Real World Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Population Screening for BRCA Variants among Ashkenazi Jews Compared with Family History-Based Strategies

Identifying carriers of pathogenic BRCA1/BRCA2 variants reduces cancer morbidity and mortality through surveillance and prevention. We analyzed the cost-effectiveness of BRCA1/BRCA2 population screening (PS) in Ashkenazi Jews (AJ), for whom carrier rate is 2.5%, compared with two existing strategies: cascade testing (CT) in carrier’s relatives (≥25% carrier probability) and international family history (IFH)-based guidelines (>10% probability). We used a decision analytic-model to estimate quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) gained, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for PS vs. alternative strategies. Analysis was conducted from payer-perspective, based on actual costs. Per 1000 women, the model predicted 21.6 QALYs gained, a lifetime decrease of three breast cancer (BC) and four ovarian cancer (OC) cases for PS vs. CT, and 6.3 QALYs gained, a lifetime decrease of 1 BC and 1 OC cases comparing PS vs. IFH. PS was less costly compared with CT (−3097 USD/QALY), and more costly than IFH (+42,261 USD/QALY), yet still cost-effective, from a public health policy perspective. Our results are robust to sensitivity analysis; PS was the most effective strategy in all analyses. PS is highly cost-effective, and the most effective screening strategy for breast and ovarian cancer prevention. BRCA testing should be available to all AJ women, irrespective of family history.

Preimplantation genetic testing for BRCA gene mutation carriers: a cost effectiveness analysis

BACKGROUND

Gynecologic oncologists should be aware of the option of conception through IVF/PGT-M for families with high BRCA related morbidity or mortality. Our objective was to investigate the cost-effectiveness of preimplantation genetic testing for selection and transfer of BRCA negative embryo in BRCA mutation carriers compared to natural conception.

METHODS

Cost-effectiveness of two strategies, conception through IVF/PGT-M and BRCA negative embryo transfer versus natural conception with a 50% chance of BRCA positive newborn for BRCA mutation carriers was compared using a Markovian process decision analysis model. Costs of the two strategies were compared using quality adjusted life years (QALYs'). All costs were discounted at 3%. Incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) compared to willingness to pay threshold was used for cost-effectiveness analysis.

RESULTS

IVF/ PGT-M is cost-effective with an ICER of 150,219 new Israeli Shekels, per QALY gained (equivalent to 44,480 USD), at a 3% discount rate.

CONCLUSIONS

IVF/ PGT-M and BRCA negative embryo transfer compared to natural conception among BRCA positive parents is cost effective and may be offered for selected couples with high BRCA mutation related morbidity or mortality. Our results could impact decisions regarding conception among BRCA positive couples and health care providers.

Uptake of bilateral-risk-reducing-mastectomy: Prospective analysis of 7195 women at high-risk of breast cancer

Background

Bilateral-Risk-Reducing-Mastectomy-(BRRM) is well described in BRCA1/2 pathogenic variant carriers. However, little is known about the relative uptake, time trends or factors influencing uptake in those at increased breast cancer risk not known to be carriers. The aim of this study is to assess these factors in both groups.

Methods

BRRM uptake was assessed from entry to the Manchester Family History Clinic or from date of personal BRCA1/2 test. Follow up was censored at BRRM, breast cancer diagnosis, death or January 01, 2020. Cumulative incidence and cause specific and competing risk regression analyses were used to assess the significance of factors associated with BRRM.

Results

Of 7195 women at ≥25% lifetime breast cancer risk followed for up to 32 years, 451 (6.2%) underwent pre-symptomatic BRRM. Of those eligible in different risk groups the 20-year uptake of BRRM was 47.7%-(95%CI = 42.4–53.2%) in 479 BRCA1/2 carriers; 9.0% (95%CI = 7.26–11.24%) in 1261 women at ≥40% lifetime risk (non-BRCA), 4.8%-(95%CI = 3.98–5.73%) in 3561 women at 30–39% risk and 2.9%-(95%CI = 2.09–4.09%) in 1783 women at 25–29% lifetime risk. In cause-specific Cox regression analysis death of a sister with breast cancer<50 (OR = 2.4; 95%CI = 1.7–3.4), mother<60 (OR = 1.9; 95%CI = 1.5–2.3), having children (OR = 1.4; 95%CI = 1.1–1.8), breast biopsy (OR = 1.4; 95%CI = 1.0–1.8) were all independently associated with BRRM uptake, while being older at assessment was less likely to be associated with BRRM (>50; OR = 0.26,95%CI = 0.17–0.41). Uptake continued to rise to 20 years from initial risk assessment.

