Epidemiology and burden of illness of seasonal influenza among the elderly in Japan: A systematic literature review and vaccine effectiveness meta-analysis

Cost-effectiveness and public health impact of using high dose influenza vaccine in the Japanese older adults

BACKGROUND

High-dose (HD) influenza vaccine, which has demonstrated superior efficacy and acceptable safety compared to standard-dose (SD), has market authorization in many countries. This study evaluated the public-health impact and cost-effectiveness of HD versus SD in Japanese older-adults (OAs) from healthcare payer-perspective.

METHODS

Decision-tree model was employed assessing health outcomes for each vaccination strategy, simulating influenza cases, outpatient/emergency department (ED) visits, hospitalizations, and mortality, over one-year time-horizon. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) were assessed at Japanese willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold. Base-case analysis considered influenza vaccines effective against influenza hospitalizations only, whereas complementary analyses reflected their efficacies against Pneumonia and Influenza (P&I), respiratory and cardiorespiratory hospitalizations possibly related to influenza among individuals ≥65 years. Scenario analysis extended target population to at-risk individuals aged 60-64 years. Uncertainty was assessed using sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

In base-case, switching from SD to HD prevented 174,863 influenza cases, 121,084 outpatient and 614 ED visits, annually. Further, 5,777 influenza hospitalizations, and 2,406 deaths related to influenza were avoided with HD vaccine. The HD vaccine was found to be a cost-effective strategy at WTP threshold of ¥5,000,000/Quality-Adjusted-Life-Years (QALY) with ICER of ¥4,876,512/(QALY). Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of these findings. Complementary analyses showed notably improved outcomes, in terms of public-health, economic impact, and ICERs, when considering efficacy of influenza vaccines against P&I, respiratory, and cardiorespiratory hospitalizations possibly related to influenza.

CONCLUSION

These results indicate that HD vaccine has a high economic value in Japan compared to SD. Implementing HD vaccine could effectively alleviate the burden on healthcare facilities for Japanese OAs.

The effect of particulate matter 2.5 on seasonal influenza transmission in 1,330 counties, China: A Bayesian spatial analysis based on Köppen Geiger climate zones classifications

Previous research has linked seasonal influenza transmission with particulate matters (PM2.5). However, the effect of PM2.5 on seasonal influenza transmission varied by region. This study aims explore how PM2.5 influenced seasonal influenza transmission in the elderly across 1330 counties in two Köppen Geiger climate zones in China, incorporating the socio-economic factors to enhance climate-driven early warning systems (EWS) for influenza. Data included weekly 2015-2019 influenza cases in those aged >65 from China's national influenza surveillance system for 1330 counties in two Köppen Geiger climate zones: Temperate, Hot Summer with Dry Winter (Cwa) and No Dry Season (Cfa). PM2.5 data from 2015 to 2019 were sourced from Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Services. Additional data on floating population, population density and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita were collected from pertinent departments. A Bayesian spatial autoregressive model assessed the association of PM2.5 and influenza transmission after adjustment of socio-economic factors. Our research results showed PM2.5 (per 1 μg/m³ increase) was linked to increased influenza transmission in the Cwa zone during winter season (Relative Risk (RR) = 1.023, 95% Credible Interval (CI):1.008-1.040) but not in the Cfa winter (RR = 1.003, 95% CI: 0.992-1.015). Floating population significantly enhanced transmission in both zones (highest RR = 1.362, 95% CI:1.181-1.583), while GDP per capita growth was associated with reduced transmission risk (highest RR = 0.619, 95% CI: 0.445-0.861). The study identifies PM2.5 as a significant factor influencing influenza transmission in the elderly, with effects varying by climate zone, suggesting the need to incorporate PM2.5 and socio-economic factors into seasonal influenza EWS.

