Safety and efficacy of nivolumab in Japanese patients with malignant melanoma: An interim analysis of a postmarketing surveillance

Effectiveness of immune checkpoint inhibitors and other treatment modalities in patients with advanced mucosal melanomas: a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis

Background

Mucosal melanomas (MM) are an aggressive subtype of melanoma. Given the rarity of this disease, the conduct of clinical trials is challenging and has been limited. Current treatment options have been extrapolated from the more common cutaneous melanoma even though MM is distinct in pathogenesis, etiology and prognosis. This is the first meta-analysis to comprehensively assess the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors (anti-PD1 and anti-CTLA4) and other treatment modalities (targeted therapy such as KIT inhibitors and VEGF inhibitors, as well as radiotherapy) on survival outcomes in MM to develop clinical guidelines for evidence-based management.

Methods

The protocol was prospectively registered on PROSPERO (PROSPERO ID: CRD42023411195). PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), Web of Science and Google Scholar were searched from inception until 25 July 2024, for all cohort and observational studies. Eligible studies included those with five or more participants with locally advanced or metastatic MM treated with anti-PD1, anti-CTLA4, VEGF inhibitors and/or KIT inhibitors. Titles and abstracts of potential articles were screened and full texts of all potentially eligible studies were retrieved and reviewed by two independent reviewers. Individual patient data (IPD) from published Kaplan-Meier curves were reconstructed using a graphical reconstruction method and pooled as a one-stage meta-analysis. A sensitivity analysis using a two-stage meta-analysis approach was conducted. Extracted outcomes included overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). For each treatment arm, median survival time and 12-month survival proportion were estimated. Data from double-arm trials was pooled to estimate hazard ratios (HRs), ratios of restricted mean time lost (RMTL) and restricted mean survival time (RMST).

Findings

From a total of 7402 studies, 35 eligible studies comprising a total of 2833 participants were included. Combined anti-PD1 and anti-CTLA4 therapy had the highest 12-month OS and 12-month PFS at 71.8% (95% CI: 67.6%, 76.2%, n = 476) and 35.1% (95% CI: 30.5%, 40.4%, n = 401) respectively, followed by anti-PD1 therapy alone (OS: 64.0% (95% CI: 61.4%, 66.7%, n = 1399); PFS: was 28.3% (95% CI: 25.8%, 31.2%, n = 1142), anti-PD1 and VEGF inhibitor combination therapy (OS: 57.1% (95% CI: 51.0%, 63.9%)), KIT inhibitors (OS: 48.2% (95% CI: 37.6%, 61.8%); PFS: 8.3% (95% CI: 3.7%, 18.7%)) and anti-CTLA4 therapy alone (OS: 33.3% (95% CI: 28.4%, 39.1%); PFS: 9.8% (95% CI: 5.9%, 16.5%)). In the double-arm studies, combination therapy with anti-PD1 and anti-CTLA4 had similar OS and PFS with anti-PD1 alone (OS: HR 0.856 (95% CI: 0.704, 1.04); RMTL ratio 0.932 (95% CI: 0.832, 1.044, P = 0.225); RMST ratio 1.102 (95% CI: 0.948, 1.281, P = 0.204); PFS: HR 0.919 (95% CI: 0.788, 1.07); RMTL ratio 0.936 (95% CI: 0.866, 1.013, P = 0.100); RMST ratio 1.21 (95% CI: 0.979, 1.496, P = 0.078)), however, anti-PD1 therapy alone had significantly better PFS than anti-CTLA4 alone (HR 0.548 (95% CI: 0.376, 0.799); RMTL ratio 0.715 (95% CI: 0.606, 0.844, P < 0.001); RMST ratio 1.659 (95% CI: 1.316, 2.092, P < 0.001)). Anti-PD1 therapy with radiotherapy versus anti-PD1 alone showed no significant difference (OS: HR 0.854 (95% CI: 0.567, 1.29); RMTL ratio 0.855 (95% CI: 0.675, 1.083, P = 0.193); RMST ratio 1.194 (95% CI: 0.928, 1.536, P = 0.168; PFS: HR 0.994 (95% CI: 0.710, 1.39); RMTL ratio 1.006 (95% CI: 0.87, 1.162, P = 0.939); RMST ratio 0.984 (95% CI: 0.658, 1.472, P = 0.939)).

Interpretation

For the systemic treatment of MM, anti-PD1 is the best monotherapy. While combining anti-PD1 with other treatment options such as anti-CTLA4, VEGF inhibitors or radiotherapy might achieve better outcomes, these improvements did not reach statistical significance when evaluated by HR, RMTL and RMST ratios.

Funding

This work was supported by the National Medical Research Council Transition Award (TA20nov-0020), SingHealth Duke-NUS Oncology Academic Clinical Programme (08/FY2020/EX/67-A143 and 08/FY2021/EX/17-A47), the Khoo Pilot Collaborative Award (Duke-NUS-KP(Coll)/2022/0020A), the National Medical Research Council Clinician Scientist-Individual Research Grant-New Investigator Grant (CNIGnov-0025), the Terry Fox Grant (I1056) and the Khoo Bridge Funding Award (Duke-NUS-KBrFA/2024/0083I).

Management of liver and gastrointestinal toxicity induced by immune checkpoint inhibitors: Position statement of the AEEH-AEG-SEPD-SEOM-GETECCU

The development of the immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) is one of the most remarkable achievements in cancer therapy in recent years. However, their exponential use has led to an increase in immune-related adverse events (irAEs). Gastrointestinal and liver events encompass hepatitis, colitis and upper digestive tract symptoms accounting for the most common irAEs, with incidence rates varying from 2% to 40%, the latter in patients undergoing combined ICIs therapy. Based on the current scientific evidence derived from both randomized clinical trials and real-world studies, this statement document provides recommendations on the diagnosis, treatment and prognosis of the gastrointestinal and hepatic ICI-induced adverse events.

Management of liver and gastrointestinal toxicity induced by immune checkpoint inhibitors: Position statement of the AEEH-AEG-SEPD-SEOM-GETECCU

The development of the immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) is one of the most remarkable achievements in cancer therapy in recent years. However, their exponential use has led to an increase in immune-related adverse events (irAEs). Gastrointestinal and liver events encompass hepatitis, colitis and upper digestive tract symptoms accounting for the most common irAEs, with incidence rates varying from 2 % to 40 %, the latter in patients undergoing combined ICIs therapy. Based on the current scientific evidence derived from both randomized clinical trials and real-world studies, this statement document provides recommendations on the diagnosis, treatment and prognosis of the gastrointestinal and hepatic ICI-induced adverse events.

