Electrocardiographic deep terminal negativity of the P wave in V1 and risk of mortality: the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey III

Atrial Cardiomyopathy Predicts the Functional Outcome and Mortality in Stroke Patients

AIM

Atrial cardiomyopathy (ACM) is characterized by atrial dysfunction. This study aims to assess the prognostic significance of ACM in patients with noncardioembolic stroke (NCS).

METHODS

Patients with NCS within seven days of onset were prospectively enrolled between January 2019 and December 2020. ACM was defined as either an N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-pro BNP) ＞250 pg/ml or a P-terminal force in precordial lead V1 (PTFV1) ≥ 5000µV·ms. A poor functional outcome was determined as a score of 3-6 on the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) within a 2-year follow-up period. Logistic regression and Cox regression analyses were employed to examine the relationship between ACM and the long-term prognosis of patients with NCS.

RESULTS

A total of 1,346 patients were enrolled, of whom 299 (22.2%) patients were diagnosed with ACM. A total of 207(15.4%) patients experienced a poor functional outcome, and 58 (4.3%) patients died. A multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that ACM was significantly associated with a poor functional outcome in NCS patients [adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 2.01; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.42-2.87; p＜0.001]. Additionally, a multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that an NT-pro BNP ＞250 pg/ml was significantly associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 2.51; 95% CI: 1.42-4.43; p=0.001].

CONCLUSIONS

ACM may serve as a novel predictor of a poor long-term functional outcome in patients with NCS. Elevated NT-pro BNP levels (＞250 pg/ml) were found to be associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality. These findings warrant further validation in multicenter studies.

Energy wavelet signal processed ECG and standard 12 lead ECG: Diagnosis of early diastolic dysfunction

BACKGROUND

Left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) is the result of impaired LV relaxation and identifies those at risk of developing heart failure. Echocardiography has been used as the gold standard to identify early LVDD. The signal processed electrocardiogram (hsECG) has demonstrated effectiveness to detect early LVDD. Whether or not the standard 12‑lead electrocardiogram (ECG) can accurately predict early LVDD is not known.

METHODS

A standard 12‑lead ECG including signal processing (hsECG) was performed in 569 patients. Patients with atrial fibrillation, bundle branch block, pre-excitation, left ventricular hypertrophy or known cardiovascular disease were excluded, leaving 464 examinations for analysis. Early LVDD was diagnosed by established methods using echocardiography. Repolarization abnormalities (T wave discordance) in V1, V6, I and aVL and the hsECG were compared to the echocardiographic findings to establish diagnostic accuracy.

RESULTS

A total of 84 (18.1%) patients were diagnosed with early LVDD. A combination of a borderline or abnormal finding on the hsECG produced the best diagnostic model (sensitivity 84.5%, specificity 47.9%). The best performing ECG lead was V1 with a sensitivity of 38.1% and specificity of 92.1%. Regression analysis demonstrated increasing age and V1 to be predictive of LVDD.

CONCLUSIONS

The hsECG displayed reasonable ability to detect early LVDD. Other than V1, repolarization abnormalities on the standard 12‑lead ECG did not. While lead V1 showed promise in detecting LVDD, whether this or any other simple ECG variable can predict future LVDD would be of further interest.

Electrocardiographic left atrial abnormality and risk of heart failure

INTRODUCTION

The association and the racial differences of the electrocardiographic markers of left atrial abnormality (ECG-LAA) with heart failure (HF) are unclear.

METHODS

We examined the cross-sectional association of ECG-LAA, defined as deep terminal negativity of P wave in V1 (DTNPV1) with HF in 8460 participants (51.5% women, 60.3 ± 13.5 age and 49.8% Whites) from the US Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. We excluded participants without P-wave in their ECG or with ECG findings that interfere with measurements of P-wave. DTNPV1 was automatically measured from ECGs processed at a central lab. Values of DTNPV1 ≥ 100 μV were considered abnormal. Past medical history of HF was identified through health interviews. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to examine the associations of DTNPV1 with HF.

RESULTS

Abnormal DTNPV1 was detected in 3.2% (n = 271) of the participants. HF was significantly more common in individuals with abnormal, compared to those with normal, DTNPV1 (14.7% vs. 4.8%, respectively; p-value <0.001). In a model adjusted for socio-demographics and cardiovascular risk factors, ECG-LAA was associated with 98% increased odds of HF (OR (95% CI): 1.98 (1.30-3.01), p < 0.001). This association was stronger in non-White (vs. White) participants (OR (95% CI): 3.14 (1.82-5.43) vs. 1.01 (0.51-1.97), respectively; interaction p-value =0.01), but consistent in subgroups stratified by age and sex.

CONCLUSIONS

ECG-LAA, defined as abnormal DTNPV1, is associated with an increased risk of HF, underscoring the role of atrial disease in developing HF. Racial differences in this association exist, possibly suggesting considering ECG-LAA in personalized assessments of HF risk.

Electrocardiographic markers of atrial cardiomyopathy and risk of heart failure in the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis (MESA) cohort

Background

The association of electrocardiographic (ECG) markers of atrial cardiomyopathy with heart failure (HF) and its subtypes is unclear.

Methods

This analysis included 6,754 participants free of clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD), including atrial fibrillation (AF), from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Five ECG markers of atrial cardiomyopathy (P-wave terminal force in V1 [PTFV1], deep-terminal negativity in V1 [DTNV1], P-wave duration [PWD], P-wave axis [PWA], advanced intra-atrial block [aIAB]) were derived from digitally recorded electrocardiograms. Incident HF events through 2018 were centrally adjudicated. An ejection fraction (EF) of 50% at the time of HF was used to classify HF as HF with reduced EF (HFrEF), HF with preserved EF (HFpEF), or unclassified HF. Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the associations of markers of atrial cardiomyopathy with HF. The Lunn-McNeil method was used to compare the associations in HFrEF vs. HFpEF.