Porphyromonas gingivalis gingipain potentially activates influenza A virus infectivity through proteolytic cleavage of viral hemagglutinin

Influenza is a worldwide health problem that causes significant morbidity and mortality among the elderly; therefore, its prevention is important. During influenza virus infection, the cleavage of hemagglutinin (HA) is essential for the virus to enter host cells. Influenza virus-bacteria interactions influence the pathogenicity of infections, and specific bacteria contribute to the severity of the disease by participating in HA cleavage. Poor oral hygiene and the presence of oral bacteria are associated with influenza. Porphyromonas gingivalis, a periodontopathic bacterium, is particularly associated with influenza; however, the underlying mechanisms remain unclear. In the present study, we observed P. gingivalis culture supernatant promoted viral release and cell-to-cell spread of the infection. Further investigation revealed that the supernatant contained cleaved HA. Therefore, we focused on gingipains (Rgp and Kgp) which are trypsin-like proteases produced by P. gingivalis. We determined that the Rgp inhibitor inhibited both HA cleavage and the increase in virus release associated with the P. gingivalis culture supernatant, whereas such effects were not observed with the Kgp inhibitor. In addition, Rgp-deficient P. gingivalis culture supernatant failed to cleave HA, enhance virus spread, or increase virus release. In contrast, Kgp-deficient P. gingivalis culture supernatant cleaved HA and promoted infection. These results indicated that P. gingivalis-secreted Rgp has the potential to activate influenza virus infectivity through HA cleavage, suggesting that understanding the effects of P. gingivalis on influenza virus infection will contribute to the establishment of influenza prevention measures.

A Pharmacoeconomic Study of Post-Exposure Prophylaxis Strategies for Influenza Virus Infections in Japan

INTRODUCTION

Vaccines can prevent influenza (flu) infections and are cost-effective for society and healthcare. However, the cost-effectiveness of post-exposure prophylaxis as a follow-up strategy is unclear. This study aims to evaluate the cost utility of post-exposure prophylaxis and treatment strategies with neuraminidase inhibitors and a cap-dependent endonuclease inhibitor for flu infections from the perspective of healthcare costs in Japan.

METHODS

A base-case analysis was used to compare oseltamivir, zanamivir, and laninamivir for neuraminidase inhibitors and baloxavir marboxil for the endonuclease inhibitor. The costs of the first visit to a physician and pharmacy were excluded because of the policy on out-of-pocket expenses for post-exposure prophylaxis in Japan. Direct medical costs include the second physician visit, pharmacy and hospital admission expenses, and drug prices, based on the 2020 Japanese Medical Fee Index. The EuroQol-5Dimention-5Level was utilized to measure healthy participants' quality of life scores, with a time horizon of 14 days. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted.

RESULTS

We have found baloxavir marboxil as the post-exposure prophylaxis agent and laninamivir as the treatment agent to be the most cost-effective strategy in Japan, followed by oseltamivir as the post-exposure prophylaxis agent and zanamivir as the treatment agent.

CONCLUSIONS

Baloxavir marboxil and oseltamivir are cost-effective prophylactic agents for flu from the perspective of healthcare costs in Japan. This strategy to select baloxavir marboxil or oseltamivir would be helpful to manage a formulary for post-exposure prophylaxis in Japan.

The Burden of Seasonal Influenza and Its Potential Complications Among Older Japanese Adults: A Real-World Database Study

BACKGROUND

Seasonal influenza may lead to severe complications, including respiratory and cardiovascular disease, that result in considerable healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and mortality, particularly in older individuals. This real-world study assessed the burden of influenza and its potential complications in older Japanese adults.

METHODS

This retrospective claims database analysis (April 2015 to June 2019) included insured individuals aged ≥ 60 years at the start of four consecutive influenza seasons in Japan (October 1 to April 30). The primary endpoint was the incidence of influenza-related emergency room (ER) and outpatient visits, the incidence of hospitalizations, the probability of 30-day inpatient mortality, and 60-day medical costs of influenza or its potential complications.

RESULTS

Of 8,974,708 individuals (43.2% male, mean ± standard deviation age 73.8 ± 8.9 years), 370,430 (4.13%) were diagnosed with influenza. Overall, 17.18 (95% confidence interval [CI] 16.32-18.04) and 3893.53 (3880.87-3906.19) per 100,000 individuals had influenza-related ER and outpatient visits, respectively, and 181.50 (178.71-184.28) per 100,000 individuals were hospitalized for influenza. The incidence of influenza-related ER visits and hospitalizations for influenza or potential complications and the probability of 30-day inpatient mortality increased with age.