Immune checkpoint inhibitor-based therapy for advanced acral and mucosal melanoma

Acral melanoma (AM) and mucosal melanomas (MM) are rare clinical subtypes of melanoma. AM and MM are etiologically, biologically, and molecularly distinct from cutaneous melanoma (CM). Despite the recent development of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) for the treatment of advanced CMs, the true therapeutic efficacy of ICIs for these rare subtypes remains unclear. Since these subtypes are rare, especially in the Caucasian population, their biological features and corresponding novel therapies are underexplored than those of CM. Even in the larger phase III clinical trials for ICIs, the sample size of patients with AM and MM is limited. Consequently, establishment of standard of care for advanced AM and MM has been challenging. This review covers current update and overview on clinical efficacy of ICIs and ICI-based therapy for advanced AM and MM, based mainly on the reported clinical trials, prospective observational studies, and retrospective studies, to provide a better understanding of the current landscape of this field. In addition, we discuss the future direction of treatment for those rare clinical subtypes, focusing on issues relevant to dermatology and medical oncology.

Immunotherapy for Melanoma: The Significance of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors for the Treatment of Advanced Melanoma

Therapeutic options for treating advanced melanoma have progressed rapidly in recent decades. Until 6 years ago, the regimen for treating advanced melanoma consisted mainly of cytotoxic agents such as dacarbazine and type I interferons. Since 2014, anti-programmed cell death 1 (PD1) antibodies have been recognized as anchor drugs for treating advanced melanoma, with or without additional combination drugs such as ipilimumab, but the efficacies of these immunotherapies are not fully satisfactory. In this review, we describe the development of the currently available anti-PD1 Abs-based immunotherapies for advanced melanoma, focusing on their efficacy and immune-related adverse events (AEs), as well as clinical trials still ongoing for the future treatment of advanced melanoma.

Real-world safety and effectiveness of pembrolizumab in Japanese patients with radically unresectable melanoma: An all-case postmarketing surveillance in Japan

This all-case postmarketing surveillance (PMS) survey (101 centers; February 15, 2017, to March 3, 2020) captured factors that impact the safety and effectiveness of newly initiated pembrolizumab monotherapy for the treatment of radically unresectable melanoma in Japan. Eligible patients were enrolled both retrospectively and prospectively, and followed up at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months. Safety assessments included treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs), adverse events of special interest (AEOSIs) from the Japanese Risk Management Plan (J-AEOSIs), and J-AEOSIs related to pembrolizumab. Effectiveness assessments included objective response rate (ORR; complete response/partial response) and disease control rate (DCR) according to the RECIST criteria. Overall, 294 and 236 patients comprised the safety and effectiveness (RECIST) assessment sets, respectively. Median (range) age of the patients was 70 (22-94) years, and the majority (60.4%) received pembrolizumab as first-line therapy. The most common type of melanoma was cutaneous (41.5%), followed by mucosal (29.3%), acral (24.8%), and unknown (4.4%). Overall, 45.2% and 24.8% of patients experienced TRAEs and AEOSIs, respectively. In total, 24.8% and 9.2% of patients experienced any-grade and grade ≥3 pembrolizumab-related AEOSIs, respectively. The most common grade ≥3 pembrolizumab-related AEOSIs were endocrine disorders and liver dysfunction (2.4% each), followed by colitis/severe diarrhea (2.0%), interstitial lung disease (1%), and type 1 diabetes (0.7%). No grade 5 J-AEOSIs were observed. ORR was 16.5% at the 1-year follow-up: mucosal melanoma (20%), acral melanoma (10%), and cutaneous melanoma (17.5%). ORR was higher among patients who did not receive versus those who did receive previous systemic therapy across all three melanoma types. DCR was 52.1% at the 1-year follow-up: cutaneous melanoma (57.3%), acral melanoma (51.7%), and mucosal melanoma (43.1%). This all-case PMS survey confirmed the real-world safety and effectiveness of pembrolizumab monotherapy for the treatment of radically unresectable melanoma in Japan.

Atezolizumab plus Bevacizumab in Patients with Unresectable or Metastatic Mucosal Melanoma: A Multicenter, Open-Label, Single-Arm Phase II Study

PURPOSE

Anti-programmed cell death-1 monotherapy is part of standard therapy for cutaneous melanoma but has low efficacy in mucosal melanoma. We evaluated the efficacy and safety of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab as first-line therapy for advanced mucosal melanoma.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This multicenter, open-label, single-arm, phase II study used a Simon's two-stage design. Atezolizumab (fixed-dose, 1,200 mg) and bevacizumab (7.5 mg/kg) were administered by intravenous infusion every 3 weeks. The primary endpoint was objective response rate (ORR), determined per RECIST v1.1. Secondary endpoints included progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), duration of response (DOR), and safety, with adverse events (AE) summarized using NCI-CTCAE v5.0.

RESULTS

Overall, 43 patients were enrolled, including 20 (46.5%) with unresectable and 23 (53.5%) with metastatic mucosal melanoma. Median follow-up was 13.4 months at data cutoff (July 30, 2021). Forty patients were evaluable for response: ORR was 45.0% [95% confidence interval (CI), 29.3%-61.5%; one complete response, 17 partial responses]. Median PFS was 8.2 months (95% CI, 2.7-9.6); 6- and 12-month PFS rates were 53.4% (95% CI, 36.6%-67.6%) and 28.1% (95% CI, 14.2%-43.9%), respectively. Median OS was not reached (NR; 95% CI, 14.4-NR). Six- and 12-month OS rates were 92.5% (95% CI, 78.5%-97.5%) and 76.0% (95% CI, 57.1%-87.5%), respectively. Median DOR was 12.5 months (95% CI, 5.5-NR). Overall, 90.7% (39/43) of patients experienced treatment-related AEs; 25.6% (11/43) experienced grade ≥3 events.

