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Karanth SS, Rau NR, Gupta A, Kamath A, Shanbhogue V, Pruthvi BC. Utility of total lymphocyte count as a surrogate for absolute CD4 count in the adult Indian HIV population: A prospective study. Avicenna J Med 2014; 4:1-4. [PMID: 24678463 PMCID: PMC3952389 DOI: 10.4103/2231-0770.127413] [Citation(s) in RCA: 55] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Standard methods of CD4 counts and plasma viral load estimation require specialized equipment, highly trained personnel and are extremely expensive. This remains a major challenge for the initiation of anti-retroviral therapy for patients in resource-limited settings. Objective: To assess the clinical utility of the total lymphocyte count (TLC) to serve as a surrogate marker for predicting a CD4 counts <350 cell/mm3 in patients with HIV. Materials and Methods: A prospective study of 200 consecutive newly detected highly active anti-retroviral therapy (HAART) naïve HIV patients admitted over a one year period was conducted. Linear regression, Pearson correlation and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to calculate the relationship between TLC and CD4 counts. Results: A significant correlation between TLC and CD4 count was observed (r = 0.682, P < 0.001). TLC cut off of 1200 cell/mm3 as a predictor of CD4 count <350 cell/mm3 had 73.1% sensitivity, 100% specificity, 100% positive predictive value (PPV) and 51.4% negative predictive value (NPV). Raising the cutoff to 1500 cells/mm3 improved the sensitivity to 82.1% with 88.2% specificity, 96.5% PPV, 44.4% NPV. The ROC curve demonstrated highest area under curve (AUC = 0.8) for TLC of 1500 cell/mm3. Conclusion: The study showed that TLC cutoff value of 1500 cells/mm3 was a cost effective surrogate marker for CD4 counts <350 cells/mm3 in resource-limited settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Suman S Karanth
- Department of Medicine, Kasturba Medical College, Manipal, India
| | - N R Rau
- Department of Medicine, Kasturba Medical College, Manipal, India
| | - Anurag Gupta
- Department of Neurosurgery, Adarsha Superspeciality Hospital, Udupi, India
| | - Asha Kamath
- Department of Community Medicine, Kasturba Medical College, Manipal, India
| | | | - B C Pruthvi
- Department of Medicine, Vaalsalya Hospital, Shimoga, Karnataka, India
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Ingole N, Nataraj G, Mehta P, Paranjpe S, Sarkate P. CD4 counts in laboratory monitoring of HIV disease--experience from western India. J Int Assoc Provid AIDS Care 2013; 13:324-7. [PMID: 23442562 DOI: 10.1177/2325957412474846] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND CD4 counts vary in different populations. The present study was conducted to determine CD4 counts in different World Health Organization (WHO) clinical stages in antiretroviral therapy naive individuals and to find out optimum CD4 cutoffs. METHOD Data of adult HIV seropositive patients who underwent CD4 count and total lymphocyte count (TLC) testing were included for analysis. The severity of immunosuppression was graded based on WHO criteria. To establish optimum CD4 cutoff values, receiver-operator characteristics (ROC) curves were generated. RESULTS Of 754 patients, 52.2% had CD4 counts <200 cells/mm3, but only 2.3% belonged to WHO stage IV. Newer CD4 cutoffs generated were 280, 120-280, <120 cells/mm3. Spearman rank correlation between CD4 counts and TLC was found to be weak (r = .32). CONCLUSION The cutoff values of CD4 counts for HIV disease may need to be revised for India. Regular CD4 count estimation is a must for monitoring disease progression in people living with HIV/AIDS.
