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Wang Z, Cui Z, Wang P. Association between platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio at admission and short-term mortality in severe burn patients: A meta-analysis. Burns 2025; 51:107444. [PMID: 40233524 DOI: 10.1016/j.burns.2025.107444] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/05/2024] [Revised: 01/23/2025] [Accepted: 02/24/2025] [Indexed: 04/17/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) reflects a pro-inflammatory state, which has been related to the severity and poor prognosis in severe burn patients. However, the results of the previous studies were not consistent. This meta-analysis aims to evaluate the relationship between PLR at admission and short-term mortality in severe burn injuries. METHODS A comprehensive search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Wanfang, and CNKI for studies published until September 9, 2024. Cohort studies assessing PLR and short-term mortality in severe burn patients were included. Mean difference (MD) for PLR between survivors and nonsurvivors of severe burn, and odds ratios (OR) for short-term mortality (during hospitalization or within 90 days) comparing between patients with a high versus a low PLR at admission were summarized. RESULTS Eleven cohort studies with 4515 patients were included. The analysis revealed that PLR at admission was significantly lower in survivors compared to nonsurvivors (MD: -14.17; 95 % confidence interval [CI]: -28.01 to -0.34; p = 0.04). Subgroup analyses showed consistent findings across various demographics, including age, sex, total body surface area affected by burn, proportion of patients with inhalation injury, follow-up duration, and different study quality scores (p for subgroup difference all > 0.05). Furthermore, a high PLR at admission was associated with an increased risk of short-term mortality (OR: 1.37; 95 % CI: 1.16-1.63; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS A high PLR at admission is associated with an increased risk of short-term mortality in severe burn patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhuo Wang
- Department of Burn Repair and Reconstructive Surgery, the First affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450000, China
| | - Zhengjun Cui
- Department of Burn Repair and Reconstructive Surgery, the First affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450000, China.
| | - Peisheng Wang
- Plastic Surgery Department, Shanghai Tiantanpuhua Hospital, Shanghai 200000, China
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Cao Q, He X, Chen X, Han X, Yang L. Red blood cell distribution width at admission and the short-term mortality of patients with severe burn injury: a meta-analysis. Eur J Med Res 2024; 29:589. [PMID: 39696510 DOI: 10.1186/s40001-024-02165-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/18/2024] [Accepted: 11/20/2024] [Indexed: 12/20/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Red blood cell distribution width (RDW) is a marker of inflammation and oxidative stress, and its elevation has been associated with poor outcomes in critically ill patients. This meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the association between RDW at admission and short-term mortality in patients with severe burn injury. METHODS We systematically searched PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science up to August 2024, following PRISMA 2020 and Cochrane guidelines. Cohort studies of adult severe burn patients who reported RDW at admission and short-term mortality were included. Meta-analyses were performed using random-effects models, with mean difference (MD) and relative risk (RR) calculated for RDW and mortality outcomes, respectively. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess heterogeneity. RESULTS Nine cohort studies involving 5268 patients were included. Overall, RDW at admission was higher in nonsurvivors compared to survivors [MD: 0.95%, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.52-1.38, p < 0.001, I2 = 57%]. In addition, a high RDW was associated with an increased risk of short-term mortality (RR: 1.76, 95% CI: 1.41-2.19, p < 0.001, I2 = 77%). Sensitivity analyses by excluding one dataset at a time confirmed the robustness of these findings. Subgroup analyses revealed no significant differences based on clinical settings, patient age, sex, follow-up duration, or study quality. CONCLUSIONS RDW at admission is a significant predictor of short-term mortality in patients with severe burn injury. This finding highlights the potential role of RDW as a simple and effective marker for risk stratification in these patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qing Cao
- Department of Burn Plastic and Wound Repair, Jiujiang City Key Laboratory of Cell Therapy, Jiujiang NO.1 People's Hospital, No. 48 Taling Nanlu, Jiujiang, 332000, Jiangxi, China
| | - Xiafei He
- Department of Burn Plastic and Wound Repair, Jiujiang City Key Laboratory of Cell Therapy, Jiujiang NO.1 People's Hospital, No. 48 Taling Nanlu, Jiujiang, 332000, Jiangxi, China
| | - Xiuhuang Chen
- Department of Burn Plastic and Wound Repair, Jiujiang City Key Laboratory of Cell Therapy, Jiujiang NO.1 People's Hospital, No. 48 Taling Nanlu, Jiujiang, 332000, Jiangxi, China
| | - Xing Han
- Department of Burn Plastic and Wound Repair, Jiujiang City Key Laboratory of Cell Therapy, Jiujiang NO.1 People's Hospital, No. 48 Taling Nanlu, Jiujiang, 332000, Jiangxi, China
| | - Lutao Yang
- Department of Burn Plastic and Wound Repair, Jiujiang City Key Laboratory of Cell Therapy, Jiujiang NO.1 People's Hospital, No. 48 Taling Nanlu, Jiujiang, 332000, Jiangxi, China.
