Predicting electrical storms by remote monitoring of implantable cardioverter-defibrillator patients using machine learning

Prediction of sudden cardiac death using artificial intelligence: Current status and future directions

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) remains a pressing health issue, affecting hundreds of thousands each year globally. The heterogeneity among people who suffer a SCD, ranging from individuals with severe heart failure to seemingly healthy individuals, poses a significant challenge for effective risk assessment. Conventional risk stratification, which primarily relies on left ventricular ejection fraction, has resulted in only modest efficacy of implantable cardioverter-defibrillators for SCD prevention. In response, artificial intelligence (AI) holds promise for personalized SCD risk prediction and tailoring preventive strategies to the unique profiles of individual patients. Machine and deep learning algorithms have the capability to learn intricate nonlinear patterns between complex data and defined end points, and leverage these to identify subtle indicators and predictors of SCD that may not be apparent through traditional statistical analysis. However, despite the potential of AI to improve SCD risk stratification, there are important limitations that need to be addressed. We aim to provide an overview of the current state-of-the-art of AI prediction models for SCD, highlight the opportunities for these models in clinical practice, and identify the key challenges hindering widespread adoption.

Machine Learning-Based Clustering Using a 12-Lead Electrocardiogram in Patients With a Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator to Identify Future Ventricular Arrhythmia

BACKGROUND

Implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) reduce mortality associated with ventricular arrhythmia in high-risk patients with cardiovascular disease. Machine learning (ML) approaches are promising tools in arrhythmia research; however, their application in predicting ventricular arrhythmias in patients with ICDs remains unexplored. We aimed to predict and stratify ventricular arrhythmias requiring ICD therapy using 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECGs) in patients with an ICD.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This retrospective analysis included 200 adult patients who underwent ICD implantation at a single center. Patient demographics, clinical features, and 12-lead ECG data were collected. Unsupervised learning techniques, including K-means and hierarchical clustering, were used to stratify patients based on 12-lead ECG features. Dimensionality reduction methods were also used to optimize clustering accuracy. The silhouette coefficient was used to determine the optimal method and number of clusters. Of the 200 patients, 59 (29.5%) received appropriate therapy. The mean age of patients was 62.3 years, and 81.0% were male. The mean follow-up period was 2,953 days, with no significant intergroup differences. Hierarchical clustering into 3 clusters proved to be the most accurate (silhouette coefficient=0.585). Kaplan-Meier curves for these 3 clusters revealed significant differences (P=0.026).

CONCLUSIONS

We highlight the potential of ML-based clustering using 12-lead ECGs to help in the risk stratification of ventricular arrhythmia. Future research in a larger multicenter setting may provide further insights and refine ICD indications.

Machine Learning Identifies Arrhythmogenic Features of QRS Fragmentation in Human Cardiomyopathy: Implications for Improving Risk Stratification

BACKGROUND

Heterogeneous ventricular activation can provide the substrate for ventricular arrhythmias (VA), but its manifestation on the electrocardiogram (ECG) as a risk stratifier is not well-defined.

OBJECTIVE

To characterize the spatiotemporal features of QRS peaks that best predict VA in patients with cardiomyopathy (CM) using machine learning (ML).

METHODS

Prospectively enrolled CM patients with prophylactic defibrillators (n=95) underwent digital, high-resolution ECG recordings during intrinsic rhythm and ventricular pacing at 100 to 120 beats/min. Intra QRS peaks in the signal-averaged precordial leads were identified and their characteristics (amplitude, width, and timing within the QRS) were transformed into 4-bin histograms. Random forest models of these characteristics in each lead alongside clinical data were trained on 76 patients and tested on 19 patients with cross-validation to determine the features that predicted VA.

RESULTS

Patients were followed up for 45 (22-48) months, and 21% had VA. The individual machine learning (ML) models determined (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]) intrinsic QRS peak amplitude (0.88), width (0.78), and location (0.84) to all predict VA. In a combined model including all QRS peak characteristics, peaks with amplitude < 31 μV in V1, a width of 4 to 8 ms in V1, and location in the final quarter of the QRS of V1 were most predictive. Neither clinical data nor QRS peak characteristics assessed during ventricular pacing improved VA prediction when combined with intrinsic QRS peak characteristics.

