Predictors of early and late mortality after the treatment for early gastric cancers

Long-term outcomes of additional surgery vs. observation after noncurative endoscopic submucosal dissection for early gastric cancer and application value of the eCura scoring system: a propensity score-matched study

BACKGROUND

Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) is increasingly used for treating early gastric cancer (EGC). Noncurative ESD often necessitates additional surgical intervention because of the high risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM), but the optimal post-ESD management remains controversial.

METHODS

This study collected data from patients with EGC who underwent noncurative ESD at Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital between January 2014 and December 2021. Patients were divided into surgical and observation groups and stratified by eCura scores into low (0-1), intermediate (2-4), and high-risk (5-7) categories. A 1:1 propensity score-matched analysis was performed between the 2 groups. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to assess the eCura score's ability to predict LNM. Survival outcomes, including overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS), were compared between groups.

RESULTS

Among the 260 patients, 91 were included in each group. No significant differences in OS or DSS were observed between the groups overall or among low-risk and intermediate-risk patients. However, high-risk patients in the surgical group had significantly better 5-year OS rates than those in the observation group, whereas the difference in DSS was not statistically significant. The eCura score exhibited strong predictive accuracy for LNM (area under the curve, 0.835; sensitivity, 70%; specificity, 92%). The subgroup analysis suggested that postchemoradiotherapy and total gastrectomy might be associated with better prognosis, although the differences were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSION

The eCura scoring system seems to be a valuable tool for guiding post-ESD management. Treatment decisions should be based on the individual characteristics and clinical factors of each patient. For carefully selected patients who are not suitable candidates for surgery, ESD may be a viable alternative treatment option.

Artificial intelligence system improves the quality of digestive endoscopy: A prospective pretest and post-test single-center clinical trial

BACKGROUND

With the assistance of ENDOANGEL, a study was conducted at Hainan General Hospital to evaluate the effect of artificial intelligence (AI) system on the detection of gastrointestinal precancerous lesions.

METHODS

The prospective, randomized, pretest and post-test, single-center clinical trial compared the detection rates of gastric precancerous lesions and intestinal adenomas between baseline and post-intervention phase among traditional digestive endoscopy (control groups i and ii, and experimental group i) and AI-assisted endoscopy (experimental group ii). Additionally, the effect of AI on the detection rate of different seniority physicians was analyzed.

RESULTS

AI assistance significantly increased the detection rates of intestinal metaplasia (experimental group ii vs control group ii: 14.23 % vs 9.15 %, P = 0.013), atrophy (experimental group ii vs control group ii: 22.76 % vs 17.28 %, P = 0.031) and intestinal adenomas (experimental group ii vs control group ii: 48.52 % vs 24.58 %, P < 0.001). The improvement was particularly notable among junior doctors, with significant enhancements in the detection rates of intestinal metaplasia (experimental group ii vs control group ii: 14.39 % vs 9.09 %, P = 0.008), atrophy (experimental group ii vs control group ii: 22.04 % vs 15.31 %, P = 0.004), and intestinal adenomas (experimental group ii vs control group ii: 45.18 % vs 29.27 %, P = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

AI systems have the potential to significantly improve the detection rates of precancerous conditions, particularly among less experienced endoscopists. This advancement can lead to more accurate and appropriate follow-up and review strategies for patients, ultimately reducing the risk of missed early cancer diagnoses.

Management of epithelial precancerous conditions and early neoplasia of the stomach (MAPS III): European Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ESGE), European Helicobacter and Microbiota Study Group (EHMSG) and European Society of Pathology (ESP) Guideline update 2025

