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Guan Y, Huang ST, Yu BB. Nomograms to predict the long-term prognosis for non-metastatic invasive lobular breast carcinoma: a population-based study. Sci Rep 2024; 14:19477. [PMID: 39174612 PMCID: PMC11341842 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-68931-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2024] [Accepted: 07/30/2024] [Indexed: 08/24/2024] Open
Abstract
Invasive lobular breast carcinoma (ILC) is one potential subset that "clinicopathologic features" can conflict with "long-term outcome" and the optimal management strategy is unknown in such discordant situations. The present study aims to predict the long-term, overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of ILC. The clinical information of patients with non-metastatic ILC was retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2004 and 2020. A total of 31451 patients were enrolled and divided into the training cohort (n=22,017) and validation cohort (n=9434). The last follow-up was December, 31, 2020 and the median follow-up period was 99 months (1-203). Age, marriage, estrogen (ER) status, progesterone (PR) status, grade, tumor size, lymph node ratio (LNR) and combined summary (CS) stage were prognostic factors for both OS and CSS of ILC, whereas chemotherapy and radiation were independent protect factors for OS. The nomograms exhibited satisfactory discriminative ability. For the training and validation cohorts, the C-index of the OS nomogram was 0.765 (95% CI 0.762-0.768) and 0.757 (95% CI 0.747-0.767), and the C-index of the CSS nomogram were 0.812 (95% CI 0.804-0.820) and 0.813 (95% CI 0.799-0.827), respectively. Additionally, decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated that the nomograms had superior predictive performance than traditional American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM stage. The novel nomograms to predict long-term prognosis based on LNR are reliable tools to predict survival, which may assist clinicians in identifying high-risk patients and devising individual treatments for patients with ILC. Our findings should aid public health prevention strategies to reduce cancer burden. We provide two R/Shiny apps ( https://ilc-survival2024.shinyapps.io/osnomogram/ ; https://ilc-survival2024.shinyapps.io/cssnomogram/ ) to visualize findings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ying Guan
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, No 71, Hedi Road, Nanning, 530021, Guangxi, People's Republic of China.
| | - Shi-Ting Huang
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, No 71, Hedi Road, Nanning, 530021, Guangxi, People's Republic of China
| | - Bin-Bin Yu
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital, No 71, Hedi Road, Nanning, 530021, Guangxi, People's Republic of China
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Qiu Y, Chen Y, Shen H, Yan S, Li J, Wu W. Naples Prognostic Score: A Novel Predictor of Survival in Patients with Triple-Negative Breast Cancer. J Inflamm Res 2024; 17:5253-5269. [PMID: 39135978 PMCID: PMC11318610 DOI: 10.2147/jir.s472917] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/18/2024] [Accepted: 08/02/2024] [Indexed: 08/15/2024] Open
Abstract
Purpose This study investigated the correlation between the Naples prognostic score (NPS), clinicopathological traits, and the postoperative prognoses of patients with triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). Based on NPS, a predictive nomogram was developed to estimate the long-term survival probabilities of patients with TNBC post-surgery. Patients and Methods We retrospectively examined the clinical records of 223 women with TNBC treated at Ningbo Medical Center, Lihuili Hospital between January 1, 2016 and December 31, 2020. Blood tests and biochemical analyses were conducted before surgery. The prognostic nutritional index (PNI), controlling nutritional status (CONUT), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and NPS were determined based on blood-related markers. A Kaplan-Meier survival analysis assessed the association between NPS, PNI, CONUT score, overall survival (OS), and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS). Predictive accuracy was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and C index. The patients were randomly divided into the training and the validation group (6:4 ratio). A nomogram prediction model was developed and evaluated using the R Software for Statistical Computing (RMS) package. Results NPS outperformed other scores in predicting inflammation outcomes. Patients with an elevated NPS had a poorer prognosis (P<0.001). Lymph node ratio (LNR), surgical method, postoperative chemotherapy, and NPS independently predicted OS, whereas M stage, LNR, and NPS independently predicted BCSS outcome. The OS and BCSS predicted by the nomogram model aligned well with the actual OS and BCSS. The decision curve analysis showed significant clinical utility for the nomogram model. Conclusion In this study, NPS was an important prognostic indicator for patients with TNBC. The nomogram prognostic model based on NPS outperformed other prognostic scores for predicting patient prognosis. The model demonstrated a clear stratification ability for patient prognosis, which emphasized the potential benefits of early intervention for high-risk patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yu Qiu
