Design of Randomized, Double-Blind, Evaluation in Secondary Stroke Prevention Comparing the Efficacy and Safety of the Oral Thrombin Inhibitor Dabigatran Etexilate vs. Acetylsalicylic Acid in Patients with Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (Re-Spect Esus)

How Topographic Diffusion-Weighted Imaging Patterns can Predict the Potential Embolic Source

PURPOSE

To develop an imaging prediction model for patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), we investigated the association of topographic diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) patterns with potential embolic sources (PES) identified by transesophageal echocardiography.

METHODS

From a total of 992 consecutive patients with embolic stroke, 366 patients with the ESUS group were selected. ESUS was defined as no atrial fibrillation (Af) within 24h from admission and no PES after general examination. Clinical variables include age (> 80years, 70-80 years), sex, vascular risk factors and left atrial diameter > 4 cm. Age, sex and vascular risk factors adjusted odds ratio of each DWI for the different PESs were calculated. DWI was determined based on the arterial territories. Middle cerebral arteries were divided into 4 segments, i.e., M1-M4. Moreover, M2 segments were subdivided into superior and inferior branches.

RESULTS

The 366 patients consisted of 168 with paroxysmal Af (pAf), 77 with paradoxical embolism, 71 with aortic embolism and 50 with undetermined embolism after transesophageal echocardiography. The variables adjusted odds ratio (OR) of internal carotid artery (OR: 12.1, p = 0.037), M1 (4.2, p = 0.001), inferior M2 (7.5, p = 0.0041) and multiple cortical branches (12.6, p < 0.0001) were significantly higher in patients with pAf. Striatocapsular infarction (12.5, p < 0.0001) and posterior inferior cerebellar artery infarcts (3.6, p = 0.018) were significantly associated with paradoxical embolism. Clinical variables adjusted OR of multiple small scattered infarcts (8.3, p < 0.0001) were significantly higher in patients with aortic embolism.

CONCLUSION

The associations of DWI with different PES have their distinctive characteristics and DWI along with clinical variables may help predict PES in patients with ESUS.

Embolic stroke of undetermined source: Focusing on atrial cardiopathy and patent foramen ovale

BACKGROUND

Atrial cardiopathy(AC) and patent foramen ovale (PFO) are two etiologies of embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS). We aimed to explore the relationship between them in ESUS.

METHODS

A total of 1146 participants were included from January 2019 to June 2022, which included the ESUS group and non-embolic stroke which includes LAA(large arterial atherosclerosis) + SAO(small artery occlusion) group. AC was defined as the presence of at least one of the following: PTFV1(P-wave terminal force in lead V1) > 4000 μV*ms in the electrocardiograms, NT-proBNP(N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide) > 250 pg/mL in laboratory tests or LAD(left atrial diameter) > 3.8 cm for women and > 4.0 cm for men in cardiac ultrasound. The presence of PFO was assessed by transthoracic echocardiography, transcranial Doppler ultrasound, transesophageal echocardiography or cardiac MRI. PFO was considered pathogenic if the RoPE score was 7 to 10.

RESULTS

The prevalence of AC and PFO was higher in the ESUS group than the LAA + SAO group. The prevalence of AC was lower in ESUS patients with pathogenic PFO (37.9%) than those without PFO (68.4%) and with incidental PFO (64.0%) (p = 0.006). The prevalence of pathogenic PFO was lower in ESUS patients with AC than those without AC (6.0% vs. 17.8%, p = 0.006). The AUC(area under the curve) of PTFV1 for predicting ESUS was 0.724 [95%CI (0.686-0.762), p < 0.05)], indicating that PTFV1 the most valuable AC biomarker.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of AC is inversely related to the prevalence of pathogenic PFO in ESUS patients. PTFV1 was the most valuable index to predict ESUS among the AC biomarkers.

Long-term outcomes of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source according to subtype

The prognosis of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) may vary according to the underlying cause. Therefore, we aimed to divide ESUS into subtypes and assess the long-term outcomes. Consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke who underwent a comprehensive workup, including transesophageal echocardiography and prolonged electrocardiography monitoring, were enrolled. We classified ESUS into minor cardioembolic (CE) ESUS, arteriogenic ESUS, two or more causes ESUS, and no cause ESUS. Arteriogenic ESUS was sub-classified into complex aortic plaque (CAP) ESUS and non-stenotic (< 50%) relevant artery plaque (NAP) ESUS. A total of 775 patients were enrolled. During 1286 ± 748 days follow-up, 116 major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) occurred (4.2 events/100 patient-years). Among the ESUS subtypes, CAP ESUS was associated with the highest MACE frequency (9.7/100 patient-years, p = 0.021). Cox regression analyses showed that CAP ESUS was associated with MACE (hazard ratio 2.466, 95% confidence interval 1.305-4.660) and any stroke recurrence (hazard ratio 2.470, 95% confidence interval, 1.108-5.508). The prognosis of ESUS varies according to the subtype, with CAP ESUS having the worst prognosis. Categorizing ESUS into subtypes could improve patient care and refine clinical trials.

Characteristics of Ischemic Stroke Despite Oral Anticoagulant Use For Atrial Fibrillation

Oral anticoagulation (OAC) prevents stroke in atrial fibrillation, yet a residual stroke risk remains. In this single-center retrospective analysis of acute ischemic stroke patients despite OAC, suboptimal OAC treatment is common (30%: inappropriate dosing (17%); patient non-adherence (13%)). Other causes of stroke included OAC interruption (14.5%), a competing stroke mechanism (11.0%), and undetermined breakthrough stroke in 44.5%. Overall, easily modifiable causes of ischemic stroke despite OAC are common. Accordingly, strategies to improve treatment compliance, including appropriate dosing along with guideline-based risk factor and periprocedural OAC management, should be emphasized to improve secondary stroke prevention in this patient population.

MRI-based risk stratification for recurrent ischemic stroke in embolic stroke of undetermined source

OBJECTIVE

Leukoaraiosis and other brain MRI-assessed parameters were shown to be associated with recurrent stroke in this population. We aimed to develop an MRI-based predictive tool for risk stratification of ESUS patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively assessed consecutive patients who were diagnosed with ESUS and underwent brain MRI and performed a multivariable analysis with the outcome of recurrent stroke/TIA. Based on the coefficient of each covariate, we generated an integer-based point scoring system. The discrimination and calibration of the score were assessed using the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve, net reclassification improvement, integrated discrimination improvement, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis. Also, we compared the new score with a previously published score (ALM score).

RESULTS

Among 176 patients followed for an overall period of 902.3 patient-years (median of 74 months), there were 39 recurrent ischemic stroke/TIAs (4.32 per 100 patient-years). Fazekas score (HR: 1.26, 95% CI: 1.03-1.54), enlarged perivascular space (EPVS) (HR: 2.76, 95% CI: 1.12-6.17), NIHSS at admission (HR: 1.11, 95% CI: 1.02-1.18), and infarct subtypes (HR: 2.88, 95% CI: 1.34-6.17) were associated with recurrent stroke/TIA. Accordingly, a score (FENS score) was developed with AUC-ROC values of 0.863, 0.788, and 0.858 for 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. These were significantly better than the AUC-ROC of ALM score (0.635, 0.695, and 0.705, respectively). The FENS score exhibited better calibration and discrimination ability than the ALM score (Hosmer-Lemeshow test χ2 : 4.402, p = 0.819).

CONCLUSION

The MRI-based FENS score can provide excellent predictive performance for recurrent stroke/TIA and may assist in risk stratification of ESUS patients.

Echocardiography in cardioembolic stroke prevention

Stroke is a leading cause of mortality and disability, and cardiac embolism accounts for one-third of all ischaemic strokes. Thirty per cent of strokes are cryptogenic. In this setting, echocardiography is essential in the diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of embolic stroke of undetermined source since it is a widely available, safe, and inexpensive tool. Transthoracic echocardiography and transoesophageal echocardiography, furthermore, are proven to change therapeutic management leading to initiation of anti-coagulation, anti-microbial therapy, patent foramen ovale (PFO) closure, or cardiac tumour resection. The most common cardioembolic sources include left atrial appendage thrombus, left ventricular thrombus, vegetations in endocarditis, paradoxical embolization in PFO, prosthesis thrombosis, and intracardiac tumours. Although the presence of a cardioembolic source only represents a risk factor for an ischaemic stroke, it could not assure the certain or the unique cause of the event. The purpose of this review is to underline the importance of echocardiography and overview the main sources of cardiac embolism and the echocardiographic features.

Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source: Current Perspectives on Diagnosis, Investigations, and Management

In 2014, Hart et al. introduced the concept of "embolic stroke of undetermined source" (ESUS) to the clinical-research stroke community. The hypothesis underlying the development of the ESUS construct was that this potentially heterogenous group of stroke mechanisms were largely thromboembolic, and would thus benefit from anticoagulation over antiplatelet for secondary prevention. Since then, 2 large clinical trials have shown that, to date, there is not a clear uniform antithrombotic strategy for secondary prevention after ESUS as it was originally broadly defined. However, this work has yielded valuable information about the patient phenotypes that experience ESUS strokes, as well as hypothesis-generating substudies that have given rise to the next generation of secondary prevention trials aimed at more personalized approaches for different suspected mechanisms of embolic stroke. In parallel with the evolution of ESUS, several studies aimed at screening for atrial fibrillation in the secondary stroke prevention population have generated additional questions about the mechanistic relevance of atrial fibrillation detected after stroke, and how this should inform poststroke workup, and secondary prevention strategies. Herein, we provide a synthesis of the current understanding surrounding the patient phenotypes that experience ESUS strokes, and previous, ongoing, and anticipated clinical trials that will guide earlier and later secondary prevention strategies and poststroke cardiac investigations.

Advanced interatrial block predicts recurrence of embolic stroke of undetermined source

BACKGROUND

Advanced interatrial block (IAB) is an independent risk factor for ischaemic stroke. This study aimed to analyse whether advanced IAB predicts recurrence of embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS).

METHODS

104 patients with a confirmed diagnosis of ESUS were followed up for a median period of 15 months (interquartile range, 10-48). We recorded data on clinical variables, P-wave characteristics, and presence of IAB on the electrocardiogram. Electrocardiogram findings were interpreted by a blinded, centralised rater at (XXXX2). ESUS recurrence was the primary outcome variable.

RESULTS

Median age was 47 years (range, 19-85); 50% of patients were women. IAB was detected in 36 patients (34.6%); IAB was partial in 29 cases (27.9%) and advanced in 7 (6.7%). Sixteen patients (15.4%) presented stroke recurrence; of these, 5 had partial and 4 had advanced IAB (P = .01; odds ratio [OR] = 9.44; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.88-47.46; relative risk [RR] = 4.62; 95% CI, 2.01-10.61). Median P-wave duration was longer in patients with stroke recurrence (P = .009). The multivariate logistic regression analysis identified the following independent risk factors for stroke recurrence: advanced IAB (P < .001; OR = 10.86; 95% CI, 3.07-38.46), male sex (P = .028; OR = 4.6; 95% CI, 1.18-17.96), and age older than 50 years (P = .039; OR = 3.84; 95% CI, 1.06-13.88). In the Cox proportional hazards model, the risk variables identified were age older than 50 years (P = .002; hazard ratio, 7.04; 95% CI, 2.06-23.8) and P-wave duration (per ms) (P = .007; hazard ratio, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.04).

CONCLUSIONS

Advanced IAB and age older than 50 years predict ESUS recurrence.

Embolic stroke of undetermined source: beyond atrial fibrillation

INTRODUCTION

Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) accounts for 25% of all cerebral infarcts; only 30% are associated with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF). Various biochemical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic findings may suggest left atrial damage and increased risk of embolism in the absence of clinically documented AF or atrial flutter. In this review, we analyse the available evidence on atrial cardiopathy or atrial disease, its involvement in ESUS, and its identification through electrocardiographic, echocardiographic, and serum markers and its possible therapeutic implications.

DEVELOPMENT

A systematic search was conducted on MEDLINE (PubMed) using the following MeSH terms: MeSH [ESUS]+[atrial cardiopathy]+[atrial fibrillation]+[interatrial block]+[treatment]. We selected what we considered to be the most useful original prospective or retrospective studies and systematic reviews. We then read the full texts of the articles and checked the references cited in each article. We analyse epidemiological and demographic variables of patients with ESUS, as well as recent evidence related to presentation and prognosis and factors associated with recurrence and mortality. We review the contribution of atrial cardiopathy diagnosis prior to the detection of AF and the clinical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic variables and the biochemical markers associated with its development and its potential contribution to cerebral embolism.

CONCLUSIONS

The systematic search of biochemical and electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic alterations can be useful to identify ESUS patients at higher risk of recurrence.

Predictors of Recurrent Stroke After Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source in the RE-SPECT ESUS Trial

Background

We sought to determine recurrent stroke predictors among patients with embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS).

Methods and Results

We applied Cox proportional hazards models to identify clinical features associated with recurrent stroke among participants enrolled in RE‐SPECT ESUS (Randomized, Double‐Blind, Evaluation in Secondary Stroke Prevention Comparing the Efficacy and Safety of the Oral Thrombin Inhibitor Dabigatran Etexilate Versus Acetylsalicylic Acid in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source) trial, an international clinical trial evaluating dabigatran versus aspirin for patients with ESUS. During a median follow‐up of 19 months, 384 of 5390 participants had recurrent stroke (annual rate, 4.5%). Multivariable models revealed that stroke or transient ischemic attack before the index event (hazard ratio [HR], 2.27 [95% CI, 1.83–2.82]), creatinine clearance <50 mL/min (HR, 1.69 [95% CI, 1.23–2.32]), male sex (HR, 1.60 [95% CI, 1.27–2.02]), and CHA₂DS₂‐VASc ≥4 (HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.15–2.08] and HR, 1.66 [95% CI, 1.21–2.26] for scores of 4 and ≥5, respectively) versus CHA₂DS₂‐VASc of 2 to 3, were independent predictors for recurrent stroke.

Conclusions

In RE‐SPECT ESUS trial, expected risk factors previously linked to other common stroke causes were associated with stroke recurrence. These data help define high‐risk groups for subsequent stroke that may be useful for clinicians and for researchers designing trials among patients with ESUS.

Registration

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02239120.

Embolic stroke of undetermined source: Beyond atrial fibrillation

INTRODUCTION

Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) accounts for 25% of all cerebral infarcts; only 30% are associated with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF). Various biochemical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic findings may suggest left atrial damage and increased risk of embolism in the absence of clinically documented AF or atrial flutter. In this review, we analyse the available evidence on atrial cardiopathy or atrial disease, its involvement in ESUS, and its identification through electrocardiographic, echocardiographic, and serum markers and its possible therapeutic implications.

DEVELOPMENT

A systematic search was conducted on MEDLINE (PubMed) using the following MeSH terms: MeSH [ESUS]+[atrial cardiopathy]+[atrial fibrillation]+[interatrial block]+[treatment]. We selected what we considered to be the most useful original prospective or retrospective studies and systematic reviews. We then read the full texts of the articles and checked the references cited in each article. We analyse epidemiological and demographic variables of patients with ESUS, as well as recent evidence related to presentation and prognosis and factors associated with recurrence and mortality. We review the contribution of atrial cardiopathy diagnosis prior to the detection of AF and the clinical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic variables and the biochemical markers associated with its development and its potential contribution to cerebral embolism.

CONCLUSIONS

The systematic search of biochemical and electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic alterations can be useful to identify ESUS patients at higher risk of recurrence.

Review and update of the concept of embolic stroke of undetermined source

Ischaemic strokes have traditionally been classified according to the TOAST criteria, in which strokes with unclear aetiology are classified as cryptogenic strokes. However, the definition of cryptogenic stroke did not meet the operational criteria necessary to define patient populations for randomized treatment trials. To address this problem, the concept of embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) was developed and published in 2014. A hypothesis that underpinned this concept was that most strokes in patients with ESUS are caused by embolic events, perhaps many cardioembolic, and that anticoagulation would prevent secondary ischaemic events. On this basis, two large randomized trials were conducted to compare the non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) dabigatran and rivaroxaban with aspirin. Neither NOAC was superior to aspirin in these trials, although subgroups of patients with ESUS seemed to benefit specifically from anticoagulation or antiplatelet therapy. The neutral results of the trials of anticoagulation and insights into ESUS from research conducted since the concept was introduced warrant reassessment of the ESUS construct as a research concept and a treatment target. In this Review, we discuss the evidence produced since the concept of ESUS was introduced, and propose updates to the criteria and diagnostic algorithm in light of the latest knowledge.

Current Challenges and Future Directions in Handling Stroke Patients With Patent Foramen Ovale—A Brief Review

The role of patent foramen ovale (PFO) in stroke was debated for decades. Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) have shown fewer recurrent events after PFO closure in patients with cryptogenic stroke (CS). However, in clinical practice, treating stroke patients with coexisting PFO raises some questions. This brief review summarizes current knowledge and challenges in handling stroke patients with PFO and identifies issues for future research. The rationale for PFO closure was initially based on the concept of paradoxical embolism from deep vein thrombosis (DVT). However, RCTs did not consider such details, limiting their impact from a pathophysiological perspective. Only a few studies explored the coexistence of PFO and DVT in CS with varying results. Consequently, the PFO itself might play a role as a prothrombotic structure. Transesophageal echocardiography thus appears most appropriate for PFO detection, while a large shunt size or an associated atrial septum aneurysm qualify for a high-risk PFO. For drug-based treatment alone, studies did not find a definite superiority of oral anticoagulation over antiplatelet therapy. Remarkably, drug-based treatment in addition to PFO closure was not standardized in RCTs. The available literature rarely considers patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA), over 60 years of age, and competing etiologies like atrial fibrillation. In summary, RCTs suggest efficacy for closure of high-risk PFO only in a small subgroup of stroke patients. However, research is also needed to reevaluate the pathophysiological concept of PFO-related stroke and establish strategies for older and TIA patients and those with competing risk factors or low-risk PFO.