CONCLUSIONS

Arrhythmogenic QRS fragmentation is characterized by narrow, low-amplitude peaks in the terminal QRS of lead V1. These features alone without clinical variables or ventricular pacing are sufficient to accurately risk stratify CM patients.

Machine learning for prediction of ventricular arrhythmia episodes from intracardiac electrograms of automatic implantable cardioverter-defibrillators

BACKGROUND

Despite effectiveness of the implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) in saving patients with life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias (VAs), the temporal occurrence of VA after ICD implantation is unpredictable.

OBJECTIVE

The study aimed to apply machine learning (ML) to intracardiac electrograms (IEGMs) recorded by ICDs as a unique biomarker for predicting impending VAs.

METHODS

The study included 13,516 patients who received Biotronik ICDs and enrolled in the CERTITUDE registry between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2020. Database extraction included IEGMs from standard quarterly transmissions and VA event episodes. The processed IEGM data were pulled from device transmissions stored in a centralized Home Monitoring Service Center and reformatted into an analyzable format. Long-range (baseline or first scheduled remote recording), mid-range (scheduled remote recording every 90 days), or short-range predictions (IEGM within 5 seconds before the VA onset) were used to determine whether ML-processed IEGMs predicted impending VA events. Convolutional neural network classifiers using ResNet architecture were employed.

RESULTS

Of 13,516 patients (male, 72%; age, 67.5 ± 11.9 years), 301,647 IEGM recordings were collected; 27,845 episodes of sustained ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation were observed in 4467 patients (33.0%). Neural networks based on convolutional neural networks using ResNet-like architectures on far-field IEGMs yielded an area under the curve of 0.83 with a 95% confidence interval of 0.79-0.87 in the short term, whereas the long-range and mid-range analyses had minimal predictive value for VA events.

CONCLUSION

In this study, applying ML to ICD-acquired IEGMs predicted impending ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation events seconds before they occurred, whereas midterm to long-term predictions were not successful. This could have important implications for future device therapies.

Emergence of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Models in Sudden Cardiac Arrest: A Comprehensive Review of Predictive Performance and Clinical Decision Support

Sudden cardiac death/sudden cardiac arrest (SCD/SCA) is an increasingly prevalent cause of mortality globally, particularly in individuals with preexisting cardiac conditions. The ambiguous premortem warnings and the restricted interventional window related to SCD account for the complexity of the condition. Current reports suggest SCD to be accountable for 20% of all deaths hence accurately predicting SCD risk is an imminent concern. Traditional approaches for predicting SCA, particularly "track-and-trigger" warning systems have demonstrated considerable inadequacies, including low sensitivity, false alarms, decreased diagnostic liability, reliance on clinician involvement, and human errors. Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) models have demonstrated near-perfect accuracy in predicting SCA risk, allowing clinicians to intervene timely. Given the constraints of current diagnostics, exploring the benefits of AI and ML models in enhancing outcomes for SCA/SCD is imperative. This review article aims to investigate the efficacy of AI and ML models in predicting and managing SCD, particularly targeting accuracy in prediction.

Application and Potential of Artificial Intelligence in Heart Failure: Past, Present, and Future

The prevalence of heart failure (HF) is increasing, necessitating accurate diagnosis and tailored treatment. The accumulation of clinical information from patients with HF generates big data, which poses challenges for traditional analytical methods. To address this, big data approaches and artificial intelligence (AI) have been developed that can effectively predict future observations and outcomes, enabling precise diagnoses and personalized treatments of patients with HF. Machine learning (ML) is a subfield of AI that allows computers to analyze data, find patterns, and make predictions without explicit instructions. ML can be supervised, unsupervised, or semi-supervised. Deep learning is a branch of ML that uses artificial neural networks with multiple layers to find complex patterns. These AI technologies have shown significant potential in various aspects of HF research, including diagnosis, outcome prediction, classification of HF phenotypes, and optimization of treatment strategies. In addition, integrating multiple data sources, such as electrocardiography, electronic health records, and imaging data, can enhance the diagnostic accuracy of AI algorithms. Currently, wearable devices and remote monitoring aided by AI enable the earlier detection of HF and improved patient care. This review focuses on the rationale behind utilizing AI in HF and explores its various applications.