CONCLUSIONS

Seasonal influenza and its potential complications represent a substantial burden that increases with age in Japanese individuals.

Epidemiology of COVID-19 in Berlin-Neukölln nursing homes

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected various urban population groups in different ways. Earlier studies have shown that severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) disproportionally impacts nursing home residents by increasing morbidity and mortality following viral exposure. However, little is known about the epidemiology of this disease in detail. Therefore, the objective of this study is to analyze the development of the COVID-19 pandemic in 14 nursing homes across Berlin-Neukölln, Germany, during pandemic waves 1 to 5 (Feb 2020 - May 2022).

METHODS

Reporting data to the Neukölln Department of Public Health on COVID-19 cases in connection with nursing homes were extracted from the SORMAS database. The case fatality rates (CFRs) and odds ratios (ORs) of demographic parameters, prevalent variants of concern (VOCs) and vaccine availability were calculated. In addition, the temporal course in waves 1-5 in Neukölln and the relevant government measures were examined.

RESULTS

Data collected from nursing homes providing age-dependent physical care revealed that 1.9 % of the total 108,600 cases registered in Berlin-Neukölln during the study period were related one of the 14 facilities. Compared to the general population in Neukölln, nursing homes exhibited a 20-fold increase in the CFR. Notably, nursing homes with higher bed capacities displayed a greater CFR than did smaller nursing homes. Similarly, elderly residents living in nursing homes faced a much greater mortality rate than did their counterparts living outside of medical settings (OR = 3.5). The original wild-type SARS-CoV-2 strain had the most severe direct impact, with a CFR of 16.7 %, compared to the alpha (CFR = 6.9 %), delta (CFR = 10.2 %) and omicron (CFR = 2.8 %) variants in nursing homes. Interestingly, the number of infections increased following vaccination campaigns, but this trend was accompanied by a decrease in the number of deaths from 2.6 to 1.1 per week. As a result, the CFR significantly decreased from 18.4 to 5.5, while still exceeding the mean CFR compared to that of the general population of Neukölln.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings reveal the changing patterns of outbreak frequency and severity across the five pandemic waves. They highlight the crucial role of rapid vaccination programs for residents, staff, visitors, and third-party services in safeguarding nursing homes. Additionally, improvements in containment and cluster strategies are essential in prevaccination scenarios to prevent future infection traps for elderly individuals in long-term care facilities. The presented data highlight the importance of tailored protection measures for one of the most vulnerable populations in our society.

Effectiveness of annual influenza campaigns and vaccination in reducing influenza burden in nursing homes of Canton Vaud in Switzerland

BACKGROUND

Influenza infections pose significant risks for nursing home (NH) residents. Our aim was to evaluate the impact of the cantonal influenza campaign, and influenza vaccination coverage of residents and healthcare workers (HCWs) on influenza burden in NHs in a context of enhanced infection prevention and control measures (IPC) during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.

METHODS

We extracted data from epidemic reports provided by our unit to NHs over two consecutive winter seasons (2021-22 and 2022-23) and used linear regression to assess the impact of resident and HCW vaccination coverage, and participation in the campaign, on residents' cumulative influenza incidence and mortality.

RESULTS

Thirty-six NHs reported 155 influenza cases and 21 deaths during the two winter seasons corresponding to 6.2% of infected residents and a case fatality ratio of 13.5%. Median vaccination coverage was 83% for residents, 25.8% for HCWs, while 87% of NHs participated in the campaign. Resident vaccination was significantly associated with a decrease in odds of death (odds ratio (OR) 0.96, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.93-0.99). There was no significant effect of HCW vaccination coverage on resident infections and deaths. Campaign participation was associated with decreased odds of infection and death among residents (OR: 0.17, 95% CI: 0.06-0.47 and OR: 0.06, 95% CI: 0.02-0.17 respectively).

