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Hood RB, Norris AH, Shoben A, Miller WC, Harris RE, Pomeroy LW. Forecasting Hepatitis C Virus Status for Children in the United States: A Modeling Study. Clin Infect Dis 2024; 79:443-450. [PMID: 38630853 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciae157] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2023] [Indexed: 04/19/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Virtually all cases of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in children in the United States occur through vertical transmission, but it is unknown how many children are infected. Cases of maternal HCV infection have increased in the United States, which may increase the number of children vertically infected with HCV. Infection has long-term consequences for a child's health, but treatment options are now available for children ≥3 years old. Reducing HCV infections in adults could decrease HCV infections in children. METHODS Using a stochastic compartmental model, we forecasted incidence of HCV infections in children in the United States from 2022 through 2027. The model considered vertical transmission to children <13 years old and horizontal transmission among individuals 13-49 years old. We obtained model parameters and initial conditions from the literature and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's 2021 Viral Hepatitis Surveillance Report. RESULTS Model simulations assuming direct-acting antiviral treatment for children forecasted that the number of acutely infected children would decrease slightly and the number of chronically infected children would decrease even more. Alone, treatment and early screening in individuals 13-49 years old reduced the number of forecasted cases in children and, together, these policy interventions were even more effective. CONCLUSIONS Based on our simulations, acute and chronic cases of HCV infection are remaining constant or slightly decreasing in the United States. Improving early screening and increasing access to treatment in adults may be an effective strategy for reducing the number of HCV infected children in the United States.
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Affiliation(s)
- Robert B Hood
- Division of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, USA
- Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Alison H Norris
- Division of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, USA
| | - Abigail Shoben
- Division of Biostatistics, College of Public Health, Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, USA
| | - William C Miller
- Division of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, USA
| | - Randall E Harris
- Division of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, USA
| | - Laura W Pomeroy
- Division of Environmental Health Sciences, College of Public Health, Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, USA
- Translational Data Analytics Institute, Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, USA
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Varley CD, Lowy E, Cartwright EJ, Morgan TR, Ross DB, Rozenberg-Ben-Dror K, Beste LA, Maier MM. Success of the US Veterans Health Administration's Hepatitis C Virus Care Continuum in the Direct-acting Antiviral Era. Clin Infect Dis 2024; 78:1571-1579. [PMID: 38279939 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciae025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/24/2023] [Revised: 11/17/2023] [Accepted: 01/23/2024] [Indexed: 01/29/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Estimated hepatitis C prevalence within the Veterans Health Administration is higher than the general population and is a risk factor for advanced liver disease and subsequent complications. We describe the hepatitis C care continuum within the Veterans Health Administration 1 January 2014 to 31 December 2022. METHODS We included individuals in Veterans Health Administration care 2021-2022 who were eligible for direct-acting antiviral treatment 1 January 2014 to 31 December 2022. We evaluated the proportion of Veterans who progressed through each step of the hepatitis C care continuum, and identified factors associated with initiating direct-acting antivirals, achieving sustained virologic response, and repeat hepatitis C viremia. RESULTS We identified 133 732 Veterans with hepatitis C viremia. Hepatitis C treatment was initiated in 107 134 (80.1%), with sustained virologic response achieved in 98 136 (91.6%). In those who achieved sustained virologic response, 1097 (1.1%) had repeat viremia and 579 (52.8%) were retreated for hepatitis C. Veterans of younger ages were less likely to initiate treatment and achieve sustained virologic response, and more likely to have repeat viremia. Stimulant use and unstable housing were negatively associated with each step of the hepatitis C care continuum. CONCLUSIONS The Veterans Health Administration has treated 80% of Veterans with hepatitis C in care 2021-2022 and achieved sustained virologic response in more than 90% of those treated. Repeat viremia is rare and is associated with younger age, unstable housing, opioid use, and stimulant use. Ongoing efforts are needed to reach younger Veterans, and Veterans with unstable housing or substance use disorders.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cara D Varley
- Department of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon, USA
- School of Public Health, Oregon Health & Science University-Portland State University, Portland, Oregon, USA
| | - Elliott Lowy
- Health Systems Research, Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Healthcare System, Seattle, Washington, USA
- Department of Health Systems and Population Health, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Emily J Cartwright
- Department of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
- Department of Medicine, Veteran Affairs Atlanta Health Care System, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Timothy R Morgan
- Gastroenterology Section, Veterans Affairs Long Beach Healthcare System, Long Beach, California, USA
| | - David B Ross
- Department of Veterans Affairs, HIV, Hepatitis, and Public Health Pathogens Programs, Washington, District of Columbia, USA
| | | | - Lauren A Beste
- Division of General Internal Medicine, Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Healthcare System, Seattle, Washington, USA
| | - Marissa M Maier
- Department of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon, USA
- Infectious Diseases Section, Veteran Affairs Portland Health Care System, Portland, Oregon, USA
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Hood RB, Miller WC, Shoben A, Harris RE, Norris AH. Maternal hepatitis C virus infection and three adverse maternal outcomes in the United States. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0291994. [PMID: 37851609 PMCID: PMC10584094 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0291994] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2023] [Accepted: 09/09/2023] [Indexed: 10/20/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hepatitis Virus C (HCV) infection rates have trended upwards among pregnant people in the USA since 2009. Existing evidence about HCV infections and maternal outcomes is limited; therefore, we used birth certificate data to investigate the association between HCV infection and maternal health outcomes. METHODS We used the 2017 US birth certificate dataset (a cross-section of 1.4 million birth records) to assess the association between prevalent HCV infection and gestational diabetes, gestational hypertension, and eclampsia. Potential confounding variables included prenatal care, age, education, smoking, presence of sexually transmitted infections (STIs), body mass index (BMI), and weight gain during pregnancy. We restricted our analysis to only women with a first singleton pregnancy. Odds ratios were estimated by logistic regression models and separate models were tested for white and Black women. RESULTS Only 0.31% of the women in our sample were infected with HCV (n = 4412). In an unadjusted model, we observed a modest significant protective association between HCV infection and gestational diabetes (Odds ratio [OR]: 0.83; 95% CI: 0.76-0.96); but this was attenuated with adjustment for confounding variables (Adjusted odds ratio [AOR]: 0.88; 95% CI: 0.76, 1.02). There was no association between HCV and gestational hypertension (AOR: 1.03; 95% CI: 0.91, 1.16) or eclampsia (AOR: 1.15; 95% CI: 0.69, 1.93). Results from the race stratified models were similar to the non-stratified summary models. CONCLUSION We observed no statistically significant associations between maternal HCV infection with maternal health outcomes. Although, our analysis did indicate that HCV may lower the risk of gestational diabetes, this may be attributable to confounding. Studies utilizing more accurately measured HCV infection including those collecting type and timing of testing, and timing of infection are warranted to ensure HCV does not adversely impact maternal and/or fetal health. Particularly in the absence of recommended therapy for HCV during pregnancy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Robert B. Hood
- Division of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, United States of America
| | - William C. Miller
- Division of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, United States of America
| | - Abigail Shoben
- Division of Biostatistics, College of Public Health, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, United States of America
| | - Randall E. Harris
- Division of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, United States of America
| | - Alison H. Norris
- Division of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, United States of America
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Hood RB, Miller WC, Shoben A, Harris RE, Norris AH. Maternal Hepatitis C Virus Infection and Adverse Newborn Outcomes in the US. Matern Child Health J 2023:10.1007/s10995-023-03666-9. [PMID: 37212945 DOI: 10.1007/s10995-023-03666-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/01/2023] [Indexed: 05/23/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES We investigated the relationship between maternal hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and infant health. Furthermore, we evaluated racial disparities with these associations. METHODS Using 2017 US birth certificate data, we investigated the association between maternal HCV infection and infant birthweight, preterm birth, and Apgar score. We used unadjusted and adjusted linear regression and logistic regression models. Models were adjusted for use of prenatal care, maternal age, maternal education, maternal smoking status, and the presence of other sexually transmitted infections. We stratified the models by race to describe the experiences of White and Black women separately. RESULTS Maternal HCV infection was associated with reduced infant birthweight on average by 42.0 g (95% CI: -58.81, -25.30) for women of all races, 64.6 g (95% CI: -81.91, -47.26) for White women and 80.3 g (95% CI: -162.48, 1.93) for Black women. Women with maternal HCV infection had increased odds of having a preterm birth of 1.06 (95% CI: 0.96, 1.17) for women of all races, 1.06 (95% CI: 0.96, 1.18) for White women and 1.35 (95% CI: 0.93, 1.97) for Black women. Overall, women with maternal HCV infection had increased odds 1.26 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.55) of having a low/intermediate Apgar score; White and Black women with HCV infection had similarly increased odds of an infant with low/intermediate Apgar score in a stratified analysis: 1.23 (95% CI: 0.98, 1.53) for White women and 1.24 (95% CI: 0.51, 3.02) for Black women. CONCLUSIONS Maternal HCV infection was associated with lower infant birthweight and higher odds of having a low/intermediate Apgar score. Given the potential for residual confounding, these results should be interpreted with caution.
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Affiliation(s)
- Robert B Hood
- College of Public Health Division of Epidemiology, The Ohio State University, 1841 Neil Ave, Cunz Hall, Columbus, OH, 43235, USA.
| | - William C Miller
- College of Public Health Division of Epidemiology, The Ohio State University, 1841 Neil Ave, Cunz Hall, Columbus, OH, 43235, USA
| | - Abigail Shoben
- College of Public Health Division of Biostatistics, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA
| | - Randall E Harris
- College of Public Health Division of Epidemiology, The Ohio State University, 1841 Neil Ave, Cunz Hall, Columbus, OH, 43235, USA
| | - Alison H Norris
- College of Public Health Division of Epidemiology, The Ohio State University, 1841 Neil Ave, Cunz Hall, Columbus, OH, 43235, USA
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Yu ML, Wang CY, Lee MH, Ou HY, Cheng PN, Tu ST, Huang JF, Chen JF, Hu TH, Hsu CC, Kao JH, Chen CJ, Lin HC, Huang CN. TASL, TADE, and DAROC consensus for the screening and management of hepatitis C in patients with diabetes. J Formos Med Assoc 2023; 122:202-220. [PMID: 36750398 DOI: 10.1016/j.jfma.2023.01.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/08/2022] [Revised: 01/19/2023] [Accepted: 01/21/2023] [Indexed: 02/09/2023] Open
Abstract
Diabetes mellitus (DM) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are prevalent diseases globally and emerging evidence demonstrates the bidirectional association between the two diseases. Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for HCV have a high treatment success rate and can significantly reduce the risks of short and long-term complications of HCV infection. However, despite the evidence of the association between diabetes and HCV and the benefits of anti-HCV treatment, previously published guidelines did not focus on the universal HCV screening for patients with diabetes and their subsequent management once confirmed as having HCV viremia. Nonetheless, screening for HCV among patients with diabetes will contribute to the eradication of HCV infection. Thus, the three major Taiwan medical associations of diabetes and liver diseases endorsed a total of 14 experts in the fields of gastroenterology, hepatology, diabetology, and epidemiology to convene and formulate a consensus statement on HCV screening and management among patients with diabetes. Based on recent studies and guidelines as well as from real-world clinical experiences, the Taiwan experts reached a consensus that provides a straightforward approach to HCV screening, treatment, and monitoring of patients with diabetes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ming-Lung Yu
- Hepatobiliary Division, Department of Internal Medicine and Hepatitis Center, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan; School of Medicine, College of Medicine and Center of Excellence for Metabolic Associated Fatty Liver Disease, National Sun Yat-sen University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Chih-Yuan Wang
- Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Mei-Hsuan Lee
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Horng-Yih Ou
- Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, National Cheng-Kung University Medical College and Hospital, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Pin-Nan Cheng
- Department of Internal Medicine, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan
| | - Shih-Te Tu
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Changhua Christian Hospital, Changhua, Taiwan
| | - Jee-Fu Huang
- Hepatobiliary Division, Department of Internal Medicine and Hepatitis Center, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan; Center for Cancer Research, Center for Liquid Biopsy, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Jung-Fu Chen
- Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung Chang Gung Hospital, Chang Gung University College of Medicine, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Tsung-Hui Hu
- Department of Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital and Chang Gung University College of Medicine, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Chih-Cheng Hsu
- Institute of Population Health Sciences, National Health Research Institutes, Zhunan, Miaoli, Taiwan
| | - Jia-Horng Kao
- Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Chien-Jen Chen
- Genomics Research Center, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Han-Chieh Lin
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
| | - Chien-Ning Huang
- Department of Internal Medicine, Chung Shan Medical University Hospital, Institute of Medicine, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan.