Machine learning-derived cycle length variability metrics predict spontaneously terminating ventricular tachycardia in implantable cardioverter defibrillator recipients

Aims

Implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) therapies have been associated with increased mortality and should be minimized when safe to do so. We hypothesized that machine learning-derived ventricular tachycardia (VT) cycle length (CL) variability metrics could be used to discriminate between sustained and spontaneously terminating VT.

Methods and results

In this single-centre retrospective study, we analysed data from 69 VT episodes stored on ICDs from 27 patients (36 spontaneously terminating VT, 33 sustained VT). Several VT CL parameters including heart rate variability metrics were calculated. Additionally, a first order auto-regression model was fitted using the first 10 CLs. Using features derived from the first 10 CLs, a random forest classifier was used to predict VT termination. Sustained VT episodes had more stable CLs. Using data from the first 10 CLs only, there was greater CL variability in the spontaneously terminating episodes (mean of standard deviation of first 10 CLs: 20.1 ± 8.9 vs. 11.5 ± 7.8 ms, P < 0.0001). The auto-regression coefficient was significantly greater in spontaneously terminating episodes (mean auto-regression coefficient 0.39 ± 0.32 vs. 0.14 ± 0.39, P < 0.005). A random forest classifier with six features yielded an accuracy of 0.77 (95% confidence interval 0.67 to 0.87) for prediction of VT termination.

Conclusion

Ventricular tachycardia CL variability and instability are associated with spontaneously terminating VT and can be used to predict spontaneous VT termination. Given the harmful effects of unnecessary ICD shocks, this machine learning model could be incorporated into ICD algorithms to defer therapies for episodes of VT that are likely to self-terminate.

Risk prediction of inappropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapy using machine learning

We aimed to develop machine learning-based predictive models for identifying inappropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy. Our study included 182 consecutive cases (average age 62.2 ± 4.5 years, 169 men) and employed 14 non-deep learning models for prediction (hold-out method). These models utilized selected electrocardiogram parameters and clinical features collected after ICD implantation. From the feature importance analysis of the best ML model, we established easily calculable scores. Among the patients, 25 (13.7%) experienced inappropriate therapy, and we identified 16 significant predictors. Using recursive feature elimination with cross-validation, we reduced the features to six with high feature importance: history of atrial arrhythmia (Atr-arrhythm), ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM), absence of diabetes mellitus (DM), lack of cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT), V3 ST level at J point (V3 STJ), and V5 R-wave amplitudes (V5R amp). The extra-trees classifier yielded the highest area under receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC; 0.869 on test data). Thus, the Cardi35 score was defined as [+ 5.5*Atr-arrhythm - 1.5*CRT + 1.0*V3STJ + 1.0*V5R - 1.0*ICM - 0.5*DM], which demonstrated a hazard ratio of 1.62 (P < 0.001). A cut-off value of the score + 5.5 showed high AUROC (0.826). The ML approach can yield a robust prediction model, and the Cardi35 score was a convenient predictor for inappropriate therapy.

The digital journey: 25 years of digital development in electrophysiology from an Europace perspective

AIMS

Over the past 25 years there has been a substantial development in the field of digital electrophysiology (EP) and in parallel a substantial increase in publications on digital cardiology.In this celebratory paper, we provide an overview of the digital field by highlighting publications from the field focusing on the EP Europace journal.