CONCLUSION

Our analysis suggests that in a context of reinforced IPC measures, influenza still represents a significant burden for NH residents. The most effective measures in decreasing resident influenza burden in NHs was participation in the cantonal influenza vaccination campaign and resident vaccination.

Proportions and Seasonal Patterns of Respiratory Viruses via Rapid Tests in Adults at a Greek Hospital (Oct. 2023-Mar. 2024)

BACKGROUND

Respiratory infections pose a major public health threat. The predominant viruses causing viral respiratory infections are influenza A and B (Flu-A, Flu-B), coronaviruses, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and adenovirus. This study aims to investigate the proportion of these cases via rapid antigen tests and assess seasonal patterns.

METHODS

Clinical samples were collected from symptomatic adults presenting to the Emergency and Respiratory Medicine Departments of the University Hospital of Larissa (UHL), Greece from 16 October 2023 to 31 March 2024. Nasal specimens were antigen-tested for Flu-A/B, SARS-CoV-2, RSV, and adenovirus.

RESULTS

The total sample of specimens collected was 1434, of which 739 (51.5%) were female and 695 were male (48.5%). The mean age of participants was 57 ± 5.5 years. Among the positive results, we recorded a proportion of 40.18% and 11.40% for influenza A and B, respectively, followed by 35.79% for SARS-CoV-2, 10.70% for RSV, and 1.93% for adenovirus.

CONCLUSIONS

In Greece, surveillance systems in infection control are underutilized. Rapid tests via multiple antigens can quickly identify viral infections, making them a valuable tool with financial benefits for health systems. Early detection of respiratory infections helps allocate resources efficiently, ensures adequate staff and facilities are available, and improves patient care through refined clinical management.

Systematic review of influenza vaccine effectiveness against laboratory-confirmed influenza among older adults living in aged care facilities

We estimated the effectiveness of influenza vaccines in preventing laboratory-confirmed influenza among older adults in aged care. Electronic database searches were conducted using search terms, and studies were selected as per the selection criteria. Fourteen studies were included for final review. The studies exhibited considerable variation in reported vaccine effectiveness (VE) across different seasons. Among the observational studies, VE ranged from 7.2% to 89.8% against laboratory-confirmed influenza across different vaccines. Randomized clinical trials demonstrated a 17% reduction in infection rates with the adjuvanted trivalent vaccine. The limitations include the small number of included studies conducted in different countries or regions, varied seasons, variations in diagnostic testing methods, a focus on the A/H3N2 strain, and few studies available on the effectiveness of enhanced influenza vaccines in aged care settings. Despite challenges associated with achieving optimal protection, the studies showed the benefits of influenza vaccination in the elderly residents.

Prescription of anti-influenza drugs in Japan, 2014-2020: A retrospective study using open data from the national claims database

BACKGROUND

Both physicians and patients are proactive towards managing seasonal influenza in Japan and six drugs are approved. Although many countries have national influenza surveillance systems, data on nationwide prescription practices of anti-influenza drugs are lacking. Therefore, we aimed to clarify the status of anti-influenza drug use in Japan by analyzing real-world data.

METHODS

This retrospective study analyzed open data from the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups, which covers most claims data from national health insurance. We estimated the annual number of patients prescribed anti-influenza drugs, which drugs they were prescribed, the patients' age and sex distribution, drug costs, and regional disparities for the period 2014-2020.

RESULTS

For 2014-2019, an estimated 6.7-13.4 million patients per year were prescribed anti-influenza drugs, with an annual cost of 22.3-48.0 billion JPY (Japanese Yen). In addition, 21.1-32.0 million rapid antigen tests were performed at a cost of 30.1-47.1 billion JPY. In 2017, laninamivir was the most frequently prescribed anti-influenza drug (48%), followed by oseltamivir (36%), while in 2018, the newly introduced baloxavir accounted for 40.8% of prescriptions. After the emergence of COVID-19, the estimated number of patients prescribed anti-influenza drugs in 2020 dropped to just 14,000. In 2018, 37.6% of prescriptions were for patients aged < 20 years compared with 12.2% for those aged ≥ 65 years. Prescriptions for inpatients accounted for 1.1%, and the proportion of prescriptions for inpatients increased with age, with men were more likely than women to be prescribed anti-influenza drugs while hospitalized.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on our clarification of how influenza is clinically managed in Japan, future work should evaluate the clinical and economic aspects of proactively prescribing anti-influenza drugs.

