Pediatric adjusted reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale as a prospective predictor for mortality in pediatric trauma

Prognosis and assessment of the predictive value of severity scores in paediatric abdominal trauma: A French national cohort study

BACKGROUND

Paediatric closed abdominal trauma is common, however, its severity and influence on survival are difficult to determine. No prognostic score integrating abdominal involvement exists to date in paediatrics.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the severity and short-term and medium-term prognosis of closed abdominal trauma in children, and the performance of severity scores in predicting mortality.

DESIGN

Retrospective, cohort, observational study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Patients aged 0 to 18 years presenting at the trauma room of a French paediatric Level I Trauma Centre over the period 2015 to 2019 with an isolated closed abdominal trauma or as part of a polytrauma.

MAIN OUTCOMES

Primary outcome was the six months mortality. Secondary outcomes were related complications and therapeutic interventions, and performance for predicting mortality of the scores listed. Paediatric Trauma Score (PTS), Revised Trauma Score (RTS), Shock Index Paediatric Age-adjusted (SIPA) score, Reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale score (rSIG), Base Deficit, International Normalised Ratio, and Glasgow Coma Scale (BIG), Injury Severity Score (ISS) and Trauma Score and the Injury Severity (TRISS) score.

DATA COLLECTION

Data collected include clinical, biological and CT scan data at admission, first 24 h management and prognosis. The PTS, RTS, SIPA, rSIG, BIG and ISS scores were calculated and mortality was predicted according to BIG score and TRISS methodology.

RESULTS

Of 1145 patients, 149 met the inclusion criteria and 12 (8.1%) died. Of the 12 deceased patients, 11 (91.7%) presented with severe head injury, 11 (91.7%) had blood products transfusion and 7 received tranexamic acid. ROC curves analysis concluded that PTS, RTS, rSIG and BIG scores accurately predict mortality in paediatric closed abdominal trauma with AUCs at least 0.92. The BIG score offered the best predictive performance for predicting mortality at a threshold of 24.8 [sensitivity 90%, specificity 92%, negative-predictive value (NPV) 99%, area under the curve (AUC) 0.93].

CONCLUSION

PEVALPED is the first French study to evaluate the prognosis of paediatric closed abdominal trauma. The use of PTS, rSIG and BIG scores are relevant from the acute phase and the pathophysiological interest and accuracy of the BIG score make it a powerful tool for predicting mortality of closed abdominal trauma in children.

Reverse Shock Index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale score as a point-of-care severity assessment for initial trauma management: A nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND

Severe trauma patients often require emergent interventions, such as massive transfusion, resuscitative procedures, and surgical procedures, and consume considerable human and medical resources. However, few practical indices can be easily used for emergent interventions. In recent years, it has become clear that rSIG (Reverse Shock Index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS] score), which can be easily calculated from vital signs, is a promising predictor of mortality. However, it is unclear whether rSIG is useful for emergent interventions.

METHODS

Data collected by the Japan Trauma Data Bank for adult patients admitted directly from the scene of trauma between April 2019 and December 2020 were analysed. The outcomes were massive transfusion, resuscitative procedures, surgical procedures and emergent interventions. Emergent interventions were defined as the composite outcome of massive transfusion, resuscitative procedures, and surgical procedures. The ability of rSIG to predict massive transfusion was compared with that of the ABC score and FASILA score by receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis. The ability of rSIG to predict resuscitative and surgical procedures was compared with that of the Shock Index (SI), GCS, Triage Revised Trauma score (T-RTS), and Previous Simple Prediction (PSP) score. The ability of rSIG to predict emergent interventions was compared with that of T-RTS, PSP, ABC, and FASILA. In addition to rSIG, rSIM (Reverse Shock Index multiplied by best motor response score) was also analysed as a supplement.

RESULTS

The study included 32,201 patients, 6,371 of whom required emergent interventions. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for massive transfusion was highest for rSIG (0.846 [95 % confidence interval 0.832-0.859]) and significantly higher for rSIG than for rSIM, ABC and FASILA (all p < 0.0001). AUROCs for resuscitative and surgical procedures were highest for rSIG (0.777 [0.769-0.785] and 0.731 [0.720-0.741], respectively) and significantly higher than those for rSIM, SI, GCS, T-RTS, and PSP (all p < 0.0001). The AUROC for emergent interventions was highest for rSIG (0.760 [0.753-0.768]) and significantly higher for rSIG than for rSIM, T-RTS, PSP, ABC, or FASILA (all p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

rSIG is a simple and effective point-of-care predictor of emergent interventions during initial management of trauma.