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Jiang X, Diaby V, Vouri SM, Lo-Ciganic W, Parker RL, Wang W, Chang SH, Wilson DL, Henry L, Park H. Economic Impact of Universal Hepatitis C Virus Testing for Middle-Aged Adults Who Inject Drugs. Am J Prev Med 2023; 64:96-104. [PMID: 36257884 PMCID: PMC10074824 DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2022.08.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/09/2022] [Revised: 08/02/2022] [Accepted: 08/24/2022] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The objective of this study was to estimate the economic impact of providing universal hepatitis C virus testing in commercially insured middle-aged persons who inject drugs in the U.S. METHODS This study developed a dynamic 10-year economic model to project the clinical and economic outcomes associated with hepatitis C virus testing among middle-aged adult persons who inject drugs, from a payer's perspective. Costs related to hepatitis C virus testing, direct-acting antiviral, and liver-related outcomes between the (1) current hepatitis C virus testing rate (i.e., 8%) and (2) universal hepatitis C virus testing rate (i.e., 100%) were compared. Among patients testing positive, 21% of those without cirrhosis and 48% of those with cirrhosis were assumed to initiate direct-acting antivirals. Sensitivity analyses were performed to identify variables (e.g., direct-acting antiviral drug costs, hepatitis C virus testing costs, direct-acting antiviral treatment rate) influencing this study's conclusion. RESULTS The model predicts that during the 10-year period, universal hepatitis C virus testing will cost an additional $242 per person who injects drugs to the payers' healthcare budgets compared with the current scenario. Sensitivity analyses showed values ranging from $1,656 additional costs to $1,085 cost savings across all varied parameters and scenarios. A total of 80% of the current direct-acting antiviral costs indicated that cost savings will be $383 per person who injects drugs. CONCLUSIONS Universal hepatitis C virus testing among persons who inject drugs would not achieve cost savings within 10 years, with the cost of direct-acting antivirals contributing the most to the spending. To promote universal hepatitis C virus testing among persons who inject drugs, decreasing direct-acting antiviral costs and sustainable funding streams for hepatitis C virus testing should be considered.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xinyi Jiang
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Vakaramoko Diaby
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida; Center for Drug Evaluation and Safety (CoDES), University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Scott Martin Vouri
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida; Center for Drug Evaluation and Safety (CoDES), University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Weihsuan Lo-Ciganic
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida; Center for Drug Evaluation and Safety (CoDES), University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Robert L Parker
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Florida College of Public Health and Health Professions & College of Medicine, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Wei Wang
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Shao-Hsuan Chang
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Debbie L Wilson
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Linda Henry
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Haesuk Park
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida; Center for Drug Evaluation and Safety (CoDES), University of Florida College of Pharmacy, Gainesville, Florida.
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Country versus pharmaceutical company interests for hepatitis C treatment. Health Care Manag Sci 2022; 25:725-749. [PMID: 36001218 PMCID: PMC9399601 DOI: 10.1007/s10729-022-09607-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/20/2020] [Accepted: 07/06/2022] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
Abstract
Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is one of the leading causes of liver disease and is responsible for massive health and economic burden worldwide. The disease is asymptomatic in its early stages, but it can progress over time to fatal end-stage liver disease. Thus, the majority of individuals infected with HCV are unaware of their chronic condition. Recent treatment options for HCV can completely cure the infection but are costly. We developed a game model between a pharmaceutical company (PC) and a country striving to maximize its citizens' utility. First, the PC determines the price of HCV treatment; then, the country responds with corresponding screening and treatment strategies. We employed an analytical framework to calculate the utility of the players for each selected strategy. Calibrated to detailed HCV data from Israel, we found that the PC will gain higher revenue by offering a quantity discount rather than using standard fixed pricing per treatment, by indirectly forcing the country to conduct more screening than it desired. By contrast, risk-sharing agreements, in which the country pays only for successful treatments are beneficial for the country. Our findings underscore that policy makers worldwide should prudently consider recent offers by PCs to increase screening either directly, via covering HCV screening, or indirectly, by providing discounts following a predetermined volume of sales. More broadly, our approach is applicable in other healthcare settings where screening is essential to determine treatment strategies.
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Community pharmacist engagement in HIV and HCV prevention: Current practices and potential for service uptake. EXPLORATORY RESEARCH IN CLINICAL AND SOCIAL PHARMACY 2021; 4:100088. [PMID: 35479840 PMCID: PMC9029914 DOI: 10.1016/j.rcsop.2021.100088] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/29/2021] [Revised: 10/10/2021] [Accepted: 10/25/2021] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Objective Methods Results Conclusions Pharmacists are largely willing to help people who need HIV/HCV prevention services. Perception of HIV/HCV prevention fit with pharmacist professional identity varies. Cognitive HIV/HCV prevention services are preferred over hands-on clinical services. Pharmacists often engage in gatekeeping to limit sales of non-prescription syringes. Willingness to sell syringes potentially hinges on minimal contact with requestors.
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Jiang X, Parker RL, Vouri SM, Lo-Ciganic W, Diaby V, Henry L, Park H. Cascade of Hepatitis C Virus Care Among Patients With Substance Use Disorders. Am J Prev Med 2021; 61:576-584. [PMID: 34210584 PMCID: PMC8455419 DOI: 10.1016/j.amepre.2021.04.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/24/2020] [Revised: 04/02/2021] [Accepted: 04/07/2021] [Indexed: 01/02/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Hepatitis C virus testing is recommended for people at high risk for infection, including those with substance use disorders. Little is known about the cascade of hepatitis C virus care (including testing, diagnosis, and treatments) among patients with substance use disorders in real-world clinical practice. This study aims to characterize the hepatitis C virus cascade of care and identify the factors associated with hepatitis C virus testing and diagnosis among Florida Medicaid beneficiaries with substance use disorders. METHODS A retrospective cohort analysis of Florida Medicaid data (2013-2018) was conducted in 2020 for patients aged 18-64 years with newly diagnosed substance use disorders (year 2012 was used to ascertain 1-year previous enrollment). A generalized estimating equation identified the factors associated with hepatitis C virus testing; a multivariable logistic model identified the factors associated with hepatitis C virus diagnosis. RESULTS Of the 156,770 patients with substance use disorders, 18% were tested for hepatitis C virus at least once. Among the tested patients, 8% had hepatitis C virus diagnoses. Among the 2,177 patients having a hepatitis C virus diagnosis, 11% initiated hepatitis C virus treatments, and 96% of them completed the hepatitis C virus treatments. Factors associated with being less likely to receive hepatitis C virus testing included being male (AOR=0.73, 95% CI=0.71, 0.75) and White (AOR=0.85, 95% CI=0.83, 0.87), whereas individuals who were male (AOR=1.49, 95% CI=1.35, 1.66) and White (AOR=2.71, 95% CI=2.38, 3.08) were more likely to be diagnosed with hepatitis C virus. The odds of receiving hepatitis C virus testing significantly increased annually (AOR=1.06, 95% CI=1.05, 1.07). CONCLUSIONS Future studies are warranted to investigate the barriers to access hepatitis C virus testing and treatment among Florida Medicaid beneficiaries with substance use disorders, especially for White male individuals.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xinyi Jiang
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Robert L Parker
- Department of Biostatistics, College of Public Health and Health Professions & College of Medicine, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Scott Martin Vouri
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida; Center for Drug Evaluation and Safety, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Weihsuan Lo-Ciganic
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida; Center for Drug Evaluation and Safety, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Vakaramoko Diaby
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida; Center for Drug Evaluation and Safety, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Linda Henry
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida
| | - Haesuk Park
- Department of Pharmaceutical Outcomes & Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida; Center for Drug Evaluation and Safety, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida.
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Blake A, Smith JE. Modeling Hepatitis C Elimination Among People Who Inject Drugs in New Hampshire. JAMA Netw Open 2021; 4:e2119092. [PMID: 34342652 PMCID: PMC8335578 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.19092] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/17/2020] [Accepted: 05/27/2021] [Indexed: 12/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Importance The success of direct-acting antiviral therapies for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection led the World Health Organization to set elimination targets by 2030. For the United States to achieve these benchmarks, public health responses must target high-risk populations, such as people who inject drugs (PWID), a group with high rates of HCV incidence and low rates of treatment uptake. Objective To evaluate potential improvements in the HCV care cascade among PWID, focusing on improved testing, treatment uptake, and access to harm reduction. Design, Setting, and Participants This decision analytic model used a differential equation-based dynamic transmission model based on data from New Hampshire, an illustrative state with a large number of PWID and limited HCV treatment infrastructure. Surveillance data through 2020 was used for model parameterization, and the final analysis was conducted in May 2021. Main Outcomes and Measures Model forecasts of chronic HCV cases and advanced-stage HCV outcomes from 2022 to 2045. Results A total of 6 scenarios were tested: (1) the base case, (2) improved harm reduction, (3) improved testing, (4) improved treatment, (5) improved testing and treatment, and (6) improved testing, treatment, and harm reduction. All scenarios with improved testing, treatment uptake, and/or access to harm reduction were associated with decreases in forecasted HCV prevalence and HCV-associated mortality compared with the base case. Improving harm reduction, testing, and treatment individually were forecast to reduce prevalence of HCV in 2045 from 69.7% in the base case to 62.8%, 45.7%, and 35.5%, respectively. Combining treatment and testing improvements was associated with a 2045 prevalence of 0.3%; adding harm reduction improvements was associated with further reductions in prevalence forecasts (to 0.2%), with fewer total treatments (10 960 vs 13 219 from 2022-2045). Conclusions and Relevance In this modeling study, no single intervention was projected to achieve World Health Organization HCV elimination targets. Scenarios with improvements in both testing and treatment were associated with a prevalence of less than 3% by 2030 and achieved elimination targets. Adding improvements in harm reduction was associated with faster reductions in prevalence and fewer treatments.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew Blake
- Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - James E. Smith
- Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth, Hanover, New Hampshire
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11
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Ejtehadi F, Farahvashi P, Shamsaeefar A, Niknam R, Sivandzadeh GR, Aminlari L, Motazedian N, Kazemi K, Nikoupour H, Nikeghbalian S, Eghlimi H, Taghavi A, Fattahi M, Bagheri Lankarani K, Malek-Hosseini SA. Clinical Course and Outcome of Liver Transplantation in Patients with Hepatitis C in Iran. HEPATITIS MONTHLY 2021; 21. [DOI: 10.5812/hepatmon.108405] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/13/2023]
Abstract
Background: Hepatitis C is one of the most common causes of end-stage liver disease and liver transplant worldwide. In recent years, with the rapid advances in the treatment of hepatitis C by direct-acting antiviral drugs (DAAs), the clinical course of the disease as well as liver transplantation have had significant improvement. Also, DAAs have completely replaced interferon-based regimens in the treatment and prevention of HCV recurrence after liver transplant. Objectives: This is the first study that aimed to investigate the clinical course of liver transplantation in patients with hepatitis C in Iran. Methods: This retrospective study was conducted on patients with HCV liver transplantation within five years (2012 - 2017) with the age range of 18 to 65 years at Shiraz Organ Transplant Center. All demographic and clinical data were recorded. Pre-transplant viral load, disease recurrence, graft rejection, and mortality rate were the most important indices in this study. Results: Among 55 transplant patients, 49% had received hepatitis C treatment before liver transplantation and interferon-based regimens were more prevalent. Besides, HCV genotype 3, followed by genotype 1, was the most prevalent one. A liver biopsy was performed in patients with elevated liver enzyme levels. The numbers of patients with HCV recurrence at 2, 6, 12, and 24-month intervals were three, two, zero, and two patients, respectively. At these time intervals, eight, eight, one, and three cases of acute graft rejection were found, respectively. Eight patients died with a one-year survival rate of 85%. Sepsis and infectious complications were the most leading causes of death. Conclusions: This study is the first study of liver transplant patients with hepatitis C in Iran. In the five-year study period, rapid development was made in the treatment of HCV patients. It led to the introduction of DAAs, which replaced interferon-based therapies. The results of this study indicated the high success rate of liver transplantation in patients with hepatitis C in Iran. The results of this study could be used to compare the efficacy of DAAs in future research.
