The impact of direct-acting antiviral agents on liver and kidney transplant costs and outcomes

Direct-acting antiviral medications (DAAs) have revolutionized care for hepatitis C positive (HCV+) liver (LT) and kidney (KT) transplant recipients. Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients registry data were integrated with national pharmaceutical claims (2007-2016) to identify HCV treatments before January 2014 (pre-DAA) and after (post-DAA), stratified by donor (D) and recipient (R) serostatus and payer. Pre-DAA, 18% of HCV+ LT recipients were treated within 3 years and without differences by donor serostatus or payer. Post-DAA, only 6% of D-/R+ recipients, 19.8% of D+/R+ recipients with public insurance, and 11.3% with private insurance were treated within 3 years (P < .0001). LT recipients treated for HCV pre-DAA experienced higher rates of graft loss (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] _1.34 1.85_2.10 , P < .0001) and death (aHR _1.47 1.68_1.91 , P < .0001). Post-DAA, HCV treatment was not associated with death (aHR _0.34 0.67_1.32 , P = .25) or graft failure (aHR _0.32 0.64_1.26 , P = .20) in D+R+ LT recipients. Treatment increased in D+R+ KT recipients (5.5% pre-DAA vs 12.9% post-DAA), but did not differ by payer status. DAAs reduced the risk of death after D+/R+ KT by 57% (_0.19 0.43_0.95 , P = .04) and graft loss by 46% (_0.27 0.54_1.07 , P = .08). HCV treatment with DAAs appears to improve HCV+ LT and KT outcomes; however, access to these medications appears limited in both LT and KT recipients.

Metformin use in the first year after kidney transplant, correlates, and associated outcomes in diabetic transplant recipients: A retrospective analysis of integrated registry and pharmacy claims data

While guidelines support metformin as a therapeutic option for diabetic patients with mild-to-moderate renal insufficiency, the frequency and outcomes of metformin use in kidney transplant recipients are not well described. We integrated national U.S. transplant registry data with records from a large pharmaceutical claims clearinghouse (2008-2015). Associations (adjusted hazard ratio, 95% LCL aHR95% UCL ) of diabetes regimens (with and excluding metformin) in the first year post-transplant with patient and graft survival over the subsequent year were quantified by multivariate Cox regression, adjusted for recipient, donor, and transplant factors and propensity for metformin use. Among 14 144 recipients with pretransplant type 2 diabetes mellitus, 4.7% filled metformin in the first year post-transplant; most also received diabetes comedications. Compared to those who received insulin-based regimens without metformin, patients who received metformin were more likely to be female, have higher estimated glomerular filtration rates, and have undergone transplant more recently. Metformin-based regimens were associated with significantly lower adjusted all-cause (aHR 0.18 0.410.91 ), malignancy-related (aHR 0.45 0.450.99 ), and infection-related (aHR 0.12 0.320.85 ) mortality, and nonsignificant trends toward lower cardiovascular mortality, graft failure, and acute rejection. No evidence of increased adverse graft or patient outcomes was noted. Use of metformin-based diabetes treatment regimens may be safe in carefully selected kidney transplant recipients.

OPTN/SRTR 2016 Annual Data Report: Economics

Medicare costs vary for solid organ transplant recipients by outcome: survival with graft function, survival with graft failure, and death. Average per-person per-year reimbursement was $75 thousand for kidney recipients who survived the first year posttransplant with a functioning graft, $171 thousand for those who required a return to dialysis or retransplant, and $350 thousand for those who died with function. For pancreas recipients: $105 thousand for those who survived the first year with a functioning graft, $120 thousand for those who survived pancreas failure, and $443 thousand for those who died with function. For liver recipients: $154 thousand for those who survived with a functioning graft, $388 thousand for those who required retransplant, and $740 thousand who died with function. For intestine recipients: $301 thousand for those who survived with a functioning graft and $1 million for those who died with function. For heart recipients: $272 thousand for those who survived with a functioning graft and $1.2 million for those who died with function. For lung recipients: $196 thousand for those who survived with a functioning graft, $642 thousand for those who required retransplant, and $761 thousand for those who died with function.

The Incremental Cost of Incompatible Living Donor Kidney Transplantation: A National Cohort Analysis

Incompatible living donor kidney transplantation (ILDKT) has been established as an effective option for end-stage renal disease patients with willing but HLA-incompatible living donors, reducing mortality and improving quality of life. Depending on antibody titer, ILDKT can require highly resource-intensive procedures, including intravenous immunoglobulin, plasma exchange, and/or cell-depleting antibody treatment, as well as protocol biopsies and donor-specific antibody testing. This study sought to compare the cost and Medicare reimbursement, exclusive of organ acquisition payment, for ILDKT (n = 926) with varying antibody titers to matched compatible transplants (n = 2762) performed between 2002 and 2011. Data were assembled from a national cohort study of ILDKT and a unique data set linking hospital cost accounting data and Medicare claims. ILDKT was more expensive than matched compatible transplantation, ranging from 20% higher adjusted costs for positive on Luminex assay but negative flow cytometric crossmatch, 26% higher for positive flow cytometric crossmatch but negative cytotoxic crossmatch, and 39% higher for positive cytotoxic crossmatch (p < 0.0001 for all). ILDKT was associated with longer median length of stay (12.9 vs. 7.8 days), higher Medicare payments ($91 330 vs. $63 782 p < 0.0001), and greater outlier payments. In conclusion, ILDKT increases the cost of and payments for kidney transplantation.

Predonation Prescription Opioid Use: A Novel Risk Factor for Readmission After Living Kidney Donation

Implications of opioid use in living kidney donors for key outcomes, including readmission rates after nephrectomy, are unknown. We integrated Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data with records from a nationwide pharmacy claims warehouse and administrative records from an academic hospital consortium to quantify predonation prescription opioid use and postdonation readmission events. Associations of predonation opioid use (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]) in the year before donation and other baseline clinical, procedural, and center factors with readmission within 90 days postdonation were examined by using multivariate logistic regression. Among 14 959 living donors, 11.3% filled one or more opioid prescriptions in the year before donation. Donors with the highest level of predonation opioid use (>305 mg/year) were more than twice as likely as nonusers to be readmitted (6.8% vs. 2.6%; aOR 2.49, 95% confidence interval 1.74-3.58). Adjusted readmission risk was also significantly (p < 0.05) higher for women (aOR = 1.25), African Americans (aOR = 1.45), spouses (aOR = 1.42), exchange participants (aOR = 1.46), uninsured donors (aOR = 1.40), donors with predonation estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m² (aOR = 2.68), donors with predonation pulmonary conditions (aOR = 1.54), and after robotic nephrectomy (aOR = 1.68). Predonation opioid use is independently associated with readmission after donor nephrectomy. Future research should examine underlying mechanisms and approaches to reducing risks of postdonation complications.