At a population level, the European Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ESGE), the European Helicobacter and Microbiota Study Group (EHMSG), and the European Society of Pathology (ESP) suggest endoscopic screening for gastric cancer (and precancerous conditions) in high-risk regions (age-standardized rate [ASR] > 20 per 100 000 person-years) every 2 to 3 years or, if cost-effectiveness has been proven, in intermediate risk regions (ASR 10-20 per 100 000 person-years) every 5 years, but not in low-risk regions (ASR < 10).ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommend that irrespective of country of origin, individual gastric risk assessment and stratification of precancerous conditions is recommended for first-time gastroscopy. ESGE/EHMSG/ESP suggest that gastric cancer screening or surveillance in asymptomatic individuals over 80 should be discontinued or not started, and that patients' comorbidities should be considered when treatment of superficial lesions is planned.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommend that a high quality endoscopy including the use of virtual chromoendoscopy (VCE), after proper training, is performed for screening, diagnosis, and staging of precancerous conditions (atrophy and intestinal metaplasia) and lesions (dysplasia or cancer), as well as after endoscopic therapy. VCE should be used to guide the sampling site for biopsies in the case of suspected neoplastic lesions as well as to guide biopsies for diagnosis and staging of gastric precancerous conditions, with random biopsies to be taken in the absence of endoscopically suspected changes. When there is a suspected early gastric neoplastic lesion, it should be properly described (location, size, Paris classification, vascular and mucosal pattern), photodocumented, and two targeted biopsies taken.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP do not recommend routine performance of endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS), computed tomography (CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), or positron emission tomography (PET)-CT prior to endoscopic resection unless there are signs of deep submucosal invasion or if the lesion is not considered suitable for endoscopic resection.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommend endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for differentiated gastric lesions clinically staged as dysplastic (low grade and high grade) or as intramucosal carcinoma (of any size if not ulcerated or ≤ 30 mm if ulcerated), with EMR being an alternative for Paris 0-IIa lesions of size ≤ 10 mm with low likelihood of malignancy.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP suggest that a decision about ESD can be considered for malignant lesions clinically staged as having minimal submucosal invasion if differentiated and ≤ 30 mm; or for malignant lesions clinically staged as intramucosal, undifferentiated and ≤ 20 mm; and in both cases with no ulcerative findings.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommends patient management based on the following histological risk after endoscopic resection: Curative/very low-risk resection (lymph node metastasis [LNM] risk < 0.5 %-1 %): en bloc R0 resection; dysplastic/pT1a, differentiated lesion, no lymphovascular invasion, independent of size if no ulceration and ≤ 30 mm if ulcerated. No further staging procedure or treatment is recommended.Curative/low-risk resection (LNM risk < 3 %): en bloc R0 resection; lesion with no lymphovascular invasion and: a) pT1b, invasion ≤ 500 µm, differentiated, size ≤ 30 mm; or b) pT1a, undifferentiated, size ≤ 20 mm and no ulceration. Staging should be completed, and further treatment is generally not necessary, but a multidisciplinary discussion is required. Local-risk resection (very low risk of LNM but increased risk of local persistence/recurrence): Piecemeal resection or tumor-positive horizontal margin of a lesion otherwise meeting curative/very low-risk criteria (or meeting low-risk criteria provided that there is no submucosal invasive tumor at the resection margin in the case of piecemeal resection or tumor-positive horizontal margin for pT1b lesions [invasion ≤ 500 µm; well-differentiated; size ≤ 30 mm, and VM0]). Endoscopic surveillance/re-treatment is recommended rather than other additional treatment. High-risk resection (noncurative): Any lesion with any of the following: (a) a positive vertical margin (if carcinoma) or lymphovascular invasion or deep submucosal invasion (> 500 µm from the muscularis mucosae); (b) poorly differentiated lesions if ulceration or size > 20 mm; (c) pT1b differentiated lesions with submucosal invasion ≤ 500 µm with size > 30 mm; or (d) intramucosal ulcerative lesion with size > 30 mm. Complete staging and strong consideration for additional treatments (surgery) in multidisciplinary discussion.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP suggest the use of validated endoscopic classifications of atrophy (e. g. Kimura-Takemoto) or intestinal metaplasia (e. g. endoscopic grading of gastric intestinal metaplasia [EGGIM]) to endoscopically stage precancerous conditions and stratify the risk for gastric cancer.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommend that biopsies should be taken from at least two topographic sites (2 biopsies from the antrum/incisura and 2 from the corpus, guided by VCE) in two separate, clearly labeled vials. Additional biopsy from the incisura is optional.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommend that patients with extensive endoscopic changes (Kimura C3 + or EGGIM 5 +) or advanced histological stages of atrophic gastritis (severe atrophic changes or intestinal metaplasia, or changes in both antrum and corpus, operative link on gastritis assessment/operative link on gastric intestinal metaplasia [OLGA/OLGIM] III/IV) should be followed up with high quality endoscopy every 3 years, irrespective of the individual's country of origin.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommend that no surveillance is proposed for patients with mild to moderate atrophy or intestinal metaplasia restricted to the antrum, in the absence of endoscopic signs of extensive lesions or other risk factors (family history, incomplete intestinal metaplasia, persistent H. pylori infection). This group constitutes most individuals found in clinical practice.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommend H. pylori eradication for patients with precancerous conditions and after endoscopic or surgical therapy.ESGE/EHMSG/ESP recommend that patients should be advised to stop smoking and low-dose daily aspirin use may be considered for the prevention of gastric cancer in selected individuals with high risk for cardiovascular events.

Capecitabine enhances sensitivity to oxaliplatin in advanced gastric cancer and the effects on patients' FOXP1 and GGT levels

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the effect of capecitabine on the sensitivity of oxaliplatin and on the level of transcription factor forkhead box P1 (FOXP1) and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) in patients with intermediate and advanced gastric cancer.

METHODS

A total of 152 Patients with advanced gastric cancer who were continuously diagnosed and treated in our hospital were selected as the study objects. The general data were retrospectively analyzed. The patients in the control group received oxaliplatin, while the patients in the study group received capecitabine on the basis of the control group. The FOXP1 expression level was detected using immunohistochemistry. Serum levels of GGT were measured by chemiluminescence. Protein levels were detected by Western blot. The prognostic factors were analyzed by the COX regression model. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve was used to analyze the survival of gastric cancer.

