A practical use of noninvasive tests in clinical practice to identify high-risk patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis

Focused Recommendations for the Management of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatohepatitis (MASH) by Advanced Practice Providers in the United States

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) has become the dominant cause of liver disease in the United States. With the growing burden of this disease in gastroenterology practices, the identification and treatment of those at risk of developing adverse outcomes (cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, or liver-related death) has become urgent. In recent years, the development of noninvasive tests (NITs) to identify "at-risk MASH" patients have provided cost-effective algorithms to identify these patients. Although treatment has historically been limited to lifestyle modification, recent FDA approval of resmetirom for noncirrhosis MASH with stages 2 and 3 fibrosis has provided a new opportunity in the United States to provide these patients with novel treatment options. Other new effective treatment regimens are on the horizon. Given that gastroenterology and hepatology practices in the United States heavily rely on advanced practice providers (APPs) to manage patients with MASLD, the APP Committee of the Global NASH/MASH Council has curated the essentials of day-to-day MASH management for our busy gastrohepatology providers and their APP colleagues. The goal of this document is to equip and mobilize more GI providers with the requisite competencies for the management of at-risk MASH, given the rapidly evolving MASH treatment landscape.

Validation of the Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire for MASH (CLDQ-MASH)

Background & Aims

The new nomenclature for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) requires presence of steatohepatitis in the context of at least one cardiometabolic risk. Having a health-related quality of life (HRQL) instrument validated specifically in patients with MASH is important for clinical research and clinical trials.

Methods

From our non-alcoholic fatty liver disease/non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NAFLD/NASH) database, patients who met the definition of MASH according to the new criteria were selected. Subjects had completed the Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire for NAFLD/NASH (CLDQ-NAFLD/NASH) and other HRQL instruments (Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy - Fatigue [FACIT-F], Short-Form 36 [SF-36]), and had available clinico-laboratory data including fibrosis non-invasive tests (NITs). The CLDQ-MASH was developed following a standard pipeline and subsequently validated in a non-overlapping sample.

Results

There were 4,213 MASH patients included: age 56 ± 11 years, 44% male, 65% type 2 diabetes, 69% advanced fibrosis (F3-F4). The patients with MASH were split 1:2 into a training set used for development of CLDQ-MASH and a testing set used for validation using standard pipeline. After item reduction and exploratory factor analysis with the training set (>90% variance), the CLDQ-MASH contained 35 items and seven domains. With the non-overlapping testing set, CLDQ-MASH demonstrated excellent face validity, internal consistency (all Cronbach's alpha >0.78), and high correlations with relevant domains of SF-36, FACIT-F (p <0.01). Known-groups validity assessment confirmed that CLDQ-MASH can discriminate patients based on liver disease severity (histology- and NIT-based) and the presence of non-hepatic comorbidities (obesity, type 2 diabetes, depression, clinically overt fatigue, insomnia). In a subsample of subjects with 1-year follow-up, the instrument was responsive to changes in Enhanced Liver Fibrosis® scores and liver stiffness measurements (p <0.05 for four to six domains).

Conclusions

The CLDQ-MASH can be used as a valid disease-specific HRQL instrument for patients with MASH.

Impact and implications

The new criteria for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) are different from those previously used for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis so the evidence collected for the previous criteria need to be revisited, including disease-specific instruments for assessment of health-related quality of life. In patients with MASH, Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire-MASH (CLDQ-MASH; 35 items, seven domains) has excellent psychometric properties including its internal consistency and various aspects of validity, and is responsive to changes in liver disease severity indicators. The CLDQ-MASH can be used as a valid disease-specific health-related quality of life instrument for MASH in clinical research and clinical trials.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Non-Invasive Diagnostic Tests for Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis

PURPOSE

In recent decades, numerous non-invasive tests (NITs) for diagnosing nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) have been developed, however, a comprehensive comparison of their relative diagnostic accuracies is lacking. We aimed to assess and compare the diagnostic accuracy of various NITs for NAFLD using network meta-analysis (NMA).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a systematic search in seven databases up to April 2024 to identify studies evaluating the diagnostic values of NITs, with liver biopsy as the gold standard. The participants included patients with suspected or confirmed NAFLD, irrespective of age, sex, ethnicity. Statistical analysis was conducted using R 4.0.3 for Bayesian NMA and STATA 17.0 for pairwise meta-analysis. Sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and superiority index were calculated. Bayesian calculations were performed using the Rstan package, specifying parameters like MCMC chain count, iteration count, and operational cycles. The methodological quality of included studies was assessed using the QUADAS-2 tool.

