Development and Internal Validation of a Model Using Fecal Calprotectin in Combination with Infliximab Trough Levels to Predict Clinical Relapse in Crohn's Disease

Developing a Machine-Learning Prediction Model for Infliximab Response in Crohn's Disease: Integrating Clinical Characteristics and Longitudinal Laboratory Trends

BACKGROUND

Achieving long-term clinical remission in Crohn's disease (CD) with antitumor necrosis factor α (anti-TNF-α) agents remains challenging.

AIMS

This study aims to establish a prediction model based on patients' clinical characteristics using a machine-learning approach to predict the long-term efficacy of infliximab (IFX).

METHODS

Three cohorts comprising 746 patients with CD were included from 3 inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) centers between June 2013 and January 2022. Clinical records were collected from baseline, 14-, 30-, and 52-week post-IFX treatment. Three machine-learning approaches were employed to develop predictive models based on 23 baseline predictors. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) algorithm was used to dissect underlying predictors, and latent class mixed model (LCMM) was applied for trajectory analysis of the longitudinal change of blood routine tests along with long-term IFX therapy.

RESULTS

The XGBoost model exhibited the best discrimination between long-term responders and nonresponders. In the internal training and testing set, the model achieved an AUC of 0.91 (95% CI, 0.86-0.95) and 0.71 (95% CI, 0.66-0.87), respectively. Moreover, it achieved a moderate predictive performance in the independent external cohort, with an AUC of 0.68 (95% CI, 0.59-0.77). The SHAP algorithm revealed disease-relevant laboratory measurements, notably hemoglobin (HB), white blood cells (WBC), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), albumin (ALB), and platelets (PLT), alongside age at diagnosis and the Montreal classification, as the most influential predictors. Furthermore, 2 distinct patient clusters based on dynamic laboratory tests were identified for monitoring the long-term remission.

CONCLUSIONS

The established prediction model demonstrated remarkable discriminatory power in distinguishing long-term responders from nonresponders to IFX therapy. The identification of distinct patient clusters further emphasizes the need for tailored therapeutic approaches in CD management.

The Effect of Polymorphisms and Other Biomarkers on Infliximab Exposure in Paediatric Inflammatory Bowel Disease: Development of a Population Pharmacokinetic Model

BACKGROUND

Therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) of infliximab has been shown to be a effective strategy for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) modeling can predict trough concentrations for individualized dosing.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to develop a PopPK model of infliximab in a paediatric population with IBD, assessing the effect of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and other biomarkers on infliximab clearance.

METHODS

This observational and ambispective single-centre study was conducted in paediatric patients with IBD treated with infliximab between July 2016 and July 2022 in the Paediatric Gastroenterology Service of the Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron (HUVH) (Spain). Demographic, clinical, and analytical variables were collected. Twenty SNPs potentially associated with variations in the response to infliximab plasma concentrations were analysed. infliximab serum concentrations and antibodies to infliximab (ATI) were determined by ELISA. PopPK modelling was performed using nonlinear mixed-effects analysis (NONMEM).

RESULTS

Thirty patients (21 males) were included. The median age (range) at the start of infliximab treatment was 13 years (16 months to 16 years). A total of 190 samples were obtained for model development (49 [25.8%] during the induction phase). The pharmacokinetics (PK) of infliximab were described using a two-compartment model. Weight, erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), faecal calprotectin (FC), and the SNP rs1048610 (ADAM17) showed statistical significance for clearance (CL), and albumin for inter-compartmental clearance (Q). Estimates of CL1 (genotype 1-AA), CL2 (genotype 2-AG), CL3 (genotype 3-GG), Q, Vc, and Vp (central and peripheral distribution volumes) were 0.0066 L/h/46.4 kg, 0.0055 L/h/46.4 kg, 0.0081 L/h/46.4 kg, 0.0029 L/h/46.4 kg, 0.6750 L/46.4 kg, and 1.19 L/46.4 kg, respectively. The interindividual variability (IIV) estimates for clearance, Vc, and Vp were 19.33, 16.42, and 36.02%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

A popPK model utilising weight, albumin, FC, ESR, and the SNP rs1048610 accurately predicted infliximab trough concentrations in children with IBD.