Conclusion

We have identified several additional factors that correlate with BRRM uptake and demonstrate continued increases over time. These factors will help to tailor counselling and support for women.

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BRRM continues even 20 years post original breast cancer risk assessment.

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Potential triggers include death of mother/sister, children and a breast biopsy.

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Uptake is clearly informed by lifetime risk of BC and higher in younger the women.

Cost Effectiveness of Whole Population BRCA Genetic Screening for Cancer Prevention in Israel

With the growing technical ease and reduction in genetic screening costs, whole population BRCA screening may be a feasible option. Our objective was to investigate the cost effectiveness of whole population screening for BRCA mutations in Israel, for varying degrees of BRCA carrier state. Lifetime costs of whole female population screening for BRCA mutation carrier state versus nonscreening were compared using a Markovian process decision analysis model. Model parameters including ovarian and breast cancer risks were obtained from previously published data. Screening and other treatment-related costs were received from the Israeli Ministry of Health pricing list according to specified codes. Quality-adjusted life years were used for cost-effectiveness analysis. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to evaluate model uncertainties, specifically varying degrees of BRCA prevalence. Results show that whole population BRCA screening in Israel is cost effective across a wide range of BRCA prevalence rates with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of 81,493 new Israeli Shekels for a BRCA prevalence of 2.5%, increasing to 250,000 new Israeli Shekels for a 0.75% prevalence rate, per quality-adjusted life year gained. Discount rate and population BRCA prevalence and rate of risk reduction salpingo-oophorectomy are the most influential parameters in the model. Whole population screening for BRCA mutations should be offered as part of general health screening strategies by national medical insurance providers, even for non-Ashkenazi Jews. Our algorithm can be applied for other countries, adjusting local costs of screening and treatment. PREVENTION RELEVANCE: Whole population BRCA mutation screening in Israel is cost effective across a wide prevalence rate and should be offered as part of general health screening strategies by national medical insurance providers for cancer prevention.

Time trends in uptake rates of risk-reducing mastectomy in Israeli asymptomatic BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers

BACKGROUND

The rate of risk-reducing bilateral mastectomy (RRBM) among cancer-free Israeli female BRCA1/BRCA2 mutation carriers was reportedly 13% in 2010. Current RRBM rates in Israel and factors seemingly associated with opting for RRBM were reevaluated.

METHODS

Israeli female cancer-free BRCA1/BRCA2 mutation carriers, who were followed at the high-risk clinic at Sheba Medical Center between January 2011 and April 2020 were eligible. Univariate Cox regression and log-rank test were used to study the crude association between potential predictors and performance of RRBM.

RESULTS

Overall, 427 cancer-free BRCA1 (n = 218) or BRCA2 (n = 209) mutation carriers were included. Median age at genotyping was 33.6 years (interquartile range 26.8-41.8 years), median follow-up 4.4 years (range 0.1-7.6 years). Overall, 41/427 (9.6%) participants underwent RRBM, all of them within 5 years of genotyping. Being married (HR-2.57, p = 0.017) and having a first degree relative with breast cancer (BC) (HR-2.19, p = 0.017) were positively associated with RRBM, whereas any previous benign breast biopsy was negatively associated (HR-0.48, p = 0.029) with performing RRBM.

CONCLUSIONS

RRBM is still infrequently elected by Israeli BRCA1/BRCA2 mutation carriers, with married women with one relative with BC who have not undergone previous breast biopsy more likely to opt for RRBM.