- The Affiliated Lihuili Hospital, Ningbo University, Ningbo, 315000, People’s Republic of China
- Health Science Center, Ningbo University, Ningbo, Zhejiang, 315000, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yan Chen
- The Affiliated Lihuili Hospital, Ningbo University, Ningbo, 315000, People’s Republic of China
- Health Science Center, Ningbo University, Ningbo, Zhejiang, 315000, People’s Republic of China
| | - Haoyang Shen
- The Affiliated Lihuili Hospital, Ningbo University, Ningbo, 315000, People’s Republic of China
- Health Science Center, Ningbo University, Ningbo, Zhejiang, 315000, People’s Republic of China
| | - Shuixin Yan
- The Affiliated Lihuili Hospital, Ningbo University, Ningbo, 315000, People’s Republic of China
- Health Science Center, Ningbo University, Ningbo, Zhejiang, 315000, People’s Republic of China
| | - Jiadi Li
- The Affiliated Lihuili Hospital, Ningbo University, Ningbo, 315000, People’s Republic of China
- Health Science Center, Ningbo University, Ningbo, Zhejiang, 315000, People’s Republic of China
| | - Weizhu Wu
- The Affiliated Lihuili Hospital, Ningbo University, Ningbo, 315000, People’s Republic of China
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Gashu C, Aguade AE. Assessing the survival time of women with breast cancer in Northwestern Ethiopia: using the Bayesian approach. BMC Womens Health 2024; 24:120. [PMID: 38360619 PMCID: PMC10868057 DOI: 10.1186/s12905-024-02954-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2023] [Accepted: 02/05/2024] [Indexed: 02/17/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Despite the significant weight of difficulty, Ethiopia's survival rate and mortality predictors have not yet been identified. Finding out what influences outpatient breast cancer patients' survival time was the major goal of this study. METHODS A retrospective study was conducted on outpatients with breast cancer. In order to accomplish the goal, 382 outpatients with breast cancer were included in the study using information obtained from the medical records of patients registered at the University of Gondar referral hospital in Gondar, Ethiopia, between May 15, 2016, and May 15, 2020. In order to compare survival functions, Kaplan-Meier plots and the log-rank test were used. The Cox-PH model and Bayesian parametric survival models were then used to examine the survival time of breast cancer outpatients. The use of integrated layered Laplace approximation techniques has been made. RESULTS The study included 382 outpatients with breast cancer in total, and 148 (38.7%) patients died. 42 months was the estimated median patient survival time. The Bayesian Weibull accelerated failure time model was determined to be suitable using model selection criteria. Stage, grade 2, 3, and 4, co-morbid, histological type, FIGO stage, chemotherapy, metastatic number 1, 2, and >=3, and tumour size all have a sizable impact on the survival time of outpatients with breast cancer, according to the results of this model. The breast cancer outpatient survival time was correctly predicted by the Bayesian Weibull accelerated failure time model. CONCLUSIONS Compared to high- and middle-income countries, the overall survival rate was lower. Notable variables influencing the length of survival following a breast cancer diagnosis were weight loss, invasive medullar histology, comorbid disease, a large tumour size, an increase in metastases, an increase in the International Federation of Gynaecologists and Obstetricians stage, an increase in grade, lymphatic vascular space invasion, positive regional nodes, and late stages of cancer. The authors advise that it is preferable to increase the number of early screening programmes and treatment centres for breast cancer and to work with the public media to raise knowledge of the disease's prevention, screening, and treatment choices.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chalachew Gashu
- Department of Statistics, College of Natural and Computational Science, Oda Bultum University, Chiro, Ethiopia.