Sarcopenia assessed by computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging is associated with the loss of response to biologic therapies in adult patients with Crohn's disease

Sarcopenia occurs in patients with Crohn's disease (CD). However, the association between sarcopenia and loss of response (LOR) to biologic agents remains unclear. This study explored such an association in CD patients. This retrospective study included 94 CD patients who received biologic therapy. The skeletal muscle cross-sectional area at the third lumbar was assessed by computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging for sarcopenia evaluation. A LOR was defined by fecal calprotectin (FC) < 250 μg/g or >50% reduction from baseline levels or other factors, such as the used agent being replaced by other biologic agents. The association between sarcopenia and LOR was assessed by logistic regression analysis. LOR was observed in 54 patients (57.4%). The prevalence of sarcopenia in the LOR group was higher than that in response group (70.4% vs. 40.0%, p = 0.003). Sarcopenia (odds ratio [OR] = 3.89, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.31-11.54), Montreal L1 type (OR = 0.20, 95% CI: 0.06-0.60), perianal lesions (OR = 4.08, 95% CI: 1.31-12.70), and monocytes percentage (OR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.02-1.57) at baseline were independent associated factors for LOR. Sarcopenia was also associated with LOR in patients who received infliximab (OR = 3.31, 95% CI: 1.11-9.87). Montreal L1 type, perianal lesions, and monocytes percentage (Model 1), and with additional consideration of sarcopenia (Model 2), were developed to predict LOR. Model 2 showed better performance than Model 1 (area under the curve [AUC] 0.82 vs. 0.75). Sarcopenia was associated with the LOR to biological agents or infliximab in adult patients with CD.

The cost of inflammatory bowel disease in high-income settings: a Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology Commission

The cost of caring for patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) continues to increase worldwide. The cause is not only a steady increase in the prevalence of Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis in both developed and newly industrialised countries, but also the chronic nature of the diseases, the need for long-term, often expensive treatments, the use of more intensive disease monitoring strategies, and the effect of the diseases on economic productivity. This Commission draws together a wide range of expertise to discuss the current costs of IBD care, the drivers of increasing costs, and how to deliver affordable care for IBD in the future. The key conclusions are that (1) increases in health-care costs must be evaluated against improved disease management and reductions in indirect costs, and (2) that overarching systems for data interoperability, registries, and big data approaches must be established for continuous assessment of effectiveness, costs, and the cost-effectiveness of care. International collaborations should be sought out to evaluate novel models of care (eg, value-based health care, including integrated health care, and participatory health-care models), as well as to improve the education and training of clinicians, patients, and policy makers.

Personalize, participate, predict, and prevent: 4Ps in inflammatory bowel disease

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), which includes Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC), is a complex, immune-mediated, disorder which leads to several gastrointestinal and systemic manifestations determining a poor quality of life, disability, and other negative health outcomes. Our knowledge of this condition has greatly improved over the last few decades, and a comprehensive management should take into account both biological (i.e., disease-related, patient-related) and non-biological (i.e., socioeconomic, cultural, environmental, behavioral) factors which contribute to the disease phenotype. From this point of view, the so called 4P medicine framework, including personalization, prediction, prevention, and participation could be useful for tailoring ad hoc interventions in IBD patients. In this review, we discuss the cutting-edge issues regarding personalization in special settings (i.e., pregnancy, oncology, infectious diseases), patient participation (i.e., how to communicate, disability, tackling stigma and resilience, quality of care), disease prediction (i.e., faecal markers, response to treatments), and prevention (i.e., dysplasia through endoscopy, infections through vaccinations, and post-surgical recurrence). Finally, we provide an outlook discussing the unmet needs for implementing this conceptual framework in clinical practice.

90K/Mac-2 BP Is a New Predictive Biomarker of Response to Infliximab Therapy in IBD Patients

Inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD), comprising Crohn's disease (CD) and Ulcerative Colitis (UC), are multifactorial disorders characterized by a chronic inflammatory status with the secretion of cytokines and immune mediators. Biologic drugs targeting pro-inflammatory cytokines, such as infliximab, are broadly used in the treatment of IBD patients, but some patients lose responsiveness after an initial success. The research into new biomarkers is crucial for advancing personalized therapies and monitoring the response to biologics. The aim of this single center, observational study is to analyze the relationship between serum levels of 90K/Mac-2 BP and the response to infliximab, in a cohort of 48 IBD patients (30 CD and 18 UC), enrolled from February 2017 to December 2018. In our IBD cohort, high 90K serum levels were found at baseline in patients who then developed anti-infliximab antibodies at the fifth infusion (22 weeks after the first), becoming non-responders (9.76 ± 4.65 µg/mL compared to 6.53 ± 3.29 µg/mL in responder patients, p = 0.005). This difference was significant in the total cohort and in CD, but not significant in UC. We then analyzed the relationship between serum levels of 90K, C-reactive protein (CRP), and Fecal calprotectin. A significant positive correlation was found at baseline between 90K and CRP, the most common serum inflammation marker (R = 0.42, p = 0.0032). We concluded that circulating 90K could be considered a new non-invasive biomarker for monitoring the response to infliximab. Furthermore, 90K serum level determination, before the first infliximab infusion, in association with other inflammatory markers such as CRP, could assist in the choice of biologics for the treatment of IBD patients, thereby obviating the need for a drug switch due to loss of response, and so improving clinical practice and patient care.

THE EVALUATION OF INFLIXIMAB TROUGH LEVEL FAVORS MAINTENANCE THERAPY OF PATIENTS WITH INFLAMMATORY BOWEL DISEASE

BACKGROUND

Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) are chronic diseases that result from the deregulation of the mucosal immune system of the gastrointestinal tract. The use of biological therapies, including infliximab (IFX), is one of the strategies to treat both CD and UC. The IFX treatment is monitored by complementary tests, namely: fecal calprotectin (FC); C-reactive protein (CRP); and endoscopic and cross-sectional imaging. Besides, serum IFX evaluation and antibody detection are also used.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate trough levels (TL) and antibodies in a population with inflammatory bowel (IBD) disease undergoing treatment with IFX, and the factors that might impact the treatment effectiveness.

METHODS

Retrospective, cross-sectional study with patients with IBD that were assessed for TL and antibody (ATI) levels in a southern Brazilian hospital, from June 2014 to July 2016.

RESULTS

The study assessed 55 patients (52.7% female) submitted to serum IFX and antibody evaluations (95 blood samples, 55 first test; 30 second test, and 10 as third testing. Forty-five (47.3%) cases were diagnosed with CD (81.8%), and ten with UC (18.2%). Serum levels were adequate in 30 samples (31.57%), subtherapeutic in 41 (43.15%), and supratherapeutic in 24 (25.26%). IFX dosages were optimized for 40 patients (42.10%), maintained for 31 (32.63%), and discontinued for 7 (7.60%). The intervals between infusions were shortened in 17.85% of the cases. In 55 tests (55.79%), the therapeutic approach was exclusively defined according to IFX and/or serum antibody levels. The assessment of patients one year later indicated that: the approach was maintained with IFX for thirty-eight patients (69.09%); the class of biological agent was changed for eight (14.54%); changes using the same class of biological agent occurred for two patients (3.63%); the medication was discontinued and not replaced for three patients (5.45%), and four patients (7.27%) were lost to follow-up.

CONCLUSION

There were no differences in TL between groups with or without immunosuppressants, serum albumin (ALB), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), FC, CRP, and endoscopic and imaging examinations. Current therapeutic approach could be maintained for almost 70% of patients. Thus, serum and antibody levels are a useful tool in the follow-up of patients undergoing maintenance therapy and after treatment induction in patients with inflammatory bowel disease.

Serum oncostatin M predicts mucosal healing in patients with inflammatory bowel diseases treated with anti-TNF, but not vedolizumab

BACKGROUND

Oncostatin M was recently highlighted as a promising biomarker for therapeutic effectiveness in inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD), with particular regard for infliximab. The primary aim was to evaluate the ability of serum oncostatin M to predict endoscopic response to different drugs in IBD.

METHODS

We selected two different cohorts of patients with IBD, treated with anti-TNF (infliximab and adalimumab) or with vedolizumab. Therapeutic response was evaluated at week 54 in terms of mucosal healing. Serum oncostatin M and C-reactive protein were measured at baseline; fecal calprotectin was measured at baseline and after 14 weeks of treatment. We evaluated the association of these biomarkers with mucosal healing at week 54.