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12
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Bajis S, Applegate TL, Grebely J, Matthews GV, Dore GJ. Novel Hepatitic C Virus (HCV) Diagnosis and Treatment Delivery Systems: Facilitating HCV Elimination by Thinking Outside the Clinic. J Infect Dis 2021; 222:S758-S772. [PMID: 33245354 DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiaa366] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
The World Health Organization has set a goal to eliminate hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection as public health threat by 2030. Although the advent of highly effective and tolerable direct-acting antiviral therapy has paved the way for HCV elimination, most people with HCV infection remain undiagnosed and untreated globally, with striking disparities between high-income and low- to middle-income countries. Novel decentralized and cost-effective "test-and-treat" strategies are critically needed to identify the millions of people unaware of their status and link them to treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sahar Bajis
- The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Tanya L Applegate
- The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Jason Grebely
- The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Gail V Matthews
- The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Gregory J Dore
- The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
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13
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Zelenev A, Li J, Shea P, Hecht R, Altice FL. Modeling Combination Hepatitis C Virus Treatment and Prevention Strategies in a Network of People Who Inject Drugs in the United States. Clin Infect Dis 2021; 72:755-763. [PMID: 32060534 PMCID: PMC7935393 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciaa142] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/02/2019] [Accepted: 02/13/2020] [Indexed: 12/09/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment as prevention (TasP) strategies can contribute to HCV microelimination, yet complimentary interventions such as opioid agonist therapies (OAT) with methadone or buprenorphine and syringe services programs (SSPs) may improve the prevention impact. This modeling study estimates the impact of scaling up the combination of OAT and SSPs with HCV TasP in a network of people who inject drugs (PWID) in the United States. METHODS Using empirical data from Hartford, Connecticut, we deployed a stochastic block model to simulate an injection network of 1574 PWID. We used a susceptible-infected model for HCV and human immunodeficiency virus to evaluate the effectiveness of several HCV TasP strategies, including in combination with OAT and SSP scale-up, over 20 years. RESULTS At the highest HCV prevalence (75%), when OAT coverage is increased from 10% to 40%, combined with HCV treatment of 10% per year and SSP scale up to 40%, the time to achieve microelimination is reduced from 18.4 to 11.6 years. At the current HCV prevalence (60%), HCV TasP strategies as low as 10% coverage per year may achieve HCV microelimination within 10 years, with minimal impact from additional OAT scale-up. Strategies based on mass initial HCV treatment (50 per 100 PWID the first year followed by 5 per 100 PWID thereafter) were most effective in settings with HCV prevalence of 60% or lower. CONCLUSIONS Scale-up of HCV TasP is the most effective strategy for microelimination of HCV. OAT scale-up, however, scale-up may be synergistic toward achieving microelimination goals when HCV prevalence exceeds 60% and when HCV treatment coverage is 10 per 100 PWID per year or lower.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexei Zelenev
- AIDS Program, Section of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Jianghong Li
- Institute for Community Research, Hartford, Connecticut, USA
| | - Portia Shea
- AIDS Program, Section of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Robert Hecht
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
| | - Frederick L Altice
- AIDS Program, Section of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
- Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA
- Centre of Excellence for Research in AIDS, Faculty of Medicine, University of Malaya, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
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14
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Sulkowski M, Cheng WH, Marx S, Sanchez Gonzalez Y, Strezewski J, Reau N. Estimating the Year Each State in the United States Will Achieve the World Health Organization's Elimination Targets for Hepatitis C. Adv Ther 2021; 38:423-440. [PMID: 33145648 PMCID: PMC7609357 DOI: 10.1007/s12325-020-01535-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/28/2020] [Accepted: 10/14/2020] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
Introduction Although hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection remains a major clinical, economic, and societal burden, the development of curative antiviral therapy may accelerate the path toward elimination. This analysis assessed the progress of United States (US) states towards achieving the World Health Organization’s (WHO) 2030 HCV elimination targets for incidence, mortality, diagnosis, and treatment. Methods A previously published Markov model was used to simulate HCV progression over time to estimate the path to HCV elimination in each state based on prevalence, annual treatment, and diagnosis inputs from two large US laboratory datasets from January 2013 to December 2017. State-specific fibrosis stage restrictions on treatment in 2017 were included. The model estimated the year individual states would meet the WHO targets for diagnosing 90% of the HCV-infected population, treating 80% of the eligible population, reducing new HCV infections by 80%, and reducing HCV-related deaths by 65%. The minimum number of annual treatments needed between 2020 and 2030 to achieve the WHO treatment target was also calculated. Results Overall, the USA is projected to achieve HCV elimination by 2037, with individual targets related to mortality, diagnosis, treatment, and incidence being achieved by 2020, 2027, 2033, and 2037, respectively. Three states (Connecticut, South Carolina, and Washington) are on track to meet all four elimination targets by 2030, and 18 states are not expected to meet these targets before 2040. The estimated annual number of treatments required during 2020–2030 nationally to reach the WHO treatment target is 173,514. Conclusion With the exception of three states, the USA is not on target to meet the WHO 2030 elimination targets and 35% are off track by 10 years or more. Strategies must be implemented to reduce overall prevalence by preventing new infections, increasing rates of screening, improving linkage to care, and implementing unfettered access to curative therapy. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1007/s12325-020-01535-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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15
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Zietara F, Crotty P, Houghton M, Tyrrell L, Coffin C, Macphail G. Sociodemographic risk factors for hepatitis C virus infection in a prospective cohort study of 257 persons in Canada who inject drugs. CANADIAN LIVER JOURNAL 2020; 3:276-285. [PMID: 35992530 PMCID: PMC9202703 DOI: 10.3138/canlivj.2019-0023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/18/2019] [Accepted: 10/25/2019] [Indexed: 03/22/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Approximately 60% of incident hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections are due to intravenous drug use; therefore, understanding the socio-demographics of people who inject drugs (PWID) is necessary to achieve HCV elimination. METHODS In this prospective cohort study of PWID, we determined patients' baseline HCV antibody, hepatitis B virus (HBV), and HIV serological status. HCV antibody- negative (anti-HCV-negative) cases were followed for seroconversion (median 17 mo with q3m testing) as part of a larger study to develop a vaccine for HCV. An interviewer-administered baseline questionnaire completed with all patients evaluated socio-demographic and clinical characteristics. RESULTS We tested 257 PWID (median age 40 [range 49-31]y, 81% men, 63% Caucasian, 28% Indigenous). Of these, 28% were positive for HCV antibodies (anti-HCV-positive) (median age 42 [range 49-36]y, 74% men, 69% Caucasian, 29% Indigenous). Compared with anti-HCV-negative PWID, anti-HCV-positive PWID reported injecting more morphine and hydromorphone, using more hydromorphone via non-injection routes, and were more likely to be enrolled in methadone programs. More than 60% reported previous HCV testing, but recent testing (<2 y) was more frequent in the anti-HCV-negative group (p = 0.03). All were HBV negative, but more than 50% of the anti-HCV-positive group had anti-HBs titres more than 10 IU/L compared with 35% of the anti-HCV-negative group (p = 0.01), and 3 of 257 were HIV positive (1 co-infected with HCV-HIV). CONCLUSIONS In this prospective study, differences in age, timing of HCV testing and risk behaviours were found between anti-HCV-positive and anti-HCV-negative groups.
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Affiliation(s)
- Faustyna Zietara
- Calgary Liver Unit, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Pam Crotty
- Calgary Liver Unit, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Michael Houghton
- Department of Medical Microbiology and Immunology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
| | - Lorne Tyrrell
- Department of Medical Microbiology and Immunology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
| | - Carla S Coffin
- Calgary Liver Unit, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Gisela Macphail
- Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
- Calgary Urban Project Society (CUPS) Liver Clinic, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
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16
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Hasan F, Alfadhli A, Al-Gharabally A, Alkhaldi M, Colombo M, Lazarus JV. Accelerating the elimination of hepatitis C in Kuwait: An expert opinion. World J Gastroenterol 2020; 26:4415-4427. [PMID: 32874054 PMCID: PMC7438195 DOI: 10.3748/wjg.v26.i30.4415] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/30/2020] [Revised: 06/04/2020] [Accepted: 07/22/2020] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
The hepatitis C virus (HCV) is estimated to affect 71 million people worldwide. In 2016, the World Health Organization adopted the first global health sector strategy to eliminate viral hepatitis as a public health threat by 2030. In December 2018, the European Association for the Study of the Liver, International Liver Foundation convened an expert panel to address the elimination of HCV in Kuwait. Several steps have already been taken to eliminate HCV in Kuwait, including free HCV treatment for Kuwait's citizens, high blood safety standards, and the implementation of screening and awareness programs. The expert panel made several recommendations aimed at accelerating the elimination of HCV in Kuwait: The development of a national strategy and action plan to guide all HCV elimination activities; the formation of a coordination mechanism to support collaboration between hepatitis working committees; the prioritization of micro-elimination at primary, secondary or tertiary facilities, in prisons and rehabilitation centers; and ensuring the involvement of multiple stakeholders - including relevant civil society groups - in all activities. Enhanced screening and linkage to care should be prioritized in Kuwait, with the expansion of the prescriber base to primary healthcare providers and nurse practitioners to be considered. Raising awareness and educating people about HCV infection also remain essential to achieve the goal of HCV elimination. Lastly, a national HCV registry should be developed to help monitor the implementation of viral hepatitis plans and progress towards achieving national and international targets.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fuad Hasan
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Kuwait University, Kuwait 12037, Kuwait
| | - Ahmad Alfadhli
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Kuwait University, Kuwait 12037, Kuwait
| | | | - Mahmoud Alkhaldi
- Public Health Department, Ministry of Health, Kuwait 13110, Kuwait
| | - Massimo Colombo
- Head Center of Translational Research in Hepatology, Humanitas Clinical and Research Center, Rozzano 20089, Italy
| | - Jeffrey V Lazarus
- Barcelona Institute for Global Health, Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), University of Barcelona, Barcelona 08036, Spain
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17
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Martinello M, Bajis S, Dore GJ. Progress Toward Hepatitis C Virus Elimination: Therapy and Implementation. Gastroenterol Clin North Am 2020; 49:253-277. [PMID: 32389362 DOI: 10.1016/j.gtc.2020.01.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
The World Health Organization has called for the elimination of hepatitis C virus (HCV) as a public health threat by 2030. Highly effective direct-acting antiviral agents provide the therapeutic tools required for elimination. In the absence of a vaccine, HCV elimination will require enhanced primary prevention and an increase in the proportions of people diagnosed and treated. Given that globally only 20% of people with chronic HCV are diagnosed, and around 5% have initiated HCV treatment, the task ahead is enormous. But, global public health needs optimism, and countries currently on track for HCV elimination provide a pathway forward.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marianne Martinello
- Viral Hepatitis Clinical Research Program, The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, Australia.