| | - Aragaw Eshetie Aguade
- Department of Statistics, College of Natural and Computational Science, University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia
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Hu Y, Wang Z, Dong L, Zhang L, Xiuyang L. The prognostic value of lymph node ratio for thyroid cancer: a meta-analysis. Front Oncol 2024; 14:1333094. [PMID: 38384804 PMCID: PMC10879587 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2024.1333094] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/04/2023] [Accepted: 01/25/2024] [Indexed: 02/23/2024] Open
Abstract
Background The prognostic value of lymph node ratio (LNR) has been proved in several cancers. However, the potential of LNR to be a prognostic factor for thyroid cancer has not been validated so far. This article evaluated the prognostic value of LNR for thyroid cancer through a meta-analysis. Methods A systematic search was conducted for eligible publications that study the prognostic values of LNR for thyroid cancer in the databases of PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane, and Web of Science up until October 24, 2023. The quality of the eligible studies was evaluated by The Newcastle-Ottawa Assessment Scale of Cohort Study. The effect measure for meta-analysis was Hazard Ratio (HR). Random effect model was used to calculate the pooled HR and 95% confidence intervals. A sensitivity analysis was applied to assess the stability of the results. Subgroup analysis and a meta-regression were performed to explore the source of heterogeneity. And a funnel plot, Begg's and Egger's tests were used to evaluate publication bias. Results A total of 15,698 patients with thyroid cancer from 24 eligible studies whose quality were relatively high were included. The pooled HR was 4.74 (95% CI:3.67-6.11; P<0.05) and a moderate heterogeneity was shown (I2 = 40.8%). The results of meta-analysis were stable according to the sensitivity analysis. Similar outcome were shown in subgroup analysis that higher LNR was associated with poorer disease-free survival (DFS). Results from meta-regression indicated that a combination of 5 factors including country, treatment, type of thyroid cancer, year and whether studies control factors in design or analysis were the origin of heterogeneity. Conclusion Higher LNR was correlated to poorer disease free survival in thyroid cancer. LNR could be a potential prognostic indicator for thyroid cancer. More effort should be made to assess the potential of LNR to be included in the risk stratification systems for thyroid cancer. Systematic review registration https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/display_record.php?RecordID=477135, identifier CRD42023477135.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yue Hu
- Qi-Huang Chinese Medicine, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Zhiyi Wang
- Qi-Huang Chinese Medicine, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China
| | - Lishuo Dong
- College of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Changchun University of Chinese Medicine, Changchun, China
| | - Lu Zhang
- Department of Endocrinology, Hospital of Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China
| | - Li Xiuyang
- Guang’anmen Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
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Vanmathi P, Jose D. An ensemble-based serial cascaded attention network and improved variational auto encoder for breast cancer prognosis prediction using data. Comput Methods Biomech Biomed Engin 2024; 27:98-115. [PMID: 38006210 DOI: 10.1080/10255842.2023.2280883] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/29/2023] [Accepted: 11/02/2023] [Indexed: 11/26/2023]
Abstract
Breast cancer is one of the most common types of cancer in women and it produces a huge amount of death rate in the world. Early recognition is lessening its impact. The early recognition of breast cancer could convince patients to receive surgical therapy, which will significantly improve the chance of restoration. This information is used by the machine learning technique to find links between them and appraise our forecasts of fresh occurrences. Later recognition of breast cancer can lead to death. An accurate prescient framework for breast cancer prediction is urgently needed in the current era. In order to accomplish the objective, an adaptive ensemble model is proposed for breast cancer prognosis prediction using data. At the initial stage, the raw data are fetched from benchmark datasets. It is then followed by data cleaning and preprocessing. Subsequently, the pre-processed data is fed into the Improved Variational Autoencoder (IVAE), where the deep features are extracted. Finally, the resultant features are given as input to the Ensemble-based Serial Cascaded Attention Network (ESCANet), which is built with Deep Temporal Convolution Network (DTCN), Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM), and Recurrent Neural Network (RNN). The effectiveness of the model is validated and compared with conventional methodologies. Therefore, the results elucidate that the proposed methodology achieves extensive results; thus, it increases the system's efficiency.
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Affiliation(s)
- P Vanmathi
- Full time Research Scholar, Department of ECE, KCG College of Technology, Karapakkam, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Deepa Jose
- Professor, Department of ECE, KCG College of Technology, Karapakkam, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
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Huang X, Xu X, Xu A, Luo Z, Li C, Wang X, Fu D. Exploring the most appropriate lymph node staging system for node-positive breast cancer patients and constructing corresponding survival nomograms. J Cancer Res Clin Oncol 2023; 149:14721-14730. [PMID: 37584708 DOI: 10.1007/s00432-023-05283-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/26/2023] [Accepted: 08/11/2023] [Indexed: 08/17/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The lymph node (LN) status is a crucial prognostic factor for breast cancer (BC) patients. Our study aimed to compare the predictive capabilities of three different LN staging systems in node-positive BC patients and develop nomograms to predict overall survival (OS). METHODS We enrolled 71,213 eligible patients from the SEER database, and 667 cases from our hospital were used for external validation. All patients were divided into two groups based on the number of removed lymph nodes (RLNs). The prognostic abilities of pN stage, positive LN ratio (LNR), and log odds of positive LN (LODDS) were compared using the C-indexes and AUC values. LASSO regression was performed to identify significant factors associated with prognosis and develop corresponding nomogram models. RESULTS Our study found that LNR had superior predictive performance compared to pN and LODDS among patients with RLNs < 10, while pN performed better in patients with RLNs ≥ 10. In the training set, the nomogram models exhibited excellent clinical applicability, as evidenced by the C-indexes, ROC curves, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis curves. Moreover, the nomogram classification accurately differentiated risk subgroups and improved discrimination. These results were externally validated in the validation cohort. CONCLUSION Physicians should select different LN staging systems based on the number of RLNs. Our novel nomograms demonstrated excellent performance in both internal and external validations, which may assist in patient counseling and guide treatment decision-making.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiao Huang
- Clinical Medical College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Xiangnan Xu
- Department of Breast Surgery, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital, Clinical Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - An Xu
- Clinical Medical College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Zhou Luo
- Department of Breast Surgery, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital, Clinical Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Chunlian Li
- Clinical Medical College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu Province, China
- Department of Breast Surgery, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital, Clinical Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Xueying Wang
- Clinical Medical College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu Province, China
- Department of Breast Surgery, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital, Clinical Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Deyuan Fu
- Department of Breast Surgery, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital, Clinical Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu Province, China.
