Associations of Renal Function at 1-Year After Kidney Transplantation With Subsequent Return to Dialysis, Mortality, and Healthcare Costs

Multivariable Predictors of Poorer Renal Function Among 1119 Deceased Donor Kidney Transplant Recipients During the First Year Post-Transplant, With a Particular Focus on the Influence of Individual KDRI Components and Donor AKI

Given our desire to reduce kidney transplant waiting times by utilizing more difficult-to-place ("higher-risk") DD kidneys, we wanted to better understand post-transplant renal function among 1119 adult DD recipients consecutively transplanted during 2016-2019. Stepwise linear regression of eGFR (CKD-EPI formula) at 3-, 6-, and 12-months post-transplant (considered as biomarkers for longer-term outcomes), respectively, was performed to determine the significant multivariable baseline predictors, using a type I error ≤ 0.01 to avoid spurious/weak associations. Three unfavorable characteristics were selected as highly significant in all three models: Older DonorAge (yr) (p < 0.000001), Longer StaticColdStorage Time (hr) (p < 0.000001), and Higher RecipientBMI (p ≤ 0.00003). Other significantly unfavorable characteristics included: Shorter DonorHeight (cm) (p ≤ 0.00001), Higher Natural Logarithm {Initial DonorCreatinine} (p ≤ 0.001), Longer MachinePerfusion Time (p ≤ 0.003), Greater DR Mismatches (p = 0.01), DonorHypertension (p ≤ 0.004), Recipient HIV+ (p ≤ 0.006), DCD Kidney (p = 0.002), Cerebrovascular DonorDeath (p = 0.01), and DonorDiabetes (p = 0.01). Variables not selected into any model included DonorAKI Stage (p ≥ 0.24), Any DonorAKI (p ≥ 0.04), and five KDRI components: two DonorAge splines at 18 years (p ≥ 0.52) and 50 years (p ≥ 0.28), BlackDonor (p ≥ 0.08), DonorHCV+ (p ≥ 0.06), and DonorWeight spline at 80 kg (p ≥ 0.03), indicating that DonorAKI and the weaker KDRI components have little, if any, prognostic impact on renal function during the first 12 months post-transplant. Additionally, biochemical determinations with skewed distributions such as DonorCreatinine are more accurately represented by natural logarithmic transformed values. In conclusion, one practical takeaway is that donor AKI may be ignored when evaluating DD risk.

Predictive utility of nomogram based on serum glucose-regulated protein 78 and kidney function for long-term kidney graft survival

The estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at 1 year post-transplantation is a well-established predictor of long-term graft survival; however, its predictive accuracy needs improvement. We retrospectively analyzed data from 51 kidney transplant recipients at Kanazawa Medical University Hospital (January 2001-February 2015). Cox regression was used to identify risk factors for death-censored graft loss and create a nomogram to predict graft survival at 15 years post-transplantation. The predictive factors ultimately included in the nomogram included eGFR and serum glucose-regulated protein 78 (GRP78) at 1 year post-transplantation. In terms of discrimination, assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), no significant difference was noted between the eGFR model (AUC 0.84 [0.67-1.00]) and nomogram (AUC 0.92 [0.82-1.00]) (p = 0.38). However, calibration, evaluated by the calibration plot, indicated superiority of the nomogram over the eGFR model, confirmed in the internal validation cohort using the Bootstrap method. Regarding clinical value evaluated by decision curve analysis, the nomogram showed a greater net benefit than the eGFR model, especially at wider diagnostic thresholds (particularly important lower thresholds). Our findings suggest the added predictive value of serum GRP78 at 1 year post-transplantation for long-term graft survival prediction.

Economic and humanistic burden in kidney transplant rejection: a literature review

INTRODUCTION

Antibody-mediated rejection (ABMR) is a major cause of late kidney allograft failure, but its economic and humanistic impacts have not been well-characterized in the literature.

AREAS COVERED

We reviewed available literature on economic burden (costs and healthcare resource use) and humanistic burden (health-related quality of life impacts [HRQOL] and utility estimates) in patients diagnosed with kidney transplant rejection; ABMR-specific studies were of particular interest. In total, 21 publications reporting economic and humanistic burden were included in the review; 9 of these reported ABMR-specific outcomes. The reviewed studies consistently showed a greater burden associated with ABMR-related transplant rejection than with non-ABMR transplant rejection.

EXPERT OPINION

Evidence suggests greater economic burden and increased HRQOL impairment with ABMR-related kidney transplant rejection relative to non-ABMR, although small sample sizes and missing definitions for ABMR make meaningful comparisons between studies challenging. Because no International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 codes currently describe the etiologies of transplant rejection, it is difficult to characterize the burden of distinct types of transplant rejection. The paucity of high-quality data on the burden of ABMR in kidney transplant rejection demonstrates the need for more etiology-centric ICD-10 codes.

Cost of Drivers among Patients in the First Year after Kidney Transplantation - A Retrospective Study

The cost of kidney transplantation (KT) and its follow-up care greatly exceeds the mean annual family income. Governmental support during the post-transplant period is needed. This study aimed to identify the drivers of cost during the 1st year after KT. The records of 129 adult Filipino KT recipients over 2 years in a single center were reviewed to determine the total cost for the 1st year after KT, such as diagnostics, medications, supplies, and professional fees. Univariate and multivariate analyses were carried out to determine the economic impact of the baseline characteristics, comorbidities, and events after KT. The direct costs of care were significantly higher among patients aged >40 years (P = 0.009), those with diabetic kidney disease as the primary renal disease (P <0.0001), and those with a high Charlson comorbidity index (P = 0.001). Multivariate regression analysis showed that patients with diabetes mellitus paid US$ 6813.6 more, and those hospitalized for any infection spent US$ 3877.4 more than those without comorbid conditions or complications. The results showed that diabetes mellitus and hospitalization for any infection significantly impacted the cost of follow-up care. Health-care policies that can aid patients after KT are needed to minimize expenditures and avoid complications.

Molecular immune monitoring in kidney transplant rejection: a state-of-the-art review

Although current regimens of immunosuppressive drugs are effective in renal transplant recipients, long-term renal allograft outcomes remain suboptimal. For many years, the diagnosis of renal allograft rejection and of several causes of renal allograft dysfunction, such as chronic subclinical inflammation and infection, was mostly based on renal allograft biopsy, which is not only invasive but also possibly performed too late for proper management. In addition, certain allograft dysfunctions are difficult to differentiate from renal histology due to their similar pathogenesis and immune responses. As such, non-invasive assays and biomarkers may be more beneficial than conventional renal biopsy for enhancing graft survival and optimizing immunosuppressive drug regimens during long-term care. This paper discusses recent biomarker candidates, including donor-derived cell-free DNA, transcriptomics, microRNAs, exosomes (or other extracellular vesicles), urine chemokines, and nucleosomes, that show high potential for clinical use in determining the prognosis of long-term outcomes of kidney transplantation, along with their limitations.

Progression of Kidney Disease in Kidney Transplant Recipients With a Failing Graft: A Matched Cohort Study

Background

Few studies have assessed outcomes in transplant recipients with failing grafts as most studies have focused on outcomes after graft loss.

Objective

To determine whether renal function declines faster in kidney transplant recipients with a failing graft than in people with chronic kidney disease of their native kidneys.

Design

Retrospective cohort study.

Setting

Alberta, Canada (2002-2019).

Patients

We identified kidney transplant recipients with a failing graft (2 estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] measurements 15-30 mL/min/1.73 m2 ≥90 days apart).

Measurements

We compared the change in eGFR over time (eGFR with 95% confidence limits, LCLeGFRUCL) and the competing risks of kidney failure and death (cause-specific hazard ratios [HRs], LCLHRUCL).

Methods

Recipients (n = 575) were compared with propensity-score-matched, nontransplant controls (n = 575) with a similar degree of kidney dysfunction.

Results

The median potential follow-up time was 7.8 years (interquartile range, 3.6-12.1). The hazards for kidney failure (HR1.101.331.60) and death (HR1.211.592.07) were significantly higher for recipients, while the eGFR decline over time was similar (recipients vs controls: -2.60-2.27-1.94 vs -2.52-2.21-1.90 mL/min/1.73 m2 per year). The rate of eGFR decline was associated with kidney failure but not death.

Limitations

This was a retrospective, observational study, and there is a risk of bias due to residual confounding.

Conclusions

Although eGFR declines at a similar rate in transplant recipients as in nontransplant controls, recipients have a higher risk of kidney failure and death. Studies are needed to identify preventive measures to improve outcomes in transplant recipients with a failing graft.