RESULTS

The effective rates (complete response, partial response, and stability) of the study group and the control group were 94.74% and 76.32%, respectively. Compared with adjacent normal tissues, the expression level of FOXP1 in gastric cancer tissues was lower (P < 0.05). After treatment, the average expression level of FOXP1 in the gastric cancer tissue of the study group was higher than the control group (P < 0.05). Moreover, lower FOXP1 expression was associated with lower overall survival (OS) (1-year survival and 3-year survival were 75.76% and 53.03%, respectively) (P < 0.05). Further analysis showed that capecitabine combined with oxaliplatin down-regulated the expression of DNA repair related-proteins and up-regulated the expression of key molecules of the apoptosis pathway, thus enhancing the killing effect of oxaliplatin on gastric cancer cells (P < 0.05). Both the 1-year and 3-year survival rates of the study group were higher than that in the control group (P < 0.05). The 1-year survival rate of 152 patients with gastric cancer was 84.87% (129/152) and the 3-year survival rate was 63.17% (96/152). Age, tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage, lymph node metastasis, chemotherapy regimen, FOXP1, and GGT levels were important factors in determining OS.

CONCLUSION

Capecitabine effectively enhanced the sensitivity of intermediate and advanced gastric cancer to oxaliplatin, improved the therapeutic effect and ameliorated the prognosis of patients.

Capecitabine enhances sensitivity to oxaliplatin in advanced gastric cancer and the effects on patients' FOXP1 and GGT levels

Objective

To investigate the effect of capecitabine on the sensitivity of oxaliplatin and on the level of transcription factor forkhead box P1 (FOXP1) and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) in patients with intermediate and advanced gastric cancer.

Methods

A total of 152 patients with intermediate and advanced gastric cancer diagnosed and treated in our hospital from April 2018 to May 2019 was selected as the research objects, and their clinical data were retrospectively analyzed. According to the different treatment methods, they were divided into the study group and the control group, with 76 cases in each group. The patients in the control group received with oxaliplatin, while the patients in the study group received with capecitabine on the basis of the control group. The therapeutic effect was evaluated according to the therapeutic effect evaluation criteria of solid tumors. The FOXP1 expression level in gastric cancer tissues was detected using immunohistochemistry. Serum levels of GGT were measured by chemiluminescence. The prognostic factors were analyzed by COX regression model, and the Kaplan-Meier survival curve was used to analyze the relationship between the influencing factors and the survival of gastric cancer.

Results

The effective rate of capecitabine combined with oxaliplatin and oxaliplatin alone in the treatment of patients with intermediate and advanced gastric cancer were 94.74 % and 76.32 % respectively. Capecitabine enhanced the sensitivity of intermediate and advanced gastric cancer to oxaliplatin (P < 0.05). Compared with adjacent normal tissues, the expression level of FOXP1 in gastric cancer tissues was lower (P < 0.05). Before treatment, the expression of FOXP1 was low, and no significant difference was observed in the GGT level between the two groups (P > 0.05). After treatment, the low expression rate of FOXP1 and serum GGT level were both significantly decreased, and those in the study group were lower than those in the control group (P < 0.05). There was no difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the two groups (P > 0.05). The 1-year survival rates of the study group and the control group were 90.79 % and 78.95 %, while the 3-year survival rates of the study group and the control group were 75.00 % and 51.32 %, respectively. Both the 1-year and 3-year survival rate of the study group was higher than that in the control group (P < 0.05). The 1-year survival rate of 152 patients with gastric cancer was 84.87 % (129/152) and the 3-year survival rate was 63.17 % (96/152). Age, tumor diameter, tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage, lymph node metastasis, chemotherapy regimen and the expression of FOXP1 and GGT had significant effects on the survival rate (P < 0.05). Gastric cancer patients with age <60 years, TNM stage of Ⅰ ∼ Ⅱ, lymph node metastasis N0 ∼ N1, high expression of FOXP1, GGT <387.2, and combined with drug chemotherapy had higher survival rate.

Conclusion

Capecitabine effectively enhanced the sensitivity of intermediate and advanced gastric cancer to oxaliplatin, improved the therapeutic effect, reduced the proportion of patients with low FOXP1 expression rate and serum GGT level, decreased the recurrence rate and ameliorated the prognosis of patients.

Combined influence of physical activity and C-reactive protein to albumin ratio on mortality among older cancer survivors in the United States: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although a high C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR) is believed to increase mortality risk, the association between the physical activity (PA), CAR, and mortality among cancer survivors has not been investigated. This study aimed to examine this association among cancer survivors in the United States.

METHODS

This cohort study used data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 1999 to 2010. PA was self-reported using the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire, and C-reactive protein and albumin levels were obtained from laboratory data files. Mortality data were obtained by linkage of the cohort database to the National Death Index as of December 31, 2019. The analysis was conducted from November 1 to December 31, 2023. We used Cox proportional hazards multivariable regression to assess hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (CIs) for total and cancer-specific mortality risks attributable to PA and CAR.