OPTN/SRTR 2015 Annual Data Report: Economics

While the costs to Medicare of solid organ transplants are varied and considerable, the total Medicare expenditure of $4.4 billion for solid organ transplant recipients in 2014 remained less than 1% of all Medicare expenditures. For patients covered by Medicare, the ratio of pre- to posttransplant cost of care varied widely by organ and within some organ categories by patient characteristics. This chapter reports pretransplant costs for all solid organ candidates covered by Medicare to allow investigators to further explore the relative cost of transplant compared with alternative management.

Perioperative Complications After Living Kidney Donation: A National Study

We integrated the US transplant registry with administrative records from an academic hospital consortium (97 centers, 2008-2012) to identify predonation comorbidity and perioperative complications captured in diagnostic, procedure, and registry sources. Correlates (adjusted odds ratio, aOR) of perioperative complications were examined with multivariate logistic regression. Among 14 964 living kidney donors, 11.6% were African American. Nephrectomies were predominantly laparoscopic (93.8%); 2.4% were robotic and 3.7% were planned open procedures. Overall, 16.8% of donors experienced a perioperative complication, most commonly gastrointestinal (4.4%), bleeding (3.0%), respiratory (2.5%), surgical/anesthesia-related injuries (2.4%), and "other" complications (6.6%). Major Clavien Classification of Surgical Complications grade IV or higher affected 2.5% of donors. After adjustment for demographic, clinical (including comorbidities), procedure, and center factors, African Americans had increased risk of any complication (aOR 1.26, p = 0.001) and of Clavien grade II or higher (aOR 1.39, p = 0.0002), grade III or higher (aOR 1.56, p < 0.0001), and grade IV or higher (aOR 1.56, p = 0.004) events. Other significant correlates of Clavien grade IV or higher events included obesity (aOR 1.55, p = 0.0005), predonation hematologic (aOR 2.78, p = 0.0002) and psychiatric (aOR 1.45, p = 0.04) conditions, and robotic nephrectomy (aOR 2.07, p = 0.002), while annual center volume >50 (aOR 0.55, p < 0.0001) was associated with lower risk. Complications after live donor nephrectomy vary with baseline demographic, clinical, procedure, and center factors, but the most serious complications are infrequent. Future work should examine underlying mechanisms and approaches to minimizing the risk of perioperative complications in all donors.

The Impact of Redistricting Proposals on Health Care Expenditures for Liver Transplant Candidates and Recipients

Redistricting, which means sharing organs in novel districts developed through mathematical optimization, has been proposed to reduce pervasive geographic disparities in access to liver transplantation. The economic impact of redistricting was evaluated with two distinct data sources, Medicare claims and the University HealthSystem Consortium (UHC). We estimated total Medicare payments under (i) the current allocation system (Share 35), (ii) full regional sharing, (iii) an eight-district plan, and (iv) a four-district plan for a simulated population of patients listed for liver transplant over 5 years, using the liver simulated allocation model. The model predicted 5-year transplant volumes (Share 35, 29,267; regional sharing, 29,005; eight districts, 29,034; four districts, 28,265) and a reduction in overall mortality, including listed and posttransplant patients, of up to 676 lives. Compared with current allocation, the eight-district plan was estimated to reduce payments for pretransplant care ($1638 million to $1506 million, p < 0.001), transplant episode ($5607 million to $5569 million, p < 0.03) and posttransplant care ($479 million to $488 million, p < 0.001). The eight-district plan was estimated to increase per-patient transportation costs for organs ($8988 to $11,874 per patient, p < 0.001) and UHC estimated hospital costs ($4699 per case). In summary, redistricting appears to be potentially cost saving for the health care system but will increase the cost of performing liver transplants for some transplant centers.

Economics

While the costs to Medicare of solid organ transplants are varied and considerable, the total Medicare expenditure of $4.2 billion for solid organ transplant recipients in 2013 remains less than 1% of all Medicare expenditures. Kidney transplant remains one of the most cost-effective surgical interventions in medicine and exhibits a rare feature in that it is generally known to be cost-saving in the long term. For patients covered by Medicare, lung transplant is one of the more costly solid organ transplants performed. This chapter reports pretransplant costs for lung candidates to allow investigators to further explore the relative cost of lung transplant compared with alternative management.

OPTN/SRTR 2013 Annual Data Report: economics

While the costs to Medicare of solid organ transplant are varied and considerable, the total Medicare expenditure of $4.4 billion for solid organ transplant recipients was less than 1 remains one of the most cost-effective surgical interventions in medicine. Heart transplant, the most expensive of the major transplants, is likely cost-effective; SRTR has released an Excel-based tool for investigators to use in exploring this question further. It is likely that most solid organ transplants are cost-effective, given the results presented here and the relatively high cost of heart transplant. However, this must be verified with further study.

OPTN/SRTR 2012 Annual Data Report: pancreas

The number of pancreas transplants has decreased over the past decade, most notably numbers of pancreas after kidney (pak) and pancreas transplant alone (pta) procedures. This decrease may be mitigated in the future when changes to national pancreas allocation policy approved by the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network Board of Directors in 2010 are implemented. The new policy will combine waiting lists for pak, pta, and simultaneous pancreas-kidney (spk) transplants), and give equal priority to candidates for all three procedures. This policy change may also eliminate geographic variation in waiting times caused by geographic differences in allocation policy. Deceased donor pancreas donation rates have been declining since 2005, and the donation rate remains low. The outcomes of pancreas grafts are difficult to describe due to lack of a uniform definition of graft failure in the transplant community. However long-term survival is better for spk versus pak and pta transplants. This may represent the difficulty of detecting rejection in the absence of a simultaneously transplanted kidney. The challenges of pancreas transplant are reflected in high rates of rehospitalization, most occurring within the first 6 months posttransplant. Pancreas transplant is associated with higher incidence of rejection compared with kidney transplant.

