FIB-4 index serves as a noninvasive prognostic biomarker in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: A meta-analysis

Clinical Significance of Fibrosis 4 Index in Early-stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Received Ultrasound-guided Microwave Ablation

Recurrence is of utmost importance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after ultrasound-guided microwave ablation (UGMWA) therapy. The fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) index is a valuable predictor of HCC recurrence after surgical resection. However, whether FIB-4 can predict the recurrence of HCC patients receiving UGMWA remains unclear. The FIB-4 index was detected in healthy controls, hepatitis patients, and HCC patients. The predictive value of FIB-4 in HCC occurrence and recurrence following UGMWA therapy was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic analysis. The associated factors of FIB-4 in HCC patients were compared between patients with high and low levels of FIB-4. A Kaplan-Meier plot was used to assess the impact of FIB-4 on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS). FIB-4 levels were increased in HCC patients and could predict the occurrence of HCC. Meanwhile, it was associated with five factors, including recurrence. Furthermore, FIB-4 levels decreased in HCC patients after UGMWA therapy but increased in recurrent HCC patients following UGMWA therapy. Importantly, FIB-4 could predict recurrence after UGMWA. The HCC patients had shorter OS and RFS. FIB-4 was associated with HCC recurrence after UGMWA therapy. Specifically, it had a predictive value for HCC occurrence and recurrence following UGMWA therapy.

The assessment of impaired liver function and prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

The impairment of liver function strongly limits the therapeutic options for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and the assessment of liver function is key to finding the appropriate therapy for patients suffering from this disease. Furthermore, preexisting liver dysfunction has a negative impact on the prognosis of patients in addition to the malignant potential of HCC. Hence, defining the optimal treatment of patients with HCC requires a comprehensive examination with liver function being a crucial part of it.

AREAS COVERED

This review will provide an overview of the currently existing methods for evaluating the liver function in patients with HCC. Assessment of liver function includes scoring systems but also functional and technical methods. In addition, the role of these tests in different treatment facilities such as liver resection, transplantation, interventional and systemic therapy is summarized.

EXPERT OPINION

A comprehensive pretherapeutic assessment of the liver function includes laboratory-based scoring systems, as well as imaging- and non-imaging-based functional tests. Combining diverse parameters can help to improve the safety and efficacy of HCC therapy particularly in patients with compromised liver function. Future research should focus on optimizing pretherapeutic assessment recommendations for each therapy.

Potential role of Fibrosis-4 score in hepatocellular carcinoma screening: The Kangbuk Samsung Health Study

AIM

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major cause of cancer-related death, with low survival rates worldwide. Fatty liver disease (FLD) significantly contributes to HCC. We studied the screening performance of different methods for identifying HCC in patients with FLD or with metabolic risk factors for FLD.

METHODS

Korean adults (n = 340 825) without a prior HCC diagnosis were categorized into four groups: normal (G1), ≥2 metabolic risk factors (G2), FLD (G3), and viral liver disease or liver cirrhosis (G4). The National Cancer Registry data were used to identify HCC cases within 12 months. We assessed the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of individual or combined screening methods.

RESULTS

In 93 HCC cases, 71 were identified in G4, whereas 20 cases (21.5%) in G2 and G3 combined where ultrasound and Fibrosis-4 performed similarly to alpha-fetoprotein and ultrasound. In G2, Fibrosis-4 and ultrasound had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.93 [0.87-0.99]), whereas in G3, the combined screening methods had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.98 [0.95-1.00]). The positive predictive value was lower in G2 and G3 than in G4, but was >5% when restricted to a high Fibrosis-4 score.

CONCLUSIONS

More than 21% of HCC cases were observed in patients with diagnosed FLD or at risk of FLD with metabolic risk factors. Nevertheless, screening for HCC in individuals without cirrhosis or viral hepatitis yielded very low results, despite the potential value of the Fibrosis-4 score in identifying individuals at high risk of HCC.

Value of GPR, APPRI and FIB-4 in the early diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma: a prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

There is an urgent need for novel biomarkers that are inexpensive, effective and easily accessible to complement the early diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma. This study aimed to analyze the relationship between serum gamma-glutamate-transpeptidase to platelet ratio, alkaline phosphatase-to-platelet ratio index, fibrosis index based on four factors and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma, and to determine the optimal cut-offs for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma.