CONCLUSIONS

Atezolizumab in combination with bevacizumab showed promising efficacy and manageable safety in patients with advanced mucosal melanoma.

Venous thromboembolism in cancer and cancer immunotherapy

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a clinical disease that includes deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism. Amongst its underlying risk factors, cancer is of great importance. Stasis, endothelial injury, and hypercoagulability result in clot formation and VTE. Cancer can affect coagulability by favoring these three factors, resulting in VTE incidence. Immunotherapy is a novel therapeutic approach, targeting cancer by immune system enhancement. VTE is one of the most important adverse effects of immunotherapy, which complicates the administration of immunotherapy in cancer patients. The current review provides a brief overview of VTE epidemiology, pathophysiology, risk factors, biomarkers, the relationship of cancer and cancer immunotherapy to VTE incidence, and managing cancer-associated VTE.

Safety and effectiveness of nivolumab in Japanese patients with malignant melanoma: Final analysis of a post-marketing surveillance

Nivolumab, a monoclonal antibody against human programmed death 1, was approved for the treatment of melanoma in July 2014 in Japan. Because the Japanese phase II studies (ONO-4538-02, ONO-4538-08) enrolled small numbers of melanoma patients, post-marketing surveillance (PMS; JapicCTI-163 272) was conducted to collect safety data in a larger patient population. We report data for melanoma patients who received nivolumab between July 4, 2014 and February 28, 2017. Data collected included baseline characteristics, laboratory tests, treatment-related adverse events (TRAE), and overall survival (OS). Of 2069 enrolled patients, 2008 patients were included in the safety analysis population. There were 1030 (51.3%) males, the median age was 69 years, and 269 patients (13.4%) had a performance status of ≥2. The primary tumor sites were cutaneous (34.4%), mucosal (34.2%), acral lentiginous (18.6%), others (6.8%), and unknown (6.3%). TRAE occurred in 62.1% of patients, the most common being hypothyroidism (14.0%), increased aspartate aminotransferase (8.5%), and increased alanine aminotransferase (6.9%). TRAE of special interest in ≥5% of patients were thyroid dysfunction (24.9%), hepatic dysfunction (20.6%), infusion reactions (11.4%), colitis/severe diarrhea (6.3%), and interstitial lung disease (ILD; 5.0%). Several types of TRAE of special interest, which included myasthenia gravis/myocarditis/myositis/rhabdomyolysis (0.9%), venous thromboembolism (0.2%), immune thrombocytopenic purpura (0.1%), and encephalitis (0.0%), were observed in this PMS. Although these TRAE were not reported in previous studies (ONO-4538-02, ONO-4538-08, CheckMate 066, and CheckMate 037), they have been listed in the current Risk Management Plan. History of ILD and male sex were risk factors for ILD in a multivariable analysis. Age <75 years was a risk factor for hepatic dysfunction. At 12 months, median OS was not reached. In conclusion, these results suggested that there was no concern requiring additional precautions for the safety of nivolumab in Japanese patients with melanoma other than the safety information in the Risk Management Plan.

The clinical utility of comprehensive measurement of autoimmune disease-related antibodies in patients with advanced solid tumors receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

The comprehensive measurement of autoimmune disease-related antibodies (Abs) before immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) treatment may be useful for predicting the development of immune-related adverse events (irAEs); however, the clinical utility is not well known.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed patients with advanced solid tumors treated with ICI monotherapy or doublet combination therapy between July 2014 and December 2020 at single institute. Anti-nuclear antibody (ANA), anti-thyroglobulin (Tg) Ab, anti-thyroid peroxidase (TPO) Ab, anti-glutamic acid decarboxylase (GAD) Ab, anti-acetylcholine esterase receptor (AchR) Ab, and platelet-associated immunoglobulin G (PA-IgG) Ab were comprehensively measured for the screening before ICI therapy.

RESULTS

Of 275 registered patients (median age, 70 years; male, 64.4%; Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0 or 1, 88.7%; and prior regimen of 0-1/≥2, 88.7%/11.3%), 128 non-small-cell lung cancer, 35 gastric cancer, 33 head and neck cancer, 24 melanoma, 19 renal cell carcinoma, 13 urothelial carcinoma, 12 esophageal cancer, 5 malignant mesothelioma of pleura, 2 endometrial cancer, and 4 other cancer were included. The number of patients with positive ANA, Tg, TPO, PA-IgG, GAD, and AchR Abs was 52 (24.9%), 38 (14.5%), 11 (10.1%), 6 (3.5%), 5 (2.0%), and 1 (0.5%), respectively. There was no association between the development of any irAEs and Abs positivity, while thyroid dysfunction developed more frequently among patients with than without Tg Ab or TPO Ab (39.5% versus 12.5%, P < 0.01; 45.5% versus 14.3%, P = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

The clinical utility of comprehensive measurement of autoimmune disease-related Abs before introduction of ICI therapy was limited for predicting irAE. However, Tg and TPO Abs were risk factors as regards the development of ICI-induced thyroid dysfunction.

Postmarketing safety of orphan drugs: a longitudinal analysis of the US Food and Drug Administration database between 1999 and 2018

Background

Information about the specific regulatory environment of orphan drugs is scarce and inconsistent. Uncertainties surrounding the postmarketing long-term safety of orphan drugs remain. This study aimed to evaluate the labelling changes of orphan drugs and to identify postmarketing safety-associated approval factors.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study includes all drugs with orphan drug designation approved by the Center for Drug Evaluation and Research of the US Food and Drug Administration between 1999 and 2018. Main outcomes are safety-related labelling changes up to 31 December 2019. We defined any safety-related labelling changes as postmarketing safety events (PMSE). Safety-related withdrawals, suspensions, and boxed warnings were further categorised as severe postmarketing safety events (SPSE). Outcome measurements include frequencies of PMSE, SPSE, and association between approval factors and the occurrence of safety events.

Results

Amongst the 214 drugs identified with orphan drug designation (25.7% biologics), 83.6% were approved through at least one expedited programme, and 29.4% were approved with boxed warnings. During a median follow-up of 6.74 years since approval, 69.2% and 14.5% of the analysed orphan drugs had PMSE and SPSE, respectively. Safety-related withdrawal (0%, 0/214), suspended marketing (0.46%, 1/214) and new boxed warnings are uncommon (3.7%, 8/214). The safety-related labelling changes were more frequent in the drugs approved with boxed warnings [Incidence rate ratio (IRR): 1.95 (1.02–3.73)] and approved for long-term use [IRR: 2.76 (1.52–5.00)].

