A review of the epidemiology of atrial fibrillation in sub-Saharan Africa

Treatment outcome and associated factors of patients with atrial fibrillation in adult emergency rooms of selected hospitals of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: A one-year cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation is the most common sustained cardiac rhythm disorder with substantial mortality and morbidity from stroke, thromboembolism, heart failure, and impaired quality of life. This study aimed to investigate the emergency presentation, treatment outcome and associated risk factors of atrial fibrillation patients admitted to three tertiary hospitals in Addis Ababa.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted in the adult emergency room of three tertiary hospitals in Addis Ababa. All atrial fibrillation patients admitted to these hospitals from August 15, 2021, to August 15, 2022, fulfilling inclusion criteria were included in the study. Data was collected by reviewing medical records in the form of a structured data abstraction form and analyzed by SPSS.

RESULT

A total of 133 chart records were reviewed and the mean (±SD) age of study participants was 54.82 ± 20.49 years and ranged between 18-85 years of age. The majority of the patients, 47 (35.3%) were aged between 18-40 years. Nearly more than half of the patients 69 (51.9%) were females and two third [91 (68.4%)] of the patients were from Addis Ababa. Patients of the age group 40-59 with atrial fibrillation have an 82% lower chance of developing stroke than those in the age group >60 years and patients with underlying cardiovascular diseases have seven times higher odds of having a stroke compared to those without underlying cardiac diseases. Male patients with atrial fibrillation had 2.15 times higher odds of staying for > 24 hours at the emergency department compared to female patients. The odds of a > 24-hour stay in the ER significantly increased by 2.7 times as the patient became unstable compared to stable patients.

CONCLUSION

Males and those with unstable atrial fibrillation have a higher chance of staying more than 24 hours in the emergency room. According to the study, patients who were more than 60 years of age with underlying cardiovascular diseases had a higher likelihood of developing ischemic stroke.

Description of Atrial Fibrillation in a Cardiology Department in Mahajanga, Madagascar

Introduction Despite the increasing development of research on atrial fibrillation (AF), epidemiologic data remain limited in certain regions, particularly Madagascar. Madagascar is a country with limited resources and data on the cardiovascular health of the population. Our objectives were to report the prevalence of AF and to describe patient characteristics. Materials and methods This was a retrospective descriptive study that included 103 patients with AF during their hospitalization at the cardiology department of the Mahavoky Atsimo University Hospital in Mahajanga between January 2015 and July 2023. Results The prevalence of AF was 5.27%. The mean age of the patients was 59.53 years (±17.88), and the sex ratio was 1.10. All patients were symptomatic, and dyspnea (53.40%; n = 55) was the main symptom. Signs of heart failure (HF) were observed in 70.87% of cases (n = 73). The majority of patients (87.38%; n = 90) had a CHA2DS2-VASc (congestive HF, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes mellitus, previous stroke, vascular disease, age 65-74 years, sex category) score ≥ 2, and of these, 10 patients were not anticoagulated. Vitamin K antagonists and direct oral anticoagulants were prescribed in 71.84% (n = 74) and 9.71% (n = 10) of cases, respectively. Rate control was the most commonly used therapeutic strategy. Spontaneous return to sinus rhythm occurred in 14 patients (13.59%). Twelve patients (11.65%) had a stroke, and one patient (0.97%) died during a mean hospital stay of 6.92 days (±4.7). Conclusions This study provides an overview of the situation in Madagascar. Management is far from meeting current recommendations for good practice, which is a major challenge.

Magnitude and associated factors of atrial fibrillation, and its complications among adult rheumatic heart diseases patients in governmental hospitals in Bahir Dar Town, Northwest Ethiopia 2024

INTRODUCTION

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is characterized by high frequency stimulation of the atrium, causes dyssynchronous atrial contraction and irregular ventricular excitation. It is the most known cardiac arrhythmia in adults, doubles the risk of stroke five times and is associated with an increasing public health burden. This study was aimed to assess the magnitude and associated factors of atrial fibrillation and its complication among adult rheumatic heart diseases patients in governmental hospitals in Bahir Dar town, Northwest Ethiopia 2024.