RESULTS

In this journey across the past quarter of a century we follow the development of digital tools commonly used in the clinic spanning from the initiation of digital clinics through the early days of telemonitoring, to wearables, mobile applications, and the use of fully virtual clinics. We then provide a chronicle of the field of artificial intelligence, a regulatory perspective, and at the end of our journey provide a future outlook for digital EP.

CONCLUSION

Over the past 25 years Europace has published a substantial number of papers on digital EP, with a marked expansion in digital publications in recent years.

Remote monitoring of cardiac implantable electronic devices and disease management

This reviews the transition of remote monitoring of patients with cardiac electronic implantable devices from curiosity to standard of care. This has been delivered by technology evolution from patient-activated remote interrogations at appointed intervals to continuous monitoring that automatically flags clinically actionable information to the clinic for review. This model has facilitated follow-up and received professional society recommendations. Additionally, continuous monitoring has provided a new level of granularity of diagnostic data enabling extension of patient management from device to disease management. This ushers in an era of digital medicine with wider applications in cardiovascular medicine.

Artificial Intelligence in Ventricular Arrhythmias and Sudden Death

Sudden cardiac arrest due to lethal ventricular arrhythmias is a major cause of mortality worldwide and results in more years of potential life lost than any individual cancer. Most of these sudden cardiac arrest events occur unexpectedly in individuals who have not been identified as high-risk due to the inadequacy of current risk stratification tools. Artificial intelligence tools are increasingly being used to solve complex problems and are poised to help with this major unmet need in the field of clinical electrophysiology. By leveraging large and detailed datasets, artificial intelligence-based prediction models have the potential to enhance the risk stratification of lethal ventricular arrhythmias. This review presents a synthesis of the published literature and a discussion of future directions in this field.

Sudden cardiac death multiparametric classification system for Chagas heart disease's patients based on clinical data and 24-hours ECG monitoring

About 6.5 million people are infected with Chagas disease (CD) globally, and WHO estimates that $ > million people worldwide suffer from ChHD. Sudden cardiac death (SCD) represents one of the leading causes of death worldwide and affects approximately 65% of ChHD patients at a rate of 24 per 1000 patient-years, much greater than the SCD rate in the general population. Its occurrence in the specific context of ChHD needs to be better exploited. This paper provides the first evidence supporting the use of machine learning (ML) methods within non-invasive tests: patients' clinical data and cardiac restitution metrics (CRM) features extracted from ECG-Holter recordings as an adjunct in the SCD risk assessment in ChHD. The feature selection (FS) flows evaluated 5 different groups of attributes formed from patients' clinical and physiological data to identify relevant attributes among 57 features reported by 315 patients at HUCFF-UFRJ. The FS flow with FS techniques (variance, ANOVA, and recursive feature elimination) and Naive Bayes (NB) model achieved the best classification performance with 90.63% recall (sensitivity) and 80.55% AUC. The initial feature set is reduced to a subset of 13 features (4 Classification; 1 Treatment; 1 CRM; and 7 Heart Tests). The proposed method represents an intelligent diagnostic support system that predicts the high risk of SCD in ChHD patients and highlights the clinical and CRM data that most strongly impact the final outcome.

Emerging role of artificial intelligence in cardiac electrophysiology

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have significantly impacted the field of cardiovascular medicine, especially cardiac electrophysiology (EP), on multiple fronts. The goal of this review is to familiarize readers with the field of AI and ML and their emerging role in EP. The current review is divided into 3 sections. In the first section, we discuss the definitions and basics of AI, ML, and big data. In the second section, we discuss their application to EP in the context of detection, prediction, and management of arrhythmias. Finally, we discuss the regulatory issues, challenges, and future directions of AI in EP.