METHODS

Based on a prospective cohort study, 44 215 participants who were cancer-free at baseline (2011-13) were included in the study. Cox proportional hazard models and receiver operating characteristics curves were used to analyze the diagnostic value and optimal cut-off value of gamma-glutamyl-transpeptidase to platelet ratio, alkaline phosphatase-to-platelet ratio index and fibrosis index based on four factors in predicting hepatocellular carcinoma patients.

RESULTS

Gamma-glutamyl-transpeptidase to platelet ratio, alkaline phosphatase-to-platelet ratio index and fibrosis index based on four factors can be used as early independent predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma risk. The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in the fourth quantile of gamma-glutamyl-transpeptidase to platelet ratio and alkaline phosphatase-to-platelet ratio index was 4.04 times (hazard ratio = 4.04, 95% confidence interval: 2.09, 7.80) and 2.59 times (hazard ratio = 2.59, 95% confidence interval: 1.45, 4.61), respectively, compared with the first quantile. With fibrosis index based on four factors first quantile as a reference, fibrosis index based on four factors fourth quantile had the highest risk (hazard ratio = 18.58, 95% confidence interval: 7.55, 45.72). Receiver operating characteristic results showed that fibrosis index based on four factors had a stronger ability to predict the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (area under curve = 0.81, 95% confidence interval: 0.80, 0.81), and similar results were shown for gender stratification. In the total population, the optimal cut-off values of gamma-glutamyl-transpeptidase to platelet ratio, alkaline phosphatase-to-platelet ratio index and fibrosis index based on four factors were 0.208, 0.629 and 1.942, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Gamma-glutamyl-transpeptidase to platelet ratio, alkaline phosphatase-to-platelet ratio index and fibrosis index based on four factors were independent predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma risk. Amongst them, fibrosis index based on four factors shows a stronger predictive ability for hepatocellular carcinoma risk, and gamma-glutamyl-transpeptidase to platelet ratio and alkaline phosphatase-to-platelet ratio index can be used as complementary indicators.

The adverse characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma in the non-cirrhotic liver disproportionately disadvantage Black patients

BACKGROUND

Black patients have higher hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)-related mortality than White patients and more often develop HCC in non-cirrhotic liver. HCC surveillance is primarily directed toward cirrhotic patients. We aimed to characterize HCC in non-cirrhotic patients and to identify factors associated with HCC beyond Milan criteria.

METHODS

Demographic, imaging, laboratory, and pathology data of HCC patients at our institution, 2003-2018, were reviewed, retrospectively. Race/ethnicity were self-reported. Cirrhosis was defined as a Fibrosis-4 score ≥3.25.

RESULTS

Compared to 1146 cirrhotic patients, 411 non-cirrhotic patients had larger tumors (median 4.7 cm vs. 3.1 cm, p < 0.01) and were less likely to be within Milan criteria (42.6% vs. 57.7%, p < 0.01). Among non-cirrhotic patients, Black patients had larger tumors (4.9 cm vs. 4.3 cm, p < 0.01) and a higher percentage of poorly differentiated tumors (39.4% vs. 23.1%, p = 0.02). Among cirrhotic patients, Black patients had larger tumors (3.3 cm vs. 3.0 cm, p = 0.03) and were less likely to be within Milan criteria (52.3% vs. 83.2%, p < 0.01). In multivariable analysis, lack of commercial insurance (OR 1.45 [CI 95% 1.19-1.83], p < 0.01), male sex (OR 1.34 [CI 95% 1.05-1.70], p < 0.01), absence of cirrhosis (OR 1.58 [CI 95% 1.27-1.98], p < 0.01) and Black race/ethnicity (OR 1.34 [CI 95% 1.09-1.66], p = 0.01) were associated with HCC beyond Milan criteria. Black patients had lower survival rates than other patients (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Non-cirrhotic patients had more advanced HCC than cirrhotic patients. Black patients (with or without cirrhosis) had more advanced HCC than comparable non-Black patients and higher mortality rates. Improved access to healthcare (commercial insurance) may increase early diagnosis (within Milan criteria) and reduce disparities.

The Impact of Clinical Prognosis of Viral Hepatitis in Head and Neck Cancer Patients Receiving Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy

This study evaluated the clinical characteristics of head and neck cancer (HNC) patients with hepatitis B (HBV) or hepatitis C (HCV) who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) and examined the prognostic impact of antiviral therapies. In a 19-year retrospective analysis of 8224 HNC patients treated with CCRT, 29.8% (2452) were diagnosed with HBV or HCV, of whom 714 received antiviral therapy. For non-metastatic HNC patients on CCRT, factors such as gender, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), liver cirrhosis markers (Fibrosis-4, APRI), and initial tumor stage were significant determinants of their overall survival. However, the presence of HBV or HCV and the administration of antiviral treatments did not yield distinct survival outcomes. In summary, antiviral therapy for HBV or HCV did not affect the 5-year survival rates of non-metastatic HNC patients undergoing CCRT, while gender, tumor stage, CCI, and liver cirrhosis were notable prognostic indicators.