Use of prehospital reverse shock index times Glasgow Coma Scale to identify children who require the most immediate trauma care

BACKGROUND

Appropriate prehospital trauma triage ensures transport of children to facilities that provide specialized trauma care. There are currently no objective and generalizable scoring tool for emergency medical services to facilitate such decisions. An abnormal reverse shock index times Glasgow Coma Scale (rSIG), which is calculated using readily available parameters, has been shown to be associated with severely injured children. This study sought to determine if rSIG could be used in the prehospital setting to identify injured children who require the highest levels of care.

METHODS

Patients (1-18 years old) transferred from the scene to a level 1 pediatric trauma center from 2010 to 2020 with complete prehospital and emergency department vital signs, and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores were included. Reverse shock index times GCS was calculated as previously described ((systolic blood pressure/heart rate) × GCS), and the following cutoffs were used: ≤13.1, ≤16.5, and ≤20.1 for 1- to 6-, 7- to 12-, and 13- to 18-year-old patients, respectively. Trauma activation level and clinical outcomes upon arrival to the pediatric trauma center were collected.

RESULTS

There were 247 patients included in the analysis; 66.0% (163) had an abnormal prehospital rSIG. Patients with an abnormal rSIG had a higher rate of highest-level trauma activation compared with those with a normal rSIG (38.7% vs. 20.2%, p = 0.013). Patients with an abnormal prehospital rSIG also had higher rates of intubation (28.8% vs. 9.52%, p < 0.001), intracranial pressure monitor (9.20 vs. 1.19%, p = 0.032), need for blood (19.6% vs. 8.33%, p = 0.034), laparotomy (7.98% vs. 1.19%, p = 0.039), and intensive care unit admission (54.6% vs. 40.5%, p = 0.049).

CONCLUSION

Reverse shock index times GCS may assist emergency medical service providers in early identification and triage of severely injured children. An abnormal rSIG in the emergency department is associated with higher rates of intubation, need for blood transfusion, intracranial pressure monitoring, laparotomy, and intensive care unit admission. Use of this metric may help to speed the identification, care, and treatment of any injured child.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic and Epidemiological; Level IV.

The reverse shock index multiplied by the Glasgow Coma Scale score can predict the need for initial resuscitation in patients suspected of sepsis

For patients suspected of sepsis, early recognition of the need for initial resuscitation is key in management. This study evaluated the ability of a modified shock index - the reverse shock index multiplied by the Glasgow Coma Scale score (rSIG) - to predict the need for initial resuscitation in patients with sepsis. This retrospective study involved adults with infection who were admitted to a Japanese tertiary care hospital from an emergency department between January and November 2020. The rSIG, modified Early Warning Score (MEWS), quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA), and original shock index (SI) values were recorded using initial vital signs. The primary outcome was the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for the composite outcome consisting of vasopressor use, mechanical ventilation, and 72-h mortality. Secondary outcomes were the AUROCs for each component of the primary outcome and 28-day mortality. As a result, the primary outcome was met by 67 of the 724 patients (9%). The AUROC was significantly higher for the rSIG than for the other tools (rSIG 0.84 [0.78 - 0.88]; MEWS 0.78 [0.71 - 0.84]; qSOFA 0.72 [0.65 - 0.79]; SI 0.80 [0.74 - 0.85]). Compared with MEWS and qSOFA, the rSIG also had a higher AUROC for vasopressor use and mechanical ventilation, but not for 72-h mortality or in-hospital mortality. The rSIG could be a simple and reliable predictor of the need for initial resuscitation in patients suspected of sepsis.

Comparison of Pediatric Trauma Scoring Tools That Incorporate Neurological Status for Trauma Team Activation

BACKGROUND

Two novel pediatric trauma scoring tools, SIPAB+ (defined as elevated SIPA with Glasgow Coma Scale ≤8) and rSIG (reverse Shock Index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale and defined as abnormal using cutoffs for early outcomes), which combine neurological status with Pediatric Age-Adjusted Shock Index (SIPA), have been shown to predict early trauma outcomes better than SIPA alone. We sought to determine if one more accurately identifies children in need of trauma team activation.

METHODS

Patients 1 to 18 years old from the 2014-2018 Pediatric Trauma Quality Improvement Program database were included. Sensitivity and specificity for SIPAB+ and rSIG were calculated for components of pediatric trauma team activation, based on criteria standard definitions.