METHODS

An institutional based cross-sectional study design was conducted with a sample size of 421. A simple random sampling technique was used to select participants. The data were entered into the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) version 26 for analysis. Adjusted Odds Ratio (AOR) with a 95% confidence interval was used to determine associated factors of atrial fibrillation. A binary logistic regression model was used, and a P-value < 0.05 in multivariate was considered as a statistically significant.

RESULTS

The response rate was 95% and atrial fibrillation was developed in 51.2% of patient. Majority of them were Female (56%). The median age of patients was 41, with an interquartile range (IQR) of 26-51. Age > 50 years old (AOR = 7.20(2.03-25.46)), sever tricuspid regurgitation 4.50(1.18-17.20)), and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) % (AOR = 0.94(0.89-0.99)), left atrium size (AOR = 1.23(1.14-1.33)) were independently associated with atrial fibrillation. For every unit increment of left ventricular ejection fraction in percent, the odds of developing atrial fibrillation decreased by 6%. For every unit increment of left atrial size in millimeter2 (mm2), the odds of developing atrial fibrillation increased by 23%. The present study showed that complication related to AF was heart failure (HF) (72.8%), ischemic stroke (34.4%), systemic thromboembolism (12.1).

CONCLUSION

More than half of the study participants were found to have atrial fibrillation in patients with rheumatic heart disease. Being age > 50 years old, left atrium size, severity of tricuspid regurgitation (severe), and LVEF% were associated in developing atrial fibrillation. The atrial fibrillation was linked to an increased risk of ischemic stroke, heart failure, systemic thromboembolism, and death.

Time in the therapeutic range, bleeding event, and their determinants in older patients with atrial fibrillation on warfarin in Ethiopia: multicenter cross-sectional study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) poses significant thromboembolism and bleeding risks, especially in older adults. Warfarin continues to be a primary treatment option, and maintaining the Time in Therapeutic Range (TTR) is critical for ensuring its effectiveness. However, suboptimal TTR is associated with increased risks of stroke, bleeding, and mortality. Despite its importance, there is limited data on warfarin management in Ethiopian older adults with AF. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the TTR, bleeding events, and their determinants, in older patients with AF in Ethiopia receiving warfarin therapy.

Method

In this study, older patients with AF who were treated with warfarin and had follow-up visits between May 2021 and May 2024, and met the inclusion criteria, were included. Patients were categorized based on TTR into two groups: poor anticoagulation (TTR < 65%) and good anticoagulation quality (TTR ≥ 65%). Bivariate and Multivariate Logistic regression was performed to predict determinants of a TTR < 65% and bleeding events. Odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated, and statistical significance was set at P < 0.05.

Results

In this study, 384 patients with AF were included. Of this 53.4% were female. Of these 71% of patients had a TTR below 65%, 29% achieved ≥65%, with a median TTR of 45%. Bleeding events were reported by 13.5% of patients. Poor TTR was significantly associated with age (AOR = 1.199, 95% CI: 1.109-1.297), chronic kidney disease (AOR = 27.809, 95% CI: 7.57-101.76), and infrequent INR monitoring at 31-90-day intervals (AOR = 0.15, 95% CI: 0.004-0.051). Regarding determinants of bleeding events, Patients with diabetes mellitus had a 2.6-fold higher bleeding risk (AOR = 2.585, 95% CI: 1.069-6.250), and a CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥3 significantly increased bleeding risk compared to scores ≤2 (AOR = 7.562, 95% CI: 2.770-20.640).

Conclusion

This study highlights suboptimal warfarin therapy among older Ethiopian patients with AF. Poor anticoagulation was associated with advanced age, chronic kidney disease, and infrequent INR monitoring, while diabetes mellitus and high CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores increased bleeding risks. Close monitoring and frequent INR checks are essential to improving outcomes.

