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Brown LV, Wagg J, Darley R, van Hateren A, Elliott T, Gaffney EA, Coles MC. De-risking clinical trial failure through mechanistic simulation. IMMUNOTHERAPY ADVANCES 2022; 2:ltac017. [PMID: 36176591 PMCID: PMC9514113 DOI: 10.1093/immadv/ltac017] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/05/2022] [Accepted: 07/04/2022] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Drug development typically comprises a combination of pre-clinical experimentation, clinical trials, and statistical data-driven analyses. Therapeutic failure in late-stage clinical development costs the pharmaceutical industry billions of USD per year. Clinical trial simulation represents a key derisking strategy and combining them with mechanistic models allows one to test hypotheses for mechanisms of failure and to improve trial designs. This is illustrated with a T-cell activation model, used to simulate the clinical trials of IMA901, a short-peptide cancer vaccine. Simulation results were consistent with observed outcomes and predicted that responses are limited by peptide off-rates, peptide competition for dendritic cell (DC) binding, and DC migration times. These insights were used to hypothesise alternate trial designs predicted to improve efficacy outcomes. This framework illustrates how mechanistic models can complement clinical, experimental, and data-driven studies to understand, test, and improve trial designs, and how results may differ between humans and mice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Liam V Brown
- Wolfson Centre for Mathematical Biology, Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Kennedy Institute of Rheumatology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jonathan Wagg
- Pharmaceutical Sciences–Clinical Pharmacology, Roche Innovation Center Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Rachel Darley
- Centre for Cancer Immunology, Institute for Life Sciences, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Andy van Hateren
- Centre for Cancer Immunology, Institute for Life Sciences, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Tim Elliott
- Centre for Immuno-oncology, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Eamonn A Gaffney
- Wolfson Centre for Mathematical Biology, Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Mark C Coles
- Kennedy Institute of Rheumatology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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Johnson SC, Frattolin J, Edgar LT, Jafarnejad M, Moore Jr JE. Lymph node swelling combined with temporary effector T cell retention aids T cell response in a model of adaptive immunity. J R Soc Interface 2021; 18:20210464. [PMID: 34847790 PMCID: PMC8633806 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2021.0464] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/05/2021] [Accepted: 11/02/2021] [Indexed: 12/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Swelling of lymph nodes (LNs) is commonly observed during the adaptive immune response, yet the impact on T cell (TC) trafficking and subsequent immune response is not well known. To better understand the effect of macro-scale alterations, we developed an agent-based model of the LN paracortex, describing the TC proliferative response to antigen-presenting dendritic cells alongside inflammation-driven and swelling-induced changes in TC recruitment and egress, while also incorporating regulation of the expression of egress-modulating TC receptor sphingosine-1-phosphate receptor-1. Analysis of the effector TC response under varying swelling conditions showed that swelling consistently aided TC activation. However, subsequent effector CD8+ TC production was reduced in scenarios where swelling occurred too early in the TC proliferative phase or when TC cognate frequency was low due to increased opportunity for TC exit. Temporarily extending retention of newly differentiated effector TCs, mediated by sphingosine-1-phosphate receptor-1 expression, mitigated any negative effects of swelling by allowing facilitation of activation to outweigh increased access to exit areas. These results suggest that targeting temporary effector TC retention and egress associated with swelling offers new ways to modulate effector TC responses in, for example, immuno-suppressed patients and to optimize of vaccine design.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sarah C. Johnson
- Department of Bioengineering, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | | | - Lowell T. Edgar
- Department of Bioengineering, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Mohammad Jafarnejad
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
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Brown LV, Gaffney EA, Wagg J, Coles MC. An in silico model of cytotoxic T-lymphocyte activation in the lymph node following short peptide vaccination. J R Soc Interface 2019. [PMID: 29540543 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2018.0041] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Tumour immunotherapy is dependent upon activation and expansion of tumour-targetting immune cells, known as cytotoxic T-lymphocytes (CTLs). Cancer vaccines developed in the past have had limited success and the mechanisms resulting in failure are not well characterized. To elucidate these mechanisms, we developed a human-parametrized, in silico, agent-based model of vaccination-driven CTL activation within a clinical short-peptide vaccination context. The simulations predict a sharp transition in the probability of CTL activation, which occurs with variation in the separation rate (or off-rate) of tumour-specific immune response-inducing peptides (cognate antigen) from the major histocompatibility class I (MHC-I) receptors of dendritic cells (DCs) originally at the vaccination site. For peptides with MHC-I off-rates beyond this transition, it is predicted that no vaccination strategy will lead to successful expansion of CTLs. For slower off-rates, below the transition, the probability of CTL activation becomes sensitive to the numbers of DCs and T cells that interact subsequent to DC migration to the draining lymph node of the vaccination site. Thus, the off-rate is a key determinant of vaccine design.