The influence of birth cohort and calendar period on global trends in ovarian cancer incidence

Ovarian cancer is the eighth most common cancer in women worldwide and incidence rates vary markedly by world region. Our study provides a comprehensive overview of ovarian cancer incidence trends globally, examining the influence of birth cohort and period of diagnosis on changing risk. We presented current patterns and trends of ovarian cancer incidence until 2012 using data from successive volumes of Cancer Incidence in Five Contents. The incidence of ovarian cancer is highest in northern and eastern European countries and in northern America. Declining trends were observed in most countries with the exception of a few central and eastern Asian countries. Marked declines were seen in Europe and North America for women aged 50-74 where rates have declined up to 2.4% (95% CI: -3.9, -0.9) annually in Denmark (DNK) over the last decade. Additionally, declines in the incidence rate ratio (IRR) were observed for generations born after the 1930s, with an additional strong period effect seen around 2000 in United States and DNK. In contrast, IRRs increased among younger generations born after the 1950s in Japan and Belarus. Overall, the favorable trends in ovarian cancer incidence is likely due to the increase use of oral contraceptive pills, and changes in the prevalence of other reproductive risk and protective factors for ovarian cancer over the years studied. Changes in disease classifications and cancer registry practices may also partially contribute to the variation in ovarian cancer incidence rates. Thus, continuous cancer surveillance is essential to detect the shifting patterns of ovarian cancer.

Ethnic Disparities for Gynecologic Cancers in Israel

BACKGROUND

Israel's unique population is comprised of two main ethnic groups-Jews (75%) and Arabs (21%), with differing socioeconomic, cultural, and genetic profiles. This study's objective was to evaluate disparities in the incidence, presentation, and outcomes of gynecologic cancers among Israeli women of Arab and Jewish ethnicity.

METHODS

Data on the Israeli female population diagnosed with gynecologic cancers during the years 2000-2012 was obtained from the National Cancer Registry and the National Population Registry. Disease incidence rates by ethnic origin were calculated, and the "Segi World standard population" was used for age standardization. Data for Jewish and Arab patients was compared using chi-square test for categorical variables and T test for continuous variables. Survival outcomes were compared using the log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards modeling.

RESULTS

Annual ASR (age-standardized rate) for ovarian, cervical, and uterine cancers, are all significantly higher among Israeli women of Jewish ethnicity. Israeli Arab women are diagnosed with cervical cancer at an older age (mean, 60.9 vs 55.9, p < 0.001). Stage distribution for uterine, ovarian, and cervical cancers is similar in both ethnic groups. The age-adjusted hazard ratio for mortality from uterine cancer is significantly lower among Jewish Israeli women compared to Arab Israeli women (HR = 0.67, 95% CI 0.57-0.78, p < 0.0001). During the study period, there was a significant decline in the ASR for ovarian cancer among Jewish Israeli women. The ASR for pre-invasive cervical disease increased significantly in both ethnic groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Disparities in gynecological cancer rates, presentations, and outcomes are evident between two major ethnic groups in Israel. Lower cancer incidence rates among Israeli Arab women are likely multifactorial. Uterine cancer outcomes between the two ethnic groups need to be further assessed in order to identify opportunities for improved outcomes among Israeli Arab women.

Breast cancer surveillance for BRCA1/2 mutation carriers - is "early detection" early enough?

Background

Annual MRI screening is associated with a significant reduction in advanced-stage breast cancer diagnosis in BRCA1/2 mutation carriers. The impact that early detection has on subsequent oncological treatment is less frequently reported. In this study we compared disease stage and therapeutic approaches in BRCA1/2 mutation carriers who developed breast cancer while adhering to the recommended surveillance scheme (“known carriers”), with women who became aware of their BRCA mutation status after breast cancer diagnosis (“latent carriers").

Methods

Data on tumor characteristics, disease stage, and therapeutic decisions were collected on BRCA1/2 mutation carriers treated for breast cancer at the Chaim Sheba Medical Center.

Results

Data were available for 298 BRCA1/2 carriers. Median follow-up was 77.4 months (range, 3.5–520). Age at diagnosis was not statistically different between known carriers (n = 96; median age at diagnosis 44.7 years) and latent carriers (n = 202; 43.7 years); p = 0.8284. Of known carriers, 19.8% were diagnosed with carcinoma in situ vs. 5% of latent carriers (p = 0.0012). Stage T1N0 disease was diagnosed in 54/96 (56.3%) of known carriers vs. 59/202 (29.2%) of latent carriers (p < 0.00001). Neoadjuvant or adjuvant chemotherapy was administered to 46/96 (47.9%) of known carriers compared with 162/202 (80.2%) of latent carriers (p < 0.00001).