RESULTS

Out of 15,877 studies, 180 were included in the quantitative synthesis, and 102 were used in head-to-head meta-analyses. For diagnosing steatosis stage 1, Hydrogen Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy (H-MRS, DOR 15,745,657.6, 95% CI 17.2-1,014,063.59) proved to be the most accurate. For significant fibrosis, HRI leading (DOR 80.94, 95% CI 6.46-391.41), For advanced fibrosis, CK-18 showed the highest performance (DOR 102654.16, 95% CI 1.6-134,059.8). For high-risk NASH, Real-Time Elastography showing the highest performance (DOR 18.1, 95% CI 0.7-96.33). Meta-regression analyses suggested that variability in the diagnostic accuracy of NITs for NAFLD may result from differences in study design, thresholds, populations, and performance indicators.

CONCLUSION

We conducted a network meta-analysis to rank the accuracy of these tests. While some results are promising, not all NITs demonstrate substantial accuracy, highlighting the need for validation with larger datasets. Future research should concentrate on studying the thresholds of NITs and enhancing the clarity of methodological reporting.

Prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and fibrosis defined by liver elastography in the United States using National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017-March 2020 and August 2021-August 2023 data

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Steatotic liver disease (SLD) is a significant public health burden. Previously, we estimated prepandemic SLD prevalence determined by transient elastography-assessed hepatic steatosis and fibrosis in the United States. We now estimate the prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and examine associations with lifestyle, socioeconomic, and other factors.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Liver stiffness and controlled attenuation parameters were assessed on 13,538 non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, non-Hispanic Asian, and Hispanic men and women aged 20 years and over in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017 to March 2020 and August 2021 to August 2023. The prevalence of SLD (controlled attenuation parameter >300 dB/m) was 28.7%, fibrosis (liver stiffness >8 kPa) was 11.3%, and MASLD was 25.6%. Between the 2 survey cycles, the age-standardized SLD prevalence was not significantly different, MASLD prevalence decreased (26.8%-23.6%), and fibrosis prevalence increased (10.4%-12.7%). In multivariable-adjusted analysis, both MASLD and fibrosis were associated with diabetes, higher body mass index, higher waist-to-hip ratio, elevated blood pressure, and inversely associated with non-Hispanic Black race-ethnicity. MASLD was also associated with male sex, non-Hispanic Asian race-ethnicity, prediabetes, higher total cholesterol, lower HDL cholesterol, and greater sedentary lifestyle. Fibrosis was also associated with SLD, lower total cholesterol, and less education.

CONCLUSIONS

In the US population, MASLD and fibrosis prevalence are high along with obesity and diabetes. Our findings suggest that early detection of chronic liver disease and targeting lifestyle and other modifiable risk factors may slow disease progression toward advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis.

Disease Progression for Histologic Diagnosis of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease in the Real-World: A Nationwide US Study

INTRODUCTION

We compared clinical characteristics and outcomes in real-world metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) patients with or without liver biopsy using a nationwide cohort in United States (USA) to fill in gaps in selection of biopsy patients.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult MASLD patients using Marketscan® Databases (1/2007-12/2021). Patients were categorized into those with or without liver biopsy during follow-up.

RESULTS

We analyzed 540,326 MASLD patients: 23,732 with and 516,594 without biopsy. Only 4% of MASLD patients received liver biopsy and biopsy rate decreased in the last 5 years (9.4%-3.6%). After 1:5 propensity score matching on baseline characteristics including age, sex, and comorbidities, a total of 23,731 patients with biopsy and 118,396 matched patients without biopsy were analyzed. The incidence per 1,000 person-years for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was 0.22 versus 2.18, cirrhosis 29.75 versus 90.44, and hepatic decompensation 15.84 versus 28.25 compared patients with and without biopsy. In multivariable analysis, patients with biopsy had more than 9 times higher risk of developing HCC, 3 times higher risk of cirrhosis, and 78% higher risk of hepatic decompensation. In subgroup analysis, the association remained consistent when stratified by age (<50 and ≥50), sex, and diabetes mellitus. Predictors of having biopsy included age, metabolic diseases, and living in North central or Northeast of USA.

