameters were used to create a prognostic model for predicting 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

The 5 independent predictors of 30-day mortality were gender, age, admission source, preoperative Abbreviated Mental Test Score (AMTS) and American Society of Anesthesiologists Score (ASA). The highest risk was for males >85 years, admitted from institutional care, with low preoperative mental test score and high ASA grade. Using these predictors, we formulated the G4A score. The Hosmer-Lemeshow 'goodness of fit' test showed good concordance between observed and predicted mortality rates.

CONCLUSIONS

We recommend the use of the G4A score to predict 30-day mortality after surgery for proximal femoral fracture, particularly within dedicated hip fracture units. Further research is needed to establish whether the findings of this study are applicable on a national scale.

The influence of mode of anaesthesia on perioperative outcomes in people with hip fracture: a prospective cohort study from the National Hip Fracture Database for England, Wales and Northern Ireland

BACKGROUND

Delirium is common after hip fracture surgery, affecting up to 50% of patients. The incidence of delirium may be influenced by mode and conduct of anaesthesia. We examined the effect of spinal anaesthesia (with and without sedation) compared with general anaesthesia on early outcomes following hip fracture surgery, including delirium.

METHODS

We used prospective data on 107,028 patients (2018 to 2019) from the National Hip Fracture Database, which records all hip fractures in patients aged 60 years and over in England, Wales and Northern Ireland. Patients were grouped by anaesthesia: general (58,727; 55%), spinal without sedation (31,484; 29%), and spinal with sedation (16,817; 16%). Outcomes (4AT score on post-operative delirium screening; mobilisation day one post-operatively; length of hospital stay; discharge destination; 30-day mortality) were compared between anaesthetic groups using multivariable logistic and linear regression models.

RESULTS

Compared with general anaesthesia, spinal anaesthesia without sedation (but not spinal with sedation) was associated with a significantly reduced risk of delirium (odds ratio (OR)=0.95, 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.92-0.98), increased likelihood of day one mobilisation (OR=1.06, CI=1.02-1.10) and return to original residence (OR=1.04, CI=1.00-1.07). Spinal without sedation (p<0.001) and spinal with sedation (p=0.001) were both associated with shorter hospital stays compared with general anaesthesia. No differences in mortality were observed between anaesthetic groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Spinal and general anaesthesia achieve similar outcomes for patients with hip fracture. However, this equivalence appears to reflect improved perioperative outcomes (including a reduced risk of delirium, increased likelihood of mobilisation day one post-operatively, shorter length of hospital stay and improved likelihood of returning to previous residence on discharge) among the sub-set of patients who received spinal anaesthesia without sedation. The role and effect of sedation should be studied in future trials of hip fracture patients undergoing spinal anaesthesia.

Identification of preoperative factors and postoperative outcomes in relation to delays in surgery for hip fractures

We evaluated factors and outcomes associated with elapsed time to surgery (ETTS) in 1,081 men and 2,891 women (mean age 83.5 years ±9.1) undergoing hip fracture surgery (from 2009-2019). Mortality rates were 4.8%, 6.3%, 6.2% and 10.3% (chi-squared 19.0; p<0.001), and hospital length of stay (LOS) >19 days were 31.9%, 32.8%, 33.8% and 43.2% (chi-squared 18.5; p<0.001) for ETTS <24 hours, 24-35 hours, 36-47 hours and ≥48 hours, respectively. There were no differences between ETTS categories for failure to mobilise within 1 day of surgery, pressure ulcers or discharge to nursing care. After adjustment for age, sex, American Society of Anesthesiologists' score and years of data collection, compared with Sunday, the risk of ETTS ≥36 hours was highest on Friday (odds ratio (OR) 3.50; 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.43-5.03) and Saturday (OR 4.70; 95% CI 3.26-6.76). Compared with ETTS <24 hours, there were increases in the risk of death when ETTS ≥48 hours (OR 2.31; 95% CI 1.47-3.65) and LOS >19 days (OR 1.34; 95% CI 1.02-1.75). The median (interquartile range (IQR)) LOS for ETTS <24 hours was 12.7 days (IQR 8.0-23.0), 24-35 hours was 13.5 days (IQR 8.4-22.9), 36-47 hours was 14.1 days (IQR 8.9-23.3) and ≥48 hours was 16.9 (IQR 10.8-27.0; p<0.001). The 10-year period of collection did not change the conclusion. Admissions towards the end of the week are associated with delayed ETTS for hip fractures, while delay in surgery, particularly beyond 48 hours, is associated with increased risk of mortality and prolonged LOS.

