Predicting response after infliximab salvage in acute severe ulcerative colitis

Factors Associated With Response to Rescue Therapy in Acute Severe Ulcerative Colitis

BACKGROUND

Acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC) is a medical emergency for which colectomy is required in patients who do not respond to rescue therapy. While previous studies have predominantly focused on predicting outcome to first-line corticosteroid therapy, there is a need to understand the factors associated with response to rescue therapies in order to improve clinical outcomes. We reviewed the evidence regarding factors associated with response to rescue therapy in adults with ASUC and identified future directions for research.

METHODS

A systematic search of the literature was conducted, and 2 reviewers independently assessed studies for inclusion.

RESULTS

Of 3509 records screened, 101 completed studies were eligible for inclusion. We identified 42 clinical, hematological, biochemical, endoscopic, or pharmacological factors associated with response to rescue therapy. Older age (≥50 years), thiopurine experience, and cytomegalovirus or Clostridioides difficile infection were associated with a higher risk of nonresponse to rescue therapy. Biochemical factors associated with poorer response included an elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥30mg/L on admission, hypoalbuminemia and an elevated ratio of CRP to albumin. Severe endoscopic findings, including a Mayo endoscopic score of 3 or Ulcerative Colitis Endoscopic Index of Severity ≥5, portended poorer outcomes. The role of fecal calprotectin and therapeutic value of measuring infliximab drug levels in ASUC remain to be defined.

CONCLUSIONS

Response to rescue therapy can be predicted by several specific factors, which would aid clinical decision-making. Existing and emerging factors should be integrated within predictive and prognostic models to help improve clinical outcomes.

Predicting Outcome after Acute Severe Ulcerative Colitis: A Contemporary Review and Areas for Future Research

Acute Severe Ulcerative Colitis (ASUC) is a severe form of ulcerative colitis relapse which requires hospitalization and intensive medical intervention to avoid colectomy. The timely recognition of patients at risk of corticosteroid failure and the early initiation of medical rescue therapy are paramount in the management of ASUC. The choice of medical rescue therapy is influenced by multiple factors, especially patient's prior treatment history. This decision should involve the patient and ideally a multidisciplinary team of healthcare professionals, including gastroenterologists, radiologists, surgeons and enterostomal therapists. Although several predictive models have been developed to predict corticosteroid failure in ASUC, there is no single validated tool that is universally utilized. At present, infliximab and cyclosporine are the only agents systematically evaluated and recommended for medical rescue therapy, with recent reports of off-label utilization of tofacitinib and upadacitinib in small case series. The available evidence regarding the efficacy and safety of these oral small molecules for ASUC is insufficient to provide definitive recommendations. Early decision-making to assess the response to medical rescue therapy is essential, and the decision to pursue surgery in the case of treatment failure should not be delayed.

Comparison of accelerated and standard infliximab induction regimens in acute severe ulcerative colitis using propensity score analysis: a retrospective multicenter study in China

Background

The optimal regimen of infliximab salvage in acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC) patients remains controversial. This study aimed to compare accelerated and standard infliximab induction in Chinese ASUC patients, and to explore risk factors and concrete accelerated regimens for them.

Methods

Data were retrospectively collected from steroid-refractory ASUC patients receiving infliximab as rescue therapy at seven tertiary centers across China. Outcomes including colectomy and clinical remission (Mayo score ≤ 2 and every subscore ≤ 1 at Day 14) rates were compared between patients receiving accelerated and standard infliximab induction using propensity score adjustment for potential confounders. The dose-response relationship was explored by plotting restricted cubic splines. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to determine risk factors for adverse outcomes. A systematic review and meta-analysis was also performed.

Results

A total of 76 patients were analysed: 29 received standard and 47 received accelerated induction. The accelerated group had a higher 90-day colectomy rate (17.8% vs 0%, P = 0.019) and lower clinical remission rate (27.7% vs 65.5%, P = 0.001). After adjusting for propensity score and institution, there was no significant difference in colectomy or clinical remission rates (both P > 0.05). Dose-effect curves showed decreased colectomy hazard with higher cumulative infliximab dosage within 5 days, with no improvement observed for increasing cumulative infliximab dosage within 28 days. Multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed C-reactive protein of >10 mg/L at infliximab initiation (odds ratio = 5.00, 95% confidence interval: 1.27-24.34) as an independent risk factor for no clinical remission. Meta-analysis also revealed no significant difference in colectomy rates at 3 months (P = 0.54).

Conclusions

After adjusting for confounders, there were no significant differences in colectomy or clinical remission rates between accelerated and standard infliximab induction among ASUC patients. Early administration of an intensified dosage within 5 days may be beneficial. Elevated C-reactive protein at infliximab initiation indicated need for intensive treatment.

Biomarkers in inflammatory bowel disease: a practical guide

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), comprising ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn's disease (CD), is a costly condition in terms of morbidity and healthcare utilization, with an increasing prevalence now approaching 1% in the Western world. Endoscopic assessment of IBD remains the gold standard for diagnosis, evaluation of treatment response and determination of post-operative recurrence, but is expensive and invasive. Biomarkers can facilitate non-invasive disease assessment, with C-reactive protein and faecal calprotectin as the most widely available biomarkers in current clinical practice. This narrative review summarizes the evidence for their use in both UC and CD and offers practical guidance for healthcare providers taking into account the limitations of biomarker interpretation. We present evidence for the future use of novel biomarkers in IBD and discuss how biomarker discovery could deliver the goal of precision medicine in IBD.

Medical treatment selection and outcomes for hospitalized patients with severe ulcerative colitis as defined by the Japanese criteria

BACKGROUND

Hospitalization for ulcerative colitis (UC) is potentially life-threatening. Severe disease in the Japanese criteria which modifies the Truelove-Witts' criteria might encompass more fulminant cases than the definition for acute severe UC. However, few studies have investigated the predictive factors for clinical remission (CR) after medical treatments for severe hospitalized patients by Japanese criteria.