Duration of influenza vaccine effectiveness in the elderly in Japan: A retrospective cohort study using large-scale population-based registry data

BACKGROUND

The immune response to influenza vaccination in the elderly is likely to be lower than that in young adults. Clinical protection may not persist year-round in the elderly. However, the effectiveness of influenza vaccine in the elderly has not been adequately studied, especially in terms of the duration of effectiveness.

METHODS

We used a linked database of healthcare administrative claims data and vaccination records maintained by the municipality of a city in Kanto region of Japan. We studied individuals who were aged 65 years or older at baseline and were followed up between April 1, 2014 to March 31, 2020. The duration of influenza vaccine effectiveness by age category was analyzed using a time-dependent piecewise Cox proportional hazard model with time-dependent vaccine status, prior season vaccination and covariates confirmed in the baseline period (age, sex, cancer, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases, asthma, chronic kidney diseases, and cardiovascular diseases).

RESULTS

We identified an analysis population of 83,146 individuals, of which 7,401 (8.9%) had experienced influenza and 270 (0.32%) underwent influenza-related hospitalization. Individuals who were vaccinated during the first season (n = 47,338) were older than non-vaccinated individuals (n = 35,808) (average age, 75.8 vs. 74.1 years, respectively). The multivariable analysis showed a lower incidence of influenza in vaccinated individuals (hazard ratio [HR], 0.47; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.43-0.51; P < 0.001), while the incidence of hospitalization for influenza did not differ significantly by vaccination status (HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.53-1.18; P = 0.249). Protective effectiveness against incidence was maintained for 4 or 5 months after vaccination in those aged 65-69 and 80-years, 5 months in 70-79 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study identified moderate vaccine effectiveness in preventing the incidence of influenza in the Japanese elderly. Vaccine effectiveness showed a trend of gradual attenuation. Clinicians should suspect influenza infection even in those vaccinated, especially in elderly individuals who had received vaccination more than 4 or 5 months previously.

Focusing on severe infections with the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in adults: Risk factors, symptomatology and clinical course compared to influenza A / B and the original SARS-CoV-2 strain

BACKGROUND

The role and impact of RSV in the adult population is not well understood and comparative data of RSV infection, influenza A/B and SARS-CoV-2 in the elderly hospitalized for respiratory infections is limited.

METHODS

In a retrospective, monocentric study we analyzed data of adult patients with respiratory infections tested positive by PCR for RSV, Influenza A/B and SARS-CoV-2 over a four-year period from 2017 to 2020. Symptoms on admission, laboratory results, and risk factors were assessed, and the clinical course and outcomes were studied.

RESULTS

A total of 1541 patients hospitalized with respiratory disease and PCR positive for one of the 4 viruses were enrolled in the study. RSV was the second most prevalent virus before the COVID-19 pandemic and RSV patients represent the oldest group in this study with an average age of 75 years. Neither clinical nor laboratory characteristics differ clearly between RSV, Influenza A / B and SARS-CoV-2 infections. Up to 85% of patients had risk factors, with COPD and kidney disease found particularly frequently in RSV infections. Hospital stay was 12.66 days for RSV patients and thus significantly longer than for influenza A / B (10.88 and 8.86, respectively, p < 0.001), but shorter than for SARS-CoV-2 (17.87 days, p < 0.001). The risk for ICU admission and the rate of mechanical ventilation were also higher for RSV than for influenza A (OR 1.69 (p = 0.020) and 1.59 (p = 0.050)) and influenza B: (1.98 (p = 0.018) and 2.33 (p < 0.001)), but lower than for SARS-CoV-2 (0.65 (p < 0.001) and 0.59 (p = 0.035)). The risk of hospital mortality for RSV was increased compared with influenza A (1.55 (p = 0.050)) and influenza B (1.42 (p = 0.262)), but lower compared to SARs-CoV-2 (0.37 (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

RSV infections in elderly are frequent and more severe than those with influenza A/B. While the impact of SARS-CoV-2 most likely decreased in the elderly population due to vaccination, RSV can be expected to continue to be problematic for elderly patients, especially those with comorbidities and thus, more awareness on the disastrous impact of RSV in this age group is urgently needed.