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de Campos Souza PV, Lughofer E. Online active learning for an evolving fuzzy neural classifier based on data density and specificity. Neurocomputing 2022. [DOI: 10.1016/j.neucom.2022.09.133] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
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8
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Gartagani Z, Doumas S, Kyriakopoulou A, Economopoulou P, Psaltopoulou T, Kotsantis I, Sergentanis TN, Psyrri A. Lymph Node Ratio as a Prognostic Factor in Neck Dissection in Oral Cancer Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Cancers (Basel) 2022; 14:cancers14184456. [PMID: 36139617 PMCID: PMC9497248 DOI: 10.3390/cancers14184456] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/27/2022] [Revised: 09/08/2022] [Accepted: 09/12/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Simple Summary Lymph node ratio (LNR) is a well-studied prognostic factor in colorectal and breast cancer, and it has been recently evaluated as a clinically relevant biomarker in oral squamous cell carcinoma. LNR represents the ratio of positive lymph nodes extracted in a neck dissection to the total number of nodes harvested (lymph node yield, LNY). Many single-center cohort studies and a few multicenter have assessed the significance of LNR as a prognostic factor in oral cancer. In this systematic review and meta-analysis of 32 studies and 20,994 oral cancer patients, we demonstrate that LNR is an independent prognostic indicator in patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma. Abstract Many studies have evaluated the clinical implications of lymph node ratio (LNR) as a prognostic factor in patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). The main purpose of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to address LNR as a prognosticator in patients with OSCC. A systematic search was conducted in the following databases: PubMed, EMBASE, Google Scholar, OpenGrey, Cochrane library, and ClinicalTrials.gov, and studies between 2009 and 2020 were sought. The pooled relative risk was calculated along with 95% confidence intervals for the following endpoints: overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), disease-specific survival (DSS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), locoregional disease-free survival (LRDFS), local recurrence-free survival (LRFS), and recurrence-free survival (RFS) according to the random-effects model (Der Simonian–Laird approach). Subgroup and meta-regression analyses were performed as well. Finally, 32 cohort studies were eligible, which included 20,994 patients with OSCC. Patients were subdivided into two categories, group YES (studies that included in their analysis only patients with positive lymph nodes) and group NO (studies that did not exclude LNR = 0 patients). In the group YES, patients with high LNR had shorter OS (RR = 1.68, 95% CI: 1.47–1.91), DFS (RR = 1.68, 95% CI: 1.42–1.99), DSS (RR = 1.94, 95% CI: 1.56–2.42), DMFS (RR = 1.83, 95% CI: 1.13–2.96), LRDFS (RR = 1.55, 95% CI: 1.10–2.20), and LRFS (RR = 1.73, 95% CI: 1.41–2.13) compared to patients with low LNR. In the group NO, patients with high LNR in comparison had shorter OS (RR = 2.38, 95% CI: 1.99–2.85), DFS (RR = 2.04, 95% CI: 1.48–2.81), and DSS (RR = 2.90, 95% CI: 2.35–3.57) compared to patients with low LNR. Based on those findings, LNR might be an independent prognostic factor for OS in patients with OSCC and could be incorporated into future classification systems for better risk stratification.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zoi Gartagani
- Department of Clinical Therapeutics, “Alexandra” Hospital, School of Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11528 Athens, Greece
| | - Stergios Doumas
- East Kent Hospitals University NHS Foundation Trust, Kent CT1 3NG, UK
| | - Artemis Kyriakopoulou
- Department of Clinical Therapeutics, “Alexandra” Hospital, School of Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11528 Athens, Greece
| | - Panagiota Economopoulou
- Department of Internal Medicine, Section of Medical Oncology, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Attikon University Hospital, 12462 Athens, Greece
| | - Theodora Psaltopoulou
- Department of Clinical Therapeutics, “Alexandra” Hospital, School of Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, 11528 Athens, Greece
| | - Ioannis Kotsantis