Conclusions and Relevance

In this long-term postmarketing analysis, approximately 70% of FDA-approved orphan drugs had safety-related labelling changes although severe safety events were rare. While maintaining early access to orphan drugs, the drug regulatory body has taken timely regulatory action with postmarketing surveillance to ensure patient safety.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13023-021-02166-9.

Retrospective analysis of adjuvant therapy using dabrafenib plus trametinib in Japanese patients with advanced melanoma: analysis of 36 cases

Patients with resected stage IIIB, IIIC and IIID melanomas have a high risk of recurrence. Therefore, an appropriate protocol for stage III melanoma is needed. Since adjuvant dabrafenib plus trametinib (D+T) combined therapy and anti-PD1 antibody (Ab) therapy reduce the risk of recurrence in patients with resected stage III BRAF-mutated melanoma, selecting the adjuvant therapy for BRAF-mutated melanoma is controversial. The efficacy and safety profiles of D+T combined therapy in the adjuvant setting were retrospectively analyzed in 36 Japanese. BRAF-mutated advanced melanoma patients. The relapse-free rate (RFR) at 12 months was 82.1% (95% confidential interval (CI), 63.9-92.6%). In the 21 patients who completed the protocol, the RFR at 12 months was 85.7% (95% CI, 64.5-95.9%). In the seven patients whose protocol was interrupted by adverse events, the RFR was 71.4% (95% CI, 35.2-92.4%). The incidence rate of any AEs for all patients was 69.7% (95% CI, 52.5-82.8%), including 13 cases of pyrexia, five cases of skin rash and four cases of liver dysfunction. The present study suggested that D+T therapy in the adjuvant setting is a useful and very tolerable protocol for BRAF-mutated melanoma in the Japanese population.

Anti-PD-1 antibody monotherapy versus anti-PD-1 plus anti-CTLA-4 combination therapy as first-line immunotherapy in unresectable or metastatic mucosal melanoma: a retrospective, multicenter study of 329 Japanese cases (JMAC study)

Background

Anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) antibody monotherapy (PD1) has led to favorable responses in advanced non-acral cutaneous melanoma among Caucasian populations; however, recent studies suggest that this therapy has limited efficacy in mucosal melanoma (MCM). Thus, advanced MCM patients are candidates for PD1 plus anti-cytotoxic T lymphocyte-associated antigen-4 (CTLA-4) combination therapy (PD1 + CTLA4). Data on the efficacy of immunotherapy in MCM, however, are limited. We aimed to compare the efficacies of PD1 and PD1 + CTLA4 in Japanese advanced MCM patients.

Patients and methods

We retrospectively assessed advanced MCM patients treated with PD1 or PD1 + CTLA4 at 24 Japanese institutions. Patient baseline characteristics, clinical responses (RECIST), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) were estimated using Kaplan–Meier analysis, and toxicity was assessed to estimate the efficacy and safety of PD1 and PD1 + CTLA4.

Results

Altogether, 329 patients with advanced MCM were included in this study. PD1 and PD1 + CTLA4 were used in 263 and 66 patients, respectively. Baseline characteristics were similar between both treatment groups, except for age (median age 71 versus 65 years; P < 0.001). No significant differences were observed between the PD1 and PD1 + CTLA4 groups with respect to objective response rate (26% versus 29%; P = 0.26) or PFS and OS (median PFS 5.9 months versus 6.8 months; P = 0.55, median OS 20.4 months versus 20.1 months; P = 0.55). Cox multivariate survival analysis revealed that PD1 + CTLA4 did not prolong PFS and OS (PFS: hazard ratio 0.83, 95% confidence interval 0.58-1.19, P = 0.30; OS: HR 0.89, 95% confidence interval 0.57-1.38, P = 0.59). The rate of ≥grade 3 immune-related adverse events was higher in the PD1 + CTLA4 group than in the PD1 group (53% versus 17%; P < 0.001).

Conclusions

First-line PD1 + CTLA4 demonstrated comparable clinical efficacy to PD1 in Japanese MCM patients, but with a higher rate of immune-related adverse events.

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Anti-PD-1 plus anti-CTLA-4 antibody therapy (PD1 + CTLA4) is an option for patients with advanced mucosal melanoma (MCM).

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Data on the efficacy of PD1 + CTLA4 compared with PD-1 monotherapy (PD1) for MCM, however, are limited.

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We retrospectively analyzed data from 329 Japanese patients with advanced MCM treated with PD1 or PD1 + CTLA4.

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No significant differences in objective response rate, progression-free survival, or overall survival were observed.

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Immune-related adverse events resulting in treatment cessation were higher in the PD1 + CTLA4 group.

Real-world efficacy of anti-PD-1 antibody or combined anti-PD-1 plus anti-CTLA-4 antibodies, with or without radiotherapy, in advanced mucosal melanoma patients: A retrospective, multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have a lower efficacy in mucosal melanoma (MUM) than in cutaneous melanoma. The use of combination treatments with radiotherapy (RT) to improve the efficacy in MUM, however, requires further investigation.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated 225 advanced MUM patients treated with anti-PD-1 monotherapy (PD1; 115) or anti-PD-1 + anti-CTLA-4 combination therapy (PD1+CTLA4; 42) with or without RT (56 and 12, respectively). Treatment efficacy was estimated by determining the objective response rate (ORR) and survival rate with the Kaplan-Meier analysis.

RESULTS

The baseline characteristics between the two groups in each ICI cohort were similar, except for Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status in the PD1 cohort. No significant differences in ORR, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) were observed between the PD1 alone and PD1+RT groups in the PD1 cohort (ORR 26% versus 27%, P > 0.99; median PFS 6.2 versus 6.8 months, P = 0.63; median OS 19.2 versus 23.1 months, P = 0.70) or between the PD1+CTLA alone and PD1+CTLA4+RT groups in the PD1+CTLA4 cohort (ORR 28% vs 25%, P = 0.62; median PFS 5.8 versus 3.5 months, P = 0.21; median OS 31.7 versus 19.8 months, P = 0.79). Cox multivariate analysis indicated that RT in addition to PD1 or PD1+CTLA4 did not have a positive impact on the PFS or OS.