Positive scores on the 4AT delirium assessment tool at hospital admission are linked to mortality, length of stay and home time: two-centre study of 82,770 emergency admissions

BACKGROUND

Studies investigating outcomes of delirium using large-scale routine data are rare. We performed a two-centre study using the 4 'A's Test (4AT) delirium detection tool to analyse relationships between delirium and 30-day mortality, length of stay and home time (days at home in the year following admission).

METHODS

The 4AT was performed as part of usual care. Data from emergency admissions in patients ≥65 years in Lothian, UK (n = 43,946) and Salford, UK (n = 38,824) over a period of $\sim$3 years were analysed using logistic regression models adjusted for age and sex.

RESULTS

4AT completion rates were 77% in Lothian and 49% in Salford. 4AT scores indicating delirium (≥4/12) were present in 18% of patients in Lothian, and 25% of patients in Salford. Thirty-day mortality with 4AT ≥4 was 5.5-fold greater than the 4AT 0/12 group in Lothian (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 5.53, 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.99-6.13) and 3.4-fold greater in Salford (aOR 3.39, 95% CI 2.98-3.87). Length of stay was more than double in patients with 4AT scores of 1-3/12 (indicating cognitive impairment) or ≥ 4/12 compared with 4AT 0/12. Median home time at 1 year was reduced by 112 days (Lothian) and 61 days (Salford) in the 4AT ≥4 group (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Scores on the 4AT used at scale in practice are strongly linked with 30-day mortality, length of hospital stay and home time. The findings highlight the need for better understanding of why delirium is linked with poor outcomes and also the need to improve delirium detection and treatment.

Delirium, Caffeine, and Perioperative Cortical Dynamics

Delirium is a major public health issue associated with considerable morbidity and mortality, particularly after surgery. While the neurobiology of delirium remains incompletely understood, emerging evidence suggests that cognition requires close proximity to a system state called criticality, which reflects a point of dynamic instability that allows for flexible access to a wide range of brain states. Deviations from criticality are associated with neurocognitive disorders, though the relationship between criticality and delirium has not been formally tested. This study tested the primary hypothesis that delirium in the postanesthesia care unit would be associated with deviations from criticality, based on surrogate electroencephalographic measures. As a secondary objective, the impact of caffeine was also tested on delirium incidence and criticality. To address these aims, we conducted a secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial that tested the effects of intraoperative caffeine on postoperative recovery in adults undergoing major surgery. In this substudy, whole-scalp (16-channel) electroencephalographic data were analyzed from a subset of trial participants (n = 55) to determine whether surrogate measures of neural criticality – (1) autocorrelation function of global alpha oscillations and (2) topography of phase relationships via phase lag entropy – were associated with delirium. These measures were analyzed in participants experiencing delirium in the postanesthesia care unit (compared to those without delirium) and in participants randomized to caffeine compared to placebo. Results demonstrated that autocorrelation function in the alpha band was significantly reduced in delirious participants, which is important given that alpha rhythms are postulated to play a vital role in consciousness. Moreover, participants randomized to caffeine demonstrated increased alpha autocorrelation function concurrent with reduced delirium incidence. Lastly, the anterior-posterior topography of phase relationships appeared most preserved in non-delirious participants and in those receiving caffeine. These data suggest that early postoperative delirium may reflect deviations from neural criticality, and caffeine may reduce delirium risk by shifting cortical dynamics toward criticality.