- Department of Internal Medicine, Section of Medical Oncology, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Attikon University Hospital, 12462 Athens, Greece
| | - Theodoros N. Sergentanis
- Department of Public Health Policy, School of Public Health, University of West Attica, 12243 Athens, Greece
| | - Amanda Psyrri
- Department of Internal Medicine, Section of Medical Oncology, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Attikon University Hospital, 12462 Athens, Greece
- Correspondence:
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Xiong L, Jiang Y, Hu T. Prognostic nomograms for lung neuroendocrine carcinomas based on lymph node ratio: a SEER database analysis. J Int Med Res 2022; 50:3000605221115160. [PMID: 36076355 PMCID: PMC9465598 DOI: 10.1177/03000605221115160] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective The current study aimed to explore the prognostic value of the lymph node
ratio (LNR) in patients with lung neuroendocrine carcinomas (LNECs). Methods Data for 1564 elderly patients with LNECs between 1998 and 2016 were obtained
from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. The cases
were assigned randomly to training (n = 1086) and internal validation
(n = 478) sets. The association between LNR and survival was investigated by
Cox regression. Results Multivariate analyses identified age, tumor grade, summary stage, M stage,
surgery, and LNR as independent prognostic factors for both overall survival
(OS) and lung cancer-specific survival (LCSS). Tumor size was also a
prognostic determinant for LCSS. Prognostic nomograms combining LNR with
other informative variables showed good discrimination and calibration
abilities in both the training and validation sets. In addition, the C-index
of the nomograms was statistically superior to the American Joint Committee
on Cancer (AJCC) staging system in both the training and validation
cohorts. Conclusions These nomograms, based on LNR, showed superior prognostic predictive accuracy
compared with the AJCC staging system for predicting OS and LCSS in patients
with LNECs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lan Xiong
- Department of Respiration, 585250The Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Youfan Jiang
- Department of Respiration, 585250The Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Tianyang Hu
- Precision Medicine Center, 585250The Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
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Junath N, Bharadwaj A, Tyagi S, Sengar K, Hasan MNS, Jayasudha M. Prognostic Diagnosis for Breast Cancer Patients Using Probabilistic Bayesian Classification. BIOMED RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2022; 2022:1859222. [PMID: 35924264 PMCID: PMC9343185 DOI: 10.1155/2022/1859222] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/06/2022] [Revised: 07/06/2022] [Accepted: 07/15/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
The diagnosis and treatment of patients in the healthcare industry are greatly aided by data analytics. Massive amounts of data should be handled using machine learning approaches to provide tools for prediction and categorization to support practitioner decision-making. Based on the kind of tumor, disorders like breast cancer can be categorized. The difficulties associated with evaluating vast amounts of data should be overcome by discovering an efficient method for categorization. Based on the Bayesian method, we analyzed the influence of clinic pathological indicators on the prognosis and survival rate of breast cancer patients and compared the local resection value directly using the lymph node ratio (LNR) and the overall value using the LNR differences in effect between estimates. Logistic regression was used to estimate the overall LNR of patients. After that, a probabilistic Bayesian classifier-based dynamic regression model for prognosis analysis is built to capture the dynamic effect of multiple clinic pathological markers on patient prognosis. The dynamic regression model employing the total estimated value of LNR had the best fitting impact on the data, according to the simulation findings. In comparison to other models, this model has the greatest overall survival forecast accuracy. These prognostic techniques shed light on the nodal survival and status particular to the patient. Additionally, the framework is flexible and may be used with various cancer types and datasets.