OPTN/SRTR 2012 Annual Data Report: lung

Lung transplants are increasingly used as treatment for end-stage lung diseases not amenable to other medical and surgical therapies. Lungs are allocated to adult and adolescent transplant candidates on the basis of age, geography, blood type compatibility, and the Lung Allocation Score, which reflects risk of wait-list mortality and probability of posttransplant survival. The overall median waiting time in 2012 was 4 months, and 65.3% of candidates underwent transplant within 1 year of listing; however, this proportion varied greatly by donation service area. Unadjusted median survival of lung transplant recipients was 5.3 years in 2012, and median survival conditional on living for 1 year posttransplant was 6.7 years. Among pediatric lung candidates in 2012, 32.1% were wait-listed for less than 1 year, 17.9% for 1 to less than 2 years, 16.7% for 2 to less than 4 years, and 33.3% for 4 or more years. Both graft and patient survival have continued to improve; survival rates for recipients aged 6-11 years are better than for younger recipients. Compared with recipients of other solid organ transplants, lung transplant recipients experienced the highest rates of rehospitalization for transplant complications: 43.7 per 100 patients in year 1 and 36.0 in year 2.

OPTN/SRTR 2012 Annual Data Report: liver

Liver transplant in the us remains a successful life-saving procedure for patients with irreversible liver disease. In 2012, 6256 adult liver transplants were performed, and more than 65,000 people were living with a transplanted liver. The number of adults who registered on the liver transplant waiting list decreased for the first time since 2002; 10,143 candidates were added, compared with 10,359 in 2011. However, the median waiting time for active wait-listed adult candidates increased, as did the number of candidates removed from the list because they were too sick to undergo transplant. The overall deceased donor transplant rate decreased to 42.3 per 100 patient-years, and varied geographically from 18.9 to 228.0 per 100 patient-years. Graft survival continues to improve, especially for donation after circulatory death livers. The number of new active pediatric candidates added to the waiting list also decreased. Almost 75% of pediatric candidates listed in 2009 underwent transplant within 3 years; the 2012 rate of deceased donor transplants among active pediatric wait-listed candidates was 136 per 100 patient-years. Graft survival for deceased donor pediatric transplants was 92.8% at 30 days. Medicare paid for some or all of the care for more than 30% of liver transplants in 2010.

OPTN/SRTR 2012 Annual Data Report: kidney

For most end-stage renal disease patients, successful kidney transplant provides substantially longer survival and better quality of life than dialysis, and preemptive transplant is associated with better outcomes than transplants occurring after dialysis initiation. However, kidney transplant numbers in the us have not changed for a decade. Since 2004, the total number of candidates on the waiting list has increased annually. Median time to transplant for wait-listed adult patients increased from 2.7 years in 1998 to 4.2 years in 2008. The discard rate of deceased donor kidneys has also increased, and the annual number of living donor transplants has decreased. The number of pediatric transplants peaked at 899 in 2005, and has remained steady at approximately 750 over the past 3 years; 40.9% of pediatric candidates undergo transplant within 1 year of wait-listing. Graft survival continues to improve for both adult and pediatric recipients. Kidney transplant is one of the most cost-effective surgical interventions; however, average reimbursement for recipients with primary Medicare coverage from transplant through 1 year posttransplant was comparable to the 1-year cost of care for a dialysis patient. Rates of rehospitalization are high in the first year posttransplant; annual costs after the first year are lower.

OPTN/SRTR 2012 Annual Data Report: heart

The number of heart transplants performed annually continues to increase gradually, and the number of adult candidates on the waiting list increased by 25% from 2004 to 2012. The heart transplant rate among active adult candidates peaked at 149 per 100 wait-list years in 2007 and has been declining since; in 2012, the rate was 93 heart transplants per 100 active wait-list years. Increased waiting times do not appear to be correlated with an overall increase in wait-list mortality. Since 2007, the proportion of patients on life support before transplant increased from 48.6% to 62.7% in 2012. Medical urgency categories have become less distinct, with most patients listed in higher urgency categories. Approximately 500 pediatric candidates are added to the waiting list each year; the number of transplants performed each year increased from 274 in 1998 to 372 in 2012. Graft survival in pediatric recipients continues to improve; 5-year graft survival for transplants performed in 2007 was 78.5%. Medicare paid for some or all of the care for nearly 40% of heart transplant recipients in 2010. Heart transplant appears to be more expensive than ventricular assist devices for managing end-stage heart failure, but is more effective and likely more cost-effective.

Call to develop a standard acquisition charge model for kidney paired donation

We propose a Medicare Demonstration Project to develop a standard acquisition charge for kidney paired donation. A new payment strategy is required because Medicare and commercial insurance companies may not directly pay living donor costs intended to lead to transplantation of a beneficiary of a different insurance provider. Until the 1970s, when organ procurement organizations were empowered to serve as financial intermediaries to pay the upfront recovery expenses for deceased donor kidneys before knowing the identity of the recipient, there existed similar limitations in the recovery and placement of deceased donor organs. Analogous to the recovery of deceased donor kidneys, kidney paired donation requires the evaluation of living donors before identifying their recipient. Tissue typing, crossmatching and transportation of living donors or their kidneys represent additional financial barriers. Finally, the administrative expenses of the organizations that identify and coordinate kidney paired donation transplantation require reimbursement akin to that necessary for organ procurement organizations. To expand access to kidney paired donation for more patients, we propose a model to reimburse paired donation expenses analogous to the proven strategy used for over 30 years to pay for deceased donor solid organ transplantation in America.

