Endpoints in phase II trials for advanced non-small cell lung cancer

Disease control and objective responsive rates in randomized phase II trials evaluating non-first-line chemotherapy for non-small cell lung cancer: a systematic review of 74 trials

Although objective response rate and disease control rate are commonly used as primary endpoints of lung cancer trials, it remains unclear whether objective response rate and disease control rate correctly reflect the overall survival in a non-small cell lung cancer phase II trial evaluating a non-first-line chemotherapy. Objective response rate might be easily affected by chance because the small number of patients in each trial achieved complete or partial response in the phase II non-first-line setting. This study was performed following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (UMIN000040412). Four databases were searched for eligible trials. A Spearman's rank correlation with hazard ratio of overall survival was calculated each for odds ratio of objective response rate, difference of objective response rate (%), odds ratio of disease control rate, and difference of disease control rate (%). Of 74 eligible trials, 73 reported objective response rate and 68 reported disease control rates. Nine (12%) trials included patients with driver mutation status. Thirteen (18%) and two (3%) RCTs specifically included adenocarcinoma/non-squamous and squamous subtype of non-small cell lung cancer, respectively. The Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status 0-2 (N=41, 55%) and the performance status 0-1 (N=25, 34%) were frequently used performance status criteria. The median number of patients in the two arms was 116 (interquartile range, 82-159). The correlation between trial-level odds ratio of objective response rate and hazard ratio of overall survival was weak (r=-0.29, 95% CI: -0.49 to -0.05, P=0.014). An exploratory subgroup analysis suggested that fewer responders were associated with poorer correlation. Odds ratio of disease control survival (r=-0.53, 95% CI: -0.68 to -0.32, P<0.001) had moderate rank correlations with hazard ratio of overall survival. Instead of objective response rate, disease control rate should be used as the primary endpoint in a randomized phase II trial evaluating non-first-line chemotherapy for non-small cell lung cancer.

Diagnostic and prognostic role of liquid biopsy in non-small cell lung cancer: evaluation of circulating biomarkers

Lung cancer is still one of the main causes of cancer-related death, together with prostate and colorectal cancers in males and breast and colorectal cancers in females. The prognosis for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is strictly dependent on feasibility of a complete surgical resection of the tumor at diagnosis. Since surgery is indicated only in early stages tumors, it is necessary to anticipate the timing of diagnosis in clinical practice. In the diagnostic and therapeutic pathway for NSCLC, sampling of neoplastic tissue is usually obtained using invasive methods that are not free from disadvantages and complications. A valid alternative to the standard biopsy is the liquid biopsy (LB), that is, the analysis of samples from peripheral blood, urine, and other biological fluids, with a simple and non-invasive collection. In particular, it is possible to detect in the blood different tumor derivatives, such as cell-free DNA (cfDNA) with its subtype circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), cell-free RNA (cfRNA), and circulating tumor cells (CTCs). Plasma-based testing seems to have several advantages over tumor tissue biopsy; firstly, it reduces medical costs, risk of complications related to invasive procedures, and turnaround times; moreover, the analysis of genes alteration, such as EGFR, ALK, ROS1, and BRAF is faster and safer with this method, compared to tissue biopsy. Despite all these advantages, the evidences in literatures indicate that assays performed on liquid biopsies have a low sensitivity, making them unsuitable for screening in lung cancer at the current state. This is caused by lack of standardization in sampling and preparation of specimen and by the low concentration of biomarkers in the bloodstream. Instead, routinely use of LB should be preferred in revaluation of patients with advanced NSCLC resistant to chemotherapy, due to onset of new mutations.

Phase II Study of Pemetrexed as a Salvage Chemotherapy for Thymidylate Synthase-Low Squamous Cell Lung Cancer

PURPOSE

Squamous cell carcinomas (SqCC) of the lung often express high levels of thymidylate synthase (TS), which is associated with primary resistance to pemetrexed. We explored the efficacy of pemetrexed in a selected population of patients with lung SqCC with low TS expression.

Materials and Methods

In this single-arm phase II trial, we enrolled 32 previously-treated patients with advanced lung SqCC exhibiting low immunohistochemical staining for TS (i.e., in 10% or less of tumor cells). The primary endpoint was 12-week progression-free survival (PFS) rate.

RESULTS

Of 32 patients, eight patients (25%) had an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 2, and seven patients (22%) had previously received three or more lines of chemotherapy. The disease control rate from pemetrexed treatment was 30%, and no objective response was observed. The 12-week PFS rate was 24.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 13.0 to 46.1). Median PFS was 1.3 months (95% CI, 1.3 to 2.7), and median overall survival was 11.8 months (95% CI, 8.1 to not applicable). Most of adverse events were grade 1 or 2.

CONCLUSION

Pemetrexed demonstrated modest activity as a salvage chemotherapy in patients with advanced lung SqCC with low TS expression, although its toxicity was generally manageable.