CONCLUSION

These data can inform clinical patient management that biopsy patients likely represent a selected group at higher risk for disease progression, especially in clinical trials for MASLD therapies.

INTRODUCTION

We compared clinical characteristics and outcomes in real-world metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) patients with or without liver biopsy using a nationwide cohort in United States (USA) to fill in gaps in selection of biopsy patients.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult MASLD patients using Marketscan® Databases (1/2007-12/2021). Patients were categorized into those with or without liver biopsy during follow-up.

RESULTS

We analyzed 540,326 MASLD patients: 23,732 with and 516,594 without biopsy. Only 4% of MASLD patients received liver biopsy and biopsy rate decreased in the last 5 years (9.4%-3.6%). After 1:5 propensity score matching on baseline characteristics including age, sex, and comorbidities, a total of 23,731 patients with biopsy and 118,396 matched patients without biopsy were analyzed. The incidence per 1,000 person-years for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was 0.22 versus 2.18, cirrhosis 29.75 versus 90.44, and hepatic decompensation 15.84 versus 28.25 compared patients with and without biopsy. In multivariable analysis, patients with biopsy had more than 9 times higher risk of developing HCC, 3 times higher risk of cirrhosis, and 78% higher risk of hepatic decompensation. In subgroup analysis, the association remained consistent when stratified by age (<50 and ≥50), sex, and diabetes mellitus. Predictors of having biopsy included age, metabolic diseases, and living in North central or Northeast of USA.

CONCLUSION

These data can inform clinical patient management that biopsy patients likely represent a selected group at higher risk for disease progression, especially in clinical trials for MASLD therapies.

Knowledge about metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease among the medical professionals from countries in the MENA region

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Given the substantial burden of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), there is an urgent need to assess knowledge and awareness levels among physicians. We assessed MASLD knowledge among healthcare providers from Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Türkiye.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Two global surveys containing 54-59 items assessed awareness and knowledge of MASLD/NAFLD- one was for hepatologists and gastroenterologists, and the second was for non-specialists (e.g. endocrinologists, primary care providers [PCPs], and other healthcare professionals). Data were collected using an electronic data collection form. Knowledge scores and variables associated with higher knowledge scores were compared across all specialties.

RESULTS

A total of 584 physicians completed the survey (126 hepatologists, 178 gastroenterologists (GEs), 38 endocrinologists, 242 PCPs/others). Practice guidelines were the primary source for knowledge across all specialties (43-51%), then conferences (24-31%) except PCPs/others who selected the internet as the second common source (25%). Adherence to societal guidelines varied by specialty (81-84% of specialists vs 38-51% of non-specialists). Hepatologists and GEs showed similar mean knowledge scores (51-72% correct answers across three knowledge domains, p > 0.05); endocrinologists outperformed PCPs/others in knowledge scores in all knowledge domains, including Epidemiology/Pathogenesis (72% vs. 60%), Diagnostics (73% vs. 67%), and Treatment (78% vs. 67%) (all p < 0.01). Hospital-based practice and seeing a greater number of patients with MASLD/NAFLD were identified as independent predictors of higher knowledge scores among specialists (both p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

A knowledge gap in the identification, diagnosis, and management of MASLD/NAFLD was found despite the growing burden of MASLD/NAFLD in Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Türkiye. Education to increase awareness is needed.

Clinical and patient-reported outcomes in patients with chronic hepatitis B and C and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease from real-world practices in Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Egypt

Patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) experience health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and patient-reported outcomes (PROs) impairments. We assessed and identified predictors of HRQoL and PROs in CLD patients from Saudi Arabia (SA), Turkey and Egypt. Patients enrolled in Global Liver Registry™ with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) or non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) were included. Clinical data and PRO questionnaires (FACIT-F, CLDQ and WPAI) were compared across countries. Linear regression identified PRO predictors. Of the 4014 included patients, 26.9% had CHB, 26.9% CHC and 46.1% NAFLD/NASH; 19.2% advanced fibrosis. Compared across countries, CHB patients were younger in Egypt (mean age [years] 41.2 ± 11.4 vs. 45.0 ± 10.3 SA, 46.1 ± 12.0 Turkey), most often employed in SA (64.8% vs. 53.2% Turkey) and had the lowest prevalence of obesity in Turkey (26.7% vs. 37.8% SA, 38.5% Egypt). In SA, CHB patients had lowest prevalence of fibrosis and comorbidities (all p < .01). There was a higher frequency of males with NAFLD/NASH in SA (70.0% vs. 49.6% Turkey, and 35.5% Egypt). Among NAFLD/NASH patients, CLDQ-NAFLD/NASH scores were highest in SA (mean total score: 5.3 ± 1.2 vs. 4.8 ± 1.2 Turkey, 4.1 ± 0.9 Egypt, p < .01). Independent predictors of worse PROs included younger age, female sex, advanced fibrosis, non-hepatic comorbidities and lack of regular exercise (all p < .05). Clinical presentation and PRO scores of CLD patients vary across SA, Turkey and Egypt. Impairment of HRQoL is associated with demographic factors, lack of regular exercise, advanced fibrosis and non-hepatic comorbidities.

Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis: A comprehensive updated review of risk factors, symptoms, and treatment

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a subtype of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and a progressive and chronic liver disorder with a significant risk for the development of liver-related morbidity and mortality. The complex and multifaceted pathophysiology of NASH makes its management challenging. Early identification of symptoms and management of patients through lifestyle modification is essential to prevent the development of advanced liver disease. Despite the increasing prevalence of NASH, there is no FDA-approved treatment for this disease. Currently, medications targeting metabolic disease risk factors and some antifibrotic medications are used for NASH patients but are not sufficiently effective. The beneficial effects of different drugs and phytochemicals represent new avenues for the development of safer and more effective treatments for NASH. In this review, different risk factors, clinical symptoms, diagnostic methods of NASH, and current treatment strategies for the management of patients with NASH are reviewed.

Role of Spleen Stiffness Measurement in the Evaluation of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease

BACKGROUND

Spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) correlates with the severity of portal hypertension.

AIMS

We investigated the utility of SSM in individuals with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) for detecting cirrhosis, esophageal varices (EV), and high-risk EV.

METHODS

154 study participants with MASLD underwent simultaneous liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and SSM. 96 (62%) participants had an upper endoscopy (73 participants, i.e., 47% undergoing within a year). The diagnostic performance of SSM, as well as the BAVENO VII proposed SSM cutoffs (≥ 21 kPa, > 40 kPa, and > 50 kPa), was examined.

RESULTS

The failure rate for SSM was 19% compared to 5% for LSM. An invalid SSM was statistically significantly associated with a higher body mass index, a larger waist circumference, and a lower fibrosis stage. The area under the receiver operating characteristics for SSM to diagnose cirrhosis, EV, and high-risk EV was 0.78 (95% CI 0.70-0.85), 0.74 (95% CI 0.61-0.84), and 0.82 (95% CI 0.75-0.98), respectively. SSM ≥ 21 kPa cutoff had a sensitivity > 96% for all three outcomes, with a positive predictive value (PPV) of 88% for cirrhosis. In contrast, SSM > 40 kPa and SSM > 50 kPa cutoffs had better diagnostic abilities for identifying EV, particularly high-risk EV (sensitivity of 100% and 93% with NPV of 100% and 96%, respectively).

CONCLUSION

SSM has a higher failure rate in individuals who are non-cirrhotic or have a higher BMI, or larger waist circumference. Although useful for diagnosing NASH cirrhosis, SSM is most reliable in excluding EV and high-risk EV.

Epidemiology of NAFLD - Focus on diabetes

There is increasing appreciation of the complex interaction between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and insulin resistance. Not only is the prevalence of NAFLD disease high among patients with T2D, the liver disease is also more progressive. Currently, the global prevalence of NAFLD in the general population (2016-2019) is 38 %. The prevalence of T2D among those with NAFLD is approximately 23 % while the prevalence of NAFLD among those with T2D can be as high as 70 %. The prevalence of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is approximately 7 % in the general population and 37 % among patients with T2D. Globally, the MENA and Latin America regions of the world appear to have the highest burden of both NAFLD and T2D. Compared to those with NAFLD but without T2D, those with NAFLD and T2D are at a much higher risk for disease progression to cirrhosis and for decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and all-cause mortality. Given that highly effective new treatments are available for T2D, high risk NAFLD with T2D should be considered for these regimens. This requires implementation of risk stratification algorithms in the primary care and endocrinology practices to identify those patients at highest risk for adverse outcomes.