Costs in the Year Following Deceased Donor Kidney Transplantation: Relationships With Renal Function and Graft Failure

Relationships between renal function and medical costs for deceased donor kidney transplant recipients are not fully quantified post-transplant. We describe these relationships with renal function measured by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and graft failure. The United States Renal Data System identified adults receiving single-organ deceased donor kidneys 2012–2015. Inpatient, outpatient, other facility costs and eGFRs at discharge, 6 and 12 months were included. A time-history of costs was constructed for graft failures and monthly costs in the first year post-transplant were compared to those without failure. The cohort of 24,021 deceased donor recipients had a 2.4% graft failure rate in the first year. Total medical costs exhibit strong trends with eGFR. Recipients with 6-month eGFRs of 30–59 ml/min/1.73m² have total costs 48% lower than those <30 ml/min/1.73m². For recipients with graft failure monthly costs begin to rise 3–4 months prior to failure, with incremental costs of over $38,000 during the month of failure. Mean annual total incremental costs of graft failure are over $150,000. Total costs post-transplant are strongly correlated with eGFR. Graft failure in the first year is an expensive, months-long process. Further reductions in early graft failures could yield significant human and economic benefits.

Clinical Events and Renal Function in the First Year Predict Long-Term Kidney Transplant Survival

BACKGROUND

Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at 1 year post transplantation has been shown to be a strong predictor of long-term graft survival. However, intercurrent events (ICEs) may affect the relationship between eGFR and failure risk.

METHODS

The OPTN and USRDS databases on single-organ kidney transplant recipients from 2012 to 2016 were linked. Competing risk regressions estimated adjusted subhazard ratios (SHRs) of 12-month eGFR on long-term graft failure, considering all-cause mortality as the competing risk, for deceased donor (DD) and living donor (LD) recipients. Additional predictors included recipient, donor, and transplant characteristics. ICEs examined were acute rejection, cardiovascular events, and infections.

RESULTS

Cohorts comprised 25,131 DD recipients and 7471 LD recipients. SHRs for graft failure increased rapidly as 12-month eGFR values decreased from the reference 60 ml/min per 1.73 m². At an eGFR of 20 ml/min per 1.73 m², SHRs were 13-15 for DD recipients and 12-13 for LD recipients; at an eGFR of 30 ml/min per 1.73 m², SHRs were 5.0-5.7 and 5.0-5.5, respectively. Among first-year ICEs, acute rejection was a significant predictor of long-term graft failure in both DD (SHR=1.63, P<0.001) and LD (SHR=1.51, P=0.006) recipients; cardiovascular events were significant in DD (SHR=1.24, P<0.001), whereas non-CMV infections were significant in the LD cohort (SHR=1.32, P=0.03). Adjustment for ICEs did not significantly reduce the association of eGFR with graft failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Twelve-month eGFR is a strong predictor of long-term graft failure after accounting for clinical events occurring from discharge to 1 year. These findings may improve patient management and clinical evaluation of novel interventions.

Pre-transplant donor-specific HLA antibodies and risk for poor first-year renal transplant outcomes: results from the Swiss Transplant Cohort Study

The aim of this study was to analyze first year renal outcomes in a nationwide prospective multicenter cohort comprising 2215 renal transplants, with a special emphasis on the presence of pre-transplant donor-specific HLA antibodies (DSA). All transplants had a complete virtual crossmatch and DSA were detected in 19% (411/2215). The investigated composite endpoint was a poor first-year outcome defined as (i) allograft failure or (ii) death or (iii) poor allograft function (eGFR ≤25 ml/min/1.73 m² ) at one year. Two hundred and twenty-one (221/2215; 10%) transplants showed a poor first-year outcome. Rejection (24/70; 34%) was the most common reason for graft failure. First-year patient's death was rare (48/2215; 2%). There were no statistically significant differences between DSA-positive and DSA-negative transplants regarding composite and each individual endpoint, as well as reasons for graft failure and death. DSA-positive transplants experienced more frequently rejection episodes, mainly antibody-mediated rejection (both P < 0.0001). The combination of DSA and any first year rejection was associated with the overall poorest death-censored allograft survival (P < 0.0001). In conclusion, presence of pre-transplant DSA per se does not affect first year outcomes. However, DSA-positive transplants experiencing first year rejection are a high-risk population for poor allograft survival and may benefit from intense clinical surveillance.

Beyond the Biopsy: Monitoring Immune Status in Kidney Recipients

Improved long-term kidney allograft survival is largely related to better outcomes at 12 months, in association with declining acute rejection rates and more efficacious immunosuppression. Finding the right balance between under- and overimmunosuppression or rejection versus immunosuppression toxicity remains one of transplant's holy grails. In the absence of precise measures of immunosuppression burden, transplant clinicians rely on nonspecific, noninvasive tests and kidney allograft biopsy generally performed for cause. This review appraises recent advances of conventional monitoring strategies and critically examines the plethora of emerging tests utilizing tissue, urine, and blood samples to improve upon the diagnostic precision of allograft surveillance.

The Tacrolimus Metabolism Rate and Dyslipidemia after Kidney Transplantation

Fast tacrolimus (Tac) metabolism is associated with reduced survival rates after renal transplantation (RTx), mainly due to cardiovascular events. Because dyslipidemia is a leading cause of cardiovascular death, we hypothesized that most RTx patients do not achieve recommended target low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels (European cardiology society guidelines) and that fast Tac metabolizers have higher dyslipidemia rates. This study included RTx recipients who received initial immunosuppression with immediate-release tacrolimus (IR-Tac), mycophenolate, and prednisolone. Patients were grouped according to their Tac concentration-to-dose ratio (C/D ratio) 3 months after RTx. Dyslipidemia parameters were analyzed at RTx, 3 months, and 12 months after RTx. Statin use and renal function were documented in a 12-month follow-up, and death was documented in a 60-month follow-up. Ninety-six RTx recipients were divided into two groups: 31 fast Tac metabolizers (C/D ratio < 1.05 ng/mL·1/mg) and 65 slow metabolizers (C/D ratio ≥ 1.05 ng/mL·1/mg). There were no differences in triglyceride or cholesterol levels between groups at RTx, 3, and 12 months after RTx. A total of 93.5% of fast and 95.4% of slow metabolizers did not achieve target LDL-C levels (p = 0.657). Fast metabolizers developed lower renal function compared to slow metabolizers 12 months after RTx (p = 0.009). Fast metabolizers showed a 60 month survival rate of 96.8% compared to 94.7% in the slow metabolizer group (p = 0.811). As most RTx recipients do not reach recommended target LDL-C levels, individualized nutritional counseling and lipid-lowering therapy must be intensified. Fast Tac metabolism is associated with lower renal function after RTx, but does not play a significant role in dyslipidemia.

Defining a minimal clinically meaningful difference in 12-month estimated glomerular filtration rate for clinical trials in deceased donor kidney transplantation

BACKGROUND

A Minimal Clinically Meaningful Difference (MCMD) has not been defined for Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Our goal was to define the MCMD for eGFR anchored to kidney graft failure.

METHODS

A systematic review of studies with 12-month eGFR and subsequent renal graft failure was conducted. For observational studies, we calculated hazard ratio (HR) differences between adjacent eGFR intervals weighted by population distribution. Interventional trials yielded therapeutically induced changes in eGFR and failure risk. OPTN data analysis divided 12-month eGFR into bands for Cox regressions comparing adjacent eGFR bands with a death-censored graft survival outcome.

RESULTS

Observational studies indicated that lower eGFR was associated with increased death-censored graft failure risk; each 5 ml/min/1.73 m2 12-month eGFR band associated with a weighted incremental HR = 1.12 to 1.23. Clinical trial data found a 5 ml/min/1.73 m2 difference was associated with incremental HR = 1.16 to 1.35. OPTN analyses showed weighted mean HRs across 10, 7, and 5 ml/min/1.73 m2 bands of 1.47, 1.30, and 1.19.

CONCLUSIONS

A 5 ml/min/1.73 m2 difference in 12-month eGFR was consistently associated with ~20% increase in death-censored graft failure risk. The magnitude of effect has been interpreted as clinically meaningful in other disease states and should be considered the MCMD in renal transplantation clinical trials.

Graft Function Variability and Slope and Kidney Transplantation Outcomes

Introduction

It is critical to identify kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) at higher risk for adverse outcomes, to focus on monitoring and interventions to improve outcomes. We examined the associations between graft function variability and long-term outcomes in KTRs in an observational study.

Methods

We identified 2919 KTRs in the Wisconsin Allograft Recipient Database (WisARD) who had a functioning allograft 2 years posttransplantation and at least 3 outpatient measurements of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) from 1 to 2 years posttransplantation. Graft function slope was calculated from a linear regression of eGFR, and variability was defined as the coefficient of variation around this regression line. Associations of eGFR variability and slope with death, graft failure, cardiovascular events, and acute rejection were estimated.