RESULTS

Among 2,232 cancer survivors, 325 (14.6%) reported no PA with a high CAR. During a follow-up of up to 20.75 years (median, 12.3 years; 27,453 person-years), 1,174 deaths occurred (cancer, 335; other, 839). A high CAR was observed to be consistently associated with the highest risks of total (HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.37-1.85) and cancer-specific (HR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.55-2.73) mortality compared with a low CAR in a series of adjusted models. Multivariable models showed that PA was associated with a lower risk of all-cause (HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.52-0.69) and cancer-specific (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.49-0.84) mortality compared with no PA. In the joint analyses, survivors with PA ≥ 600 metabolic equivalent min/wk and a low CAR were more likely to reduce the risk of total (HR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.32-0.51) and cancer-specific (HR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.20-0.50) mortality by 59% and 68% compared with those with no PA and a high CAR.

CONCLUSION

The pairing of adequate PA and a low CAR was significantly associated with reduced all-cause and cancer-related mortality risks.

Risk stratification of synchronous gastric cancers including alcohol-related genetic polymorphisms

BACKGROUND AND AIM

We previously identified that ever-smoking and severe gastric atrophy in pepsinogen are risk factors for synchronous gastric cancers (SGCs). This study aimed to determine the association of alcohol drinking status or alcohol-related genetic polymorphism with SGCs and also stratify their risk.

METHODS

This multi-center prospective cohort study included patients who underwent endoscopic submucosal dissection for the initial early gastric cancers at 22 institutions in Japan. We evaluated the association of alcohol drinking status or alcohol dehydrogenase 1B (ADH1B) and acetaldehyde dehydrogenase 2 (ALDH2) genotypes with SGCs. We then stratified the risk of SGCs by combining prespecified two factors and risk factors identified in this study.

RESULTS

Among 802 patients, 130 had SGCs. Both the ADH1B Arg and ALDH2 Lys alleles demonstrated a significant association with SGCs on multivariate analysis (odds ratio, 1.77), although alcohol drinking status showed no association. The rates of SGCs in 0-3 risk factors in the combined evaluation of three risk factors (ever-smoking, severe gastric atrophy in pepsinogen, and both the ADH1B Arg and ALDH2 Lys alleles) were 7.6%, 15.0%, 22.0%, and 32.1%, respectively. The risk significantly increased from 0 to 3 risk factors on multivariate analysis (P for trend <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Both the ADH1B Arg and ALDH2 Lys alleles were at high risk for SGCs. The risk stratification by these three factors may be a less invasive and promising tool for predicting their risk.

Clinical Significance of Sarcopenia in Elderly Patients Undergoing Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

As global life expectancy rises and gastrointestinal tumor incidence increases, more elderly patients are undergoing endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for tumor treatment. The current situation highlights the importance of sarcopenia assessment before ESD. This systematic review and meta-analysis aim to assess sarcopenia's role in predicting post-ESD adverse outcomes in the elderly.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate the impact of sarcopenia on the prognosis of elderly patients undergoing ESD treatment. A comprehensive search was conducted across three databases (PubMed, Embase, Web of Science). We were using NEWCASTLE-OTTAWA ASSESSMENT SCALE for risk of bias assessment. The data were synthesized using Review Manager 5.3.

RESULTS

A total of 9 reports were identified, analyzing 7 indicators, with a combined sample size of 6044. Through a series of analyses, we have derived several highly credible research findings: the overall OR and 95% CI for gastric and colorectal post-ESD perforation between sarcopenia and nonsarcopenia groups were 1.34 [0.92, 1.97], for CTCAE grade > 2 was 2.65 [1.45, 4.82], for upper gastrointestinal post-ESD pneumonia were 1.97 [1.30, 2.99], and for gastric post-ESD mortality within 5 years were 2.96 [1.33, 6.58].

CONCLUSIONS

Sarcopenia is a risk factor for increased incidence of complications (CTCAE > 2) after undergoing gastric and colorectal ESD, increased pneumonia rates, and higher mortality rates within five years following gastric ESD treatment in elderly patients. However, sarcopenia does not lead to an increased perforation rate in elderly patients undergoing gastric and colorectal ESD treatments. Registration and protocol: The protocol for this study was registered on the Open Science Framework in 2024 https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/7B2CZ . We also conducted pre-registration on PROSPERO (CRD42024532547).

The Impact of Tobacco Smoking and Alcohol Consumption on the Development of Gastric Cancers

Chronic infection of Helicobacter pylori is considered the principal cause of gastric cancers, but evidence has accumulated regarding the impact of tobacco smoking and alcohol consumption on the development of gastric cancers. Several possible mechanisms, including the activation of nicotinic acetylcholine receptors, have been proposed for smoking-induced gastric carcinogenesis. On the other hand, local acetaldehyde exposure and ethanol-induced mucosal inflammation have been proposed as the mechanisms involved in the development of gastric cancers in heavy alcohol drinkers. In addition, genetic polymorphisms are also considered to play a pivotal role in smoking-related and alcohol-related gastric carcinogenesis. In this review, we will discuss the molecular mechanisms involved in the development of gastric cancers in relation to tobacco smoking and alcohol consumption.