CONCLUSIONS

A prolonged survival benefit with RT in combination with ICIs was not identified for advanced MUM patients, although RT may improve local control of the tumour and relieve local symptoms.

Vascular events with immune checkpoint inhibitors in melanoma or non-small cell lung cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

The incidence of venous and arterial thromboembolic events in advanced cancer patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) has been sporadically reported. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the rate of vascular events in patients with melanoma and non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with ICIs. A systematic search of MEDLINE and EMBASE was performed to identify randomized clinical trials and prospective studies. The main outcomes were venous thromboembolism (VTE), stroke or systemic embolism (SE) and myocardial infarction (MI). Secondary outcomes were fatal VTE, fatal stroke or SE and fatal MI. Pooled proportions with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using random-effects models. A total of 59 trials, 25 in 5,578 patients with melanoma and 34 in 6,543 patients with NSCLC were included. In patients with melanoma, rates of VTE, stroke or SE and MI were 1.5% (95% CI 0.8-2.8), 1.7% (95% CI 0.8-3.7) and 0.4% (95% CI 0.2-0.9), respectively. In patients with NSCLC, corresponding rates were 1.9% (95% CI 1.2-3.2), 1.2% (95% CI 0.6-2.5), and 1.1% (95% CI 0.5-2.1), respectively. Rates of fatal VTE and MI were similar in melanoma and NSCLC patients. Rates of fatal stroke or SE were 1.9% (95% CI 0.4-9.5) and 0.7% (95% CI 0.2-2.3) in melanoma and NSCLC patients, respectively. Rates of VTE (3.1% vs. 1.1%) and myocardial infarction (3.4% Vs. 0.5%) were numerically higher in NSCLC patients treated with combined-ICIs vs mono-ICIs. Our study shows a not negligible rate of vascular events in patients with melanoma or NSCLC treated with ICIs.

Real-world safety and effectiveness of nivolumab for recurrent or metastatic head and neck cancer in Japan: a post-marketing surveillance

Background

On the basis of phase III CheckMate 141 results, nivolumab was approved for recurrent or metastatic head and neck cancer after undergoing platinum-containing chemotherapy in Japan. This post-marketing surveillance aimed to evaluate the safety and effectiveness of nivolumab for head and neck cancer in the real-world setting.

Methods

All patients with head and neck cancer who planned to receive nivolumab were centrally registered. This study monitored 607 patients for 6 months to assess nivolumab’s safety, especially treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs) of special interest, and effectiveness.

Results

TRAEs occurred in 36.1% patients, with no new safety signals. The most common TRAEs with grade ≥ 3 were interstitial lung disease (1.2%), diarrhea (0.8%), and hepatic function abnormal (0.7%). Meanwhile, thyroid dysfunction (10.2%), hepatic dysfunction (5.3%), and interstitial lung disease (4.1%) were the most common TRAE categories of special interest. Although the median time to the onset of each TRAE category of special interest was mostly 1–2 months, most of them occurred throughout the observation period; nonetheless, the majority of patients recovered or remitted. The 6-month survival rate was 55.9%.

Conclusion

Japanese patients with head and neck cancer treated with nivolumab in the real-world setting manifested no new safety signals.

Clinical Trial Registration

clinicaltrials.jp: JapicCTI-184071.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10147-021-01949-1.

Association of immune-checkpoint inhibitors and the risk of immune-related colitis among elderly patients with advanced melanoma: real-world evidence from the SEER-Medicare database

Background:

The use of anti-cytotoxic T-lymphocyte antigen 4 (anti-CTLA4) therapy (ipilimumab) and anti-programmed cell-death 1 (anti-PD1) agents (nivolumab and pembrolizumab) in advanced melanoma have been associated with immune-related adverse events (irAEs) including colitis. We aimed to estimate the incidence and the risk of colitis in elderly patients with advanced melanoma treated with anti-CTLA4 and anti-PD1 in the real-world setting.

Methods:

Elderly patients (age ⩾ 65 years) diagnosed with advanced melanoma between 2011 and 2015 and treated with anti-CTLA4 or anti-PD1 agents were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)–Medicare data. We estimated the risk of colitis from start of treatment up to 90 days from the last dose of therapy. We used the log-rank test and logistic regression with adjustment for potential confounders using the inverse probability of treatment weighting method. We conducted several sensitivity analyses.

Results:

A total of 274 elderly patients with advanced melanoma were included in our cohort. The risk of colitis was similar between anti-PD1 users and anti-CTLA4 users based on log-rank test (p = 0.17) and logistic regression [odds ratio (OR) = 0.35, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) 0.04–2.79]. Sensitivity analyses for patients with all-stage melanoma showed a significantly lower risk of colitis in anti-PD1 compared with anti-CTLA4 treated patients based on log-rank test (p = 0.017) and logistic regression (OR = 0.21, 95%CI 0.09–0.53).

Conclusion:

Elderly with advanced melanoma treated with anti-CTLA4 or anti-PD1 had a similar risk of developing colitis. However, there was a statistically significant difference in the risk of colitis between anti-CTLA4 or anti-PD1 users among all-stage-melanoma patients.

Plain Language Summary

Risk of colitis (inflammation of the large intestine) in elderly patients with melanoma treated with immune-checkpoint inhibitors (a group of medications that uses the patient’s immune system to fight cancer)

While the anti-cancer agents known as immune-checkpoint inhibitors have had a great impact on the treatment of melanoma, they may also have side effects. This study estimated the risk of colitis, a chronic inflammation of the colon, in elderly patients with melanoma treated with anti-cytotoxic T-lymphocyte antigen 4 (anti-CTLA4) or anti-programmed cell-death 1 (anti-PD1) agents, using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)–Medicare linked database. Overall, we found that the risk of colitis was not different between anti-PD1 users and anti-CTLA4 users with advanced-stage melanoma. However, after including patients across all stages of melanoma, we found a significantly lower risk of colitis with anti-PD1 compared with anti-CTLA4.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors-associated risk of immune-related hypothyroidism in older patients with advanced melanoma: a real-world analysis of US SEER-Medicare data