Three-year outcomes from BENEFIT-EXT: a phase III study of belatacept versus cyclosporine in recipients of extended criteria donor kidneys

Recipients of extended-criteria donor (ECD) kidneys have poorer long-term outcomes compared to standard-criteria donor kidney recipients. We report 3-year outcomes from a randomized, phase III study in recipients of de novo ECD kidneys (n = 543) assigned (1:1:1) to either a more intensive (MI) or less intensive (LI) belatacept regimen, or cyclosporine. Three hundred twenty-three patients completed treatment by year 3. Patient survival with a functioning graft was comparable between groups (80% in MI, 82% in LI, 80% in cyclosporine). Mean calculated GFR (cGFR) was 11 mL/min higher in belatacept-treated versus cyclosporine-treated patients (42.7 in MI, 42.2 in LI, 31.5 mL/min in cyclosporine). More cyclosporine-treated patients (44%) progressed to GFR <30 mL/min (chronic kidney disease [CKD] stage 4/5) than belatacept-treated patients (27-30%). Acute rejection rates were similar between groups. Posttransplant lymphoproliferative disorder (PTLD) occurrence was higher in belatacept-treated patients (two in MI, three in LI), most of which occurred during the first 18 months; four additional cases (3 in LI, 1 in cyclosporine) occurred after 3 years. Tuberculosis was reported in two MI, four LI and no cyclosporine patients. In conclusion, at 3 years after transplantation, immunosuppression with belatacept resulted in similar patient survival, graft survival and acute rejection, with better renal function compared with cyclosporine. As previously reported, PTLD and tuberculosis were the principal safety findings associated with belatacept in this study population.

A risk prediction model for delayed graft function in the current era of deceased donor renal transplantation

Delayed graft function (DGF) impacts short- and long-term outcomes. We present a model for predicting DGF after renal transplantation. A multivariable logistic regression analysis of 24,337 deceased donor renal transplant recipients (2003-2006) was performed. We developed a nomogram, depicting relative contribution of risk factors, and a novel web-based calculator (http://www.transplantcalculator.com/DGF) as an easily accessible tool for predicting DGF. Risk factors in the modern era were compared with their relative impact in an earlier era (1995-1998). Although the impact of many risk factors remained similar over time, weight of immunological factors attenuated, while impact of donor renal function increased by 2-fold. This may reflect advances in immunosuppression and increased utilization of kidneys from expanded criteria donors (ECDs) in the modern era. The most significant factors associated with DGF were cold ischemia time, donor creatinine, body mass index, donation after cardiac death and donor age. In addition to predicting DGF, the model predicted graft failure. A 25-50% probability of DGF was associated with a 50% increased risk of graft failure relative to a DGF risk < 25%, whereas a > 50% DGF risk was associated with a 2-fold increased risk of graft failure. This tool is useful for predicting DGF and long-term outcomes at the time of transplant.

A risk prediction model for delayed graft function in the current era of deceased donor renal transplantation

Delayed graft function (DGF) impacts short- and long-term outcomes. We present a model for predicting DGF after renal transplantation. A multivariable logistic regression analysis of 24,337 deceased donor renal transplant recipients (2003-2006) was performed. We developed a nomogram, depicting relative contribution of risk factors, and a novel web-based calculator (http://www.transplantcalculator.com/DGF) as an easily accessible tool for predicting DGF. Risk factors in the modern era were compared with their relative impact in an earlier era (1995-1998). Although the impact of many risk factors remained similar over time, weight of immunological factors attenuated, while impact of donor renal function increased by 2-fold. This may reflect advances in immunosuppression and increased utilization of kidneys from expanded criteria donors (ECDs) in the modern era. The most significant factors associated with DGF were cold ischemia time, donor creatinine, body mass index, donation after cardiac death and donor age. In addition to predicting DGF, the model predicted graft failure. A 25-50% probability of DGF was associated with a 50% increased risk of graft failure relative to a DGF risk < 25%, whereas a > 50% DGF risk was associated with a 2-fold increased risk of graft failure. This tool is useful for predicting DGF and long-term outcomes at the time of transplant.

The economic implications of broader sharing of liver allografts

Liver transplantation has evolved over the past four decades into the most effective method to treat end-stage liver failure and one of the most expensive medical technologies available. Accurate understanding of the financial implication of recipient severity of illness is crucial to assessing the economic impact of allocation policies. A novel database of linked clinical data from the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network with cost accounting data from the University HealthSystem Consortium was used to analyze liver transplant costs for 15,813 liver transplants. This data was then utilized to consider the economic impact of alternative allocation systems designed to increase sharing of liver allografts using simulation results. Transplant costs were strongly associated with recipient severity of illness as assessed by the MELD score (p < 0.0001); however, this relationship was not linear. Simulation analysis of the reallocation of livers from low MELD patients to high MELD using a two-tiered regional sharing approach (MELD 15/25) resulted in 88 fewer deaths annually at estimated cost of $17,056 per quality-adjusted life-year saved. The results suggest that broader sharing of liver allografts offers a cost-effective strategy to reduce the mortality from end stage liver disease.

A risk prediction model for delayed graft function in the current era of deceased donor renal transplantation

Delayed graft function (DGF) impacts short- and long-term outcomes. We present a model for predicting DGF after renal transplantation. A multivariable logistic regression analysis of 24,337 deceased donor renal transplant recipients (2003-2006) was performed. We developed a nomogram, depicting relative contribution of risk factors, and a novel web-based calculator (http://www.transplantcalculator.com/DGF) as an easily accessible tool for predicting DGF. Risk factors in the modern era were compared with their relative impact in an earlier era (1995-1998). Although the impact of many risk factors remained similar over time, weight of immunological factors attenuated, while impact of donor renal function increased by 2-fold. This may reflect advances in immunosuppression and increased utilization of kidneys from expanded criteria donors (ECDs) in the modern era. The most significant factors associated with DGF were cold ischemia time, donor creatinine, body mass index, donation after cardiac death and donor age. In addition to predicting DGF, the model predicted graft failure. A 25-50% probability of DGF was associated with a 50% increased risk of graft failure relative to a DGF risk < 25%, whereas a > 50% DGF risk was associated with a 2-fold increased risk of graft failure. This tool is useful for predicting DGF and long-term outcomes at the time of transplant.