Relationship Between Metastasis-free Survival and Overall Survival in Patients With Nonmetastatic Castration-resistant Prostate Cancer

BACKGROUND

Metastasis-free survival (MFS) has been shown to be predictive of overall survival (OS) in hormone-sensitive localized prostate cancer. We evaluated the relationship between MFS and OS in nonmetastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (nmCRPC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 1207 high-risk patients with nmCRPC from the SPARTAN study (clinicaltrials.gov, NCT01946204) was undertaken. Landmark analyses of MFS status at several time points from randomization were performed to minimize guarantee-time bias. Hazard ratio (HR) of death as a function of MFS status was estimated based on a Cox proportional hazards model with 2-sided 95% confidence interval (CI). Estimated HRs were adjusted for stratification factors. Correlation analysis was performed using the Fleischer method.

RESULTS

At all time points, MFS status strongly predicted OS. At landmark time points of 6, 9, and 12 months, risk of death was significantly higher for patients with metastases versus those without (adjusted HR at 6 months = 4.12; 95% CI, 2.60-6.54; P < .0001). MFS was positively correlated with OS based on the Fleischer method (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.69-0.70; P < .0001). Approximately one-half of the variability in OS can be explained by MFS.

CONCLUSION

Metastasis development, regardless of time point, is associated with significantly greater risk of death in men with high-risk nmCRPC; hence, MFS is predictive of OS.

Real-world progression, treatment, and survival outcomes during rapid adoption of immunotherapy for advanced non-small cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND

Despite the rapid adoption of immunotherapies in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (advNSCLC), knowledge gaps remain about their real-world (rw) performance.

METHODS

This retrospective, observational, multicenter analysis used the Flatiron Health deidentified electronic health record-derived database of rw patients with advNSCLC who received treatment with PD-1 and/or PD-L1 (PD-[L]1) inhibitors before July 1, 2017 (N = 5257) and had ≥6 months of follow-up. The authors investigated PD-(L)1 line of treatment and PD-L1 testing rates and the relationship between overall survival (OS) and rw intermediate endpoints: progression-free survival (rwPFS), rw time to progression (rwTTP), rw time to next treatment (rwTTNT), and rw time to discontinuation (rwTTD).

RESULTS

First-line PD-(L)1 inhibitor use increased from 0% (in the third quarter of 2014 [Q3 2014]) to 42% (Q2 2017) over the study period. PD-L1 testing also increased (from 3% in Q3 2015 to 70% in Q2 2017). The estimated median OS was 9.3 months (95% CI, 8.9-9.8 months), and the estimated rwPFS was 3.2 months (95% CI, 3.1-3.3 months). Longer OS and rwPFS were associated with ≥50% PD-L1 percentage staining results. Correlations (⍴) between OS and intermediate endpoints were ⍴ = 0.75 (95% CI, 0.73-0.76) for rwPFS and ⍴ = 0.60 (95% CI, 0.57-0.63) for rwTTP, and, for treatment-based intermediate endpoints, correlations were ⍴ = 0.60 (95% CI, 0.56-0.64) for rwTTNT (N = 856) and ⍴ = 0.81 (95% CI, 0.80-0.82) for rwTTD.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of first-line PD-(L)1 inhibitors and PD-L1 testing has substantially increased, with better outcomes for patients who have ≥50% PD-L1 percentage staining. Intermediate rw tumor-dynamics estimates were moderately correlated with OS in patients with advNSCLC who received immunotherapy, highlighting the need for optimizing and standardizing rw endpoints to enhance the understanding of patient outcomes outside clinical trials.

Carcinoembryonic antigen and CYFRA 21-1 responses as prognostic factors in advanced non-small cell lung cancer

Background

It is unclear whether changes in serum tumor marker expression post-treatment are of prognostic value. We investigated the associations between changes in serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and cytokeratin 19 fragment (CYFRA 21-1) after first-line treatment and overall survival (OS) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

Methods

Advanced NSCLC patients (April 2010 to December 2015) with elevated serum CEA or CYFRA 21-1 were included. The associations between tumor marker changes after treatment initiation and OS were analyzed.

Results

Ninety-six and 55 patients were CEA- and CYFRA 21-1-positive, respectively. The serum CEA response at 4 months and CYFRA 21-1 responses at 1 and 4 months were significantly associated with OS in the univariate analyses (P=0.025, P=0.016 and P<0.001, respectively). Moreover, in the multivariate analyses, serum CYFRA 21-1 response at 4 months was significantly associated with improved OS (P=0.038).

Conclusions

In NSCLC patients, serum CEA and CYFRA 21-1 responses after treatment initiation may predict longer OS.

Treatment Paradigms for Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer at Academic Medical Centers: Involvement in Clinical Trial Endpoint Design

Selection of appropriate clinical endpoints for examining the efficacy of investigational agents for non‐small cell lung cancer is of vital importance in clinical trial design. This review provides an overview of the study designs of clinical trials for approved agents in non‐small cell lung cancer and focuses on the validity of alternative endpoints for such trials.