Prevalence and associated factors of atrial fibrillation among patients with rheumatic heart disease attending public referral hospitals in Bahir Dar city, Northwest Ethiopia, 2023

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a supraventricular arrhythmia associated with uncoordinated atrial activation. Atrial fibrillation is complication of rheumatic heart disease and is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. It is a growing public health problem and economic and social burden. Studies investigating the prevalence and factors associated with atrial fibrillation among chronic rheumatic heart disease patients in Ethiopia are scarce. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the prevalence and factors associated with atrial fibrillation in patients with chronic rheumatic heart disease.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A hospital-based cross-sectional study was conducted. A total of 410 patients were selected using a systematic random sampling method. The data were entered into Epi-Data version 4.6 and subsequently exported to SPSS version 26 software for analysis. A binary logistic regression model was applied to identify significant variables related to AF.

RESULTS

In this study, 410 patient charts were reviewed. The prevalence of atrial fibrillation was 43% (95% CI of 38% up to 48%). Male (AOR = 3.81, 95% CI 2.00-7.26), age greater than 30 years (AOR = 7.26, 95% CI 3.93-13.41), heart failure (AOR = 4.65, 95% CI 2.39-9.04), mitral valve stenosis (AOR = 6.36, 95% CI 2.92-13.87), and left atrial diameter enlargement (AOR = 3.41, 95% CI 1.64-7.09) were associated with atrial fibrillation.

CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

Atrial fibrillation leads patients to frequent hospital admission and increases hospital mortality. As a result, health care professionals need to pay more attention to and apply more clinical treatment for older patients, those with heart failure, those with mitral valve stenosis, and those with left atrial diameter enlargement-associated causes of atrial fibrillation.

[Antithrombotiques oraux et pronostic après un an des patients atteints de fibrillation auriculaire dans un milieu à ressources limitées]

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation is associated with increased risk of morbidity and mortality. There's limited data on the outcomes of atrial fibrillation patients in Africa. We aimed at evaluating the clinical outcomes and their associated factors in patients with atrial fibrillation on antithrombotic therapy in Douala.

METHODS

The Douala atrial fibrillation registry is a prospective, observational cohort study of patients with atrial fibrillation followed by cardiovascular specialists in 3 specialized care centres. From January to April 2018, all patients with electrocardiographic diagnosis of atrial fibrillation, aged 21 years or older, were included in the registry provided their consent. The composite endpoint of heart failure, stroke, major bleeding, hospitalisation and mortality as well as their individual occurrence were assessed at 12 months.

RESULTS

Of 113 participants that were included, 6(5.3%) were lost to follow-up. The mean age was 70 ± 12 years, with a female predominance (68%). After a mean follow-up time of 12.2 ± 0.7 months, 51 patients (47.7%) had at least one outcome. Hospitalisation, all-cause mortality, heart failure, stroke and major bleeding rates were 33.3%, 16.8%, 15.2%, 4.8% and 2.9% respectively. There was no significant difference in the composite outcome and mortality according to the antithrombotic treatment. Previous heart failure [aHR = 3.07, 95% CI (1.48-6.36) p = 0.003], new onset atrial fibrillation [aHR= 4.00, 95% CI (0.96-8.19) p < 0.001] and paroxystic atrial fibrillation [aHR= 3.74, 95% CI (1.33-10.53) p = 0.013] were significant predictors of outcome.

CONCLUSION

Half of patients with atrial fibrillation in this registry developed an outcome after one year of follow-up, with heart failure, new onset and paroxystic atrial fibrillation being the main predicting factors. Diagnosing and managing atrial fibrillation in patients with heart disease should therefore be considered as a key priority.

The Budget Impact Analysis of Adopting Direct Oral Anticoagulants for Stroke Prevention in Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation Patients in Malawi

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to estimate the budget impact of adopting direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for stroke prevention in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation in Malawi after the inclusion of DOACs in the World Health Organization's essential medicine list.