Transplant outcomes and economic costs associated with patient noncompliance to immunosuppression

We describe factors associated with immunosuppression compliance after kidney transplantation and examine relationships between compliance with allograft outcomes and costs. Medicare claims for immunosuppression in 15 525 renal transplant recipients with at least 1 year of graft function were used to calculate compliance as medication possession ratio. Compliance was categorized by quartiles as poor, fair, good and excellent. We modeled adjusted associations of clinical factors with the likelihood of persistent compliance by multiple logistic regressions (aOR), and estimated associations of compliance with subsequent graft and patient survival with Cox proportional hazards (aHR). Adolescent recipients aged 19-24 years were more likely to be persistently noncompliant compared to patients aged 24-44 years (aOR 1.49 [1.06-2.10]). Poor (aHR 1.80 [1.52-2.13]) and fair (aHR 1.63[1.37-1.93]) compliant recipients were associated with increased risks of allograft loss compared to the excellent compliant recipients. Persistent low compliance was associated with a $12 840 increase in individual 3-year medical costs. Immunosuppression medication possession ratios indicative of less than the highest quartile of compliance predicted increased risk of graft loss and elevated costs. These findings suggest that interventions to improve medication compliance among kidney transplant recipients should emphasize the benefits of maximal compliance, rather than discourage low compliance.

Predictive ability of pretransplant comorbidities to predict long-term graft loss and death

Whether to include additional comorbidities beyond diabetes in future kidney allocation schemes is controversial. We investigated the predictive ability of multiple pretransplant comorbidities for graft and patient survival. We included first-kidney transplant deceased donor recipients if Medicare was the primary payer for at least one year pretransplant. We extracted pretransplant comorbidities from Medicare claims with the Clinical Classifications Software (CCS), Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidities and used Cox regressions for graft loss, death with function (DWF) and death. Four models were compared: (1) Organ Procurement Transplant Network (OPTN) recipient and donor factors, (2) OPTN + CCS, (3) OPTN + Charlson and (4) OPTN + Elixhauser. Patients were censored at 9 years or loss to follow-up. Predictive performance was evaluated with the c-statistic. We examined 25 270 transplants between 1995 and 2002. For graft loss, the predictive value of all models was statistically and practically similar (Model 1: 0.61 [0.60 0.62], Model 2: 0.63 [0.62 0.64], Models 3 and 4: 0.62 [0.61 0.63]). For DWF and death, performance improved to 0.70 and was slightly better with the CCS. Pretransplant comorbidities derived from administrative claims did not identify factors not collected on OPTN that had a significant impact on graft outcome predictions. This has important implications for the revisions to the kidney allocation scheme.

A retrospective analysis of immunosuppression compliance, dose reduction and discontinuation in kidney transplant recipients

We describe factors associated with poor compliance and dose reductions and examine the relative impact of compliance, dose reduction and discontinuation on graft outcome. Medicare claims for MMF in 7062 deceased donor renal recipients with at least 1 year of graft function were used to calculate compliance and dose reductions. Compliance was modeled using medication possession ratio to define quartiles for poor, low, medium and high compliance. The relative impact of compliance, dose reduction and discontinuation on graft outcome was assessed with Cox proportional hazards. Pediatric (Age 0-18, Odds ratio = 1.71, 95% CI 1.11-2.63, p = 0.014) and adolescent recipients (19-24, 1.57, 1.23-2.00, p < 0.001) were more likely poorly compliant compared to adults age 25-44. Poor compliance was also associated with physical limitations, hypertension, delayed graft function, rejection, infection and GI conditions. Poor (1.43, 1.11-1.84, p = 0.005) and low (1.46, 1.13-1.88, p = 0.004) compliance was associated with an increased hazard of graft loss as was >50% dose reduction (1.69, 1.15-2.50, p = 0.008) and discontinuation (8.34, 6.85-10.2, p < 0.001). Medication possession ratios lower than the 3-year mean were associated with an increased risk of graft loss. These results may indicate that interventions to improve compliance among kidney transplant recipients should strive for high rather than discourage low compliance.

Patient and graft survival implications of simultaneous pancreas kidney transplantation from old donors

We investigated graft and patient survival implications of simultaneous pancreas kidney (SPK) transplant from old donors. Data describing patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus listed for an SPK transplant from 1994 to 2005 were drawn from Organ Procurement and Transplant Network registries. Allograft survival, patient survival and long-term survival expectations among SPK recipients from young (age <45 years) and old (age >/=45 years) donors were modeled by multivariate regression. We also examined predictors of reduced early access to young donor transplants. Of 16 496 eligible SPK candidates, 8850 patients (53.6%) received an SPK transplant and 776 (8.8%) of these transplants were from old donors. Reasonable 5-year, death-censored kidney (77.8 %) and pancreas (71.3%) survivals were achieved with old donors. SPK transplantation from both young and old donors predicted lower mortality compared to continued waiting. An additional expected wait of 1.5 years for a young donor equalized long-term survival expectations to that achieved with use of old donors. Early allocation of young donor transplants declined in the more recent era and varied by region, candidate age, blood type and sensitization. We conclude that old SPK donors should be considered for patients with decreased access to young donor transplants. Prospective evaluation of this practice is needed.

Nontransplantation of livers from deceased donors who are able to donate another solid organ: how often and why it happens

Deceased donor factors associated with poor graft outcome are well known, but how often these factors lead to livers left untransplanted is poorly defined. A nested, case-control study was conducted using the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database from 1987 to 2005. Only those donating >/=1 solid organ were included. Primary outcome was livers not transplanted (LNT, cases) versus transplanted (LT, controls). Primary variables for multivariate analysis were donor age and obesity. Covariates included donation after cardiac death (DCD), cerebral vascular accident death, viral serologies, cancer, ALT and bilirubin. There were 23 373 (26%) LNT's from 91 362 donors who donated at least one organ. Percent LNT fell over time (1987-1990: 48%; 1991-1995: 29%; 1996-2000: 21%; 2000-2005: 16%; p < 0.01). Increased age (odds ratio: 4.2, 95% confidence interval 3.6-4.9, p < 0.01) and obesity (2.1, 1.9-2.3, p < 0.01) were significantly associated with LNT across all time periods. Other significant factors included DCD and elevated ALT. For 2001-2005, population attributable risk indicate that age >40, abnormal ALT and obesity account for 32.6%, 25.3% and 9.2% of untransplanted livers, respectively. Use of expanded criteria livers has pushed LNT lower in spite of an aging and heavier donor population. Nevertheless, age and obesity still account for a significant portion of untransplanted livers.