Based on the positive results of various clinical trials, treatment options for non‐small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) have expanded greatly over the last 25 years. While regulatory approvals of chemotherapeutic agents for NSCLC have largely been based on improvements in overall survival, recent approvals of many targeted agents for NSCLC (afatinib, crizotinib, ceritinib, osimertinib) have been based on surrogate endpoints such as progression‐free survival and objective response. As such, selection of appropriate clinical endpoints for examining the efficacy of investigational agents for NSCLC is of vital importance in clinical trial design. This review provides an overview of clinical trial endpoints previously utilized for approved agents for NSCLC and highlights the key efficacy results for these trials. Trends for more recent approvals in NSCLC, including those for the immunotherapeutic agents nivolumab and pembrolizumab, are also discussed. The results of a correlative analysis of endpoints from 18 clinical trials that supported approvals of investigational agents in clinical trials for NSCLC are also presented.

Implications for Practice.

While improving survival remains the ultimate goal of oncology clinical trials, overall survival may not always be the most feasible or appropriate endpoint to assess patient response. Recently, several investigational agents, both targeted agents and immunotherapies, have gained U.S. Food and Drug Administration approval in non‐small cell lung cancer based on alternate endpoints such as progression‐free survival or response rate. An understanding of the assessment of response and trial endpoint choice is important for future oncology clinical trial design.

Survival analyses in lung cancer

BACKGROUND

Although survival analyses represent one of the cornerstones in oncology in general, some aspects of the reported survival data in lung cancer patients are still not fully elucidated.

METHODS

After having defined several open questions, an evidence based approach was applied in order to answer these questions. Areas of interest were: (I) possible uncertainties in reported survival data; (II) survival surrogates; (III) recommended methods for evaluating progression free survival (PFS) as a surrogate endpoint in future datasets; (IV) postoperative lung cancer recurrence and survival.

RESULTS

In recent years, PFS has seen increasing use as a primary endpoint, particularly in phase II trials. This article focuses on the statistical aspects, and particularly on evaluating the ability of PFS to accurately predict the overall survival (OS) outcome. If the data are available from randomized trials, then the evaluation of trial level surrogacy should be carried out, in addition to the methods described in the paper. If it is not a case, the patient-level methods should be applied. Suggestions for "landmark analysis" are also given: (I) classify your cases according to progression status (progressed, progression-free, or unknown) at one or more time points of interest; (II) perform a separate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis for each time point; (III) determine and report the landmark time point where progression status best predicts survival according to the hazard ratios and P values; (IV) calculate the concordance index for each landmark analysis model. The concordance index (or "c-Index") is essentially the probability that for any two randomly selected cases, the case that is predicted to have the worst outcome, does in fact have the worst outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

the widening spectrum of diagnostic and treatment in pulmonary oncology imposes the need for an updated knowledge about statistical method that would fit best for the analysed problem.

Validation of surrogate endpoints in advanced solid tumors: systematic review of statistical methods, results, and implications for policy makers

OBJECTIVES

Licensing of, and coverage decisions on, new therapies should rely on evidence from patient-relevant endpoints such as overall survival (OS). Nevertheless, evidence from surrogate endpoints may also be useful, as it may not only expedite the regulatory approval of new therapies but also inform coverage decisions. It is, therefore, essential that candidate surrogate endpoints be properly validated. However, there is no consensus on statistical methods for such validation and on how the evidence thus derived should be applied by policy makers.

METHODS

We review current statistical approaches to surrogate-endpoint validation based on meta-analysis in various advanced-tumor settings. We assessed the suitability of two surrogates (progression-free survival [PFS] and time-to-progression [TTP]) using three current validation frameworks: Elston and Taylor's framework, the German Institute of Quality and Efficiency in Health Care's (IQWiG) framework and the Biomarker-Surrogacy Evaluation Schema (BSES3).

RESULTS

A wide variety of statistical methods have been used to assess surrogacy. The strength of the association between the two surrogates and OS was generally low. The level of evidence (observation-level versus treatment-level) available varied considerably by cancer type, by evaluation tools and was not always consistent even within one specific cancer type.

CONCLUSIONS

Not in all solid tumors the treatment-level association between PFS or TTP and OS has been investigated. According to IQWiG's framework, only PFS achieved acceptable evidence of surrogacy in metastatic colorectal and ovarian cancer treated with cytotoxic agents. Our study emphasizes the challenges of surrogate-endpoint validation and the importance of building consensus on the development of evaluation frameworks.

Strength of Validation for Surrogate End Points Used in the US Food and Drug Administration's Approval of Oncology Drugs

OBJECTIVE

To determine the strength of the surrogate-survival correlation for cancer drug approvals based on a surrogate.

PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS

We performed a retrospective study of the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) database, with focused searches of MEDLINE and Google Scholar. Among cancer drugs approved based on a surrogate end point, we examined previous publications assessing the strength of the surrogate-survival correlation. Specifically, we identified the percentage of surrogate approvals lacking any formal analysis of the strength of the surrogate-survival correlation, and when conducted, the strength of such correlations.