RESULTS

There were 11,426 patients (1.9%) classified as SIPAB+ and 235,672 (39.0%) as having an abnormal rSIG. SIPAB+ was consistently more specific, with specificities exceeding 98%, but its sensitivity was poor (<30%) for all outcomes. In comparison, rSIG was a more sensitive tool, with sensitivities exceeding 60%, and specificity values exceeded 60% for all outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Trauma systems must determine their priorities to decide how best to incorporate SIPAB+ and rSIG into practice, although rSIG may be preferred as it balances both sensitivity and specificity.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III.

Which Trauma Severity Scores Are Useful in Predicting Pediatric Mortality?

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Trauma is the leading cause of death in children. Several trauma severity scores exist: the shock index (SI), age-adjusted SI (SIPA), reverse SI (rSI), and rSI multiplied by Glasgow Coma Score (rSIG). However, it is unknown which is the best predictor of clinical outcomes in children. Our goal was to determine the association between trauma severity scores and mortality in pediatric trauma.

DESIGN AND METHODS

A multicenter retrospective study was performed using the 2015 US National Trauma Data Bank, including patients 1 to 18 years old and excluding patients with unknown emergency department dispositions. The scores were calculated using initial emergency department parameters. Descriptive analysis was carried out. Variables were stratified by outcome (hospital mortality). Then, for each trauma score, a multivariate logistic regression was conducted to determine its association with mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 67,098 patients with a mean age of 11 ±5 years were included. Majority of the patients were male (66%) and had an injury severity score <15 (87%). Eighty-four percent of patients were admitted: 15% to the intensive care unit and 17% directly to the operating room. The mortality at hospital discharge was 3%.There was a statistically significant association between SI, rSI, rSIG, and mortality ( P < 0.05). The highest adjusted odds ratio for mortality corresponded to rSIG, followed by rSI then SI (8.51, 1.9, and 1.3, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Several trauma scores may help predict mortality in children with trauma, the best being rSIG. Introduction of these scores in algorithms for pediatric trauma evaluations can impact clinical decision-making.

The reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow coma scale (rSIG) is predictive of mortality in trauma patients according to age

OBJECTIVE

The role of reverse shock index multiplied Glasgow coma scale (rSIG) in patients post-trauma with traumatic brain injury (TBI) has not yet been defined well. Our study aimed to investigate the predictive performance of rSIG according to age group.

METHOD

This is a prospective multi-national and multi-center cohort study using Pan-Asian Trauma Outcome Study registry in Asian-Pacific, conducted on patients post-trauma who visited participating hospitals. The main exposure was low rSIG measured at emergency department. The main outcome was in-hospital mortality. We performed multilevel logistic regression analysis to estimate the association low rSIG and study outcomes. Interaction analysis between rSIG and age group were also conducted.

RESULTS

Low rSIG was significantly associated with an increase in in-hospital mortality in patients post-trauma with and without TBI (aOR (95% CI): 1.49 (1.04-2.13) and 1.71 (1.16-2.53), respectively). The ORs for in-hospital mortality differed according to the age group in patients post-trauma with TBI (1.72 (1.44-1.94) for the young group and 1.13 (1.07-1.52) for the old group; p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Low rSIG is associated with an increase in in-hospital mortality in adult patients post-trauma. However, in patients with TBI, the prediction of mortality is significantly better in younger patient group.

Use of reverse shock index times Glasgow coma scale (rSIG) to determine need for transfer of pediatric trauma patients to higher levels of care

INTRODUCTION

Most children in the US live more than one hour from a Level 1 PTC. The Need For Trauma Intervention (NFTI) score was developed to assess trauma triage criteria and is dependent on whether someone requires one of six urgent interventions (NFTI+). We sought to determine if a novel scoring tool, rSIG, could predict NFTI and facilitate the transfer decision making process.

METHODS

Children 1-18 years old transferred to our level 1 PTC from 2010 - 2020 with complete vital signs and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score at the transferring facility were included. rSIG was calculated as previously described [(SBP/HR) x GCS], and the following cutoffs were used for each age group: ≤13.1, ≤16.5, and ≤20.1 for 1-6, 7-12, and 13-18 years, respectively. Clinical outcomes upon arrival to the PTC were collected to determine if patients met any NTFI criteria.