Predictors of Atrial Fibrillation Development in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source: An Analysis of the RE-SPECT ESUS Trial

BACKGROUND

A proportion of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source have silent atrial fibrillation (AF) or develop AF after the initial evaluation. Better understanding of the risk for development of AF is critical to implement optimal monitoring strategies with the goal of preventing recurrent stroke attributable to underlying AF. The RE-SPECT ESUS trial (Randomized, Double-Blind Evaluation in Secondary Stroke Prevention Comparing the Efficacy and Safety of the Oral Thrombin Inhibitor Dabigatran Etexilate Versus Acetylsalicylic Acid in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source) provides an opportunity to assess predictors for developing AF and associated recurrent stroke.

METHODS

RE-SPECT ESUS was a randomized, controlled trial (564 sites, 42 countries) assessing dabigatran versus aspirin for the prevention of recurrent stroke in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source. Of 5390 patients enrolled and followed for a median of 19 months, 403 (7.5%) were found to develop AF reported as an adverse event or using cardiac monitoring per standard clinical care. Univariable and multivariable regression analyses were performed to define predictors of AF.

RESULTS

In the multivariable model, older age (odds ratio for 10-year increase, 1.99 [95% CI, 1.78-2.23]; P<0.001), hypertension (odds ratio, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.03-1.79]; P=0.0304), diabetes (odds ratio, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.56-0.96]; P=0.022), and body mass index (odds ratio for 5-U increase, 1.29 [95% CI, 1.16-1.43]; P<0.001) were independent predictors of AF during the study. In a sensitivity analysis restricted to 1117 patients with baseline NT-proBNP (N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide) measurements, only older age and higher NT-proBNP were significant independent predictors of AF. Performance of several published predictive models was assessed, including HAVOC (AF risk score based on hypertension, age ≥75 years, valvular heart disease, peripheral vascular disease, obesity, congestive heart failure, and coronary artery disease) and CHA₂DS₂-VASc (stroke risk score based on congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years [doubled], diabetes, previous stroke, transient ischemic attack or thromboembolism [doubled], vascular disease, age 65 to 74 years, and sex category [female]) scores, and higher scores were associated with higher rates of developing AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Besides age, the most important variable, several other factors, including hypertension, higher body mass index, and lack of diabetes, are independent predictors of AF after embolic stroke of undetermined source. When baseline NT-proBNP was available, only older age and elevation of this biomarker were predictive of subsequent AF. Understanding who is at higher risk of developing AF will assist in identifying patients who may benefit from more intense, long-term cardiac monitoring. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02239120.

Central retinal artery occlusion as a first sign of atrial fibrillation: A 3-year retrospective single-center analysis

Background

Central retinal artery occlusion ((C)RAO) is known to be associated with stroke and/or atrial fibrillation (AF). Nevertheless, patients often present at the ophthalmologist initially and it is unknown how many of these receive an adequate cardiological/neurological work‐up (CWU/NWU), including a 24 h‐Holter‐ECG.

Hypothesis

Hypothesis of this study was that patients with (C)RAO do not undergo CWU on regular basis and that new‐onset AF is more often detected in patients with CWU.

Methods and results

We performed a retrospective analysis of n = 292 consecutive patients who presented at an ophthalmology department with the diagnosis of (C)RAO during a 3‐year period. After excluding patients with known AF, meeting exclusion criteria, inability to comply with the protocol, missed land phoneline, or death during follow‐up a total of 174 patients were enrolled; mean follow‐up was 20 ± 12 months. The CHA₂DS₂‐VASc score of the cohort was 5.3 ± 1.4. Our analysis revealed that only 50.6% of patients received a CWU including a single Holter‐ECG after the index‐event. In 12.6% cases new‐onset AF was diagnosed, while the rate was higher in patients with CWU compared to patients without CWU (18.2 vs. 7.0%; p = 0.26). Evaluation of oral anticoagulation (OAC) therapy showed that only 66% of patients with AF were treated according to guidelines.

Conclusion

Only half of patients with (C)RAO underwent CWU. Despite minimal monitoring, rate of new diagnosed AF was high. Our results confirm that (C)RAO identifies a high‐risk population for AF. These results illustrate the importance to implement standardized CWU in (C)RAO patients presenting at the ophthalmologist.

Advanced interatrial block predicts recurrence of embolic stroke of undetermined source

BACKGROUND

Advanced interatrial block (IAB) is an independent risk factor for ischaemic stroke. This study aimed to analyse whether advanced IAB predicts recurrence of embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS).

METHODS

104 patients with a confirmed diagnosis of ESUS were followed up for a median period of 15 months (interquartile range, 10-48). We recorded data on clinical variables, P-wave characteristics, and presence of IAB on the electrocardiogram (ECG). ECG findings were interpreted by a blinded, centralised rater at (XXXX2). ESUS recurrence was the primary outcome variable.

RESULTS

Median age was 47 years (range, 19-85); 50% of patients were women. IAB was detected in 36 patients (34.6%); IAB was partial in 29 cases (27.9%) and advanced in 7 (6.7%). Sixteen patients (15.4%) presented stroke recurrence; of these, 5 had partial and 4 had advanced IAB (P = .01; odds ratio [OR] = 9.44; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.88-47.46; relative risk [RR] = 4.62; 95% CI, 2.01-10.61). Median P-wave duration was longer in patients with stroke recurrence (P = .009). The multivariate logistic regression analysis identified the following independent risk factors for stroke recurrence: advanced IAB (P < .001; OR = 10.86; 95% CI, 3.07-38.46), male sex (P = .028; OR = 4.6; 95% CI, 1.18-17.96), and age older than 50 years (P = .039; OR = 3.84; 95% CI, 1.06-13.88). In the Cox proportional hazards model, the risk variables identified were age older than 50 years (P = .002; hazard ratio, 7.04; 95% CI, 2.06-23.8) and P-wave duration (per ms) (P = .007; hazard ratio, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.04).

CONCLUSIONS

Advanced IAB and age older than 50 years predict ESUS recurrence.

Reexamination of the Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source Concept

Occult atrial fibrillation (AF) is a leading cause of stroke of unclear cause. The optimal approach to secondary stroke prevention for these patients remains elusive. The term embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) was coined to describe ischemic strokes in which the radiographic features demonstrate territorial infarcts resembling those seen in patients with confirmed sources of embolism but without a clear source of embolism detected. It was assumed that patients with ESUS had a high rate of occult AF and would benefit from treatment with direct oral anticoagulants, which are at least as effective as vitamin K antagonists for secondary stroke prevention in patients with AF, but with a much lower risk of intracerebral hemorrhage. Two recent large randomized trials failed to show superiority of direct oral anticoagulants over aspirin in ESUS patients. These findings prompt a reexamination of the ESUS concept, with the goal of improving specificity for detecting patients with a cardioembolic cause. Based on the negative trial results, there is renewed interest in the role of long-term cardiac monitoring for AF in patients who fit the current ESUS definition, as well as the clinical implication of detecting AF. Ongoing trials are exploring these questions. Current ESUS definitions do not accurately detect the patients who should be prescribed direct oral anticoagulants, potentially because occult AF is less common than expected in these patients and/or anticoagulants may be less beneficial in patients with ESUS but no AF than they are for patients with stroke with established AF. More specific criteria to identify patients who may be at higher risk for occult AF and reduce their risk of subsequent stroke have been developed and are being tested in ongoing clinical trials.

d-dimer Level as a Predictor of Recurrent Stroke in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source

[Figure: see text].

Acute Ischemic Stroke Associated with Myocardial Infarction: Challenges and Management

Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) may co-occur simultaneously or in close temporal succession, with occurrence of one ischemic vascular event increasing a patient's risk for the other. Both employ time-sensitive treatments, and both benefit from expert consultation. Patients are at increased risk of stroke for up to 3 months following AMI, and aggressive treatment of AMI, including use of reperfusion therapy, decreases the risk of AIS. For patients presenting with AIS in the setting of a recent MI, treatment with alteplase, an intravenous tissue plasminogen activator, can be given, provided anterior wall myocardial involvement has been carefully evaluated. It is important for clinicians to recognize that troponin elevations can occur in the setting of AIS as well as other clinical scenarios and that this may have implications for short- and long-term mortality.