Results

Compared to the lowest quartile, the highest quartile of eGFR variability was associated with a higher risk of death (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 1.85; 95% CI = 1.23−2.76), but not with a higher risk of graft failure (subhazard ratio = 1.16; 95% CI = 0.85−1.58), independent of eGFR and slope of eGFR. Greater eGFR variability was associated with higher risk of cardiovascular- and infection-related death and cardiovascular events but not malignancy-related death or allograft rejection. Including variability of eGFR significantly improved prediction of mortality but not prediction of graft failure.

Conclusion

Variability of eGFR is independently associated with risk of death, especially cardiovascular disease−related death and cardiovascular events, but not graft failure. Variability of eGFR may help identify KTRs at higher risk for death and cardiovascular events.

The impact of donor and recipient diabetes on renal transplant outcomes

The use of diabetic kidneys is increasing worldwide with better outcome than being on waitlist and possible reversal of diabetic changes in transplanted kidneys. But particular caution is warranted in diabetic donor-recipient combination. Total 1223 deceased donor kidney transplants were performed at our center between 2008 and 2018. 689 from non-diabetic donor (NDD) to non-diabetic recipient, 400 from non-diabetic donor to diabetic recipient, 97 from diabetic to non-diabetic recipient, and 32 from diabetic donor (DD) to diabetic recipient. The DD was older than NDDs (median age 48 vs 39 years, P < 0.0001). DD had higher BMI (35.6 vs 26.9, P < 0.0001), higher KDPI (74% vs 37%, P < 0.0001), and higher terminal creatinine (1.10 mg/dl vs 0.95 mg/dl, p 0.0046) than the NDD. Diabetes recipients were comparatively older (57 vs 54, P < 0.001). DD recipients had higher serum creatinine at 6 months (1.70 vs 1.50 mg/dl, p 0.00304) and 2 years post-transplant (1.70 vs 1.50 mg/dl P < 0.0002). DD recipients had more favorable end CPRA than NDD recipients (77.5% at 0% vs 67.4% at 0, P = 0.0074). Ten-year patient and graft survival was best in NDD-recipient pair and worse in DD-recipient pair. Diabetic donor kidneys to diabetic recipients have lower 1-, 3-, and 5-year graft survival.

Graft Function, Albuminuria, and the Risk of Hemorrhage and Thrombosis After Kidney Transplantation

Background:

Compared to the general population, kidney transplant recipients are at increased risk of hemorrhage and thrombosis. Whether this risk is affected by graft function and albuminuria is unknown.

Objective:

To determine the association between graft function and albuminuria and the risk of post-transplant hemorrhage and thrombosis.

Design:

Retrospective cohort study.

Setting:

We used linked health care databases in Alberta, Canada.

Patients/sample/participants:

We included adult kidney transplant recipients from 2002 to 2015 with a functioning graft at 1 year.

Measurements:

Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria measurements at 1 year post-transplant were used to categorize recipients (eGFR: ≥45 vs. <45 mL/min/1.73 m²; albuminuria: absence vs. presence). We determined the rates of post-transplant hemorrhage and venous thrombosis based on validated diagnostic and procedural codes.

Methods:

We determined the association between categories of eGFR and albuminuria and post-transplant hemorrhage and venous thrombosis using Poisson regression with log link.

Results:

Of 1284 kidney transplant recipients, 21% had an eGFR <45 mL/min/1.73 m² and 40% had presence of albuminuria at 1 year post-transplant. Over a median follow-up of 6 years, there were 100 hemorrhages (12.6 events per 1000 person-years) and 57 venous thrombosis events (7.1 events per 1000 person-years). The age- and sex-adjusted rate of hemorrhage and thrombosis was over 2-fold higher in recipients with lower eGFR and presence of albuminuria compared to higher eGFR and no albuminuria (hemorrhage: incidence rate ratio, IRR, 2.6, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.5-4.4, P = .001; thrombosis: IRR, 2.3, 95% CI: 1.1-5.0, P = .046).

Limitations:

Complete relevant medication information, such as anticoagulants, were not available in our datasets. Due to sample size, this study was underpowered to conduct a fully adjusted analysis.

Conclusion:

Among kidney transplant recipients, lower eGFR and presence of albuminuria at 1 year post-transplant were associated with an over 2-fold higher risk of hemorrhage and venous thrombosis. Graft function and albuminuria at 1 year post-transplant are important prognostic factors in determining risk of post-transplant hemorrhage and venous thrombosis. Further research, including medication data, are needed to further delineate outcomes and safety.

Trial registration:

Not applicable (cohort study).

Financial impact of delayed graft function in kidney transplantation

Increased utilization of suboptimal organs in response to organ shortage has resulted in increased incidence of delayed graft function (DGF) after transplantation. Although presumed increased costs associated with DGF are a deterrent to the utilization of these organs, the financial burden of DGF has not been established. We used the Premier Healthcare Database to conduct a retrospective analysis of healthcare resource utilization and costs in kidney transplant patients (n = 12 097) between 1/1/2014 and 12/31/2018. We compared cost and hospital resource utilization for transplants in high-volume (n = 8715) vs low-volume hospitals (n = 3382), DGF (n = 3087) vs non-DGF (n = 9010), and recipients receiving 1 dialysis (n = 1485) vs multiple dialysis (n = 1602). High-volume hospitals costs were lower than low-volume hospitals ($103 946 vs $123 571, P < .0001). DGF was associated with approximately $18 000 (10%) increase in mean costs ($130 492 vs $112 598, P < .0001), 6 additional days of hospitalization (14.7 vs 8.7, P < .0001), and 2 additional ICU days (4.3 vs 2.1, P < .0001). Multiple dialysis sessions were associated with an additional $10 000 compared to those with only 1. In conclusion, DGF is associated with increased costs and length of stay for index kidney transplant hospitalizations and payment schemes taking this into account may reduce clinicians' reluctance to utilize less-than-ideal kidneys.

The economic burden of kidney graft failure in the United States

Despite improvements in outcomes for kidney transplant recipients in the past decade, graft failure continues to impose substantial burden on patients. However, the population-wide economic burden of graft failure has not been quantified. This study aims to fill that gap by comparing outcomes from a simulation model of kidney transplant patients in which patients are at risk for graft failure with an alternative simulation in which the risk of graft failure is assumed to be zero. Transitions through the model were estimated using Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data from 1987 to 2017. We estimated lifetime costs, overall survival, and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) for both scenarios and calculated the difference between them to obtain the burden of graft failure. We find that for the average patient, graft failure will impose additional medical costs of $78 079 (95% confidence interval [CI] $41 074, $112 409) and a loss of 1.66 QALYs (95% CI 1.15, 2.18). Given 17 644 kidney transplants in 2017, the total incremental lifetime medical costs associated with graft failure is $1.38B (95% CI $725M, $1.98B) and the total QALY loss is 29 289 (95% CI 20 291, 38 464). Efforts to reduce the incidence of graft failure or to mitigate its impact are urgently needed.

Mortality and Morbidity in Kidney Transplant Recipients With a Failing Graft: A Matched Cohort Study

Background:

Due to their history of renal disease and exposure to immunosuppression, kidney transplant recipients with a failing graft may be at higher risk of adverse outcomes compared to nontransplant controls. Understanding the burden of disease in transplant recipients may inform treatment decisions of people whose native kidneys are failing and may be eligible for a transplant.

Objective:

To compare mortality and morbidity in kidney transplant recipients with a failing graft to matched nontransplant controls.

Design:

Retrospective cohort study.

Setting:

Alberta, Canada.

Patients:

Kidney transplant recipients with a failing graft were identified as having at least 2 estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) measurements between 15-30 mL/min/1.73 m² (90-365 days apart). We also identified nontransplant controls with a similar degree of kidney dysfunction.

Measurements:

Mortality and hospitalization.

Methods:

We propensity-score matched 520 kidney transplant recipients with a failing graft to 520 nontransplant controls.

Results:

The median age of the matched cohort was 57 years and 40% were women. Compared to matched nontransplant controls, recipients with a failing graft had a higher hazard of death (hazard ratio, 1.54; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.28-1.85; p < .001) and a higher rate of all-cause hospitalization (rate ratio, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.42-1.97; p < .001). Kidney transplant recipients also had a higher rate of several cause-specific hospitalizations including genitourinary, cardiovascular, and infectious causes.

Limitations:

Observational design with the risk of residual confounding.

Conclusions:

A failing kidney transplant is associated with an increased burden of mortality and morbidity beyond chronic kidney disease. This information may assist the discussion of prognosis in kidney transplant recipients with a failing graft and the design of strategies to minimize risks.