Pre-fracture Mobility Using Standardized Scale as an Early Indicator of High Health Risk in Patients with a Hip Fracture

Hip fracture in older adults is associated with poor prognosis. We tested the hypothesis that a single standardized measure, pre-fracture mobility, can be used as an early indicator of patients at high health risk after a hip fracture. Analysis of prospectively collected data of older adults admitted with a hip fracture between April-2009 and June-2019 in a single NHS hospital, UK. Pre-fracture mobility status (freely mobile, mobilising outdoors with one aid or with two aids, and limited to indoors), was used to predict length of stay (LOS) and mortality in hospital, and discharge destination. Among 3073 (2231 women, 842 men) admitted from their own home (mean ± SD age = 82.7 ± 9.3 yr), 159 died and 2914 survived to discharge: 1834 back to their home, 772 to rehabilitation, 66 to residential care, 141 to nursing care and 101 to unknown destinations. Compared with LOS of 15.9 ± 15.6 days in patients who mobilised freely before fracture (reference), those who were able to mobilise outdoors with one aid stayed 3.5 days, and those with two aids or confined to indoor mobility stayed one week longer in hospital. In-patient mortality was increased among patients who mobilised outdoors with two aids: OR = 2.1 (95%CI = 1.3–3.3), and those limited to indoors: OR = 2.1 (1.3–1.5). Finally, a change in residence on discharge was more likely in those who mobilised outdoors with two aids (OR = 1.8, 95%CI = 1.2–2.6), and those limited to indoors (OR = 1.9, 95%CI = 1.2–2.9). In conclusion, pre-fracture mobility may be a useful early indicator for identifying patients at increased risk of adverse outcomes after an acute hip fracture.

Clinical outcomes in patients admitted to hospital with cervical spine fractures or with hip fractures

Patients admitted with a cervical fracture are twice as likely to die within 30 days of injury than those with a hip fracture. However, guidelines for the management of cervical fractures are less available than for hip fractures. We hypothesise that outcomes may differ between these types of fractures. We analysed 1359 patients (406 men, 953 women) with mean age of 83.8 years (standard deviation = 8.7) admitted to a National Health Service hospital in 2013-2019 with a cervical (7.5%) or hip fracture (92.5%) of similar age. The association of cervical fracture (hip fracture as reference), hospital length of stay (LOS), co-morbidities, age and sex with outcomes (acute delirium, new pressure ulcer, and discharge to residential/nursing care) was assessed by stepwise multivariate logistic regression. Acute delirium without history of dementia was increased with cervical fractures: odds ratio (OR) = 2.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.3-4.7, age ≥ 80 years: OR = 3.5 (95% CI = 1.9-6.4), history of stroke: OR = 1.8 (95% CI = 1.0-3.1) and ischaemic heart disease: OR = 1.9 (95% CI = 1.1-3.6); pressure ulcers was increased with cervical fractures: OR = 10.9 (95% CI = 5.3-22.7), LOS of 2-3 weeks: OR = 3.0 (95% CI = 1.2-7.5) and LOS of ≥ 3 weeks: OR = 4.9, 95% CI = 2.2-11.0; and discharge to residential/nursing care was increased with cervical fractures: OR = 3.2 (95% CI = 1.4-7.0), LOS of ≥ 3 weeks: OR = 4.4 (95% CI = 2.5-7.6), dementia: OR = 2.7 (95% CI = 1.6-4.7), Parkinson's disease: OR = 3.4 (95% CI = 1.3-8.8), and age ≥ 80 years: OR = 2.7 (95% CI = 1.3-5.6). In conclusion, compared with hip fracture, cervical fracture is more likely to associate with acute delirium and pressure ulcers, and for discharge to residency of high level of care, independent of established risk factors.