Results

413 HF events occurred over a median follow-up of 16 years. In adjusted models, abnormal PTFV1 (HR (95%CI): 1.56(1.15-2.13), abnormal PWA (HR (95%CI):1.60(1.16-2.22), aIAB (HR (95%CI):2.62(1.47-4.69), DTNPV1 (HR (95%CI): 2.99(1.63-7.33), and abnormal PWD (HR (95%CI): 1.33(1.02-1.73), were associated with increased HF risk. These associations persisted after further adjustments for intercurrent AF events. No significant differences in the strength of association of each ECG predictor with HFrEF and HFpEF were noted.

Conclusions

Atrial cardiomyopathy defined by ECG markers is associated with HF, with no differences in the strength of association between HFrEF and HFpEF. Markers of atrial Cardiomyopathy may help identify individuals at risk of developing HF.

Prognostic value of P-wave morphology in general population

AIMS

To evaluate the prognostic significance of novel P-wave morphology descriptors in general population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Novel P-wave morphology variables were analyzed from orthogonal X-, Y-, Z-leads of the digitized electrocardiogram using a custom-made software in 6906 middle-aged subjects of the Mini-Finland Health Survey. A total of 3747 (54.3%) participants died during the follow-up period of 24.3 ± 10.4 years; 379 (5.5%) of the study population succumbed to sudden cardiac death (SCD), 928 (13.4%) to non-SCD (NSCD) and 2440 (35.3%) patients to non-cardiac death (NCD). In univariate comparisons, most of the studied P-wave morphology parameters had a significant association with all modes of death (P from <0.05 to <0.001). After relevant adjustments in the Cox multivariate hazards model, P-wave morphology dispersion (PMD) still tended to predict SCD [hazard ratio (HR): 1.006, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.000-1.012, P = 0.05) but not NSCD (HR: 0.999, 95% CI: 0.995-1.003, P = 0.68) or NCD (HR: 0.999, 95% CI: 0.997-1.001, P = 0.44). The P-wave maximum amplitude in the lead Z (P-MaxAmp-Z) predicted SCD even after multivariate adjustments (HR: 1.010, 95% CI: 1.005-1.015, P = 0.0002) but also NSCD (HR: 1.005, 95% CI: 1.002-1.009, P = 0.0005) and NCD (HR: 1.002, 95% CI: 1.000-1.005, P = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

Abnormalities of P-wave morphology are associated with the risk of all modes of death in general population. After relevant adjustments, PMD was still closely associated with the risk of SCD but not with NSCD or NCD. P-MaxAmp-Z predicted SCD even after adjustments, however, it also retained its association with NSCD and NCD.

Association of atrial depolarization variability and cardiac autonomic regulation with sudden cardiac death in coronary artery disease

AIMS

To evaluate the prognostic significance of the temporal variability of P-wave morphology, specifically in relation to cardiac autonomic regulation.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We analyzed the standard deviation of P-wave residuum (PWRSD) from five consecutive beats of the standard 12-lead ECG in 1236 patients with angiographically verified coronary artery disease (CAD). We evaluated the prognostic value of PWRSD, of PWRSD and PWR in relation to the 24 h standard deviation of normal-to-normal intervals (PWRSD/SDNN and PWR/SDNN). After 8.7 ± 2.2 years of follow-up on average, 43 patients (3.5%) experienced sudden cardiac death (SCD) or were resuscitated from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA), 34 (2.8%) succumbed to non-sudden cardiac death (NSCD) and 113 (9.1%) to non-cardiac death (NCD). In the Cox regression analysis, PWRSD (≥0.002727) had a significant univariate (uv) [hazard ratio (HR): 4.27, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.26-8.08, P = 0.000008] and multivariate (mv) (HR: 2.58, 95% CI: 1.31-5.08, P = 0.006) association with SCD/SCA but not with NSCD (uv P = 0.76, mv P = 0.33) or NCD (uv P = 0.57, mv P = 0.66). All the studied P-morphology parameters retained a significant association with the risk of SCD/SCA after relevant adjustment (mv P-values from 0.00003 to <0.05) but not with NSCD or NCD. When dichotomized PWRSD, PWR, PWRSD/SDNN, and PWR/SDNN were added to the clinical risk model for SCD/SCD, the C-index increased from 0.799 to 0.834 and integrated discrimination index and net reclassification index improved significantly (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Variability of P-morphology representing temporo-spatial heterogeneity of atrial depolarization, specifically when combined with cardiac autonomic regulation, independently predicts the risk of SCD in patients with CAD.

Harmful Impact of Tobacco Smoking and Alcohol Consumption on the Atrial Myocardium

Tobacco smoking and alcohol consumption are widespread exposures that are legal and socially accepted in many societies. Both have been widely recognized as important risk factors for diseases in all vital organ systems including cardiovascular diseases, and with clinical manifestations that are associated with atrial dysfunction, so-called atrial cardiomyopathy, especially atrial fibrillation and stroke. The pathogenesis of atrial cardiomyopathy, atrial fibrillation, and stroke in context with smoking and alcohol consumption is complex and multifactorial, involving pathophysiological mechanisms, environmental, and societal aspects. This narrative review summarizes the current literature regarding alterations in the atrial myocardium that is associated with smoking and alcohol.

Relationship Between High Blood Pressure, Atrial Cardiopathy, and Mortality in the General Population

BACKGROUND

Atrial cardiopathy is associated with an increased risk of mortality. However, it is unclear whether this association is modified by hypertension, a risk factor for both atrial cardiopathy and mortality.

METHODS

This analysis included 8,023 participants from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Electrocardiographic deep terminal negativity of P-wave in V1 ≥100 µV defined atrial cardiopathy. National Death Index was used to identify the date and cause of death. Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to examine the association of atrial cardiopathy with mortality among participants stratified by hypertension status.