Economic impacts of alternative kidney transplant immunosuppression: A national cohort study

Understanding the economic implications of induction and maintenance immunosuppression (ISx) is important in developing personalized kidney transplant (KTx) care. Using data from a novel integrated data set including financial records from the University Health System Consortium, Medicare, and pharmacy claims (2007-2014), we estimated the differences in the impact of induction and maintenance ISx regimens on transplant hospitalization costs and Medicare payments from KTx to 3 years. Use of thymoglobulin (TMG) significantly increased transplant hospitalization costs ($12 006; P = .02), compared with alemtuzumab and basiliximab. TMG resulted in lower Medicare payments in posttransplant years 1 (-$2058; P = .05) and 2 (-$1784; P = .048). Patients on steroid-sparing ISx incurred relatively lower total Medicare spending (-$10 880; P = .01) compared with patients on triple therapy (tacrolimus, antimetabolite, and steroids). MPA/AZA-sparing, mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitors-based, and cyclosporine-based maintenance ISx regimens were associated with significantly higher payments. Alternative ISx regimens were associated with different KTx hospitalization costs and longer-term payments. Future studies of clinical efficacy should also consider cost impacts to define the economic effectiveness of alternative ISx regimens.

Association of Clinical Factors with the Costs of Kidney Transplantation in the Current Era

Background

Kidney transplantation is reported to save costs compared to maintenance dialysis. We analyzed the current actual costs of kidney transplantation compared to dialysis, and analyzed risk factors for higher costs after transplantation.

Material/Methods

Altogether, 338 kidney transplant recipients between 2009 and 2014 were included in this study. All individual-level cost data from specialized health care and data from all reimbursed medication and travel costs were acquired from official records. Cost data were compared before and after transplantation within the same patients starting from dialysis initiation and continued until the end of follow-up at the end of 2015.

Results

Total annual costs were median 53 275 EUR per patient in dialysis, 59 583 EUR for the first post-transplantation year (P<0.001), and 12 045 EUR for the subsequent years (P<0.001 compared to dialysis). Median costs for specialized health care were 36 103 EUR/year per patient during dialysis, compared to median 51 640 EUR for the first post-transplantation year (P<0.001 compared to dialysis), whereas the median costs for the subsequent years declined to median 4895 EUR/year (P<0.001 compared to dialysis). The median annual costs for drug treatments and travel reimbursements during dialysis were higher compared to after transplantation (P<0.001). Delayed graft function and highly sensitized status were independent risk factor for higher costs during the first the post-transplantation year.

Conclusions

After the first posttransplant year the costs of a kidney transplant patient for the health care system are <1/3 of the costs seen during dialysis treatment. Delayed graft function and previous sensitization were associated with increased costs post-transplantation.

Renal Function, Albuminuria, and the Risk of Cardiovascular Events After Kidney Transplantation

BACKGROUND

The risk of mortality and graft loss is higher in kidney transplant recipients with reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria. It is unclear whether these markers are also associated with cardiovascular events.

METHODS

We examined linked healthcare databases in Alberta, Canada to identify kidney transplant recipients between 2002 and 2013 who had at least 1 outpatient serum creatinine and albuminuria measurement at 1-year posttransplant. We determined the relationship between categories of eGFR and albuminuria and the risk of subsequent cardiovascular events.

RESULTS

Among 1069 eligible kidney transplant recipients, the median age was 52 years, 37% were female, and 52% had eGFR ≥60 mL/min per 1.73 m2. Over a median follow-up of 6 years, the adjusted rate of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events was 2.7-fold higher for recipients with eGFR 15-29 mL/min per 1.73 m2 and heavy albuminuria compared to recipients with eGFR ≥60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 and normal albuminuria (rate ratio, 2.7; 95% confidence interval, 1.3-5.7). Similarly, recipients with heavy albuminuria had a threefold increased risk of all-cause mortality and heart failure compared with recipients with eGFR ≥60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 and normal albuminuria.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that eGFR and albuminuria should be used together to determine the risk of cardiovascular outcomes in transplant recipients.

Everolimus with Reduced Calcineurin Inhibitor Exposure in Renal Transplantation

Background Everolimus permits reduced calcineurin inhibitor (CNI) exposure, but the efficacy and safety outcomes of this treatment after kidney transplant require confirmation.Methods In a multicenter noninferiority trial, we randomized 2037 de novo kidney transplant recipients to receive, in combination with induction therapy and corticosteroids, everolimus with reduced-exposure CNI (everolimus arm) or mycophenolic acid (MPA) with standard-exposure CNI (MPA arm). The primary end point was treated biopsy-proven acute rejection or eGFR<50 ml/min per 1.73 m² at post-transplant month 12 using a 10% noninferiority margin.Results In the intent-to-treat population (everolimus n=1022, MPA n=1015), the primary end point incidence was 48.2% (493) with everolimus and 45.1% (457) with MPA (difference 3.2%; 95% confidence interval, -1.3% to 7.6%). Similar between-treatment differences in incidence were observed in the subgroups of patients who received tacrolimus or cyclosporine. Treated biopsy-proven acute rejection, graft loss, or death at post-transplant month 12 occurred in 14.9% and 12.5% of patients treated with everolimus and MPA, respectively (difference 2.3%; 95% confidence interval, -1.7% to 6.4%). De novo donor-specific antibody incidence at 12 months and antibody-mediated rejection rate did not differ between arms. Cytomegalovirus (3.6% versus 13.3%) and BK virus infections (4.3% versus 8.0%) were less frequent in the everolimus arm than in the MPA arm. Overall, 23.0% and 11.9% of patients treated with everolimus and MPA, respectively, discontinued the study drug because of adverse events.Conclusions In kidney transplant recipients at mild-to-moderate immunologic risk, everolimus was noninferior to MPA for a binary composite end point assessing immunosuppressive efficacy and preservation of graft function.

Immunosuppressive therapy for kidney transplantation in adults: a systematic review and economic model

BACKGROUND

End-stage renal disease is a long-term irreversible decline in kidney function requiring renal replacement therapy: kidney transplantation, haemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis. The preferred option is kidney transplantation, followed by immunosuppressive therapy (induction and maintenance therapy) to reduce the risk of kidney rejection and prolong graft survival.

OBJECTIVES

To review and update the evidence for the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of basiliximab (BAS) (Simulect(®), Novartis Pharmaceuticals UK Ltd) and rabbit anti-human thymocyte immunoglobulin (rATG) (Thymoglobulin(®), Sanofi) as induction therapy, and immediate-release tacrolimus (TAC) (Adoport(®), Sandoz; Capexion(®), Mylan; Modigraf(®), Astellas Pharma; Perixis(®), Accord Healthcare; Prograf(®), Astellas Pharma; Tacni(®), Teva; Vivadex(®), Dexcel Pharma), prolonged-release tacrolimus (Advagraf(®) Astellas Pharma), belatacept (BEL) (Nulojix(®), Bristol-Myers Squibb), mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) (Arzip(®), Zentiva; CellCept(®), Roche Products; Myfenax(®), Teva), mycophenolate sodium (MPS) (Myfortic(®), Novartis Pharmaceuticals UK Ltd), sirolimus (SRL) (Rapamune(®), Pfizer) and everolimus (EVL) (Certican(®), Novartis) as maintenance therapy in adult renal transplantation.

METHODS

Clinical effectiveness searches were conducted until 18 November 2014 in MEDLINE (via Ovid), EMBASE (via Ovid), Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (via Wiley Online Library) and Web of Science (via ISI), Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects and Health Technology Assessment (The Cochrane Library via Wiley Online Library) and Health Management Information Consortium (via Ovid). Cost-effectiveness searches were conducted until 18 November 2014 using a costs or economic literature search filter in MEDLINE (via Ovid), EMBASE (via Ovid), NHS Economic Evaluation Database (via Wiley Online Library), Web of Science (via ISI), Health Economic Evaluations Database (via Wiley Online Library) and the American Economic Association's electronic bibliography (via EconLit, EBSCOhost). Included studies were selected according to predefined methods and criteria. A random-effects model was used to analyse clinical effectiveness data (odds ratios for binary data and mean differences for continuous data). Network meta-analyses were undertaken within a Bayesian framework. A new discrete time-state transition economic model (semi-Markov) was developed, with acute rejection, graft function (GRF) and new-onset diabetes mellitus used to extrapolate graft survival. Recipients were assumed to be in one of three health states: functioning graft, graft loss or death.

RESULTS

Eighty-nine randomised controlled trials (RCTs), of variable quality, were included. For induction therapy, no treatment appeared more effective than another in reducing graft loss or mortality. Compared with placebo/no induction, rATG and BAS appeared more effective in reducing biopsy-proven acute rejection (BPAR) and BAS appeared more effective at improving GRF. For maintenance therapy, no treatment was better for all outcomes and no treatment appeared most effective at reducing graft loss. BEL + MMF appeared more effective than TAC + MMF and SRL + MMF at reducing mortality. MMF + CSA (ciclosporin), TAC + MMF, SRL + TAC, TAC + AZA (azathioprine) and EVL + CSA appeared more effective than CSA + AZA and EVL + MPS at reducing BPAR. SRL + AZA, TAC + AZA, TAC + MMF and BEL + MMF appeared to improve GRF compared with CSA + AZA and MMF + CSA. In the base-case deterministic and probabilistic analyses, BAS, MMF and TAC were predicted to be cost-effective at £20,000 and £30,000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). When comparing all regimens, only BAS + TAC + MMF was cost-effective at £20,000 and £30,000 per QALY.