| | - Sahar Bajis
- Viral Hepatitis Clinical Research Program, The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Gregory J Dore
- Viral Hepatitis Clinical Research Program, The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, Australia
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18
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Anwar N, Kaiser TE, Bari K, Schoech M, Diwan TS, Cuffy MC, Silski L, Quillin RC, Safdar K, Shah SA. Use of Hepatitis C Nucleic Acid Test-Positive Liver Allografts in Hepatitis C Virus Seronegative Recipients. Liver Transpl 2020; 26:673-680. [PMID: 32125753 DOI: 10.1002/lt.25741] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/01/2019] [Revised: 02/06/2020] [Accepted: 02/25/2020] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
Because of underutilization of liver allografts, our center previously showed that hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibody-positive/nucleic acid test (NAT)-negative livers when transplanted into HCV nonviremic recipients were safe with a 10% risk of HCV transmission. Herein, we present our single-center prospective experience of using HCV NAT+ liver allografts transplanted into HCV NAT- recipients. An institutional review board-approved matched cohort study was conducted examining post- liver transplantation (LT) outcomes of HCV- patients who received HCV NAT+ organs (treatment group) compared with matched recipients with HCV NAT- organs (matched comparator group) between June 2018 to October 2019. The primary endpoint was success of HCV treatment and elimination of HCV infection. The secondary outcomes included the 30-day and 1-year graft and patient survival as well as perioperative complications. There were 32 recipients enrolled into each group. Because of 1 death in the index admission, 30/31 patients (97%) were given HCV treatment at a median starting time of 47 days (18-140 days) after LT. A total of 19 (63%) patients achieved sustained virological response at week 12 (SVR12). Another 6 patients achieved end-of-treatment response, while 5 remained on therapy and 1 is yet to start treatment. No HCV treatment failure has been noted. There were no differences in 30-day and 1-year graft and patient survival, length of hospital stay, biliary or vascular complications, or cytomegalovirus viremia between the 2 groups. In this interim analysis of a matched cohort study, which is the first and largest study to date, the patients who received the HCV NAT+ organs had similar outcomes regarding graft function, patient survival, and post-LT complications.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nadeem Anwar
- Digestive Disease Division, Department of Medicine, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH
| | - Tiffany E Kaiser
- Digestive Disease Division, Department of Medicine, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH
| | - Khurram Bari
- Digestive Disease Division, Department of Medicine, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH
| | - Michael Schoech
- Digestive Disease Division, Department of Medicine, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH
| | - Tayyab S Diwan
- Solid Organ Transplantation, Department of Surgery, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH
| | - Madison C Cuffy
- Solid Organ Transplantation, Department of Surgery, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH
| | - Latifa Silski
- Digestive Disease Division, Department of Medicine, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH
| | - Ralph C Quillin
- Solid Organ Transplantation, Department of Surgery, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH
| | - Kamran Safdar
- Digestive Disease Division, Department of Medicine, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH
| | - Shimul A Shah
- Solid Organ Transplantation, Department of Surgery, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH
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19
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Trickey A, Fraser H, Lim AG, Walker JG, Peacock A, Colledge S, Leung J, Grebely J, Larney S, Martin NK, Degenhardt L, Hickman M, May MT, Vickerman P. Modelling the potential prevention benefits of a treat-all hepatitis C treatment strategy at global, regional and country levels: A modelling study. J Viral Hepat 2019; 26:1388-1403. [PMID: 31392812 PMCID: PMC10401696 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.13187] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/27/2019] [Revised: 07/01/2019] [Accepted: 07/15/2019] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
Abstract
The World Health Organization (WHO) recently produced guidelines advising a treat-all policy for HCV to encourage widespread treatment scale-up for achieving HCV elimination. We modelled the prevention impact achieved (HCV infections averted [IA]) from initiating this policy compared with treating different subgroups at country, regional and global levels. We assessed what country-level factors affect impact. A dynamic, deterministic HCV transmission model was calibrated to data from global systematic reviews and UN data sets to simulate country-level HCV epidemics with ongoing levels of treatment. For each country, the model projected the prevention impact (in HCV IA per treatment undertaken) of initiating four treatment strategies; either selected randomly (treat-all) or targeted among people who inject drugs (PWID), people aged ≥35, or those with cirrhosis. The IA was assessed over 20 years. Linear regression was used to identify associations between IA per treatment and demographic factors. Eighty-eight countries (85% of the global population) were modelled. Globally, the model estimated 0.35 (95% credibility interval [95%CrI]: 0.16-0.61) IA over 20 years for every randomly allocated treatment, 0.30 (95%CrI: 0.12-0.53) from treating those aged ≥35 and 0.28 (95%CrI: 0.12-0.49) for those with cirrhosis. Globally, treating PWID achieved 1.27 (95%CrI: 0.68-2.04) IA per treatment. The IA per randomly allocated treatment was positively associated with a country's population growth rate and negatively associated with higher HCV prevalence among PWID. In conclusion, appreciable prevention benefits could be achieved from WHO's treat-all strategy, although greater benefits per treatment can be achieved through targeting PWID. Higher impact will be achieved in countries with high population growth.
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Affiliation(s)
- Adam Trickey
- Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.,National Institute of Health Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit (HPRU) in Evaluation of Interventions, Bristol, UK
| | - Hannah Fraser
- Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Aaron G Lim
- Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | | | - Amy Peacock
- National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Samantha Colledge
- National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Janni Leung
- National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.,Centre for Youth Substance Abuse Research, Faculty of Health and Behavioural Sciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.,Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
| | - Jason Grebely
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States.,The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Sarah Larney
- National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Natasha K Martin
- Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.,Division of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California, San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Louisa Degenhardt
- National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Matthew Hickman
- Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.,National Institute of Health Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit (HPRU) in Evaluation of Interventions, Bristol, UK
| | - Margaret T May
- Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.,National Institute of Health Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit (HPRU) in Evaluation of Interventions, Bristol, UK.,National Institute for Health Research Bristol Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals Bristol NHS Foundation Trust and University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Peter Vickerman
- Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.,National Institute of Health Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit (HPRU) in Evaluation of Interventions, Bristol, UK
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20
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Verna EC, Schluger A, Brown RS. Opioid epidemic and liver disease. JHEP Rep 2019; 1:240-255. [PMID: 32039374 PMCID: PMC7001546 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhepr.2019.06.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/08/2019] [Revised: 06/27/2019] [Accepted: 06/29/2019] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Opioid use in the United States and in many parts of the world has reached epidemic proportions. This has led to excess mortality as well as significant changes in the epidemiology of liver disease. Herein, we review the impact of the opioid epidemic on liver disease, focusing on the multifaceted impact this epidemic has had on liver disease and liver transplantation. In particular, the opioid crisis has led to a significant shift in incident hepatitis C virus infection to younger populations and to women, leading to changes in screening recommendations. Less well characterized are the potential direct and indirect hepatotoxic effects of opioids, as well as the changes in the incidence of hepatitis B virus infection and alcohol abuse that are likely rising in this population as well. Finally, the opioid epidemic has led to a significant rise in the proportion of organ donors who died due to overdose. These donors have led to an overall increase in donor numbers, but also to new considerations about the better use of donors with perceived or actual risk of disease transmission, especially hepatitis C. Clearly, additional efforts are needed to combat the opioid epidemic. Moreover, better understanding of the epidemiology and underlying pathophysiology will help to identify and treat liver disease in this high-risk population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elizabeth C. Verna
- Center for Liver Disease and Transplantation, Columbia University Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, NY
| | - Aaron Schluger
- Columbia University Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, NY
| | - Robert S. Brown
- Center for Liver Disease and Transplantation, Columbia University Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, NY
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, NY
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21
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Kyuregyan KK, Malinnikova EY, Soboleva NV, Isaeva OV, Karlsen AA, Kichatova VS, Potemkin IA, Schibrik EV, Gadjieva OA, Bashiryan BA, Lebedeva NN, Serkov IL, Yankina A, Galli C, Mikhailov MI. Community screening for hepatitis C virus infection in a low-prevalence population. BMC Public Health 2019; 19:1038. [PMID: 31375104 PMCID: PMC6679455 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-019-7388-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/06/2019] [Accepted: 07/26/2019] [Indexed: 12/22/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Age cohort screening for hepatitis C virus (HCV) might be an effective strategy if the majority of undiagnosed cases are concentrated in a particular age group. The objective of this study was to determine HCV prevalence in different age cohorts of the general population in the Central European part of Russia and second, to assess feasibility of HCV antigen testing for community screening programs. METHODS Sera from 2027 volunteers were tested for anti-HCV (Architect Anti-HCV, Abbott Laboratories). All anti-HCV reactive samples were confirmed in an immunoblot and tested for HCV Ag (ARCHITECT HCV Ag, Abbott Laboratories), HCV RNA and HCV viral load. RESULTS Out of 31 individuals with anti-HCV reactive result, 22 (71%) were confirmed by immunoblot, six were false positives and three were indeterminate. Active infection was observed in 73% of anti-HCV confirmed positives. Five out of 16 individuals had low HCV-RNA levels (< 10,000 IU/mL) and one of those had a very low level (594 IU/mL). Agreement between HCV Ag and HCV RNA was 100%. Total anti-HCV and active HCV infection rates were 1.09% (22/2027) and 0.79% (16/2027), respectively. The peak rates were observed in people 60 years or older (anti-HCV: 2.84% [95% CI: 1.66-4.74%], 13/319; HCV RNA/HCV Ag: 2.23% [95% CI: 1.20-4.00%], 10/319). CONCLUSIONS Overall HCV prevalence is low, except in people 60 years or older. The latter should be considered as a target group for HCV screening. The high agreement between HCV RNA and HCV Ag suggests the utility of HCV Ag testing to confirm active infection in screening programs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Karen K. Kyuregyan
- Department of Viral Hepatitis, Russian Medical Academy of Continuing Professional Education, 125993 Moscow, Russia
- Mechnikov Research Institute for Vaccines and Sera, 105064 Moscow, Russia
| | - Elena Yu. Malinnikova
- Department of Viral Hepatitis, Russian Medical Academy of Continuing Professional Education, 125993 Moscow, Russia
- Mechnikov Research Institute for Vaccines and Sera, 105064 Moscow, Russia
| | | | - Olga V. Isaeva
- Department of Viral Hepatitis, Russian Medical Academy of Continuing Professional Education, 125993 Moscow, Russia
- Mechnikov Research Institute for Vaccines and Sera, 105064 Moscow, Russia
| | - Anastasia A. Karlsen
- Department of Viral Hepatitis, Russian Medical Academy of Continuing Professional Education, 125993 Moscow, Russia
- Mechnikov Research Institute for Vaccines and Sera, 105064 Moscow, Russia
| | - Vera S. Kichatova
- Department of Viral Hepatitis, Russian Medical Academy of Continuing Professional Education, 125993 Moscow, Russia
- Mechnikov Research Institute for Vaccines and Sera, 105064 Moscow, Russia
| | - Ilya A. Potemkin
- Department of Viral Hepatitis, Russian Medical Academy of Continuing Professional Education, 125993 Moscow, Russia
- Mechnikov Research Institute for Vaccines and Sera, 105064 Moscow, Russia
| | - Elena V. Schibrik
- Belgorod regional center for disease control and prevention, 308023 Belgorod, Russia
| | - Olga A. Gadjieva
- BurdenkoNational Medical Research Center of Neurosurgery, 125047 Moscow, Russia
| | - Boris A. Bashiryan
- BurdenkoNational Medical Research Center of Neurosurgery, 125047 Moscow, Russia
| | - Natalya N. Lebedeva
- Moscow Regional Center for the Prevention and Control of AIDS and Infectious Diseases, 129110 Moscow, Russia
| | - Igor L. Serkov
- Moscow Regional Center for the Prevention and Control of AIDS and Infectious Diseases, 129110 Moscow, Russia
| | - Anna Yankina
- Medical Communications, Abbott Diagnostics, 125171 Moscow, Russia
| | - Claudio Galli
- Medical Affairs Infectious Diseases, Abbott Diagnostics, 00144 Rome, Italy
| | - Mikhail I. Mikhailov
- Department of Viral Hepatitis, Russian Medical Academy of Continuing Professional Education, 125993 Moscow, Russia
- Mechnikov Research Institute for Vaccines and Sera, 105064 Moscow, Russia
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22
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Fraser H, Vellozzi C, Hoerger TJ, Evans JL, Kral AH, Havens J, Young AM, Stone J, Handanagic S, Hariri S, Barbosa C, Hickman M, Leib A, Martin NK, Nerlander L, Raymond HF, Page K, Zibbell J, Ward JW, Vickerman P. Scaling Up Hepatitis C Prevention and Treatment Interventions for Achieving Elimination in the United States: A Rural and Urban Comparison. Am J Epidemiol 2019; 188:1539-1551. [PMID: 31150044 PMCID: PMC7415256 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwz097] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/20/2018] [Revised: 04/02/2019] [Accepted: 04/02/2019] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