The role of echocardiography in the embolic stroke of undetermined source

: Echocardiography plays an important role both in the diagnosis and the treatment/prevention of embolic stroke of undetermined source and should be performed as soon as possible for preventing ischemic stroke recurrencies, which occur more frequently during the first week after the first ischemic event. Early identification of the cause of a transient ischemic attack or stroke is indeed a primary goal for the neurologist in the Stroke Unit and requires specific diagnostic strategies. Echocardiography, together with other diagnostic tools such as carotid and transcranial ultrasounds, provides this information promptly. In particular, echocardiography might be able to detect the main sources of the embolic stroke, such as atrial fibrillation, ventricular akinesia, aortic atheroma plaques and/or cardiac shunts. The present review discusses the importance and the practical role of echocardiography as a crucial diagnostic tool for detecting the main source of emboli in the setting of the acute stroke.

Dabigatran or Aspirin in East Asian Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source: RE-SPECT ESUS Subgroup Analysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

We assessed the outcomes of dabigatran versus aspirin in a prespecified subgroup analysis of East Asian patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source in the RE-SPECT ESUS trial (Randomized, Double-Blind, Evaluation in Secondary Stroke Prevention Comparing the Efficacy and Safety of the Oral Thrombin Inhibitor Dabigatran Etexilate Versus Acetylsalicylic Acid in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source).

METHODS

Patients with a recent embolic stroke of undetermined source were randomized to dabigatran (150 or 110 mg BID) or aspirin (100 mg QD). The primary efficacy outcome was recurrent stroke; the primary safety outcome was major bleeding. The East Asia cohort was compared with patients from all other countries (non-East Asia cohort).

RESULTS

Overall, 988 of 5390 patients (18%) were randomized in East Asia. During a median follow-up of 18.8 months, there was no statistically significant difference in recurrent stroke (hazard ratio, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.41-1.03]) or major bleeding (hazard ratio, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.57-1.91]) in East Asian patients receiving dabigatran versus aspirin. Death from any cause occurred more often in the dabigatran versus the aspirin group (hazard ratio, 3.98 [95% CI, 1.32-12.01]).

CONCLUSIONS

The treatment effect of dabigatran versus aspirin was consistent between cohorts, with no apparent superiority for dabigatran over aspirin in preventing recurrent stroke in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT02239120.

Safety of Dabigatran as an Anticoagulant: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background: Dabigatran is a univalent low-molecular-weight direct thrombin inhibitor which was developed as an alternative to vitamin K antagonists (VKAs). However, the safety of dabigatran remains controversial so far. In this study, we aimed to compare the risk of bleeding, fatal adverse events, and the all-cause mortality of dabigatran with those of the control group by a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.

Methods: We systematically searched PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Medline, Embase, Wanfang database, Clinical trial, China National Knowledge Infrastructure Chinese Scientific Journal database (VIP), and Chinese Biological Medicine database (CBM), for clinical trials on conventional treatments compared with dabigatran, published between January 2014 and July 2020. The reported outcomes, including the endpoints of primary safety, were systematically investigated.

Results: Seven RCTs (n = 10,743) were included in the present systematic review. Compared to the control groups, dabigatran was not associated with an increased risk of major bleeding (relative risk [RR] 0.86, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.61 to 1.21, p = 0.06), intracranial hemorrhage (RR 0.89, 95% CI: 0.58 to 1.36, p = 0.41), fatal adverse reactions (RR 0.87, 95% CI: 0.65 to 1.17, p = 0.66), all-cause mortality (RR 0.88, 95% CI: 0.70 to 1.11, p = 0.45, I² = 0%), and significantly reduced risk of clinically relevant non-major bleeding (RR 0.96, 95% CI: 0.65 to 1.42, p = 0.0007). However, dabigatran is associated with an increased risk of gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding (RR 1.78, 95% CI: 1.02 to 3.13, p = 0.05).

Conclusion: Dabigatran has a favorable safety profile in terms of major bleeding, intracranial hemorrhage, and life-threatening events, among other safety outcomes. The present study suggested that dabigatran may be a suitable alternative to VKAs as an oral anticoagulant. However, more data are necessary to clarify the incidence of other adverse events and serious adverse reactions.

Dabigatran or Aspirin After Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source in Patients With Patent Foramen Ovale: Results From RE-SPECT ESUS

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Patent foramen ovale (PFO) may increase the risk of embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). Guidelines suggest anticoagulation may be more effective than antiplatelets in preventing stroke in patients with ESUS and PFO when interventional closure is not performed.

METHODS

Patients with ESUS randomized to dabigatran (150/110 mg BID) or aspirin (100 mg QD) from the RE-SPECT ESUS study (Randomized, Double-Blind, Evaluation in Secondary Stroke Prevention Comparing the Efficacy and Safety of the Oral Thrombin Inhibitor Dabigatran Etexilate Versus Acetylsalicylic Acid in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source) were included. The rate of recurrent stroke (primary end point) and ischemic stroke was reported for patients with and without baseline PFO. A meta-analysis comparing the effects of anticoagulant and antiplatelet therapy on ischemic stroke in patients with PFO was updated to include RE-SPECT ESUS.

RESULTS

PFO was present in 680 of 5388 (12.6%) patients with documented PFO status. The risk of recurrent stroke with dabigatran versus aspirin was similar in patients with and without PFO (P for interaction, 0.8290). In patients with PFO, the meta-analysis found no statistically significant difference between anticoagulant and antiplatelet therapy (odds ratio, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.43-1.14]) for ischemic stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

There is insufficient evidence to recommend anticoagulation over antiplatelet therapy for patients with ESUS and a PFO. More data are needed to guide antithrombotic therapy in this population. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT02239120.

Predictors of atrial fibrillation detection and features of recurrent strokes in patients after cryptogenic stroke

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Use of implantable cardiac monitors (ICMs) has increased diagnosis of atrial fibrillation (AF) in cryptogenic stroke (CS) patients. Identifying AF predictors may enhance the yield of AF detection. Recurrent strokes after CS are not well described. We aimed to assess the predictors for AF detection and the characteristics of recurrent strokes in patients after CS.

METHODS

We reviewed electronic medical records of CS patients who were admitted between February 2014 and September 2017 and underwent ICM placement with minimum one-year follow-up. Patient demographics, stroke characteristics, pre-defined risk factors as well as recurrent strokes were compared between patients with and without AF detection.

RESULTS

389 patients with median follow-up of 548 days were studied. AF was detected in 102 patients (26.2%). Age (per decade increase, OR 2.10, CI 1.64-2.68, with vs. without AF) and left atrium diameter (per 5 mm increase, OR 1.91, CI 1.33-2.74) were identified as AF predictors. Intracranial large vessel stenosis >50% irrelevant to the index strokes was associated with AF detection within 30 days (OR 0.24, CI 0.09-0.69, >30 vs. <30 days). Recurrent strokes occurred in 14% patients with median follow-up about 2.5 years. Topography of these strokes resembled embolic pattern and was comparable between patients with and without AF. Among recurrent strokes in patients with AF, the median time to AF detection was much shorter (90 vs. 251 days), and the median time to first stroke recurrence was much longer (422 vs. 76 days) in patients whose strokes recurred after AF detection than those before AF detection.

CONCLUSIONS

Older age and enlarged left atrium are predictors for AF detection in CS patients. Intracranial atherosclerosis is more prevalent in patients with early AF detection within 30 days. Recurrent strokes follow the embolic pattern, and early AF detection could delay the stroke recurrence.

Atrial Septal Aneurysm may Cause In-Hospital Recurrence of Cryptogenic Stroke

Aims: Awareness of potentially embologenic diseases is critical to determining the prognosis of cryptogenic stroke. The clinical significance of atrial septal aneurysm (ASA) in cryptogenic stroke has not been fully studied. Therefore, we explored clinical characteristics and in-hospital recurrence in patients with ASA in cryptogenic stroke.

Methods: A multicenter observational registry of cryptogenic stroke patients was conducted. We obtained baseline characteristics, radiological and laboratory findings, and echocardiographic findings, especially of embolic sources on transesophageal echocardiography. The CHALLENGE ESUS/CS (Mechanisms of Embolic Stroke Clarified by Transesophageal Echocardiography for embolic stroke of undetermined source/cryptogenic stroke) registry was recorded at http://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/ (UMIN000032957). Patients’ clinical characteristics were compared according to the presence of ASA, and factors associated with in-hospital stroke recurrence were assessed.