LIMITATIONS

For included trials, there was substantial methodological heterogeneity, few trials reported follow-up beyond 1 year, and there were insufficient data to perform subgroup analysis. Treatment discontinuation and switching were not modelled.

FUTURE WORK

High-quality, better-reported, longer-term RCTs are needed. Ideally, these would be sufficiently powered for subgroup analysis and include health-related quality of life as an outcome.

CONCLUSION

Only a regimen of BAS induction followed by maintenance with TAC and MMF is likely to be cost-effective at £20,000-30,000 per QALY.

STUDY REGISTRATION

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42014013189.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Clinical and Economic Consequences of Early Cancer After Kidney Transplantation in Contemporary Practice

BACKGROUND

Current clinical and economic consequences of cancer after kidney transplantation are incompletely defined.

METHODS

We examined United States Renal Data System records of Medicare-insured kidney transplant recipients in 2000 to 2011 to determine clinical and economic impacts of cancer diagnosed within the first 3 years posttransplantation. Cancer diagnoses were identified using Medicare billing codes and categorized as nonmelanoma skin cancer (NMSC), viral-linked and "other" cancers. Associations of cancers with mortality and graft loss were estimated by time-varying Cox regression. Impacts of cancer diagnoses on inpatient and outpatient costs within each year were quantified by multivariate linear regression modeling.

RESULTS

Among 67 157 recipients, by 3 years posttransplant, NMSC was diagnosed in 5.7%, viral-linked cancer in 1.9%, and "other" cancers in 6.3%. Viral-linked cancer was associated with more than 3-fold increased risk in subsequent mortality until the third transplant anniversary, and nearly twice the mortality risk after year 3. "Other" cancers had similar associations with death and graft loss, whereas NMSC was associated with 33% higher mortality beyond the third year posttransplant. Viral-linked cancer had the largest inpatient and outpatient cost impacts per case, followed by "other" cancer, whereas NMSC impacted only outpatient costs. Care of new cancer diagnoses was generally more costly than care of previously established diagnoses. Cancer accounted for 3% to 5.5% of total inpatient Medicare expenditures and 1.5% to 3.3% of outpatient expenditures in the first 3 years posttransplant.

CONCLUSIONS

Early posttransplant malignancy is an expensive and morbid condition that warrants attention in efforts to improve pretransplant screening and management protocols before and after transplant.

Factors Associated With Delayed Graft Function and Their Influence on Outcomes of Kidney Transplantation

BACKGROUND

One of the main postoperative complications of kidney transplant is delayed graft function (DGF), which means absence of graft function after transplant or the need for dialysis during the first week post procedure. The occurrence of DGF currently in our hospital is high and has been attributed to a combination of many factors. The aim of this study was to evaluate the factors associated to DGF and their influence in the outcome of kidney transplants.

METHODS

Historical cohort of 150 patients transplanted with live or deceased donor kidneys from 2011 to 2013.

RESULTS

DGF was associated to time in dialysis and the number of recipient pre-transplant transfusions, donors age, serum creatinine level, use of vasoactive drugs in the donor, distance from place of organ retrieval and transplant center, and duration of cold ischemia time. DGF influenced post-transplantation outcome in regard to length of stay in intensive care, length of hospital stay, acute rejection episodes, and higher creatinine levels at discharge. Patients and graft survival were shorter in the DGF group.

CONCLUSIONS

There are multiple factors related to DGF, the most important being those related to donors, and organ storage. The most important factor related to the recipient was the dialysis vintage. We did not find a correlation between DGF and HLA-compatibility. DGF consequences are important, including worse graft function and survival, as well as impact in recipient morbidity and mortality.

Albuminuria and posttransplant chronic kidney disease stage predict transplant outcomes

In 2012, the KDIGO guidelines updated the classification system for chronic kidney disease to include albuminuria. Whether this classification system predicts adverse clinical outcomes among kidney transplant recipients is unclear. To evaluate this, we conducted a retrospective study using linked databases in Alberta, Canada to follow kidney transplant recipients from 2002-2011. We examined the association between an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR of 60 or more, 45-59, 30-44, 15-29 mL/min/1.73 m²) and albuminuria (normal, mild, heavy) at one year post-transplant and subsequent mortality and graft loss. There were 900 recipients with a functioning graft and at least one outpatient serum creatinine and urine protein measurement at one year post-transplant. The median age was 51.2 years, 38.7% were female, and 52% had an eGFR of 60 mL/min/1.73 m² or more. The risk of all-cause mortality and death-censored graft loss was increased in recipients with reduced eGFR or heavier albuminuria. The adjusted incidence rate per 1000 person-years of all-cause mortality for recipients with an eGFR of 15-29 mL/min/1.73 m² and heavy albuminuria vs. an eGFR 60 mL/min/1.73 m² or more and normal protein excretion was 117 (95% confidence interval 38-371) vs. 15 (9-23) (rate ratio 8). Corresponding rates for death-censored graft loss were 273 (88-1203) vs. 6 (3-9) (rate ratio 49). Reduced eGFR and heavier albuminuria in kidney transplant recipients are associated with an increased risk of mortality and graft loss. Thus, eGFR and albuminuria may be used together to identify, evaluate, and manage transplant recipients who are at higher risk of adverse clinical outcomes.

The Changing Financial Landscape of Renal Transplant Practice: A National Cohort Analysis

Kidney transplantation has become more resource intensive as recipient complexity has increased and average donor quality has diminished over time. A national retrospective cohort study was performed to assess the impact of kidney donor and recipient characteristics on transplant center cost (exclusive of organ acquisition) and Medicare reimbursement. Data from the national transplant registry, University HealthSystem Consortium hospital costs, and Medicare payments for deceased donor (N = 53 862) and living donor (N = 36 715) transplants from 2002 to 2013 were linked and analyzed using multivariate linear regression modeling. Deceased donor kidney transplant costs were correlated with recipient (Expected Post Transplant Survival Score, degree of allosensitization, obesity, cause of renal failure), donor (age, cause of death, donation after cardiac death, terminal creatinine), and transplant (histocompatibility matching) characteristics. Living donor costs rose sharply with higher degrees of allosensitization, and were also associated with obesity, cause of renal failure, recipient work status, and 0-ABDR mismatching. Analysis of Medicare payments for a subsample of 24 809 transplants demonstrated minimal correlation with patient and donor characteristics. In conclusion, the complexity in the landscape of kidney transplantation increases center costs, posing financial disincentives that may reduce organ utilization and limit access for higher-risk populations.

Differential Characteristics of Kidney Transplant Recipients According to 1-Year Chronic Kidney Disease Stage 3a and Stage 3b Graft Function

The outcomes of transplantation have improved, but more than 50% of kidney transplantation (KT) recipients are still reported to have renal function of chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 3 at 1 year after KT. We reviewed all 1235 patients who received a KT in our institution between 2008 and 2012. Among these recipients, 77 and 289 cases were included in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at 1 year after KT 30-44 (CKD stage 3b) group and eGFR 45-59 (CKD stage 3a) group, respectively. Longer duration of dialysis (odds ratio [OR] = 1.007, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.000-1.014, P = 0.047), older donors (OR = 1.064, 95% CI, 1.031-1.098, P < 0.001), delayed graft function (OR = 3.601, 95% CI, 1.031-1.098, P < 0.001), BK virus infection (OR = 2.567, 95% CI, 1.242-5.305, P = 0.011), and pneumonia (OR = 4.451, 95% CI, 1.388-14.279, P = 0.012) were contributing factors to eGFR 30-44 mL/min. Especially, ureteral stricture occurred more frequently in eGFR 30-44 group of deceased donor KT. However, acute rejection was not a significant risk factor of lower eGFR. Graft survival was better in the eGFR 45-59 group. However, this difference was smaller in deceased donor KT. Infections and urologic complications are also important contributing factors of lower graft function in CKD stage 3. In addition, dividing CKD stage 3 into subgroups might be more useful in living donor kidney transplantation.

Dual antiplatelet and anticoagulant APAC prevents experimental ischemia-reperfusion-induced acute kidney injury

BACKGROUND

Renal ischemia-reperfusion predisposes to acute kidney injury (AKI) and mortality. APAC, mast cell heparin proteoglycan mimetic is a potent dual antiplatelet and anticoagulant inhibiting thrombosis in several vascular models.