RESULTS

Between January 1, 2009, and December 31, 2014, the FDA approved marketing applications for 55 indications based on a surrogate, of which 25 were accelerated approvals and 30 were traditional approvals. We could not find any formal analyses of the strength of the surrogate-survival correlation in 14 out of 25 accelerated approvals (56%) and 11 out of 30 traditional approvals (37%). For accelerated approvals, just 4 approvals (16%) were made where a level 1 analysis (the most robust way to validate a surrogate) had been performed, with all 4 studies reporting low correlation (r≤0.7). For traditional approvals, a level 1 analysis had been performed for 15 approvals (50%): 8 (53%) reported low correlation (r≤0.7), 4 (27%) medium correlation (r>0.7 to r<0.85), and 3 (20%) high correlation (r≥0.85) with survival.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of surrogate end points for drug approval often lacks formal empirical verification of the strength of the surrogate-survival association.

The power of phase II end-points for different possible mechanisms of action of an experimental treatment

BACKGROUND

The high failure rate in phase III oncology trials is partly because the signal obtained from phase II trials is often weak. Several papers have considered the appropriateness of various phase II end-points for individual trials, but there has not been a systematic comparison using simulated data to determine which end-point should be used in which situation.

METHODS

In this paper we carry out simulation studies to compare the power of several Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumours (RECIST) response-based end-points for one-arm and two-arm trials, together with progression-free survival (PFS) and testing the tumour-shrinkage directly for two-arm trials. We consider six scenarios: (1) short-term cytotoxic therapy; (2) continuous cytotoxic therapy; (3+4) cytostatic therapy; (5+6) delayed tumour-shrinkage effect (seen in some immunotherapies). We also consider measurement error in the assessment of tumour size.

RESULTS

Measurement error affects the type-I error rate and power of single-arm trials, and the power of two-arm trials. Generally no single end-point performed well in all scenarios. Best observed response rate, PFS and directly testing the tumour-shrinkages performed best for a number of scenarios. PFS performed very poorly when the effect of the treatment was short-lived. In scenario 6, where the delay in effect was long, no end-point performed well.

CONCLUSIONS

A clinician setting up a phase II trial should consider the likely mechanism of action the drug will have and choose an end-point that provides high power for that scenario. Testing the difference in tumour-shrinkage is often powerful. Alternative end-points are required for therapies with a long delayed effect.

Statistical considerations and endpoints for clinical lung cancer studies: Can progression free survival (PFS) substitute overall survival (OS) as a valid endpoint in clinical trials for advanced non-small-cell lung cancer?

In the last decades significant progress has been achieved in the biological understanding of non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and its tumor heterogeneity has become more evident. The identification of novel tumor targets with different pathways has stimulated the search for anti-tumor agents with a specific target directed mode of action, stipulating the need of testing these agents in clinical trials with an appropriate choice of the study endpoint. Gold standard as an endpoint has been so far overall survival (OS). By definition there are 3 categories of classical endpoints applied generally in clinical lung cancer studies: survival time endpoints, symptom endpoints, and endpoints relying on patients' reporting. Beside classical endpoints like OS which are tending to show the direct clinical effect of treatment, efforts have been taken to substitute these classical endpoints by surrogates. As a surrogate candidate for OS progression-free survival (PFS) should have the inherent considerable advantage, that it can detect subpopulations with longer PFS intervals early. Based on the (sub-) population treated and having in mind the risk-benefit profile of the drug under consideration, PFS can be considered for regulatory decision making. If accompanied by some independent measures like quality of life or treatment toxicity, PFS should be able to cover the clinical benefit achieved by treatment. Selecting PFS as primary endpoint in Phase III trials of advanced NSCLC may be based on a number of questions such as: Does the definition of PFS fit into the setting used by other trials? Are there accepted consensus standards? Are there consistent surveillance intervals? Is validation for each agent group planned? Is the incremental improvement of PFS big enough (≥30%)? And are there some additional measures to confine clinical benefit? OS is still accepted as the gold standard in trials investigating advanced NSCLC. OS is easy to measure and precise but it may be difficult to interpret if treatment action takes place only in a small subinterval of overall survival. PFS with some additional measures has become attractive when it seems advisable to make study results available earlier. Candidates for supporting PFS as "additional measures" may be treatment toxicity and quality of life measures. PFS allows a more precise detection and attribution to effects of the investigational treatment without being compromised by subsequent treatments. Therefore "enriched PFS" can be considered as an alternative primary endpoint replacing OS in studies investigating advanced NSCLC. The endpoint selection process should always be performed carefully considering all true and surrogate endpoint options in respect to the hypotheses to be proven.

Factors affecting the association between overall survival and progression-free survival in clinical trials of first-line treatment for patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer

PURPOSE

New treatment strategies, particularly the introduction of molecular-targeted agents and appropriate patient selection based on histology and/or genotyping, have progressed markedly in recent years, and the overall survival (OS) in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients has improved. The aim of the study was to identify factors affecting longer OS than that estimated from progression-free survival (PFS) in first-line treatment for advanced NSCLC.

METHODS

Sixty-five controlled trials for first-line treatment of advanced NSCLC were extracted for the study. Factors influencing higher than predicted OS were examined by logistic regression analysis between the OS-extended group and the OS-association group.

RESULTS

PFS was moderately associated with OS. Twenty arms of 14 trials were categorized as an OS-extended group, in which the ratio of observed OS to estimated OS was found to be over 1.2. On multivariate logistic regression analysis, number of patients lower than 150, average age younger than 63 years, and percentage of squamous carcinoma <30 % were found to significantly affect this relationship.