The delirium screening tool 4AT in routine clinical practice: prediction of mortality, sensitivity and specificity

Aim

Investigate if 4AT score predicts 1 year mortality and explore the sensitivity and specificity of the 4AT when applied as part of a clinical routine.

Findings

4AT score is one of several clinical characteristics predicting 1 year mortality. The 4AT has reasonable sensitivity and specificity to detect delirium in a clinical routine setting.

Message

The 4AT seems to be a useful tool for delirium screening and may predict mortality.

Purpose

Delirium is common and associated with poor outcomes, partly due to underdetection. We investigated if the delirium screening tool 4 A’s test (4AT) score predicts 1 year mortality and explored the sensitivity and specificity of the 4AT when applied as part of a clinical routine.

Methods

Secondary analyses of a prospective study of 228 patients acutely admitted to a Medical Geriatric Ward. Physicians without formal training conducted the index test (the 4AT); a predefined cut-off ≥ 4 suggested delirium. Reference standard was delirium diagnosed by two geriatricians using the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders 5 (DSM-5). We calculated hazard ratios (HR) using Cox regression based on the groups 4AT = 0, 1–3, 4–7 and ≥ 8, first unadjusted, then adjusted for the covariates age, comorbidity, and personal activities of daily living. We calculated sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC).

Results

Mean age of patients was 86.6 years, 139 (61.0%) were female, 78 (34.2%) had DSM-5 delirium; of these, 56 had 4AT-delirium. 1 year mortality was 27.6% (63 patients). Compared to 4AT score 0, the group 4AT ≥ 8 had increased 1 year mortality (HR 2.86, 95% confidence interval 1.28–6.37, p = 0.010). The effect was reduced in multiadjusted analyses (HR 1.69, 95% confidence interval 0.70–4.07, p = 0.24). Sensitivity, specificity, and AUC were 0.72, 0.84, and 0.88, respectively.

Conclusions

4AT ≥ 8 indicates increased mortality, but the effect was reduced in multiadjusted analyses. 4AT had acceptable sensitivity and specificity when applied as a clinical routine.

Outcome of older hip fracture patients on anticoagulation: a comparison of vitamin K-antagonists and Factor Xa inhibitors

INTRODUCTION

Older hip fracture patients are still challenging in daily clinical practice. Due to the high prevalence of osteoporosis and atrial fibrillation in this age group, the number of fragility fracture patients under oral anticoagulation (OAC) increases. The outcome is still disappointing, short- and long-term mortality and morbidity is high. The impact of pre-existing OAC is not yet clear, especially regarding new OAC drugs like Factor Xa inhibitors (FXa). The purpose of our study was to compare the short-term outcome of older hip fracture patients, without OAC (controls), on Vitamin K antagonists (VKA) and on FXa.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study is a retrospective case-control study including patients older than 70 years who sustained hip fractures caused by an inadequate trauma and treated at a level 1 trauma center from February 2017 to June 2018. Patient's information was taken from patient's charts. 102 cases were analysed, 61 controls, 41 on OAC (15 on VKA and 26 on FXa). As outcome parameter we defined mortality, perioperative complications, bleeding, need of blood supplements, delay of surgery, length of stay, and a combined outcome parameter (mortality, myocardial infarction, stroke, thromboembolic events, blood preservations, re-vision surgery, major bleeding and decline of hemoglobin).

RESULTS

Eight patients died during hospital stay, in-hospital mortality was 7.8%. The highest mortality rate was found in patients on VKA (20%), compared to patients on FXa (3.8%) and controls (6.6%). However, mortality rate did not differ significantly within the groups. The combined endpoint was significantly more frequently seen in patients on OAC compared to controls (p = 0.006). No difference was observed between patients on VKA or FXa. Mean time to surgery and LOS was significantly longer in patients on OAC compared to controls. No significant differences were seen between VKA and FXa.

CONCLUSIONS

In our study OAC was significantly associated with worse outcome compared to controls. Marginal differences were observed between patients on FXa or VKA. Further studies involving a higher number of patients are necessary to confirm our results. At that time, some our results have to interpreted carefully and need confirmation.