METHODS

Clinically relevant (0.06 and 0.13 mg/kg) and high (0.32 and 7.3 mg/kg) heparin doses of APAC and unfractionated heparin (UFH) were administered i.v. in pharmacological studies. Antithrombotic action of APAC and UFH was assessed with platelet aggregation to collagen, activated partial thromboplastin (APTT) and prothrombin (PT) times. Pharmacodynamics of [⁶⁴Cu]-APAC or -UFH were monitored by PET/CT. Next, APAC and UFH doses (0.06 and 0.13 mg/kg) were i.v. administered 10 min prior to renal ischemia-reperfusion injury (IRI) in rats.

RESULTS

APAC in contrast to UFH inhibited platelet aggregation. During 0.06 and 0.13 mg/kg dose regimens APTT and PT remained at baseline, but at the high APTT prolonged fourfold to sixfold. Overall bio-distribution and clearance of APAC and UFH were similar. After bilateral 30-min renal artery clamping, creatinine, urea nitrogen and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin concentrations and histopathology indicated faster renal recovery by APAC (0.13 mg/kg). APAC, unlike UFH, prevented expression of innate immune ligand hyaluronan and tubulointerstitial injury marker Kim-1. Moreover, in severe bilateral 1-h renal artery clamping, APAC (0.13 mg/kg) prevented AKI, as demonstrated both by biomarkers and survival. Compatible with kidney protection APAC reduced the circulating levels of vascular destabilizing and pro-inflammatory angiopoietin-2 and syndecan-1. No tissue bleeding ensued.

CONCLUSION

APAC and UFH were similarly eliminated via kidneys and liver. In contrast to UFH, APAC (0.13 mg/kg) was reno-protective in moderate and even severe IRI by attenuating vascular injury and innate immune activation.

High mortality in diabetic recipients of high KDPI deceased donor kidneys

BACKGROUND

Deceased donor (DD) kidney quality is determined by calculating the Kidney Donor Profile Index (KDPI). Optimizing high KDPI (≥85%) DD transplant outcome is challenging. This retrospective study was performed to review our high KDPI DD transplant results to identify clinical practices that can improve future outcomes.

METHODS

We retrospectively calculated the KDPI for 895 DD kidney recipients transplanted between 1/2002 and 11/2013. Age, race, body mass index (BMI), retransplantation, gender, diabetes (DM), dialysis time, and preexisting coronary artery disease (CAD) (previous myocardial infarction (MI), coronary artery bypass (CABG), or stenting) were determined for all recipients.

RESULTS

About 29.7% (266/895) of transplants were from donors with a KDPI ≥85%. By Cox regression older age, diabetes, female gender, and dialysis time >4 years correlated with shorter patient survival time. Diabetics with CAD who received a high KDPI donor kidney had a significantly increased risk of death (HR 4.33 (CI 1.82-10.30), P=.001) compared to low KDPI kidney recipients. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve for diabetic recipients of high KDPI kidneys was significantly worse if they had preexisting CAD (P<.001 by log-rank test).

CONCLUSION

Patient survival using high KDPI donor kidneys may be improved by avoiding diabetic candidates with preexisting CAD.

Economic Impacts of ABO-Incompatible Live Donor Kidney Transplantation: A National Study of Medicare-Insured Recipients

The infrequent use of ABO-incompatible (ABOi) kidney transplantation in the United States may reflect concern about the costs of necessary preconditioning and posttransplant care. Medicare data for 26 500 live donor kidney transplant recipients (2000 to March 2011), including 271 ABOi and 62 A2-incompatible (A2i) recipients, were analyzed to assess the impact of pretransplant, transplant episode and 3-year posttransplant costs. The marginal costs of ABOi and A2i versus ABO-compatible (ABOc) transplants were quantified by multivariate linear regression including adjustment for recipient, donor and transplant factors. Compared with ABOc transplantation, patient survival (93.2% vs. 88.15%, p = 0.0009) and death-censored graft survival (85.4% vs. 76.1%, p < 0.05) at 3 years were lower after ABOi transplant. The average overall cost of the transplant episode was significantly higher for ABOi ($65 080) compared with A2i ($36 752) and ABOc ($32 039) transplantation (p < 0.001), excluding organ acquisition. ABOi transplant was associated with high adjusted posttransplant spending (marginal costs compared to ABOc - year 1: $25 044; year 2: $10 496; year 3: $7307; p < 0.01). ABOi transplantation provides a clinically effective method to expand access to transplantation. Although more expensive, the modest increases in total spending are easily justified by avoiding long-term dialysis and its associated morbidity and cost.

Clinical and economic consequences of first-year urinary tract infections, sepsis, and pneumonia in contemporary kidney transplantation practice

We examined United States Renal Data System registry records for Medicare-insured kidney transplant recipients in 2000-2011 to study the clinical and cost impacts of urinary tract infections (UTI), pneumonia, and sepsis in the first year post-transplant among a contemporary, national cohort. Infections were identified by billing diagnostic codes. Among 60 702 recipients, 45% experienced at least one study infection in the first year post-transplant, including UTI in 32%, pneumonia in 13%, and sepsis in 12%. Older recipient age, female sex, diabetic kidney failure, nonstandard criteria organs, sirolimus-based immunosuppression, and steroids at discharge were associated with increased risk of first-year infections. By time-varying, multivariate Cox regression, all study infections predicted increased first-year mortality, ranging from 41% (aHR 1.41, 95% CI 1.25-1.56) for UTI alone, 6- to 12-fold risk for pneumonia or sepsis alone, to 34-fold risk (aHR 34.38, 95% CI 30.35-38.95) for those with all three infections. Infections also significantly increased first-year costs, from $17 691 (standard error (SE) $591) marginal cost increase for UTI alone, to approximately $40 000-$50 000 (SE $1054-1238) for pneumonia or sepsis alone, to $134 773 (SE $1876) for those with UTI, pneumonia, and sepsis. Clinical and economic impacts persisted in years 2-3 post-transplant. Early infections reflect important targets for management protocols to improve post-transplant outcomes and reduce costs of care.

Post-renal transplantation anemia at 12 months: prevalence, risk factors, and impact on clinical outcomes

PURPOSE

To investigate any association between post-transplantation anemia (PTA) and clinical outcomes following living donor kidney transplantation.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated 887 patients who received living donor kidney transplantations at our medical center between January 2006 and December 2012 to evaluate whether PTA, defined as serum hemoglobin (Hb) levels of <130 g/l in men and <120 g/l in women, at 12 months is associated with post-transplant outcomes, including graft function, death-censored graft survival, or patient survival.

RESULTS

The prevalence of PTA at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months was 84.3, 39.5, 26.2, and 21.6 %, respectively. Donor age [hazard ratio (HR), 1.03; 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.05] and acute rejection (HR 2.13; 95 % CI 1.28-3.54) were found to be independent risk factors for PTA at 12 months. Recipient age (HR 0.98; 95 % CI 0.95-1.00), pre-transplantation Hb levels (HR 0.99; 95 % CI 0.98-1.00), and estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs) at 12 months (HR 0.96; 95 % CI 0.94-0.97) were found to confer slight protection against PTA at 12 months. PTA at 12 months was associated with increased graft loss (HR 1.046; 95 % CI 1.045-1.046). For each increase in anemia degree, there was a 2.77-fold greater risk of graft loss (HR 2.77; 95 % CI 1.50-5.13). When stratified according to eGFR, PTA was found to be a predictor of graft loss in patients with an eGFR of <60 ml/min/1.73 m(2) (HR 4.57; 95 % CI 1.98-10.56) but not in patients with an eGFR of >60 ml/min/1.73 m(2) (HR 1.89; 95 % CI 0.13-27.78). PTA was not found to be a predictor of patient survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Anemia is common after kidney transplantation, and its prevalence declines with time after transplantation. Presence of anemia at 12 months post-transplant was an independent predictor of graft loss, with higher risk of graft loss in patients with anemia and poorer kidney functions.

The economic burden of posttransplant events in renal transplant recipients in Europe

BACKGROUND

This study aims to describe the healthcare resource utilization and costs of managing renal posttransplant patients over 3 years posttransplant in nine European countries and to stratify them by year 1 glomerular filtration rate (GFR).

METHODS

A retrospective observational and database analysis of renal transplant patients and a physician questionnaire study were conducted to collect recipient and donor characteristics, posttransplant events, and healthcare resource utilization related to these posttransplant events. In each country, local published costs were applied to the resource use identified. The results were stratified by the patient GFR reading at a time point 1 year after renal transplant.