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Awad MKA, Elsahhar A, Alwakeel M, Awad R, Gomaa N, Salem AMA, Ramadan M, Elsahhar G, Abdelbaky RER, Fadell F. Admission neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio to predict mortality in burn patients: a meta-analysis. Intensive Care Med Exp 2024; 12:86. [PMID: 39352440 PMCID: PMC11445202 DOI: 10.1186/s40635-024-00668-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/10/2024] [Accepted: 09/09/2024] [Indexed: 10/04/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) proves to be a convenient and cost-effective marker with studies showing that a high NLR can serve as a mortality indicator in burn cases. We conducted a meta-analysis aiming to explore whether on-admission NLR values could serve as predictors of mortality in burn patients. METHODS PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus and Embase were searched from inception until January 2024. We included all studies investigating burn patients that contain information on the NLR value at the time of hospital admission and mortality outcomes. The studies were critically appraised using the NIH Quality Assessment Tool. RESULTS Nine studies fulfilled our criteria with a total population of 1837 participants, including 1526 survivor Burn patients and 311 non-survivor Burn patients. The overall mean difference measured by random model showed a significant increase in NLR by 5.06 (95% CI 3.42, 6.68) p ≤ 0.001 for the non-survivor group over the survivors group with heterogeneity I2 = 67.33%, p ≤ 0.001. A meta-regression was done to investigate the potential source of heterogeneity among studies. The results showed that age (p = 0.394), gender (p = 0.164), and sample size (p = 0.099) did not contribute to the source of heterogeneity, however, the burn surface area contributed significantly (p = 0.002). A leave-one-out meta-analysis was done, showing that omitting Le Qui et al., leads to significantly decrease the heterogeneity to be I2 = 2.73%. Meta-regression repeated to assess the burn surface area again to be found noncontributing (p = 0.404). CONCLUSIONS Our findings support that elevated NLR values can serve as a mortality indicator in burn cases. This will have a great clinical impact by aiding in stratifying the burn patients on admission.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohamed K A Awad
- Department of Anesthesia and Critical Care, Faculty of Medicine, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Ahmed Elsahhar
- Department of Radiology, Faculty of Medicine, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt.