METHODS

Medical treatment selection, CR rates, and factors contributing to CR on day 14 were assessed in severe patients by Japanese criteria. We also investigated whether the reduction rate in patient-reported outcome 2 (PRO2) on day 3 could predict short-term prognosis.

RESULTS

Eighty-five severe hospitalized patients were selected. Corticosteroids, tacrolimus, and infliximab were mainly selected as first-line treatments (76/85; 89.4%). The CR rates on day 14 were 26.8%, 21.4%, and 33.3% in patients receiving corticosteroids, tacrolimus, and infliximab, respectively. Extensive disease (odds ratio [OR] 0.022; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.002-0.198), higher PRO2 (OR 0.306; 95% CI 0.144-0.821), and higher reduction rate in PRO2 on day 3 (OR 1.047; 95% CI 1.019-1.075) were independent factors predicting CR on day 14. If the cutoff value for the reduction rate in PRO2 on day 3 was 18.3%, sensitivity was 0.714 and specificity was 0.731 to predict CR on day 14. A higher reduction rate in PRO2 on day 3 (OR 0.922; 95% CI 0.853-0.995) was a negative factor to predict surgery within 28 days.

CONCLUSIONS

Tacrolimus and infliximab in addition to corticosteroids were used as first-line treatment in severe hospitalized patients. PRO2 on day 3 is a useful marker for switching to second-line therapy or colectomy.

Systematic review: Scores used to predict outcomes in acute severe ulcerative colitis

Predictive scores for ASUC outcomes according to time of application.

CRAB score for prediction of colectomy within 2 years following admission for acute severe ulcerative colitis

Background

The Oxford and Swedish indexes were developed to predict in-hospital colectomy in acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC), but not long-term prediction, and all these indexes were based on Western data. Our study aimed to analyze the predictors of colectomy within 3 years of ASUC in an Indian cohort and derive a simple predictive score.

Methods

A prospective observational study was conducted in a tertiary health care center in South India over a period of 5 years. All patients admitted with ASUC were followed up for a period of 24 months after the index admission, to look for progression to colectomy.

Results

A total of 81 (47 male) patients were included in the derivation cohort. Fifteen (18.5%) patients required colectomy during a follow-up period of 24 months. On regression analysis, C-reactive protein (CRP) and serum albumin were independent predictors of 24-month colectomy. The CRAB (CRP + AlBumin) score was obtained by multiplying coefficient of beta to albumin and CRP (CRAB score = CRP x 0.2 - Albumin x 0.26). The CRAB score demonstrated an AUROC of 0.923 and a score of >0.4 with a sensitivity of 82% and specificity of 92% for the prediction of 2-year colectomy following ASUC. The score was validated in a validation cohort of 31 patients, and at >0.4, the score had a sensitivity of 83% and a specificity of 96% in predicting colectomy.

Conclusion

CRAB score is a simple prognostic score that can predict 2-year colectomy in ASUC patients with high sensitivity and specificity.

Deep ulcers are associated with increased C-reactive protein in active ulcerative colitis

BACKGROUND

Increased C-reactive protein (CRP) is used to diagnose and predict response to treatment in acute severe ulcerative colitis (UC).

AIMS

To investigate the connection between CRP elevation and deep ulcers in UC.

METHODS

Patients with active UC were enrolled in a multicenter prospective cohort and a retrospective cohort of consecutive patients undergoing colectomy from 2012 to 2019.

RESULTS

Forty-one (9 (22%) with deep ulcers) patients were included in the prospective cohort: 4/5 (80%) patients with CRP > 100 mg/L, 2/10 (20%) patients with CRP between 30 and 100 mg/L and 3/26 (12%) patients with CRP < 30 mg/L had deep ulcers (p = 0.006). In the retrospective cohort [46 patients (31 (67%) with deep ulcers)], 14/14 (100%) patients with CRP > 100 mg/L, 11/17 (65%) patients with CRP between 30 and 100 mg/l and 6/15 (40%) patients with CRP < 30 mg/L had deep ulcers (p = 0.001). Positive predictive value of CRP > 100 mg/l for presence of deep ulcers was 80% and 100% in both cohorts, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

CRP elevation is a robust surrogate marker for presence of deep ulcers in UC. Elevated CRP or presence of deep ulcers could influence the choice of medical therapy in acute severe UC.

Nutrition, Nutritional Status, Micronutrients Deficiency, and Disease Course of Inflammatory Bowel Disease

During the disease course, most Inflammatory Bowel Disease patients present a condition of malnutrition, undernutrition, or even overnutrition. These conditions are mainly due to suboptimal nutritional intake, alterations in nutrient requirements and metabolism, malabsorption, and excessive gastrointestinal losses. A suboptimal nutritional status and low micronutrient serum levels can have a negative impact on both induction and maintenance of remission and on the quality of life of Inflammatory Bowel Disease patients. We performed a systematic review including all the studies evaluating the connection between nutrition, nutrition status (including undernutrition and overnutrition), micronutrient deficiency, and both disease course and therapeutic response in Inflammatory Bowel Disease patients. This systematic review was performed using PubMed/MEDLINE and Scopus. Four main clinical settings concerning the effect of nutrition on disease course in adult Inflammatory Bowel Disease patients were analyzed (induction of remission, maintenance of remission, risk of surgery, post-operative recurrence, and surgery-related complications). Four authors independently reviewed abstracts and manuscripts for eligibility. 6077 articles were found; 762 duplicated studies were removed. Out of 412 full texts analyzed, 227 were included in the review. The evidence summarized in this review showed that many nutritional aspects could be potential targets to induce a better control of symptoms, a deeper remission, and overall improve the quality of life of Inflammatory Bowel Disease patients.

Lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio is a short-term predictive marker of ulcerative colitis after induction of advanced therapy

Advanced therapies for patients with mild-to-severe ulcerative colitis (UC) may result in treatment failure. We examined whether the lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (L/M ratio) could predict the failure of advanced therapies. This retrospective, observational, cohort study included 73 patients who were treated with advanced therapies at the Hamamatsu University School of Medicine (Shizuoka, Japan) between February 2011 and November 2020. The patients were divided into the non-failure and failure groups, and their leukocyte counts and ratios before induction were examined. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the prognostic factors. Advanced therapies failed within 3 months in 15 (20.5%) patients. Only the L/M ratio was significantly lower in the failure group than in the non-failure group (P = 0.004). Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis revealed that an L/M ratio of ≤3.417 was predictive of treatment failure; the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.747 (95% CI, 0.620–0.874). Kaplan–Meier analysis revealed that the failure-free rate was significantly lower in the group with an L/M ratio of ≤3.417 than in the group with an L/M ratio of >3.417 (log-rank test P = 0.002). Cox proportional hazard regression analysis identified an L/M ratio of ≤3.417 as an independent risk factor for failure within 3 months after the induction of advanced therapies. Furthermore, ROC analysis of patients who did not receive immunomodulators also revealed that the cut-off L/M ratio was 3.417 and the AUC was 0.796 (95% CI, 0.666–0.925). In patients receiving advanced therapies for active UC, the L/M ratio can predict treatment failure within 3 months. L/M ratios could facilitate the transition from advanced therapies to subsequent treatments.

Development and validation of novel models for the prediction of intravenous corticosteroid resistance in acute severe ulcerative colitis using logistic regression and machine learning

Background

The early prediction of intravenous corticosteroid (IVCS) resistance in acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC) patients remains an unresolved challenge. This study aims to construct and validate a model that accurately predicts IVCS resistance.

Methods

A retrospective cohort was established, with consecutive inclusion of patients who met the diagnosis criteria of ASUC and received IVCS during index hospitalization in Peking Union Medical College Hospital between March 2012 and January 2020. The primary outcome was IVCS resistance. Classification models, including logistic regression and machine learning-based models, were constructed. External validation was conducted in an independent cohort from Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University.

Results

A total of 129 patients were included in the derivation cohort. During index hospitalization, 102 (79.1%) patients responded to IVCS and 27 (20.9%) failed; 18 (14.0%) patients underwent colectomy in 3 months; 6 received cyclosporin as rescue therapy, and 2 eventually escalated to colectomy; 5 succeeded with infliximab as rescue therapy. The Ulcerative Colitis Endoscopic Index of Severity (UCEIS) and C-reactive protein (CRP) level at Day 3 are independent predictors of IVCS resistance. The areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) of the logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, and extreme-gradient boosting models were 0.873 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.704–1.000), 0.648 (95% CI, 0.463–0.833), 0.650 (95% CI, 0.441–0.859), and 0.604 (95% CI, 0.416–0.792), respectively. The logistic regression model achieved the highest AUROC value of 0.703 (95% CI, 0.473–0.934) in the external validation.

Conclusions

In patients with ASUC, UCEIS and CRP levels at Day 3 of IVCS treatment appeared to allow the prompt prediction of likely IVCS resistance. We found no evidence of better performance of machine learning-based models in IVCS resistance prediction in ASUC. A nomogram based on the logistic regression model might aid in the management of ASUC patients.

Role of Biomarkers in the Diagnosis and Treatment of Inflammatory Bowel Disease

The number of patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is increasing worldwide. Endoscopy is the gold standard to assess the condition of IBD. The problem with this procedure is that the burden and cost on the patient are high. Therefore, the identification of a reliable biomarker to replace endoscopy is desired. Biomarkers are used in various situations such as diagnosis of IBD, evaluation of disease activity, prediction of therapeutic effect, and prediction of relapse. C-reactive protein and fecal calprotectin have a lot of evidence as objective biomarkers of disease activity in IBD. The usefulness of the fecal immunochemical test, serum leucine-rich glycoprotein, and urinary prostaglandin E major metabolite have also been reported. Herein, we comprehensively review the usefulness and limitations of biomarkers that can be used in daily clinical practice regarding IBD. To date, no biomarker is sufficiently accurate to replace endoscopy; however, it is important to understand the characteristics of each biomarker and use the appropriate biomarker at the right time in daily clinical practice.

A Scoring System to Determine Patients' Risk of Colectomy Within 1 Year After Hospital Admission for Acute Severe Ulcerative Colitis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There is consensus on the criteria used to define acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC) and on patient management, but it has been a challenge to identify patients at risk for colectomy based on data collected at hospital admission. We aimed to develop a system to determine patients' risk of colectomy within 1 y of hospital admission for ASUC based on clinical, biomarker, and endoscopy data.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of consecutive patients with ASUC treated with corticosteroids, ciclosporin, or tumor necrosis factor (TNF) antagonists and admitted to 2 hospitals in France from 2002 through 2017. Patients were followed until colectomy or loss of follow up. A total of 270 patients with ASUC were included in the final analysis, with a median follow-up time of 30 months (derivation cohort). Independent risk factors identified by Cox multivariate analysis were used to develop a system to identify patients at risk for colectomy 1 y after ASUC. We developed a scoring system based on these 4 factors (1 point for each item) to identify high-risk (score 3 or 4) vs low-risk (score 0) patients. We validated this system using data from an independent cohort of 185 patients with ASUC treated from 2006 through 2017 at 2 centers in France.

