Trends in the mortality, incidence, and disability-adjusted life-years of intestinal obstruction and paralytic ileus: observational study of the Global Burden of Disease database

Dual-modality ultrasound/photoacoustic tomography for mapping tissue oxygen saturation distribution in intestinal strangulation

The strangulation of intestinal obstruction (IO) presents challenges in the assessment of disease progression and surgical decision-making. Intraoperatively, an accurate evaluation of the status of the IO is critical for determining the extent of surgical resection. Dual-modality ultrasound/photoacoustic tomography (US/PAT) imaging has the potential to provide spatially resolved tissue oxygen saturation (SO₂), serving as a valuable marker for IO diagnosis. In this study, US/PAT was utilized for imaging rat models of IO, with the data used for reconstruction, statistical analysis, and distribution evaluation. Results showed that SO₂ decreased with increasing strangulation severity. Notably, the kurtosis and skewness of the SO₂ distribution outperformed SO₂ itself in diagnosis, as they more effectively capture the heterogeneity of SO₂ distribution. Kurtosis reflects distribution concentration, while skewness measures asymmetry, both achieving areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.969. In conclusion, US/PAT offers a rapid and convenient method for assessing strangulation in IO.

Global, regional, and national burden of disease analysis on paralytic ileus and intestinal obstruction in adults aged 65 and over from 1990 to 2021, with projections for 2030: a Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 analysis

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the burden and trends of paralytic ileus and bowel obstruction in individuals aged ≥ 65 years, offering insights into prevention, treatment, and healthcare policy.

METHODS

Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 were used to analyze paralytic ileus and intestinal obstruction by demographics, year, country/region, and Socio-Demographic Index (SDI). The statistical methods included Joinpoint regression, decomposition analysis, and Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort modeling.

RESULTS

In 2021, the global age-standardized incidence of paralytic ileus and intestinal obstruction among the elderly was 643.45 cases per 100,000 individuals. The corresponding prevalence was 24.05 per 100,000 individuals, with disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of 294.01 per 100,000 person-years and a mortality rate of 20.55 per 100,000 individuals. Between 1990 and 2021, the age-standardized incidence and prevalence of paralytic ileus and intestinal obstruction in the elderly gradually increased, while age-standardized DALYs and mortality consistently declined. Despite similar trends observed across both genders, the disease burden increased with age and was more pronounced in males than in females. Furthermore, the age-standardized incidence and prevalence of these conditions increased with SDI, whereas mortality and DALYs decreased. By 2030, the incidence and prevalence are expected to continue increasing, whereas mortality and DALYs are expected to decrease.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the consistent decrease in mortality and DALYs associated with paralytic ileus and bowel obstruction in the elderly population aged ≥ 65 years, their incidence and prevalence continue to increase annually. This underscores the importance of improving preventive measures, early screening, and treatment efforts to address this pressing public health challenge.

The global, regional, and national burden of paralytic ileus and intestinal obstruction, 1990 to 2021: a cross-sectional analysis from the 2021 global burden of disease study

BACKGROUND

Paralytic ileus and intestinal obstruction (PIAIO) pose significant public health concerns, given the notable scarcity of current research on their disease burden and trends. This study evaluated the global burden of PIAIO from 1990 to 2021 and forecasted their future burden over the next three decades.

METHODS

Using the latest data from Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021, we obtained the prevalence, incidence, mortality and disability adjusted life years (DALYs) data for these conditions, along with their corresponding age-standardized rate (ASR) indicators. Data were stratified by time, location, age and socio-demographic index (SDI). This study employed comprehensive analyses over 32 years (1990-2021) to reveal trends in PIAIO, using advanced statistical methods including estimated Annual percentage change (EAPC), Joinpoint regression, health inequity analysis (slope index and concentration index), decomposition analysis, frontier analysis and predictive modeling (Nordpred method).

RESULTS

In 2021, the global age-standardized rates for prevalence (ASPR), incidence (ASIR), mortality (ASMR), and DALYs (ASDR) were 7.38 (95%UI: 7.12-7.65), 191.92 (95%UI: 185.41-198.80), 2.88 (95%UI: 2.52-3.22), and 84.49 (95%UI: 72.58-94.16), respectively. High SDI regions exhibited high ASPR, high ASIR, but low ASDR and ASMR. Males generally exhibited higher prevalence and incidence rates across most age groups, while females showed higher mortality and DALY rates in specific age brackets. The epidemiological indicators of the age group under 5 years old and the elderly are relatively high. The joinpoint regression analysis indicated fluctuating increases in ASPR and ASIR, and nearly linear declines in ASMR and ASDR over the past 32 years. Health inequity analyses of the slope indices of ASPR and ASIR suggested an exacerbation of inequality in certain health indicators over the past 32 years, while those of ASMR and ASDR indicate potential improvements in inequality in certain health outcomes. Concentration index analysis confirms a significant reduction in inequality for ASPR and ASIR, with marginal changes for ASMR and ASDR, highlighting persistent health disparities in certain areas despite overall improvements. The decomposition analysis of global and across SDI regions indicated that population and aging have increased the DALYs burden, while epidemiological changes have reduced the disease burden. The frontier analysis suggested greater potential for improvement in low SDI regions. Nordpred predictive analysis forecasts a slight increase in ASPR and ASIR by 2050, with a significant in ASMR.

CONCLUSION

PIAIO represent substantial global health and economic challenges. Anticipated population growth and aging will exacerbate burdens, highlighting the urgency of addressing critical need for targeted prevention and control strategies. Health system managers should develop robust plans to mitigate these escalating health challenges.

Association between preoperative systemic immune inflammation index and postoperative sepsis in patients with intestinal obstruction: A retrospective observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

Sepsis is a severe complication that results in increased morbidity and mortality after intestinal obstruction surgery. This study examined the role of preoperative systemic immune inflammation index (SII) for postoperative sepsis in intestinal obstruction patients.

METHODS

Data on patients who underwent intestinal obstruction surgery were collected. SII was determined and separated into two groups (≤1792.19 and >1792.19) according to the optimal cut-off value of SII for postoperative sepsis. The odds ratio (OR) is calculated for the correlation between SII and postoperative sepsis. Additional analyses were used to estimate the robustness of SII.

RESULTS

A total of 371 intestinal obstruction patients undergoing surgery were included in the final cohort, and 60 (16.17%) patients developed postoperative sepsis. Patients with an SII ＞1792.19 had a significantly higher risk for developing postoperative sepsis after multivariable adjustment [adjusted odds ratio = 2.12, 95% confidence interval: [1.02-4.40]]. The analysis of interaction showed no correlation between the preoperative SII and postoperative sepsis regarding age, hypertension, American Society of Anesthesiologists classification, blood loss, albumin, hemoglobin, creatinine, and leukocyte (all interactions p > .05). In subgroup analysis, all statistically significant subgroups showed that SII was a risk factor for postoperative sepsis (all p < .05). The analyses of subgroups and interactions revealed that the interaction effect of a preoperative SII ＞1792.19 and postoperative sepsis remained significant. A sensitivity analysis confirmed the robustness of the results.

CONCLUSIONS

A preoperative SII ＞ 1792.19 was a risk factor for postoperative sepsis in patients undergoing intestinal obstruction surgery.