Results: The study included 671 patients (age, 68.7±12.7 years; 450 males; median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, 2). ASA was detected in 92 patients (14%), displaying higher age (72.4±11.0 vs. 68.1 ±12.9 years, p =0.004), reduced frequency of diabetes mellitus (16% vs. 27%, p =0.030), higher frequency of right-to-left shunt (66% vs. 45%, p ＜0.001), and in-hospital stroke recurrence (8% vs. 3%, p =0.034). ASA was relatively associated with in-hospital recurrence (odds ratio 2.497, 95% confidence interval 0.959–6.500, p = 0.061).

Conclusions: The CHALLENGE ESUS/CS registry indicated that ASA was not rare in cryptogenic stroke, and ASA’s clinical characteristics included higher age, reduced frequency of diabetes mellitus, and increased frequency of concomitant right-to-left shunt. ASA may be related to in-hospital stroke recurrence in cryptogenic stroke.

Mechanical Thrombectomy for Sequential Bilateral Middle Cerebral Artery Occlusions in a Patient With Recurrent Cryptogenic Strokes: A Case Report

Recurrent sequential mechanical thrombectomy for cryptogenic large vessel occlusion (LVO) can lead to excellent clinical outcome. A 68-year-old right-handed male presented with an acute proximal right middle cerebral artery (MCA) ischemic syndrome and underwent successful revascularization by mechanical thrombectomy with normal functional recovery. He was treated with dual antiplatelet therapy for 2 months following discharge, however later discontinued clopidogrel due to side effects. He then developed a recurrent, contralateral MCA occlusion 16 months later and once again received emergent endovascular reperfusion therapy with excellent neurological outcome. He has remained on off-label empiric oral anticoagulation since and has not had recurrent stroke nor evidence of cerebral ischemia. Favorable clinical outcomes can be achieved in patients despite recurrent LVO who underwent emergent mechanical thrombectomy. Optimal antithrombotic secondary stroke prevention strategies following embolic stroke of unknown source remains uncertain as recent evidence does not support rivaroxaban or dabigatran over aspirin. The benefit of apixaban over aspirin for the prevention of recurrent cerebral ischemia is under current investigation.

Antithrombotic Treatment of Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source: RE-SPECT ESUS Elderly and Renally Impaired Subgroups

Background and Purpose- The RE-SPECT ESUS trial (Randomized, Double-Blind, Evaluation in Secondary Stroke Prevention Comparing the Efficacy and Safety of the Oral Thrombin Inhibitor Dabigatran Etexilate Versus Acetylsalicylic Acid in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source) tested the hypothesis that dabigatran would be superior to aspirin for the prevention of recurrent stroke in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source. This exploratory subgroup analysis investigates the impact of age, renal function (both predefined), and dabigatran dose (post hoc) on the rates of recurrent stroke and major bleeding. Methods- RE-SPECT ESUS was a multicenter, randomized, double-blind trial of dabigatran 150 or 110 mg (for patients aged ≥75 years and/or with creatinine clearance 30 to <50 mL/minute) twice daily compared with aspirin 100 mg once daily. The primary outcome was recurrent stroke. Results- The trial, which enrolled 5390 patients from December 2014 to January 2018, did not demonstrate superiority of dabigatran versus aspirin for prevention of recurrent stroke in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source. However, among the population qualifying for the lower dabigatran dose, the rate of recurrent stroke was reduced with dabigatran versus aspirin (7.4% versus 13.0%; hazard ratio, 0.57 [95% CI, 0.39-0.82]; interaction P=0.01). This was driven mainly by the subgroup aged ≥75 years (7.8% versus 12.4%; hazard ratio, 0.63 [95% CI, 0.43-0.94]; interaction P=0.10). Stroke rates tended to be lower with dabigatran versus aspirin with declining renal function. Risks for major bleeding were similar between treatments, irrespective of renal function, but with a trend for lower bleeding rates with dabigatran versus aspirin in older patients. Conclusions- In subgroup analyses of RE-SPECT ESUS, dabigatran reduced the rate of recurrent stroke compared with aspirin in patients qualifying for the lower dose of dabigatran. These results are hypothesis-generating. Aspirin remains the standard antithrombotic treatment for patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source. Registration- URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02239120.

[Past and future of the ESUS concept]

Stroke has traditionally been classified according to the trial of ORG 10172 in acute stroke treatment (TOAST) criteria; however, the concept of cryptogenic stroke did not meet the operational criteria necessary to define patient populations eligible for randomized studies. Therefore, the concept of embolic stroke of undetermined etiology (ESUS) was developed. An underlying hypothesis was that most strokes in patients with ESUS are caused by embolic events, hence, anticoagulation may prevent secondary events. Therefore, two large randomized trials were conducted comparing dabigatran or rivaroxaban with acetylsalicylic acid. Both studies could not show superiority of the new oral anticoagulants (NOAC) compared to aspirin; however, subgroup analyses showed that there is a patient population that may benefit from oral anticoagulation.

Usefulness of P Wave Duration in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source

The investigation of the potential association between ischemic stroke and subclinical atrial fibrillation (SCAF) is important for secondary prevention. We aimed to determine whether SCAF can be predicted by atrial substrate measurement with P wave signal-averaged electrocardiography (SAECG). We recruited 125 consecutive patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) and 125 patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation as controls. All participants underwent P wave SAECG at baseline, and patients with ESUS were followed up with Holter monitoring and electrocardiography at baseline, 3, 6, and 12 months after discharge and every 6 months thereafter. In the ESUS group, 32 (25.6%) patients were diagnosed with SCAF during follow-up. There were no significant differences between the groups regarding atrial substrate. P wave duration (PWD) was a significant predictor of SCAF. Stroke recurrence occurred in 22 patients (17.6%), and prolonged PWD (≥ 135 ms) predicted stroke recurrence more robustly than SCAF detection. In ESUS patients, PWD can be a useful biomarker to predict SCAF and to identify patients who are more likely to have a recurrent embolic stroke associated with an atrial cardiopathy. Further research is needed for supporting the utility and applicability of PWD.

Utility of Transthoracic Echocardiography in Diagnostic Evaluation of Ischemic Stroke

Objective: Transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) is routinely performed as part of standard acute ischemic stroke (AIS) workup. However, the overall yield of TTE is unclear and many patients may undergo unnecessary investigations. This study aims to investigate the utility of TTE as part of AIS workup.

Methods: We collected data on consecutive patients with AIS who were admitted to our institution between 07/01/2016 and 09/30/2017. Patients were included based on neuroimaging-documented AIS, age >18 and neuroimaging studies. Primary endpoint was the proportion of cases in which TTE yielded relevant finding, defined as Atrial Septa Defect or Patent Foramen Ovale, left atrial enlargement, left ventricular thrombus or ejection fraction of <35%. Secondary endpoint was the proportion of patients who had a TTE-drive change in management.

Results: Among 548 AIS patients (median age 71 [59–81] years, 50% female), 482 (87%) underwent TTE. Clinically relevant findings were observed in 183 (38%) patients, leading to additional workup in 41 (8.5%). Further workup was associated with younger median age (58 [50–65] vs. 72 [62–81], p < 0.0001, and was less likely in suspected large vessel etiology (p = 0.02). Abnormal TTE lead to treatment change in 24 (5%) patients; 22/24 were started on anticoagulation. TTE results were less likely to influence treatment changes in older patients (71 [60–80] vs. 58 [49–69] years, p = 0.02) with known atrial fibrillation (p = 0.01).

Conclusion: Our findings suggest that despite widespread use, the overall yield of TTE in AIS is low. Stratifying patients according to their likelihood of benefitting from it will be important toward better resource utilization.

Atrial premature activity detected after an ischaemic stroke unveils atrial myopathy

BACKGROUND

Recent publications suggest that left atrial (LA) myopathy is a potential source of thromboembolism, independent of atrial fibrillation.

AIMS

We sought to investigate whether the presence of atrial premature activity after an ischaemic stroke is associated with LA remodelling and dysfunction, and might be a surrogate marker of LA myopathy.

METHODS

After an ischaemic stroke or a transient ischaemic attack, patients without known atrial fibrillation or overt heart disease were included prospectively in the study. All patients had a standard workup, including ambulatory Holter electrocardiogram monitoring and transthoracic echocardiography. In some patients, transoesophageal echocardiography was also performed. Anatomical and functional LA remodelling were assessed using minimal and maximal volumes and LA emptying fraction in two-dimensional and three-dimensional echocardiography. Patients were separated into two groups according to the burden of atrial premature complexes (APCs), measured by Holter electrocardiography.

RESULTS

Among 148 eligible patients recruited from October 2015 to May 2016, 93 were included in the group with non-frequent APCs (nf-APC:<100 APCs/24hours) and 43 in the group with frequent APCs (f-APC:>100 APCs/24hours). Twelve patients had paroxysmal atrial fibrillation, and were not included in the statistical analysis. Maximal and minimal indexed LA volumes were significantly higher in the f-APC group than in the nf-APC group (P<0.01). LA emptying fraction was worse in the f-APC group than in the nf-APC group. In addition, LA appendage emptying velocity was impaired in the f-APC group, and was correlated with LA remodelling variables, especially LA emptying fraction (r=0.621).