RESULTS

A total of 456 patients met inclusion criteria. The proportion of patients with an abnormal rSIG was 60.1% (274) and 37.0% (169) were NFTI+. Patients with an abnormal rSIG had an odds ratio of 6.18 (95% CI: 3.90, 10.07), p < 0.001 of being NFTI+ compared to those with a normal rSIG.

CONCLUSION

Children with an abnormal rSIG are more likely to be NFTI+ and require higher levels of care, indicating this scoring tool can identify pediatric trauma patients who may benefit from expedited transfer. Incorporating rSIG into initial evaluation and triage of traumatically injured children may expedite the transfer decision making process and limit delays in transport to a PTC.

TYPE OF STUDY

Retrospective Comparative Study LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.

The effect of time of measurement on the discriminant ability for mortality in trauma of a pre-hospital shock index multiplied by age and divided by the Glasgow Coma Score: a registry study

BACKGROUND

The shock index (SI) and its derivatives have been shown to predict mortality in severely injured patients, both in pre-hospital and in-hospital settings. However, the impact of the time of measurement on the discriminative ability of the pre-hospital SI is unknown. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether the time of measurement influences the discriminative ability of the SI multiplied by age (SIA) and divided by the Glasgow Coma Score (SIA/G).

METHODS

Registry data were obtained from the national helicopter emergency medical services (HEMS) on trauma patients aged ≥ 18 years. The SI values were calculated based on the first measured vitals of the trauma patients by the HEMS unit. The discriminative ability of the SIA/G, with 30-day mortality as the endpoint, was evaluated according to different delay times (0 - 19, 20 - 39 and ≥ 40 min) from the initial incident. Sub-group analyses were performed for trauma patients without a traumatic brain injury (TBI), patients with an isolated TBI and patients with polytrauma, including a TBI.

RESULTS

In total, 3,497 patients were included in the study. The SIA/G was higher in non-survivors (median 7.8 [interquartile range 4.7-12.3] vs. 2.4 [1.7-3.6], P < 0.001). The overall area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) for the SIA/G was 0.87 (95% CI: 0.85-0.89). The AUROC for the SIA/G was similar in the short (0.88, 95% CI: 0.85-0.91), intermediate (0.86, 95% CI: 0.84-0.89) and long (0.86, 95% CI: 0.82-0.89) measurement delay groups. The findings were similar in the three trauma sub-groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The discriminative ability of the SIA/G in predicting 30-day mortality was not significantly affected by the measurement time of the index in the pre-hospital setting. The SIA/G is a simple and reliable tool for assessing the risk of mortality among severely injured patients in the pre-hospital setting.

Predictive value of shock index variants on 30-day mortality of trauma patients in helicopter emergency medical services: a nationwide observational retrospective multicenter study

The original shock index (SI) has been further developed to increase its prognostic value. We aimed to evaluate the predictive value of different SI variants on 30-day mortality among severely injured trauma patients in pre-hospital critical care settings. Adult trauma patients in the national Helicopter Emergency Medical Services (HEMS) registry were evaluated based on the primary outcome of 30-day mortality. SI, SIA (SI multiplied by age), SI/G (SI divided by Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS)), SIA/G (SI multiplied by age and divided by GCS), and SS (SI divided by oxygen saturation) were calculated based on the first vital signs measured at the time of HEMS contact. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) was calculated for each SI variant. In total 4108 patients were included in the study. The overall 30-day mortality was 13.5%. The SIA/G and SI/G had the highest predictive ability (AUROC 0.884 [95% CI 0.869-0.899] and 0.8000 [95% CI 0.7780-0.8239], respectively). The SIA/G yielded good predictive performance between 30-day survivors and non-survivors in the pre-hospital critical care setting.

Rethinking pediatric trauma triage

Despite advances in the delivery of trauma care, trauma remains the leading cause of death amongst the pediatric population within the United States and is one of the leading causes of death in children worldwide.  Accurately triaging pediatric trauma patients is essential to minimize preventable mortality without burdening the system by utilizing unnecessary resources.  This article will review the accuracy of current pediatric trauma triage practices and how it will evolve in the future including moving away from mechanism of injury towards physiologic scoring tools such as the pediatric age-adjust shock index, and intervention-based systems including. Need for Surgeon Presence and Need For Trauma Intervention. This paper will also present evidence regarding over-utilization of air transport for pediatric trauma patients and the associated unnecessary costs placed on the trauma system.