Machine learning in sudden cardiac death risk prediction: a systematic review

AIMS

Most patients who receive implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) for primary prevention do not receive therapy during the lifespan of the ICD, whilst up to 50% of sudden cardiac death (SCD) occur in individuals who are considered low risk by conventional criteria. Machine learning offers a novel approach to risk stratification for ICD assignment.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Systematic search was performed in MEDLINE, Embase, Emcare, CINAHL, Cochrane Library, OpenGrey, MedrXiv, arXiv, Scopus, and Web of Science. Studies modelling SCD risk prediction within days to years using machine learning were eligible for inclusion. Transparency and quality of reporting (TRIPOD) and risk of bias (PROBAST) were assessed. A total of 4356 studies were screened with 11 meeting the inclusion criteria with heterogeneous populations, methods, and outcome measures preventing meta-analysis. The study size ranged from 122 to 124 097 participants. Input data sources included demographic, clinical, electrocardiogram, electrophysiological, imaging, and genetic data ranging from 4 to 72 variables per model. The most common outcome metric reported was the area under the receiver operator characteristic (n = 7) ranging between 0.71 and 0.96. In six studies comparing machine learning models and regression, machine learning improved performance in five. No studies adhered to a reporting standard. Five of the papers were at high risk of bias.

CONCLUSION

Machine learning for SCD prediction has been under-applied and incorrectly implemented but is ripe for future investigation. It may have some incremental utility in predicting SCD over traditional models. The development of reporting standards for machine learning is required to improve the quality of evidence reporting in the field.

Applications of Machine Learning in Cardiology

In this digital era, artificial intelligence (AI) is establishing a strong foothold in commercial industry and the field of technology. These effects are trickling into the healthcare industry, especially in the clinical arena of cardiology. Machine learning (ML) algorithms are making substantial progress in various subspecialties of cardiology. This will have a positive impact on patient care and move the field towards precision medicine. In this review article, we explore the progress of ML in cardiovascular imaging, electrophysiology, heart failure, and interventional cardiology.

Role of artificial intelligence in defibrillators: a narrative review

Automated external defibrillators (AEDs) and implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) are used to treat life-threatening arrhythmias. AEDs and ICDs use shock advice algorithms to classify ECG tracings as shockable or non-shockable rhythms in clinical practice. Machine learning algorithms have recently been assessed for shock decision classification with increasing accuracy. Outside of rhythm classification alone, they have been evaluated in diagnosis of causes of cardiac arrest, prediction of success of defibrillation and rhythm classification without the need to interrupt cardiopulmonary resuscitation. This review explores the many applications of machine learning in AEDs and ICDs. While these technologies are exciting areas of research, there remain limitations to their widespread use including high processing power, cost and the ‘black-box’ phenomenon.

Machine learning techniques for arrhythmic risk stratification: a review of the literature

Ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) and sudden cardiac death (SCD) are significant adverse events that affect the morbidity and mortality of both the general population and patients with predisposing cardiovascular risk factors. Currently, conventional disease-specific scores are used for risk stratification purposes. However, these risk scores have several limitations, including variations among validation cohorts, the inclusion of a limited number of predictors while omitting important variables, as well as hidden relationships between predictors. Machine learning (ML) techniques are based on algorithms that describe intervariable relationships. Recent studies have implemented ML techniques to construct models for the prediction of fatal VAs. However, the application of ML study findings is limited by the absence of established frameworks for its implementation, in addition to clinicians’ unfamiliarity with ML techniques. This review, therefore, aims to provide an accessible and easy-to-understand summary of the existing evidence about the use of ML techniques in the prediction of VAs. Our findings suggest that ML algorithms improve arrhythmic prediction performance in different clinical settings. However, it should be emphasized that prospective studies comparing ML algorithms to conventional risk models are needed while a regulatory framework is required prior to their implementation in clinical practice.

Rationale and design of the SafeHeart study: Development and testing of a mHealth tool for the prediction of arrhythmic events and implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapy

Background

Patients with an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) are at a high risk of malignant ventricular arrhythmias. The use of remote ICD monitoring, wearable devices, and patient-reported outcomes generate large volumes of potential valuable data. Artificial intelligence–based methods can be used to develop personalized prediction models and improve early-warning systems.

Objective

The purpose of this study was to develop an integrated web-based personalized prediction engine for ICD therapy.