| | - Mahmoud Alwakeel
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Respiratory Institute, Cleveland Clinic, 9500 Euclid Ave, Mail Code A90, Cleveland, OH, 44195, USA
| | - Radwa Awad
- Department of Critical Care, Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt
| | - Nada Gomaa
- Department of Radiology, Faculty of Medicine, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt
| | | | | | - Ghada Elsahhar
- Egyptian Ministry of Health, Cairo, Egypt
- Birmingham Women's and Children's NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, UK
| | | | - Francois Fadell
- Veterans Affairs Western New York Health Care System, 3495 Bailey Avenue, Buffalo, NY, 14215, USA
- Jacobs School of Medicine, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA
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Khan AY, Waheed F, Rehan M, Arshad Z, Iqbal T, Waqar S, Waheed U. Hematological Trends in Severe Burn Patients: A Comprehensive Study for Prognosis and Clinical Insights. J Burn Care Res 2024; 45:1315-1320. [PMID: 38602154 DOI: 10.1093/jbcr/irae057] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2024] [Indexed: 04/12/2024]
Abstract
Severe burn injuries pose diagnostic challenges, contributing to increased fatality rates with delayed diagnoses. This study aims to identify early risk factors and understand their impact on clinical outcomes by examining hematological dynamics in severe burn cases. The focus includes age-related patterns, total body surface area (TBSA) affected by burns, hospital stay duration, and changes in hematological markers during burn injuries. An analytical cross-sectional study at the burn care center involved 135 participants hospitalized between January 2018 and December 2021. Demographic data and hematological markers were recorded, and statistical analysis was performed using IBM SPSS 25.0. Nonsurvivors exhibited a greater mean TBSA, shorter hospital stay, and an enhanced early immune response indicated by white blood cell count on the first day. Hematological markers, including hemoglobin, red cell count (RCC), and platelet count, showed dynamic patterns over the study period. Marginal variations in platelet counts and intriguing patterns in RCC suggested potential consequences like disseminated intravascular coagulation. The study provides crucial insights into hematological responses to severe burn injuries. Early identification of risk factors, particularly age-related patterns and immune responses, informs clinicians about predicting outcomes and guiding therapeutic interventions. Despite limitations, this work underscores the need for further multicenter research to comprehensively understand the complex relationships between burn injuries, hematological responses, and clinical outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amber Yousuf Khan
- Burns Surgery Department, BCC, PIMS, SZABMU, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
| | - Faiza Waheed
- Burns Surgery Department, BCC, PIMS, SZABMU, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
| | - Muhammad Rehan
- Burns Surgery Department, BCC, PIMS, SZABMU, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
| | - Zunera Arshad
- Burn Care Centre (BCC), Pakistan Institute of Medical Sciences (PIMS), Shaheed Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto Medical University (SZABMU), Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
| | - Tariq Iqbal
- Burns Surgery Department, BCC, PIMS, SZABMU, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
| | - Saman Waqar
- Pathology Department, PIMS, SZABMU, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
| | - Usman Waheed
- Burn Care Centre (BCC), Pakistan Institute of Medical Sciences (PIMS), Shaheed Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto Medical University (SZABMU), Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
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Aggarwal N, Karki D, Gaind R, Matlani M, Muthukumar V. Serum procalcitonin and C-reactive protein as indices of early sepsis and mortality in North Indian pediatric burn injuries: a prospective evaluation and literature review. Acute Crit Care 2024; 39:350-358. [PMID: 39266270 PMCID: PMC11392697 DOI: 10.4266/acc.2023.00759] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/04/2023] [Accepted: 07/11/2024] [Indexed: 09/14/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Delays in diagnosing sepsis in children afflicted with thermal injuries can result in high morbidity and mortality. Our study evaluated the role of the biomarkers Procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) as predictors of early sepsis and mortality, respectively, in this group of patients. METHODS This was a prospective evaluation of 90 pediatric burn cases treated at a tertiary care burn center in Northern India. Patients, aged 1-16 years, presenting within 24 hours of being burned, with >10% body surface area of burn injury were included in the study. Levels of PCT and CRP were measured on days 1, 3, 5, and 