Conclusions

While early stage breast cancer was diagnosed frequently among known BRCA1/2 carriers under tight surveillance, almost half of these women were treated with chemotherapy. Healthy BRCA1/2 mutation carriers should be informed about these rates while discussing risk-reducing surgical options.

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Annual MRI screening is recommended to healthy BRCA1/2 mutation carriers.

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Intensive surveillance enables breast cancer diagnosis at early stages.

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In this study ∼50% of early stage diagnosed patients received chemotherapy.

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This rate should be discussed with BRCA carriers considering risk-reducing options.

Cost effectiveness of population based BRCA1 founder mutation testing in Sephardi Jewish women

BACKGROUND

Population-based BRCA1/BRCA2 founder-mutation testing has been demonstrated as cost effective compared with family history based testing in Ashkenazi Jewish women. However, only 1 of the 3 Ashkenazi Jewish BRCA1/BRCA2 founder mutations (185delAG[c.68_69delAG]), 5382insC[c.5266dupC]), and 6174delT[c.5946delT]) is found in the Sephardi Jewish population (185delAG[c.68_69delAG]), and the overall prevalence of BRCA mutations in the Sephardi Jewish population is accordingly lower (0.7% compared with 2.5% in the Ashkenazi Jewish population). Cost-effectiveness analyses of BRCA testing have not previously been performed at these lower BRCA prevalence levels seen in the Sephardi Jewish population. Here we present a cost-effectiveness analysis for UK and US populations comparing population testing with clinical criteria/family history-based testing in Sephardi Jewish women.

STUDY DESIGN

A Markov model was built comparing the lifetime costs and effects of population-based BRCA1 testing, with testing using family history-based clinical criteria in Sephardi Jewish women aged ≥30 years. BRCA1 carriers identified were offered magnetic resonance imaging/mammograms and risk-reducing surgery. Costs are reported at 2015 prices. Outcomes include breast cancer, ovarian cancer, and excess deaths from heart disease. All costs and outcomes are discounted at 3.5%. The time horizon is lifetime, and perspective is payer. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio per quality-adjusted life-year was calculated. Parameter uncertainty was evaluated through 1-way and probabilistic sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

Population testing resulted in gain in life expectancy of 12 months (quality-adjusted life-year = 1.00). The baseline discounted incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for UK population-based testing was £67.04/quality-adjusted life-year and for US population was $308.42/quality-adjusted life-year. Results were robust in the 1-way sensitivity analysis. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed 100% of simulations were cost effective at £20,000/quality-adjusted life-year UK and the $100,000/quality-adjusted life-year US willingness-to-pay thresholds. Scenario analysis showed that population testing remains cost effective in UK and US populations, even if premenopausal oophorectomy does not reduce breast cancer risk or if hormone replacement therapy compliance is nil.

CONCLUSION

Population-based BRCA1 testing is highly cost effective compared with clinical criteria-driven approach in Sephardi Jewish women. This supports changing the paradigm to population-based BRCA testing in the Jewish population, regardless of Ashkenazi/Sephardi ancestry.

Cost-effectiveness of population based BRCA testing with varying Ashkenazi Jewish ancestry

BACKGROUND

Population-based BRCA1/BRCA2 testing has been found to be cost-effective compared with family history-based testing in Ashkenazi-Jewish women were >30 years old with 4 Ashkenazi-Jewish grandparents. However, individuals may have 1, 2, or 3 Ashkenazi-Jewish grandparents, and cost-effectiveness data are lacking at these lower BRCA prevalence estimates. We present an updated cost-effectiveness analysis of population BRCA1/BRCA2 testing for women with 1, 2, and 3 Ashkenazi-Jewish grandparents.

STUDY DESIGN

Decision analysis model.

METHODS

Lifetime costs and effects of population and family history-based testing were compared with the use of a decision analysis model. 56% BRCA carriers are missed by family history criteria alone. Analyses were conducted for United Kingdom and United States populations. Model parameters were obtained from the Genetic Cancer Prediction through Population Screening trial and published literature. Model parameters and BRCA population prevalence for individuals with 3, 2, or 1 Ashkenazi-Jewish grandparent were adjusted for the relative frequency of BRCA mutations in the Ashkenazi-Jewish and general populations. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated for all Ashkenazi-Jewish grandparent scenarios. Costs, along with outcomes, were discounted at 3.5%. The time horizon of the analysis is "life-time," and perspective is "payer." Probabilistic sensitivity analysis evaluated model uncertainty.