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Wondimeneh Y, Ferede G, Yismaw G, Muluye D. Total Lymphocyte Count as surrogate marker for CD4 Cell Count in HIV-Infected Individuals in Gondar University Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia. AIDS Res Ther 2012; 9:21. [PMID: 22793790 PMCID: PMC3522536 DOI: 10.1186/1742-6405-9-21] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/04/2012] [Accepted: 07/15/2012] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
UNLABELLED BACKGROUND The high cost of CD4 count estimation in resource-limited countries is a major challenge in initiating patients on highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). Therefore, assessment of inexpensive and simple laboratory diagnostic marker is mandatory to diagnose immuno-suppression. OBJECTIVE To evaluate utility of total lymphocyte count (TLC) as surrogate marker for CD4 count in HIV-infected patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS In this cross sectional study, 400 ART-naive HIV-positive patients enrolled in Gondar University Hospital, from March 2011 to May 2011, were tested for CD4 count & TLC. The cutoffs were determined as: 200 cells/μL for CD4 count and 1200 cells/μL for TLC by using BD FACS count and CELL DYN 1800 Flow Cytometrys respectively. Spearman correlation between TLC and CD4 cell count were assessed. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values for different age a group, TLC ≤1200 was computed for CD4 count ≤200 cells/cu.mm. RESULTS Among 400 ART naive HIV infected patients, 278 (69.5%) were females. The mean age of the study participants was 33.7. TLC and CD4 count were positively correlated (r = 0.33, p = 0.001). A TLC of ≤1200 cells/m m3 was found to have a sensitivity (32.86%), specificity (95.33%), PPV (79.7%), and NPV (71.9%) for predicting a CD4 count of <200 cells/mm3. CONCLUSION This study showed that low sensitivity and specificity of TLC as a surrogate measure for CD4 count. Moreover, CD4 cell counts of < 200 cells/mm3 were found in 96 cases (24%) with TLCs of ≤1200 cells/mm3. Thus, 1 in 4 individuals would have been deprived of needed treatment. Therefore, we recommend keep on expansion of access to CD4 counter.
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Obirikorang C, Quaye L, Acheampong I. Total lymphocyte count as a surrogate marker for CD4 count in resource-limited settings. BMC Infect Dis 2012; 12:128. [PMID: 22676809 PMCID: PMC3407488 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2334-12-128] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2011] [Accepted: 06/07/2012] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND CD4 testing is the recognized gold standard used to stage HIV/AIDS, guide treatment decisions for HIV-infected persons and evaluate effectiveness of therapy. The need for a less expensive surrogate marker that can be used in resource-limited setting is however necessary. The study sought to assess the suitability of Total lymphocyte count (TLC) as a surrogate marker for CD4 count in resource-limited localities in Ghana. METHODS This observational study was conducted at the Central Regional Hospital, which has one of the established antiretroviral therapy centres in Ghana. A total of one hundred and eighty-four (184) confirmed HIV I seropositive subjects were included in the study. Blood samples were taken from all the subjects for estimation of CD4 and total lymphocyte counts. The study subjects were further categorised into three (3) groups according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) classification criteria as follows: CD4 counts (1) ≥ 500 cells/mm3 (2) 200-499 cells/mm3 and (3) <200 cells/mm3. Positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), sensitivity and specificity of various TLC cut-offs were computed for three groups. Correlation and Receiver Operator Characteristic analysis was performed for the various CD4 counts and their corresponding Total Lymphocyte count obtained. RESULTS The sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of TLC 1200 cells/ mm3 to predict CD4 count were <200 cells/mm3 72.2%, 100%, 100% and 95.7% respectively. A TLC of 1500 cells/ mm3 was found to have maximal sensitivity (96.67%), specificity (100%), PPV (100%) and NPV (75.0%) for predicting a CD4 cell count of 200-499 cell/mm3. A TLC of 1900 cells/mm3 was also found to have a maximal sensitivity (98.45%), specificity (100%), PPV (100%) and NPV (100%) for predicting CD4 count ≥500 cells/mm3. A positive correlation was noted between 184 paired CD4 and TLC counts (r = 0.5728). CONCLUSION Total Lymphocyte count can therefore adequately serve as a surrogate marker for CD4 count in HIV patients who are naïve for antiretroviral therapy in resource-limited areas.
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Affiliation(s)
- Christian Obirikorang
- Department of Molecular Medicine, School of Medical Sciences, College of Health Sciences, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology (KNUST), Kumasi, Ghana.