7. Patients were followed until discharge, 30th post-burn day, or death, whichever occurred first. RESULTS Sepsis was clinically present in 49 of 90 (54.4%) cases with a median 30% total body surface area (TBSA) of burns. Mortality was seen in 31 of 90 (34.4%) cases with a median of 35% TBSA burns. High PCT and CRP were seen in the sepsis group, particularly on days 3, 5, and 7. PCT was also significantly higher in the mortality group (days 1 and 3). CONCLUSIONS While PCT was a good early predictor of sepsis and mortality in children with burns, CRP was reliable as a predictor of sepsis only. Both markers, however, can serve as adjuncts to culture sensitivity reports for diagnosing early onset sepsis and initiation of antibiotic therapy in appropriate patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nupur Aggarwal
- Department of Burns, Plastic and Maxillofacial Surgery, Vardhman Mahavir Medical College and Safdarjung Hospital, New Delhi, India
| | - Durga Karki
- Department of Burns, Plastic and Maxillofacial Surgery, Vardhman Mahavir Medical College and Safdarjung Hospital, New Delhi, India
| | - Rajni Gaind
- Department of Microbiology, Vardhman Mahavir Medical College and Safdarjung Hospital, New Delhi, India
| | - Monika Matlani
- Department of Microbiology, Vardhman Mahavir Medical College and Safdarjung Hospital, New Delhi, India
| | - Vamseedharan Muthukumar
- Department of Burns, Plastic and Maxillofacial Surgery, Vardhman Mahavir Medical College and Safdarjung Hospital, New Delhi, India
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Li F, He Q, Peng H, Zhou J, Zhong C, Liang G, Li W, Xu D. The systemic inflammation indexes after admission predict in-hospital mortality in patients with extensive burns. Burns 2024; 50:980-990. [PMID: 38336497 DOI: 10.1016/j.burns.2024.01.020] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/28/2023] [Revised: 01/13/2024] [Accepted: 01/15/2024] [Indexed: 02/12/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE To explore the clinical value of various complete blood count (CBC)-derived inflammation indicators to predict in-hospital mortality in patients with extensive burns. METHODS Systemic inflammation indexes, including lymphocyte-platelet ratio (LPR), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), neutrophil-monocyte ratio (NMR), monocyte-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte * platelet (NLPR), systemic inflammation index (SII), and systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) on days 1, 3, and 7 after admission were calculated in 135 patients with extensive burns. RESULTS We included 135 patients with extensive burns, including 97 survivors and 38 non-survivors. After adjusting for confounders, only the LPR on day 1, NLPR on days 3 and 7 were significantly associated with survival (OR= 1.237, 1.097, 1.104; 95 % CI: 1.055-1.451, 1.002-1.202, 1.005-1.212; respectively) in the analysis of multivariate logistic regression. The optimum cutoff values of the LPR on day 1 and NLPR on day 3 were 6.37 and 8.06, and the area under the curves (AUC) were 0.695 and 0.794, respectively. The AUC of NLPR on day 7 had the highest value, 0.814, and the optimum cut-off value was 3.84. The efficacy of LPR on day 1, NLPR on days 3 and 7 combined with the burn prognostic score index in predicting the prognosis of patients was higher than that of the burn index alone, and the three composite inflammatory indexes combined with PBI had the highest efficacy in predicting the prognosis (AUC = 0.994). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed poor prognosis in patients with higher LPR on day 1 and higher NLPR on days 3 and 7 (log-rank χ2 =9.623,31.564, 20.771, respectively; P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS LPR on day 1 and NLPR on days 3 and 7 after admission are reliable predictors of prognosis in patients with severe extensive burns. The combination of the burn prognostic score index, LPR on day 1, and NLPR on days 3 and 7 was superior to the burn indexes alone in predicting a patient's prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fuying Li
- Department of Burns and Plastic Surgery, the third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Quanyong He
- Department of Burns and Plastic Surgery, the third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Hao Peng
- Department of Burns and Plastic Surgery, the third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Jianda Zhou
- Department of Burns and Plastic Surgery, the third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Chi Zhong
- Department of Burns and Plastic Surgery, the third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Geao Liang
- Department of Burns and Plastic Surgery, the third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Wengjuan Li
- Department of Burns and Plastic Surgery, the third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Dan Xu
- Department of Burns and Plastic Surgery, the third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, China.