CONCLUSION

We identified number of patients and well-known prognostic factors including age and histological cancer type as factors influencing longer OS. These factors should be considered for patient eligibility, when PFS is used as a surrogate primary endpoint for OS in randomized clinical trials of first-line treatment for patients with advanced NSCLC.

Evaluation of alternate categorical tumor metrics and cut points for response categorization using the RECIST 1.1 data warehouse

PURPOSE

We sought to test and validate the predictive utility of trichotomous tumor response (TriTR; complete response [CR] or partial response [PR] v stable disease [SD] v progressive disease [PD]), disease control rate (DCR; CR/PR/SD v PD), and dichotomous tumor response (DiTR; CR/PR v others) metrics using alternate cut points for PR and PD. The data warehouse assembled to guide the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) version 1.1 was used.

METHODS

Data from 13 trials (5,480 patients with metastatic breast cancer, non-small-cell lung cancer, or colorectal cancer) were randomly split (60:40) into training and validation data sets. In all, 27 pairs of cut points for PR and PD were considered: PR (10% to 50% decrease by 5% increments) and PD (10% to 20% increase by 5% increments), for which 30% and 20% correspond to the RECIST categorization. Cox proportional hazards models with landmark analyses at 12 and 24 weeks stratified by study and number of lesions (fewer than three v three or more) and adjusted for average baseline tumor size were used to assess the impact of each metric on overall survival (OS). Model discrimination was assessed by using the concordance index (c-index).

RESULTS

Standard RECIST cut points demonstrated predictive ability similar to the alternate PR and PD cut points. Regardless of tumor type, the TriTR, DiTR, and DCR metrics had similar predictive performance. The 24-week metrics (albeit with higher c-index point estimate) were not meaningfully better than the 12-week metrics. None of the metrics did particularly well for breast cancer.

CONCLUSION

Alternative cut points to RECIST standards provided no meaningful improvement in OS prediction. Metrics assessed at 12 weeks have good predictive performance.

Intraoperative use of ketorolac or diclofenac is associated with improved disease-free survival and overall survival in conservative breast cancer surgery

BACKGROUND

An association between the use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) and better outcome after mastectomy and lung surgery for cancer has been recently suggested. In a retrospective analysis, we investigated the association between intraoperative NSAIDs use in conservative breast cancer surgery and breast cancer disease-free survival (DFS). Similarly, we also evaluated the association between breast cancer DFS and preoperative neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio (NLR).

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of a single-centre cohort was performed in breast cancer patients (n=720) with uni- and multivariate analyses, using a Cox regression model.

RESULTS

In conservative breast cancer surgery, the intraoperative use of NSAIDs (ketorolac or diclofenac) was associated with an improved DFS {hazard ratio (HR)=0.57 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.37-0.89], P=0.01} and an improved overall survival (OS) [HR=0.35 (95% CI: 0.17-0.70), P=0.03]. In these patients, an NLR >3.3 (identified by a receiver-operating characteristic curve) was associated with a shorter DFS [HR=1.99 (95% CI: 1.16-3.41), P=0.01] and OS [HR=2.35 (95% CI: 1.02-5.43), P=0.046].

CONCLUSIONS

Intraoperative NSAIDs and higher preoperative NLR are associated with improved outcome in conservative breast cancer surgery. Prospective, randomized trials to evaluate if these associations are causal are warranted.

Evaluation of Circulating Tumor Cells and Related Events as Prognostic Factors and Surrogate Biomarkers in Advanced NSCLC Patients Receiving First-Line Systemic Treatment

In the present study we investigated the prognostic value of Circulating Tumour Cells (CTC) and their utility for therapy monitoring in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). A total of 43 patients newly diagnosed with NSCLC were prospectively enrolled. Blood samples were obtained before the 1st, 2nd and 5th cycles of chemotherapy and analyzed using CellSearch technology. Both CTC and CTC-related objects (not morphological standard or broken epithelial cells) were counted. At baseline 18 (41.9%) patients were positive for intact CTC count and 10 (23.2%) of them had ≥5 CTC, while CK positive events were found in 79.1% of patients. The group of patients with CTC ≥5 at baseline presented worse PFS and OS than those with <5 CTC (p = 0.034 and p = 0.008, respectively). Additionally, high levels of total CK positive events were associated with poor prognosis in the group of patients with <5 CTC. Regarding therapy monitoring, patients presenting increased levels of CTC during the treatment demonstrated lower OS and PFS rates. All these data supported the value of CTC as a prognostic biomarker and as a surrogate indicator of chemotherapy effectiveness in advanced NSCLC patients, with the additional value of analyzing other “objects” such as apoptotic CTC or CK fragments to guide the clinical management of these patients.

Targeted therapy for non-small cell lung cancer

The treatment of advanced non-small cell lung cancer has been with systemic chemotherapy and usually consists of a platinum doublet chemotherapy. The identification of somatic driver mutations has resulted in new drugs that target these mutations. This report discusses the two most important new targeted therapy drugs for the treatment of advanced non-small cell lung cancer that have these driver mutations.