RESULTS

In total 2.7% of the participants had atrial cardiopathy. Over a median follow-up of 14 years, 2,922 all-cause deaths occurred, of which 1,058 were CVD. All-cause death rates were almost double among participants with concomitant atrial cardiopathy and elevated blood pressure (BP) (120-129/<80), stage 1 (130-139/80-89), or stage 2 hypertension (≥140/≥90) compared to their counterparts in the same hypertension stages without atrial cardiopathy (47.8, 61.3, and 80.2 vs. 23, 24.7, and 44.8 per 1,000 person-years (PY), respectively). In multivariable-adjusted models, a stronger association between atrial cardiopathy and all-cause mortality was observed in the presence compared to the absence of hypertension (HR (95% CI): 1.59 (1.25-2.01) vs. 0.67 (0.41-1.10), respectively, interaction P-value = 0.009). Similarly, an association between atrial cardiopathy and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality was observed in the presence compared to the absence of hypertension (HR (95% CI): 1.64 (1.08-2.47) vs. 0.63 (0.20-2.00), respectively, interaction P-value = 0.20).

CONCLUSIONS

Concomitant presence of high BP and atrial cardiopathy carries a higher risk of mortality, and the risk increases with higher BP levels.

P-Wave Terminal Force V1 Is Associated with Left Ventricular Diastolic Function in Patients with No Significant Perfusion Abnormality

P-wave terminal force in lead V1 (PTFV1) is a marker of increased left atrial (LA) overload. Whether PTFV1 is associated with left ventricular (LV) diastolic function remains undetermined. We tested the hypothesis that PTFV1 is associated with LV diastolic parameters derived from gated myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) in patients with no significant perfusion abnormalities.The study population included 158 patients with preserved ejection fraction and no significant perfusion abnormalities. The amplitude and duration of the P-wave negative phase in lead V1 were measured using an electrocardiogram, and PTFV1 was calculated. The peak filling rate (PFR) and one-third mean filling rate (1/3 MFR) were obtained as LV diastolic parameters using gated SPECT.PTFV1 showed a weak correlation with the LA volume index (r = 0.31; P < 0.001). Significant associations were observed between PTFV1 and PFR (r = -0.27; P < 0.001) and 1/3 MFR (r = -0.26; P = 0.001). A multivariate linear regression analysis showed that age (β = -0.26; P < 0.001), LV end-diastolic volume index (β = -0.27; P = 0.001), and PTFV1 (β = -0.15; P = 0.036) were significant factors associated with PFR. Moreover, male gender (β = -0.16; P = 0.041), LV mass index (β = -0.17; P = 0.046), and PTFV1 (β = -0.17; P = 0.022) were significant factors associated with the 1/3 MFR.PTFV1 is associated with LV diastolic function, as derived from gated SPECT in patients with no significant perfusion abnormalities.

Electrophysiological ventricular substrate of stroke: a prospective cohort study in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

OBJECTIVES

The goal of the study was to determine an association of cardiac ventricular substrate with thrombotic stroke (TS), cardioembolic stroke (ES) and intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH).

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study in 1987-1989 enrolled adults (45-64 years), selected as a probability sample from four US communities (Minneapolis, Minnesota; Washington, Maryland; Forsyth, North Carolina; Jackson, Mississippi). Visit 2 was in 1990-1992, visit 3 in 1993-1995, visit 4 in 1996-1998 and visit 5 in 2011-2013.

PARTICIPANTS

ARIC participants with analysable ECGs and no history of stroke were included (n=14 479; age 54±6 y; 55% female; 24% black). Ventricular substrate was characterised by cardiac memory, spatial QRS-T angle (QRS-Ta), sum absolute QRST integral (SAIQRST), spatial ventricular gradient magnitude (SVGmag), premature ventricular contractions (PVCs) and tachycardia-dependent intermittent bundle branch block (TD-IBBB) on 12-lead ECG at visits 1-5.

OUTCOME

Adjudicated TS included a first definite or probable thrombotic cerebral infarction, ES-a first definite or probable non-carotid cardioembolic brain infarction. Definite ICH was included if it was the only stroke event.

RESULTS

Over a median 24.5 years follow-up, there were 899 TS, 400 ES and 120 ICH events. Cox proportional hazard risk models were adjusted for demographics, cardiovascular disease, risk factors, atrial fibrillation, atrial substrate and left ventricular hypertrophy. After adjustment, PVCs (HR 1.72; 95% CI 1.02 to 2.92), QRS-Ta (HR 1.15; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.28), SAIQRST (HR 1.20; 95% CI 1.07 to 1.34) and time-updated SVGmag (HR 1.19; 95% CI 1.08 to 1.32) associated with ES. Similarly, PVCs (HR 1.53; 95% CI 1.03 to 2.26), QRS-Ta (HR 1.08; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.16), SAIQRST (HR 1.07; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.14) and time-updated SVGmag (HR 1.11; 95% CI 1.04 to 1.19) associated with TS. TD-IBBB (HR 3.28; 95% CI 1.03 to 10.46) and time-updated SVGmag (HR 1.23; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.47) were associated with ICH.

CONCLUSIONS

PVC burden (reflected by cardiac memory) is associated with ischaemic stroke. Transient cardiac memory (likely through TD-IBBB) precedes ICH.

Roles of Morris Index on Poor Outcomes in Patients with Non-ST Segment Elevation Acute Coronary Syndrome

Background

This study aimed to assess the roles of the Morris index in predicting poor outcomes in patients with non-ST segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS).

Material/Methods

This study included 905 patients with newly diagnosed NSTE-ACS. The Morris index, also known as P wave terminal force in lead V1 (PTFV1), was recorded at admission and discharge. PTVF1 (+) was defined as an absolute value >0.04 mm·s, while PTFV1 (−) was defined as an absolute value <0.04 mm·s. Based on their PTFV1 values at admission/discharge, patients were divided into 4 groups: PTFV1 (−)/(−), PTFV1 (+)/(−), PTFV1 (−)/(+), and PTFV1 (+)/(+). Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were utilized to identify the variables that could contribute to NSTE-ACS risk.