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Nourigheimasi S, Yazdani E, Ghaedi A, Khanzadeh M, Lucke-Wold B, Dioso E, Bazrgar A, Ebadi M, Khanzadeh S. Association of inflammatory biomarkers with overall survival in burn patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Emerg Med 2024; 24:76. [PMID: 38684973 PMCID: PMC11057161 DOI: 10.1186/s12873-024-00988-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/12/2023] [Accepted: 04/15/2024] [Indexed: 05/02/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The inflammatory response to burn injuries can lead to organ dysfunction that ultimately results in increased mortality and morbidity. This meta-analysis was conducted to determine the efficacy of inflammatory biomarkers, including the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), procalcitonin (PCT), and C-reactive protein (CRP) as predictive tools of mortality among burn patients. MATERIAL AND METHODS The biomarker levels of survivors and non-survivors were consolidated according to guidelines for Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA). Three main databases were searched electronically: PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus, on December 8, 2022. The Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale (NOS) was used to evaluate and score the methodological quality of the included studies. The standard mean difference (SMD) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) was utilized. RESULTS Twenty-four studies were included in our systematic review and meta-analysis, (3636 total burn patients), of whom 2878 survived. We found that deceased burn patients had elevated levels of NLR (SMD = 0.60, 95% CI; 0.19-1.00, P < 0.001), CRP (SMD = 0.80, 95% CI; 0.02-1.58, P = 0.04), and PCT (SMD = 0.85, 95% CI; 0.45-1.24, P < 0.001), compared to survivors. However, we found no association between PLR and mortality among burn patients (SMD = 0.00, 95% CI; -0.14-0.15, P < 0.001). In addition, CRP was significantly higher in non-survivors (SMD = 0.80, 95% CI; 0.02-1.58, P =0.04). Similar results were also found about PCT (SMD = 0.85, 95% CI; 0.45-1.24, P < 0.001). When we analyzed the PCT data, collected in the first 24-48 hours, we found similar results; the PCT level was significantly higher in non-survivors in the immediate postinjury-period (SMD = 0.67, 95% CI; 0.31-1.02, P < 0.001). There was no publication bias among studies on the role of NLR in burn (Egger's test P = 0.91). The based cut-off values for NLR (13), CRP (71), and PCT (1.77) yielded sensitivities of 69.2%, 100%, and 93.33%, and specificities of 76%, 72.22%, and 72.22% respectively. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSIONS PCT is a marker of sepsis, therefore its elevated level is presumably associated with a higher incidence and severity of sepsis among non-survivors. In addition, NLR and CRP are promising biomarkers for predicting and guiding prevention against burn deaths in clinical settings.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Erfan Yazdani
- Medical School, Islamic Azad University, Tonekabon Branch, Tonekabon, Iran
| | - Arshin Ghaedi
- Student Research Committee, School of Medicine, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
- Trauma Research Center, Shahid Rajaee (Emtiaz) Trauma Hospital, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
| | - Monireh Khanzadeh
- Geriatric & Gerontology Department, Medical School, Tehran University of Medical and Health Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | | | - Aida Bazrgar
- Student Research Committee, School of Medicine, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
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Tang X, Qiu L, Wang F, Liu S, Lü X, Chen X. Diagnostic value of procalcitonin and red blood cell distribution width at admission on the prognosis of patients with severe burns: A retrospective analysis. Int Wound J 2023; 20:3708-3716. [PMID: 37381890 PMCID: PMC10588303 DOI: 10.1111/iwj.14263] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/10/2023] [Accepted: 05/20/2023] [Indexed: 06/30/2023] Open
Abstract
The plasma procalcitonin (PCT) concentration and red blood cell distribution (RDW) value after severe burns can be used as prognostic indicators, but at present, it is difficult to give consideration to sensitivity and specificity in diagnosing the prognosis of severe burns with a single indicator. This study analysed the diagnostic value of plasma PCT concentration and RDW value at admission on the prognosis of severe burn patients to improve its sensitivity and specificity. A total of 205 patients with severe burns who were treated in the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University from November 2017 to November 2022 were retrospectively analysed. The optimal cut-off values of plasma PCT concentration and RDW were analysed and counted through the subject curve (ROC curve). According to the cut-off value, patients were divided into high PCT group and low PCT group, high RDW group and low RDW group. The independent risk factors of severe burns were analysed by single-factor and multiple-factor COX regression. Kaplan-Meier survival was used to analyse the mortality of high PCT group and low PCT group, high RDW group and low RDW group. The area under the curve of plasma PCT concentration and RDW value at admission was 0.761 (95% CI, 0.662-0.860, P < .001), 0.687 (95% CI, 0.554-0.820, P = .003) respectively, and the optimal cut-off values of serum PCT concentration and RDW were 2.775 ng/mL and 14.55% respectively. Cox regression analysis found that age, TBSA, and RDW were independent risk factors for mortality within 90 days after severe burns. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that there was a significant difference in the 90-day mortality rate of severe burns between the PCT ≥ 2.775 ng/mL group and the PCT < 2.775 ng/mL group (log-rank: 24.162; P < .001), with the mortality rate of 36.84% versus 5.49%, respectively. The 90-day mortality rate of severe burns was significantly different between the RDW ≥ 14.55% group and the RDW < 14.55% group (log-rank: 14.404; P < .001), with the mortality rate of 44% versus 12.2% respectively. The plasma PCT concentration and RDW value at admission are both of diagnostic value for the 90-day mortality of severe burns, but the plasma PCT concentration has higher sensitivity and the RDW value has higher specificity. Age, TBSA, and RDW were independent risk factors for severe burns, and then plasma PCT concentration was not independent risk factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xu‐Dong Tang
- Department of BurnsThe First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical UniversityHefeiAnhuiChina
| | - Le Qiu
- Department of BurnsThe First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical UniversityHefeiAnhuiChina
| | - Fei Wang
- Department of BurnsThe First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical UniversityHefeiAnhuiChina
| | - Sheng Liu
- Department of BurnsThe First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical UniversityHefeiAnhuiChina
| | - Xiong‐Wen Lü
- School of PharmacyAnhui Medical UniversityHefeiAnhui ProvinceChina
- Institute for Liver Disease of Anhui Medical UniversityAnhui Medical UniversityHefeiAnhui ProvinceChina
| | - Xu‐Lin Chen
- Department of BurnsThe First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical UniversityHefeiAnhuiChina
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Park JH, Cho SS, Jung J, Choi SS. Feasibility of using red cell distribution width for prediction of postoperative mortality in severe burn patients: an association with acute kidney injury after surgery. Anesth Pain Med (Seoul) 2023; 18:357-366. [PMID: 37919920 PMCID: PMC10635847 DOI: 10.17085/apm.23046] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/13/2023] [Revised: 09/22/2023] [Accepted: 09/25/2023] [Indexed: 11/04/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Severe burns cause pathophysiological processes that result in mortality. A laboratory biomarker, red cell distribution width (RDW), is known as a predictor of mortality in critically-ill patients. We examined the association between RDW and postoperative mortality in severe burn patients. METHODS We retrospectively analyzed medical data of 731 severely burned patients who underwent surgery under general anesthesia. We evaluated whether preoperative RDW value can predict 3-month mortality after burn surgery using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, logistic regression, and Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis. Mortality was also analyzed according to preoperative RDW values and incidence of postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI). RESULTS The 3-month mortality rate after burn surgery was 27.1% (198/731). The area under the ROC curve of preoperative RDW to predict mortality after burn surgery was 0.701 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.667-0.734; P < 0.001) with a cut-off point of 12.9. The adjusted hazard ratio in patients with RDW > 12.9 was 1.238 (95% CI, 1.138-1.347; P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis showed that the survival rate was 88.8% for the non-AKI group with RDW ≤ 12.9 and 17.6% for the AKI group with RDW > 12.9. Preoperative RDW was considered an independent risk factor for mortality (odds ratio, 1.679; 95% CI, 1.378- 2.046; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS Preoperative RDW may predict 3-month postoperative mortality in patients with severe burns, while preoperative RDW > 12.9 and postoperative AKI may further increase mortality after burn surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ji Hyun Park
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, National Medical Center, Seoul, Korea
| | - Seong-Sik Cho
- Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, College of Medicine, Dong-A University, Busan, Korea
| | - Jongeun Jung
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, National Medical Center, Seoul, Korea