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Sreenivasan S, Dasegowda V. Comparing absolute lymphocyte count to total lymphocyte count, as a CD4 T cell surrogate, to initiate antiretroviral therapy. J Glob Infect Dis 2011; 3:265-8. [PMID: 21887059 PMCID: PMC3162814 DOI: 10.4103/0974-777x.83533] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: The high cost of CD4 count estimation in resource-limited settings is a major obstacle in initiating patients on highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). Thus, there is a need to evaluate other less expensive surrogate markers like total lymphocyte count (TLC) and absolute lymphocyte count (ALC). Objectives To evaluate the correlation of TLC and ALC to CD4 count. To determine a range of TLC and ALC cut-offs for initiating HAART in HIV-infected patients in resource-limited settings. Materials and Methods: In a prospective observational cohort study of 108 ART-naive HIV-positive patients, Spearman correlation between ALC and CD4 cell count, and TLC and CD4 cell count were assessed. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of various ALC and TLC cut-offs were computed for CD4 count <200 cells/cu.mm. Results: Good correlation was noted between ALC and CD4 (r=0.5604) and TLC and CD4 (r=0.3497). ALC of 1400 cells/cu.mm had a sensitivity of 71.08% and specificity of 78.26% for predicting CD4 cell counts less than 200 cells/cu.mm. Similarly, TLC of 1200 cells/cu.mm had a sensitivity of 63.41% and specificity of 69.57%. Conclusion: Either ALC or TLC may be helpful in deciding when to initiate antiretroviral therapy in resource-poor settings, though ALC is better than TLC as a surrogate for CD4 counts.
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Total lymphocyte count and World Health Organization pediatric clinical stage as markers to assess need to initiate antiretroviral therapy among human immunodeficiency virus-infected children in Moshi, Northern Tanzania. Pediatr Infect Dis J 2009; 28:493-7. [PMID: 19436238 PMCID: PMC2724760 DOI: 10.1097/inf.0b013e3181950b7f] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The World Health Organization (WHO) has recommended the use of clinical staging alone and with total lymphocyte count to identify HIV infected children in need of antiretroviral therapy (ART) in resource-limited settings, when CD4 cell count is not available. METHODS We prospectively enrolled children obtaining care for HIV infection at the Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre Pediatric Infectious Diseases Clinic in Moshi, Tanzania between March 2004 and May 2006 for this cohort study. RESULTS One hundred ninety two (89.7%) of 214 children met WHO ART initiation criteria based on clinical staging or CD4 cell count. Several low-cost measures identified individuals who met WHO ART initiation criteria to the following degree: WHO stages 3 or 4 had 87.5% (95% CI, 82.8-92.1) sensitivity and, by definition, 100% (CI, 100-100) specificity; WHO recommended advance disease TLC cutoffs: sensitivity = 23.9% (95% CI, 17.3-30.5) specificity = 78.2% (95% CI, 67.3-89.1). Low TLC was a common finding, (50 of 214; 23%); however, it did not improve the sensitivity or specificity of clinical staging in identifying the severely immunosuppressed stage 2 children. Growth failure or use of total lymphocyte counts in isolation were not reliable indicators of severe immunosuppression or need to initiate ART. CONCLUSION The use of total lymphocyte count does not improve the ability to identify children in need of ART compared with clinical staging alone. Low absolute lymphocyte count did not correlate with severe immunosuppression based on CD4 cell count in this cohort.