Background: The risk of immune-related(ir)-hypothyroidism in older patients with advanced melanoma treated with anti-CTLA4 or anti-PD1 therapies is poorly understood, especially in the real-world setting.Research design and methods: We identified older patients (≥65 years) diagnosed with advanced melanoma between 2011-2015 and treated with anti-CTLA4 or anti-PD1 agents in the SEER-Medicare database. Applying probability-of-treatment-weighting for confounder adjustment and proportional hazards models, we estimated the risk of ir-hypothyroidism between treatment initiation and up to 90 days from last dose between anti-PD1 and anti-CTLA4 users.Results: Of 210 older patients with advanced melanoma identified, 164 received anti-CTLA4 (ipilimumab) and 46 anti-PD1 agents (11 nivolumab, 35 pembrolizumab). There was no statistically significant difference in ir-hypothyroidism risk between anti-PD1 and anti-CTLA4 users (HR=2.15, 95%CI=0.83-5.53). Pairwise medication comparisons showed a lower risk among ipilimumab versus nivolumab (HR=0.15, 95%CI=0.06-0.40) and pembrolizumab versus nivolumab users (HR=0.13, 95%CI=0.03-0.55). Sensitivity analyses using an all-stages melanoma cohort did not show a difference in ir-hypothyroidism risk between medication classes and individual medications.Conclusions:This retrospective claims data analysis revealed no statistically significant difference in ir-hypothyroidism risk between anti-CTLA4 or anti-PD1 users. However, patients with advanced melanoma treated with ipilimumab or pembrolizumab may have a lower ir-hypothyroidism risk compared to nivolumab users.

Immunotherapy for advanced melanoma: current situation in Japan

Treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors provides long-term survival for patients with advanced melanoma. Improvements in the overall survival of advanced melanoma patients have been achieved with anti-PD-1 monotherapy and anti-PD-1+ CTLA4 combination therapy, but there are still many issues to resolve. Acral, mucosal and uveal melanoma have been less responsive to immune checkpoint inhibitors than cutaneous melanoma. For patients who have achieved a good response, it is still not known how long the anti-PD-1 therapy should be administered. Moreover, there is limited treatment for patients who relapse during or after adjuvant anti-PD-1 therapy. Here, we review the current evidence regarding the clinical effects of immunotherapy for advanced melanoma. Moreover, we review previous studies of acral, mucosal and uveal melanoma, and we discuss the recent findings regarding durable response after the cessation of anti-PD-1 therapy, and treatment options for recurrence after adjuvant therapy.

Five-year follow-up of nivolumab treatment in Japanese patients with esophageal squamous-cell carcinoma (ATTRACTION-1/ONO-4538-07)

BACKGROUND

In the phase II ATTRACTION-1 study, nivolumab demonstrated a promising antitumor activity among Japanese patients with treatment-refractory advanced esophageal cancer. Here, we report the follow-up results of ATTRACTION-1 of > 5 years.

METHODS

We enrolled patients with esophageal cancer that was refractory or intolerant to a standard chemotherapy. Then, nivolumab (3 mg/kg) was administered every 2 weeks. The primary endpoint was a centrally assessed objective response rate.

RESULTS

Nivolumab was administered to 65 patients with esophageal squamous-cell carcinoma (ESCC). The centrally assessed objective response rate was 17.2%. The overall survival rates at 3 and 5 years were 10.9% and 6.3%, respectively. Three-year survivors tended to have more reduced target lesions. A total of 63.1% of the patients exhibited treatment-related adverse events, and no new safety signal was observed. Patients with select adverse events tended to have better overall survival than those without. No apparent chronological order was observed between the first response and the onset of select adverse events.

CONCLUSION

Our follow-up analysis of more than 5 years is currently the longest and is the first to demonstrate that nivolumab has long-term efficacy and safety for advanced ESCC.

Economic evaluation of nivolumab combined with ipilimumab in the first-line treatment of advanced melanoma in Japan

AIMS

The objective of this study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of nivolumab in combination with ipilimumab (nivo + ipi) compared to current therapeutic alternatives in first-line treatment of patients with advanced melanoma from the Japanese national healthcare payer perspective using 48-month survival data from the CheckMate 067 Phase III trial.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A three-state partitioned survival model was developed from projections of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) to estimate accrued quality-adjusted survival and costs over a 30-year time horizon. The analysis included nivo + ipi, nivolumab, and ipilimumab monotherapies (the three treatments included in CheckMate 067). Drug acquisition, administration, disease management, subsequent therapy, and adverse event (AE) costs were obtained via published sources and expert input (solicited via Delphi panel). AE frequencies were collected from the Checkmate 067 trial. Utility weights were estimated from the Checkmate 067 trial, based on Japanese tariffs. Results were presented as incremental cost-utility ratios (ICURs, cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY)).

RESULTS

Nivo + ipi had the greatest estimated survival among the three competing treatments, followed by nivolumab monotherapy accruing the second greatest survival. The incremental cost-effectiveness of nivo + ipi was ¥778,000 per QALY vs. nivolumab and ¥1,584,000 per QALY vs. ipilimumab. The results indicate that nivo + ipi is cost-effective in Japan when compared to a threshold of ¥7,500,000 per QALY. This finding was found to be generally robust to sensitivity and scenario analyses.

LIMITATIONS

Limitations include uncertainty in long-term survival extrapolations and lack of Japan-specific clinical data.

CONCLUSIONS

This analysis indicates that adding ipilimumab to nivolumab therapy represents a cost-effective new treatment option for patients with unresectable malignant melanoma in Japan.

Treatment of Advanced Melanoma: Past, Present and Future

Therapeutic options for treating advanced melanoma are progressing rapidly. Until six years ago, the regimen for treating advanced melanoma mainly comprised cytotoxic agents such as dacarbazine, and type I interferons. Since 2014, anti-programmed cell death 1 (PD1) antibodies have become recognized as anchor drugs for treating advanced melanoma with or without additional combination drugs such as ipilimumab. In addition, v-Raf murine sarcoma viral oncogene homolog B1 (BRAF) kinase inhibitors in combination with mitogen-activated protein kinase kinase (MEK) inhibitors are among the most promising chemotherapeutic regimens for treating advanced BRAF-mutant melanoma, especially in patients with low tumor burden. Since anti-PD1 antibodies are widely applicable for the treatment of both BRAF wild-type and mutated advanced melanomas, several clinical trials for drugs in combination with anti-PD1 antibodies are ongoing. This review focuses on the development of the anti-melanoma therapies available today, and discusses the clinical trials of novel regimens for the treatment of advanced melanoma.