Prognostic factors for patients 85 years or older undergoing endoscopic submucosal dissection for early gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

Little is known about prognostic factors for patients 85 years or older undergoing endoscopic submucosal dissection for early gastric cancer. Therefore, this study aimed to identify such prognostic factors.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated the long-term outcomes and prognostic factors of 143 patients 85 years or older undergoing endoscopic submucosal dissection for early gastric cancer at a single-center between October 2005 and September 2020. Using the Kaplan-Meier method and a Cox proportional hazards regression model, we examined the relationships of patient characteristics and endoscopic curability (additional gastrectomy recommended [eCuraC-2] or not recommended) with overall survival.

RESULTS

The median age of the patients was 86 years, and most patients were men (65%). The eCuraC-2 rate was 14.7%. During the follow-up period, 55 patients died; however, only two patients died due to gastric cancer. The 3-year and 5-year overall survival rates were 91.5% and 74.7%, respectively. Male sex (hazard ratio, 2.23; 95% confidence interval, 1.16-4.30), American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status of 3 (hazard ratio, 2.57; 95% confidence interval, 1.32-4.99), body mass index < 18.9 kg/m2 (hazard ratio, 2.21; 95% confidence interval, 1.11-4.40), and eCuraC-2 (hazard ratio, 3.04; 95% confidence interval, 1.37-6.75) were identified as independent prognostic factors. Moreover, patients with eCuraC-2 had significantly more poor prognostic factors than those who did not.

CONCLUSIONS

The decision to perform endoscopic submucosal dissection for patients with the aforementioned prognostic factors should be carefully considered because follow-up without endoscopic submucosal dissection is possible.

Endoscopic Features of Synchronous Multiple Early Gastric Cancers: Findings from a Nationwide Cohort

INTRODUCTION

We investigated the factors associated with synchronous multiple early gastric cancers and determined their localization.

METHODS

We analyzed 8,191 patients who underwent endoscopic submucosal dissection for early gastric cancers at 33 hospitals in Japan from November 2013 to October 2016. Background factors were compared between single-lesion (n = 7,221) and synchronous multi-lesion cases (n = 970) using univariate and multivariate analyses. We extracted cases with two synchronous lesions (n = 832) and evaluated their localization.

RESULTS

Significant independent risk factors for synchronous multiple early gastric cancer were older age (≥75 years old) (odds ratio [OR] = 1.257), male sex (OR = 1.385), severe mucosal atrophy (OR = 1.400), tumor localization in the middle (OR = 1.362) or lower region (OR = 1.404), and submucosal invasion (OR = 1.528 [SM1], 1.488 [SM2]). Depressed macroscopic type (OR = 0.679) and pure undifferentiated histology OR = 0.334) were more common in single early gastric cancers. When one lesion was in the upper region, the other was more frequently located in the lesser curvature of the middle region. When one lesion was in the middle region, the other was more frequently located in the middle region or the lesser curvature of the lower region. When one lesion was in the lower region, the other was more frequently located in the lesser curvature of the middle region or the lower region.

CONCLUSION

Factors associated with synchronous multiple early gastric cancer included older age, male sex, severe mucosal atrophy, tumor localization in the middle or lower region, and tumor submucosal invasion. Our findings provide useful information regarding specific areas that should be examined carefully when one lesion is detected.

Decision to perform additional surgery after non-curative endoscopic submucosal dissection for gastric cancer based on the risk of lymph node metastasis: a long-term follow-up study

BACKGROUND

Radical surgery after non-curative endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for early gastric cancer (EGC) may be excessive, since only 5-10% of patients have lymph node metastasis (LNM). This study investigated the suitability of the eCura system for determining the need for radical surgery after non-curative ESD.

METHODS

We retrospectively investigated 343 patients who underwent non-curative ESD for EGC from 2006 to 2021 at a tertiary hospital in Korea. These patients were divided into surgery (n = 191) and observation (n = 152) groups based on whether they underwent additional surgery post-ESD. Each group was further classified into low-risk (eCura score 0-1), intermediate-risk (eCura score 2-4) and high-risk (eCura score 5-7). All patients were regularly followed-up at least annually after the initial treatment. The cumulative overall and recurrence-free survival rates were calculated for each category and compared between the surgery and observation groups.

RESULTS

No significant differences in overall survival were found between the surgery and observation groups in low-risk (p = 0.168) and intermediate-risk patients (p = 0.306); however, high-risk patients had better 5-year overall survival rate in the surgery group than in the follow-up group (95.2% vs. 71.4%, p < 0.001). The 5-year recurrence-free survival rate was higher in the surgery group than in the observation group for low-risk (100% vs. 84.3%; p = 0.034), intermediate-risk (96.1% vs. 88.4%; p = 0.081) and high-risk patients (100% vs. 83.3%; p = 0.023).