RESULTS

In the derivation cohort, the cumulative risk of colectomy was 12.3% (95% CI, 8.6-16.8). Based on multivariate analysis, previous treatment with TNF antagonists or thiopurines (hazard ratio [HR], 3.86; 95% CI, 1.82-8.18), Clostridioides difficile infection (HR, 3.73; 95% CI, 1.11-12.55), serum level of C-reactive protein above 30 mg/L (HR, 3.06; 95% CI, 1.11-8.43), and serum level of albumin below 30 g/L (HR, 2.67; 95% CI, 1.20-5.92) were associated with increased risk of colectomy. In the derivation cohort, the cumulative risks of colectomy within 1 y in patients with scores of 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4 were 0.0%, 9.4% (95% CI, 4.3%-16.7%), 10.6% (95% CI, 5.6%-17.4%), 51.2% (95% CI, 26.6%-71.3%), and 100%. Negative predictive values ranged from 87% (95% CI, 82%-91%) to 92% (95% CI, 88%-95.0%). Findings from the validation cohort were consistent with findings from the derivation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a scoring system to identify patients at low-risk vs high-risk for colectomy within 1 y of hospitalization for ASUC, based on previous treatment with TNF antagonists or thiopurines, C difficile infection, and serum levels of CRP and albumin. The system was validated in an external cohort.

The Role of Biomarkers in Surgery for Ulcerative Colitis: A Review

Ulcerative colitis (UC) is an inflammatory condition that generally affects the rectum and extends proximally into the colon in a continuous, distal-to-proximal pattern. Surgical resection (total proctocolectomy) is the only cure for UC and is often necessary in managing complicated or refractory disease. However, recent advances in biologically targeted therapies have resulted in improved disease control, and surgery is required in only a fraction of cases. This ever-increasing array of options for medical management has added complexity to surgical decision-making. In some circumstances, the added time required to ensure failure of medical therapy can delay colectomy in patients who will ultimately need it. Indeed, many patients with severe disease undergo trials of multiple medical therapies prior to considering surgery. In severe cases of UC, continued medical management has been associated with a delay to surgical intervention and higher rates of morbidity and mortality. Biomarkers represent a burgeoning field of research, particularly in inflammatory bowel disease and cancer. This review seeks to highlight the different possible settings for surgery in UC and the role various biomarkers might play in each.

Evaluation of anti-TNF therapeutic response in patients with inflammatory bowel disease: Current and novel biomarkers

Neutralizing tumour necrosis factor (TNF) antibodies have been widely used to treat inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) in the clinical practice. In this review, the principal biomarker analysis revealed that faecal calprotectin, C-reactive protein, serum or mucosal concentrations of anti-TNF monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) and antibodies to anti-TNF mAbs are commonly used as current biomarkers in the evaluation of anti-TNF therapeutic efficacy. However, mucosal cytokine transcripts. microRNAs, proteomics and faecal and mucosal gut microbiota profile and mucosal histological features are reported to be novel candidates of biomarkers with high clinical utility in the evaluation of anti-TNF therapeutic efficacy in patients with IBD. Therefore, a robust validation of novel promising biomarkers and comparison studies between current used and novel biomarkers are urgently required to improve their value in the evaluation of therapeutic efficacy and optimization of personalized medicine and identification of IBD candidates for anti-TNF therapy in future clinical practice.

Biomarker dynamics during infliximab salvage for acute severe ulcerative colitis: C-reactive protein (CRP)-lymphocyte ratio and CRP-albumin ratio are useful in predicting colectomy

Background/Aims

The residual risk of colectomy after infliximab salvage in steroid-refractory acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC) is required to inform the need for subsequent maintenance biologic therapy. The aim of this study was to determine the dynamic response of common serum biomarkers to infliximab salvage and assess their utility in predicting subsequent colectomy.

Methods

A retrospective single-center cohort study was conducted on all patients who received infliximab salvage for steroid-refractory ASUC between January 1, 2010, and July 31, 2019. Biomarkers were assessed on admission and days 1 and 3 post infliximab, and included C-reactive protein (CRP)-albumin-ratio (CAR), CRP-lymphocyte-ratio (CLR), platelet-lymphocyte-ratio (PLR) and neutrophil-lymphocyte-ratio (NLR).

Results

Of 94 patients (median age, 35 years; 67% of male), 20% required colectomy at 12 months. Biomarkers on day 3 post-infliximab best differentiated nonresponders, who had higher CRP, lower albumin and lower lymphocyte count (each P < 0.05). Day 3 predictive performance (area under the curve) for 12-month colectomy was best for CAR (0.871) and CLR (0.874), which were similar to Lindgren (0.829; P > 0.05) but superior to Mayo (0.726), partial Mayo (0.719), PLR (0.719), Ho index (0.714), NLR (0.675), Travis score (0.657) and endoscopic Mayo (0.609) (each P < 0.05). A day 3 CAR cutoff of 0.47 mg/g had 79% sensitivity, 80% specificity, 94% negative predictive value (NPV) to predict colectomy; while a day 3 CLR cutoff of 6.0 mg/10⁹ had 84% sensitivity, 84% specificity, 96% NPV.

Conclusions

CAR and CLR measured on day 3 post infliximab salvage for steroid-refractory ASUC represent simple and routinely performed biomarkers that appear to be strong predictors of colectomy. Prospective studies are required to confirm the utility of these predictive scores.

Infliximab is more effective than cyclosporine as a rescue therapy for acute severe ulcerative colitis: a retrospective single-center study

Background

Acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC) is a potentially life-threatening disease, and the best option in cases of steroid-refractory disease is still debated. We compared the early- and long-term efficacy and safety of the 2 available “rescue therapies”, infliximab (IFX) and cyclosporine (CYS), in this setting.