External validation of geriatric influenza death score: A multicenter study

The Geriatric Influenza Death (GID) score was developed to help decision making in older patients with influenza in the emergency department (ED), but external validation is unavailable. Thus, we conducted a study was to fill the data gap. We recruited all older patients (≥65 years) who visited the ED of three hospitals between 2009 and 2018. Demographic data and clinical characteristics were retrospectively collected. Discrimination, goodness of fit, and performance of the GID score were evaluated. Of the 5,508 patients (121 died) with influenza, the mean age was 76.6±7.4 (standard deviation) years, and 49.3% were males. The GID score was higher in the mortality group (1.7±1.1 vs. 0.8±0.8, p <0.01). With 0 as the reference, the odds ratio for morality with score of 1, 2 and ≥3 was 3.08 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.66-5.71), 6.69 (95% CI: 3.52-12.71), and 23.68 (95% CI: 11.95-46.93), respectively. The area under the curve was 0.722 (95% CI: 0.677-0.766), and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test was 1.000. The GID score had excellent negative predictive values with different cut-offs. The GID score had good external validity, and further studies are warranted for wider application.

Long-term benefits of nonpharmaceutical interventions for endemic infections are shaped by respiratory pathogen dynamics

COVID-19 nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), including mask wearing, have proved highly effective at reducing the transmission of endemic infections. A key public health question is whether NPIs could continue to be implemented long term to reduce the ongoing burden from endemic pathogens. Here, we use epidemiological models to explore the impact of long-term NPIs on the dynamics of endemic infections. We find that the introduction of NPIs leads to a strong initial reduction in incidence, but this effect is transient: As susceptibility increases, epidemics return while NPIs are in place. For low R₀ infections, these return epidemics are of reduced equilibrium incidence and epidemic peak size. For high R₀ infections, return epidemics are of similar magnitude to pre-NPI outbreaks. Our results underline that managing ongoing susceptible buildup, e.g., with vaccination, remains an important long-term goal.

Seasonal influenza, its complications and related healthcare resource utilization among people 60 years and older: A descriptive retrospective study in Japan

Evidence suggests that older people aged ≥65 years and those aged 60–64 years with chronic medical conditions are at higher risk of developing severe complications due to influenza virus infection when compared with young, healthy adults. Although seasonal influenza is monitored through a nationwide passive surveillance in Japan, influenza related outcomes and medical resource consumption have not been fully documented. This retrospective database study aimed to describe the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of medically attended influenza cases aged ≥60 years and the associated medical resource consumption in Japan. We used clinically diagnosed influenza (CDI) based on the international classification of disease codes, and laboratory-confirmed influenza (LCI) based on influenza test results, to identify the patient population during a total of nine seasons (2010/2011 to 2018/2019). A total of 372,356 CDI and 31,122 LCI cases were identified from 77 medical institutions. The highest numbers of medically-attended influenza episodes were in patients aged 65–74 years and 75–84 years. On average, across seasons, 5.9% of all-cause hospitalizations were attributable to CDI and 0.4% were LCI. Influenza viruses type A and B co-circulated annually in varying degree of intensity and were associated with similar level of complications, including cardiovascular-related. Oxygen therapy increased with age; by contrast, mechanical ventilation, dialysis, blood transfusion, and intensive care unit admission were higher in the younger groups. In-hospital mortality for inpatients aged ≥ 85 years with CDI and LCI were 18.6% and 15.5%, respectively. Considering the burden associated with medically-attended influenza in this population, influenza prevention, laboratory confirmation and clinical management should be emphasized by general practicians and specialists like cardiologists to protect this aging population.