Results

Compared with the PTFV1 (−)/(−) group, the incidence of poor outcomes was significantly higher in the PTFV1 (−)/(+) (hazard ratio [HR], 3.548; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 2.024–6.219) and PTFV1 (+)/(+) (HR, 2.133; 95% CI, 1.141–3.986) groups, but not statistically different in the PTFV1 (+)/(−) group (risk ratio, 0.983; 95% CI, 0.424–2.277).

Conclusions

Primary PTFV1 (+) at discharge and PTFV1 (+) during hospitalization were independent risk factors for poor outcomes, which may provide useful prognostic information for patients with NSTE-ACS.

Elevated red cell distribution width is associated with negative P wave amplitude in lead V1: national health and nutrition examination survey (NHANES III)

INTRODUCTION

Red cell distribution (RDW) is associated with atrial fibrillation (AF) incidence. However, its relationship with precursors of AF has not been established. We aim to investigate if association exists between RDW and negative P wave amplitude in V1, a marker of left atrial abnormality.

METHODS

NHANES III is a complex, multistage, clustered design survey of noninstitutionalized United States population between 1988-94. A Sample of 6403 individuals was extracted after excluding missing demographic, laboratory, anthropometric and ECG data and major ECG abnormalities. Variables were selected and univariate analysis was done first with a level of significance at P<0.01 (99% confidence). All the significant variables were included in a multivariate linear regression model.

RESULTS

53.58% of subjects were female. Racial distribution was caucasian 50.2%, hispanic 23.9% and african american 21.7%. Age, PR interval, heart rate, systolic blood pressure, red cell distribution width, glycated hemoglobin, serum cholesterol, serum ferritin, and body mass index showed a significant correlation with negative P wave amplitude in V1 (P<0.001). After including all these variables in a multivariate regression model, only age, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, PR interval, heart rate and red cell distribution width had a P≤0.001.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased RDW is independently associated with negative P wave amplitude in V1 after correcting for other cardiovascular risk factors. Further studies are required to analyze the reason for this correlation.

Interatrial block, P terminal force or fragmented QRS do not predict new-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with severe chronic kidney disease

Background

The prevalence of left atrial enlargement (LAE) and fragmented QRS (fQRS) diagnosed using ECG criteria in patients with severe chronic kidney disease (CKD) is unknown. Furthermore, there is limited data on predicting new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) with LAE or fQRS in this patient group.

Methods

We enrolled 165 consecutive non-dialysis patients with CKD stage 4–5 without prior AF diagnosis between 2013 and 2017 in a prospective follow-up cohort study. LAE was defined as total P-wave duration ≥120 ms in lead II ± > 1 biphasic P-waves in leads II, III or aVF; or duration of terminal negative portion of P-wave > 40 ms or depth of terminal negative portion of P-wave > 1 mm in lead V₁ from a baseline ECG, respectively. fQRS was defined as the presence of a notched R or S wave or the presence of ≥1 additional R waves (R’) or; in the presence of a wide QRS complex (> 120 ms), > 2 notches in R or S waves in two contiguous leads corresponding to a myocardial region, respectively.

Results

Mean age of the patients was 59 (SD 14) years, 56/165 (33.9%) were female and the mean estimated glomerular filtration rate was 12.8 ml/min/1.73m². Altogether 29/165 (17.6%) patients were observed with new-onset AF within median follow-up of 3 [IQR 3, range 2–6] years. At baseline, 137/165 (83.0%) and 144/165 (87.3%) patients were observed with LAE and fQRS, respectively. Furthermore, LAE and fQRS co-existed in 121/165 (73.3%) patients. Neither findings were associated with the risk of new-onset AF within follow-up.

Conclusion

The prevalence of LAE and fQRS at baseline in this study on CKD stage 4–5 patients not on dialysis was very high. However, LAE or fQRS failed to predict occurrence of new-onset AF in these patients.

A predictive value of the dynamic changes of the P-wave terminal force in lead V1 in the long-term prognosis of patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of dynamic changes of P-wave terminal force in lead V1 (PtfV1 ) at electrocardiogram (ECG) in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) during the long-term major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) of patients.

METHODS

According to the PtfV1 value, the patients were divided into four groups: PtfV1 (-)/PtfV1 (-), PtfV1 (-)/PtfV1 (+), PtfV1 (+)/PtfV1 (-), and PtfV1 (+)/PtfV1 (+).

RESULTS

The highest incidence of MACEs was the PtfV1 (-)/(+) group with 24 patients (24.7%). The lowest incidence was the PtfV1 (-)/(-) group with 28 patients (4.9%). Compared with the PtfV1 (-)/(-) group, the risk for the occurrence of MACEs in the PtfV1 (-)/(+)group was significantly increased (24.7% vs 4.9%, P = .000). Similarly, the risk in the PtfV1 (+)/(+) group was also increased (10.1% vs 4.9%, P = .000).

CONCLUSION

The persistence of PtfV1 (+) and conversion of PtfV1 /(-) to PtfV1 /(+) at discharge significantly increased the incidence of MACEs.

The effect of P wave indices on new onset atrial fibrillation after trans-catheter aortic valve replacement

OBJECTIVES

Data is scarce regarding the relation between P wave indices and new onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) after trans-catheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR).

AIMS

The present study aimed to find out certain characteristics of P wave that may predict NOAF after TAVR procedure.

METHOD

Patients with severe calcific aortic stenosis who had undergone TAVR procedure between 2013 and 2019 in two centers were investigated. P wave abnormalities that have been resumed to reflect impaired atrial conduction; partial and advanced inter atrial block (IAB), P-wave terminal force in lead V1, P wave dispersion, reduced amplitude of P- wave in lead I, P wave peak time in D2 and V1 were evaluated on pre- procedural 12 derivation surface electrocardiography (ECG). The relationship between these parameters and incidence of NOAF during index hospitalization was evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 227 consecutive patients (median age 79 [74-83]; 134 [59%] female) were included in the study. NOAF occurred in 46 (20.3%) patients. P wave duration, P wave dispersion, number of patients with partial and advanced IAB, left atrium diameter, STS score were higher in NOAF patients. Use of general anesthesia and history of prior open heart surgery were also more frequent in NOAF group. In multivariable logistic regression analysis; advanced IAB (OR 6.413 [2.555-16.095] p < 0.01), P wave dispersion (OR 3.544 [1.431-8.780] p = 0.006) and use of general anesthesia (OR 2.736 [1.225-6.109] p = 0.014) were independent predictors of NOAF.