Methods

We retrospectively evaluated patients admitted for ASUC and treated with “rescue therapy”. The primary endpoint was early colectomy-free survival (30 days) and colectomy-free survival until the end of follow up. The secondary endpoints were predictors of colectomy and long-term maintenance of the treatment strategy over time.

Results

Of 129 patients admitted, 68 received rescue therapy (47 with IFX), whereas 7 underwent early colectomy (10.3%). At 30 days, fewer patients treated with IFX showed a need for colectomy (8.5% vs. 14.3%) compared to those in the CYS group, though the difference was non-significant (odds ratio [OR] 0.69, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.10-4.69; P=0.47). No severe side effects due to IFX and CYS were observed. During a mean follow up of 40 months, 23 additional patients (37.7%) underwent colectomy, and the rate was significantly lower in the IFX group (25.6%) than in the CYS group (66.7%) (hazard ratio 0.25, 95%CI 0.10-0.61; P=0.003). Colectomy-free survival was significantly higher in the IFX group than in the CYS group (P=0.018) at 12 months.

Conclusions

In our setting, the early outcomes of IFX and CYS for ASUC were comparable. IFX was associated with significantly lower colectomy rates during the observation period and had a similar safety profile to CYS.

Predicting Outcome in Acute Severe Colitis-Controversies in Clinical Practice in 2021

Acute severe ulcerative colitis [ASUC] remains a common medical emergency, with 25% of patients with ulcerative colitis experiencing at least one event in their disease course. Despite advances in medical therapy, ASUC continues to be associated with considerable morbidity and mortality, with up to 30% of patients requiring colectomy during initial admission. Our aim was to review the current controversies and recent progress in risk stratification, prediction of outcome, and personalisation of care in ASUC. We re-assess the use of Truelove and Witts' criteria, serum biomarkers, and the use of composite clinical indices in current clinical practice. We explore the potential for endoscopic prediction using defined validated indices for accurate and early prognostication, and the need to define outcome. We also consider the impact of the current COVID-19 pandemic. Finally, we discuss the current research agenda, including the application of new and emerging biomarkers coupled with multi-omics and the implications in management and optimisation of outcome. Research priorities for the prediction of outcome in acute severe colitis include the following. 1. Development of an accurate admission score to guide early medical rescue therapy or colectomy. 2. Utility of point-of-care faecal calprotectin, with determination of optimal cut-off values. 3. Role of serum and faecal infliximab levels to both predict outcome and guide accelerated infliximab dosing. 4. Role of novel biomarkers, including serum calprotectin, in predicting response to corticosteroids or rescue therapy. 5. Specific predictors of response to ciclosporin and infliximab to allow rationalisation of drug use. 6. Utility of validated endoscopic scores. 7. Utility of radiological assessment beyond use of plain abdominal X-ray. 8. The use of multiomics and machine learning to predict risk of Acute Severe Colitis in patients with Ulcerative Colitis.

Hypoalbuminemia and Bandemia Predict Failure of Infliximab Rescue Therapy in Acute Severe Ulcerative Colitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Infliximab rescue therapy is effective in patients with corticosteroid refractory acute severe ulcerative colitis, but predictors of response remain poorly understood. We aimed to identify predictors of colectomy in this high-risk patient population.

METHODS

Patients hospitalized with acute severe ulcerative colitis who received infliximab after failing intravenous corticosteroid therapy between July 2012 and June 2017 were retrospectively identified. Stepwise regression with backward elimination was used to identify predictors of colectomy at 90 days and 1 year. Ninety-day and 1-year colectomy rates were compared between the patients who received 5 mg/kg and 10 mg/kg IFX rescue dose.

RESULTS

Sixty-three patients met the eligibility criteria. Twenty-nine patients received 5 mg/kg, and 34 received 10 mg/kg infliximab dose. Serum albumin on admission (OR 0.10; p = 0.04) and band neutrophil percentage at the time of infliximab administration (OR 1.21; p = 0.02) were independent predictors of 90-day colectomy. A combination of serum albumin ≤ 2.5 g/dl and band neutrophil count ≥ 13% had a 100% positive predictive value for 90-day colectomy. Unadjusted 90-day and 1-year colectomy rates were similar in the 5 mg/kg and 10 mg/kg infliximab groups. After adjusting for confounding factors, 10 mg/kg infliximab dose was potentially protective for 90-day (OR 0.07; p = 0.06) but not for 1-year colectomy (OR 0.19; p = 0.16).

CONCLUSIONS

Bandemia and low serum albumin are independent predictors of failure of infliximab rescue therapy in acute severe ulcerative colitis. Serum albumin ≤ 2.5 g/dl and band neutrophil count ≥ 13% had a 100% positive predictive value for 90-day colectomy.

Biological therapy in pediatric age

Biological therapies, especially blocking tumor necrosis factor-α (TNFα) agents have radically changed the therapeutic approach and disease course of pediatric inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). In particular, drugs such as infliximab (IFX) and adalimumab (ADA) have been demonstrated to be effective in inducing and maintaining corticosteroid-free remission in both adult and pediatric patients with Crohns Disease (CD) and Ulcerative colitis (UC). Biosimilar biological (BioS) therapy is increasingly being used in pediatric age even though most knowledge on the safety and efficacy of these agents is based on IFX in adult IBD data. Studies show high rates of clinical response and remission in both IFX naïve patients and in patients switched from originator to BioS with similar risks of adverse events (AEs) as those reported with IFX originator. In the present review indications, efficacy and AEs of biological therapy in pediatric IBD will be discussed, as well as the role of other biological agents such as Golimumab, Vedolizumab and Ustekinumab, the role of BioS biological therapy and utility of therapeutic drug monitoring in clinical practice.