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Affiliation(s)
- Liam V Brown
- Wolfson Centre For Mathematical Biology, Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Eamonn A Gaffney
- Wolfson Centre For Mathematical Biology, Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jonathan Wagg
- Clinical Pharmacology, Roche Innovation Center Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Mark C Coles
- Kennedy Institute of Rheumatology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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Huang WZ, Hu WH, Wang Y, Chen J, Hu ZQ, Zhou J, Liu L, Qiu W, Tang FZ, Zhang SC, Ouyang Y, Ye YN, Xu GQ, Long JH, Zeng Z. A Mathematical Modelling of Initiation of Dendritic Cells-Induced T Cell Immune Response. Int J Biol Sci 2019; 15:1396-1403. [PMID: 31337970 PMCID: PMC6643141 DOI: 10.7150/ijbs.33412] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2019] [Accepted: 03/19/2019] [Indexed: 01/27/2023] Open
Abstract
Dendritic cells (DCs) are the most potent specialized antigen-presenting cells as now known, which play a crucial role in initiating and amplifying both the innate and adaptive immune responses. Immunologically, the motilities and T cell activation capabilities of DCs are closely related to the resulting immune responses. However, due to the complexity of the immune system, the dynamic changes in the number of cells during the peripheral tissue (e.g. skin and mucosa) immune response induced by DCs are still poorly understood. Therefore, this study simulated dynamic number changes of DCs and T cells in this process by constructing several ordinary differential equations and setting the initial conditions of the functions and parameters. The results showed that these equations could simulate dynamic numerical changes of DCs and T cells in peripheral tissue and lymph node, which was in accordance with the physiological conditions such as the duration of immune response, the proliferation rates and the motilities of DCs and T cells. This model provided a theoretical reference for studying the immunologic functions of DCs and practical guidance for the clinical DCs-based therapy against immune-related diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wen-zhu Huang
- Department of Biotechnology, School of Biology and Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Immune Cells and Antibody Engineering Research Center of Guizhou Province/Key Laboratory of Biology and Medical Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
| | - Wen-hui Hu
- Department of Biotechnology, School of Biology and Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Immune Cells and Antibody Engineering Research Center of Guizhou Province/Key Laboratory of Biology and Medical Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
| | - Yun Wang
- Department of Biotechnology, School of Biology and Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Department of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Science, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Immune Cells and Antibody Engineering Research Center of Guizhou Province/Key Laboratory of Biology and Medical Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
| | - Jin Chen
- Department of Biotechnology, School of Biology and Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Immune Cells and Antibody Engineering Research Center of Guizhou Province/Key Laboratory of Biology and Medical Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
| | - Zu-quan Hu
- Department of Biotechnology, School of Biology and Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Immune Cells and Antibody Engineering Research Center of Guizhou Province/Key Laboratory of Biology and Medical Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
| | - Jing Zhou
- Department of Biotechnology, School of Biology and Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Immune Cells and Antibody Engineering Research Center of Guizhou Province/Key Laboratory of Biology and Medical Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
| | - Lina Liu
- Department of Biotechnology, School of Biology and Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Immune Cells and Antibody Engineering Research Center of Guizhou Province/Key Laboratory of Biology and Medical Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
| | - Wei Qiu
- Department of Biotechnology, School of Biology and Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Immune Cells and Antibody Engineering Research Center of Guizhou Province/Key Laboratory of Biology and Medical Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
| | - Fu-zhou Tang
- Department of Biotechnology, School of Biology and Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Immune Cells and Antibody Engineering Research Center of Guizhou Province/Key Laboratory of Biology and Medical Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
| | - Shi-chao Zhang
- Department of Biotechnology, School of Biology and Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Immune Cells and Antibody Engineering Research Center of Guizhou Province/Key Laboratory of Biology and Medical Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
| | - Yan Ouyang
- Department of Biotechnology, School of Biology and Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Immune Cells and Antibody Engineering Research Center of Guizhou Province/Key Laboratory of Biology and Medical Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
| | - Yuan-nong Ye
- Department of Biotechnology, School of Biology and Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Department of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Science, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Immune Cells and Antibody Engineering Research Center of Guizhou Province/Key Laboratory of Biology and Medical Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
| | - Guo-qiang Xu
- Department of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Science, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
| | - Jin-hua Long
- Department of Head & Neck, Affiliated Tumor Hospital, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
| | - Zhu Zeng
- Department of Biotechnology, School of Biology and Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Department of Immunology, School of Basic Medical Science, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Immune Cells and Antibody Engineering Research Center of Guizhou Province/Key Laboratory of Biology and Medical Engineering, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550004, P.R. China
- Key Laboratory of Environmental Pollution Monitoring and Disease Control, Ministry of Education, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, 550025, P.R. China
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Brown LV, Gaffney EA, Wagg J, Coles MC. Applications of mechanistic modelling to clinical and experimental immunology: an emerging technology to accelerate immunotherapeutic discovery and development. Clin Exp Immunol 2018; 193:284-292. [PMID: 30240512 PMCID: PMC6150250 DOI: 10.1111/cei.13182] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/31/2018] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
The application of in-silico modelling is beginning to emerge as a key methodology to advance our understanding of mechanisms of disease pathophysiology and related drug action, and in the design of experimental medicine and clinical studies. From this perspective, we will present a non-technical discussion of a small number of recent and historical applications of mathematical, statistical and computational modelling to clinical and experimental immunology. We focus specifically upon mechanistic questions relating to human viral infection, tumour growth and metastasis and T cell activation. These exemplar applications highlight the potential of this approach to impact upon human immunology informed by ever-expanding experimental, clinical and 'omics' data. Despite the capacity of mechanistic modelling to accelerate therapeutic discovery and development and to de-risk clinical trial design, it is not utilized widely across the field. We outline ongoing challenges facing the integration of mechanistic modelling with experimental and clinical immunology, and suggest how these may be overcome. Advances in key technologies, including multi-scale modelling, machine learning and the wealth of 'omics' data sets, coupled with advancements in computational capacity, are providing the basis for mechanistic modelling to impact on immunotherapeutic discovery and development during the next decade.
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Affiliation(s)
- L. V. Brown
- Wolfson Centre for Mathematical BiologyMathematical InstituteUniversity of OxfordOxfordUK
| | - E. A. Gaffney
- Wolfson Centre for Mathematical BiologyMathematical InstituteUniversity of OxfordOxfordUK
| | - J. Wagg
- Pharmaceutical Sciences, Clinical PharmacologyRoche Innovation CenterBaselSwitzerland
| | - M. C. Coles
- Kennedy Institute of RheumatologyUniversity of OxfordOxfordUK
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