A novel nomogram for predicting microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

In hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the prognosis of patients with microvascular invasion (MVI) is poor. Therefore, in this study, we established and evaluated the performance of a novel nomogram to predict MVI in patients with HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively obtained clinical data of 497 patients with HCC who underwent hepatectomy at Liaoning Cancer Hospital from November 1, 2018, to November 4, 2021. The patients (n = 497) were randomized in a 7:3 ratio into the training cohort (TC, n = 349) and the validation cohort (VC, n = 148). We performed Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) and univariate as well as multivariate logistic regression analyses (ULRA, MRLA) on patients in the TC to identify factors independently predicting MVI.

RESULTS

Preoperative FIB-4, AFU, AFP levels, liver cirrhosis, and non-smooth tumor margin were independent risk factors for preoperative MVI prediction. The C-index of the TC, VC, and the entire cohort was 0.846, 0.786, and 0.829, respectively. The calibration curves demonstrated the outstanding agreement between predicted MVI incidences by our model and the actual MVI risk. Decision curve analysis (DCA) confirmed the significance of our predictive model in clinical settings. The Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival curve showed that the recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) of patients in the high-MVI risk group were poor compared to those in the low-MVI risk group.

CONCLUSIONS

We constructed and evaluated the performance of the novel nomogram for predicting MVI risk. Our predictive model could adequately predict MVI risk and aid clinicians in selecting appropriate therapeutic strategies for patients.

Clinical manifestation, staging and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma in Gambian patients

BACKGROUND

As a result of the lack of screening programs and the difficulty in making a proper diagnosis, the majority of hepatocellular carcinoma (HHC) patients present late in low-resource countries. The study therefore assesses the clinical features, stage and prognostic variables of patients with HCC in The Gambia.

METHODS

From December 2015 to January 2019, patients with a confirmed diagnosis of HCC were enrolled. All patients' medical history, ultrasound scan, FibroScan and laboratory details were collected.

RESULTS

Two hundred and sixty (260) patients were enrolled. The mean age of HCC patients was 40 years, and 210 (80.7%) of them were male. The most common gastrointestinal symptoms were early satiety 229 (88.1%) and abdominal pain 288 (87.7%), while the most common constitutional symptoms were weight loss 237 (91.2%) and easy fatiguability 237 (91.2%). Hepatomegaly 205 (78.8%) was the most common sign. On ultrasound scan, lesions were mostly multifocal 175 (67.3%), and the median FibroScan score was 75 kPa. The median fibrosis 4 and aspartate transferase platelet ratio index were 4.6 and 2.2, respectively. Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) was positive in 170 (65.4%) patients, and the median AFP level was 3263 ng/ml. HCC patients with positive HBsAg were more likely to be male 145 (85.3%) vs 62 (72.1%) (p = 0.011), much younger 39.9 vs 51.4 yrs (p =  < 0.0001), more likely to have abdominal pain 156 (91.8%) vs 68 (79.1%) (p = 0.002), jaundice 78 (45.9%) vs 29 (33.7%) (p = 0.042), dark urine 117 (68.8%) vs 46 (53.5%) (p = 0.018), raised transaminases (Aspartate transaminases 224.5 (32-7886) vs 153 (18-610), p =  < 0.01, Alanine transferases 71 (5-937) vs 47 (8-271), p =  < 0.001) and decreased platelet count 207 (33-941) vs 252 (52- 641) (p = 0.021) compared to patients with HCC who were HBsAg-negative.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognosis of patients with HCC is poor in developing countries such as The Gambia, where screening programs and treatment modalities are scarce. Young males are disproportionately affected, and HBV is a major cause of HCC in The Gambia.

The hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocyte, and platelet score is a prognostic factor for Child-Pugh A patients undergoing curative hepatic resection for single and small hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM

The hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocyte, and platelet (HALP) score reflects the immune system and the nutritional status of patients, and prognosis in various cancers. However, the HALP score in hepatocellular carcinoma has not been reported.