CONCLUSIONS

Follow-up without additional surgery after non-curative ESD can be a reasonable option for low-risk and even intermediate-risk patients according to the eCura system. However, surgery is warranted for eCura high-risk patients.

Smoking history and severe atrophic gastritis assessed by pepsinogen are risk factors for the prevalence of synchronous gastric cancers in patients with gastric endoscopic submucosal dissection: a multicenter prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

No studies have evaluated the relationship between lifestyle and synchronous gastric cancers (SGCs) in patients with endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for early gastric cancers (EGCs). Using data from the Tohoku gastrointestinal (GI) study, we aimed to identify factors associated with SGCs.

METHODS

Tohoku GI study is a multicenter prospective cohort study investigating the relationship between lifestyle and metachronous gastric cancers. Patients who had a schedule to undergo ESD for primary EGCs were enrolled. We used logistic regression analysis to examine the relationship of 15 candidate factors, including lifestyle, with the prevalence of SGCs in this study.

RESULTS

Of 850 patients between 2016 and 2019, 16.0% (136 patients) had SGCs. In multivariate analysis, smoking history (odds ratio [OR], 1.93; p = 0.048) and severe atrophic gastritis assessed by pepsinogen (OR, 1.92; p = 0.004) were risk factors for the prevalence of SGCs. Regarding smoking, current smoking (OR, 2.33; p = 0.021), but not former smoking (OR, 1.76; p = 0.098), was a significant risk factor for its prevalence. In the stratified analysis, severe atrophic gastritis assessed by pepsinogen was a risk factor in patients without Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) eradication (OR, 2.10; p = 0.002), but not a risk factor in those with H. pylori eradication (OR, 0.75; p = 0.737).

CONCLUSION

Smoking history was a risk factor for the prevalence of SGCs in patients with ESD for EGCs, and severe atrophic gastritis assessed by pepsinogen was also a risk factor when H. pylori was not eradicated.

Treatment strategy after noncurative endoscopic resection for early gastric cancers in patients aged ≥ 85 years: a multicenter retrospective study in a highly aged area of Japan

BACKGROUND

The guidelines recommend additional gastrectomy after noncurative endoscopic resection for early gastric cancers (EGCs). However, no additional treatment might be acceptable in some patients aged ≥ 85 years. We aimed to identify this patient group using the data in a highly aged area.

METHODS

We enrolled patients aged ≥ 85 years after noncurative endoscopic resection for EGCs at 30 institutions of the Tohoku district in Japan between 2002 and 2017. Treatment selection and prognosis after noncurative endoscopic resection were investigated. Fourteen candidates were evaluated using the Cox model to identify risk factors for poor overall survival (OS) in patients with no additional treatment.

RESULTS

Of 1065 patients aged ≥ 85 years, 143 underwent noncurative endoscopic resection. Despite the guidelines' recommendation, 88.8% of them underwent no additional treatment. The 5-year OS rates in those with additional gastrectomy and those with no additional treatment were 63.1 and 65.2%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed independent risk factors for poor OS in patients with no additional treatment were the high-risk category in the eCura system (hazard ratio [HR], 2.91), Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) ≥ 3 (HR, 2.78), and male (HR, 2.04). In patients with no additional treatment, nongastric cancer-specific survival was low (69.0% in 5 years), whereas disease-specific survival rates were very high in the low- and intermediate-risk categories of the eCura system (100.0 and 97.1%, respectively, in 5 years).

CONCLUSIONS

No additional treatment may be acceptable in the low- and intermediate-risk categories of the eCura system in patients aged ≥ 85 years with noncurative endoscopic resection for EGCs.

To Treat or Not to Treat? Dilemmas when Deciding on Antineoplastic Treatment in Patients With Far Advanced Cancers

Patients with advanced cancers and their oncologists are often faced with difficult treatment decisions, especially when there are borderline situations of expected benefit or increased risk of complications. In this narrative review, we will explore the decision-making process for patients with advanced cancers and provide insights on how to approach this complex task, while didactically dividing the oncologist's assessments according to a mnemonic rule of the ABCDE of therapeutic decision-making. Part A (advanced cancer) recalls that the rule is to be used specifically for advanced cancers. Parts B (potential benefits) and C (clinical conditions and risks) represents the traditional risk vs benefit scale. In Part D, we discuss ways to identify and understand patients' desires, values, preferences, and beliefs. The prognostic estimation, from Part E, may function as an "adjust" for the antineoplastic treatment decision-making. Treatment decisions need to be conducted by skilled oncologists, in a patient-centered care, aiming to promote valuable oncology with lower rates of aggressive care.

Scoring system for predicting the prognosis of elderly gastric cancer patients after endoscopic submucosal dissection

OBJECTIVES

Comprehensive assessments of the long-term outcomes of endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for early gastric cancer (EGC) in the elderly are unavailable. We aimed to create a scoring system to predict the long-term prognosis after ESD for EGC among patients aged ≥75 years.