Liver stiffness as a cornerstone in heart disease risk assessment

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) typically presents with hepatic fibrosis in advanced disease, resulting in increased liver stiffness. A subset of patients further develops liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Cardiovascular disease is a common comorbidity in patients with MASLD and its prevalence is increasing in parallel. Recent evidence suggests that especially liver stiffness, whether or not existing against a background of MASLD, is associated with heart diseases. We conducted a narrative review on the role of liver stiffness in the prediction of highly prevalent heart diseases including heart failure, cardiac arrhythmias (in particular atrial fibrillation), coronary heart disease, and aortic valve sclerosis. Research papers were retrieved from major scientific databases (PubMed, Web of Science) until September 2023 using 'liver stiffness' and 'liver fibrosis' as keywords along with the latter cardiac conditions. Increased liver stiffness, determined by vibration-controlled transient elastography or hepatic fibrosis as predicted by biomarker panels, are associated with a variety of cardiovascular diseases, including heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and coronary heart disease. Elevated liver stiffness in patients with metabolic liver disease should lead to considerations of cardiac workup including N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide/B-type natriuretic peptide determination, electrocardiography, and coronary computed tomography angiography. In addition, patients with MASLD would benefit from heart disease case-finding strategies in which liver stiffness measurements can play a key role. In conclusion, increased liver stiffness should be a trigger to consider a cardiac workup in metabolically compromised patients.

Design of the phase 3 MAESTRO clinical program to evaluate resmetirom for the treatment of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a progressive form of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) associated with steatosis, hepatocellular injury, inflammation and fibrosis. In a Phase 2 trial in adults with NASH (NCT02912260), resmetirom, an orally administered, liver-targeted thyroid hormone receptor-β selective agonist, significantly reduced hepatic fat (via imaging) and resolved NASH without worsening fibrosis (via liver biopsy) in a significant number of patients compared with placebo.

AIMS

To present the design of the Phase 3 MAESTRO clinical programme evaluating resmetirom for treatment of NASH (MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 [NCT04197479], MAESTRO-NAFLD-OLE [NCT04951219], MAESTRO-NASH [NCT03900429], MAESTRO-NASH-OUTCOMES [NCT05500222]).

METHODS

MAESTRO-NASH is a pivotal serial biopsy trial in up to 2000 adults with biopsy-confirmed at-risk NASH. Patients are randomised to a once-daily oral placebo, 80 mg resmetirom, or 100 mg resmetirom. Liver biopsies are conducted at screening, week 52 and month 54. MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 is a 52-week safety trial in ~1400 adults with NAFLD/presumed NASH (based on non-invasive testing); ~700 patients from MAESTRO-NAFLD-1 are enrolled in MAESTRO-NAFLD-OLE, a 52-week active treatment extension to further evaluate safety. MAESTRO-NASH-OUTCOMES is enrolling 700 adults with well-compensated NASH cirrhosis to evaluate the potential for resmetirom to slow progression to hepatic decompensation events. Non-invasive tests (biomarkers, imaging) are assessed longitudinally throughout, in addition to validated patient-reported outcomes.

CONCLUSION

The MAESTRO clinical programme was designed in conjunction with regulatory authorities to support approval of resmetirom for treatment of NASH. The surrogate endpoints, based on week 52 liver biopsy, serum biomarkers and imaging, are confirmed by long-term clinical liver-related outcomes in MAESTRO-NASH (month 54) and MAESTRO-NASH-OUTCOMES (time to event).

Identification of High-Risk Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Endocrinology Clinics

The twin epidemics of obesity and type 2 diabetes continue to increase worldwide, so does the associated chronic liver disease, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Although NAFLD has been thought of as a benign liver disease, current evidence suggests that it is a complex liver disease that, for approximately 20% of patients, can progress to fibrosis, cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplant, and death. It is important to note that, given NAFLD's association with metabolic syndrome, the number one cause of death among those with NAFLD is related to cardiovascular diseases. In addition, NAFLD is associated with impaired patient-reported outcomes and a significant economic burden. As such, efforts are now aimed at using noninvasive tests (NITs) to identify patients with NAFLD and those who are at risk of liver disease progression and adverse outcomes in endocrinology practices whereby appropriate risk stratification and referrals can be undertaken. In this review, we discuss the most common NITs used and provide a simple clinically relevant algorithm using these NITs to identify patients with NAFLD who are at risk of adverse outcomes and subsequent clinical management and referral.