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Daka D, Loha E. Relationship between total lymphocyte count (TLC) and CD4 count among peoples living with HIV, Southern Ethiopia: a retrospective evaluation. AIDS Res Ther 2008; 5:26. [PMID: 19102769 PMCID: PMC2615784 DOI: 10.1186/1742-6405-5-26] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/31/2008] [Accepted: 12/22/2008] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Background CD4 count is a standard measure of immunodeficiency in adults infected with HIV to initiate and monitor highly active antiretroviral therapy; however, it may not be feasible in resource poor countries. There is a need to have another marker of immunodeficiency that is less resource demanding. Objective The objective of this study was to assess the relationship between total lymphocyte count and CD4 count in one of the resource poor countries, Ethiopia. Methods This was a retrospective evaluation. A total of 2019 cases with total lymphocyte and CD4 counts from three hospitals (Yirgalem, Hossana and Arba-Minch) were included in the study. Pearson correlation, linear regression and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) were used. Result For adults, the sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of TLC < 1200 cells/mm3 to predict CD4 count < 200 cells/mm3 were 41%, 83.5%, 87.9% and 32.5%, respectively. For subjects aged less than 18 years, these values were 20.2%, 87%, 82% and 27.1%, respectively. A TLC ≤ 1780 cells/mm3 was found to have maximal sensitivity (61%) and specificity (62%) for predicting a CD4 cell count of < 200 cells/mm3. Meanwhile, a TLC ≤ 1885 cells/mm3 would identify only 59% of patients with CD4 count of < 350 cells/mm3(sensitivity, 59%; and specificity, 61%). The combined sensitivity and specificity for patients above 40 years of age was greater. Conclusion Our data revealed low sensitivity and specificity of TLC as a surrogate measure for CD4 count.
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Moore DM, Awor A, Downing RS, Were W, Solberg P, Tu D, Chan K, Hogg RS, Mermin J. Determining eligibility for antiretroviral therapy in resource-limited settings using total lymphocyte counts, hemoglobin and body mass index. AIDS Res Ther 2007; 4:1. [PMID: 17233896 PMCID: PMC1796890 DOI: 10.1186/1742-6405-4-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2006] [Accepted: 01/18/2007] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND CD4+ T lymphocyte (CD4) cell count testing is the standard method for determining eligibility for antiretroviral therapy (ART), but is not widely available in sub-Saharan Africa. Total lymphocyte counts (TLCs) have not proven sufficiently accurate in identifying subjects with low CD4 counts. We developed clinical algorithms using TLCs, hemoglobin (Hb), and body mass index (BMI) to identify patients who require ART. METHODS We conducted a cross-sectional study of HIV-infected adults in Uganda, who presented for assessment for ART-eligibility with WHO clinical stages I, II or III. Two by two tables were constructed to examine TLC thresholds, which maximized sensitivity for CD4 cell counts 350 cells microL. Hb and BMI values were then examined to try to improve model performance. RESULTS 1787 subjects were available for analysis. Median CD4 cell counts and TLCs, were 239 cells/microL and 1830 cells/microL, respectively. Offering ART to all subjects with a TLCs 3000 cells/microL, and used Hb and/or BMI values to determine eligibility for those with TLC values between 2000 and 3000 cells/microL, marginally improved accuracy. CONCLUSION TLCs appear useful in predicting who would be eligible for ART based on CD4 cell count criteria. Hb and BMI values may be useful in prioritizing patients for ART, but did not improve model accuracy.
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Affiliation(s)
- David M Moore
- Global AIDS Program, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Entebbe, Uganda
- British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver, BC, Canada
- Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
| | - Anna Awor
- Global AIDS Program, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Entebbe, Uganda
| | - Robert S Downing
- Global AIDS Program, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Entebbe, Uganda
| | - Willy Were
- Global AIDS Program, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Entebbe, Uganda
| | - Peter Solberg
- Global AIDS Program, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Entebbe, Uganda
- Institute for Global Health, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, California
| | - David Tu
- Medicins Sans Frontieres – Holland, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Keith Chan
- British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver, BC, Canada
| | - Robert S Hogg
- British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver, BC, Canada
- Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
| | - Jonathan Mermin
- Global AIDS Program, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Entebbe, Uganda
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Colebunders R, Moses KR, Laurence J, Shihab HM, Semitala F, Lutwama F, Bakeera-Kitaka S, Lynen L, Spacek L, Reynolds SJ, Quinn TC, Viner B, Mayanja-Kizza H. A new model to monitor the virological efficacy of antiretroviral treatment in resource-poor countries. THE LANCET. INFECTIOUS DISEASES 2006; 6:53-9. [PMID: 16377535 DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(05)70327-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 49] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/18/2023]
Abstract
Monitoring the efficacy of antiretroviral treatment in developing countries is difficult because these countries have few laboratory facilities to test viral load and drug resistance. Those that exist are faced with a shortage of trained staff, unreliable electricity supply, and costly reagents. Not only that, but most HIV patients in resource-poor countries do not have access to such testing. We propose a new model for monitoring antiretroviral treatment in resource-limited settings that uses patients' clinical and treatment history, adherence to treatment, and laboratory indices such as haemoglobin level and total lymphocyte count to identify virological treatment failure, and offers patients future treatment options. We believe that this model can make an accurate diagnosis of treatment failure in most patients. However, operational research is needed to assess whether this strategy works in practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Robert Colebunders
- Infectious Disease Institute, Faculty of Medicine, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.