METHODS

Data were analyzed retrospectively from Child-Pugh A patients undergoing hepatic resection for single hepatocellular carcinoma ≤5 cm. For cross-validation, patients were divided into the training (332 patients) and validation cohort (210 patients). In the training cohort, we divided patients into two groups by appropriate cut-off value of the HALP score, and univariable and multivariable analyses were conducted for disease-free and overall survival (OS) between two groups. In the validation cohort, we examined OS by Kaplan-Meier analysis in the same cut-off value of the HALP score in the training cohort.

RESULTS

The HALP-low group was significantly older (p = 0.0003), had fewer hepatitis B surface antigen-positive patients (p = 0.0369), higher prothrombin time (p = 0.0141), lower fibrosis-4 index (p = 0.0206), bigger maximum tumor size (p = 0.0196), and less histological liver fibrosis (p = 0.0077). Multivariate analysis showed that the independent prognostic factors for disease-free survival were fibrosis-4 index ≥2.67 (p = 0.0008), simple nodular type with extranodular growth or confluent multinodular type (p = 0.0221), and intrahepatic metastasis (p = 0.0233), and that for OS were fibrosis-4 index ≥2.67 (p = 0.0020), HALP ≤45.6 (p = 0.0228), and poor differentiation (p = 0.0305). In the validation cohort, Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed the trend toward significantly impaired OS (p = 0.0220) in the HALP-low group.

CONCLUSION

We showed that a low HALP score is the independent prognostic factor for Child-Pugh A patients undergoing curative hepatic resection for single and small hepatocellular carcinoma.

Patients with type 2 diabetes and elevated fibrosis-4 are under-referred to hepatology and have unrecognized hepatic decompensation

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases recommends a high index of suspicion for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and advanced fibrosis in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and an elevated fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4). We investigated the referral pattern of patients with T2D and FIB4 > 3.25 to the hepatology clinic and evaluated the clinical benefits to the patient.

METHODS

We included patients aged 18-80 years with T2D and a FIB4 score >3.25 who had visited the internal medicine, family medicine, endocrinology clinic from 01/01/2014-5/31/2019. The first time point of high-risk FIB-4 was identified as the baseline for time-to-event analysis. The patients were classified based on whether they had visited the hepatology clinic (referred vs not referred).

RESULTS

Of the 2174 patients, 290 (13.3%) were referred to the hepatology clinic, and 1884 (86.7%) were not referred. In multivariate analyses, the referred patients had a lower overall mortality risk (Hazard Ratio: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.38-87). Notably, the referred patients had the same rate of biochemical decompensation, as measured by progression to MELD ≥ 14, but a substantially higher rate of diagnosis in cirrhosis (27, 19-38) and cirrhosis complications, including ascites (2.9, 2.0-4.1), hepatic encephalopathy (99, 13-742), and liver cancer (14, 5-38).

CONCLUSIONS

We found that patients with T2D and high-risk FIB4 are associated with better overall survival after referral to a hepatology clinic. We speculate that the survival difference is due to the increased recognition of cirrhosis and cirrhosis complications in the referred populations.

Hepatectomy outcomes in patients with hepatitis C virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma with or without cirrhosis

Purpose

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is rare in HCV patients without cirrhosis, and little is known about the postoperative results of these patients. The present study compares the outcomes of cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic groups after liver resection (LR) in solitary HCV-related HCC patients and identifies risk factors for prognosis according to the presence or absence of cirrhosis in these patients.

Methods

Two hundred and 7 adult hepatectomy patients with treatment-naïve solitary HCV-related HCC were identified prospectively at our institution between July 2005 and May 2019.

Results

The non-cirrhotic group had better liver function than the cirrhotic group based on platelet count, liver function tests, liver stiffness measurement, and indocyanine green retention rate at 15 minutes but were older than the cirrhotic group. Consistently, noninvasive markers in the cirrhotic group were significantly higher than in the non-cirrhotic group. The cumulative disease-free survival and overall survival in the non-cirrhotic group were significantly higher than in the cirrhotic group. HCC recurrence was related to major LR and α-FP of >40 ng/mL and death was related to long hospitalization and α-FP of >40 ng/mL in multivariate analysis. Noninvasive markers and the presence of cirrhosis were not related to HCC recurrence or death in multivariate analyses.

Conclusion

The cirrhotic group showed poor prognosis due to poor liver function after LR compared to the non-cirrhotic group, but this was not sustained in multivariate analysis. The factors influencing HCC recurrence and death were different in the cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic groups.

A novel classification in predicting prognosis and guiding postoperative management after R0 liver resection for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and microvascular invasion

BACKGROUND

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a significant risk factor affecting survival outcomes of patients after R0 liver resection (LR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The current classification of MVI is not refined enough to prognosticate long-term survival of these patients, and a new MVI classification is needed.