Influenza vaccine effectiveness against hospitalization during the 2018/2019 season among older persons aged ≥ 75 years in Japan: The LIFE-VENUS Study

BACKGROUND

Older persons are recommended to receive annual influenza vaccinations due to their increased susceptibility to influenza infections and related complications. Routine assessments of influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) in older persons may help to improve vaccine development and vaccination strategies, but there is a lack of consistent epidemiological data from Japan. This study aimed to evaluate IVE against hospitalization during the 2018/2019 season among older persons aged ≥ 75 years in Japan.

METHODS

This cohort study was conducted using insurance claims data and vaccination records provided by the Longevity Improvement & Fair Evidence - Vaccine Effectiveness, Networking, and Universal Safety (LIFE-VENUS) Study. The study cohort comprised older persons aged ≥ 75 years residing in an urban municipality in Japan. Vaccinated participants were identified through vaccination records from October 2018 to January 2019, and were matched with unvaccinated participants using a 1:1 ratio. The IVE against hospitalization was calculated as (1-hazard ratio) × 100% while adjusting for covariates such as age, sex, comorbidities, previous vaccinations, and care needs levels.

RESULTS

We analyzed 30,881 vaccinated participants matched with 30,881 unvaccinated participants. Among these, 587 (1.9%) vaccinated participants and 644 (2.1%) unvaccinated participants were hospitalized during the 2018/2019 season. The adjusted IVE against hospitalization was estimated to be 28.9% (16.6-39.4%).

CONCLUSIONS

The influenza vaccine for the 2018/2019 season showed moderate effectiveness among older persons in Japan. The LIFE-VENUS Study represents a potential platform for the continued monitoring of IVE among the older Japanese population.

Comparison of intra-familial transmission of influenza virus from index patients treated with baloxavir marboxil or oseltamivir using an influenza transmission model and a health insurance claims database

Background

Influenza affects approximately a billion people globally, including > 10 million Japanese individuals every year. Baloxavir marboxil (baloxavir [BXM]; a selective cap-dependent endonuclease inhibitor) is approved for influenza treatment in Japan. We compared the incidence of intra-familial transmission of influenza between BXM and oseltamivir (OTV) treatments using a simulation model.

Methods

Using the JMDC Claims Database, we identified index case (IC) as the first family member diagnosed with influenza during the 2018–19 influenza season, and classified the families into BXM or OTV group per the drug dispensed to ICs. Using a novel influenza intra-familial infection model, we simulated the duration of influenza infection in ICs based on agent-specific virus shedding periods. Intra-familial infections were defined as non-IC family members infected during the agent-specific viral shedding period in ICs. The virus incubation periods in the non-IC family members were considered to exclude secondary infections from potentially external exposure. The primary endpoint was proportion of families with intra-familial infections. For between-group comparisons, we used a multivariate logistic regression model.

Results

The median proportion of families with intra-familial transmission was 9.57% and 19.35% in the BXM (N = 84 672) and OTV (N = 62 004) groups, respectively. The multivariate odds ratio of 1.73 (2.5th–97.5th percentiles, 1.68–1.77) indicated a substantially higher incidence of intra-familial infections in the OTV group versus the BXM group. Subgroup analyses by ICs’ age category, virus type, and month of onset revealed similar trends favoring BXM.

Conclusions

BXM treatment of ICs may contribute to a greater reduction in intra-familial influenza transmission than OTV treatment.

Subtype H3N2 Influenza A Viruses: An Unmet Challenge in the Western Pacific

Subtype H3N2 influenza A viruses (A(H3N2)) have been the dominant strain in some countries in the Western Pacific region since the 2009 influenza A(H1N1) pandemic. Vaccination is the most effective way to prevent influenza; however, low vaccine effectiveness has been reported in some influenza seasons, especially for A(H3N2). Antigenic mismatch introduced by egg-adaptation during vaccine production between the vaccine and circulating viral stains is one of the reasons for low vaccine effectiveness. Here we review the extent of this phenomenon, the underlying molecular mechanisms and discuss recent strategies to ameliorate this, including new vaccine platforms that may provide better protection and should be considered to reduce the impact of A(H3N2) in the Western Pacific region.