AGA Technical Review on the Management of Moderate to Severe Ulcerative Colitis

A subset of patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) present with, or progress to, moderate to severe disease activity. These patients are at high risk for colectomy, hospitalization, corticosteroid dependence, and serious infections. The risk of life-threatening complications and emergency colectomy is particularly high among those patients hospitalized with acute severe ulcerative colitis. Optimal management of outpatients or inpatients with moderate to severe UC often requires the use of immunomodulator and/or biologic therapies, including thiopurines, methotrexate, cyclosporine, tacrolimus, TNF-α antagonists, vedolizumab, tofacitnib, or ustekinumab, either as monotherapy or in combination (with immunomodulators), to mitigate these risks. Decisions about optimal drug therapy in moderate to severe UC are complex, with limited guidance on comparative efficacy and safety of different treatments, leading to considerable practice variability. Therefore, the American Gastroenterological Association prioritized development of clinical guidelines on this topic. To inform the clinical guidelines, this technical review was completed in accordance with the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation framework. Focused questions in adult outpatients with moderate to severe UC included: (1) overall and comparative efficacy of different medications for induction and maintenance of remission in patients with or without prior exposure to TNF-α antagonists, (2) comparative efficacy and safety of biologic monotherapy vs combination therapy with immunomodulators, (3) comparative efficacy of top-down (upfront use of biologics and/or immunomodulator therapy) vs step-up therapy (acceleration to biologic and/or immunomodulator therapy only after failure of 5-aminosalicylates, and (4) role of continuing vs stopping 5-aminosalicylates in patients being treated with immunomodulator and/or biologic therapy for moderate to severe UC. Focused questions in adults hospitalized with acute severe ulcerative colitis included: (5) overall and comparative efficacy of pharmacologic interventions for inpatients refractory to corticosteroids, in reducing risk of colectomy, (6) optimal dosing regimens for intravenous corticosteroids and infliximab in these patients, and (7) role of adjunctive antibiotics in the absence of confirmed infections.

Inflammatory bowel disease position statement of the Italian Society of Colorectal Surgery (SICCR): ulcerative colitis

The Italian Society of Colorectal Surgery (SICCR) promoted the project reported here, which consists of a Position Statement of Italian colorectal surgeons to address the surgical aspects of ulcerative colitis management. Members of the society were invited to express their opinions on several items proposed by the writing committee, based on evidence available in the literature. The results are presented, focusing on relevant points. The present paper is not an alternative to available guidelines; rather, it offers a snapshot of the attitudes of SICCR surgeons about the surgical treatment of ulcerative colitis. The committee was able to identify some points of major disagreement and suggested strategies to improve the quality of available data and acceptance of guidelines.

Impact of preoperative duration of ulcerative colitis on long-term outcomes of restorative proctocolectomy

BACKGROUND

It is unknown if ulcerative colitis (UC) duration has an impact on outcomes of ileal pouch anal anastomosis (IPAA). The aim of the study was to compare the long-term IPAA outcomes based on preoperative UC duration.

METHODS

All patients with pathologically confirmed UC who underwent IPAA were included from a prospectively maintained pouch database (1983-2017).Patient's cohort was stratified according to UC duration:< 5 years,5-10 years,10-20 years,> 20 years. UC duration was defined as time interval from date of preoperative diagnosis to colectomy date. The main outcome was Kaplan-Meier pouch survival. Secondary outcomes were pouch function and quality of life.

RESULTS

Out of 4502 IPAAs (1983-2016), 2797 patients were included. Treated with biologics versus 12% with UC duration > 20 years were 41% patients with UC duration < 5 years. Treated with steroids compared to shortest (34%,p < 0.001) were 54% patients with the longest disease. A total of 65% of patients with shortest disease had IPAAs performed mostly in 3 stages. Anastomotic separation and pelvic sepsis were more prevalent among shortest compared to longest disease groups. Rates of pouch-targeted fistulas, anastomotic strictures, and pouchitis were highest in longest disease group. Pouch survival was similar between groups. Multivariate analysis did not show a significant association between UC duration and pouch failure [1.05(0.97-1.1), p = 0.23].Longer UC duration was associated with increased odds of pouchitis [1.2(1.1, 1.3), p < 0.001]. Biologics agents were shown to be protective against pouchitis.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative UC duration does not increase pouch failure risk. Longer preoperative UC duration increases the pouchitis risk. Biologic agents and three-staged IPAA are protective against pouchitis and septic complications in long-term among patients with UC.

Ulcerative Colitis and Crohn's Disease Have Similar Burden and Goals for Treatment

It is unclear whether ulcerative colitis (UC) is a progressive disease similar to Crohn's disease (CD). Patients with UC often are undertreated because of the possibility of curative colectomy and the perception that the disease burden is lower than that of CD. We discuss findings from studies that aimed to determine whether UC and CD have the same disease burden and should be treated in the same intensive way. We discuss the similarities between CD and UC, including effects on quality of life, long-term complications, strictures, increased risk of cancer, pseudopolyps, functional abnormalities, and anorectal dysfunction. Contrary to the generally accepted idea, surgery cannot cure UC. Postoperative complications, especially pouchitis and fecal incontinence, affect more than one third of patients. CD and UC each pose substantial economic burdens. Monitoring, treatments, and goals of therapy are similar for all inflammatory bowel diseases. Earlier initiation of disease-modifying drugs might reduce the progression of UC and reduce its burden after surgery, although UC might not cause the irreversible damage observed in patients with CD.