Perioperative ketorolac in high risk breast cancer patients. Rationale, feasibility and methodology of a prospective randomized placebo-controlled trial

Ketorolac, a NSAID routinely used during surgery proposed to have anticancer effects, is a promising way to improve postoperative oncological outcome. This effect may be particularly prominent in patients with elevated preoperative inflammatory scores, like the neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio. In this paper, we describe the rationale, the preliminary analyses in our patients, the feasibility and the methodology of a prospective randomized trial called "Ketorolac in Breast Cancer trial" (KBCt) (NCT01806259).

Neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio and intraoperative use of ketorolac or diclofenac are prognostic factors in different cohorts of patients undergoing breast, lung, and kidney cancer surgery

BACKGROUND

Inflammation is associated with a worse outcome in cancer and neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a strong prognostic value. In cancer, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) could be of interest. We investigated the prognostic significance of NLR and the impact of intraoperative NSAIDs in cancer surgeries.

METHODS

We performed an observational study in early breast, kidney, and lung cancers (357, 227, and 255 patients) with uni- and multivariate analyses (Cox model).

RESULTS

In breast cancer (Centre 1), NLR ≥ 4 is associated with a higher risk of relapse (hazards ratio (HR) = 2.41; 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.01-5.76; P = 0.048). In breast cancer (Centre 2), NLR ≥ 3 is associated with a higher risk of relapse (HR = 4.6; 95 % CI 1.09-19.1; P = 0.04) and higher mortality (HR = 4.0; 95 % CI 1.12-14.3; P = 0.03). In kidney cancer, NLR ≥ 5 is associated with a higher risk of relapse (HR = 1.63; 95 % CI 1.00-2.66; P = 0.05) and higher mortality (HR = 1.67; 95 % CI 1.0-2.81; P = 0.05). In lung cancer, NLR ≥ 5 is associated with higher mortality (HR = 1.45; 95 % CI 1.02-2.06; P = 0.04). The intraoperative use of NSAIDs in breast cancer patients (Centre 1) is associated with a reduced recurrence rate (HR = 0.17; 95 % CI 0.04-0.43; P = 0.0002) and a lower mortality (HR = 0.25; 95 % CI 1.08-0.75; P = 0.01). NSAIDs use at the beginning of the surgery is independently associated with a lower metastases risk after lung cancer surgery (HR = 0.16; 95 % CI 0.04-0.63; P = 0.009). Ketorolac use is independently associated with longer survival (HR = 0.55; 95 % CI 0.31-0.95; P = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

In these cohorts, these analyses show that NLR is a strong perioperative prognosis factor for breast, lung, and kidney cancers. In this context, intraoperative NSAIDs administration could be associated with a better outcome.

The clinical viewpoint: definitions, limitations of RECIST, practical considerations of measurement

In selecting an endpoint in clinical trial design, it is important to consider that the endpoint is both reliably measured and clinically meaningful. As such, overall survival (OS) has traditionally been considered the most clinically relevant and convincing endpoint in clinical trial design as long as it is accompanied by preservation in quality of life. However, progression-free survival (PFS) is increasingly more prominent in clinical trial design because of feasibility issues (smaller sample sizes and shorter follow-up). PFS has the advantage of taking into account not only responsive disease, but stable disease as well, an issue of particular importance in the relapsed and refractory setting in which therapies are often associated with a minimal to nil response but may still confer a survival advantage. Finally, PFS has a significant advantage in molecularly selected populations, in whom OS advantages are difficult to detect due to the effects of crossover. With an understanding of the limitations and biases that are introduced with PFS as a primary endpoint, we believe that PFS is not only a viable but also a necessary alternative to OS in assessing the efficacy of selected novel-targeted therapies in molecularly defined cancer populations. Ultimately, the selection of a clinical trial endpoint should not be based on a one-size-fits all approach; rather, it should be based on the specifics of the therapeutic strategy being tested and the population under study.

Overall survival should be the primary endpoint in clinical trials for advanced non-small-cell lung cancer

An article in a recent edition of Current Oncology explored the validation of progression-free survival (pfs) as an endpoint in clinical trials of antineoplastic agents for metastatic colorectal cancer, metastatic renal cell carcinoma, and ovarian cancer. The support for pfs as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival (os) was elucidated. As with the aforementioned tumour types, advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (nsclc) has seen a rise in active agents since the year 2000. Those agents range from improved cytotoxics such as pemetrexed, to targeted therapies such as tyrosine kinase inhibitors of the epidermal growth factor receptor and agents that target the EML4-ALK gene mutation. More recently, it has also become apparent that histology plays an important role in the response to and outcomes of treatment. With the therapeutic options for patients with advanced nsclc increasing, concerns are being raised that the efficacy of drugs measured by os may be diluted in clinical trials, thereby underestimating their true clinical benefit. That possibility, together with the need to have efficacious drugs available to patients earlier, has resulted in the search for a surrogate to the os endpoint in advanced nsclc. The present article follows up the recent article on pfs as a surrogate. Although advances in identifying pfs as a valid surrogate endpoint for os have been made in other tumour types, in advanced nsclc, such surrogacy has not been formally validated. Until it has, os should remain the primary endpoint of clinical trials in advanced nsclc.