LACE index predicts age-specific unplanned readmissions and mortality after hospital discharge

Background

The LACE index scoring tool (Length of stay, Acuity of admission, Co-morbidities and Emergency department visits) has been designed to predict hospital readmissions. We evaluated the ability of the LACE index to predict age-specific frequent admissions and mortality.

Methods

Analysis of prospectively collected data of alive-discharge episodes between 01/04/2017 and 31/03/2019 in an NHS hospital. Data on 14,878 men and 17,392 women of mean age 64.0 years, SD = 20.5, range 18.0–106.7 years were analysed. The association of the LACE index with frequency of all-cause readmissions within 28 days of discharge and over a 2-year period, and with all-cause mortality within 30 days or within 6 months after discharge from hospital were evaluated.

Results

Within LACE index scores of 0–4, 5–9 or ≥ 10, the proportions of readmission ≥ 2 times within 28 days of discharge were 0.1, 1.3 and 9.2% (χ² = 3070, p < 0.001) and over a 2-year period were 1.7, 4.8 and 19.1% (χ² = 3364, p < 0.001). Compared with a LACE index score of 0–4, a score ≥ 10 increased the risk (adjusted for age, sex and frequency of admissions) of death within 6 months of discharge by 6.8-fold (5.1–9.0, p < 0.001) among all ages, and most strongly in youngest individuals (18.0–49.9 years): adjusted odds ratio = 16.1 (5.7–45.8, p < 0.001). For those aged 50–59.9, 60–69.9, 70–79.9 and ≥ 80 years, odds ratios reduced progressively to 9.6, 7.7, 5.1 and 2.3, respectively. Similar patterns were observed for the association of LACE index with mortality within 30 days of hospital discharge.

Conclusions

The LACE index predicts short-term and long-term frequent admissions and short-term and medium-term mortality, most pronounced among younger individuals, after hospital discharge.

Increased Association With Malnutrition and Malnourishment in Older Adults Admitted With Hip Fractures Who Have Cognitive Impairment and Delirium, as Assessed by 4AT

BACKGROUND

The Royal College of Physicians recently introduced the 4AT (Alertness, Abbreviated Mental Test-4, Attention, and Acute change or fluctuating course) for screening cognitive impairment and delirium. Here, we examined the association of the 4AT with nutrition status in patients admitted to a hospital with hip fractures between January 1, 2016, and June 6, 2019.

METHODS

Nutrition status was assessed using the Malnutrition Universal Screening Tool, and the 4AT was assessed within 1 day after hip surgery. χ² Tests and logistic regression were conducted to assess the association of nutrition status with 4AT scores, adjusted for age and sex.

RESULTS

From 1082 patients aged 60-103 years, categorized into 4AT scores of 0, 1-3, or ≥4, the prevalence of malnutrition risk was 15.5%, 27.3%, and 39.6% and malnourishment was 4.1%, 13.2%, and 11.3%, respectively. Compared with the 4AT = 0 cohort, a 4AT score = 1-3 was associated with an increased malnutrition risk (odds ratio [OR], 2.3; 95% CI, 1.6-3.1) or malnourishment (OR, 3.6; 95% CI, 2.1-6.3). For a 4AT score ≥4, corresponding ORs were 4.0 (95% CI, 2.8-5.9) and 3.6 (95% CI, 1.9-6.8). Overall, there was a significant positive association: as 4AT scores increased, so did malnutrition risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Among older adults admitted with hip fractures, high 4AT scores, which are suggestive of cognitive impairment and delirium, identified patients at increased malnutrition risk. These findings lend further support for the use of 4AT to identify patients who are at increased health risk.

Prevalence and consequences of malnutrition and malnourishment in older individuals admitted to hospital with a hip fracture

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Major causes of hip fractures are osteoporosis and falls, both of which are determined by nutrition. Information on the nutritional status of patients admitted to hospital with a hip fracture is lacking. In this study, we assessed determinants and adverse outcomes associated with malnutrition and malnourishment.