RESULTS

Population testing for BRCA mutations is cost-saving in Ashkenazi-Jewish women with 2, 3, or 4 grandparents (22-33 days life-gained) in the United Kingdom and 1, 2, 3, or 4 grandparents (12-26 days life-gained) in the United States populations, respectively. It is also extremely cost-effective in women in the United Kingdom with just 1 Ashkenazi-Jewish grandparent with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of £863 per quality-adjusted life-years and 15 days life gained. Results show that population-testing remains cost-effective at the £20,000-30000 per quality-adjusted life-years and $100,000 per quality-adjusted life-years willingness-to-pay thresholds for all 4 Ashkenazi-Jewish grandparent scenarios, with ≥95% simulations found to be cost-effective on probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Population-testing remains cost-effective in the absence of reduction in breast cancer risk from oophorectomy and at lower risk-reducing mastectomy (13%) or risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy (20%) rates.

CONCLUSION

Population testing for BRCA mutations with varying levels of Ashkenazi-Jewish ancestry is cost-effective in the United Kingdom and the United States. These results support population testing in Ashkenazi-Jewish women with 1-4 Ashkenazi-Jewish grandparent ancestry.

Very high uptake of risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy in BRCA1/2 mutation carriers: A single-center experience

OBJECTIVE

Risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy (RRSO) is the only effective surgical strategy to reduce the increased risk of epithelial ovarian cancer in BRCA1/2 mutation carriers. Given the long-term health consequences of premature surgical menopause, we need insight in uptake and timing of RRSO to guide us in improving healthcare.

METHODS

A single-center retrospective cohort study of BRCA1/2 mutation carriers diagnosed and counseled at the multidisciplinary Family Cancer Clinic of the Radboud university medical center in Nijmegen, The Netherlands, between 1999 and 2014. Descriptive statistics were used to analyze uptake and timing of RRSO.

RESULTS

Data of 580 BRCA1/2 were analyzed. The uptake of RRSO among mutation carriers who are currently above the upper limit of the recommended age for RRSO, is 98.5% and 97.5% for BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers, respectively. The vast majority undergoes RRSO ≤40 (BRCA1) or ≤45 (BRCA2) years of age, provided that mutation status is known by that age: 90.8% and 97.3% of BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The uptake of RRSO among BRCA1/2 mutation carriers who were counseled at our Family Cancer Clinic is extremely high. High uptake might be largely attributed to the directive and uniform way of counseling by professionals at our Family Cancer Clinic. Given the fact that RRSO is often undergone at premenopausal age in our population, future research should focus on minimizing long-term health consequences of premature surgical menopause either by optimization of hormone replacement therapy or by investigating alternative strategies to RRSO.

Bilateral breast cancers

An increasingly large proportion of women with unilateral breast cancer are treated with bilateral mastectomy. The rationale behind bilateral surgery is to prevent a second primary breast cancer and thereby to avoid the resultant therapy and eliminate the risk of death from contralateral breast cancer. Bilateral mastectomy has been proposed to benefit women at high risk of contralateral cancer, such as carriers of BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations, but for women without such mutations, the decision to remove the contralateral breast is controversial. It is important to evaluate the risk of contralateral breast cancer on an individual basis, and to tailor surgical treatment accordingly. On average, the annual risk of contralateral breast cancer is approximately 0.5%, but increases to 3% in carriers of a BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation. Risk factors for contralateral breast cancer include a young age at first diagnosis of breast cancer and a family history of breast cancer. Contralateral mastectomy has not been proven to reduce mortality from breast cancer, but the benefit of such surgery is not expected to become apparent until the second decade after treatment. An alternative to contralateral mastectomy is adjuvant hormonal therapy (such as tamoxifen), but the extent of risk reduction is smaller (approximately 50%) compared to 95% or more for contralateral mastectomy. This Review focuses on the risk factors for contralateral breast cancer, and discusses the evidence that bilateral mastectomy might reduce mortality in patients with unilateral breast cancer.