METHODS

Patients with HCC who underwent R0 LR at the Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital from January 2013 to December 2013 and with resected specimens showing MVI were included in this study with an aim to establish a novel MVI classification. The classification which was developed using multivariate cox regression analysis was externally validated.

RESULTS

There were 180 patients in the derivation cohort and 131 patients in the external validation cohort. The following factors were used for scoring: α-fetoprotein level (AFP), liver cirrhosis, tumor number, tumor diameter, MVI number, and distance between MVI and HCC. Three classes of patients could be distinguished by using the total score: class A, ≤3 points; class B, 3.5-5 points and class C, >5 points with distinct long-term survival outcomes (median recurrence free survival (mRFS), 22.6, 10.2, and 1.9 months, P < 0.001). The predictive accuracy of this classification was more accurate than the other commonly used classifications for HCC patients with MVI. In addition, the mRFS of class C patients was significantly prolonged (1.9 months vs. 6.2 months, P < 0.001) after adjuvant transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE).

CONCLUSIONS

A novel MVI classification was established in predicting prognosis of HCC patients with MVI after R0 LR. Adjuvant TACE was useful for class C patients.

Realization of improved outcomes following liver resection in hepatocellular carcinoma patients aged 75 years and older

Purpose

Little is known about liver resection (LR) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients older than 75 years of age. This study aimed to compare the postoperative and long-term outcomes of hepatectomy in this patient population according to operation period.

Methods

This study included 130 elderly patients who underwent LR for solitary treatment-naïve HCC between November 1998 and March 2020. Group 1 included patients who underwent LR before 2016 (n = 68) and group 2 included those who underwent LR during or after 2016 (n = 62).

Results

The proportion of major LR, anatomical LR, and laparoscopic LR (LLR) in group 1 was significantly lower than those in group 2. Also, the median operation time, amount of blood loss, hospitalization length, rates of intraoperative blood transfusion, and complications in group 2 were less than those in group 1. In the subgroup analysis of group 1, high proteins induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II, long hospitalization, and LLR were closely associated with mortality. In the subgroup analysis of group 2, however, none of the factors increased mortality. Nevertheless, the presence of tumor grade 3 or 4 and the incidence of microvascular invasion were higher in group 1 than in group 2, and the disease-free survival and overall survival were better in group 2 than in group 1 because of minimized blood loss and quicker recovery period by increased surgical techniques and anatomical approach, and LLR.

Conclusion

LR in elderly HCC patients has been frequently performed recently, and the outcomes have improved significantly compared to the past.

The prognostic values of serum markers in hepatocellular carcinoma after invasive therapies based on real-world data

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignancy with poor prognosis, and the mortality rate remains high. More than 70% of HCC patients have recurrence within 5 years after treatment. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the prognostic values of serum markers with retrospective data.

METHODS

We applied real-world data (RWD) to analyze the prognostic values of six serum markers for HCC patients after treatment, including α-fetoprotein (AFP), α-fetoprotein-L3 (AFP-L3), Golgi protein73 (GP73), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), albumin (ALB), and total bilirubin (TBil). A total of 268 cases were enrolled to analyze recurrence-free survival (RFS), and 104 cases were used to analyze overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Our results demonstrated that patients with higher AFP and AFP-L3 had shorter RFS (p = 0.016 and 0.004), while higher GP73, ALT, and TBil experienced longer RFS (p = 0.000, 0.020, and 0.019). Patients with high-level GP73, ALT, TBil, and low-level ALB had significantly higher mortality rate (p=0.035, 0.008, 0.010, and 0.005). Multivariate analysis revealed that GP73 (HR = 1.548, p = 0.001) and ALT (HR = 1.316, p = 0.046) were identified as independent prognostic factors for RFS, ALB (HR = 0.127, p = 0.007), and ALT (HR = 0.237, p = 0.01) were identified as independent prognostic factors for OS. Subgroups analysis showed that GP73 had better prognostic values than other serum markers in early-stage HCC (p = 0.023).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrates that AFP, AFP-L3, and GP73 can be used as prognostic indicators for predicting the recurrence of HCC, while liver function tests have better survival prediction values. GP73 can act as a promising prognostic marker for early-stage HCC.