METHODS

A model was developed in Microsoft Excel. An eligible population of 201 491 was adjusted with 0.05 % incidence rate and mortality rates yearly according to the treatments. The model estimated the implication of supplementing rivaroxaban or apixaban to the standard treatment mix (also the comparator), thus warfarin and aspirin. The current market share of 43% aspirin and 57% warfarin was adjusted proportionally with 10% DOAC uptake in the first year and 5% annually over the subsequent 4 years. Clinical events of stroke and major bleeding from the ROCKET-AF and ARISTOTLE trials were used because health outcome indicators affect resource utilization. The analysis was conducted solely from the Malawi Ministry of Health perspective and it considered direct costs over 5 years. The sensitivity analysis involved varying drug costs, population, and care costs from both public and private sectors.

RESULTS

The research suggests that despite potential savings of $6 644 141 to $6 930 812 in stroke care because of fewer stroke events, the total Ministry of Health healthcare budget (approximately $260 400 000) may increase by between $42 488 342 to $101 633 644 in 5 years because drug acquisition costs are greater than savings.

CONCLUSIONS

With a fixed budget and current DOACs prices, Malawi can consider using DOACs in patients at the highest risk while waiting for cheaper generic versions.

Global disparities in arrhythmia care: Mind the gap

Delivery of comprehensive arrhythmia care requires the simultaneous presence of many resources. These include complex hospital infrastructure, expensive implantable equipment, and expert personnel. In many low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), at least 1 of these components is often missing, resulting in a gap between the demand for arrhythmia care and the capacity to supply care. In addition to this treatment gap, there exists a training gap, as many clinicians in LMICs have limited access to formal training in cardiac electrophysiology. Given the progressive increase in the burden of cardiovascular diseases in LMICs, these patient care and clinical training gaps will widen unless further actions are taken to build capacity. Several strategies for building arrhythmia care capacity in LMICs have been described. Medical missions can provide donations of both equipment and clinical expertise but are only intermittently present and therefore are not optimized to provide the longitudinal support needed to create self-sustaining infrastructure. Use of donated or reprocessed equipment (eg, cardiac implantable electronic devices) can reduce procedural costs but does not address the need for infrastructure, including diagnostics and expert personnel. Collaborative efforts involving multiple stakeholders (eg, professional organizations, government agencies, hospitals, and educational institutions) have the potential to provide longitudinal support of both patient care and clinician education in LMICs.

Cardiovascular diseases in Africa in the twenty-first century: Gaps and priorities going forward

In 2015, the United Nations set important targets to reduce premature cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths by 33% by 2030. Africa disproportionately bears the brunt of CVD burden and has one of the highest risks of dying from non-communicable diseases (NCDs) worldwide. There is currently an epidemiological transition on the continent, where NCDs is projected to outpace communicable diseases within the current decade. Unchecked increases in CVD risk factors have contributed to the growing burden of three major CVDs-hypertension, cardiomyopathies, and atherosclerotic diseases- leading to devastating rates of stroke and heart failure. The highest age standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to hypertensive heart disease (HHD) were recorded in Africa. The contributory causes of heart failure are changing-whilst HHD and cardiomyopathies still dominate, ischemic heart disease is rapidly becoming a significant contributor, whilst rheumatic heart disease (RHD) has shown a gradual decline. In a continent where health systems are traditionally geared toward addressing communicable diseases, several gaps exist to adequately meet the growing demand imposed by CVDs. Among these, high-quality research to inform interventions, underfunded health systems with high out-of-pocket costs, limited accessibility and affordability of essential medicines, CVD preventive services, and skill shortages. Overall, the African continent progress toward a third reduction in premature mortality come 2030 is lagging behind. More can be done in the arena of effective policy implementation for risk factor reduction and CVD prevention, increasing health financing and focusing on strengthening primary health care services for prevention and treatment of CVDs, whilst ensuring availability and affordability of quality medicines. Further, investing in systematic country data collection and research outputs will improve the accuracy of the burden of disease data and inform policy adoption on interventions. This review summarizes the current CVD burden, important gaps in cardiovascular medicine in Africa, and further highlights priority areas where efforts could be intensified in the next decade with potential to improve the current rate of progress toward achieving a 33% reduction in CVD mortality.