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Affiliation(s)
- N. Junath
- The University of Technology and Applied Science Ibri Sultanate of Oman, Oman
| | - Alok Bharadwaj
- Department of Biotechnology, GLA University, Mathura, India
| | - Sachin Tyagi
- Bharat Institute of Technology, School of Pharmacy Meerut, India
| | - Kalpana Sengar
- Biosense Lifecare Research and Development Laboratory, Kalphelix Biotechnologies, Kanpur 208011, India
| | | | - M. Jayasudha
- School of Computer Science and Engineering, Vellore Institute of Technology, Chennai, India
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Huang X, Luo Z, Liang W, Xie G, Lang X, Gou J, Liu C, Xu X, Fu D. Survival Nomogram for Young Breast Cancer Patients Based on the SEER Database and an External Validation Cohort. Ann Surg Oncol 2022; 29:5772-5781. [PMID: 35661275 PMCID: PMC9356966 DOI: 10.1245/s10434-022-11911-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 35] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2022] [Accepted: 05/03/2022] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
Background Young breast cancer (YBC) patients are more prone to lymph node metastasis than other age groups. Our study aimed to investigate the predictive value of lymph node ratio (LNR) in YBC patients and create a nomogram to predict overall survival (OS), thus helping clinical diagnosis and treatment. Methods Patients diagnosed with YBC between January 2010 and December 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were enrolled and randomly divided into a training set and an internal validation set with a ratio of 7:3. An independent cohort from our hospital was used for external validation. Univariate and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression were used to identify the significant factors associated with prognosis, which were used to create a nomogram for predicting 3- and 5-year OS. Results We selected seven survival predictors (tumor grade, T-stage, N-stage, LNR, ER status, PR status, HER2 status) for nomogram construction. The C-indexes in the training set, the internal validation set, and the external validation set were 0.775, 0.778 and 0.817, respectively. The nomogram model was well calibrated, and the time-dependent ROC curves verified the superiority of our model for clinical usefulness. In addition, the nomogram classification could more precisely differentiate risk subgroups and improve the discrimination of YBC prognosis. Conclusions LNR is a strong predictor of OS in YBC patients. The novel nomogram based on LNR is a reliable tool to predict survival, which may assist clinicians in identifying high-risk patients and devising individual treatments.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiao Huang
- Clinical Medical College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Zhou Luo
- Department of Breast Surgery, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital, Clinical Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Wei Liang
- Graduate School, Dalian Medical University, Dalian, China
| | - Guojian Xie
- Clinical Medical College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu Province, China
| | - Xusen Lang
- Graduate School, Dalian Medical University, Dalian, China
| | - Jiaxiang Gou
- Graduate School, Dalian Medical University, Dalian, China
| | - Chenxiao Liu
- Graduate School, Dalian Medical University, Dalian, China
| | - Xiangnan Xu
- Department of Breast Surgery, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital, Clinical Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Deyuan Fu
- Department of Breast Surgery, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital, Clinical Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China.
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Shi J, Liu S, Cao J, Shan S, Ren C, Zhang J, Wang Y. Prognostic Nomogram Based on the Metastatic Lymph Node Ratio for T 1-4N 0-1M 0 Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors After Surgery. Front Oncol 2022; 12:899759. [PMID: 35574346 PMCID: PMC9092648 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2022.899759] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/19/2022] [Accepted: 03/31/2022] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
Purpose This study aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of the metastatic lymph node ratio (LNR) in patients with pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (pNETs) and to develop and validate nomograms to predict 5-, 7-, and 10-year overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates for pNETs after surgical resection. Methods The demographics and clinicopathological information of T1-4N0-1M0 pNET patients between 2004 and 2018 were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database. X-tile software was used to determine the best cutoff value for the LNR. Patients were randomly divided into the training and the validation groups. A Cox regression model was used in the training group to obtain independent prognostic factors to develop nomograms for predicting OS and CSS. The concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess the nomograms. Patients were divided into four groups according to the model scores, and their survival curves were generated by the Kaplan–Meier method. Results A total of 806 patients were included in this study. The best cutoff value for the LNR was 0.16. The LNR was negatively correlated with both OS and CSS. Age, sex, marital status, primary site, grade, the LNR and radiotherapy were used to construct OS and CSS nomograms. In the training group, the C-index was 0.771 for OS and 0.778 for CSS. In the validation group, the C-index was 0.737 for OS and 0.727 for CSS. The calibration curves and AUC also indicated their good predictability. DCA demonstrated that the nomograms displayed better performance than the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM staging system (8th edition). Risk stratification indicated that patients with higher risk had a worse prognosis. Conclusions The LNR is an independent negative prognostic factor for pNETs. The nomograms we built can accurately predict long-term survival for pNETs after surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jingxiang Shi