Limiting financial disincentives in live organ donation: a rational solution to the kidney shortage

Availability of kidney transplantation is limited by an inadequate supply of organs, with no apparent remedy on the immediate horizon and increasing reliance on living donors (LDs). While some have advocated financial remuneration to stimulate donation, the National Organ Transplant Act (NOTA) of 1984 expressly forbids the offer of 'valuable consideration.' However, recent developments indicate some fluidity in the definition of valuable consideration while evolving international standards highlight deficiencies (particularly regarding long-term care and follow-up) in the current American system. Recognizing that substantial financial and physical disincentives exist for LDs, we propose a policy change that offers the potential to enhance organ availability as well as address concerns regarding long-term care. Donors assume much greater risk than is widely acknowledged, risk that can be approximated for the purpose of determining appropriate compensation. Our proposal offsets donor risk via a package of specific benefits (life insurance, health insurance and a small amount of cash) to minimize hazard and ensure donor interests are protected after as well as before nephrectomy. It will fund medical follow-up and enable data collection so that long-term risk can be accurately assessed. The proposal should be cost effective with only a small increase in the number of LDs, and the net benefit will become greater if removal of disincentives stimulates even further growth. As importantly, by directly linking compensation to risk, we believe it preserves the essence of kidney donation as a gift, consistent with NOTA and implementable in the United States without altering current legal statutes.

Prophylactic versus preemptive oral valganciclovir for the management of cytomegalovirus infection in adult renal transplant recipients

Prophylaxis reduces cytomegalovirus (CMV) disease, but is associated with increased costs and risks for side effects, viral resistance and late onset CMV disease. Preemptive therapy avoids drug costs but requires frequent monitoring and may not prevent complications of asymptomatic CMV replication. Kidney transplant recipients at risk for CMV (D+/R-, D+/R+, D-/R+) were randomized to prophylaxis (valganciclovir 900 mg q.d. for 100 days, n=49) or preemptive therapy (900 mg b.i.d. for 21 days, n=49) for CMV DNAemia (CMV DNA level>2000 copies/mL in >or=1 whole blood specimens by quantitative PCR) assessed weekly for 16 weeks and at 5, 6, 9 and 12 months. More patients in the preemptive group, 29 (59%) than in the prophylaxis group, 14 (29%) developed CMV DNAemia, p=0.004. Late onset of CMV DNAemia (>100 days after transplant) occurred in 11 (24%) randomized to prophylaxis, and none randomized to preemptive therapy. Symptomatic infection occurred in five patients, four (3 D+/R- and 1 D+/R+) in the prophylactic group and one (D+/R-) in the preemptive group. Peak CMV levels were highest in the D+/R- patients. Both strategies were effective in preventing symptomatic CMV. Overall costs were similar and insensitive to wide fluctuations in costs of either monitoring or drug.

The economic impact of preservation time in cadaveric liver transplantation

There has been considerable recent debate concerning the reconfiguration of the cadaveric liver allocation system with the intent to allocate livers to more severely ill patients over greater distances. We sought to assess the economic implications of longer preservation times in cadaveric liver transplantation that may be seen in a restructured allocation system. A total of 683 patients with nonfulminant liver disease, aged 16 years or older, receiving a cadaveric donor liver as their only transplant, were drawn from a prospective cohort of patients who received transplants between January 1991 and July 1994 at the University of California, San Francisco, the Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, or the University of Nebraska, Omaha. The primary outcome measure was standardized hospitalization resource utilization from the day of transplantation through discharge. Secondary outcome measures included 2-year patient survival, and 2-year retransplantation rates. Results indicated that each 1-h increase in preservation time was associated with a 1.4% increase in standardized hospital resource utilization (p = 0.014). The effects on 2-year patient survival and retransplantation rates were not measurably affected by an increase in preservation time. We conclude that policies that increase preservation time may be expected to increase the cost of liver transplantation.

Effect of extended coverage of immunosuppressive medications by medicare on the survival of cadaveric renal transplants

Between 1993 and 1995, Medicare extended its coverage of maintenance immunosuppression medications following renal transplantation from 1 to 3 years. We hypothesized that Medicare's extension of immunosuppressive coverage would improve graft survival among low-income transplant recipients. We merged patient-level clinical data from the USRDS-distributed UNOS registry of kidney transplants throughout the USA with median family income for each patient's ZIP code from the 1990 Census. We were able to merge median incomes to 10,837 first cadaveric renal transplants performed in 1992-93 and 16,732 performed in 1995-97. Each of these chronological cohorts was divided into two groups, those with family incomes above (high-income group) and those below (low-income group) $36,033. There were no differences in graft survival at 1 year based on income in either chronological era. However, when Medicare covered immunosuppression medications for just 1 year, the low-income group of 1-year graft survivors had a 4.5% lower graft survival at the end of 3 years post-transplant (p < 0.001). During the 1995-97 period, during which Medicare provided 3 years' immunosuppression coverage, the low-income and high-income groups had equivalent graft survival at 3 years post-transplant.

The Barnes-Jewish Hospital/Washington University Renal Transplant Program: comparison of two eras 1991-1994 and 1995-2000

The first cadaveric transplant at Barnes-Jewish Hospital/Washington University was performed in 1963, the first living related transplant in 1965, and the first living unrelated transplant in 1983. Changes in the renal transplant program initiated in 1993 and 1994 resulted in many improvements over the past decade. Our comparison of 2 modern eras of transplant, 1991-1994 and 1995-2000, showed the following: 1. No significant differences in patient and donor characteristics. 2. Trends toward greater use of living donors (p = 0.07), older cadaveric donors (p = 0.084) and particularly cadaveric donors > 55 years of age (p = 0.09). 3. Decreasing mean CIT: 19.2 hours vs. 14.2 hours (p < 0.001). 4. Decreasing use of donors with CIT > 24 hours: 22% to 3%, (p < 0.001). 5. Decreased rate of DGF: 13% vs. 8% (p = 0.044). 6. Decreased rate of symptomatic CMV: 35% vs. 14% (p < 0.001). 7. Decreased rate of PTLD: 3.5% vs. 0.5% (p = 0.004). 8. Decreased one-year rate of acute rejection: 41% vs. 15% (p < 0.001). 9. Current one-year rate of acute rejection < 8%. 10. Decreased length of initial hospital stay: 12.7 days to 8.0 days (p < 0.001). 11. Decreased length of hospital in the first year after transplant: 10.6 days vs. 6.4 days (p < 0.001). 12. There were no improvements in patient and graft survival at one and 3 years. a. one-year patient survival rates: 95% vs. 96%. b. 3-year patient survival rates: 90% vs. 90%. c. one-year death-censored graft survival rates: 91% vs. 94%. d. 3-year death-censored graft survival rates: 87% vs. 88%.