RESULTS

The database study identified 3,181 patients who met the inclusion criteria, along with 2,818 transplants carried out in the centers surveyed by questionnaire. Total 3-year costs derived from the questionnaire analysis vary depending on local treatment practices, from a minimum of &OV0556;33,602 per patient in the Czech Republic to &OV0556;77,461 per patient in the Netherlands. Consistently across countries, estimated costs appear to decrease with improved graft functioning status (increased GFR) at 1 year. The average 3-year costs, discounting immunosuppression therapy and certain posttransplant events, per patient with a GFR greater than or equal to 60 at 1 year are estimated to be around 35% lower than those with 15≤GFR<30.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates that in Europe, worsening posttransplant renal function may contribute to substantive increases in resource use, with some variation across regions. Therefore, management strategies that promote renal function after transplantation have the potential to provide important resource savings.

Do we need a different organ allocation system for kidney transplants using donors after circulatory death?

BACKGROUND

There is no national policy for allocation of kidneys from Donation after circulatory death (DCD) donors in the UK. Allocation is geographical and based on individual/regional centre policies. We have evaluated the short term outcomes of paired kidneys from DCD donors subject to this allocation policy.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of paired renal transplants from DCD's from 2002 to 2010 in London. Cold ischemia time (CIT), recipient risk factors, delayed graft function (DGF), 3 and 12 month creatinine) were compared.

RESULTS

Complete data was available on 129 paired kidneys.115 pairs were transplanted in the same centre and 14 pairs transplanted in different centres. There was a significant increase in CIT in kidneys transplanted second when both kidneys were accepted by the same centre (15.5 ± 4.1 vs 20.5 ± 5.8 hrs p<0.0001 and at different centres (15.8 ± 5.3 vs. 25.2 ± 5.5 hrs p=0.0008). DGF rates were increased in the second implant following sequential transplantation (p=0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Paired study sequential transplantation of kidneys from DCD donors results in a significant increase in CIT for the second kidney, with an increased risk of DGF. Sequential transplantation from a DCD donor should be avoided either by the availability of resources to undertake simultaneous procedures or the allocation of kidneys to 2 separate centres.

Projecting long-term graft and patient survival after transplantation

OBJECTIVE

In spite of increases in short-term kidney transplant survival rates and reductions in acute rejection rates, increasing long-term graft survival rates remains a major challenge. The objective here was to project long-term graft- and survival-related outcomes occurring among renal transplant recipients based on short-term outcomes including acute rejection and estimated glomerular filtration rates observed in randomized trials.

METHODS

We developed a two-phase decision model including a trial phase and a Markov state transition phase to project long-term outcomes over the lifetimes of hypothetical renal graft recipients who survived the trial period with a functioning graft. Health states included functioning graft stratified by level of renal function, failed graft, functioning regraft, and death. Transitions between health states were predicted using statistical models that accounted for renal function, acute rejection, and new-onset diabetes after transplant and for donor and recipient predictors of long-term graft and patient survival. Models were estimated using data from 38,015 renal transplant recipients from the United States Renal Data System. The model was populated with data from a 3-year, randomized phase III trial comparing belatacept to cyclosporine.

RESULTS

The decision model was well calibrated with data from the United States Renal Data System. Long-term extrapolation of Belatacept Evaluation of Nephroprotection and Efficacy as Firstline Immunosuppression Trial was projected to yield a 1.9-year increase in time alive with a functioning graft and a 1.2 life-year increase over a 20-year time horizon.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first long-term follow-up model of renal transplant patients to be based on renal function, acute rejection, and new-onset diabetes. It is a useful tool for undertaking comparative effectiveness and cost-effectiveness studies of immunosuppressive medications.

Influence of renal function on long-term graft survival and patient survival in renal transplant recipients

OBJECTIVES

Renal function post kidney transplantation is an outcome of interest for both clinicians and regulators evaluating immunosuppressive treatments post-transplantation. The current review sought to provide a synopsis of currently available literature examining the relationship between post-transplantation renal function and long-term graft survival and patient survival.

METHODS

A systematic literature review was performed using the PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane Library databases. The search strategy was designed based on high level Medical Subject Heading (MeSH) terms and designed to capture studies published in English to 2012 and identified a total of 2683 unique hits; for inclusion studies were required to have >100 patients. Following two rounds of screening, a total of 27 studies were included in the final review (26 of which were identified via the literature review and one study was identified via searches of the reference sections of included studies).

RESULTS

The consensus among studies was that lower post-transplantation GFR, in particular 12 month GFR, was consistently and significantly associated with an increased risk for overall graft loss, death-censored graft loss and all-cause mortality in both univariate and multivariate analyses. The magnitude of the association between reduced GFR and outcomes was greater for death-censored graft loss versus overall graft loss and for graft loss in comparison with overall patient mortality. The predictive utility of GFR alone in predicting long-term outcomes was reported to be limited.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower GFR and greater rates of decline in GFR post-transplantation are associated with an increased risk for graft loss (overall and death-censored) and all-cause mortality; however, the predictive utility of GFR alone in predicting long-term outcomes is limited.

Long-term belatacept exposure maintains efficacy and safety at 5 years: results from the long-term extension of the BENEFIT study

The Belatacept Evaluation of Nephroprotection and Efficacy as First-line Immunosuppression Trial randomized patients receiving a living or standard criteria deceased donor kidney transplant to a more (MI) or less intensive (LI) regimen of belatacept or cyclosporine A (CsA). The 5-year results of the long-term extension (LTE) cohort are reported. A total of 456 (68.5% of intent-to-treat) patients entered the LTE at 36 months; 406 patients (89%) completed 60 months. Between Months 36 and 60, death occurred in 2%, 1% and 5% of belatacept MI, belatacept LI and CsA patients, respectively; graft loss occurred in 0% belatacept and 2% of CsA patients. Acute rejection between Months 36 and 60 was rare: zero belatacept MI, one belatacept LI and one CsA. Rates for infections and malignancies for Months 36-60 were generally similar across belatacept groups and CsA, respectively: fungal infections (14%, 15%, 12%), viral infections (21%, 18%, 16%) and malignancies (6%, 6%, 9%). No new posttransplant lymphoproliferative disorder cases occurred after 36 months. Mean calculated GFR (MDRD, mL/min/1.73 m(2) ) at Month 60 was 74 for belatacept MI, 76 for belatacept LI and 53 for CsA. These results show that the renal function benefit and safety profile observed in belatacept-treated patients in the early posttransplant period was sustained through 5 years.

Long-term exposure to belatacept in recipients of extended criteria donor kidneys

Patients in the BENEFIT-EXT study received extended criteria donor kidneys and a more intensive (MI) or less intensive (LI) belatacept immunosuppression regimen, or cyclosporine A (CsA). Patients who remained on assigned therapy through year 3 were eligible to enter a long-term extension (LTE) study. Three hundred four patients entered the LTE (n = 104 MI; n = 113 LI; n = 87 CsA), and 260 continued treatment through year 5 (n = 91 MI; n = 100 LI; n = 69 CsA). Twenty patients died during the LTE (n = 5 MI; n = 9 LI; n = 6 CsA), and eight experienced graft loss (n = 2 MI; n = 1 LI; n = 5 CsA). Three patients experienced an acute rejection episode (n = 2 MI; n = 1 LI). The incidence rate of serious adverse events, viral infections and fungal infections was similar across groups during the LTE. There were four cases of posttransplant lymphoproliferative disorder (PTLD) from the beginning of the LTE to year 5 (n = 3 LI; n = 1 CsA); two of three PTLD cases in the LI group were in patients who were seronegative for Epstein-Barr virus (EBV(-)) at transplantation. Mean ± SD calculated GFR at year 5 was 55.9 ± 17.5 (MI), 59.0 ± 29.1 (LI) and 44.6 ± 16.4 (CsA) mL/min/1.73 m(2) . Continued treatment with belatacept was associated with a consistent safety profile and sustained improvement in renal function versus CsA over time.

Clinical correlates, outcomes and healthcare costs associated with early mechanical ventilation after kidney transplantation

BACKGROUND

Information is lacking on the frequency, clinical implications, and costs of respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation after kidney transplantation.

METHODS

U.S. Renal Data System records for Medicare-insured kidney transplant recipients (1995 to 2007; n = 88,392) were examined to identify post-transplantation mechanical ventilation from billing claims within 30 days after transplantation.

RESULTS

Post-transplantation mechanical ventilation was required among 2.1% of the cohort. Independent correlates of early mechanical ventilation included recipient age, low body mass index, coronary artery disease, and cerebrovascular disease. Post-transplantation mechanical ventilation was twice as likely with delayed graft function (adjusted odds ratio, 2.13; P < .001) and 35% lower among recipients of living versus deceased donor allografts. Patients needing early mechanical ventilation experienced 5-fold higher 1-year mortality, as well as significantly higher Medicare costs during the transplant hospitalization and first post-transplantation year.

CONCLUSIONS

Recognition of patients at risk for post-transplantation respiratory failure may help direct protocols for reducing the incidence and consequences of this complication.

Electronic health records: a new tool to combat chronic kidney disease?