FIB-4 First in the Diagnostic Algorithm of Metabolic-Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease in the Era of the Global Metabodemic

The prevalence of obesity or metabolic syndrome is increasing worldwide (globally metabodemic). Approximately 25% of the adult general population is suffering from nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), which has become a serious health problem. In 2020, global experts suggested that the nomenclature of NAFLD should be updated to metabolic-dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). Hepatic fibrosis is the most significant determinant of all cause- and liver -related mortality in MAFLD. The non-invasive test (NIT) is urgently required to evaluate hepatic fibrosis in MAFLD. The fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index is the first triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis because of its accuracy, simplicity, and cheapness, especially for general physicians or endocrinologists, although the FIB-4 index has several drawbacks. Accumulating evidence has suggested that vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) and the enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) test may become useful as the second step after triaging by the FIB-4 index. The leading cause of mortality in MAFLD is cardiovascular disease (CVD), extrahepatic malignancy, and liver-related diseases. MAFLD often complicates chronic kidney disease (CKD), resulting in increased simultaneous liver kidney transplantation. The FIB-4 index could be a predictor of not only liver-related mortality and incident hepatocellular carcinoma, but also prevalent and incident CKD, CVD, and extrahepatic malignancy. Although NITs as milestones for evaluating treatment efficacy have never been established, the FIB-4 index is expected to reflect histological hepatic fibrosis after treatment in several longitudinal studies. We here review the role of the FIB-4 index in the management of MAFLD.

Nomograms based on clinicopathological factors and inflammatory indicators for prediction of early and late recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after surgical resection for patients with chronic hepatitis B

Background

Few studies have focused on the prognostic values of inflammation-related factors for different phases of recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to identify the different risk factors for overall, early, and late recurrence, and to establish nomograms based on inflammation-related parameters for predicting the risks of recurrence in a group of HCC patients undergoing hepatectomy.

Methods

We retrospectively enrolled 383 HCC patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) who underwent hepatectomy. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were conducted to identify independent risk factors for recurrence. Nomograms for overall, early, and late recurrence-free survival (RFS) were established. The discrimination and calibration abilities of the nomograms were evaluated by concordance indexes (C-index), calibration plots, and Kaplan-Meier curves. Finally, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to compare the derived nomograms with other existing models.

Results

Fibrinogen, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, and S-index inflammation-related factors were independently related to overall and early RFS, but only the S-index correlated with late recurrence. Nomograms with tumor number, diameter, and pathological differentiation for overall and early RFS were established, while nomogram for late recurrence was constructed with tumor number and Child-Pugh grade. The C-indexes for overall, early, and late RFS were 0.679, 0.677, and 0.728, respectively. The calibration plots fit well. The nomograms showed superior discrimination capacities and better performance prediction with larger areas under the curve for recurrence.

Conclusions

The developed nomograms that integrated inflammation-related factors showed high predictive accuracy for overall, early, and late recurrence in HCC patients with CHB after hepatectomy.

Prognostic nomogram for hepatocellular carcinoma with fibrosis of varying degrees: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common and biologically aggressive malignancy linked to cirrhotic and pre-cirrhotic changes in the liver. We analyzed degrees of fibrosis in affected patients as indices of survival, to establish an effective prognostic nomogram.

Methods

Eligible patients with HCC and hepatic fibrosis, of varying degrees, were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database for propensity score matching (PSM). The prognostic value of data was determined using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards model. A nomogram based on variables derived from multivariate analyses was established and subjected to internal validation. Its predictive accuracy was tested by concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots.

Results

In this propensity score-matched cohort, advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis (vs. none-to-moderate fibrosis) correlated with poorer survival [hazard ratio (HR): 1.131, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.032-1.240; P=0.009]. Multivariate analysis identified the following as independent risk factors for HCC: age >63 years, higher fibrosis score, American Joint Cancer Committee (AJCC) stages T3-4, distant metastasis (M1), tumor size >1 cm, major vascular invasion, and elevated alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level. A nomogram that integrated these factors offered a superior prognostic prediction for HCC patients (C-index: 0.749, 95% CI: 0.7485-0.7495) relative to conventional tumor staging the AJCC tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system (0.730). In calibration plots, optimal agreement between nomogram-predicted and observed survival was evident.

Conclusions

Increased fibrosis was an independent risk factor for survival of HCC patients. A prognostic nomogram integrating fibrosis score and other independent risk factors offered more accurate depictions in this regard.

Substantial risk of recurrence even after 5 recurrence-free years in early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma patients

Background/Aims

Although hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is notorious for its high recurrence rate, some patients do not experience recurrence for more than 5 years after resection or radiofrequency ablation for early-stage HCC. For those with five recurrence-free period, the risk of HCC recurrence within the next 5 years remains unknown.