Methods

This international, multicenter, prospective, observational study consists of 2 phases: (1) a development study and (2) a feasibility study. We plan to enroll 400 participants with an ICD (with or without cardiac resynchronization therapy) on remote monitoring: 300 participants in the development study and 100 in the feasibility study. During 12-month follow-up, electronic health record data, remote monitoring data, accelerometry-assessed physical behavior data, and patient-reported data are collected. By using machine- and deep-learning approaches, a prediction engine is developed to assess the risk probability of ICD therapy (shock and antitachycardia pacing). The feasibility of the prediction engine as a clinical tool, the SafeHeart Platform, is assessed during the feasibility study.

Results

Development study recruitment commenced in 2021. The feasibility study starts in 2022.

Conclusion

SafeHeart is the first study to prospectively collect a multimodal data set to construct a personalized prediction engine for ICD therapy. Moreover, SafeHeart explores the integration and added value of detailed objective accelerometer data in the prediction of clinical events. The translation of the SafeHeart Platform to clinical practice is examined during the feasibility study.

Big Data in electrophysiology

The quantity of data produced and captured in medicine today is unprecedented. Technological improvements and automation have expanded the traditional statistical methods and enabled the analysis of Big Data. This has permitted the discovery of new associations with a granularity that was previously hidden to human eyes. In the first part of this review, the authors would like to provide an overview of basic Machine Learning (ML) principles and techniques in order to better understand their application in recent publications about cardiac arrhythmias. In the second part, ML-enabled advances in disease detection and diagnosis, outcome prediction, and novel disease characterization in topics like electrocardiography, atrial fibrillation, ventricular arrhythmias, and cardiac devices are presented. Finally, the limitations and challenges of applying ML in clinical practice, such as validation, replication, generalizability, and regulatory issues, are discussed. More carefully designed studies and collaborations are needed for ML to become feasible, trustworthy, accurate, and reproducible and to reach its full potential for patient-oriented precision medicine.

Accelerometer-assessed physical behavior and the association with clinical outcomes in implantable cardioverter-defibrillator recipients: A systematic review

Background

Current implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) devices are equipped with a device-embedded accelerometer capable of capturing physical activity (PA). In contrast, wearable accelerometer-based methods enable the measurement of physical behavior (PB) that encompasses not only PA but also sleep behavior, sedentary time, and rest-activity patterns.

Objective

This systematic review evaluates accelerometer-based methods used in patients carrying an ICD or at high risk of sudden cardiac death.

Methods

Papers were identified via the OVID MEDLINE and OVID EMBASE databases. PB could be assessed using a wearable accelerometer or an embedded accelerometer in the ICD.

Results

A total of 52 papers were deemed appropriate for this review. Out of these studies, 30 examined device-embedded accelerometry (189,811 patients), 19 examined wearable accelerometry (1601 patients), and 3 validated wearable accelerometry against device-embedded accelerometry (106 patients). The main findings were that a low level of PA after implantation of the ICD and a decline in PA were both associated with an increased risk of mortality, heart failure hospitalization, and appropriate ICD shock. Second, PA was affected by cardiac factors (eg, onset of atrial fibrillation, ICD shocks) and noncardiac factors (eg, seasonal differences, societal factors).

Conclusion

This review demonstrated the potential of accelerometer-measured PA as a marker of clinical deterioration and ventricular arrhythmias. Notwithstanding that the evidence of PB assessed using wearable accelerometry was limited, there seems to be potential for accelerometers to improve early warning systems and facilitate preventative and proactive strategies.