A Case Series of Survival Outcomes in Patients with Advanced-stage IIIb/IV Non-small-cell Lung Cancer Treated with HangAm-Plus

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) represents approximately 80% of all lung cancers. Unfortunately, at their time of diagnosis, most patients have advanced to unresectable disease with a very poor prognosis. The oriental herbal medicine HangAm-Plus(HAP) has been developed for antitumor purposes, and several previous studies have reported its therapeutic effects. In this study, the efficacy of HAP was evaluated as a third-line treatment for advanced-stage IIIb/IV NSCLC.

METHODS

The study involved six patients treated at the East- West Cancer Center (EWCC) from April 2010 to October 2011. Inoperable advanced-stage IIIb/IV NSCLC patients received 3,000 or 6,000 mg of HAP on a daily basis over a 12-week period. Computed tomography (CT) scans were obtained from the patients at the time of the initial administration and after 12 weeks of treatment. We observed and analyzed the patients overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

Of the six patients, three expired during the study, and the three remaining patients were alive as of October 31, 2011. The OS ranged from 234 to 512 days, with a median survival of 397 days and a one-year survival rate of 66.7%. In the 12-week-interval chest CT assessment, three patients showed stable disease (SD), and the other three showed progressive disease (PD). The PFS of patients ranged from 88 to 512 days, the median PFS being 96 days. Longer OS and PFS were correlated with SD. Although not directly comparable, the OS and the PFS of this study were greater than those of the docetaxel or the best supportive care group in other studies.

CONCLUSION

HAP may prolong the OS and the PFS of inoperable stage IIIb/IV NSCLC patients without significant adverse effects. In the future, more controlled clinical trials with larger samples from multi-centers should be conducted to evaluate the efficacy and the safety of HAP.

Impact of disease progression date determination on progression-free survival estimates in advanced lung cancer

BACKGROUND

In patients with advanced lung cancer, overall survival is largely influenced by progression status. Because progression-free survival (PFS)-based endpoints are controversial, the authors evaluated the impact of the progression date (PD) determination approach on PFS estimates.

METHODS

Individual patient data from 21 trials (14 North Central Cancer Treatment Group trials and 7 Southwest Oncology Group trials) were used. The reported PD (RPD) was defined as either the radiographic scan date or the clinical deterioration date. PD was determined using Method 1 (M1), the RPD; M2, 1 day after the last progression-free scan; M3, midpoint between the last progression-free scan and the RPD; and M4, an interval-censoring approach. PFS was estimated using Kaplan-Meier (M1-M3), and maximum-likelihood (M4) methods. Simulation studies were performed to understand the impact of the length of time elapsed between the last progression-free scan and the PD on time-to-progression estimates.

RESULTS

PFS estimates using the RPD were the highest, and M2 was the most conservative. M3 and M4 were similar because the majority of progressions occurred during treatment (ie, frequent disease assessments). M3 was influenced less by the length of the assessment schedules (percentage difference from the true time-to-progression, <1.5%) compared with M1 (11% to 30%) and M2 (-8% to -29%). The overall study conclusion was unaffected by the method used for randomized trials.

CONCLUSIONS

The magnitude of difference in the PFS estimates was large enough to alter trial conclusions in patients with advanced lung cancer. The results indicate that standards for PD determination, the use of sensitivity analyses, and randomized trials are critical when designing trials and reporting efficacy using PFS-based endpoints.

Circulating tumour cells: their utility in cancer management and predicting outcomes

Recent advances in technology now permit robust and reproducible detection of circulating tumour cells (CTCs) from a simple blood test. Standardization in methodology has been instrumental in facilitating multicentre trials with the purpose of evaluating the clinical utility of CTCs. We review the current body of evidence supporting the prognostic value of CTC enumeration in breast, prostate and colorectal cancer, using standardized approaches, and studies evaluating the correlation of CTC number with radiological outcome. The exploitation of CTCs in cancer management, however, is now extending beyond prognostication. As technologies emerge to characterize CTCs at the molecular level, biological information can be obtained in real time, with the promise of serving as a 'surrogate tumour biopsy'. Current studies illuminate the potential of CTCs as pharmacodynamic and predictive biomarkers and potentially their use in revealing drug resistance in real time. Approaches for CTC characterization are summarized and the potential of CTCs in cancer patient management exemplified via the detection of epidermal growth factor receptor mutations from CTCs in patients with non-small cell lung cancer. The opportunity to learn more about the biology of metastasis through CTC analysis is now being realized with the horizon of CTC-guided development of novel anticancer therapies.

Evaluation and prognostic significance of circulating tumor cells in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer

PURPOSE

Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) lacks validated biomarkers to predict treatment response. This study investigated whether circulating tumor cells (CTCs) are detectable in patients with NSCLC and what their ability might be to provide prognostic information and/or early indication of patient response to conventional therapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In this single-center prospective study, blood samples for CTC analysis were obtained from 101 patients with previously untreated, stage III or IV NSCLC both before and after administration of one cycle of standard chemotherapy. CTCs were measured using a semiautomated, epithelial cell adhesion molecule-based immunomagnetic technique.