In the United States, hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission is rising among people who inject drugs (PWID). Many regions have insufficient prevention intervention coverage. Using modeling, we investigated the impact of scaling up prevention and treatment interventions on HCV transmission among PWID in Perry County, Kentucky, and San Francisco, California, where HCV seroprevalence among PWID is >50%. A greater proportion of PWID access medication-assisted treatment (MAT) or syringe service programs (SSP) in urban San Francisco (established community) than in rural Perry County (young, expanding community). We modeled the proportion of HCV-infected PWID needing HCV treatment annually to reduce HCV incidence by 90% by 2030, with and without MAT scale-up (50% coverage, both settings) and SSP scale-up (Perry County only) from 2017. With current MAT and SSP coverage during 2017-2030, HCV incidence would increase in Perry County (from 21.3 to 22.6 per 100 person-years) and decrease in San Francisco (from 12.9 to 11.9 per 100 person-years). With concurrent MAT and SSP scale-up, 5% per year of HCV-infected PWID would need HCV treatment in Perry County to achieve incidence targets-13% per year without MAT and SSP scale-up. In San Francisco, a similar proportion would need HCV treatment (10% per year) irrespective of MAT scale-up. Reaching the same impact by 2025 would require increases in treatment rates of 45%-82%. Achievable provision of HCV treatment, alongside MAT and SSP scale-up (Perry County) and MAT scale-up (San Francisco), could reduce HCV incidence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hannah Fraser
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
| | - Claudia Vellozzi
- Division of Medical Affairs, Grady Health System, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Thomas J Hoerger
- RTI International, Research Triangle Park, Raleigh, North Carolina
| | - Jennifer L Evans
- Institute for Global Health Sciences, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California
| | - Alex H Kral
- RTI International, Research Triangle Park, Raleigh, North Carolina
| | - Jennifer Havens
- Center on Drug and Alcohol Research, Department of Behavioral Science, University of Kentucky College of Medicine, Lexington, Kentucky
| | - April M Young
- Center on Drug and Alcohol Research, Department of Behavioral Science, University of Kentucky College of Medicine, Lexington, Kentucky
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Kentucky College of Public Health, Lexington, Kentucky
| | - Jack Stone
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
| | - Senad Handanagic
- Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Susan Hariri
- Division of Viral Hepatitis, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Carolina Barbosa
- RTI International, Research Triangle Park, Raleigh, North Carolina
| | - Matthew Hickman
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
| | - Alyssa Leib
- Department of Chemistry, University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado
| | - Natasha K Martin
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
- Division of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, California
| | - Lina Nerlander
- Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Henry F Raymond
- Center for Public Health Research, Population Health Division, San Francisco Department of Public Health, San Francisco, California
| | - Kimberly Page
- Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque, New Mexico
| | - Jon Zibbell
- RTI International, Research Triangle Park, Raleigh, North Carolina
| | - John W Ward
- Division of Viral Hepatitis, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia
- Coalition for Global Hepatitis Elimination, Task Force for Global Health, Decatur, Georgia
| | - Peter Vickerman
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
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23
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Cuypers L, Thijssen M, Shakibzadeh A, Deboutte W, Sarvari J, Sabahi F, Ravanshad M, Pourkarim MR. Signature of natural resistance in NS3 protease revealed by deep sequencing of HCV strains circulating in Iran. INFECTION GENETICS AND EVOLUTION 2019; 75:103966. [PMID: 31323326 DOI: 10.1016/j.meegid.2019.103966] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/20/2019] [Revised: 07/10/2019] [Accepted: 07/14/2019] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
A tremendous upscale of screening and treatment strategies is required to achieve elimination of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) in Iran by 2030. Among treated patients, at least 5-10% is expected to experience treatment failure. To efficiently retreat cases with prior exposure to NS5A and NS5B drugs, knowledge on the natural prevalence of NS3 resistance is key. The NS3 region of 32 samples from sixteen Iranian HCV patients, among which 6 injecting drug users, was amplified and subjected to deep sequencing. Amplification and sequencing were successful in 29 samples. The reads were assembled to consensus sequences and showed that 6 patients were infected with HCV1a (37.5%), 7 with HCV1b (43.8%) and 3 with HCV3a (18.7%). Nucleotide identities were shared for >97% between intra-host sequences. Two patients were infected with natural resistant viruses, of which one solely comprising low frequency variants. Inferred phylogenies showed that Iranian sequences clustered together for HCV1a and HCV1b, while for HCV3a a potential recombination event was detected. We firstly report the use of deep sequencing for HCV in Iran, demonstrate the use of NS3 inhibitors as salvage therapy in case of retreatment and stress the importance for Iran to prioritize drug users for screening and treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lize Cuypers
- KU Leuven, Rega Institute for Medical Research, Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, 3000 Leuven, Belgium
| | - Marijn Thijssen
- KU Leuven, Rega Institute for Medical Research, Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, 3000 Leuven, Belgium
| | - Arash Shakibzadeh
- Department of Medical Virology, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran
| | - Ward Deboutte
- KU Leuven, Rega Institute for Medical Research, Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Viral Metagenomics, 3000 Leuven, Belgium
| | - Jamal Sarvari
- Department of Bacteriology & Virology, School of Medicine, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran; Gastroenterohepatology Research Center, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
| | - Farzaneh Sabahi
- Department of Medical Virology, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mehrdad Ravanshad
- Department of Medical Virology, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mahmoud Reza Pourkarim
- KU Leuven, Rega Institute for Medical Research, Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, 3000 Leuven, Belgium; Health Policy Research Center, Institute of Health, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran; Blood Transfusion Research Centre, High Institute for Research and Education in Transfusion Medicine, Hemmat Exp Way, 14665-1157 Tehran, Iran.
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24
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de la Torre A, Ahmad M, Ayoub F, Korogodsky M, Pichardo N, Green L, Montesdeoca A, McDowall P, Danko C. Electronic health record year and country of birth testing and patient navigation to increase diagnosis of chronic viral hepatitis. J Viral Hepat 2019; 26:911-918. [PMID: 30920700 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.13098] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2018] [Accepted: 02/28/2019] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
The United States Preventive Services Task Force recommends hepatitis C testing people born from 1945 to 1965, "birth cohort" as well as hepatitis C and hepatitis B testing people from countries of birth with endemic infection risk. We automated the hospital electronic health record system to test birth cohort and those born in countries with endemic infection risk. A script is launched searching the laboratory database upon registration for any hepatitis C antibody, hepatitis C RNA and/or hepatitis B surface antigen result. If no positive result was found, a hepatitis C antibody/reflex RNA and/or hepatitis B surface antigen were ordered. A patient navigator received weekly results and assisted patients with positive serology to schedule an appointment with their primary care provider or treatment specialist. A total of 10 726 participants were hepatitis C antibody tested, with 6.9% antibody positive. Monthly hepatitis C testing from January to July 2016 compared to August 2016-August 2017 increased 342% as a result of "birth cohort" testing. Following country of birth testing, monthly hepatitis B and hepatitis C testing increased 91%, and 44%, respectively, during June-August 2017 compared to September 2017-March 2018. 67% of hepatitis C-positive patients were linked to care. If the navigator contacted the patient, 92% were linked to care, and 32% were treated. Of hepatitis B surface antigen-positive patients, 43% were linked to care, 5% were on treatment, and 15% started treatment. Automated electronic health record ordering of hepatitis C and/or hepatitis B testing is feasible and increases testing. In the population tested, much improvement is needed with linkage to care and treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew de la Torre
- Division of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Liver Disease Services, Carepoint Health, Hudson County, NJ.,Department of Surgery, New Jersey Medical School, Newark, NJ
| | - Maliha Ahmad
- Liver Disease Services, St. Joseph's Medical Center, Paterson, NJ
| | - Farhan Ayoub
- Liver Disease Services, St. Joseph's Medical Center, Paterson, NJ
| | - Maria Korogodsky
- Liver Disease Services, St. Joseph's Medical Center, Paterson, NJ
| | - Norma Pichardo
- Liver Disease Services, St. Joseph's Medical Center, Paterson, NJ
| | - Lisa Green
- Information Technology, St. Joseph's Medical Center, Paterson, NJ
| | | | | | - Cherie Danko
- Laboratory Services, St. Joseph's Medical Center, Paterson, NJ
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26
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Wu J, Zhou Y, Fu X, Deng M, Zheng Y, Tian G, Li Y, Wang C, Ding C, Ruan B, Yang S, Li L. The Burden of Chronic Hepatitis C in China From 2004 to 2050: An Individual-Based Modeling Study. Hepatology 2019; 69:1442-1452. [PMID: 30561833 DOI: 10.1002/hep.30476] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/08/2018] [Accepted: 11/15/2018] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
The launch of new direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) is expected to substantially reduce the burden of hepatitis C virus (HCV) in China. However, the effect of these changes has not yet been modeled in China. Therefore, we aim to predict the burden of HCV-related diseases in China by simulating different scenarios that incorporate recent therapeutic advances of HCV and China's current screening strategy. We developed an individual-based microsimulation Markov model that simulated disease progression of HCV-infected patients in China from 2004 to 2050. We simulated four scenarios with different assumptions about treatment, including a natural history scenario, a pre-DAAs scenario, a DAA treatment for all patients with a METAVIR fibrosis score ≥F3 (DAAs [≥F3]) scenario, and a DAAs (≥F0) scenario. The introduction of DAAs is predicted to have great impacts on the burden of HCV in China, particularly under the DAAs (≥F0) scenario in which we rapidly expand DAAs to all HCV-infected patients (≥F0) in 2021. Under this scenario, prevalence of chronic HCV is expected to peak at 10.75 million (95% confidence interval [CI], 8.30-12.85) around 2020 and then decrease to 7.92 million (95% CI, 5.41-10.08) in 2050. Conclusion: If the future increasing burden of HCV-related diseases is to be averted, China needs to start launching the new DAA treatment and rapidly increase the number of patients treated. However, to maximize the benefits of new DAAs, expanded screening is necessary to identify more cases that require treatment in the short term. Without these changes, the HCV burden in China will remain high in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jie Wu
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Yuqing Zhou
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Xiaofang Fu
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Min Deng
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Yang Zheng
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Guo Tian
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Yiping Li
- Zhejiang Institute of Medical-care Information Technology, Hangzhou, China
| | - Chencheng Wang
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Cheng Ding
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Bing Ruan
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Shigui Yang
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Lanjuan Li
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
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27
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Gicquelais RE, Foxman B, Coyle J, Eisenberg MC. Hepatitis C transmission in young people who inject drugs: Insights using a dynamic model informed by state public health surveillance. Epidemics 2019; 27:86-95. [PMID: 30930214 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2019.02.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/20/2018] [Revised: 12/18/2018] [Accepted: 02/18/2019] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Increasing injection of heroin and prescription opioids have led to increases in the incidence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections in US young adults since the early 2000s. How best to interrupt transmission and decrease HCV prevalence in young people who inject drugs (PWID) is uncertain. We developed an age-stratified ordinary differential equation HCV transmission model of PWID aged 15-64, which we fit to Michigan HCV surveillance data among young PWID aged 15-29. We used Latin hypercube sampling to fit to data under 10,000 plausible model parameterizations. We used the best-fitting 10% of simulations to predict the potential impact of primary (reducing injection initiation), secondary (increasing cessation, reducing injection partners, or reducing injection drug use relapse), and tertiary (HCV treatment) interventions (over the period 2017-2030) on acute and chronic HCV cases by the year 2030. Treating 3 per 100 current and former PWID per year could reduce chronic HCV by 27.3% (range: 18.7-30.3%) and acute HCV by 23.6% (range: 6.7-29.5%) by 2030 among PWID aged 15-29 if 90% are cured (i.e. achieved sustained virologic response [SVR] to treatment). Reducing the number of syringe sharing partners per year by 10% was predicted to reduce chronic HCV by 15.7% (range: 9.4-23.8%) and acute cases by 21.4% (range: 14.2-32.3%) among PWID aged 15-29 by 2030. In simulations of combinations of interventions, reducing injection initiation, syringe sharing, and relapse rates each by 10% while increasing cessation rates by 10% predicted a 27.7% (range: 18.0-39.7%) reduction in chronic HCV and a 38.4% (range: 28.3-53.3%) reduction in acute HCV. Our results highlight the need for HCV treatment among both current and former PWID and the scale up of both primary and secondary interventions to concurrently reduce HCV prevalence and incidence in Michigan.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rachel E Gicquelais
- University of Michigan School of Public Health, Department of Epidemiology, 1415 Washington Heights, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, United States; Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Department of Epidemiology, 615 N. Wolfe St, Baltimore, MD 21205, United States.