A Machine Learning Method to Identify the Risk Factors for Liver Fibrosis Progression in Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis

AIM

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a silent epidemy that has become the most common chronic liver disease worldwide. Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is an advanced stage of NAFLD, which is linked to a high risk of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. The aim of this study is to develop a predictive model to identify the main risk factors associated with the progression of hepatic fibrosis in patients with NASH.

METHODS

A database from a multicenter retrospective cross-sectional study was analyzed. A total of 215 patients with NASH biopsy-proven diagnosed were collected. NAFLD Activity Score and Kleiner scoring system were used to diagnose and staging these patients. Noninvasive tests (NITs) scores were added to identify which one were more reliable for follow-up and to avoid biopsy. For analysis, different Machine Learning methods were implemented, being the eXtreme Gradient Booster (XGB) system the proposed algorithm to develop the predictive model.

RESULTS

The most important variable in this predictive model was High-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, followed by systemic arterial hypertension and triglycerides (TG). NAFLD Fibrosis Score (NFS) was the most reliable NIT. As for the proposed method, XGB obtained higher results than the second method, K-Nearest Neighbors, in terms of accuracy (95.05 vs. 90.42) and Area Under the Curve (0.95 vs. 0.91).

CONCLUSIONS

HDL cholesterol, systemic arterial hypertension, and TG were the most important risk factors for liver fibrosis progression in NASH patients. NFS is recommended for monitoring and decision making.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and associated mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes, pre-diabetes, metabolically unhealthy, and metabolically healthy individuals in the United States

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is high among subjects with type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, the prevalence and outcomes of NAFLD among individuals with pre-diabetes (PreD) and metabolically healthy and metabolically unhealthy individuals without T2D are not known. Our aim was to assess prevalence and mortality of NAFLD among these four groups.

METHODS

The Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) III (1988-1994) with mortality data (follow up to 2019) via linkage to the National Death Index was utilized. NAFLD was defined by ultrasound and absence of other liver diseases and excess alcohol use. Pre-D was defined as fasting plasma glucose values of 100-125 mg/dL and/or HbA1c level between 5.7 %-6.4 % in the absence of established diagnosis of T2D. Metabolically healthy (MH) was defined if all of the following criteria were absent: waist circumference of ≥102 cm (men) or ≥ 88 cm (women) or BMI of ≥30; blood pressure (BP) ≥ 130/85 mmHg or using BP-lowering medication; triglyceride level ≥ 150 mg/dL or using lipid-lowering medication; lipoprotein cholesterol level of <40 mg/dL (men) or < 50 mg/dL (women); homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) score ≥ 2.5; C-reactive protein (CRP) level of >2 mg/L; Pre-D and T2D. Metabolically unhealthy (MU) individuals were defined as the presence of any component of metabolic syndrome but not having Pre-D and T2D. Competing risk analyses of cause-specific mortality were performed.

FINDINGS

11,231 adults (20-74y) were included: mean age 43.4 years; 43.9 % male; 75.4 % white, 10.8 % Black, and 5.4 % Mexican American, 18.9 % NAFLD, 7.8 % T2D; 24.7 % PreD; 44.3 % MU; and 23.3 % in MH individuals. In multivariable adjusted logistic model, as compared to MH individuals, the highest risk of having NAFLD were in T2D individuals (Odd Ratio [OR] = 10.88 [95 % confidence interval: 7.33-16.16]), followed by Pre-D (OR = 4.19 [3.02-5.81]), and MU (OR = 3.36 [2.39-4.71]). During a median follow up of 26.7 years (21.2-28.7 years), 3982 died. NAFLD subjects had significantly higher age-adjusted mortality than non-NAFLD (32.7 % vs. 28.7 %, p < .001). Among subjects with NAFLD, the highest age-standardized cumulative mortality was observed among those with T2D (41.3 %), followed by with Pre-D (35.1 %), MU subjects (30.0 %), and MH subjects (21.9 %) (pairwise p-values<.04 vs. ND with MH). Multivariable adjusted cox models showed that NAFLD with T2D had a higher risk of all-causes and cardiac-specific deaths (Hazard Ratio [HR] = 4.71 [2.23-9.96] and HR = 20.01 [3.00-133.61]), followed by NAFLD with Pre-D (HR = 2.91 [1.41-6.02] and HR = 10.35 [1.57-68.08]) and metabolically unhealthy NAFLD (HR = 2.59 [1.26-5.33] and HR = 6.74 [0.99-46.03]) compared to metabolically healthy NAFLD. In addition to older age, independent predictors of mortality among NAFLD with T2D included high CRP, CVD, CKD, high FIB-4, and active smoking. Similarly, among NAFLD with PreD, high CRP, CKD, CVD, hypertension, and active smoking were associated with mortality. Finally, CVD and active smoking were predictors of mortality among metabolically unhealthy NAFLD, and active smoking was the only mortality risk among metabolically healthy NAFLD subjects.