Advances in Cardiac Pacing: Arrhythmia Prediction, Prevention and Control Strategies

Cardiac arrhythmias constitute a tremendous burden on healthcare and are the leading cause of mortality worldwide. An alarming number of people have been reported to manifest sudden cardiac death as the first symptom of cardiac arrhythmias, accounting for about 20% of all deaths annually. Furthermore, patients prone to atrial tachyarrhythmias such as atrial flutter and fibrillation often have associated comorbidities including hypertension, ischemic heart disease, valvular cardiomyopathy and increased risk of stroke. Technological advances in electrical stimulation and sensing modalities have led to the proliferation of medical devices including pacemakers and implantable defibrillators, aiming to restore normal cardiac rhythm. However, given the complex spatiotemporal dynamics and non-linearity of the human heart, predicting the onset of arrhythmias and preventing the transition from steady state to unstable rhythms has been an extremely challenging task. Defibrillatory shocks still remain the primary clinical intervention for lethal ventricular arrhythmias, yet patients with implantable cardioverter defibrillators often suffer from inappropriate shocks due to false positives and reduced quality of life. Here, we aim to present a comprehensive review of the current advances in cardiac arrhythmia prediction, prevention and control strategies. We provide an overview of traditional clinical arrhythmia management methods and describe promising potential pacing techniques for predicting the onset of abnormal rhythms and effectively suppressing cardiac arrhythmias. We also offer a clinical perspective on bridging the gap between basic and clinical science that would aid in the assimilation of promising anti-arrhythmic pacing strategies.

Clinician Preimplementation Perspectives of a Decision-Support Tool for the Prediction of Cardiac Arrhythmia Based on Machine Learning: Near-Live Feasibility and Qualitative Study

BACKGROUND

Artificial intelligence (AI), such as machine learning (ML), shows great promise for improving clinical decision-making in cardiac diseases by outperforming statistical-based models. However, few AI-based tools have been implemented in cardiology clinics because of the sociotechnical challenges during transitioning from algorithm development to real-world implementation.

OBJECTIVE

This study explored how an ML-based tool for predicting ventricular tachycardia and ventricular fibrillation (VT/VF) could support clinical decision-making in the remote monitoring of patients with an implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD).

METHODS

Seven experienced electrophysiologists participated in a near-live feasibility and qualitative study, which included walkthroughs of 5 blinded retrospective patient cases, use of the prediction tool, and questionnaires and interview questions. All sessions were video recorded, and sessions evaluating the prediction tool were transcribed verbatim. Data were analyzed through an inductive qualitative approach based on grounded theory.

RESULTS

The prediction tool was found to have potential for supporting decision-making in ICD remote monitoring by providing reassurance, increasing confidence, acting as a second opinion, reducing information search time, and enabling delegation of decisions to nurses and technicians. However, the prediction tool did not lead to changes in clinical action and was found less useful in cases where the quality of data was poor or when VT/VF predictions were found to be irrelevant for evaluating the patient.

CONCLUSIONS

When transitioning from AI development to testing its feasibility for clinical implementation, we need to consider the following: expectations must be aligned with the intended use of AI; trust in the prediction tool is likely to emerge from real-world use; and AI accuracy is relational and dependent on available information and local workflows. Addressing the sociotechnical gap between the development and implementation of clinical decision-support tools based on ML in cardiac care is essential for succeeding with adoption. It is suggested to include clinical end-users, clinical contexts, and workflows throughout the overall iterative approach to design, development, and implementation.

Remote monitoring of cardiac implanted electronic devices: legal requirements and ethical principles - ESC Regulatory Affairs Committee/EHRA joint task force report

The European Union (EU) General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) imposes legal responsibilities concerning the collection and processing of personal information from individuals who live in the EU. It has particular implications for the remote monitoring of cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs). This report from a joint Task Force of the European Heart Rhythm Association and the Regulatory Affairs Committee of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) recommends a common legal interpretation of the GDPR. Manufacturers and hospitals should be designated as joint controllers of the data collected by remote monitoring (depending upon the system architecture) and they should have a mutual contract in place that defines their respective roles; a generic template is proposed. Alternatively, they may be two independent controllers. Self-employed cardiologists also are data controllers. Third-party providers of monitoring platforms may act as data processors. Manufacturers should always collect and process the minimum amount of identifiable data necessary, and wherever feasible have access only to pseudonymized data. Cybersecurity vulnerabilities have been reported concerning the security of transmission of data between a patient's device and the transceiver, so manufacturers should use secure communication protocols. Patients need to be informed how their remotely monitored data will be handled and used, and their informed consent should be sought before their device is implanted. Review of consent forms in current use revealed great variability in length and content, and sometimes very technical language; therefore, a standard information sheet and generic consent form are proposed. Cardiologists who care for patients with CIEDs that are remotely monitored should be aware of these issues.