Economic cost of expanded criteria donors in cadaveric renal transplantation: analysis of Medicare payments

BACKGROUND

The use of expanded criteria donors (ECDs) in cadaveric renal transplantation is increasing in the US. We assess the economic impact of the use of ECDs to the Medicare end stage renal disease program.

METHODS

The United Nations for Organ Sharing renal transplant registry was merged to Medicare claims data for 42,868 cadaveric renal transplants performed between 1991-1996 using USRDS identifiers. Only recipients for whom Medicare was the primary payer were considered, leaving 34,534 transplants. An ECD was defined as (1) age < or =5 or > or =55 years, (2) nonheart-beating donors, donor history of (3) hypertension or (4) diabetes. High-risk recipients (HRR) were age >60 years, or a retransplant. Medicare payments from the pretransplant dialysis period were projected forward to provide a financial "breakeven point" with transplantation.

RESULTS

There were 25,600 non-HRR transplants, with 5,718 (22%) using ECDs, and 8,934 HRR transplants, of which 2,200 (25%) used ECDs. The 5-year present value of payments for non-ECD/non-HRR donor/recipient pairings was $121,698 vs. $143,329 for ECD/non-HRR pairings (P<0.0001) and, similarly was $134,185 for non-ECD/HRR pairings vs. $165,716 for ECD/HRR pairings (P<0.0001). The break even point with hemodialysis ranged from 4.4 years for non-ECD/ non-HRR pairings to 13 years for the ECD/HRR combinations but was sensitive to small changes in graft survival. Transplantation was always less expensive than hemodialysis in the long run.

CONCLUSIONS

The impact of ECDs on Medicare payments is most pronounced in high-risk recipients. Cadaveric renal transplantation is a cost-saving treatment strategy for the Medicare ESRD program regardless of recipient risk status or the use of ECDs.

The economic benefit of allocation of kidneys based on cross-reactive group matching

BACKGROUND

Recently the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) began a pilot study to evaluate prospectively the merits of an allocation of cadaveric kidneys based on broader classes of HLA antigens, called cross-reactive groups (CREG). The objectives of the pilot study consider patient outcomes, but not the potential economic impact of a CREG-based allocation. This study predicts the impact of a CREG-based local allocation of cadaveric kidneys on 3-year Medicare payments and graft survival.

METHODS

The UNOS renal transplant registry was merged to Medicare claims data for 1991-1997 by the United States Renal Data System. Average accumulated Medicare payments and graft survival up to 3 years posttransplant for first cadaveric renal transplant recipients were stratified by cross-reactive group mismatch categories. The economic impact was defined as the difference in average 3-year costs per transplant between the current and proposed allocation algorithms. Average 3-year costs were computed as a weighted average of costs, where the weights were the actual and predicted distributions of transplants across cross-reactive group categories.

RESULTS

Results suggest that an organ allocation based on cross-reactive group matching criteria would result in a 3-year cost savings of $1,231 (2%) per transplant, and an average 3-year graft survival improvement of 0.6%.

CONCLUSIONS

Cost savings and graft survival improvements can be expected if CREG criteria were to replace current criteria in the current allocation policy for cadaveric kidneys, although the savings appear to be smaller than may be achievable through expanded HLA matching.

The prevalence of human herpesvirus-7 in renal transplant recipients is unaffected by oral or intravenous ganciclovir

The purpose of this study was to compare the prevalence of human herpesvirus (HHV)-7 and cytomegalovirus (CMV) viremia and the effects of oral and intravenous (iv) ganciclovir in renal transplant recipients at risk for CMV. Stored lysates from peripheral blood leukocytes from 92 patients, who had been previously analyzed for CMV viremia by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) for 12 weeks after transplantation, were analyzed for HHV-7 viremia. Baseline and peak prevalences of HHV-7 viremia were 22% and 54%, respectively (P<. 0001). Eighty-two (89%) of 92 patients had at least 1 positive PCR for HHV-7. Oral ganciclovir and treatment with iv ganciclovir had no effect on the prevalence of HHV-7 viremia. In contrast, CMV was almost completely suppressed in patients who received oral ganciclovir, and when present, CMV responded to iv therapy. These results indicate that HHV-7 is resistant to ganciclovir at levels that were effective for prevention and treatment of CMV.

Economics of the antithymocyte globulins Thymoglobulin and Atgam in the treatment of acute renal transplant rejection

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the economic implications for transplant centres, Medicare and society of treatment of corticosteroid-resistant Banff Grades I, II and III acute kidney transplant rejection with the antithymocyte globulins Thymoglobulin or Atgam.

DESIGN AND SETTING

This was a cost analysis of a randomised double-blind multicentre clinical trial comparing the safety and efficacy of Thymoglobulin and Atgam that was performed at 25 centres in the US in 1994 to 1996.

PATIENTS AND PARTICIPANTS

The study enrolled 163 patients, 82 in the Thymoglobulin arm and 81 in the Atgam arm.

METHODS

Estimates of the cost of care from the initiation of rejection therapy to 90 days post-therapy were derived from various publicly available sources and applied to patient-specific clinical events documented in the clinical trial. Patients received either intravenous Thymoglobulin (1.5 mg/kg/day) for an average of 10 days or intravenous Atgam (15 mg/kg/day) for an average of 9.7 days.

RESULTS

On average, Thymoglobulin provided significant cost savings compared with Atgam from the perspective of society [$US5977 (1996 values); 95% confidence interval (CI) $US3719 to $US8254], Medicare ($US4967; 95% CI $US3256 to $US6678) and the transplant centre ($US3087; 95% CI $US1512 to $US4667). The overall advantage attributable to Thymoglobulin was primarily due to savings from fewer recurrent rejection treatments and less frequent return to dialysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment of acute renal transplant rejection with Thymoglobulin is a cost saving strategy when compared with treatment with Atgam.

Cadaveric versus living donor kidney transplantation: a Medicare payment analysis

BACKGROUND

We found previously that the clinical advantages of living donor (LD) renal transplantation lead to financial cost savings compared to either cadaveric donation (CAD) or dialysis. Here, we analyze the sources of the cost savings of LD versus CAD kidney transplantation.