CONCLUSIONS

After an ischaemic stroke or a transient ischaemic attack, excessive APCs are associated with LA remodelling. Thus, LA dilatation and dysfunction reflect early LA myopathy, which might itself be responsible for cardioembolic stroke.

Characteristics and Outcomes of Younger Adults with Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (ESUS): A Retrospective Study

Introduction

Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) in younger adults may have different risk factors compared with ESUS in elderly, and the approach to ESUS in young adults may require new therapies. We aimed to investigate the characteristics and outcomes in younger adults with ESUS at a single centre in Saudi Arabia.

Patients and Methods

A retrospective study was conducted using the medical records of younger adults with ESUS according to the criteria of the Cryptogenic Stroke/ESUS International Working Group. Younger adults (aged ≤50 years) with ESUS were compared with older patients, on admission and discharge from hospital, using the modified Rankin scale (mRS) and the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS).

Results

Among 147 patients with ESUS, 39 (26.5%) were younger adults. Younger adults compared with older adults with ESUS had fewer vascular risk factors, including lower rates of hypertension (43.6% vs. 70.3%; P = 0.004), diabetes (35.9% vs. 57.4%; P = 0.03), and dyslipidaemia (12.8% vs. 28.7%; P = 0.05). There was no significant difference in poor outcome at discharge (defined as mRS > 2), which was observed in 17.9% of younger adults and 28.7% of older adults. Further, there were no significant differences in stroke severity at discharge (NIHSS score ≤5) or median length of stay.

Discussion

Although the outcomes of ESUS do not differ between younger and older patients, younger patients have fewer identified risk factors.

Conclusion

This study showed that 26.5% of patients with ESUS were aged ≤50  years. Although younger adults with ESUS had fewer risk factors, there were no significant differences in neurologic disability or mortality at discharge, stroke severity, or median length of stay.

Duration of Heightened Ischemic Stroke Risk After Acute Myocardial Infarction

Background

The duration of heightened stroke risk after acute myocardial infarction (MI) remains uncertain.

Methods and Results

We performed a retrospective cohort study using claims between 2008 and 2015 from a nationally representative 5% sample of Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥66 years. Both acute MI and ischemic stroke were ascertained using previously validated International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD‐9‐CM), diagnosis codes. To exclude periprocedural strokes from percutaneous coronary intervention, we did not count strokes occurring during an acute MI hospitalization. Patients were censored at the time of ischemic stroke, death, end of Medicare coverage, or September 30, 2015. We fit Cox regression models separately for the groups with and without acute MI to examine its association with ischemic stroke after adjustment for demographics, stroke risk factors, and Charlson comorbidities. We used the corresponding survival probabilities to compute the hazard ratio in each 4‐week interval after discharge. Confidence intervals were computed using the nonparametric bootstrap method. Among 1 746 476 eligible beneficiaries, 46 182 were hospitalized for acute MI and 80 466 for ischemic stroke. After adjustment for demographics, stroke risk factors, and Charlson comorbidities, the risk of ischemic stroke was highest in the first 4 weeks after discharge from the MI hospitalization (hazard ratio: 2.7; 95% confidence interval, 2.3–3.2), remained elevated during weeks 5 to 8 (hazard ratio: 2.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.6–2.4) and weeks 9 to 12 (hazard ratio: 1.6; 95% confidence interval, 1.3–2.0), and was no longer significantly elevated afterward.

Conclusions

Acute MI is associated with an elevated risk of ischemic stroke that appears to extend beyond the 1‐month window that is currently considered the at‐risk period.

Markers of endothelial pathology to support detection of atrial fibrillation in embolic stroke of undetermined source

A relevant part of embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS) is assumed to be cardiogenic. As shown previously, certain biomarkers of endothelial pathology are related to atrial fibrillation (AF). In this long-term follow-up study, we aimed to investigate whether these biomarkers are associated with subsequently diagnosed AF and with atrial cardiopathy. In 98 patients who suffered ischemic stroke of known and unknown origin L-arginine, Asymmetric (ADMA) and Symmetric Dimethylarginine (SDMA) have been measured on follow-up at least one year after index stroke. Stroke-diagnostics were available for all patients, including carotid Intima-Media-Thickness (CIMT) and comprehensive echocardiography studies. CIMT was larger in AF- compared with ESUS-patients (P < 0.001), independently from CHA2DS2VASC in the regression analysis (P = 0.004). SDMA-values were stable over time (P < 0.001; r = 0.788), whereas for ADMA moderate correlation with the initial values could be found (P = 0.007; r = 0.356). According to Kaplan-Meier-analyses, AF-detection rates were associated with CIMT (P = 0.003) and SDMA (P < 0.001). SDMA correlated with left atrial volume-index within the whole collective (P = 0.003, r = 0.322) and within the ESUS-subgroup (P = 0.003; r = 0.446). These associations were independent from CHA2DS2VASC and renal function in the regression analysis (P = 0.02 and P = 0.005, respectively). In conclusion, these results highlight SDMA and CIMT as potential markers of atrial cardiopathy and AF in ESUS-patients.

A tool to identify patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source at high recurrence risk

OBJECTIVE

A tool to stratify the risk of stroke recurrence in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) could be useful in research and clinical practice. We aimed to determine whether a score can be developed and externally validated for the identification of patients with ESUS at high risk for stroke recurrence.

METHODS

We pooled the data of all consecutive patients with ESUS from 11 prospective stroke registries. We performed multivariable Cox regression analysis to identify predictors of stroke recurrence. Based on the coefficient of each covariate of the fitted multivariable model, we generated an integer-based point scoring system. We validated the score externally assessing its discrimination and calibration.

RESULTS

In 3 registries (884 patients) that were used as the derivation cohort, age, leukoaraiosis, and multiterritorial infarct were identified as independent predictors of stroke recurrence and were included in the final score, which assigns 1 point per every decade after 35 years of age, 2 points for leukoaraiosis, and 3 points for multiterritorial infarcts (acute or old nonlacunar). The rate of stroke recurrence was 2.1 per 100 patient-years (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.44-3.06) in patients with a score of 0-4 (low risk), 3.74 (95% CI 2.77-5.04) in patients with a score of 5-6 (intermediate risk), and 8.23 (95% CI 5.99-11.3) in patients with a score of 7-12 (high risk). Compared to low-risk patients, the risk of stroke recurrence was significantly higher in intermediate-risk (hazard ratio [HR] 1.78, 95% CI 1.1-2.88) and high-risk patients (HR 4.67, 95% CI 2.83-7.7). The score was well-calibrated in both derivation and external validation cohorts (8 registries, 820 patients) (Hosmer-Lemeshow test χ²: 12.1 [p = 0.357] and χ²: 21.7 [p = 0.753], respectively). The area under the curve of the score was 0.63 (95% CI 0.58-0.68) and 0.60 (95% CI 0.54-0.66), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed score can assist in the identification of patients with ESUS at high risk for stroke recurrence.

Advanced interatrial block: A predictor of covert atrial fibrillation in embolic stroke of undetermined source

AIMS

One third of ischemic strokes are of unknown etiology. Interatrial block (IAB) is a marker of atrial electromechanical dysfunction that may predispose to the development of atrial fibrillation (AF). We hypothesized that IAB, especially in its advanced form, could be a marker of covert AF in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS).

METHODS

We reviewed a single center cohort of ESUS patients with no prior history of AF. According to P-wave analysis of baseline ECG we distinguished 3 groups: normal P-wave duration (P-wave < 120 ms), partial IAB (P-IAB, P-wave ≥ 120 ms) and A-IAB (A-IAB, P-wave ≥ 120 ms with biphasic morphology in inferior leads). Follow-up was done 1, 6 and 12 months after discharge; then every 6 months. AF episodes, frequent premature atrial contractions (PACs) (>1%) and atrial tachyarrhythmias (runs of >3 consecutive PACs) were detected on 24 h Holter. The primary endpoint was new-onset AF detection on follow-up by any means.

RESULTS

A high prevalence of both P-IAB (n = 30, 40%) and A-IAB (n = 23, 31%) was found in 75 ESUS patients. After a 521 day mean follow-up, 14 patients (19%) were diagnosed of AF. A-IAB independently predicted AF diagnosis (p =0.042) on follow-up. 24 h Holter analysis showed greater frequency of PACs and atrial tachyarrhythmia episodes in patients with IAB (p = 0.0275).