RESULTS

Among 66 patients treated with anti-TNFs and 68 treated with vedolizumab, 35 and 31 attained mucosal healing, respectively. Mucosal healing at 54 weeks was significantly associated with low oncostatin M levels at baseline in the anti-TNF cohort; the diagnostic accuracy of oncostatin M at baseline in predicting mucosal healing was 0.91 (95% CI 0.84 to 0.99) in the anti-TNF cohort and 0.56 (95% CI 0.43 to 0.70, P < 0.001) in the vedolizumab cohort. Mucosal healing was also associated with low fecal calprotectin levels at week 14 in both cohorts.

CONCLUSION

Our study suggests that serum oncostatin M is a drug-specific biomarker, since it could be used to predict therapeutic effectiveness to anti-TNFs but not to vedolizumab. Moreover, these results emphasize the utility of serum oncostatin M measurement in patients treated with anti-TNF.

Proactive therapeutic drug monitoring is more effective than conventional management in inducing fecal calprotectin remission in inflammatory bowel disease

BACKGROUND

Proactive therapeutic drug monitoring (pTDM) may improve treatment outcomes in inflammatory bowel disease.

AIMS AND METHODS

We compared 135 patients following a prospective pTDM protocol aiming at an infliximab trough level (IFXTL) between 5 and 10 μg/ml with sequential measurements of Fc, with 108 patients from a retrospective group under conventional management. We evaluated the rates of Fc remission (<250 μg/g) and other clinical outcomes at 2-year of follow-up.

RESULTS

pTDM associated with higher rates of Fc remission (69.6% vs. 50.0%; P = 0.002), and steroid-free clinical remission (78.4% vs. 55.2%, P = 0.028) with a trend for clinical remission (79.3% vs. 68.5%, P = 0.075). There was no difference in treatment discontinuation (P = 0.195), hospitalization (P = 0.156), and surgery (P = 0.110). Higher IFXTL associated with Fc remission at week 14 (6.59 vs. 2.96 μg/ml, P < 0.001), and at the end of follow-up (8.10 vs. 5.03 μg/ml, P = 0.001). In patients reaching Fc remission after week 14, IFXTL increased from week 14 to the end of follow-up (2.71 vs. 8.54 μg/ml, P < 0.001). Fc remission associated with higher rates of clinical (85.8% vs. 56.8% P < 0.001) and steroid-free clinical remission (86.9% vs. 50.0% P < 0.001), lower IFX discontinuation (8.8% vs. 36.8%, P < 0.001), and hospitalization (13.5% vs. 33.7%, P < 0.001), without significance for surgery (6.1% vs. 12.6%, P = 0.101).

CONCLUSION

pTDM was more effective than conventional management in inducing Fc remission which was associated with improved outcomes.

Bioelectrical impedance analysis-based nomogram construction for predicting secondary loss of response to infliximab in bio-naïve Crohn's disease patients

BACKGROUND

Infliximab is emerging as the first-line therapy for Crohn's disease (CD); however, the rate of secondary loss of response (SLR) can exceed 50%. This study aimed to construct a nomogram based on bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) indexes and laboratory markers to predict SLR to infliximab in biologically naïve CD patients.

METHODS

Data of 136 biologically naïve CD patients treated between September 2019 and March 2021 were retrospectively retrieved. BIA-based body composition parameters and laboratory markers were obtained before the infliximab therapy. Predictor selection was conducted using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and univariate logistic regression. The nomogram was developed using multivariable logistic regression, and internal validation was made by ten-fold cross-validation.

RESULTS

SLR occurred in 51% of the CD patients during 54 weeks. The nomogram predictors included hemoglobin, albumin, serum iron, and BIA scores. The nomogram showed significant discrimination (area under the curve [AUC], 0.920; 95% confidence interval, 0.873-0.967) and calibration (mean error = 0.012). Decision curve analysis (DCA) indicated that the nomogram provided net clinical benefit when the risk probability was between 2% and 83%. Internal validation assessment of the nomogram robustness found an AUC of 0.904 and an accuracy of 0.841.

CONCLUSIONS

This BIA-based body composition parameters- and laboratory markers-based novel nomogram could act as a predictive tool to evaluate SLR to infliximab therapy, crucial for optimizing treatment strategies and switching biologics in CD.