An approach to acute severe ulcerative colitis

Introduction: Despite the introduction of novel therapies and treatment strategies for ulcerative colitis (UC), many patients develop acute, severe episodes, warranting prompt care and aggressive management. There is a significant unmet need to improve outcomes in these patients. Clinicians must be able to identify those that will have worse prognosis and plan an aggressive therapy with an early/proactive adjustments in management if needed.Areas covered: The aim of this review is to evaluate the most recent evidence on the assessment and management of patients with acute severe ulcerative colitis. We searched the mainstream literature search engines for the most recent evidence on diagnosis and management of acute UC.Expert Opinion: The approach to patients with severe UC includes clinical and endoscopic assessment of disease severity and ruling out over-infections. While intravenous corticosteroids remain the first line therapy for acute severe colitis, many patients do not respond and require escalation to calcineurin inhibitors or infliximab, and may ultimately require colectomy. Even though several novel therapies are available or in development, their role in acute severe episodes of colitis is unknown.

Infliximab induction regimens in steroid-refractory acute severe colitis: a multicentre retrospective cohort study with propensity score analysis

BACKGROUND

Accelerated induction regimens of infliximab have been proposed to improve response rates in patients with steroid-refractory acute severe colitis.

AIM

To determine the differences in outcome for acute severe ulcerative colitis between accelerated and standard-dose infliximab METHODS: We collected data on hospitalised patients receiving differing regimens of rescue therapy for steroid-refractory acute severe ulcerative colitis. Our primary outcome was 30-day colectomy rate. Secondary outcomes were colectomy within index admission, and at 90 days and 12 months. We used propensity score analysis with optimal calliper matching using high risk covariates defined a priori to reduce potential provider selection bias.

RESULTS

We included 131 patients receiving infliximab rescue therapy; 102 received standard induction and 29 received accelerated induction. In the unmatched cohort, there was no difference by type of induction in the 30-day colectomy rates (18% vs 20%, P = .45), colectomy during index admission (13% vs 20%, P = .26) or overall colectomy (20% vs 24%, P = .38). In the propensity score-matched cohort of 52 patients, 30-day colectomy (57% vs 27%, P = .048) and index admission colectomy (53% vs 23%, P = .045) rates were higher in those receiving standard induction compared to accelerated induction but there was no difference in overall colectomy rates (57% vs 31%, P = .09). There was no significant difference in length of stay or in complication and infection rates.

CONCLUSION

In a propensity score-matched cohort, steroid-refractory acute severe ulcerative colitis patients, short-term, but not long-term, colectomy rates appear to be lower in those receiving an accelerated induction regimen.

Intensified Infliximab Induction is Associated with Improved Response and Decreased Colectomy in Steroid-Refractory Paediatric Ulcerative Colitis

BACKGROUND

Infliximab pharmacokinetics in steroid-refractory [SR] ulcerative colitis [UC] suggest a need for higher dosing, but data concerning efficacy of intensification in this setting are lacking in children and inconsistent overall.

METHODS

Paediatric patients [N = 125] treated with infliximab for SR or steroid-dependent UC were retrospectively reviewed. Outcomes [clinical response and remission, colectomy, mucosal healing, safety] with standard vs intensified induction [mean induction dose ≥7 mg/kg or interval ≤5 weeks between doses 1 and 3] were compared.

RESULTS

Among 125 patients [median age 14 years, median UC duration 0.7 years, 74 SR], 73 [58%] received standard induction and 52 [42%] received intensified induction. Overall, 73 [58%] achieved remission (judged by physician global assessment [PGA] and paediatric UC activity index [PUCAI]≤10]. Among patients in remission, 7 [10%] experienced secondary loss of response by a median of 0.7 [IQR 0.4-1.0] years. Of the 74 SR patients, 17 [23%] underwent colectomy, and of the 51 steroid-dependent patients, 12 [24%] underwent colectomy. Intensified induction in SR patients was associated with a higher chance of remission (hazard ratio [HR] 3.2, p = 0.02) and a lower chance of colectomy [HR 0.4, p = 0.05], but did not improve outcomes in steroid-dependent patients. During follow-up, 46/73 [63%] patients in remission had regimen individualization, with similar rates of return to standard dosing after 1 year between those with initial intensified or standard induction. Follow-up endoscopy, performed in 35/73 patients in remission, demonstrated mucosal healing for 66%. Adverse events were rare, despite use of intensified regimens.

CONCLUSIONS

These data suggest a benefit from intensified infliximab induction specifically among children with steroid-refractory UC. Prospective studies comparing dosing regimens and incorporating therapeutic drug monitoring should be undertaken.

Systematic Review and Meta-analysis: Optimal Salvage Therapy in Acute Severe Ulcerative Colitis

BACKGROUND

Infliximab is an effective salvage therapy in acute severe ulcerative colitis; however, the optimal dosing strategy is unknown. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to examine the impact of infliximab dosage and intensification on colectomy-free survival in acute severe ulcerative colitis.

METHODS

Studies reporting outcomes of hospitalized steroid-refractory acute severe ulcerative colitis treated with infliximab salvage were identified. Infliximab use was categorized by dose, dose number, and schedule. The primary outcome was colectomy-free survival at 3 months. Pooled proportions and odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals were reported.

RESULTS

Forty-one cohorts (n = 2158 cases) were included. Overall colectomy-free survival with infliximab salvage was 79.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 75.48% to 83.6%) at 3 months and 69.8% (95% CI, 65.7% to 73.7%) at 12 months. Colectomy-free survival at 3 months was superior with 5-mg/kg multiple (≥2) doses compared with single-dose induction (odds ratio [OR], 4.24; 95% CI, 2.44 to 7.36; P < 0.001). However, dose intensification with either high-dose or accelerated strategies was not significantly different to 5-mg/kg standard induction at 3 months (OR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.39 to 1.27; P = 0.24) despite being utilized in patients with a significantly higher mean C-reactive protein and lower albumin levels.

CONCLUSIONS

In acute severe ulcerative colitis, multiple 5-mg/kg infliximab doses are superior to single-dose salvage. Dose-intensified induction outcomes were not significantly different compared to standard induction and were more often used in patients with increased disease severity, which may have confounded the results. This meta-analysis highlights the marked variability in the management of infliximab salvage therapy and the need for further studies to determine the optimal dose strategy.