| | - Betsy Foxman
- University of Michigan School of Public Health, Department of Epidemiology, 1415 Washington Heights, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, United States.
| | - Joseph Coyle
- Michigan Department of Health and Human Services, 320 S Walnut St, Lansing, MI 48933, United States.
| | - Marisa C Eisenberg
- University of Michigan School of Public Health, Department of Epidemiology, 1415 Washington Heights, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, United States.
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28
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Shiha G, Metwally AM, Soliman R, Elbasiony M, Mikhail NNH, Easterbrook P. An educate, test, and treat programme towards elimination of hepatitis C infection in Egypt: a community-based demonstration project. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2018; 3:778-789. [PMID: 30030068 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-1253(18)30139-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 50] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/05/2018] [Revised: 04/13/2018] [Accepted: 04/16/2018] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Egypt has one of the highest prevalences and burdens of hepatitis C virus (HCV) worldwide, and a large government treatment programme. However, identifying and treating people who are infected in rural communities can be a substantial challenge. We designed and evaluated a comprehensive community-led outreach programme for prevention, testing, and treatment of HCV infection in one village in northern Egypt, with the goal to eliminate HCV infection from all adult villagers, and as a model for potential adoption in rural settings. METHODS A community-based education and test-and-treat project was established in Al-Othmanya village. The programme consisted of community mobilisation facilitated by a network of village promoters and establishment of partnerships; an educational campaign to raise awareness and promote behavioural changes; fundraising for public donations in the local community; and comprehensive testing, diagnosis, and treatment. For the educational campaign, we used public awareness events, house-to-house visits, and promotional materials (eg, booklets, cartoons, songs) to raise awareness of HCV and its transmission, and changes in knowledge, attitudes, and practices were measured through the use of a survey done before and after the educational campaign. Comprehensive testing, linkage to care, and treatment was offered to all eligible villagers (ie, those aged 12-80 years who had not previously been treated for HCV). Testing was done by use of HCV antibody and hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) rapid diagnostic tests, with HCV-RNA PCR confirmation of positive cases, and staging of liver disease by use of transient elastography. HCV-RNA-positive participants were offered a 24-week course of sofosbuvir (400 mg orally, daily) and ribavirin (1000-1200 mg orally, daily) with an assessment of cure (sustained virological response) at 12 weeks after completion of treatment (SVR12). FINDINGS Between June 6, 2015, and June 9, 2016, 4215 (89%) of 4721 eligible villagers were screened for HCV antibodies and HBsAg. Of these participants, 530 (13%) were HCV antibody positive and eight (<1%) were HBsAg positive. All HCV-antibody-positive individuals had an HCV-RNA assay, and 312 (59%) were HCV-RNA positive. All 312 completed a full baseline assessment with staging of liver disease, and 300 (96%) were given 24 weeks of sofosbuvir and ribavirin treatment within a median of 2·3 weeks (IQR 0·0-3·7) from serological diagnosis. 293 (98%) of the treated participants achieved SVR12. 42 (13%) HCV-RNA-positive participants had cirrhosis as determined by transient elastography, of whom 12 (29%) were diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma on the basis of α-fetoprotein measurement and ultrasound. 3575 (85%) of 4215 eligible villagers completed the baseline and after educational campaign survey, and awareness, knowledge, and adoption of safer practices to prevent HCV transmission all significantly increased (p<0·0001). INTERPRETATION This community-led educate, test-and-treat demonstration project achieved high uptake of HCV testing, linkage to care and treatment, and attainment of cure in one village, as well as awareness and adoption of practices to prevent transmission in the community. This approach could be an important strategy for adoption in rural settings to complement the national government programme towards the elimination of HCV in Egypt. FUNDING Egyptian Liver Research Institute and Hospital.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gamal Shiha
- Internal Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt; Egyptian Liver Research Institute and Hospital (ELRIAH), Mansoura, Egypt.
| | - Ammal M Metwally
- Egyptian Liver Research Institute and Hospital (ELRIAH), Mansoura, Egypt; Department of Community Medicine Research, Medical Division, National Research Center, Giza, Egypt
| | - Reham Soliman
- Egyptian Liver Research Institute and Hospital (ELRIAH), Mansoura, Egypt; Tropical Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Port Said University, Port Said, Egypt
| | - Mohamed Elbasiony
- Internal Medicine Department, Faculty of Medicine, Mansoura University, Mansoura, Egypt; Egyptian Liver Research Institute and Hospital (ELRIAH), Mansoura, Egypt
| | - Nabiel N H Mikhail
- Egyptian Liver Research Institute and Hospital (ELRIAH), Mansoura, Egypt; Department of Biostatistics and Cancer Epidemiology, South Egypt Cancer Institute, Assiut University, Assiut, Egypt
| | - Philippa Easterbrook
- Global Hepatitis Programme, HIV Department, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
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29
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Fraser H, Mukandavire C, Martin NK, Goldberg D, Palmateer N, Munro A, Taylor A, Hickman M, Hutchinson S, Vickerman P. Modelling the impact of a national scale-up of interventions on hepatitis C virus transmission among people who inject drugs in Scotland. Addiction 2018; 113:2118-2131. [PMID: 29781207 PMCID: PMC6250951 DOI: 10.1111/add.14267] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2017] [Revised: 10/02/2017] [Accepted: 05/04/2018] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS To reduce hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission among people who inject drugs (PWID), Scottish Government-funded national strategies, launched in 2008, promoted scaling-up opioid substitution therapy (OST) and needle and syringe provision (NSP), with some increases in HCV treatment. We test whether observed decreases in HCV incidence post-2008 can be attributed to this intervention scale-up. DESIGN A dynamic HCV transmission model among PWID incorporating intervention scale-up and observed decreases in behavioural risk, calibrated to Scottish HCV prevalence and incidence data for 2008/09. SETTING Scotland, UK. PARTICIPANTS PWID. MEASUREMENTS Model projections from 2008 to 2015 were compared with data to test whether they were consistent with observed decreases in HCV incidence among PWID while incorporating the observed intervention scale-up, and to determine the impact of scaling-up interventions on incidence. FINDINGS Without fitting to epidemiological data post-2008/09, the model incorporating observed intervention scale-up agreed with observed decreases in HCV incidence among PWID between 2008 and 2015, suggesting that HCV incidence decreased by 61.3% [95% credibility interval (CrI) = 45.1-75.3%] from 14.2/100 person-years (py) (9.0-20.7) to 5.5/100 py (2.9-9.2). On average, each model fit lay within 84% (10.1/12) of the confidence bounds for the 12 incidence data points against which the model was compared. We estimate that scale-up of interventions (OST + NSP + HCV treatment) and decreases in high-risk behaviour from 2008 to 2015 resulted in a 33.9% (23.8-44.6%) decrease in incidence, with the remainder [27.4% (17.6-37.0%)] explained by historical changes in OST + NSP coverage and risk pre-2008. Projections suggest that scaling-up of all interventions post-2008 averted 1492 (657-2646) infections over 7 years, with 1016 (308-1996), 404 (150-836) and 72 (27-137) due to scale-up of OST + NSP, decreases in high-risk behaviour and HCV treatment, respectively. CONCLUSIONS Most of the decline in hepatitis C virus (HCV) incidence in Scotland between 2008 and 2015 appears to be attributable to intervention scale-up (opioid substitution therapy and needle and syringe provision) due to government strategies on HCV and drugs.