Global, regional, and national burden of disease study of atrial fibrillation/flutter, 1990-2019: results from a global burden of disease study, 2019

Background

Data from the Global Burden of Disease, Injury, and Risk Factor Study 2019 (GBD 2019) was used to assess the burden and change in prevalence, incidence, deaths, disability-adjusted life years, and risk factors for atrial fibrillation/flutter in 204 countries and territories between 1990 and 2019.

Methods

Incidence, prevalence, deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and their age-standardized rates of AF/AFL were analyzed by age, sex, socio-demographic index (SDI), and human development index (HDI) using the Global Burden of Disease study 2019 (GBD2019) results，and risk factors for AF/AFL (mainly high systolic blood pressure, high body-mass index, alcohol use, smoking and diet high in sodium) were differentially analyzed.

Results

There are 59.70 million (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 45.73–75.29 million) AF/AFL patients worldwide in 2019, with 4.72 million (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 3.64–5.96 million) new cases and 0.315 million deaths (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 0.268–0.361 million) and 8.39 million disability-adjusted years (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 6.69–10.54 million). The highest risk factor for deaths, DALYs attributable to AF/AFL in 2019 was high systolic blood pressure, high body-mass index, alcohol use, smoking, and diet high in sodium. It is estimated that between 2030 and 2034, the total incidence of male AF/ AFL will be 16.08 million, and the total number of deaths will be 1.01 million. For females, the total number of incidence is 16.85 million, and the total number of deaths is 1.49 million.

Conclusions

AF/AFL remains a major global public health problem, although the ASR of prevalence, incidence, and DALY at the worldwide level showed a decreasing trend from 1990 to 2019(the ASR of deaths increased slightly). However, the unfavorable trend observed in this study in countries with lower SDI suggests that current prevention and treatment strategies should be reoriented. Some countries should develop more targeted and specific strategies to prevent the increase of AF/AFL.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-022-14403-2.

Burden of atrial fibrillation among adults with heart failure in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in adults with heart failure (HF) and summarise the all-cause mortality ratio among adult patients with coexisting HF and AF in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA).

SETTING

This was a systematic review and meta-analysis of cross-sectional and cohort studies with primary data on the prevalence and incidence of AF among patients with HF and the all-cause mortality ratio among patients with HF and AF in SSA. We combined text words and MeSH terms to search MEDLINE, PubMed and Global Health Library through Ovid SP, African Journals Online and African Index Medicus from database inception to 10 November 2021. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to estimate pooled prevalence.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The prevalence and incidence of AF among patients with HF, and the all-cause mortality ratio among patients with HF and AF.

RESULTS

Twenty-seven of the 1902 records retrieved from database searches were included in the review, totalling 9987 patients with HF. The pooled prevalence of AF among patients with HF was 15.6% (95% CI 12.0% to 19.6%). At six months, the all-cause mortality was 18.4% (95% CI 13.1% to 23.6%) in a multinational registry and 67.7% (95% CI 51.1% to 74.3%) in one study in Tanzania. The one-year mortality was 48.6% (95% CI 32.5% to 64.7%) in a study in the Democratic Republic of Congo. We did not find any study reporting the incidence of AF in HF.

CONCLUSION

AF is common among patients with HF in SSA, and patients with AF and HF have poor survival. There is an urgent need for large-scale population-based prospective data to reliably estimate the prevalence, incidence and risk of mortality of AF among HF patients in SSA to better understand the burden of AF in patients with HF in the region.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42018087564.

The prevalence, management, and thirty-day outcomes of symptomatic atrial fibrillation in a Tanzanian emergency department

Introduction

Data describing atrial fibrillation (AF) care in emergency centres (ECs) in sub-Saharan Africa is lacking. We sought to describe the prevalence and outcomes of AF in a Tanzanian EC.

Methods

In a prospective, observational study, adults presenting with chest pain or shortness of breath to a Tanzanian EC were enrolled from January through October 2019. Participants underwent electrocardiogram testing which were reviewed by two independent physician judges to determine presence of AF. Participants were asked about their medical history and medication use at enrollment, and a follow-up questionnaire was administered via telephone thirty days later to assess mortality, interim stroke, and medication use.