Frequency and Effectiveness of Empirical Anti-TNF Dose Intensification in Inflammatory Bowel Disease: Systematic Review with Meta-Analysis

Loss of response to antitumor necrosis factor (anti-TNF) therapies in inflammatory bowel disease occurs in a high proportion of patients. Our aim was to evaluate the loss of response to anti-TNF therapy, considered as the need for dose intensification (DI), DI effectiveness and the possible variables influencing its requirements. Bibliographical searches were performed.

SELECTION

prospective and retrospective studies assessing DI in Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis patients treated for at least 12 weeks with an anti-TNF drug.

EXCLUSION CRITERIA

studies using anti-TNF as a prophylaxis for the postoperative recurrence in Crohn's disease or those where DI was based on therapeutic drug monitoring.

DATA SYNTHESIS

effectiveness by intention-to-treat (random effects model). Data were stratified by medical condition (ulcerative colitis vs. Crohn's disease), anti-TNF drug and follow-up.

RESULTS

One hundred and seventy-three studies (33,241 patients) were included. Overall rate of the DI requirement after 12 months was 28% (95% CI 24-32, I2 = 96%, 41 studies) in naïve patients and 39% (95% CI 31-47, I2 = 86%, 18 studies) in non-naïve patients. The DI requirement rate was higher both in those with prior anti-TNF exposure (p = 0.01) and with ulcerative colitis (p = 0.02). The DI requirement rate in naïve patients after 36 months was 35% (95% CI 28-43%; I2 = 98%; 18 studies). The overall short-term response and remission rates of empirical DI in naïve patients were 63% (95% CI 48-78%; I2 = 99%; 32 studies) and 48% (95% CI: 39-58%; I2 = 92%; 25 studies), respectively. The loss of response to anti-TNF agents-and, consequently, DI-occurred frequently in inflammatory bowel disease (approximately in one-fourth at one year and in one-third at 3 years). Empirical DI was a relatively effective therapeutic option.

Global Studies of Using Fecal Biomarkers in Predicting Relapse in Inflammatory Bowel Disease

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is a chronic inflammatory condition of the gastrointestinal tract mainly comprising two forms including Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC). IBD is a lifelong relapsing remitting disease and relapses occur at random patterns which are unpredictable. Fecal biomarkers have been increasingly used to assess disease activity in IBD due to their positive correlations with intestinal inflammation. Recent studies have also assessed the use of fecal biomarkers in predicting relapse and post-operative recurrence. This review provides information from global studies of using fecal calprotectin, lactoferrin and S100A12 to predict relapse in IBD. Strategies for further studies and the use of these fecal biomarkers for personalized management in IBD are also discussed.

Biomarkers of Inflammation in Inflammatory Bowel Disease: How Long before Abandoning Single-Marker Approaches?

BACKGROUND

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is a chronically relapsing disease with a continuous need for proactive monitoring to decide appropriate treatments and follow-up strategies. To date, gastrointestinal endoscopy with histologic examination of biopsies and contrast-enhanced imaging are mandatory techniques for the diagnosis and the activity assessment of IBD.

SUMMARY

In recent decades, many research efforts in the IBD field have been placed on finding non-invasive and reliable biomarkers of disease burden that can be easily tested in body fluids without impacting the quality of life of patients. Unfortunately, the ideal biomarker is yet to be discovered and recent studies have investigated the possibility to increase the accuracy of such measurements by combining different markers. In this review, we provide an update about the current knowledge on biomarkers of intestinal inflammation in IBD, focussing on disease diagnosis, correlation with endoscopic findings, and prediction of relapse. We also summarize composite scores of clinical and laboratory markers that have been recently proposed in various scenarios of disease activity. Key Messages: To date, only C-reactive protein and faecal calprotectin can be considered reliable markers of disease activity with demonstrated utility in IBD management. The combination of different parameters has recently shown higher accuracy and might substitute single-marker approaches in the future of research and clinical practice.

Serum oncostatin M at baseline predicts mucosal healing in Crohn's disease patients treated with infliximab

BACKGROUND

Oncostatin M is upregulated in Crohn's disease inflamed intestinal mucosa, and has been suggested as a promising biomarker to predict responsiveness to anti-TNF therapy in patients with inflammatory bowel diseases.

AIM

To evaluate the suitability of serum oncostatin M as a predictive marker of response to infliximab in Crohn's disease.