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Affiliation(s)
- H Fraser
- University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | | | - NK Martin
- University of Bristol, Bristol, UK,University of California, San Diego, USA
| | | | | | - A Munro
- University of the West of Scotland, Paisley, UK
| | - A Taylor
- University of the West of Scotland, Paisley, UK
| | | | - S Hutchinson
- Glasgow Caledonian University, Glasgow, UK,Health Protection Scotland, Glasgow, UK
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30
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Barocas JA, Wang J, White LF, Tasillo A, Salomon JA, Freedberg KA, Linas BP. Hepatitis C Testing Increased Among Baby Boomers Following The 2012 Change To CDC Testing Recommendations. Health Aff (Millwood) 2018; 36:2142-2150. [PMID: 29200354 DOI: 10.1377/hlthaff.2017.0684] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/27/2022]
Abstract
In 2012 the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommended routine testing for hepatitis C for people born in the period 1945-65. Until now, the recommendation's impact on hepatitis C screening rates in the United States has not been fully understood. We used an interrupted time series with comparison group design to analyze hepatitis C screening rates in the period 2010-14 among 2.8 million commercially insured adults in the MarketScan database. Hepatitis C screening rates increased yearly between 2010 and 2014, from 1.65 to 2.59 per 100 person-years. A 49 percent increase in screening rates among people born during 1945-65 followed the release of the recommendation, but no such increase was observed among adults born after 1965. The effect among the target population was sustained, and by twenty-four months after the recommendation's release, screening rates had increased 106 percent. We conclude that the hepatitis C testing policy change resulted in significantly increased testing among the target population and may have decreased the magnitude of the hepatitis C epidemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joshua A Barocas
- Joshua A. Barocas ( ) is an assistant in medicine in the Division of Infectious Diseases at Massachusetts General Hospital and an instructor in medicine at Harvard Medical School, both in Boston
| | - Jianing Wang
- Jianing Wang is a statistical analyst in the Division of Infectious Diseases at Boston Medical Center, in Massachusetts
| | - Laura F White
- Laura F. White is a senior biostatistician at the Boston University School of Public Health, in Massachusetts
| | - Abriana Tasillo
- Abriana Tasillo is a research assistant in the Division of Infectious Diseases at Boston Medical Center
| | - Joshua A Salomon
- Joshua A. Salomon is a professor of medicine at Stanford University, in California
| | - Kenneth A Freedberg
- Kenneth A. Freedberg is a professor of medicine in the Divisions of General Internal Medicine and Infectious Diseases and director of the HIV Research Program, Medical Practice Evaluation Center, at Massachusetts General Hospital, and a professor in the Department of Health Policy and Management at the Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, in Boston
| | - Benjamin P Linas
- Benjamin P. Linas is an associate professor of medicine in the Division of Infectious Diseases at Boston Medical Center and an associate professor of epidemiology at the Boston University School of Public Health
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31
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Rice DP, Ordoveza MA, Palmer AM, Wu GY, Chirch LM. Timing of treatment initiation of direct-acting antivirals for HIV/HCV coinfected and HCV monoinfected patients. AIDS Care 2018; 30:1507-1511. [PMID: 30021452 DOI: 10.1080/09540121.2018.1499857] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/22/2023]
Abstract
Direct-acting antiviral therapy is safe and cost-effective for the treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. However, variability in drug payment rules represents a barrier to treatment that may disproportionately affect certain populations. We conducted a retrospective cohort study among HIV/HCV coinfected and HCV monoinfected patients using Kaplan-Meier and Fisher's exact test to analyze the time from the prescription of a direct-acting antiviral agent to delivery to the patient. Variables with significance p < .20 in univariate analysis were included in a Cox regression model. Factors associated with faster treatment were Infectious Diseases office setting (p = .01), public insurance payer (p = .01), and initial approval of requested regimen (p = .01). The presence of other liver disease was associated with delay in treatment (p = .05). Unrestrictive Medicare and Medicaid regulations resulted in more rapid delivery of medication compared to private payers. Fibrosis level, Child-Pugh class and HIV status did not significantly change time to treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Donald P Rice
- a University of Connecticut School of Medicine , Farmington , CT , USA
| | | | - Ann M Palmer
- a University of Connecticut School of Medicine , Farmington , CT , USA
| | - George Y Wu
- b University of Connecticut Health Center , Farmington , CT , USA
| | - Lisa M Chirch
- b University of Connecticut Health Center , Farmington , CT , USA
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Theodoropoulos N, Nowicki MJ, Chinchilla-Reyes C, Dionne S, Jaramillo A, Mone T, Hasz R, Jendrisak MD, Ladner DP, Ison MG. Deceased organ donor screening for human immunodeficiency virus, hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus: Discordant serology and nucleic acid testing results. Transpl Infect Dis 2018; 20. [DOI: 10.1111/tid.12821] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/18/2017] [Revised: 06/14/2017] [Accepted: 08/25/2017] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Nicole Theodoropoulos
- Division of Infectious Diseases & Immunology; Department of Medicine; University of Massachusetts; Worcester MA USA
| | - Marek J. Nowicki
- Mendez National Institute of Transplantation; Los Angeles CA USA
| | | | | | - Andrés Jaramillo
- Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology; Mayo Clinic; Phoenix AZ USA
- Gift of Hope Organ & Tissue Donor Network; Itasca IL USA
| | | | | | | | - Daniela P. Ladner
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative; Comprehensive Transplant Center; Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine; Chicago IL USA
- Division of Organ Transplantation; Department of Surgery; Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine; Chicago IL USA
| | - Michael G. Ison
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative; Comprehensive Transplant Center; Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine; Chicago IL USA
- Division of Organ Transplantation; Department of Surgery; Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine; Chicago IL USA
- Division of Infectious Diseases; Department of Medicine; Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine; Chicago IL USA
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Fraser H, Zibbell J, Hoerger T, Hariri S, Vellozzi C, Martin NK, Kral AH, Hickman M, Ward JW, Vickerman P. Scaling-up HCV prevention and treatment interventions in rural United States-model projections for tackling an increasing epidemic. Addiction 2018; 113:173-182. [PMID: 28734093 PMCID: PMC6211174 DOI: 10.1111/add.13948] [Citation(s) in RCA: 70] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2017] [Revised: 04/06/2017] [Accepted: 07/18/2017] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Effective strategies are needed to address dramatic increases in hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection among people who inject drugs (PWID) in rural settings of the United States. We determined the required scale-up of HCV treatment with or without scale-up of HCV prevention interventions to achieve a 90% reduction in HCV chronic prevalence or incidence by 2025 and 2030 in a rural US setting. DESIGN An ordinary differential equation model of HCV transmission calibrated to HCV epidemiological data obtained primarily from an HIV outbreak investigation in Indiana. SETTING Scott County, Indiana (population 24 181), USA, a rural setting with negligible baseline interventions, increasing HCV epidemic since 2010, and 55.3% chronic HCV prevalence among PWID in 2015. PARTICIPANTS PWID. MEASUREMENTS Required annual HCV treatments per 1000 PWID (and initial annual percentage of infections treated) to achieve a 90% reduction in HCV chronic prevalence or incidence by 2025/30, either with or without scaling-up syringe service programmes (SSPs) and medication-assisted treatment (MAT) to 50% coverage. Sensitivity analyses considered whether this impact could be achieved without re-treatment of re-infections, and whether greater intervention scale-up was required due to the increasing epidemic in this setting. FINDINGS To achieve a 90% reduction in incidence and prevalence by 2030, without MAT and SSP scale-up, 159 per 1000 PWID (initially 24.9% of infected PWID) need to be HCV-treated annually. However, with MAT and SSP scaled-up, treatment rates are halved (89 per 1000 annually or 14.5%). To reach the same target by 2025 with MAT and SSP scaled-up, 121 per 1000 PWID (19.9%) need treatment annually. These treatment requirements are threefold higher than if the epidemic was stable, and the impact targets are unattainable without retreatment. CONCLUSIONS Combined scale-up of hepatitis C virus treatment and prevention interventions is needed to decrease the increasing burden of hepatitis C virus incidence and prevalence in rural Indiana, USA, by 90% by 2025/30.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hannah Fraser
- Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, UK
| | - Jon Zibbell
- RTI International, Research Triangle Park, USA
| | | | - Susan Hariri
- U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, USA
| | | | - Natasha K Martin
- Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, UK,Division of Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, California, USA
| | | | | | - John W. Ward
- U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, USA
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Dahari H, Boodram B. How to eliminate HCV in people who inject drugs in the USA. THE LANCET. INFECTIOUS DISEASES 2017; 18:134-135. [PMID: 29153267 DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(17)30678-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/13/2017] [Accepted: 10/25/2017] [Indexed: 01/22/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Harel Dahari
- Program for Experimental & Theoretical Modeling, Division of Hepatology, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, IL 60153, USA.
| | - Basmattee Boodram
- Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA
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Zelenev A, Li J, Mazhnaya A, Basu S, Altice FL. Hepatitis C virus treatment as prevention in an extended network of people who inject drugs in the USA: a modelling study. THE LANCET. INFECTIOUS DISEASES 2017; 18:215-224. [PMID: 29153265 DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(17)30676-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 71] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2016] [Revised: 09/07/2017] [Accepted: 09/28/2017] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Chronic infections with hepatitis C virus (HCV) and HIV are highly prevalent in the USA and concentrated in people who inject drugs. Treatment as prevention with highly effective new direct-acting antivirals is a prospective HCV elimination strategy. We used network-based modelling to analyse the effect of this strategy in HCV-infected people who inject drugs in a US city. METHODS Five graph models were fit using data from 1574 people who inject drugs in Hartford, CT, USA. We used a degree-corrected stochastic block model, based on goodness-of-fit, to model networks of injection drug users. We simulated transmission of HCV and HIV through this network with varying levels of HCV treatment coverage (0%, 3%, 6%, 12%, or 24%) and varying baseline HCV prevalence in people who inject drugs (30%, 60%, 75%, or 85%). We compared the effectiveness of seven treatment-as-prevention strategies on reducing HCV prevalence over 10 years and 20 years versus no treatment. The strategies consisted of treatment assigned to either a randomly chosen individual who injects drugs or to an individual with the highest number of injection partners. Additional strategies explored the effects of treating either none, half, or all of the injection partners of the selected individual, as well as a strategy based on respondent-driven recruitment into treatment. FINDINGS Our model estimates show that at the highest baseline HCV prevalence in people who inject drugs (85%), expansion of treatment coverage does not substantially reduce HCV prevalence for any treatment-as-prevention strategy. However, when baseline HCV prevalence is 60% or lower, treating more than 120 (12%) individuals per 1000 people who inject drugs per year would probably eliminate HCV within 10 years. On average, assigning treatment randomly to individuals who inject drugs is better than targeting individuals with the most injection partners. Treatment-as-prevention strategies that treat additional network members are among the best performing strategies and can enhance less effective strategies that target the degree (ie, the highest number of injection partners) within the network. INTERPRETATION Successful HCV treatment as prevention should incorporate the baseline HCV prevalence and will achieve the greatest benefit when coverage is sufficiently expanded. FUNDING National Institute on Drug Abuse.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexei Zelenev
- Department of Internal Medicine, Section of Infectious Diseases, AIDS Program, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA.