Applications of Machine Learning in Cardiac Electrophysiology

Artificial intelligence through machine learning (ML) methods is becoming prevalent throughout the world, with increasing adoption in healthcare. Improvements in technology have allowed early applications of machine learning to assist physician efficiency and diagnostic accuracy. In electrophysiology, ML has applications for use in every stage of patient care. However, its use is still in infancy. This article will introduce the potential of ML, before discussing the concept of big data and its pitfalls. The authors review some common ML methods including supervised and unsupervised learning, then examine applications in cardiac electrophysiology. This will focus on surface electrocardiography, intracardiac mapping and cardiac implantable electronic devices. Finally, the article concludes with an overview of how ML may impact on electrophysiology in the future.

The risk and prevention of sudden death in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Patients with heart failure are at increased risk of sudden cardiac death. The methods to predict patients at high risk of sudden cardiac death in heart failure are neither sensitive nor specific; both overestimating risk in those with ejection fractions less than 35% and not identifying those at risk with ejection fractions greater than 35%.

RECENT FINDINGS

The absolute risk of sudden cardiac death in patients with heart failure have decreased over the past 20 years. New novel tools are being developed and tested to identify those at higher risk of sudden cardiac death. Reduction in the risk of sudden cardiac death has been achieved with the use of beta-blockers, spironolactone, sacubitril-valsartan, cardiac resynchronization and implantable cardioverter defibrillators.

SUMMARY

The use of contemporary treatments for patients with heart failure can reduce the risk of sudden cardiac death, but research is required to identify those at highest risk.

Towards Prediction of Heart Arrhythmia Onset Using Machine Learning

Current study aims at prediction of the onset of malignant cardiac arrhythmia in patients with Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillators (ICDs) using Machine Learning algorithms. The input data consisted of 184 signals of RR-intervals from 29 patients with ICD, recorded both during normal heartbeat and arrhythmia. For every signal we generated 47 descriptors with different signal analysis methods. Then, we performed feature selection using several methods and used selected feature for building predictive models with the help of Random Forest algorithm. Entire modelling procedure was performed within 5-fold cross-validation procedure that was repeated 10 times. Results were stable and repeatable. The results obtained (AUC = 0.82, MCC = 0.45) are statistically significant and show that RR intervals carry information about arrhythmia onset. The sample size used in this study was too small to build useful medical predictive models, hence large data sets should be explored to construct models of sufficient quality to be of direct utility in medical practice.

Impact of device programming on the success of the first anti-tachycardia pacing therapy: An anonymized large-scale study

Background

Antitachycardia pacing (ATP) is an effective treatment for ventricular tachycardia (VT). We evaluated the efficacy of different ATP programs based on a large remote monitoring data set from patients with implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs).

Methods

A dataset from 18,679 ICD patients was used to evaluate the first delivered ATP treatment. We considered all device programs that were used for at least 50 patients, leaving us with 7 different programs and a total of 32,045 episodes. We used the two-proportions z-test (α = 0.01) to compare the probability of success and the probability for acceleration in each group with the corresponding values of the default setting.

Results

Overall, the first ATP treatment terminated in 78.4%–97.5% of episodes with slow VT and 81.5%–91.1% of episodes with fast VT. The default setting of the ATP programs with the number of sequences S = 3 was applied to treat 30.1% of the slow and 36.6% of the fast episodes. Reducing the maximum number of sequences to S = 2 decreased the success rate for slow VT (P < 0.0001, h = 0.38), while the setting S = 4 resulted in the highest success rate of 97.5% (P < 0.0001, h = 0.27).

Conclusion

While the default programs performed well, we found that increasing the number of sequences from 3 to 4 was a promising option to improve the overall ATP performance.