Different patterns of treatment-related adverse events of programmed cell death-1 and its ligand-1 inhibitors in different cancer types: A meta-analysis and systemic review of clinical trials

Programmed cell death receptor-1 and its ligand-1 (PD-1/PD-L1) inhibitors have been applied to many cancers, but the difference of treatment-related adverse events (AEs) across cancer types remains unknown. We performed a meta-analysis and systemic review to compare the incidences of commonly reported all-grade AEs across cancer types and found that the most frequent AEs were fatigue, rash/pruritus, loss of appetite/nausea and diarrhea. However, each cancer type also had its higher incidences of AEs involving a relevant system, such as melanoma with epidermal AEs (rash, diarrhea and enterocolitis), lung cancer with dyspnea and pneumonitis, digestive system cancers with amylase and lipase elevation; and renal cell and urothelial cancer with kidney injury (creatinine elevation and proteinuria). However, the incidence of hepatitis did not follow the pattern to show a difference. We did another comparison between PD-1 and PD-L1 inhibitors in lung cancer and urothelial cancer respectively, and found that the risk of most AEs did not differ much, except for more hypothyroidism in PD-1 inhibitors, and more kidney injury in PD-L1 inhibitors. Besides possible immunological mechanisms for treatment-related AEs, the influence of previous radiotherapy and the clinical characteristics of the diseases themselves should also be considered and is worth further investigation. With the result of this meta-analysis, clinicians could estimate the risk of certain AE in certain cancer type, to make treatment options and to customize monitor strategies.

Increase of lymphocytes and eosinophils, and decrease of neutrophils at an early stage of anti-PD-1 antibody treatment is a favorable sign for advanced malignant melanoma

The advent of immune checkpoint inhibitors such as anti-PD-1 antibodies had a striking impact on the treatment for advanced malignant melanoma. However, less than half of the patients benefited from those antibodies, and biomarkers that could sensitively differentiate responders from non-responders are urgently needed. Herein, we explored such biomarkers by retrospectively analyzing clinical data from patients with advanced malignant melanoma treated with nivolumab and pembrolizumab. We found that anti-PD-1 antibody was especially effective for those with metastasis only to soft tissues. Although no significant difference was found in the baseline value of relative neutrophil count (RNC), relative lymphocyte count (RLC), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and relative eosinophil count (REC) between responders and non-responders, responders after anti-PD-1 therapy revealed the increase of lymphocytes and eosinophils and the decrease of neutrophils within the first 6 weeks of the treatment. We also calculated the change of RNC and RLC 3 weeks and 6 weeks after the initiation of the therapy and designated as NΔ3-LΔ3 and NΔ6-LΔ6 respectively. NΔ3-LΔ3 was significantly decreased in responders, which suggest that the neutrophil decrease and lymphocyte increase after as early as 3 weeks of anti-PD-1 therapy might be a useful clinical indicator. In addition, the difference of NΔ6-LΔ6 between responders and non-responders was even more robust. These data suggest that change of RNC, RLC, and REC together with the combination of NΔ3-LΔ3 and NΔ6-LΔ6 might be a useful tool for early and sensitive biomarkers for anti-PD-1 therapy.

Real-world safety and efficacy data of ipilimumab in Japanese radically unresectable malignant melanoma patients: A postmarketing surveillance

Treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors has improved prognosis among patients with cutaneous melanoma, but there are still unmet medical needs in Japan, especially for mucosal melanoma and acral lentiginous melanoma (ALM) subtypes. Ipilimumab, a fully human monoclonal antibody that specifically blocks cytotoxic T‐lymphocyte‐associated antigen 4 and potentiates antitumor T‐cell response, was approved in Japan in 2015 for the treatment of radically unresectable malignant melanoma. This postmarketing surveillance (prospective, non‐interventional, multicenter, observational study) evaluated the safety (occurrence of adverse drug reactions [ADR]) and efficacy (overall survival [OS]) of ipilimumab in a real‐world setting in Japan. All patients with radically unresectable malignant melanoma undergoing treatment with ipilimumab in Japan during the registration period between August 2015 and February 2017 were enrolled. In total, 547 patients were analyzed; 67.5% were 60 years old or more, 85.7% had an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0–1, 50.3% had melanoma of the skin (mainly of the ALM subtype) and 73.5% had negative BRAF mutation status. Most patients had experienced recurrence and received multiple treatments. The overall incidence of ADR and serious ADR was 69.5% and 40.8%, respectively. The most common ADR and serious ADR were liver disorder, colitis and diarrhea. The most common ADR of special interest were liver‐related ADR (22.5%), skin‐related ADR (22.1%), gastrointestinal‐related ADR (20.3%) and endocrine system‐related ADR (16.3%). Most of these events had recovered or were in remission by the last evaluation. The median OS was 7.52 months (95% confidence interval, 6.47–8.74). Median OS was 6.31 and 8.44 months in patients with mucosal melanoma and melanoma of the skin; 9.43 and 3.75 months in patients with and without ADR; and 10.32 and 6.11 months in patients with and without serious ADR, respectively. Ipilimumab was tolerable and showed efficacy in improving OS for these patients.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors in advanced or metastatic mucosal melanoma: a systematic review

Background

Conventional cytotoxic chemotherapy offers minor benefit to patients with mucosal melanoma (MM). Although immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have become the preferred approach in patients with advanced or metastatic cutaneous melanoma, the evidence of their clinical use for MM is still limited. This systematic review aims to summarize the efficacy and safety of ICIs in advanced or metastatic MM.

Methods

We searched electronic databases, conference abstracts, clinical trial registers and reference lists for relevant studies. The primary outcomes included the overall response rate (ORR), median progression-free survival (PFS), median overall survival (OS), one-year PFS rate, and one-year OS rate.