METHODS

We included patients treated with infliximab monotherapy. All patients underwent colonoscopy at week 54 to evaluate mucosal healing. Serum oncostatin M and faecal calprotectin were measured at baseline and after 14 weeks of treatment. Mann-Whitney test was used to evaluate correlation of oncostatin M and faecal calprotectin at baseline and week 14 with mucosal healing at week 54. Their accuracy in predicting mucosal healing was assessed by area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

In a cohort of 45 included patients, 27 displayed mucosal healing. At both baseline and week 14, oncostatin M levels were significantly lower in patients with mucosal healing than in patients not achieving this endpoint (P < 0.001). Faecal calprotectin levels at week 14 were lower also in responders than nonresponders (P < 0.001). Oncostatin M values at baseline and week 14 were significantly associated (Spearman correlation = 0.92, P < 0.001). The diagnostic accuracy of oncostatin M at baseline in predicting mucosal healing (AUC = 0.91) was greater than faecal calprotectin (AUC = 0.51, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

These results suggest that oncostatin M can predict the outcome of infliximab treatment. Compared with faecal calprotectin, the predictive capability of oncostatin M was appreciable at baseline, thus indicating oncostatin M as a promising biomarker for driving therapeutic choices in Crohn's disease.

Is fecal calprotectin an accurate marker in the management of Crohn's disease?

Although lacking validated cutoff values, fecal calprotectin (FC), besides C-reactive protein, is considered the standard test for assessing disease activity in Crohn's disease (CD). The aim of the present review is to provide a general overview of the literature addressing the role of FC in the clinical and endoscopic assessment of disease activity in CD, seeking correlations with capsule endoscopy, response to therapy, prediction of relapse, and postoperative recurrence. A systematic search of the literature up to September 2019 was performed using Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane Library. Only papers written in English concerning FC in adult patients affected by CD were included. Pediatric studies, in vitro studies, animal studies, studies on blood/serum samples, and studies analyzing FC in ulcerative colitis or in both CD and ulcerative colitis were excluded. Out of 713 citations, 65 eligible studies were identified. FC showed high accuracy in the assessment of intestinal inflammation and response to therapy, in particular in colonic disease, thus proving a good surrogate marker for these aims. FC is useful in identifying patients at high risk for endoscopic relapse or postoperative recurrence, for optimizing or downstage therapy. Unfortunately, FC performs less well in small bowel CD. FC is an effective fecal marker in the management of CD patients, optimizing the use of endoscopic procedures. Owing to its diagnostic accuracy, FC may represent a cornerstone of the "treat-to-target" management strategy of CD patients.

Inflammatory Bowel Disease Presentation and Diagnosis

A full understanding of the presentation and work-up of inflammatory bowel disease is necessary to ensure appropriate treatment of this complex disease. Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis share many common clinical features but are treated very differently. This article covers the factors which contribute to IBD pathogenesis and presentation as well as the methods of diagnosis and work-up to ensure that the appropriate diagnosis is reached. This article also serves as a basis of understanding for the more complex aspects of the disease to be discussed in subsequent articles.

Prediction of treatment outcome and relapse in inflammatory bowel disease

Prediction of treatment outcome and clinical relapse in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), either ulcerative colitis (UC) or Crohn's disease (CD), is particularly important because therapeutics for IBD are not always effective and patients in remission could frequently relapse. Because undergoing endoscopy for the purpose is sometimes invasive and burdensome to patients, the performance of surrogate biomarkers has been investigated. Areas covered: We particularly featured the performance of patient symptoms, blood markers including C-reactive protein (CRP), fecal markers including fecal calprotectin (Fcal) and fecal immunochemical test (FIT) for prediction of endoscopic mucosal healing (MH) and prediction of relapse. Studies of other modalities and therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) have also been explored. Expert opinion: Meticulous evaluation of patient symptoms could be predictive for MH in UC. CRP and Fcal may be accurate in prediction of MH of CD when MH is evaluated throughout the entire intestine including the small bowel. Repeated measurements of fecal markers including Fcal and FIT in patients with clinical remission would raise predictability of relapse. Prediction of treatment outcome by monitoring with blood markers including CRP, fecal markers including Fcal, and TDM has frequently been performed in recent clinical trials and shown to be effective.

Update on C-reactive protein and fecal calprotectin: are they accurate measures of disease activity in Crohn's disease?