Predictors of mucosal healing during induction therapy in patients with acute moderate-to-severe ulcerative colitis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The treat-to-target strategy has emerged in ulcerative colitis management. Mucosal healing is the best target, albeit not in induction therapy of acute diseases as clinical conditions vary over a short duration. To determine the targets during induction therapy for acute ulcerative colitis, we identified markers to predict mucosal healing at 3 and 12 months of initiating the induction therapy.

METHODS

This single-center prospective observational study enrolling 61 adult patients hospitalized for disease exacerbation collected the partial Mayo scores, ulcerative colitis endoscopic index of severity, fecal markers, and laboratory data (0 day, 2 weeks, and 3 and 12 months) of initiating induction therapy.

RESULTS

At 2 weeks, patients with mucosal healing at 3 months had had lower partial Mayo and ulcerative colitis endoscopic index of severity scores and higher white blood cell count and total cholesterol than those without mucosal healing. At 3 months, patients with mucosal healing at 12 months had had lower partial Mayo and ulcerative colitis endoscopic index of severity scores than those without mucosal healing. A kinetic analysis demonstrated a difference in the partial Mayo scores and total cholesterol and albumin levels at 2 weeks and in the ulcerative colitis endoscopic index of severity, fecal calprotectin, and fecal immunochemical tests at 3 months between patients who achieved mucosal healing at 12 months and those who did not.

CONCLUSIONS

Partial Mayo scores and total cholesterol levels act as short-term therapeutic targets during induction therapy in patients with acute ulcerative colitis. Mucosal healing at 3 months correlates to longer time mucosal healing.

Systematic Review: Efficacy and Safety of Accelerated Induction Regimes in Infliximab Rescue Therapy for Hospitalized Patients with Acute Severe Colitis

BACKGROUND

Pharmacokinetic data suggest that standard induction dosing schedules may not be sufficient in patients with acute severe colitis (ASUC). Hence, intensified induction regimes are increasingly used in the rescue treatment of hospitalized patients with ASUC to avoid the need for colectomy although the evidence for this is uncertain.

AIM

To conduct a systematic review of short- and long-term efficacy outcomes from accelerated infliximab induction studies.

METHODS

Systematic search of relevant databases (MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews) and relevant conference proceedings (Digestive Diseases Week, European Colitis and Crohn's Organisation Congress, United European Gastroenterology Week) was done.

RESULTS

We identified ten relevant studies with a total of 705 patients, of whom 308 received an intensified infliximab regime. Pooled analysis showed no difference in short-term or long-term colectomy rates in those receiving accelerated induction regimes when compared to standard induction. No significant differences in complication rates were identified.

CONCLUSIONS

The available uncontrolled studies so far do not suggest short-term or long-term benefit in using accelerated induction in hospitalized ASUC. The overall poor quality of available studies with confounding variables indicates the need for a randomized controlled trial with personalized risk stratification.

Has infliximab influenced the course and prognosis of acute severe ulcerative colitis?

Ulcerative colitis (UC) still has no definitive cure since its etiology remains unclear. In recent years, considerable progress has been made with regard to our knowledge of the pathogenesis of UC. Advances in biotechnology have led to the development of biologic therapies which selectively target single key mediators or receptors involved in the pathogenesis of the disease - ie, tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α, integrin, interleukins 12/23. Biologic therapies caused a revolution in the treatment of UC, providing specific options for patients refractory to conventional treatment. In recent years, antibodies anti-TNFα and anti-integrin have shown efficacy in improving the course and prognosis of ambulatory patients with moderate-to-severe UC. Nevertheless, whether biologics have brought so many benefits also for hospitalized patients with acute severe UC is still debated. Acute severe UC is a potentially life-threatening condition that affects up to 25% of patients during the course of their disease. It requires hospital admission due to the risk of complications and death, and it can necessitate urgent colectomy. Major adverse outcomes of acute severe UC are mortality and colectomy. The aim of this systematic review of the literature was to analyze the impact of biologics, in particular infliximab, on the course and prognosis of acute severe UC. Mortality and colectomy rates were considered as outcome measures.

Second-Look Endoscopy in Hospitalized Severe Ulcerative Colitis: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC) is a serious complication of ulcerative colitis (UC). Management of partial responders to steroids or rescue therapy remains challenging. Whether there is a role for re-look sigmoidoscopic evaluation in disease management is unknown.

METHODS

Our study cohort consisted of patients who underwent 2 sigmoidoscopic procedures during the same index hospitalization for ASUC at our center. Reasons for repeat endoscopic evaluation and endoscopic and histologic severity of inflammation during both procedures were noted. Multivariable regression models were performed to identify predictors of improvement at the second endoscopic assessment and to determine the independent effect of such an improvement on in-hospital colectomy and at 3, 6, and 12 months.

RESULTS

Our study included 49 patients (mean age, 42 years; 52% women). Just under one-third of patients (30%) were noted to have improved endoscopic appearance at the second sigmoidoscopy, at a median of 9 days after initial exam. None of the patients who had improvement on the second endoscopy underwent in-hospital colectomy, compared with 46% of those with worsening or persistent disease (P = 0.002). Similar differences in the improved group persisted at 3 months (P = 0.007) and 6 months (P = 0.027). Histologic severity at the first endoscopy was associated with increased risk of colectomy in-hospital (odds ratio, 3.8; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-14.21) and at 3 and 6 months.

CONCLUSIONS

After a median interval of 9 days, endoscopic improvement was noted in 30% of patients with ASUC undergoing a second sigmoidoscopy, which predicted lower rates of colectomy in-hospital and at 3 and 6 months.