Methods

A total of 1,451 consecutive patients (median, 55 years old; males, 79.0%; hepatitis B virus-related, 79.3%) with good liver function (Child-Pugh class A) diagnosed with early-stage HCC by Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Staging and received radiofrequency ablation or resection as an initial treatment between 2005 and 2010 were analyzed.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 8.1 years, 961 patients (66.2%) experienced HCC recurrence. The cumulative recurrence rates increased to 39.7%, 60.3%, and 71.0% at 2, 5, and 10 years, respectively, and did not reach a plateau. Five years after HCC diagnosis, 487 patients were alive without experiencing a recurrence. Among them, during a median of 3.9 additional years of follow-up (range, 0.1–9.0 years), 127 patients (26.1%) experienced recurrence. The next 5-year cumulative recurrence rate (5–10 years from initial diagnosis) was 27.0%. Male sex, higher fibrosis-4 scores, and alpha-fetoprotein levels at 5 years were associated with later HCC recurrence among patients who did not experience recurrence for more than 5 years.

Conclusions

The HCC recurrence rate following 5 recurrence-free years after HCC treatment was high, indicating that HCC patients warrant continued HCC surveillance, even after 5 recurrence-free years.

Hepatitis B virus X protein (HBx) promotes ST2 expression by GATA2 in liver cells

At present, most studies on the relationship between hepatitis B virus (HBV) and IL-33/ST2 axis focus on clinical detection, but the underlying molecular mechanisms of HBx and IL-33/ST2 axis regulation and Th cell function regulation have not been explored. In this study, serum samples of patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and HBV-related liver cancer (HBV-HCC), and healthy controls, as well as the supernatant solutions of HL7702-WT, HL7702-NC, and HL7702-HBx cells were collected to detect the content of soluble ST2 (sST2). The contents of Th1 cytokines (TNF-α and TNF-γ) and Th2 cytokines (IL-6 and IL-10) in the supernatant of different co-culture groups were detected. The effects of GATA2 on ST2 promoter transcription were investigated by upregulation or interference with GATA2 expression, dual-luciferase reporting, and ChIP experiments. The combined detection of sST2 and FIB-4 was beneficial to the non-invasive diagnosis of liver fibrosis. HBx promotes sST2 expression in liver cells, upregulates Th2 cell function, and inhibits Th1 cell function through IL-33/ST2 axis. HBx interacts with GATA2 to influence the activity of ST2 promoter. Serum sST2 detection is an invaluable indicator for the assessment of the progress of HBV infectious diseases, and the IL-33/ST2 axis plays an important role in changing the cellular immune function caused by HBV infection.

Total bile acid-to-cholesterol ratio as a novel noninvasive marker for significant liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with non-cholestatic chronic hepatitis B virus infection

Although serum bile acids and total cholesterol (TC) are closely related to liver cirrhosis, the potential diagnostic value of total bile acid-to-cholesterol ratio (TBA/TC) for liver fibrosis is unclear. The present study aimed to evaluate the value of TBA/TC in the diagnosis of cirrhosis and the relationship between TBA/TC and significant liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infected patients without cholestasis.667 patients with alkaline phosphatase (ALP) ≤ 1.5 upper limit of normal (ULN) and gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) ≤ 3 ULN were rigorously included in this cross-sectional study. Liver biopsy was performed in 32 patients and METAVIR scoring system was used to evaluate liver fibrosis stage. Liver ultrasound elastography was performed in 138 patients, significant fibrosis was defined as fibrosis ≥ F2. Multiple logistic regression as well as receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves analyses were performed.Compared to patients with non-cirrhosis, TBA and TBA/TC were significantly higher in cirrhosis while TC was significantly lower (all P < .001). In multivariate analysis, TBA/TC was also independently associated with cirrhosis [odds ratio (OR) = 1.102, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.085-1.166]. The area under the curve (AUC) of TBA/TC (0.87) was almost equivalent to the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI, AUC = 0.84) and fibrosis 4 score (FIB-4, AUC = 0.80), and the optimal cut-off value for TBA/TC to diagnose cirrhosis was 2.70. Among the patients performed liver biopsy, TBA/TC were significantly higher both in significant fibrosis and cirrhosis as well as significantly correlated with fibrosis stage (all P < .001). Furthermore, In patients performed liver ultrasound elastography, TBA/TC was also independently associated with significant fibrosis (OR = 1.040, 95% CI: 1.001-1.078).Assessment of TBA/TC could serve as an additional marker of significant liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in non-cholestatic chronic HBV infection.