METHODS

We conducted retrospective studies of two cohorts: a single-center cohort (2006-2011) for developing the scoring system, and a multicenter cohort for validating the developed system (2012-2016). In the development cohort, factors related to death after ESD were identified using multivariable Cox regression analysis, and a predictive scoring system was developed. In the validation cohort, the scoring system was validated in 295 patients.

RESULTS

In the development cohort, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) ≥3 (hazard ratio [HR] 3.017), high psoas muscle index (PMI) (HR 2.206), and age ≥80 years (HR 1.978) were significantly related to overall survival after ESD. Therefore, high CCI, low PMI, and age ≥80 years were assigned 1 point each. The patients were categorized into low (≤1 point) and high (≥2 points) score groups based on their total scores. In the validation cohort, 184 and 111 patients were assigned to the low- and high-score groups, respectively. In comparisons based on Kaplan-Meier curves, the 5-year survival rate was 91.5% in the low-score group and 57.8% in the high-score group (log-rank test; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Our scoring system including high CCI, low PMI, and age ≥80 years could stratify the long-term prognosis of elderly patients aged ≥75 years after ESD for EGC.

The impact of sarcopenia on short- and long-term outcomes of endoscopic submucosal dissection for early gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

Sarcopenia prevalence has increased in proportion to the aging population in Japan. We aimed to investigate the association between sarcopenia and clinical outcomes and the prognostic factors of endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for early gastric cancer (EGC).

METHODS

This retrospective study involved patients aged ≥ 65 years who had undergone gastric ESD for EGC at our institution between January 2009 and December 2019. Patients were divided into two groups, namely, a sarcopenia group (109 patients) and a non-sarcopenia group (658 patients), based on the skeletal muscle index and intramuscular adipose tissue content (IMAC). Clinicopathological features, ESD-related adverse events, and outcomes were then compared.

RESULTS

In the sarcopenia group, the mean age was higher, whereas performance and nutritional statuses were lower. There were no between-group differences in terms of treatment outcomes. Multivariate analyses (odds ratio [95% confidence interval (CI)]) indicated that a geriatric nutritional risk index score (GNRI) < 92 (2.12 [1.09-4.11], p = 0.03), anticoagulant therapy (1.76 [1.13-2.76], p = 0.01), tumor size ≥ 30 mm (2.09 [1.23-3.55], p = 0.01), and sarcopenia (1.90 [1.05-3.45], p = 0.03) were significantly associated with ESD-related adverse events. High Charlson comorbidity index, low prognostic nutritional index, low GNRI, and high IMAC were significantly associated with poor overall survival (OS). OS was significantly shorter in the sarcopenia group even after matching.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with sarcopenia had significantly more adverse events and shorter OS; therefore, evaluation of a patient's general condition, including sarcopenia, before ESD is important.

Short and long-term outcomes of prophylactic total gastrectomy in 54 consecutive individuals with germline pathogenic mutations in the CDH1 gene

BACKGROUND

Germline mutation of CDH1 is rare and leads to hereditary diffuse gastric cancer (DGC).

METHODS

Patients (pts) with CDH1 mutation who underwent multidisciplinary counseling followed by open prophylactic total gastrectomy (PTG) by a single surgeon were reviewed.

RESULTS

Fifty-four pts with a median age of 41 years (16-70 years) underwent PTG between 2006 and 2021. Median operative time was 161 min, and median hospital stay was 7 days (range 6-12). There were 5 complications (9.2%) within 30 days, and two complications (pulmonary embolism and pancreatitis) required readmission. There were no anastomotic leaks. The pathologic analysis of the first 10 pts included the entire gastric mucosa, revealing a median of 15 foci of DGC (range 5-136). The subsequent 44 pts with more limited analysis had a median of 2 foci (range 0-5), and two pts (3.7%) had no foci identified. Median maximum weight loss was 19%. In long-term follow-up (median 4.6 years) of 20 pts, median global QOL was 2.0 (very good), the majority had persistent difficulty with certain foods or liquids, and all stated they would again elect PTG over surveillance endoscopy.

CONCLUSIONS

PTG can be performed safely at high-volume referral centers with very good QOL but nutritional sequelae persist.

Prognostic Benefit of Additional Treatment After Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Although additional treatment is considered for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) invading into the muscularis mucosa (pT1a-MM) or submucosa (pT1b-SM) after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD), the actual benefits of this method remain to be elucidated.

AIMS

We aimed to evaluate the prognostic benefits of additional treatment in such patients.

METHODS

Between 2006 and 2017, we enrolled patients with pT1a-MM/pT1b-SM ESCC after ESD at 21 institutions in Japan. Overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) were compared between the additional treatment and follow-up groups after propensity score matching, to reduce the bias of baseline characteristics. A subgroup analysis was performed according to the pathological findings: category A, pT1a-MM but negative for lymphovascular invasion (LVI) and vertical margin (VM); category B, tumor invasion into the submucosa ≤ 200 μm but negative for LVI and VM; category C, others.