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Tianjin Key Laboratory of Extracorporeal Life Support for Critical Diseases, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Artificial Cell Engineering Technology Research Center, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Tianjin Institute of Hepatobiliary Disease, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China
| | - Sifan Liu
- School of Statistics, Tianjin University of Finance and Economics, Tianjin, China
| | - Jisen Cao
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Tianjin Key Laboratory of Extracorporeal Life Support for Critical Diseases, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Artificial Cell Engineering Technology Research Center, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Tianjin Institute of Hepatobiliary Disease, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China
| | - Shigang Shan
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Tianjin Key Laboratory of Extracorporeal Life Support for Critical Diseases, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Artificial Cell Engineering Technology Research Center, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Tianjin Institute of Hepatobiliary Disease, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China
| | - Chaoyi Ren
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Tianjin Key Laboratory of Extracorporeal Life Support for Critical Diseases, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Artificial Cell Engineering Technology Research Center, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Tianjin Institute of Hepatobiliary Disease, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China
| | - Jinjuan Zhang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Tianjin Key Laboratory of Extracorporeal Life Support for Critical Diseases, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Artificial Cell Engineering Technology Research Center, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Tianjin Institute of Hepatobiliary Disease, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China
| | - Yijun Wang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Tianjin Key Laboratory of Extracorporeal Life Support for Critical Diseases, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Artificial Cell Engineering Technology Research Center, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China.,Tianjin Institute of Hepatobiliary Disease, The Third Central Hospital of Tianjin, Tianjin, China
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Shakir H, Khan T, Rasheed H, Deng Y. Radiomics Based Bayesian Inversion Method for Prediction of Cancer and Pathological Stage. IEEE JOURNAL OF TRANSLATIONAL ENGINEERING IN HEALTH AND MEDICINE 2021; 9:4300208. [PMID: 34522470 PMCID: PMC8428789 DOI: 10.1109/jtehm.2021.3108390] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/11/2021] [Revised: 07/23/2021] [Accepted: 08/13/2021] [Indexed: 01/10/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To develop a Bayesian inversion framework on longitudinal chest CT scans which can perform efficient multi-class classification of lung cancer. METHODS While the unavailability of large number of training medical images impedes the performance of lung cancer classifiers, the purpose built deep networks have not performed well in multi-class classification. The presented framework employs particle filtering approach to address the non-linear behaviour of radiomic features towards benign and cancerous (stages I, II, III, IV) nodules and performs efficient multi-class classification (benign, early stage cancer, advanced stage cancer) in terms of posterior probability function. A joint likelihood function incorporating diagnostic radiomic features is formulated which can compute likelihood of cancer and its pathological stage. The proposed research study also investigates and validates diagnostic features to discriminate accurately between early stage (I, II) and advanced stage (III, IV) cancer. RESULTS The proposed stochastic framework achieved 86% accuracy on the benchmark database which is better than the other prominent cancer detection methods. CONCLUSION The presented classification framework can aid radiologists in accurate interpretation of lung CT images at an early stage and can lead to timely medical treatment of cancer patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hina Shakir
- Department of Electrical EngineeringBahria UniversityKarachi75620Pakistan
| | - Tariq Khan
- Department of Electrical and Power EngineeringNational University of Science and TechnologyIslamabad75350Pakistan
| | - Haroon Rasheed
- Department of Electrical EngineeringBahria UniversityKarachi75620Pakistan
| | - Yiming Deng
- Department of Electrical and Computer EngineeringMichigan State UniversityEast LansingMI48824USA
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Chen Q, Li M, Wang P, Chen J, Zhao H, Zhao J. Optimal Cut-Off Values of the Positive Lymph Node Ratio and the Number of Removed Nodes for Patients Receiving Resection of Bronchopulmonary Carcinoids: A Propensity Score-Weighted Analysis of the SEER Database. Front Oncol 2021; 11:696732. [PMID: 34367980 PMCID: PMC8335164 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.696732] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/17/2021] [Accepted: 06/30/2021] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Although lymph node dissection (LND) has been commonly used for patients with bronchopulmonary carcinoids (PCs), the prognostic values of the positive lymph node ratio (PLNR) and the number of removed nodes (NRN) remain unclear. Methods Patients with resected PCs were identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (2010–2015). The optimal cut-off values of the PLNR and NRN were determined by X-tile. The inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) method was used to reduce the selection bias. IPTW-adjusted Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models were used to compare the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of patients in different PLNR and NRN groups. Results The study included 1622 patients. The optimal cut-off values of the PLNR and NRN for survival were 13% and 13, respectively. In both Kaplan-Meier analysis and univariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis before IPTW, a PLNR ≥13% was significantly associated with worse OS (HR = 3.364, P<0.001) and worse CSS (HR = 7.874, P<0.001). These findings were corroborated by the IPTW-adjusted Cox analysis OS (HR = 2.358, P = 0.0275) and CSS (HR = 8.190, P<0.001) results. An NRN ≥13 was not significantly associated with worse OS in either the Kaplan-Meier or Cox analysis before or after IPTW adjustment. In the Cox proportional hazards analysis before and after IPTW adjustment, an NRN ≥13 was significantly associated with worse CSS (non-IPTW: HR = 2.216, P=0.013; IPTW-adjusted: HR = 2.162, P=0.024). Conclusion A PLNR ≥13% could predict worse OS and CSS in patients with PCs and might be an important complement to the present PC staging system. Extensive LND with an NRN ≥13 might have no therapeutic value for OS and may even have an adverse influence on CSS. Its application should be considered on an individual basis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qichen Chen
