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Thien F, Beggs PJ, Csutoros D, Darvall J, Hew M, Davies JM, Bardin PG, Bannister T, Barnes S, Bellomo R, Byrne T, Casamento A, Conron M, Cross A, Crosswell A, Douglass JA, Durie M, Dyett J, Ebert E, Erbas B, French C, Gelbart B, Gillman A, Harun NS, Huete A, Irving L, Karalapillai D, Ku D, Lachapelle P, Langton D, Lee J, Looker C, MacIsaac C, McCaffrey J, McDonald CF, McGain F, Newbigin E, O'Hehir R, Pilcher D, Prasad S, Rangamuwa K, Ruane L, Sarode V, Silver JD, Southcott AM, Subramaniam A, Suphioglu C, Susanto NH, Sutherland MF, Taori G, Taylor P, Torre P, Vetro J, Wigmore G, Young AC, Guest C. The Melbourne epidemic thunderstorm asthma event 2016: an investigation of environmental triggers, effect on health services, and patient risk factors. Lancet Planet Health 2018; 2:e255-e263. [PMID: 29880157 DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(18)30120-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 131] [Impact Index Per Article: 21.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/01/2018] [Revised: 04/28/2018] [Accepted: 05/16/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND A multidisciplinary collaboration investigated the world's largest, most catastrophic epidemic thunderstorm asthma event that took place in Melbourne, Australia, on Nov 21, 2016, to inform mechanisms and preventive strategies. METHODS Meteorological and airborne pollen data, satellite-derived vegetation index, ambulance callouts, emergency department presentations, and data on hospital admissions for Nov 21, 2016, as well as leading up to and following the event were collected between Nov 21, 2016, and March 31, 2017, and analysed. We contacted patients who presented during the epidemic thunderstorm asthma event at eight metropolitan health services (each including up to three hospitals) via telephone questionnaire to determine patient characteristics, and investigated outcomes of intensive care unit (ICU) admissions. FINDINGS Grass pollen concentrations on Nov 21, 2016, were extremely high (>100 grains/m3). At 1800 AEDT, a gust front crossed Melbourne, plunging temperatures 10°C, raising humidity above 70%, and concentrating particulate matter. Within 30 h, there were 3365 (672%) excess respiratory-related presentations to emergency departments, and 476 (992%) excess asthma-related admissions to hospital, especially individuals of Indian or Sri Lankan birth (10% vs 1%, p<0·0001) and south-east Asian birth (8% vs 1%, p<0·0001) compared with previous 3 years. Questionnaire data from 1435 (64%) of 2248 emergency department presentations showed a mean age of 32·0 years (SD 18·6), 56% of whom were male. Only 28% had current doctor-diagnosed asthma. 39% of the presentations were of Asian or Indian ethnicity (25% of the Melbourne population were of this ethnicity according to the 2016 census, relative risk [RR] 1·93, 95% CI 1·74-2·15, p <0·0001). Of ten individuals who died, six were Asian or Indian (RR 4·54, 95% CI 1·28-16·09; p=0·01). 35 individuals were admitted to an intensive care unit, all had asthma, 12 took inhaled preventers, and five died. INTERPRETATION Convergent environmental factors triggered a thunderstorm asthma epidemic of unprecedented magnitude, tempo, and geographical range and severity on Nov 21, 2016, creating a new benchmark for emergency and health service escalation. Asian or Indian ethnicity and current doctor-diagnosed asthma portended life-threatening exacerbations such as those requiring admission to an ICU. Overall, the findings provide important public health lessons applicable to future event forecasting, health care response coordination, protection of at-risk populations, and medical management of epidemic thunderstorm asthma. FUNDING None.
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Affiliation(s)
- Francis Thien
- Eastern Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
| | | | - Danny Csutoros
- Department of Health and Human Services, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Jai Darvall
- Melbourne Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Mark Hew
- Alfred Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Janet M Davies
- Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, Australia; Metro North Hospital and Health Service, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
| | - Philip G Bardin
- Monash Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | | | | | - Rinaldo Bellomo
- The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Austin Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Jo A Douglass
- Melbourne Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | | | - John Dyett
- Eastern Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | | | | | | | - Ben Gelbart
- Royal Children's Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | | | | | - Alfredo Huete
- University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Louis Irving
- Melbourne Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | | | - David Ku
- Monash Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | | | | | - Joy Lee
- Alfred Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Clare Looker
- Department of Health and Human Services, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | | | | | - Christine F McDonald
- The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Austin Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | | | | | - Robyn O'Hehir
- Alfred Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - David Pilcher
- Alfred Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; The Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society (ANZICS) Centre for Outcome and Resource Evaluation (CORE), Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Paul Torre
- Environmental Protection Authority Victoria, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | | | | | - Alan C Young
- Eastern Health, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Charles Guest
- Department of Health and Human Services, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
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Greaves IA, Sexton K, Blumenthal MN, Church TR, Adgate JL, Ramachandran G, Fredrickson AL, Ryan AD, Geisser MS. Asthma, atopy, and lung function among racially diverse, poor inner-urban Minneapolis schoolchildren. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2007; 103:257-66. [PMID: 17125763 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2006.09.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/22/2005] [Revised: 08/22/2006] [Accepted: 09/20/2006] [Indexed: 05/12/2023]
Abstract
As part of an assessment of schoolchildren's environmental exposures and health, a probability sample of 136 children from diverse racial/ethnic backgrounds was drawn from grades 2-5 of two inner-urban Minneapolis schools (Whittier, Lyndale). Questionnaires were administered to a parent/guardian; blood samples for IgE and lung function tests were obtained. Overall adjusted rates for lifetime asthma (15.4%; 95%CI 9.3-21.5%), asthma in the last 12 months (13.6%; 7.8-19.4%), and current asthma medication use (10.5%; 5.3-15.7%) were higher than reported US national rates. Adjusted rates for lifetime physician-diagnosed asthma differed significantly among racial/ethnic groups (P<0.01): African-Americans (25.9%), White/Others (25.8%), Hispanics (9.3%), Somalis (1.8%), Asians (0%). Corresponding rates for atopy (total IgE>100 IU/mL or an allergen-specific IgE>0.35 IU/mL) were: African-Americans (66.6%), White/Others (100%), Hispanics (77.2%), Somalis (78.1%), Asians (81.8%). Lung function (FEV1, FVC) was analyzed by linear regression using log-transformed data: significant race-specific differences in lung function were found relative to White/Others (P<0.001 for each racial/ethnic group): African-Americans (FEV1 -16.5%, FVC -16.9%), Somalis (-22.7%, -26.8%), Hispanics (-12.2%, -11.4%) and Asians (-11.1%, -12.4%). Females had significantly lower FEV1 (-8.8%) and FVC (-11.0%) than males. An unexplained, significant difference in children's lung function was found between the two schools. A history of physician-diagnosed asthma was not associated with decreased lung function. Factors other than poverty, inner-urban living, and IgE levels (atopy) need to be considered in the development of childhood asthma.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ian A Greaves
- Division of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, MMC 807, 420 Delaware Street. S.E., Minneapolis, MN 55455, USA.
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