RESULTS

Of 593 patients with pT1a-MM/pT1b-SM ESCC after ESD, 101 matched pairs were extracted after propensity score matching. The OSs were similar between the additional treatment and follow-up groups (80.6% vs. 78.6% in 5 years; P = 0.972). In a subgroup analysis, the OS in the additional treatment group was significantly lower than that in the follow-up group (65.7% vs. 95.2% in 5 years; P = 0.037) in category A, whereas OS did not significantly differ in category C (76.8% vs. 69.5% in 5 years; P = 0.360).

CONCLUSIONS

Additional treatment after ESD in patients with pT1a-MM/pT1b-SM ESCC was not associated with an improved prognosis.

Combined assessment of clinical and pathological prognostic factors for deciding treatment strategies for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma invading into the muscularis mucosa or submucosa after endoscopic submucosal dissection

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to clarify the prognostic factors for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) invading into the muscularis mucosa (pT1a-MM) or submucosa (pT1b-SM) after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD).

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled such patients at 21 institutions in Japan between 2006 and 2017. We evaluated 15 factors, including pathological risk categories for ESCC-specific mortality, six non-cancer-related indices, and treatment strategies.

RESULTS

In the analysis of 593 patients, the 5-year overall and disease-specific survival rates were 83.0% and 97.6%, respectively. In a multivariate Cox analysis, male sex (hazard ratio [HR] 3.56), Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) ≥3 (HR 2.53), ages of 75-79 (HR 1.61) and ≥80 years (HR 2.04), prognostic nutrition index (PNI) <45 (HR 1.69), and pathological intermediate-risk (HR 1.63) and high-risk (HR 1.89) were prognostic factors. Subsequently, we developed a clinical risk classification for non-ESCC-related mortality based on the number of prognostic factors (age ≥75 years, male sex, CCI ≥3, PNI <45): low-risk, 0; intermediate-risk, 1-2; and high-risk, 3-4. The 5-year non-ESCC-related mortality rates for patients without additional treatment were 0.0%, 10.2%, and 45.8% in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups, respectively. Meanwhile, the 5-year ESCC-specific mortality rates for the pathological low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups were 0.3%, 5.3%, and 18.2%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

We clarified prognostic factors for patients with pT1a-MM/pT1b-SM ESCC after ESD. The combined assessment of non-ESCC- and ESCC-related mortalities by the two risk classifications might help clinicians in deciding treatment strategies for such patients.

Survival nomogram for different grades of gastric cancer patients based on SEER database and external validation cohort

Background

Influencing factors varied among gastric cancer (GC) for different differentiation grades which affect the prognosis accordingly. This study aimed to develop a nomogram to effectively identify the overall survival (OS).

Methods

Totally, 9,568 patients with GC were obtained from the SEER database as the training cohort and internal validation cohort. We then retrospectively enrolled patients diagnosed with GC to construct the external validation cohort from the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University. The prognostic factors were integrated into the multivariate Cox regression to construct a nomogram. To test the accuracy of the model, we used the calibration curves, receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves, C-index, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

Race chemotherapy, tumor size, and other four factors were significantly associated with the prognosis of Grade III GC Patients. On this basis, we developed a nomogram. The discrimination of the nomogram revealed good prognostic accuracy The results of the area under the curve (AUC) calculated by ROC for five-year survival were 0.828 and 0.758 in the training set and external validation cohort, higher than that of the TNM staging system. The calibration plot revealed that the estimated risk was close to the actual risk. DCA also suggested an excellent predictive value of the nomogram. Similar results were obtained in Grade-I and Grade-II GC patients.

Conclusions

The nomogram developed in this study and other findings could help individualize the treatment of GC patients and assist clinicians in their shared decision-making with patients.

Management of Superficial Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma and Early Gastric Cancer following Non-Curative Endoscopic Resection

According to the European and Japanese guidelines, additional treatment is recommended for cases of superficial esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and early gastric cancer (EGC) that do not meet the curability criteria for endoscopic resection (ER), i.e., non-curative ER, owing to the risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM). However, the rates of LNM in such cases were relatively low (e.g., 8% for EGC). Several recent advances have been made in this field. First, pathological risk stratification for metastatic recurrence following non-curative ER without additional treatment was developed for both superficial ESCC and EGC. Second, the pattern of metastatic recurrence and prognosis after recurrence following non-curative ER without additional treatment was found to be considerably different between superficial ESCC and EGC. Third, a combination of ER and selective chemoradiotherapy was developed as a minimally invasive treatment method for clinical T1b-SM ESCC. These findings may help clinicians decide the treatment strategy for patients following non-curative ER; however, for optimal therapeutic decision-making in such patients, it is also important to predict the prognosis other than SESCC or EGC and impaired quality of life. Thus, a novel algorithm that considers these factors, as well as metastatic recurrence, should be developed.