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Mingxia Li
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.,Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Pan Wang
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Jinghua Chen
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Hong Zhao
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.,Key Laboratory of Gene Editing Screening and R & D of Digestive System Tumor Drugs, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Jun Zhao
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
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Li Z, Xia Y. Deep Reinforcement Learning for Weakly-Supervised Lymph Node Segmentation in CT Images. IEEE J Biomed Health Inform 2021; 25:774-783. [PMID: 32749988 DOI: 10.1109/jbhi.2020.3008759] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
Accurate and automated lymph node segmentation is pivotal for quantitatively accessing disease progression and potential therapeutics. The complex variation of lymph node morphology and the difficulty of acquiring voxel-wise manual annotations make lymph node segmentation a challenging task. Since the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) annotation, which indicates the location, length, and width of a lymph node, is commonly available in hospital data archives, we advocate to use RECIST annotations as the supervision, and thus formulate this segmentation task into a weakly-supervised learning problem. In this paper, we propose a deep reinforcement learning-based lymph node segmentation (DRL-LNS) model. Based on RECIST annotations, we segment RECIST-slices in an unsupervised way to produce pseudo ground truths, which are then used to train U-Net as a segmentation network. Next, we train a DRL model, in which the segmentation network interacts with the policy network to optimize the lymph node bounding boxes and segmentation results simultaneously. The proposed DRL-LNS model was evaluated against three widely used image segmentation networks on a public thoracoabdominal Computed Tomography (CT) dataset that contains 984 3D lymph nodes, and achieves the mean Dice similarity coefficient (DSC) of 77.17% and the mean Intersection over Union (IoU) of 64.78% in the four-fold cross-validation. Our results suggest that the DRL-based bounding box prediction strategy outperforms the label propagation strategy and the proposed DRL-LNS model is able to achieve the state-of-the-art performance on this weakly-supervised lymph node segmentation task.
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Liao Y, Yin G, Fan X. The Positive Lymph Node Ratio Predicts Survival in T 1-4N 1-3M 0 Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Nomogram Using the SEER Database. Front Oncol 2020; 10:1356. [PMID: 32903785 PMCID: PMC7438846 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2020.01356] [Citation(s) in RCA: 34] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/03/2020] [Accepted: 06/29/2020] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: An increasing number of studies have shown that the positive lymph node ratio (pLNR) can be used to evaluate the prognosis of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. To determine the predictive value of the pLNR, we collected data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and performed a retrospective analysis. Methods: We collected survival and clinical information on patients with T1-4N1-3M0 NSCLC diagnosed between 2010 and 2016 from the SEER database and screened them according to inclusion and exclusion criteria. X-tile software was used to obtain the best cut-off value for the pLNR. Then, we randomly divided patients into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3. Pearson's correlation coefficient, tolerance and the variance inflation factor (VIF) were used to detect collinearity between variables. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify significant prognostic factors, and nomograms was constructed to visualize the results. The concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess the predictive ability of the nomogram. We divided the patient scores into four groups according to the interquartile interval and constructed a survival curve using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: A total of 6,245 patients were initially enrolled. The best cut-off value for the pLNR was determined to be 0.55. The nomogram contained 13 prognostic factors, including the pLNR. The pLNR was identified as an independent prognostic factor for both overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). The C-index was 0.703 (95% CI, 0.695-0.711) in the training set and 0.711 (95% CI, 0.699-0.723) in the validation set. The calibration curves and DCA also indicated the good predictability of the nomogram. Risk stratification revealed a statistically significant difference among the four groups of patients divided according to quartiles of risk score. Conclusion: The nomogram containing the pLNR can accurately predict survival in patients with T1-4N1-3M0 NSCLC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yi Liao
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.,Inflammation & Allergic Diseases Research Unit, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
| | - Guofang Yin
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.,Inflammation & Allergic Diseases Research Unit, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
| | - Xianming Fan
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China.,Inflammation & Allergic Diseases Research Unit, The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, China
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