| | - Jianghong Li
- Institute for Community Research, Hartford, CT, USA
| | - Alyona Mazhnaya
- ICF Alliance for Public Health, Kyiv, Ukraine; Department of Health, Behavior & Society, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, MD, USA
| | - Sanjay Basu
- Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Frederick L Altice
- Department of Internal Medicine, Section of Infectious Diseases, AIDS Program, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA; Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA; Centre of Excellence for Research in AIDS (CERiA), Faculty of Medicine, University of Malaya, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
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Ji F, Wang W, Dang S, Wang S, Li B, Bai D, Zhao W, Deng H, Tian C, Li Z. Outcomes after sofosbuvir-containing regimens for hepatitis C virus in patients with decompensated cirrhosis: a real-world study. Infect Agent Cancer 2017; 12:48. [PMID: 28924449 PMCID: PMC5598030 DOI: 10.1186/s13027-017-0158-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/22/2016] [Accepted: 09/05/2017] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Direct-acting antivirals have been used for decompensated cirrhotic patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. However, the benefits in Chinese patients with decompensated cirrhosis are unclear. METHODS Thirty patients with HCV infection and decompensated cirrhosis were administered sofosbuvir-containing regimens at our hospital between April and December 2015. The efficacy and safety of the treatments was determined by sustained virological response at week 12 (SVR 12), change of liver function and adverse events. RESULTS The cohort included 13 treatment-experienced and 17 treatment-naïve patients. A total of 27 patients (90%) achieved SVR 12. No baseline characteristics (sex, age, treatment-experience, genotype, viral load, liver function or splenectomy) was association with achievement of SVR 12. Patients achieved SVR 12 had significantly improved liver function by post-treatment week 12 (P < 0.05). Of the 30 patients, six developed anemia, one developed hepatic decompensation, two developed impaired renal function and one developed a severe upper respiratory tract infection during the treatment. There was no death or HCC development during 12 months of follow-up off-therapy. Two patients (7.4%) with SVR 12 experienced new decompensated episodes during the follow-up. CONCLUSION Sofosbuvir-containing regimens are effective in Chinese HCV patients with decompensated cirrhosis, regardless of baseline characteristics, as demonstrated by a high rate of SVR 12, as well as improvement in liver function. Although antiviral therapy is generally well tolerated, a vigilant monitoring of anemia and renal function should be mandatory.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fanpu Ji
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, 157 Xi Wu Road, Xi’an, 710004 Shaanxi Province People’s Republic of China
- Shaanxi Provincial Clinical Research Center for Hepatic & Splenic Diseases, Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, China
| | - Wenjun Wang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, 157 Xi Wu Road, Xi’an, 710004 Shaanxi Province People’s Republic of China
| | - Shuangsuo Dang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, 157 Xi Wu Road, Xi’an, 710004 Shaanxi Province People’s Republic of China
| | - Shengbang Wang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, 157 Xi Wu Road, Xi’an, 710004 Shaanxi Province People’s Republic of China
| | - Burong Li
- Department of Clinical Laboratory, Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, China
| | - Dan Bai
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, Medical College of Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, China
| | - Wenxue Zhao
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, 157 Xi Wu Road, Xi’an, 710004 Shaanxi Province People’s Republic of China
| | - Hong Deng
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, 157 Xi Wu Road, Xi’an, 710004 Shaanxi Province People’s Republic of China
| | - Changyin Tian
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, 157 Xi Wu Road, Xi’an, 710004 Shaanxi Province People’s Republic of China
| | - Zongfang Li
- Shaanxi Provincial Clinical Research Center for Hepatic & Splenic Diseases, Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, China
- National & Local Joint Engineering Research Center of Biodiagnosis and Biotherapy, Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, China
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Butt ZA, Shrestha N, Wong S, Kuo M, Gesink D, Gilbert M, Wong J, Yu A, Alvarez M, Samji H, Buxton JA, Johnston JC, Cook VJ, Roth D, Consolacion T, Murti M, Hottes TS, Ogilvie G, Balshaw R, Tyndall MW, Krajden M, Janjua NZ, for the BC Hepatitis Testers Cohort. A syndemic approach to assess the effect of substance use and social disparities on the evolution of HIV/HCV infections in British Columbia. PLoS One 2017; 12:e0183609. [PMID: 28829824 PMCID: PMC5568727 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0183609] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/05/2017] [Accepted: 08/08/2017] [Indexed: 12/19/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Co-occurrence of social conditions and infections may affect HIV/HCV disease risk and progression. We examined the changes in relationship of these social conditions and infections on HIV and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections over time in British Columbia during 1990-2013. METHODS The BC Hepatitis Testers Cohort (BC-HTC) includes ~1.5 million individuals tested for HIV or HCV, or reported as a case of HCV, HIV, HBV, or tuberculosis linked to administrative healthcare databases. We classified HCV and HIV infection status into five combinations: HIV-/HCV-, HIV+monoinfected, HIV-/HCV+seroconverters, HIV-/HCV+prevalent, and HIV+/HCV+. RESULTS Of 1.37 million eligible individuals, 4.1% were HIV-/HCV+prevalent, 0.5% HIV+monoinfected, 0.3% HIV+/HCV+ co-infected and 0.5% HIV-/HCV+seroconverters. Overall, HIV+monoinfected individuals lived in urban areas (92%), had low injection drug use (IDU) (4%), problematic alcohol use (4%) and were materially more privileged than other groups. HIV+/HCV+ co-infected and HIV-/HCV+seroconverters were materially most deprived (37%, 32%), had higher IDU (28%, 49%), problematic alcohol use (14%, 17%) and major mental illnesses (12%, 21%). IDU, opioid substitution therapy, and material deprivation increased in HIV-/HCV+seroconverters over time. In multivariable multinomial regression models, over time, the odds of IDU declined among HIV-/HCV+prevalent and HIV+monoinfected individuals but not in HIV-/HCV+seroconverters. Declines in odds of problematic alcohol use were observed in HIV-/HCV+seroconverters and coinfected individuals over time. CONCLUSIONS These results highlight need for designing prevention, care and support services for HIV and HCV infected populations based on the evolving syndemics of infections and social conditions which vary across groups.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zahid Ahmad Butt
- School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Nabin Shrestha
- School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Stanley Wong
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Margot Kuo
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Dionne Gesink
- Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Mark Gilbert
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Jason Wong
- School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Amanda Yu
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Maria Alvarez
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Hasina Samji
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Jane A. Buxton
- School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - James C. Johnston
- School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Victoria J. Cook
- School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - David Roth
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Theodora Consolacion
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Michelle Murti
- School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
- Fraser Health, Surrey, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Travis S. Hottes
- BCCDC Public Health Laboratory, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Gina Ogilvie
- School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Robert Balshaw
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Mark W. Tyndall
- School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Mel Krajden
- School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
- BCCDC Public Health Laboratory, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Naveed Z. Janjua
- School of Population and Public Health, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
- British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
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Martin NK, Skaathun B, Vickerman P, Stuart D. Modeling Combination HCV Prevention among HIV-infected Men Who Have Sex With Men and People Who Inject Drugs. AIDS Rev 2017; 19:97-104. [PMID: 28534885 PMCID: PMC5560483] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
People who inject drugs (PWID) and HIV-infected men who have sex with men (MSM) are key risk groups for HCV transmission. Mathematical modeling studies can help elucidate what level and combination of prevention intervention scale-up is required to control or eliminate epidemics among these key populations. We discuss the evidence surrounding HCV prevention interventions and provide an overview of the mathematical modeling literature projecting the impact of scaled-up HCV prevention among PWID and HIV-infected MSM. Harm reduction interventions, such as opiate substitution therapy and needle and syringe programs, are effective in reducing HCV incidence among PWID. Modeling and limited empirical data indicate that HCV treatment could additionally be used for prevention. No studies have evaluated the effectiveness of behavior change interventions to reduce HCV incidence among MSM, but existing interventions to reduce HIV risk could be effective. Mathematical modeling and empirical data indicate that scale-up of harm reduction could reduce HCV transmission, but in isolation is unlikely to eliminate HCV among PWID. By contrast, elimination is possibly achievable through combination scale-up of harm reduction and HCV treatment. Similarly, among HIV-infected MSM, eliminating the emerging epidemics will likely require HCV treatment scale-up in combination with additional interventions to reduce HCV-related risk behaviors. In summary, elimination of HCV will likely require combination prevention efforts among both PWID and HIV-infected MSM populations. Further empirical research is required to validate HCV treatment as prevention among these populations, and to identify effective behavioral interventions to reduce HCV incidence among MSM.
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Affiliation(s)
- Natasha K. Martin
- Division of Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, California, USA
- School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, UK
| | - Britt Skaathun
- Division of Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, California, USA
| | - Peter Vickerman
- School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, UK
| | - David Stuart
- Chelsea and Westminster Foundation NHS Trust, London, UK
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Hajarizadeh B, Grebely J, Martinello M, Matthews GV, Lloyd AR, Dore GJ. Hepatitis C treatment as prevention: evidence, feasibility, and challenges. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2016; 1:317-327. [DOI: 10.1016/s2468-1253(16)30075-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 70] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/06/2016] [Revised: 07/28/2016] [Accepted: 07/29/2016] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
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Bunchorntavakul C, Reddy KR. Treat chronic hepatitis C virus infection in decompensated cirrhosis - pre- or post-liver transplantation? the ironic conundrum in the era of effective and well-tolerated therapy. J Viral Hepat 2016; 23:408-18. [PMID: 27018088 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.12534] [Citation(s) in RCA: 63] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/24/2016] [Accepted: 03/01/2016] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
The management of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in patients with decompensated cirrhosis has evolved dramatically over the past few years mainly due to the availability of all-oral antiviral regimens. The currently approved all-oral direct-acting antivirals (DAA) containing sofosbuvir, ledipasvir, daclatasvir and ribavirin, in various combinations, have shown to be safe and effective in patients with decompensated cirrhosis with sustained virological response (SVR) rates nearly comparable to those with well-compensated liver disease. Unique issues yet remain such as the challenges with renal insufficiency, tolerability of ribavirin and risk of further hepatic decompensation with a protease inhibitor-based regimen. While most patients who achieve SVR have demonstrated improvement in hepatic synthetic function over the short course of follow, the long-term beneficial effects are unknown. Further, the baseline predictors of improvement in hepatic function have not been well delineated and thus have left us in a quandary as to what we might expect with successful therapy and thus we are at a loss to well educate our patients. The major concern, in potential liver transplant candidates, is of unintended 'harm' by achieving SVR but without improvement in hepatic function to an extent where the patients might function well. As HCV therapies are as effective in liver transplant recipients, there is a growing sentiment in some of the transplant quarters that those with decompensated liver disease and awaiting liver transplant be treated for HCV after liver transplant. This strategy would thus eliminate any concern of leaving a patient in 'no person's' land by treating HCV successfully pretransplant but not to the point of functional normalcy, while also would maintain the risk of HCC. Yet a contrarian view would be that not all patients have access to liver transplantation (LT), cannot bear the cost, have comorbidities or contraindications to LT. While the debate continues, it is essential that we develop robust predictors of improvement in liver function so that we can carefully select our patients for therapy in the context of liver transplantation.
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Affiliation(s)
- C Bunchorntavakul
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Rajavithi Hospital, College of Medicine, Rangsit University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - K Rajender Reddy
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
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41
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Wirth TC, Manns MP. The impact of the revolution in hepatitis C treatment on hepatocellular carcinoma. Ann Oncol 2016; 27:1467-74. [PMID: 27226385 DOI: 10.1093/annonc/mdw219] [Citation(s) in RCA: 45] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2016] [Accepted: 05/18/2016] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Hepatitis C infection represents a global health problem affecting ∼200 million chronically infected patients worldwide. Owing to the development of a fibrogenic and inflammatory micromilieu in the liver, hepatitis C virus (HCV)-infected patients are at a high risk of developing fibrosis, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The advent of direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs), however, has spurred a revolution in the treatment of HCV patients with sustained viral response (SVR) rates exceeding 90% in real-life settings. Recent clinical trials suggest that these novel treatments will not only alter the epidemiology of HCV infection but also the incidence of HCV-induced complications including hepatic decompensation, liver transplantation and hepatocarcinogenesis. Here, we summarize data from clinical trials carried out in HCV patients with compensated and decompensated cirrhosis and analyze the impact of viral clearance on HCC development and treatment. Finally, we review and discuss current and future treatment options of HCV patients with HCC in pre- and post-transplantation settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- T C Wirth
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Endocrinology, Medical School Hannover, Hannover
| | - M P Manns
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Endocrinology, Medical School Hannover, Hannover German Center for Infectious Diseases (DZIF), Hannover-Braunschweig, Germany
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