Comparative Analysis of the Discriminatory Performance of Different Well-Known Risk Assessment Scores for Extended Hepatectomy

The aim of this study was to assess and compare the discriminatory performance of well-known risk assessment scores in predicting mortality risk after extended hepatectomy (EH). A series of 250 patients who underwent EH (≥5 segments resection) were evaluated. Aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), albumin to bilirubin (ALBI) grade, predictive score developed by Breitenstein et al., liver fibrosis (FIB-4) index, and Heidelberg reference lines charting were used to compute cut-off values, and the sensitivity and specificity of each risk assessment score for predicting mortality were also calculated. Major morbidity and 90-day mortality after EH increased with increasing risk scores. APRI (86%), ALBI (86%), Heidelberg score (81%), and FIB-4 index (79%) had the highest sensitivity for 90-day mortality. However, only the FIB-4 index and Heidelberg score had an acceptable specificity (70% and 65%, respectively). A two-stage risk assessment strategy (Heidelberg–FIB-4 model) with a sensitivity of 70% and a specificity 86% for 90-day mortality was proposed. There is no single specific risk assessment score for patients who undergo EH. A two-stage screening strategy using Heidelberg score and FIB-4 index was proposed to predict mortality after major liver resection.

The Pre- and Postoperative FIB-4 Indexes Are Good Predictors to the Outcomes of HBV-Related HCC Patients after Resection

Background and Aim

Liver fibrosis is associated with the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after resection. The fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index is an accurate and noninvasive marker to determine the degree of liver fibrosis. Here, we evaluated the effect of pre- and postoperative FIB-4 index in predicting the outcomes after resection of HCC in patients who have chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection.

Methods

A total of 534 CHB patients with HCC who received curative hepatectomy between 2001 and 2016 at Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taiwan, were enrolled in this study. The impact of the FIB-4 index (preoperative and the 1^st year after operation) on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) was evaluated.

Results

There was a significant association between the preoperative FIB-4 index and Metavir fibrosis stage (p < 0.01). The multivariate analysis showed that preoperative FIB‐4 > 2 is an independent risk factor for RFS and OS after HCC curative resection [hazard ratio (HR), 1.902; 95% CI, 1.491–2.460; p < 0.001, and HR, 2.207; 95% CI, 1.420–3.429; p < 0.001, respectively]. Notably, preoperative FIB-4 is also an independent risk factor for RFS (HR, 1.219; p = 0.035) in noncirrhotic patients. Furthermore, patients had deteriorated FIB-4 1 year after operation [definition: the value (the 1^st year FIB‐4 after operation minus preoperative FIB‐4) > 1] and had an adverse outcome in RFS and OS (p < 0.001, both).

Conclusion

The pre and postoperative FIB-4 indexes are useful clinical markers to predict the prognosis in HBV-HCC patients after curative hepatectomy.

Prognostic and clinicopathological significance of Gamma-Glutamyltransferase in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: A PRISMA-compliant meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Many studies explored the prognostic and clinicopathological significance of pretreatment serum Gamma-Glutamyltransferase (GGT) level in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, there are inconsistent results in the prognostic and clinicopathological significance of pretreatment serum GGT level in HCC. Thus, we conducted this meta-analysis to comprehensively assess the prognostic and clinicopathological significance of pretreatment serum GGT level in HCC patients.

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed, EMBASE and Web of Science for relevant studies (up to June 14, 2018). The estimated hazard ratios (HRs) were used to assess the association between pretreatment serum GGT level and survival in HCC patients. The estimated odds ratios (ORs) were applied to evaluate the correlation between pretreatment serum GGT and clinicopathological features in HCC.

RESULTS

Our results showed that high pretreatment serum GGT level was significantly correlated with poor overall survival (OS) (HR = 1.70, 95% CI: 1.54-1.87; P < .01) and disease-free survival/relapse-free survival (DFS/RFS) (HR = 1.56, 95% CI: 1.42-1.71; P < .01). Additionally, our results also revealed that there was a close correlation between GGT level and several clinicopathological features in HCC patients, including vascular invasion, tumor size, tumor number and Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level.

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis shows that high pretreatment serum GGT level is significantly correlated with poor survival and unfavorable clinicopathological features in HCC patients, suggesting that pretreatment serum GGT may be an economical and effective prognostic biomarker for HCC patients. However, more high-quality studies are still warranted to further validate our findings, considering there are several limitations in this meta-analysis.