Electronic health records (EHRs) were first developed in the 1960s as clinical information systems for document storage and retrieval. Adoption of EHRs has increased in the developed world and is increasing in developing countries. Studies have shown that quality of patient care is improved among health centers with EHRs. In this article, we review the structure and function of EHRs along with an examination of its potential application in CKD care and research. Well-designed patient registries using EHRs data allow for improved aggregation of patient data for quality improvement and to facilitate clinical research. Preliminary data from the United States and other countries have demonstrated that CKD care might improve with use of EHRs-based programs. We recently developed a CKD registry derived from EHRs data at our institution and complimented the registry with other patient details from the United States Renal Data System and the Social Security Death Index. This registry allows us to conduct a EHRs-based clinical trial that examines whether empowering patients with a personal health record or patient navigators improves CKD care, along with identifying participants for other clinical trials and conducting health services research. EHRs use have shown promising results in some settings, but not in others, perhaps attributed to the differences in EHRs adoption rates and varying functionality. Thus, future studies should explore the optimal methods of using EHRs to improve CKD care and research at the individual patient level, health system and population levels.

Economic and financial outcomes in transplantation: whose dime is it anyway?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Organ transplant is a resource-intensive service that has been subjected to increasing scrutiny in this era of cost containment. A detailed understanding of the economic (societal) and financial (transplant provider) implications of organ quality, recipient characteristics, and allocation policy is vital for the transplant professionals.

RECENT FINDINGS

Prior studies of kidney transplant economics demonstrate significant cost savings achieved by eliminating the need for long-term dialysis. However, transplant providers are experiencing higher financial costs because of changes in recipient characteristics and broader use of marginal organs. Liver transplantation economics are also more challenging because of the severity of illness-based organ allocation. Furthermore, the use of more allografts recovered from donors after cardiac death has been demonstrated to increase costs with minimal benefits. Finally, successful long-term mechanical support devices have fundamentally changed the economic implications of advanced heart failure care.

SUMMARY

Although care for end-stage organ failure through transplant is one of the landmark accomplishments of 20th century medicine, maintaining or expanding access to transplant care is threatened by the high cost of care. Novel strategies are vital to reduce the financial burden faced by the centers that transplant high-risk patients and utilize lower quality organs.

Rate of renal graft function decline after one year is a strong predictor of all-cause mortality

The slope of GFR associates with an increased risk for death in patients with native CKD but whether a similar association exists in kidney transplantation is not known. We studied an inception cohort of 488 kidney transplant recipients (mean follow-up of 12 ± 4 years) for whom GFR was longitudinally measured by inulin clearance (mGFR) at 1 year and then every 5 years. Association of mGFR at 1 year posttransplant and GFR slope after the first year with all-cause mortality was studied with a Cox regression model and a Fine and Gray competing risk model. While in Crude analysis, the mGFR value at 1 year posttransplant and the rate of mGFR decline were both associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality, only the slope of mGFR remained a significant and strong predictor of death in multivariate analysis. Factors independently associated with a more rapid mGFR decline were feminine gender, higher HLA mismatch, retransplantation, longer duration of transplantation, CMV infection during the first year and higher rate of proteinuria. Our data suggest that the rate of renal graft function decline after 1 year is a strong predictor of all-cause mortality in kidney transplantation.

Cystatin C and albuminuria as predictors of long-term allograft outcomes in kidney transplant recipients

Although cystatin C (Cys) and albuminuria (Alb) are predictors of end-stage renal disease in the general population, there are limited data about the performance of these markers alone or combined with respect to the prediction of the kidney transplant outcome. We assessed the ability of one-yr creatinine (Cr), MDRD equation, Cys, Hoek equation, Alb, the logarithm of albuminuria (LogAlb), and two products of these variables for predicting death-censored graft loss (DCGL) in 127 kidney transplant recipients. Mean follow-up time was 5.6 ± 1.7 yr. During this time, 18 patients developed DCGL. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for DCGL ranged from 71.1% to 85.4%, with Cys*LogAlb being the best predictor. Cys-based variables and variables combining LogAlb and renal function estimates have better discrimination ability than Cr-based variables alone. After multivariate analysis, quartiles of all one-yr variables (except of Cr and MDRD) were independent predictors for DCGL. Predictors combining Alb and a Cr- or Cys-based estimate of renal function performed better than those markers alone to predict DCGL. Cys-based predictors performed better than Cr-based predictors. Using a double-marker in kidney transplantation, it is possible to identify the highest risk group in which to prioritize specialty care.

The cost implications of first anniversary renal function after living, standard criteria deceased and expanded criteria deceased donor kidney transplantation

OBJECTIVES

To quantify relationships of post-transplant renal function with healthcare costs after kidney transplantation.

METHODS

Clinical and billing records for Medicare-insured kidney transplant recipients (1995-2003) were drawn from the US Renal Data System. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at 1-year post-transplant was computed with the abbreviated Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equation. Associations of eGFR with total Medicare payments in the second and third post-transplant years were examined by multivariate non-linear regression with spline forms. Adjustment covariates were drawn from the survival prediction model developed by the UNOS Kidney Allocation Review Committee.

RESULTS

The sample comprised 7103 living donor (LD), 22,110 standard criteria deceased (SCD), and 2594 expanded criteria deceased (ECD) donor transplant recipients. Regardless of donor type, lower 1-year eGFR was associated with significantly increased expenditures during the second and the third years post-transplant. Marginal costs began to increase as eGFR fell below 45 mL/min/1.73 m(2) and rose in an accelerating manner. Compared to a reference eGFR of 75 mL/min/1.73 m(2), 1-year eGFR of 20 ml/min/1.73 m(2) in SCD recipients was associated with ∼$17,500 and $18,200 higher adjusted payments in the second and third post-transplant years, respectively. Patterns were similar among recipients of LD and ECD transplants.

LIMITATIONS

The study sample was limited to Medicare beneficiaries who survived with allograft function to the first transplant anniversary, which may limit generalizability of the findings. eGFR is a surrogate measure of renal function. The design is retrospective and changes in post-transplant management may alter long-term cost implication of renal function.

CONCLUSIONS

Decreased renal function is significantly associated with higher healthcare expenditures following kidney transplantation. Post-transplant eGFR may be a useful metric for discriminating the economic impact of care strategies that differentially affect renal function.

[Special considerations in generic substitution of immunosuppressive drugs in transplantation]

Long-term success in solid organ transplantation strongly depends on the optimal use of maintenance immunosuppressive treatment. Cyclosporin and tacrolimus are the most frequently administered immunosuppressants and they are designed to narrow therapeutic index drugs. The substitution of the branded formulation by their generic counterparts may lead to economic benefit only if equivalent clinical outcomes can be achieved. There is no published evidence to date on the guarantee of their long-term therapeutic equivalence and cases of therapeutic failures have been reported due to inadvertent drug conversion. The disadvantageous clinical consequences of a non medical, mechanistic forced switch from the original to generic formulation of tacrolimus and the estimated loss of the payer's presumed savings are presented in a kidney transplant recipient population. Special problems related to pediatric patients, drug interactions with concurrent medications and the burden of additional therapeutic drug monitoring and follow up visits are also discussed. The authors are convinced that the implementation of the European Society of Organ Transplantation guidelines on generic substitution may provide a safe way for patients and healthcare payers.

Three-year outcomes from BENEFIT-EXT: a phase III study of belatacept versus cyclosporine in recipients of extended criteria donor kidneys

Recipients of extended-criteria donor (ECD) kidneys have poorer long-term outcomes compared to standard-criteria donor kidney recipients. We report 3-year outcomes from a randomized, phase III study in recipients of de novo ECD kidneys (n = 543) assigned (1:1:1) to either a more intensive (MI) or less intensive (LI) belatacept regimen, or cyclosporine. Three hundred twenty-three patients completed treatment by year 3. Patient survival with a functioning graft was comparable between groups (80% in MI, 82% in LI, 80% in cyclosporine). Mean calculated GFR (cGFR) was 11 mL/min higher in belatacept-treated versus cyclosporine-treated patients (42.7 in MI, 42.2 in LI, 31.5 mL/min in cyclosporine). More cyclosporine-treated patients (44%) progressed to GFR <30 mL/min (chronic kidney disease [CKD] stage 4/5) than belatacept-treated patients (27-30%). Acute rejection rates were similar between groups. Posttransplant lymphoproliferative disorder (PTLD) occurrence was higher in belatacept-treated patients (two in MI, three in LI), most of which occurred during the first 18 months; four additional cases (3 in LI, 1 in cyclosporine) occurred after 3 years. Tuberculosis was reported in two MI, four LI and no cyclosporine patients. In conclusion, at 3 years after transplantation, immunosuppression with belatacept resulted in similar patient survival, graft survival and acute rejection, with better renal function compared with cyclosporine. As previously reported, PTLD and tuberculosis were the principal safety findings associated with belatacept in this study population.