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Affiliation(s)
- David Moore
- British Columbia Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada V6Z 1Y6
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Use of total lymphocyte count for informing when to start antiretroviral therapy in HIV-infected children: a meta-analysis of longitudinal data. Lancet 2005; 366:1868-74. [PMID: 16310553 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(05)67757-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 36] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Total lymphocyte count has been proposed as an alternative to the percentage of CD4+ T-cells to indicate when antiretroviral therapy should be started in children with HIV in resource-poor settings. We aimed to assess thresholds of total lymphocyte count at which antiretroviral therapy should be considered, and compared monitoring of total lymphocyte count with monitoring of CD4-cell percentage. METHODS Longitudinal data on 3917 children with HIV infection were pooled from observational and randomised studies in Europe and the USA. The 12-month risks of death and AIDS by most recent total lymphocyte count and age were estimated by parametric survival models, based on measurements before antiretroviral therapy or during zidovudine monotherapy. Risks were derived and compared at thresholds of total lymphocyte count and CD4-cell percentage for starting antiretroviral therapy recommended in WHO 2003 guidelines. FINDINGS Total lymphocyte count was a powerful predictor of the risk of disease progression despite a weak correlation with CD4-cell percentage (r=0.08-0.19 dependent on age). For children older than 2 years, the 12-month risk of death and AIDS increased sharply at values less than 1500-2000 cells per muL, with little trend at higher values. Younger children had higher risks and total lymphocyte count was less prognostic. Mortality risk was substantially higher at thresholds of total lymphocyte count recommended by WHO than at corresponding thresholds of CD4-cell percentage. When the markers were compared at the threshold values at which mortality risks were about equal, total lymphocyte count was as effective as CD4-cell percentage for identifying children before death, but resulted in an earlier start of antiretroviral therapy. INTERPRETATION In this population, total lymphocyte count was a strong predictor of short-term disease progression, being only marginally less predictive than CD4-cell percentage. Confirmatory studies in resource-poor settings are needed to identify the most cost-effective markers to guide initiation of antiretroviral therapy.
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Lee SS, Wong KH. The use of total lymphocyte count (TLC) as an independent criterion for initiating HAART in resource-poor countries. J Infect 2005; 50:66-7. [PMID: 15603843 DOI: 10.1016/j.jinf.2003.11.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/29/2003] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
Abstract
Total lymphocyte count (TLC) is a simple marker for monitoring HIV disease in resource-poor setting. A value of 1.2 x 10(9)l(-1) could be used as an independent criterion for starting antiretroviral treatment, since it is highly predictive of a low CD4 count warranting intervention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shui-Shan Lee
- Department of Health, Special Preventive Programme Office, 5/F Yaumatei Jockey Club Clinic, 145 Battery Street, Yaumatei, Kowloon, Hong Kong.