'Treat-to-target' paradigms in Crohn's disease (CD) directed at suppressing intestinal inflammation require accurate and reliable measures of disease activity. Although endoscopy has traditionally been considered a gold standard, cost, complexity, resource limitations, and invasiveness are important limitations. Hence, substantial interest exists for non-invasive serum and fecal biomarkers, namely C-reactive protein (CRP) and fecal calprotectin (FC), in the diagnosis, monitoring, and treatment of CD. Areas covered: We review the evidence for using serum CRP and FC in distinguishing patients with CD from those with irritable bowel syndrome, categorizing disease activity among patients with an established diagnosis of CD, predicting the likelihood of treatment response, identifying asymptomatic patients in medically or surgically induced remission who are at risk for disease relapse, and as treatment targets. Expert commentary: Accurate interpretation of CRP and FC is dependent on several factors including the clinical context, the performance characteristics of the assay, the specified test cut-offs, and the pre-test probability of disease. Emerging evidence indicates that CRP and FC are valuable adjuncts for the management of CD in specific circumstances described in this review.

What is the role of C-reactive protein and fecal calprotectin in evaluating Crohn's disease activity?

Historically, the evaluation of patients with Crohn's disease (CD) has centered on use of subjective symptom-based assessment. However, patients with CD experience a broad spectrum of non-specific symptoms that may not directly correlate with objective measures of inflammation. Endoscopy has been the gold standard for evaluating the burden and severity of mucosal disease. However, use of ileocolonoscopy for disease monitoring in long-term follow-up is limited by considerations of cost, resource utilization, and invasiveness. As treatment goals in CD have shifted towards 'treat-to-target' paradigms that emphasize tight control of inflammation, it has become increasingly evident that sensitive, accurate, and reliable measures of disease activity are required. The use of non-invasive serum and fecal biomarkers such as C-reactive protein (CRP) and fecal calprotectin (FC) has been evaluated in patients with CD for categorizing disease activity, predicting treatment response, identifying patients at risk for disease relapse, and as a potential therapeutic target. In this review, we summarize the interpretation of CRP and FC in patients with CD within specific clinical contexts and according to assay performance characteristics.

Response to treatment is more important than disease severity at diagnosis for prediction of early relapse in new-onset paediatric Crohn's disease

BACKGROUND

Paediatric Crohn's disease is characteried by frequently relapsing disease which may lead to hospitalisations and complications.

AIM

To develop predictive models for early relapse following first remission.

METHODS

The GROWTH CD prospective inception cohort was designed to predict risk for early disease relapse and poor outcomes. Newly diagnosed children underwent endoscopies and imaging. They were phenotyped and followed at scheduled visits through 78 weeks for relapses. Twenty-eight dichotomous and continuous variables were assessed at baseline and week 12, including phenotype, inflammatory markers, disease activity (PCDAI) and other markers. Clinical relapses defined as PCDAI >10 after remission were recorded using a relapse form. Logistic regression & risk modelling was performed.

RESULTS

We enrolled 282 eligible patients of whom 178 (63.6%) patients achieved steroid free remission by week 12. Disease complications developed in 22/76(29%) of patients with relapse compared to 20/206 (9.7%) without relapse (P = 0.01). Multivariable analysis demonstrated that while variables from age/gender at diagnosis were not predictive, week 12 variables including PCDAI >5 (P = 0.02), CRP >20 mg/L (P = 0.02), and faecal calprotectin >400 µg/g (P = 0.03) as optimal cut-offs were associated with increased risk of relapse. A prediction model for patients in remission including gender, age, week 12 PCDAI, calprotectin and CRP had sensitivity 43%, specificity 92%, PPV 78%, NPV 71% for relapse.

CONCLUSIONS

Early relapses were associated with a higher risk for disease complications at followup. Relapse prediction based on week 12 disease activity or inflammation is superior to prediction using data from diagnosis.

Calprotectin in Daily Practice: Where Do We Stand in 2017?

BACKGROUND

To make a distinction between organic and functional disease is essential for gastroenterologists in their daily practice, but it may be challenging, given the variety and aspecificity of gastrointestinal symptoms among the general population. The clinician aim is to avoid diagnostic delay and to restrict unnecessary invasive and expensive exams.