Results

Of 681 enrolled patients, 53 (7.8%) had AF. The mean age of participants with AF was 68.1, with a standard deviation (sd) of 21.1 years, and 23 of the 53 (43.4%) being male. On presentation, none of the participants found to have AF reported a previous history of AF. The median CHADS-VASC score among participants was 4 with an interquartile range (IQR) of 2-4. No participants were taking an anticoagulant at baseline. On index presentation, 49 (92.5%) participants with AF were hospitalised with 52 (98.1%) participants completing 30-day follow-up. 18 (34%) participants died, and 5 (9.6%) suffered a stroke. Of the surviving 31 participants with AF and a CHADS-VASC score ≥ 2, none were taking other anti-coagulants at 30 days. Compared to participants without AF, participants with AF were more likely to be hospitalised (OR 5.25, 95% CI 2.10-17.95, p < 0.001), more likely to die within thirty days (OR 1.93, 95% CI 1.03-3.50, p = 0.031), and more likely to suffer a stroke within thirty days (OR 5.91, 95% CI 1.76-17.28, p < 0.001).

Discussion

AF is common in a Tanzanian EC, with thirty-day mortality being high, but use of evidence-based therapies is rare. There is an opportunity to improve AF care and outcomes in Tanzania.

•

In a Tanzanian emergency centre, atrial fibrillation was common but patient awareness of their condition was low

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Use of anticoagulants among patients with atrial fibrillation was rare both before and after hospital presentation

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Following hospital presentation, thirty-day mortality and stroke rates among patients with atrial fibrillation were high

Atrial fibrillation and obstructive sleep apnea in African populations: uncovering a neglected association

Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common sustained arrhythmia, is one of the risk factors with the largest relative increase in attributed cardiovascular mortality in Africa. There are important knowledge gaps in the epidemiology of AF in Africa, along with inadequate service provision for cardiac arrhythmias including AF. This paper comments on the available data on the prevalence and correlates of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) in patients with AF in Africa. Two studies from Tunisia revealed a high prevalence of OSA based on polysomnography (77% and 90%) among patients with AF. Patients with OSA were more likely to report snoring, were older and had longer AF duration compared to those without OSA. The implications of these findings are discussed. Furthermore, key points on the mechanisms underlying the association between AF and OSA, the impact of OSA on AF-related outcomes and the screening and management of OSA in patients with AF are highlighted.

World Heart Federation Roadmap on Atrial Fibrillation - A 2020 Update

The World Heart Federation (WHF) commenced a Roadmap initiative in 2015 to reduce the global burden of cardiovascular disease and resultant burgeoning of healthcare costs. Roadmaps provide a blueprint for implementation of priority solutions for the principal cardiovascular diseases leading to death and disability. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of these conditions and is an increasing problem due to ageing of the world's population and an increase in cardiovascular risk factors that predispose to AF. The goal of the AF roadmap was to provide guidance on priority interventions that are feasible in multiple countries, and to identify roadblocks and potential strategies to overcome them. Since publication of the AF Roadmap in 2017, there have been many technological advances including devices and artificial intelligence for identification and prediction of unknown AF, better methods to achieve rhythm control, and widespread uptake of smartphones and apps that could facilitate new approaches to healthcare delivery and increasing community AF awareness. In addition, the World Health Organisation added the non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) to the Essential Medicines List, making it possible to increase advocacy for their widespread adoption as therapy to prevent stroke. These advances motivated the WHF to commission a 2020 AF Roadmap update. Three years after the original Roadmap publication, the identified barriers and solutions were judged still relevant, and progress has been slow. This 2020 Roadmap update reviews the significant changes since 2017 and identifies priority areas for achieving the goals of reducing death and disability related to AF, particularly targeted at low-middle income countries. These include advocacy to increase appreciation of the scope of the problem; plugging gaps in guideline management and prevention through physician education, increasing patient health literacy, and novel ways to increase access to integrated healthcare including mHealth and digital transformations; and greater emphasis on achieving practical solutions to national and regional entrenched barriers. Despite the advances reviewed in this update, the task will not be easy, but the health rewards of implementing solutions that are both innovative and practical will be great.