INTERPRETATION

Metabolic abnormality impacts both prevalence and outcomes of subjects with NAFLD.

Diabetes and cirrhosis: Current concepts on diagnosis and management

Type 2 diabetes mellitus is often associated with cirrhosis as comorbidities, acute illness, medications, and other conditions profoundly alter glucose metabolism. Both conditions are closely related in NAFLD, the leading cause of chronic liver disease, and given its rising burden worldwide, management of type 2 diabetes mellitus in cirrhosis will be an increasingly common dilemma. Having diabetes increases cirrhosis-related complications, including HCC as well as overall mortality. In the absence of effective treatments for cirrhosis, patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus should be systematically screened as early as possible for NAFLD-related fibrosis/cirrhosis using noninvasive tools, starting with a FIB-4 index followed by transient elastography, if available. In people with cirrhosis, an early diagnosis of diabetes is critical for an optimal management strategy (ie, nutritional goals, and glycemic targets). Diagnosis of diabetes may be missed if based on A1C in patients with cirrhosis and impaired liver function (Child-Pugh B-C) as anemia may turn the test unreliable. Clinicians must also become aware of their high risk of hypoglycemia, especially in decompensated cirrhosis where insulin is the only therapy. Care should be within multidisciplinary teams (nutritionists, obesity management teams, endocrinologists, hepatologists, and others) and take advantage of novel glucose-monitoring devices. Clinicians should become familiar with the safety and efficacy of diabetes medications for patients with advanced fibrosis and compensated cirrhosis. Management is conditioned by whether the patient has either compensated or decompensated cirrhosis. This review gives an update on the complex relationship between cirrhosis and type 2 diabetes mellitus, with a focus on its diagnosis and treatment, and highlights knowledge gaps and future directions.

Noninvasive Tests Used in Risk Stratification of Patients with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

As the prevalence of obesity and type 2 diabetes increases around the world, the prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has grown proportionately. Although most patients with NAFLD do not experience progressive liver disease, about 15% to 20% of those with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis can and do progress. Because liver biopsy's role in NAFLD has become increasingly limited, efforts have been undertaken to develop non-invasive tests (NITs) to help identify patients at high risk of progression. The following article discusses the NITs that are available to determine the presence of NAFLD as well as high-risk NAFLD.

How to Identify Advanced Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in the Primary Care Setting

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects 30 to 40% of the population globally and is increasingly considered the most common liver disease. Patients with type 2 diabetes, obesity, and cardiovascular diseases are at especially increased risk for NAFLD. Although most patients with NAFLD do not have progressive liver disease, some patients progress to cirrhosis, liver cancer, and liver mortality. Given the sheer number of patients with NAFLD, the burden of disease is enormous. Despite this large and increasing burden, identification of NAFLD patients at risk for progressive liver disease in the primary care and diabetology practice settings remains highly suboptimal. In this review, our aim is to summarize a stepwise approach to risk stratify patients with NAFLD which should help practitioners in their management of patients with NAFLD.

How to Identify Advanced Fibrosis in Adult Patients with Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) and Non-Alcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH) Using Ultrasound Elastography-A Review of the Literature and Proposed Multistep Approach

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and its progressive form, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), represent, nowadays, real challenges for the healthcare system. Liver fibrosis is the most important prognostic factor for NAFLD, and advanced fibrosis is associated with higher liver-related mortality rates. Therefore, the key issues in NAFLD are the differentiation of NASH from simple steatosis and identification of advanced hepatic fibrosis. We critically reviewed the ultrasound (US) elastography techniques for the quantitative characterization of fibrosis, steatosis, and inflammation in NAFLD and NASH, with a specific focus on how to differentiate advanced fibrosis in adult patients. Vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is still the most utilized and validated elastography method for liver fibrosis assessment. The recently developed point shear wave elastography (pSWE) and two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) techniques that use multiparametric approaches could bring essential improvements to diagnosis and risk stratification.