CONCLUSION

Among P wave abnormalities evaluated on pre-procedural 12-derivation surface ECG, advanced IAB and P wave dispersion may predict NOAF after TAVR procedure.

Electrocardiographic myocardial injury and stroke mortality in the general population

BACKGROUND

Recent evidence suggests a link between myocardial infarction and stroke risk, but it is unclear whether such risk exists with electrocardiographic myocardial injury in otherwise healthy individuals. Therefore, we explored the association of myocardial injury with stroke mortality in participants free of cardiovascular disease.

METHODS

This analysis included 6017 participants (58.4 ± 13.4 years, 54.1% women, 50.3% white) from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Cardiac infarction/injury score (CIIS), a weighted scoring system composed of several electrocardiographic waveform components related to myocardial injury and ischemia, was used to define myocardial injury. Stroke mortality was ascertained using the National Death Index during follow-up. Multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to examine the association between baseline myocardial injury and risk of stroke mortality.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 14 years, 152 stroke deaths occurred. Stroke mortality was more common in those with than those without myocardial injury (3.8% vs. 2.1%, respectively; p = 0.0003). In a model adjusted for potential confounders, the myocardial injury was associated with a 44% increased risk of stroke mortality (HR (95%CI):1.44(1.02-2.03)). In a similar model, each 1 CIIS score point increase was associated with a 2% increase in the risk of stroke mortality (HR (95%CI):1.02 (1.00-1.04), p = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Electrocardiographic myocardial injury in cardiovascular disease-free adults is associated with an increased risk of stroke mortality suggesting a potential link between asymptomatic myocardial injury and risk of cardiac thromboembolism. Whether screening and management of myocardial injury would reduce such risk requires further investigation.

Interrelation Between Electrocardiographic Left Atrial Abnormality, Left Ventricular Hypertrophy, and Mortality in Participants With Hypertension

Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) and left atrial abnormality (LAA) are common correlated complications of hypertension. It is unclear how common for electrocardiographic markers of LAA (ECG-LAA) to coexist with ECG-LVH and how their coexistence impacts their prognostic significance. This analysis included 4,077 participants (61.2 ± 13.0 years, 51.2% women, 48.6% whites) with hypertension from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. ECG-LVH was defined by Cornell voltage criteria. ECG-LAA was defined as deep terminal negativity of P wave in V1 >100 µV. Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to examine the associations between various combinations of ECG-LAA and ECG-LVH with all-cause mortality over a median follow-up of 14 years. The baseline prevalence of ECG-LVH, ECG-LAA, and the concomitant presence of both was 3.6%, 2.7%, and 0.34%, respectively. In a multivariable-adjusted model, mortality risk was highest in the group with concomitant ECG-LAA and ECG-LVH (hazard ratio [HR; 95% confidence interval {CI}] 2.69 [1.51, 4.80]), followed by isolated ECG-LAA (HR [95% CI] 1.63 [1.26, 2.12]), and then isolated ECG-LVH (HR [95% CI] 1.40 [1.08, 1.81]), compared with the group without ECG-LAA or ECG-LVH. Effect modification of these results by age and diabetes but not by gender or race was observed. In models with similar adjustment where ECG-LVH and ECG-LAA were entered as 2 separate variables and subsequently additionally adjusted for each other, the mortality risk was essentially unchanged for both variables. In conclusion, in participants with hypertension, ECG-LAA and ECG-LVH are independent markers of poor outcomes, and their concomitant presence carries a higher risk than either marker alone.

Prognostic significance of P-wave morphology in patients with coronary artery disease

INTRODUCTION

The prognostic significance of P-wave morphology in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) is not well-known.

METHODS

A total of 1946 patients with angiographically verified CAD were included in the Innovation to reduce Cardiovascular Complications of Diabetes at the Intersection (ARTEMIS) study. The P-wave morphology could be analyzed in 1797 patients.

RESULTS

During 7.4 ± 2.0 years, a total of 168 (9.3%) patients died or experienced resuscitation from sudden cardiac arrest (SCA), 43 (2.4%) patients experienced sudden cardiac death (SCD) or were resuscitated from SCA, 37 (2.1%) patients succumbed to non-SCD (NSCD), and 88 (4.9%) patients to noncardiac death (NCD). Of the P-wave parameters, the absolute P-wave residuum (PWR), the heterogeneity of the P-wave morphology (PWH), and the P-wave duration (Pdur) had the closest univariate association with the risk of SCD/SCA (0.0038 ± 0.0026 vs 0.0022 ± 0.0017, P < .001; 11.0 ± 5.2 vs 8.6 ± 3.6, P < .01; 142.7 ± 16.9 vs 134.8 ± 14.3 milliseconds, P < .01; SCD/SCA vs no SCD/SCA, respectively). After adjustments with factors that were associated with the risk of SCD/SCA, such as diabetes, smoking, left bundle branch block, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and high-sensitivity troponin T, PWR (P < .001), PWH (P < .05), and Pdur (P < 0.01) still predicted SCD/SCA but not non-sudden cardiac death. When these parameters were added to the SCD/SCA clinical risk model, the discrimination and reclassification accuracy of the risk model increased significantly (P < .05, P < .001) and the C-index increased from 0.745 to 0.787.

CONCLUSION

The P-wave morphology parameters independently predict SCD/SCA in patients with CAD.

Association between serum cotinine levels and electrocardiographic left atrial abnormality

BACKGROUND

Although the harmful effect of tobacco exposure on cardiovascular disease (CVD) and its risk factors are well established, the constituents of cigarette-smoke and the pathophysiological mechanism involved are unknown. Recently, deep terminal negativity of P wave in V1 (DTNPV1) has emerged as a marker of left atrial abnormality that predicts atrial fibrillation, stroke, and death due to all-cause or CVD. Therefore, we examined the association between serum cotinine levels with abnormal DTNPV1 using the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.