RESULTS

The number of CTCs in 7.5 mL of blood was higher in patients with stage IV NSCLC (n = 60; range, 0 to 146) compared with patients with stage IIIB (n = 27; range, 0 to 3) or IIIA disease (n = 14; no CTCs detected). In univariate analysis, progression-free survival was 6.8 v 2.4 months with P < .001, and overall survival (OS) was 8.1 v 4.3 months with P < .001 for patients with fewer than five CTCs compared with five or more CTCs before chemotherapy, respectively. In multivariate analysis, CTC number was the strongest predictor of OS (hazard ratio [HR], 7.92; 95% CI, 2.85 to 22.01; P < .001), and the point estimate of the HR was increased with incorporation of a second CTC sample that was taken after one cycle of chemotherapy (HR, 15.65; 95% CI, 3.63 to 67.53; P < .001).

CONCLUSION

CTCs are detectable in patients with stage IV NSCLC and are a novel prognostic factor for this disease. Further validation is warranted before routine clinical application.

Prospective analysis on survival outcomes of nonsmall cell lung cancer stages over IIIb treated with HangAm-Dan

Background and objective

Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) stages over Ⅲb still remain as an intractable disease. Survival rate of NSCLC stages over Ⅲb could be increased through chemotherapy and radiation, but results are not satisfactory. Oriental medicine herbal formula, HangAm-Dan (HAD) has been developed for anti-tumor purpose and several previous studies have already reported its effects. The aim of this study is to assess HAD's efficacy on prolonging the survival rate of NSCLC stages over Ⅲb.

Methods

We have administered 3 000 mg of HAD daily to patients. The study included 74 first visit patients of East-West Cancer Center (EWCC) from November 2007 to April 2008, diagnosed with inoperable NSCLC stages over Ⅲb. Among them, 30 patients were in HAD group and 44 patients were in combined group with conventional therapy and HAD. We have observed and analyzed their overall survival.

Results

Of total 74 patients, overall 1 year, 2 year survival rates and the median survival time were 62.1%, 34.9% and 17.0 months (95%CI: 12.9-21.1). NSCLC stage Ⅲb patients showed higher survival rates than NSCLC stage Ⅳ patients (P=0.408). The 1 year, 2 year survival rates and the median survival time of the combined group were 70.5%, 37.9% and 20.0 months (95%CI: 16.4-24.6). In HAD group, the 1 year, 2 year survival rates and the median survival time were 50.0%, 25.7% and 12.0 months (95%CI: 6.6-17.4). The combined therapy group showed higher survival rates than the HAD group (P=0.034). Each groups treated with HAD for more than 4 weeks showed higher survival rates than those treated for less than 4 weeks, but there was no significant difference (P=0.278). In hazard ratio, the combined therapy group showed lower mortality rate than the HAD group with statistical significance (P=0.040).

Conclusion

HAD could prolong the survival rate of inoperable NSCLC stages over Ⅲb. HAD is more effective when combined with conventional therapy. In the future, more controlled clinical trials with larger sample in multi-centers are needed to reevaluate the efficacy and safety of HAD.

Tumor response and progression-free survival as potential surrogate endpoints for overall survival in extensive stage small-cell lung cancer: findings on the basis of North Central Cancer Treatment Group trials

BACKGROUND

The authors investigated the putative surrogate endpoints of best response, complete response (CR), confirmed response, and progression-free survival (PFS) for associations with overall survival (OS), and as possible surrogate endpoints for OS.

METHODS

Individual patient data from 870 untreated extensive stage small-cell lung cancer patients participating in 6 single-arm (274 patients) and 3 randomized trials (596 patients) were pooled. Patient-level associations between putative surrogate endpoints and OS were assessed by Cox models using landmark analyses. Trial-level surrogacy of putative surrogate endpoints were assessed by the association of treatment effects on OS and individual putative surrogate endpoints. Trial-level surrogacy measures included: R(2) from weighted least squares regression model, Spearman correlation coefficient, and R(2) from bivariate survival model (Copula R(2) ).

RESULTS

Median OS and PFS were 9.6 (95% confidence interval [CI], 9.1-10.0) and 5.5 (95% CI, 5.2-5.9) months, respectively; best response, CR, and confirmed response rates were 44%, 22%, and 34%, respectively. Patient-level associations showed that PFS status at 4 months was a strong predictor of subsequent survival (hazard ratio [HR], 0.42; 95% CI, 0.35-0.51; concordance index 0.63; P < .01), with 6-month PFS being the strongest (HR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.35-0.49; concordance index, 0.66, P < .01). At the trial level, PFS showed the highest level of surrogacy for OS (weighted least squares R(2) = 0.79; Copula R(2) = 0.80), explaining 79% of the variance in OS. Tumor response endpoints showed lower surrogacy levels (weighted least squares R(2) ≤0.48).

CONCLUSIONS

PFS was strongly associated with OS at both the patient and trial levels. PFS also shows promise as a potential surrogate for OS, but further validation is needed using data from a larger number of randomized phase 3 trials.