Improving anticoagulation in sub-Saharan Africa: What are the challenges and how can we overcome them?

Patients in sub-Saharan Africa generally have poor anticoagulation control. We review the potential reasons for this poor control, as well as the potential solutions. Challenges include the affordability and centralisation of anticoagulation care, problems with access to medicines and international normalised ratio monitoring, the lack of locally validated standardized dosing protocols, and low levels of anticoagulation knowledge among healthcare workers and patients. Increasing numbers of patients will need anticoagulation in the future because of the increasing burden of noncommunicable disease in the region. We propose that locally developed "warfarin care bundles" which address multiple anticoagulation challenges in combination may be the most appropriate solution in this setting currently.

[Observational study of the prevalence of non-valvular atrial fibrillation and ischemic stroke and the factors associated with non-valvular atrial fibrillation in hypertensive patients: about 2887 cases]

Introduction

high blood pressure (HBP), atrial fibrillation (AF) and ischemic stroke are three public health problems. The purpose of this study was to determine the prevalence of AF and ischemic stroke in hypertensive patients and the factors associated with the occurrence of non-valvular AF in these patients.

Methods

we used data collected in the Department of Cardiology at the University Hospital of Sfax as a part of National Tunisian Registry of Hypertension. We examined the associations between different socio-demographic, clinical, paraclinical, and therapeutic variables and AF in hypertensive patients using logistic regression models.

Results

our sample consisted of 2887 patients with a sex ratio of 0.95. The average age of patients was 65 years (±11). AF was found in 230 patients (8%), while ischemic stroke was found in 152 patients (5.3%). Multivariate analysis highlighted that independent factors associated with an increase in the prevalence of AF were: advanced age (p = 0,001, Odds Ratio (OR) = 1,647, 95% confidence interval ( CI): 1,1227-2,213), the detection of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) on cardiac ultrasound (p= 0,004, OR= 2,140, 5%CI 9: 1,281-3,576), and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 50% (p<0,001, OR=4,677, 95% CI: 2,715 and 8.057).

Conclusion

this study confirms that there is a direct and independent relationship between high blood pressure, advanced age, LVH and AF. AF in patients with high blood pressure is a disease progression leading to an increased risk of ischemic stroke. Optimal high blood pressure control is a priority in hypertensive patients, especially in the elderly, aiming at preventing the risk of AF and ischemic stroke.

A Systematic Review of the Spectrum of Cardiac Arrhythmias in Sub-Saharan Africa

Major structural cardiovascular diseases are associated with cardiac arrhythmias, but their full spectrum remains unknown in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), which we addressed in this systematic review. Atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter (AF/AFL) prevalence is 16-22% in heart failure, 10-28% in rheumatic heart disease, 3-7% in cardiology admissions, but <1% in the general population. Use of oral anticoagulation is heterogenous (9-79%) across SSA. The epidemiology of sudden cardiac arrest/death is less characterized in SSA. Cardiopulmonary resuscitation is challenging, owing to low awareness and lack of equipment for life-support. About 18% of SSA countries have no cardiac implantable electronic devices services, leaving hundreds of millions of people without any access to treatment for advanced bradyarrhythmias, and implant rates are more than 200-fold lower than in the western world. Management of tachyarrhythmias is largely non-invasive (about 80% AF/AFL via rate-controlled strategy only), as electrophysiological study and catheter ablation centers are almost non-existent in most countries.

Highlights

- Atrial fibrillation/flutter prevalence is 16-22% in heart failure, 10-28% in rheumatic heart disease, 3-7% in cardiology admissions, and <1% in the general population in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA).- Rates of oral anticoagulation use for CHA2DS2VASC score ≥2 are very diverse (9-79%) across SSA countries.- Data on sudden cardiac arrest are scant in SSA with low cardiopulmonary resuscitation awareness.- Low rates of cardiac implantable electronic devices insertions and rarity of invasive arrhythmia treatment centers are seen in SSA, relative to the high-income countries.