METHODS

This analysis included 4,507 participants (mean age 58 ± 13 years, 53% women, 49% non-Hispanic white) of NHANES III, without history of CVD or major electrocardiographic abnormalities and not on heart rate modifying medications. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to examine the association between serum cotinine and abnormal DTNPV1-defined from automatically processed electrocardiograms as values of the amplitude of the terminal negative phase of P wave in lead V1 exceeding 100 μV.

RESULTS

Abnormal DTNPV1 was detected in 2.3% (n = 105) of the participants. In a model adjusted for demographics and CVD risk factors, each 10 ng/ml serum cotinine was associated with 2% increased odds of abnormal DTNPV1 (odds ratio 1.02, 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.03, p-value < 0.001). This association was consistent in subgroups stratified by age, sex, race, smoking status, hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

CONCLUSION

Elevated serum cotinine levels are associated with an abnormal DTNPV1. This suggests that nicotine exposure can lead to left atrial abnormalities, a possible mechanism for increased risk of CVD.

Relation of Resting Heart Rate to Incident Atrial Fibrillation (From ARIC [Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities] Study)

The evidence on the association between resting heart rate (HR) and incident atrial fibrillation (AF) is conflicting. Whether change in resting HR is associated with incident AF is unknown. We evaluated 11,545 participants (mean [±standard deviation] age: 57 ± 5.7 years) free of AF at baseline (1990 to 1992). Resting HR was obtained from 10-second electrocardiograms at baseline and 3 years later. AF diagnosis was ascertained from visit electrocardiograms, hospital discharge records, and death certificates through 2013. High and low resting HR were defined as ≥80 and <55 beats/min, respectively. Increase and decrease in HR were defined as a 3-year HR difference >15 and <-15 beats/min, respectively. Over a median follow-up of 22.5 years, 1,746 (15%) participants developed AF. Both baseline high resting HR and increase in HR were independently associated with incident AF (hazard ratio = 1.2, 95% confidence interval = 1.0 to 1.5 and hazard ratio = 1.4, 95% confidence interval = 1.1 to 1.9). Increase in HR was no longer associated with incident AF after additional adjustment for incident heart failure. In stratified analyses, increase in HR was associated only with AF in participants <60 years, with bachelor's degree or above, without diabetes, and without hypertension (p values for interaction ≤0.05). In conclusion, in a middle-aged population, high resting HR is associated with higher AF risk. Increase in resting HR is also associated with higher AF risk, especially in individuals without traditional AF risk factors. Whether interventions to decrease HR can prevent AF remain to be examined.

Electrocardiographic left atrial abnormalities predict cardiovascular mortality

OBJECTIVE

Clinical utilization of electrocardiography for diagnosis of left atrial abnormalities is hampered by variable P-wave morphologies, multiple empiric criteria, and lack of an imaging "gold standard". Our aim was to determine the prevalence of P-wave patterns and demonstrate which components have associations with cardiovascular death (CVD).

METHODS

This is a retrospective analysis of 20,827 veterans <56 years of age who underwent electrocardiograms at a Veteran's Affairs Medical Center from 1987 to 1999, followed for a median duration of 17.8 years for CVD. Receiver Operating Characteristic, Kaplan-Meier and Cox Hazard analyses were applied, the latter with adjustment for age, gender and electrocardiography abnormalities.

RESULTS

The mean age was 43.3 ± 8 years, and 888 CVD (4.3%) occurred. A single positive deflection of the P-wave (Pattern 1) was present in 29% for V1 and 81% for V2. A singular negative P-wave (Pattern 2) was present in 4.6% for V1 and 1.6% in V2. A P-wave with an upward component followed by downward component (Pattern 3) was present in 64.5% for V1 and 17.5% for V2. When the downward component in Patterns 2 and/or 3 is at least -100 μV, a significant association is observed with CVD (adjusted hazard ratios [HRs] 2.9-4.1, P < 0.001). Total P-wave duration ≥140 ms was also associated with CVD (adjusted HR 2.2, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

A negative P-wave in V1 or V2 ≤-100 μV, and P-wave with a duration of ≥140 ms, all have independent and significant associations with CVD, with HRs comparable to other electrocardiography abnormalities.

Factors influencing P terminal force in lead V1 of the ECG in hemodialysis patients

INTRODUCTION

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a highly prevalent arrhythmia in hemodialysis (HD) patients, and an HD session may be a trigger for AF episodes. An abnormal P-terminal force in lead V1 (PTFV1) may predict new-onset AF in HD patients. The aim of the study was to assess the influence of the HD process on PTFV1 and to evaluate possible factors influencing PTFV1 in a group of selected HD patients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

One hundred and fifty-three selected HD patients entered the study. Blood chemistry, electrocardiography, and impedance cardiography were evaluated before and after HD. Echocardiography was performed on the morning after dialysis. Abnormal PTFV1 was defined as PTFV1 > 40 mm × ms.

RESULTS

Abnormal PTFV1 was found in 35.3% of patients before dialysis and in 48.4% of patients after dialysis. The results of multiple regression analysis revealed that the independent predictors of pre-dialysis abnormal PTFV1 were: left atrial volume index (p = 0.002), left ventricular mass index (p = 0.014), and pre-dialysis thoracic fluid content (p = 0.021) values. The independent predictors of HD-induced abnormal PTFV1 values were larger differences between pre-dialysis and post-dialysis values of serum potassium (p < 0.001) and mean arterial pressure (p = 0.008).

CONCLUSIONS

Abnormal PTFV1 is prevalent in HD patients. The HD process adversely affects PTFV1 values. Pre-dialysis abnormal PTFV1 is mainly associated with structural heart abnormalities and hydration status. HD-induced abnormal PTFV1 is associated predominantly with serum potassium changes as well as HD-induced hypotension. Our results suggest possible risk factors for AF; however, their clinical significance needs to be confirmed in follow-up studies.