METHODS

Nutritional status, assessed using the Malnutrition Universal Screening Tool protocol, was compared to age and residency prior to admission, and outcomes during hospital stay and at discharge.

RESULTS

A total of 1239 patients admitted with a hip fracture (349 men, 890 women), aged 60-100 years. Compared with well-nourished individuals, the prevalences of malnutrition risk or malnourishment were higher in older age groups and those from residential or nursing care. Those with risk of malnutrition or malnourishment stayed in hospital longer by 3.0 days (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.5-4.5 days; p < 0.001) and 3.1 days (95% CI, 0.7-5.5 days; p = 0.011), respectively. Compared with the well-nourished group, malnourished individuals had increased: (1) risk for failure to mobilise within 1 day of surgery (rates = 17.9 versus 27.0%; odds ratio (OR) = 1.6 (95% CI, 1.0-2.7), p = 0.045); (2) pressure ulcers (rates = 1.0% versus 5.0%; OR = 5.5 (95% CI, 1.8-17.1), p = 0.006); (3) in-patient mortality (rates = 4.5% versus 10.1%; OR = 2.3 (95% CI, 1.1-4.8) p = 0.033) and (4) discharge to residential/nursing care: rates = 4.3% versus 11.1%; OR = 2.8 (95% CI, 1.2-6.6), p = 0.022.

CONCLUSIONS

Inadequate nutrition is common in patients admitted to hospital with a hip fracture, which in turn predisposes them to a number of complications. More research on nutritional support should be directed to this group to prevent or minimise hip fractures.

The Ability of the Nottingham Hip Fracture Score to Predict Mobility, Length of Stay and Mortality in Hospital, and Discharge Destination in Patients Admitted with a Hip Fracture

The Nottingham Hip Fracture Score (NHFS) has been developed for predicting 30-day and 1-year mortality after hip fracture. We hypothesise that NHFS may also predict other adverse events. Data from 666 patients (190 men, 476 women), aged 60.2-103.4 years, admitted with a hip fracture to a single centre from 1/10/2015 and 7/12/2017 were analysed. The ability of NHFS to predict mobility within 1 day after surgery, length of stay (LOS) find mortality, and discharge destination was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curves and two-graph plots. The area under the curve (95% confidence interval [CI]) for predicting mortality was 67.4% (58.4-76.4%), prolonged LOS was 59.0% (54.0-64.0%), discharge to residential/nursing care was 62.3% (54.0-71.5%), and any two of failure to mobilise, prolonged LOS or discharge to residential/nursing care was 64.8% (59.0-70.6%). NHFS thresholds at 4 and 7 corresponding to the lower and upper limits of intermediate range where sensitivity and specificity equal 90% were identified for mortality and prolonged LOS, and 4 and 6 for discharge to residential/nursing care, which were used to create three risk categories. Compared with the low risk group (NHFS = 0-4), the high risk group (NHFS = 7-10 or 6-10) had increased risk of in-patient mortality: rates = 2.0% versus 7.1%, OR (95% CI) = 3.8 (1.5-9.9), failure to mobilise within 1 day of surgery: rates = 18.9% versus 28.3%, OR = 1.7 (1.0-2.8), prolonged LOS (> 17 days): rates = 20.3% versus 33.9%, OR = 2.2 (1.3-3.3), discharge to residential/nursing care: rates = 4.5% vs 12.3%, OR = 3.0 (1.4-6.4), and any two of failure to mobilise, prolonged LOS or discharge to residential/nursing care: rates = 10.5% versus 28.6%, 3.4 (95% CI 1.9-6.0), and stayed 4.1 days (1.5-6.7 days) longer in hospital. High NHFS associates with increased risk of mortality, prolonged LOS and discharge to residential/nursing care, lending further support for its use to identify adverse events.