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Bi X, Gatanaga H, Tanaka M, Honda M, Ida S, Kimura S, Oka S. Modified Dynabeads Method for Enumerating CD4+ T-Lymphocyte Count for Widespread Use in Resource-Limited Situations. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2005; 38:1-4. [PMID: 15608516 DOI: 10.1097/00126334-200501010-00001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
The Dynabeads method showed the potential for enumerating CD4 T lymphocytes (CD4 count) in HIV-1-infected individuals. The large volume of Dynabeads required for 1 sample and complex procedure made the method expensive and not easy for use, however. To decrease the cost and simplify the procedure, we reduced the volume of the Dynabeads, added wash times, and skipped over the staining step so as to count the CD4 cells directly under an optical microscope. The CD4 count of 246 blood samples using our modified Dynabeads method (DynabeadsCD4) showed a significant correlation with that obtained by flow cytometry (FlowcytoCD4) (r = 0.91 [P < 0.0001]; slope = 1.03, intercept = -16). The sensitivity and specificity for a CD4 count less than 200 cells/microL were 79% and 94%, and for a CD4 count less than 350 cells/microL, the sensitivity and specificity were 95% and 88%, respectively. The positive and negative predictive values for a CD4 count less than 350 cells/microL were 97% and 83%, respectively. The systematic error was 8 cells/microL (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.4-16). The cost of Dynabeads for 1 sample was less than $1.00; thus, the estimated cost per DynabeadsCD4 test is less than $3.00, including the cost of other disposable materials. Our modified method is simple, economic, and accurate enough to monitor antiretroviral therapy in resource-limited situations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiuqiong Bi
- AIDS Clinical Center, International Medical Center of Japan, Tokyo, Japan
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Tassie JM, Marquardt T, Damisoni H, Odhiambo OD, Mulemba M, Szumilin E, Legros D. Indirect markers to initiate highly active antiretroviral therapy in a rural African setting. AIDS 2004; 18:1226-8. [PMID: 15166547 DOI: 10.1097/00002030-200405210-00025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
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Mahajan AP, Hogan JW, Snyder B, Kumarasamy N, Mehta K, Solomon S, Carpenter CCJ, Mayer KH, Flanigan TP. Changes in Total Lymphocyte Count as a Surrogate for Changes in CD4 Count Following Initiation of HAART: Implications for Monitoring in Resource-Limited Settings. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2004; 36:567-75. [PMID: 15097299 DOI: 10.1097/00126334-200405010-00004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND A major obstacle to the administration of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in resource-limited settings is the high cost of CD4 count testing. The total lymphocyte count (TLC) has been proposed as a surrogate marker to monitor immune response to therapy. OBJECTIVE To assess, in a developed country setting, the capability and clinical utility of TLC change as a surrogate marker for CD4 count change in monitoring patients on HAART. METHODS Longitudinal co-variation between changes in TLC and concomitant changes in CD4 count following the initiation of HAART was examined using a retrospective cohort study of 126 HIV-positive patients attending The Miriam Hospital, Brown University, Providence, RI. Analyses included evaluation of the direction of TLC change as a marker for direction of CD4 change, using sensitivity and specificity; evaluation of absolute change in TLC as a marker for benchmark changes in CD4 (> or =50 over 6 months, > or =100 over 12 months), using receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) curves; and a regression model of change in TLC as a function of change in CD4, to understand within-individual variation of longitudinal TLC measures. RESULTS In the first 24 months of HAART, the sensitivity of a TLC increase as a marker for CD4 count increase over the same time period ranged from 86-94%, and the specificity ranged from 80-85%. The median change in TLC among patients with a CD4 count rise of > or =100 cells/mm at 1 year of HAART was +766 cells/mm while that of patients with a CD4 count rise of <100 cells/m was +100 cells/mm. The area under the corresponding ROC curve was 0.89, suggesting that change in TLC discriminates well between those with 1-year CD4 change of > or =100 vs. those with change <+100. From a regression analysis, we found that mean change in TLC per 1 cell/mm change in CD4 count was 7.3 (SE 1.2, P < 0.001). The degree of this association varied from individual to individual but was positive for all individuals. CONCLUSIONS Within the first 2 years of HAART, the direction of change in TLC appears to be a strong marker for direction of concomitant change in CD4 count (sensitivity 86-94% and specificity 80-85%, depending on length of interval). Positive and negative predictive values depend on the proportion of CD4 changes that are positive. In this cohort, that proportion is 87.9%, which yields high positive predictive value (96-98%) but lower negative predictive value (43-63%). Findings from the regression model suggest that taking multiple measurements of TLC at more frequent intervals may reduce variability and potentially improve predictive accuracy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anish P Mahajan
- School of Medicine, Brown University, Providence, RI, 02906, USA
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