METHODS

We used United States Renal Data System data to merge United Network for Organ Sharing registry information with Medicare claims data for 1991-1996. Information was available for 42,868 CAD and 13,754 LD transplants. More than 5 million Medicare payment records were analyzed. We calculated the difference in average payments made by Medicare for CAD and LD for services provided during the first posttransplant year.

RESULTS

Average total payments were $39,534 and $24,652 for CAD and LD, respectively (P<0.0001) during the first posttransplant year. The largest source of the difference in payments was in inpatient hospitals, representing $10,653.67 (P<0.0001). For patients who had Medicare as the primary payer, average transplant charges were significantly higher for CAD donation ($79,730 vs. $69,547, P<0.0001); average transplant payments demonstrated no statistical differences ($28,483 vs. $28,447, P = 0.858). Therefore, inferred profitability was significantly higher for LD.

CONCLUSIONS

Medicare payments are remarkably lower for LD compared to CAD in every category. The single largest cost saving comes from inpatient hospital services. A portion of the savings from LD could be invested in programs to expand living kidney donation.

The economic implications of HLA matching in cadaveric renal transplantation

BACKGROUND

The potential economic effects of the allocation of cadaveric kidneys on the basis of tissue-matching criteria is controversial. We analyzed the economic costs associated with the transplantation of cadaveric kidneys with various numbers of HLA mismatches and examined the potential economic benefits of a local, as compared with a national, system designed to minimize HLA mismatches between donor and recipient in first cadaveric renal transplantations.

METHODS

All data were supplied by the U.S. Renal Data System. Data on all payments made by Medicare from 1991 through 1997 for the care of recipients of a first cadaveric renal transplant were analyzed according to the number of HLA-A, B, and DR mismatches between donor and recipient and the duration of cold ischemia before transplantation.

RESULTS

Average Medicare payments for renal transplant recipients in the three years after transplantation increased from 60,436 dollars per patient for fully HLA-matched kidneys (those with no HLA-A, B, or DR mismatches) to 80,807 dollars for kidneys with six HLA mismatches between donor and recipient, a difference of 34 percent (P<0.001). By three years after transplantation, the average Medicare payments were 64,119 dollars for transplantations of kidneys with less than 12 hours of cold ischemia time and 74,997 dollars for those with more than 36 hours (P<0.001). In simulations, the assignment of cadaveric kidneys to recipients by a method that minimized HLA mismatching within a local geographic area (i.e., within one of the approximately 50 organ-procurement organizations, which cover widely varying geographic areas) produced the largest cost savings (4,290 dollars per patient over a period of three years) and the largest improvements in the graft-survival rate (2.3 percent) when the potential costs of longer cold ischemia time were considered.

CONCLUSIONS

Transplantation of better-matched cadaveric kidneys could have substantial economic advantages. In our simulations, HLA-based allocation of kidneys at the local level produced the largest estimated cost savings, when the duration of cold ischemia was taken into account. No additional savings were estimated to result from a national allocation program, because the additional costs of longer cold ischemia time were greater than the advantages of optimizing HLA matching.

A randomized, double-blinded comparison of Thymoglobulin versus Atgam for induction immunosuppressive therapy in adult renal transplant recipients

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to compare the efficacy and safety of Thymoglobulin (a rabbit-derived polyclonal antibody) to Atgam (a horse-derived polyclonal antibody) for induction in adult renal transplant recipients.

METHODS

Transplant recipients (n=72) were randomized 2:1 in a double-blinded fashion to receive Thymoglobulin (n=48) at 1.5 mg/kg intravenously or Atgam (n=24) at 15 mg/kg intravenously, intraoperatively, then daily for at least 6 days. Recipients were observed for at least 1 year of follow-up.

RESULTS

By 1 year after transplantation, 4% of Thymoglobulin-treated patients experienced acute rejection compared with 25% of Atgam-treated patients (P=0.014). The rate of acute rejection was lower with Thymoglobulin than Atgam (relative risk=0.09; P=0.009). Rejection was less severe with Thymoglobulin than Atgam (P=0.02). No recurrent rejection occurred with Thymoglobulin compared with 33% with Atgam (P=NS). Patient survival was not different, but the composite end point of freedom from death, graft loss, or rejection, the "event-free survival," was superior with Thymoglobulin (94%) compared with Atgam (63%; P=0.0005). Fewer adverse events occurred with Thymoglobulin (P=0.013). Leukopenia was more common with Thymoglobulin than Atgam (56% vs. 4%; P<0.0001) during induction. The mean absolute lymphocyte count remained below baseline with Thymoglobulin throughout the study (P<0.007), but with Atgam, significant lymphocyte reductions occurred only at day 7. The incidence of cytomegalovirus disease was less with Thymoglobulin than Atgam at 6 months (10% vs. 33%; P=0.025).

CONCLUSIONS

Brief (7-day) induction with Thymoglobulin resulted in less frequent and less severe rejection, a better event-free survival, less cytomegalovirus disease, fewer serious adverse events, but more frequent early leukopenia than induction with Atgam. These results may in fact be explained by a more profound and durable beneficial lymphopenia.

Quantitative polymerase chain reaction to predict occurrence of symptomatic cytomegalovirus infection and assess response to ganciclovir therapy in renal transplant recipients

Cytomegalovirus (CMV) DNA levels were measured by quantitative-competitive polymerase chain reaction (PCR) in weekly leukocyte samples from 50 renal transplant recipients, including 23 with symptomatic and 27 with asymptomatic CMV infection. Peak and week 4 CMV DNA levels were higher in symptomatic subjects (P = .07 and .02, respectively). In a logistic regression model, the logarithm of the week 4 level independently predicted symptomatic infection (odds ratio, 1.78 for a 1 log10 increase; 95% confidence interval, 1.14-2.78; P = .01). All subjects whose week 4 level exceeded 1000 copies/100,000 leukocytes developed symptoms. In subjects with adequate samples for analysis, CMV levels declined exponentially with ganciclovir treatment, with an average half-life of 3.3 days. Levels exceeding 10,000 copies were associated with prolonged time to clearing of CMV DNA. Potential clinical applications of quantitative CMV PCR include predicting occurrence of symptomatic first episodes after transplantation and individualizing duration of antiviral therapy.