CONCLUSIONS

In this hypothesis-generating study, A-IAB in the setting of ESUS is an independent risk predictor of covert AF. Although additional randomized clinical trials are warranted, A-IAB identifies ESUS patients with advanced atrial disease that could potentially benefit from early oral anticoagulation in secondary prevention.

Searching for Atrial Fibrillation Poststroke: A White Paper of the AF-SCREEN International Collaboration

Cardiac thromboembolism attributed to atrial fibrillation (AF) is responsible for up to one-third of ischemic strokes. Stroke may be the first manifestation of previously undetected AF. Given the efficacy of oral anticoagulants in preventing AF-related ischemic strokes, strategies of searching for AF after a stroke using ECG monitoring followed by oral anticoagulation (OAC) treatment have been proposed to prevent recurrent cardioembolic strokes. This white paper by experts from the AF-SCREEN International Collaboration summarizes existing evidence and knowledge gaps on searching for AF after a stroke by using ECG monitoring. New AF can be detected by routine plus intensive ECG monitoring in approximately one-quarter of patients with ischemic stroke. It may be causal, a bystander, or neurogenically induced by the stroke. AF after a stroke is a risk factor for thromboembolism and a strong marker for atrial myopathy. After acute ischemic stroke, patients should undergo 72 hours of electrocardiographic monitoring to detect AF. The diagnosis requires an ECG of sufficient quality for confirmation by a health professional with ECG rhythm expertise. AF detection rate is a function of monitoring duration and quality of analysis, AF episode definition, interval from stroke to monitoring commencement, and patient characteristics including old age, certain ECG alterations, and stroke type. Markers of atrial myopathy (eg, imaging, atrial ectopy, natriuretic peptides) may increase AF yield from monitoring and could be used to guide patient selection for more intensive/prolonged poststroke ECG monitoring. Atrial myopathy without detected AF is not currently sufficient to initiate OAC. The concept of embolic stroke of unknown source is not proven to identify patients who have had a stroke benefitting from empiric OAC treatment. However, some embolic stroke of unknown source subgroups (eg, advanced age, atrial enlargement) might benefit more from non-vitamin K-dependent OAC therapy than aspirin. Fulfilling embolic stroke of unknown source criteria is an indication neither for empiric non-vitamin K-dependent OAC treatment nor for withholding prolonged ECG monitoring for AF. Clinically diagnosed AF after a stroke or a transient ischemic attack is associated with significantly increased risk of recurrent stroke or systemic embolism, in particular, with additional stroke risk factors, and requires OAC rather than antiplatelet therapy. The minimum subclinical AF duration required on ECG monitoring poststroke/transient ischemic attack to recommend OAC therapy is debated.

The ASCOD Phenotyping of Embolic Strokes of Undetermined Source

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Various pathogenesis are presumed to be involved in the etiology of embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), which has a high recurrence rate, and much remains unknown about the clinical subtype of recurrent stroke. The purpose of this study was to clarify the pathogenesis of ESUS using the ASCOD classification for ESUS patients and to examine the factors involved in the recurrence of ischemic stroke.

METHODS

The subjects of this study were 236 of these patients who fulfilled the criteria for ESUS. The rate of stroke recurrent, subtype of recurrent ischemic stroke, and new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in these patients were surveyed retrospectively, and each patient was graded for the A, S, and C categories of the ASCOD classification.

RESULTS

Ischemic stroke recurred in 32 patients during the follow-up period (7 days to 12.9 years [median 54.3 months]), and new-onset AF was seen in 44 (18.6%) patients. The most subtype of recurrent ischemic stroke was ESUS again (19 patients). Multivariate analysis with a Cox proportional hazards model, the S score (hazard ratio 5.21; 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.38-11.42; P < .001) and the number of A, S, C categories (hazard ratio 1.90; 95% CI 1.14-3.10; P = .013) were factors significantly related to recurrent ischemic stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Assessment of comorbid conditions in ESUS patients based on the ASCOD classification may be useful in predicting the likelihood of recurrence of ischemic stroke.

Use of insertable cardiac monitors for the detection of atrial fibrillation in patients with cryptogenic stroke in the United States is cost-effective

Objectives: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia and a major marker of ischemic stroke risk. Early detection is crucial and, once diagnosed, anticoagulation therapy can be initiated to reduce stroke risk. The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of employing an insertable cardiac monitor (ICM), BIOMONITOR, for the detection of AF compared to standard of care (SoC) ECG and Holter monitoring in patients with cryptogenic stroke, that is, stroke of unknown origin and where paroxysmal, silent AF is suspected. Materials and methods: A Markov model was developed which consisted of five main health states reflecting the potential lifetime evolution of the AF disease: post cryptogenic stroke (index event), subsequent mild, moderate and severe stroke, and death. Sub-states were included to track a patient's AF diagnostic status and the use of antiplatelet or anticoagulant therapy. AF detection was assumed to result in a treatment switch from aspirin to anticoagulants, except among those with a history of major bleeding. Detection yield and accuracy, clinical actions and treatment effects were derived from the literature and validated by an expert clinician. All relevant costs from a US Medicare perspective were included. Results and conclusions: An ICM-based strategy was associated with a reduction of 37 secondary ischemic strokes per 1000 patients monitored compared with SoC. Total per-patient costs with an ICM were higher (US$90,052 vs. US$85,157) although stroke-related costs were reduced. The use of an ICM was associated with a base-case incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of US$18,487 per life year gained compared with SoC and US$25,098 per quality-adjusted life year gained, below established willingness-to-pay thresholds. The conclusions were found to be robust over a range of input values. From a US Medicare perspective the use of a BIOMONITOR ICM represents a cost-effective diagnostic strategy for patients with cryptogenic stroke and suspected AF.

Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source in Saudi Arabia: Prevalence, Patient Characteristics, and Outcomes

BACKGROUND

Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) is a newly introduced clinical construct to better characterize cryptogenic stroke. It is associated with considerable morbidity and mortality and a high recurrence rate. It has not previously been investigated in Saudi stroke patients. We aimed to conduct a descriptive analysis of ESUS in Saudi Arabia, including its frequency among patients with acute stroke, characteristics, and outcomes.

METHODS

We reviewed all ischemic stroke patients admitted to the stroke unit at King Abdulaziz Medical City-Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, from February 2016 to July 2018. We applied the criteria proposed by the Cryptogenic Stroke/ESUS International Working Group, which defines ESUS as a radiologically confirmed nonlacunar brain infarct without (a) extracranial or intracranial atherosclerosis causing ≥50% stenosis in arteries supplying the ischemic area, (b) a major-risk cardioembolic source, (c) any other specific cause of stroke. We compared ESUS patients with the other stroke patients. Study was approved by local institutional review board.

RESULTS

Of the 736 patients admitted with ischemic stroke, 147 (20%) had ESUS. Patients with ESUS had fewer vascular risk factors compared to patients without ESUS. Nearly third were either dead or dependent at discharge. There were no significant differences between ESUS and other types of ischemic strokes in mortality rate and independence at discharge.

CONCLUSION

ESUS is common in Saudi stroke patients. Despite of the lack of definite etiology, it is associated with considerable morbidity and mortality.

Renal Function and Risk Stratification of Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source

Background and Purpose- We aimed to assess if renal function can aid in risk stratification for ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) recurrence and death in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). Methods- We pooled 12 ESUS datasets from Europe and America. Renal function was evaluated using the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and analyzed in continuous, binary, and categorical way. Cox-regression analyses assessed if renal function was independently associated with the risk for ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence and death. The Kaplan-Meier product limit method estimated the cumulative probability of ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence and death. Results- In 1530 patients with ESUS followed for 3260 patient-years, there were 237 recurrences (15.9%) and 201 deaths (13.4%), corresponding to 7.3 ischemic stroke/TIA recurrences and 5.6 deaths per 100 patient-years, respectively. Renal function was not associated with the risk for ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence when forced into the final multivariate model, regardless if it was analyzed as continuous (hazard ratio, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.99-1.00 for every 1 mL/min), binary (hazard ratio, 1.27; 95% CI, 0.87-1.73) or categorical covariate (likelihood-ratio test 2.59, P=0.63 for stroke recurrence). The probability of ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence across stages of renal function was 11.9% for eGFR ≥90, 16.6% for eGFR 60-89, 21.7% for eGFR 45-59, 19.2% for eGFR 30-44, and 24.9% for eGFR <30 (likelihood-ratio test 2.59, P=0.63). The results were similar for the outcome of death. Conclusions- The present study is the largest pooled individual patient-level ESUS dataset, and does not provide evidence that renal function can be used to stratify the risk of ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence or death in patients with ESUS.

Association of Intracranial Hemorrhage Risk With Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulant Use vs Aspirin Use: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Importance

Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) might be an attractive choice for stroke prevention in people without atrial fibrillation who may harbor a potential source of cardiac emboli, but not if certain individual NOACs carry risks of intracranial hemorrhage that are heightened relative to aspirin.