Screening entire healthcare system ECG database: Association of deep terminal negativity of P wave in lead V1 and ECG referral with mortality

BACKGROUND

Each encounter of asymptomatic individuals with the healthcare system presents an opportunity for improvement of cardiovascular disease (CVD) awareness and sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk assessment. ECG sign deep terminal negativity of the P wave in V1 (DTNP_V1) was shown to be associated with an increased risk of SCD in the general population.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate association of DTNP_V1 with all-cause mortality and newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation (AFib) in the large tertiary healthcare system patient population.

METHODS

Retrospective double cohort study compared two levels of exposure (automatically measured amplitude of P-prime (Pp) in V1): DTNP_V1 (Pp from -100μV to -200μV) and ZeroPpV1 (Pp=0). An entire healthcare system (2010-2014) ECG database was screened. Medical records of children and patients with previously diagnosed AFib/atrial flutter (AFl), implanted pacemaker or cardioverter-defibrillator were excluded. DTNP_V1 (n=3,413) and ZeroPpV1 (n=3,405) cohorts were matched by age and sex. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes were newly diagnosed AFib/AFl. Median follow-up was 2.5 y.

RESULTS

DTNP_V1 was associated with all-cause mortality (HR 1.95(1.64-2.31); P<0.0001) and newly diagnosed AFib (HR 1.29(1.04-1.59); P=0.021) after adjustment for CVD, comorbidities, other ECG parameters, medications, and index ECG referral. Index ECG referral by a cardiologist was independently associated with 34% relative risk reduction of mortality (HR 0.66(0.52-0.84); P=0.001), as compared to ECG referral by a non-cardiologist.

CONCLUSION

DTNP_V1 is independently associated with twice higher risk of all-cause death, as compared to patients without P prime in V1. Life-saving effect of the index ECG referral by a cardiologist requires further study.

Effect of Intensive Blood Pressure Lowering on Incident Atrial Fibrillation and P-Wave Indices in the ACCORD Blood Pressure Trial

BACKGROUND

There are no proven strategies to prevent atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM). We compared standard blood pressure (BP) lowering vs. intensive BP lowering in reducing incidence of AF or P-wave indices (PWI-ECG markers of left atrial abnormality that are considered intermediate phenotypes of AF) in patients with T2DM.

METHODS

We analyzed data from the ACCORD BP trial-a randomized controlled nonblinded trial (2001-2009) which randomized patients with T2DM and systolic BP (SBP) 130-180mm Hg on ≤3 antihypertensive medications aged 40-79 years with cardiovascular disease (CVD) or aged 55-79 years with subclinical CVD or ≥2 CVD risk factors to standard BP lowering (SBP <140mm Hg) vs. intensive BP lowering (SBP <120mm Hg). The primary outcome was a composite of incident AF and PWI.

RESULTS

Data from 3,087 participants (mean age, 62.2 years; women, 48.2%; non-White, 39.2%) were analyzed. During a mean follow-up of 4.4 years, the primary outcome occurred in 1,063 participants (incidence rate, 84.5 per 1,000 person-years in the standard-therapy group vs. 73.9 per 1,000 person-years in the intensive-therapy group). The adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of intensive-therapy group for the primary outcome and for incident PWI alone were 0.87 (0.77-0.98), P = 0.02 and 0.87 (0.76-0.98), P = 0.02, respectively. The effect of intensive therapy on the incidence of AF alone did not reach statistical significance.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with T2DM, intensive BP lowering reduces the incidence of the composite outcome of AF and PWI, suggesting a potential benefit from stringent BP control in patients with T2DM. clinical trials registration Trial Number NCT00000620.

Atrial Fibrillation Predictors: Importance of the Electrocardiogram

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia in adults and is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Substantial interest has developed in the primary prevention of AF, and thus the identification of individuals at risk for developing AF. The electrocardiogram (ECG) provides a wealth of information, which is of value in predicting incident AF. The PR interval and P wave indices (including P wave duration, P wave terminal force, P wave axis, and other measures of P wave morphology) are discussed with regard to their ability to predict and characterize AF risk in the general population. The predictive value of the QT interval, ECG criteria for left ventricular hypertrophy, and findings of atrial and ventricular ectopy are also discussed. Efforts are underway to develop models that predict AF incidence in the general population; however, at present, little information from the ECG is included in these models. The ECG provides a great deal of information on AF risk and has the potential to contribute substantially to AF risk estimation, but more research is needed.

Atrial Fibrillation Predictors: Importance of the Electrocardiogram

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia in adults and is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Substantial interest has developed in the primary prevention of AF, and thus the identification of individuals at risk for developing AF. The electrocardiogram (ECG) provides a wealth of information, which is of value in predicting incident AF. The PR interval and P wave indices (including P wave duration, P wave terminal force, P wave axis, and other measures of P wave morphology) are discussed with regard to their ability to predict and characterize AF risk in the general population. The predictive value of the QT interval, ECG criteria for left ventricular hypertrophy, and findings of atrial and ventricular ectopy are also discussed. Efforts are underway to develop models that predict AF incidence in the general population; however, at present, little information from the ECG is included in these models. The ECG provides a great deal of information on AF risk and has the potential to contribute substantially to AF risk estimation, but more research is needed.

A Predictive Study of the Dynamic Development of the P-Wave Terminal Force in Lead V1 in the Electrocardiogram in Relation to Long-Term Prognosis in Non-ST-Segment Elevation Acute Coronary Syndrome Patients during Hospitalization

BACKGROUND

Changes in the ECG indicator PtfV1 reflect left atrial pressure and left ventricular diastolic function in NSTE-ACS patients during hospitalization. The value of PtfV1 in the evaluation of long-term prognosis in NSTE-ACS is still not clear. The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between the dynamic changes in P-wave terminal force in lead V1(PtfV1) in the ECG of non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) patients during hospitalization and the long-term major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) of patients.