Effectiveness of seasonal influenza vaccine in adult Japanese workers, 2017-2020

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have not estimated vaccine effectiveness (VE) against influenza in the working-age Japanese population. In this study, we determined VE in adult workers at a Japanese company.

METHODS

We estimated VE based on self-reported data regarding influenza infections and vaccinations in employees of an auto parts manufacturing company during three influenza seasons from 2017 to 2020. VE was estimated as 100% × [1 - odds ratio (the ratio of the odds of being diagnosed with influenza among enrollees with and without influenza vaccination)]. Odds ratios were estimated using logistic regression.

RESULTS

We included 11,347 worker records [3,592 (2017-18), 3,663 (2018-19), and 4,092 (2019-20)] from employees who had worked with the company throughout each influenza season. The adjusted VE was moderate and significant in the 2019-20 season (VE = 53%; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 30% to 69%) but low or negative and non-significant during the 2017-18 (VE = 28%; 95% CI = -5% to 50%) and 2018-19 (VE = -11%; 95% CI =  - 42% to 14%) seasons.

CONCLUSIONS

Influenza vaccines were moderately effective during the 2019-20 season but showed low or negative effectiveness during the 2017-18 and 2018-19 seasons. Self-reports from worker records can successfully help determine VE against influenza.

The burden of seasonal influenza in Italy: A systematic review of influenza-related complications, hospitalizations, and mortality

Reliable country‐specific data on influenza burden play a crucial role in informing prevention and control measures. Our purpose was to provide a comprehensive summary of the available evidence on the burden of seasonal influenza in Italy. We performed a systematic literature review of articles published until July 31, 2020. PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were searched using terms related to burden, influenza, and Italian population. We included studies investigating seasonal influenza‐related complications, hospitalizations, and/or mortality. Sixteen studies were included: eight (50%) analyzed influenza‐related complications, eight (50%) hospitalizations, and seven (43.8%) influenza‐related deaths. Only three studies (19.7%) concerned pediatric age. The synthesis of results showed that patients with chronic conditions have an increased risk for complications up to almost three times as compared with healthy people. Hospitalizations due to influenza can occur in as much as 5% of infected people depending on the study setting. Excess deaths rates were over sixfold higher in the elderly as compared with the rest of population. Although there are still gaps in existing data, there is evidence of the significant burden that influenza places each year especially on high‐risk groups. These data should be used to inform public health decision‐making.

Epidemiology and burden of illness of seasonal influenza among the elderly in Japan: A systematic literature review and vaccine effectiveness meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Elderly populations are particularly vulnerable to influenza and often require extensive clinical support. In Japan, nationwide passive surveillance monitors seasonal influenza but does not capture the full disease burden. We synthesized existing evidence on the epidemiology, vaccine effectiveness (VE), and economic burden of seasonal influenza in the elderly population.

METHODS

PubMed, EMBASE, and ICHUSHI were searched for articles on seasonal influenza in Japan, published between 1997 and 2018, in English or Japanese. Grey literature was also assessed. A random-effects meta-analysis characterized VE of influenza vaccines among studies reporting this information.

RESULTS

Of 1,147 identified articles, 143 met inclusion criteria. Reported incidence rates varied considerably depending on study design, season, study setting and, most importantly, case definition. In nursing homes, the maximum reported attack rate was 55.2% and in the 16 articles reporting mortality rates, case fatality rates varied from 0.009% to 14.3%. Most hospitalizations were in people aged >60; healthcare costs were partially mitigated by vaccine administration. Meta-analysis estimated overall VE of 19.1% (95% CI: 2.3% - 33.0%) with a high proportion of heterogeneity (I2 : 89.1%). There was a trend of lower VE in older people (40.1% [-57.3-77.2] in the <65 group; 12.9% [-8.0-29.8] in those 65; P = .21).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite differences between studies that make comparisons challenging, the influenza burden in elderly Japanese is significant. While vaccines are effective, current vaccination programs offer suboptimal protection. Health economic data and cost-effectiveness analyses were limited and represent areas for policy-relevant future research.