SUMMARY

Faecal markers, in particular faecal calprotectin (FC), have given proof of being reliable markers of intestinal inflammation with good clinical sensitivity. Calprotectin is useful in the differential diagnosis between inflammatory bowel disease and irritable bowel syndrome, as well as in the follow-up of inflammatory bowel disease patients and in predicting treatment response, with an excellent correlation with endoscopic activity. Its role in collagenous colitis and infectious colitis is less clear and still under investigation. Key Message: Despite the growing evidence supporting its use, many clinicians are uncomfortable in dosing FC, due to its low specificity and the variability of cut-off values. Indeed there are no clear guidelines about how to manage patients with intermediate levels of FC. The aim of this article is to review recent literature on calprotectin and its use. The strong points and the limits of FC measurement will be analysed, and a practical approach in the daily clinical routine will be proposed.

Validation of Neutrophil CD64 Blood Biomarkers to Detect Mucosal Inflammation in Pediatric Crohn's Disease

BACKGROUND

In a pilot study, neutrophil CD64 surface expression was significantly elevated in newly diagnosed, pediatric-onset Crohn's disease. We aimed to test the CD64 biomarkers (neutrophil CD64 surface expression and soluble CD64) as determinates for mucosal inflammation in a larger pediatric Crohn's cohort with the hypotheses that the CD64 biomarkers would reliably detect intestinal inflammation and correlate with endoscopic severity scores.

METHODS

We enrolled patients referred for colonoscopy for either suspected inflammatory bowel disease or with established Crohn's. Neutrophil CD64 index was determined by flow cytometry using a commercial kit (Leuko64, Trillium) and soluble CD64 by ELISA (LifeSpan).

RESULTS

A total of 209 patients (72 controls, 76 new inflammatory bowel disease patients, and 61 established Crohn's) were enrolled. Both neutrophil CD64 index and soluble CD64 were significantly elevated in new Crohn's compared with controls. The area under the curve (AUC) for neutrophil CD64 index ≥1 was 0.85 (95% confidence interval, 0.77-0.92), 75% sensitive and 89% specific for new Crohn's. Comparatively, soluble CD64 ≥39 ng/mL was 92% sensitive and 85% specific (AUC, 0.93) for new Crohn's. Neutrophil CD64 index, soluble CD64, and fecal calprotectin discriminated endoscopic inactive from moderate and severe activity while soluble CD64 differentiated endoscopic mild from moderate and severe activity. Neutrophil CD64 index (r = 0.46, P < 0.001) and fecal calprotectin (r = 0.55, P < 0.001) correlated well with the Simple Endoscopic Score-Crohn's disease. Spearman correlation between the CD64 index and calprotectin was 0.39 (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In a large Crohn's disease cohort, we found that neutrophil CD64 index and soluble CD64 were significantly elevated during active gastrointestinal inflammation.

Evaluation of Infliximab Therapy in Children with Crohn's Disease Using Trough Levels Predictors

BACKGROUND

In adults, infliximab (IFX) levels correlate with disease activity, and antibodies to IFX (ATIs) predict treatment failure. We aimed to determine the association of IFX levels and ATIs with disease activity in a paediatric population. We prospectively collected blood, stool, and clinical data from 65 patients (age 10.5-15.1 years) with Crohn's disease (CD) before IFX administration, and measured IFX trough levels, ATIs, and faecal calprotectin levels (CPT). Samples were collected during maintenance therapy. We used multivariate analysis to identify the predictors of IFX levels.

SUMMARY

Lower levels of IFX were associated with ATIs positivity (OR 0.027, 95% CI 0.009-0.077). Higher C-reactive protein (CRP) level, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and CPT levels were found in patients with lower IFX levels. The optimal combination of sensitivity (0.5) and specificity (0.74) for disease activity was calculated for IFX levels ≥1.1 µg/mL using CRP level <5 mg/L as a marker of laboratory remission. In a model that used CPT ≤100 µg/g as the definition of remission, the optimal IFX trough level was 3.5 µg/mL. No independent association between remission and ATIs was found in our study population. However, we found an independentz association between IFX levels and serum albumin levels (OR 1.364, 95% CI 1.169-1.593), p < 0.001. Key Messages: The paediatric population was similar to adult populations in terms of the association between IFX and ATIs as well as between IFX and disease activity.