| | - Seong-Soo Choi
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
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10
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Park JH, Cho Y, Shin D, Choi SS. Prediction of Mortality after Burn Surgery in Critically Ill Burn Patients Using Machine Learning Models. J Pers Med 2022; 12:jpm12081293. [PMID: 36013242 PMCID: PMC9410169 DOI: 10.3390/jpm12081293] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/22/2022] [Revised: 07/30/2022] [Accepted: 08/04/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Severe burns may lead to a series of pathophysiological processes that result in death. Machine learning models that demonstrate prognostic performance can be used to build analytical models to predict postoperative mortality. This study aimed to identify machine learning models with the best diagnostic performance for predicting mortality in critically ill burn patients after burn surgery, and then compare them. Clinically important features for predicting mortality in patients after burn surgery were selected using a random forest (RF) regressor. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and classifier accuracy were evaluated to compare the predictive accuracy of different machine learning algorithms, including RF, adaptive boosting, decision tree, linear support vector machine, and logistic regression. A total of 731 patients met the inclusion and exclusion criteria. The 90-day mortality of the critically ill burn patients after burn surgery was 27.1% (198/731). RF showed the highest AUC (0.922, 95% confidence interval = 0.902–0.942) among the models, with sensitivity and specificity of 66.2% and 93.8%, respectively. The most significant predictors for mortality after burn surgery as per machine learning models were total body surface area burned, red cell distribution width, and age. The RF algorithm showed the best performance for predicting mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ji Hyun Park
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, National Medical Center, Seoul 04564, Korea
| | - Yongwon Cho
- Department of Radiology, Korea University Anam Hospital, University of Korea College of Medicine, Seoul 02841, Korea
| | - Donghyeok Shin
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, National Medical Center, Seoul 04564, Korea
| | - Seong-Soo Choi
- Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul 05505, Korea
- Correspondence:
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Lin JC, Wu GH, Zheng JJ, Chen ZH, Chen XD. Prognostic Values of Platelet Distribution Width and Platelet Distribution Width-to-Platelet Ratio in Severe Burns. Shock 2022; 57:494-500. [PMID: 34812187 PMCID: PMC8906250 DOI: 10.1097/shk.0000000000001890] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2021] [Revised: 10/06/2021] [Accepted: 11/09/2021] [Indexed: 12/02/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Platelet distribution width (PDW) and PDW-to-platelet ratio (PPR) have been proven to be good prognostic indicators for many diseases. However, their prognostic values in severe burns have not been reported. OBJECTIVE To investigate the early time course of PDW and PPR in severe burn patients and investigate their prognostic values. METHODS This is a 16-year, single-center retrospective study of 590 severe burn patients. The complete blood count parameters on day 1, day 3, and day 7 postburn, including PDW and PPR, were collected. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) analysis, multiple logistic regression analysis and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis were performed to evaluate the prognostic values of PDW and PPR in severe burn patients. RESULTS According to 120-day follow-up records, 96 patients were nonsurvivors and 494 patients were survivors. ROC and area under the curve (AUC) analysis showed that, for predicting 120-day prognosis, the AUC of PDW (0.782) and PPR (0.816) on day 3 was the highest, followed by the AUC of PDW (0.764) and PPR (0.750) on day 7. The ROC-AUC of PPR (0.816) on day 3 was very close to that of the ABSI score (0.818). Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that the PDW (P = 0.033 and P = 0.009) and PPR (P = 0.052 and P = 0.046) on day 3 and day 7 were all significantly independently positively associated with 120-day mortality. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that high PDW and PPR were both significantly associated with a high 120-day mortality rate on day 3 and day 7. CONCLUSION PDW and PPR on day 3 and day 7 were independent risk factors for 120-day mortality in severe burn patients. These objective and readily available prognostic indicators may be more clinically favored.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jian-Chang Lin
- Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Burn and Trauma, Fujian Burn Institute, Fujian Burn Medical Center, Fujian Medical University Union Hospital, Fuzhou 350001, Fujian, China
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