METHODS

A total of 595 patients who received coronary angiography and were confirmed as NSTE-ACS in the coronary heart disease database of Department of Cardiology of West China Hospital were continuously included. The PtfV1 and other clinical data at admission and discharge were collected and dynamically observed. The end events of follow-up observation were MACEs.

RESULTS

Follow-up was performed on 595 patients for 24.71 ± 1.95 months. There were 127 PtfV1(+) and 468 PtfV1(-) at admission, and the incidences of MACEs were 14.2% and 11.1%, respectively (P = 0.731). Compared with patients with persistent PtfV1(-) ECG at admission and discharge, 53 patients with persistent PtfV1(+) ECG at admission and discharge had increased risk for MACEs (HR: 2.221, 95% CI: 1.072-4.601, P = 0.032); 94 patients with new PtfV1(+) ECG at discharge also had significantly increased risk for MACEs (HR: 2.993, 95% CI: 1.660-5.397, P = 0.000).

CONCLUSIONS

NSTE-ACS patients with persistent PtfV1(+) ECG indicators at admission and discharge and new PtfV1(+) at discharge had significantly increased risk of MACEs.

Electrocardiographic Predictors of Cardiovascular Mortality

Cardiovascular diseases are the main causes of mortality. Sudden cardiac death may also appear in athletes, due to underlying congenital or inherited cardiac abnormalities. The electrocardiogram is used in clinical practice and clinical trials, as a valid, reliable, accessible, inexpensive method. The aim of the present paper was to review electrocardiographic (ECG) signs associated with cardiovascular mortality and the mechanisms underlying those associations, providing a brief description of the main studies in this area, and consider their implication for clinical practice in the general population and athletes. The main ECG parameters associated with cardiovascular mortality in the present paper are the P wave (duration, interatrial block, and deep terminal negativity of the P wave in V1), prolonged QT and Tpeak-Tend intervals, QRS duration and fragmentation, bundle branch block, ST segment depression and elevation, T waves (inverted, T wave axes), spatial angles between QRS and T vectors, premature ventricular contractions, and ECG hypertrophy criteria.

Associations of electrocardiographic P-wave characteristics with left atrial function, and diffuse left ventricular fibrosis defined by cardiac magnetic resonance: The PRIMERI Study

BACKGROUND

Abnormal P-terminal force in lead V1 (PTFV1) is associated with an increased risk of heart failure, stroke, atrial fibrillation, and death.

OBJECTIVE

Our goal was to explore associations of left ventricular (LV) diffuse fibrosis with left atrial (LA) function and electrocardiographic (ECG) measures of LA electrical activity.

METHODS

Patients without atrial fibrillation (n = 91; mean age 59.5 years; 61.5% men; 65.9% white) with structural heart disease (spatial QRS-T angle ≥105° and/or Selvester QRS score ≥5 on ECG) but LV ejection fraction >35% underwent clinical evaluation, cardiac magnetic resonance, and resting ECG. LA function indices were obtained by multimodality tissue tracking using 2- and 4-chamber long-axis images. T1 mapping and late gadolinium enhancement were used to assess diffuse LV fibrosis and presence of scar. P-prime in V1 amplitude (PPaV1) and duration (PPdV1), averaged P-wave-duration, PR interval, and P-wave axis were automatically measured using 12 SLTM algorithm. PTFV1 was calculated as a product of PPaV1 and PPdV1.

RESULTS

In linear regression after adjustment for demographic characteristics, body mass index, maximum LA volume index, presence of scar, and LV mass index, each decile increase in LV interstitial fibrosis was associated with 0.76 mV*ms increase in negative abnormal PTFV1 (95% confidence interval [CI] -1.42 to -0.09; P = .025), 15.3 ms prolongation of PPdV1 (95% CI 6.9 to 23.8; P = .001) and 5.4 ms prolongation of averaged P-duration (95% CI 0.9-10.0; P = .020). LV fibrosis did not affect LA function. PPaV1 and PTFV1 were associated with an increase in LA volumes and decrease in LA emptying fraction and LA reservoir function.

CONCLUSION

LV interstitial fibrosis is associated with abnormal PTFV1, prolonged PPdV1, and P-duration, but does not affect LA function.

Electrocardiographic deep terminal negativity of the P wave in V(1) and risk of sudden cardiac death: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

Background

Identifying individuals at risk for sudden cardiac death (SCD) is of critical importance. Electrocardiographic (ECG) deep terminal negativity of P wave in V₁ (DTNPV1), a marker of left atrial abnormality, has been associated with increased risk of all‐cause and cardiovascular mortality. We hypothesized that DTNPV1 is associated with increased risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD).

Methods and Results

This analysis included 15 375 participants (54.1±5.8 years, 45% men, 73% whites) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. DTNPV1 was defined from the resting 12‐lead ECG as presence of biphasic P wave (positive/negative) in V₁ with the amplitude of the terminal negative phase >100 μV, or one small box on ECG scale. After a median of 14 years of follow‐up, 311 cases of SCD occurred. In unadjusted Cox regression, DTNPV1 was associated with an 8‐fold increased risk of SCD (HR 8.21; [95%CI 5.27 to 12.79]). Stratified by race and study center, and adjusted for age, sex, coronary heart disease (CHD), and ECG risk factors, as well as atrial fibrillation (AF), stroke, CHD, and heart failure (HF) as time‐updated variables, the risk of SCD associated with DTNPV1 remained significant (2.49, [1.51–4.10]). DTNPV1 improved reclassification: additional 3.4% of individuals were appropriately reclassified into a higher SCD risk group, as compared with traditional CHD risk factors alone. In fully adjusted models DTNPV1 was associated with increased risk of non‐fatal events: AF (5.02[3.23–7.80]), CHD (2.24[1.43–3.53]), HF (1.90[1.19–3.04]), and trended towards increased risk of stroke (1.88[0.99–3.57]).

Conclusion

DTNPV1 is predictive of SCD suggesting its potential utility in risk stratification in the general population.