Results

This review identified 13 studies assessing anti-CTLA-4 monotherapy, 22 studies assessing anti-PD-1 monotherapy, two studies assessing anti-CTLA-4 and anti-PD-1 combination therapy, one study assessing anti-PD-1 antibodies combined with axitinib, and three studies assessing anti-PD-1 antibodies combined with radiotherapy. For most patients who received ipilimumab monotherapy, the ORR ranged from 0% to 17%, the median PFS was less than 5 months, and the median OS was less than 10 months. For patients who received nivolumab or pembrolizumab monotherapy, most studies showed an ORR of more than 15% and a median OS of more than 11 months. The combined administration of anti-CTLA-4 and anti-PD-1 agents showed benefits over single-agent therapy with an ORR of more than 33.3%. In a phase Ib trial of toripalimab in combination with axitinib, approximately half of patients had complete or partial responses. Three retrospective studies that investigated anti-PD-1 antibodies combined with radiotherapy showed an ORR of more than 50%, which was higher than each single modality treatment.

Conclusions

Immune checkpoint inhibitors, especially anti-PD-1 monoclonal antibodies alone and in combination with anti-CTLA-4 monoclonal antibodies or other modalities, are promising treatment options for advanced or metastatic MM. However, high-level evidence is still needed to support the clinical application.

Immune-related adverse events correlate with improved survival in patients with advanced mucosal melanoma treated with nivolumab: A single-center retrospective study in Japan

Immune-related adverse events (irAE) were reported to be associated with better outcomes in various cancers treated with the immune checkpoint inhibitor nivolumab. Considering that their development depends on host immune activation, irAE may reflect antitumor response in mucosal melanoma (MM). This single-center retrospective study including patients with advanced MM receiving nivolumab monotherapy between August 2014 and September 2018 investigated whether the development of irAE was associated with clinical efficacy. The study patients were divided into those with and without irAE, and treatment efficacy and safety were evaluated. The study cohort of 27 patients included 20 (74%), six (22%) and one (4%) patient with primary MM in the head and neck, genitourinary and anorectal regions, respectively. The irAE onset was not significantly associated with the objective response rate in patients while it was significantly associated with the disease control rate. The median progression-free survival in patients with and without irAE was 301 and 63 days, respectively. The median overall survival (OS) in patients with and without irAE was 723 and 199 days, respectively. According to the timing of irAE onset, the OS was better in seven patients who developed irAE after 180 days than in nine patients who developed irAE within 180 days. Although 16 patients (59%) experienced any grade irAE, including three (11%) with grade 3 or more irAE, there were no treatment-related deaths. These results indicated that the development of irAE may correlate with improved survival in patients with MM treated with nivolumab monotherapy. Further studies are necessary to confirm these findings.

Amplification and attenuation of lung metastases depending on glucocorticoid dosage implicating long-acting activated memory cells induced by nivolumab against malignant melanoma

Firstly, glucocorticoids such as prednisolone can attenuate the effect of anti-PD-1 antibody nivolumab. Secondly, malignant melanoma cells survived latently and unnoticeably in places other than those of previous metastatic lesions. Thirdly, effector T cells activated by nivolumab sustained their memory to attack malignant melanoma cells for several months.

Long-term follow up of nivolumab in previously untreated Japanese patients with advanced or recurrent malignant melanoma

The immune checkpoint inhibitor nivolumab inhibits the programmed death 1 receptor and suppresses the immune resistance of cancer cells. This is a long-term follow up of a single-arm, open-label, multicenter, phase II study of nivolumab in untreated Japanese patients with stage III/IV or recurrent melanoma. In addition, a post-hoc subgroup analysis stratified by melanoma types was performed. Nivolumab was administered intravenously at a dose of 3 mg/kg every 2 weeks. The primary endpoint was the overall response rate (ORR), and secondary endpoints included overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), best overall response, the disease control rate and change in tumor diameter. Safety was assessed by recording treatment-related adverse events (TRAE), including select immune-related adverse events. Of the 24 patients initially included in the primary phase II study, 10 survived for over 3 years (41.7%). The ORR was 34.8% (90% confidence interval [CI]: 20.8, 51.9) for all patients. When analyzing by melanoma type, the ORR was 66.7% (90% CI: 34.7, 88.3) for superficial spreading, 33.3% (90% CI: 11.7, 65.3) for mucosal, and 28.6% (90% CI: 10.0, 59.1) for acral lentiginous tumors. The median OS was 32.9 months, the 3-year OS rate was 43.5%, and the 3-year PFS rate was 17.2%. A long-term response was observed in all the tumor types. The most common TRAE included skin toxicity (45.8%) and endocrine disorders (29.2%). This study demonstrated the long-term efficacy and tolerability of nivolumab in patients with advanced or recurrent melanoma, irrespective of melanoma type.

Association of antithyroglobulin antibodies with the development of thyroid dysfunction induced by nivolumab

Thyroid dysfunction (TD) induced by immune checkpoint inhibitors is not sufficiently understood. The purpose of this retrospective observational study was to identify risk factors and the clinical course of TD induced by nivolumab. Patients with advanced solid tumors who were treated with nivolumab from March 2009 through to March 2016 at the National Cancer Center Hospital (Tokyo, Japan) were included. Thyroid function and antithyroid Abs from serum samples among all patients were evaluated at baseline and during nivolumab treatment. Overt hypothyroidism was defined as low serum‐free T4 together with elevated thyroid‐stimulating hormone (TSH) >10 μIU/mL. Thyrotoxicosis was defined as low TSH with elevated free T4 and/or free T3. We defined thyroid autoimmunity as the presence of antithyroid Abs at baseline, including antithyroid peroxidase Abs and antithyroglobulin Abs (TgAb). Twenty‐three (14%) of a total of 168 patients developed TD, including 17 cases of hypothyroidism and 20 of thyrotoxicosis. Thyrotoxicosis followed by hypothyroidism occurred in 14 cases. Fourteen of 35 patients (40%) with thyroid autoimmunity developed TD vs 9 of 133 (7%) without (odds ratio 9.19; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.53‐23.9). In multivariate analysis, elevated TSH and TgAb at baseline were significantly associated with the development of TD, with odds ratio of 7.36 (95% CI, 1.66‐32.7) and 26.5 (95% CI, 8.18‐85.8), respectively. Association between TD and elevated antithyroid peroxidase Abs at baseline was not significant. These results suggest that patients with pre‐existing TgAb and elevated TSH at baseline are at high risk of TD.