Objective

To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials to assess the risk of intracranial hemorrhage with individual NOACs vs aspirin across all indications.

Data Sources

We searched PubMed, Embase, CENTRAL, and ClinicalTrials.gov from inception to May 28, 2018, with the terms novel oral anticoagulants, non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants, direct oral anticoagulants, dabigatran, rivaroxaban, apixaban, edoxaban, warfarin, Coumadin, vitamin K antagonist, aspirin, acetylsalicylic acid, or ASA, and major bleeding, fatal bleeding, or intracranial hemorrhage. We restricted our search to clinical trials on humans. There were no language restrictions.

Study Selection

Randomized clinical trials of 3 months or longer that included a comparison of the outcomes of NOAC use vs use of aspirin.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

Two investigators independently abstracted data from eligible studies. We computed a fixed-effect estimate based on the Mantel-Haenszel method.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CI were used as a measure of the association of individual NOAC vs aspirin with the risk of intracranial hemorrhage. The hypothesis that intracranial hemorrhage risk would be higher with NOACs than aspirin was formulated during data collection.

Results

Our principal analysis included 5 randomized clinical trials comparing 1 or more NOACs with aspirin, with 39 398 individuals enrolled. Pooling the results from the fixed-effects model showed that a dose of 15 to 20 mg of rivaroxaban once daily was associated with an increased risk of intracranial hemorrhage (2 trials; OR, 3.31 [95% CI, 1.42 to 7.72]) compared with aspirin, while a 10-mg dose of rivaroxaban once daily or a 5-mg dose twice daily (3 trials; OR, 1.43 [95% CI, 0.93 to 2.21]) and a 5-mg dose of apixaban twice daily (1 trial; OR, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.38 to 1.88]) were not.

Conclusions and Relevance

A 15-mg to 20-mg dose of rivaroxaban once daily is associated with substantially increased risks of intracranial hemorrhage, while smaller daily doses of rivaroxaban and apixaban were not, implying that risk increase is dose dependent. It may be worthwhile to conduct randomized clinical trials comparing specific NOACs in specific doses (eg, apixaban, 5 mg twice daily) and aspirin in patients without atrial fibrillation, but with potential sources of cardiac emboli that could cause stroke.

Clinical and Neuroimaging Characteristics in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined versus Cardioembolic Origin: A Population-Based Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Evidence suggests that cardioembolism represents the underlying mechanism in the minority of embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS). In this population-based study, we sought to compare the clinical and imaging characteristics as well as outcomes in patients with ESUS and cardioembolic stroke (CE).

METHODS

We included consecutive patients with first-ever ischemic stroke (IS) from the previously published population-based Evros-Stroke-Registry identified as ESUS or CE according to standardized criteria. Baseline characteristics, admission NIHSS scores, cerebral edema, hemorrhagic transformation, stroke recurrence, functional outcomes (determined by modified Rankin Scale [mRS] scores), and mortality rates were recorded during the 1-year follow-up period.

RESULTS

We identified 21 ESUS (3.7% of IS) and 211 CE (37.1% of IS) cases. Patients with ESUS were younger (median age: 68 years [interquartile range [IQR]: 61-75] vs 80 years [IQR: 75-84]; P < .001), had lower median admission NIHSS scores (4 points [IQR: 2-8] vs 10 points [IQR: 5-17]; P < .001), and lower prevalence of cerebral edema on neuroimaging studies (0 vs. 33.3%, P = .002). Functional outcomes were more favorable in ESUS at 28 (median mRS score: 2 [IQR: 1-3] vs 4 [IQR: 4-5]; P < .001), 90 (median mRS score: 1 [IQR: 0-2] vs 4 [IQR: 3-5]; P < .001), and 365 days (median mRS score: 1 [IQR: 0-2] vs 4 [IQR: 2-4]; P < 0.001). At 1-year, the mortality rate was lower in ESUS (0% [95% confidence interval [CI]: 0-13.5%] vs 34.6% [95% CI: 28.2-41.0%]; P < .001); the 1-year recurrent rate was also lower numerically (0% [95% CI: 0-13.5%] vs 9.5% [95% CI: 5.5-13.4%]; P = .140) but this difference failed to reach statistical significance due to the small study population.

CONCLUSIONS

The clinical and neuroimaging profiles as well as clinical outcomes vary substantially between ESUS and CE indicating different underlying mechanisms.

Effect of coexisting vascular disease on long-term risk of recurrent events after TIA or stroke

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether patients with TIA or ischemic stroke with coexisting cardiovascular disease (i.e., history of coronary or peripheral artery disease) are still at high risk of recurrent ischemic events despite current secondary prevention guidelines.

METHODS

In a population-based study in Oxfordshire, UK (Oxford Vascular Study), we studied consecutive patients with TIA or ischemic stroke for 2002-2014. Patients were treated according to current secondary prevention guidelines and we determined risks of coronary events, recurrent ischemic stroke, and major bleeding stratified by the presence of coexisting cardiovascular disease.

RESULTS

Among 2,555 patients (9,148 patient-years of follow-up), those (n = 640; 25.0%) with coexisting cardiovascular disease (449 coronary only; 103 peripheral only; 88 both) were at higher 10-year risk of coronary events than those without (22.8%, 95% confidence interval 17.4-27.9; vs 7.1%, 5.3-8.8; p < 0.001; age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 3.07, 2.24-4.21) and of recurrent ischemic stroke (31.5%, 25.1-37.4; vs 23.4%, 20.5-26.2; p = 0.0049; age- and sex-adjusted HR 1.23, 0.99-1.53), despite similar rates of use of antithrombotic and lipid-lowering medication. However, in patients with noncardioembolic TIA/stroke, risk of extracranial bleeds was also higher in those with coexisting cardiovascular disease, particularly in patients aged <75 years (8.1%, 2.8-13.0; vs 3.4%, 1.6-5.3; p = 0.0050; age- and sex-adjusted HR 2.71, 1.16-6.30), although risk of intracerebral hemorrhage was not increased (age- and sex-adjusted HR 0.36, 0.04-2.99).

CONCLUSIONS

As in older studies, patients with TIA/stroke with coexisting cardiovascular disease remain at high risk of recurrent ischemic events despite current management. More intensive lipid-lowering might therefore be justified, but benefit from increased antithrombotic treatment might be offset by the higher risk of extracranial bleeding.

Association Between Unrecognized Myocardial Infarction and Cerebral Infarction on Magnetic Resonance Imaging

Importance

It is uncertain whether unrecognized myocardial infarction (MI) is a risk factor for cerebral infarction.

Objective

To determine whether unrecognized MI detected by cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is associated with cerebral infarction.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This is a cross-sectional study of ICELAND MI, a cohort substudy of the Age, Gene/Environment Susceptibility-Reykjavik Study conducted in Iceland. Enrollment occurred from January 2004 to January 2007 from a community-dwelling cohort of older Icelandic individuals. Participants aged 67 to 93 years who underwent both brain MRI and late gadolinium enhancement cardiac MRI were included. Data analysis was performed from September 2018 to March 2019.

Exposures

Unrecognized MI identified by cardiac MRI.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Unrecognized MI was defined as cardiac MRI evidence of MI without a history of clinically evident MI. Recognized MI was defined as cardiac MRI evidence of MI with a history of clinically evident MI. Cerebral infarctions on brain MRI were included regardless of associated symptoms. Multiple logistic regression was used to evaluate the association between MI status (no MI, unrecognized MI, or recognized MI) and cerebral infarction after adjustment for demographic factors and vascular risk factors. In addition, we evaluated the association between unrecognized MI and embolic infarcts of undetermined source.

Results

Five enrolled participants had nondiagnostic brain MRI studies and were excluded. Among 925 participants, 480 (51.9%) were women; the mean (SD) age was 75.9 (5.3) years. There were 221 participants (23.9%) with cardiac MRI evidence of MI, of whom 68 had recognized MI and 153 unrecognized MI. There were 308 participants (33.3%) with brain MRI evidence of cerebral infarction; 93 (10.0%) had embolic infarcts of undetermined source. After adjustment for demographic factors and vascular risk factors, the likelihood (odds ratio) of having cerebral infarction was 2.0 (95% CI, 1.2-3.4; P = .01) for recognized MI and 1.5 (95% CI, 1.02-2.2; P = .04) for unrecognized MI. After adjustment for demographics and vascular risk factors, unrecognized MI was also associated with embolic infarcts of undetermined source (odds ratio, 2.0 [95% CI, 1.1-3.5]; P = .02).

Conclusions and Relevance

In a population-based sample, we found an association between unrecognized MI and cerebral infarction. These findings suggest that unrecognized MI may be a novel risk factor for cardiac embolism and cerebral infarction.