Improved identification of severely injured pediatric trauma patients using reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale

BACKGROUND

The shock index pediatric age-adjusted (SIPA) predicts the need for increased resources and mortality among pediatric trauma patients without incorporating neurological status. A new scoring tool, rSIG, which is the reverse shock index (rSI) multiplied by the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), has been proven superior at predicting outcomes in adult trauma patients and mortality in pediatric patients compared with traditional scoring systems. We sought to compare the accuracy of rSIG to Shock Index (SI) and SIPA in predicting the need for early interventions in civilian pediatric trauma patients.

METHODS

Patients (aged 1-18 years) in the 2014 to 2018 Pediatric Trauma Quality Improvement Program database with complete heart rate, systolic blood pressure, and total GCS were included. Optimal cut points of rSIG were calculated for predicting blood transfusion within 4 hours, intubation, intracranial pressure monitoring, and intensive care unit admission. From the optimal thresholds, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve were calculated from receiver operating characteristics analyses to predict each outcome and compared with SI and SIPA.

RESULTS

A total of 604,931 patients with a mean age of 11.1 years old were included. A minority of patients had a penetrating injury mechanism (5.6%) and the mean Injury Severity Score was 7.6. The mean SI and rSIG scores were 0.85 and 18.6, respectively. Reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale performed better than SI and SIPA at predicting early trauma outcomes for the overall population, regardless of age.

CONCLUSION

Reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale outperformed SI and SIPA in the early identification of traumatically injured children at risk for early interventions, such as blood transfusion within 4 hours, intubation, intracranial pressure monitoring, and intensive care unit admission. Reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale adds neurological status in initial patient assessment and may be used as a bedside triage tool to rapidly identify pediatric patients who will likely require early intervention and higher levels of care.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic, level III.

Addition of neurological status to pediatric adjusted shock index to predict early mortality in trauma: A pediatric Trauma Quality Improvement Program analysis

INTRODUCTION

Pediatric adjusted shock index (SIPA) has demonstrated the ability to prospectively identify children at the highest risk for early mortality. The addition of neurological status to shock index has shown promise as a reliable triage tool in adult trauma populations. This study sought to assess the utility of combining SIPA with Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) for predicting early trauma-related outcomes.

METHODS

Retrospective review of the 2017 Trauma Quality Improvement Program Database was performed for all severely injured patients younger than 18 years old. Pediatric adjusted shock index and reverse SIPA × GCS (rSIG) were calculated. Age-specific cutoff values were derived for reverse shock index multiplied by GCS (rSIG) and compared with their SIPA counterparts for early mortality assessment using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 10,389 pediatric patients with an average age of 11.4 years, 67% male, average Injury Severity Score of 24.1, and 4% sustaining a major penetrating injury were included in the analysis. The overall mortality was 9.3%. Furthermore, 32.1% of patients displayed an elevated SIPA score, while only 27.5% displayed a positive rSIG. On area under the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, rSIG was found to be superior to SIPA as a predictor for in hospital mortality with values of 0.854 versus 0.628, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Reverse shock index multiplied by GCS more readily predicted in hospital mortality for pediatric trauma patients when compared with SIPA. These findings suggest that neurological status should be an important factor during initial patient assessment. Further study to assess the applicability of rSIG for expanded trauma-related outcomes in pediatric trauma is necessary.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic study, level IV.

The July Phenomenon and Pediatric Trauma

BACKGROUND

The July Phenomenon describes concerns that patients presenting early in the academic year experience worse outcomes. Given the standardized approach to pediatric trauma patients, we hypothesized that the July Phenomenon would not impact morbidity or mortality.

METHODS

A retrospective review of patients ≤16 Y presenting to a level I pediatric trauma center between March 2009 and March2019 was performed. Pediatric patients admitted during the study period were compared for differences in outcome by month of presentation. The primary outcome was mortality. Secondary outcomes were complications, and length of emergency department, hospital and Intensive Care Unit stay. Multivariable regression was used to evaluate the effect of month of admission on outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 6,135 patients were evaluated, with 605 patients presenting in July. Univariate analysis failed to demonstrate consistently increased mortality, complications, or length of emergency department, hospital or Intensive Care Unit stay in July compared to months later in the academic year. On multivariate analysis, admission in July was not an independent predictor of worse outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

In this level I pediatric trauma center, pediatric trauma patients presenting earlier in the academic year have similar outcomes to those presenting later, and there is no evidence of a July Phenomenon in this population.